Paper Fataldengue
Paper Fataldengue
Paper Fataldengue
additional sources of funding were received. The identified included 34 Leptospira spp. cases and one case of Burkholderia pseudomallei
funders had no role in the system design, data and Neisseria meningitidis.
collection and analysis, decision to publish or
preparation of the manuscript.
Conclusions/Significance
Competing Interests: The authors have declared
that no competing interests exist. EFASS showed that dengue mortality rates among adults were higher than reported for
influenza, and identified a leptospirosis outbreak and index cases of melioidosis and
meningitis.
Author Summary
Dengue is a major public health problem in the tropics. Despite its global importance,
population-based mortality rates attributable to dengue are largely unknown. Dengue vac-
cines are now in late stage clinical trials and one vaccine has been licensed in several coun-
tries. Evidence-based decisions regarding the future use of dengue vaccines will depend on
robust estimates of disease burden which should include mortality. To estimate mortality
due to dengue in Puerto Rico, where dengue is endemic, we developed an enhanced sur-
veillance system to detect fatalities due to a preceeding dengue-like acute febrile illness
using more sensitive case identification and laboratory methods than the previous passive
method. This surveillance system found the dengue mortality rate was 1.05 per 100,000
Puerto Rico residents in 2010, the highest rate ever detected. Among adults aged 1964
years, mortality from dengue (1.17 deaths per 100,000) was higher than from other infec-
tious diseases, including influenza. The utility of this enhanced surveillance system was
further proven through the identification of an outbreak of leptospirosis as well as detec-
tion of other diseases of public health importance, including melioidosis and meningitis.
Introduction
Dengue is a major public health problem worldwide. While most dengue virus (DENV) infec-
tions are asymptomatic or result in a mild acute febrile illness (AFI), some are life-threatening
due to plasma leakage [1, 2]. With no antivirals to treat dengue or prevent its severe manifesta-
tions [3], early recognition of severe dengue and timely supportive care is used to reduce mor-
tality [46]. Several dengue vaccines are in late stage clinical trials and one was recently
licensed in several countries [7]. Decisions regarding their use will depend on vaccine perfor-
mance and safety, and reduction of disease burden, including deaths.
Globally, an estimated 3.9 billion people are at risk of DENV infection, and 96 million den-
gue cases are estimated to have occurred in 2010 alone [8]. Despite its global presense, robust
estimates of population-based dengue mortality rates are lacking. Most estimates have been
derived from passive surveillance data [914] or hospital-based, retrospective case reviews [15,
16]. During epidemic periods, these methods have produced annual mortality rates that ranged
from 0.300.59 deaths per 100,000 population. However, these approaches have not been vali-
dated as to under recognition due to misdiagnosis or under reporting [14].
Dengue has been endemic in Puerto Rico since the late 1960s [17, 18], and after the first
deaths were reported in 1986, surveillance for deaths due to dengue was established in 1987
[19]. Mortality data have been collected through the island-wide Passive Dengue Surveillance
System (PDSS), a hospital-based Infection Control Nurse Dengue Surveillance System
(ICNDSS) that operated until 2007, and review of death certificates. Evaluations of these
systems identified misdiagnosis and underreporting of cases, and failure to include dengue on
death certificates of known laboratory-positive dengue cases [14, 20]. Few suspected fatal cases
had tissue specimens or appropriately timed pre-mortem serum specimens for diagnostic test-
ing, which resulted in a high proportion of indeterminate diagnostic results [14, 1921].
In 2009, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Dengue Branch (CDC-DB), Puerto
Rico Department of Health (PRDH), Instituto de Ciencias Forenses de Puerto Rico (in English,
Puerto Rico Institute of Forensic Sciences [PRIFS]), Demographic Registry of Puerto Rico, and
CDC Infectious Diseases Pathology Branch (CDC-IDPB) established the Enhanced Fatal Acute
Febrile Illness Surveillance System (EFASS) to define mortality due to dengue-like AFI, and deter-
mine the etiology of these cases. We describe the findings from the first three years of EFASS.
Methods
Ethics Statement
This project underwent CDC institutional review and formal institutional review board review
was not required since the case-patients were deceased. Because cases were reported in the con-
text of public health surveillance, the informed consent of patients families was not sought.
Patient identifiers were removed from the dataset prior to analysis.
Diagnostic Testing
Serum specimens were tested by a DENV-serotype specific real time, reverse transcriptase-
polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) assay [22], an anti-DENV IgM enzyme-linked immuno-
sorbent assay (MAC ELISA) [23], and an anti-DENV IgG ELISA [24]. Serum specimens were
also tested by anti-West Nile virus (WNV) MAC-ELISA and, if positive, WNV-specific
rRT-PCR and 90% plaque reduction neutralization tests (PRNT90) were performed [25].
Serum specimens with sufficient volume were sent to CDC Bacterial Special Pathogens Branch
and tested for Leptospira IgM using the ELISA ImmunoDOT kit (GenBio, Inc., San Diego,
CA). Acute specimens were tested for nucleic acid by rRT-PCR and 20 Leptospira reference
antigens representing 17 serogroups by microscopic agglutination test (MAT) [26]. RNA was
extracted from nasopharyngeal specimens and tested for Influenza A and B viral genome by
rRT-PCR [27].
Tissue specimens were tested at the CDC-IDPB for DENV antigen or nucleic acid by immu-
nohistochemistry (IHC) and RT-PCR, respectively [28]. If clinical presentation or histopathol-
ogy were suggestive of another etiology pathogen-specific diagnostic testing was performed
[26, 29].
Definitions
A fatal suspected dengue-like AFI case had a dengue-like AFI that immediately preceded death
in a Puerto Rico resident. A fatal laboratory-positive dengue case was a suspected case with
DENV nucleic acid in serum or tissue; DENV antigen in tissue; IgM seroconversion in paired
specimens; or IgM in a single specimen. A fatal laboratory-negative dengue case was a sus-
pected case with no molecular, immunodiagnostic or IHC markers of DENV infection. A fatal
laboratory-indeterminate dengue case was a suspected case with no DENV nucleic acid or anti-
DENV IgM in the acute serum specimen (collected 5 days post-illness onset [DPO]) and no
available convalescent serum specimen (6 DPO). A fatal dengue co-infection was a fatal sus-
pected dengue-like AFI case with DENV nucleic acid in serum or tissue and another pathogen
detected by PCR or IHC. A primary DENV infection was a fatal laboratory-positive dengue
case without anti-DENV IgG in the acute serum specimen [30] and a secondary DENV infec-
tion had anti-DENV IgG in the acute specimen.
A fatal laboratory-confirmed leptospirosis case was a suspected dengue-like AFI case with
4-fold increase in MAT titers in paired specimens, MAT titer 800 in a single specimen, or
detection of Leptospira spp. nucleic acid in serum by PCR or antigen in tissue by IHC. A proba-
ble fatal leptospirosis case had a MAT titer >200 but <800 in a serum specimen.
Dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS)
were defined according to the 1997 World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines [31]
(Table 1). Dengue, dengue with warning signs, and severe dengue were defined according to
2009 WHO guidelines [2]. Definitions for severe dengue, other clinical features and medical
complications are shown in Table 1.
Data Analysis
Frequencies were calculated for demographic, clinical and laboratory features of fatal labora-
tory-positive dengue cases. Rates of fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases per 100,000 Puerto
Rico population were calculated by age group, sex, and municipality using US Census data
[45]. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated to compare females to males. Case fatality
rates (CFR) were calculated by dividing the number of fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases
by PDSS laboratory-positive dengue cases. Statistical differences in proportions were tested by
Chi-square or Fisher's exact tests. Differences between municipality-specific fatal laboratory-
positive dengue cases and PDSS laboratory-positive dengue cases were examined by calculation
of Pearson correlation coefficients. A geographically weighted regression model was used to
determine if the number of fatal cases differed from the expected based on PDSS laboratory-
positive dengue cases in the municipality and neighboring municipalities. Data analyses were
conducted using STATA (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX) and ArcGIS (Environmental
Systems Research Institute, Redlands, CA); maps were created using ArcMap.
Results
Identification of Fatal Cases and Diagnostic Testing
During 20102012, a total of 311 fatalities following a dengue-like AFI were detected by EFASS
and 40,881 suspected dengue cases were reported to PDSS, of which 17,929 (44%) were dengue
laboratory-positive. Of all fatalities detected, 146 (47%) were identified and reported by PRIFS
pathologists, 93 (30%) by death certificate review, 50 (16%) by hospital epidemiologists, 15
(5%) by PDSS, four (1%) by NNDSS, and three (1%) by chart review as part of another study.
Serum and tissue specimens were available for 148 (48%) cases, serum alone for 138 (44%)
cases, tissue alone for 16 (5%) cases, and 9 (3%) cases had no diagnostic specimens. Of the 164
cases (53%) with tissue, one case was not tested because of sample quality. Of evaluable cases,
159 (98%) had liver, 156 (96%) lung, 155 (95%) kidney, 142 (87%) spleen, 98 (60%) lymph
nodes, and 66 (41%) intestine. A nasopharyngeal swab was submitted for 27 (9%) cases.
A pathogen was identified in 120 (40%) of 302 cases with a diagnostic specimen. A pathogen
was more likely to be identified in cases with tissue specimens than in those without (69% ver-
sus 45% respectively, P <0.0001). Overall, 58 (19%) fatal cases were dengue laboratory-posi-
tive, 167 (54%) were dengue laboratory-negative, and 77 (25%) were dengue laboratory-
indeterminate. Other pathogens identified included: Leptospira spp. in 34 (11%) cases (32 con-
firmed, two probable); Staphylococcus spp. in nine (3%) cases; Streptococcus spp. in nine (3%)
cases; influenza A virus in three (1%) cases; and one case each with Neisseria meningitidis, Bur-
kholderia pseudomallei, Proteus spp., Clostridium perfringens, Cryptococcus neoformans, Klebsi-
ella pneumoniae, and an unidentified Gram-positive coccus.
Table 2. Diagnostic laboratory results for fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases detected by the Enhanced Fatal Acute Febrile Illness Surveil-
lance System, Puerto Rico 20102012.
Diagnostic Result 20102012 2010 (N = 39) 2011 (N = 6) 2012 (N = 13)
(N = 58)
No. (%) No. (%) No. (%) No. (%)
Tissue RT-PCR and IHC positive, and serum RT-PCR positive with or without IgM positive 13 22.4 11 28.2 0 0.0 2 15.4
Tissue RT-PCR positive with or without IHC positive only 10 17.2 8* 20.5 0 0.0 2 15.4
Tissue IHC positive and serum RT-PCR and IgM positive 1 1.7 0 0.0 0 0.0 1 7.7
Serum RT-PCR positive with or without IgM positive only 29 50.0 18 46.2 6 100 5 38.5
Seroconversion by IgM 1 1.7 1 2.6 0 0.0 0 0.0
Serum IgM positive only 4 6.9 1 2.6 0 0.0 3 23.1
* Three were dual infections; two had DENV and Leptospira spp. bacteria identified and one had DENV and Streptococcus pneumonia identified in tissue.
One dual infection with DENV and Leptospira spp. bacteria identified.
One dual infection with DENV and Leptospira spp. bacteria identified.
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.t002
dengue case-patients reported to PDSS (median 46 vs. 18 years, P < 0.001) and a higher pro-
portion of fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients were adults (90% vs. 49%, respectively,
P < 0.001).
The majority of fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients were female (Table 3), and
were significantly more likely to be female than laboratory-positive dengue cases reported to
Fig 1. Number of laboratory-positive dengue cases reported to the Passive Dengue Surveillance System and fatal
laboratory-positive dengue cases detected by the Enhanced Fatal AFI Surveillance System by month of illness
onset, Puerto Rico 20102012.
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.g001
Table 3. Characteristics of all fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients detected by the Enhanced Fatal AFI Surveillance System, Puerto
Rico, 20102012.
Lab-positive dengue cases Children and adolescents Adults 20 years old
(n = 58) (n = 6) Dengue only DENV co-infections
(n = 47) (n = 5)
Demographics, no. (%)
Female 34 (59) 5 (83) 29 (62) 0 (0)
Born in Puerto Rico 53 (91) 5 (83) 44 (94) 4 (80)
Medical history, no. (%)
Obese 27 (47) 1 (17) 22 (47) 4 (80)
No chronic disease 10 (17) 3 (50) 7 (15) 0 (0)
One chronic disease 13 (22) 2 (33) 10 (21) 1 (20)
More than one chronic 35 (60) 1 (17) 30 (64) 4 (80)
disease
Diabetes 23 (40) 0 (0) 21 (45) 2 (40)
Asthma 13 (22) 2 (33) 10 (21) 1 (20)
Cardiovascular disease 9 (16) 0 (0) 8 (17) 1 (20)
Psychiatric disease 8 (14) 0 (0) 7 (15) 1 (20)
Thyroid disease 8 (14) 0 (0) 8 (17) 0 (0)
Rheumatologic condition 8 (14) 0 (0) 7 (15) 1 (20)
Neurologic disease 6 (10) 0 (0) 6 (13) 0 (0)
Gastrointestinal disease 5 (9) 1(17) 4 (9) 0 (0)
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.t003
PDSS during the same period (59% vs. 45%, P <0.05). In 2010, rates of fatal laboratory-positive
dengue were 1.3 times higher among females than males; 1.19 and 0.90 cases per 100,000 popu-
lation, respectively (female-to-male IRR = 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.702.50,
P = 0.20). Slightly less than half (27, 47%) of fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients
were obese, similar to that reported in Puerto Rico [47]. Most fatal laboratory-positive dengue
case-patients had more than one pre-existing medical condition (35, 60%). The most common
included: diabetes mellitus (23, 40%), asthma (13, 22%), cardiovascular disease (9, 16%), thy-
roid disease (8, 14%), psychiatric disease (8, 14%), and rheumatologic conditions (8, 14%).
Fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients were residents of 35 of the 78 Puerto Rico
municipalities, and most (53, 91%) were born in Puerto Rico (Table 3). Fatal laboratory-posi-
tive dengue rates were highest in 2010 in Maunabo (0.82 per 10,000 residents), Maricao in
2011 (1.59), and Adjuntas in 2012 (0.51). In all years, there was a positive correlation between
the number of PDSS laboratory-positive dengue cases and the number of fatal laboratory-posi-
tive dengue cases in a municipality (R = 0.56, 0.59, 0.62, and 0.73 in 2010, 2011, 2012, and over-
all, respectively) (Fig 2). The number of fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases detected was no
more than expected based on municipality-specific, laboratory-positive dengue incidence rates.
However, there were fewer than expected fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases detected in 11
of 78 municipalities in individual years. Only Quebradillas and Patillas had fewer than expected
fatalities in all years.
Fig 2. Incidence of laboratory-positive dengue, and observed and expected number of fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases by
municipality of residence and year, Puerto Rico, 20102012. Left panels: Incidence per 100,000 population of non-fatal, laboratory-
positive dengue cases reported to the Passive Dengue Surveillance System, and number of fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases identified
by the Enhanced Fatal AFI Surveillance System. Right panels: the standard deviation (SD) of the standard residuals are displayed.
Differences >2 SD denotes significantly fewer than expected fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases, while 2 SD denotes significantly more
than expected fatal laboratory-positive dengue cases.
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.g002
Table 4. Clinical features and outcomes for fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients detected by the Enhanced Fatal AFI Surveillance Sys-
tem, Puerto Rico, 20102012.
First outpatient healthcare visit* At time of death in the hospital
N = 49 N = 55
Days post onset, median (range) 3.5 (08.5) 4.5 (0.513.0)
No. prior visits, median (range) NA 2 (15)
Clinical diagnosis, no. (%)
Dengue 25 (51.0) 34 (61.8)
Viral syndrome 7 (14.3) 2 (3.6)
Gastroenteritis 6 (12.2) 3 (5.5)
Urinary tract infection 3 (6.1) 1 (1.8)
Leptospirosis 2 (4.1) 4 (7.3)
Multi-organ failure 2 (4.1) 4 (7.3)
Pancytopenia 1 (2.0) 3 (5.5)
Dengue and leptospirosis 1 (2.0) 1 (1.8)
Respiratory tract infection 1 (2.0) 0 ---
Dehydration 1 (2.0) 0 ---
Meningitis with shock 0 --- 2 (3.6)
Myocarditis 0 --- 1 (1.8)
Signs and symptoms, no. (%)
Fever measured at facility 28 (57.1) 32 (58.2)
Headache 21 (42.9) 27 (49.1)
Eye pain 6 (12.2) 10 (18.2)
Muscle pain 31 (63.3) 33 (60.0)
Joint pain 14 (28.6) 23 (41.8)
Bone pain 9 (18.4) 15 (27.3)
Rash 9 (18.4) 19 (34.6)
Any bleeding manifestation 14 (28.6) 47 (85.5)
Vomiting 21 (42.9) 34 (61.8)
Abdominal pain 15 (30.6) 31 (56.4)
Diarrhea 12 (24.5) 26 (47.3)
Cough 7 (14.3) 21 (38.2)
Sore throat 6 (12.2) 6 (10.9)
Clinical laboratory findings
White blood cells (109/L), median (range) 4.6 (0.9419.1) 4.9 (0.9418.6)
Leukopenia, no. (%) 25 (51.0) 29 (52.7)
Platelet count (109/L), median (range) 79 (8367) 55 (7269)
Thrombocytopenia, no. (%) 29 (59.2) 46 (83.6)
Hemoconcentrated, no. (%) 11 (22.5) 8 (14.6)
Aspartate aminotransferases (U/L), median (range) 212 (295,733) 284 (2215,481)
Alanine aminotransferases (U/L), median (range) 187 (2322,046) 176 (2322,046)
Aminotransferases 1000 U/L, no. (%) 9 (18.4) 18 (32.7)
Serum sodium 125 mEq/L, no. (%) 2 (4.1) 8 (14.6)
Clinical syndrome, no. (%)
Dengue fever 35 (71.4) 47 (85.5)
Dengue hemorrhagic fever 9 (18.4) 27 (49.1)
Dengue shock syndrome 5 (10.2) 19 (34.6)
Had warning sign(s) 33 (67.3) 53 (96.4)
Severe dengue 17 (34.7) 45 (81.8)
(Continued)
Table 4. (Continued)
*First healthcare visit may have been at a private clinic or a hospital emergency department. Data does not include that collected after admission to the
hospital or transfer to another hospital.
Case-patients could have had more than one diagnosis listed as a discharge, admission or transfer diagnosis.
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.t004
49 (84%) cases with a medical record for review, at the first visit, most (71%) had dengue fever,
while some had severe dengue (35%) or DHF (18%) (Table 4); the majority (67%) had warning
signs for severe dengue, the most common being persistent vomiting (21 of 33, 64%), abdomi-
nal pain (15, 45%), and mucosal bleeding (14, 42%). The leading diagnoses during the first visit
were dengue, viral syndrome, gastroenteritis, and urinary tract infection. At the first visit, 17
(35%) were admitted to the hospital, 7 (14%) were transferred to another hospital, 7 (14%)
died in the ED, and 18 (37%) were discharged home. Of those transferred to another hospital,
six (86%) were admitted and died in the ICU, and one died in the ED.
Among the 18 case-patients discharged home after their first visit, seven (39%) had at least
one recorded warning sign, including compensated shock or hemorrhagic manifestations.
Median age was 36.6 years (range 0.674.9), 14 (78%) were female, and 16 (89%) had at least one
chronic medical condition. Two died at home after being discharged; diagnoses of dengue and
moderate dehydration, and acute gastroenteritis. The remaining 16 returned to a hospital on
average 2 days (range 0.03.5 days) after discharge. Nine (56%) died during their second visit,
four (25%) were transferred to another facility, and three (19%) were again discharged home.
Overall, the median interval between illness onset and death was 7.1 days (range: 1.228.4
days); in six (10%) cases the interval exceeded 14 days. Most (43, 74%) case-patients died as an
inpatient in a hospital; however, 12 (21%) died in the Emergency Department prior to hospital
admission, and three (5%) died at home: one after a 2-day hospitalization, and two after being
seen in an ED (Table 4). Of the 43 case-patients who died after being admitted, 33 (57%) died
in the intensive care unit, and 10 (17%) died in an inpatient ward. The median interval from
hospital admission to death was 1.9 days (range: 0.128.8 days).
Only 25 of 58 (43%) fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients had dengue, DHF, DSS, or
dengue-like syndrome listed as primary (17 cases) or contributing (8 cases) cause of death on
their death certificate. The five most common primary causes of death included dengue (29%),
viral syndrome (16%), cardiorespiratory failure (12%), sepsis (9%), and thrombocytopenia (5%).
Discussion
Enhanced surveillance for dengue deaths showed the majority were not reported to the stan-
dard dengue surveillance system and most did not have dengue coded on the death certifi-
cate. Identification of these unrecognized deaths resulted in a 2 to 3-fold higher dengue
mortality rate than previously reported [14, 17, 20, 21, 48, 49]. EFASS demonstrated the impor-
tance of appropriate diagnostic testing of tissue and serum to make the correct diagnosis in
deaths from a dengue-like acute febrile illness. In addition, EFASS showed its ability to identify
unrecognized deaths from other pathogens of public health importance.
The EFASS estimated age-specific annual dengue mortality rates were comparable to those
from other infectious diseases in the US, including influenza [50, 51]. However, in contrast to
influenza, most dengue deaths occurred among adults 1964 years of age. The estimated aver-
age annual influenza-associated US death rate is 2.4 per 100,000 residents (range: 0.45.1). In
most years, 88% of these deaths are among persons aged 65 years [51, 52]; 17.0 deaths per
100,000 (range: 2.436.7). Influenza death rates among persons <19 years and 1964 years are
0.1 (range: 0.10.3) and 0.4 (range: 0.10.8) per 100,000, respectively. In comparison, EFASS
estimated that dengue mortality in 2010 was 0.42, 1.17, and 1.66 per 100,000 persons aged <19
years, 1964 years and 65 years, respectively.
Most fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients appeared to have timely access to
healthcare. However, many (~40%) were sent home after their first ED visit with warning signs
of severe dengue. Although the majority sought care again within 48 hours, two died at home.
Most case-patients who died in a hospital had severe plasma leakage, severe bleeding, or both,
and most received inotropes and half received a platelet transfusion. Although bleeding was
present in the majority who received platelets, half of those with severe bleeding did not receive
red blood cells. A large proportion of case-patients received corticosteroids, which are not con-
sidered of benefit in dengue [2, 53]. As reported by others, we found an increased risk of hospi-
tal-acquired infections in these patients [54, 55].
Table 5. Demographic characteristics, medical history and clinical outcomes for fatal laboratory-positive dengue case-patients detected by the
Enhanced Fatal AFI Surveillance System who died in a hospital, Puerto Rico, 20102012.
Adults 20 years old
All cases (n = 55) Children and adolescents Dengue only Co-infections* (n = 5)
(n = 6) (n = 44)
Female, no. (%) 32 (58.2) 5 (83.3) 27 (61.4) 0 (0.0)
Obese, no. (%) 24 (43.6) 1 (16.7) 19 (43.2) 4 (80.0)
No chronic disease, no. (%) 10 (18.2) 3 (50.0) 7 (15.9) 0 (0.0)
One chronic disease, no. (%) 12 (21.8) 2 (33.3) 9 (20.5) 1 (20.0)
More than one chronic disease, no. (%) 33 (60.0) 1 (16.7) 28 (63.6) 4 (80.0)
Clinical outcomes
Days post-illness onset at admission, median 4.5 (0.513.0) 4.6 (0.58.9) 4.5 (0.513.0) 4.7 (3.67.2)
(range)
Length of hospital stay, median (range) 2.7 (1.129.2) 8.6 (8.68.6) 2.7 (1.129.2) 2.3 (2.32.3)
Admitted to ICU, no. (%) 37 (67.3) 4 (66.7) 29 (65.9) 4 (80.0)
ICU length of stay, median (range) 1.1 (0.125.8) 2.5 (0.44.9) 1.1 (0.125.8) 1.1 (0.75.2)
Clinical laboratory findings
Leukopenia, no. (%) 29 (52.7) 3 (50.0) 24 (54.6) 2 (40.0)
Thrombocytopenia, no. (%) 46 (83.6) 4 (66.7) 37 (84.1) 5 (100.0)
Hematocrit increase by 20%, no. (%) 7 (12.7) 0 (0.0) 7 (15.9) 0 (0.0)
Hemoconcentration by age, no. (%) 1 (1.8) 0 (0.0) 1 (2.3) 0 (0.0)
Days post onset of max HCT, median (range) 4 (013) 4 (09) 4 (113) 4 (37)
Effusion, no. (%)
Any effusion 34 (61.8) 6 (100.0) 26 (59.1) 2 (40.0)
Pleural effusion 24 (43.6) 4 (66.7) 19 (43.2) 1 (20.0)
Ascites 14 (25.5) 4 (66.7) 10 (22.7) 0 (0.0)
Pericardial effusion 9 (16.4) 1 (16.7) 7 (15.9) 1 (20.0)
Effusion with respiratory failure or ARDS 21 (38.2) 4 (66.7) 16 (36.4) 1 (20.0)
Bleeding Manifestation, no. (%)
Any bleeding** 47 (85.5) 6 (100.0) 38 (86.4) 3 (60.0)
Severe bleed 25 (45.5) 4 (66.7) 18 (40.9) 3 (60.0)
Other Clinical Features, no. (%)
Acute hepatitis 42 (76.4) 5 (83.3) 32 (72.7) 5 (100.0)
Acute liver failure 5 (9.1) 2 (33.3) 3 (6.8) 0 (0.0)
Cholecystitis 5 (9.1) 1 (16.7) 3 (6.8) 1 (20.0)
Myocarditis 2 (3.6) 0 (0.0) 2 (4.6) 0 (0.0)
Acute renal failure 10 (18.2) 1(16.7) 7 (15.9) 2 (40.0)
Medical complications, no. (%)
Prolonged shock 29 (52.7) 2 (33.3) 23 (52.3) 4 (80.0)
Metabolic acidosis 36 (65.5) 5 (83.3) 27 (61.4) 4 (80.0)
Fluid overload 17 (30.9) 4 (66.7) 11 (25.0) 2 (40.0)
Abdominal compartment syndrome 2 (3.6) 2 (33.3) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Acute respiratory failure 30 (54.6) 5 (83.3) 21 (47.7) 4 (80.0)
Acute respiratory distress syndrome 11 (20.0) 4 (66.7) 5 (11.4) 2 (40.0)
Coma 10 (18.2) 2 (33.3) 8 (18.2) 0 (0.0)
Seizure 8 (14.6) 1 (16.7) 7 (15.9) 0 (0.0
Hospital acquired infection 16 (29.1) 2 (33.3) 11 (25.0) 3 (60.0)
Disseminated intravascular coagulation 5 (9.1) 2 (33.3) 3 (6.8) 0 (0.0)
Treatment given, no. (%)
Intravenous colloid 16 (29.1) 3 (50.0) 11 (25.0) 2 (40.0)
(Continued)
Table 5. (Continued)
* Co-infections include: Four DENV/Leptospira spp. bacteria, and one DENV/Streptococcus pneumonia.
Most (44, 80%) of the 55 case-patients who died in hospital had a chest x-ray and/or an ultrasound done. Several case-patients (30, 55%) had at least one
other imaging study done including an echocardiogram (17 done) and/or a computed tomography (CT) scan (2 abdominal and 23 brain CT scans done).
** Any bleeding was defined by the presence of any of the following: petechiae, purpura, ecchymosis, epistaxis, gingival bleeding, hematuria, menorrhagia,
hemoptysis, hematemesis, melena, or an intracranial bleed.
doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005025.t005
Dengue deaths often occur among patients with comorbidities [14, 19]. Nearly half of case-
patients were obese and over half had more than one chronic medical condition; prevalences
similar to those found in the Puerto Rican adult population [47, 56], with the exception of dia-
betes and asthma. The prevalence of diabetes in case-patients was nearly four times that of the
adult population, and asthma was twice as prevalent. Adult diabetics have been over-repre-
sented in other fatal case series [19, 57], and a recent meta-analysis found diabetes was associ-
ated with increased risk of severe dengue [58]. As many endemic areas have reported a
substantial proportion of dengue cases in adults, healthcare providers should be attentive to
dengue patients with these comorbidities [2].
Some patients developed acute liver or renal failure or had atypical presentations [19, 57, 59,
60]. Acute renal failure (ARF) affected ~20% of case-patients though none had pre-existing
renal disease and 80% were non-elderly (median age 49 years). However, dengue patients with
severe dengue, diabetes or secondary infections are known to be at risk for developing acute
kidney injury [61]. Six of the ten ARF cases had at least one risk factor and two were co-
infected with Leptospira spp. One of the four ARF case-patients without risk factors was an
infant with abdominal compartment syndrome and multiple organ dysfunction.
While more sensitive than PDSS, EFASS may not have detected all fatal laboratory-positive
dengue cases. For example, a few rural municipalities had fewer deaths than expected. In the
case of Patillas, this may have been due to higher dengue case-reporting to PDSS because of an
enhanced dengue surveillance project conducted prior to EFASS [62]. Alternatively, individu-
als in rural municipalities who died at home and were not known to have an AFI would not
have been identified. These factors may have led to lower case ascertainment and estimated
dengue mortality. Although we increased the proportion of suspect cases with an etiologic
diagnosis by obtaining tissue and convalescent serum specimens, about one quarter of cases
were dengue laboratory-indeterminate, and were not counted as fatal laboratory-positive den-
gue cases even if dengue was listed on their death certificate. Hence, our final dengue mortality
estimate should be considered conservative.
EFASS demonstrated the feasibility and importance of enhanced surveillance for dengue
deaths, and found a previously unrecognized high dengue mortality in Puerto Rico that was
higher than rates observed in other dengue endemic regions during this time period [914].
Supporting Information
S1 Appendix. ICD-9 codes used to review death certificates and medical records to identify
individuals that died following a dengue-like acute febrile illness.
(PDF)
S2 Appendix. Surgical Pathology and Autopsy Report (SPAR) Form used by forensic
pathologists to document autopsy findings from individuals that died following a dengue-
like acute febrile illness.
(PDF)
S1 Checklist. STROBE Checklist.
(DOCX)
Acknowledgments
We thank the staff members at the Demographic Registry of Puerto Rico for facilitating the
review of death certificates including Zulma L. Escalera, Ivonne Vasallo, Wanda Llovet, Alejita
Santos, and Nancy Vega. In addition, we would like to acknowledge the medical management
information offices from hospitals in Puerto Rico for working with us to access medical records
from the deceased case-patients. Last, we would like to acknowledge the support of Dr. Mara
Conte, CEO of the PRIFS during the planning phases of our project, Daniel Lpez, Manager at
PRIFS, and all the pathologists at PRIFS and Centro Mdico. Without their interest in and sup-
port of this project, EFASS would never have been possible.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ IR DS DMB RG JT RR JS CC FD GC CD ER.
Data curation: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ IR DS DMB RG JT RR JS CC FD GC SRZ LW CD
ER.
Formal analysis: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ TMS JPP EME LW HSM.
Funding acquisition: KMT HSM.
Investigation: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ IR DS DMB RG JT RR JS CC FD CD ER TMS JPP
EME GC LW SRZ.
Methodology: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ IR DS DMB RG JT RR JS CC FD LW SRZ GC CD
ER.
Project administration: KMT EAH JLMJ GC SRZ CD ER HSM.
Resources: KMT AR BTV EAH JLMJ TMS IR DS DMB RG JT RR JS CC FD JPP EME GC
SRZ LW CD ER HSM.
Software: KMT AR BTV LW.
Supervision: KMT GC EAH JLMJ SRZ CD ER HSM.
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