Macroeconomics Mcconnell Chapter 1-13b 20th Updated
Macroeconomics Mcconnell Chapter 1-13b 20th Updated
Macroeconomics Mcconnell Chapter 1-13b 20th Updated
Edition
Economic Perspective
Purposeful Behavior:
A Rational Self Interest. Individuals pursue opportunities to increase
their Utility Pleasure or Happiness from CONSUMING a
Product or Service.
A Personal decision and sacrifice must be made to achieve this Utility. It
may include a decision to pay a childs college education.
Theories of Behavior
1. Develop on individuals (Consumers or Workers)
2. Institutions (Businesses or Government)
3. These individuals and institutions are engaged in production,
consumption or exchange of goods and services.
4. Economic Principles based upon Generalizations relating to economic
behavior expressed in tendencies of an AVERAGE Consumer Worker,
Business institution.
Economic Perspective:
Goods and Services provide utility and are necessities. Those which are
not necessary are Luxuries, e.g. jewelry, boats, and vacations.
Goods are products produced to satisfy our needs or utilities.
Services are actions for which we pay income. The services provide us
with the ability to produce goods or other services. Examples: Education,
Health Care, Mass Transit.
Utilities satisfy consumer needs from the purchase of demands for goods
and services.
GROWING ECONOMY:
RESOURCES CHANGE OVER TIME BY THE FOLLOWING Factors:
o Growing Population ( converts labor to entrepreneurial skills)
Improved education and skills improve quality.
o Some Natural Resources (oil) is depleted and new forms e.g. natural
gas, solar wind are utilized.
o The Economy will achieve growth in the form of expanded potential
output . This growth results from the increase in resources e.g. U.S.
being self sufficient in natural resources drives down the cost of
Production and increases the Margin Benefits over Margin Cost.
Advances in Technology
o New an better goods and improved ways of production are he result
of technology.
o Advances in biotechnology resulted in important agricultural and
biomedical discoveries.
International Trade
SUMMARY;
improve actions.
Specialization saves time avoids the loss of
time incurred in shifting from one job to
another.
GEOGRAPHIC SPECIALIZATION- specialization works on a
geographic basis.
This geographic specialization is also international.
USE OF MONEY :
Ex. Vinyl records were replace by CDS and IPods replaced CDs
and over time Ipods will be replaced by new technology.
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION:
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1. LAW OF DEMAND All things equal- as prices fall the quantity demanded rises
and as prices rise, the quantity demanded falls.
There is a Negative or Inverse Relationship between price and quantity
demanded.
The Law of Demand is consistent with common sense. People ordinarily
do buy more of a product at a low price than at a high price. Price is an
obstacle that deters consumers from buying. The fact stores have Sales to
clear out inventory is evidence of their belief in the law of demand.
Each buyer will derive less benefit or utility or satisfaction from each
successive unit of the product consumed. TWO FOR ONE ICE CREAM.
Consumption is subject to Diminishing Marginal Utility.
The Income Effect indicates that a lower price increases the purchasing
power of a buyers money income, enabling the buyer to purchase more
of the product than before.
The Substitution Effect suggests that at a lower price buyers have the
incentive to substitute what is now a less expensive product for other
products that are more expensive. Example, Price of chicken declines
permits more chicken to be purchases and substitute for pork etc.
3. MARKET DEMAND to create a market must have more than one consumer.
Assumption that all the consumers are willing and able to purchase the goods.
To determine the Market merely multiply the number of consumers and the
amount they are willing to purchase to determine the Market.
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5) consumer expectations.
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CHANGES IN SUPPLY
o Resource Prices: the prices of the resources used in the production process determine the
costs of production incurred by firms. Higher resource prices raise production cost and
assuming a particular product price squeeze profits. Example: increase in the price of crushed
rock for cement may increase production cost and reduce supply.
o The decrease in price of iron ore results in the decrease in price of steel.
o Technology improvements enable firms to produce units of output with fewer resources. An
example: flat screen monitors use less resources.
o Taxes and Subsidies Businesses treat taxes as cost, increase in taxes results in increase in
production cost. In contrast, Subsidies are taxes in reverse lower production cost.
Example: NY Tax Free Zones.
o Prices of Other Goods- Use plant and equipment to produce alternative goods, e.g.
basketballs and volleyballs. This increases revenue and reduces production cost for new plant.
o Production Expectations: Changes in expectations about the future price of a product may
product may affect the producers current willingness to provide the product. Example;
Farmers withholding part of a crop.
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o Number of Sellers: the larger the number of suppliers the greater the market supply. As
more firms enter an industry, the supply curve shifts to the right.
o Change in Quantity Supplies is a movement from one point to another on a fixed supply curve.
The cause of a movement is a change in the price of the specific product being considered.
(Figure 3.5 p. 55) Example of Change in Quantity Supplied.
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM PRICE AND QUANTITY
The Equilibrium Price- or market clearing price is the price where he intentions of buyers and
sellers match. The Price where Quantity demanded equals Quantity Supplied. ( Figure 3.6)
A Surplus is excess production which drives prices down.
A Shortage is an excess in demand at a set price. The Shortage is changed to Market
Equilibrium by raising the price.
Rationing Function of Prices is the ability of a competitive forces of supply and demand to
o
o
o
o
establish a price at which selling and buying decisions are consistent is Rationing Function of
Prices.
o Productive Efficiency- is the production of any particular good in the least costly way.
Example: Resources of $100 able to provide production at $3 society has $97 to invest in other
products. Higher the cost of production less to invest in other products.
CHANGESIN SUPPLY,DEMAND AND EQUILIBRIUM
o Changes in Demand- An increase in Demand Raises Both Equilibrium price and quantity. A
decrease in Demand decreases both the equilibrium price and quantity.
o Changes in Supply- Demand is constant but supply increases ( ex. Flash drives). The result the
new intersection of supply and demand is located at lower price and higher quantity.
o Complex Cases- Both Supply and Demand Change, the effect is a combination of the individual
effects.
Supply Increase; Demand Decrease (ex. apples) Both changes decrease price so he
net result is a price drop greater than that resulting from either change alone.
Supply Decrease, Demand Increase ( ex. Gasoline) Increase in Equilibrium price
while a demand increase boost it. If the Increase in Supply greater than the increase
in demand the equilibrium price will fall. Opposite it will increase.
Supply Increase, Demand Increase Both increase for some goods ( ex. Cell phones) a
supply increases drops equilibrium price, while a demand increase boosts it.
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Supply Decrease; Demand Decrease Decreases in both for some goods ( ex. New
homes) if the decrease in supply is greater than the decrease in demand the price
will increase.
APPLICATION: GOVERNMENT-SET PRICES
o Government sometimes concludes that supply and demand will produce prices that are
unfairly high for buyers or unfairly low for sellers. The govt. places legal limits on how high
or low prices may change.
o Price Ceiling sets the maximum legal price a seller may charge for a
product or service. (ex. Rent controls, usury laws)
o Graphical Analysis Demand for automobiles increased results in
demand for gasoline. This results in the increase in equilibrium price
for gallon of gas. The rapidly rising price of gas burdens the low and
moderate income households which pressure govt. to take action.
o The ceiling price is below the Equilibrium Price below the
Equilibrium creates a shortage. Competition among buyers bids up
price, inducing more production and rationing some buyers out of the
market.
Rationing Problem The Available supply less than the demand
results in the govt. setting regulation on distribution of
demand, e.g. Coupon rationing.
Black Markets many buyers willing to pay over the ceiling
price illegally.
Rent controls or Stabilization shows how the govt. attempts to
control the price and quantity of housing units.
Resources will be invested in other real estate, e.g.
shopping centers.
o Price floors of Wheat A minimum price fixed by the govt. when
society feels that the free functioning of the market system has not
provided a sufficient income for certain groups of resource suppliers
or producers.
o
Market Failures- the presence of competition involving many buyers and many sellers may not
by itself be enough to guarantee that a market will allocate resources correctly.
o Demand Side Failures occur when demand curves do NOT reflect consumers full
willingness to pay for a good or service.
o Supply-side Failures occur when supply curves do not reflect the full cost of producing a
good or service.
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DEMAND Side Market Failures- arise because it is impossible in certain cases to charge
consumers what they are willing to pay for a product. E.G. Outdoor fireworks display no way to
exclude the public from seeing the display. Therefore, private firms unwilling to produce outdoor
fireworks displays unless it has a business reason, Macys Fourth of July Fireworks Display.
SUPPLY SIDE Market Failures-A firm does not have to pay the full cost of production its output.
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PUBLIC GOODS: Demand side market failures arise in competitive markets when demand
curves fail to reflect consumers full willingness to pay for a good or service. Market fails to
produce all of the units for which there are net benefits because demand curves underreport how
much consumers are willing and able to pay. Markets may fail to produce any of the public good,
because its demand curve may reflect none of its consumers willingness to pay.
PRIVATE GOODS CHARACTERISTICS: Produced in the market system and offered in retailers
to consumers.
o Rivalry One person buys and consumes a product, it is not available for another to buy
and consume.
o Excludability- sellers can keep people who do not pay for a product from obtaining its
benefits.
PUBLIC GOODS CHARACTERISTICS
o Non rivalry- CONSUMPTION OF A GOOD DOES NOT PRECLUDE CONSUMPTION
BY ANOTHER E.G. National Defense.
o Non-excludability- once it is in place no way to exclude anyone from its benefit e.g.
National Defense.
o These two characteristics create a Free Rider Problem. A producer provides a public good,
everyone including non-payers can benefit.
o Only a few public goods can be subsidized by closely related private goods since it would be
unprofitable. The two remaining ways for a particular public good to be produced are by
private philanthropy or government provision.
o Once a govt. decides to produce a particular public good, how can it determine the optimal
amount that it should produce. It can estimate the demand for a public good through
surveys or votes. It then compares the MB of added units of goods against the MC.
COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS:
o All resources are limited, therefore, the more resources used in govt. sector means less for
the private sector.
o There will be an Opportunity cost as well as benefit. The cost is the loss of satisfaction
resulting from the accompanying decline in the production of private goods the benefit is
the extra satisfaction resulting from the output of more public goods.
o An Example of Cost Benefit Govt. Project is the Highways. ( p 103) Table 5.4
o MARGINAL COST MARGINAL BENEFIT RULE identifies the plan tat provides society
with the maximum net benefit. If the Marginal Cost exceeds the Benefit it should not be
undertaken.
Quasi-Public Goods: Goods and services which could be priced and provided by private firms
through the market system. But the benefits of these goods flow well beyond the benefit to
individual buyers these goods would be under produced by the market system, e.g. education.
EXTERNALITIES: occur when some of the cost of the benefit of a good or service are passed
onto or spill over to someone other than the immediate buyer or seller. They are both positive
and negative externalities. Negative, cost of breathing polluted air, positive is benefit of having
everyone inoculated to prevent disease.
o Negative cause Supply Side Market Failures because producers do not account for the
cost that their negative externalities imposed on others. This failure to account for all
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production costs causes firms supply curves to shift to the right or below where they would
be if firms properly accounted for all costs.
o Positive cause Demand Side Market Failures. Market Demand curves in such cases fail to
include the willingness to pay the third parties who receive he external benefits cased by
the positive externality.
GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION:
o Government can use direct controls and taxes to counter negative externalities; it may
provide subsidies or public goods to deal with positive externalities.
o DIRECT CONTROLS- the direct way is to pass legislation prohibiting that activity e.g.
auto emission standards.
o SPECIFIC TAXES the Government levies taxes or fees for specifically related goods, e.g.
gasoline or luxury tax.
SUBSIDIES And GOVERNMENT PROVISION:
o Subsidies to Buyers correct the under allocation of a resource directly to the buyer e.g.
energy credits to reduce the oil consumption.
o Subsidies to Producers It is a tax reverse where government gives the producer a tax credit
to produce a good or service, e.g. low income housing.
o Government Provision- Positive externalities are extremely large, the government may
decide to provide the product for free to all.
EQUILIBRIUM QUANTITY the optimal reduction of an externality occurs when societys
marginal cost and benefit of reducing that externality are equal. WHEN the MB exceeds MC the
additional abatement moves society toward economic efficiency. The added benefit of cleaner air
or water exceeds the benefit of any alternative use.
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o Government can use direct controls and taxes to counter negative externalities; it may
provide subsidies or public goods to deal with positive externalities.
o DIRECT CONTROLS- the direct way is to pass legislation prohibiting that activity e.g.
auto emission standards.
o SPECIFIC TAXES the Government levies taxes or fees for specifically related goods, e.g.
gasoline or luxury tax.
SUBSIDIES And GOVERNMENT PROVISION:
o Subsidies to Buyers correct the under allocation of a resource directly to the buyer e.g.
energy credits to reduce the oil consumption.
o Subsidies to Producers It is a tax reverse where government gives the producer a tax credit
to produce a good or service, e.g. low income housing.
o Government Provision- Positive externalities are extremely large, the government may
decide to provide the product for free to all.
EQUILIBRIUM QUANTITY the optimal reduction of an externality occurs when societys
marginal cost and benefit of reducing that externality are equal. WHEN the MB exceeds MC the
additional abatement moves society toward economic efficiency. The added benefit of cleaner air
or water exceeds the benefit of any alternative use.
AN INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS
CHAPTER 6
Macroeconomics studies two topics:
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Long Run Economic Growth- economy shows that in long run higher
output and higher standard of living .
Short run fluctuations are considered variability.
Recession- output and living standards actually decline.
These are referred to as the Business Cycle.
o SHOCKS:
Demand are expected changes in the
demand for goods and services.
o Positive Demand- refers to a
situation in which demand turns out
to be higher than expected.
o Negative Demand- demand turns
out to be lower than expected.
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Inventory:
o Manufacturing firms
o
o
o
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Gross
Depreciation
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CORPORATE PROFITS:
o Corporate Income Taxes taxes levied on corporations
that flow to the government ( federal and state).
o Dividends- part of after tax profits that corporations
choose to pay out or distribute to their stockholders.
o Undistributed Corporate Profits- Retained Earnings.
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Price Index
o Table 7.7 p 143)
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70
Annual % Rate of Growth
o Characterized by sustained and ongoing increases in living standards that can cause
dramatic increases with the standard of living.
o Modern economist set 1776 as the start of the Industrial Revolution- when the Scottish
inventor James Watt discovered and defined he steam engine.
It resulted in:
Mass produced goods.
Increase in long distance trading.
Population shift from country to city.
Culturally the vast increases in wealth and living standards have allowed
ordinary people for the first time in history to have significant time for
leisure activities and the arts.
Socially- eliminated rules and regulations imposed upon class of people.
Politically- tendered to move toward democracy.
In the mid 1800s Central and South America began to experience modern
economic growth.
In 1820 per capita incomes in all areas were quite similar with the richest
o Per capita of $1232 and the lowest for African countries of $418. The
difference show just how the richest countries grew three times the
income in the poorest.
The adoption of technology by richer countries results in more quickly than
they can invent it. Inventing and implementing new technology is slow and
costly, real GDP per capita in the richest leader countries grows by an
average annual rate of just 2 or 3 percent per year.
Poorer Follower Countries grow much faster since all they need to do is
adopt existing technologies from rich leader countries. Example: Africa
skipped over landline telephones and based upon technology use cell phones.
LABOR- U.S. GDP is 44 % higher than French GDP
o US citizens put in more labor time.
o Larger fraction of population is employed than other rich leader
countries.
o Total working hours exceed France by 20%
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The inability of one of the Supply Factors to reach its level of participation
reduces the Production, e.g. Labor not being used to its efficiency.
Example: Nation has ten (10) workers, each woks 2000 hours per year or 50
weeks at 40 hours. Total hours worked is 20,000 hours.
o If Average Productivity is $10 per hour then the Real GDP is
$200,000 or 20000x10. If the hours worked increased to 20,200 and the
Labor Productivity increased to $10.40 per hour.GDP INCREASES
TO $210,800 or 5 %.
Hours of Work Depends on the following:
o Average hourly workweek.
o The size of the Labor-Force Size size of the working age population
and
o The labor force participation Rate dictates the number in the Labor
Force.
LABOR EFFICIENCY:
o Determined by Technological progress, the quantity of capital goods
available to workers, quality of the labor itself (skills and education) and
the efficiency with which inputs are allocated, combined and managed.
Productivity rises when the health, training, education and
motivation of workers improve.
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ii. Recovery- usually follow and there is Expansion, a period in which real GDP,
income and employment RISE.
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Labor force- slightly more than 50% of the total population- people who are
able and willing to work, actively seeking work, whether employed or
unemployed.
Unemployment Rate = Unemployed x 100
Labor Force
Part Time Workers are listed as Fully Employed by the BLS, most by choice
others unable to find suitable full time work.
Discouraged Workers- workers who were unable to find work and stopped
looking for it.
Types of Unemployment:
o Frictional Unemployment- workers voluntarily between jobs or searching for first jobs, fresh out
of school.
o Structural Unemployment- changes over time in consumer demand and in technology alter the
structure of the total demand for labor as well as geography, e.g. Upstate NY- industrial area.
Cyclical Unemployment- It is caused by a decline in total spending and typically happens in the
recession phase of the business cycle.
o Full Employment- something less than 100% of the labor force. The economy is fully employed
when it is experiencing only frictional and structural Unemployment. The Natural Rate of
Unemployment (NRU) or Full Employment the economy is said to be producing its potential
output. This is the real GDP that occurs when the economy is fully employed. It does not mean
Zero Unemployment. The Current Rate of NRU is close to 4 or 5 %.
ECONOMIC COST OFUNEMPLOYMENT:
o Unemployment means that potential production of goods and services is lost.
o GDP gap = actual GDP potential GDP
o OKUNs LAW FOR EVERY 1 %THE ACTUAL rate exceeds the Real Rate , a negative GDP gap
of about 2% occurs. ( Example: The Unemployment Rate is 9.3% or 4.3% above the periods
natural rate of 5%. Multiply the 4.3% by 2 indicates the real Loss to potential GDP of 8.6 %.
UNEQUAL BURDENS:
o Cost is unequally spread among workers.
Occupation- workers in lower skilled jobs have higher unemployment rates than
workers in higher skilled occupations.
Age teenagers higher than adults.
Race and Ethnicity
Gender
Education
Duration
Non-economic costs- social catastrophe, loss of skills, self respect, family disintegration.
International Comparisons- U.S. unemployment rate is lower than the rates in foreign
countries.
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INFLATION:
Inflation is he rise in the general level of prices. It reduces the purchasing power of money.
Measurement of Inflation-the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports the inflation rates
each month and year. It is used to adjust Social Security and tax rates. (Figure 9.4 )
o MARKET BASKET the CPI is based on spending patterns of urban consumers in
a specific period. It changes the basket make up every two years. The base year for the CPI
is 1982-1984, the formula for CPI is
CPI= price of he most recent market basket in the particular year x 100
Price estimate of the market basket in 1982-1984
EX; the rate of inflation is equal to the % growth of CP:I from one year to
next. 2006-201.6 and 2007 207.3
Rate of Inflation= 207.3-201.6 100= 2.8%
201.6
DEMAND PULL INFLATION- increase in the price level are caused b an excess of total spending
beyond the economys capacity to produce. The excess demand bids up the prices of the limited
output producing demand-pull inflation.
COST PUSH INFLATION- the mid 1970s the price level increased even though total spending was
not excessive. These were periods when output and employment were both declining- evidence that
total spending was no excessive while the general price level was rising. This theory explains rising
prices in terms of factors that raise per unit production costs at each level of spending. It is the
average cost of a particular level of output. It is found by dividing the total cost of all resource
inputs by the amount of output produced.
o Per Unit Production Cost = total input cost
Units of output
Example: Price of increase in oil resulted in surged upward in transporting virtually every
product in the economy, in the late 70s.
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CORE INFLATION- Rapid changes in some flexible priced items within the market basket e.g.
food and energy result in month to month price volatility. Example: price of grains and livestock
move rapidly in one direction nor the other leading to sizable changes in prices of food items.
Therefore, food and energy are stripped from the CPI to provide a Core Inflation.
ANTICIPATIONS:
Unanticipated Inflation- these cause real income and wealth to be redistributed, harming
ANTICIPATED Inflation
o Set Inflation Premiums as lender or consumer ;
o Real Interest Rate-percentage increase in purchasing power that the
borrower pays the lender.
o Nominal Interest Rate- percentage increase in money that the
borrower pays the lender
o Nominal Interest Rate =Real Interest Rate + Inflation Premium
(expected Rate of Inflation)
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o Break Even Income- is the income level at which households plan to consume their entire
incomes (C=DI).
AVERAGE AND MARGINAL PROPENSITIES:
o The fraction or percentage of total income that is consumed is the average propensity to
consume (APC).
APC= Consumption
o Income
AND
APS= Saving
o Income
APC+APS =1 (100%)
Example p. 195
MPC and MPS the fact households consume a certain proportion of a particular total incomes,
does not guarantee they will consume the same proportion of any change in income the might
receive.
o MPC- Marginal Propensity to Consume- the extra or a change in MPC is the ratio of a
change in consumption to a change in the income that cause the consumption change:
MPC= Change in Consumption
Change In Income
o MPS- the fraction of any change in income saved is the marginal propensity to save.
MPS= Change in Saving
Change in Income
o MPS+MPC = 1 for any change in disposable income.
o MPC And MPS Slopes is the numerical value of the slope of the Consumption Schedule and
the Savings Schedule
Example:
MPC Change in DI is $20 billion, change in C is $ 15 billion or 15/20= .75
MPS Change in DI is $5 billion S the value of slope of MPS is 5/20= .25
MPC Slope + MPS Slope =1 = .75+.25
REVIEW:
o Both Consumption an Saving rises when DI increases both fall when DI decreases.
o The Average Propensity to Consume (APC) is the fraction of any specific level of DI that is
spent on consumer goods and the (APS) Average Propensity to Save is the fraction of any
specific level of DI saved. APC falls and APS rises as DI increases.
Investment Demand Curve: determines the Expected Rate of Returns from ALL investment
projects. Set an Expected Rate of Return for Projects
THE MPC AND THE mps DETERMINE THE CUMULATIVE RESPENDING EFFECTS OF ANY
INITIAL CHANGE IN SPENDIGN AND DERTERMINE HE SIZE OF THE MULTIPLIER.
o FORMULAS:
Multiplier=
1-MPC
MULTIPLIER =
1
MPC+MPS = 1
MPS
Example:
.2x $5 = $1 Billion
.8x $5 = $4 Billion
The Keynesian Cross Model- origins with John Maynard Keynes, 1936, is
that the amount of goods and services produced an the level of employment depend directly on the
level of aggregate expenditures(total spending). Businesses will produce only a level of output that
they think they can profitably sell. The most fundamental assumption behind the aggregate
expenditures model is that prices in the economy are fixed. It is an extreme model of the Sticky
Price Model Prices before the Great Depression had not dropped enough to continue GDP at the
pre Depression levels. Real GDP dropped 27 % from 1929 to 1933.and the unemployment rate
rose to 25 %. As households and businesses greatly reduced their spending, inventories of unsold
goods rocketed. Unable or unwilling to cut their prices, firms could not sell all the goods they had
already produced. So they greatly, reduced current production, closing more factories and
increasing unemployment and reducing consumption.
Disequilibrium- No level of GDP other than Equilibrium can be sustained. Example: firms
produced $410 billon of GDP it would yield $405 billion in consumer spending, supplement by $20
billion in planned investment, aggregate expenditures (C+ Ig) would be $425 billion. The economy
would provide an annual rate of spending more than sufficient to purchase the $410 billion of
production. Consumers would purchase goods quicker than firms could produce and unplanned
decline in business inventories of $15 billion would occur.
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GOVERNMENT TAXATION:
o Government spends and collects taxes.
o Lump sum Tax a tax of a constant amount or yielding he same amount of revenue at each
level of GDP.
o Households use DI both to consume and save, the tax lowers both.
o Example: MPC.75 the government tax collection of $20 billion will reduce consumption by
$15 billion= .75x $20 billion and MPS is .25 Saving will drop by $5 billion =.25x $20 billion.
o Taxes reduce DI relative to GDP by the amount of the taxes.
o A Decrease in existing rates will raise he AE schedule as a result of an increase in
consumption at all GDP levels.
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o Consumption will now be less than GDP creating potential spending gap, in the amount of
after tax savings (
(Sa), imports (M) and taxes (T), but exports (X) and Govt. purchases (G) along with
investment (Ig) are injections into the income-expenditures steam.
o The sum of the leakages = the sum of injections.
Sa+M+T=Ig+X+G
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