Assignment 1 (2016W)
Assignment 1 (2016W)
Assignment 1 (2016W)
Department of Economics
ECON 222/4 SECTIONS A, B and BB
STATISTICAL METHODS II
WINTER 2016 ASSIGNMENT 1
Due: Monday, February 15, before 3:00 pm
1. (4 marks) Simplify the following expressions.
1
a. Find
2x
dx
b. Find
dy
a+bX
, where y = Ae( )
dx
2. (4 marks) The population mean and variance of the random variable X are and 2 , respectively.
Prove that, for a sufficiently large sample size n, the sample mean x =
a. E ( x ) =
1
b. var ( x ) = 2
n
1 n
xi
n i=1
3. (6 marks) Let X be a random variable with a probability density function (PDF) given by
2
cx , if x 1
f ( x) =
0, otherwise
a. Solve for c.
b. Calculate E ( X ) .
c. Calculate var ( X ) .
4. (2 marks) A random sample of n voters is selected to estimate the proportion of voters who plan to
vote for Candidate A in an election, . How large does n need to be so that we can obtain a 90
percent confidence interval with a margin of error of 0.03 .
5. (10 marks) Let X and Y be two continuous variables with a joint PDF given by
6xy, 0 x 1; 0 y x
f ( x, y) =
0, otherwise
d. Calculate E ( X Y ) .
e. Calculate var ( X Y ) .
6. (10 marks) The data file assignment.xlsx contains the grades for 33 students on assignment 1 ( X1 )
and assignment 2 ( X 2 ) . Let di = X1i X 2i be normally and independently distributed with a mean
and variance of and 2 , respectively.
a. Calculate E ( d ) .
b. Calculate var ( d ) .
c. State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses to test whether the performance on the
assignments does not differ.
e. Perform the appropriate test at the 5-percent level of significance and briefly explain your
conclusion.
7. (10 marks) The data file fultonfish.dat shows the daily sales of fish (in pounds) for a period of time.
a. Test H 0 : 10, 000 against H 0 : < 10, 000 at the 5-percent level of significance. Briefly
explain your result using a diagram showing the estimated value of the test statistic and the
critical value.
b. Calculate the p-value of the test statistic and briefly explain how it can be used to perform the
hypothesis test. Show the p-value in the diagram.
Let total weekly sales be given by W = Xi , where Xi ~ iid N (, 2 ) represents sales on weekday i.
i=1
c. Calculate E (W ) .
d. Calculate var (W ) .
8. (6 marks) A police chief claims that the standard deviation in the length of response times is less
than 3.7 minutes. A random sample of 9 response times from a normal population has a standard
deviation of 3.0 minutes.
a.
b.
c.
Perform the appropriate test for = 0.05 and briefly explain your conclusion.