FIRST Study
FIRST Study
FIRST Study
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Original Article
A BS T R AC T
BACKGROUND
Concerns persist regarding the effect of current surgical resident duty-hour policies on
patient outcomes, resident education, and resident well-being.
METHODS
CONCLUSIONS
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A Quick Take
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Me thods
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standard ACGME duty-hour policies with flexible duty-hour policies.32 The study was conducted from July 1, 2014, to June 30, 2015.
The initial trial protocol was reviewed by the
Northwestern University institutional review board
office, which determined the trial to be non
human-subjects research (see the Supplementary
Appendix, available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org).31,32 The authors vouch for the
accuracy and completeness of the data and data
analyses and for the fidelity of the study and this
report to the protocol (available at NEJM.org).
Members of the American Board of Surgery
(ABS) and the American College of Surgeons
(ACS) staff had a role in the design and conduct
of the study; collection, management, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, and
approval of the manuscript; and the decision to
submit the manuscript for publication, because
the leaders of these organizations are coauthors
and collaborators. The ACGME had a role only
in the design of the study, insofar as it approved
the waiver requirements for the hospitals in the
flexible-policy group. The boards of these organizations had no role in the study design and
conduct, data analysis, manuscript preparation
or review, or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Participants
The study population comprised all 252 ACGMEaccredited general surgery residency programs
in the United States in 2014 and, by extension,
residents in those programs, hospitals with which
they were affiliated, and general surgery patients
at those hospitals (Fig. S1 in the Supplementary
Appendix). Because the ACS National Surgical
Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP)33
was the intended platform for patient data collection, program eligibility required affiliation with
at least one hospital in ACS NSQIP (77 programs
were therefore excluded).31,32 Programs located
in New York were excluded because resident duty
hours there are regulated by state law (27 programs were excluded).5 Programs were also excluded if they were new or in poor standing with
the ACGME (12 programs were excluded).
Randomization
A total of 118 general surgery residency programs (87% of the 136 eligible programs) and
This study was a prospective, cluster-random- 154 affiliated hospitals were enrolled in the
ized, pragmatic, noninferiority trial comparing FIRST Trial. Programs were stratified into three
Study Design and Oversight
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Standard-Policy Group
Standard ACGME Policies
Flexible-Policy Group
Adherent
Programs
Policies
no. (%)
Maximum shift length
Adherent
Programs
no. (%)
59 (100)
58 (100)
59 (100)
49 (84)
Minimum time off between shifts Residents must have 8 hr off between shifts but should have
10 hr off between shifts
59 (100)
47 (81)
57 (97)
51 (88)
* ACGME denotes Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education, and PGY postgraduate year.
Program adherence was defined by residency program directors regarding which policies were followed at their institution during the trial
period (100% response rate).
Residency programs assigned to the flexible-policy group were allowed to waive four ACGME duty-hour requirements concerning maximum
shift length and minimum time off between shifts.
These ACGME duty-hour requirements remained the same in both study groups.
Data Collection
Patient-level data on patient characteristics, coexisting conditions, operative details, and surgical outcomes were obtained for general surgery
cases from ACS NSQIP, a validated system developed in the 1990s for collection of high-quality
clinical data to measure surgical outcomes; the
system has been described extensively elsewhere.33,35,42 Data on patients 18 years of age or
older are collected in ACS NSQIP for most surgical specialties, excluding trauma and transplantation surgery, by trained, certified, and audited
data abstractors at each site.42 The abstractors ascertain patient outcomes by examining the medical record, discussing with treating physicians,
and contacting patients directly when needed. The
ACS NSQIP data abstractors were not specifically
informed of the study-group assignments.
Data on resident outcomes were collected in
collaboration with the ABS, which administered
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The
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a close-ended (i.e., multiple-choice) resident survey at the end of the January 2015 ABS In-Training Examination (ABSITE)43 to all surgical resident examinees in the United States (Table S7 in
the Supplementary Appendix). The ABSITE is a
computer-based multiple-choice examination given annually in January to assess resident knowledge and management of surgical problems.
Survey items were adapted from previously published surveys, pretested with residents through
cognitive interviews, and iteratively revised.32
Measures
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program-level and hospital-level random intercepts and controls for program-level strata of
2013 rates of postoperative death or serious
complications (i.e., performance in the previous
year was used as the stratifying variable in randomization).31,32 These analyses are referred to in
the results as unadjusted and were the primary
prespecified analyses. Given a noninferiority design with a 0.04 alpha level, 92% confidence intervals [100(12)] were used on the basis of
a two one-sided tests (TOST) approach.45,46 A
significant odds ratio of less than 1.00 favored
flexible policies over standard policies. Noninferiority was assessed by comparison of the odds
ratio and 92% confidence interval with the noninferiority margin expressed as an odds ratio.
An outcome was deemed to be noninferior if the
point estimate and upper boundary of the 92%
confidence interval were less than the prespecified noninferiority margin odds ratio of 1.15.
Analyses were also performed that adjusted for
any residual differences in patient demographic
characteristics, coexisting conditions, and procedural case mix35,38 (referred to in the results as
adjusted analyses). For secondary patient outcomes, the noninferiority margin was defined in
a manner analogous to that for the primary
outcome as a 13% relative difference in rates
(Table S8 in the Supplementary Appendix).
Numerous additional prespecified analyses
were conducted to examine the sensitivity of our
results with respect to minor variations in modeling or estimation approaches (e.g., conditional
and population-averaged estimates). We performed
prespecified subgroup analyses of primary patient outcomes to test for significant interactions between study-group assignment and subgroups defined according to type of surgery
(emergency vs. elective), risk of death or serious
complications (highest quartile vs. lower three
quartiles of patients), and surgical setting (inpatient vs. outpatient).34
The association between resident outcomes
and study-group assignment was modeled with
the use of two-level hierarchical logistic regression with program-level random intercepts and
controls for program-level strata of 2013 rates of
postoperative death or serious complications
(i.e., the stratifying variable in randomization).31,32 A noninferiority margin for assessing
resident outcomes was not specified; thus, we
used two-tailed tests and standard 95% confidence intervals.
Prespecified sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the robustness of our results with respect to alternative modeling
approaches for resident outcomes (e.g., hierarchical ordered and multinomial logistic-regression models and conditional and populationaveraged estimates) and the inclusion of
additional program-level covariates. Prespecified subgroup analyses tested for significant
interactions between study-group assignment
and subgroups defined according to resident sex,
postgraduate year, program geographic region,
and program type (academic, community, or
military).
Because implementation and enforcement of
study-group conditions were at the discretion
of program directors (i.e., flexible-policy programs were not required to eliminate all four
policies waived by the ACGME), a separate
survey of residency program directors in the
FIRST Trial was conducted in June and July
2015 to collect data on program-level adherence
to study-group conditions (i.e., policy changes
enacted). Standard-policy programs were defined as adherent if their duty-hour policies
had zero departures from the four ACGME
duty-hour requirements regarding minimum
time off between shifts and maximum shift
length (Table1).31,32 Flexible-policy programs
were defined as adherent if they instituted at
least one of these four allowed policy changes.
Three types of analyses were undertaken to
explore the influence of adherence on our main
results: a per-protocol analysis (limited to adherent programs), an as-treated analysis (which
assessed actual exposure to policy change), and
analysis of local average treatment effects with
the use of instrumental variables, with studygroup assignment serving as an instrumental
variable for actual exposure to policy change
(see the Supplementary Appendix).31,32 No data
were collected regarding on-call schedules,
duty-hour logs, sleep, midlevel providers, handoff protocols, or adherence to policies that remained unchanged across the two study groups
(e.g., 80-hour workweek).
Analyses were conducted with the use of
Stata statistical software, release 13 (StataCorp).47 Details of our methods have been
described previously30-32 and can also be found
in the Supplementary Appendix and study protocol.
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Table 2. Characteristics of the Residency Programs, Hospitals, Patients, and Residents According to Study Group.*
Characteristic
Total
Standard-Policy
Group
Flexible-Policy
Group
117
59
58
P Value
Residency programs
No. of programs
Program type no. (%)
Academic
70 (60)
37 (63)
33 (57)
Community
45 (38)
21 (36)
24 (41)
2 (2)
1 (2)
1 (2)
Northeast
34 (29)
14 (24)
20 (34)
Southeast
26 (22)
16 (27)
10 (17)
Midwest
33 (28)
18 (31)
15 (26)
Military
0.81
Southwest
11 (9)
8 (14)
3 (5)
West
13 (11)
3 (5)
10 (17)
0.07
4.72.2
4.82.2
4.62.2
0.59
0.170.17
0.160.17
0.190.17
0.34
88.68.0
89.08.5
88.47.5
0.65
83.910.7
84.910.4
83.011.0
0.27
Hospitals
No. of hospitals
148
70
78
578287
598290
560285
0.42
23,38716,089
23,23915,480
23,51916,716
0.92
Nurse-to-bed ratio
2.560.90
2.540.82
2.580.97
0.73
Resident-to-bed ratio
0.390.26
0.400.26
0.380.27
0.71
1.900.24
1.870.27
1.930.21
0.15
8.953.36
9.163.76
8.762.95
0.47
Patients
No. of patients
Age yr
Nonwhite race no. (%)
138,691
65,849
72,842
54.316.4
53.916.4
54.716.4
30,848 (22.2)
13,784 (20.9)
17,064 (23.4)
0.92
0.19
0.23
10,233 (7.4)
4,866 (7.4)
5,367 (7.4)
61,491 (44.3)
29,262 (44.4)
32,229 (44.2)
59,958 (43.2)
28,399 (43.1)
31,559 (43.3)
7,009 (5.1)
3,322 (5.0)
3,687 (5.1)
15,433 (11.1)
7,706 (11.7)
7,727 (10.6)
4 or 5
Emergency surgery no. (%)
0.80
82,698 (59.6)
39,451 (59.9)
43,247 (59.4)
0.83
20,743 (15.0)
10,067 (15.3)
10,676 (14.7)
0.26
<0.001
35,187 (25.4)
16,327 (24.8)
18,860 (25.9)
Underweight
2,754 (2.0)
1,259 (1.9)
1,495 (2.1)
Overweight
40,990 (29.6)
19,221 (29.2)
21,769 (29.9)
Class I obesity
27,483 (19.8)
13,052 (19.8)
14,431 (19.8)
Class II obesity
14,822 (10.7)
7,162 (10.9)
7,660 (10.5)
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Table 2. (Continued.)
Characteristic
Total
Flexible-Policy
Group
P Value
17,455 (12.6)
8,828 (13.4)
8,627 (11.8)
5,318 (3.8)
2,579 (3.9)
2,739 (3.8)
0.52
632 (0.5)
305 (0.5)
327 (0.4)
0.93
2,648 (1.9)
1,276 (1.9)
1,372 (1.9)
0.40
10,983 (7.9)
5,188 (7.9)
5,795 (8.0)
0.92
4330
2220
2110
Standard-Policy
Group
Residents
No. of residents
Sex no. (%)
Female
1,737 (40.1)
866 (39.0)
871 (41.3)
Male
2,593 (59.9)
1,354 (61.0)
1,239 (58.7)
1,156 (26.7)
616 (27.7)
540 (25.6)
0.23
1,081 (25.0)
554 (25.0)
527 (25.0)
872 (20.1)
438 (19.7)
434 (20.6)
628 (14.5)
313 (14.1)
315 (14.9)
593 (13.7)
299 (13.5)
294 (13.9)
Categorical
3,699 (85.4)
1,874 (84.4)
1,825 (86.5)
Preliminary
621 (14.3)
340 (15.3)
281 (13.3)
10 (0.2)
6 (0.3)
4 (0.2)
0.57
Other
0.73
* Plusminus values are means SD. COPD denotes chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and SIRS the systemic inflammatory response syndrome.
The P value was calculated with the use of a two-tailed chi-square test.
Chief residents are fifth-year residents who are eligible to take the American Board of Surgery qualifying examination
(written boards).
The P value was calculated with the use of Students t-test.
Two hospitals were not included in the final patient-level analysis owing to data-availability issues. Two pairs of hospitals reported hospital data to the American Hospital Association jointly, and thus each pair was treated as a single
hospital-level unit in these analyses.
The P value was calculated with the use of hierarchical linear regression with program intercepts.
** The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) case-mix index represents the average diagnosis-related group
(DRG) relative weight for that hospital, with higher values indicating that the hospital provides care for sicker patients.
Race was determined on the basis of clinical records by American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality
Improvement Program abstractors at each site.
The P value was calculated with the use of hierarchical logistic regression with program intercepts.
An American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification score of 1 indicates a normal healthy patient, 2 a patient with mild systemic disease, 3 a patient with severe systemic disease, 4 a patient with severe systemic disease
that is a constant threat to life, and 5 a moribund patient who is not expected to survive without the operation.
The P value was calculated with the use of hierarchical multinomial logistic regression with program intercepts.
The body-mass index (BMI) is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters. BMI classifications are as follows: underweight, less than 18.5; normal weight, 18.5 to 24.9; overweight, 25.0 to 29.9; class I obesity,
30.0 to 34.9; class II obesity, 35.0 to 39.9; and class III obesity, 40.0 or more.
R e sult s
Study Sample
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138,691
138,691
138,691
138,691
11,937
138,375
138,596
138,691
138,258
Regions of noninferiority
Superior
Noninferior
137,346
Inferior
Inconclusive
138,691
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.50
Figure 1. Comparison of Postoperative Outcomes between Flexible, Less-Restrictive Duty-Hour Policies and Standard Policies.
In all regressions, 115 programs and 148 hospitals were included. Solid black circles indicate the unadjusted effect of assignment to the
flexible-policy group (vs. the standard-policy group). Open circles indicate the adjusted effect of assignment to the flexible-policy group
(vs. the standard-policy group), expressed as an odds ratio from similar models that also adjusted for patient characteristics. Estimates
reported are conditional estimates (not population-averaged effects) that were obtained from three-level hierarchical mixed-effects logistic-regression models. In these models, outcomes were regressed on assignment to the flexible-policy group (vs. the standard-policy
group) with controls for program-level strata of 30-day rates of postoperative death or serious complications in 2013 (variable used in
randomization) with program- and hospital-level random intercepts. To account for interim analysis, the alpha level was adjusted to
0.04 for the final analysis (alpha level for the overall trial, 0.05). Given a noninferiority design with a 0.04 alpha level, 92% confidence
intervals [100(12)] were used on the basis of a two one-sided tests (TOST) approach. Thus, error bars indicate 92% confidence
intervals, and shaded blue regions represent the area of noninferiority for each outcome. Flexible policies were considered to be noninferior to standard policies if the estimated odds ratio (circle) and upper boundary of the 92% confidence interval are contained within
the shaded region; inferior to standard policies if the estimated odds ratio and lower boundary of the 92% confidence interval are both
to the right, outside the shaded region for an outcome; and superior to standard policies if the estimated odds ratio and upper boundary of the 92% confidence interval are both within the shaded region and below 1.00 (see inset). If the estimated odds ratio is within the
shaded region but the upper boundary of the 92% confidence interval extends outside the region, the results were considered to be inconclusive. The number of patients per outcome differs because patients were excluded from the analysis if the condition was preexisting at the time of surgery. The number of patients is reduced for failure to rescue (i.e., death in a patient who had a serious complication), because only patients who had a serious complication were included in the analysis.
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226/1876 (12.0)
On patient safety
232/1782 (13.0)
330/1778 (18.6)
663/1888 (35.1)
148/1780 (8.3)
226/1782 (12.7)
240/1891 (12.7)
262/1888 (13.9)
172/1887 (9.1)
301/1892 (15.9)
168/1888 (8.9)
On professionalism
On job satisfaction
On morale
427/1781 (24.0)
441/1779 (24.8)
294/1782 (16.5)
164/1777 (9.2)
373/1780 (21.0)
176/1887 (9.3)
172/1888 (9.1)
262/1781 (14.7)
199/1782 (11.2)
On participation in research
523/1888 (27.7)
218/1780 (12.2)
431/1886 (22.9)
488/1892 (25.8)
<0.001
<0.001
0.73
0.92
0.43
0.002
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
3.66 (2.704.97)
1.09 (0.851.40)
1.03 (0.791.33)
0.94 (0.731.23)
0.65 (0.490.87)
2.81 (2.123.73)
3.37 (2.544.47)
0.45 (0.370.56)
0.38 (0.290.49)
0.47 (0.360.62)
0.30 (0.240.39)
0.20 (0.160.25)
0.22 (0.170.28)
0.26 (0.200.34)
0.22 (0.170.27)
0.24 (0.190.31)
0.16 (0.120.21)
0.40 (0.320.51)
1.41 (1.061.89)
0.95 (0.711.27)
0.99 (0.711.40)
0.69 (0.520.92)
0.44 (0.320.60)
0.85 (0.551.31)
1.31 (0.991.74)
1.08 (0.771.52)
<0.001
0.51
0.84
0.67
0.003
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.02
0.72
0.97
0.01
<0.001
0.46
0.06
0.64
P Value
of
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.08
0.76
0.74
0.009
<0.001
0.48
0.10
0.86
P Value
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264/1781 (14.8)
651/1889 (34.5)
266/1783 (14.9)
915/1887 (48.5)
845/1890 (44.7)
On operative volume
337/1781 (18.9)
On resident autonomy
232/1777 (13.1)
688/1888 (36.4)
928/1885 (49.2)
On clinical-skills acquisition
339/1786 (19.0)
1053/1892 (55.7)
223/1782 (12.5)
329/1768 (18.6)
214/1767 (12.1)
144/1768 (8.1)
124/1766 (7.0)
83/1769 (4.7)
62/1770 (3.5)
263/1769 (14.9)
194/1768 (11.0)
On operative-skills acquisition
On continuity of care
491/1891 (26.0)
280/1875 (14.9)
161/1876 (8.6)
236/1874 (12.6)
190/1873 (10.1)
77/1875 (4.1)
188/1876 (10.0)
Dissatisfaction
Secondary outcomes
200/1874 (10.7)
Primary outcomes
Outcome
Table 3. Resident-Reported Satisfaction and Perceptions of Well-Being, Education, and Patient Safety.*
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118/1878 (6.3)
188/1774 (10.6)
544/1821 (29.9)
817/1944 (42.0)
901/1944 (46.3)
Missed an operation
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.17
0.26
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
P Value
0.53 (0.450.63)
0.56 (0.450.69)
0.46 (0.320.65)
1.18 (0.911.53)
1.15 (0.911.47)
3.22 (2.374.36)
3.85 (2.885.15)
3.81 (2.845.11)
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
0.21
0.25
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
P Value
* Denominators represent the number of respondents per survey item in the trial sample of residents. Response rates varied across survey items, ranging from 84 to 87%. When the
Bonferroni correction was applied to the 34 resident outcomes assessed, the level of significance was adjusted from 0.05 to 0.0015, and the differences between the study groups
were no longer significant for three outcomes: time for rest, quality and ease of handoffs and transitions in care, and professionalism.
Cluster-corrected P values were calculated by means of a chi-square test of association between study-group assignment and dichotomized resident outcome.
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) and two-tailed P values were calculated by means of two-level hierarchical logistic regression with program-level random intercepts.
Models assessed the association between outcomes and study-group assignment, with adjustment for program-level strata based on 30-day rates of postoperative death or serious
complications in 2013 (stratifying variable for randomization). Significant odds ratios of less than 1.00 favor flexible policies over standard policies. Significant odds ratios of more
than 1.00 favor standard policies over flexible policies.
The numerator represents the number of residents who reported being very dissatisfied or dissatisfied versus neutral, satisfied, or very satisfied.
The numerator represents the number of residents who perceived a negative effect of 20142015 institutional duty hours versus no effect or a positive effect.
The numerator represents the number of residents who reported that fatigue always or often affects personal safety or patient safety versus sometimes, rarely, or never.
** The numerator represents the number of residents who reported one or more occurrences in the past month versus no occurrence.
583/1821 (32.0)
128/1821 (7.0)
133/1774 (7.5)
256/1944 (13.2)
175/1878 (9.3)
470/1781 (26.4)
178/1887 (9.4)
128/1883 (6.8)
On rest
On health
326/1778 (18.3)
458/1779 (25.7)
Outcome
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Discussion
This national, prospective, randomized trial
showed that flexible, less-restrictive duty-hour
policies for surgical residents were noninferior to
standard ACGME duty-hour policies with respect
to our primary patient outcome of the 30-day rate
of postoperative death or serious complications.
There was also no significant difference between the standard-policy and flexible-policy
groups with respect to residents satisfaction
regarding their overall well-being and education.
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