Time To Borrow: Paul Krugman
Time To Borrow: Paul Krugman
Time To Borrow: Paul Krugman
The campaign still has three ugly months to go, but the odds 83 percent
odds, according to the New York Timess model are that it will end with the
election of a sane, sensible president. So what should she do to boost
Americas economy, which is doing better than most of the world but is still
falling far short of where it should be?
There are, of course, many ways our economic policy could be improved. But
the most important thing we need is sharply increased public investment in
everything from energy to transportation to wastewater treatment.
How should we pay for this investment? We shouldnt not now, or any time
soon. Right now there is an overwhelming case for more government
borrowing.
Let me walk through this case, then address some of the usual objections.
First, we have obvious, pressing needs for public investment in many areas. In
Washington, the aging Metro is in such bad shape that whole lines may have to
be shut down for maintenance. In Florida, green slime infests beaches, in large
part because failure to upgrade an 80-year-old dike or to purchase more land
as a runoff area is forcing the Army Corps of Engineers to release polluted
water from Lake Okeechobee. There are similar stories all across America.
So investing more in infrastructure would clearly make us richer. Meanwhile,
the federal government can borrow at incredibly low interest rates: 10-year,
inflation-protected bonds yielded just 0.09 percent on Friday.
Put these two facts together big needs for public investment, and very low
interest rates and it suggests not just that we should be borrowing to invest,
but that this investment might well pay for itself even in purely fiscal terms.
How so? Spending more now would mean a bigger economy later, which would
mean more tax revenue. This additional revenue would probably be larger than
any rise in future interest payments.
And this analysis doesnt even take into account the potential role of public
investment in job creation: Despite a low headline unemployment rate, the U.S.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/08/opinion/time-to-borrow.html?
rref=collection%2Fcolumn%2Fpaulkrugman&action=click&contentCollection=opinion®ion=stream&module=st
ream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=collection