DEM CD19616D Crosstabs

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll
May 31-June 2, 2016

431 Likely Democratic Primary Voters New York Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.7%
Q1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Total Male Female Teachout Yandik Dutchess Delaware/Otsego
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Right track
50% 55%
46%
56%
44%
49%
48%
52%
Wrong direction
39% 33%
43%
34%
41%
39%
39%
38%
Don't know/No opinion
12% 12%
11%
10%
15%
12%
13%
9%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
47%
51%
46%
36%
6%
13%
Religion
Cath
60%
33%
7%
Prot
44%
46%
11%
Political View
Other
49%
38%
13%
Lib
52%
36%
11%
Mod
52%
37%
11%
I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name. [Q2-Q10
ROTATED]
Q2. Zephyr Teachout
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Religion
Political View
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
older Cath Prot Other Lib
Mod
Favorable
64% 67%
62%
92%
40%
68%
64%
57%
70%
62%
47% 54% 77% 75%
50%
Unfavorable
10% 14%
7%
2%
27%
7%
11%
13%
6%
11%
17% 11%
6%
7%
13%
26% 19%
31%
7%
32%
25%
25%
29%
24%
27%
36% 35% 18% 18%
37%
Q3. Will Yandik
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
38% 40%
9%
11%
53% 49%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
37%
30%
8%
13%
55%
57%
Yandik
77%
5%
17%
Ulster/
Dutchess
37%
10%
53%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
39%
40%
12%
4%
49%
56%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
38%
39%
13%
8%
49%
53%
Ulster/
Dutchess
90%
7%
3%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
82%
86%
18%
13%
0%
1%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
86%
87%
14%
11%
0%
2%
Ulster/
Dutchess
76%
21%
3%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
74%
76%
26%
21%
0%
2%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
68%
78%
30%
20%
2%
2%
Religion
Cath
32%
11%
57%
Prot
37%
9%
54%
Political View
Other
41%
8%
51%
Lib
41%
8%
51%
Mod
38%
12%
50%
Q4. Barack Obama

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
87% 89%
12%
9%
1%
1%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
85%
91%
13%
6%
1%
2%
Yandik
82%
17%
1%
Religion
Cath
84%
16%
1%
Prot
81%
17%
2%
Political View
Other
91%
7%
1%
Lib
95%
4%
1%
Mod
82%
16%
2%
Q5. Hillary Clinton

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
76% 79%
23% 19%
2%
2%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
74%
78%
25%
21%
2%
1%
Yandik
74%
23%
3%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
Religion
Cath
71%
27%
2%
Prot
73%
27%
0%
Political View
Other
79%
19%
2%
Lib
81%
17%
2%
Mod
75%
25%
1%
1 of 6

May 31-June 2, 2016
MOE +/- 4.7%
Q6. Bernie Sanders
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
72% 74%
25% 23%
3%
2%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
70%
79%
27%
17%
4%
3%
Yandik
64%
34%
3%
Ulster/
Dutchess
71%
23%
5%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
74%
70%
25%
29%
1%
1%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
82%
68%
18%
28%
0%
4%
Ulster/
Dutchess
7%
93%
0%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
9%
9%
91%
90%
0%
1%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
11%
7%
89%
92%
0%
1%
Ulster/
Dutchess
51%
35%
14%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
69%
68%
22%
28%
9%
4%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
65%
59%
29%
30%
6%
11%
Ulster/
Dutchess
8%
40%
51%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
8%
28%
41%
52%
51%
21%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
16%
13%
40%
45%
45%
42%
Ulster/
Dutchess
8%
23%
69%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
9%
10%
22%
32%
69%
58%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
6%
10%
27%
25%
67%
65%
Religion
Cath
61%
35%
4%
Prot
65%
31%
4%
Political View
Other
81%
18%
2%
Lib
79%
19%
2%
Mod
62%
35%
4%
Q7. Donald Trump

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
8%
9%
92% 90%
1%
1%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
7%
3%
93%
97%
0%
1%
Yandik
17%
83%
1%
Religion
Cath
14%
85%
1%
Prot
12%
87%
1%
Political View
Other
3%
97%
0%
Lib
2%
97%
1%
Mod
11%
89%
1%
Q8. Chris Gibson

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
60% 62%
30% 32%
10%
6%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
59%
57%
28%
34%
12%
10%
Yandik
63%
34%
3%
Religion
Cath
75%
18%
7%
Prot
63%
27%
10%
Political View
Other
52%
37%
11%
Lib
54%
38%
9%
Mod
72%
16%
12%
Q9. John Faso

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
14% 18%
43% 49%
43% 34%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
11%
15%
40%
47%
49%
39%
Yandik
15%
54%
31%
Religion
Cath
19%
41%
41%
Prot
10%
44%
46%
Political View
Other
14%
45%
41%
Lib
10%
47%
43%
Mod
15%
41%
44%
Q10. Andrew Heaney

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total Male
9%
12%
25% 28%
66% 60%
Vote Choice
Female Teachout
7%
8%
24%
28%
69%
64%
Yandik
10%
34%
56%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
Religion
Cath
12%
27%
61%
Prot
10%
25%
64%
Political View
Other
6%
25%
68%
Lib
8%
25%
67%
Mod
11%
28%
61%
2 of 6

May 31-June 2, 2016
MOE +/- 4.7%
Q11. If the Democratic primary election for Member of Congress from the 19th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Religion
Political View
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
Mod
Zephyr Teachout
53% 58%
50%
100%
0%
60%
49%
46%
56%
52%
44% 49% 59% 61%
41%
Will Yandik
23% 24%
23%
0%
100%
17%
25%
31%
24%
23%
24% 26% 21% 20%
28%
24% 19%
27%
0%
0%
23%
25%
22%
21%
25%
32% 25% 20% 19%
31%
Q12. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]?
Gender
Vote Choice
Total Male
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
50% 51%
change my mind
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
39% 39%
mind
Not very certain; I very well may change my
10%
8%
mind
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
1%
1%
will change my mind
0%
0%
Female Teachout
Yandik
Ulster/
Dutchess
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
Religion
Political View
Cath
Prot
Other
Lib
Mod
49%
53%
42%
46%
54%
52%
50%
50%
55%
38%
52%
54%
41%
38%
36%
44%
42%
29%
42%
38%
39%
42%
42%
36%
36%
46%
11%
9%
12%
10%
15%
5%
12%
9%
4%
15%
11%
8%
12%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
4%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Q13. Of the following issues, which single issue is the most important one you want your Member of Congress to be working on in Washington: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
older
Health care
20% 20%
20%
19%
21%
19%
19%
23%
13%
22%
Education
15% 12%
18%
14%
16%
17%
18%
10%
27%
12%
The environment
26% 22%
28%
30%
23%
24%
31%
23%
32%
24%
Immigration reform
5%
6%
5%
6%
4%
6%
2%
7%
5%
6%
The federal budget deficit
5%
7%
4%
5%
9%
5%
5%
7%
2%
7%
Corruption in government
17% 17%
17%
18%
14%
17%
15%
18%
14%
18%
National defense
5%
6%
5%
2%
10%
5%
6%
5%
3%
6%
Vol: Something else
4%
8%
2%
5%
3%
6%
3%
3%
3%
5%
2%
2%
1%
2%
0%
0%
2%
4%
2%
2%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
Religion
Cath
22%
12%
12%
6%
9%
17%
11%
10%
1%
Prot
25%
20%
14%
6%
9%
18%
7%
2%
1%
Political View
Other
16%
15%
39%
5%
1%
16%
2%
3%
3%
Lib
19%
18%
33%
5%
2%
15%
1%
5%
2%
Mod
22%
14%
12%
4%
11%
17%
15%
4%
1%
3 of 6

May 31-June 2, 2016
MOE +/- 4.7%
Q14. Of the remaining issues, which one is the next most important issue you want your Member of Congress to be working on in Washington? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
older
Health care
23% 19%
26%
20%
29%
27%
22%
18%
24%
23%
Education
15% 13%
17%
16%
12%
20%
10%
13%
16%
15%
The environment
20% 18%
21%
22%
16%
19%
17%
24%
18%
21%
Immigration reform
10% 11%
10%
10%
15%
7%
13%
12%
8%
11%
The federal budget deficit
9%
13%
6%
7%
11%
8%
10%
8%
12%
7%
Corruption in government
13% 13%
13%
16%
10%
10%
20%
12%
14%
13%
National defense
5%
6%
4%
3%
6%
3%
5%
8%
3%
6%
Vol: Something else
3%
5%
1%
3%
0%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
2%
Religion
Cath
19%
19%
13%
10%
13%
11%
8%
5%
2%
Prot
24%
12%
21%
10%
10%
14%
6%
1%
2%
Political View
Other
24%
16%
24%
9%
5%
14%
3%
2%
3%
Lib
27%
16%
24%
9%
6%
12%
3%
1%
3%
Mod
16%
17%
16%
11%
11%
15%
8%
6%
1%
Q15. Have you been contacted on behalf of either of the Democratic candidates for the 19th District whether it was by mail, by email, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker?
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Religion
Political View
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
Mod
Yes
69% 70%
69%
73%
87%
69%
68%
70%
67%
70%
61% 66% 74% 70%
69%
No
30% 29%
31%
27%
13%
30%
32%
30%
33%
29%
38% 32% 26% 29%
31%
Don't know/Refused
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
0%
Q16. (If contacted on behalf of candidate) Which candidates campaign contacted you?
Gender
Vote Choice
Zephyr Teachout
Will Yandik
Total Male
71% 76%
69% 72%
11% 10%
Female Teachout
67%
85%
68%
65%
12%
7%
Yandik
52%
84%
10%
Ulster/
Dutchess
74%
71%
10%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
71%
65%
66%
70%
11%
13%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
71%
71%
69%
69%
12%
10%
Q17. Have you seen or heard any advertising for either of the Democratic candidates for the 19th District whether on television, radio, on the internet or in some other place?
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Age
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Under 55 and
55
older
Yes
44% 46%
43%
45%
55%
42%
47%
46%
52%
42%
No
54% 52%
56%
54%
44%
57%
51%
54%
46%
57%
Don't know/Refused
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
Q18. (If seen or heard any advertising) Which candidates advertising have you seen or heard?
Gender
Vote Choice
Ulster/
Total Male Female Teachout Yandik Dutchess
Zephyr Teachout
66% 77%
58%
78%
47%
73%
Will Yandik
60% 65%
56%
56%
73%
67%
13%
6%
18%
3%
18%
10%
Region
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
68%
53%
59%
50%
13%
18%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
76%
62%
58%
61%
9%
14%
Religion
Cath
72%
71%
12%
Prot
66%
70%
9%
Political View
Other
73%
68%
12%
Religion
Cath
50%
47%
3%
Prot
44%
54%
3%
Prot
61%
61%
15%
Mod
63%
68%
14%
Political View
Other
43%
57%
0%
Religion
Cath
58%
50%
21%
Lib
75%
72%
9%
Lib
46%
54%
0%
Mod
43%
52%
4%
Political View
Other
73%
67%
7%
Lib
74%
64%
9%
Mod
52%
58%
18%
4 of 6

May 31-June 2, 2016
MOE +/- 4.7%
Q19. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think has been waging the more NEGATIVE campaign? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Zephyr Teachout
5%
6%
3%
1%
14%
3%
5%
7%
Will Yandik
10% 10%
11%
15%
6%
9%
13%
10%
Vol: Both
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Vol: Neither
34% 37%
32%
39%
45%
34%
31%
37%
51% 47%
53%
45%
35%
53%
52%
46%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
2%
6%
6%
12%
0%
1%
32%
35%
60%
47%
Q20. Regardless of who you intend to vote for, which of the two candidates do you think is most likely to win the primary on June 28th? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender
Vote Choice
Region
Ulster/
Sullivan/Broome/
Zephyr Teachout
52% 59%
48%
77%
26%
54%
58%
45%
Will Yandik
17% 20%
16%
5%
55%
13%
14%
28%
30% 21%
37%
18%
18%
33%
29%
27%
Age
Under 55 and
55
older
59%
50%
14%
19%
27%
31%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
Religion
Cath
6%
11%
0%
27%
56%
Prot
9%
12%
1%
29%
49%
Political View
Other
2%
9%
0%
40%
49%
Religion
Cath
52%
23%
25%
Prot
43%
23%
34%
Lib
2%
11%
0%
39%
48%
Mod
8%
7%
0%
30%
55%
Political View
Other
57%
12%
30%
Lib
58%
14%
28%
Mod
42%
23%
35%
5 of 6

May 31-June 2, 2016
MOE +/- 4.7%
Nature of the Sample

NY CD19 Registered Democrats (Likely Voters)
Political View
Liberal
Moderate
Region
Ulster/Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/Greene/
Columbia/Rennselaer
Religion
Catholic
Protestant
Other
Age
Under 55
55 and older
Gender
Male
Female
63%
29%
46%
26%
28%
25%
25%
47%
26%
74%
41%
59%
CD19616D_Crosstabs
6 of 6

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Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

May 31-June 2, 2016

Q4. Barack Obama

Q5. Hillary Clinton

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

Q7. Donald Trump

Q8. Chris Gibson

Q9. John Faso

Q10. Andrew Heaney

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

Time Warner Cable/Siena College Poll

Nature of the Sample

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