Current and Future Trends in Tourism and
Current and Future Trends in Tourism and
Current and Future Trends in Tourism and
Current and Future Trends in Tourism and Hospitality. The Case of Greece
by
Soultana (Tania) Kapiki
Alexander Technological Educational Institute of Thessaloniki
[email protected]
Abstract. This paper identifies some of the current and future trends affecting the tourism and hospitality industry, including
globalisation, guests safety and security, the importance of offering outstanding services, the new technologies that enhance
competitiveness, the population ageing that impacts directly on tourist demand and the correlation between price and value.
Reference is also made to the trends in the development of tourism lodgings. Furthermore, the paper attempts to analyse the
Greek tourism performance indicators for the last 10 years and suggest ways out of the recession for the tourism
entrepreneurs. The suggestions to the hoteliers include careful analysis of the current and future trends and application of the
proper adaptations, investing in exceptional services and sustainability of their lodging, as well as utilizing the new
technologies and the social networks. Moreover, the hotel owners should consider the retirees as their potential guests and,
finally, they must seek ways to retain effective, diverse and competent staff.
Key words: employment, Greece, services, tourism and hospitality, trends.
1 Introduction
Hospitality means providing service to others,
as well as demonstrating consistent excellence
and quality. It should also mean profitably
providing value at any price level, while
demonstrating your own unique points of
distinction. Most of all, hospitality should be a
place, where people can still be exceptional
individuals and they can extend their own
personality and style (Hogan, 2008).
The hospitality industry is part of a huge group
of companies known as travel and tourism
industry, which provides the necessary or
desirable goods and services to travellers. The
hospitality and tourism industries are the largest
and fastest-growing industries in the world
(Walker, 2010).
The travel and tourism industry is composed of
five parts: a) the tourism lodgings (hotels,
motels, camps, cruise ships), b) the
transportation services (ships, airplanes, trains),
c) food and beverage operations (restaurants,
bars, taverns, catering), d) retail stores (gifts,
souvenir, arts/crafts shops) and e) the activities
(recreation,
educational
trips,
business,
festivals, sport events), (Kasavana and Brooks,
2007).
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Year
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Travel &
Tourism
Direct Industry
Employment
(000)
344,3
338,6
338,6
329,4
329,1
357,6
367,5
366,2
351,3
318,0
322,0
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Services, 8%
Reservation, 3%
Check-in/out, 13%
Cost, 23%
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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The results of the analyses show clear linkages
between measures of customer satisfaction and
actual financial outcomes.
Further, these measures can be used to identify
specific areas for improvement, leading to additional
opportunities for increased revenue.
Technology. Technology is a driving force of
change that presents opportunities for greater
efficiencies and integration for improved guest
services.
o
o
o
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Table 2. Key data on demographic change up to 2020
Feature
Population
development (volume)
Migration of the
population
Age structure
Gender
Educational structure
Household structure
Household income
Demographic developments
Top 10 source marketsi
Overall: rise (particularly sharp in the emerging markets),
decrease in Japan and Italy
Net balance of migration in the top 10 countries positive,
in the emerging marketsii negative
More older people (esp. in the top 10 countries and particularly in
Japan)
Top 10 countries: slightly higher number of women (will decline
somewhat in future). Emerging markets: opposite trend
Increase in formal education (except in Italy, Austria & Japan)
Overall, households will shrink
To date: rise, in future: no data available
Source: The impact of demographic change on tourism and conclusions for tourism policy (Grimm et al, 2009)
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Table 3. Short-term global visitor growth forecasts
INBOUND
WORLD
AMERICAS
EUROPE
ASIA
AFRICA
MID EAST
2012
4.8%
4.9%
3.9%
6.9%
5.1%
4.9%
OUTBOUND
2012
2013
5.1%
4.1%
5.2%
4.2%
4.2%
3.9%
7.0%
4.2%
5.6%
4.8%
4.8%
4.1%
2013
3.9%
4.3%
3.3%
4.7%
4.1%
4.1%
Table 4. Countries expected to grow their travel and tourism demand most rapidly up to 2017
ON A RELATIVE SCALE
Countries expected to grow their Travel and Tourism Demand most rapidly up to
2017 (% Annualized Real Growth) are:
1. China
9.1
2. Montenegro
8.6
3. India
7.9
4. Croatia
7.8
5. Dem. Republic of Congo
7.8
6. Vietnam
7.5
7. Romania
7.4
8. Namibia
7.1
9. Hong Kong
7.0
10. Chad
7.0
Table 5. Countries expected to generate the largest volume of travel and tourism demand in 2017
ON AN ABSOLUTE SCALE
Countries expected to generate the largest volume of Travel and Tourism
Demand in 2017 (US $ mn):
3,067,977
1. United States
1,571,015
2. China
981,437
3. Japan
744,910
4. Germany
605,124
5. United Kingdom
542,658
6. France
503,957
7. Spain
395,970
8. Italy
324,352
9. Russian Federation
311,412
10. Canada
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Table 6. Countries expected to generate the largest amount of travel & tourism economy employment in 2017
ON AN EMPLOYMENT SCALE
Countries expected to generate the largest amount of Travel and Tourism Economy
Employment in 2017 (000 of Jobs):
75,710
1. China
28,322
2. India
16,125
3. United States
9,422
4. Japan
7,773
5. Brazil
6,853
6. Indonesia
5,469
7. Mexico
4,962
8. Germany
4,858
9. Spain
4,766
10. Thailand
Source (tables 4, 5 and 6): The Future Trends in Tourism - Global Perspectives (Willms, 2007)
The
nited
Nations
World
Tourism
Organizations ( NWTO) Tourism 2020 Vision
forecasts that international arrivals are expected
to reach nearly 1.6 billion by the year 2020. Of
these worldwide arrivals in 2020, 1.2 billion
will be intraregional and 378 million will be
long-haul travellers.
The top three receiving regions of the total
tourist arrivals by 2020, will be Europe (717
million tourists), East Asia & the Pacific (397
million) and the Americas (282 million),
followed by Africa, the Middle East and South
Asia (http://www.unwto.org/).
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Table 7. Basic figures of Greek tourism for the years 2000, 2005 & 2010
Basic Figures
Contribution to GDP
Contribution to Employment
Employment (direct & indirect)
Hotel Capacity (hotels / beds)
Top 5 Markets
2000
16,4%
19,7%
777.600
8.073 / 593.990
UK, Germany,
Italy, France,
the Netherlands
YEAR
2005
17,3%
20,2%
837.700
9.036 / 682.050
UK, Germany,
Italy, France,
the Netherlands
2010
15,3%
17,9%
746.200
9.732 / 763.407
Germany, UK,
FYROM,
France, Italy
Performance Indicators
Rank-International Arrivals
Rank-Receipts
International Tourist Arrivals (mi.)
International Tourism Receipts (bi.)
Average per Capita Expenditure
Market Share World-Arrivals
Market Share World-Receipts
2000
13th
11th
12,4
9,2 $
741,9 $
1,8%
1,9%
YEAR
2005
17th
12th
12,9
13,7 $
1.062,0 $
1,6%
2,0%
2010
17th
21st
15
12,7 $
846,7 $
1,6%
1,4%
International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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Conclusions
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International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
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References
Glover, P. and Prideaux, B. (2009), Populations Aging for
the Development of Tourism Products and Destinations,
Journal of Vacation Marketing, vol. 15 (1), pp. 25-37.
Hospitality net,
http://www.hospitalitynet.org/news/4050382.html
(accessed 17 October 2011).
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International Journal of Economic Practices and Theories, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012 (January), e-ISSN 2247 7225
www.ijept.org
Kasavana, M., Brooks, R. (2007), Managing Front Office
Operations, Educational Institute, AHLA, Michigan.
Hospitality
Author description
Soultana (Tania) Kapiki is an Ass. Professor at the Tourism Management Department of the ATEI,
Thessaloniki. She has been the coordinator of the ALFA project "SUTTI" and steering committee
member of the LIFE-Environment project "ShMILE". Currently she is the coordinator of four Erasmus
Mundus for Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan projects (2007-today), as well as project manager in three
Erasmus Mundus Action 2 projects (for the Western Balkans, the Central Asian Republics and
Palestine). She is also the Departments academic coordinator for the EU Erasmus programme and head
of the Hospitality Courses Sector.
i
Top 10 source markets comprise the Netherlands, the USA, the UK, Switzerland, Italy, France, Austria, Belgium, Denmark
and Japan.
ii
The growth markets, or emerging markets, which may play an increasingly important role as source markets in the future
are: China, the Gulf States, Russia and India.
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