Ba BSC Statistics
Ba BSC Statistics
Ba BSC Statistics
Course
Instruction
B.Sc Part-III
In Principle Board agrees with the circulated syllabus of U.G Classes in statistics.
However following observations would make it more relevant.
1. Contents in B.A II / B.Sc II paper II entiled Survey sampling Seem to be
lengthy. The following topic of the paper may be deleted : Double sampling in ratio
method of estimation , Two stage sampling with equal first stage unit, Estimator of
population mean and variance , Non sampling error.
2. The syllabus of B. A I and B. A- II consists of two papers each . Board feels that there
may be three papers in each class.
3. B.A/ B.Sc syllabus may be common for all the papers in each year.
4. To maintain the uniformity in all respect, Board feels that infrastructure should also be
the same in all state universities and degree colleges. All degree department should have
faculty of at least three persons
5. All the Departments should have the sufficient computer systems to replace the old one
(the calculators ) for the Pratical Purpose.
6. There may be an optional papers of computer programming with FORTRAN
Random experiment, trial, sample point and sample space, events, operations of events, concepts
of equally likely, mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.
Definition of probability : Classical, relative frequency and axiomatic approaches. Discrete
probability space, properties of probability under set theoretic approach Independence of events,
Conditional probability, total and compound probability theorems, Bayes theorem and its
applications.
Random variables discrete and continuous, probability mass function (pmf) and probability
density function (pdf), Cumulative distribution function (cdf).
UNIT II
Joint distribution of two random variables, marginal and conditional distributions, Independence
of random variables. Expectation of a random variable and its properties., expectation of sum of
random variables and product of independent random variables, conditional expectation and
related problems. Moments, moment generating function (m.g.f.) & their properties, continuity
theorem for m.g.f. (without proof).Chebyshevs inequality. Weak law of large numbers and
Central Limit Theorem for a sequence of independently and identically distributed random
variables and their applications.
UNIT III
Distributions of function of random variables: Distribution of sum, product and quotient of two
variables. Reproductive property of standard distributions. 2(chi-square), t and F distributions (
Central cases only) and their limiting forms. Bivariate normal distribution and its properties.
REFERENCE:
Concept of statistical population, Attributes and variables (discrete and Continuous). Different
types of scales nominal, ordinal, ratio and interval. Primary data designing a questionnaire
and schedule, collection of primary data, checking their consistency. Secondary data; scrutiny of
data for internal consistency and detection of errors of recording. Ideas of cross validation.
Presentation of data; classification, tabulation, diagrammatic & graphical representation of
grouped data. Frequency distributions, cumulative frequency distributions and their graphical
representations, histogram, frequency polygon and ogives. Stem and Leaf Plot. Box Plot.
Measure of central tendency and dispersion, merits and demerits of these measures. Moments
and factorial moments. Shephards correction for moments. Skewness and Kurtosis and their
measures. Measures based on quartiles.
UNIT-II
Bivariate data, Method of least squares for curve fitting.Correlation and regression, rank
correlation (Spearmans and Kendalls measure). Intra-class correlation, correlation ratio. Partial
and Multiple Correlation & Multiple Regression for Tri-variate data.
UNIT III
Attributes- Notion and terminology, contingency table, class frequencies, and ultimate class
frequencies, consistency. Association of attributes, Independence, Measure of association for 2x2
table. Chi-square, Karl Pearsons and Tschuprows coefficient of association. Contingency tables
with ordered categories.
UNIT IV
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10
B.A. Part- I
PRACTICAL
The practical examination will be based on papers I and II and will cover the following experiments.
List of Practical Experiments
1. Graphical representation of data by Histogram, Frequency polygons, frequency curves and
Ogives, stem & Leaf Plot, Box Plot.
2. Calculation of measures of location.
3. Calculation of measures of dispersion.
4. Calculation of moments, measures of skewness and measures of Kurtosis.
5. Fitting of curves by method of least squares.
6. Determination of regression lines and calculation of correlation coefficient grouped and
ungrouped data.
7. Calculation of multiple and partial correlation coefficients for three variables
8. Calculation of measures of association in contingency tables.
9. Construction of forward difference tables and divided difference tables.
10. Interpolation by Newtons forward difference formula for equal intervals and calculation of error.
11. Interpolation by Newtons divided difference formula for unequal intervals.
12. Interpolation by Lagranges formula for unequal intervals.
13. Approximate integration (Trapezoidal rule, Simpsons one-third rules, simpsons
three-eighth rule), Weddles rule.
Sufficient Statistics. Cramer-Rao inequality and its use in finding MVU estimators.Statistical
Hypotheses (simple and composite). Testing of hypotheses. Type I and Type II errors,
significance level, p-values, power of a test. Definitions of Most Powerful (MP), Uniformly
Most Powerful (UMP) and Uniformly Most Powerful Unbiased (UMPU) tests.
UNIT III
Neyman-Pearsons lemma and its applications for finding most powerful tests for simple
hypothesis against simple alternative. Tests based on t, F and 2 distributions. Likelihood ratio
tests and their reduction to standard tests. Large sample tests. Interval estimation, Pivotal
quantity and its use in finding confidence intervals, concept of best confidence intervals.
UNIT-IV
Analysis of Variance. One way classification. Assumptions regarding model. Two way
classification with equal number of observations per cell. Duncans multiple comparison test.
Analysis of covariance.
REFERENCE
Sampling vs. complete enumeration : sampling units and frame. Precision and efficiency of
estimators. Simple Random sampling with and without replacement. Use of random number
tables in selection of simple random sample. Estimation of population mean and proportion.
Derivation of expression for variance of these estimators. Estimation of variances. Sample size
determination.
Stratified random sampling. Problem of allocation, proportional allocation, optimum allocation.
Derivation of the expressions for the standard errors of the usual estimators when these
allocations are used. Gain in precision due to stratification. Role of sampling cost in the sample
allocation. Minimization of variance for fixed cost. Systematic sampling: estimation of
population mean and population total, standard errors of these estimators.
UNIT-II
Regression and ratio methods of estimation in simple random sampling. Cluster sampling with
equal. Estimators of population mean and their mean square error. Double sampling in ratio
method of estimation. Two-stage sampling with equal first stage units : estimator of population
mean and its variance. Non-sampling errors.
UNIT-III
Principles of Design of experiments: randomization, replication and local control. Choice of size
and type of a plot using uniformity trials. CRD, Randomized block design. Concept and
definition of efficiency of design. Comparison of efficiency between CRD and RBD. Latin
square Design : Lay-out, ANOVA table. Comparison of efficiencies between LSD and RBD;
LSD and CRD.
UNIT-IV
Missing plot technique ; estimation of missing plots by minimizing error sum of squares in RBD
and LSD with one or two missing observations. Factorial Experiments : general description of
factorial experiments; 22, 23 and 2n factorial experiments arranged in RBD and LSD. Definition
of main effects and interactions in 22 and 23 factorial experiments. Preparation of ANOVA by
Yates procedure. Estimates and tests for main and interaction effects (Analysis without
confounding).
REFERENCES
B.A. Part- II
PRACTICAL
The practical examination will be based on papers I and II will cover the following experiments:
List of Practical Experiments
1. Fitting of Binomial, Poisson and Normal distributions to observed data and testing of
goodness of fit.
2. Testing of independence of attributes in m x n contingency table and calculation of measures
of association.
3. t test for (i) = 0 (ii) 1= 2 (iii) = 0 (iv) = 0 (v) = 0
4. F-test for 12= 22
5. Fishers Z-transformation and its use in testing (i) 1 = 2 (ii) =0
6. Calculation of power curve for the test of = 0 against 0 for a normal distribution with
known variance.
7. Large sample tests.
8. Analysis of variance in one-way and two-way classification (with and without interaction
terms).
9. Analysis of a Latin square design.
10. Analysis of variance in RBD and LS design with one or two missing observations.
11. Drawing a simple random sample with the help of table of random numbers.
12. Estimation of population means and variance in simple random sampling.
13. Stratified random sampling for population mean (proportional and optimum allocation).
14. Ratio and regression estimation of population mean and total.
15. Factorial Experiment Practical.
Paper I : Probability
UNIT I
Random experiment, trial, sample point and sample space, events, operations of events, concepts
of equally likely, mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.
Definition of probability : Classical, relative frequency and axiomatic approaches. Discrete
probability space, properties of probability under set theoretic approach. Independence of events,
Conditional probability, total and compound probability theorems, Bayes theorem and its
applications.
UNIT II
Random variables discrete and continuous, probability mass function (pmf) and probability
density function (pdf), Cumulative distribution function (cdf). Joint distribution of two random
variables, marginal and conditional distributions.
UNIT III
Independence of random variables. Expectation of a random variable (rv) and its properties.,
expectation of sum of random variables and product of independent random variables,
conditional expectation
and related problems.
UNIT IV
Moments, moment generating function (m.g.f.) & their properties, continuity theorem for m.g.f.
(without proof).Chebyshevs inequality. Weak law of large numbers and Central Limit Theorem
for a sequence of independently and identically distributed random variables and their
applications.
REFERENCE:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Distributions of function of random variables: Distribution of sum, product and quotient of two
Variable. Reproductive property of standard distributions. 2(chi-square), t and F distributions (
Central cases only) and their limiting forms. Bivariate normal distribution and its properties.
UNIT III
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Concept of statistical population, Attributes and variables (discrete and Continuous). Different
types of scales nominal, ordinal, ratio and interval. Primary data designing a questionnaire
and schedule, collection of primary data, checking their consistency. Secondary data. scrutiny of
data for internal consistency and detection of errors of recording. Presentation of data :
classification, tabulation, diagrammatic & graphical representation of grouped data. Frequency
distributions, cumulative frequency distributions and their graphical representations, histogram,
frequency polygon and ogives. Stem and Leaf plot. Box Plot.
UNIT-II
Measure of central tendency and dispersion, merits and demerits of these measures. Moments
and factorial moments. Shephards correction for moments. Skewness and Kurtosis and their
Measures. Measures based on quartiles. Bivariate data, Method of least squares for curve fitting.
UNIT-III
Correlation and regression, rank Correlation ( Spearmans and Kendalls measure), Intra-class
correlation, correlation ratio. Partial and Multiple Correlation & Multiple Regression for Trivariate data.
UNIT-IV
Attributes- Notion and terminology, contingency table, class frequencies, and ultimate class
frequencies, consistency. Association of attributes, Independence, Measure of association for 2x2
table. Chi-square, Karl Pearsons and Tschuprows coefficient of association. Contingency tables
with ordered categories.
REFERENCES:
1. Goon,Gupta & Dasgupta: Fundamentals of statistics. Vol. I. The world press Private
Ltd., Calcutta.
2. Yule, G.U. and Kendall, M.G.: An Introduction to the theory of statistics. Charles Griffin
& Company Ltd.
3. C. E. Weatherburn: Mathematical Statistics.
B.Sc. Part- I
PRACTICAL
The practical examination will be based on papers I, II & III and will cover the following
experiments.
List of Practical Experiments
Sufficient Statistics, Cramer-Rao inequality and its use in finding MVU estimators. Statistical
Hypothesis (simple and composite). Testing of hypothesis. Type I and Type II errors,
significance level, p-values, power of a test. Definitions of Most Powerful (MP), Uniformly
Most Powerful (UMP) and Uniformly Most Powerful Unbiased (UMPU) tests.
UNIT III
Neyman-Pearsons lemma and its applications for finding most powerful tests for simple
hypothesis against simple alternative. Tests based on t, F and 2 distributions.
UNIT-IV
Likelihood ratio tests and their reduction to standard tests. Large sample tests. Interval
estimation, Pivotal quantity and its use in finding confidence intervals, concept of best
confidence intervals.
REFERENCE
1.
2.
3.
4.
Sampling vs. complete enumeration : sampling units and frame. Precision and efficiency of
estimators. Simple Random sampling with and without replacement. Use of random number
tables in selection of simple random sample. Estimation of population mean and proportion.
Derivation of expression for variance of these estimators. Estimation of variances. Sample size
determination.
UNIT-II
Regression and ratio methods of estimation in simple random sampling. Cluster sampling with
equal clusters. Estimators of population mean and their mean square error.
UNIT-IV
Double sampling in ratio method of estimation. Two-stage sampling with equal first stage units :
estimator of population mean and its variance. Non-sampling errors.
REFERENCES
Analysis of Variance. One way classification. Assumptions regarding model. Two way
classification with equal number of observations per cell. Duncans multiple comparison test.
Analysis of covariance.
UNIT-II
Latin square Design, Lay-out, ANOVA table. Comparison of efficiencies between LSD and
RBD; LSD and CRD. Missing plot technique : estimation of missing plots by minimizing error
sum of squares in RBD and LSD with one or two missing observations.
UNIT-IV
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
B.Sc. Part- II
PRACTICAL
The practical examination will be based on papers I, II and III and will cover the following
experiments:
List of Practical Experiments
1. Fitting of Binomial, Poisson and Normal distributions to observed data and testing of
goodness of fit.
2. Testing of independence of attributes in m x n contingency table and calculation of
measures of association.
3. t test for (i) = 0 (ii) 1= 2 (iii) = 0 (iv) = 0 (v) = 0
4. F-test for 12= 22
5. Fishers Z-transformation and its use in testing (i) 1 = 2 (ii) =0
6. Calculation of power curve for the test of = 0 against 0 for a normal distribution
with known variance.
7. Large sample tests.
8. Analysis of variance in one-way and two-way classification (with and without interaction
terms).
9. Analysis of a Latin square design.
10. Analysis of variance in RBD and LS design with one or two missing observations.
11. Drawing a simple random sample with the help of table of random numbers.
12. Estimation of population means and variance in simple random sampling.
13. Stratified random sampling for population mean (proportional and optimum allocation).
14. Ratio and regression estimation of population mean and total.
15. Factorial Experiment Practical.
Order Statistics. Distributions of minimum, rth and maximum order statistic. Joint distribution of
rth and sth order statistics (in continuous case) Distribution of sample range & sample median, for
uniform and exponential distributions. Confidence interval of quantiles of order p.
UNIT III
Non-parametric tests Tests for randomness and test for goodness of fit. One sample tests : sign
test, Wilcoxon signed rank tests. Two sample tests : run test, Kolmogorov Smirnovs test.
Median test and Mann-Whitney U test. Mood tests and Sukhatme test for scale parameter,
Spearmans rank correlation test.
UNIT IV
Linear regression model of full rank, Least squares theory. Estimation of parameters-OLSE and
MLE of and test of hypotheses. R2 and adjusted R2. ANOVA table for regression,
REFERENCE :
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Mood, A.M., Graybill F and Boes D.C. : Introduction to the theory of Statistics.
Gibbons, J.D. : Non-parametric statistical inference
Conover, W.J. : Practical Non-parametric Statistics
David, H.A. : Order Statistics
Johnston : Econometric Methods
Anderson : Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis, Chaps 1,2 & 3
Time series, its different components, illustrations, additive and multiplicative models,
determination of trend, growth curves, analysis of seasonal fluctuations, construction of seasonal
indices. Idea of Correlogram & periodogram.
Index number its definition, application of index number, price relative and quantity or volume
relatives, link and chain relative, problem involved in computation of index number, use of
averages, simple aggregative and weighted average method. Laspeyres, Paashes and Fishers
index number, time and factor reversal tests of index numbers, consumer price index
UNIT II
Educational Statistics: Scaling procedures scaling of test items, test scores, rating of qualitative
answers and judgements. Test theory, linear models, parallel tests, true score, reliability and
validity of tests. Tetra-choric, bi-serial and point bi-serial correlation coefficients.
UNIT III
Demographic methods : Sources of demographic data census, register, ad-hoc survey, hospital
records, demographic profiles of Indian Censuses. Measurement of mortality, crude death rates,
age specific death rates, infant mortality rates, death rate by cause. Measurement of fertility
crude birth rate, general fertility rate, age-specific birth rate, total fertility rate, gross
reproduction rate, net reproduction rate, standardized death rates, age pyramid of sex
composition , other measures of fertility. Logistic curve fitting and its use in population
projection. Complete life table, its main features and construction. Official Statistics CSO, NSSO
and census organizations their set-up and functions.
UNIT IV
Control charts for variables and attributes, modified control charts, group control charts,
CUSUM charts, V mask. Sampling inspection by attributes single and double sampling plans.
Producers and consumers risk, OC, ASN, ATI functions AOQL and LTPD of sampling plans.
Sampling inspection by variables simple cases.
REFERENCE :
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
General linear programming problems and their formulations. Method for solving LPP :
Graphical Method, Simplex method, Big M method, Two phase Method Duality in LPP
Transportation problem: North-west corner rule, Least cost method, Vogels approximation
method. Optimum solution : Stepping stone method, Method of Multipliers. Assignment
Problem : Hungarian Algorithm.
UNIT II
Replacement problems (individual and group). Queueing Models M/M/1, M/M/C models
waiting time distribution for M/M/1, Littles formulae. M/G/1 Queueing system, cost profit
models in queueing theory.
UNIT III
Network Analysis : Minimal Spanning Tree, Model Shortest-route problems, Maximal Flow
Model.
Project Management : PERT/CPM determination of floats construction of time chart and
resources labelling.
UNIT IV
Inventory Models : FOQ models, Non-zero, land time, EOQ with shortages allowed.
Dynamic Programming : Bellmans optimality principle. Applications. Job sequencing : n jobs
machines, n jobs K machines, 2 jobs n machines.
REFERENCES :
1. Swarup Kanti, Gupta P.K. and Man Mohan : Operations Research, Sultan Chand & Sons.
2. Taha, H.A. : Operations Research, Mac Millan publishing.
PRACTICALS :