23st Alternative Edition of New Light of Myanmar
23st Alternative Edition of New Light of Myanmar
23st Alternative Edition of New Light of Myanmar
Established 2008
Alternative
Volume XVII, Number 243@ 14th Waning of Nadaw 1371 ME Tuesday, 15 December, 2009
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Rigged elections Broken promises The junta would like to urge the pro-
democracy forces to co-operate with the
(04mar2009) (25sep2009) SPDC. Well, it could be put the other way
What is to be expected from the I wish I would have positive around as well: I rather would urge the
upcoming 2010 elections? Will they be fair? expectations of the 2010 elections. SPDC to bilaterally cooperate with the
Unfortunately I don't due to the past opposition. Until know the SPDC has
Won't they be rigged? Won't they be
experience we have with the credibility of shown its unwillingness to enter into
manipulated? I think those elections will be
the junta. The so-called improvements are reconciliation (note the difference with
as fake as the 2008 referendum. First of all rather disputable. Cease-fires with ethnic, 'reconsolidation') talks with the opposition,
many opposition parties may not be armed groups sometimes have been forced where the opposition (e.g. Aung San Suu
involved for logical reasons that I already or reached using deception. Ethnic groups Kyi) has always shown its preparedness to
explained in detail in my article "To oppose not having agreed to a cease-fire (returning start those. It is the SPDC that is rigid,
or to compromise", published in the 13th to the "legal fold", becoming border guards) stubborn and only wants others to accept its
and 14th @NLMs of 14 and 24 November risk and face being violently attacked by the conditions. I want the SPDC to be flexible
2008 (see website below). Hence the results Tatmadaw. The 2008 Referendum on the and bend in the first place. Only then
of the elections never will be a Constitution was very much rigged as we all substantial progress can be made.
representative reflection of the people and know. What may we expect from the
what they actually would like to vote. promises of the junta regarding the To join or not to join
Secondly, knowing the junta by now, they elections? Does one remember what
just will fool and deceive everyone again, as happened in 1990? Broken promises! (14aug2009)
What consequences may all this
they always have done. Before the 2008
I think the opinions on the 2010 have to the preparations (if any) of various
Referendum I have declared their results as
elections are ambiguous: on one side opposition parties for the 2010 elections?
invalid and I'll do the same with the 2010 everyone wants to escape from the Making clear that the junta should leave, or
elections: its results will be invalid and dictatorial repression as much as possible at least does not make (a 25%) part of a next
should not be recognised by anyone. and thus may think it is best to participate in government and else not participating? Or
the elections. On the other side it is making the best of it, participating in the
Junta supporters blame the NLD (or contradictory to have to accept the junta's elections as prescribed and foreseen by the
the opposition in general) for not wanting to rules in order to participate in the elections junta, and see what happens? A difficult
participate in the upcoming 2010 elections. and to accept that the result will never be dilemma as Burma still is in the phase of
It would show their lack of cooperation, 100% of what one would desire: 100% repression by the dictators, who have the
their lack of "pity for the poor citizens", elected representatives, no 25% unelected physical power and the arms and can do as
their lack of experience and quality to rule military representation. An additional they like. And if wanting to participate, how
the country democratically, their practical issue is the impossibility to fully to if many good party members are
incapability to improve the country participate while many main leaders are politically jailed? Of course the junta
politically imprisoned. deliberately puts its opponents in such a
economically and their lack of a feeling of
weak and vulnerable position.
responsibility for the people and the
One might expect the political
country. The NLD (LA) and other prisoners to be possibly released after An intermediate solution possibly
opposition parties would only be interested '2010'. That may be true, but that is 20 years might be to participate in the 2010 elections,
in their own power and not so much in the too late. The NLM often carries a slogan to prepare for it now, while at the same time
fate of the Burmese people. These views of "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years continuing to repeat the demand to want a
course represent wishful thinking, hoping ago, the second best time is now.". I think it government without the junta and,
that the opposition will not compete, hoping is intended to point to stimulating the especially to the NLD, to want the necessary
that they will be intimidated sufficiently to people's cooperation in building the country, immediate release of all political prisoners.
indeed refrain from participating. In such a persuading them to follow the government One may also declare to participate under
case the junta would be able to say that the and to stop opposing. But I think it could protest, that is to accept the situation as a
opposition has no moral right to raise its also be applied to persuade the junta to status quo for the time being, but that if the
voice anymore, it had its chance and didn't admit its past and present mistakes and to situation changes, if the junta in some way
take it. That situation should preferably be release the political prisoners immediately, is ruled out, and that at that time the 2008
they should be released now and not just in referendum, constitution and 2010 elections
avoided, rigging or not.
one or two years. (see page 12)
[email protected] Justice Reforms Burma http://jrburma.int.tf
Duties or crimes
James Russell Brownwood
04mar+14+19aug2009
Main humanitarian crimes of the junta 66 different towns and cities across the lives could yet have been saved;
country. The SPDC responded to the
(14+19aug2009) protests with predictable and 10. The lies and deceptions in the state run
Junta supporters regard the below disproportionate levels of violence despite media about the 1990 elections: Examples
listed actions of the junta as just the best and numerous international calls for restraint. of making calculations in the NLMs: 30% =
necessary legal actions to take in certain Thousands were arrested, hundreds 31% = 38% = 1/3; 15million = 20million =
circumstances, in order to "maintain peace wounded, and scores are believed to have (almost) 21million; 7million = (almost)
and stability, law and order", to prevent and been killed." 8million; "more than 12M were against
combat unrest, rebellion, anarchy, a civil <http://www.ncgub.net/article.php?story=20 NLD", whereas only 5.3M valid votes were
war, possibly disintegration of the country 080309233352689> not NLD; "20% for NLD" based on not
and to control criticism and protest against eligible, invalid and non- voters too instead
their policy. Opposition supporters (and the 4. The (long lasting) detention (mostly of on voters; arbitrary exchange of "eligible
opposition) regard each of the below listed without a trial) of Aung San Suu Kyi and voters" (20,818,313), "voters" (15,112,524)
actions more or less criminal acts, the existence of some 2200 political and valid voters (13,253,606) in
unnecessary and unjustified, only to the prisoners, including lawyers; calculations; different calculation methods
benefit of the rulers (military leaders and for NUP and NLD (different 100%
judicial system) for which they have to 5. The testified, officially reported torture, amounts) and as a result: "33% NLD vs
account some time. It is irresponsible to let denial of medical care and murder of 20% NUP", while in reality 60% NLD
this feudal, medieval government continue political prisoners (genocide); (7,934,622 votes) and 21% NUP (2,805,559
to exist. Crimes that the junta can be votes), almost 3 times as many for the NLD
accused of are: 6. The continuous killing and abusing (resulting in 81% seats). Deception or
(raping) of ethnic people and the destruction idiocy. The Big Brother 1+1=3 effect.
1. Detaining ASSK unlawfully during 14 of of their villages by the Tatmadaw Responsible people should be fired;
the past 20 years without taking (genocide);
responsibility for all the (judicial) 11. The prohibition of personal freedom,
consequences of that detention. 7. Chasing ethnic groups out of the country freedom of (critical) speech, freedom of
(Rohingyas) (genocide). "Rohingyas are not press;
2. The abuse of an abolished law (from Myanmars" and must leave, junta: "we don't 12. The child-soldiers recruited by the
1974-1988) to get ASSK convicted and put accept them", shoot them into space, Tatmadaw.
away from the political stage for the 2010 whatever. Race discrimination! Comparison
elections. 1988: 1974 Constitution annulled, to EU, US and UK is lacking here: "Jews Why can't the junta members be prosecuted
including the 1975 State Security Law (art. are no Europeans, should be murdered in Burma? Doesn't the law have articles to
2). The prosecution had testified that the (done), Black Americans are not the original prohibit all that? Isn't the law in accordance
Restriction Order was imposed to restrict ones, imported as slaves from Africa; with the Universal Declaration of Human
(or) withdraw her Fundamental Rights as should be sent home. Indians, Pakistanis, Rights? Or only on paper?
stipulated in the 1974 Constitution of the Burmese, etc. from former UK colonies
Socialist Republic of the Union of Burma. don't belong in UK, should leave forcedly"; Criticise and arrest
3. The violent crackdown of peaceful mass 8. The breaking of promises from before the (04mar2009)
demonstrations against the exorbitant raise elections in 1990 after them. During 1989 If we wouldn't really expect any
of fuel prices (Sep 2007) (genocide). The the SLORC statements gradually became change in Burma as a result of protests of
army shot unarmed demonstrators, killed somewhat obscure and less pronounced. human rights activists, as a result of the
31, wounded and arrested many. "In August They came back on their promises after the (failed, past and future) diplomatic UN
and September 2007, the people of Burma NLD campaigned clearly for basic civil missions to Burma or as a result of the
took to the streets in protest of the continued rights, including freedom of expression, economic sanctions, then should we yet
oppressive rule of the State Peace and publication and assembly; accept to let all kinds of abuse and
Development Council (SPDC). These oppression to go on, should we stop
protests represented the largest overt public 9. The genocide by restricting foreign and protesting and leave the victims to
display of dissent against the SPDC in 20 private, non-governmental domestic themselves? Should we allow the abuse and
years with hundreds of thousands of humanitarian aid after the cyclone Nargis. A repression to continue because we can do
demonstrators marching in protest in no lot of international help refused for a long nothing about it? Should we close our eyes,
fewer than 227 separate demonstrations in time or indefinitely. Many thousands of (see page 12)
[email protected] Justice Reforms Burma http://jrburma.int.tf
To capitulate or to revolt
James Russell Brownwood
18+23+25sep+03nov2009
Internal NLD revolution resulting in a bloody civil war? Would one order, peace and slavery, unity and
(03nov2009) have respect for such energetic deeds? obedience, no civil war or revolution,
Rumours are being spread in the quietness and silence, no objections, not a
Usenet newsgroup soc.culture.burma about Or would one want the younger sound as everyone's mouth is shut.
an upcoming rebellion inside the NLD. NLD members to change the direction of Prosperity, fulfillment of life like the
Younger party members would be their noses to blindly follow the self- working life of an ant. What a higher
dissatisfied about the goals and appointed, dictatorial junta and Than Shwe, horrendous perspective!
achievements of the older leaders, including even more enthusiastically than they now
Aung San Suu Kyi. They soon would follow the elected, democratic NLD leaders The fact that many of the efforts of
commit a coup, dismiss the existing and Aung San Suu Kyi? Would one want the opposition, inside and outside Burma,
leadership and take over. These rumours are them to become soldiers in the Tatmadaw, inside and outside prison, by Burmese and
being spread by one of the junta supporters, following Than Shwe's orders to destroy foreigners, turn out to be useless, a waste of
reporting about secret gatherings to that border regions, to rape ethnic women and to time and energy, is due to the stubborn and
purpose, that he claims ot know of. It is arrest opposition politicians? Would one strongly armed government, that doesn't
suggested that the younger generation want them to become like robots, fighting want to cooperate with the people, that
would be fed up with the allegedly rigid machines for the (d)evil Than Shwe? doesn't want to respond to the people's
attitude of the older generation and would "Befehl ist Befehl" / 'order is order' and desires. Indeed, if everyone would mind his
like to sail a more constructive and 'junta law is law'? own business nobody would complain. If
conformist course in the direction of the one obeys the junta one does not necessarily
junta's policy. Whether these rumours are Capitulate, accept reality need to expect oppression, though that in
true or may be plausible is not substantiated. (23+25sep2009) practice does not always seem true. If the
And even then the question is, whether the What an idea! Don't waste time, monks don't mind the wellbeing of the
younger ones would be more moderate or stop opposing the SPDC. Go along with the citizens, if they don't help and support the
just more extreme and ready for action. SPDC, set aside your principles, surrender. common people, they won't face the
Make plans for the future (elections and so repression so much. Likewise, if the
One way or the other on) as long as not contradictory to what the generals would mind their own business,
(18sep2009) Big Boss wants. You may choose any which is to give up their role as dictators
One fact is clear, which is that the colour as long as it is black. Plan to release making the rules and laws, deciding about
junta supporters apparently attribute a lot of the political prisoners in 65 years from now, the freedom of others and so on, they
power to the NLD leaders, more than don't spoil energy in getting them free wouldn't face opposition either.
realistically justified perhaps, being able, earlier, it wouldn't work at all. And you
even from jail, despite prohibition of don't risk to be beaten if not opposing, that Or never give up
speech, despite their weakness and being on itself already makes a difference. Just do
confined, to demand reconciliation talks as Than Shwe says, don't object if he chases Given that stuck situation, no
with the junta. That is very brashly at the you out of the country, rapes you, robs you correction of 1990, no substantial political
point of the Tatmadaw's guns, how dare or otherwise abuses you; it won't have any and social improvements yesterday and
they. Would one want the younger NLD effect as he is Big Brother with the guns and today, no release of major political prisoners
members to correct for the allegedly feeble bullets. If he puts you in prison for (previously elected politicians and potential
attitude of the 'pathetic' NLD leaders? something you said, don't say anything candidates), given the vain attempts to
Would one want those NLD members to anymore, don't protest and make plans for successfully oppose the junta, does not
take up their own responsibility? Would one the time after that, positive thinking! justify the termination of those efforts and
really want the younger members to choose Opposition is a waste of time and energy, it giving in to the junta. After all the common
new leaders from among themselves, who won't help because he will kill you and main and first goal is the removal of the
can be decisive, powerful and authoritarian, you've nothing left to obey him with. generals, the SPDC and the release of all
because they are not jailed? Would one (about 2300) political prisoners now, not
want them to follow their hearts and to carry Actually thinking and desiring on only in 2010, 20 years too late. So, despite
out their own desires? Would one want itself are a waste of time and energy, your the lost time and energy and the delay it
them to solve the Burmese problems and to goals will be unfeasible. Than Shwe will may cause in the junta's developments and
save Burma? Would one want an NLD think for you and knows what's best for you, promises, it is principally impossible to give
armed wing? Would one want the younger so you'd better kill your mind already and in to the junta, to set aside the primary goals
ones to ignore their current leaders and start continue living as a zombie/robot. Stop and to only strive for secondary (and
a violent revolution against the junta, thinking, obey! Then there will be law and (see page 7)
[email protected] Justice Reforms Burma http://jrburma.int.tf
the quality of the remaining life? Or would to oneself to give up fighting for freedom
To capitulate or to you say that the research efforts already and human rights, for one's quality of life.
have proven to be rather fruitless and better
revolt could be stopped, while you would Responsible decision
(James Russell Brownwood) concentrate on the things that you still can
(from page 6) do before dying soon, accepting a painful (03nov2009)
death? Whatever is true of those rumours
individual) goals or to postpone the primary on an emerging internal revolution in the
goals until 2010 or later. How can the A human being might give up his NLD? I haven't seen/read any other
people continue to do as if there are no main secondary and less important goals, but evidence pointing towards that direction. It
problems, influencing their life, their never his primary ones that form the does not seem logical either; conforming to
freedom, their health? meaning and purpose of his life. Apart from the junta by more or less giving in is
that psychological impossibility it is also contrary to the primary goal of desiring the
If a swarm of mosquitoes is politically unacceptable to let the oppression existence of the junta to cease and getting
attacking and stinging you, you hit around go on, to accept the continuing crimes more extreme is not sensible and feasible. I
you to chase them away. If that does not against humanity by the junta, the political think the current leaders are doing a good
work or not sufficiently, you don't stop debacle of 1990 and to deal with the junta as job as far as possible. They don't have much
attempting to chase them away, letting them if nothing is wrong. If an airplane with 150 power, but they are being heard, like Aung
prick you undisturbed while concentrating people has been hijacked and lengthy San Suu Kyi. And remaining non-violent,
on the walk you are about to do. No, you negotiations don't yield any result, one pacifist, is a strong quality, justifying the
can't do anything else than trying to get rid doesn't give up negotiating, letting those NLD's viable position as an important,
of those aggressive and irritating insects, 150 people die. One continues to negotiate legitimate opposition party. I wish them all
because they are thwarting your walk. Or if and to attempt to get all people free, the best with their decision to participate in
you would get cancer wouldn't you want the whatever it takes in terms of time, effort and the upcoming elections or not.
medical research to put all its efforts in money. One never gives up the primary goal
finding a cure or at least a means to increase in life, which is to live! It would be treason ********
[email protected] Justice Reforms Burma http://jrburma.int.tf
President level military as well. Now he left Burma interesting to know whether Than Shwe
secretly and apparently plans to return in agrees or likes to be called like that in the
[13nov2009] four days. Can he return safely, I mean country he visits. It could be a serious slip
I have never seen Than Shwe being could he be intercepted on his travel home, of the (Sri Lankan) tongue as well. But I
called Myanmar's President. I only saw him whether by plane or by boat in international haven't seen any further reports on his visit
referenced as 'the Head of State' or 'Senior air space or waters? And is there any by the Sri Lankan ITN news.
General Than Shwe'. I always thought he international authority to arrest him at this
and the government abolished the title time? Has an arrest warrant been released? The Lanka Business Online on 11
President by an unwritten habit to New developments, new opportunities. November already reports about criticism
distinguish their dictatorial regime from a from Colombo monks on the invitation to
democratically elected one, recognising the, Press reports Than Shwe in view of disputable human
mildly put, not entirely legitimate character rights in Sri Lanka too. The news site does
of their domination to a certain extent. I We'll see how the national and not use the title President for Than Shwe.
thought that was a sign of at least some international press will report on his visit Yet the Sri Lankan Ministry of Defence in a
respect to the people of Burma, suggesting and his return. We'll also see how the press release calls him President as does the
there is currently not a real President of international community will respond to official site of the 'Democratic Socialist
Myanmar. Than Shwe's hazardous trip. If it doesn't Republic of Sri Lanka'. Further examples of
have any consequences for the personal news sites using the term 'President' are the
Now I read about Than Shwe's four safety of Than Shwe would he make more InfoLanka news site and Asia Observer. The
days visit to Sri Lanka, prepared secretly, of such trips in the future? Would he want Asian Tribune, published by the WIAS in
not at all unleashed to the public media to gain the goodwill of 'friendly' nations for Sweden also uses the word 'President' for
before. In the article from the Independent himself and the elections? Would he really Than Shwe. Many other news sites do not
Television Network in Sri Lanka (published step down as Head of State after the qualify Than Shwe as Myanmar's President.
here in SCB by U Myint Lwin) he is elections, whether or not the opposition Anyone interested can find enough
addressed as the 'President of Myanmar'. parties would win? examples himself.
Where do they get that qualification from?
Did the President of Sri Lanka Rajapakse Than Shwe's depart has been What would the common people in
want to use that title himself? Did the ITN reported in the NLM of 13 November 2009. Burma think about Than Shwe's leave? If
reporters use the term by their own? Did or The report contains the usual dry summary the NLM were a serious, free news medium,
does Than Shwe agree with that title? Will of all people joining Than Shwe on his trip it would report about opinions of the man in
he be called 'President of Myanmar' from to Sri Lanka and all people seeing them off. the street, but we should not expect that
now on, even more consolidating his No further elaboration on the purpose of his kind of stories. The man in the street is not
position? trip, except to pay a goodwill visit in return. important to the mouthpiece of the junta.
Nothing yet about his arrival in Sri Lanka. The only important issues to report about
Striking is that the China View news Not surprising as the NLM is renowned for Myanmar are the reality soaps of the
agency also reports about Than Shwe's its delayed, afterwards publications. We generals and the material achievements, the
unexpected visit to Sri Lanka, but without may expect further reports on Than Shwe's developments in the infrastructure of
using the title 'President'. They call him 'top visit to Sri Lanka and his return in Burma Burma. Never anything negative about
leader Senior-General Than Shwe' and after his safe return on 15 November. So, on Burma, never reports on poignant situations
'Chairman of the SPDC'. The news is still 16 November the NLM will be full of that urgently need improvement. Instead
quite hot, we have to wait and see how he reports on his foreign trip. everything possible to discredit the West,
will be called by other news agencies, the US in particular, every unsavoury detail
including the Burmese, e.g. in the New No president of the war in Iraq and Afghanistan and daily
Light of Myanmar from 13 November 2009, slogans like "VOA, BBC-sowing hatred
if reported live at all in there. It is remarkable that the current among the people". We would like to know
report in the NLM does not at all use the more about the consequences and opinions
Traveling abroad title 'President', just 'Chairman of the State in Burma of Than Shwe's visit; well that
Peace and Development Council of the may gradually become known via the
I also thought Than Shwe wouldn't Union of Myanmar Senior General Than various news media.
dare to travel abroad, afraid of being Shwe'. So it must be that the Sri Lanka
arrested or something; he always lets the authorities and/or press used the (see page 11)
international visits to his ministers, higer qualification at their own accord. It still is
[email protected] Justice Reforms Burma http://jrburma.int.tf
To ASEAN or to be seen
James Russell Brownwood
26oct2009
apter1.shtml]. How authoritative is that political changes in Burma now or will it at
What can the ASEAN do for the charter? Just a paper tiger as well, like the least wait until after the 2010 elections? If
democratisation in Burma? Or should the ASEAN itself? "Nothing contained in the waiting, how will the ASEAN react to the
question be: What will the ASEAN do for present Charter shall authorize the United expected insufficient result from the
the democratisation in Burma? What Nations to intervene in matters which are elections? What options does the ASEAN
authority does the ASEAN have with regard essentially within the domestic jurisdiction have? Can or would it ban Burma from its
to national politics in its member countries? of any state or shall require the Members to alliance? Would that be a good measure?
What actually is the ASEAN's purpose with submit such matters to settlement under the What do we have to expect from the
regard to internal affairs in its member present Charter; but this principle shall not ASEAN in view of all international effort to
countries? prejudice the application of enforcement force political reforms in Burma?
measures under Chapter Vll."
Burma joined the ASEAN in 1997. [http://www.un.org/en/documents/charter/ch ********
Could or would the ASEAN have more apter1.shtml]
influence on Burma before that or after that? (from page 7)
Or did the other ASEAN countries just think Can the ASEAN be compared to an
that admitting Burma would offer better international organisation like the EU, also
conditions to exercise influence? Or was putting demands to future member countries
Burma admitted for the benefit of the then
participating countries in the ASEAN?
with regard to their economy, (inter)national
politics and human rights? Why did the
Monthly
ASEAN admit Burma before any
"The ASEAN Declaration states that
the aims and purposes of the Association
are: (1) to accelerate economic growth,
substantial, internal improvements with
regard to human rights, like the EU would
do? Would their even be a similarity with
spy reports
social progress and cultural development in the early United States (banning slavery
the region and (2) to promote regional peace from all its member states)? DPRK, Chinese
and stability through abiding respect for
justice and the rule of law in the relationship Three main countries of the embassy staff visit
among countries in the region and ASEAN, Singapore, Malaysia and
adherence to the principles of the United Indonesia, opted for Burma's membership,
SPDC Headquarters
Nations Charter."
[http://www.aseansec.org/64.htm]
especially after "the Burmese regime
allowed the repatriation of thousands of
26 times in November
Muslim Rohingyas refugees from 09dec2009
There was a time when one of the Bangladesh in 1992"
implicit goals of the ASEAN was to attempt [http://www.idea.int/asia_pacific/burma/upl RANGOON, 8 Dec-The public have
to change the national political situation in oad/chap1.pdf]. Was that step too quick, too condemned the SPDC and remained
Burma. Officially that goal still exists (as optimistic? Was it based on sufficient constant vigilance against its Headquarters
part of its Declaration), but in practice it is promises and expectations? It certainly was that has been contacting with the DPRK and
quite rigid, nice words, virtually without any based on (expected) economic progress for Chinese Embassies in Rangoon and
practical content. The ASEAN countries are all participating countries. following their instructions. The staff of
divided and have their own problems and those embassies visited the SPDC
don't always adhere to the ASEAN's goals The main question of course is: Headquarters 26 times in the month of
themselves. Does the ASEAN pay more what can the ASEAN do for Burma November 2009. They met SPDC cabinet
interest to international relations and presently? What substantial measures can members and sent classified documents.-
economical aspects than to national, internal the ASEAN take for the benefit of the NLM
politics? oppressed Burmese people? What power
does the ASEAN have to really force the Source: New Light of Myanmar, English
The ASEAN adheres to the release of all political prisoners in Burma? edition, 9 December 2009 (page 9)
principles of the United Nations Charter And the $1000 question: what will the
********
[http://www.un.org/en/documents/charter/ch ASEAN do about it? Will it enforce
To (a)mend or to mind?
James Russell Brownwood
29sep+20+23oct2009
measure of the junta to consolidate itself best from the elections, that will take place
[29sep2009] and its policies? in any case, but I fear it will be insufficient,
The Constitution was drafted by both before (allowing parties to participate)
many, if not a majority of military and for During the past time the people and and after (further reorganising the
the rest by people largely supporting the the opposition parties have clearly shown to government and politics). But I would give
junta, even selected by them. Politically that want to get rid of the junta completely, to it a try, the benefit of the doubt. Evaluation
is rather one-sided, consolidating the junta's want a revolutionary change towards afterwards will show what next steps should
power. The people were not able to have democracy, not one orchestrated by the be taken.
any influence on the Constitution, nor were junta. Several means have been applied to
they able to study it thoroughly before the fight for this goal, most of them entirely Practically impossible
2008 Referendum (not enough copies peaceful, like demonstrations (1988 and
available, too expensive and much too late). 2007) and expressed criticism. Now, with [23oct2009]
Finally the voting process in the referendum the 2010 elections in sight there seems to be While studying the details of
was seriously rigged and the procedures another opportunity for a change in a possibly amending the 2008 Constitution
were not correctly set up. There are many peaceful way. But will that change be the (by a new government after the 2010
reports about that. change that the people want, in 2010 or elections) and the many sections involved, it
somewhat later? Will it be possible, by becomes quite clear that changing anything
Strict conditions following the junta's measures and in the Constitution at least requires more
[20oct2009] regulations, to reach the change that the than 75% of the votes of all representatives
The 2008 Constitution contains people actually want, to vote the junta down in the Hluttaw, while in specifically
preconditions, obligations to any political completely? Can the people's desire ever be indicated cases an additional referendum is
party that wants to participate in the 2010 realised this way or not? necessary with more than 50% of eligible
elections. In particular paragraph 404 votes. As the military representatives of the
demands that any political party must agree If the population can not reach its current junta already will take up 25% of the
to non-disintegration forever. This is one of fundamental goals via the 2010 elections, representatives it is not likely that those
the issues from the Constitution that is very what alternatives would they have to reach 'more than 75%' will ever be feasible and
much disputed. It is not so much about their goals at all? I merely need to point to realised. So, in practice it is out of the
disintegration or no disintegration, but it is my slogan at the end of this article, with question that the Constitution can be
the about the (disputed) value and the which I express the relativity of views and changed this way by dancing to the junta's
authority of the Constitution and the real opposite views on the junta. In the one view piping. This of course already is known for
people's desire. If a party, in the long run, the junta is the legitimate government ruling over 1½ years and confirmed by both sides.
would want to get rid of the Constitution and safeguarding the country optimally; in
and to change it, would it be out of the the other view the junta is the terrorist, the I don't tell anything new by saying
question to cancel this paragraph? I mean, if insurgent, violently suppressing any that this is not sufficient and acceptable to
a party in the near future would want or opposition against itself. It only seems a most Burmese people. Their primary goal to
allow disintegration or at least not exclude matter of relative, fundamental view, not of dump the junta completely cannot and will
it, would that party be excluded from the absolute truth and right. not be realised with any election outcome
2010 elections now? If so, I think, it is and neither in the near future after that.
rather rigid. My feelings about the upcoming Political prisoners will not be released
elections are ambivalent and mine aren't the instantly if at all and the influence of the
Under the current law and only ones like that. On one hand I would military and their Tatmadaw will not be
Constitution, would be possible, with regard like that it gives the people the chances that excluded at all. Regarding this future
to paragraph 407, to participate in the they want and I would like to give the scenario is actually doesn't matter whether
elections _and_ at the same time to people the chance to attempt that, I would to engage in the elections or not, whether to
(continue to) object to the junta that made like the NLD to participate for example. On vote or not. The 2010 elections and its
up the law and the Constitution. Would it be the other hand I fear the possibilities and the results will not bring democracy, but instead
possible to discharge the junta using their result will be too less, not what most people will reinforce and legitimate the junta's
own means? If yes, wouldn't it be somewhat really would want. So, would it be better to position. The voting procedures will be
contradictory to have to accept the junta's participate in or to ignore the elections and rigged (mark my words!), just like in the
means to overthrow them? How would it be force some other way to more radical 2008 Referendum. The so-called
possible to really induce changes desired by changes? After all, it is all about what the 'democracy' after 2010 is all but a real
a party and the voting people, starting from people want, not what the junta wants? With democracy.
the current legislation? Is this paragraph a many other people I can only hope for the (see page 15)
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