This document summarizes a study on infrastructure financing in the Philippines from 2008-2012. It finds that there has been underinvestment in infrastructure, with public infrastructure spending averaging only 1.4-2.1% of GDP against a target of 5%. This underinvestment is reflected in the Philippines' low ranking in ASEAN for quality of infrastructure. While public sources of financing have been constrained, new opportunities exist from regional funds, a growing capital market, and private-public partnerships. However, institutional weaknesses could still limit investment and reforms are needed to strengthen policies and institutions.
This document summarizes a study on infrastructure financing in the Philippines from 2008-2012. It finds that there has been underinvestment in infrastructure, with public infrastructure spending averaging only 1.4-2.1% of GDP against a target of 5%. This underinvestment is reflected in the Philippines' low ranking in ASEAN for quality of infrastructure. While public sources of financing have been constrained, new opportunities exist from regional funds, a growing capital market, and private-public partnerships. However, institutional weaknesses could still limit investment and reforms are needed to strengthen policies and institutions.
This document summarizes a study on infrastructure financing in the Philippines from 2008-2012. It finds that there has been underinvestment in infrastructure, with public infrastructure spending averaging only 1.4-2.1% of GDP against a target of 5%. This underinvestment is reflected in the Philippines' low ranking in ASEAN for quality of infrastructure. While public sources of financing have been constrained, new opportunities exist from regional funds, a growing capital market, and private-public partnerships. However, institutional weaknesses could still limit investment and reforms are needed to strengthen policies and institutions.
This document summarizes a study on infrastructure financing in the Philippines from 2008-2012. It finds that there has been underinvestment in infrastructure, with public infrastructure spending averaging only 1.4-2.1% of GDP against a target of 5%. This underinvestment is reflected in the Philippines' low ranking in ASEAN for quality of infrastructure. While public sources of financing have been constrained, new opportunities exist from regional funds, a growing capital market, and private-public partnerships. However, institutional weaknesses could still limit investment and reforms are needed to strengthen policies and institutions.
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Philippine Institute for Development Studies
Surian sa mga Pag-aaral Pangkaunlaran ng Pilipinas The PIDS Discussion Paper Series constitutes studies that are preliminary and subject to further revisions. They are be- ing circulated in a limited number of cop- ies only for purposes of soliciting com- ments and suggestions for further refine- ments. The studies under the Series are unedited and unreviewed. The views and opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not neces- sarily reflect those of the Institute. Not for quotation without permission from the author(s) and the Institute. The Research Information Staff, Philippine Institute for Development Studies 5th Floor, NEDA sa Makati Building, 106 Amorsolo Street, Legaspi Village, Makati City, Philippines Tel Nos: (63-2) 8942584 and 8935705; Fax No: (63-2) 8939589; E-mail: [email protected] Or visit our website at http://www.pids.gov.ph January 2014 Financing Infrastructure in the Philippines: Fiscal Landscape and Resources Mobilization DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES NO. 2014-01 Adoracion M. Navarro and Gilberto M. Llanto
Financing Infrastructure in the Philippines: Fiscal Landscape and Resources Mobilization
Adoracion M. Navarro and Gilberto M. Llanto 1
Abstract
This study assessed the sources and levels of infrastructure financing in the Philippines for the last five years (2008-2012). The mapping of fiscal resources showed that there had been underinvestment in infrastructure. To illustrate, in 2008-2012, public infrastructure spending as a share of GDP ranged between a low of 1.40 percent to a high of 2.09 percenta far cry from the target 5 percent of GDP over the medium term. The result of many years of infrastructure underinvestment is woefully manifested in the Philippines place in quality- of- infrastructure ranking among ASEAN member states; it is currently second to the bottom. Recently, there had been significant improvements in the governments fiscal position that augur well for more substantial infrastructure spending in the future. New regional sources of financing, the liquid domestic capital market, and a low interest-rate environment also present opportunities for investing in infrastructure by both the government and the private sector. However, it is not only the constrained availability of financial resources that could restrain infrastructure investments but also institutional weaknesses and, therefore, the government must firmly commit to reform policies and strengthen institutions.
1 Senior Research Fellow and President, respectively, of the Philippine Institute for Development Studies. The authors are grateful for the excellent research assistance of Keith C. Detros and Ma. Kristina P. Ortiz. This paper is part of the research project Financing Infrastructure in ASEAN Member States: Fiscal Landscape and Resources Mobilization by the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia.
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Table of Contents
1 Introduction........................................................................................................................................... 4 2 Overview of the Infrastructure Situation in the Philippines.................................................................. 6 3 Public Sources of Infrastructure Financing........................................................................................... 9 3.1 National Sources........................................................................................................................... 9 3.1.1 National Development Priorities........................................................................................... 9 3.1.2 Budget Composition........................................................................................................... 11 3.2 External Sources......................................................................................................................... 17 3.2.1 Official Development Assistance........................................................................................ 17 3.2.2 Regional Source The ASEAN Infrastructure Fund.......................................................... 24 3.3 Analysis of the Fiscal Situation.................................................................................................. 25 4 Public-Private Partnerships and the Capital Market ........................................................................... 29 4.1 PPPs in Infrastructure................................................................................................................. 29 4.1.1 Regulatory Framework for PPPs ......................................................................................... 29 4.1.2 Operational and Proposed PPPs .......................................................................................... 30 4.3 Capital Market in the Philippines................................................................................................ 32 4.3.1 Level of Development of the Capital Market ..................................................................... 32 4.3.1 A New Private Equity Fund Co-financed by Pension Funds.............................................. 33 4.4 Challenges in PPPs and Opportunities in the Local Capital Market ........................................... 34 5 The Philippines and ASEAN Connectivity ......................................................................................... 37 6 Summary of Key Findings and Conclusions....................................................................................... 39 References................................................................................................................................................... 41 Annex 1 Infrastructure in the 2011-2016 Public Investment Program .................................................... 43 Annex 2 ODA Profile and ODA Infrastructure Pipeline......................................................................... 51 Annex 3 PPP Pipeline.............................................................................................................................. 61
List of Tables
Table 1. Ranking of Selected ASEAN Countries in Terms of Quality of Infrastructure.............................. 8 Table 2. Infrastructure Spending by National Government Agencies, 2008-2012 (in US$ million) .......... 14 Table 3. Amount of Grants and Loans Availed of by Electric Cooperatives, 2008-2012.......................... 16 Table 4. Amount of Loans and Grants Availed of by Water Districts, 2008-2012.................................... 16
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Table 5. ODA Loans, by Sector, 2008-2012............................................................................................... 19 Table 6. Infrastructure Loan Amount by Development Partner, 2010-2012 (US$ million) ....................... 21 Table 7. ODA Grants by Sector, 2008-2012............................................................................................... 22 Table 8. Grant Amount by Development Partner, 2010-2012 (in US$ million) ......................................... 23 Table 9. Basic Design and Structure of the ASEAN Infrastructure Fund................................................... 24 Table 10. Operational PPP Projects by Sector (as of December 2012) ...................................................... 31
List of Figures
Figure 1. Map of the Philippine Archipelago ............................................................................................... 5 Figure 2. Aggregate Investment Targets by Funding Source (2011-2016)................................................. 10 Figure 3. Investment Targets by Infrastructure Subsector, 2011-2016....................................................... 11 Figure 4. Actual Infrastructure and Other Capital Outlays as % of GDP, 2008-2012................................ 12 Figure 5. Actual Public Infrastructure Spending (in US$ billion), 2008-2012........................................... 13 Figure 6. Project Count and Percentage Share of 2012 Total Loan Commitments, by Sector ................... 18 Figure 7. Distribution of Infrastructure Loans by Subsector, 2008-2012................................................... 20 Figure 8. Total Grants vis-a-vis Infrastructure Grants Received, 2008-2012............................................. 23 Figure 9. Infrastructure Spending by Source of Fund (Foreign-Assisted vs. Locally-Funded Budget), 2008-2012................................................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 10. Revenue and Tax Efforts (% of GDP), 1998-2013 Q1 GDP (Base Year 2000) ........................ 27 Figure 11. Total PPP Investments Committed in the Philippines, 1990-2010 (in US$ million) ................ 29 Figure 12. Project Development and Monitoring Facility for PPP Projects............................................... 35 Figure 13. Declining Benchmark Treasury Rates....................................................................................... 36 Figure 15. Davao/General Santos (Philippines) - Bitung (Indonesia) Route.............................................. 37
Notes Exchange rate used: US$1.00 =PhP42.2288. This is the average exchange rate in 2012, as computed by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. The Philippines has a flexible exchange rate system.
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1 Introduction
This country study provides a mapping of the sources of infrastructure financing in the Philippines in the last five years and analyzes the countrys current fiscal situation as it relates to infrastructure financing. It also describes the Philippine environment for public-private partnerships (PPPs) and the level of capital market development in the country. It is part of a larger study by the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA) on the fiscal landscape and resources mobilization for infrastructure of all ASEAN member states. The larger ERIA study also maps the regional sources of infrastructure financing and the possible mechanisms to enhance regional cooperation in ASEAN connectivity infrastructure. Thus, this country study also provides updates on the Philippines contribution to building a regional financing source and developing ASEAN connectivity infrastructure.
After this introduction, the rest of this country study is structured as follows. Section 2 presents a brief overview of infrastructure development in the Philippines. Section 3 gives details on the national and external sources of infrastructure financing as well as the Philippines contribution to a regional fund. It also provides an analysis of the countrys fiscal situation, focusing on fiscal health, space, policy, challenges, and opportunities. Section 4 discusses PPPs and capital market development. Section 5 describes the Philippines position on the Master Plan for ASEAN Connectivity and provides updates on recent developments. Finally, Section 6 presents the summary and conclusions.
To put the Philippine infrastructure development challenge into geographical context, a map of the Philippine archipelago is presented in Figure 1 below. The archipelago is divided into three geographical regions: Luzon, which consists of the main Luzon island and nearby islands in the north; Visayas, which consists of the cluster of islands in the center; and Mindanao, which consists of the main Mindanao island and nearby islands in the south. A brief overview of the physical infrastructure connecting these islands is discussed in the next section.
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Figure 1. Map of the Philippine Archipelago
Source: National Mapping and Resource Information Authority
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2 Overview of the Infrastructure Situation in the Philippines
This section presents the infrastructure stock to date and the populations level of access to infrastructure. The infrastructure sectors covered in this brief overview include the transportation, water supply, energy, and information and communications technology sectors. The Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2011-2016 describes the current infrastructure stock as inadequate and the level of access as inequitable. The PDP explains that the government and the private sector have under-invested in infrastructure in the past and the resulting inadequacy and inequitable access hamper the national governments goal to bring about inclusive growth in the country.
Transportation
Road assets are a total of 215,088 km. of national roads, secondary roads, provincial roads, city roads, municipal roads, and barangay 2 roads. As of October 2012, around 27% of this total road- length are paved. Of these roads, national roads consist of a total of 25,443 km., around 80% of which are paved. 3
In maritime transport, there are 211 ports handling domestic traffic and 38 ports handling international traffic 4 as of 2012. The domestic shipping fleet consists of 7,299 vessels with a total gross tonnage of 1.76 billion tons 5 as of 2011. The Philippine archipelago has what is called a nautical highway system which allows vehicular traffic from highways to continue the inter- island journeys via roll-on-roll-off (RORO) ferries along 12 specific routes. However, mainly due to port underdevelopment, RORO ferries have pulled out their operation in five of these 12 routes 6 .
2 Barangay is the smallest administrative unit in the Philippines. 3 Figures from the Department of Public Works and Highways. 4 Figures from the Philippine Ports Authority. 5 Figures from the National Statistical Coordination Board. 6 Figures from the Maritime Industry Authority.
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The country currently has 10 international airports serving international flights, 34 principal airports catering to domestic flights, and 41 community airports used by general aviation aircraft. The dramatic increase in air traffic in recent years, coupled with inadequate infrastructure investments, has led to congestion in airports. For example, the Ninoy Aquino International Airport is designed to accommodate only 36 aircraft movements (takeoff and landing) per hour but actual aircraft movements have reached 50 per hour in summer 2012 7 .
Water Supply
The water supply sector is quite fragmented and access to potable water is provided through numerous providers, including 511 water districts 8 , 475 private water utilities 9 , and a still undetermined number of small water service providers. As of 2011, around 86% of Filipinos have access to safe drinking water 10 .
Energy
In the energy sector, power generation is a competitive business and the Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao grids have a total of 16,162 megawatts (MW) of installed capacity and 14,477 MW of dependable capacity. Generation capacity margin is tight and frequent power shortages have been occurring in Mindanao in the past two years. Transmission is a natural monopoly and the national grid is operated by a private firm. The distribution sector consists of 119 electric cooperatives and 25 private and local government-owned utilities. As of 2010, 74.3% of Filipino households have access to electricity. 11
7 Figures from the Department of Transportation and Communications. 8 2012 figure from the Local Water Utilities Administration. 9 From 2009 registration data of the National Water Resources Board. 10 From the 2010-2012 Socio-economic Report of the National Economic and Development Authority. A recent study on water supply is Gilberto M. Llanto (2013) Water Financing Programs in the Philippines: Are We Making Progress? PIDS Discussion Paper No. 2013-14, May. 11 Figures from the Department of Energy.
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Information and Communications Technology (ICT)
The ICT sector is a competitive and private-driven sector, with a total of 70 local exchange carriers and nine cellular mobile radio service providers nationwide as of 2011 12 . In 2011, teledensity was around seven installed lines per 100 Filipinos, mobile cellular subscription was at 106.7 mobile phones per 100 Filipinos, fixed broadband subscription was at 2.2 subscribers per 100 Filipinos, and around 36.2% of Filipinos were using the internet 13 .
Quality of Infrastructure Relative to ASEAN Neighbors
The Philippines is lagging behind most of its ASEAN neighbors in upgrading the quality of its infrastructure (Table 1). According to the latest Global Competitiveness Report (2012-2013) of the World Economic Forum, in terms of quality of overall infrastructure, the Philippines ranks 98th out of 144 countries and is second to the bottom among the ASEAN countries included in the ranking.
Table 1. Ranking of Selected ASEAN Countries in Terms of Quality of Infrastructure Country Quality of Overall Infrastructure Quality of Roads Quality of Port Infrastructure Quality of Air Transport Infrastructure Singapore 2 3 2 1 Malaysia 29 27 21 24 Brunei Darussalam 43 30 57 61 Thailand 49 39 56 33 Cambodia 72 66 69 75 Indonesia 92 90 104 89 Philippines 98 87 120 112 Viet Nam 119 120 113 94 Note: A total of 144 countries were ranked. Lao PDR and Myanmar were not included in the ranking. Source: The Global Competitiveness Report 20122013, World Economic Forum
12 Figures from the National Telecommunications Commission. 13 Figure from the Department of Science and Technology.
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3 Public Sources of Infrastructure Financing
3.1 National Sources
The immense importance of investing in infrastructure development to facilitate inclusive economic growth is recognized by the current administration. The Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2011-2016 puts high priority to infrastructure development, which has both growth and equity effects. Thus, this section begins with a discussion of the national development priorities contained in the governments investment program. The discussion then continues with a presentation of how the government financed infrastructure investments for the past five years through the national budget.
3.1.1 National Development Priorities
The current administration is guided by a comprehensive investment plan titled Public Investment Program (PIP) 2011-2016. In 2013, the National Economic Development Authority (NEDA) released a Revalidated PIP, which updated the PIP data as of May 31, 2012 and shows that infrastructure development has the largest share among eight key areas of investment. (The eight key areas are infrastructure, industry and services, agriculture and fisheries, financial sector, governance and the rule of law, social development, peace and security, and environment and natural resources.) Planned infrastructure investments amount to US$13.06 billion, or 77% of the total for the remaining years 2013 to 2016. This amount corresponds to 69 out of the identified 102 core investment projects and programs. This demonstrates the high priority that the current administration puts on infrastructure development. Annex 1 provides details on the infrastructure investment program in the PIP.
Infrastructure development in the PIP will be financed mostly by the national government. Figure 2 shows that the national government, aided with ODA loans, will shoulder 67.72% of the 2011-2016 investment program for infrastructure. Private sector investment ranks second at 18.51% share, followed by investments by government-owned and controlled corporations (GOCCs) at 8.77% share.
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Figure 2. Aggregate Investment Targets by Funding Source (2011-2016)
Source of raw data: PIP 2011-2016 (as of May 31, 2012) The transport sector is assigned the highest share among infrastructure subsectors. The percent shares of investment targets by infrastructure subsector are shown in Figure 3 below. More than half (57.93%) of the total 2011-2016 infrastructure investment target is for the transport subsector. More specifically, the 2011-2016 PIP indicated that US$34.79 billion is the total target amount for the transport subsector; US$7.96 billion for water resources; US$11.63 for social infrastructure; US$5.47 for energy; and US$0.02 billion for cross-cutting key programs and projects.
67.72% 8.77% 1.12% 2.49% 18.51% 1.39% NG (including ODA Loans) GOCCs LGUs ODA grants Private Sector Others
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Figure 3. Investment Targets by Infrastructure Subsector, 2011-2016
Source of raw data: PIP 2011-2016 (as of May 31, 2012)
3.1.2 Budget Composition
The Department of Budget and Management (DBM) claims that in the 2013 budget, infrastructure and other capital outlays allocation went up by 17.7%. From US$5.98 billion in 2012, the allocation went up to US$7.04 billion in 2013. The allocation is also 14.8% of the total US$47.48 budget in 2013. It is noted that the budget item Infrastructure and Other Capital Outlays Allocation cover physical infrastructure and other items such as buildings, vehicle, equipment and others. Separating actual public infrastructure spending from Infrastructure and Other Capital Outlays Allocation shows that in the last five years (2008-2012), public infrastructure spending as part of GDP ranged between a low of 1.4% to a high of 2.09% only (see Figure 4 below), which is still very far from the governments target of 5% of GDP by 2016. 14 However, with governance reforms in place, the government expects to improve infrastructure spending in the coming years.
14 The target 5% of GDP is not in the Philippine Development Plan document per se but was announced in an August 12, 2013 press release by NEDA, available at: http://www.neda.gov.ph/ads/press_releases/pr.asp?ID=1484 (accessed: September 30, 2013). 57.93% 13.03% 19.02% 8.93% 1.06% 0.03% Transport Water Resources Social Infrastructure Energy ICT Cross-cutting
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Figure 4. Actual Infrastructure and Other Capital Outlays as % of GDP, 2008-2012
Source: DBM National Expenditure Program CY 2008-2014; PIDS Economic and Social Database
There was also underspending in infrastructure in 2010 and 2011 (see Figure 5 below). Navarro and Yap (2011) 15 stated that the 2011 decrease in government final consumption expenditure, mostly in infrastructure projects and programs, cut GDP growth by 0.1%. The government explained underspending as a consequence of the resolve to institute good governance, an important platform of the Aquino administration. The due diligence reviews of projects and programs conducted in 2010-2011 led to postponement or delays in fund disbursements. Thereafter, an accelerated disbursement program was instituted and by 2012, public spending on infrastructure has surpassed its 2009 level.
15 Navarro, Adoracion M. and J osef T. Yap (2012) Macroeconomic Trends in 2011. Chapter 1 in Economic Policy Monitor 2012. Makati: Philippine Institute for Development Studies. 1.79% 2.09% 1.74% 1.40% 1.73% 2.34% 2.75% 2.15% 1.87% 2.83% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total Public Infrastructure Total Capital Outlays
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Figure 5. Actual Public Infrastructure Spending (in US$ billion), 2008-2012
Source: DBM National Expenditure Program CY 2008-2014; PIDS Economic and Social Database
Table 2 below shows that infrastructure spending by national government agencies had been between 11% and 13% of the national budget in the last five years.
Table 2. Infrastructure Spending by National Government Agencies, 2008-2012 (in US$ million) Agency Type of Infrastructure 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 a
Department of Agrarian Reform (Agrarian Reform Fund, 2008-2010) Transport; Water and Sanitation; Logistics and Supply Chain
26.79
40.23
48.74
39.88
83.19 Department of Agriculture Transport; Water and Sanitation; Logistics and Supply Chain
310.07
347.95
422.85
362.12
792.93 Department of Education Social 163.78
134.82
89.73
151.04
401.86 Department of Finance (Municipal Development Fund Office, 2011-2012) Water and Sanitation
-
-
-
23.50
21.88 Department of Health Water and Sanitation; Social - 35.52 0.02 - - Department of Interior and Local Government Transport; Water and Sanitation -
-
-
-
18.23 Department Of Public Works And Highways Transport; Water and Sanitation; Social
2,539.38
3,351.55
3,108.71
2,706.79
2,817.01 Department of Transportation and Communications Transport; Communications; Logistics and Supply Chain
341.40
265.07
129.70
283.24
331.11 Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao Transport; Water and Sanitation; Power
23.67
36.23
21.48
27.09
32.13 Budgetary support to Government Corporations Water and Sanitation; Power; Transport; Social
-
-
26.39
551.90
281.22 Allocations to Local Government Units b
Water and Sanitation; Social; Transport
71.29
52.95
60.00
-
- Department of Education-School Building Program Social Funds for this program were appropriated under the Department of Education - 23.68
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Agency Type of Infrastructure 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 a
GRAND TOTAL 3,476.39
4,264.34
3,907.63
4,145.55
4,803.25 Total appropriated budget 31,130.65 33,961.4 34,880.4 37,415.7 43,003.83 Percent (%) of Actual Infrastructure Spending to Total Appropriated Budget 11% 13% 11% 11% 11% Notes: a Infrastructure spending in 2012 is a preliminary expenditure, according to the DBMs Budget of Expenditure and Sources of Financing for fiscal year 2013 (BESF FY 2013). b Includes spending of the Municipal Development Fund Office, Metro Manila Development Authority, and Pasig Rehabilitation Commission from 2008-2010 c In 2010, only the Cagayan Economic Zone Authority received national government subsidy for infrastructure projects; in 2011, subsidies were also given to the National Irrigation Administration, Philippine National Railways, and National Housing Authority. Source of raw data: BESF FY 2013; DBM
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The government also has specialized financing agencies for infrastructure development the National Electrification Administration (NEA) for electric power infrastructure and the Local Water Utilities Administration (LWUA) for water-related infrastructure. These corporations, unlike government financial institutions, receive yearly subsidies from the government. Table 3 and Table 4 summarize the grants and loans provided by these two lending agencies for infrastructure-related projects in the past five years. Table 3. Amount of Grants and Loans Availed of by Electric Cooperatives, 2008-2012 Year Grants Loans (US$ million) (%) (US$ million) (%) 2008 21.84 0.06% 37,865.15 99.94% 2009 11.84 0.03% 40,990.98 99.97% 2010* 1.49 0.0042% 35,781.27 99.9958% 2011 45.54 0.14% 32,631.76 99.86% 2012 23.68 0.06% 39,049.18 99.94% Source: National Electrification Administration * Used 2007 to 2009 subsidy savings
Table 4. Amount of Loans and Grants Availed of by Water Districts, 2008-2012 Year Grants Loans (US$ million) % (US$ million) % 2008 0.0011 0.01% 13.45 99.99% 2009 4.41 15.44% 24.15 84.56% 2010 72.97 85.90% 11.98 14.10% 2011 15.62 49.34% 16.03 50.66% 2012 1.67 17.55% 7.85 82.45% Source: Local Water Utilities Administration
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3.2 External Sources 3.2.1 Official Development Assistance
Multiple official development assistance (ODA) partners have lent significant amount of resources in helping the Philippines develop its infrastructure. Grants have also been provided together with loans. Annex 2 details the developing partners profiles based on their priority areas, as well as their strategy frameworks for development. The multilateral agencies have had varying areas of focus and priority: the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has historically supported transport, energy, agriculture infrastructure, and water supply projects; the International Fund for Agricultural Development has supported infrastructure for agricultural development; the United Nations has supported infrastructure with focus on the attainment of the Millennium Development Goals; the World Bank and other funds that it administers have supported transport, water supply and energy infrastructure. The bilateral aid agencies (i.e., aid agencies of J apan, Australia, China, South Korea, New Zealand, Canada, European Union, France, Spain, and the United States) have supported a number of cross-cutting areas such as public-private partnerships, investment-promoting infrastructure, infrastructure support to tourism, and infrastructure for peace and development in Mindanao. Loans for Infrastructure As of December 2012, the total loan commitment amounted to US$8.82 billion. Seventy-eight percent (78%) or US$ 6.89 billion are for project loans while the remaining 22% or US$ 1.93 billion are for program loans. The total loan commitment in 2012 was higher by about 2.6% from the registered loan commitment in 2011. Furthermore, out of the total loans for 2012, the biggest share went to the development of the infrastructure sector. A total amount of US$ 5,185.99 or 58% of the loans were allocated for infrastructure, followed by loans for social reform and community development, which accounted for 19% of the total allocation. Given the amount allocated to it, the infrastructure sector had the largest number of projects, with 39 projects supported by ODA loans in 2012.
Figure 6 details the distribution of project count and percentage share by sector in the 2012 net loan commitments.
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Figure 6. Project Count and Percentage Share of 2012 Total Loan Commitments, by Sector
Source: 2012 ODA Portfolio Review, NEDA Notes: INFRA - Infrastructure SCRD - Social Reform and Community Development AARNR - Agriculture, Natural Resources and Agrarian Reform IT&T - Industry, Trade and Tourism GID - Governance and Institutions Development
The 2012 distribution of loans by sector show that infrastructure has the largest share, which should not come as a surprise given the historical data for the past five years. From 2008-2012, ODA partners have consistently focused on infrastructure development in the country. Since 2008, more than 56% of the total annual loans went to projects for infrastructure development (Table 5).
Though the infrastructure sector has received priority in ODA loans over the other sectors, a decreasing trend in infrastructure loans incurred can be observed in the past five years, with a slight rebound in 2012 (see Figure 7). The number of infrastructure projects has also decreased, from a high of 58 projects in 2008 to the current project count of 39. Within the infrastructure sector, the transportation subsector consistently has the highest share in ODA loans. Figure 7. Distribution of Infrastructure Loans by Subsector, 2008-2012
Source: 2008-2012 ODA Annual Portfolio Review
Among the development partners, J apan has consistently been the top source of funding for infrastructure projects (Table 6). In 2012, J apanese ODA accounted for 48% or US$ 2,476.88 million of the total ODA loan funds allocated for the infrastructure sector. This is followed by French ODA (23%) and the World Bank (15%). For the past three years, the infrastructure sector has received US$ 15.72 billion with J apan as the source of 48% of the total loan funds.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 P r o j e c t
C o u n t L o a n
A m o u n t
( U S $ M ) Energy, Power and Electrification Social Infrastructure Transportation Urban Infrastructure Water Resources No. of Projects
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Table 6. Infrastructure Loan Amount by Development Partner, 2010-2012 (US$ million) Developing Partner 2010 2011 2012 Total J apan 2,810.11 2,297.43 2,476.88 7,584.42 France 744.46 721.52 1,181.39 2,647.37 China 1,016.60 1,016.60 297.39 2,330.59 WB 496 485.56 761.99 1,743.55 Korea 206.33 219.62 237.66 663.61 ADB 31.1 31.1 93.1 155.3 Others 287.09 178.52 137.59 603.2
Source: NEDA-Project Monitoring Staff
Furthermore, there are 25 infrastructure projects identified as of March 2013 in the preliminary ODA pipeline. Please refer to Annex 2 for the list of projects in the preliminary ODA pipeline.
Grants for Infrastructure
The total ODA grants that the Philippines has received since 2008 also show an increasing trend. Total grants for all sectors amounted to US$ 2.86 billion for 2012. Table 7 shows the breakdown of the grants received per sector over the past five years. Table 7 and Figure 8 also show a generally increasing trend for grants. Compared to the US$128.10 million received in 2008, infrastructure grants as of 2012 have reached US$400.04 million.
The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC), a U.S. government aid agency, has led the development partners in grants for infrastructure development (see Table 8). Since 2010, MCC grants have accounted for 54% of the infrastructure grants, followed by grants from Australia (24%), J ICA (7%) and the World Bank (6%).
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Table 7. ODA Grants by Sector, 2008-2012
Sector 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Amount % Share Amount % Share Amount % Share Amount % Share Amount % Share Social Reform and Community Development 284.82 22% 415.78 39% 931.12 43% 876.41 42% 1,519.40 53% Governance and Institutions Development 474.13 37% 334.65 32% 400.93 19% 478.95 23% 561.92 20% Infrastructure 128.10 10% 69.10 7% 414.37 19% 384.54 18% 400.04 14% Agriculture, Agrarian Reform, and Natural Resources 338.80 26% 192.62 18% 344.55 16% 292.91 14% 314.19 11% Industry, Trade and Tourism 62.81 5% 45.08 4% 49.60 2% 56.23 3% 55.90 2% TOTAL 1,288.66 100% 1,057.23 100% 2,140.57 100% 2,089.04 100% 2,851.45 100% Source: 2008-2009 ODA Annual Portfolio Review; 2010-2012 NEDA Project Monitoring Staff Note: Total grants received in 2010 was US$ 2247.53 in millions. An amount of US$ 106.961 (M) were tagged as unspecified.
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Figure 8. Total Grants vis-a-vis Infrastructure Grants Received, 2008-2012
Source: ODA Annual Portfolio Review for the 2008-2009 data; NEDA Project Monitoring Staff for the 2010-2012 data
Table 8. Grant Amount by Development Partner, 2010-2012 (in US$ million) Development Partner 2010 2011 2012 Total MCA/MCC 214.4 214.4 214.4 643.2 AUSTRALIA 101.87 79.14 104 285.01 J ICA - 47.01 37.04 84.05 WORLD BANK 35.26 20.24 14.07 69.57 ADB 10.21 7.7 14.57 32.48 GTZ/GIZ 31.97 - - 31.97 USAID 5.5 5.5 5.51 16.51 Others 15.15 10.55 10.45 36.15 No. of projects 95 65 29 189 Source: NEDA-Project Monitoring Staff
1,288.66 1,057.23 2,140.57 2,089.04 2,851.45 128.10 69.10 414.37 384.54 400.04 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 G r a n t s
( U S $ M ) Total Grants INFRA Grants
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3.2.2 Regional Source The ASEAN Infrastructure Fund
The ASEAN Infrastructure Fund is also one possible external source of funding Philippine infrastructure requirements. This regional fund is initially expected to provide loans of up to US$300 million a year and has a lending commitment through 2020 of up to US$4 billion. The AIF was incorporated in April 2012 with shareholdings from nine ASEAN members (Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Viet Nam) and the ADB. The Philippines initial shareholding is US$15 million. Table 9 describes the basic design of the AIF.
Table 9. Basic Design and Structure of the ASEAN Infrastructure Fund
Equity Debt Lending Operations ADB's Role US$335.2 million from 9 ASEAN countries US$150 million from ADB Around US$162 million in hybrid capital (perpetual bonds) Debt issued to leverage 1.5 times the equity* High-investment grade credit rating targeted Central banks and other institutions, including private sector, to purchase the debt after the EIF has established a clear track-record and sufficient lending volume Lending to relevant ASEAN countries Based on ADB's country partnership strategy, and regional pipelines Initially only on sovereign and sovereign- guaranteed projects and public portion of PPP projects, later also loans to private sponsors after formal determination of the AIF Generate the project pipeline Ensure that appropriate safeguards and due diligence are part of the project design and administration and report to ASEAN Provide cofinancing and act as the lender of record Administer the AIF (including financial management, loan servicing, accounting and financial reporting) during the project administration and evaluation
*In capital adequacy terms, it means equity to loan ratio of about 60% by 2020 and about 44% by 2025. Source: ADB (2011). Report and Recommendation of the President to the Board of Directors: Proposed Equity Contribution and Administration of ASEAN Infrastructure Fund
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The ADB (2011) reported that the AIF will be ready to process projects in the pipeline by the second half of 2013. To date, the details of the pipeline being processed have not yet been released.
3.3 Analysis of the Fiscal Situation
A healthy fiscal position is necessary to raise substantial resources for the national governments infrastructure spending that is supported by both local and external sources. In the case of the latter, putting up the counterpart funds requires national government capacity to mobilize local resources.
It is noted that the outlays for infrastructure are largely sourced from local funds, as shown in Figure 9. The share of local funds in infrastructure spending in the past five years ranged from 84%-87%, whereas the share of foreign assistance was at 13%-17%. Local funding sources are becoming more sustainable in recent years due to the positive performance of the economy and improvements in the revenue generation effort by the government. This is a welcome development because it is really local resources that should bear the brunt of funding the countrys infrastructure, and not borrowed money. The decline in the share of ODA-funded infrastructure from 17% in 2011 to 15% in 2012 (Figure 9) seems to indicate a lessening reliance of the national government on ODA for its infrastructure budget. However, it is observed that foreign assistance is a critical factor in developing the countrys infrastructure.
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Figure 9. Infrastructure Spending by Source of Fund (Foreign-Assisted vs. Locally-Funded Budget), 2008-2012
Source of raw data: Actual Spending for Infrastructure Outlays in DBM-BESF 2008-2012
The recent strong performance of the economy (6.6% annual GDP growth in 2012 and 7.8% GDP growth in the first quarter of 2013) augurs widening fiscal space for the national government. The 7.8% GDP growth in the first quarter of 2013 is the current administrations third consecutive quarterly growth that is above 7 percent. According to the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB), this can be attributed to the strong performance of the manufacturing and construction sectors, increased government and consumer spending, and sustained inflow of remittances from overseas Filipino workers. Multilateral institutions also forecast a positive growth outlook for the Philippines. For instance, as of J uly 2013, the World Bank projects the Philippine economy to grow at 6.2% this year and 6.4% in 2014. The International Monetary Fund, on the other hand, has raised its growth outlook for the Philippinesfrom a previous forecast of 6% to 7% growth by end of 2013.
Moreover, the Philippine economy has been experiencing improvements in its fiscal position in recent years. The fiscal deficit at 2.3% of GDP by end-2012 is at a sustainable level that is below 16% 13% 14% 17% 15% 84% 87% 86% 83% 85% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Foreign-Assisted Locally Funded
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the governments target of 2.6% of GDP. Navarro and Yap (2013) 16 explained that compared to the previous year where fiscal deficit was controlled at the expense of lower government spending, the fiscal deficit situation in 2012 improved due to the low-interest environment, less pressure on borrowings, faster-than-expected GDP growth, and increase in government revenues.
Figure 10. Revenue and Tax Efforts (% of GDP), 1998-2013 Q1 GDP (Base Year 2000)
Source of raw data: Department of Finance (DOF); GDP base year = 2000 Figure 10 above presents the path of the national government revenue and tax efforts from 1998 to early 2013. As a percentage of GDP, the tax collections of the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BOC) have recently declined. BOC representatives usually cite the lower tax base for import duties due to tariff reduction agreements as one big challenge. BIR
16 Navarro, Adoracion M. and J osef T. Yap. 2013. Macroeconomic Developments in 2012. In Economic Policy Monitor 2013. Manila: Philippine Institute for Development Studies. Navarro and Yap noted, however, that recent revenue collections were still short of targets. The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) also raised the revenue effort issue in its Socio-Economic Report 2010-2012 and stated that despite the countrys recent commendable fiscal performance, improvements are still possible given the path of revenues and spending. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3
representatives, on the other hand, cite tax leakages and evasion. However, corruption and poor governance cannot be ruled out as major factors behind the inability to meet revenue and tax collection targets. The current administration has launched an aggressive revenue performance drive in the two tax collecting agencies. At present, the BOC bureaucracy is facing a revamp and a customs modernization and tariff bill is in the legislative agenda. The BIR is also strengthening the tax administration machinery and governance reforms to boost its collection efforts.
The current low-interest environment presents opportunities for the Philippines to manage its fiscal position well. The investment grade rating that the country has received from major rating agenciesfirst from Fitch Ratings in March 2013, secondly from Standard & Poor's in May 2013, and thirdly from Moodys Investors Service in October 2013will also reduce borrowing cost and help to attract more investments.
Given these current developments, the governments policy is to lessen reliance on foreign borrowings in favor of the local debt market for its borrowing needs. The macroeconomic assumptions for the 2013 budget include the target national governments target borrowing mix of 75% local and 25% foreign. The Department of Finance has recently announced that it might consider an 80:20 borrowing mix in favor of the local currency.
Improvements in infrastructure spending are also expected to occur as the proposed national budget for 2014 amounts to US$53.71 billion, which is 13% higher than this years US$47.50 billion budget. It was reported, in particular, that an additional PhP262.1 billion (i.e., US$6.21 billion) will be spent to achieve increased investments in infrastructure, in good governance and anti-corruption, in building human capabilities especially of the poor, through quality education, public health care and housing, and in climate change adaptation measures. 17
17 Diaz, J . 2013. Palace eyeing P2.27-trillion budget for 2014, The Philippine Star. http://www.philstar.com/headlines/2013/03/25/923722/palace-eyeing-p2.27-trillion-budget-2014
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4 Public-Private Partnerships and the Capital Market 4.1 PPPs in Infrastructure
Public-private partnership (PPP) as an investment strategy started to be promoted in 1990 when the country was reeling from electric power shortage. At the time, however, it was not yet called PPP but build-operate-transfer (BOT) and its variants. PPPs steadily increased in the 1990s and drastically declined in the aftermath of the East Asian currency crisis. The general decline continued during the first half of the Arroyo administration as most infrastructure projects were financed using ODA, then started to increase again beginning mid-2000s (Navarro 2012) 18 . Figure 11 below shows the path that PPPs took during the last two decades.
Figure 11. Total PPP Investments Committed in the Philippines, 1990-2010 (in US$ million)
Source: World Bank - Private Participation in Infrastructure Database
4.1.1 Regulatory Framework for PPPs
The regulatory framework for PPPs evolved from the first PPP law, Republic Act (RA) 6957, An Act Authorizing the Financing, Construction, Operation and Maintenance of Infrastructure Projects by the Private Sector, which was passed in 1990. RA 6957 was amended by RA 7718 in 1994. At present, RA 7718 and its implementing rules and regulations provide the framework and procedures for the competitive tender and government support for the following contractual arrangements: build-operate-transfer, build-transfer, build-own-operate, build-lease-transfer,
18 Navarro, Adoracion M. 2012. Achieving Inclusive Growth in the Philippines. East Asian Policy 4(04):75-83. Total Investment Commitments (in current million USD) - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
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build-transfer-operate, contract-add-operate, develop-operate-transfer, rehabilitate-operate- transfer, and rehabilitate-own-operate. Other variations of these contractual arrangements should be approved by the president of the Philippines.
There are two modes of competition in the Philippine PPP frameworkthe solicited proposal process and the unsolicited proposal process. The solicited mode is the regular tendering process where a government unit prepares the project feasibility analysis and solicits competitive proposals from the private sector to undertake the project. In the unsolicited mode, a government unit may accept an unsolicited proposal from a private firm under three conditions: one, the proposed project involves a new concept or technology and/or is not part of the list of the governments priority projects; two, no direct government guarantee, subsidy or equity is required; and three, the government unit has invited comparative or competitive proposals and no better proposal came in.
J oint ventures between government corporations and private entities must also follow a competitive process. The J oint Venture Guidelines issued by the NEDA in 2008 and revised in 2013 provide the rules and procedures for the competitive selection of private joint venture partners. Under the guidelines, the private partner can entirely take over the joint venture project after the government divests itself of any interest in it.
The existing regulators in infrastructure sectors also provide sector-specific regulatory rules, such as those relating to prices, routes, standards or operating parameters. These regulators include the Toll Regulatory Board, Maritime Industry Authority, Energy Regulatory Commission, Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines, and National Water Resources Board.
4.1.2 Operational and Proposed PPPs
As of December 2012, there are 35 operational projects in the Philippines which were undertaken under the framework provided by RA 7718, the PPP law. These projects are worth US$15.86 million. Table 10 shows the sectoral distribution of these projects.
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Table 10. Operational PPP Projects by Sector (as of December 2012) Sector Scheme Number of Projects Estimated Cost in (US$ Million) Power Sector BOT-PPA 3 1,534.00 BOO 1 22.00 J V 1 5.00 BROT 1 450.00 BOO-ECA 2 170.00 BOT-ECA 3 3,048.00 Subtotal 11 5,229.00 Transport Sector BLT 1 655.00 J V 4 1,398.00 BOT 1 84.00 BTO 1 53.00 Subtotal 7 2,190.00 Information Technology Sector BTO 1 65.00 BOO 1 82.00 BOT 1 2.80 Subtotal 3 149.80 Water Sector CAOM 1 7,000.00 J V 2 134.40 BOT 1 650.00 CA 1 55.00 Subtotal 5 7,839.40 Property Development Sector BOT 4 7.86 BT/BOT 1 4.00 DOT/BT 1 23.00 J V 2 415.00 Subtotal 8 449.86 Health Sector PSP - Lease Contract 1 1.00 Subtotal 1 1.00 GRAND TOTAL 35 15,859.06
Source: DBM Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing (BESF) 2013
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When the current administration revived the PPP program in 2010, ten projects were identified as priority projects and promoted to the private sector. However, only three projects 19 have been awarded to date. Based on the DBM Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing (BESF) for 2014, the pipeline of the PPP program consists of 21 projects. The projected investment requirement in 18 of these projects amount to US$ 5 billion; three projects do not have cost estimates yet. 20 (See Annex 3 for the details of the PPP pipeline.)
4.3 Capital Market in the Philippines
4.3.1 Level of Development of the Capital Market
The Philippine capital market offers a wide range of financial instruments. The government from time to time issues peso-denominated treasury notes, bills and bonds and foreign currency denominated bonds to institutional investors as well as peso-denominated treasury bonds and multi-currency treasury bonds to retail investors. Retail investors can also indirectly invest in treasury bills through trust agreements with banks. Some government corporations have also issued bonds and notes in the past. Private corporations have also issued long-term notes and bonds; banks have also issued long-term negotiable certificate of deposits and tier 2 notes.
The size of the local bond market, as measured by the total amount outstanding, is US$99 billion as of first quarter of 2013. 21 Of this amount, US$86 billion are government bonds and US$13 billion are corporate bonds. The size of the banking sector, on the other hand, is Php10,449.94 billion (US$247.46 billion) as of end-2012. 22 The total Philippine stock market capitalization as
19 These three projects are the Php1.96-billion (US$0.05 billion) Daang Hari-South Luzon Expressway Link, the Php16.42-billion (US$0.39 billion) School Infrastructure Project Phase I, and the Php15.86-billion (US$0.38) Ninoy Aquino International Airport Expressway (NAIA) Phase II. 20 The number and cost estimates of PPP projects in the pipeline may change depending on the results of the studies being conducted and other developments. As of September 2013, the PPP Center is looking at 35 projects which are at least in the "procurement of transaction advisor" stage. 21 ADB. 2013. Asia Bonds Monitor J une 2013. Manila: Asian Development Bank.
22 Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) webpage, Total Resources of the Philippine Financial System. Available from: http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/efs_fsa1.asp. Accessed: August 2, 2013.
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of J une 2013 is Php11.71 trillion (US$0.28 trillion). 23 The platform for equity trading is the Philippine Stock Exchange and for debt trading, the Philippine Dealing Exchange.
The latest sovereign credit ratings that the Philippines has received are as follows: BBB- from Fitch Ratings on March 27, 2013; BBB- from Standard and Poor's on May 2, 2013, and Baa3 from Moodys Investors Service on October 3, 2013. The local credit rating agency for commercial papers is the Philippine Rating Services Corporation (PhilRatings).
Infrastructure financing activities in the local capital market currently include loan syndication by banks and corporate bond issuances of holding companies with infrastructure exposure. To date, no specific infrastructure bonds have been issued for direct and fresh financing.
4.3.1 A New Private Equity Fund Co-financed by Pension Funds
The newly created Philippine Investment Alliance for Infrastructure (PINAI) Fund is another source of financing for Philippine infrastructure projects. The PINAI Fund is a private equity fund co-financed by pension funds and the ADB. It is capitalized at US$625 million from the Philippines pension fund for government workers, the Government Service and Insurance System (GSIS), contributing the largest equity share at 64%. The other equity contributors are: Agemene Pensioen Groep, a pension fund based in Netherlands, at 24%; Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assests, which is owned by the Macquarie Group, at 8%; and the ADB at 4%. Recently, a private firm pursuing an 81-megawatt wind power project for the northern part of the Philippines expressed interest in tapping the fund. 24
23 BSP webpage, Philippine Stock Market Capitalization. Available from: http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab66.htm. Accessed: August 2, 2013. 24 ADB. 2013. PINAI Fund to Finance Wind Power Project in Northern Philippines. J uly 2013. Available from: http://www.adb.org/news/pinai-fund-finance-wind-power-project-northern-philippines. [Accessed: August 1, 2013].
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4.4 Challenges in PPPs and Opportunities in the Local Capital Market
Despite the relatively long history of Philippine PPPs, challenges remain. These include delays in rolling out projects for tender and the inadequacy of the current PPP law (RA 7718) in dealing with competition and implementation problems.
Problems that have given rise to delays in the tendering process include the weak capacity of government units to process PPPs and the lack of a project development facility to support the PPP proposals. To address the capacity issue, capacity-building activities are being conducted for the main agency in charge of the PPP program (i.e., the Public-Private Partnerships Center) as well as government implementing units and oversight agencies. To address project quality-at- entry and implementation monitoring, a Project Development and Monitoring Facility (PDMF) has been established.
The PDMF is a revolving fund (Figure 12) for the preparation of pre-feasibility, feasibility studies and tender documents for PPP projects, and assistance in the bidding process. The fund revolves as the project development cost, including an administrative fee of 10%, is recovered from the successful bidder. In case the bidding fails due to reasons that are within the implementing government agency's responsibility, the agency refunds the full project development cost, and if due to reasons beyond the agency's control, it refunds only 50% of the cost.
The initial fund for the PDMF was pooled from the contributions of the Philippine government (US$7 million) and the government of Australia (US$6 million). The ADB manages the Australian contribution under its Capacity Building Technical Assistance project for the PPP Center. The PPP Center administers the whole fund and reviews proposals for PDMF funding.
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Figure 12. Project Development and Monitoring Facility for PPP Projects
Source: Authors interpretation of PPP Center documents
The inadequacy of the PPP law in dealing with competition and implementation problems and the need to amend RA 7718 have been raised several times in the past. Llanto (2010) 25 explained that the PPP law (or BOT law as referred to in the study) should provide the enabling policy framework and the implementing rules and regulations (IRR) should provide the technical and operational rules. However, as Llanto argued, the Philippine PPP law contains both the enabling policy framework and too many details that should be in the IRR, leaving the government with less flexibility to change these details in order to conform to the dynamic nature of such factors as technology and financial markets. At present, a bill amending the PPP law has been proposed in Congress and is currently under consideration by the concerned Congressional Committee.
25 Llanto, Gilberto M. 2010. A review of build-operate-transfer for infrastructure development. Makati: Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
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Recent developments in the capital market also present opportunities for accelerating private sector participation in infrastructure investments. Liquidity in the banking system has been growing and interest rates have been declining. Figure 13 shows the decline in reference interest rates across all maturities as of December 2012, which is actually a continuation of a general decline since 2009. The challenge now for the private sector is how to take advantage of a liquid financial market, and for the government, how to facilitate the channeling of capital market resources to PPP projects. For example, given the huge project costs in infrastructure and the single borrower limits faced by banks in direct lending, commercial banks can pursue loan syndication more actively. Moreover, given the mismatch in the maturity of lending capital by Philippine banks (typically, 10-15 years) and the long gestation of infrastructure projects (some lasting up to 25-30 years), the government can facilitate the creation of credit enhancements for infrastructure bonds. A good start will be for the government to organize a group of experts from the private and public sectors not only to gather ideas but also to formulate clear mechanisms and institutional setup for mobilizing bank resources for infrastructure financing.
Figure 13. Declining Benchmark Treasury Rates
Source of raw data: Philippine Dealing Exchange
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5 The Philippines and ASEAN Connectivity
The Philippines remains committed to ASEAN connectivity. In the Philippine Development Plan 2011-2016, the governments blueprint for economic development, the strategy for the transport sector includes exploring ASEAN connectivity through sea linkages. The Philippines contribution to the trans-ASEAN power grid and trans-ASEAN natural gas pipeline network is planned to be implemented as the last leg of ASEAN connectivity and envisioned to happen in 2020.
One of the goals for maritime transport in the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity is to bridge archipelagic ASEAN with mainland ASEAN through a RORO and short sea shipping network. Major ports in ASEAN countries, including the Philippines, were designated to be part of the network. The coordinator and focal point in the Philippines for this effort is the Maritime Industry Authority (MARINA) 26 , the regulator for the domestic shipping industry. According to MARINA, the J ICA-funded study on ASEAN RORO and short sea shipping network, completed in March 2013, initially considered four Philippine ports (Brookes Point (Palawan), Zamboanga City, General Santos City, and Davao City) to be part of the ASEAN port network but found out later that only the Davao City-General Santos City connection was viable. General Santos City was recommended as the main gateway via a connection to Bitung, Indonesia (see Figure 15). Across ASEAN, the study identified three priority routes to be developed: Dumai (Indonesia) - Malacca Route (Malaysia); Belawan (Indonesia) - Penang (Malaysia) - Phuket (Thailand) Route; and Davao/General Santos (Philippines) - Bitung (Indonesia) Route.
Figure 14. Davao/General Santos (Philippines) - Bitung (Indonesia) Route Distance: Davao Gen. Santos: 154 nautical miles (285 km) Gen. Santos Bitung: 302 nautical miles (560 km) Source: JICA (2013). Masterplan and Feasibility Study on the Establishment of an
26 Interview with MARINA, 02 August 2013.
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ASEAN RoRo Shipping Network and Short Sea Shipping.
In the trans-ASEAN power grid, the Philippines-Sabah (Malaysia) grid interconnection is targeted to be in the last leg of the connectivity efforts. The Philippine coordinator for the trans- ASEAN power grid is the National Power Corporation through its membership in the Heads of ASEAN Power Utilities/Authorities (HAPUA) 27 . At present, the immediate challenge for the Philippines is to achieve interconnection within the country since the Mindanao grid remains isolated from the interconnected Luzon-Visayas grid. Meanwhile, the Philippines through its chairmanship of the HAPUA working group on policy studies and commercial development, is contributing to efforts to harmonize rules and standards within ASEAN, such as in the two currently pending studies of HAPUA, namely, study on energy taxation and study on PPPs for transmission and generation.
The trans-ASEAN natural gas pipeline network is one connectivity infrastructure in ASEAN wherein the development activities have endured long delays and uncertainties in the timetable. One major reason is the commercial viability issue given the high cost involved in developing the East Natuna (Indonesia) gas field, with a total 46 trillion cubic feet of proven reserves, which is found to have high levels of carbon dioxide 28 . For the meantime, the Philippines is preparing to enhance its gas distribution network for gas through the Batangas-Manila pipeline (Batman 1), Bataan-Manila (Batman 2) pipeline, and Batangas-Cavite (Batcave) spur line of Batman 2. Batman 1, Batman 2, and Batcave are envisioned to put in place a total of 423 kilometers of gas distribution lines.
27 Interview with the HAPUA Chairperson of Working Group on Policy Studies and Commercial Development, 23 J uly 2013.
28 Global Association of Risk Professionals (2013). Indonesian government seeks to give contract for gas field in South China Sea. Available from: http://www.garp.org/risk-news-and-resources/risk- headlines/story.aspx?newsId=56958. Accessed: J uly 22, 2013.
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6 Summary of Key Findings and Conclusions
This study assessed the sources and levels of infrastructure financing in the Philippines for the last five years (2008-2012). In order to provide context, the assessment is preceded by a brief overview of the infrastructure situation in the country. The mapping of fiscal resources showed that there had been underinvestment in infrastructure given that in 2008-2012, public infrastructure spending as a share of GDP ranged between a low of 1.40% to a high of 2.09%, which is a far cry from the current target of 5% of GDP over the medium term. As a result of underinvestment, the infrastructure stocks and levels of access in the Philippines are low. Moreover, the country has lagged behind most of its ASEAN neighbors in upgrading the quality of its infrastructure.
The national budget for the past five years shows that actual infrastructure spending as a share of the appropriated budget was 11% in 2008, 13% in 2009, and 11% again in 2010-2012. Government underspending in infrastructure is more visible when one looks at levelspublic infrastructure spending dropped from US$3.98 billion in 2009 to US$3.71 billion in 2010, and dropped further to US$3.23 billion in 2011 before it started to increase in 2012 as a result of the governments disbursement acceleration program. With respect to the external sources of financing, infrastructure financing has historically been a priority by ODA partners. However, in the past five years, there has been a decreasing reliance on ODA loans for infrastructure financingthese loans declined from a high of US$6.13 billion for 58 projects in 2008 to US$5.19 billion for 39 projects in 2012. The greater bulk of infrastructure spending is sourced from domestic resources.
This study also took stock of PPPs in the Philippines and found that there are currently 35 operational PPP projects worth US$15.86 billion and the PPP pipeline consists of 20 proposed projects that are estimated to cost US$6.47 billion. The current PPP program has encountered delays in the tendering process due to the weak capacity of government units to ensure project quality-at-entry and to efficiently process PPPs. The inadequacy of the BOT law in dealing with competition and implementation problems is also a key challenge. In response, proposed amendments to the BOT law are currently under Congressional deliberation.
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The present liquid capital market and a low interest rate environment present opportunities for investing in infrastructure by both the government and the private sector. But investor confidence has to be bolstered by governments firm commitment to reform policies and strengthen institutions. The study submits that it is not just the constrained availability of financial resources that could restrain infrastructure investments but institutional weaknesses could also hamper such effort.
This study also provides updates on the Philippines participation in efforts to build the physical connectivity of ASEAN through infrastructure. The feasibility study for the strategy of bridging archipelagic ASEAN with mainland ASEAN through a RORO and short sea shipping network was finished recently. Although four Philippine ports were initially considered in the study, only two ports were found to be viableDavao City and General Santos City, with General Santos City acting as the main gateway via a connection to Bitung, Indonesia.
Likewise, the study pointed out the significant improvement in the governments fiscal position that augurs well for more substantial infrastructure spending in the future. While there seems to be a reduced reliance on ODA for infrastructure financing in view of the improvement in the governments fiscal position, it remains a critical source of funding and assistance to improve the institutional framework for infrastructure financing. As well, there are new sources of infrastructure financing such as the regional fund for ASEAN and a private equity fund capitalized with pension funds.
The important lesson that emerged from this study is that an effective infrastructure financing strategy must not only focus on resource availability for the hard infrastructure but also on having an institutional framework that facilitates the project identification, design, development, tendering, review, approval and implementation. There is merit in institutionalizing project development facilities and expanding its scale and scope to cover project development and feasibility studies and governance and institutional reforms.
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References
Asian Development Bank (ADB) 2011. Report and Recommendation of the President to the Board of Directors: Proposed Equity Contribution and Administration of ASEAN Infrastructure Fund. Manila: ADB. _______. 2013. Asia Bonds Monitor J une 2013. Manila: Asian Development Bank. Department of Budget and Management (DBM). 2013. National Expenditure Program (annual, 2008-2014). Manila: DBM. _______. 2013. Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing 2013. Manila: DBM. J apan International Cooperation Agency (J ICA). 2013. Masterplan and Feasibility Study on the Establishment of an ASEAN RoRo Shipping Network and Short Sea Shipping. Unpublished. Llanto, Gilberto M. 2010. A review of build-operate-transfer for infrastructure development. Makati: Philippine Institute for Development Studies. National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA). 2013. ODA Portfolio Review (annual, 2007-2012). Unpublished. _______. 2011. Philippine Development Plan 2011-2016. Pasig: NEDA. _______. 2011. Public Investment Program 2011-2016. Pasig: NEDA. _______. 2013. (Revalidated) Public Investment Program 2011-2016. Pasig: NEDA. _______. 2012. Socioeconomic Report: The first two years of the Aquino administration, 2010- 2012. Pasig: NEDA. Navarro, Adoracion M. and J osef T. Yap. 2012. Macroeconomic Trends in 2011. In Economic Policy Monitor 2012. Makati: Philippine Institute for Development Studies. _______. 2013. Macroeconomic Developments in 2012. In Economic Policy Monitor 2013. Manila: Philippine Institute for Development Studies. Navarro, Adoracion M. 2012. Achieving Inclusive Growth in the Philippines. East Asian Policy 4(04):75-83.
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Schwab, Klaus. (ed.). 2013. The Global Competitiveness Report 20122013. Geneva: World Economic Forum.
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Annex 1 Infrastructure in the 2011-2016 Public Investment Program
The following tables provide details on the investment targets for infrastructure as listed in the 2011-2016 Public Investment Program.
Table A - 1. Investment Target for Infrastructure by Funding Source (in PhP million) Funding Source 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total NG (includes ODA 156,244.77 230,440.10 296,778.14 312,982.89 369,222.46 382,992.18 1,748,660.53 loans) 8,015.85 13,359.66 12,314.26 10,336.30 11,515.35 8,643.39 64,184.79 ODA Grants 18,842.62 23,665.31 77,294.86 31,127.02 41,450.52 33,992.07 226,372.40 GOCC 3,083.77 24,197.68 65,789.67 145,781.34 150,337.16 88,640.95 477,830.57 Private Sector 4,328.13 9,751.90 12,509.31 2,400.00 - - 28,989.34 LGU 1,100.00 4,802.00 9,166.98 8,874.35 11,268.12 805.00 36,016.45 Others 191,615.13 306,216.65 473,853.21 511,501.89 583,793.61 515,073.59 2,582,054.08 Source: PIP 2011-2016 (as of May 31, 2012)
Cebu International Airport Authority; PCG - Philippine Coast Guard; PPA - Philippine Ports Authority; MRT3 - Metro Rail Transit 3; LLDA - Laguna Lake Development Authority; PhilPost - Philippine Postal Corporation; PCOO - Presidential Communications Operations Office; PRRC - Pasig River Rehabilitation Commission; HUDCC - Housing and Urban Development Coordinating Council; NDRRMC - National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council.
Source: PIP 2011-2016 (as of May 31, 2012)
Table A - 3. List of Infrastructure Projects in the Revalidated PIP 29
Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) DOT - DPWH Convergence Programfor TourismAreas Access Provision DPWH, DOT Roads leading to tourist destinations constructed/improved Interregional - Upgrading of the San Fernando Airport BCDA- PPMC Existing Airport improved I - Bicol International Airport Development DOTC New Airport constructed V 1,478.02 Puerto Princesa Airport DOTC Existing Airport improved IV-B 3,194.00 New Bohol (Panglao) Airport Development Project DOTC New Airport constructed VII 6,905.07 Clark International Airport - New Low Cost Carrier Terminal DOTC- CIAC New Passenger Terminal Constructed III 6,242.71 Construction of the New Passenger International Terminal at Mactan-Cebu International Airport DOTC- MCIAA New Passenger Terminal Constructed VII 8,873.10 Tacloban Airport DOTC- Existing Airport improved VIII 1,920.00
29 This is from the May 31, 2012 revalidation of the original Public Investment Program (PIP) 2011-2016. The National Economic and Development Authority says that one of the salient features of the revalidated PIP is that it veers away from the identification of all priority programs and projects of the government and focuses on strategic core investment programs/projects that will substantially contribute to the priorities embodied in the development objectives in the Philippine Development Plan and the critical indicators in results monitoring.
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Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) Redevelopment Project CAAP Manila-Clark Airport Express Rail Link, including J ICA TA for FS DOTC- NLRC Express rail link connecting Clark to Metro Manila NCR, III 91,060.00 Central Spine RORO Development DOTC Facilities for RoRo ferry port network and services installed IV-A, VI, VII, X 33,780.00 Development of New Cebu International Port (Phase 1) - Construction of a New International Port outside Cebu Baseport (Phase 1) DOTC-CPA 3-Berth International Container Terminal constructed VII 10,000.00 Integrated Railway System DOTC-PNR A railway systemthat will serve as a North-South Transportation Backbone constructed Interregional - Construction/Rehabilitation of Farm-to-Mill Roads DA-SRA Existing road network upgraded/ rehabilitated and new roads constructed II, III, IV-A, V, VI, VII, VIII, X, XI, XII 3,300.00 Central Luzon Link Expressway (CLLEX), Phase I DPWH 30.70 kmExpressway constructed III 14,936.00 Cavite-Laguna (CALA) Expressway DPWH 47.00 kmexpressway constructed IV-A 31,158.68 Calamba-Los Baos Toll Expressway DPWH 15.50 kmexpressway constructed IV-A 8,210.00 Southern Tagalog Arterial Road (STAR) Stage 2 (Phase II) DPWH 19.74 kmexpressway improved IV-A - C-6 Expressway and Global Link (South Section) DPWH 59.50 kmexpressway constructed NCR 48,580.00 C-6 Extension (Flood Control Dike Expressway) DPWH 43.60 kmexpressway constructed NCR, IV-A 18,590.00 Modernization of Kennon Road BCDA 41.2 kmroad upgraded to tollway standard CAR, I - Arterial Road Bypass Project Phase II, Plaridel Bypass Road Project DPWH 9.96 kmroad constructed III 3,341.00 Samar Pacific Coastal Road Project DPWH 14.87 kmroad improved VIII 1,031.92 Baler-Casiguran Road Project DPWH 33.00 kmof road, 285lmof bridges, drainage structure and road safety facilities (Links Baler to Casiguran) constructed/improved III 1,470.44 Albay West Coast Road DPWH 42.90 kmroad constructed V 811.18 Dalton Pass East Alignment DPWH 60.45 kmroad constructed III 928.95 Bridges under Design and Build DPWH 18,843 kmbridges constructed Nationwide 19,855.00 EDSA-Taft Flyover DPWH 4-lane flyover constructed NCR 3,033.31 Metro Manila Interchange DPWH 7 interchanges constructed NCR 6,105.00
47
Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) Construction Project Rehabilitation of EDSA (C- 4) DPWH 23 kmroad improved NCR 3,744.00 Metro Manila Skybridge MMDA 8.50 kmelevated road NCR 10,000.00 LRT Line 1 Cavite Extension including J ICA TA for FS DOTC- LRTA Systemextended by 11.70 km NCR, IV-A 56,203.25 LRT Line 2 East Extension, including J ICA TA for FS DOTC- LRTA Systemextended by 4.12 km NCR 9,445.96 MRT 3 Capacity Expansion DOTC-MRT 3 48 Light Rail Vehicles (LRV) procured NCR 4,500.00 Manila Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) DOTC Organized BRT systemoperationalized NCR - Line 1 and Line 2 System Rehabilitation DOTC- LRTA LRT Line 1 and 2 rehabilitated NCR 6,066.88 Common Station for LRT 1, MRT 3, and MRT 7 DOTC New Light Rail Station Constructed NCR - Metro Manila Central Business Districts Transit SystemProject (formerly known as "Taguig-Makati-Pasay Elevated Monorail") BCDA Mass transit systemthrough Central Business Districts NCR - Contactless Automatic Fare Collection System DOTC 3 Integrated Bus Terminals constructed NCR 7,500.00 Contactless Automatic Fare Collection System DOTC Automatic Fare Collection Systemfor urban rail systems installed NCR 1,722.00 Bus Rapid Systemin Metro Cebu, including CTF-WB TA for project preparation DOTC, LGU Organized BRT systemoperationalized VII 10,571.55 Davao Sasa Port Development Project DOTC Port facilities improved (quay cranes, buildings, yard lighting, reefers) XI - Makati-Manila-Paranaque Mass Transit Loop DOTC Organized mass transit system operationalized NCR - Installation of Intelligent Transport System(Module A & B) MMDA Traffic Signal Controls Systeminstalled; Safety, Road Information, Traffic Law Enforcement Systems installed NCR 3,399.98 MaPaLla (Manila Bay- Pasig River-Laguna Lake) Mass Transit Loop DOTC Organized Water Ferry system operationalized NCR - Tumauini Reservoir Project DA-NIA 2,385 ha of new area generated and 3,615 ha of existing irrigated area rehabilitated II 450.00 Chico River Pump Irrigation Project DA-NIA 8,700 ha of new irrigated area generated II 600.00 Ilaguen Multipurpose Project DA-NIA 30,000 ha of new irrigated area generated II 1,300.00 Balintingon Reservoir Multipurpose Project DA-NIA 14,900 ha of new irrigated area generated III 500.00 Angat Damand Dyke MWSS Angat main damand dyke rehabilitated NCR, III 5,719.90
48
Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) Strengthening Project (ADDSP) Angat Water and Utilization and Aqueduct Improvement Project (AWUAIP), Phase 3 MWSS Aqueducts of the Angat Dam rehabilitated NCR, III 4,350.00 New Centennial Water Source Project MWSS Laiban Damat the upper Kaliwa River and Kaliwa Low Dam at the downstreamof Kaliwa River constructed NCR 15,000.00 Bulacan Bulk Water Supply Project (BBWSP) MWSS Approximately 230 MLD of water provided and a water treatment plant, treated water reservoir, booster pump station, treated water transmission mains, and interconnection to water districts' trunk lines constructed III 13,260.00 Rehabilitation, Operation and Maintenance of the Angat Hydro Electric Power Plant (AHEPP) Auxiliary Turbines 4 & 5 through PPP MWSS Auxiliary turbines 4 & 5 economic life extended up to 30 years and energy and load output increased by 60% III 1,155.18 Uprating of Agus 6 Units 1 & 2 PSALM Total plant capacity of Agus VI increased from50 MW to 69 MW and the units economic life extended for a minimumof 30 years upon completion X 2,598.00 New Communication, Navigation and Surveillance/ Air Traffic Management Systems Development Project DOTC- CAAP CNS/ATM equipped airport network (selected airports) Nationwide 1,507.17 Integrated Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaption Measure in the Low- Lying Areas of Pampanga Bay, Pampanga DPWH Flood damage to Pampanga mitigated by increasing waterways capacity of Third River, Eastern Branch River, Caduang Tete and Sapang Maragul River III 3,112.94 Valenzuela-Obando- Meycauayan (VOM) Area Drainage System Improvement and Related Works Project (Metro Manila, Bulacan) DPWH Flood damages mitigated by flood control and drainage improvement works in the VOM area and its surroundings, thereby improve the living conditions and promote/enhance economic activities in the said area NCR, III 7,700.00 Implementation of immediate high-impact projects identified under the Master Plan for Flood DPWH -- Flooding in Metro Manila and its surrounding areas with a total area of 4,354 sq. kmor 435,400 hectares reduced -- Administration areas in and around the Study Area include sixteen (16) NCR, III, IV-A 5,000.00
49
Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) Management in Metro Manila and Surrounding Areas cities and one (1) municipality in NCR, 63 cities/ municipalities in the CALABARZON area and eight (8) cities/municipalities in Bulacan with a population of 20,433,722 in and around the Study Area, and estimated population of 17,147,658 in the Study Area. DOTC Road Transport Information Technology Infrastructure Project, Phase I DOTC-LTO, DOTC- LTFRB Processing time of motor vehicle registration and franchise issuance reduced through IT system Nationwide 8,750.00 Motor Vehicle Inspection and Type Approval System DOTC-LTO Nationwide 1,300.00 National Support Fund for Local Road Management DILG A performance-based incentive grant systemthat supports LGU road maintenance and road rehabilitation works Nationwide 3,832.14 Roads in Conflict Afflicted Areas DPWH Roads serving conflict afflicted areas constructed/improved ARMM - Public-Private Partnership (PPP) for School Infrastructure Project (PSIP) II DepEd 10,680 classrooms (with toilets and furniture) designed, constructed and maintained in selected regions for a period of ten (10) years I, CAR, II, III, IV-B, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, 8,865.55 Development and Operation of Waste-to-Energy Facilities DENR- EMB, NSWMC NCR, III, IV-A 1,500.00 National Sewerage and Septage Management Program (NSSMP) LWUA On-the-ground sewerage and septage projects and programs developed, capacity building support and financial incentives provided by the NG, 76 sewerage or septage management systems installed by 2020 covering a population of about 9,877,000 through local implementors, sewerage systems developed in 17 HUCs (Baguio, Angeles, Olongapo, Lucena, Puerto Princesa, Bacolod, Iloilo, Cebu, Lapu-Lapu, Mandaue, Tacloban, Zamboanga, Cagayan de Oro, Iligan, Davao, Gen. Santos, Butuan). The project is a bottom-up, demanddriven project that targets local implementersLGUs, water districts, and private service providers. CAR, III, IV-A, IV-B, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII 597.00 PTV Revitalization Program PCOO-PTNI -- Phase 1 - Further improvement of key production & broadcast equipment, establishment of Five Regional Centers & roll-out of analog transmitters in 11 priority areas nationwide -- Phase 2 - Digitalization of Production, Studio, Master Control, New Media Systems of the PTV Main Nationwide 2,851.39
50
Title of Project Agency Expected Outputs/Description Spatial Coverage 2013-2016 Investment Targets (in PhP Million) Station and in five Regional Centers -- Phase 3 - Digitalization of Terrestrial TV Broadcasting Systems of the Peoples Television Network Inc. Public-Private Partnership (PPP) for School Infrastructure Project (PSIP) Phase I DepEd 9,301 classrooms (with toilets and furniture) designed, constructed and maintained I, III, IV-A 15,326.86 Modernization of the Philippine Orthopedic Center (POC) DOH The project envisions the development of a new facility intended to be a superspecialty tertiary orthopedic hospital on an 8,000-square meter area within the National Kidney and Transplant Institute (NKTI) Complex along East Avenue, Quezon City. NCR 5,691.50 Water District Development Sector Project LWUA Water supply systems in project WDs rehabilitated and expanded and septage treatment facilities in a few of the project WDs developed, and assistance in project management, institutional development and capacity building provided I, XII (Additional projects still to be identified) 2,620.11 TOTAL 551,545.75
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Annex 2 ODA Profile and ODA Infrastructure Pipeline
Table A - 4. Profiles of Developing Partners, by Strategy Framework, by Priority Areas Development Partners Country Assistance Strategy/Framework Priority Areas MULTILATERALS Asian Development Bank (ADB) Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) 2011-2016 - Country Operations Business Plan (COBP) Transport, energy, education, agricultureand natural resources (with operations limited to the Strategy 2020 core area of environment), and water supply, and othermunicipal infrastructureand services.
Support to public sector management (cross-cutting themes) International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) Philippines Country Strategic Opportunities Programme(COSOP) for theperiod of 2010-2014 IFAD's thrust is enshrined in its objectiveto "enablethe rural poor to overcometheir poverty." United Nations System
United Nations Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF) 2012-2018 Signed on 21 J uly 2011
Universal access to quality social services with focus on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) Decent and productiveemployment for sustained, greener growth Democratic governance Resiliencetoward disasters and climatechange Environment and natural resources protection and conservation WB WB Country AssistanceStrategy (CAS) FY 2010- 2012 extended up to FY 2013 (J uly 2009 June30, 2013) [Both for IBRD and IFC] StableMacroeconomy Improved Investment Climate Better Public ServiceDelivery Reduced Vulnerabilities Good Governance(cross-cutting)
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Development Partners Country Assistance Strategy/Framework Priority Areas BILATERALS Asia-Pacific Government of Australia Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID) Philippines-Australia Statement of Commitment 2012-2017 (signed: 14 March 2012) Education Improving Local Government Capacity Disaster Risk Management/ClimateChange Peaceand Security
Cross-Cutting Themes o Governance/Public Financial Management o Human Resourceand Organizational Development o Gender o Public PrivatePartnership Peoples Republic of China Philippines-China Five-Year Programfor Trade and Economic Development, 2011-2016 (signed: 31 August 2011) Agricultureand fishery Infrastructureand public works Mining Energy ICT Processing and manufacturing Tourism Engineering services Forestry Government of J apan Country AssistancePolicy, 2012-2016 (under formulation stage) Achieving sustainable economic growth through further promotion of investment Overcoming vulnerability and stabilizing bases for human life and production activity Peace and development in Mindanao Republic of South Korea Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA)
Korea Eximbank- Economic Development Cooperation Fund (EDCF) Country Partnership Strategy, 2012-2016 (under formulation stage)
Framework Arrangement Concerning Loans Country (signed: 21 November 2011) Socioeconomic InfrastructureDevelopment Agricultural and Water Resources Development Health and Medical Service New Zealand ASEAN-New Zealand J oint Comprehensive Partnership agreement (signed: 22 J uly 2010) Economic development in thefields of agriculture, eco-tourismand enterprise development Safeand equitablecommunities Energy
53
Development Partners Country Assistance Strategy/Framework Priority Areas West Canada Strategy on SustainableEconomic Development (discussed during theSeptember 2010 Consultations) Sustainableeconomic development European Union EU Country Strategy Paper for thePhilippines 2007-2013
EU Multi-Annual IndicativeProgramme2011- 2013 (11 November 2010) Health, Governance, Trade-related Assistance, VulnerablePopulations, Support to theMindanao Peace Process France
French Financial Protocol expired in 2008; projects considered on a case-by-casebasis
GPH-AFD MOU on AFD's Development Activities to besigned on 23 May 2012 ICT, Energy, Transportation, Environment, Health
Climatechange, green infrastructure, renewableenergy and energy efficiency Spain Proposed Philippines-Spain MOU on Financial Cooperation in Support of Tradeand Investment to besigned in 2nd half of 2012
Proposed Strategic Partnership Framework for Development Cooperation to besigned in 2nd half of 2012 Water treatment, new and renewableenergies, energy and electricity, civil infrastructure, capital goods, turn- key projects, ICT, solid wastetreatment, engineering and architectural services and works.
Health, Basic Social Services (Health and Water and Sanitation), Governance, PeaceProcess USAID Country AssistanceStrategy Philippines: 2009- 2013 (no signing)
Draft Country Development Cooperation Strategy 2012-2016 Economic Governance, Health, Environment and Energy, education, Mindanao Peaceand Development
Basically thesameareas
Source: 2011 ODA Portfolio Review of the National Economic and Development Authority
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Table A - 5. ODA Infrastructure Pipeline
(as of 1st Quarter 2013)
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/PS Total Amount Counterpart Project Cost (In US$ million) Asian Development Bank-Loan Market Transformation through Theproject will replacetraditional tricycles particularly those aging III, IV, XI, NCR, other DOE 400.00 21.00 79.00 500.00 Introduction of Energy-Efficient Electric tricycles and thoserunning on two-strokegasolineengines and promote regions to beidentified Vehicles Project theestablishment of new associated electric vehiclesupport industries
(e.g., battery leasing/recycling/ disposal, motor supply chain and charging stations) in thePhilippines.
Water District Development Sector Theloan will help (i) improveliving conditions in urban areas outside Nationwide LWUA 50.00 50.00 Project Metro Manila, (ii) enhancecompetitiveness by developing water supply
infrastructure, (iii) develop theinstitutional capacity of water utilities, (iv)
support thereorganization and institutional development of water districts
and theLWUA, and (v) contirbuteto much needed sector reform. The
project is expected to (i) increasetheaccess of thepopulation in th
provincial cities to improved water supply and sanitation, (ii) reducethe
quantity of nonrevenuewater and enhanceasset management, and (iii)
improvetheoperating and financial performanceof water utilities.
Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Theproject aims to improvethewater supply and sanitation (WSS) VII and XI DCWD and MCWD 70 (plusUS$50M from TBD Project services in Metro Cebu, Davao City and other to beidentified urban AFD; US$50M from
areas, by providinginvestment capital and technical assistanceto the AIF) respectiveWater Districts (WDs).
55
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/PS Total Amount Counterpart Project Cost (In US$ million) AlternativeWater Sourcefor Metro For discussion NCR, III and IV MWSS 50 (plus US$100M TBD Manila fromAIF) Second Road Sector Institutional For discussion TBD DPWH 200 (plusUS$75M TBD Development and Investment Program fromAIF; US$30M fromADFD) Integrated Transport Terminal For discussion TBD DOTC 100.00 100.00 Solid WasteManagement Sector Project Theproposed subject project aims to improveSolid Waste Management TBD TBD
(SWM) in thePhilippines through provision of investments to the local government units (LGUs) in establishing SWM infrastructure. DENR 70.00 Angat Water Transmission Improvement Theproject will secureraw water supply for the15-million inhabitants of TBD Project MWSS servicearea, through therehabilitation of theAngat transmission line. MWSS 50.00 50.00
56
ODA Pipeline (as of 1st Quarter 2013)
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/PS Total Amount Counterpart Project Cost (In US$ million) Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)-Loan LRT Line1 South Extension Theproject will extend LRT Line1 by an approximately 11.7 km from NCR, IV-A DOTC 611.84 128.75 (GOP) 1,489.42 (hybrid PPP: Privatesector undertakes Baclaran Station through thecities of Paraaqueand LasPias, up to the 748.83 (Private sector) CW and E&M wholeGOP provides for municipality of Bacoor Cavite. It will involvecivil works, electro- therolling stock and depot through J ICA mechanical works, rolling stock, and operation and maintenance. ODA STEP loan)
LRT Line2 East Extension Theproject involves thedesign and construction of the4.19-km eastern IV-A DOTC 48.04 188.20 236.25
extension of theexistingLRT Line2 fromtheSantolan Station at Marcos
Highway fronting SM Marikina, and terminating at Masinag Junction or the
intersection of Marcos Highway and Sumulong Highway. The total length
of LRT Line2 will beapproximately 16.75 km, upon completion of the project.
New Bohol Airport Construction and Theproject involves thedevelopment of anew airport facility of Region VII DOTC 141.90 38.20 180.11 SustainableEnvironment Protection international standards in Panglao Island, Bohol to replacethe existing Project Tagbilaran Airport dueto its limitations and safety concerns.
CaviteLagunaExpressway (CALAX) Theproject involves thefinancing, design, and construction of a new IV-A DPWH 180.63 245 (Government) 861.22 Project 47.02 km, four-laneexpressway fromtheend of theCavite Expressway '436 (Private)
(CAVITEX) in Kawit, Cavite, to theMamplasan Interchangeof theSouth
Luzon Expressway (SLEX) in Bian, Laguna. It aims to provide better
access to Caviteand Laguna, where49 ecozones/industrial estates,
1,590companies/locators, and 27residential subdivisionsare located and around 500,000 workers areemployed.
57
ODA Pipeline (as of 1st Quarter 2013)
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/PS Total Amount Counterpart Project Cost (In US$ million) World Bank (WB)-Loan Cebu Bus Rapid Transit Theproject will establish aBus Rapid Transit (BRT) System in Cebu City. VII DOTC, Cebu City IBRD - 110 187.00
Theproject aims to provideimproved mobility for peoplein Cebu City and CTF 25
will offer amoreefficient travel in and around thecity, and will provide AFD - 52 safer and environment friendly modeof travel.
RenewableEnergy Development Project Theproject will continuescaling up rural electrification and renewable TBD TBD TBD 100.00 (Ph RED) energy expansion of theongoing Rural Power Project
Secondary/Local Roads As conceptualized by DPWH and DILG, theprogramaims to improvethe TBD DPWH/ DILG 250.00 250.00
quality of roads convergenceareas and promoteeconomic activities in
theinfluenceareas of such roads leadingto tourismservice centers.
France - Agence Francaise de Development (AFD)-Loan Bus Rapid Transport (BRT) Cebu (co- Theproject, which is proposed to beco-financed with the World Bank, Region VII DOTC 70.00-75.00 not specified 200.00 financing with World Bank) involves theconstruction of abus rapid transit corridor (15 km) and
systemin thecity of Cebu. Theprojects development objectivesareto (i)
improvepassenger mobility in theprojects corridors by providing an
alternativethat issafer, moresecure, moreefficient, and generates fewer
emissions; and (ii) to demonstrateeffectivepublic-private partnership arrangements in thePhilippines first BRT.
AFD funding will bededicated to thefinancing of thetraffic management component of theproject.
Urban Water Supply and Sanitation Theproject aims to improvetheWSS services in Metro Cebu and Davao VII and XI DCWD and MCWD 65.00 not specified 140.00 Project (Davao City & Metro Cebu Water City by providing investment capital and technical assistance to the Districts) (co-financing with ADB) respectiveWater Districts. It specifically targets the expansion of water supply capacity, as well as therehabilitation and expansion
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Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/PS Total Amount Counterpart Project Cost (In US$ million) of water
treatment facilities and theconstruction of wastewater treatment and sanitation facilities.
Theproject is expected to sustainably improvethewater supply services
in thecontext of water resourcescarcity and foreseeable impact of climatechangeon water resourceavailability.
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ODA Pipeline (as of 1st Quarter 2013)
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/ PS Total Amount Counter part Project Cost (In US$ million) Korean Economic Development Cooperation Fund (EDCF) Samar Pacific Coastal Road Project Theproject involves theconstruction/Improvement of 27.8kmof road as VIII DPWH 38.78 5.01 43.79 follows: J ct. Simora SimoraBridge(0.2km) J ct. Simora- Jct. Palapag(12.8kmout of 18.0km) J ct. Palapag - Lapinig (12.0kmout of 48.6km) Arteche- San Policarpio (2.8kmout of 25.2km)
Construction of SimoraBridge(141m)*, J angtud Bridge(30m) and Pinaculan Bridge(50m)
Northrail-Southrail LinkageProject, TheProject aimsto ensurethesuccessful completion and development of NCR PNR 17.81 3.57 21.38 PhaseI (NSLP 1) - Supplemental Loan thecommuter rail servicefromthesouthern part of Manilato Metro
Manilathrough improvement of tracks and provision of newly identified working scope. Northrail-Southrail LinkageProject, TheProject aims to upgradethepresent commuter rail service from NCR, IV-A PNR 111.54 39.50 151.04 PhaseII (NSLP 2) Alabang to Calambathrough track improvement, including double
tracking, and thepurchaseof rolling stocks to alleviatetraffic congestion in Metro Manilaand adjacent urbanized areas.
Baler-Casiguran Road Project Theproject will completetheremaining 32.97kmunpaved sectionsof the III DPWH 31.14 4.46 35.60
116-kilometer Baler-Casiguran road (as appraised by Korea Eximbank).
Theroad passes through flat, rolling and mountainous terrains and
crosses morethan 30 rivers and creeks on a20-meter right-of- way (ROW). Casiguran International New Port Project Theproject involves thedevelopment of an international new port in III APECO 41.83 5.54 47.37 Casiguran Bay with thefollowing major components/facilities:
(a) Multi-purposewharf (2 berths for 20,000 DWT) - For operation buildings, storage, wellbeing facilities, storageyards, substations, maintenancebuildings, services areas, gates, etc (b) Passenger wharf (1 berth for 400 GT) - For passenger
60
Project Title Project Description Region Implementing Agency Loan Grant GOP/ PS Total Amount Counter part Project Cost (In US$ million) terminal.
(c) Fishery wharf - For marineproducts marketing stalls, storage, ship repair facilities. Albay West Coast Road Project Theproject involves theconstruction/improvement of the42.9- kmroad V DPWH 20.38 7.28 27.66
fromPantao, Libon to Caratagan, Pioduran. Theimprovement will cover
31.83 kms road of PCCP. It will also cover therepair/replacement of 5
bridges with an aggregatelength of 250 m. Other works include slope protection and drainage.
Modification of theMalinao Dam Project Theproject includes: (1) dam(and road) improvement; (2) irrigation VII DA-NIA 16.58 2.50 19.08
improvement (land leveling, construction of new farmditches, concrete liningof farmditches, lateral canal extension, road repair and
improvement, installation of turnouts and postharvest facilities); (3)
institutional development; (4) land acquisition and compensation; and (5) consulting services.
Chinese ODA Loan Financing Upgrading and Rehabilitation of the Project involves theupgrading and rehabilitation of theexisting Navotas NCR DA-PFDA 61.67 3.61 65.28 Navotas Fish Port Complex Fish Port Complex. Project outputs includethefollowing: (1) upgrading/Improvement of theNFPC facilities; (2) establishment of cold storagefacilities;
(3) upgrading of Piers 4 and 5 and provision of an area; for other fishery and agriculture-based industries; (4) conversion of Piers 4 and 5 to wharf landing; (5) provision of wastewater treatment facility; (6) upgrading of landing quay fromMarket Hall 1 to Pier 2; and (7) rehabilitation of thewest breakwater
Source: National Economic and Development Authority DRAFT NOT FOR QUOTATION
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Annex 3 PPP Pipeline
Project Title Brief Description Implementing Agencies (IA) Estimated total Project Cost SOLICITED MODE 1. LRT Line 1 South (Cavite Extension and O&M)
The proposed alignment for the LRT 1 South Extension has an approximate length of 11.7 km from its tie-in point at the terminus of LRT Line 1 at Baclaran Terminal to the Niyog Station at Bacoor Cavite of which approximately 10.5 km will be elevated and 1.2 km will be at grade. Total length of the integrated LRT Line 1 will be approximately 32.4 km. DOTC US$ 1.41B PHP 59.20B
2. LRT Line 2 Operation and Maintenance Operation and Maintenance of the existing LRT Line 2 and the proposed 4km extension from Santolan, Pasig to Masinag, Antipolo. The existing 13.8 km Line 2 runs along the Recto Station in Manila to the Santolan Station in Pasig, along recto Avenue, Magsaysay Boulevard and Marcos Highway. DOTC TBD 3. Operation and Maintenance of the Laguindingan Airport Operation and Maintenance of the newly constructed International-standards airport in Laguindingan, Misamis Oriental. DOTC US$ 42.85M PHP 1.8B 4. New Bohol (Panglao) Airport Construction of an international-standards airport to replace the existing Tagbilaran Airport within a 230- hectare spread. DOTC US$ 190.47M PHP 8.0B 5. Mactan Cebu International Airport Passenger Terminal Building Construction of new world-class passenger terminal building in Mactan, Cebu with a capacity of about 8 million passengers a year. DOTC US$ 241.66M PHP 10.15B 6. Operation and Maintenance of the Puerto Prinsesa Airport The project involves the privatization of the operation and maintenance of the airport. The existing Puerto Prinsesa Airport will be upgraded/improved into the international gateway meeting standards of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). DOTC TBD 7. Automatic Fare Collection System Decommissioning of the old magnetic-based ticketing system and replacing the same with contactless-based smart card technology on LRT Line 1 and 2 and MRT 3 with the introduction of a centralized back office that will perform apportionment of revenues. DOTC US$ 42.85M PHP 1.8B 8. Integrated Transport System (ITS) Project The project will establish three (3) mass international terminals at the outskirts of Metro Manila one in the north (of EDSA) serving passengers to and from Northern Luzon, and two (2) in the south serving passengers to and from Laguna/Batangas side and those to and from Cavite side. The terminals will connect the passengers from the province to the other urban transport systems -- railways, city buses, taxi, PUV servicing inner Metro Manila. DOTC US$ 42.85M PHP 1.8B 9. Cebu Bus Rapid Transit Demonstration Project The project will restructure the main urban transport corridor from Bulacao to Ayala in Cebu City. This includes a 16km BRT route designed and built following international best practices and quality standards, two mixed traffic lanes per direction, integration of the drainage system installed along the restructured corridor and BRT terminals. DOTC TBD
10. NAIA Expressway Phase II Project The proposed elevated expressway starts at the existing Skyway then generally follows the existing DPWH US$ 377.62M PHP 15.86M DRAFT NOT FOR QUOTATION
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Project Title Brief Description Implementing Agencies (IA) Estimated total Project Cost road alignment over Sales Avenue, Andrews Avenue, Domestic Road and NAIA road. It has entry and exit ramps at Roxas Boulevard Macapagal Boulevard, and PAGCOR City. The project provides access to NAIA terminals I, II, III and links the two existing expressways, namely the Skyway and Manila-Cavite Toll Expressway. 11. CALA Expressway (Cavite and Laguna Side) Involves the construction of 2 expressways. One is on the Cavite side which is a 27 km, 4-lane highway from the terminus of R-1 Expressway in Kawit, Cavite to Aguinaldo (14.3 km, 4-lane et-grade expressway). The CALA Expressway will be connected to SLEX near Sta. Rosa, Laguna. DPWH US$ 468.80M PHP 19.69B 12. New Centennial Water Supply Source Project The project will involve the construction of a dam, a water treatment plant, and an associated main pipeline to deliver water from the project locator to Metro Manila. This project will provide water supply security in the metropolis. MWSS US$ 595.23M PHP 19.69B 13. Operation and Maintenance of Angat Hydro- Electric Powerplant (AHEPP) Auxiliary turbines 4/5 Rehabilitation, operation and maintenance of the MWSS-owned auxiliary turbines 4 and 5 installed in the Angat Hydro-Electric powerplant. MWSS US$ 38.09M PHP 1.60B 14. Balara Water Hub Construction and operationalization of an international center for water excellence located within the MESS Balara Compound situated along Katipunan Avenue opposite UP Diliman in Quezon City. MWSS US$ 476.19M PHP 20.0B 15. Vaccine Self- sufficiency Project (Phase II) The project is envisioned to accelerate progress in vaccine production in the Philippines and ensure vaccine sufficiency in the country. VSSP II is expected to reduce overall vaccine procurement costs of finished vaccines through local formulation, filling, labeling, and packaging of the following vaccines: Pentavalent (DPT-HepB-Hib, Diptheria, Pertussis, Tentanus-HepatitisB, and Hemphylus Influenza B), Tetanus Toxois (TT), Single HepB. DOH US$ 11.29M PHP 474.27M 16. Modernization of the Philippine Orthopedic Center Construction and upgrade of the hospital buildings and facilities; purchase and supply of modern hospital equipment, furniture and fixtures, and; installation of a comprehensive hospital IT sytem. DOH US$ 128.31M PHP 5.389B 17. PPP for School Infrastructure Projects The project will involve the design, financing, and construction of about 9,300 one-story and two-story classrooms, including furnitures and fixtures, in various sites in Regions I, III, and IV-A. The project aims to supplement the current program of the Department of Education in reducing classroom backlog. DepEd US$ 239.05M PHP 10.04B 18. Grains Central Project The project will establish grains bulk handling systems with corn grains processing centers and transshipment stations in major corn-producing areas and selected sea ports by upgrading, expanding and enhancing the existing operations in at least fifteen (15) corn postharvest processing and trading centers. DA US$ 29.76M PHP 1.25B 19. Establishment of Cold Chain Systems Covering Strategic Areas in the Philippines Construction and operationalization of Cold Chain Centers to be located in major production and consolidation areas of agri-fishery products. The Centers will be equipped with the required facilities and machineries for minimal processing of livestock, fisheries, and high value crops. DA US$ 126.19M PHP 5.30B 20. Logistics Support on The project will involve the (i) development of DA US$ 34.9M PHP 1.47B DRAFT NOT FOR QUOTATION
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Project Title Brief Description Implementing Agencies (IA) Estimated total Project Cost the Agri-Fishery Products Supply Chain: Transportation of Agri-Fishery Products Utilizing the South Rail Main Line railway infrastructure (procurement of train locomotives, wagons, flatbeds, container vans) and (ii) establishment of consolidation centers, transport and storage facilities (construction of consolidation centers and loading/unloading terminals in selected project sites near train stations, and rehabilitation of train cargo stations and warehouses equipped with cold rooms/storages/refrigerated transport and other equipment). 21. NLEX-SLEX Connector Construction of a 13.4 km., 4-lane elevated expressway over the Philippine National Railway (PNR) right of way which starts at Caloocan City and ends in Buendia, Makati City. The project will connect North Luzon Expressway (NLEX) and South Luzon Expressway (SLEX) to decongest traffic in Metro Manila. DPWH US$ 480.48 PHP 20.18B
Source: BESF 2014, Department of Budget and Management Note: Exchange Rate: US$ 1 = PHP 42.00 The number and details of PPP projects in the pipeline may change depending on the result of the studies conducted and other developments.