Dawson Compton Grant 2010
Dawson Compton Grant 2010
Dawson Compton Grant 2010
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DAWSON, COMPTON, AND GRANT 755
a software package that uses Taylor series linearization to
adjust variance estimates for complex, multistage sample
designs. At any given cutpoint, sensitivity reects the pro-
portion of individuals actually positive for the condition of
interest whose screener score was greater than or equal to the
cutpoint, and specicity reects the proportion of individuals
actually negative for the condition whose screener score was
lower than the cutpoint. The positive predictive value is the
proportion of those with a positive screen who are positive
for the condition of interest. As a measure of screening ef-
ciency, the positive likelihood ratio, which is the ratio of true
to false positives (sensitivity divided by 1 minus specicity),
was calculated for each cutpoint. Areas under receiver-opera-
tor characteristic curves (AUCs) that plot sensitivity versus 1
minus specicity at each screener cutpoint were calculated as
measures of overall performance (Swets and Pickett, 1982)
using ROCKIT 0.9B (Metz, 2003) for maximum-likelihood
estimates of semiparametric binormal curve AUC.
Results
As shown in Table 1, less than 1% (0.6%) of U.S. adults
met the criteria for past-year drug dependence, 2.0% had a
past-year DUD (dependence and/or abuse), and 6.2% were
past-year illicit drug users. Prevalence rates for specic
drugs were highest for marijuana, next highest for any il-
licit prescription drug, and lowest for cocaine/crack. In the
subpopulation of adults who had used the services of an ED
in the year preceding interview, rates of drug use and DUDs
were slightly higher than in the general population. In both
the general population and among those who had used an
ED, the rates of drug use and DUDs increased as a function
of past-year frequency of consuming 5+/4+ drinks, and these
associations were highly signicant as indicated by the p for
chi-square tests of association, p < .001 in most cases and p
>.05 only for cocaine/crack dependence in the ED subpopu-
lation (p = .088).
The performance of the single item 5+/4+ drinks screener
varied as a function of drug type (Table 2). Performance was
best for cocaine (AUC = .887-.897) and marijuana (AUC
= .839-.854), worst for the pooled category of any illicit
prescription drug (AUC = .748-.766), and intermediate for
the pooled category of any drug (AUC = .799-.833). Within
each drug category, differences in performance according to
the specic gold standard being considered were small and
within sampling error (i.e., their standard errors indicated
overlapping 95% condence intervals) but suggested that
the screener might be slightly more accurate in screening for
DUDs rather than drug use. Positive predictive values were
low, especially for cocaine/crack, reecting the low preva-
lence of illicit drug use and DUDs in the general U.S. adult
population, even among those engaging in heavy episodic
drinking.
For the drug categories of any drug, marijuana, and any
illicit prescription drug, the optimal screening cutpoint was
drinking 5+/4+ drinks once or more a year. A cutpoint of
drinking 5+/4+ drinks three or more times a year was a
reasonable alternative for situations that favor specicity
over sensitivity (e.g., when the costs of an increase of ap-
proximately 5% in false positives outweigh the value of
identifying an additional 5%-10% of true positives). For the
any-drug and marijuana measures, achieving a specicity of
80% or more generally required accepting a sensitivity of
less than 70% (i.e., of identifying less than 70% of the indi-
viduals truly positive for the drug use or DUD in question),
and positive likelihood ratios were generally in the range
of 3 to 4 for the optimal cutpoints. That is, these cutpoints
would identify three to four times as many true positives as
false positives. For the any illicit prescription drug category,
the positive likelihood ratios were less than 3 at the optimal
cutpoints, indicating a low level of screening efciency, and
all specicities were associated with sensitivities of 60% or
less. In other words, the screener was incapable of identify-
ing more than 60% of the individuals with illicit prescription
drug use or DUDs at any cutpoint.
For cocaine, the optimal screening cutpoint for depen-
dence was drinking 5+/4+ drinks once or more a month. The
cutpoints of once or more a month and seven or more times
a year performed equally well in screening for any cocaine
DUD, and a cutpoint of seven or more times a year was op-
timal for any cocaine use. At the cutpoint of once or more
a month, sensitivity and specicity were 76.0% and 86.0%,
respectively, for cocaine dependence and 73.9% and 86.1%,
respectively, for any cocaine-use disorder. At a cutpoint of
seven or more times a year, sensitivity and specicity for
cocaine use were 77.6% and 84.5%, respectively.
Among individuals who went to an ED for care in the
past year (Table 3), the single-item screener performed
almost as accurately as in the general population and more
so for some drugs and/or target conditions. All differences
between the general population and ED subsample were
small and lay within sampling error; moreover, the optimal
screening cutpoints were the same in the two samples.
Discussion
Data from a nationally representative sample of U.S.
adults revealed that a single question about past-year fre-
quency of drinking 5+/4+ drinks performed well as a screen-
er for past-year marijuana- and cocaine-use disorders, as well
as for monthly or more frequent use of these drugs. It was
considerably less accurate in screening for illicit prescription
drug use or disorders. This may reect the fact that alcohol
use is contraindicated when using some types of prescription
drugs, or perhaps it indicates that the prescription-drug-use
phenotype has a different set of predictors than alcohol and
the other DUDs (Colliver et al., 2006). The particularly
strong performance of the single-item screener in predict-
756 JOURNAL OF STUDIES ON ALCOHOL AND DRUGS / SEPTEMBER 2010
D
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758 JOURNAL OF STUDIES ON ALCOHOL AND DRUGS / SEPTEMBER 2010
ing cocaine-use disorder reects the fact that cocaine is the
DUD most strongly comorbid with AUD, with an odds ratio
of 19.2 (Stinson et al., 2005). Given that almost 80% of
individuals with a past-year cocaine-use disorder also had a
past-year AUD (Stinson et al., 2005), it is not surprising that
an AUD screener would also do a good job of screening for
cocaine-use disorder. The ndings are also supported by a
recent ED study that found a threefold to sixfold increase in
the risk of illicit drug use among men and women drinking
at risk levels consistent with the 5+/4+ denition used in this
study (Fleming et al., 2007).
The sensitivities and specicities found for the subsample
of individuals with past-year ED utilization in this study ex-
ceeded those reported in a recent study of the 5+/4+ drinks
screener in a sample of trauma center patients (Ramchand et
al., 2009). The weaker performance in that study may reect
the use of a past-30-day reference period for frequency of
drinking 5+/4+ drinks, which implies a screening cutpoint
of once a month or moremore frequent than the optimal
cutpoints for drugs other than cocaine in the current study.
One would also expect a stronger degree of association when
the time reference periods for the two are identical, as was
the case in the current study.
Not surprisingly, the frequency of drinking 5+/4+ drinks
performed less accurately in screening for DUDs than
AUDs. A previous investigation of the NESARC survey
data showed that drinking 5+/4+ drinks three or more times
a year had a sensitivity and specicity of 89.5% and 83.3%,
respectively, in relation to alcohol dependence (Dawson
et al., 2010). The present study showed that at similar lev-
els of specicity, the sensitivity of the screener for drug
dependence varied from 54.0% for illicit prescription drugs
to 76.0% for cocaine. The differential performance across
substances suggests that shared genetic and environmental
factors do not explain all of the variance in the alcohol
and drug problem behaviors and disorders. Rather, some
risk factors appear to be substance-specic and therefore
might best be addressed by means of substance-specic
screeners.
There are, however, many challenges in trying to com-
pare this study with evaluations of other screeners designed
specically to detect drug use and DUDs. These challenges
include different populations, different and often less rigor-
ous gold standards, different approaches to estimating AUC
statistics (e.g., nonparametric versus semiparametric) that
might yield slightly different values, and the fact that some
studies have used measures that combined AUDs and DUDs.
Although the World Health Organizations Alcohol, Smok-
ing and Substance Involvement Screening Test (ASSIST;
Humeniuk et al., 2008) has shown promise in populations
of primary care and drug treatment patients (Henrique et al.,
2004; Hides et al., 2009; Humeniuk et al., 2008; Newcombe
et al., 2005), most of the published studies have examined
the distinctions between use and abuse and between abuse
and dependence, measures not directly addressed in the pres-
ent study. The few studies that are more directly comparable
generally suggest that longer, drug-specic screeners yield
only slightly higher values of sensitivity and specicity than
those for the 5+/4+ drinks single-item screener. In a review
of studies examining the ve-item Severity of Dependence
Scale (Gossop et al., 1995) and the Problematic Use of
Marijuana Scale (Okulicz-Kozaryn, 2007) for screening
cannabis dependence in the general population, Piontek et
al. (2008) reported AUC values of .85 to .92, compared with
.851 in the current study. However, screening for marijuana
use using the 10-item Cannabis Use Disorders Identication
Test (Adamson and Sellman, 2003) in a clinical sample of
alcoholics resulted in AUC values of .63 to .76 (Annaheim et
al., 2008), lower than the AUC of .835 for use in the current
study. At a cutpoint of 2 or more, a cocaine-specic version
of the Severity of Dependence Scale resulted in a sensitivity
and specicity of 73% and 82%, respectively, in screening
for cocaine dependence in a cross-sectional survey of past-6-
month cocaine users (Kaye and Darke, 2002), compared with
76.0% and 86.0%, respectively, for drinking 5+/4+ drinks
once or more a month. However, at specicities greater
than 90%, the Severity of Dependence Scale screener had
higher levels of sensitivity than the single-item 5+/4+ drinks
screener. Although most published studies have not provided
standard errors for their screening measures, the fairly broad
standard errors for the ED subsample in this studya sam-
ple larger than those used in most prior studiessuggest that
few, if any, of the differences across screening instruments
would be statistically signicant.
The primary limitation of this study is the fact that both
the screening and gold standard measures were based on
respondents self-reports. Any broad tendency to withhold or
fully provide requested information might tend to upwardly
bias estimates of screening performance. Moreover, the
questions on which the single-item screener was based were
embedded in a long sequence of questions on past-year al-
cohol consumption, which may have increased the accuracy
of reporting relative to what would be obtained by actually
asking a single question on 5+/4+ drinking. Moreover, the
5+/4+ questions were not asked of all respondents but were
lled on the basis of responses to prior questions for the
majority of respondents. In addition, reporting of both 5+/4+
drinking and illicit drug use might be more honest in a con-
dential survey interview setting than in a medical setting
where the responses could be linked with individuals medi-
cal records, thus creating a bias toward better reporting than
what might be expected in a noncondential medical set-
ting. Another limitation is that the gold standard conditions
against which the screener was tested did not include drug
use with consequences that failed to meet the criteria for a
DUD. In addition, although the drug-use and DUD measures
showed generally good to excellent test-retest reliability, they
were not externally validated. Finally, whereas the NESARC
DAWSON, COMPTON, AND GRANT 759
identied past-year ED users, it did not identify past-year
primary care patients; thus, we were unable to test the single-
item screener in one of the subpopulations where it would
most likely be used. These limitations indicate the need for
caution in interpreting the results of this study and for repli-
cation in relevant subpopulations.
In summary, a single-item screener comprising the fre-
quency of drinking 5+/4+ drinks shows strong promise for
detecting marijuana and cocaine use and problems in gen-
eral population samples. Although not optimal as a screener
for illicit prescription drug use, it does a fairly good job of
screening for any drug use or DUD, suggesting that it may
also perform well for specic drugs not examined in this
study, including hallucinogens and inhalants. The virtues of
the screener include its brevity and its applicability across
drug types without the need for drug-specic wording. Ar-
guably, it is also less embarrassing to ask about a legal than
an illegal practice, and individuals may be more likely to
accurately report (and physicians to query) an activity for
which they are not at risk of legal penalties. Most impor-
tantly, its demonstrated ability to accurately screen for AUDs
and hazardous drinking (Dawson et al., 2010) means that
drug screening can be thought of as added value from an
item already likely to be asked in the interest of detecting
problem drinking. These ndings remind us of the inter-
related nature of all substance-use disorders. The highest
comorbidities for AUDs are typically with respect to other
substance-use disorders (Hasin et al., 2007), and AUDs are
very common among individuals with illicit DUDs (Comp-
ton et al., 2007).
Future investigation of the 5+/4+ drinks screener in pri-
mary care and ED samples should help to clarify its utility
in those settings. Future work might consider a simple two-
stage screening process for both alcohol and illicit drugs to
help busy clinicians rule out the large number of negative
cases while simultaneously identifying persons with prob-
lematic use. Using the alcohol consumption screener as a
starting point, follow-up questions for patients who screen
positive should include assessment of illicit and prescrip-
tion drug use as well as AUDs. The additional screening
questions may be very brief but are required to ascertain
related diagnoses and the degree of severity of involvement
with all substances. By ruling out the majority of patients
on the basis of the initial 5+/4+ drinks screen, incorporation
of additional second-stage screening questions would still
represent a reduction of the aggregate patient burden relative
to asking brief drug screeners such as the ASSIST or Drug
Abuse Screening Test10 (DAST-10) of the total patient
population, and the performance of the two approaches in
detecting drug use and DUDs could be compared. If the
promising performance of the 5+/4+ drinks screener is thus
borne out in practical application, this single-item screener
should be incorporated as a standard intake item for patients
seeking routine or emergency medical care.
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