Babon System: Attached Image
Babon System: Attached Image
Babon System: Attached Image
Babon system
Right now I trade with Babon only EURJPY, but the system works just fine if you trade GBPJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD. I'm sure other pairs would do just fine too. Later, when we have a Dashboard, I'll be trading more pairs. M1 trading contains three parts - Classic Babon, pattern "TMA M1 beyond the Ichimoku cloud" and "TMA M1 beyond TMA M5/M15", you can trade any of them individually or two of them or all three. Babon system is a two-step operation. First we get the big picture, then we go to M1. We have three templates. Babon-H1 is for getting big picture, Babon-A and Babon-B are for M1. Template Babon-A is the same I uploaded in the post #930, and TMA and Babon Slope are the same I posted in post #930. Template Babon-H1 is a new one, TDI Red Green and Heiken Ashi are the new indicators too, so you have to download all this stuff. Template Babon-B is a little different comparing to the post #930, TMA M1 shows it's center line (dotted black line), and I got rid of the TMA H1 and TMA H4, so you'd better replace the old one by the new one.
3. Babon-H1 template
So we decided to trade. We open Babon-H1 template. We use Babon-H1 template: a). to watch and interpret H1 Price Action b). to watch and interpret Heiken Ashi and TDI c). to watch and interpret TMA H1 and TMA H4 patterns If you downloaded Babon-H1 correctly, it must look like Picture 1
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d). If the green line makes a "hook" in the opposite direction - that means possible pullback or trend-changing. e). If the distance between the red line and green line becomes too big, more than 10 - that practically always means pullback or trendchanging. f). When up-trending green line reaches level 68 that means that the movement is closer to the end g). When down-trending green line reaches level 32 that means that the movement is closer to the end. h). Pay attention to the size of the Heiken Ashi candles! Several small candles in a row means ranging, big candles - good momentum, decreasing candles - possible pullback or trend-changing. i). And now very important thing: after you're done with H1 - go to H4 and analyze it the same way. If H4 TMS shows the same direction as H1 TMS - that's great, go for this direction! If TMS H4 shows different direction, you go with the H1 direction, but as a big picture you remember: H1 and H4 are not in agreement, that means that you have to set smaller targets!
The upper and lower borders of TMA H4 are brown, and the center line is a dotted white line. TMA H4's centerline is a very strong S/R. When price is near center line it can go back and force for hours and hours, and we have to take this pattern into consideration. I usually exit when price touches the center line, and after that I wait for either a good break out or a good bounce. When price is near center line for the smaller timeframes that means ranging, and I already explained about ranging.
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See Picture 3 a). Price is close to TMA H1 b). TMA H1 and TMA H4 are close, but TMA H1 is not beyond TMA H4. c). Price goes towards TMA H1 border and TMA H4 border In that case price usually makes a very good movement, breaks both TMA H1 and TMA H4 and goes much further.
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When TMA H1 goes beyond TMA H4 it usually starts a very unpleasant time. We know that EVENTUALLY trend has to change, but every time we have a pullback we don't have any idea - is it the beginning of the trend-changing or just a small pullback? Ideally we would want to stay out of the market, but this period can last a very long time, so if we want to trade effectively we have to pay a lot of attention to Price Action, Heiken Ashi and TDI.
We don't care about TMA H1 slope and TMA H4 slope. What is important: is the price moves in the same direction inside TMA H1 and TMA H4? If price goes from the TMA H4 upper border toward its lower border we want price go from the TMA H1 upper border toward its lower border too. And if price goes from the TMA H4 lower border toward its upper border we want price go from the TMA H1 lower border toward its upper border too. Picture 5 shows where TMA H1 and TMA H4 in agreement, going from the upper borders to the lower borders. When TMA H1 and TMA H4 are in agreement - that is a good thing, we can expect good movements.
Direct opposite to the previous pattern. Price inside the TMA H1 goes against the TMA H4 movement. Picture shows that the price goes from the lower TMA H4 border to the upper TMA H4 border (bigger line) and yet inside TMA H1 it changes direction and goes up (small line). TMA H1 and TMA H4 in disagreement is not very good for trading, sometimes it starts consolidation, besides we never know when the price inside TMA M1 starts changing direction.
13. Switching to M1
After that you start working with M1 charts, with Babon-A and Babon-B templates. They must look like Pictures 7 and 8. Click on the attachments: Attachment 1174723
Babon-A is our main template, it contains only three indicators (Babon Slope, TMA M5 and Ichimoku). We use this template for watching Price Action, for watching Babon Slope's signals and for entering according to the "Classic Babon"s rules. Babon-B contains Ichimoku and three TMAs (TMA M1, TMA M5 and TMA M15) that make our exits much easier and much more profitable. We use this template for watching two TMA patterns ("TMA M1 beyond the Ichimoku cloud" and "TMA M1 beyond TMA M5/M15"), for entering according to this patterns and for watching three TMAs for the profitable exits.
After re got a valid Babon Slope's signal, we have validate it. Let's say that after getting the big picture we decided to takoe only long signals and now we got the long Babon Slope's signal (for the short signals everything's the opposite). So, if it is a long signal: a). The price must be above the Ichimoku cloud, or we can wait price going above the cloud, but in that case we can wait only 3-4 candles. b). We want to see the price going from the lower TMA M5 border to the upper TMA border c). The TMA M5 channel has to have the right angle: it can go up or it can be horizontal (or at least almost horizontal), but for the long signal we don't want to see TMA M5 channel going down. d). Then we determine whether this trade has a good potential. We look at the distance between the price and the upper TMA M5 band (the upper yellow line). Yes, TMA M5 repaints, but it repaints less than TMA M1, it is much more stable and steady than TMA M1, and this distance between the price and the upper yellow line is very important. Basically the more the distance is, the more potential this trade has. At M1 price usually goes more or less between the upper TMA M5 band and the lower TMA M5 band, it can go much further if the trend is good, but we can't rely on it. If the distance between the price and the upper yellow band is less than 10 pips there are good chances that we won't get even those 10 pips and that this upper line would work like a strong resistance. e). Very important to pay attention to the previous candle, don't enter if the previous candle is 10+ pips! It is very important because the candle that is too long can cause a fake Babon Slope's signal! Besides M1 10+ pips candle usually causes a pullback, we don't want it, we want to enter with the smallest drawdown possible. f). We also want to see the right M1 Price Action, for the long signal we want to see higher highs and higher lows. Please see Picture 11 and Picture 12.
g). Then we double-check H1. We look at Babon-H1, if H1 shows the trend up or if it was a trend down but now the price started going up, then we can decide that basically H1 supports our decision to go long. h). So, if everything is right, we enter. I recommend SL (or lock) 15 pips for EURJPY and GBPJPY, 12 pips for EURUSD, GBPUSD etc. I recommend 15 pips emergency stop, I personally use locks, but it doesn't matter - you have to have either SL or lock, I would never trade without that, and the currency doesn't matter - I've seen USDCAD making 100+ move in a couple of minutes. We don't need TP. Now we have to watch both templates, Babon-A and Babon-B, it is also a good idea to keep Babon-H1 open too.
I also exit if the M1 candle is too long and this long candle crossed one of the TMAs. And, of course, if we see that the price went against us, we'd better exit with a small profit or a small loss, after all we can always re-enter if the situation improves. Even if we entered according to the Classic Babon Rules, we have to watch out for two TMA M1 patterns on the Babon-B template. If we see "TMA M1 beyond TMA M5/M15", we'd better think about profit-taking, because the pullback is coming. On the other hand, if we see a good "TMA M1 beyond the Ichimoku cloud" pattern forming, we can stay in the trend much longer than we expected in the first place. I prefer to exit when the price crosses TMA M5 or TMA M15. I have to see a very good and strong movement to decide to go to TMA H1. But if I think there is a possibility to go to TMA H1 or even to TMA H4, I double-check my H1. First of all I want to know that we are not near the TMA H4 centerline (white line). This centerline is a very strong S/R. If the centerline is OK I look at the TMA H1 and TMA H4. I want to see that the price inside TMA H1 and inside TMA H4 goes in the same direction. The angle of the slope doesn't matter, only the price's direction is important! So if I think that we can go as low as the TMA H1 lower border, I want to see the price going from the TMA H4 upper border toward it's lower border and I want to see the price going from the TMA H1 upper border toward the lower border. And, of course, I watch for the "Double breakout" pattern.
It is a very important and a very profitable pattern! When the whole TMA M1 channel (both the upper border and the lower border) goes under the Ichimoku cloud and the channel is NOT horizontal, then we can expect a very good and profitable short trade. And, of course, when the whole TMA M1 channel (both the upper border and the lower border) goes above the Ichimoku cloud and the channel is NOT horizontal, then we can expect a very good and profitable long trade. A good thing about this pattern is that even when we see only the TMA M1 center line crosses the cloud we already anticipate the pattern formation and can get ready, checking Price Action and H1. We can trade this pattern independently, we don't have to follow the Classic Babon Rules. To enter with this pattern we want to see three things: a). The right H1 "big picture" b). A good TMA M1 angle c). A good M1 Price Action And we can enter not only if we see a Babon Slope signal, but also independently, based on M1 Price Action only. I enter when I see a good M1 Price Action pattern, and for this kind of trading it could be not only higher low - lower high, but any good M1 Price action pattern, for example a breakout. If we see a good signal but the signal candle is 10 pips or more, then we wouldn't enter, we wait a little bit and watch the price action before we enter. It is because my experience says: on M1 after a long (10+ pips) candle we usually have a pullback, so we don't want to enter under the worst conditions, we want to wait and decrease the possible drawdown. SL, TP and exit - exactly as in Classic Babon. This pattern is probably the best method I've ever created. When we get a Dashboard, we'll be able to watch 8-10 pairs and choose the best patterns.
When after a good trend TMA M1 goes beyond TMA M5 or it goes even beyond both TMA M5 and TMA M15, then we have either a pullback or even a trend's change! This pullback can be as small as 8-10 pips or as big as 30+ pips, but we have to have this pullback at any case! What does that mean? First of all, when we see this pattern, we know that in a little while we'll have a pullback, so if we have an open trade, we have to think about closing it taking our profits. Of course, the pullback won't start immediately after we see the pattern, there will be a little while, we can get almost maximal profit and exit when the Babon or Price Action or our experience tells us to do that! Second, some of you can try to trade this pullback. I personally don't trade this pattern's pullbacks, I use this pattern only to get out, but I do know traders who trade this pullback successfully. You can get 8-10 pips practically any time, just remember that it is a counter-trend and don't be greedy. Third, if the trend is strong, we can re-enter after the pullback is over (the Babon and Price Action will show us where and when). I trade those re-entries after pullbacks successfully. If the TMA M1 went not only beyond TMA M5, but also beyond TMA M15, we usually have much stronger pullback than if it just TMA M5. Even when we see TMA M1 beyond TMA M5 we could stay for a little while because IF the TMA M1's angle (the slope) is still good at the pattern "TMA M1 beyond the Ichimoku cloud"!
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