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POBLACION HABITANTES

AO

POBLACION HABITANTES

% TASA DE CRECIMIENTO(INEI 2007)

2007

445

0.1056

46.992

2008

492

0.1056

51.9543552

2009

544

0.1056

57.4407351091

2010

601

0.1056

63.5064767366

2011

665

0.1056

70.21276068

2012

735

0.1056

77.6272282078

2013

813

0.1056

85.8246635066

2014

899

0.1056

94.8877479729

2015

993

0.1056

104.9078941588

2016

1098

0.1056

115.986167782

2017

1214

0.1056

128.2343070998

2018

1343

0.1056

141.7758499295

2019

1484

0.1056

156.7473796821

2020

1641

0.1056

173.2999029765

2021

1814

0.1056

191.6003727308

2022

2006

0.1056

211.8333720912

2023

2218

0.1056

234.202976184

2024

2452

0.1056

258.9348104691

2025

2711

0.1056

286.2783264546

2026

2997

0.1056

316.5093177282

2027

3314

0.1056

349.9327016803

2028

3664

0.1056

386.8855949777

2029

4051

0.1056

427.7407138074

2030

4478

0.1056

472.9101331854

2031

4951

0.1056

522.8494432498

2032

5474

0.1056

578.062344457

2033

6052

0.1056

639.1057280316

DEMANDA DE PEATONES
PERIODO

AO

POBLACION BENEFICIARIA

2013

813

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

2014

899

2015

993

2016

1098

2017

1214

2018

1343

2019

1484

2020

1641

2021

1814

2022

2006

2023

2218

2024

2452

2025

2711

2026

2997

2027

3314

2028

3664

2029

4051

2030

4478

2031

4951

2032

5474

2033

6052

N DE FAMILIAS

N familias/ 1 jefe de
familia

98
108
120
132
146
162
179
198

22
24
26
29
32
36
39
44

219
242
267
296
327
361
400
442
488
540
597
660
730
807
892
986
1090
1206
1333

48
53
59
65
72
80
88
97
108
119
131
145
161
178
196
217
240
265
294

tem

Principales
especies

Kg/ao

Consumo per cpita


Kg/ao

Alpacas

0.38

Llama

0.56

Ovino

0.49

ALPACAS
AO

POBLACION

Alpacas (Tn/ao)

2014

899

0.00038

2015

993

0.00038

2016

1098

0.00038

2017

1214

0.00038

2018

1343

0.00038

2019

1484

0.00038

2020

1641

0.00038

2021

1814

0.00038

2022

2006

0.00038

2023

2218

0.00038

2024

2452

0.00038

2025

2711

0.00038

2026

2997

0.00038

2027

3314

0.00038

2028

3664

0.00038

2029

4051

0.00038

2030

4478

0.00038

2031

4951

0.00038

2032

5474

0.00038

2033

6052

0.00038

IMD- USICAYOS
Tipo de Vehculo

LUNES

MARTES

MIERCOLES

JUEVES

VIERNES

BICICLETA

MOTO

AUTOMOVIL

CAMIONETA

C.R.

MICRO

BUS-GRANDE

CAMION 2E

CAMION 3E

TOTAL

onsumo per cpita

Poblacin
afectada ao
2013

Gr/da

Consumo total
Kg/ao

Gr/da

389

813

308

308.94

561

813

455

455.28

489

813

398

398.37

308.94

LLAMAS
Produccion
Alpacas
(Tn/ao)

AO

POBLACION

Llamas (Tn/ao)

Produccion
Llamas
(Tn/ao)

0.34

2014

899

0.00056

0.50

0.38

2015

993

0.00056

0.56

0.42

2016

1098

0.00056

0.62

0.46

2017

1214

0.00056

0.68

0.51

2018

1343

0.00056

0.75

0.56

2019

1484

0.00056

0.83

0.62

2020

1641

0.00056

0.92

0.69

2021

1814

0.00056

1.02

0.76

2022

2006

0.00056

1.12

0.84

2023

2218

0.00056

1.24

0.93

2024

2452

0.00056

1.37

1.03

2025

2711

0.00056

1.52

1.14

2026

2997

0.00056

1.68

1.26

2027

3314

0.00056

1.86

1.39

2028

3664

0.00056

2.05

1.54

2029

4051

0.00056

2.27

1.70

2030

4478

0.00056

2.51

1.88

2031

4951

0.00056

2.77

2.08

2032

5474

0.00056

3.07

2.30

2033

6052

0.00056

3.39

SABADO

DOMINGO

OVINOS
AO

POBLACION

Ovinos (Tn/ao)

Produccion Ovinos
(Tn/ao)

2014

899

0.00049

0.44

2015

993

0.00049

0.49

2016

1098

0.00049

0.54

2017

1214

0.00049

0.60

2018

1343

0.00049

0.66

2019

1484

0.00049

0.73

2020

1641

0.00049

0.80

2021

1814

0.00049

0.89

2022

2006

0.00049

0.98

2023

2218

0.00049

1.09

2024

2452

0.00049

1.20

2025

2711

0.00049

1.33

2026

2997

0.00049

1.47

2027

3314

0.00049

1.62

2028

3664

0.00049

1.80

2029

4051

0.00049

1.98

2030

4478

0.00049

2.19

2031

4951

0.00049

2.43

2032

5474

0.00049

2.68

2033

6052

0.00049

2.97

TOTAL-USICAYOS
AO

POBLACION

Produccion Alpacas
(Tn/ao)

Produccion Llamas
(Tn/ao)

Produccion Ovinos
(Tn/ao)

2014

899

0.34

0.50

0.44

2015

993

0.38

0.56

0.49

2016

1098

0.42

0.62

0.54

2017

1214

0.46

0.68

0.60

2018

1343

0.51

0.75

0.66

2019

1484

0.56

0.83

0.73

2020

1641

0.62

0.92

0.80

2021

1814

0.69

1.02

0.89

2022

2006

0.76

1.12

0.98

2023

2218

0.84

1.24

1.09

2024

2452

0.93

1.37

1.20

2025

2711

1.03

1.52

1.33

2026

2997

1.14

1.68

1.47

2027

3314

1.26

1.86

1.62

2028

3664

1.39

2.05

1.80

2029

4051

1.54

2.27

1.98

2030

4478

1.70

2.51

2.19

2031

4951

1.88

2.77

2.43

2032

5474

2.08

3.07

2.68

2033

6052

2.30

3.39

2.97

TOTAL PRODUCCION
PECUARIA(Tn/ao)

1.28
1.42
1.57
1.74
1.92
2.12
2.35
2.59
2.87
3.17
3.51
3.88
4.29
4.74
5.24
5.79
6.40
7.08
7.83
8.65

TIPO DE VEHICULO S/PROYECTO


AOS

TRAFICO NORMAL

BICICLETA

MOTO

AUTOMOVIL

CAMIONETA

MICRO

BUS GRANDE

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

TIPO DE VEHICULO C/ PROYECTO


AOS

TRAFICO NORMAL

BICICLETA

MOTO

AUTOMOVIL

CAMIONETA

MICRO

BUS GRANDE

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

0
5
6
8
11
13
16
19
21
21
23
25

0
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

0
3
4
5
7
9
11
13
15
15
16
18

0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

26
28
29
31
34
36
37
39
41

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

19
21
22
24
25
27
28
30
31

1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3

2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

OYECTO
CAMION 2E

CAMION 3E

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

CAMION 2E

CAMION 3E

TOTAL

0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
5
6
8
11
13
16
19
21
21
23
25

OYECTO

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

26
28
29
31
34
36
37
39
41

ITEM

DESCRIPCION
COSTO DIRECTO

PUENTE CARROZABLE SOBRE VIGA DE 25.00M


MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA
MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA
INSUMOS

MURO DE ENCAUSAMIENTO Y DEFENSA RIBEREA


MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA
MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA
INSUMOS

PLAN AMBIENTAL
MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA
MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA
INSUMOS
EXPEDIENTE TECNICO
SUPERVISION
GASTOS GENERALES
GASTOS DE LIQUIDACION
TOTAL PRESUPUESTO

ALTERNATIVA 01

FACTOR DE

ALTERNATIVA 01

TOTAL A PRECIOS DE MERCADO (S/.)

CORRECCION

TOTAL A PRECIOS SOCIALES (S/.)

582,424.50

582,424.50

473,031.95

473,031.95
0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

104,094.55

104,094.55
0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

5,298.00

5,298.00
0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

0.79

0.00

10,000.00

0.847

8,470.00

15,608.75

0.847

13,220.61

44,331.00

0.847

37,548.36

6,000.00

0.847

5,082.00

658,364.25

10.498

658,364.25

10.198/13
0.78446154

COSTOS DE OPERACIN Y MANTENIMIENTO CON PROYECTO


PARA LA ALTERNATIVA SELECCIONADA
AOS
AO1
AO2
AO3
AO4
AO5
AO6
AO7
AO8
AO9
AO10
AO11
AO12
AO13
AO14
AO15
AO16
AO17
AO18
AO19
AO20

MANTENIMIENTO

MANTENIMIENTO

TOTAL A

TOTAL A

RUTINARIO

PERIODICO

PRECIOS MERCADO

PRECIOS SOCIALES

1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377
5723.5
1377
1377

1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012

1377
1377
0
1377
1377
0
1377
1377
0
1377
1377
0
1377
1377
0
1377
1377
0
1377
1377

5723.5

5723.5

5723.5

5723.5

5723.5

5723.5

FLUJOS

1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012
4326.966
1041.012
1041.012

(1+i)n

BENEFICIO
1.09 955.056880734
1.1881 876.19897315
1.295029 3341.21166399
1.41158161 737.479145821
1.5386239549 676.586372313
1.6771001108 2580.02845032
1.8280391208 569.469213293
1.9925626417 522.448819535
2.1718932794 1992.25534742
2.3673636746 439.734718908
2.5804264053 403.426347622
2.8126647818 1538.38666734
3.0658046121 339.55588555
3.3417270272 311.519161055
3.6424824597 1187.91677047
3.9703058811 262.199445379
4.3276334104 240.549949889
4.7171204173 917.289705843
5.1416612548 202.466080203
5.6044107678 185.748697434
18279.5282963

VP.CO&M

Descripcin
Situacin sin Proyecto
Alternativa 1
Alternativa 2

Costo de
Inversin

VP.CO&M

VP.Costo
Total

544957.71

18279.5283 563237.238

548416.442 18279.5283

566695.97

Costos Incrementales
Alternativa 1
Alternativa 2

544957.71

18279.5283 563237.238

548416.442 18279.5283

566695.97

899

POBLACION

993
1098
1214
1343
1484
1641
1814
2006
2218
2452
2711
2997
3314
3664

544957.71

9.93451799

548416.442

9.99757028

4051
4478
4951
5474
6052

54855

CE

ALTERNATIVA 1

CE

ALTERNATIVA 2

ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
VARIACION
ALTERNATIVA
DE
INVERSION
1
0.00
544,957.71
0.10
599,453.48
0.20
719,344.18
0.30
935,147.43
0.00
544,957.71
0.10
490,461.94
0.20
392,369.55
0.30
274,658.69

VP.CO&M
18,279.53
20,107.48
24,128.98
31,367.67
18,279.53
16,451.58
13,161.26
13,819.32

CE

ALTERNATIVA

VAE

9.93
10.93
13.11
17.05
9.93
8.94
7.15
5.01

2
548,416.44
603,258.09
723,909.70
941,082.61
548,416.44
493,574.80
394,859.84
276,401.89

18,279.53
20,107.48
24,128.98
31,367.67
18,279.53
16,451.58
13,161.26
13,819.32

CE
10.00
11.00
13.20
17.16
10.00
9.00
7.20
5.04

0.1
0.2
0.3

544,957.71
54495.771
490461.939 98092.3878
392369.551 117710.865

490,461.94
392,369.55
274,658.69

0.1
0.2
0.3

18,279.53 1827.95283
16451.5755 3290.31509
19741.8906 5922.56717

16,451.58
13,161.26
13,819.32

0.1
0.2
0.3

9.93
0.9934518
8.94106619 1.78821324
7.15285295 2.14585589

8.94
7.15
5.01

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