Telecommunications Evolution and The Future of Wireless: Vivek S. Tulja
Telecommunications Evolution and The Future of Wireless: Vivek S. Tulja
Telecommunications Evolution and The Future of Wireless: Vivek S. Tulja
Vivek S. Tulja
Global Segment Executive IBM Wireless e-business [email protected] 404 819 6990
IBM
IBM
Historically, business growth has followed technological development, resulting in divergent networks and businesses
PacketSwitched
Fixed Data
Early voice protocols - 1960s Internet Protocol - 1970s
Mobile Data
Ardis, Mobitex - 1990s 3G networks - 2000s
Fixed Voice
Mobile Voice
Analog Cellular (1G) - 1980s Digital Cellular (2G) - 1990s
CircuitSwitched
Fixed
Mobile
IBM
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Future Growth will be in Data: Voice business is nearing its growth potential
New data technologies: 3G (packet-switching), WAP, PKI, LBS, micropayments, etc. Wireless e-business: wireless communications + internet = new services
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IBM
Telecommunications network of the future: Inexpensive, simple, easy to manage, universal enabler of services
Fixed Access Networks Mobile Access Networks
Wide Area Wireless Access - Worldwide networks: A few - Worldwide users: Millions - Single User Data Rate << 2 mbps - Range: unlimited - e.g. Satellite Metropolitan Area Wireless Access - Worldwide networks: Thousands - Worldwide users: Billions - Single User Data Rate ~ 2 mbps - Range: a few kilometers - e.g. PCS, Fixed Wireless Local Area Wireless Access - Worldwide networks: Millions - Worldwide users: Billions - Single user data rate > 2 mbps - Range < 500 meters - e.g. IEEE 802.11 Personal Area Wireless Access - Worldwide networks: Millions - Worldwide users: Billions - Single user data rate > 2 mbps - Range < 100 meters - e.g. Bluetooth
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Personal Computers Residential Access - Single user data rate > 2 mbps
Content / Application Servers Business Access - Single user data rate > 44 mbps
- Seamless Integration and handoffs among various types of wireless access networks to minimize cost and enhance the user experience - Connectivity to various types of portable devices such as PDAs, PCs, cell phones, special-purpose wearable computers, etc.
Wireless / Wireline Access Networks - Worldwide networks: Thousands - Worldwide users: Billions - e.g. DSL, LMDS
Transport Networks
IP-Based Transport Networks - Worldwide networks: Thousands - Unlimited bandwidth - Global routing capability - Global Presence - Single, global Standard
IBM
ANY- ONE
ANY- PLACE
ANY- TIME
ANY- DEVICE
ANY- CONTENT
IBM
IBM
Several new technologies will be launched commercially over the next few years
Internet
HANDSETS
- PAN, LAN, MAN, WAN communications capability with a single device - Support of Fixed-Mobile Convergence - Location detection technology compliance - Significantly greater variety of features and functions: PDA, MPEG - Multi-mode: Global roaming - SAT and MExE - Voice Recognition, multi-modal
WIRELESS NETWORK
- 3G: Higher data rates, more affordable - Adoption of CDMA air interface - WAP or similar protocols for web access - Voice Recognition and multi-modal networks - Unified Messaging - Intelligent networks - Converged OSS/BSS: Lower OpEx, faster time-to-market, VAR support - Lower CapEx & OpEx, easier to manage: Softswitches, Software-defined Radios, etc. - Location detection capability Location-based services & service pricing - Standards harmonization: Global roaming
TERRESTRIAL NETWORK
- Packet-switched network (VoIP): Voice-data convergence, seamless integration with the Internet / WWW
- Public Key Infrastructure for end-to-end security: Authentication, Non-repudiation, Confidentiality and Data Integrity
IBM
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Capacity
Coverage
Content
Wireless MAN 1G 2G 3G 4G
n/a $1-$3/megabyte $0.2-$0.5/megabyte < $0.05/megabyte n/a 10kbps/user 21-384 kbps up to 2 mbps 60-75% (population) 80-90% (population) 80-90% (population) > 90% (population) n/a Proprietary
Standardized
Standardized
Wireless LAN
<< $0.01/megabyte ~ 2 mbps 10-25% (geography) Standardized
Wireless PAN
<< $0.01/megabyte ~ 2 mbps 10-25% (geography) Standardized
IBM
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Major Hurdles: Bandwidth, Standardization, Security, and Device and Application Availability
Bandwidth available to a single user will not be significant (less than 384 kbps) until 3G networks have matured
Standardization
Interoperability between various networks & systems Spectrum allocations within and across national boundaries Legal / regulatory framework within and across national boundaries
Security Development, scalability, and maturity of wireless e-business applications Device issues
Vivek S. Tulja
Global Segment Executive IBM Wireless e-business [email protected] 404 819 6990
IBM