AS WE MAY THINK by VANNEVAR BUSH
THE ATLANTIC MONTHLY, JULY 1945
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This article was originally published in the July 1945 issue of The Atlantic Monthly. It is reproduced here
with their permission.
The electronic version was prepared by Denys Duchier, April 1994. Please email comments and
corrections to
[email protected].
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As Director of the Office of Scientific Research and Development, Dr. Vannevar Bush has coordinated
the activities of some six thousand leading American scientists in the application of science to warfare. In
this significant article he holds up an incentive for scientists when the fighting has ceased. He urges that
men of science should then turn to the massive task of making more accessible our bewildering store of
knowledge. For many years inventions have extended man's physical powers rather than the powers of his
mind. Trip hammers that multiply the fists, microscopes that sharpen the eye, and engines of destruction
and detection are new results, but the end results, of modern science. Now, says Dr. Bush, instruments
are at hand which, if properly developed, will give man access to and command over the inherited
knowledge of the ages. The perfection of these pacific instruments should be the first objective of our
scientists as they emerge from their war work. Like Emerson's famous address of 1837 on ``The
American Scholar,'' this paper by Dr. Bush calls for a new relationship between thinking man and the sum
of our knowledge. - The Editor
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This has not been a scientist's war; it has been a war in which all have had a part. The scientists, burying
their old professional competition in the demand of a common cause, have shared greatly and learned
much. It has been exhilarating to work in effective partnership. Now, for many, this appears to be
approaching an end. What are the scientists to do next?
For the biologists, and particularly for the medical scientists, there can be little indecision, for their war
work has hardly required them to leave the old paths. Many indeed have been able to carry on their war
research in their familiar peacetime laboratories. Their objectives remain much the same.
It is the physicists who have been thrown most violently off stride, who have left academic pursuits for
the making of strange destructive gadgets, who have had to devise new methods for their unanticipated
assignments. They have done their part on the devices that made it possible to turn back the enemy. They
have worked in combined effort with the physicists of our allies. They have felt within themselves the stir
of achievement. They have been part of a great team. Now, as peace approaches, one asks where they
will find objectives worthy of their best.
1
Of what lasting benefit has been man's use of science and of the new instruments which his research
brought into existence? First, they have increased his control of his material environment. They have
improved his food, his clothing, his shelter; they have increased his security and released him partly from
the bondage of bare existence. They have given him increased knowledge of his own biological processes
so that he has had a progressive freedom from disease and an increased span of life. They are illuminating
the interactions of his physiological and psychological functions, giving the promise of an improved
mental health.
Science has provided the swiftest communication between individuals; it has provided a record of ideas
and has enabled man to manipulate and to make extracts from that record so that knowledge evolves and
endures throughout the life of a race rather than that of an individual.
There is a growing mountain of research. But there is increased evidence that we are being bogged down
today as specialization extends. The investigator is staggered by the findings and conclusions of
thousands of other workers - conclusions which he cannot find time to grasp, much less to remember, as
they appear. Yet specialization becomes increasingly necessary for progress, and the effort to bridge
between disciplines is correspondingly superficial.
Professionally our methods of transmitting and reviewing the results of research are generations old and
by now are totally inadequate for their purpose. If the aggregate time spent in writing scholarly works
and in reading them could be evaluated, the ratio between these amounts of time might well be startling.
Those who conscientiously attempt to keep abreast of current thought, even in restricted fields, by close
and continuous reading might well shy away from an examination calculated to show how much of the
previous month's efforts could be produced on call. Mendel's concept of the laws of genetics was lost to
the world for a generation because his publication did not reach the few who were capable of grasping
and extending it; and this sort of catastrophe is undoubtedly being repeated all about us, as truly
significant attainments become lost in the mass of the inconsequential.7
The difficulty seems to be, not so much that we publish unduly in view of the extent and variety of
present-day interests, but rather that publication has been extended far beyond our present ability to make
real use of the record. The summation of human experience us being expanded at a prodigious rate, and
the means we use for threading through the consequent maze to the momentarily important item is the
same as was used in the days of square-rigged ships.
But there are signs of a change as new and powerful instrumentalities come into use. Photocells capable
of seeing things in a physical sense, advanced photography which can record what is seen or even what is
not, thermionic tubes capable of controlling potent forces under the guidance of less power than a
mosquito uses to vibrate his wings, cathode ray tubes rendering visible an occurrence so brief that by
comparison a microsecond is a long time, relay combinations which will carry out involved sequences of
movements more reliably than any human operator and thousand of times as fast - there are plenty of
mechanical aids with which to effect a transformation in scientific records.
Two centuries ago Leibnitz invented a calculating machine which embodied most of the essential features
of recent keyboard devices, but it could not then come into use. The economics of the situation were
against it: the labor involved in constructing it, before the days of mass production, exceeded the labor to
be saved by its use, since all it could accomplish could be duplicated by sufficient use of pencil and paper.
Moreover, it would have been subject to frequent breakdown, so that it could not have been depended
upon; for at that time and long after, complexity and unreliability were synonymous.
Babbage, even with remarkably generous support for his time, could not produce his great arithmetical
machine. His idea was sound enough, but construction and maintenance costs were then too heavy. Had a
Pharaoh been given detailed and explicit designs of an automobile, and had he understood them
completely, it would have taxed the resources of his kingdom to have fashioned the thousands of parts for
a single car, and that car would have broken down on the first trip to Giza.
Machines with interchangeable parts can now be constructed with great economy of effort. In spite of
much complexity, they perform reliably. Witness the humble typewriter, or the movie camera, or the
automobile. Electrical contacts have ceased to stick when thoroughly understood. Note the automatic
telephone exchange, which has hundred of thousands of such contacts, and yet is reliable. A spider web
of metal, sealed in a thin glass container, a wire heated to brilliant glow, in short, the thermionic tube of
radio sets, is made by the hundred million, tossed about in packages, plugged into sockets - and it works!
Its gossamer parts, the precise location and alignment involved in its construction, would have occupied a
master craftsman of the guild for months; now it is built for thirty cents. The world has arrived at an age
of cheap complex devices of great reliability; and something is bound to come of it.
2
A record, if it is to be useful to science, must be continuously extended, it must be stored, and above all it
must be consulted. Today we make the record conventionally by writing and photography, followed by
printing; but we also record on film, on wax disks, and on magnetic wires. Even if utterly new recording
procedures do not appear, these present ones are certainly in the process of modification and extension.
Certainly progress in photography is not going to stop. Faster material and lenses, more automatic
cameras, finer-grained sensitive compounds to allow an extension of the minicamera idea, are all
imminent. Let us project this trend ahead to a logical, if not inevitable, outcome. The camera hound of the
future wears on his forehead a lump a little larger than a walnut. It takes pictures 3 millimeters square,
later to be projected or enlarged, which after all involves only a factor of 10 beyond present practice. The
lens is of universal focus, down to any distance accommodated by the unaided eye, simply because it is of
short focal length. There is a built-in photocell on the walnut such as we now have on at least one
camera, which automatically adjusts exposure for a wide range of illumination. There is film in the walnut
for a hundred exposure, and the spring for operating its shutter and shifting its film is wound once for all
when the film clip is inserted. It produces its result in full color. It may well be stereoscopic, and record
with spaced glass eyes, for striking improvements in stereoscopic technique are just around the corner.
The cord which trips its shutter may reach down a man's sleeve within easy reach of his fingers. A quick
squeeze, and the picture is taken. On a pair of ordinary glasses is a square of fine lines near the top of one
lens, where it is out of the way of ordinary vision. When an object appears in that square, it is lined up for
its picture. As the scientist of the future moves about the laboratory or the field, every time he looks at
something worthy of the record, he trips the shutter and in it goes, without even an audible click. Is this
all fantastic? The only fantastic thing about it is the idea of making as many pictures as would result from
its use.
Will there be dry photography? It is already here in two forms. When Brady made his Civil War pictures,
the plate had to be wet at the time of exposure. Now it has to be wet during development instead. In the
future perhaps it need not be wetted at all. There have long been films impregnated with diazo dyes which
form a picture without development, so that it is already there as soon as the camera has been operated.
An exposure to ammonia gas destroys the unexposed dye, and the picture can then be taken out into the
light and examined. The process is now slow, but someone may speed it up, and it has no grain
difficulties such as now keep photographic researchers busy. Often it would be advantageous to be able
to snap the camera and to look at the picture immediately.
Another process now is use is also slow, and more or less clumsy. For fifty years impregnated papers
have been used which turn dark at every point where an electrical contact touches them, by reason of the
chemical change thus produced in an iodine compound included in the paper. They have been used to
make records, for a pointer moving across them can leave a trail behind. If the electrical potential on the
pointer is varied as it moves, the line becomes light or dark in accordance with the potential.
This scheme is now used in facsimile transmission. The pointer draws a set of closely spaced lines across
the paper one after another. As it moves, its potential is varied in accordance with a varying current
received over wires from a distant station, where these variations are produced by a photocell which is
similarly scanning a picture. At every instant the darkness of the line being drawn is made equal to the
darkness of the point on the picture being observed by the photocell. Thus, when the whole picture has
been covered, a replica appears at the receiving end.
A scene itself can be just as well looked over line by line by the photocell in this way as can a photograph
of the scene. This whole apparatus constitutes a camera, with the added feature, which can be dispensed
with if desired, of making its picture at a distance. It is slow, and the picture is poor in detail. Still, it does
give another process of dry photography, in which the picture is finished as soon as it is taken.
It would be a brave man who could predict that such a process will always remain clumsy, slow, and
faulty in detail. Television equipment today transmits sixteen reasonably good images a second, and it
involves only two essential differences from the process described above. For one, the record is made by
a moving beam of electrons rather than a moving pointer, for the reason that an electron beam can sweep
across the picture very rapidly indeed. The other difference involves merely the use of a screen which
glows momentarily when the electrons hit, rather than a chemically treated paper or film which is
permanently altered. This speed is necessary in television, for motion pictures rather than stills are the
object.
Use chemically treated film in place of the glowing screen, allow the apparatus to transmit one picture
rather than a succession, and a rapid camera for dry photography results. The treated film needs to be far
faster in action than present examples, but it probably could be. More serious is the objection that this
scheme would involve putting the film inside a vacuum chamber, for electron beams behave normally only
in such a rarefied environment. This difficulty could be avoided by allowing the electron beam to play on
one side of a partition, and by pressing the film against the other side, if this partition were such as to
allow the electrons to go through perpendicular to its surface, and to prevent them from spreading out
sideways. Such partitions, in crude form, could certainly be constructed, and they will hardly hold up the
general development.
Like dry photography, microphotography still has a long way to go. The basic scheme of reducing the
size of the record, and examining it by projection rather than directly, has possibilities too great to be
ignored. The combination of optical projection and photographic reduction is already producing some
results in microfilm for scholarly purposes, and the potentialities are highly suggestive. Today, with
microfilm, reductions by a linear factor of 20 can be employed and still produce full clarity when the
material is re-enlarged for examination. The limits are set by the graininess of the film, the excellence of
the optical system, and the efficiency of the light sources employed. All of these are rapidly improving.
Assume a linear ratio of 100 for future use. Consider film of the same thickness as paper, although thinner
film will certainly be usable. Even under these conditions there would be a total factor of 10,000 between
the bulk of the ordinary record on books, and its microfilm replica. The Encyclopoedia Britannica could
be reduced to the volume of a matchbox. A library of a million volumes could be compressed into one
end of a desk. If the human race has produced since the invention of movable type a total record, in the
form of magazines, newspapers, books, tracts, advertising blurbs, correspondence, having a volume
corresponding to a billion books, the whole affair, assembled and compressed, could be lugged off in a
moving van. Mere compression, of course, is not enough; one needs not only to make and store a record
but also to be able to consult it, and this aspect of the matter comes later. Even the modern great library
is not generally consulted; it is nibbled by a few.
Compression is important, however, when it comes to costs. The material for the microfilm Britannica
would cost a nickel, and it could be mailed anywhere for a cent. What would it cost to print a million
copies? To print a sheet of newspaper, in a large edition, costs a small fraction of a cent. The entire
material of the Britannica in reduced microfilm form would go on a sheet eight and one-half by eleven
inches. Once it is available, with the photographic reproduction methods of the future, duplicates in large
quantities could probably be turned out for a cent apiece beyond the cost of materials. The preparation of
the original copy? That introduces the next aspect of the subject.
3
To make the record, we now push a pencil or tap a typewriter. Then comes the process of digestion and
correction, followed by an intricate process of typesetting, printing, and distribution. To consider the first
stage of the procedure, will the author of the future cease writing by hand or typewriter and talk directly
to the record? He does so indirectly, by talking to a stenographer or a wax cylinder; but the elements are
all present if he wishes to have his talk directly produce a typed record. All he needs to do us to take
advantage of existing mechanisms and to alter his language.
At a recent World Fair a machine called a Voder was shown. A girl stroked its keys and it emitted
recognizable speech. No human vocal cords entered in the procedure at any point; the keys simply
combined some electrically produced vibrations and passed these on to a loud-speaker. In the Bell
Laboratories there is the converse of this machine, called a Vocoder. The loudspeaker is replaced by a
microphone, which picks up sound. Speak to it, and the corresponding keys move. This may be one
element of the postulated system.
The other element is found in the stenotype, that somewhat disconcerting device encountered usually at
public meetings. A girl strokes its keys languidly and looks about the room and sometimes at the speaker
with a disquieting gaze. From it emerges a typed strip which records in a phonetically simplified language
a record of what the speaker is supposed to have said. Later this strip is retyped into ordinary language,
for in its nascent form it is intelligible only to the initiated. Combine these two elements, let the Vocoder
run the stenotype, and the result is a machine which types when talked to.
Our present languages are not especially adapted to this sort of mechanization, it is true. It is strange that
the inventors of universal languages have not seized upon the idea of producing one which better fitted
the technique for transmitting and recording speech. Mechanization may yet force the issue, especially in
the scientific field; whereupon scientific jargon would become still less intelligible to the layman.
One can now picture a future investigator in his laboratory. His hands are free, and he is not anchored. As
he moves about and observes, he photographs and comments. Time is automatically recorded to tie the
two records together. If he goes into the field, he may be connected by radio to his recorder. As he
ponders over his notes in the evening, he again talks his comments into the record. His typed record, as
well as his photographs, may both be in miniature, so that he projects them for examination.
Much needs to occur, however, between the collection of data and observations, the extraction of parallel
material from the existing record, and the final insertion of new material into the general body of the
common record. For mature thought there is no mechanical substitute. But creative thought and
essentially repetitive thought are very different things. For the latter there are, and may be, powerful
mechanical aids.
Adding a column of figures is a repetitive thought process, and it was long ago properly relegated to the
machine. True, the machine is sometimes controlled by the keyboard, and thought of a sort enters in
reading the figures and poking the corresponding keys, but even this is avoidable. Machines have been
made which will read typed figures by photocells and then depress the corresponding keys; these are
combinations of photocells for scanning the type, electric circuits for sorting the consequent variations,
and relay circuits for interpreting the result into the action of solenoids to pull the keys down.
All this complication is needed because of the clumsy way in which we have learned to write figures. If
we recorded them positionally, simply by the configuration of a set of dots on a card, the automatic
reading mechanism would become comparatively simple. In fact, if the dots are holes, we have the
punched-card machine long ago produced by Hollorith for the purposes of the census, and now used
throughout business. Some types of complex businesses could hardly operate without these machines.
Adding is only one operation. To perform arithmetical computation involves also subtraction,
multiplication, and division, and in addition some method for temporary storage of results, removal from
storage for further manipulation, and recording of final results by printing. Machines for these purposes
are now of two types: keyboard machines for accounting and the like, manually controlled for the
insertion of data, and usually automatically controlled as far as the sequence of operations is concerned;
and punched-card machines in which separate operations are usually delegated to a series of machines,
and the cards then transferred bodily from one to another. Both forms are very useful; but as far as
complex computations are concerned, both are still embryo.
Rapid electrical counting appeared soon after the physicists found it desirable to count cosmic rays. For
their own purposes the physicists promptly constructed thermionic-tube equipment capable of counting
electrical impulses at the rate of 100,000 a second. The advanced arithmetical machines of the future will
be electrical in nature, and they will perform at 100 times present speeds, or more.
Moreover, they will be far more versatile than present commercial machines, so that they may readily be
adapted for a wide variety of operations. They will be controlled by a control card or film, they will select
their own data and manipulate it in accordance with the instructions thus inserted, they will perform
complex arithmetical computations at exceedingly high speeds, and they will record results in such form
as to be readily available for distribution or for later further manipulation. Such machines will have
enormous appetites. One of them will take instructions and data from a roomful of girls armed with
simple keyboard punches, and will deliver sheets of computed results every few minutes. There will
always be plenty of things to compute in the detailed affairs of millions of people doing complicated
things.
4
The repetitive processes of thought are not confined, however, to matters of arithmetic and statistics. In
fact, every time one combines and records facts in accordance with established logical processes, the
creative aspect of thinking is concerned only with the selection of the data and the process to be
employed, and the manipulation thereafter is repetitive in nature and hence a fit matter to be relegated to
the machines. Not so much has been done along these lines, beyond the bounds of arithmetic, as might be
done, primarily because of the economics of the situation. The needs of business, and the extensive
market obviously waiting, assured the advent of mass-produced arithmetical machines just as soon as
production methods were sufficiently advanced.
With machines for advanced analysis no such situation existed; for there was and is no extensive market;
the users of advanced methods of manipulating data are a very small part of the population. There are,
however, machines for solving differential equations - and functional and integral equations, for that
matter. There are many special machines, such as the harmonic synthesizer which predicts the tides.
There will be many more, appearing certainly first in the hands of the scientist and in small numbers.
If scientific reasoning were limited to the logical processes of arithmetic, we should not get far in our
understanding of the physical world. One might as well attempt to grasp the game of poker entirely by the
use of the mathematics of probability. The abacus, with its beads string on parallel wires, led the Arabs to
positional numeration and the concept of zero many centuries before the rest of the world; and it was a
useful tool - so useful that it still exists.
It is a far cry from the abacus to the modern keyboard accounting machine. It will be an equal step to the
arithmetical machine of the future. But even this new machine will not take the scientist where he needs
to go. Relief must be secured from laborious detailed manipulation of higher mathematics as well, if the
users of it are to free their brains for something more than repetitive detailed transformations in
accordance with established rules. A mathematician is not a man who can readily manipulate figures;
often he cannot. He is not even a man who can readily perform the transformation of equations by the use
of calculus. He is primarily an individual who is skilled in the use of symbolic logic on a high plane, and
especially he is a man of intuitive judgment in the choice of the manipulative processes he employs.
All else he should be able to turn over to his mechanism, just as confidently as he turns over the
propelling of his car to the intricate mechanism under the hood. Only then will mathematics be practically
effective in bringing the growing knowledge of atomistics to the useful solution of the advanced problems
of chemistry, metallurgy, and biology. For this reason there will come more machines to handle advanced
mathematics for the scientist. Some of them will be sufficiently bizarre to suit the most fastidious
connoisseur of the present artifacts of civilization.
5
The scientist, however, is not the only person who manipulates data and examines the world about him by
the use of logical processes, although he sometimes preserves this appearance by adopting into the fold
anyone who becomes logical, much in the manner in which a British labor leader is elevated to
knighthood. Whenever logical processes of thought are employed - that is, whenever thought for a time
runs along an accepted groove - there is an opportunity for the machine. Formal logic used to be a keen
instrument in the hands of the teacher in his trying of students' souls. It is readily possible to construct a
machine which will manipulate premises in accordance with formal logic, simply by the clever use of relay
circuits. Put a set of premises into such a device and turn the crank, and it will readily pass out conclusion
after conclusion, all in accordance with logical law, and with no more slips than would be expected of a
keyboard adding machine.
Logic can become enormously difficult, and it would undoubtedly be well to produce more assurance in
its use. The machines for higher analysis have usually been equation solvers. Ideas are beginning to
appear for equation transformers, which will rearrange the relationship expressed by an equation in
accordance with strict and rather advanced logic. Progress is inhibited by the exceedingly crude way in
which mathematicians express their relationships. They employ a symbolism which grew like Topsy and
has little consistency; a strange fact in that most logical field.
A new symbolism, probably positional, must apparently precede the reduction of mathematical
transformations to machine processes. Then, on beyond the strict logic of the mathematician, lies the
application of logic in everyday affairs. We may some day click off arguments on a machine with the same
assurance that we now enter sales on a cash register. But the machine of logic will not look like a cash
register, even a streamlined model.
So much for the manipulation of ideas and their insertion into the record. Thus far we seem to be worse
off than before - for we can enormously extend the record; yet even in its present bulk we can hardly
consult it. This is a much larger matter than merely the extraction of data for the purposes of scientific
research; it involves the entire process by which man profits by his inheritance of acquired knowledge.
The prime action of use is selection, and here we are halting indeed. There may be millions of fine
thoughts, and the account of the experience on which they are based, all encased within stone walls of
acceptable architectural form; but if the scholar can get at only one a week by diligent search, his
syntheses are not likely to keep up with the current scene.
Selection, in this broad sense, is a stone adze in the hands of a cabinetmaker. Yet, in a narrow sense and
in other areas, something has already been done mechanically on selection. The personnel officer of a
factory drops a stack of a few thousand employee cards into a selecting machine, sets a code in
accordance with an established convention, and produces in a short time a list of all employees who live
in Trenton and know Spanish. Even such devices are much too slow when it comes, for example, to
matching a set of fingerprints with one of five millions on file. Selection devices of this sort will soon be
speeded up from their present rate of reviewing data at a few hundred a minute. By the use of photocells
and microfilm they will survey items at the rate of thousands a second, and will print out duplicates of
those selected.
This process, however, is simple selection: it proceeds by examining in turn every one of a large set of
items, and by picking out those which have certain specified characteristics. There is another form of
selection best illustrated by the automatic telephone exchange. You dial a number and the machine selects
and connects just one of a million possible stations. It does not run over them all. It pays attention only to
a class given by a first digit, and so on; and thus proceeds rapidly and almost unerringly to the selected
station. It requires a few seconds to make the selection, although the process could be speeded up if
increased speed were economically warranted. If necessary, it could be made extremely fast by
substituting thermionic-tube switching for mechanical switching, so that the full selection could be made
in one-hundredth of a second. No one would wish to spend the money necessary to make this change in
the telephone system, but the general idea is applicable elsewhere.
Take the prosaic problem of the great department store. Every time a charge sale is made, there are a
number of things to be done.. The inventory needs to be revised, the salesman needs to be given credit for
the sale, the general accounts need an entry, and, most important, the customer needs to be charged. A
central records device has been developed in which much of this work is done conveniently. The salesman
places on a stand the customer's identification card, his own card, and the card taken from the article sold
- all punched cards. When he pulls a lever, contacts are made through the holes, machinery at a central
point makes the necessary computations and entries, and the proper receipt is printed for the salesman to
pass to the customer.
But there may be ten thousand charge customers doing business with the store, and before the full
operation can be completed someone has to select the right card and insert it at the central office. Now
rapid selection can slide just the proper card into position in an instant or two, and return it afterward.
Another difficulty occurs, however. Someone must read a total on the card, so that the machine can add
its computed item to it. Conceivably the cards might be of the dry photography type I have described.
Existing totals could then be read by photocell, and the new total entered by an electron beam.
The cards may be in miniature, so that they occupy little space. They must move quickly. They need not
be transferred far, but merely into position so that the photocell and recorder can operate on them.
Positional dots can enter the data. At the end of the month a machine can readily be made to read these
and to print an ordinary bill. With tube selection, in which no mechanical parts are involved in the
switches, little time need be occupied in bringing the correct card into use - a second should suffice for
the entire operation. The whole record on the card may be made by magnetic dots on a steel sheet if
desired, instead of dots to be observed optically, following the scheme by which Poulsen long ago put
speech on a magnetic wire. This method has the advantage of simplicity and ease of erasure. By using
photography, however, one can arrange to project the record in enlarged form, and at a distance by using
the process common in television equipment.
One can consider rapid selection of this form, and distant projection for other purposes. To be able to key
one sheet of a million before an operator in a second or two, with the possibility of then adding notes
thereto, is suggestive in many ways. It might even be of use in libraries, but that is another story. At any
rate, there are now some interesting combinations possible. One might, for example, speak to a
microphone, in the manner described in connection with the speech-controlled typewriter, and thus make
his selections. It would certainly beat the usual file clerk.
6
The real heart of the matter of selection, however, goes deeper than a lag in the adoption of mechanisms
by libraries, or a lack of development of devices for their use. Our ineptitude in getting at the record is
largely caused by the artificiality of systems of indexing. When data of any sort are placed in storage, they
are filed alphabetically or numerically, and information is found (when it is) by tracing it down from
subclass to subclass. It can be in only one place, unless duplicates are used; one has to have rules as to
which path will locate it, and the rules are cumbersome. Having found one item, moreover, one has to
emerge from the system and re-enter on a new path.
The human mind does not work that way. It operates by association. With one item in its grasp, it snaps
instantly to the next that is suggested by the association of thoughts, in accordance with some intricate
web of trails carried by the cells of the brain. It has other characteristics, of course; trails that are not
frequently followed are prone to fade, items are not fully permanent, memory is transitory. Yet the speed
of action, the intricacy of trails, the detail of mental pictures, is awe-inspiring beyond all else in nature.
Man cannot hope fully to duplicate this mental process artificially, but he certainly ought to be able to
learn from it. In minor ways he may even improve, for his record have relative permanency. The first idea,
however, to be drawn from the analogy concerns selection. Selection by association, rather than by
indexing, may yet be mechanized. One cannot hope thus to equal the speed and flexibility with which the
mind follows an associative trail, but it should be possible to beat the mind decisively in regard to the
permanence and clarity of the items resurrected from storage.
Consider a future device for individual use, which is a sort of mechanized private file and library. It needs
a name, and to coin one at random, ``memex'' will do. A memex is a device in which an individual stores
all his books, records, and communications, and which is mechanized so that it may be consulted with
exceeding speed and flexibility. It is an enlarged intimate supplement to his memory.
It consists of a desk, and while it can presumably be operated from a distance, it is primarily the piece of
furniture at which he works. On the top are slanting translucent screens, on which material can be
projected for convenient reading. There is a keyboard, and sets of buttons and levers. Otherwise it looks
like an ordinary desk.
In one end is the stored material. The matter of bulk is well taken care of by improved microfilm. Only a
small part of the interior of the memex is devoted to storage, the rest to mechanism. Yet if the user
inserted 5000 pages of material a day it would take him hundreds of years to fill the repository, so he can
be profligate and enter material freely.
Most of the memex contents are purchased on microfilm ready for insertion. Books of all sorts, pictures,
current periodicals, newspapers, are thus obtained and dropped into place. Business correspondence
takes the same path. And there is provision for direct entry. On the top of the memex is a transparent
platen. On this are placed longhand notes, photographs, memoranda, all sort of things. When one is in
place, the depression of a lever causes it to be photographed onto the next blank space in a section of the
memex film, dry photography being employed.
There is, of course, provision for consultation of the record by the usual scheme of indexing. If the user
wishes to consult a certain book, he taps its code on the keyboard, and the title page of the book
promptly appears before him, projected onto one of his viewing positions. Frequently-used codes are
mnemonic, so that he seldom consults his code book; but when he does, a single tap of a key projects it
for his use. Moreover, he has supplemental levers. On deflecting one of these levers to the right he runs
through the book before him, each page in turn being projected at a speed which just allows a recognizing
glance at each. If he deflects it further to the right, he steps through the book 10 pages at a time; still
further at 100 pages at a time. Deflection to the left gives him the same control backwards.
A special button transfers him immediately to the first page of the index. Any given book of his library
can thus be called up and consulted with far greater facility than if it were taken from a shelf. As he has
several projection positions, he can leave one item in position while he calls up another. He can add
marginal notes and comments, taking advantage of one possible type of dry photography, and it could
even be arranged so that he can do this by a stylus scheme, such as is now employed in the telautograph
seen in railroad waiting rooms, just as though he had the physical page before him.
7
All this is conventional, except for the projection forward of present-day mechanisms and gadgetry. If
affords an immediate step, however, to associative indexing, the basic idea of which is a provision
whereby any item may be caused at will to select immediately and automatically another. This is the
essential feature of the memex. The process of tying two items together is the important thing.
When the user is building a trail, he names it, inserts the name in his code book, and taps it out on his
keyboard. Before him are the two items to be joined, projected onto adjacent viewing positions. At the
bottom of each there are a number of blank code spaces, and a pointer is set to indicate one of these on
each item. The user taps a single key, and the items are permanently joined. In each code space appears
the code word. Out of view, but also in the code space, is inserted a set of dots for photocell viewing; and
on each item these dots by their positions designate the index number of the other item.
Thereafter, at any time, when one of these items is in view, the other can be instantly recalled merely by
tapping a button below the corresponding code space. Moreover, when numerous items have been thus
joined together to form a trail, they can be reviewed in turn, rapidly or slowly, by deflecting a lever like
that used for turning the pages of a book. It is exactly as though the physical items had been gathered
together to form a new book. It is more than this, for any item can be joined into numerous trails.
The owner of the memex, let us say, is interested in the origin and properties of the bow and arrow.
Specifically he is studying why the short Turkish bow was apparently superior to the English long bow in
the skirmishes of the Crusades. He has dozens of possibly pertinent books and articles in his memex. First
he runs through an encyclopedia, finds and interesting but sketchy article, leaves it projected, Next, in a
history, he finds another pertinent item, and ties the two together. Thus he goes, building a trail of many
items. Occasionally he inserts a comment of his own, either linking it into the main trail or joining it by a
side trail to a particular item. When it becomes evident that the elastic properties of available materials
had a great deal to do with the bow, he branches off on a side trail which takes him through textbooks on
elasticity and tables of physical constants. He inserts a page of longhand analysis of his own. Thus he
builds a trail of his interest through the maze of materials available to him.
And his trails do not fade. Several years later, his talk with a friend turns to the queer ways in which a
people resist innovations, even of vital interest. He has an example, in the fact that the outranged
Europeans still failed to adopt the Turkish bow. In fact he has a trail on it. A touch brings up the code
book. Tapping a few keys projects the head of the trail. A lever runs through it at will, stopping at
interesting items, going off on side excursions. It is an interesting trail, pertinent to the discussion. So he
sets a reproducer in action, photographs the whole trail out, and passes it to his friend for insertion in his
own memex, there to be linked into the more general trail.
8
Wholly new forms of encyclopedias will appear, ready-made with a mesh of associative trails running
through them, ready to be dropped into the memex and there amplified. The lawyer has at his touch the
associated opinions and decisions of his whole experience, and of the experience of friends and
authorities. The patent attorney has on call the millions of issued patents, with familiar trails to every
point of his client's interest. The physician, puzzled by its patient's reactions, strikes the trail established in
studying an earlier similar case, and runs rapidly through analogous case histories, with side references to
the classics for the pertinent anatomy and histology. The chemist, struggling with the synthesis of an
organic compound, has all the chemical literature before him in his laboratory, with trails following the
analogies of compounds, and side trails to their physical and chemical behavior.
The historian, with a vast chronological account of a people, parallels it with a skip trail which stops only
at the salient items, and can follow at any time contemporary trails which lead him all over civilization at
a particular epoch. There is a new profession of trail blazers, those who find delight in the task of
establishing useful trails through the enormous mass of the common record. The inheritance from the
master becomes, not only his additions to the world's record, but for his disciples the entire scaffolding by
which they were erected.
Thus science may implement the ways in which man produces, stores, and consults the record of the race.
It might be striking to outline the instrumentalities of the future more spectacularly, rather than to stick
closely to the methods and elements now known and undergoing rapid development, as has been done
here. Technical difficulties of all sorts have been ignored, certainly, but also ignored are means as yet
unknown which may come any day to accelerate technical progress as violently as did the advent of the
thermionic tube. In order that the picture may not be too commonplace, by reason of sticking to presentday patterns, it may be well to mention one such possibility, not to prophesy but merely to suggest, for
prophecy based on extension of the known has substance, while prophecy founded on the unknown is
only a doubly involved guess.
All our steps in creating or absorbing material of the record proceed through one of the senses - the
tactile when we touch keys, the oral when we speak or listen, the visual when we read. Is it not possible
that some day the path may be established more directly?
We know that when the eye sees, all the consequent information is transmitted to the brain by means of
electrical vibrations in the channel of the optic nerve. This is an exact analogy with the electrical
vibrations which occur in the cable of a television set: they convey the picture from the photocells which
see it to the radio transmitter from which it is broadcast. We know further that if we can approach that
cable with the proper instruments, we do not need to touch it; we can pick up those vibrations by
electrical induction and thus discover and reproduce the scene which is being transmitted, just as a
telephone wire may be tapped for its message.
The impulse which flow in the arm nerves of a typist convey to her fingers the translated information
which reaches her eye or ear, in order that the fingers may be caused to strike the proper keys. Might not
these currents be intercepted, either in the original form in which information is conveyed to the brain, or
in the marvelously metamorphosed form in which they then proceed to the hand?
By bone conduction we already introduce sounds into the nerve channels of the deaf in order that they
may hear. Is it not possible that we may learn to introduce them without the present cumbersomeness of
first transforming electrical vibrations to mechanical ones, which the human mechanism promptly
transforms back to the electrical form? With a couple of electrodes on the skull the encephalograph now
produces pen-and-ink traces which bear some relation to the electrical phenomena going on in the brain
itself. True, the record is unintelligible, except as it points out certain gross misfunctioning of the cerebral
mechanism; but who would now place bounds on where such a thing may lead?
In the outside world, all forms of intelligence, whether of sound or sight, have been reduced to the form
of varying currents in an electric circuit in order that they may be transmitted. Inside the human frame
exactly the same sort of process occurs. Must we always transform to mechanical movements in order to
proceed from one electrical phenomenon to another? It is a suggestive thought, but it hardly warrants
prediction without losing touch with reality and immediateness.
Presumably man's spirit should be elevated if he can better review his shady past and analyze more
completely and objectively his present problems. He has built a civilization so complex that he needs to
mechanize his record more fully if he is to push his experiment to its logical conclusion and not merely
become bogged down part way there by overtaxing his limited memory. His excursion may be more
enjoyable if he can reacquire the privilege of forgetting the manifold things he does not need to have
immediately at hand, with some assurance that he can find them again if they prove important.
The applications of science have built man a well-supplied house, and are teaching him to live healthily
therein. They have enabled him to throw masses of people against another with cruel weapons. They may
yet allow him truly to encompass the great record and to grow in the wisdom of race experience. He may
perish in conflict before he learns to wield that record for his true good. Yet, in the application of science
to the needs and desires of man, it would seem to be a singularly unfortunate stage at which to terminate
the process, or to lose hope as to the outcome.