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Turkiye Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990 - 2021)

ES.1 Background Information on Greenhouse Gas Inventories The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international treaty established in 1992 to cooperatively address climate change issues. The ultimate objective of the UNFCCC is to stabilize atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous interference with the climate system. Türkiye ratified the UNFCCC in May 2004. To achieve its objective and implement its provisions, the UNFCCC lays out several guiding principles and commitments. Specifically, Articles 4 and 12 commit all Parties to develop, periodically update, publish and make available to the COP their national inventories of anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of all GHGs not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. National inventory of Türkiye is prepared and submitted annually to the UNFCCC by April 15 of each year, in accordance with revised Guidelines for the preparation of national communications by Parties included in Annex I to the Convention, Part I: UNFCCC reporting guidelines on annual inventories (UNFCCC Reporting Guidelines). The annual inventory submission consists of the National Inventory Report (NIR) and the Common Reporting Format (CRF) tables. Türkiye, as an Annex I party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), reports annually on greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories. This National Inventory Report (NIR) contains national GHG emission/removal estimates for the period of 1990-2021. Pursuant to Decision 24/CP.5, all Parties listed in Annex I of the UNFCCC are required to prepare and submit annual NIR containing detail and complete information on the entire process of preparation of such GHG inventories. The purpose of such reports is to ensure the transparency, accuracy, consistency, comparability and completeness of inventories and support the independent review process. This inventory submission follows the revised UNFCCC Reporting Guidelines, adopted through Decision 24/CP.19 at COP 19. Together with the common reporting format (CRF) tables, Türkiye submits a National Inventory Report (NIR), which refers to the period covered by the inventory tables and describes the methods and data sources on which the pertinent calculations are based. The report, and the CRF tables, have been prepared pursuant to the UNFCCC guidelines on annual inventories (24/CP.19

TURKISH GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY 1990 - 2021 National Inventory Report for submission under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change April 2023 TURKISH GREENHOUSE GAS NATIONAL INVENTORY 1990 - 2021 GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY National InventoryREPORT Report for submission under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 1990-2021 Annual Report for submission under the "United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change" TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE April 2023 CONTACT INFORMATION Turkish Statistical Institute Fatma Betül DEMİROK (National Inventory Focal Point) Turkish Statistical Institute Tel: +90-312-4547791 e-mail: [email protected] Erhan ÜNAL Turkish Statistical Institute Tel: +90-312-4547803 e-mail: [email protected] Kadir AKSAKAL Turkish Statistical Institute Tel: +90-312-4547802 e-mail: [email protected] Elif YILMAZ Turkish Statistical Institute Tel: +90-312-4547817 e-mail: [email protected] İlhan TARLACI Turkish Statistical Institute Tel: +90-312-4547209 e-mail: [email protected] Turkish Statistical Institute is responsible for all cross-cutting issues, energy (except for 1.A.1.a Public Electricity and Heat Production and 1.A.3 Transport), industrial processes and product use, agriculture and waste sectors. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 III Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources Ümit ÇALIKOĞLU Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources Tel: +90-312-5465624 e-mail: [email protected] Büşra Sıla AKSAKAL Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources Tel: +90-312-5465625 e-mail: [email protected] Nesibe Feyza TAMER Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources Tel: +90-312-5465626 e-mail: [email protected] Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources is responsible for energy balance tables and for the section 1.A.1.a Public Electricity and Heat Production. Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Burak ÇİFTÇİ Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Tel: +90-312-2031903 e-mail: [email protected] Hasan Umur ALSANCAK Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Tel: +90-312-2031000/3072 e-mail:[email protected] Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure is responsible for transport sector. Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change Veysel SELİMOĞLU Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change Tel: +90-312-4242323/7070 e-mail: [email protected] Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change is responsible for F-gases. IV Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Prof. Yusuf SERENGİL İstanbul University-Cerrahpaşa, Faculty of Forestry Tel: +90-212-3382400 e-mail: [email protected] Ümit TURHAN Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - General Directorate of Forestry Tel:+90-312-2481713 e-mail: [email protected] Eray ÖZDEMİR Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - General Directorate of Forestry Tel:+90-312-2481720 e-mail: [email protected] Uğur KARAKOÇ Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - General Directorate of Forestry Tel:+90-312-2481726 e-mail: [email protected] General Directorate of Forestry is responsible for LULUCF - forestry sector. Abdüssamet AYDIN Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - General Directorate of Agricultural Reform Tel: +90-312-2588123 e-mail: [email protected] Nurdan BUĞDAY Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - General Directorate of Agricultural Reform Tel: +90-312-2588132 e-mail: [email protected] General Directorate of Agricultural Reform is responsible for LULUCF - other land use sector. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 V Executive Summary EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES.1 Background Information on Greenhouse Gas Inventories The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international treaty established in 1992 to cooperatively address climate change issues. The ultimate objective of the UNFCCC is to stabilize atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous interference with the climate system. Türkiye ratified the UNFCCC in May 2004. To achieve its objective and implement its provisions, the UNFCCC lays out several guiding principles and commitments. Specifically, Articles 4 and 12 commit all Parties to develop, periodically update, publish and make available to the COP their national inventories of anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of all GHGs not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. National inventory of Türkiye is prepared and submitted annually to the UNFCCC by April 15 of each year, in accordance with revised Guidelines for the preparation of national communications by Parties included in Annex I to the Convention, Part I: UNFCCC reporting guidelines on annual inventories (UNFCCC Reporting Guidelines). The annual inventory submission consists of the National Inventory Report (NIR) and the Common Reporting Format (CRF) tables. Türkiye, as an Annex I party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), reports annually on greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories. This National Inventory Report (NIR) contains national GHG emission/removal estimates for the period of 1990-2021. Pursuant to Decision 24/CP.5, all Parties listed in Annex I of the UNFCCC are required to prepare and submit annual NIR containing detail and complete information on the entire process of preparation of such GHG inventories. The purpose of such reports is to ensure the transparency, accuracy, consistency, comparability and completeness of inventories and support the independent review process. This inventory submission follows the revised UNFCCC Reporting Guidelines, adopted through Decision 24/CP.19 at COP 19. Together with the common reporting format (CRF) tables, Türkiye submits a National Inventory Report (NIR), which refers to the period covered by the inventory tables and describes the methods and data sources on which the pertinent calculations are based. The report, and the CRF tables, have been prepared pursuant to the UNFCCC guidelines on annual inventories (24/CP.19) and in conformance with Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 i i Executive Summary the 2006 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines). The annual GHG inventory provides information on the trends in national GHG emissions and removals since 1990. This information is essential for the planning and monitoring of climate policies. Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) is the responsible agency for compiling the National GHG Inventory. GHG inventory of Türkiye is prepared by "GHG Emissions Inventory Working Group" which is set up by the decision of the Coordination Board on Climate Change (CBCC). TurkStat is the responsible organization for the coordination of working group (WG). Moreover, TurkStat has been designated as the National inventory focal point of Türkiye by the decision taken by CBCC in 2009. The Official Statistics Programme (OSP), based on the Statistics Law of Türkiye No. 5429 and Presidential Order No. 4, has been prepared for a 5-year-period in order to determine the basic principles and standards dealing with the production and dissemination of official statistics and to produce reliable, timely, transparent and impartial data required at national and international level. The responsibility for compiling the National GHG Inventory has also been given to TurkStat by the OSP. The inventory preparation is a joint work of GHG emission inventory WG. The main institutions involved in GHG inventory are;  Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat),  Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (MENR),  Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure (MoTI),  Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (MoEUCC),  Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MoAF). The National GHG emissions/removals are calculated by using 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The GHG Inventory includes direct GHGs as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), fluorinated gases (F-gases); hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulphur hexafluoride (SF6), nitrogen trifluoride (NF3) and indirect GHGs as nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC), sulphur dioxide (SO2) and ammonia (NH3) emissions originated from energy, industrial processes and product use (IPPU), agriculture and waste. The emissions and removals from land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) are also included in the inventory. ii Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 ii Executive Summary ES.2 Summary of National Emission and Removal Related Trends Total GHG emissions, excluding the LULUCF sector, were estimated to be 564.4 Mt of CO2 equivalent (CO2 eq.) in 2021. This represents an increase of 40.4 Mt, or 7.7%, in emissions compared to 2020, and a 157.1% increase compared to 1990 (Table ES 1). Table ES 1 Greenhouse gas emissions, 1990-2021 Total emissions (Mt CO2 eq. excluding LULUCF) Change compared to 1990 (%) Net emissions (Mt CO2 eq. including LULUCF) Change compared to 1990 (%) 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 219.5 298.9 398.8 475.0 501.1 528.6 523.1 508.7 524.0 564.4 - 36.2 81.7 116.4 128.3 140.8 138.3 131.7 138.7 157.1 153.0 230.9 326.9 402.2 428.0 453.6 453.4 446.0 467.0 517.2 - 50.9 113.6 162.8 179.7 196.4 196.3 191.5 205.2 238.0 Total GHG emissions, including the LULUCF sector, were 517.2 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021. Thus, LULUCF included total emissions decreased by 10.7% compared to 2020 emissions. There is a 238% increase from 1990 to 2021 (Table ES 1). Table ES 2 Overview of GHG emissions and removals, 1990-2021 (Mt CO2 eq.) GHG emissions 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (excluding LULUCF) 151.6 229.9 316.2 384.9 406.0 430.9 422.1 402.7 412.9 452.7 CO2 (including LULUCF) 85.0 161.6 244.2 312.0 332.6 355.7 352.2 339.8 355.7 404.3 CH4 (excluding LULUCF) 42.5 43.7 51.6 52.8 55.6 56.8 60.4 63.2 63.9 64.0 CH4 (including LULUCF) 42.6 43.8 51.7 52.8 55.6 56.9 60.4 63.3 64.0 64.7 N2O (excluding LULUCF) 25.0 24.8 27.4 32.3 34.3 35.4 35.5 37.0 40.5 40.3 N2O (including LULUCF) 25.0 24.9 27.5 32.4 34.5 35.6 35.6 37.1 40.7 40.9 HFCs NO 0.1 3.1 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.0 5.7 6.5 7.2 PFCs 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SF6 NO 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 Total (excluding LULUCF) 219.5 298.9 398.8 475.0 501.1 528.6 523.1 508.7 524.0 564.4 Total (including LULUCF) 153.0 230.9 326.9 402.2 428.0 453.6 453.4 446.0 467.0 517.2 Note that 0.0 kt figures refer to values smaller than 0.05 but greater than zero. Total GHG emissions as CO2 eq. for the year 2021 were 564.4 Mt (excluding LULUCF). Overall in 2021, the energy sector had the largest portion with a 71.3% share of total emissions. The energy sector was followed by the sectors of IPPU with 13.3%, agriculture with 12.8% and waste with 2.6%. GHG emissions by sectors are presented in Table ES 3 for 1990-2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 iii iii Executive Summary Table ES 3 Greenhouse gas emissions by sectors, 1990-2021 (Mt CO2 eq.) Year Energy IPPU Agriculture LULUCF Waste Total (Excluding LULUCF) Total (Including LULUCF) 1990 139.5 22.9 46.1 -66.5 11.1 219.5 153.0 144.0 24.6 46.9 -67.4 11.3 226.8 159.4 150.3 24.3 47.0 -67.5 11.5 233.1 165.7 156.8 24.8 47.4 -66.6 11.8 240.8 174.2 153.3 24.1 44.9 -68.0 12.0 234.4 166.4 166.3 25.5 44.1 -67.8 12.3 248.2 180.5 184.0 26.2 44.8 -67.1 12.7 267.6 200.5 196.1 27.0 42.5 -70.4 13.2 278.8 208.4 195.8 27.3 43.7 -70.6 13.5 280.3 209.7 193.8 25.8 44.3 -71.2 13.9 277.8 206.6 216.0 26.2 42.3 -68.1 14.3 298.9 230.9 199.2 25.8 39.9 -70.8 14.8 279.7 209.0 206.0 26.8 37.6 -69.3 15.2 285.6 216.3 220.5 28.2 40.6 -71.2 15.6 304.8 233.6 226.3 30.8 41.3 -69.7 16.1 314.4 244.7 244.5 34.3 42.4 -71.8 16.4 337.6 265.8 260.5 36.8 43.9 -71.5 16.8 358.0 286.5 291.5 39.7 43.4 -71.8 17.1 391.7 319.9 288.3 41.7 41.3 -67.9 17.2 388.5 320.6 292.9 43.1 42.0 -70.8 17.2 395.2 324.3 287.9 49.1 44.4 -71.9 17.4 398.8 326.9 310.0 54.0 46.9 -75.6 17.8 428.6 353.0 321.6 56.3 52.7 -73.4 17.6 448.2 374.8 308.3 59.3 55.9 -76.5 16.7 440.2 363.7 326.7 60.1 56.2 -76.9 16.5 459.5 382.6 342.0 59.7 56.1 -72.8 17.1 475.0 402.2 361.7 63.8 58.9 -73.1 16.7 501.1 428.0 382.4 66.6 63.3 -75.0 16.3 528.6 453.6 373.4 67.7 65.3 -69.8 16.6 523.1 453.4 365.6 59.0 68.0 -62.7 16.1 508.7 446.0 366.6 68.0 73.2 -56.9 16.3 524.0 467.0 402.5 75.1 72.1 -47.1 14.7 564.4 517.2 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IPPU: Industrial Processes and Product Use LULUCF: Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry As shown in Table ES 3, emissions from energy increased by 9.8% to 402.5 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021 compared to 2020. However, there is a 188.4% increase compared to 1990. Emissions in the IPPU sector increased to 75.1 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021 which is 10.6% higher than the emissions in 2020. Emissions in the agriculture and waste sectors were 72.1 Mt CO2 eq. and 14.7 Mt CO2 eq. respectively in 2021. iv Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 iv Executive Summary ES.3 Overview of Emission Estimates and Trends In 2021, the highest portion of total CO2 emissions originated from the energy sector with 85.2%. The remaining 14.5% originated from IPPU, 0.3% from agriculture and a percentage close to zero from waste. CO2 emissions from energy increased by 9.6% compared to 2020 while increased by 197.1% as compared to 1990. CO2 emissions from IPPU increased by 10.9% compared to 2020 and increased by 208.4% compared to 1990. The largest portion of CH4 emissions originated from agriculture with 61.4% while a share of 19.3% is from energy, and 19.3% from waste and industrial processes and product use. CH4 emissions from agriculture increased by 0.8% compared to 2020 and it increased by 56.6% compared to 1990. Though CH4 emissions from waste decreased by 12% compared to 2020, it increased by 28.5% compared to 1990. While 78% of N2O emissions was from agriculture, 11.1% was from energy, 5.9% was from waste, and 5% was from IPPU. There is a 0.5% decrease and 61.5% increase in total N2O emissions compared to 2020 and 1990, respectively. GHG emissions by sectors are shown in Table ES 4. Table ES 4 GHG emissions, 1990-2021 Emission sources 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Energy IPPU Agriculture Waste 151 615 129 817 21 312 460 26.6 229 937 204 494 24 804 617 21.0 316 193 271 648 43 889 645 11.2 384 930 330 859 53 259 811 1.1 Total Energy IPPU Agriculture Waste 1 700 311 0.3 1 005 384 1 747 361 0.4 878 507 2 066 491 0.4 951 623 2 111 296 0.6 1 214 601 2 223 420 0.7 1 219 584 2 273 356 0.7 1 353 564 2 416 383 0.7 1 456 577 Total Energy IPPU Agriculture Waste 84 6.5 3.6 69 4.9 83 8.5 2.8 66 5.5 92 13.3 5.5 67 6.3 108 12.5 4.9 84 7.1 115 13.1 4.1 91 7.1 119 13.8 3.9 94 7.3 119 12.6 6.1 93 7.4 (kt) 2019 2020 2021 CO2 CH4 N2O 405 347 57 1 950 363 290 295 1.8 IPPU: Industrial Processes and Product Use. The LULUCF sector is not included. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 430 369 60 1 901 398 052 450 1.5 422 360 60 1 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 059 087 713 257 1.2 402 350 51 1 692 282 120 288 2.4 412 352 59 1 927 005 261 657 3.6 452 703 385 662 65 735 1 302 3.6 2 529 470 0.6 1 503 555 2 556 435 0.6 1 560 560 2 561 494 0.7 1 573 493 124 11.9 6.8 98 7.5 136 12.4 6.7 109 7.7 135 15.0 6.8 106 7.9 v v Executive Summary ES.4 Indirect GHG Emissions Emissions of NOx, CO, NMVOC, SO2 and NH3 were also included in the report because they influence climate change indirectly. Table ES 5 shows indirect GHG emissions. 99% of total NOx emissions which was 0.97 Mt, comes from energy sector. Similarly, 91.7% of total CO emissions as high as 1.78 Mt in 2021 was due to the energy sector. NMVOC emissions was 1.2 Mt in 2021. The largest portion of NMVOC emissions came from agriculture with 44.5% which is followed by IPPU with 32.3% and almost all SO2 emissions close to 2.7 Mt was from the energy sector in 2021. Table ES 5 Indirect GHG emissions, 1990-2021 Emission sources NOx 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total Energy IPPU LULUCF Waste 253 250 0.95 0.51 0.93 1 475 1465 7.62 1.05 1.14 979 976 2.77 0.14 0.43 959 955 3.7 0.13 0.02 991 988 3.52 0.41 0.03 973 968 3.8 0.6 0.03 959 954 4.06 0.33 0.03 970 965 4.2 0.68 0.03 956 950 4.33 0.91 0.06 981 972 5.06 4.34 0.06 Total Energy IPPU LULUCF Waste 2 040 1 997 8.60 18.40 16.41 7 812 7 746 8.50 37.60 19.99 3 404 3 384 7.30 5.10 7.48 2 368 2 354 8.40 4.60 0.39 2 354 2 328 10.80 14.60 0.56 2 188 2 155 10.60 21.50 0.56 1 659 1 642 10.60 6.40 0.56 1 776 1 747 10.60 18.40 0.70 1 940 1 905 10.80 23.10 1.06 1 942 1 780 11.10 149.50 1.06 896 283 252 356 4.90 1 454 752 317 354 30.20 1 098 404 328 332 35.60 1 091 287 346 414 44.00 1 095 284 351 419 39.90 1 121 263 358 461 39.90 1 098 208 363 487 40.50 1 125 220 366 499 40.50 1 167 240 369 517 40.90 1 166 229 377 519 41.00 Total Energy IPPU Waste 1 683 1 683 0.73 0.03 2 070 2 070 0.70 0.04 2 471 2 470 0.54 0.01 1 949 1 949 0.69 0.00 2 266 2 265 0.82 0.00 2 375 2 374 0.85 0.00 2 524 2 523 0.85 0.00 2 529 2 528 0.85 0.00 2 305 2 304 0.91 0.00 2 693 2 692 0.95 0.00 Total Energy IPPU Waste 85 1.00 5.80 78.30 97 1.50 3.50 91.90 62 2.70 4.00 55.20 59 9.20 4.10 45.30 45 5.70 3.20 36.40 46 4.50 3.70 38.10 41 3.30 5.10 32.50 43 3.70 6.40 32.50 46 4.10 6.50 35.70 49 4.20 7.70 36.80 CO NMVOC Total Energy IPPU Agriculture Waste SO2 NH3 Note that 0.00 kt figures refer to values smaller than 0.005 kt but greater than zero. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. IPPU: Industrial Processes and Product Use vi (kt) 1990 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 vi Contents 1 CONTENTS Page EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................... i ES.1 Background Information on Greenhouse Gas Inventories ....................................................... i ES.2 Summary of National Emission and Removal Related Trends ................................................. iii ES.3 Overview of Emission Estimates and Trends ......................................................................... v ES.4 Indirect GHG Emissions ....................................................................................................... vi CONTENTS .................................................................................................................................. vii TABLES......................................................................................................................................... xi FIGURES ....................................................................................................................................xviii ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ............................................................................................... xxii 1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... 1 1.1. Background Information on GHG Inventories ...................................................................... 1 1.2. Institutional Arrangements ................................................................................................. 2 1.2.1. Institutional, Legal and Procedural Arrangements ........................................................... 2 1.2.2. Overview of Inventory Planning, Preparation and Management ....................................... 5 1.2.3. Quality Assurance, Quality Control and Verification ......................................................... 6 1.3. Brief Description of the Process of Inventory Preparation ....................................................15 1.4. Brief General Description of Methodologies and Data Sources .............................................17 1.5. Brief Description of Key Source Categories .........................................................................20 1.6. General Uncertainty Evaluation ..........................................................................................22 1.7. General Assessment of Completeness ................................................................................23 2. TRENDS IN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ..............................................................................24 2.1. Emission Trends for Aggregated Greenhouse Gas Emissions................................................24 2.2. Emission Trends by Gas ....................................................................................................27 2.3. Emission Trends by Sector ................................................................................................33 2.4. Emission Trends for Indirect Greenhouse Gases .................................................................42 3. ENERGY (CRF Sector 1) ...........................................................................................................43 3.1. Sector Overview ...............................................................................................................43 3.2. Fuel Combustion (Sector 1.A) ............................................................................................49 3.2.1. Comparison of the sectoral approach with reference approach ........................................55 3.2.2. International bunker fuels ............................................................................................60 3.2.2.1. International aviation ..............................................................................................60 3.2.2.2. International navigation ..........................................................................................62 3.2.3. Feedstocks, Reductants and other non-energy use of fuels.............................................64 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 vii vii 1 Contents 3.2.4. Energy industries (Category 1.A.1)................................................................................65 3.2.4.1. Public electricity and heat production (Category 1.A.1.a) ...........................................68 3.2.4.2. Petroleum refining (Category 1.A.1.b) ......................................................................80 3.2.4.3. Manufacture of solid fuels and other energy industries (Category 1.A.1.c) ..................82 3.2.5. Manufacturing industries and construction (Category 1.A.2) ...........................................83 3.2.5.1. Iron and steel industries (Category 1.A.2.a) .............................................................89 3.2.5.2. Non-ferrous metal (Category 1.A.2.b) ......................................................................92 3.2.5.3. Chemicals (Category 1.A.2.c) ..................................................................................93 3.2.5.4. Pulp, paper and print (Category 1.A.2.d) ..................................................................95 3.2.5.5. Food processing, beverages and tobacco (Category 1.A.2.e) .....................................97 3.2.5.6. Non-metallic minerals (Category 1.A.2.f) ..................................................................98 3.2.5.7. Other industries (Category 1.A.2.g) ....................................................................... 102 3.2.6. Transport (Category 1.A.3) ......................................................................................... 104 3.2.6.1. Civil aviation (Category 1.A.3.a) ............................................................................ 112 3.2.6.2. Road transportation (Category 1.A.3.b) .................................................................. 119 3.2.6.3. Railways (Category 1.A.3.c) .................................................................................. 123 3.2.6.4. Water-borne navigation (Category 1.A.3.d) ............................................................ 126 3.2.6.5. Pipeline transport (Category 1.A.3.e.i) ................................................................... 128 3.2.6.6. Off road transportation (Category 1.A.3.e.ii)........................................................... 130 3.2.7. Other sectors (Category 1.A.4) ................................................................................... 131 3.2.7.1. Commercial/Institutional (Category 1.A.4.a) ........................................................... 133 3.2.7.2. Residential (Category 1.A.4.b) ............................................................................... 135 3.2.7.3. Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries (Category 1.A.4.c) .................................................... 136 3.2.8. Other (Category 1.A.5) ............................................................................................... 138 3.3. Fugitive Emission from Fuels (Category 1.B) ..................................................................... 139 3.3.1. Solid fuels (Category 1.B.1) ........................................................................................ 140 3.3.2. Oil and natural gas (Category 1.B.2) ........................................................................... 145 3.4. CO2 Transport and Storage (Category 1.C) ....................................................................... 149 4. INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES AND PRODUCT USE (CRF Sector 2) .................................................. 150 4.1. Sector Overview ............................................................................................................. 150 4.2. Mineral Industry (Category 2.A) ...................................................................................... 153 4.2.1. Cement production (Category 2.A.1) ........................................................................... 154 4.2.2. Lime production (Category 2.A.2) ............................................................................... 158 4.2.3. Glass production (Category 2.A.3)............................................................................... 163 4.2.4. Other process uses of carbonates (Category 2.A.4) ...................................................... 167 4.2.4.1. Ceramics (Category 2.A.4.a) .................................................................................. 167 4.2.4.2. Other uses of soda ash (Category 2.A.4.b) ............................................................. 172 viii Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 viii Contents 1 4.2.4.3. Non metallurgical magnesia production (Category 2.A.4.c) ...................................... 174 4.3. Chemical Industry (Category 2.B) .................................................................................... 177 4.3.1. Ammonia production (Category 2.B.1) ........................................................................ 178 4.3.2. Nitric acid production (Category 2.B.2) ........................................................................ 182 4.3.3. Adipic acid production (Category 2.B.3) ....................................................................... 185 4.3.4. Caprolactam, glyoxal and glyoxylic acid production (Category 2.B.4) ............................. 185 4.3.5. Carbide production (Category 2.B.5) ........................................................................... 185 4.3.6. Titanium dioxide production (Category 2.B.6) .............................................................. 188 4.3.7. Soda ash production (Category 2.B.7) ......................................................................... 188 4.3.8. Petrochemical and carbon black production (Category 2.B.8) ........................................ 191 4.3.9. Fluorochemical production (Category 2.B.9) ................................................................ 194 4.4. Metal Industry (Category 2.C) ......................................................................................... 194 4.4.1. Iron and steel production (Category 2.C.1) .................................................................. 195 4.4.2. Ferroalloys production (Category 2.C.2) ...................................................................... 204 4.4.3. Aluminium production (Category 2.C.3) ....................................................................... 208 4.4.4. Magnesium production (Category 2.C.4)...................................................................... 215 4.4.5. Lead production (Category 2.C.5) ............................................................................... 217 4.4.6. Zinc production (Category 2.C.6) ................................................................................ 220 4.5. Non-Energy Products from Fuels and Solvent Use (Category 2.D) ...................................... 224 4.5.1. Lubricant use (Category 2.D.1) ................................................................................... 224 4.5.2. Paraffin wax use (Category 2.D.2) .............................................................................. 226 4.6. Electronics Industry (Category 2.E) .................................................................................. 228 4.7. Product Use as Substitutes for ODS (Category 2.F) ........................................................... 229 4.8. Other Product Manufacture and Use (Category 2.G) ......................................................... 233 5. AGRICULTURE (CRF Sector 3) ................................................................................................ 236 5.1. Sector Overview ............................................................................................................. 236 5.2. Enteric Fermentation (Category 3.A) ................................................................................ 250 5.3. Manure Management (Category 3.B) ............................................................................... 256 5.4. Rice Cultivation (Category 3.C) ........................................................................................ 267 5.5. Agricultural Soils (Category 3.D) ...................................................................................... 271 5.6. Prescribed Burning of Savannas (Category 3.E) ................................................................ 280 5.7. Field Burning of Agricultural Residues (Category 3.F) ........................................................ 280 5.8. Liming (Category 3.G)..................................................................................................... 283 5.9. Urea Application (Category 3.H) ...................................................................................... 283 5.10. Other Carbon-Containing Fertilizers (Category 3.I)............................................................ 286 5.11. Other (Category 3.J) ....................................................................................................... 286 6. LULUCF (CRF Sector 4) ........................................................................................................... 287 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 ix ix 1 Contents 6.1. Sector Overview ............................................................................................................... 287 6.2. Forest Land (4.A) .............................................................................................................. 299 6.3. Croplands (4.B) ................................................................................................................ 318 6.4. Grassland (4.C)................................................................................................................. 336 6.5. Wetlands (4.D) ................................................................................................................. 342 6.6. Settlements (4.E) .............................................................................................................. 350 6.7. Other land (4.F) ................................................................................................................ 358 6.8. Direct N2O emissions from N inputs to managed soils (4(I)) ................................................ 359 6.9. Emissions and removals from drainage and rewetting and other management of organic and mineral soils (4(II)) ................................................................................................................. 361 6.10. N2O emissions from N mineralization/immobilization associated with loss/gain of soil organic matter resulting from change of land use or management of mineral soils (4(III)) ...................... 362 6.11. Indirect N2O emissions from managed soils (4(IV)) ........................................................... 364 6.12. Biomass Burning (4(V)) ................................................................................................... 366 6.13. Harvested Wood Products (4.G) ....................................................................................... 369 7. WASTE (CRF Sector 5) ............................................................................................................ 371 7.1. Sector Overview ............................................................................................................... 371 7.2. Solid Waste Disposal (Category 5.A) .................................................................................. 373 7.3. Biological Treatment of Solid Waste (Category 5.B)............................................................. 394 7.4. Incineration and Open Burning of Waste (Category 5.C) ..................................................... 400 7.5. Wastewater Treatment and Discharge (Category 5.D) ......................................................... 409 7.6. Other (Category 5.E)......................................................................................................... 429 8. OTHER................................................................................................................................... 430 9. INDIRECT CARBON DIOXIDE AND NITROUS OXIDE EMISSIONS ............................................... 430 10. RECALCULATIONS AND IMPROVEMENTS ............................................................................... 431 Annex 1: Key Categories ............................................................................................................. 439 Annex 2: Uncertainty .................................................................................................................. 457 Annex 3: Country Specific Carbon Content Determination and Emission Factors ............................. 486 Annex 4: National Energy Balance Sheets, 2021 ........................................................................... 499 Annex 5: Completeness .............................................................................................................. 502 References ................................................................................................................................. 509 x Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 x Tables TABLES Page Table ES 1 Greenhouse gas emissions, 1990-2021 .......................................................................... iii Table ES 2 Overview of GHG emissions and removals, 1990-2021 .................................................... iii Table ES 3 Greenhouse gas emissions by sectors, 1990-2021 .......................................................... iv Table ES 4 GHG emissions, 1990-2021 ........................................................................................... v Table ES 5 Indirect GHG emissions, 1990-2021 ............................................................................... vi Table 1.1 Institutions by responsiblities for national GHG inventory .................................................. 4 Table 1.2 Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objectives .................................................... 8 Table 1.3 Time schedule for preparation of the “t-2” annual inventory submission............................16 Table 1.4 Summary for methods and emission factors used, 2021 ...................................................18 Table 1.5 Activity data sources for GHG inventory ..........................................................................19 Table 1.6 Key categories for GHG inventory, 2021 ..........................................................................21 Table 2.1 Aggregated GHG emissions by sectors ............................................................................26 Table 2.2 Aggregated GHG emissions excluding LULUCF .................................................................28 Table 2.3 Fluorinated gases emissions by sector, 1990-2021 ...........................................................32 Table 2.4 Contribution of sectors to the net GHG emissions ............................................................35 Table 2.5 Contribution of sectors to the GHG emissions without LULUCF .........................................35 Table 2.6 Total emissions from the energy sector by source ...........................................................36 Table 2.7 Total emissions from the industrial process and product use sector by source ...................37 Table 2.8 Total emissions from the agriculture sector by source ......................................................38 Table 2.9 Total emissions and removals from the LULUCF sector by source .....................................39 Table 2.10 Total emissions from the waste sector by source ...........................................................41 Table 2.11 Total emissions for indirect greenhouse gases, 1990-2021 .............................................42 Table 3.1 Energy sector emissions by gas, 1990-2021 ....................................................................44 Table 3.2 Energy sector GHG emissions, 1990-2021 .......................................................................45 Table 3.3 Summary of methods and emission factors used in energy sector.....................................48 Table 3.4 Summary table for the data source in fuel combustion (1A) sector ...................................50 Table 3.5 Country specific carbon contents of fuels ........................................................................50 Table 3.6 Country specific oxidation factor of fuels .........................................................................51 Table 3.7 CO2 emission factors of fuels ..........................................................................................51 Table 3.8 Emissions from fuel combustion (1A), 1990-2021 ............................................................52 Table 3.9 Fuel allocation in reference approach ..............................................................................56 Table 3.10 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ...........................................................57 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xi xi Tables Table 3.11 Comparison of CO2 from fuel combustion between reference and sectoral approach, 19902021............................................................................................................................................59 Table 3.12 Emissions and fuel for international aviation, 1990-2021 ................................................61 Table 3.13 Emissions and fuel for international navigation, 1990-2021 ............................................63 Table 3.14 Summary table for use of feedstock, reductants and other non energy use of .................64 Table 3.15 GHG emissions from energy industries, 1990-2021 ........................................................66 Table 3.16 Emissions from category 1A1a, 1990-2021 ....................................................................71 Table 3.17 Average NCVs of fuels used in category 1.A.1.a .............................................................72 Table 3.18 CO2 emission factors used for source category 1.A.1.a, 1990-2021 .................................73 Table 3.19 CH4 and N2O emission factors used for source category 1.A.1.a ......................................74 Table 3.20 IEFs of fuels used for category 1.A.1.a, 1990-2021 ........................................................76 Table 3.21 Comparison of GHG emissions from 1.A.1.a category ,1990-2021 ...................................77 Table 3.22 Comparison of solid fuel consumption, 1990-2021 .........................................................78 Table 3.23 Emissions from petroleum refining, 1990-2021 ..............................................................80 Table 3.24 Emissions from category 1.A.1.c, 1990-2021 .................................................................82 Table 3.25 Fuel combustion emissions from manufacturing industry and construction, 1990-2021 .....84 Table 3.26 GHG emissions from manufacturing industry and construction, 1990-2021 ......................85 Table 3.27 Contribution of subsectors of manufacturing industries and construction, 2020-2021 .......86 Table 3.28 Defualt CH4 and N2O EFs for 1A2 sector ........................................................................87 Table 3.29 CO2 implied emission factors for 1A2 category ...............................................................88 Table 3.30 Fuel combustion emissions from iron and steel industry, 1990-2021 ...............................90 Table 3.31 Fuel combustion emissions from non-ferrous metals, 1990-2021 ....................................92 Table 3.32 Fuel combustion emissions from chemicals, 1990-2021 ..................................................94 Table 3.33 Fuel combustion emissions from pulp, paper and print, 1990-2021 .................................96 Table 3.34 Fuel combustion emissions from 1A2e category, 1990-2021 ..........................................97 Table 3.35 Fuel combustion emissions from non-metallic minerals, 1990-2021 .................................99 Table 3.36 Fuel combustion emissions from other industries, 1990-2021 ....................................... 102 Table 3.37 GHG emissions from transport sector, 1990-2021 ........................................................ 105 Table 3.38 GHG emissions by transport mode, 1990-2021 ............................................................ 105 Table 3.39 Method used in the calculation of GHG emissions by transport modes ........................... 111 Table 3.40 GHG emissions from domestic aviation, 1990-2021 ...................................................... 117 Table 3.41 GHG emissions for LTO and cruise in domestic aviation, 2021 ...................................... 117 Table 3.42 IEFs of domestic aviation 1990-2021........................................................................... 118 Table 3.43 GHG emissions from road transportation, 1990-2021 ................................................... 119 Table 3.44 Comparison of COPERT and current methodology for GHG emissions from road transportation, 2016-2018 .......................................................................................................... 122 Table 3.45 GHG emissions from railway, 1990-2021 ..................................................................... 123 xii Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xii Tables Table 3.46 GHG emissions from domestic navigation, 1990-2021 .................................................. 126 Table 3.47 The trend in GHG emissions from pipeline transport, 1990-2021 ................................... 129 Table 3.48 Fuel combustion emissions from other sectors (1A4), 1990-2021 .................................. 132 Table 3.49 N2O and CH4 emission factors of fuels used in others sector (1A4). ............................... 133 Table 3.50 Fuel combustion emissions from 1.A.4.a category, 1990-2021 ...................................... 133 Table 3.51 Fuel combustion emissions from residential sector, 1990-2021 ..................................... 135 Table 3.52 Fuel combustion emissions from agriculture sector, 1990-2021 ..................................... 137 Table 3.53 Fugitive emissions from fuels, 1990-2021 .................................................................... 139 Table 3.54 Fugitive emissions from fuels by subcategory, 1990-2021 ............................................ 140 Table 3.55 Fugitive emissions from solid fuels, 1990-2021 ............................................................ 141 Table 3.56 Fugitive emissions from abandoned coal mines,1990-2021 ........................................... 143 Table 3.57 Coefficients used in the calculation of abandoned coal mines methane emission ............ 144 Table 3.58 Fugitive emissions from oil and natural gas systems,1990-2021 .................................... 145 Table 4.1 Industrial processes and product use sector emissions, 2021 ......................................... 150 Table 4.2 Industrial processes and product use emissions by gas, 1990- 2021 ............................... 151 Table 4.3 Overview of industrial processes and product use sector emissions, 1990-2021 ............... 151 Table 4.4 CO2 emissions from cement production, 1990-2021 ....................................................... 157 Table 4.5 Lime production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 ............................................................ 161 Table 4.6 Molten glass production and CO2 emissions by type of glass, 1990-2021 ......................... 165 Table 4.7 EFs for carbonates, 1990-2021 ..................................................................................... 165 Table 4.8 Raw material consumption and production, 1990-2021 .................................................. 169 Table 4.9 Carbonate EFs for all years in the time series ................................................................ 169 Table 4.10 CO2 emissions from raw material consumption, 1990-2021........................................... 170 Table 4.11 Activity data for the other use of soda ash and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 .................... 173 Table 4.12 Magnesia production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 .................................................... 176 Table 4.13 Ammonia production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 .................................................... 180 Table 4.14 Nitric acid production and N2O emissions, 1990-2021 ................................................... 183 Table 4.15 Calcium carbide production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 .......................................... 187 Table 4.16 Soda ash production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 .................................................... 190 Table 4.17 CO2 emissions from flaring in petrochemical sector, 1990-2021 .................................... 192 Table 4.18 CO2 emissions allocations in 2.C.1 category, 1990-2021 ............................................... 197 Table 4.19 Sinter, pellet and iron & steel production by plant type, 1990-2021 .............................. 201 Table 4.20 Emission factors iron and steel production ................................................................... 202 Table 4.21 Ferroalloys production and emissions, 1990-2021 ........................................................ 206 Table 4.22 PFCs, CF4 and C2F6 emissions 1990-2021..................................................................... 211 Table 4.23 Aluminium production emissions, 1990-2021 ............................................................... 212 Table 4.24 Emission factors for aluminium production with Søderberg cells, 2005-2015 .................. 213 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xiii xiii Tables Table 4.25 Emission factors for aluminium production with Prebaked cells, 2015-2021 ................... 213 Table 4.26 CO2 emissions from magnesium production, 2016-2021 ............................................... 216 Table 4.27 SF6 emissions from magnesium casting, 2016-2021 ..................................................... 216 Table 4.28 Lead production and CO2 emissions from lead production, 1990-2021 ........................... 219 Table 4.29 Zinc productions and CO2 emission (kt), 1990-2021 ..................................................... 222 Table 4.30 The Amount of lubricant used and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 ...................................... 225 Table 4.31 The Amount of paraffin wax used and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 ................................. 227 Table 4.32 Consumption of each gases, 2010-2021 ...................................................................... 229 Table 4.33 Total HFCs emissions, 1999-2021 ............................................................................... 231 Table 4.34 HFCs Emissions ......................................................................................................... 232 Table 4.35 SF6 Consumption and Electricity Consumption ............................................................. 234 Table 5.1 Categories of the agriculture sector and emitted gases .................................................. 236 Table 5.2 Agriculture sector emissions and overall percentages by categories, 2021 ....................... 237 Table 5.3 Overview of the agriculture sector emissions, 1990‒2021 .............................................. 238 Table 5.4 Agriculture sector emissions ‒ comparison between 2020 and 2021................................ 241 Table 5.5 Overview of GHGs in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 ................................................. 243 Table 5.6 Livestock population numbers in Türkiye, 1990‒2021 .................................................... 245 Table 5.7 Subcategories of cattle population, 1990‒2021 .............................................................. 247 Table 5.8 Subcategories of dairy cattle population, 1990‒2021 ..................................................... 247 Table 5.9 Overview of CH4 emissions in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 .................................... 248 Table 5.10 Overview of N2O emissions in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 .................................. 249 Table 5.11 Enteric fermentation CH4 emissions, 1990‒2021 .......................................................... 252 Table 5.12 Key T2 parameters and estimated emissions for dairy cattle, 1990‒2021 ...................... 255 Table 5.13 Key T2 parameters and estimated emissions for non-dairy cattle, 1990‒2021 ................ 255 Table 5.14 Overview of emissions from manure management, 1990‒2021..................................... 258 Table 5.15 Typical animal mass, Nrate and Nex values for cattle and poultry, 1990‒2021 ............... 261 Table 5.16 Typical animal mass, Nrate and Nex values for some livestock species .......................... 261 Table 5.17 Manure management CH4 emission factors for cattle and swine .................................... 264 Table 5.18 Manure management CH4 emission factors for sheep and other livestock ...................... 264 Table 5.19 Manure Management System Distribution, 1990‒2021 ................................................. 265 Table 5.20 Irrigated area and estimated emissions for rice cultivation, 1990‒2021 ......................... 268 Table 5.21 Overview of N2O emissions from managed soils, 1990‒2021 ........................................ 273 Table 5.22 Categories of Direct N2O emissions of agricultural soils, 1990‒2021 .............................. 273 Table 5.23 Subcategories of Organic N fertilizers emissions, 1990‒2021 ........................................ 274 Table 5.24 Categories of Indirect N2O emissions of agricultural soils, 1990‒2021 ........................... 274 Table 5.25 Crop data used for crop residue calculations ................................................................ 277 Table 5.26 Emissions from field burning of agricultural residues, 1990 and 2021 ............................ 281 xiv Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xiv Tables Table 6.1 Key categories identification in the LULUCF sector (Tier 1) ............................................. 289 Table 6.2 Ecozones in Türkiye and their relationships with climate classifications (Serengil, 2018) .. 291 Table 6.3 Classification approach for all categories and subcategories under SBLMS ....................... 294 Table 6.4 A sample land use matrix (2015) .................................................................................. 297 Table 6.5 Confusion Matrix ......................................................................................................... 298 Table 6.6 Completeness Table..................................................................................................... 298 Table 6.7 Annual increment rates of forest types in Türkiye .......................................................... 300 Table 6.8 Forest area (kha) changes in Türkiye, 1990-2021 .......................................................... 301 Table 6.9 Forest inventory, 1972 (Source: GDF) ........................................................................... 303 Table 6.10 Growing stock, 1990-2021 (Source: GDF).................................................................... 304 Table 6.11 Annual volume increment, 1990-2021 (Source: GDF) ................................................... 304 Table 6.12 Area of Land converted to forest land ......................................................................... 308 Table 6.13 The Average basic wood density and national BCEF’s factors (Tolunay, 2013) ............... 310 Table 6.14 Coefficients used to calculate CS and CSC in L-FL ........................................................ 310 Table 6.15 Carbon stocks in DOM used for all forest areas in Türkiye ............................................ 311 Table 6.16 SOC stocks of forests disaggregated for ecozones........................................................ 311 Table 6.17 Uncertainty calculation results for the whole LULUCF sector ......................................... 313 Table 6.18 Uncertainty summary table for Forest land subcategories ............................................. 314 Table 6.19 Changes by the recalculation of Forest Land Remaining Forest Land subcategory .......... 316 Table 6.20 Coefficients and CS values used in annual/perennial conversions in cropland category ... 322 Table 6.20a Coefficients and soil CS values used in annual/perennial conversions in cropland category ................................................................................................................................................. 323 Table 6.21 Coefficients and CS values used in L-CL category ......................................................... 325 Table 6.22 Coefficients and CS values used in L-CL category ......................................................... 328 Table 6.23 Coefficients and soil CS values used in L-CL category ................................................... 329 Table 6.24 Uncertainty summary table for Cropland subcategories ................................................ 334 Table 6.25 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-GL subcategories .................................. 338 Table 6.26 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-GL subcategories ............................................... 339 Table 6.27 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-GL subcategories.................................................. 339 Table 6.28 Uncertainty summary table for Grassland subcategories ............................................... 340 Table 6.29 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-WL subcategories ................................. 345 Table 6.30 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-WL subcategories .............................................. 346 Table 6.31 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-WL subcategories ................................................. 347 Table 6.32 Uncertainty summary table for Wetland subcategories ................................................. 348 Table 6.33 Total carbon stocks calculated for various settlements intensity classes (Serengil et al., 2015) ........................................................................................................................................ 352 Table 6.34 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-SL subcategories .................................. 354 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xv xv Tables Table 6.35 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-SL subcategories................................................ 355 Table 6.36 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-SL subcategories .................................................. 356 Table 6.37 Uncertainty summary table for Settlement subcategories ............................................. 357 Table 6.38 The coefficients and EF used in Other land category .................................................... 358 Table 6.39 Uncertainty summary table for Otherland subcategories ............................................... 359 Table 6.40 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (I) category .............................................................. 360 Table 6.41 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (II) category ............................................................. 361 Table 6.42 EFs used for N2O emissions ........................................................................................ 362 Table 6.43 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (III) category............................................................ 363 Table 6.44 EFs used for N2O emissions ........................................................................................ 365 Table 6.45 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (IV) category ............................................................ 365 Table 6.46 EFs used for Biomass burning emissions ..................................................................... 367 Table 6.47 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (V) category ............................................................. 368 Table 7.1 CO2 equivalent emissions for the waste sector, 2021 ...................................................... 371 Table 7.2 Summary of methods and emission factors used ........................................................... 372 Table 7.3 CH4 generated, recovered and emitted from SWDS, 1990-2021 ...................................... 375 Table 7.4 Number of managed SWDS, 1992-2020 ........................................................................ 377 Table 7.5 Amount of municipal waste by disposal methods, 1994-2020 ......................................... 377 Table 7.6 Annual MSW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 ........................ 378 Table 7.7 Mid-year population, 1990-2021 ................................................................................... 378 Table 7.8 Waste per capita, 1990-2021........................................................................................ 379 Table 7.9 Percentage of MSW disposed in the SWDS, 1990-2021 .................................................. 380 Table 7.10 Waste composition data, 1990-2021 ........................................................................... 382 Table 7.11 Annual IW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 ......................... 383 Table 7.12 GDP by production approach, 1990-2021 .................................................................... 384 Table 7.13 Industrial waste activity data, 1990-2021 .................................................................... 385 Table 7.14 Weighted averages of MCF, 1990-2021 ....................................................................... 386 Table 7.15 DOC values by individual waste type ........................................................................... 386 Table 7.16 DOC by weight, 1990-2021 ........................................................................................ 387 Table 7.17 Dry temperate k values by waste type ........................................................................ 387 Table 7.18 Methane recovery, 1990-2021 .................................................................................... 389 Table 7.19 CH4 generated from SS at SWDS, 1990-2021 ............................................................... 390 Table 7.20 Annual SS and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 .......................... 390 Table 7.21 CH4 generated from CW at SWDS, 1990-2021.............................................................. 391 Table 7.22 Annual CW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021......................... 392 Table 7.23 Number and total capacity of composting plants, 1994-2021 ........................................ 396 Table 7.24 Activity data, CH4 and N2O emissions from composting, 1990-2021 ............................... 397 xvi Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xvi Tables Table 7.25 CO2 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ................................................ 402 Table 7.26 CH4 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ................................................ 403 Table 7.27 N2O emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ............................................... 405 Table 7.28 The fraction and amount of MSW open-burned, 1990-2021 .......................................... 406 Table 7.29 Default dry matter content, total carbon content and fossil carbon fraction ................... 407 Table 7.30 CH4 generated, recovered and emitted from domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 .............. 410 Table 7.31 Fraction of population and total, rural, urban population, 1990-2021 ............................ 412 Table 7.32 Total organics in wastewater (TOW) and organic component removed as sludge (S) for domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 ................................................................................................ 413 Table 7.33 Degrees of treatment utilization (T) by population class ............................................... 414 Table 7.34 MCF, EFs, utilization degrees and weighted EFs by population class .............................. 414 Table 7.35 Methane recovery, 1990-2021 .................................................................................... 415 Table 7.36 Amount of sewage sludge by disposal and recovery methods, 1994-2020 ..................... 417 Table 7.37 CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater by sector, 1990-2021 ................................... 419 Table 7.38 Amount of industrial wastewater discharged by sector, 1990-2021 ............................... 421 Table 7.39 COD values by industry type....................................................................................... 421 Table 7.40 TOWi in wastewater by industry sector, 1990-2021 ...................................................... 422 Table 7.41 MCF, EFs, fractional usages and weighted EF for industrial wastewater ......................... 423 Table 7.42 N2O emissions from wastewater, 1990-2021 ................................................................ 425 Table 7.43 Population and per capita protein consumption, 1990-2021 .......................................... 426 Table 7.44 Parameters for estimation of nitrogen in effluent, 2021 ................................................ 427 Table 10.1 Recalculations made in the current submission and their implications to the emission level, 1990 and 2020 ........................................................................................................................... 434 Table A1 Key category analysis summary, 2021 ........................................................................... 440 Table A2 Key category analysis level assessment with LULUCF, 2021 ............................................ 441 Table A3 Key category analysis level assessment without LULUCF, 2021 ........................................ 445 Table A4 Key category analysis trend assessment with LULUCF, 2021 ........................................... 449 Table A5 Key category analysis trend assessment without LULUCF, 2021....................................... 453 Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment .............................................................................. 459 Table A7.1 Approach 2 Uncertainty assessment (Monte Carlo Simulation Method) for 2017 ............ 467 Table A7.2 Approach 2 Uncertainty assessment (Monte Carlo Simulation Method) for 2018 ............ 468 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xvii xvii Figures FIGURES Page Figure 2.1 Emission trend for aggregated GHG emissions, 1990-2021 ..............................................24 Figure 2.2 Trends in emissions per capita and dollar of GDP relative to 1990 ...................................25 Figure 2.3 GHG Emissions and sinks by sector, 1990-2021 ..............................................................26 Figure 2.4 Emission trend of main GHGs, 1990-2021 ......................................................................27 Figure 2.5 Trends in emissions by gas relative to 1990 ...................................................................28 Figure 2.6 CO2 emissions by sector, 1990-2021 ..............................................................................29 Figure 2.7 CH4 emissions by sector, 1990-2021 ..............................................................................30 Figure 2.8 N2O emissions by sector, 1990-2021 ..............................................................................31 Figure 2.9 GHG emission trend by sectors, 1990-2021 ....................................................................33 Figure 2.10 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 2019-2021 .................................34 Figure 2.11 Trend of total emissions from the energy sector, 1990-2021 .........................................36 Figure 2.12 Trend of total emissions from IPPU sector, 1990-2021 ..................................................37 Figure 2.13 Trend of total emissions from agriculture sector, 1990-2021 .........................................38 Figure 2.14 Trend of total emissions from the LULUCF sector, 1990-2021 ........................................40 Figure 2.15 Trend of total emissions from the waste sector, 1990-2021 ...........................................41 Figure 3.1 GHG emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ...........................................................46 Figure 3.2 Fugitive emissions, 1990-2021 ......................................................................................47 Figure 3.3 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ............................................................53 Figure 3.4 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion by sectors, 1990 and 2021 ......................................53 Figure 3.5 CH4 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ............................................................54 Figure 3.6 N2O emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ............................................................54 Figure 3.7 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 ............................................................58 Figure 3.8 GHG emissions from international aviation, 1990-2021 ...................................................61 Figure 3.9 GHG emissions from international navigation, 1990-2021 ................................................63 Figure 3.10 Energy mix of category 1.A.1.a, 1990-2021 ..................................................................69 Figure 3.11 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 2020 - 2021...............................70 Figure 3.12 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 1990 - 2021...............................70 Figure 3.13 GHG emissions for transportation sector, 1990-2021 ................................................... 104 Figure 3.14 GHG emission trend by transport mode, 1990-2021 .................................................... 106 Figure 3.15 Comparison of number of flights, fuel consumption and GHG emissions of civil aviation, 1990-2021 ................................................................................................................................. 107 Figure 3.16 Emission distributions by fuel types in road transportation, 1990-2021 ......................... 108 Figure 3.17 Passenger-km by road, 1998-2021............................................................................. 109 xviii Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xviii Figures Figure 3.18 Passenger-km by railway, 1998-2021 ......................................................................... 109 Figure 3.19 GHG emissions for domestic aviation, 1990-2021........................................................ 112 Figure 3.20 CH4 and N2O emissions for domestic aviation, 1990-2021 ............................................ 113 Figure 3.21 Passenger traffic, 2006-2021 ..................................................................................... 114 Figure 3.22 Freight traffic, 2006-2021.......................................................................................... 115 Figure 3.23 Number of domestic LTO, 1990-2021 ......................................................................... 116 Figure 3.24 GHG emissions for road transportation, 1990-2021 ..................................................... 120 Figure 3.25 CH4 and N2O emissions for road transportation, 1990-2021 ......................................... 120 Figure 3.26 CO2 emission distributions by fuel types (%), 2021 ..................................................... 121 Figure 3.27 GHG emissions for railways, 1990-2021 ..................................................................... 124 Figure 3.28 CH4 and N2O emissions from railways, 1990-2021....................................................... 124 Figure 3.29 GHG emissions from domestic water-borne navigation, 1990-2021 .............................. 127 Figure 3.30 CH4 and N2O emissions from domestic water-borne navigation, 1990-2021 .................. 127 Figure 3.31 GHG emissions from pipeline transport, 1990-2021 ..................................................... 129 Figure 3.32 Domestic coal production 1990-2021 ......................................................................... 142 Figure 3.33 CH4 emissions from coal mining, 1990-2021 ............................................................... 142 Figure 3.34 Oil production, 1990–2021 ........................................................................................ 146 Figure 3.35 Natural gas production, 1990-2021 ............................................................................ 146 Figure 3.36 Natural gas transmission by pipeline, 1990-2021 ........................................................ 147 Figure 3.37 Fugitive emissions from oil and gas system, 1990-2021 .............................................. 147 Figure 4.1 Emissions from industrial processes and product use by subsector, 2021 ....................... 152 Figure 4.2 Emissions from industrial processes and product use by subsector, 1990–2021 .............. 153 Figure 4.3 Share of CO2 emissions from mineral production, 2021 ................................................. 154 Figure 4.4 Trend at clinker, cement production and related CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 ................... 155 Figure 4.5 CO2 emissions from lime production, 1990-2021 .......................................................... 160 Figure 4.6 CO2 emissions from glass production, 1990-2021 ......................................................... 164 Figure 4.7 CO2 emissions from other uses of carbonates, 1990-2021 ............................................. 167 Figure 4.8 CO2 emissions, by raw materials type, from ceramics, 1990-2021 .................................. 168 Figure 4.9 CO2 emissions from other use of soda ash, 1990-2021.................................................. 172 Figure 4.10 CO2 emissions from magnesia production, 1990-2021 ................................................. 175 Figure 4.11 CO2 emissions from chemical industry, 2021............................................................... 177 Figure 4.12 CO2 emissions and removals from ammonia production, 1990-2021 ............................. 179 Figure 4.13 N2O emissions from nitric acid productions, 1990-2021 ............................................... 182 Figure 4.14 CO2 emissions due to carbide production, 1990-2021 .................................................. 186 Figure 4.15 CO2 Emissions resulting from soda ash production 2009-2021 ..................................... 189 Figure 4.16 Emissions from metal industry, 2021.......................................................................... 195 Figure 4.17 CO2 emissions allocations within the 2.C.1 CRF category, 1990-2021 ........................... 197 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xix xix Figures Figure 4.18 Allocations of the emissions from integrated iron and steel plants ................................ 200 Figure 4.19 Comparing emissions (kt CO2 eq.) and steel production (kt) from BOFs anf EAFs .......... 201 Figure 4.20 CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production, 1990-2021 ................................................ 205 Figure 4.21 CO2 emissions from aluminium production, 1990-2021 ................................................ 209 Figure 4.22 CO2 emissions from primary and secondary zinc production, 1990-2021....................... 222 Figure 4.23 Total HFCs emissions, 1999-2021 .............................................................................. 231 Figure 4.24 HFC-227ea Emissions (tonnes), 2000-2021 ................................................................ 233 Figure 4.25 SF6 emissions, 1996-2021 ......................................................................................... 235 Figure 5.1 Cumulative emissions of agricultural categories, 1990‒2021.......................................... 239 Figure 5.2 Category shares and methods used in the agriculture sector, 2021 ................................ 240 Figure 5.3 Trends in major agriculture categories ......................................................................... 242 Figure 5.4 Trends in minor agriculture categories ......................................................................... 242 Figure 5.5 Population numbers for cattle categories, 1990‒2021 ................................................... 246 Figure 5.6 Enteric Fermentation Emission Sources, 2021 ............................................................... 251 Figure 5.7 Manure Management Emission Sources, 2021 .............................................................. 257 Figure 5.8 Comparing CH4 and N2O emission trends, 1990‒2021 ................................................... 260 Figure 5.9 Harvested area and emitted CH4 for rice cultivation, 1990‒2021 .................................... 267 Figure 5.10 Sub-categories of Agricultural Soils Emission Sources, 2021 ........................................ 272 Figure 5.11 Climate Map of Türkiye ............................................................................................. 278 Figure 5.12 Urea application and emitted CO2, 1990‒2021 ............................................................ 284 Figure 6.1 The trend of LULUCF sector net removals including HWP 1990-2021 ............................. 287 Figure 6.2 The ecoregions in Türkiye (Serengil, 2018) .................................................................. 290 Figure 6.3 The temporal structure of the SBLMS with the satellites used ........................................ 294 Figure 6.4 Change detection approach between reference years ................................................... 296 Figure 6.5 Gains and losses in Forest land Remaining Forest land subcategory (FL-FL) ................... 306 Figure 6.6 Gains and losses in Land Converted to Forest land subcategory (L-FL) ........................... 307 Figure 6.7 Area data for Land Converted to Forest land subcategory ............................................. 307 Figure 6.8 The changes in net emissions and removals in CL-CL and L-CL subcategories ................ 318 Figure 6.9 The change in area of CL-CL ....................................................................................... 319 Figure 6.10 The change in area of L-CL ....................................................................................... 319 Figure 6.11 The change in net emissions in Grassland category..................................................... 336 Figure 6.12 The change in area of GL-GL ..................................................................................... 337 Figure 6.13 The change in area of L-GL ....................................................................................... 337 Figure 6.14 The emissions/removals from wetlands category ........................................................ 343 Figure 6.15 a The change in area of managed wetlands ............................................................... 344 Figure 6.15 b The change in area of unmanaged wetlands............................................................ 344 Figure 6.16 The change in net emissions in settlements................................................................ 350 xx Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xx Figures Figure 6.17 The change in area of settlements ............................................................................. 351 Figure 6.18 Impervious areas in the study area (Alibeyköy, Sazlıdere and Kağıthane watersheds in Istanbul) .................................................................................................................................... 353 Figure 6.19 Carbon intensity in the study area (Alibeyköy, Sazlıdere and Kağıthane watersheds in Istanbul) .................................................................................................................................... 353 Figure 6.20 Emissions and removals in HWP pool ......................................................................... 369 Figure 7.1 Total GHG emissions of waste sector, 1990-2021 ......................................................... 372 Figure 7.2 CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal, 1990-2021 .................................................... 375 Figure 7.3 Amount of waste treated by composting plants, 1990-2021 .......................................... 398 Figure 7.4 CH4 emissions from composting, 1990-2021 ................................................................. 398 Figure 7.5 N2O emissions from composting, 1990-2021 ................................................................ 398 Figure 7.6 CO2 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ................................................ 402 Figure 7.7 CH4 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ................................................ 404 Figure 7.8 N2O emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 ................................................ 405 Figure 7.9 Total amount of MSW open-burned, 1990-2021 ........................................................... 406 Figure 7.10 CH4 emissions from domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 ................................................. 411 Figure 7.11 CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater, 1990-2021 ................................................ 419 Figure 7.12 N2O emissions from wastewater, 1990-2021............................................................... 425 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxi xxi Abbreviations and Acronyms ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS xxii 2006 IPCC Guidelines 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories ABPRS Address Based Population Registration System AD Activity data AFOLU Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use AWMS Animal waste management systems BCEF Biomass conversion and expansion factor BEF Biomass expansion factor BOD Biochemical oxygen demand BOF Basic oxygen furnace BOTAŞ Petroleum Pipeline Corporation BWD Basic wood density C Carbon °C Degree centigrade C2F6 Hexafluoroethane CaCO3 Calcium carbonate CAGR Compound annual growth rate CaMg(CO3)2 Dolomite CaO Calcium oxide CBCC Coordination Board on Climate Change CBCCA Coordination Board on Climate Change and Adaptation CBCCAM Coordination Board on Climate Change and Air Management CF Carbon fraction of dry matter CF Carbon fraction CF4 Carbon tetrafluoride CFCs Chlorofluorocarbons CH4 Methane CITEPA Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change CKD Cement kiln dust Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxii Abbreviations and Acronyms CL-SL Cropland converted to settlements cm Centimeter CO Carbon monoxide CO2 Carbon dioxide CO2 eq. Carbon dioxide equivalent COD Chemical oxygen demand CORINAIR Core Inventory of Air Emissions in Europe CORINE Coordinate Information on the Environment CRF Common Reporting Format CS Country specific CSC Carbon stock change D Default DG Directorate of General dm Dry matter content DOC Degradable organic carbon DoCC Directorate of Climate Change DOM Dead Organic Matter DOCF Fraction of degradable organic carbon EAF Electric arc furnace EF Emission factor EFc Baseline emission factor for continuously flooded fields without organic amendments EHCIP Environmental Heavy Cost Investment Planning EMEP European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme ENVANIS Inventory Statistical System for Forests ERT Expert Review Team EU European Union F Fraction of methane FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FAOSTAT Statistical database of the FAO FCF Fossil carbon content F-gas Fluorinated gas FOD First Order Decay FracGASF Fraction of synthetic fertiliser N that volatilises as NH3 and NOx Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxiii xxiii Abbreviations and Acronyms xxiv FracGASMS Percent of managed manure nitrogen that volatilises as NH3 and NOx in the manure management system S FracGASM Fraction of applied organic N fertiliser materials and of urine and dung N deposited by grazing animals that volatilises as NH3 and NOx FracLEACH-(H) Fraction of all N added to/mineralised in managed soils in regions where leaching/runoff occurs that is lost through leaching and runoff FracLEACHMS Percent of managed manure nitrogen losses due to runoff and leaching during solid and liquid storage of manure Fcomp Annual amount of total compost N applied to soils Fsew Annual amount of total sewage N that is applied to soils g gram GDF General Directorate of Forestry GDP Gross Domestic Product GE Gross energy intake Gg Gigagram GHG Greenhouse gas GIS Geographical Information System GJ Gigajoule GL-SL Grasslands converted to settlement GW Gigawatt GWh Gigawatt hour ha Hectare HAC High activity clay HFC Hydrofluorocarbon HWP Harvested wood product ICP International Cooperative Programme IE Included elsewhere IEA International Energy Agency IEF Implied emission factor IFA International Fertilizer Association IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPPU Industrial processes and product use IW Industrial Waste k Methane generation rate constant kha Kilo hectare Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxiv Abbreviations and Acronyms KISAD Lime Producers Association km kilometer kt Kilo tonnes ktoe Kilo tonnes of oil equivalent kW Kilowatt kWh Kilowatt hour L Litter LPG Liquefied petroleum gas LRS LULUCF reporting system LTO Landing and take-off LULUCF Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry MAPEG General Directorate of Mining and Petroleum Affairs MC Monte Carlo MCF Methane correction factor ME Main engine MENR Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources MgCO3 Magnesium carbonate MgO Magnesium oxide MJ Megajoule MMS Manure Management System(s) MoAF Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry MoEF Ministry of Environment and Forestry MoEU Ministry of Environment and Urbanization MoEUCC Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change MoT Ministry of Trade MoTI Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure MRV Monitoring, Reporting, Verification MS Manure Management System Usage MSm3 Million standard cubic meter MSW Municipal solid waste Mt Million tonnes MW Megawatt N Nitrogen Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxv xxv Abbreviations and Acronyms xxvi N2O Nitrous oxide NA Not applicable Na2CO3 Sodium carbonate NaCl Sodium cloride NCV Net calorific value NE Not estimated NES EU Integrated Environmental Adaptation Strategy Nex Annual nitrogen excretion NF3 Nitrogen trifluoride NH3 Ammonia NIR National Inventory Report NMVOC Non-methane volatile organic compounds NO Not occurring NOx Nitrogen oxides ODS Ozone-depleting substances ODU Oxidised During Use OHF Open hearth furnace OSP Official Statistics Programme OX Oxidation factor PFC Perfluorocarbon PRODCOM Industrial Production Statistics Survey PS Plant specific QA/QC Quality assurance and quality control R Root-to-shoot ratio S Soil SEM Ship Emission Model SF6 Sulphur hexafluoride SFOC Specific Fuel Oil Consumption SFo Scaling factor regarding organic amendment type and amount applied SFp Scaling factor regarding water regime before the cultivation period SFs,r Scaling factor for soil type, rice cultivar, etc., if available SFw Scaling factor regarding water regime during the cultivation period SO2 Sulphur dioxide Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxvi Abbreviations and Acronyms SOx Sulphur oxide SOM Soil Organic Matter SWDS Solid waste disposal sites t Tonnes T Degrees of treatment utilization TPLANT Degree of utilization of modern, centralized wastewater treatment plants T1 Tier 1 T2 Tier 2 T3 Tier 3 TACCC Transparency, accuracy, comparability, consistency, and completeness TADPK Tobacco and Alcohol Market Regulatory Authority TurkCimento Turkish Cement Manufacturer’s Association TEİAŞ Turkish Electricity Transmission Company TJ Terajoule TOBB The Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Türkiye TOR Terms of Reference TOW Total organics in wastewater TPES Total Primary Energy Supply TRGM General Directorate of Agricultural Reform TTGV Technology Development Foundation of Türkiye TUBITAK Scientific and Technical Research Council of Türkiye TurkStat Turkish Statistical Institute TÜPRAŞ Turkish Petroleum Refineries Co. TWh Terawatt hour UNECE United Nations Economic Commission for Europe UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change USD United States dollar Vol Volume WF Waste fractions WG Working group Ym Methane conversion factor yr year Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 xxvii xxvii xxviii xxviii Introduction 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background Information on GHG Inventories The UNFCCC, the Kyoto Protocol and the Paris Agreement were ratified by Türkiye in 2004, 2009 and 2021, respectively. As an Annex I party to Convention, Türkiye is required to develop annual inventories on emissions and removals of GHG not controlled by the Montreal Protocol using the IPCC Guidelines. National Greenhouse Gas Inventory of Türkiye was set up in 2006. Inventory covers all sources of emissions and removals described in 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines). Emissions and removals have been estimated and reported in line with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The National GHG Inventory consists of the national inventory report (NIR) and the common reporting format (CRF) tables in accordance with the UNFCCC reporting guidelines (24/CP.19). Time series of emissions and removals from 1990 to latest inventory year are covered in the Common Reporting Format (CRF). 2006 IPCC Guidelines were provided for the following sectors:  Energy  Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU)  Agriculture  Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)  Waste The emission inventory includes direct GHGs as CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6, NF3 and indirect gases as NOx, CO, NMVOC, SO2 and NH3 emissions originated from energy, IPPU, agriculture, and waste. The emissions and removals from LULUCF are also included in the inventory. Indirect CO2 emissions that are among the consequences of the activities of the reporting entity, but available at sources owned or controlled by another entity do not occur. In this report, the national GHG emissions and removals from 1990 to 2021, emission and removal sources, emission factors (EFs), difference between reference and sectoral approach, emission trends, fluctuations, changes, uncertainty estimations and key source categories were evaluated in detail. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 1 1 Introduction 1.2. Institutional Arrangements 1.2.1. Institutional, Legal and Procedural Arrangements The Turkish national inventory system is featured by centralized governance. Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (MoEUCC) is the National Focal Point of the UNFCCC, and is responsible for climate change and air pollution policies and measures. Türkiye established the Coordination Board on Climate Change (CBCC) in 2001 with the Prime Ministerial Circular No. 2001/2 in order to determine the policies, measures and activities to be pursued by Türkiye on climate change. Under the chairmanship of MoEUCC, this board is composed of high level representatives (Undersecretary and President) from Ministries related to foreign relations, finance, economy, energy, transport, industry, agriculture, forestry, health, education, TurkStat, and Non-Governmental Organisations (NGOs) from business sector. The CBCC was restructured in 2013, and renamed as Coordination Board on Climate Change and Air Management (CBCCAM). The CBCCAM, a public body created by Prime Minister Circular 2013/11, is competent for taking decisions and measures related to climate change and air management. The CBCCAM decisions are the first legal means for the national inventory system. Türkiye has also taken steps to strengthen its institutional arrangements. In 2021, Türkiye established a new Directorate of Climate Change (DoCC) under the MoEUCC with Presidential Decree No. 85 on Amending Certain Presidential Decrees. With the same decree, CBCCAM was replaced by the Coordination Board on Climate Change and Adaptation (CBCCA), and it was stated that climate change negotiations would be conducted by a Chief Negotiator (Relevant Deputy Minister). In addition, it was stated that the Secretariat services of the Coordination Board would be carried out by the CCO. The Coordination Board is responsible for determining, monitoring, and evaluating plans, policies, strategies, and actions related to climate change. The Coordination Board, which is an an inter-ministerial coordination mechanism and chaired by the Minister, consists of twenty-two members, including TurkStat. The draft directive on the working procedures and principles of the Coordination Board will be prepared by the DoCC, and within this scope, sub-working groups will be formed, the details of which will be determined in the directive. Since studies on this directive are still ongoing, current studies are carried out with seven working groups (WGs) within the scope of the CBCCAM: 2  GHG Mitigation WG  Climate Change Adverse Effects and Adaptation WG  GHG Emission Inventory WG  Finance WG Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2 Introduction  Technology Development and Transfer WG  Education, Capacity Building WG  Air Management WG The national GHG inventory is prepared under the auspices of the "GHG Emission Inventory Working Group" which was established in 2001 by the former CBCC. TurkStat was formally appointed as single national responsible authority to coordinate and implement national inventory activities from planning to management by Decision 2009/1 of the CBCC in 2009. TurkStat is also in charge of annual inventory submission to the UNFCCC Secretariat and of responding to the ERT recommendations. Also, the legal basis of the national inventory system is currently provided by the Statistics Law of Türkiye through the Official Statistics Programme (OSP). The OSP is based on the Statistics Law of Türkiye No. 5429 and Presidential Order No. 4, and was first prepared in 2007 for a 5-year-period and updated every 5 years. OSP identifies the basic principles and standards dealing with the production and dissemination of official statistics and produces reliable, timely, transparent and impartial data required at national and international level. For all kinds of official statistics, the responsible and related institutions are defined, data compilation methodology and the publication periodicity/schedule of official statistics are specified. TurkStat is the responsible institution for the compilation of the national GHG inventory through the OSP and coordinates the activities of the GHG emission inventory working group established in the scope of OSP with the same composition as the GHG emission inventory working group under the CBCCAM. The GHG national inventory is compiled by GHG Emission Inventory working group under the coordination of TurkStat. The institutions included in the working group are:  Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat),  Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (MENR),  Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure (MoTI),  Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (MoEUCC),  Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MoAF). The national inventory arrangements are designed and operated to ensure the TACCC quality objectives and timeliness of the national GHG inventories. The quality requirements are fulfilled by implementing consistently inventory quality management procedures. Responsibilities of the institutions involved in the national GHG inventory are shown in Table 1.1. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 3 3 Introduction Table 1.1 Institutions by responsiblities for national GHG inventory Sector Energy Collection of AD CRF category 1 –Energy (Excluding 1.A.1.a – Public electricity and heat production, and 1.A.3 – Transport) Selection of methods and EFs Filling in CRF tables and GHG emission preparing NIR calculations Quality control MENR, TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat MENR MENR MENR MENR MENR 1.A.3 – Transport MoTI, TurkStat MoTI MoTI MoTI MoTI 1.A.1.a – Public electricity and heat production Industrial processes and product use 2 – IPPU (except Fgases) TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat F-gases MoEUCC MoEUCC MoEUCC MoEUCC MoEUCC Agriculture 3 – Agriculture TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat Land use, land-use change and forestry 4 – LULUCF MoAF MoAF MoAF MoAF MoAF Waste 5 – Waste TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat TurkStat Cross cutting issues Key category analysis TurkStat Uncertainty analysis National Inventory Official Consideration and Approval The national GHG inventory is subject to an official consideration and approval procedure before its submission to the UNFCCC. The national inventory is subject to a two-step official consideration and approval process. The final version of the NIR and CRF tables is first approved by the TurkStat Presidency and published in the official TurkStat press release. The latest press release of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Statistics can be found on https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Bulten/Index?p=Greenhouse-GasEmissions-Statistics-1990-2021-49672 as scheduled on National Data Publishing Calendar. Subsequently, The MoEUCC as National Focal Point to the UNFCCC provides final checks and approval of the CRF tables via CRF web application tool as a final step prior to its submission to the UNFCCC. TurkStat, as the Single National Entity, is responsible for official inventory submission to UNFCCC, and also responsible for responding to the UNFCCC expert review team (ERT) recommendations on national 4 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 4 Introduction inventory improvement and ensuring they are incorporated in the current and following NIR(s) in the broader context of its continuous improvement. 1.2.2. Overview of Inventory Planning, Preparation and Management The inventory planning system of Türkiye is conducted in line with quality assurance and quality control (QA/QC) plan. Planning stage is under the responsibility of GHG Inventory WG. Planning activities include data collection and processing, selection of EF estimation methodology, compilation of CRF and NIR, UNFCCC expert review team (ERT) recommendations, documentation and archiving, verification through time series consistency and cross checks, reporting and publication process. Every year in the autumn, about October, WG meeting is organized to agree on a work plan and calendar for the following submission. Information required for the inventory are mostly covered by OSP. Distribution of work for data gathering, processing and estimation of emissions are shown in Table 1.1. Emissions originating from energy, industrial processes and product use, agriculture and waste, and emissions and removals from LULUCF are calculated at national level annually by using recommended approaches in 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Fuel combustion emissions other than electricity generation and transport are calculated by TurkStat via using the energy balance tables of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. Emissions from industrial processes (excluding F-gases), agriculture, waste and fugitive emissions from coal mining, oil and gas systems are also calculated by TurkStat. The emissions originating from public electricity and heat production are calculated on the basis of plant level data by the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources; the emissions originating from transportation are calculated by the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure. The fluorinated gases are calculated by the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Emissions and removals from land use, land-use change and forestry are estimated by the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Every sector expert that performs the emission estimation is responsible for the data entry to CRF reporter, and preparation of the related section or sub-section of NIR. TurkStat compiles and makes key source and uncertainty analysis and does final quality checks, and submits the national GHG inventory to the UNFCCC Secretariat. TurkStat is also responsible for archiving the GHG inventory. Central archiving is carried out by TurkStat. EFs, AD, calculation sheets, CRF and NIR outputs, etc. regarding the emission inventory are archived on TurkStat main server. All inventory related documents are also archived by the relevant Ministries for the CRF categories under their responsibilities. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 5 5 Introduction 1.2.3. Quality Assurance, Quality Control and Verification QA/QC and verification procedures are an integral and indispensable part of the national GHG inventory of Türkiye. The quality of the national inventory system is ensured by the QA/QC system, through the QA/QC plan adopted by the CBCCAM decision in 2014 and revised and updated in 2017. The QA/QC plan introduces the structure and purpose of the QA/QC system, endorse the quality objectives. The main objective of the QA/QC plan is to ensure that the national GHG inventory is prepared in accordance with the quality objectives: transparency, accuracy, comparability, consistency, completeness (TACCC) as defined in UNFCCC reporting guidelines (24/CP.19). Türkiye also considers three additional quality objectives as improvement, sustainability and timeliness. Improvement: Processes ensure that the inventory represents the best possible estimates of GHG emissions and removals for all categories, given the current state of scientific knowledge, data availability and national resources, taking into account information gained and lessons learned from reporting and review in the latest GHG inventory cycle. Sustainability: Processes ensure the continuity of the GHG inventory system through institutional memory by establishing a documentation/archiving system and methodological manuals, as well as a training for newcomers and periodic refreshment trainings for existing inventory experts. Timeliness: All of the QA/QC procedures are developed with a view to enabling the timely submission of the NIR and the accompanying CRF tables to the UNFCCC by 15 April each year. In addition, inventory inputs, references and materials should be transparently documented and accessible, to enable timely responses to external requests for information, including formal and informal inventory review processes. Together with verification, the implementation of QA/QC procedures are considered integral part of national inventory preparation and play a pivotal role not only to achieve the quality objectives but also for continuous reassessing and improving the national inventory where needed. TurkStat is the designated body for overall implementation of the QA/QC system and for ensuring coordination of the QA/QC activities. Quality Control (QC) is a system of routine technical activities to assess and maintain the quality of the inventory as it is being compiled. It is performed by personnel compiling the inventory. QC activities include general methods such as accuracy checks on data acquisition and calculations, and the use of approved standardised procedures for emission and removal calculations, measurements, estimating uncertainties, archiving information and reporting. QC activities also include technical reviews of categories, activity data, emission factors, other estimation parameters, and methods. 6 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 6 Introduction The data used in the preparation of the national GHG inventory for the IPPU, agriculture, and waste sectors are obtained from industrial production statistics, agricultural statistics, and waste statistics databases of TurkStat. TurkStat is producing all its statistics according to the European Statistics Code of Practice which covers a common quality framework with the European Statistical System. Therefore, high quality data are used in the inventory. In Türkiye, in addition to data available from national statistics, some plant-level data are used to estimate input parameters for emissions calculations. No QC procedures are available for data providers at the moment. If data are official statistics from TurkStat, then it is ensured that the statistics are produced in line with the EU code of practice. However, if the data source is not from the official statistics QC can be performed by the inventory team. In detail, with regard to QC the following rules and steps apply:  Each institution involved in national inventory development is responsible for its own general and category specific QC activities,  Both general and category specific QC activities are carried out by sectorial QC experts within the Institutions, using the ad hoc check lists attached in Annex II (general QC) and Annex III (category specific) of the QA/QC plan,  Check lists are filled in by sectorial QC experts for the CRF categories under their responsibility and sent to TurkStat with an official letter,  TurkStat files the letters,  QC sectorial experts make the corrections needs emerging from the QC activities,  TurkStat prepares a summary of the QC results,  An improvement plan is prepared by the national inventory team under TurkStat coordination. The QA/QC plan (approved in 2017) including above mentioned annexes can be found at https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/yayin/views/visitorPages/english/index.zul. Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objectives is given below in Table 1.2. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 7 7 Introduction Table 1.2 Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objectives Data quality Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objective objective Accuracy  Emissions are neither overestimated or underestimated as far as can be judged,  Uncertainty estimates are provided for AD, EF, and emissions in each category for the base year, the most recent year, and the trend. Comparability  Türkiye applies methods from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, in accordance with the significance of the category in the country (e.g., whether or not it is a key category) and national circumstances. Completeness  All categories for which methods are provided in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines are included in the national GHG inventory,  Emissions estimates cover the entire geographic area of Türkiye,  Emissions values or notation keys are provided for each cell in the CRF tables,  If despite the best efforts, emissions for a category for which methods are provided in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines cannot be provided, the situation regarding the lack of reporting is transparently described in the NIR. Consistency  Türkiye has applied the same method across the time series for a given category and can explain the trends observed in the time series,  If the same method is not used for the entire time series in a category, Türkiye can explain (and documents in the NIR) why the selected method(s) ensure time series consistency. Improvement  The national inventory improvement plan is updated with the recommendations and encouragements from the relevant review processes (e.g. UNFCCC) and QA/QC summary reports, Sustainability  Türkiye implements findings from review processes where feasible.  All inventory related documents (NIR, data sheets, EFs, CRF tables) are archived annually,  All information on choice of methodology, EFs and parameters, assumptions used, are documented and updated as needed,  8 All methodological manuals are prepared and updated as needed. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 8 Introduction Table 1.2 Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objectives (cont’d) Data quality Criteria for assessing achievement of quality objective objective Timeliness  Inventory is submitted to the UNFCCC by 15 April annually, Transparency  Türkiye is able to timely respond to questions from the UNFCCC ERT.  Information necessary to reproduce the emissions estimates is either provided in the annual submission or referenced therein,  The elements required to be included in the NIR per paragraph 50 of the annex to decision 24/CP.19 are included, in particular clear descriptions of: o All methods selected and models used o Values and sources of AD, EFs and other parameters o Relevant information on key categories and uncertainties o Recalculations are clearly explained o Completeness of the inventory o Changes in response to the review process o Description of the national inventory arrangements. General QC Procedures General QC procedures include generic quality checks related to calculations; data processing, completeness, and documentation that are applicable to all inventory source and sink categories. General QC procedures are applied routinely to all categories by sector experts using the check lists attached in Annex II of the QA/QC plan during the acquisition of data and the emissions calculation procedures and during the compilation of NIR and the CRF tables. Each sector expert should fill and sign the check list that the necessary QC checks were undertaken. Each sector expert should carry out immediate corrections of the input data/emissions calculations where errors are found. If an issue cannot be resolved during the current inventory submission, the sector experts should include an explanation for aspects still posing problems along with a recommendation(s) for future work on these issues. Such issues may then be incorporated into the inventory improvement plan. A copy of the completed checklist is sent to TurkStat and is archived in TurkStat. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 9 9 Introduction The types of activities and procedures undertaken by sectoral experts include, but are not limited to:  Cross-check descriptions of AD, EFs and other estimation parameters with information on categories and ensure that these are properly recorded and archived. This step includes ensuring that definitions and assumptions for the underlying AD match the definitions of categories used in the GHG inventory. In some cases, data collected from national statistics may have different coverage than that required for inventory preparation,  Ensure that the time series of input EF, AD and other parameters are justifiable, and that any outliers can be explained by national circumstances,  Ensure that proper bibliographic information is available and documented in the archives for all input parameters,  Cross-check a sample of input data to ensure that there are no transcription errors,  Where AD or EF data are obtained from plant operators, Türkiye plant level data are compared with previous data and related indicators (kwh/TJ, kwh/m3 CH4) and published national data,  Check that units are properly labeled for all input data and, for a subset of parameters, correctly transcribed and applied in the emissions calculation spreadsheets,  Where a parameter is based on expert judgement, identifying information for the expert (including their affiliation and any relevant expertise) is documented and archived,  Has the sector expert identified where recalculations of previous input data have been undertaken? Qualitative reasons for, and the quantitative impacts of, these recalculations should be documented in the NIR. Category-Specific QC Procedures Category-specific QC procedures complement general inventory QC procedures and are directed at specific types of data used in calculating GHG emissions for individual source or sink categories. These procedures require knowledge of the specific category, the types of data available and the parameters associated with emissions or removals, and are performed in addition to the general QC checks. Category specific QC procedures are also applied by sector experts using the check lists attached in Annex III of the QA/QC plan. Each sector expert should fill and sign the check list that the necessary QC checks were undertaken, and summarizes the unsolved issues. A copy of the completed checklist is sent to TurkStat and is archived in TurkStat. 10 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 10 Introduction The types of activities and procedures undertaken by sectoral experts include, but are not limited to:  Assumptions for AD, EFs and other parameters are compared with IPCC values and significant differences are noted,  National and regional comparability and trends of AD, EF or other assumptions are checked against alternative data sources,  Conduct of an in-depth review of the background data used to develop a country-specific EF, including the adequacy of any plant-level measurement programmes upon which the country-specific EF was developed. Such an in-depth review may also involve an assessment of any national literature used in support of the development of the countryspecific factor,  Evaluate any peer reviewed literature evaluating national or plant level statistics and suitability for the use in the GHG inventory,  Hand-checking the accuracy of random calculations,  To the extent possible, are the only hardwired data in the spreadsheets the basic input data (e.g., AD, EFs and assumptions) with all other spreadsheets using spreadsheet tools to link and calculate emissions,  Reviewing the time series consistency of emissions calculations for any outliers and compare whether the values are within the minimum – maximum interval of other Parties,  Checking a random sampling of conversion factors to ensure proper calculation from input data to emissions calculations,  Is the IEF calculated reasonable compared with the previous annual submission and with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines,  Is the time series of the IEF reasonable- are any large changes explainable,  Checking that confidentiality is assured by Statistics Law of Türkiye,  Are emissions estimates (or notation keys) available for all years of the time series for mandatory categories, from 1990 to the year “t-2” and do the emissions estimates cover all sources in the category (as determined by cross checks using other publicly available information),  Identify parameters (e.g., AD, constants) that are common to multiple categories and confirm that there is consistency in the values used for these parameters in the emission/removal calculations. This is particularly important when reviewing calculations for the agriculture and LULUCF sector, as well as when reviewing input data between the reference and the sectoral approach. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 11 11 Introduction QC Procedures Applied to Compiled NIR and CRF Tables TurkStat undertakes further quality checks on compiled CRF and NIR. The types of activities and procedures undertaken include: CRF tables  Completeness of all cells in the CRF tables with either a value or a notation key,  Appropriateness of notation keys used ,  Where the notation key “NE” or “IE” is used, whether an appropriate description is included in CRF table 9 to indicate why data are not reported (in the case of “NE”) or where data are reported (in case of “IE”),  Where emissions data are reported as confidential, it is ensured that emissions are included elsewhere (properly aggregated to assure confidentiality of information) and, therefore, included in national totals,  Check whether appropriate tiers are used for key categories, in accordance with the decision trees in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Where appropriate tiers are not used, is an appropriate discussion included in the NIR to document the national circumstances surrounding the methodological choice?  Review of documentation boxes of the CRF tables for appropriate content and language.  All tables, figures and text have been updated to reflect the latest annual data,  Does the description of trends match the trends seen taking into account the latest year, NIR and any recalculations of earlier years’ data,  Check the introductory chapters and annex to make sure that the data contained therein match the latest inventory data,  Have all recalculations identified been documented in the NIR and the impacts of the recalculation described?  Assessment of completeness of the category described in the NIR,  Consistent use of units in the NIR and the CRF tables,  A general check of the NIR should be done for consistency,  All references should be included in the NIR and the same reference should be referred to consistently across chapters,  Ensure that all web links are active and direct the readers to the appropriate content.  After inventory submission to UNFCCC, ensures that all inventory related materials were archived by inventory sectoral experts. 12 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 12 Introduction In 2019 submission, emissions from energy, IPPU and agriculture sectors were calculated on SAS (Statistical Analysis System) and it was double checked by the calculations on the Excel sheets by two different experts and any finding errors were corrected. Quality Assurance Quality Assurance (QA) is a planned system of review procedures conducted by personnel not directly involved in the inventory compilation/development process. Reviews, preferably by independent third parties, are performed upon a completed inventory following the implementation of QC procedures. Reviews verify that measurable objectives (data quality objectives) were met, ensure that the inventory represents the best possible estimates of emissions and removals given the current state of scientific knowledge and data availability, and support the effectiveness of the QC programme. Due to the comprehensive and costly nature of QA activities, these procedures are only applied for selected categories and selected years, and generally only for key categories. Our approach to QA is to prioritize:  The categories that have high uncertainty,  The categories that are recalculated,  The categories that were included in the improvement plan. In Türkiye, QA activities are conducted by experts in the scope of European Union (EU) funded Projects. For this purpose, first, in the scope of EU funded Upgrading the Statistical System of Türkiye project, external experts from EU countries were invited to review Turkish GHG Inventory for all categories before in-country review in 2014. Some improvements has been achieved based on review outputs of the EU inventory experts. Also the EU funded Project named as Technical Assistance for Support to Mechanisms for Monitoring Türkiye’s GHG Emissions, project period was January 2015 - April 2017, aimed to strengthen existing capacities in Türkiye and assist the country to:  Fully implement a monitoring mechanism of GHG emissions in Türkiye, in line with the EU Monitoring Mechanism Regulation 525/2013 repealing Decision 280/2004/EC, and  Better fulfill its reporting requirements to the UNFCCC, including national GHG inventories, National Communications and Biennial Reports. Under the technical assistances of experts from project team national GHG inventory was reviewed and improved through workshops, mentor style trainings, and meetings organized. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 13 13 Introduction For the period 2017-2019, TurkStat was responsible for implementing an investment project with the objective of improving the GHG Inventory. Under this project, a QA work was conducted for the agriculture sector in 2017. Likewise, another QA work was conducted for the energy sector in 2018. “Technical Assistance for New Era for Statistics Programme” which is co-funded by the European Union and the Republic of Türkiye, has been started since March 2019. Within the scope of this project, under sub-activity “National Greenhouse Gas Inventory”, the experts from CITEPA – Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change – provided QA works for the energy, IPPU, agriculture and waste sectors of the Turkish GHG Inventory between December 2019 and February 2020. In addition, GHG inventory submission of Türkiye is subject to review by an international team of experts on an annual basis in accordance with decision 13/CP.20. During the review week, Türkiye ensures that all institutions, organizations and responsible sector experts are available to provide necessary information and supporting documentation to the review team in a timely manner. The Expert Review Team (ERT) then develops an annual review report based on the findings of the review. These annual review reports are considered as supplementary to the QA procedures undertaken by experts in Türkiye. Findings in the annual review reports are considered feedback for improvement of the GHG inventory, and as such are included in inventory improvement plan of Türkiye. Verification Verification activities typically include comparing inventory estimates with independent estimates to either confirm the reasonableness of the inventory estimates or identify major discrepancies. Verification activities may be directed at specific categories or the inventory as a whole, and their application will depend on the availability of independent estimation methodologies that can be used for comparison. Each institution involved in national inventory development is responsible for its own verification activities. Sectorial experts within the Institution carry out the activities. In Türkiye, some level of verification happens on an annual basis, as Türkiye estimates and reports CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion based on both the reference approach and the sectoral approach. Differences in the emissions estimated using these two approaches are described in the NIR. The national GHG emissions in the energy sector are estimated by using fuel consumption data taken from energy balance tables produced by the MENR. These data are compared with International Energy Agency (IEA) data. Inconsistencies between two data sets are identified and the reasons for these inconsistencies are investigated. 14 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 14 Introduction Also lower tier IPCC methods are applied for comparison in especially energy sector. Emissions calculated and reported on the basis of higher tiers (Tier 2 or Tier 3) are compared with emissions calculated by Tier 1 method. In current situation, in Türkiye, there is no other emission calculation to compare whole inventory or sub-sectors. However, Regulation on the Monitoring of Greenhouse Gases has been came into force since 2012. In the scope of that Regulation, companies report their verified GHG emissions to the MoEUCC from 2017 onwards. GHG emissions from most of the IPCC categories are compared with those emissions reported under the MRV Regulation. Documentation and Archiving Regarding documentation and archiving, all sectoral experts archive all inputs used in the inventory process, outputs, selected EFs, work files, e-mails and official letters on their computer, on a network server with restricted access or on an external drive as softcopy or as hardcopy. Archiving is done according to Regulation on State Archive Services. Sectoral experts are responsible for archiving in their own institutions. Central archiving is carried out by TurkStat. EFs, AD, calculation tables, CRF and NIR outputs, etc. regarding the emission inventory are stored on TurkStat main server. Sectoral experts transfer EFs, AD and calculation tables used in emission calculations to TurkStat within 6 weeks following the date of submission of the Annual Inventory to UNFCCC Secretariat. 1.3. Brief Description of the Process of Inventory Preparation Inventory preparation of Türkiye starts with inventory planning which covers recalculations, methodological improvements and refinements according to quality management and improvement plans based on learning from previous inventory cycle, UNFCCC review reports and collaborations with government institutions. Reviewing the calculation methods are finalized by the end of October and the data collection process is completed by the end of November. After that, emission estimates and QC checks are done by the end of January. Data entry into the CRF Reporter is done by mid-February. NIR text and tables are then prepared according to UNFCCC guidelines. The inventory process also involves key category assessment, recalculations, uncertainty assessment, documentation and archiving. Main steps in the annual inventory preparation process are summarized below in Table 1.3 with starting and ending dates. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 15 15 Introduction Table 1.3 Time schedule for preparation of the “t-2” annual inventory submission Activity 16 Start date Deadline 1. Inventory planning by GHG Inventory WG (Creating Inventory Improvement Plan, recalculation, etc.) 01.05.XX-1 30.09.XX-1 2 Reviewing emission calculation methods, EFs, AD sources, etc. by GHG Inventory WG 15.09.XX-1 31.10.XX-1 3. Collection of AD and QC of the data by the institutions involved 01.10.XX-1 30.11.XX-1 4. Calculation of all emissions from electricity production, transportation, F-gas, emissions and removals from LULUCF by the related institutions, and transfer to TurkStat 30.11.XX-1 31.01.XX 5. Calculation of emissions under the responsibility of TurkStat 30.11.XX-1 31.01.XX 6. QC of the calculated emissions 30.11.XX-1 31.01.XX 7. AD and emission entry into the CRF Reporter by sectoral experts 31.01.XX 15.02.XX 8. Performing key source, trend and uncertainty analysis by TurkStat 15.02.XX 01.03.XX 9. Preparation of National Inventory Report by the institutions involved and compilation by TurkStat 15.02.XX 15.03.XX 10. Release of the GHG Emissions Statistics as press release on TurkStat webpage 15.03.XX 31.03.XX 11. Sending National GHG Inventory for approval by Inventory Focal Point (National Inventory Compiler) 01.04.XX 10.04.XX 12. Approval of National GHG Inventory by National Focal Point 01.04.XX 10.04.XX 13. Reporting of Inventory to UNFCCC Secretariat by TurkStat 10.04.XX 15.04.XX 14. Documentation and archiving processes 15.04.XX 15.05.XX Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 16 Introduction 1.4. Brief General Description of Methodologies and Data Sources The National GHGs are calculated by using 2006 IPCC Guidelines. CO2 emissions from energy are calculated by using Tier 2 (T2) approach except for biomass and other fossil fuels. CH4 and N2O emissions from all subcategories of energy excepting 1A1a category are calculated by using Tier 1 (T1). Technology specific EFs are used for CH4 and N2O emissions from 1A1a category. For the emissions from coke production, due to plant specific data are gathered, Tier 3 (T3) methodology are used. For industrial process and product use, T2 methodology was used for the CO2 emissions from cement production, ammonia (NH3) production. T3 methodology is used for CO2 emissions from iron and steel production and GHG emissions from aluminum production. For the emissions from rest of the IPPU categories, T1 methodology was used. For agriculture sector; T2 is used for emissions from cattle enteric fermentation. For the other categories T1 methodology was used. For LULUCF; T2 methodology was used for the emissions/removals from forestland, cropland, grassland and emissions from harvested wood product (HWP). For the other categories T1 methodology was used. In waste sector; for the CO2 emissions from open burning of waste, which is only CO2 emission source for waste sector is calculated by using T2 method. For CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal and wastewater treatment and discharge, T2 methodology was used while T1 was used for the other nonkey categories. For N2O emissions, T1 methodology was used for all relevant categories. All tier methodologies are summarized on sector basis in below Table 1.4. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 17 17 Introduction Table 1.4 Summary for methods and emission factors used, 2021 CO2 Method Emission applied factor CH4 Method Emission applied factor N2O Method Emission applied factor 1. Energy T1,T2,T3 CS,D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS A. Fuel combustion T1,T2,T3 CS,D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS 1. Energy industries T2,T3 CS,D,PS T2,T3 D,PS T2,T3 D,PS 2. Manufacturing industries and construction T1,T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D 3. Transport T1,T2 CS,D T1,T2 D T1,T2 D 4. Other sectors T1,T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D Greenhouse Gas Source and Sink Categories B. Fugitive emissions from fuels T1 D T1 D T1 D 1. Solid fuels NE NE T1 D NE NE 2. Oil and natural gas T1 D T1 D T1 D T1 D T1,T2,T3 CS,D,PS T1 D T1 D T1,T2 CS,D C. CO2 transport and storage 2. Industrial processes and product use A. Mineral industry B. Chemical industry T1,T2 CS,D NE NE T1 D T1,T2,T3 CS,D,PS T1 D NE NE T1 D NE NE NE NE G. Other product manufacture and use NA NA NA NA NA NA H. Other NA NA NA NA NA NA 3. Agriculture T1 D T1,T2 CS,D T1 D T1,T2 CS,D B. Manure management T1 D T1 D C. Rice cultivation T1 D T1 D NO NO NO NO T1 D T1 D C. Metal industry D. Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use E. Electronic industry F. Product uses as ODS substitutes A. Enteric fermentation D. Agricultural soils E. Prescribed burning of savannas F. Field burning of agricultural residues G. Liming NE NE H. Urea application T1 D I. Other carbon-containing fertilizers NO NO J. Other NO NO NO NO NO NO T1,T2,T3 CS,D T1 D T1 D A. Forest land T2,T3 CS,D T1 D T1 D B. Cropland T1,T2 CS,D NE NE T1 D C. Grassland T1,T2 CS,D NE NE T1 D D. Wetlands T1,T2 CS,D NE NE T1 D T1 D NE NE NE NE T1 D NO NO NO NO T2,T3 CS,D 4. Land use, land-use change and forestry E. Settlements F. Other land G. Harvested wood products H. Other NO NO NO NO NO NO 5. Waste T2 CS,D T1,T2 CS,D T1 D A. Solid waste disposal NA NA T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D T2 CS T1 D B. Biological treatment of solid waste C. Incineration and open burning of waste D. Waste water treatment and discharge Table 1.5 provides an overview for inventory data sources by sectors; 18 18 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Introduction Table 1.5 Activity data sources for GHG inventory Sector Category Activity data source Energy – 1 (excluding 1.A.1 – Energy industry and 1.A.3 – Transportation) Energy Directorate of Energy Efficiency and Environment and PETKIM - waste incineration data Public electricity and heat production – 1.A.1.a MENR - Facility base electricity and heat production statistics Petroleum Refining– 1.A.1.b TÜPRAŞ- STAR Rafineri emission data Manufacture of solid fuels and other energy industries– 1.A.1.c Integrated iron and steel plants- fuel consumption for coke production Transportation – 1.A.3 TurkStat-road vehicle fleet and vehicle-km travelled, MENR, MAPEG - fuel consumption by transport mode MoTI/DG of State Airports Authority - air traffic data 2.A.1.Cement Turkish Cement Manufacturer’s Association- production data, Producers- production data and EF, TurkStatIndustrial production statistics 2.A.2. Lime Turkish Lime Association- production data, Producers- production data and EF, Steel plants- production data, TurkStat- Industrial production statistics 2.A.3 Glass Producers- glass production data and parameters 2.A.4 Other process uses of carbonates 2.B.1. Ammonia Prod. Industrial Process and Product Use MENR Energy balance sheet-sectoral fuel consumption data (for sectoral approach) and fuel supply data (for reference approach) Turkish Ceramics Federation- production data, Producers- production and raw material consumption data, TurkStat- Industrial production and foreign trade statistics Producers- production and fuel consumption data BOTAS (Petroleum Pipeline Corporation)- Carbon content of natural gas, TurkStat- Industrial production statistics 2.B.2 Nitric Acid Prod. Producers- production data and technology TurkStat- Industrial production statistics 2.B.5. Carbide Prod. TurkStat-Foreign trade statistics and industrial production statistics 2.B.7. Soda ash prod. Producers- production and raw material data 2.B.8. Petrochemical and carbon black prod. Producers- production data 2.C.2. Iron and Steel Prod. Producers- production data and other parameters Turkish Steel Producers Association- production data 2.C.2. Ferroalloy prod. Producers- production data TurkStat- Industrial production statistics 2.C.3 Aluminium Prod. Producer- production data and other parameters 2.C.4 Magnesium Prod. Producer- production data and other parameters 2.C.5. Lead Prod. TurkStat- MoEUCC recycled waste batteries data 2.C.6. Zinc Prod. Producers- production data, TurkStat- Industrial production statistics 2.D.1. Lubricant Use MENR- consumption data 2.D.2. Paraffin wax use MENR- consumption data Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 19 19 Introduction Table 1.5 Activity data sources for GHG inventory (cont’d.) Sector Category 2.E. Electronic industry 2.F. Product uses as substitutes for ODS 2.G.1. Electrical equipment Agriculture Agriculture – 3 Activity data source TurkStat - trade statistics Ministry of Trade (MoT) - trade statistics MoT - trade statistics - Turkish Electricity Transmission Corporation (TEİAŞ) TurkStat Livestock population Crop production data Waste disposal and treatment statistics General Directorate of Meteorology - Temperature data MoAF- Inorganic N Fertilizers application data, urea application data Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry MoAF (General Directorate of Forestry) Landsat Satellite Images Copernicus HRL for Forest (Sentinel) Forestry Statistics The annual commercial cutting and fuel wood data The annual forest fire information The annual illegal cutting and wood gathering information LULUCF – 4 MoAF (General Directorate of Agricultural Reform) Landsat Satellite Images CORINE land use maps LPIS General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works - the data of dam constructions MoAF (General Directorate of Agricultural Research and Policies) - Soil Information System Waste Waste – 5 TurkStat Waste disposal and treatment statistics Wastewater discharge and treatment statistics GDP Population estimations and projections MoEUCC, TurkStat - waste composition data Composting plants - amount of composted waste Methane recovery facilities - amount of methane recovered from landfills and wastewater treatment plants 1.5. Brief Description of Key Source Categories The 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines) recommend as good practice the identification of key categories of emissions and removals. The intent is to help inventory agencies prioritize their efforts to improve overall estimates. A key category is defined as “one that is prioritized within the national inventory system because its estimate has a significant influence on a country’s total inventory of GHG in terms of the absolute level of emissions and removals, the trend in emissions and removals, or uncertainty in emissions and removals” (2006 IPCC Guidelines); this term is used in reference to both source and sink categories. 20 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 20 Introduction For the 1990-2021 GHG inventory, level and trend key category assessments were performed according to the recommended IPCC approach found in Volume 1, Section 4.3.1, of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The details of key category analysis are given in Annex 1. Based on the key category with and without LULUCF, the followings are determined as key source in 2021. Table 1.6 Key categories for GHG inventory, 2021 Criteria used for key source identification Gas CO2 L T 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Liquid Fuels X X Key category exc. LULUCF X 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Solid Fuels CO2 X X X X 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Gaseous Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Liquid Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Solid Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Gaseous Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Other Fossil Fuels 1.A.3.a Domestic Aviation CO2 X X X X CO2 X X X X CO2 X X X X CO2 X X X X X X CO2 X X X 1.A.3.b Road Transportation CO2 X X X X 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Liquid Fuels CO2 X X X X 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Solid Fuels CO2 X X X X 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Gaseous Fuels CO2 X X X X 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Biomass CO2 X X X 1.B.1 Fugitive emissions from Solid Fuels 1.B.2.b Fugitive emissions from Fuels - Oil and Natural Gas Natural Gas 2.A.1 Cement Production CH4 X X X X X CO2 X X X X 2.A.2 Lime Production CO2 X X X X 2.A.4 Other Process Uses of Carbonates CO2 X X X 2.C.1 Iron and Steel Production CO2 X X X X 2.F.6 Other Applications F-gases X X X X 3.A Enteric Fermentation CH4 X X X X 3.B Manure Management CH4 X X X X 3.B Manure Management N 2O X X X X 3.D.1 Direct N2O Emissions From Managed Soils N 2O X X X X 3.D.2 Indirect N2O Emissions From Managed Soils N 2O X X X X 4.A.1 Forest Land Remaining Forest Land CO2 X X X 4.G Harvested Wood Products CO2 X X X 4(V) Biomass Burning CO2 X X X 5.A Solid Waste Disposal CH4 X X X X 5.D Wastewater Treatment and Discharge CH4 X X X X 5.D Wastewater Treatment and Discharge N 2O Key Categories of Emissions and Removals CO2 X CH4 X Key category inc. LULUCF X X Note: L: Level assessment; T: Trend assessment Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 21 21 Introduction Based on the results of the key category analysis, it is tried to increase the Tiers in emissions/removals estimation. However due to resource restrictions, Tier 1 approaches have to be used for some key categories, such as CH4 emissions from other sectors, solid fuels and oil and gas systems in energy sectors, CH4 emissions from manure management, N2O emissions from agricultural soils and wastewater treatment and discharge. Efforts to increase the tiers for all key categories is continuing. 1.6. General Uncertainty Evaluation For calculation of uncertainty, error propagation method (Approach 1) for combining uncertainties, as outlined in Volume 1 (Chapter 3) of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines) is used. Also for some key categories and non-key categories Monte Carlo Simulation (Approach 2) is implemented. Please refer to Annex 2 for more detailed explanations and distributions of applied techniques. However, general combined uncertainty is estimated with Approach 1 due to the lack of calculated categories. The general procedures for uncertainty analysis based on the expert judgment are as follows;  Uncertainties of each activity are allocated by using EFs and AD uncertainties,  Emissions are estimated for each (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, PFC and SF6) gases,  The uncertainties for industrial processes data are estimated by TurkStat,  The uncertainties of F-gases data are estimated by MoEUCC,  The uncertainties of agricultural activities data are estimated by TurkStat,  The uncertainties of waste data are estimated by TurkStat,  The uncertainties for sectoral energy usage data are estimated by MENR,  The uncertainties of transport data are estimated by MoTI,  The uncertainties of forestry and other land use data are estimated by MoAF. Quantitative estimates of the uncertainties in the emissions are calculated using direct sectoral expert judgement based on the data collection matters considering completeness, accuracy and other parameters. The overall combined uncertainty with LULUCF is 8.0%, and 5.5% without LULUCF by means of Approach 1. 22 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 22 Introduction 1.7. General Assessment of Completeness Completeness by source and sink categories: The inventory is considered to be largely complete with only a few minor sources not estimated, due to either a lack of available information. These sources are considered to be insignificant, when compared with the inventory as a whole. The categories given in Annex 5 were not estimated due to insufficient data or methodology. Completeness by geographical coverage: Geographical coverage of the inventory is complete. It includes all territories of Türkiye. A complete set of CRF tables are provided for all years and estimates are calculated in a consistent manner. Complete list of source/sink categories reported as “NE” and “IE” is given in Annex 5. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 23 23 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2. TRENDS IN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS 2.1. Emission Trends for Aggregated Greenhouse Gas Emissions Total GHG emissions, excluding the LULUCF sector, were 564.4 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021. This represents an increase of 344.9 Mt CO2 eq. (157.1%) on total emissions in 1990 and an increase of 40.4 Mt CO2 eq. (7.7%) in 2020. Net GHG emissions, including the LULUCF sector, were 517.2 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021. This represents an increase of 364.2 Mt CO2 eq. (238%) on net emissions in 1990 and an increase of 50.2 Mt CO2 eq. (10.7%) in 2020. Figure 2.1 presents total and net GHG emissions from 1990 to 2021. Figure 2.1 Emission trend for aggregated GHG emissions, 1990-2021 600 (Mt CO2 eq.) 500 400 300 200 Total emissions (excluding LULUCF) 24 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 100 Net emissions (including LULUCF) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 24 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions There is a positive trend in the total emissions over the period 1990-2021. However, economic recessions had directly caused reductions in the total GHG emissions in 1994, 1999, 2001, 2008, 2018 and 2019. In these years, total emissions are decreased by 2.7%, 0.9%, 6.4%, 0.8%, 1% and 2.7% as compared to the previous year’s emissions respectively. Although there is no economic recession, total emissions are slightly decreased by 1.8% in 2013. The fluctuations in the emission trends are mainly due to the trends in economic activities. Therefore, GDP can be thought as the main driver of the GHG emissions in Türkiye. It has nearly the same pattern as total GHG emissions for the period 1990-2021. It reached 807 billion USD in 2021 from 149 billion USD in 1990. While the Real GDP figures of the World Bank until 2019 were used for comparison, the official GDP ($) figures of TurkStat started to be used in 2020. Population is another driver of the emission trends in national inventories. The mid-year population of Türkiye increased about 52.7% for the period 1990-2021. While it was 55.1 million in 1990, it reached 84.1 million in 2021. Accordingly, CO2 eq. emissions per capita are 6.7 kt in 2021, while it was 4.0 kt in 1990. Figure 2.2 shows trends on various statistics related to greenhouse gas emissions normalized to 1990 as a baseline year. These values represent the relative change (in comparison with base year for every year) in each statistic since 1990. The direction of the emissions per $ of GDP trend started to change after 2002, when GDP (in current price) began to peak, while population and emissions per capita continued to increase slightly. Figure 2.2 Trends in emissions per capita and dollar of GDP relative to 1990 800 Index vs. 1990 700 600 500 400 300 200 GDP in current price Population Emissions per capita 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 100 Emissions per $GDP Source: https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Bulten/Index?p=Yillik-Gayrisafi-Yurt-Ici-Hasila-2021-45834 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 25 25 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.1 gives summary data for GHG emissions for some selected years between 1990 and 2021. Table 2.1 Aggregated GHG emissions by sectors (Mt CO2 eq.) Sector 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total (exc. LULUCF) 219.53 298.92 398.79 474.97 501.11 528.57 523.11 508.73 523.99 564.39 Energy 139.54 216.04 287.88 341.99 361.75 382.41 373.40 365.58 366.57 402.48 IPPU 22.86 26.20 49.06 59.72 63.75 66.63 67.74 59.00 67.96 75.14 Agriculture 46.05 42.33 44.41 56.13 58.89 63.26 65.34 68.02 73.15 72.08 Waste 11.08 14.34 17.45 17.12 16.71 16.26 16.63 16.12 16.31 14.70 -66.51 -68.05 -71.88 -72.81 -73.11 -74.96 -69.75 -62.72 -56.95 -47.15 - 36.16 81.66 116.36 128.27 140.78 138.29 131.74 138.69 157.09 LULUCF Comp. to 1990 (%) In overall 2021 emissions excluding LULUCF, the energy sector had the largest portion with 71.3%. The energy sector was followed by the sectors of IPPU with 13.3%, agriculture with 12.8%, and waste with 2.6%. In Figure 2.3 fluctuations of whole sectors can be seen for the entire period starting with 1990. Figure 2.3 GHG Emissions and sinks by sector, 1990-2021 26 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 26 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2.2. Emission Trends by Gas Total CO2 emissions (excluding LULUCF) increased by 198.6% from 1990 to 2021. CH4 emissions (excluding LULUCF) increased by 50.7% and N2O emissions (excluding LULUCF) increased by 61.5%. Total CO2 emissions (including LULUCF) increased by 375.8% from 1990 to 2021. There are no significant changes in other GHGs by taking into account the LULUCF sector. CH4 emissions (including LULUCF) increased by 52% and N2O emissions (including LULUCF) increased by 63.5%. As shown in Figure 2.4, the CO2 emissions show a general increasing trend, while N2O and CH4 emissions are not changing considerably. Figure 2.4 Emission trend of main GHGs, 1990-2021 500 450 (Mt CO2 eq.) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 CO₂ CH₄ 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 50 N₂O Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 27 27 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.2 gives summary data for GHG emissions by gas for some selected years between 1990 and 2021. Table 2.2 Aggregated GHG emissions excluding LULUCF (Mt CO2 eq.) Gas 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 219.53 298.92 398.79 474.97 501.11 528.57 523.11 508.73 523.99 564.39 CO2 151.61 229.94 316.19 384.93 405.95 430.90 422.06 402.69 412.93 452.70 CH4 42.49 43.67 51.65 52.78 55.58 56.82 60.41 63.22 63.89 64.02 N2O 24.95 24.77 27.45 32.26 34.35 35.44 35.46 36.97 40.49 40.31 HFCs NO 0.12 3.05 4.82 5.11 5.26 5.04 5.68 6.50 7.21 PFCs 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.09 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 NO 0.01 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.14 SF6 Figure 2.5 shows trends in the index for each year compared to previous year by gas for the 1990-2021 period. 1990 is assumed as “100” for indexing. All gases are showing an increasing trend compared to 1990 and also to previous years in general. The sharpest trend belongs to F-gases since they increased by 1457% in proportion to 1990. Figure 2.5 Trends in emissions by gas relative to 1990 (1990=100) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1600 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 CO₂ 28 CH₄ N₂O F Gases Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Total 28 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Carbon Dioxide (CO2) In 2021, CO2 emissions are 452.7 Mt (excluding LULUCF), 9.6% above the 2020 level and 198.6% above the 1990 level. Figure 2.6 illustrates the trend in CO2 emissions. It is seen that CO2 emissions are dominated by the energy sector which is the main driver for the rising trend in emissions. This situation is caused by the growing industrial sector and population in Türkiye. In 2021 excluding the LULUCF, the energy sector is responsible for 85.2% of the total CO2 emissions while IPPU is responsible for 14.5%. The agriculture and waste sectors do not cause a significant amount of CO2 emission. Figure 2.6 CO2 emissions by sector, 1990-2021 Energy IPPU Agriculture LULUCF Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 - 50 - 100 - 150 (Mt) 1990 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Waste 29 29 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Methane (CH4) The trend in emissions of CH4 is broken down by source in Figure 2.7, CH4 is the second most significant GHG after CO2 in Türkiye since 1990. Emissions of CH4 have increased by 50.7% since the base year 1990 and have increased by 0.2% compared to 2020. In 2021, CH4 emissions were 2 561 kt excluding the LULUCF. The major sectors of CH4 are enteric fermentation from agriculture, solid waste disposal from the waste sector and fugitive emissions in the energy sector. Emissions from IPPU and LULUCF are not significant sources of CH4 in comparison with other sectors. Generally, all sectors have risen since 1990. Figure 2.7 CH4 emissions by sector, 1990-2021 (Mt) 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 Energy 30 IPPU Agriculture LULUCF Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 500 Waste 30 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Nitrous Oxide (N2O) In 2021, N2O emissions are 135 kt without LULUCF and it slightly decreased from the level of 2020 (0.6 kt) but 61.5% above the 1990 level. As it is seen from Figure 2.8, the agriculture sector is the main contributor of N2O emissions in all the years and the share is 78% in 2021. The energy sector is responsible for 11.1% and waste sector is responsible for 5.9% of all N2O emissions. IPPU has a minor share of the N2O emissions by 5%. Figure 2.8 N2O emissions by sector, 1990-2021 160 (kt) 140 120 100 80 60 40 Energy IPPU Agriculture LULUCF 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 20 Waste Fluorinated Gases (HFCs, PFCs, SF6) The F-gases are only caused by the IPPU sector. In 2021, 7 361 kt CO2 eq. of F-gases released to the atmosphere. It is seen from Table 2.3 that total F-gas emissions increased by 1457% since 1990. The main contributor to total F-gas emissions is HFCs emissions and it is mainly the results of efforts to phase out CFCs and other ODS under the provisions of the Montreal Protocol. Additionally increasing demand of refrigerant and air conditioning sector are also responsible for the rising trend of HFCs emissions in Türkiye. Emission values of PFCs, CF4 and C2F6 decreased after 2015, compared to previous years due to the change of aluminium production system from Søderberg to Prebaked smelted in 2015. There has been a decreasing trend in the number of anode effects after switching to prebaked smelter system. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 31 31 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.3 Fluorinated gases emissions by sector, 1990-2021 (kt CO2 eq.) 32 Year HFCs PFCs SF6 1990 NO 472.80 NO 1991 NO 556.99 NO 1992 NO 519.75 NO 1993 NO 519.04 NO 1994 1995 NO NO 463.88 409.33 NO NO 1996 NO 413.23 10.05 1997 NO 412.70 11.10 1998 NO 411.26 11.90 1999 NO 410.60 12.36 2000 115.66 409.25 13.34 2001 232.00 410.77 13.16 2002 417.19 415.90 13.95 2003 628.80 420.15 15.16 2004 909.37 425.89 16.44 2005 1 146.88 399.26 17.67 2006 2007 1 424.19 1 713.19 332.75 422.14 19.40 21.04 2008 1 896.14 393.41 21.98 2009 2 111.28 192.84 21.30 2010 3 054.43 387.57 65.48 2011 3 432.77 362.65 67.37 2012 4 256.95 271.33 68.58 2013 4 471.16 199.98 69.02 2014 4 929.70 186.65 74.88 2015 4 817.55 91.37 81.83 2016 5 110.99 37.37 79.53 2017 5 256.44 25.17 122.79 2018 2019 5 040.33 5 676.60 10.09 17.10 134.31 156.02 2020 6 497.73 10.38 171.50 2021 7 209.80 6.79 144.05 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 32 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2.3. Emission Trends by Sector Figure 2.9 GHG emission trend by sectors, 1990-2021 500 (Mt CO2 eq.) 400 300 200 100 0 1. Energy 3. Agriculture 5. Waste 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 -200 1990 -100 2. Industrial processes and product use 4. Land use, land-use change and forestry 1990-2021: Out of decreasing trend of LULUCF sector (29.1%) all sectors have an increasing trend from 1990 to 2021 including energy (188%), IPPU (229%), waste (33%) and agriculture (57%). The main reasons for the increasing sectors are population growth, a growing economy and an increase in energy demand. The main reasons for the rise in removals of LULUCF are improvements in sustainable forest management, afforestation, rehabilitation of degraded forests, reforestations on forest land and conversion of coppices to productive forests in forest land remaining forest land, efficient forest fire management and protection activities, conversions to perennial croplands from annual croplands and grasslands, and conversions to grasslands from annual croplands. The main reasons for the increase in emissions of LULUCF are related to drought and biomass burning as wildfire (e.g. in the year 2008; 29.7 kha forest area, in the year 2021; 134.8 kha forest area burned), intense harvest policies, deforestation, conversions to wetlands (flooded land) and settlements. 2020-2021: There are increasing trends in the annual change for energy (9.8%) and IPPU (10.6%) sectors from 2020 to 2021. The sectors having decreasing trends are agriculture (1.5%), waste (9.9%) and LULUCF (17.2%). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 33 33 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions In the energy sector; energy industries, transport, manufacturing industries and construction and other sectors show 12.4%, 13.04%, 10.1% and 0.2% increase respectively in 2021. Figure 2.10 shows electricity production from different energy sources for the period, 2019-2021. Figure 2.10 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 2019-2021 40 37.1 (%) 33.2 35 34.5 30.9 30 25 20 29.2 25.5 23.1 18.9 16.7 15 14.7 16.8 19.1 10 5 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 Natural Gas Coal Hydro 2019 2020 Other Renewable and Waste Liquid Fuels 2021 The decrease in emissions from the waste sector is mainly due to the increase in methane recovery processes, particularly in recent years. The detailed reasons behind the emission trends and main drivers for all sectors are discussed by each sub-sector in the related chapters. While Table 2.4 provides a contribution of sectors to the net GHG emissions by sectors for some selected years between 1990 and 2021, Table 2.5 shows the same shares for the GHG emissions without LULUCF. 34 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 34 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.4 Contribution of sectors to the net GHG emissions (%) Sectors 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Energy 91.19 93.58 88.29 88.27 87.44 86.29 82.63 82.25 78.93 78.15 IPPU 14.94 11.35 15.05 15.41 15.41 15.04 14.99 13.27 14.63 14.59 Agriculture 30.10 18.34 13.62 14.49 14.24 14.28 14.46 15.30 15.75 13.99 7.24 6.21 5.35 4.42 4.04 3.67 3.68 3.63 3.51 2.85 -43.47 -29.48 -22.05 -18.79 -17.67 -16.91 -15.44 -14.11 -12.26 -9.15 Waste LULUCF Table 2.5 Contribution of sectors to the GHG emissions without LULUCF (%) Sectors 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Energy 63.56 72.28 72.19 72.00 72.19 72.35 71.38 71.86 69.96 71.31 IPPU 10.41 8.76 12.30 12.57 12.72 12.61 12.95 11.60 12.97 13.31 Agriculture 20.98 14.16 11.14 11.82 11.75 11.97 12.49 13.37 13.96 12.77 5.05 4.80 4.37 3.60 3.34 3.08 3.18 3.17 3.11 2.60 Waste Energy As in most countries, the energy system in Türkiye is largely driven by fuel combustion, followed by fugitive emissions from fuels and then CO2 transport and storage. In 2021, emissions from the energy sector are 71.3% of total emissions, excluding LULUCF. Emissions in CO2 eq. from the energy sector are reported in Table 2.6 and shown in Figure 2.11. CO2 emissions, 95.8% of the total energy sector emissions, showed an increase of 197.1% from 1990 to 2021. CH4 emissions are just 3.1% of the total, increased by 58.9% in comparison with 1990. N2O emissions, with a 1.1% contribution to total emissions of the energy sector, show an 129.7% increase in proportion to the year 1990. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 35 35 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.6 Total emissions from the energy sector by source (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 Total 1.A Fuel combustion 1.A.1 Energy industries 1.A.2 Manufacturing industries and construction 1.A.3 Transport 1.A.4 Other sectors 1.B Fugitive emissions from fuels 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 139 536 216 045 287 878 341 994 361 747 382 412 373 402 365 581 366 567 402 480 135 026 209 899 279 652 336 497 353 151 375 713 365 740 355 905 357 986 392 292 149 644 141 894 159 506 37 188 77 725 114 153 135 780 146 030 157 363 158 586 37 162 57 945 52 333 59 593 60 079 60 189 59 669 54 565 60 186 66 236 26 969 36 465 45 392 75 798 81 841 84 770 84 617 82 428 80 680 91 200 33 707 37 764 67 773 65 327 65 201 73 391 62 869 69 269 75 225 75 350 4 510 6 145 8 226 5 496 8 596 6 699 7 662 9 676 8 581 10 188 3 598 4 836 6 151 2 733 5 896 3 681 4 885 6 770 5 558 6 493 912 1 309 2 075 2 763 2 700 3 017 2 777 2 906 3 023 3 695 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.B.1 Solid fuels 1.B.2 Oil and natural gas 1.C CO2 transport and storage Figure 2.11 Trend of total emissions from the energy sector, 1990-2021 450 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 400 000 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 1A1 1A2 1A3 1A4 1B1 1B2 2020 2021 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 50 000 1C GHG emissions of the energy sector, in CO2 eq., show an increase of 188% from 1990 to 2021. Generally, an upward trend is noted from 1990 to 2021. 36 36 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions IPPU Emissions from the industrial process and product use sector have a share of 13.3% of Türkiye's total emissions excluding LULUCF in 2021. CO2 emissions are 87.5% of total IPPU emissions in 2021. N2O and CH4 have a minor impact on IPPU emissions and N2O increased by 90.2% compared to 1990. Emissions by each subsector of IPPU are tabulated in Table 2.7 for the 1990-2021 period. Figure 2.12 shows the trend for the IPPU related emissions by cumulating its subsectors. Table 2.7 Total emissions from the industrial process and product use sector by source (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 22 856 26 199 49 060 59 719 63 754 66 628 67 738 59 003 67 962 75 136 2.A Mineral industry 13 424 18 418 34 087 40 304 43 821 46 473 46 212 38 547 47 078 50 616 2.B Chemical industry 1 629 1 061 1 903 2.C Metal industry 2.D Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use 7 620 6 313 9 519 11 457 12 439 12 731 12 805 11 381 11 047 12 909 183 277 432 266 146 152 206 138 134 170 NO NO 42 42 42 45 57 58 59 65 NO 116 3 054 4 817 5 111 5 256 5 040 5 677 6 498 7 210 NO,NE 13 23 40 36 73 71 58 57 29 2.E Electronic industry 2.F Product uses as ODS substitutes 2.G Other product manufacture and use 2 792 2 159 1 897 3 346 3 144 3 091 4 137 Figure 2.12 Trend of total emissions from IPPU sector, 1990-2021 80 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E 2F 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 10 000 2G IPPU related emissions increased by 228.7% from 1990 to 2021. Due to the growth of population and production especially for the recent decade, emissions from the IPPU sector are increased. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 37 37 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Agriculture Enteric fermentation is by far the largest source of GHG emissions of agriculture in Türkiye since 1990. The agriculture sector includes emissions from enteric fermentation, manure management, rice cultivation, agricultural soils, field burning of agricultural residues and urea application. In 2021, the agriculture sector accounted for 12.8% of total emissions in Türkiye. Enteric fermentation and agricultural soils dominate the trends in this sector between 1990 and 2021 as seen in Table 2.8 and they have an increase of 56.1% and 51.6% compared to 1990 respectively. The most important portion in each gas is CH4 with 54.6%, then comes N2O with 43.6% share in the agriculture sector emissions. CO2 has the lowest contribution with 1.8%. Table 2.8 Total emissions from the agriculture sector by source (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 46 054 42 332 44 409 56 133 58 894 63 262 65 338 68 022 73 154 72 075 3.A Enteric fermentation 22 397 19 234 20 946 26 947 26 984 30 110 32 136 33 368 34 615 34 953 3.B Manure management 3.C Rice cultivation 3.D Agricultural soils 5 436 5 142 5 391 6 956 7 060 7 697 8 508 8 597 9 060 9 144 100 128 202 240 243 234 252 263 262 269 17 314 16 870 17 006 21 006 23 147 23 607 23 022 24 342 27 389 26 249 3.F Field burning of agricultural residues 347 340 219 174 164 165 163 165 171 159 3.H Urea application 460 617 645 811 1 295 1 450 1 257 1 288 1 657 1 302 Figure 2.13 Trend of total emissions from agriculture sector, 1990-2021 80 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 3A 38 3B 3C 3D 3F 2021 2020 2018 2019 2017 2015 2016 2014 2012 2013 2011 2009 2010 2008 2006 2007 2005 2003 2004 2002 2000 2001 1999 1997 1998 1996 1994 1995 1993 1991 1992 1990 10 000 3H Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 38 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions LULUCF GHG emissions of the LULUCF sector from sources and removals by sinks are estimated and reported for categories of managed lands: forest land, cropland, grassland, wetlands, settlements, harvested wood products, other land and others. In 2021, total CO2 eq. emissions and removals of the LULUCF sector have decreased by 17.2% compared to 2020. Table 2.9 reports emissions and removals from the LULUCF sector by source. Table 2.9 Total emissions and removals from the LULUCF sector by source (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total -66 511 -68 052 -71 880 -72 807 -73 110 -74 959 -69 752 -62 720 -56 948 -47 146 4.A Forest land -63 605 -64 376 -65 874 -62 937 -62 371 -65 323 -60 188 -53 999 -48 220 -33 945 4.B Cropland 0,69 38 453 4.C Grassland 4.D Wetlands 0,03 97 0,01 176 NO,IE 4.F Other land 4.G Harvested wood products 4.E Settlements 457 344 368 352 381 395 387 636 983 656 705 708 768 777 722 413 - 20 271 288 222 188 189 230 145 426 419 406 413 407 413 419 421 NO,NE,IE 187 601 764 617 653 650 671 696 686 -2 907 -4 337 -8 587 -12 541 -13 102 -12 133 -11 973 -11 215 -11 281 -15 725 39 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 39 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Figure 2.14 Trend of total emissions from the LULUCF sector, 1990-2021 10 000 (kt CO2 eq.) - 10 000 - 20 000 - 30 000 - 40 000 - 50 000 - 60 000 - 70 000 4A 4B 4C 4D 4E 4F 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 - 90 000 1990 - 80 000 4G LULUCF emissions or removals, in CO2 equivalent, are variable over the reporting period 1990-2021 as seen in Figure 2.14. Generally, decreases in removals were influenced by fires and drought in the relevant areas. Moreover, rises are originated mainly from forest management, afforestation, rehabilitation of degraded forests, reforestations on forest land, etc. Waste The waste sector includes GHG emissions from the treatment and disposal of wastes, open burning, wastewater treatment and discharge. Waste incineration emissions are included in the inventory however it is reported under the energy sector. The waste sector GHG emissions are tabulated in Table 2.10. Total waste emissions for the year 2021 are 2.6% of total GHG emissions (without LULUCF). Considering emissions by gas, the most important GHG is CH4 which accounts for 83.9% of the total and shows an increase of 28.5% from 1990 to 2021. N2O levels have increased by 62.3% whereas CO2 decreased by 86.3% from 1990 to 2021; these gases account for 16.1% and 0.02% share in the waste sector. 40 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 40 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Table 2.10 Total emissions from the waste sector by source Total 1990 2000 2010 2015 11 081 14 341 17 446 17 122 16 713 16 263 16 630 16 120 16 308 14 698 6 730 9 582 12 564 12 557 12 095 11 524 11 605 11 035 11 111 16 17 30 23 24 23 20 22 21 25 105 87 37 2 4 3 2 5 7 7 4 230 4 656 4 815 4 539 4 590 4 713 5 001 5 058 5 169 5 328 5.A Solid waste disposal 5.B Biological treatment of solid waste 5.C Incineration and open burning of waste 5.D Wastewater treatment and discharge 2016 2017 2018 (kt CO2 eq.) 2019 2020 2021 9 338 Figure 2.15 Trend of total emissions from the waste sector, 1990-2021 20 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 5A 5B 5C 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 2 000 5D Figure 2.15 shows trends in the waste sector between 1990-2021. The trend is mainly driven by solid waste disposal with 63.5% of the emissions were from, followed by wastewater treatment and discharge 36.3% from, 0.17% from biological treatment of solid waste and 0.05% from open burning of waste. Total emissions, in CO2 equivalent, decreased by 9.9% from 2020 to 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 41 41 1 Trends in Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2.4. Emission Trends for Indirect Greenhouse Gases Emission trends of NOX, CO, NMVOC, SO2 and NH3 from 1990 to 2021 are given in Table 2.11. Table 2.11 Total emissions for indirect greenhouse gases, 1990-2021 (kt) Gas 1990 2000 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 NOX 253 1 475 979 959 991 973 959 970 956 981 2 041 7 812 3 404 2 367 2 354 2 188 1 659 1 776 1 940 1 942 896 1 453 1 098 1 091 1 095 1 121 1 098 1 126 1 166 1 166 SO2 1 683 2 070 2 471 1 949 2 266 2 375 2 524 2 529 2 305 2 693 NH3 85 97 62 59 45 46 41 43 46 49 CO NMVOC 1990-2021: While three indirect gases have an increasing trend from 1990 to 2021 including NOX (288.4%), SO2 (60%) and NMVOC (30.1%), two gases have a decreasing trend including CO (4.8%) and NH3 (42.8%). 2020-2021: There are both increasing and decreasing trends in the annual change for each gas from 2020 to 2021. The gases having increasing trends are NOX (2.7%), SO2 (16.8%) and NH3 (5.2%). The gases that have decreasing trends are CO (0.1%), NMVOC (0.1%). 42 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 42 Energy 1 3. ENERGY (CRF Sector 1) 3.1. Sector Overview The energy sector includes emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels (1.A.1 energy industries; 1.A.2 manufacturing industries and construction; 1.A.3 transport; and 1.A.4 other sectors; as well as fugitive emissions from fossil fuels (1.B) and CO2 transportation and storage (1.C). Energy sector is the major source of Turkish anthropogenic GHG emissions. In overall 2021 GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF), the energy sector had the largest portion with 71%. Energy sector CO2 emissions constituted 85.2% of total CO2 emissions in 2021. The non-CO2 emissions from energy-related activities represented rather small portion of the total national emissions. CH4 emissions are 19.3% of total national CH4 emissions and N2O emissions are 11.1% of total N2O emissions in 2021. Total emissions from the energy sector for 2021 were estimated to be 402.5 Mt CO2 eq. (Table 3.1) Energy industries were the main contributor, accounting for 39.6% of emissions from the energy sector. It is followed by transport sector with 22.7%, other sector with 18.7% and manufacturing industries with 16.5% (Table 3.2). Energy sector GHG emissions increased by 188.4% between 1990 and 2021 whereas annual emissions from 2020 to 2021 increased by 9.8% (35 914 Kt CO2 eq.). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 43 43 1 Energy Table 3.1 Energy sector emissions by gas, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 44 CO2 129 156 204 232 271 293 305 293 310 330 347 369 360 350 352 385 817 801 494 920 648 139 574 729 197 859 363 398 087 282 005 662 CH4 N2O 311 286 361 338 491 504 525 467 534 296 420 356 383 470 435 494 6.5 7.9 8.5 10.5 13.3 14.2 9.8 9.9 10.6 12.5 13.1 13.8 12.6 11.9 12.4 15.0 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 CO2 eq. 139 166 216 244 287 309 321 308 326 341 361 382 373 365 366 402 536 298 045 483 878 969 639 346 712 994 747 412 402 581 567 480 44 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Energy 139 536 166 298 216 045 244 483 287 878 309 969 321 639 308 346 326 712 341 994 361 747 382 412 373 402 365 581 366 567 402 480 Fuel combustion total 135 026 162 275 209 899 238 731 279 652 300 904 312 258 299 822 316 495 336 497 353 151 375 713 365 740 355 905 357 986 392 292 Energy industries 37 188 50 440 77 725 90 970 114 153 126 270 127 087 121 589 132 413 135 780 146 030 157 363 158 586 149 644 141 894 159 506 Manufacturing industries and construction 37 162 40 000 57 945 63 011 52 333 52 592 61 059 52 983 54 444 59 593 60 079 60 189 59 669 54 565 60 186 66 235 Fuel combustion Transport 26 969 34 113 36 465 42 041 45 392 47 386 62 525 68 865 73 559 75 798 81 841 84 770 84 617 82 428 80 680 91 200 Other sectors 33 707 37 722 37 764 42 709 67 773 74 656 61 586 56 384 56 079 65 327 65 201 73 391 62 869 69 269 75 225 75 350 Total fugitive emissions 4 510 4 023 6 145 5 752 8 226 9 065 9 381 8 524 10 216 5 496 8 596 6 699 7 662 9 676 8 581 10 188 Solid fuels 3 598 2 985 4 836 3 941 6 151 6 662 6 851 6 324 7 318 2 733 5 896 3 681 4 885 6 770 5 558 6 493 Oil and natural gas 912 1 038 1 309 1 811 2 075 2 403 2 530 2 199 2 898 2 763 2 700 3 017 2 777 2 906 3 023 3 695 Fugitive emissions from fuels Table 3.2 Energy sector GHG emissions, 1990-2021 CO2 transport and storage 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 (kt CO2 eq.) 45 Energy Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 1 45 1 Energy Energy sector GHG emissions mainly are coming from stationary combustion. Total emissions from stationary combustion are 301 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021, equal to 53.3% of total national GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF). The energy industries subsector (1.A.1) contributed 160 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021 while the GHG emissions from manufacturing industries and construction subsector (1.A.2) emissions were 66.2 Mt CO2 eq. and GHG emissions from other sectors (1.A.4) were 75.3 Mt. The transport sector GHG emissions were 91.2 Mt in the same year. GHG emissions from stationary combustion increased by 179% (193 Mt CO2 eq.) between 1990 and 2021, and increased by 8.6% (23.7 Mt CO2 eq.) between 2020 and 2021. Figure 3.1 GHG emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 450 400 (Mt CO2 eq). 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Stationary Combustion Fuel combustion total Transport In 2021, transport contributed 91.2 Mt CO2 eq., which is 16.2% of total GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF). The major source of transport emissions in Türkiye is road transportation. It accounts for 94.8% of transport emissions. It is followed by domestic aviation while other sources are far smaller: domestic aviation with 3.1% and domestic navigation with 1.2%. Pipeline transport contribution was 0.4% and railway contribution was 0.4%. Fuel used in international aviation and marine bunkers is reported separately from the national total. In 2021, international bunker GHG emissions were 10.3 Mt CO2 eq. 46 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 46 Energy 1 Emissions from transport sector increased 238.2% (64.2 Mt CO2 eq.) in 2021 compared to 1990. In the same period increase in road transportation emissions was 249.1%, in domestic aviation it was 209.5% and in domestic navigation it was 121.7%. Emissions from railway transport decreased by 50.6% between 1990 and 2021. Total fugitive emissions for 2021 were 10.2 Mt CO2 eq., representing 0.002% of total GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF). Oil and natural gas systems contributed 30%, solid fuels account for the remaining 70% of fugitive emissions. Overall fugitive emissions increased 125.9% between 1990 and 2021. In 2014 a serious mine accident happened and many underground mines were closed in the following year as a precaution, therefore in 2015 fugitive emissions were decreased remarkably. In 2021, the underground coal production activity increased and therefore in 2021 fugitive emissions from solid fuels were increased. In overall, from 1990 to 2021, fugitive emissions from oil and natural gas systems increased by 305.3%. Emissions from solid fuels increased by 88.2% in the same period. Figure 3.2 Fugitive emissions, 1990-2021 12 (Mt CO2 eq). 10 8 6 4 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2 Total Solid Fuels Oil and natural gas 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for energy sector emission estimation. The methodology for emissions from stationary energy sectors is a mix of T1, T2 and T3 approaches. In transport sector, T1 and T2 approaches have been used. Fugitive emissions were estimated by T1 approach (Table 3.3). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 47 47 1 Energy Table 3.3 Summary of methods and emission factors used in energy sector CO2 CH4 GHG sources and sink categories Method applied Emission factor 1. Energy T1,T2,T3 A. Fuel combustion N2O Method Emission applied factor Method applied CS,D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2,T3 CS,D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2,T3 D,PS 1. Energy industries 2. Manufacturing industries and construction T2,T3 CS,D,PS T2,T3 D,PS T2,T3 D,PS T1,T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D 3. Transport T1,T2 CS,D T1,T2 D T1,T2 D 4. Other sectors T1,T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D B. Fugitive emissions from fuels Emission factor T1 D T1 D T1 D 1. Solid fuels NA NA T1 D NA NA 2. Oil and natural gas T1 D T1 D T1 D T1 D - - - - C. CO2 transport and storage Country specific and plant specific carbon contents of liquid, solid and gaseous fuels are used for CO2 emissions estimation. For CH4 and N2O emissions, 2006 IPCC default emissions factors are used. Sector QA/QC and Verification Quality control for energy category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan of Türkiye. All emission factors and implied emission factors are compared with 2006 IPCC Guideline defaults and any outlines were examined. In this inventory, 1A2 and 1A4 sectorial approach emissions and 1AB reference approach fuel combustion emissions were calculated on SAS and it was double checked by the calculations on the Excel sheets by two different experts and any findings were corrected. In 2017 August, energy sector expert, from Finland, have come to TurkStat to review the energy sector in scope of a project coordinated by TurkStat. Moreover, Turkish inventory have been reviewed by ERT in 2017 September. Based on those findings improvements were done in the energy sector. These improvements are explained and the effect of the recalculations are shown with in the relevant sectorial subtitle in NIR submitted in 2018. Another QA process was also conducted in 2020 by an expert from CITEPA for this sector. The main critic during the reviews is the consistency of the energy sector. This is because the national energy balance tables, which are the main data source of energy sector, are not in time series. Inconstancies come to exist when the national energy balance tables are used in the time series inventory calculations. In order to overcome this problem national energy balance tables should be reallocated and made consistent in the time series. This problem will be handled in the following years. 48 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 48 Energy 1 3.2. Fuel Combustion (Sector 1.A) The major source of GHGs in Türkiye is the fossil fuel combustion. The emissions from fossil fuel combustion are calculated by TurkStat with cooperation with the Ministry of Energy and National Resources(MENR) and the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure (MoTI). The emissions from public electricity and heat production were calculated by MENR and the emissions from transport were calculated by MoTI, and the other energy sub-sectors were calculated by TurkStat. 2006 IPCC Guidelines were used in emissions estimation for all energy subcategories. The emissions from public electricity and heat production (1.A.1.a) are calculated on the basis of plant specific fuel consumption and net calorific values (NCVs) with country specific carbon contents of fuels. Technology specific CH4 and N2O emission factors from 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for 1.A.1.a category for since 2003 and 2006 IPCC Guidelines default CH4 and N2O EFs are used for 1990-2002 period since combustion technology data is available from 2003 onward for this category. For petroleum refining sector (1.A.1.b), fuel consumption data, NCVs and carbon content of fuels are compiled directly from the refineries. In the same way for manufacture of solid fuels (1.A.1.c) categories, plant specific AD and plant specific carbon content are used in the emission estimation. 2006 IPCC Guidelines default EFs are used for CH4 and N2O emission estimation. Emissions from manufacturing industry and construction and other sectors (1.A.2), (1.A.4) were estimated by using energy balance tables. For CO2 emission estimation both country specific and default carbon contents and oxidation factors are used depending on the data availability. 2006 IPCC Guidelines default EFs are used for CH4 and N2O emission estimation. Transportation sector (1.A.3) consists of road transportation, domestic aviation, railways, domestic navigation and pipeline transportation. Data availability in road transportation, navigation sector and railways allows mostly T1 methodology in the emission estimations. Country specific carbon content of diesel oil and residual fuel oil are used for CO2 emission estimations but for gasoline and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) 2006 IPCC default emission factors are used. T2 methodology was used for the calculation of emissions from domestic aviation. Also T2 methodology was used for the calculation of CO2 emissions from pipeline transportation. 2006 IPCC Guidelines default EFs are used for CH4 and N2O emission estimation. The following table summarizes the data source for the 1A sectors. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 49 49 1 Energy Table 3.4 Summary table for the data source in fuel combustion (1A) sector Category Data Source 1A1a Electricity and Heat Production Plant specific 1A1b Petroleum Refining Plant specific 1A1c Manufacturing of Solid Fuels and Other Energy Industries Plant specific 1A2 Manufacturing Industries and Construction National energy balance table 1A3 Transport See chapter 3.2.6 1A4 Other Sectors National energy balance table 1AB Fuel Combustion Reference Approach National energy balance table 1AD Feedstocks Reductants and Other non-Energy use of fuels See chapter 3.2.3 National energy balance tables, which are published by the MENR every year, are the most important input for the energy sector emission calculations. The source of data for the electricity production sector of national energy balance is Turkish Electricity Transmission Corporation (TEİAŞ). The data that TEİAŞ sends includes electricity generation, fuel consumption in both original units and TJ, with respect to energy resources and license type of electricity generators. After the data is compared with previous years, it is directly used in the relevant sections of the energy balance table. For the supply part of national energy balance table (indigenous production, import, export, bunkers, stock change), the administrative sources of relevant stakeholders such as EPDK, BOTAŞ, TEİAŞ, TTK, TKİ, MTA, MAPEG are utilized. For the demand part of national energy balance table, the industry sector data is collected through questionnaires applied by MENR/EİGM to the relevant companies/firms. For the other sectors, administrative sources of relevant stakeholders are used. In the process of compiling data, the sectoral reports of stakeholders are examined, as well as time series analysis and quality control with respect to both energy resources and sectors are applied. The following table shows the country specific carbon content (as ton carbon / TJ fuel) of fuels used in calculating the CO2 emissions. NCVs can be found Annex 3. Table 3.5 Country specific carbon contents of fuels Fuel types Unit 1990 2000 2010 2015 2018 2019 2020 2021 Hard coal t/TJ 25.79 26.38 27.28 26.16 26.08 26.87 25.56 26.09 Lignite Coke Petrocoke Fuel oil t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 32.79 30.14 26.55 21.33 31.61 30.14 26.55 21.33 31.57 29.95 26.55 21.33 30.57 30.10 26.55 21.33 30.51 29.48 26.55 21.33 30.09 29.59 26.55 21.33 29.80 30.19 26.55 21.33 29.60 29.67 26.55 21.33 Diesel Naphta Natural gas t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 20.03 20.13 15.13 20.03 20.13 15.13 20.03 20.13 15.17 20.03 20.13 15.19 20.03 20.13 15.08 20.03 20.13 14.64 20.03 20.13 15.19 20.03 20.13 15.12 The following table shows the country specific oxidation factors of fuels used in calculating the CO2 emissions factors. 50 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 50 1 Energy Table 3.6 Country specific oxidation factor of fuels Fuel types 1990 2000 2010 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Hard coal Lignite 0.988 0.950 0.988 0.950 0.985 0.953 0.963 0.960 0.975 0.973 0.975 0.973 0.983 0.966 0.979 0.959 0.976 0.967 Fuel oil Diesel 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 0.984 The following table shows the CO2 emissions factors of all the fuels. The decrease in carbon content over time (32.79 and 29.60 t/TJ for 1990 and 2021,) led to a lower EF even when the oxidation factor increases. Either country specific carbon contents or IPCC default carbon contents are used in the calculations depending on the data availability. CO2 EFs are calculated by the formula below. CO2 EF = C content of fuel x Oxidation factor of fuel x (44/12) Country specific carbon content and oxidation rates were calculated through fuel analysis and ash-slag or stack gas analysis reports. Table 3.7 CO2 emission factors of fuels Fuel types Unit 1990 2000 2019 2020 2021 Hard coal t/TJ 93.4 95.5 2010 2017 2018 98.6 94.5 94.1 96.9 91.8 93.64 Lignite Asphaltite Coke Coal tar t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 114.2 96.1 110.5 80.7 110.1 96.1 110.5 80.7 110.3 96.1 109.8 80.7 107.2 96.1 112.2 80.7 107.5 96.1 108.1 80.7 106.6 96.1 108.5 80.7 Crude oil Petrocoke Fuel oil Diesel t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 73.3 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.3 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.3 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.3 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.3 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.7 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.7 97.4 77.0 72.3 73.7 97.4 77.0 72.3 Gasoline LPG Rafinery gas Aviation fuel t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 69.3 63.1 57.6 71.5 Kerosene Naphta Intermediate products Base oils t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 71.9 72.7 73.3 73.3 White spirit Bitumen Other petroleum products Natural gas t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.5 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.5 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.6 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.6 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.6 73.3 80.7 73.3 53.7 73.3 80.7 73.3 53.7 73.3 80.7 73.3 55.4 Fuel wood Animal&Vegetable waste Biofuels t/TJ t/TJ t/TJ 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 111.8 100.1 70.8 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 104.8 104.08 96.1 96.1 110.7 108.8 80.7 80.7 51 51 1 Energy CO2, CH4 and N2O Emissions from fuel combustion were calculated for the period 1990-2021 Table 3.8 Emissions from fuel combustion (1A), 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 52 CO2 135 162 209 238 279 300 312 299 316 336 353 375 365 355 357 392 026 275 899 731 652 904 258 822 495 497 151 713 740 905 986 292 129 156 204 232 271 292 305 293 310 330 347 369 359 350 351 385 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. 596 592 326 779 492 989 430 584 051 705 205 241 912 099 809 452 139.3 133.7 121.7 113.2 168.4 147.9 155.9 131.5 130.9 82.5 82.3 94.1 83.4 89.9 99.3 94.7 6.5 7.9 8.5 10.5 13.3 14.2 9.8 9.9 10.6 12.5 13.0 13.8 12.6 11.9 12.4 15.0 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 52 1 Energy Figure 3.3 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 450 (Mt CO2 eq). 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50 Energy ind Manufacturing Industries and Construction Transport Other sectors Energy industry has the highest share in total CO2 emission from fuel combustion in 2020. It is followed by transport, other sectors, and manufacturing industries and construction. Figure 3.4 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion by sectors, 1990 and 2021 1990 2021 Energy industries 25% 28% Manufacturing industries and construction Transport 20% 19% 41% 23% Other sectors 27% 17% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 53 53 0 54 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200 180 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1 Energy Figure 3.5 CH4 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 (kt) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 Figure 3.6 N2O emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 54 Energy 1 3.2.1. Comparison of the sectoral approach with reference approach The IPCC Reference Approach is a top down inventory based on production, imports, exports, stock change and international bunker consumption of fuels. 2006 IPCC methodology is used for reference approach CO2 estimation. The estimation based on the apparent consumption of fuels in the country. The apparent consumption of primary fuels has been calculated by using the following formula: Apparent consumption = Domestic production + imports - exports - change (increase/decrease) in stocks - international bunkers Apparent consumption of secondary fuels has been calculated by using the following formula: Apparent consumption= imports - exports - change (increase/decrease) in stocksinternational bunkers The apparent consumption is need to be adjusted for feedstocks, reductants and other non-energy use of fuels. The fossil fuels used for non-energy purposes should be deducted from the apparent consumption in order to avoid double counting in reference approach. (See section 3.2.3 Feedstocks, Reductants and Other Non-Energy Use of Fuels ) Domestic production, import, export, stock change and international bunkers have been taken from national energy balance tables for all primary fuels and petroleum products in ktoe unit. Note that the reference approach emission calculation is dependent on the national energy balance tables and the fuel classification in the national energy balance table is different than CRF fuel classification. Therefore, the fuels in the national energy balance table is allocated into CRF fuel classification according to the table below. The allocation of fuels into the CRF 1AB category is shown in the table below. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 55 55 1 Energy Table 3.9 Fuel allocation in reference approach 56 Fuel allocated under national energy balance table Fuel allocated under CRF 1AB sector Hard coal Lignite Asphaltite Coke Coking coal Lignite Sub bitiminous coal Coke oven coke Coal tar Crude oil Petrocoke Fuel oil Coal tar Crude oil Petroleum coke Residual fuel oil Diesel Gasoline LPG Rafinery gas Diesel oil Gasoline LPG Other oil Aviation fuel Kerosene Naphta Intermediate products Jet kerosene Other kerosene Naphta Other oil Base oils White spirit Bitumen Other petroleum products Other Other Other Other Natural gas Fuel wood Animal&Vegetable waste Biofuels Natural gas Solid biomass Solid biomass Liquid biomass oil oil oil oil Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 56 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Reference Approach Liquid fuels Solid fuels (excluding (excluding international international Gaseous bunkers) bunkers) fuels 66 028 63 511 5 538 83 270 68 610 12 363 91 665 94 125 28 572 94 669 89 275 50 823 86 236 126 348 72 623 85 800 130 463 85 643 93 059 135 973 84 926 95 477 118 580 86 085 98 536 128 608 92 030 108 488 131 236 90 528 115 166 139 291 87 954 115 623 152 470 101 863 111 097 157 027 93 420 108 087 167 917 82 157 108 873 158 904 91 445 115 959 159 075 111 890 Total 135 077 164 243 214 362 234 767 285 207 301 906 313 958 300 143 319 174 330 252 342 411 369 956 370 073 366 932 368 835 399 054 Liquid fuels Solid fuels (excluding (excluding international international bunkers) bunkers) 59 784 63 097 77 694 65 272 82 142 92 771 83 824 95 209 79 519 120 685 82 652 125 209 88 192 131 071 92 556 114 671 97 263 119 671 106 454 128 050 116 047 139 932 118 618 145 944 113 695 150 719 111 592 154 587 111 691 148 245 117 618 153 277 Table 3.10 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 Gaseous fuels 6 716 13 626 29 371 53 671 70 847 84 582 85 364 85 191 91 878 94 388 89 719 102 843 93 286 81 577 89 908 112 654 Other fossil fuels NO 1 42 75 441 545 803 1 166 1 238 1 812 1 508 1 836 2 211 2 343 1 966 1 904 Sectoral Approach Total 129 596 156 592 204 326 232 779 271 492 292 989 305 430 293 584 310 051 330 705 347 205 369 241 359 912 350 099 351 809 385 452 57 (kt) Energy Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 1 57 1 Energy Figure 3.7 CO2 emissions from fuel combustion, 1990-2021 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50 Referance Approach 58 Sectoral Approach Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 58 1 Energy Table 3.11 Comparison of CO2 from fuel combustion between reference and sectoral approach, 1990-2021 Reference approach Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Apparent consumption (PJ) 1 795 2 188 2 891 3 293 4 005 4 300 4 461 4 343 4 596 4 815 5 037 5 361 5 261 5 141 5 261 5 778 Emissions (kton CO2) 135 077 164 243 214 362 234 767 285 207 301 906 313 958 300 143 319 174 330 252 342 411 369 956 370 073 366 932 368 835 399 054 Sectoral approach Apparent consumption (PJ) 1 792 2 174 2 778 3 658 3 962 4 118 4 003 4 269 4 529 4 724 5 030 4 875 4 704 4 818 5 388 1 792 Emissions (kton CO2) 135 026 162 275 209 899 279 652 300 904 312 258 299 822 316 495 336 497 353 151 375 713 365 740 355 905 357 986 392 292 135 026 Difference in emissions (%) 0.0 -1.2 -2.1 -1.9 -0.3 -0.5 -0.1 -0.8 1.9 3.1 1.6 -1.2 -3.0 -2.9 -1.7 0.0 Explanation of differences: While converting to common energy units, the reference approach multiplies the apparent fuel consumption by a single conversion factor. On the other hand, each fuel has different heat content. Sectoral approach uses sector specific heat value provided in the energy balance tables. In sectoral approach fuel consumption and NCVs of 1A1 category have been collected directly from the end users (from electricity and heat producers, refineries and coke producers). It brings differences between the sectoral and reference approaches since the plant level NCVs differ from average NCVs used in energy balance tables. Especially for solid fuels and more specifically for the Turkish lignite, such differences in NCVs are causing differences. Since the Turkish lignite is poor quality fuel, its NCV is generally too low from that of literature lignite. In plant level, data regarding the NCV of lignite changes in a wide range (from 1000 to 6000 kg/kcal). However, in national balance tables, an average NCV value is about 2200 kcal/kg is used. Based on the quality of lignite used in a specific year, consumption in TJ differs from the national energy balance data. This causes differences in emissions. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 59 59 1 Energy 3.2.2. International bunker fuels In consistent with the UNFCCC reporting guidelines, CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions from international bunker fuels are calculated and reported separately. 3.2.2.1. International aviation The fuel type used in international aviation is jet kerosene. Table 3.12 shows the trend in emissions of CO2, CH4, and N2O from international aviation between 1990 and 2021. GHG emissions from international aviation have an increasing trend in consistent with the growth in international aviation sector. CO2 eq. emissions were 8.39 Mt in 2021 (Figure 3.8) while it was 0.56 Mt in 1990. Emissions from international aviation are calculated using the T1 methodology given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The following equation is used. According to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, the Tier 1 method should only be used for aircraft using aviation gasoline, not larger aircraft using jet kerosene however use of a higher tier method is not possible in Türkiye because aircraft operational use data are not available. Energy balance tables were used for AD. To estimate emissions, Türkiye applies the default emission factors from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines as follows: CO2 (71500 kg/TJ), CH4 (0.5 kg/TJ) and N2O (2 kg/TJ). 60 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 60 1 Energy Figure 3.8 GHG emissions from international aviation, 1990-2021 16 000 (kt. CO2 eq.) 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 2 000 Table 3.12 Emissions and fuel for international aviation, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 552 807 1 599 3 330 5 858 6 769 7 684 8 661 9 922 11 085 10 630 11 015 12 006 13 917 5 842 8 321 CH4 (kt) 0.004 0.006 0.011 0.023 0.041 0.047 0.054 0.061 0.069 0.078 0.074 0.077 0.084 0.097 0.041 0.058 N2O (kt) 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.24 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.34 0.39 0.16 0.23 CO2 eq (kt) 556 814 1 612 3 358 5 908 6 827 7 750 8 734 10 007 11 180 10 720 11 109 12 108 14 036 5 892 8 392 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Aviation bunkers (TJ) 7 718 11 290 22 359 46 570 81 937 94 671 107 473 121 129 138 775 155 037 148 668 154 053 167 911 194 649 81 712 116 377 61 61 1 Energy 3.2.2.2. International navigation The fuel type used in international navigation is diesel and residual fuel oil. Table 3.13 shows the trend in emissions of CO2, CH4 and N2O from international navigation between 1990 and 2021. GHG emissions from international navigation have an increasing trend corresponding to the growth in the international navigation sector. CO2 eq. emissions were 1.89 Mt in 2021 (Figure 3.9) while it was 0.4 Mt in 1990. Emissions from international navigation were calculated using the T1 and T2 methodology given in 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Country specific carbon content is used for CO2 emission estimation. 2006 IPCC default EFs are used for CH4 and N2O emissions. The following equation is used. Activity data in international navigation provided by the EMRA were compared with those of DG of Mining and Petroleum Affairs, reported to IEA. Where: a = fuel type (residual fuel oil and gas diesel oil) b = water-borne navigation type (the type of vessel b is ignored at Tier 1) Country specific carbon content is used for CO2 emission estimation. To estimate CH4 and N2O emissions, Türkiye applies the default emission factors from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines as follows: CH4 (7 kg/TJ) and N2O (2 kg/TJ). 62 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 62 1 Energy Figure 3.9 GHG emissions from international navigation, 1990-2021 4 000 (kt. CO2 eq.) 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 500 Table 3.13 Emissions and fuel for international navigation, 1990-2021 Year CO2 (kt) CH4 (kt) N2O (kt) CO2 eq. (kt) Navigation bunkers (TJ) 1990 379 0.035 0.01 383 5 035 1995 587 0.055 0.02 593 7 819 2000 1 279 0.118 0.03 1 292 16 861 2005 3 376 0.312 0.09 3 411 44 586 2010 2 407 0.217 0.06 2 431 31 058 2011 1 951 0.176 0.05 1 971 25 160 2012 2 618 0.237 0.07 2 645 33 786 2013 2 892 0.261 0.07 2 921 37 316 2014 3 260 0.294 0.08 3 292 41 958 2015 2 742 0.248 0.07 2 769 35 358 2016 3 006 0.271 0.08 3 036 38 654 2017 2 871 0.262 0.08 2 900 37 487 2018 3 101 0.284 0.08 3 132 40 520 2019 2 833 0.260 0.07 2 862 37 186 2020 1 726 0.162 0.05 1 744 23 145 2021 1 872 0.176 0.05 1 891 25 120 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 63 63 1 Energy Recalculations: There is no recalculation for this category. 3.2.3. Feedstocks, Reductants and other non-energy use of fuels In accordance with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, AD and emissions associated with the non-energy use of fuels are not reported within the fuel combustion subsector. The table below summarizes reporting of carbon stored and emissions related to use of feedstock, reductants and other non-energy use of fuels. Table 3.14 Summary table for use of feedstock, reductants and other non energy use of 64 Use of fuel Reported in inventory Data Source Reductant for ferroalloy production Emissions in 2.C.2; in RA subtracted from coke Plant specific Reductant for carbide production Emissions is 2.B.5; in RA subtracted from coke Plant specific Reductants for steel production in Electric Arc Furnaces Emissions in 2.C.1; in RA subtracted from coke oven coke and natural gas Estimated from EAF primary steel production data Reductants for steel production in integrated iron and steel plants Emissions is 2.C.1; in RA subtracted from coking coal Plant specific Feedstock for ammonia production Emissions in 2.B.2; in RA subtracted from natural gas Plant specific Feedstock for petrochemical industry Carbon stored, in RA subtracted from naphta National energy balance table Use of lubricants Emissions in2.D.1; in RA subtracted from other oil National energy balance table (Aggregated under other oil) Use of parrafin and wax Emissions in 2.D.1; in RA subtracted from other oil National energy balance table (Aggregated under other oil) Use of bitumen for road paving, asphalt roofing etc. Carbon stored, in RA subtracted from other oil National energy balance table (Aggregated under other oil) Refinery feedstocks Carbon stored, in RA subtracted from other oil National energy balance table (Aggregated under other oil) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 64 Energy 1 Fossil fuels are used in integrated iron and steel plants for reducing iron ore into iron metal. The reduction process causes CO2 emissions. These emissions are reported under IPPU category. The amount of carbon (fossil fuel originated, not limestone etc.) reported in the IPPU is converted into the amount of coking coal and it is subtracted from the reference approach. In the national energy balance tables, feedstock and non-energy use of fuels are given separately and those consumptions are not included in fuel consumptions. Naphtha is given as feedstock in the national energy balance tables. Fuels used for non-energy purposes are lubricants, bitumen, solvents and rafinery feedstocks. But they were not given separately in the national energy balance tables till 2015. They were included in the aggregated item “other petroleum products". Emissions from lubricants and paraffin-wax use are included under 2.D-non-energy products from fuels and solvent use category. However, bitumen is used for road paving or asphalt roofing purposes and carbon is stored in the products it is not released. Refinery feedstock is used in the refining industry and is transformed into one or more components and/or finished products. Naphtha is used as feedstock for petrochemical industry. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector. 3.2.4. Energy industries (Category 1.A.1) Source Category Description: This source category includes the emission from the public electricity and heat production, petroleum refining and manufacture of solid fuels in Türkiye. This category is one of the main emission sources in Türkiye. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from energy industries in total fuel combustion was 39.9% in 2021 while it was 28% in 1990. The source category 1.A.1 is a key category in terms of emission level and emission trend of CO2 from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels in 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 65 65 1 Energy Table 3.15 GHG emissions from energy industries, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 37 065 50 272 77 486 89 635 112 053 123 633 124 665 119 431 130 106 133 596 142 857 153 679 157 538 148 793 140 993 158 004 CH4 (kt) 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 2.3 N2O (kt) 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.6 4.0 4.2 3.8 4.1 4.4 3.9 4.1 4.6 3.3 2.7 2.9 4.8 Fuel CO2 eq. consumption (kt) (TJ) 37 188 394 380 50 440 545 725 77 725 906 993 90 428 1 105 792 113 287 1 399 287 124 940 1 539 508 125 858 1 575 560 120 685 1 509 864 131 453 1 681 085 134 795 1 686 737 144 143 1 753 704 155 096 1 914 651 158 586 1 901 427 149 644 1 709 801 141 894 1 726 604 159 506 2 034 361 Methodological Issues: 2006 IPCC Guidelines T2 and T3 approaches were used for emission calculation in energy industries. The emissions from public electricity and heat production (1.A.1.a) are calculated on the basis of plant specific fuel consumption and NCVs with country specific carbon contents of fuels. For petroleum refining sector, fuel data, NCV and carbon content of fuels were compiled directly from the refineries. For manufacture of solid fuels (1.A.1.c) category, plant specific AD and carbon content were used in the emission estimation. Emissions from CRF category 1.A.1.a, have been estimated by the MENR by using 2006 IPCC T2, T3 approaches. Plant-specific NCVs were used to calculate heat values that led to emissions. Plant level fuel consumption and NCVs of fuels are received from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞauthority for Turkish electricity transmission). Carbon contents of fuels are calculated using fuel analysis reports and oxidation rates are calculated using ash and slag analysis reports for solid fuels, and stack gas analysis reports for liquid and gaseous fuels. CO2 emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels used in public electricity and heat production (1.A.1.a) are calculated using country specific carbon content of fuels and oxidation rates. For biomass and other fossil fuels on the other hand, default carbon contents and oxidation rates were used given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Activity data of CH4 and N2O emissions from CRF category 1A1a, have been estimated by using plant specific fuel consumption and NCVs. For the years 2000-2020 technology information of power plants were obtained. According to 66 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 66 Energy 1 type of technology, using 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, emission factors were chosen in order for CH4 and N2O to be estimated with Tier 3. Emissions from petroleum refining (CRF 1.A.1.b) were calculated according to 2006 IPCC T2 approach by TurkStat. Fuel consumption, NCVs and carbon content of fuels were compiled directly from refineries. CO2 emissions from 1.A.1.b were calculated by using average carbon contents of fuels used in the refineries with IPCC default oxidation rates. CH4 and N2O emissions from CRF category 1.A.1.b, have been estimated by using refineries total fuel consumption and average NCVs for refineries with IPCC default EFs. Emissions from manufacture of solid fuels (CRF 1.A.1.c) were calculated according to 2006 IPCC T2, T3 approaches by TurkStat. Coke production in integrated iron and steel production plants have been considered in this category. Plant specific fuel consumption, NCVs and carbon content of fuels were compiled from each plant. CO2 emissions from 1.A.1.c were calculated by using plant specific AD, carbon contents of fuels and IPCC default oxidation rates. CH4 and N2O emissions from CRF category 1.A.1.c, have been estimated by using plant specific fuel consumption and NCVs and IPCC default EFs. Recalculation: There is recalculation in emissions from 1.A.1.b. Petroleum Refining due to the use of MRV data for the years 2018-2020 and emissions from 1.A.1.c for the years 1990-1991 and 2005-2020 due to the change of emissions factor’s parameters. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 67 67 1 Energy 3.2.4.1. Public electricity and heat production (Category 1.A.1.a) Source Category Description: Public electricity and heat production category includes electricity and heat production of all electricity generation installations in operation, including auto producers. Auto producers are the facilities that produce electricity that they use for their purposes. Their AD (Activity Data) for electricity production and sold heat are taken under 1.A.1.a. Unsold heat, namely the heat they use for industry purpose, on the other hand, is taken under the related industry subcategory they belong to avoid double-counting for the whole time series. For 1.A.1.a sector, plant-specific AD's are gathered from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ). Total installed capacity reached 99,820 MW in 2021 with a 4% increase from the previous year and nearly 6.1 times higher than the 1990 values. The total gross electricity consumption increased by 8.7% in 2021 compared to the previous year. In 2021, gross consumption was 332,871 GWh; meanwhile, in 2020, this figure was realized as 306,109 GWh. Above mentioned installed capacities, and consumption amounts belong to electricity production companies and auto producers as well. In 2021, natural gas had a high share of 33.2% in all electricity production, which was followed by hydro (16.7%), other bituminous coal (16.4%), Turkish lignite (12.8%), other renewable and wastes (12.6%) and oil (0.08%). From 2020 to 2021, electricity production from hydropower plants decreased by 28.4%. The amount of electricity produced from other bituminous coal has decreased from 62.51 TWh to 54.95 TWh On the other hand, electricity production from natural gas increased from 70.93 TWh to 111.18 TWh and Turkish lignite from 37.94 TWh to 42.98 TWh. In 2021 electricity production from fossil-fueled thermal power plants has accounted for 214.844 TWh of 334.723 TWh production, while in 2020, electricity production from fossil-fueled thermal power plants had accounted for 177.066 TWh of a total of 306.703 TWh production. Fossil fueled thermal share in electricity production increased from 57.73% in 2020 to 64.19% in 2021. 68 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 68 Energy 1 Figure 3.10 Energy mix of category 1.A.1.a, 1990-20211 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 10% Coal Liquid Fuels Natural Gas Hydro Renewable energy and Wastes There was an increase in wind installed capacity from 8,832 MW in 2020 to 10,607 MW in 2021. Renewable Law, which came into force in 2005 later revised in 2011, provided some supporting mechanisms for purchasing electricity from solar, biomass, geothermal, wind, and hydraulic energy. In the year 2021, solar power plants installed capacity raised to 7,816 MW. The voluntary carbon market's role is important to mention, as many wind projects in the country generate and sell the voluntary carbon credits. Electricity generation from animal and yard waste has increased by 36% compared to the previous year, reaching 2,035 MW of installed power, generating 7,779 GWh of power in 2021. In 2021, Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) of Türkiye was 6 675 102.01 TJ, 8 % increase compared to 2020. Oil had a share of 1 841 489.70 TJ while hard coal and natural gas accounted for 981 541.40 TJ and 2 061 202.38 TJ, respectively. 1Electricity Statistics, TEİAŞ (https://www.teias.gov.tr/tr-TR/turkiye-elektrik-uretim-iletim-istatistikleri ) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 69 69 1 Energy Figure 3.11 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 2020 - 20212 40% 35% 34.5% 33.2% 30.9% 30% 23.1% 25% 25.5% 20% 16.8% 16.7% 19.1% 15% 10% 5% 0.1% 0% 0.1% 2020 Coal Liquid Fuels 2021 Natural Gas Hydro Renewable energy and Wastes Figure 3.12 Electricity generation and shares by energy resources, 1990 - 20213 45% 40.2% 40% 35.1% 35% 33.2% 30.9% 30% 25% 17.7% 20% 16.7% 19.1% 15% 10% 6.9% 5% 0.1% 0% 0.1% 1990 Coal Liquid Fuels 2021 Natural Gas Hydro Renewable energy and Wastes Primary energy (domestic) production was 1 956 084.42 TJ in 2021 and provided 29.9% of the overall energy supply. The share of imports in TPES was about 70.1% in 2021. The production of solid fossil fuels, excluding animal & yard waste, has increased from 658 188.76 TJ in 2020 to 747 729.36 TJ in 2021. The main domestic energy source remains as Turkish lignite, with 2Electricity 3Electricity 70 Statistics, TEİAŞ (https://www.teias.gov.tr/tr-TR/turkiye-elektrik-uretim-iletim-istatistikleri ) Statistics, TEİAŞ (https://www.teias.gov.tr/tr-TR/turkiye-elektrik-uretim-iletim-istatistikleri ) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 70 Energy 1 production increased from 71.64 Mt in 2020 to 83.56 Mt in 2021, which represented an increase by about %16.64 GHG emissions from public electricity and heat production in total fuel combustion were 37.9% in 2021, and even it was 24.4% in 1990. According to Table 3.16, fuel consumption increased from 1 585 675 TJ in 2020 to 1 892 330 TJ in 2021 when the CO2 emissions increased from 130 770 kt in 2020 to 147 901 kt in 2021. In other words, fuel consumption increased by 19.3% compared to the previous year, while CO2 emissions increased by 13.1%. The main reason why the increase in fuel consumption is higher than the increase in emissions is that the share of coal in electricity generation decreased by approximately 4% in 2021, while the share of natural gas (33.2%) increased compared to the previous year (23.1%). Compared to last year, the share of hydroelectricity decreased by about 9%, whereas the share of other renewables in production increased from about 17% to 19%. Table 3.16 Emissions from category 1A1a, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 32 45 73 84 107 118 119 114 125 126 134 144 148 138 130 147 CO2 823 860 139 623 664 730 702 861 665 767 280 814 992 273 770 901 CH4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 2.2 N2O 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.5 4.0 4.2 3.8 4.0 4.3 3.8 4.1 4.6 3.3 2.7 2.9 4.8 CO2 eq. 32 938 46 020 73 371 85 407 108 892 120 031 120 889 116 110 127 006 127 958 135 554 146 220 150 032 139 116 131 662 149 395 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Fuel 346 707 490 230 854 300 036 864 344 379 478 115 512 807 451 358 624 731 591 475 644 763 804 038 791 670 580 085 585 675 892 330 Methodological Issues: Activity Data The plant-specific activity data for the whole time series is obtained from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ) in a compiled form. After data obtaining, sector experts checked whether there were data errors or omissions, and then data compared with fuel specific default values from IPCC guidelines and literature. Cross checks, including fuel capacity factor controls, and examining outliers give some opinion about data consistency. Suspicious data are corrected by getting in contact with Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 71 71 1 Energy As soon as the sector experts are assured about data reliability, data entry to the overall calculation table begins. After entering data of every single plant that produced electricity in the related year, the heat content of fuels is calculated with plant-specific data obtained from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ). In order to obtain plant-specific activity data, the amount of feedstock fuel used is multiplied by plant-specific NCVs to get heat values in terms of TJ. Average NCVs are given in Table 3.17. Table 3.17 Average NCVs of fuels used in category 1.A.1.a Fuel Type Sub-Bituminous Coal Natural gas Residual Fuel Oil Other bituminous coal Turkish lignite Gas\Diesel Oil (TJ/kt) Weighted average Default 13.56 18.90 53.52 48.00 46.20 40.40 23.39 25.80 6.64 11.90 43.12 43.00 The multipliers of EF, namely, carbon content and oxidation rates, were calculated. For Turkish lignite, sub-bituminous, and other bituminous coal, ultimate analysis results obtained from coal-fired power plants were used to calculate the related coal types' carbon content. The same procedure was applied for liquid fuels through residual fuel oil characteristics and mass percentage of carbon. For natural gas, volumetric fractions of gas concentrations were obtained through gas chromatography analysis from Petroleum Pipeline Company (BOTAŞ). Using the gases and some stoichiometry density, each gas compound's carbon mass amount was calculated and summed up to reach an overall carbon amount. The oxidation rate of solid fuels was calculated using the mass percentage of carbon in ash-slag analysis reports obtained from coal-firing plants. For gaseous fuels, measured CO concentrations in the stack gas were used in order to calculate the mass percentage of the unoxidized carbon and then the oxidation rate of the related fuel. In order to calculate the oxidation rate of gaseous fuels (natural gas), CO concentrations measured in the stack gas of the related plants were obtained from the Ministry of Environment and Urbanization. Some of the analysis reports and calculation steps were shared in Annex 3. CO2 EFs used for source category 1.A.1.a were listed in Table 3.18 for the whole time series on a fuel basis. For CH4 and N2O emissions starting from the year 2000, plant-specific technology classification information was obtained from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ). Using Table 2.6: Utility Source Emission Factors from Stationary Combustion Chapter of Guideline, Tier 3 EFs for CH4 and N2O were chosen. EFs for CH4 and N2O were listed in Table 3.19 for the whole time series on a fuel basis. 72 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 72 Turkish Lignite 114.16 113.39 110.05 113.50 110.26 109.48 109.29 109.09 107.63 107.63 107.41 107.24 107.55 106.62 104.44 104.82 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 93.35 91.76 96.89 94.12 94.50 85.32 92.38 93.15 96.18 96.65 95.10 98.56 94.23 95.52 102.17 93.37 SubBituminous Coal 93.04 94.50 94.58 92.75 91.55 91.37 92.64 87.70 93.57 88.89 89.11 90.01 85.24 88.62 NO NO Other Bituminous Coal 55.46 53.77 55.50 55.74 56.02 56.04 58.66 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 Natural Gas 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 Residual Fuel Oil 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 72.28 Diesel Oil 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 63.07 LPG 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 54.63 NO NO Biogas 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 143.00 NO NO Industrial Waste 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 111.83 NO NO Woodwood waste 42.30 39.74 38.87 37.35 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 37.46 Coke Oven Gas 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 95.33 Black Liquor 255.95 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 259.60 Blast Furnace Gas Table 3.18 CO2 emission factors used for source category 1.A.1.a, 1990-2021 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 97.53 Petroleum Coke 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 181.87 Oxygen Steel Furnace Gas Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 73 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 80.67 Coal Tar 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 57.57 Refinery Gas (t/TJ) Energy 1 73 1 Energy Table 3.19 CH4 and N2O emission factors used for source category 1.A.1.a (kg/TJ) Fuel Types CH4 N2O Fuel Oil Steam 0.8 0.3 Internal Combustion Combined Heat 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 Liquid Fuels Liquid Fuels Diesel Oil, Naphtha Steam Internal Combustion Combined Heat 0.9 0.4 Solid Fuels Turkish Lignite and Sub-Bituminous and Other Bituminous Coal Dry bottom, wall fired 0.7 0.5 Fluidised Bed Lignite (other types of technology) Sub-Bituminous and Coking Coal 61 0.7 1.4 0.7 1.4 Natural Gas Boiler 4 1 Gas Engine Gas Turbine 4 4 1 1 Internal Combustion Combined Heat 4 1 1 3 Other Fuels Coke Oven Gas 1 0.1 Blast Furnace Gas Oxygen Steel Furnace Gas 1 1 0.1 0.1 Coal Tar LPG 1 1 1.5 0.1 Refinery Gas Petroleum Coke Other Petroleum Products 1 3 3 0.1 0.6 0.6 Black Liquor 74 1 3 2 Industrial Waste Biomass 30 4 Biogas Wood waste 1 11 1 7 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 74 Energy 1 Comparability and Accuracy through Nomenclature Change: NCV of Turkish lignite differs significantly from that of the Energy Statistics Handbook and general fuel literature. It is even lower than the lowest value of lignite in all reports of the Parties. Analysis reports support this NCV data of Turkish lignite. Its average carbon content in 2021 is 29.6 kg/GJ, approaches the upper limit of 2006 IPCC Guidelines (31.3 kg/GJ). To recategorize our local lignite, we renamed it as "Turkish Lignite" to separate it from literature lignite and avoid misleading comparisons. Carbon Capture and Storage in 1.A.1.a, if applicable CO2 capture from flue gases and CO2 storage is not occurring in Türkiye, except pilot scaled research fields. Implied Emission Factor (IEF) Trends and Comments IEFs were examined in the following table to see time-series consistency for solid, liquid, gaseous fuels, and biomass. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 75 75 1 Energy Table 3.20 IEFs of fuels used for category 1.A.1.a, 1990-2021 CO2 Solid Fuels Years 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Liquid Fuels Gaseous Fuels CH4 N2O Biomass Biomass CHP Electricity Generation CHP Electricity Generation CHP Electricity Generation CHP Electricity Generation CHP Electricity Generation 120.03 125.53 130.35 134.30 132.06 132.06 111.14 105.74 120.84 107.77 119.49 117.31 112.17 111.78 113.41 112.78 110.51 109.76 107.83 105.10 102.89 105.23 100.49 101.35 101.98 102.26 101.49 102.14 100.79 101.13 74.03 76.05 70.62 69.63 60.18 61.41 64.07 69.34 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.97 76.88 76.74 75.55 76.09 76.10 75.41 73.23 73.84 75.79 73.52 74.00 73.24 76.24 75.73 76.36 72.95 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.66 56.04 56.02 55.75 55.50 53.77 55.46 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.23 58.66 56.04 56.02 55.75 55.50 53.77 55.46 4.80 2.37 4.57 2.41 1.11 1.54 2.29 1.40 1.38 1.25 1.76 1.93 1.63 2.02 2.92 1.11 1.44 1.08 1.10 1.10 1.09 1.07 1.04 1.02 1.31 1.81 2.98 4.62 2.13 1.68 3.06 1.82 1.03 1.31 1.74 1.23 1.22 1.14 1.45 1.56 1.38 1.61 1.65 1.06 1.25 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.02 1.01 1.19 1.49 2.18 3.17 IEFs of CO2 for solid fuels range from 101 to 140 t/TJ. It is mainly because of local Turkish lignite and its share in solid fuels. Unlike literature lignite of statistics manual, Turkish lignite has a very low NCV, about one-fifth of literature. Its share in the solid fuels affects the overall IEF causing a dramatic rise and fall like its trend through the years 2001-2014 for 1.A.1.a.i. IEFs of gaseous fuels do not change considerably over time; for example, IEFs of CO2 range from 53.77 to 58 t CO2/TJ. The reason for this change is the use of more gas chromatography results for analysis. After 2000 the values of CHP Generation are the same as Electricity Generation. Fluctuations in IEFs, especially declines, are mainly owing to the increasing share of biogas. Rising in the trend, however, due to the share of black liquor. "Other Fossil Fuels" node is used for industrial wastes data reporting consisting of the clinic and hazardous wastes. Emission estimation with T2, T3 approach using plant-specific data is compared with the T1 emission estimation using fuel data from national energy balance tables. Comparison with the T1 emission estimation results is given in Table 3.21. 76 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 76 1 Energy Table 3.21 Comparison of GHG emissions from 1.A.1.a category ,1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GHG emissions with plant-specific data GHG Emission Fuel (kt CO2 consumption eq.) (TJ) 32 938 346 707 46 020 490 230 73 371 854 300 85 407 1 036 864 108 892 1 344 379 120 031 1 478 115 120 889 1 512 807 116 110 1 451 358 127 006 1 624 731 127 958 1 591 475 135 554 1 644 763 146 220 1 804 038 150 032 1 791 671 139 116 1 580 085 131 662 1 585 675 149 395 1 892 330 GHG emissions with national energy balance data GHG Emission Fuel (kt CO2 consumption eq.) (TJ) 35 135 360 733 48 744 509 424 80 991 906 121 84 970 1 032 611 113 798 1 424 949 125 560 1 552 324 126 359 1 581 349 119 945 1 519 613 136 476 1 726 151 127 582 1 493 912 135 622 1 584 311 150 275 1 749 863 156 740 1 751 999 147 507 1 548 046 139 561 1 541 974 158 502 1 915 698 GHG emission (kt CO2 eq.) 2 197 2 724 7 620 - 437 4 906 5 529 5 470 3 835 9 470 - 376 68 4 055 6 708 8 391 7 899 9 107 Difference Fuel consumption (TJ) 14 026 19 194 51 821 -4 253 80 570 74 209 68 542 68 255 101 420 -97 563 -60 452 -54 175 -39 672 -32 039 -43 701 -23 368 The differences between T1 (national energy balance data) and T2, T3 (plant-specific data) results are mainly related to the solid fuels, especially NCVs of Turkish lignite. Because of the Turkish lignite's character, its NCV is lower than the lignite in literature. In plant-specific data, especially NCV of lignite changes in a wide range as 1000-5400 kg/kcal. However, in national balance tables, an average NCV value is around 2000 kcal/kg. Based on the quality of lignite used in a specific year, consumption in TJ differs from the national energy balance data. This causes differences in emissions. For example, in 2005, 42% of lignite consumed in 1A1a category has NCVs less than 1500 kcal/kg, 58% has NCVs in 1700-6000, while NCV in the national balance table is used as 1400 kcal/kg for 2005. Therefore, lignite consumption in CRF (plant-specific data) is 16,2% higher than national balance figures. On the other hand, in 2014, 70% of lignite consumption in plant-specific data has NCV less than 2000, while in national balance average NCV for lignite is used as 2100 kcal/kg. That results in a 12.1% decrease in lignite consumption in TJ (Table 3.22). With the improvements in the energy balance table in recent years, the difference between the plant-specific NCV and national balance average NCV has decreased gradually, but there was an increase 1.1% in 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 77 77 1 Energy Table 3.22 Comparison of solid fuel consumption, 1990-2021 National energy balance data Plant specific data Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Hard coal consumption Lignite consumption (kt) 474 1 246 1 942 5 174 6 935 10 116 11 760 11 707 13 826 16 126 17 966 19 485 23 437 23 321 24 235 21 470 29 39 52 47 55 60 54 45 51 48 58 62 71 74 61 71 (TJ) 7 761 15 866 30 130 108 533 154 215 230 759 287 433 279 108 332 019 389 644 436 847 466 990 555 837 548 539 553 834 492 101 (kt) 884 815 539 414 437 271 584 919 967 820 974 837 990 397 471 448 (TJ) 205 169 275 859 371 196 324 826 389 958 423 208 378 208 327 977 363 512 350 379 420 041 432 048 482 560 505 425 407 980 474 748 Hard coal consumption Lignite consumption (kt) 474 1 245 1 942 5 171 6 934 10 117 11 761 11 707 14 039 16 071 17 966 19 485 23 437 23 320 23 653 21 470 (kt) 29 884 39 815 52540 47 413 55 436 60 271 54 586 45 919 57 411 48 755 58 974 62 837 71 990 74 396 59 835 71 448 (TJ) 7 764 16 232 30100 108 531 154 272 247 412 287 616 279 238 337 447 388 577 436 657 466 466 555 596 547 944 555 774 491 515 (TJ) 202 692 277 051 373 143 272 791 391 552 423 429 378 692 328 369 407 424 349 232 424 445 438 039 487 535 512 511 412 198 480 125 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency AD's have been compiled from all public electricity and heat production facilities by Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (TEİAŞ) via survey. As a result of the change made in the activity data source, no bias in total electricity production was published in the Activity Report of TEİAŞ. On the other hand, compared to General Energy Balance Sheets AD of 1.A.1.a category had some bias in the amount of fuel used. Experts of MENR determined uncertainties. For hard coal and Turkish lignite, there is no bias for AD. There is no bias in 2021. CO2 emission factors uncertainties Solid fuels: Turkish lignite, other bituminous coal, sub-bituminous coal tar, coke oven gas, blast furnace gas, and oxygen steel furnace gas have been used as solid fuels in 1.A.1.a category, and combined uncertainty for solid fuels was calculated as 3.5% with Approach 1 method. In 2019 submission combined uncertainty estimates of solid fuels are quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in solid fuels CO2 emissions in 2017 are estimated at -2.97% to +2.91% with Approach 2 method. For more details, please refer to the Uncertainty chapter at the end of the Inventory report in Annex 2. 78 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 78 Energy 1 Liquid fuels: Residual fuel oil, diesel oil, naphtha, LPG, petroleum coke, refinery gas, and other oil products have been used as liquid fuels in 1.A.1.a category. The combined uncertainty for these liquid fuels was calculated as 4.24% with the Approach 1 method. In 2019 submission combined uncertainty estimates of liquid fuels are quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in liquid fuels CO2 emissions in 2017 are estimated at ±2.65% with Approach 2 method. For more details, please refer to the Uncertainty chapter at the end of the Inventory report in Annex 2. Gaseous Fuels: Natural gas has been used as gaseous fuels in 1.A.1.a category, and uncertainty for gaseous fuels was calculated as 1.5% with the Approach 1 method. In 2019 submission combined uncertainty estimates of Gaseous fuels are quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in Gaseous fuels CO2 emissions in 2017 are estimated at -1.46% to +1.47% with the Approach 2 method. For more details, please refer to the Uncertainty chapter at the end of the Inventory report in Annex 2. Biomass: Default EF in 2006 IPCC Guidelines on page 1.26 in the landfill gas distribution figure the most frequent EF is 47 000 kg/TJ. The default value that we used for biomass is 54 600 kg/TJ. Bias in between is 13.91% that was taken as uncertainty for biogas. Default EF in 2006 IPCC Guidelines on page 1.27 in the wood/wood waste distribution figure the most frequent EF is 103 000 kg/TJ. The default value that we used for wood/wood waste is 112 000 kg/TJ. Bias in between is 8% that was taken as uncertainty for wood/wood waste. These two biomass fuels' uncertainties were combined using a weighted average according to the generated heat amount. So the combined uncertainty for biomass is 9.57%. Other Fossil Fuels: Default EFs were taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines for industrial wastes (mainly composed of hazardous and clinic waste) and waste oils. On the other hand, there was no default uncertainty value for industrial waste EF throughout the guideline. EFs uncertainty for CH4 and N2O were taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38 Table 2.12 and considered 100% (mid-value in the range). Recalculation There is no recalculation for this category. Planned Improvement There is no planned improvement in this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 79 79 1 Energy 3.2.4.2. Petroleum refining (Category 1.A.1.b) Source Category Description: All fossil fuels consumed for petroleum refineries process operations were covered in CRF category 1.A.1.b. However autoproducers within the refineries were included in the 1.A.1.a category. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from petroleum refining in energy industries sector (1A1) was 4.9% in 2021 and it was also 6.2% in 1990. Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Table 3.23 Emissions from petroleum refining, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1A1 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 2 289 0.07 0.014 2 295 32 091 6.2 2 984 0.09 0.016 2 991 43 872 5.9 2 914 0.09 0.017 2 922 41 749 3.8 4 265 0.12 0.019 4 273 66 632 4.7 3 531 0.08 0.012 3 537 58 930 3.1 4 326 0.09 0.012 4 331 73 409 3.5 4 210 0.09 0.012 4 216 72 549 3.3 3 549 0.08 0.010 3 554 60 957 3.0 3 424 0.07 0.009 3 429 59 412 2.6 5 503 0.12 0.015 5 510 96 958 4.1 8 347 0.16 0.022 8 358 129 038 5.8 8 717 0.16 0.019 8 727 136 691 5.6 6 224 0.11 0.013 6 231 96 319 4.5 8 136 0.13 0.014 8 143 115 930 5.4 7 991 0.14 0.016 7 999 126 775 6.4 7 756 0.13 0.014 7 764 128 082 4.9 Total emissions from petroleum refining were decreased by 236 kt CO2 eq. from 2020 to 2021 (3% of decrease). Methodological Issues: Emissions from petroleum refining (CRF 1.A.1.b) were calculated according to 2006 IPCC T2 approach by TurkStat for the years 1990-2017. Fuel consumption, NCVs and carbon content and CO2 emissions are taken from plants which is also reported to the Directorate of Climate Change. CH4 and N2O emissions from CRF category 1.A.1.b, have been estimated by using refineries total fuel consumption and average NCVs for refineries and 2006 IPCC default EFs. For the year 2018-2021; MRV data reported by plant were taken into consideration. 80 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 80 Energy 1 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: All refineries are covered in the inventory. AD uncertainty of both liquid and gaseous fuels for refineries is considered 2% as indicated in table 2.15 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2. Since AD for refineries have been taken directly from the refineries, uncertainty level for survey data were considered and to be conservative the maximum uncertainty value was used. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.1.b category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. It was first confirmed with refinery authorities that AD do not include the autoproducers consumption in the refinery. Calorific values provided by the refinery are checked with national average NCVs of fuels to ensure the use of NCVs in emission estimation. Also carbon content of fuels provided by the refinery checked with IPCC default values to ensure they are in the range. Emissions from refineries were also calculated by using national energy balances to compare results. There is 23% difference between the results for the year 2021. This difference may come from process gases which are used as fuel in plants and they can not be seen in national balances table which are Plt 47 Hydrocracker Fuel Gas, Vacuum Off Gas, PSA off gas, CCR coke, FCC coke, VDU off gas, Klaus tail gas, Vent Gas. Recalculation: In this submission, CO2 emissions from plants were taken from plants. Regulation on “Greenhouse Gases Emission Monitoring“ went into force on April 25, 2012 with the publication of 28274 numbered official gazette. And plants started to report their 2018 emissions in 2020. 2018-2021 CO2 emissions were taken directly from plants and 2018-2020 emissions were recalculated. Planned Improvement: It is planned to revise emissions for the years 1990-2017 by taking into account plant specific emissions data and the amount of petroleum refined for the years 2018-2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 81 81 1 Energy 3.2.4.3. Manufacture of solid fuels and other energy industries (Category 1.A.1.c) Source Category Description: All coke production facilities were covered in CRF category 1.A.1.c. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from manufacture of solid fuels category in 1A1 category was 1.5% in 2021 while it was 5.3% in 1990. Table 3.24 Emissions from category 1.A.1.c, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 1 953 1 429 1 432 1 289 1 724 1 908 1 982 1 925 1 976 2 311 2 117 2 415 2 322 2 384 2 231 2 347 CH4 (kt) 0.016 0.012 0.011 0.013 0.012 0.011 0.012 0.014 0.014 0.016 0.014 0.014 0.013 0.014 0.014 0.014 N2O (kt) 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.001 CO2 eq. (kt) 1 955 1 429 1 433 1 291 1 725 1 908 1 983 1 926 1 977 2 312 2 118 2 416 2 323 2 384 2 232 2 347 Fuel consumption (TJ) 15 581 11 623 10 944 12 074 11 560 11 473 12 348 13 829 14 220 15 987 13 792 14 052 13 438 13 786 14 154 13 949 Share in 1A1 Category (%) 5.3 2.8 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 Total emissions from manufacture of solid fuels and other energy industries were increased by 115 kt CO2 eq. from 2020 to 2021 (5.2% of increase) due to increase of fuel consumption. Methodological Issues: Emissions from manufacture of solid fuels (CRF 1.A.1.c) were calculated according to 2006 IPCC T3 approach by TurkStat. Coke production in integrated iron and steel production plants have been considered in this category. Coke oven gas, blast furnace gas, and rarely natural gas have been used for heating of coke ovens. Plant specific fuel consumption, NCVs and carbon content of fuels were compiled from each plant. CO2 emissions from 1.A.1.c were calculated by using plant specific AD, carbon contents of fuels and 2006 IPCC default oxidation rates. CH4 and N2O emissions from CRF category 1.A.1.c, have been estimated by using plant specific fuel consumption and NCVs and 2006 IPCC default EFs. 82 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 82 Energy 1 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: All coke production facilities were covered in the inventory. AD uncertainty for solid fuels for coke plants were considered 2% as indicated in Table 2.15 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2. Since AD have been taken directly from the coke plants, uncertainty level for survey data were considered and to be conservative the maximum uncertainty value was used. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.1.c category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Calorific values provided by the coke plants checked with national average NCVs of fuels to ensure the use of NCVs in emission estimation. Also carbon content of fuels provided by the coke plants compared with 2006 IPCC default values. Carbon mass balances on integrated iron and steel plants is done in the IPPU sector as a part of QC/QA of activity data. This control also assures the fuel consumption in the coke ovens. Recalculation: Emissions for the years 1990,1991 and 2005-2020 were recalculated due to the calculation error. The effect of error varie between -4.2% and 3.8%. Planned Improvement: Recently carbon mass balance on integrated iron and steel plants in cooperation with sector experts have been done and good results are taken. There is no planned improvement at the moment. 3.2.5. Manufacturing industries and construction (Category 1.A.2) Source Category Description: This source category consists of manufacturing industries sectors. IPCC categorizes manufacturing industry as iron and steel, nonferrous metal, chemicals, pulp, paper and print, food processing, beverages and tobacco, non-metallic minerals and other industry. Until 2015 sectoral breakdown of national energy balance tables are not fully in line with CRF categories. In the national energy balance tables, pulp, paper and print sector were presented separately from 2011 onward. It was presented under “other industries (1.A.2.g)” category before 2011. Food processing category included only sugar industry for 1990-2010 periods. From 2011 onward all food processing industries were covered but beverages and tobacco industry were still included under “other industries (1.A.2.g)” category. However, Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 83 83 1 Energy starting from 2015, national energy balance tables are detailed and provided energy consumption for all economical activities so GHG emissions are allocated in line with CRF category. Table 3.25 Fuel combustion emissions from manufacturing industry and construction, 1990-2021 Share in fuel combustion Fuel (1A) CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 1990 37 004 2.17 0.35 37 162 386 908 27.5 1995 39 843 2.06 0.35 40 000 452 068 24.6 2000 57 657 3.91 0.64 57 945 629 742 27.6 2005 62 731 3.85 0.62 63 011 743 394 26.5 2010 52 120 3.00 0.47 52 333 639 363 18.8 2011 52 380 2.91 0.47 52 592 662 028 17.6 2012 60 821 3.28 0.52 61 059 760 755 19.6 2013 52 772 2.92 0.47 52 983 648 612 17.7 2014 54 233 2.93 0.46 54 444 680 149 17.3 2015 59 359 3.23 0.52 59 593 765 682 18.5 2016 59 840 3.29 0.53 60 079 785 911 17.7 2017 59 958 3.17 0.51 60 189 780 500 16.5 2018 59 369 4.26 0.65 59 669 814 062 16.4 2019 54 277 4.09 0.62 54 565 754 558 15.4 2020 59 869 4.49 0.69 60 186 814 780 16.9 2021 65 873 5.16 0.78 66 235 910 709 17.0 There is a sharp decrease in the emissions in 2008. This is due to the global economic downturn in 2008. GHG emissions from 1.A.2 category is 66.2 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021 which is 17% of total fuel combustion and 11.8% of total national emissions (excluding LULUCF), whereas GHG emissions from 1.A.2 category was 37.2 Mt CO2 eq. which is 27.5% of total fuel combustion and 15.4% of total national emissions (excluding LULUCF) in 1990. GHG emissions from 1.A.2 category have been increase by 6 Mt CO2 eq. (10.1%) from 2020 to 2021. 84 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 84 1 Energy Table 3.26 GHG emissions from manufacturing industry and construction, 1990-2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Food Pulp, processing Iron Nonpaper beverages Nonand ferrous Chemical and and metallic Other Year Total steel metals s print tobacco minerals industries 1990 37 162 6 686 1 088 4 893 IE 2 909 8 262 13 324 1995 40 000 5 591 1 756 4 962 IE 1 690 8 794 17 207 2000 57 945 6 566 1 952 3 762 IE 2 152 9 249 34 263 2005 63 011 5 482 2 225 5 346 IE 2 125 14 882 32 949 2010 52 333 3 657 1 153 2 900 IE 882 21 359 22 383 2011 52 592 3 990 755 3 139 776 3 386 25 345 15 200 2012 61 059 4 380 1 173 4 646 743 3 536 27 939 18 643 2013 52 983 4 638 760 3 942 766 3 609 26 374 12 894 2014 54 444 4 992 989 3 705 888 3 328 28 257 12 285 2015 59 593 5 287 1 199 6 689 963 4 368 29 955 11 133 2016 60 079 4 190 1 407 6 071 1 076 4 971 31 633 10 733 2017 60 189 4 327 1 136 5 317 942 4 930 32 578 10 959 2018 59 669 4 273 809 7 032 982 5 089 30 220 11 266 2019 54 565 4 620 773 6 404 1 024 5 190 25 451 11 103 2020 60 186 5 633 694 6 840 1 270 5 877 29 618 10 255 2021 66 235 5 823 868 8 296 1 281 6 338 32 718 10 910 Non-metallic minerals and chemicals and other industries are the main contributors for GHG emissions in 1.A.2 category. The share of non-metallic minerals is 49.4%. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 85 85 1 Energy Table 3.27 Contribution of subsectors of manufacturing industries and construction, 2020-2021 Share in manufacturi Changes from Emissions ng industry (kt CO2 eq.) 2020 to 2021 (%) (kt CO2 2020 2021 2020 2021 eq.) (%) 60 186 66 235 1.A.2 Total 6 049 10.1 100.0 100.0 5 633 5 823 Iron and steel 191 3.4 9.4 8.8 694 868 Non-ferrous metals 173 25.0 1.2 1.3 6 840 8 296 Chemicals 1 456 21.3 11.4 12.5 Pulp, paper and 1 270 1 281 print 11 0.9 2.1 1.9 Food processing, beverages and 5 877 6 388 461 7.8 tobacco 9.8 9.6 Non-metallic 29 618 32 178 minerals 3 100 10.5 49.2 49.4 10 255 10 910 Other industries 656 6.4 17 16.5 GHG emissions from 1.A.2 category have been increased by 10% between 2020 and 2021. Manufacturing industry and construction category is a key category in terms of emission level and emission trend of CO2 emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels in 2020. It is also a key category in terms of emission level of CO2 from other fossil fuels Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2 sector are calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data are taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used when available, otherwise default CO2 EFs are used. All CO2 EFs are given in table 3.18 under 3.2 Fuel Combustion Sector. All CH4 and N2O EFs are default. The default CH4 and N2O EFs for 1A2 sector are tabulated below. Due to the different types of fuels among many industrial areas and varying composition of natural gas purchased by the countries, EFs show significant interannual changes. 86 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 86 Energy 1 Table 3.28 Defualt CH4 and N2O EFs for 1A2 sector Emission Factors Source Sub Sectors CH4 (kg/TJ) N2O(kg/TJ) 1A2 sector Coal products 10 1.5 Table 2.3 LPG 1 0.1 Table 2.3 Other Petroluem 3 0.6 Table 2.3 products Derived gases 1 0.1 Table 2.3 Wood 30 4 Table 2.3 Natural gas 1 0.1 Table 2.3 Data on waste incineration for energy recovery have been compiled by TurkStat via survey until 2015 inventory year, after 2015 the waste incineration data were supplied by Directorate of Energy Efficiency and Environment. The list of all waste incineration facilities having waste incineration licenses was determined from the MoEU. Then the amount of waste incinerated and NCVs as MJ/kg by waste types were compiled from all facilities listed by the MoEU. Plant specific waste incineration data and NCVs were used in the GHG estimation. But, 2006 IPCC default EFs were used for CO2, CH4 and N2O emission estimation. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD for manufacturing industry sector are completely taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were given under subcategories. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. The same uncertainties were used for all subcategories of 1A2 except 1A2a. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A2 category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Country specific carbon content of fuels is checked with IPCC default values to ensure that they are in range. Reasonability of IEFs are compared with the previous annual submission and with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The table shows the change in the CO2 IEFs in the time series for liquid and solid fuels. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 87 87 1 Energy Table 3.29 CO2 implied emission factors for 1A2 category Year Liquid Solid Gaseous 1990 77.8 117.7 55.5 1995 79.4 117.9 55.5 2000 79.9 105.5 55.5 2005 81.8 103.5 55.5 2010 85.0 106.4 55.6 2011 84.7 104.2 56.6 2012 87.0 106.0 55.5 2013 88.9 105.6 55.5 2014 91.2 103.9 55.5 2015 92.0 99.0 55.7 2016 93.1 92.5 55.7 2017 93.2 97.7 55.6 2018 94.3 97.4 55.3 2019 93.8 99.1 53.7 2020 94.3 97.2 55.7 2021 92.8 98.1 55.4 It can be seen on the table that CO2 IEF for liquid fuels is increasing in the time series. This is because the share of petroleum coke usage has been increased since 1990 while the share of other petroleum products has been decreased since 1990. On the other hand, it can be seen that CO2 IEF for solid fuels is decreasing in the time series. This is because the share of lignite has been decreased since 1990 while the share of coking coal and coke has been increased since 1990. Recalculation: 1.A.2.a and 1.A.2.f recalculated due to the revision EF parameters for the year 2018. Recalculation effected 2018 emission as 0.002% for 1.A.2.f and 1.4% for 1.A.2.a. 88 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 88 Energy 1 Planned Improvement: Prior to 2011 several manufacturing sectors that have their own categories (pulp, paper & print; nonmetallic minerals; food processing, beverages & tobacco) were not fully separated out in the national energy balance and therefore some or all of the emissions from these categories were reported under section 1A2g. This is because in the calculation of 1A2 subcategories the national energy balance tables are used and national energy balance tables are not created as time series. All relevant institutions are working together in order to overcome this inconsistency problem. 3.2.5.1. Iron and steel industries (Category 1.A.2.a) Source Category Description: The source categories cover emissions from the iron and steel industries including primary and secondary steel producers and rolling mill plants. Currently there are, 3 integrated facilities producing primary steel and 27 EAF mills producing secondary steel in Türkiye. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1A2a in total 1A2 was 8.8% in 2021 while it was 18.0% in 1990. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 89 89 1 Energy Table 3.30 Fuel combustion emissions from iron and steel industry, 1990-2021 Fuel Share in CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption 1.A.2 Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 6 686 0.10 0.017 6 678 51 756 1990 18.0 5 591 0.10 0.017 5 584 46 104 1995 14.0 6 566 0.09 0.016 6 559 49 855 2000 11.3 5 482 0.06 0.009 5 478 37 766 2005 8.7 3 657 0.08 0.012 3 652 47 148 2010 7.0 3 990 0.06 0.006 3 987 56 485 2011 7.6 4 380 0.05 0.005 4 377 50 211 2012 7.2 4 638 0.06 0.006 4 635 59 556 2013 8.7 4 992 0.06 0.006 4 989 61 286 2014 9.2 5 287 0.07 0.011 5 282 71 979 2015 8.9 4 190 0.06 0.008 4 186 63 997 2016 7.0 4 327 0.07 0.009 4 322 71 184 2017 7.2 4 273 0.12 0.016 4 265 70 018 2018 7.1 4 620 0.08 0.010 4 615 75 977 2019 8.5 5 633 0.09 0.010 5 627 83 337 2020 9.3 5 823 0.09 0.010 5 818 87 842 2021 8.8 Total emissions from iron and steel subcategory was increased by 191 kt CO2 eq. from 2020 to 2021 (3.4% of increase) due to increase of fuel consumption. Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1A2a sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EF are used when available, otherwise default CO2 EF are used. All CH4 and N2O EFs are default. Integrated iron and steel plants are energy intensive and complex plants. All emission sources were identified together with experts from integrated facilities and emissions are allocated under appropriate CRF categories. Allocation is made in the following way;  Emissions from electricity generation in auto-producer is considered under Energy1.A.1.a public electricity and heat production category (based on the reallocation of autoproducers as explained above under source category description of section 3.2.5),  Emissions from the heating of coke ovens (for coke production) is considered under Energy-1.A.1.c (manufacture of solid fuels) category,  Emissions from the heating of rolling mills and other miscellaneous combustion emissions are considered under Energy-1.A.2.a iron and steel industry category, 90 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 90 Energy  1 All carbonaceous fuels (including coke as reducing agent) used in blast furnaces and sinter production are considered under IPPU-2.C.1 iron &steel production. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Plant specific AD is used for integrated iron and steel production facilities. The AD for EAFs is taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR and TurkStat. AD uncertainties were determined as 10 % for liquid, gaseous, and solid fuels. EFs uncertainty was determined by sector experts from TurkStat. Uncertainty values were determined as 25% for CO2. EFs uncertainty for CH4 and N2O was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38 Table 2.12 and considered as 100% (mid value in the range). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A2a category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. Recalculations: There is recalculation due the the minor changes of EF parameters and resulted as 1.4% change in 2018 emissions. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 91 91 1 Energy 3.2.5.2. Non-ferrous metal (Category 1.A.2.b) Source Category Description: The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.b in total manufacturing industry fuel combustion was 1.3% in 2021 while it was 2.9% in 1990. Table 3.31 Fuel combustion emissions from non-ferrous metals, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 1990 1 084 0.05 0.009 1 088 13 187 2.9 1995 1 750 0.08 0.014 1 756 22 300 4.4 2000 1 945 0.10 0.016 1 952 25 668 3.4 2005 2 219 0.08 0.013 2 225 33 266 3.5 2010 1 151 0.02 0.003 1 153 20 089 2.2 2011 754 0.02 0.002 755 13 016 1.4 2012 1 171 0.03 0.003 1 173 20 393 1.9 2013 759 0.02 0.002 760 13 379 1.4 2014 987 0.02 0.002 989 17 371 1.8 2015 1 197 0.03 0.004 1 199 20 103 2.0 2016 1 404 0.05 0.006 1 407 22 925 2.3 2017 1 134 0.04 0.005 1 136 18 034 1.9 2018 807 0.03 0.004 809 12 650 1.4 2019 771 0.03 0.003 773 13 016 1.4 2020 693 0.02 0.003 694 11 410 1.2 2021 866 0.03 0.004 868 14 381 1.3 The increase in total emissions of 1.A.2.b category from 2020 to 2021 is 173 kt CO2 eq. (25% of increase). Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.b sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC Tier 1 and Tier 2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. GHG emissions from biomass were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 21.21% for liquid, gaseous and solid fuels. 92 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 92 Energy 1 EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.2.b category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. CO2, CH4 and N2O IEFs for all fuels are in the range of 2006 IPCC Guidelines but are changing based on fuel mix used in the sector Recalculation: There is recalculation for the year 2018 due to the revision of the country specific emission factor for solid fuels. Recalculation effected 2018 emission as 0.9%. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. 3.2.5.3. Chemicals (Category 1.A.2.c) Source Category Description: The source category includes manufacture of chemicals, fertilizer, basic pharmaceutical products and rubber and plastic manufacturing. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.c in total manufacturing industry was 12.5% in 2021 while it was 13.1% in 1990. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 93 93 1 Energy Table 3.32 Fuel combustion emissions from chemicals, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 4 875 0.24 0.040 4 893 62 789 1990 13.2 4 948 0.17 0.030 4 962 71 612 1995 12.4 3 751 0.15 0.027 3 762 51 629 2000 6.5 5 334 0.16 0.026 5 346 82 163 2005 8.5 2 889 0.14 0.023 2 900 40 314 2010 5.5 3 132 0.12 0.016 3 139 49 224 2011 6.0 4 635 0.16 0.023 4 646 74 005 2012 7.6 3 929 0.19 0.027 3 942 57 487 2013 7.4 3 692 0.19 0.026 3 705 54 713 2014 6.8 6 672 0.26 0.034 6 689 106 985 2015 11.2 6 054 0.26 0.035 6 071 97 036 2016 10.1 5 306 0.18 0.023 5 317 87 051 2017 8.8 7 010 0.33 0.044 7 032 111 968 2018 11.8 6 385 0.30 0.040 6 404 101 747 2019 11.7 6 820 0.30 0.041 6 840 107 599 2020 11.4 8 275 0.32 0.043 8 296 134 076 2021 12.5 The increase in total emissions of 1.A.2.c category from 2020 to 2021 is 1 426 kt CO2 eq. (21.3% of increase). The increase in GHG emission of this category is related to the increase in production of main contributing sectors. Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.c category were calculated using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Data on waste incineration for energy recovery have been compiled by TurkStat via official letter. The amount of waste incinerated and NCVs as MJ/kg by waste types were compiled from the facilities. Plant specific waste incineration data and NCVs were used in the GHG estimation. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. GHG emissions from waste incineration were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD was taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 15.81% for liquid, gaseous and solid fuels. 94 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 94 Energy 1 For other fossil fuels it was considered 2% as indicated in table 2.15 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2. Since AD for waste incineration have been taken directly from the petrochemical facility, uncertainty level for survey data was considered and to be conservative the maximum uncertainty value was used. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% was taken (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A2c category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. Also country specific carbon content of fuels is checked with IPCC default values to ensure they are in the range. Reasonability of IEFs is compared with the previous annual submission and with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Recalculation: There is no recalculation. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. 3.2.5.4. Pulp, paper and print (Category 1.A.2.d) Source Category Description: The fuel consumption for production of pulp and paper products was separated in the national energy balance tables in 2011. Therefore, emissions from this sector was evaluated under the 1.A.2.g other industries category before 2011. In 2015 national energy balance, print sector is also covered under 1.A.2.d which is included under 1.A.2.g previously. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.d in total manufacturing industry fuel combustion was 1.9% in 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 95 95 1 Energy Table 3.33 Fuel combustion emissions from pulp, paper and print, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 19902010 NO,IE NO,IE NO,IE NO,IE NO,IE NO,IE 774 0.04 0.005 776 11 127 2011 1.5 740 0.04 0.006 743 9 972 2012 1.2 764 0.04 0.005 766 11 118 2013 1.4 885 0.05 0.007 888 12 315 2014 1.6 960 0.06 0.008 963 12 946 2015 1.6 1 072 0.06 0.008 1 076 15 156 2016 1.8 939 0.05 0.007 942 13 014 2017 1.6 977 0.07 0.010 982 13 303 2018 1.6 1 019 0.06 0.009 1 024 14 181 2019 1.9 1 264 0.08 0.012 1 270 17 481 2020 2.1 1 275 0.09 0.013 1 281 17 234 2021 1.9 The increase in total emissions of 1.A.2.d category from 2020 to 2021 is 11 kt CO2 eq. (0.9% of increase). Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.d sector were calculated using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated using 2006 IPCC default EFs. GHG emissions from biomass were estimated using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 18% for liquid, gaseous and solid fuels. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.2.d category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. 96 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 96 Energy 1 Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. 3.2.5.5. Food processing, beverages and tobacco (Category 1.A.2.e) Source Category Description: The source category includes food processing, manufacturing of beverages, tobacco industry and sugar industry. In the national energy balance tables, the fuel consumption for food processing sector was separated in 2011. For 1990-2010 period only sugar industry, 2011-2014 period all food processing industry were covered under this category but fuel consumption for beverages and tobacco industry cannot be separated and was considered under the section other industries (1.A.2.g). In 2015 national energy balance table, the beverages and tobacco industry are also included under 1.A.2.e category. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.e in total 1.A.2 GHG emissions was 7.8% in 1990 while it was 9.6% in 2021. Table 3.34 Fuel combustion emissions from 1A2e category, 1990-2021 Share Fuel in 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 2 892 0.24 0.037 2 909 27 656 1990 7.8 1 676 0.13 0.037 1 690 16 894 1995 4.2 2 130 0.19 0.056 2 152 20 673 2000 3.7 2 108 0.16 0.045 2 125 22 373 2005 3.4 877 0.05 0.012 882 12 244 2010 1.7 3 364 0.21 0.054 3 386 43 421 2011 6.4 3 515 0.21 0.054 3 536 46 695 2012 5.8 3 591 0.19 0.046 3 609 50 942 2013 6.8 3 310 0.19 0.047 3 328 46 330 2014 6.1 4 342 0.26 0.066 4 368 58 490 2015 7.3 4 943 0.28 0.069 4 971 69 245 2016 8.3 4 902 0.28 0.071 4 930 67 426 2017 8.2 5 047 0.49 0.099 5 089 77 611 2018 8.5 5 156 0.36 0.083 5 190 75 449 2019 9.5 5 838 0.41 0.097 5 877 83 228 2020 9.8 6 299 0.39 0.100 6 338 86 835 2021 9.6 Total GHG emission in 1.A.2.e category increased 461 kt CO2 eq. (7.8% of increase) from 2020 to 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 97 97 1 Energy Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.e sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 18% for solid fuels, 5.00% for Liquid fuels and 14.14% for gaseous fuels. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% was taken (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A2e category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. 3.2.5.6. Non-metallic minerals (Category 1.A.2.f) Source Category Description: Glass, cement and ceramic production is covered under this category. For 1990-2010 period only cement industry was covered under this category and fuel consumption for glass and ceramic production were considered under the other industries (1.A.2.g) for that period. In Türkiye, some cement plants have waste incineration license which is given by MoEU. They use waste as alternative fuels and also raw material. Wastes co-incinerated by license are: waste plastics, used tires, waste oils, industrial sludge, tank bottom sludge and sewage sludge, etc. Waste incineration has 98 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 98 Energy 1 been carried out since 2004 in cement industry. Waste incineration emissions from cement industry are covered under this category. 1.A.2.f category is energy intensive sector. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.f in total manufacturing industry GHG emission was 49.4% in 2020 while it was 22.2% in 1990. Table 3.35 Fuel combustion emissions from non-metallic minerals, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 8 216 0.64 0.100 8 262 85 781 1990 22.2 8 750 0.61 0.097 8 794 86 732 1995 22.0 9 204 0.63 0.100 9 249 94 531 2000 16.0 14 810 0.99 0.158 14 882 152 922 2005 23.6 21 240 1.66 0.258 21 359 209 775 2010 40.8 25 214 1.84 0.283 25 345 273 446 2011 48.2 27 797 2.00 0.309 27 939 298 718 2012 45.8 26 240 1.88 0.292 26 374 277 274 2013 49.8 28 122 1.89 0.295 28 257 309 282 2014 51.9 29 810 2.03 0.315 29 955 332 379 2015 50.3 31 482 2.09 0.330 31 633 360 842 2016 52.7 32 430 2.05 0.323 32 578 362 747 2017 54.1 30 049 2.44 0.370 30 220 351 235 2018 50.6 25 292 2.29 0.342 25 451 303 022 2019 46.6 29 440 2.54 0.382 29 618 351 842 2020 49.2 32 495 3.25 0.478 32 718 393 005 2021 49.4 The increase in total GHG emission of 1.A.2.f category is 3 100 kt CO2 eq. (10.5% of increase) from 2020 to 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 99 99 1 Energy Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.f sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Data on waste incineration for energy recovery have been compiled by TurkStat via survey until 2015 inventory year, after 2015 the waste incineration data were supplied by General Directorate of Renewable Energy. The amount of waste incinerated and NCVs as MJ/kg by waste types were compiled from the facilities. Plant specific waste incineration data and NCVs were used in the GHG estimation. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. GHG emissions from waste incineration and biomass were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 25.5% solid fuels, 27.8%for liquid fuels, and 29.2% for gaseous fuels. For other fossil fuels and biomass, it was considered 2% as indicated in table 2.15 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2. Since AD for waste and sewage sludge incineration data have been taken directly from the cement producers uncertainty level for survey data were considered and to be conservative the maximum uncertainty value was used. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.2.f category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. CO2, CH4 and N2O IEFs for all fuels are in the range of 2006 IPCC guidelines but are changing based on fuel mix used in the sector. The emissions from this sector is compared with the production data of cement, glass and ceramics industry. The emissions and production data is found to be consisting with each in concerning the time series. 100 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 100 Energy 1 Recalculation: There is recalculation in 2018 emission and resulted as 0.002% change for this years Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 101 101 1 Energy 3.2.5.7. Other industries (Category 1.A.2.g) Source Category Description: The manufacturing industry sectors which are not specified above are covered in this category. Based on the improvements in the sectoral breakdown of national energy balance the coverage of this category varies over times. As explained under section 3.2.5.4 and 3.2.5.5 some of the categories are included under 1.A.2.g category until 2011. In 2016 national energy balance tables provide complete sectoral breakdown of all economic activities, the coverage of this category is in line with CRF categorization. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.2.g in total manufacturing industry fuel combustion was 16.5% in 2020 while it was 35.9% in 1990. Table 3.36 Fuel combustion emissions from other industries, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 1990 13 258 0.91 0.145 13 324 145 738 35.9 1995 17 135 0.97 0.158 17 207 208 427 43.0 2000 34 068 2.75 0.422 34 263 387 385 59.1 2005 32 781 2.40 0.364 32 949 414 903 52.3 2010 22 310 1.05 0.158 22 383 309 794 42.8 2011 15 154 0.64 0.101 15 200 215 309 28.9 2012 18 587 0.79 0.123 18 643 260 761 30.5 2013 12 854 0.54 0.087 12 894 178 856 24.3 2014 12 248 0.53 0.080 12 285 178 853 22.6 2015 11 097 0.52 0.076 11 133 162 800 18.7 2016 10 699 0.50 0.072 10 733 156 710 17.9 2017 10 925 0.50 0.070 10 959 161 044 18.2 2018 11 215 0.77 0.106 11 266 177 276 18.9 2019 11 039 0.97 0.135 11 103 171 165 20.3 2020 10 185 1.05 0.145 10 255 159 883 17.0 2021 10 845 0.99 0.136 10 910 177 337 16.5 Total GHG emission in 1.A.2.g category increased 656 kt CO2 eq. (6.4% of increase) from 2020 to 2021. Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.2.g sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. 102 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 102 1 Energy Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 70.71% for liquid, gaseous and solid fuels. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.2.g category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan.CO2, CH4 and N2O IEFs for all fuels are in the range of 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Recalculation: There is recalculation for the year 2019 due to the revision of AD. Recalculation effected 2019 emission as 0.12%. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement specific to this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 103 103 1 Energy 3.2.6. Transport (Category 1.A.3) Estimation of emissions in Transport sector are carried out in the sub-categories listed below:  Domestic Aviation (1.A.3.a)  Road Transportation (1.A.3.b)  Railways (1.A.3.c)  Domestic water-borne Navigation (1.A.3.d)  Pipeline (other transportation) (1.A.3.e.i) Emissions from this category were 238.2% higher in 2021 than in 1990, and on average emissions increased by more than 7.4% annually. In 2021, transport sector contributed to 91.2 Mt CO2 eq. emissions (Figure 3.13). GHG emissions (in CO2 eq.) from transport sector as a share of total fuel combustion was 23.2% in 2021 while it was 20% in 1990. GHG emissions by transport sector and transport modes are given in Table 3.37 and 3.38 respectively. As shown in Figure 3.14, road transportation is the major CO2 source contributing to 94.8% of transport emissions in 2021. Contribution of domestic aviation is 3.1%, domestic water-borne navigation is 1.2%, and railways are 0.4% in 2021. The share of pipeline transportation is 0.4%. Figure 3.13 GHG emissions for transportation sector, 1990-2021 100 (Mt. CO2 eq.) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 0 104 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 10 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 104 1 Energy Table 3.37 GHG emissions from transport sector, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt.) 26 251 33 180 35 490 41 044 44 383 46 367 61 249 67 478 72 084 74 263 80 208 82 954 82 788 80 745 79 033 89 319 CH4 (kt.) 4.0 5.5 8.9 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.6 13.0 13.6 14.5 15.4 15.4 15.9 16.0 15.2 16.4 N2O (kt.) 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.9 CO2 eq. (kt.) 26 969 34 113 36 465 42 041 45 392 47 386 62 525 68 865 73 559 75 789 81 841 84 659 84 502 82 427 80 680 91 200 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 364 463 503 578 630 657 862 948 013 047 129 182 182 153 124 272 TJ 617 044 352 712 304 982 220 734 762 749 546 246 683 518 064 385 Table 3.38 GHG emissions by transport mode, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Road Domestic Domestic Other transportation aviation Railways navigation transportation 24 777 923 721 509 39 29 760 2 775 768 726 83 31 850 3 099 713 623 180 35 532 4 089 757 1 299 364 39 941 2 862 517 1 682 390 40 899 3 344 532 2 242 370 56 310 3 727 492 1 614 381 62 889 3 754 505 1 154 563 66 967 4 090 562 1 348 593 69 309 4 205 480 1 147 647 75 595 4 281 374 970 621 78 706 3 838 413 944 869 78 907 3 688 435 931 657 76 720 3 509 400 1 217 581 76 601 2 164 323 1 264 328 86 499 2 856 356 1 128 361 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Total 26 969 34 113 36 465 42 041 45 392 47 386 62 525 68 865 73 559 75 789 81 841 84 770 84 617 82 428 80 680 91 200 105 105 1 Energy Figure 3.14 GHG emission trend by transport mode, 1990-2021 100 (Mt. CO2 eq.) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 road civil aviation railways navigation pipeline 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 10 total Throughout the time series, road transportation was the dominant source of emissions in the category, responsible for between 83% (2004) and 92% (1990). The second largest source was domestic aviation, ranging from 3% (1990) and 12% (2007). Between 2004 and 2009, when the share of emissions from road transportation was at their lowest, the share from domestic aviation was the highest. When analyzed in detail (Figure 3.15), there are different factors influencing GHG emissions resulting from domestic aviation. Fuel consumption rose steadily in domestic aviation sector up to year 1999. Because of economic reasons, fuel consumption values declined from 1999 to 2002. However, the rearrangement policy of MoTI resulted in a sudden improvement in civil aviation sector. Then again, the number of flights and fuel consumption started to increase. However, while the number of flights annually increased, fuel consumption and GHG emissions showed inter-annual variation following parallel trends. Especially, from 2007 to 2010 fuel consumption and GHG emissions declined by approximately 50% while the number of flights increased by roughly 35%. This decoupling could partially be explained with renewal of the Turkish air fleet and the global economic crisis, but the main reason of decoupling could be determined with improving data quality in domestic aviation sector. 106 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 106 1 Energy Another breaking point in emissions was in 2019-2020 period. The number of flights and fuel consumption decreased in 2020 due to pandemic conditions. As a result, GHG emissions declined approximately 40% compared to 2019. Figure 3.15 Comparison of number of flights, fuel consumption and GHG emissions of civil aviation, 1990-2021 number of flights fuel consumption (t) CO2 eq GHG (t) 1 000 000 9 000 900 000 8 000 800 000 7 000 700 000 6 000 600 000 5 000 500 000 4 000 400 000 3 000 300 000 2 000 200 000 1 000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100 000 The other transportation mode needed to be analyzed is road transportation (Figure 3.16). In road transportation until the year 1997, only diesel oil and gasoline were used. Utilization of LPG started in 1997 and consumption increased steadily. Then, diesel consumption and LPG consumption increased while gasoline consumption declined. From 2007 to 2010, diesel consumption decreased probably because of the global economic crisis. After that, there is remarkable rise in diesel consumption. When analyzed in detail, it is determined that data of diesel used in agriculture sector have not been separated from those used in road transportation since 2011. That is why there was a large increase in GHG emissions resulting from diesel between 2011 (27 035 kt. CO2 eq.) and 2021 (59 736 kt. CO2 eq.), an increase of 121%. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 107 107 1 Energy Figure 3.16 Emission distributions by fuel types in road transportation, 1990-2021 (Mt. CO2 eq.) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Diesel Gasoline LPG 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 10 Biodiesel and natural gas As seen from the figure 3.17, million passenger kilometers has been on an increasing trend over the years. Especially, from 2008 onward the increase has been significant year by year. The reason behind this is the number of cars has increased which leads to increase in the number of people traveling by road. This trend reversed due to pandemic conditions in 2020. However, passenger-km by road has recovered in 2021 and almost reached the 2019 values. 108 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 108 1 Energy Figure 3.17 Passenger-km by road, 1998-2021 (1) 400 000 (million passenger km) 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 50 000 (1) https://data.oecd.org/transport/passenger-transport.htm Figure 3.18 represents million passenger kilometers by rail. In recent years, Türkiye has put a lot of emphasis on redeveloping and modernizing the rail infrastructure which has had an effect on the number of passenger kilometers over the years. The modernization of the rail infrastructure requires a temporary stoppage of railway transport until the infrastructure construction is complete. That is the reason of the fluctuation in emissions from 2011 to 2020. But in 2020 the number of passenger kilometers decreased significantly in railway sector which is affected by the covid-19 pandemic. However, passenger-km by railway has started to recover in 2021. Figure 3.18 Passenger-km by railway, 1998-2021 (2) 16 000 (million passenger km) 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 2 000 (2) https://data.oecd.org/transport/passenger-transport.htm Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 109 109 1 Energy Source Category Description: The source category comprises GHG emissions resulting from transport sector as follows; aviation, railways, road transportation, navigation and pipeline transport (other transportation). In addition to these, international aviation and international navigation were also included in this category. Among these categories;  Domestic aviation in terms of CO2 emissions from jet fuel (level and trend),  Road transportation in terms of CO2 emissions from diesel, LPG, gasoline and other ones (biofuel and natural gas) (level and trend),  Domestic navigation in terms of CO2 emissions from diesel and fuel oil, Emissions from civil aviation were covered as international aviation and domestic aviation under (1.A.3.a.i) and (1.A.3.a.ii) categories. Road transportation is the largest contributor to transport emissions and estimations were made under a wide variety of vehicle types using not only gasoline but also diesel fuel and LPG. It is covered under category (1.A.3.b). Emissions from railways were reported under category (1.A.3.c). Emission estimates from the navigation section cover international water-borne navigation (1.A.3.d.i) and domestic navigation-coastal shipping (1.A.3.d.ii). Pipeline transportation emissions are reported under the category other transportation (1.A.3.e.i). Methodological Issues: Türkiye implements Tier 1 and Tier 2 methodologies to estimate GHG emissions of mobile sources for the time series 1990-2019, as shown in equation below. The general method is presented here, and any specific circumstances in the implementation of the method is described separately for each category. 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �[𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹� ∗ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ] � Where: Emission = Emissions of CO2 (kg) Fuela = fuel sold (TJ) EFa = emission factor (kg/TJ). This is equal to the carbon content of the fuel multiplied by 44/12. a = type of fuel (e.g. petrol, diesel, natural gas, LPG etc.) 110 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 110 1 Energy All EFs were taken from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The IPCC methods used in transport sector calculations are listed in Table 3.39. Table 3.39 Method used in the calculation of GHG emissions by transport modes Modes of transport Domestic aviation CO2 CH4 √ √ N2O √ Tier I X Tier II X Road transportation √ √ √ X X Railways √ √ √ X X Domestic navigation √ √ √ X X Pipeline transportation √ √ √ X X For the transport source category (1.A.3), the following data sources were used to estimate and calculate emissions:  Fuel consumption values for source categories (1.A.3.a.i), (1.A.3.a.ii), (1.A.3.b), (1.A.3.c), (1.A.3.d.i), (1.A.3.d.ii) and (1.A.3.e.i) were provided by MENR in the form of the national energy balance tables, MAPEG and Petroleum Pipeline Corporation.  Air traffic data is provided by Directorate of General (DG) of State Airports Authority for National Aviation (1.A.3.a.ii). Emissions were estimated by using IPCC T2 methodology explained in IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories (IPCC, 2006). The calculation methodology is based on the national energy consumption data and air traffic data for each airport in terms of aircraft type. For the activities, default EFs were used. Air traffic data which consists of landing and take-off (LTO) cycles and cruise is processed for all 55 airports in Türkiye. All activities below 914 m were included in LTO cycle; movements over 914 m altitude were covered in the cruise phase. Domestic flights for all aircraft types have been accounted considering estimated individual fuel consumption values. The necessary EFs for LTO and cruise for each type of aircraft have been chosen from IPCC reference manual.  The emissions from road transportation were calculated by using IPCC Tier 1&2 methodology. Other values for database improvement were provided from DG of Highways, DG of Turkish State Railways and DG of Civil Aviation. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The IPCC Good Practice Guidance is used for the QA/QC procedures of National GHG Emission Inventory. For the quality control purposes, GHG emissions, estimated by using T2 approach, were compared with Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 111 111 1 Energy emissions estimated by using T1 approach. If the difference between the emission values obtained by both methods is less than 5%, calculations were considered to be appropriate. 3.2.6.1. Civil aviation (Category 1.A.3.a) The domestic aviation source category was a key category in 2021, in terms of both the level and trend analysis of CO2 emissions from the jet fuel. Figure 3.19 and Figure 3.20 illustrate the total emissions and the emissions of CH4 and N2O increasing trends as CO2 eq. CO2 eq. emissions have increased approximately 209% since 1990 and reached to 2.85 Mt CO2 in 2021. The calculated amounts of CH4 and N2O emissions were 1.26 kt. CO2 eq. and 29.29 kt. CO2 eq. in 2021 respectively. Figure 3.19 GHG emissions for domestic aviation, 1990-2021 7 000 (kt. CO2 eq.) 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 112 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1 000 112 1 Energy Figure 3.20 CH4 and N2O emissions for domestic aviation, 1990-2021 70 (kt. CO2 eq.) 60 50 40 30 20 CH4 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 10 N2O Methodological issues: Emissions were estimated by using the IPCC T2 methodology explained in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. In the Tier 2 method, it is necessary to divide the operations of aircraft into landing and take-off (LTO) and cruise phases, as implemented through equations below. The calculation methodology is based on the national energy consumption data and air traffic data for each airport in terms of aircraft type. Collection of activity data: Air traffic data which consists of LTO cycles and cruise is provided by Directorate of General of State Airports Authority for all civil airports in Türkiye. The number of LTO values for all aircraft types were provided for each airport. All activities below 914 m were included as LTO cycles; movements over Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 113 113 1 Energy 914 m altitude were covered in the cruise phase. Domestic flights for all aircraft types have been accounted considering estimated individual fuel consumption values in the year 2021 total number of LTO’s in domestic travel for all aircraft types is 738 352. Passenger and freight traffic from 2006 to 2021 is also given in Figure 3.21 and Figure 3.22 respectively. Figure 3.23 shows the number of domestic LTOs for Turkish airports from 1990 to 2021. Figure 3.21 Passenger traffic, 2006-2021 250 (million) 200 150 100 50 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 domestic 114 international transit Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 total 114 1 Energy Figure 3.22 Freight traffic, 2006-2021 4 500 000 (tonnes) 4 000 000 3 500 000 3 000 000 2 500 000 2 000 000 1 500 000 1 000 000 500 000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 domestic international total Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 115 115 1 Energy EFs for all aircraft types were obtained from 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines). Default values were applied for aircrafts where specific data is not available. In the light of these explanations, the total fuel consumption for domestic aviation is 0.895 Mt. To calculate the LTO fuel consumption, Türkiye multiplied the number of LTOs by the relevant LTO fuel consumption factors. The calculated total LTO fuel consumption is 0.49 Mt. To estimate cruise fuel consumption, Türkiye subtracts LTO fuel consumption from total fuel consumption for each year of the time series. In 2021, cruise fuel consumption is 0.41 Mt. Figure 3.23 Number of domestic LTO, 1990-2021 1 000 000 900 000 800 000 700 000 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 100 000 Choice of Emission Factor: LTO fuel consumption factors, as well as default CO2, CH4 and N2O emission factors for all aircraft types were obtained from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (Table 3.6.9). Default emission factor values were applied for aircrafts where specific data are not available. The resulting CO2 emission values of 1.55 Mt and 1.28 Mt were reported for LTO and cruise respectively. CO2, CH4 and N2O emission values are given in Table 3.40. 116 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 116 1 Energy Table 3.40 GHG emissions from domestic aviation, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 914 2 748 3 068 4 048 2 833 3 308 3 688 3 715 4 047 4 162 4 237 3 798 3 648 3 472 2 141 2 825 CH4 (kt) 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.05 N2O (kt) 0.03 0.09 0.10 0.13 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.07 0.098 CO2 eq. (kt) 923 2 775 3 099 4 089 2 862 3 344 3 727 3 754 4 090 4 205 4 281 3 838 3 688 3 509 2 164 2 856 13 38 43 57 40 47 52 52 57 58 59 53 52 49 30 39 TJ 030 670 296 276 043 199 686 467 243 824 884 259 217 140 233 926 Table 3.41 GHG emissions for LTO and cruise in domestic aviation, 2021 (kt.) CO2 CH4 N2O Jet kerosene Total 2 825 0.05 0.098 895 LTO 1 547 0.05 0.058 489 Cruise 1 279 - 0.041 406 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 117 117 1 Energy Table 3.42 IEFs of domestic aviation 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Activity TJ 13 030 38 670 43 296 57 276 40 043 47 199 52 686 52 467 57 243 58 824 59 884 53 259 52 217 49 140 30 233 39 926 CO2 t/TJ 70.13 71.06 70.86 70.68 70.75 70.09 69.99 70.81 70.70 70.75 70.75 71.32 69.86 70.66 70.81 70.78 IEFs CH4 kg/TJ 0.96 0.95 0.86 0.80 0.95 0.92 0.88 0.92 0.90 0.98 0.99 1.12 1.27 1.22 1.31 1.26 N2O kg/TJ 2.29 2.29 2.31 2.31 2.36 2.46 2.45 2.45 2.44 2.39 2.39 2.43 2.43 2.43 2.45 2.46 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD was taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 5.48% liquid fuels. EF uncertainty for CO2 was considered as 5% as indicated in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 2 page 3.69. For CH4 and N2O mid value of default uncertainty given in 2006 IPCC Guidelines as 80% and 85% were considered respectively. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this category. Planned Improvement: Work on data quality regarding fuel consumption and air traffic will be continued in co-operation with experts from related institutions. 118 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 118 Energy 1 3.2.6.2. Road transportation (Category 1.A.3.b) Road Transportation source category was a key category, in terms of emission level of CO2 from diesel, LPG and gasoline in 2021. This category was also a key category in terms of emission trend of CO2 from LPG, gasoline and diesel. The results according to IPCC Tier 1&2 were in Table 3.43. Table 3.43 GHG emissions from road transportation, 1990-2021 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. Year (kt.) (kt.) (kt.) (kt.) TJ 1990 24 143 3.9 1.804 24 777 335 589 1995 28 942 5.3 2.301 29 760 404 093 2000 30 988 8.8 2.158 31 850 439 986 2005 34 668 8.4 2.195 35 532 488 494 2010 39 033 11.2 2.106 39 941 554 362 2011 39 995 11.2 2.093 40 899 567 688 2012 55 142 12.4 2.882 56 310 775 067 2013 61 607 12.8 3.224 62 889 864 602 2014 65 608 13.4 3.434 66 967 921 018 2015 67 889 14.3 3.561 69 309 955 968 2016 74 055 15.2 3.887 75 595 1 041 071 2017 77 094 15.2 4.132 78 706 1 095 446 2018 77 289 15.7 4.116 78 907 1 100 570 2019 75 131 15.8 4.005 76 720 1 072 046 2020 75 024 15.0 4.035 76 600 1 066 461 2021 84 699 16.2 4.680 86 499 1 206 164 In road transportation, gasoline, diesel, LPG, natural gas and biodiesel were used as fuel. Road transportation being the major source within the transportation sector contributed 86.5 Mt of CO2 eq. in 2021 (Figure 3.24). Emissions of CH4 reached 0.41 Mt CO2 eq. and N2O reached 1.40 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021 (Figure 3.25). Emissions from the consumption of biofuels were taken into consideration for CH4 and N2O emissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 119 119 1 Energy Figure 3.24 GHG emissions for road transportation, 1990-2021 100 (Mt. CO2 eq.) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 10 CO2 emissions according to fuel types are illustrated in Figure 3.26. Most important portion of CO2 emission is occurred from diesel fuel consumption, which is about 78% of total emissions of road transportation. Figure 3.25 CH4 and N2O emissions for road transportation, 1990-2021 1 600 (kt. CO2 eq.) CH4 N2O 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 120 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 200 120 1 Energy Figure 3.26 CO2 emission distributions by fuel types (%), 2021 1 11 10 Diesel Gasoline Lpg Biofuel&natural gas 78 Methodological issues: CO2 emissions were calculated by multiplying estimated fuel consumption by a default or countryspecific, depending on the fuel emission factor i.e., a Tier 1 or Tier 2 method. Country-specific carbon contents for diesel and natural gas are used. CO2 emissions resulting from those fuel types were estimated with Tier 2. CO2 resulting from gasoline, LPG and CH4 and N2O emissions were estimated by applying default emission factors from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Collection of Activity Data: Fuel data used in the road transportation are taken from the national energy balance tables issued by MENR. Choice of Emission Factor: To estimate CO2 emissions, Türkiye applies the country specific (diesel, natural gas) and default carbon contents as contained in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Fuel consumption data in road transportation provided by the MENR were compared with those of DG of Mining and Petroleum Affairs, reported to IEA. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 121 121 1 Energy To verify data documentation, the assumptions and selection criteria on data, EFs and other calculation parameters as well as the completeness of inventory dossiers were checked for correspondence with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. In addition, GHG emissions from road transportation were also calculated by using COPERT V program for the years 2016, 2017 and 2018. COPERT V results were compared with the results regarding current methodology (Tier 1, Tier 2) and in terms of CH4, COPERT result was found by far less than results obtained by using current methodology due to usage of default emission factors. Moreover, results obtained from COPERT V were also compared with CRF values of several countries (e.g., Denmark, United Kingdom, Greece, Italy) using COPERT methodology. Considered comparison of implied emission factors, values were found almost in line with each other. Table 3.44 Comparison of COPERT and current methodology for GHG emissions from road transportation, 2016-2018 CO2 (kt) CH4 (kt) N2O (kt) CO2 eq. (kt) Tier 1 COPERT Tier 1 COPERT Tier 1&2 COPERT Year Tier 2 COPERT 2016 74 055 74 663 15.2 4.952 3.9 2.637 75 595 75 573 2017 77 094 77 289 78 701 15.2 5.677 4.1 2.807 78 706 79 679 79 015 15.7 5.230 4.1 2.866 78 907 80 000 2018 With this calculation results obtained from COPERT for the years 2016-2018. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD was taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 10.05% for liquid fuels. EF uncertainty for CO2 was considered as 5% (max. value of given range) as indicated in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 2 page 3.29. For CH4 and N2O mid value of default uncertainty given in 2006 IPCC Guidelines as 250% were considered. Recalculations: There is no recalculation for this category. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement for this sector. 122 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 122 1 Energy 3.2.6.3. Railways (Category 1.A.3.c) The railways source category was not a key category in 2021. Figure 3.27 and Figure 3.28 show the total, CH4 and N2O emissions as CO2 eq. respectively. CO2 eq. emissions have declined 50.6% since 1990. The emissions calculated for railways is 0.356 Mt CO2 eq. in 2021. Table 3.45 GHG emissions from railway, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 651 688 638 678 462 476 441 452 503 429 335 369 388 358 289 318 CH4 (kt) 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 N2O (kt) 0.23 0.27 0.25 0.26 0.18 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.17 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.13 CO2 eq. (kt) 721 768 713 757 517 532 492 505 562 480 374 413 435 400 323 356 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 8 9 8 9 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 5 5 4 3 4 TJ 670 348 686 230 296 485 001 154 843 848 561 105 373 946 995 404 123 123 0 124 CH4 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 90 1992 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 1991 900 1990 1 Energy Figure 3.27 GHG emissions for railways, 1990-2021 (kt. CO2 eq.) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Figure 3.28 CH4 and N2O emissions from railways, 1990-2021 (kt. CO2 eq.) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 N2O 124 Energy 1 Methodological issues: The IPCC Tier 1&2 approach has been used to estimate CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions for this subcategory. The Tier 1 approach has been used to estimate CH4 and N2O emissions. Collection of Activity Data: Energy consumption values for railways were provided by MENR in the form of national energy balance tables. Choice of Emission Factor: To estimate CO2 emissions, Türkiye applies the country specific carbon content. Türkiye does not modify the emission factors for CH4 and N2O to consider engine design parameters. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: In terms of calculations made by alternative methods; verification on this category was made by using different AD (passenger/km) and different EFs provided in the document ‘‘Structure of Costs and Charges Review – Environmental Costs of Rail Transport Final Report to the Office of Rail Regulation (August 2005)’’. As a result of the verification, it was observed that the results obtained were almost identical in each calculation methodology. In addition, fuel consumption values obtained from Energy Balance Table were compared with those reported to IEA. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD was taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 2% for liquid fuels. EF uncertainty for CO2 was derived from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 2 table 3.4.1 as 1.5% for liquid fuels. For CH4, EF uncertainties were derived as 105% for liquid fuels. For N2O EFs uncertainties were derived as 142% for liquid fuels. Recalculations: There is no recalculation for this category. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement for this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 125 125 1 Energy 3.2.6.4. Water-borne navigation (Category 1.A.3.d) The domestic water borne navigation source category was not a key category in 2021. The data availability is limited in this sub-sector. In domestic water-borne navigation diesel and residual fuel oil were consumed as a fuel. Domestic water-borne navigation contributed 1.26 Mt of CO2 in 2021. While CH4 2.69 kt. CO2 eq. and N2O emissions were 9.17 kt. CO2 eq. (Figure 3.29 and 3.30). Overall, between 1990 and 2021 emissions from water-borne navigation increased by 121.7%. Table 3.46 GHG emissions from domestic navigation, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 126 CO2 (kt) 504 719 617 1 286 1 664 2 218 1 598 1 142 1 334 1 136 960 934 921 1 204 1 251 1 116 CH4 (kt) 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.12 0.16 0.21 0.15 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.11 N2O (kt) 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 CO2 eq. (kt) 509 726 623 1299 1682 2242 1614 1154 1348 1147 970 944 931 1 217 1 264 1 128 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 6 9 8 17 22 30 21 15 18 15 12 12 12 16 17 15 TJ 624 444 167 225 658 058 670 486 083 369 958 836 650 653 265 390 126 1 Energy Figure 3.29 GHG emissions from domestic water-borne navigation, 1990-2021 2 500 (kt. CO2 eq.) 2 000 1 500 1 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 500 Figure 3.30 CH4 and N2O emissions from domestic water-borne navigation, 1990-2021 20 (kt. CO2 eq.) CH4 N2O 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 2 Methodological issues: The IPCC Tier 1&2 approach has been used to estimate CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions for this subcategory. The Tier 1 approach has been used to estimate CH4 and N2O emissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 127 127 1 Energy Collection of Activity Data: Energy consumption values for domestic navigation were provided by MENR in the form of national energy balance tables. Choice of emission factor: For CO2 estimation, country-specific carbon contents were used. The EFs for CH4 and N2O are taken from IPCC 2006/CORINAIR and set to 7 and 2 kg per TJ respectively. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: On the energy balance table provided by the MENR, diesel and fuel oil consumption values were compared with the values provided by MoTI DG of Maritime, as well as the Annual Activity Report results of Energy Market Regulatory Authority and with the “Domestic Navigation” fuel consumption amount values which DG of Mining and Petroleum Affairs regularly reports to the IEA. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD was taken from MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 15% for liquid fuels. EF uncertainty for CO2 was considered as 1.5% for liquid fuels as indicated in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 2 page 3.54. It was considered as 50% for CH4 and 140% for N2O. Recalculations: There is no recalculation for this category. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement for this category. 3.2.6.5. Pipeline transport (Category 1.A.3.e.i) This category covers combustion related emissions from the operation of pump stations and maintenance of pipelines. Transport via pipelines includes transport of gases, liquids, slurry and other commodities via pipelines. In Türkiye, natural gas is used to carry out operations mentioned above. Pipeline transport contributed 0.36 Mt of CO2 in 2021. Table 3.47 shows the trend in GHG emissions from pipeline transport. 128 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 128 1 Energy Table 3.47 The trend in GHG emissions from pipeline transport, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 39 83 178 360 386 371 377 557 587 662 617 868 656 581 328 360 CH4 (kt) 0.0007 0.0015 0.0032 0.0065 0.0069 0.0066 0.0068 0.0100 0.0106 0.0117 0.0111 0.0156 0.0119 0.0108 0.0061 0.0065 N2O (kt) 0.00007 0.00015 0.00032 0.00065 0.00069 0.00066 0.00068 0.00100 0.00106 0.00117 0.00111 0.00156 0.00119 0.00108 0.00061 0.00065 CO2 eq. (kt) 39 83 179 360 387 371 378 557 588 663 617 869 657 582 328 361 1 3 6 6 6 6 10 10 11 11 15 11 10 6 6 TJ 705 489 217 487 945 552 796 025 575 897 073 601 873 824 109 501 Figure 3.31 GHG emissions from pipeline transport, 1990-2021 1 000 16 000 (kt. CO2 eq.) 900 14 000 800 12 000 700 10 000 600 8 000 500 400 6 000 300 4 000 200 2 000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100 GHG emissions TJ Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 129 129 1 Energy Methodological issues: In emissions calculation, the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Tier 1&2 approaches are used. CO2 emissions were calculated by multiplying estimated fuel consumption by a country-specific emission factor. CH4 and N2O emissions were estimated by applying default emission factors from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Collection of Activity Data: Fuel consumption data for pipeline transport were provided by energy balance table provided by the MENR. Choice of emission factor: For CO2 estimation, country-specific carbon content was used. In addition, default CH4 (1 kg/TJ) and N2O (0.1 kg/TJ) emission factors were obtained from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: On the energy balance table provided by the MENR, natural gas data were compared with the value provided by Petroleum Pipeline Corporation. Recalculations: There is no recalculation for this category. 3.2.6.6. Off road transportation (Category 1.A.3.e.ii) GHG emissions from off road vehicles used for agricultural activities is included under 1.A.4.c category. 130 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 130 Energy 1 3.2.7. Other sectors (Category 1.A.4) Source Category Description: The emissions that are included in this category mainly arise from fuel consumption in commercial/institutional, residential and agriculture/forestry/fisheries. The source category (1.A.4.a) and (1.A.4.b) are considered together since they are not presented separately in the national energy balance tables until 2015. The source category 1.A.4.c includes the emission from the agricultural activities but does not include forestry and fisheries. The source category 1.A.4 is a key category in terms of emission level and emission trend of CO2 from solid, liquid and gaseous fuels in 2021. The source category is also a key category in terms of emission trend of CH4 from solid fuels and biomass. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from other sectors in total fuel combustion was 19% in 2021 while it was 25.0% in1990. It was 13% of total GHG emissions in 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 131 131 1 Energy Table 3.48 Fuel combustion emissions from other sectors (1A4), 1990-2021 Share in fuel combustion Fuel (1A) CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumption category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) (TJ) (%) 1990 29 277 133 3.7 33 707 646 591 25.0 1995 33 297 126 4.3 37 722 713 541 23.2 2000 33 693 108 4.6 37 764 737 948 18.0 2005 38 826 100 4.7 42 709 771 973 17.9 2010 62 070 152 6.4 67 773 973 007 24.2 2011 69 279 132 7.0 74 656 1078 816 24.8 2012 57 465 138 2.2 61 586 896 880 19.7 2013 52 999 114 1.8 56 384 879 983 18.8 2014 52 668 112 2.0 56 079 876 746 17.7 2015 62 494 63 4.2 65 327 1010 607 19.4 2016 62 413 62 4.2 65 201 1020 656 18.5 2017 70 272 73 4.3 73 391 1112 130 19.5 2018 60 102 61 4.1 62 869 977 068 17.2 2019 66 284 68 4.3 69 269 1085 732 19.5 2020 71 915 78 4.6 75 225 1152 101 21.0 2021 72 256 71 4.4 75 350 1170 999 19.2 Total GHG emission in 1A4 category increase 526 kt CO2 eq. (0.7% of increase) from 2020 to 2021. Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1A4 sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EF are used when available, otherwise default CO2 EF are used. Same CO2 EFs are used from the summary table 3.8 (from 1.A Fuel combustion sector). All CH4 and N2O EF are also default. The default CH4 and N2O EF for 1A4 sector are tabulated below. 132 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 132 1 Energy Table 3.49 N2O and CH4 emission factors of fuels used in others sector (1A4). Sub Sectors 1A4a sub sector Coal products LPG Other petroleum products Wood Natural gas 1A4b, 1A4c sub sectors Coal products LPG Other petroleum products Wood Other primary solid biomass Natural gas Emission Factors CH4 (kg/TJ) N2O(kg/TJ) Source 10 5 10 1.5 0.1 0.6 Table 2.4 Table 2.4 Table 2.4 300 5 4 0.1 Table 2.4 Table 2.4 300 5 10 1.5 0.1 0.6 Table 2.5 Table 2.5 Table 2.5 300 300 4 4 Table 2.5 Table 2.5 5 0.1 Table 2.5 Recalculation: There is recalculation in N2O emissions from 1.A.4.A for the years 2015-2020 due to a minor error. It is resulted in changes between 0.02% and 0.11% for these years. 3.2.7.1. Commercial/Institutional (Category 1.A.4.a) The fuel consumption of commercial/institutional is not separated in the energy balance tables until 2015, it is given under residential sector for 1990-2014 period. Emissions are given under 1.A.4.a category in 2015 for the first time and they are included under (1.A.4.b) for 1990-2014 periods. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.4.a in total other sector is 21.2% in 2019. Table 3.50 Fuel combustion emissions from 1.A.4.a category, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.4 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumptio category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) n (TJ) (%) IE IE IE IE IE IE 1990-2014 23 217 23 353 300 630 2015 2.3 0.3 35.7 22 004 22 139 298 757 2016 2.3 0.3 34.0 20 540 20 647 279 840 2017 2.0 0.2 28.1 13 484 13 539 208 743 2018 1.3 0.1 21.5 14 620 14 678 231 304 2019 1.4 0.1 21.2 13 581 13 637 209 304 2020 1.3 0.1 18.1 13 895 13 949 217 861 2021 1.3 0.1 18.5 Total GHG emission in 1.A.4.a category increased 312 kt CO2 eq. (2.3% of increase) from 2020 to 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 133 133 1 Energy Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.4.a sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 7.07% for liquid fuels, 14.14% for solid fuels, and 5% for gaseous fuels. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A4a category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Since only 2015 and 2016 estimation is available for this category, emission trends could not be analyzed. IEF for CO2, CH4, and N2O are in the range of 2006 IPCC default EFs. Recalculation: Emissions from this sector were recalculated due to the errors in calculations Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement 134 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 134 Energy 1 3.2.7.2. Residential (Category 1.A.4.b) Residential and commercial/institutional fuel consumptions are not separable in the national energy balance tables until 2015. Therefore, emissions from residential and commercial/institutional category are included under 1.A.4.b for periods 1990-2014. After 2015 only residential sector is covered under 1.A.4.b category. Therefore, there is a sharp decrease in 2015 due to the separation of the commercial and institutional category. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.4.b category in total other sectors is 63.1% in 2019 while it was 80.8% in 1990. Table 3.51 Fuel combustion emissions from residential sector, 1990-2021 Share in Fuel 1.A.4 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. consumptio category Year (kt) (kt) (kt) (kt) n (TJ) (%) 1990 23 507 132 1.45 27 249 566 764 80.8 1995 25 958 125 1.41 29 507 611 993 78.2 2000 25 191 107 1.25 28 248 620 325 74.8 2005 29 731 99 1.08 32 529 646 141 76.2 2010 49 119 152 1.24 53 277 793 813 78.6 2011 54 168 131 1.04 57 746 869 556 77.3 2012 54 457 138 1.06 58 223 855 118 94.5 2013 50 649 114 0.93 53 767 846 990 95.4 2014 49 623 112 0.91 52 700 833 597 94.0 2015 30 479 60 0.60 32 157 587 205 49.2 2016 31 721 59 0.57 33 360 600 881 51.2 2017 40 620 71 0.60 42 571 705 283 58.0 2018 37 192 59 0.49 38 826 636 194 61.8 2019 41 922 66 0.53 43 729 717 860 63.1 2020 48 240 76 0.59 50 313 802 223 66.9 2021 48 408 69 0.55 50 295 814 229 66.7 Total GHG emission in 1.A.4.b category decreased 18 kt CO2 eq. (0.04% of decrease) from 2020 to 2021. Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.4.b sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. GHG emissions from biomass were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 135 135 1 Energy Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 7.07% for liquid fuels, 14.14% for solid fuels, 5% for gaseous fuels and 300% for biomass. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1A4b category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. CO2, CH4 and N2O IEFs for all fuels are in the range of 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement in this sector. 3.2.7.3. Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries (Category 1.A.4.c) Source Category Description: The source category is only including the emission from the consumption of fuel in agricultural activities. The AD of this sub-category generally is consistent during the period 1990-2011, increasing gradually. However, there was a drop in 2012 due to a classification problem with diesel oil consumption. Before 2012, diesel fuel was distributed in accordance with the definitions given below:  Diesel oil (sulfur content up to 10 mg/kg) is used for road transportation  Rural diesel (maximum sulfur content of 1000 mg/kg) is used in agricultural sector. Based on this definition, diesel oil consumption in road transportation and agriculture was separated. But "Technical Regulation Notification on Types of Diesel" entered into force by being published on Official Gazette No. 27312 dated 08.07.2009 and restricted diesel oil sulfur content up to 10 mg/kg. The deadline for implementation is extended to April 2011. After April 2011, it is not possible to separate 136 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 136 1 Energy the different use of diesel fuel. So in 2012 energy balance table, some of diesel oil used in agricultural sector is included in road transportation. Due to this fact, a sharp increase in diesel consumption in road transportation and a sharp decrease in fuel consumption of Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries sector were observed. MENR worked on agricultural association for modeling the agricultural diesel oil consumption. MENR disaggregated the diesel oil consumption data in agriculture sector by a comparison method in which total crop harvested area and petroleum products consumption data of similar countries are weighted to derive an indicator for Türkiye. More than 90% of GHG emissions from agricultural sector is related to off road vehicles. The share of GHG emissions as CO2 eq. from 1.A.4.c category in total other sectors is 15.2% in 2021 while it was 19.2% in 1990. Table 3.52 Fuel combustion emissions from agriculture sector, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 (kt) 5 770 7 340 8 501 9 095 12 951 15 112 3 008 2 350 3 045 8 797 8 688 9 112 9 426 9 742 10 095 9 952 CH4 (kt) 0.33 0.42 0.49 0.52 0.74 0.87 0.17 0.14 0.18 0.51 0.51 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.58 N2O (kt) 2.28 2.90 3.36 3.60 5.12 5.96 1.18 0.88 1.11 3.38 3.36 3.52 3.57 3.71 3.91 3.82 CO2 eq. (kt) 6 458 8 216 9 516 10 180 14 496 16 910 3 364 2 617 3 379 9 817 9 702 10 173 10 504 10 862 11 274 11 106 Fuel consumption (TJ) 79 826 101 548 117 623 125 832 179 194 209 260 41 762 32 992 43 149 122 772 121 018 127 007 132 130 136 568 140 574 138 909 Share in 1.A.4 category (%) 19.2 21.8 25.2 23.8 21.4 22.7 5.5 4.6 6.0 19.0 18.4 15.6 17.1 16.0 15.5 15.2 Total GHG emission in 1.A.4.c category decreased 168 kt CO2 eq. (1.5% of decrease) from 2020 to 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 137 137 1 Energy Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.A.4.c sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 and T2 approaches by TurkStat. Fuel consumption data were taken from the national energy balance tables in both kt and ktoe units. Country specific CO2 EFs are used for emission estimation for both stationary and mobile source categories. CH4 and N2O emissions from liquid, solid and gaseous fuels have been estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs for both stationary and mobile source categories. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 14.14% for liquid fuels and 7% for gaseous fuels. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 page 2.38. Uncertainty values were considered as 7% for CO2 and 100% (mid value in the range) for CH4 and N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.A.4.c category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. CO2, CH4 and N2O IEFs for all fuels are in the range of 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement in this sector. 3.2.8. Other (Category 1.A.5) No other sectors were covered under energy sector. Emissions from fuel delivered to the military is included under category 1.A.4.b for 1990-2014 periods and 1.A.4.a (for stationary) and 1.A.3 (for mobile) since 2015. 138 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 138 Energy 3.3. 1 Fugitive Emission from Fuels (Category 1.B) Source Category Description: Fugitive emissions from extraction, processing, storage and transport of fossil fuels were covered under this category. CH4 emission from coal mining, CH4, CO2, N2O and NMVOC emissions from exploration, production/processing, transport/transmission, refining and storage of oil and natural gas were covered. Table 3.53 Fugitive emissions from fuels, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 220 209 168 142 156 151 144 146 145 155 158 157 174 183 195 210 CH4 172 153 239 224 323 357 369 335 403 214 337 262 299 380 335 399 N2O 0.0031 0.0029 0.0023 0.0019 0.0021 0.0020 0.0019 0.0020 0.0020 0.0021 0.0021 0.0021 0.0024 0.0025 0.0027 0.0028 CO2 eq. 4 510 4 023 6 145 5 752 8 226 9 065 9 381 8 524 10 216 5 496 8 596 6 699 7 662 9 676 8 581 10 188 CO2 and CH4 are the main fugitive emissions in this category. CH4 was emitted mainly from coal mining while CO2 was emitted from venting and flaring. Fugitive emissions as CO2 eq. have become 10 188 ktons in 2021. 36% of fugitive emissions as CO2 eq. were from oil and gas systems and 64% were from solid fuels in the same year. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 139 139 1 Energy Table 3.54 Fugitive emissions from fuels by subcategory, 1990-2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Oil and Solid natural Year Total fuels gas 1990 4 510 3 598 912 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 4 6 5 8 9 9 8 10 5 8 6 7 9 8 10 023 145 752 226 065 381 524 216 496 596 699 662 676 581 188 2 4 3 6 6 6 6 7 2 5 3 4 6 5 6 985 836 941 151 662 851 324 318 733 896 681 885 770 558 493 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 038 309 811 075 403 530 199 898 763 700 017 777 906 023 695 Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.B sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 approaches by TurkStat. Domestic production data for coal, oil and natural gas were taken from the national energy balance tables in kt. MENR provided domestic coal production in underground and surface mining details. Pipeline transmission amount of oil and natural gas and natural gas storage were provided by, Petroleum Pipeline Company (BOTAŞ) (which is state own enterprise and authority for crude oil and natural gas transportation and pipeline operation). Petroleum refining data were taken from Turkish Petroleum Refineries Co. (TÜPRAŞ). For LPG and gasoline distribution, consumption values presented in the national energy balance tables were used as AD. Fugitive GHG emissions were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. 3.3.1. Solid fuels (Category 1.B.1) Source Category Description: This source category covers CH4 emissions which occur during the surface and underground extraction of solid fuels and post-mining activities as well as abandoned underground mines. The emissions due to combustions of those fuels to support production activities is not included in this section. Under this category only fugitive CH4 emissions are calculated. 140 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 140 Energy 1 Fugitive emissions from coal mining has increased to 37.4 t CO2 eq. in 2021 due to the increase in the underground mining activities with respect to previous year. Table 3.55 Fugitive emissions from solid fuels, 1990-2021 (kt) Year CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 eq. 1990 NE 144 NO,NE 3 598 1995 NE 119 NO,NE 2 985 2000 NE 193 NO,NE 4 836 2005 NE 158 NO,NE 3 941 2010 NE 246 NO,NE 6 151 2011 NE 266 NO,NE 6 662 2012 NE 274 NO,NE 6 851 2013 NE 253 NO,NE 6 324 2014 NE 293 NO,NE 7 318 2015 NE 109 NO,NE 2 733 2016 NE 236 NO,NE 5 896 2017 NE 147 NO,NE 3 681 2018 NE 195 NO,NE 4 885 2019 NE 271 NO,NE 6 770 2020 NE 222 NO,NE 5 558 2021 NE 260 NO,NE 6 493 In 2021 the amount of coal mined have been increased by 15.7% and become 86 466 ktons. In 2021, the emissions from coal mining activities have been increased by 14% and become 6 493 ktons CO2 eq. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 141 141 1 Energy Figure 3.32 Domestic coal production 1990-2021 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 Underground 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 (kt) 1990 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Surface Figure 3.33 CH4 emissions from coal mining, 1990-2021 300 (kt) 250 200 150 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50 Underground 142 Surface Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 142 1 Energy Table 3.56 Fugitive emissions from abandoned coal mines,1990-2021 (kt) Year CO2 CH4 CO2 eq. 1990 NE 11.5 288 1995 NE 8.2 205 2000 NE 10.2 256 2005 NE 13.3 332 2010 NE 8.3 208 2011 NE 11.6 291 2012 NE 14.2 355 2013 NE 20.1 503 2014 NE 17.2 430 2015 NE 15.2 380 2016 NE 17.5 438 2017 NE 15.5 387 2018 NE 14.0 350 2019 NE 12.8 320 2020 NE 11.9 296 2021 NE 11.1 276 Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.B.1 sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 approaches by TurkStat. Domestic coal production data were taken from the national energy balance tables. MENR provided domestic coal production in underground and surface mining details. Fugitive GHG emissions from coal mines were estimated by using 2006 IPCC default EFs. Both mining and post mining fugitive emissions from underground and surface mines were estimated. The fugitive emissions from abandoned underground mines are calculated with tier 2 methodology shown below. Methane Emissions = (Number of coal mines abandoned remaining unflooded) x (Fraction of gassy mines) x (Average emission rate) x (Emission factor) x (Conversion factor) See eqn. 4.1.11 in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 1. All parameter used in this equation are default values. Fraction of gassy mines is 100% Average emission rate is 5.735 m3/year Emission factor is calculated as EF = (1+aT)b where a and b are default values for either lignite or hard coal and T is the years elapsed since abandonment. The coefficients used in the calculations is given below. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 143 143 1 Energy Table 3.57 Coefficients used in the calculation of abandoned coal mines methane emission Coal type a b Hard coal 3.72 -0.42 Lignite 0.27 -1 (Source: see eqn 4.1.12 and table 4.1.9 in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 1) Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 16.6% for coal production. Default EFs uncertainty for coal mining was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 Table 4.1.2 and Table 4.1.4. CH4EFs uncertainty value was determined as 557%. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.B.1 category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. CH4IEFs are in the range of 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector Planned Improvement: Since the category is a key category in terms of emission trend of CH4, the tiers in CH4 estimation needs to be increased. Detailed investigation has been performed to find out the availability of country specific or basin specific EFs within both general directorates for lignite and hard coal structured under the MENR, namely, DG Turkish Lignite Enterprises and DG Turkish Hard Coal Enterprises. However, information for the generation of country-specific EFs are not available centrally in those coal authorities. Therefore, it is necessary to communicate and cooperate with mining enterprises directly to search the availability of required information for T2 estimation of CH4. 144 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 144 1 Energy 3.3.2. Oil and natural gas (Category 1.B.2) Source Category Description: This source category covers fugitive CO2, N2O, CH4 emissions from exploration, production (processing), transport (transmission), refining and storage of oil and natural gas. Three sub-source categories, oil (1.B.2.a), natural gas (1.B.2.b) and venting and flaring (1.B.2.c) were covered under this category. This source category is a key category in terms of emission level and trend of CH4emission. CO2 emissions are mainly coming from oil production. About 95% of CO2 emissions from oil and gas systems are venting and flaring emissions during oil extraction and production. CH4 emissions are mainly coming from oil production and pipeline transmission and distribution of natural gas. In parallel to the increase in natural gas transmission and distribution, the greenhouse gas emissions in 1.B.2 category has increased from 912 kt CO2 eq. in 1990 to 3 695 kt in 2021. Table 3.58 Fugitive emissions from oil and natural gas systems,1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 CO2 220 209 168 142 156 151 144 146 145 155 158 157 174 183 195 210 CH4 27.6 33.1 45.6 66.8 76.7 90.1 95.4 82.1 110.1 104.3 101.7 114.4 104.1 108.9 113.1 139.4 N2O 0.0031 0.0029 0.0023 0.0019 0.0021 0.0020 0.0019 0.0020 0.0020 0.0021 0.0021 0.0021 0.0024 0.0025 0.0027 0.0029 CO2 eq. 912 1 038 1 309 1 811 2 075 2 403 2 530 2 199 2 898 2 763 2 700 3 017 2 777 2 906 3 023 3 695 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 145 145 146 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2018 2019 2020 2021 2020 2021 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 2019 200 2017 400 2018 600 2016 800 2017 1 000 2016 (million sm3) 2015 Figure 3.35 Natural gas production, 1990-2021 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1 200 1992 1990 6 000 1991 1990 1 Energy Figure 3.34 Oil production, 1990–2021 (1000 m3) 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 146 1 Energy Figure 3.36 Natural gas transmission by pipeline, 1990-2021 80 000 (million sm3) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 2019 2020 2021 2020 2021 2018 2019 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 10 000 Figure 3.37 Fugitive emissions from oil and gas system, 1990-2021 4 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 500 147 147 1 Energy Methodological Issues: GHG emissions from 1.B.2 sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC T1 approaches by TurkStat. Domestic production data for oil and natural gas were taken from the national energy balance tables in kt. Pipeline transmission amount of oil and natural gas and data related to storage of natural gas were provided by BOTAŞ, Petroleum Pipeline Company (which is a state own enterprise and authority for crude oil and natural gas transportation and pipeline operations). Petroleum refining data were taken from Turkish Petroleum Refineries Co. (TÜPRAŞ). For LPG and gasoline distribution, consumption values for those fuels were used from the national energy balance tables. Fugitive GHG emissions from oil and natural gas systems were estimated by using 2006 IPCC Guidelines default EFs. Since the category is a key category in terms of emission level and trend of CH4, the tiers in estimating CH4 emission need to be increased. Detailed investigation has been performed to find out the availability of country specific EF. It is necessary to communicate and cooperate with related authorities directly to search the availability of required information for Tier 2 estimation of CH4. It is planned to continue with investigations. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from the national energy balance tables. Uncertainties in the AD were determined by experts of MENR. AD uncertainties were determined as 7% for oil and gas systems. Default EFs uncertainty for oil and gas systems was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 Table 4.2.4. Oil and gas systems EFs uncertainty values were determined as 334% for CO2, 356% for CH4, and 224% for N2O. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Quality control for 1.B.2 category was performed on the basis of QA/QC plan. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. IEFs are controlled and they are all in the range of 2006 IPCC default values. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this category. 148 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 148 Energy 1 Planned Improvement: In order to increase the tiers for CH4 emission estimation, availability of detailed information have been searched. It is planned to continue the investigation to find out the availability or possibility of availability of appropriate data for higher tiers. 3.4. CO2 Transport and Storage (Category 1.C) Source Category Description: This source category covers only fugitive CO2 from pipeline transportation of CO2. This source category is not a key category. CO2 emissions were calculated on the basis of pipeline length as 0.126 kt for whole 1990-2017 period. Methodological Issues: CO2 emissions from 1C sector were calculated by using 2006 IPCC Tier 1 approaches by TurkStat. Pipeline length was obtained from Turkish Petroleum Incorporation. Pipeline length has not changed with respect to the previous inventory year. Fugitive CO2 emissions from CRF category 1C were estimated by using 2006 IPCC Guidelines default EFs. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD were taken from Turkish Petroleum Incorporation. AD uncertainty was considered 2% as indicated in Table 2.15 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2. Since AD have been taken directly from the company uncertainty level for survey data were considered and to be conservative the maximum uncertainty value was used. EFs uncertainty was taken from 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.2 Table 5.2. Uncertainty values were considered as 200% for CO2. Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this category. Planned Improvement: There is no planned improvement for this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 149 149 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4. INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES AND PRODUCT USE (CRF Sector 2) 4.1. Sector Overview The GHG emissions from industrial processes and product use are released as a result of manufacturing processes. It means this category includes only emissions from processes and not from fuel combustion used to supply energy for carrying out the processes. For that reason, emissions from industrial processes are referred to as non-combustion. Industrial processes whose contribution to CO2 emissions were identified as key category are production of cement, lime and iron and steel, HFCs from product uses as ODS substitutes, and other process uses of carbonates in different industrial activities. The total GHG emissions from industrial processes and product use is 75 135.8 CO2 eq. for the year 2021 which is 14.5% of the total emissions including LULUCF sector and 13.3% of all emissions excluding LULUCF in Türkiye. The most important GHG emission sources of IPPU in 2021 were cement production with 7.8% and iron and steel production 2.1% shares of the total national GHG emissions excluding LULUCF. Table 4.1 Industrial processes and product use sector emissions, 2021 (kt CO2 eq.) GHG sources and sink categories Industrial processes and product use A. Mineral industry B. Chemical industry CH4 N2O HFCs/ PFCs/SF6 65 735 17 2 023 7 361 75 136 50 616 NA NA NA 50 616 CO2 Total 2 114 NO,IE,NA 2 023 NA 4 137 12 836 17 NA 57 12 909 170 NA,NE NA,NE NA 170 NA NA NA 65 65 F. Product uses as ODS substitutes NA NA NA 7 210 7 210 G. Other product manufacture and use NA NA NA 29 29 NE,NA NE,NA NA NA NE,NA C. Metal industry D. Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use E. Electronic Industry H. Other The main gas emitted by the IPPU sector was CO2, contributing 87.5% (65 735 kt) of the sector emissions in 2021. HFCs, PFCs and SF6 contributed 9.8% (7 361 kt CO2 eq.) while the share of N2O emissions was 2.7% (2 023 CO2 eq.) and CH4 emissions was 0.02% (17 kt CO2 eq.). 150 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 150 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.2 Industrial processes and product use emissions by gas, 1990- 2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Years CO2 CH4 N2O HFCs PFCs SF6 Total 1990 21 312 8 1 064 NO 473 NO 22 856 1995 24 102 8 1 004 NO 409 NO 25 523 2000 24 804 9 847 116 409 13 26 199 2005 31 325 9 1 353 1 147 399 18 34 251 2010 43 889 10 1 653 3 054 388 65 49 060 2011 48 346 11 1 741 3 433 363 67 53 961 2012 49 879 13 1 776 4 257 271 69 56 266 2013 52 788 13 1 786 4 471 200 69 59 327 2014 53 043 14 1 808 4 930 187 75 60 057 2015 53 259 15 1 454 4 818 91 82 59 719 63 754 2016 57 290 17 1 219 5 111 37 80 2017 60 052 16 1 156 5 256 25 123 66 628 2018 60 713 17 1 823 5 040 10 134 67 738 2019 51 120 16 2 017 5 677 17 156 59 003 2020 59 261 16 2 006 6 498 10 172 67 962 2021 65 735 17 2 023 7 210 7 144 75 136 Table 4.3 presents the development of the emissions for the IPPU sector. Total emissions from industrial process and product use increased by 228.7% between 1990 (22 856.1 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (75 135.8 kt CO2 eq.). Table 4.3 Overview of industrial processes and product use sector emissions, 1990-2021 A. Mineral industry Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) B. Chemical industry (kt CO2 eq.) (%) C. Metal industry (kt CO2 eq.) (%) D. Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use (kt CO2 eq.) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 13 17 18 23 34 36 37 40 40 40 43 46 46 38 47 424 548 418 246 087 237 315 539 885 304 821 473 212 547 078 58.7 68.8 70.3 67.9 69.5 67.2 66.3 68.3 68.1 67.5 68.7 69.8 68.2 65.3 69.3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 629 476 061 944 903 752 968 579 784 792 159 897 346 144 091 7.1 5.8 4.1 5.7 3.9 5.1 5.3 4.3 4.6 4.7 3.4 2.8 4.9 5.3 4.5 7 6 6 7 9 10 11 11 10 11 12 12 12 11 11 620 296 313 451 519 617 051 135 984 457 439 731 805 381 047 33.3 24.7 24.1 21.8 19.4 19.7 19.6 18.8 18.3 19.2 19.5 19.1 18.9 19.3 16.3 183 203 277 446 432 854 606 534 399 266 146 152 206 138 134 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 0.9 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 22 25 26 34 49 53 56 59 60 59 63 66 67 59 67 856 523 199 251 060 961 266 327 057 719 754 628 738 003 962 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2021 50 616 67.4 4 137 5.5 12 909 17.2 170 0.2 75 136 100.0 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 (%) Industrial Processes and Product Use Total 151151 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.3 Overview of industrial processes and product use sector emissions, 1990-2021 (cont’d)* Year 1990 1995 2000 E. Electronic industry (kt CO2 eq.) (%) - 0.0 - F. Product uses as ODS substitutes (kt CO2 eq.) - (%) 0.0 - 0.0 Industrial Processes and Product Use Total G. Other product manufacture and use (kt CO2 eq.) - (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 22 856 100.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 25 523 100.0 116 0.4 13 0.1 26 199 100.0 0.0 1 147 3.3 18 0.1 34 251 100.0 0.0 2005 - 2010 42 0.1 3 054 6.2 23 0.0 49 060 100.0 2011 42 0.1 3 433 6.4 25 0.0 53 961 100.0 2012 42 0.1 4 257 7.6 26 0.0 56 266 100.0 2013 42 0.1 4 471 7.5 27 0.0 59 327 100.0 2014 42 0.1 4 930 8.2 33 0.1 60 057 100.0 2015 42 0.1 4 817 8.1 40 0.1 59 719 100.0 2016 42 0.1 5 111 8.0 36 0.1 63 754 100.0 2017 45 0.1 5 256 7.9 73 0.1 66 628 100.0 2018 57 0.1 5 040 7.4 71 0.1 67 738 100.0 2019 58 0.1 5 676 9.6 58 0.1 59 003 100.0 2020 59 0.1 6 498 9.6 57 0.1 67 962 100.0 2021 65 0.1 7 210 9.6 29 0.0 75 136 100.0 *The icon “-“ indicates notation keys “NO, NA, IE” as shown in the table. Figure 4.1 Emissions from industrial processes and product use by subsector, 2021 C. Metal industry 17.2 A. Mineral industry 67.4 F. Product uses as ODS substitutes 9.6 B. Chemical industry 5.5 The mineral industry contributed 67.4% of the IPPU sector’s emissions, the metal industry contributed 17.2%, product uses as ODS substitutes contributed 9.6%, while the chemical industry contributed 5.5% in 2021. The average shares of the mineral industry, metal industry and chemical industry between the years 1990-2021 are 67.9%, 22.6% and 4.7%, respectively. 152 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 152 Industrial Processes and Product Use The increases in sectoral emissions observed over the longer term are principally due to growth in emissions associated with the mineral industry, predominantly cement production, and metal industry, primarily iron and steel production. The increases in emissions in these sectors are because of the industrial growth and the increased demand for construction materials. Each source category’s contribution to total emissions and to sectoral trends within the IPPU sector between 1990 and 2021 is shown in Figure 4.2. Figure 4.2 Emissions from industrial processes and product use by subsector, 1990–2021 80 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 A. C. E. G. Mineral industry Metal industry Electronic Industry Other product manufacture and use 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 10 000 B. Chemical industry D. Non-energy products from fuels and solvent use F. Product uses as ODS substitutes 4.2. Mineral Industry (Category 2.A) Non-fuel CO2 emissions from cement and lime production and from limestone and dolomite use, glass production as well as emissions from ceramics production, soda ash use and non-metallurgical magnesia production are reported in this category. Figure 4.3 presents the share of CO2 emissions in this category for the year 2021. The dominant sector is cement production having a 87.4% share of CO2 emissions in the mineral industry. The second and third sectors are other process uses of carbonates and lime production having 5.6% and 5.4% share of CO2 emissions. Glass production is responsible for 1.6% of emissions in the mineral industry. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 153153 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.3 Share of CO2 emissions from mineral production, 2021 Lime production 5.4% Cement production 87.4% Glass production 1.6% Other process uses of carbonates 5.6% 4.2.1. Cement production (Category 2.A.1) Source Category Description: Cement production causes CO2 emissions due to calcination reaction of limestone during production and these emissions are reported under 2.A.1 CRF category. Moreover, cement production is an energy intensive process. Heating up the kiln with its load to such a high temperature is extremely energy consuming. Most of the kilns in Türkiye uses coal, petroleum coke, lignite as the primary energy source. The emissions due to combusting of these fuels to heat up the kilns are included in 1.A.2f CRF category. In cement production, limestone is fed to the cement kiln and heated up to 1400-1500 °C to produce lime. At this temperature calcium carbonate (CaCO3) breaks into lime (CaO) and carbon dioxide (CO2). The reaction is shown below. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� → 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 + 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� Then, silica containing materials are combined with the lime to make the clinker. Clinker is the most important intermediate product for cement production. It is also traded as a commodity. Cement is produced by mixing and grinding the clinker with small amount of gypsum and potentially other materials (e.g slag). All the CO2 emissions are released from the kilns during the clinker production step. Figure 4.4 below shows the trend at clinker production and the related CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2021. 154 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 154 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.4 Trend at clinker, cement production and related CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 90 000 (kt) Cement Production 80 000 70 000 60 000 Clinker Production 50 000 40 000 30 000 CO2 emissions 20 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 10 000 Türkiye started cement production in 1911 and Türkiye was a cement importer till 1970s. Türkiye started exporting cement in 1978. By 2021, Türkiye is the Europe's biggest cement producer with its 84 million tons of clinker production capacity and the production plants are distributed all over the country because transportation costs in the cement sector is quite high. In Türkiye mostly portland cement is produced. Slag cement, puzzolan added cement and their modifications are also produced. As can be seen from the figures above, CO2 emissions increased by 323.4% between 1990 and 2021. Construction sector and cement export are the strongest drivers in the cement sector. Except some minor reductions in 2001 due to Türkiye's economic recessions and in 2015 due to conflict at Türkiye's southern neighborhood (Syria and Iraq), cement industry showed a continuous growth untill 2018. In 2018 and 2019 cement production decreased due to contraction in domestic demand. In 2021 clinker production was 84 025 kt and it caused 44 227 kt of CO2 emission. By 2021, cement production increased by 8,9% with respect to 2020. Methodological Issues: Estimation of CO2 emissions is accomplished by applying a country-specific EF, in tonnes of CO2 released per tonnes of clinker produced, to the annual national clinker output, corrected with the fraction of clinker that is lost from the kiln in the form of cement kiln dust (CKD). This is the T2 methodology in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines as illustrated below. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 155155 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions = MCl ∙ EFCl ∙ CFCKD Where: CO2 Emissions = emissions of CO2 from cement production, tonnes MCl = weight (mass) of clinker produced, tonnes EFCl = emission factor for clinker, tonnes CO2/tonne clinker CFCKD = emissions correction factor for CKD, dimensionless Collection of activity data There are 54 cement plants in Türkiye. Most of the cement plants are members of Turkish Cement Manufacturers’ Association (TurkCimento) and they report their activity data to TurkCimento on monthly basis and TurkCimento publish the data as industry specific statistics on their website. Annual amount of national clinker production of Türkiye is gathered from the clinker production statistics of the TurkCimento website. The activity data of plants that are not member of TurkCimento, are collected with survey. Choice of emission factor In the 2016 inventory, data for the carbonate content in clinker was gathered from the production plants for the years 1990-2015. It was determined that the average weight percentage of CaO varies between 64% - 66% throughout the time series and was 65.8% in 2015. The corresponding EF in 2015 is 0.515913. This study reveals that CaO content does not vary through the years and was not iterated again for the latest inventory. Türkiye applies the IPCC default CKD correction factor of 1.02. In the following table, all the activity data and emission factors used for the emission calculation in the time series are shown. In addition, annual CO2 emissions from clinker production are tabulated. 156 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 156 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.4 CO2 emissions from cement production, 1990-2021 Clinker Production (kt) Cemet Production (kt) Cao Content (%) CO2 EF CKD CO2 Emission (kt) 1990 20 252 24 416 64.4 0.506 1.02 10 445 1995 27 094 33 140 65.2 0.511 1.02 14 133 2000 28 950 35 953 65.5 0.514 1.02 15 184 2005 36 382 42 787 65.6 0.515 1.02 19 117 2010 56 798 67 447 65.9 0.517 1.02 29 977 2011 59 579 69 643 66.0 0.518 1.02 31 454 2012 59 508 69 466 65.9 0.517 1.02 31 372 2013 64 482 76 484 65.7 0.516 1.02 33 913 2014 65 594 74 768 65.7 0.516 1.02 34 498 2015 65 433 74 401 65.7 0.516 1.02 34 441 2016 71 298 78 437 65.7 0.516 1.02 37 528 2017 74 985 83 735 65.7 0.516 1.02 39 469 2018 74 880 75 746 65.7 0.516 1.02 39 413 2019 61 458 59 511 65.7 0.516 1.02 32 349 2020 77 539 75 172 65.7 0.516 1.02 40 813 2021 84 025 81 881 65.7 0.516 1.02 44 227 Year Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The uncertainty value of the AD was estimated to be ±5% with error propagation equations. Although aggregated plant production data was used for the calculation, plant specific production data also gathered and their summation is compared with the aggregated production data that TurkCimento supplied and it is found that they are close for 2015. The uncertainty value of the EF is 2% due to chemical analysis of clinker to determine CaO percentage and default factor used for CKD. Moreover, Monte Carlo analysis has been carried out for the CO2 emissions from cement production for 2020 submission and it resulted with -5.35% to +5.37% combined uncertainty. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of cement production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Clinker production data is gathered by the TurkCimento and reported monthly on their website. The activity data of plants that are not member of TurkCimento, are collected with questionnaire. However, TurkCimento do not report on CaO contents in the clinker. The annual average CaO contents of all the cement factories are asked by a questionnaire and meanwhile clinker production amount of the factories is also asked for quality assurance purpose in 2017. Details of this study can be found in inventory submitted in 2018. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 157157 Industrial Processes and Product Use Moreover, the clinker production data gathered from the TurkCimento and PRODCOM (Turkish national industrial production statistics) are compared and found to be consistent. In 2018, one of the clinker production plant visited and discussed on CKD data. According to the researches, due to the production system is sealed, it was assumed there is no kiln dust. So, in its emission calculation, plants do not report CKD to the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. However, there is not enough information for other plants. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: No recalculations have been made to emissions from this category. Planned improvements: In the next years it is planned to collect data on plant specific CKD and carbonate content in clinker for updating country specific emission factor of clinker. 4.2.2. Lime production (Category 2.A.2) Source Category Description: The word lime refers to product obtained by calcining the limestone. The production of lime involves a series of steps which include quarrying the raw material, crushing and sizing, and calcination. Limestone is a naturally occurring and abundant rock that consists of high levels of calcium carbonate (and maybe some magnesium carbonate). Lime production begins by extracting limestone from quarries. Then limestone enters into a crusher and screened to obtain small pieces of limestone. Then the crushed and sized limestone particles are heated in the kiln. Heating up the limestone causes the calcination of the calcium carbonate molecules (and magnesium carbonate molecules if any). CO2 is generated during the calcination stage, when limestone (CaCO3) are burned at high temperature (900-1200°C) in a kiln to produce quicklime (CaO) and CO2 is released in the atmosphere. Magnesium carbonate (MgCO3) breaks into MgO and CO2 in the same manner. 158 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 158 Industrial Processes and Product Use The calcination reactions are shown below in the chemical equations. CaCO3 → CaO + CO2 MgCO3 → MgO + CO2 Lime production results in CO2 emissions due to calcination reaction of limestone during production and these emissions are reported under 2.A.2 CRF category. Moreover, lime production is an energy intensive process. Heating up the kiln with its load to such a high temperature is extremely energy consuming. Most of the kilns in Türkiye uses coal, petroleum coke, lignite as the primary energy source. The emissions due to combusting of these fuels to heat up the kilns are included in 1.A.2.f CRF category. In Türkiye lime is produced by a wide range of technology from old fashioned kilns to computer controlled plants. Most of the lime plants in Türkiye are technologically new or modified to best available technologies. The old technology lime plants are minority in Türkiye and their number is decreasing every year. Lime producers can be divided into two sub-categories, producers for the market and producers for their own internal consumption. Sugar refiners, soda ash manufacturers, and iron steel manufacturers produce lime for their own use. Sugar refiners and soda ash producers however use the produced CO2 in their process steps and CO2 is absorbed. Therefore, lime production of the sugar refiners and soda ash producers do not contribute to the greenhouse gas inventory. For sugar refining process, according to the information provided from Türkşeker which currently operates 15 sugar factories with capacities ranging from 1750 to 8500 tons of beet per day, lime used in treatment process is produced in the lime quarries at the factory sites. Limestone and coke mixture is supplied to the lime kiln. After limestone decomposes into lime and CO2, lime is quenched with water and lime milk is prepared to be used to remove impurities from raw sugar juice. The CO2 drawn from the upper part of the furnace is used to precipitate the excess lime used in the treatment.4 The CO2 emitted is reabsorbed into the lime cake and emissions are balanced by the CO2 sink in sugar production. Almost all of the lime produced in Türkiye is quick lime and dolomitic lime. There is also some minor amount of hydraulic lime production in Türkiye. However, it is known to be negligible amount of production with respect to total lime production. The figure 4.5 shows the trend at lime production and the related CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2021. The lime produced in Türkiye is mostly used in the manufacturing and construction sector. Emissions from lime production are increased by 22.3% between 1990 and 2021. It is seen in the graph, emissions are decreased remarkably in 1992, in 2000-2001 period and in 2008-2009 period due to slow down of 4 Türkşeker website, Sugar production technology, https://www.turkseker.gov.tr/?ModulID=3&MenuID=55 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 159159 Industrial Processes and Product Use the construction sector and economic recessions. The emissions from lime production seems to be going to increase in the future since manufacturing and construction sectors grow overall and the demand for lime increases. Figure 4.5 CO2 emissions from lime production, 1990-2021 3000 (kt) 2500 2000 1500 1000 2019 2020 2021 2016 2017 2018 2013 2014 2015 2009 2010 2011 2012 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2004 2005 1999 2000 2001 1995 1996 1997 1998 1992 1993 1994 0 1990 1991 500 Methodological Issues: The formula below is used to calculate emission from lime production. Where: CO2 emissions = (Mql – Mcl) ∙ EFql + Mdl ∙ EFdl CO2 emissions = emissions of CO2 from lime production, tonnes Mql = Production of quick lime Mcl= Amount of captive lime (non emissive quick lime production) Mdl= Production of dolomitic lime EFql = Emission factor for quick lime EFdl= Emission factor for dolomitic lime In sugar industry lime is produced for sugar refining. Both the quick lime and the CO2 is used for precipitating the impurities in the sugar. In the Turkish inventory it is assumed that all the CO2 produced in lime production for sugar refining is precipitating and no CO2 is emitted. Also in the soda ash production with solvay process, lime is produced and the resulting CO2 is used in the process as an intermediate product. It is assumed that all the CO2 produced from limestone in the soda ash production process is captured and no CO2 emitted. Therefore, the lime produced for sugar industry and the soda ash production industry is deducted from the national lime production data and the emissions are calculated accordingly. Consistent with the use of the Tier 1 method, Türkiye does not make any corrections to estimated emissions to account for emissions from production of hydrated lime or lime kiln dust. 160 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 160 Industrial Processes and Product Use Collection of activity data Quick lime (CaO) production data are collected from the Lime Producers Association (KISAD). KISAD gathers about 88% (by 2015) of all the lime production data either by asking to member production plants or searching for the activity reports of other producers. The remaining 12% is estimated by KISAD using the lime import and export data and related activity data in the industry. In addition, sectoral lime consumption data is also taken from KISAD and therefore the amount of captive lime (lime produced for sugar industry and soda ash production industry) is obtained. The dolomitic lime is mostly used in the steel production. The dolomitic lime consumption data were collected from steel plants and the sum is assumed to be the national dolomitic lime production data. Table 4.5 Lime production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 Year Quick Lime Production Quick Lime produced for synthetic soda ash production 1990 4 000 233 1995 4 090 334 Quick Lime produced for sugar industry 182 (kt) Dolomitic lime production County specific emission factor CO2 Emissions 47 0.617 2 249 64 0.638 2 357 1 645 140 2000 3 241 473 272 72 0.637 2005 3 584 506 224 106 0.646 1 925 147 0.687 1 711 2 031 2010 3 225 703 195 2011 3 819 747 301 171 0.685 2012 4 621 666 356 180 0.688 2 615 2 486 2013 4 400 715 300 174 0.695 2014 4 443 704 315 171 0.694 2 507 158 0.693 2 429 2 660 2015 4 325 683 313 2016 4 695 713 328 167 0.693 2017 4 868 863 342 189 0.693 2 684 188 0.693 2 787 2 565 2018 4 984 871 300 2019 4 750 917 320 169 0.693 2020 4 964 790 320 177 0.693 2 807 203 0.693 2 751 2021 5 024 940 340 Choice of emission factor Country specific emission factor is used for quick lime whereas default emission factor is used for dolomitic lime (0.77 tonnes CO2 per tonne lime) from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. For calculating the country specific emission factor of quick lime, factories are asked for their amount of production and the CaO content of their product in 2016. By averaging on weight basis, the country specific CaO content of quick lime is calculated. Due to the stable trend in CaO content, this study was not iterated for the latest inventory and the 2015 value was used for the 2016-2021 inventories. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 161161 Industrial Processes and Product Use Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: There is uncertainty due to not collecting data from each of the production plant but estimating some amount of the production. In addition, there is uncertainty associated with assuming the dolomitic lime production is equal to the consumption of dolomitic lime in steel industry. Overall ±10% uncertainty for the activity data is estimated. The uncertainty value of the EF is estimated to be ±2 % based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Monte Carlo simulation was carried out to estimate uncertainty in CO2 emissions from lime category. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated at -16.87% to +17.92%. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Plant specific lime production data from KISAD is compared with ILA (International Lime Association) Although ILA report is based on the sales, KISAD data and ILA data are found to be consistent. ILA reports 4 700 kt of lime sales in Türkiye while KISAD reports 4 750 kt of lime production in Türkiye in 20195. In addition, Türkiye's 8th five years’ development plan released an annex special to building materials. One part of this report was allocated for the lime production in Türkiye and it includes historical lime production data for the years 1994-1998 which are exactly the same with our lime production data for those years in the time series. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculations: No recalculations have been made for this sector except for a rounding correction to the activity data for lime in 2019 and 2020. 5 162 https://www.internationallime.org/world-lime-production/ Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 162 Industrial Processes and Product Use Planned Improvement: It is planned to obtain a country specific emission factor for dolomitic lime in next submissions. 4.2.3. Glass production (Category 2.A.3) Source Category Description: A variety of raw materials are involved during glass production. Limestone, dolomite and soda ash are the carbonates that compose the majority of raw materials. These carbonates emit CO2 when heated (calcined) during the glass production and it is reported under 2.A.3 CRF category. Glass makers also use a certain amount of recycled scrap glass (cullet). Cullet usage decreases the raw material consumption and hence it reduces the costs and CO2 emissions. During glass production carbon based fuels are burnt in order to melt the glass batch and as a result of this CO2 emissions, which are reported under 1.A.2.f CRF category, are emitted. Turkish glass industry produces various type of glasses with different chemical and physical properties. Türkiye's glass sector comprises the three main categories: container (household goods and bottles), float glass and fiber glass. The majority of the glass production is container and flat glass in all the time series. Turkish glass industry has roots back to the establishment of Paşabahçe in 1935 with a production capacity of only 3 kt. Türkiye glass industry production reached 4.8 Mt in 2021 and it was 3.4 Mt in 2015. Since the Turkish glass industry does not have an advantage in terms of raw material and energy costs compared to its European peers, capacity utilization rates of the industry are the key indicator of the competitive edge and profitability. The industry depicted a tremendous growth trend either through capacity additions or through new product initiations between 1990 (1.13 Mt molten glass produced) and 2021 (4.8 Mt molten glass produced), increasing 328%. The trend in CO2 emissions from glass production is given in the Figure 4.6. The emissions are increasing in general due to increasing glass production in Türkiye. The time series shows a considerable decrease in 2009 due to effects of global economic recession in that year. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 163163 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.6 CO2 emissions from glass production, 1990-2021 900 (kt) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 100 Methodological Issues: Estimation is based on the T3 method described in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Specifically, the calculation based on accounting for the carbonate input to the glass melting furnace 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 = �(𝑀𝑀� ∙ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ∙ 𝐹𝐹� ) � Where: CO2 emissions = emissions of CO2 from glass production, tonnes EFi = emission factor for particular carbonate i,tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate Mi =weight or mass of the carbonate i consumed (mined), tones Fi = fraction calcination achieved for the carbonate i, fraction Collection of activity data Türkiye produces float glass, container glass (including household glassware) and fiberglass for insulation. Total glass production of Türkiye is done by 6 companies. Activity data of molten glass production by glass type and carbonate input directly from the plants for all the years 1990-2021. In the following table, total CO2 emissions and glass production by type are given. 164 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 164 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.6 Molten glass production and CO2 emissions by type of glass, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Total Glass Production Float Glass 1990 1 129 650 1995 1 290 2000 1 934 2005 Container (households +bottles) Fiberglass CO2 Emissions 456 23 111 625 643 22 120 974 922 38 199 2 175 1 016 1 085 74 280 2010 2 800 1 452 1 294 54 402 2011 3 169 1 746 1 348 75 464 2012 3 106 1 525 1 499 82 467 2013 3 186 1 624 1 485 77 476 2014 3 560 1 876 1 618 66 520 2015 3 444 1 661 1 718 65 526 2016 3 982 1 996 1 934 52 588 2017 4 375 2 305 2 023 48 686 2018 4 494 2 253 2 207 34 663 2019 4 498 2 102 2 330 66 734 2020 4 349 1 856 2 433 60 697 2021 4 834 2 152 2 608 75 807 According to the figures in table above, glass production shows a steady increase by the year 2002 after the economic recession years of 1999-2001 of Türkiye (1 681kt in 1999 and 1 870 kt in 2002). The production decreased in the year 2009 (2 174 kt) due to the global economic recession. In 2020 total glass production slightly decrease and become 4 349 kt in 2020. In 2021 glass production was 4 834 kt and it caused 807.1 kt of CO2 emission. By 2021, glass production increased by 11.2% with respect to 2020. Choice of emission factor CO2 emissions are calculated using the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 3 default EFs for the carbonates (Table 2.1). The emission factors for each type of carbonate are given below. Table 4.7 EFs for carbonates, 1990-2021 Carbonate Sodium carbonate or soda ash Limestone Dolomite EF (tonnes CO2/tonne carbonates) 0.41492 0.43971 0.47732 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 165165 Industrial Processes and Product Use Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Due to emissions from glass production are estimated based on the carbonate input (Tier 3), the emission factor uncertainty is relatively low because the emission factor is based on a stoichiometric ratio. There may be some uncertainty associated with assuming that there is 100 percent calcination of the carbonate input (1%). Emission factor uncertainty is assumed as 3% while the emission factor for activity data is assumed %3 under the Tier 3 approach. Uncertainty for CO2 emissions from category 2.A.3 was quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation for 2020 submission. The Monte Carlo analysis resulted with (-9.63%,+9.82%) combined uncertainty. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The data used in Glass Production category is collected directly from these plants by questionaire for all the years 1990-2021. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: A new plant’s data which has launced operation by the year 2018 included in the calculations resulted with an average increase of 16 kt CO2 between the years 2018-2020. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 166 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 166 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.2.4. Other process uses of carbonates (Category 2.A.4) The category, other process uses of carbonates, is a key category. In this category, emissions from ceramics, bricks and roof tile production, other uses of soda ash and non-metallurgical magnesia production are reported. Figure 4.7 CO2 emissions from other uses of carbonates, 1990-2021 b. Other uses of soda ash 2.6% c. Nonmetallurgical magnesium production 11.8% a. Ceramics 85.6% Figure 4.7 shows the share of CO2 emissions in other uses of carbonates for 2021. The major sector is ceramics production having a 85.6% ( 2 423.4 kt) share of CO2 emissions of other uses of carbonates. The second sector is non-metallurgical magnesium production shares 11.8% (335.3 kt) and third other uses of soda ash sector shares 2.6% (72.6 kt) of CO2 emissions of other uses of carbonates. 4.2.4.1. Ceramics (Category 2.A.4.a) Source Category Description: Ceramics production is a source of CO2 emissions since raw materials like limestone and magnesite are calcined during manufacturing. Moreover, ceramic production is an energy intensive process. Heating up the ceramics to such a high temperature for calcination is extremely energy consuming. Most of the ceramic manufacturers in Türkiye use natural gas for this purpose. The emissions due to combusting of fuels to heat up the ceramics are included in 1.A.2.f CRF category. Ceramics include the production of vitrified clay pipes, refractory products, expanded clay products, wall and floor tiles, table and ornamental ware, sanitary ware, bricks and tile. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 167167 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from ceramic production show an increasing trend for the years 1990-2017 overall. In 2021, ceramic production and the resulting CO2 emissions decreased by 24.7% with respect to 2017. Figure 4.8 CO2 emissions, by raw materials type, from ceramics, 1990-2021 3 500 (kt) 3 000 Clay 2 500 Magnesite 2 000 Dolomite 1 500 Limestone Calcite 1 000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 500 Methodological Issues: The T2 method is used to estimate emissions from the ceramics industry. The method requires consumption data for each of the raw materials consumed, and multiplying by the respective emission factor for the carbonate to estimate CO2 emissions. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 = �(𝑀𝑀� ∙ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) Where: CO2 emissions = emissions of CO2from other process uses of carbonates, tonnes Mi = mass of limestone or dolomite respectively (consumption), tonnes. EFi = emission factor for carbonate calcination, tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate Collection of activity data Calcite, limestone, dolomite, magnesite and hydro-magnesite are consumed as raw materials in the ceramics industry. Production of ceramic tile and sanitary ware and carbonate consumption data (see the following table) are gathered from the Turkish Ceramics Federation for the time series 1990-2018. The amount of bricks and tile are gathered by Turkish Statistical Institute for the years 1990-1999 and 2005- 168 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 168 Industrial Processes and Product Use 2021. Data gaps for the years 2000-2004 is estimated. In this calculation following assumptions are made by using one of the plant data, 1 m3 brick= 600 kg, 1 brick = 4 kg, 1 tile = 3 kg, Kg clay = 1.3*kg bricks and tile Table 4.8 Raw material consumption and production, 1990-2021 Raw Material (kt) Calcite Limestone Dolomit Product (kt) Magnesitehydro magnesite Clay Ceramic Tile Sanitary ware Bricks and Tile Total Product (kt) 1990 7 278 7 240 5 832 884 47 4 486 5 417 1995 15 544 15 469 6 712 1 819 78 5 163 7 060 2000 25 968 25 834 6 675 2 975 114 5 135 8 224 2005 37 1 464 37 1 262 7 685 4 437 237 5 911 10 585 2010 35 1 373 35 1 184 13 211 4 165 220 10 162 14 547 2011 37 1 458 37 1 257 19 296 4 420 245 14 843 19 508 2012 40 1 572 40 1 355 35 064 4 760 260 26 972 31 992 2013 47 1 842 47 1 588 51 828 5 610 270 39 868 45 748 2014 43 1 685 43 1 453 46 289 5 100 280 35 607 40 987 2015 46 1 786 46 1 540 30 327 5 280 300 23 329 28 909 2016 47 1 854 47 1 598 31 069 5 610 310 23 899 29 819 2017 49 1 912 49 1 675 47 482 5 755 352 36 525 42 632 2018 241 1 912 127 1 675 31 109 6 030 350 23 930 30 310 2019 241 1 912 127 1 675 20 091 6 030 350 15 454 21 834 2020 241 1 912 127 1 675 18 528 6 030 350 14 252 20 632 2021 241 1 912 127 1 675 17 598 6 030 350 13 537 19 917 Choice of emission factor Default EFs provided in table 2.1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines are applied to the total raw material consumption for the entire time series to estimate emissions. The following table shows the default emission factors used in the calculations. EF for clay is calculated by using 7% CS carbon content of clay and default emission factor of calcite and limestone. To determine the average carbon content in clay, 11 plants were asked their raw material analysis result. This reveal that average carbon content in clay is around 7%. Table 4.9 Carbonate EFs for all years in the time series Carbonate Calcite and limestone EF (tonnes CO2/ton carbonate) 0.43971 Dolomite 0.47732 Magnesite 0.52197 Clay 0.03077 Source: Table 2.1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Vol. 3 169 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 169 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from each raw material are given in the table below and in Figure 4.8. Table 4.10 CO2 emissions from raw material consumption, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Calcite Limestone Dolomite Magnesite Clay Total 1990 3.3 122.2 3.6 125.1 179.5 433.7 1995 6.7 239.1 7.2 244.7 206.6 704.4 2000 10.9 425.4 11.8 435.4 205.5 1 088.9 2005 16.4 643.6 17.8 658.7 236.5 1 573.1 2010 15.4 603.9 16.7 618.0 406.6 1 660.7 2011 16.4 641.0 17.8 656.0 593.9 1 925.1 2012 17.7 691.3 19.2 707.5 1079.3 2 514.9 2013 20.7 809.8 22.5 828.7 1595.3 3 276.9 2014 18.9 740.9 20.5 758.2 1424.7 2 963.4 2015 20.1 785.4 21.8 803.7 933.5 2 564.4 2016 20.8 815.3 22.6 834.3 956.3 2 649.3 2017 21.5 840.7 23.3 874.3 1461.5 3 221.3 2018 106.1 840.7 60.6 874.3 957.5 2 839.2 2019 106.1 840.7 60.6 874.3 618.4 2 500.1 2020 106.1 840.7 60.6 874.3 570.3 2 452.0 2021 106.1 840.7 60.6 874.3 541.7 2 423.4 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: As the EF is the stoichiometric ratio reflecting the amount of CO2 released upon calcination of the carbonate, the EF uncertainty in this category is relatively low. There is some uncertainty associated with assuming a fractional purity of limestone and dolomite in cases where only carbonate rock data are available (±1-5%). AD uncertainties are greater than the uncertainties associated with EFs. Although there is a significant amount of roof tiles and bricks production in Türkiye, unfortunately there is no verified activity data for this type of production. Only ceramic tiles and sanitary ware productions were taken into account. Therefore, for this category AD uncertainty is considered as 30% while the EF uncertainty is considered 2% which is in line with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 3 (page 2.39). 170 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 170 Industrial Processes and Product Use Category 2.A.4.a employed a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis which causes a combined uncertainty range (-19.24%, +20.79%) for CO2 emissions in 2020 submission. Detailed explanation of Approach 2 method is in Uncertainty part of this inventory report (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Additionally, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculations Due to total bricks and tiles production data updated in PRODCOM database, emissions from ceramics category show an average decrease of 2 kt CO2 between the years 2005-2020. Planned Improvements Ceramic production data were gathered from Turkish Ceramics Federation until the federation had judicial issues regarding data collection from its members in 2020. As a result of this situation, TurkStat launched studies for estimating emissions of ceramics sector from other data sources. Calculations will be examined in next submissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 171171 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.2.4.2. Other uses of soda ash (Category 2.A.4.b) Source Category Description: In this category, emissions from soda ash consumption are considered. CO2 emissions from soda ash used in glass manufacturing industry are included in Glass Production. There are no other uses of soda ash included elsewhere in the Turkish Inventory. Since soda ash is an important intermediate product primarily for the glass industry and detergent industry and it is used in many other industries. Soda ash consumption increased dramatically between 1990 (315 kt) and 2021 (1 050 kt) as the Turkish industry grew. During the 2001 and 2008 economic recessions, soda ash consumption decreased remarkably. Since 2010 consumption has increased driven by the growth of the glass industry in particular and the growth of Turkish industry in general. In 2021 the GHG release due to the apparent consumption of soda ash is 73 kt of CO2. Figure 4.9 CO2 emissions from other use of soda ash, 1990-2021 250 (kt) 200 150 100 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 50 Methodological Issues: Türkiye does not collect annual statistics on soda ash consumption by industry; instead the apparent consumption of soda ash is calculated by adding imports data to production data and then subtracting exports and the usage in the glass sector. In this methodology it is assumed that all of the apparent consumption of soda ash is emissive. 172 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 172 Industrial Processes and Product Use Collection of activity data Apparent consumption is calculated by the following formula. Total Consumption = Soda ash production +Imports – Exports Apparent Consumption = Total Consumption – Use in Glass Industry Total production values are gathered from the two soda ash producer plants while foreign trade statistics are provided by TurkStat. The data for the amount of soda ash used in the glass sector is estimated from the glass production data which was obtained from glass producer plants. Choice of emission factor The default EF (0.41492 tonnes CO2 /tonnes product) taken from Table 2.1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 3, Chapter 2 is applied for the full time series. Total consumption, use in glass industry, apparent consumption and CO2 emissions from soda ash consumption are given in the following table. Table 4.11 Activity data for the other use of soda ash and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total Consumption 315 385 601 749 807 939 918 915 944 897 1 017 914 1 180 1 168 848 1 050 Use in Glass Industry 116 125 221 301 441 509 510 520 561 623 637 746 733 800 742 875 Apparent Consumption 199 259 380 448 366 430 409 395 383 274 380 168 447 368 106 175 CO2 Emissions 83 108 158 186 152 178 170 164 159 114 158 70 186 153 44 73 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: AD uncertainty for this source is considered ±10% due to using national statistics and using a general apparent consumption calculation formula. Because a default EF based on stoichiometry is used for the emission calculation, uncertainty for the EF is defined as ±2%. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 173173 Industrial Processes and Product Use Moreover, Monte Carlo analysis has been carried out for the CO2 emissions from other uses of soda ash production for 2020 submission and it resulted with a range of -30.14% to +29.94% combined uncertainty. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of other uses of soda ash production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. There are three plants in Türkiye producing soda ash. The production data of these two plants and Turkish soda ash export data are compared together and the data are found to be consistent. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculations: Due to a new glass producer data included in the calculations, the recalculation of emissions from other uses of soda ash resulted with an average decrease of 6.8 kt CO2 between the years 2018-2020. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 4.2.4.3. Non metallurgical magnesia production (Category 2.A.4.c) Source Category Description: This source category should include emissions from magnesia (MgO) production that are not included elsewhere. Magnesite (MgCO3) is one of the key inputs into the production of magnesia, and ultimately fused magnesia. There are three major categories of magnesia products: calcined magnesia, dead burned magnesia (periclase) and fused magnesia. Calcined magnesia is used in many agricultural and industrial applications (e.g., feed supplement to cattle, fertilizers, electrical insulations and flue gas desulphurisation). Deadburned magnesia is used predominantly for refractory applications, while fused magnesia is used in refractory and electrical insulating markets. 174 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 174 Industrial Processes and Product Use Magnesia (MgO) is produced by calcining magnesite (MgCO3) which results in the release of CO2 as shown in the chemical reaction below; 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀� → 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 + 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� Depending on the calcination temperature, calcined magnesia or deadburned magnesia is produced. Deadburned magnesia requires higher temperatures and its purity is higher than calcined magnesia in terms of MgO. Fused magnesia is produced in the electrical arc furnaces at very high temperatures and it is the purest among all. The figure below shows the CO2 emissions from total magnesia production between 1990 and 2021. Figure 4.10 CO2 emissions from magnesia production, 1990-2021 400 (kt) 350 300 250 200 150 100 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 50 Methodological Issues: Türkiye implements Tier 1 method. CO2 emissions are calculated by using magnesia production (calcined production + deadburned magnesia) as AD and multiplied by the default IPCC EF. There is no significant amount of fused magnesia production in Türkiye. Collection of Activity Data The magnesia production data are collected from the magnesia producers. There are seven plants that are producing magnesia in Türkiye. Each of them were asked for their activity data by a questionnaire. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 175175 Industrial Processes and Product Use Choice of Emission Factor The default IPCC EF (0.52197 tonnes CO2 / tonne carbonate) taken from Table 2.1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 3, Chapter 2, is applied for all the time series. Table 4.12 Magnesia production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Magnesia production CO2 Emissions 1990 196.8 102.7 1995 242.5 126.6 2000 273.7 142.8 2005 316.6 165.3 2010 353.7 184.6 2011 353.2 184.4 2012 340.3 177.6 2013 426.8 222.8 2014 454.1 237.0 2015 441.4 230.4 2016 455.1 237.6 2017 658.1 343.5 2018 621.0 324.1 2019 473.1 247.0 2020 506.5 264.4 2021 642.3 335.3 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: AD is collected from the companies and all the 7 biggest producers are asked for their activity data. Therefore, the activity data uncertainty is 10%. Because the IPCC default EF is used for the emissions calculation, the uncertainty for the EF is defined as ±2%. Additionally, an uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 for 2.A.4.c category (Non metallurgical magnesia production) in 2020 submission. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated at the range of (-30.14%,+30.29%). For more detailed explanations please refer to Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. 176 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 176 Industrial Processes and Product Use Furthermore, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: No recalculations have been made to emissions from this category. Planned improvement: No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 4.3. Chemical Industry (Category 2.B) In 2021, the chemical industry was responsible for 5.5% of the total carbon dioxide equivalent emissions from the industrial processes and product use sector. Between 1990 (1 629 kt CO2 eq) and 2021 (4 137 kt CO2 eq.), total carbon equivalent emissions increased by 154%. The increase in emissions is driven exclusively by the increase in CO2 emissions from ammonia production, soda ash production and N2O emissions from nitric acid production. Figure 4.11 depicts the share of CO2 equivalent emissions from chemical industry. The CO2 eq. emissions from nitric acid production are (48.9%), followed by ammonia production (36%) and soda ash production (14.9%). Carbide use and petrochemical production are much smaller contributors to emissions (0.21% and 0.03%, respectively). There is no production of adipic acid, caprolactam, glyoxal, glyoxylic acid, or titanium dioxide produced in Türkiye, therefore emissions are reported as “NO” for these subcategories. Figure 4.11 CO2 emissions from chemical industry, 2021 Petrochemicals and carbon black production 0.03% Nitric acid production 48.90% Soda ash production 14.87% Carbide production 0.21% Ammonia production 35.99% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 177177 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.3.1. Ammonia production (Category 2.B.1) Source Category Description: Ammonia is a major industrial chemical and the most important nitrogenous material produced. Ammonia gas is used directly as a fertilizer, in heat treating, paper pulping, nitric acid and nitrates manufacture, nitric acid ester and nitro compound manufacture, explosives of various types, and as a refrigerant. Amines, amides, and miscellaneous other organic compounds, such as urea, are made from ammonia. Natural gas is used as the feedstock for ammonia production in Turkish production plants. CO2 is formed during reforming of natural gas for obtaining hydrogen and then it is reacted with nitrogen to synthesis ammonia. The overall reforming reaction and ammonia synthesis reactions are given below. Overall reforming reaction: 0.88CH4 + 1.26 Air + 1.24 H2O → 0.88CO2 + N2 +3H2 Ammonia synthesis reaction: N2 + 3H2 → 2NH3 Ammonia production requires the combustion of fuels for the energy demand of the process. Besides being used as feedstock, natural gas is also used for meeting the energy requirement of the process. Both the emissions due to the ammonia production process and the fuel combustion for the energy demand are included in 2.B.1 CFR category. To avoid double counting, the total quantities of natural gas used in ammonia production is subtracted from the quantity reported under energy use in the energy sector. IGSAS is one of three ammonia plants in Türkiye which started its operation in 1977. In 1993 second ammonia plant Gemlik Gubre and in 2020 third ammonia plant ETI Gubre started its operations. IGSAS also produces urea by using CO2 gas as feedstock. CO2 is separated from the synthesis gas in the decarbonising step within the ammonia production process. Then, some of the CO2 gas is used in the urea production process and the remaining gas is released to atmosphere. The chemical reaction that produces urea is: 2NH3 + CO2 → NH3 COONH4 → CO (NH2)2 + H2O The figure 4.12 shows the CO2 emissions from ammonia production as well as the amount of CO2 recovered. 178 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 178 Industrial Processes and Product Use Overall, between 1990 (425 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (1 489 kt CO2 eq.), emissions from ammonia production increased by 250.5%. There are large inter-annual changes in CO2 emissions from ammonia production. Rapid increases in emissions can be seen shortly after periods of economic downturns. In Türkiye; due to economic factors, there was no ammonia production in 2007 and 2009 as shown in the figure below. During these two years, ammonia was imported to meet domestic demand. Figure 4.12 CO2 emissions and removals from ammonia production, 1990-2021 2000 1800 CO2 Emission (kt) 1600 CO2 Removal (kt) 1400 Net CO2 emissions 1200 1000 800 600 400 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 200 Methodological Issues: In Türkiye all of the three ammonia production plants use natural gas as feedstock. Tier 2 method is used in accordance with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. As an initial step, the total fuel requirement (both as feedstock and as combusted fuel for energy demand) is estimated by determining the total quantity of ammonia produced and the fuel requirement per unit of output. In order to calculate CO2 emissions; the total fuel requirement is multiplied by the country-specific carbon content and the carbon oxidation factor. Where: 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 = �(𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴� ∙ 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹� ) � TFR= total natural gas requirement, GJ APj = ammonia production using natural gas in process type j, tonnes FRj = fuel requirement per unit of output in process type j, GJ/tonne ammonia produced 𝐸𝐸��� = �(𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 ∙ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 ∙ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 ∙ 44/12) − 𝑅𝑅�� Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 179179 Industrial Processes and Product Use Where: ECO2 = emissions of CO2, kg TFR= total fuel requirement for natural gas, GJ CCF= carbon content factor of natural gas, kg C/GJ COF= carbon oxidation factor of natural gas, fraction RCO2 = CO2 recovered for downstream use (urea production), kg Collection of activity data Ammonia production and fuel requirement data are obtained from producers on annual basis. The survey on ammonia production is sent to the producer companies every year. The producers inform that ammonia production and natural gas consumption data are measured by on-line flow meters in the process whereas urea production data is calculated from the raw material consumption. Due to the fact that there are only three ammonia producers in Türkiye, activity data are confidential. Therefore, production data are given as 1990=100 and all years are reported relative to ammonia production in 1990. The total amount of urea produced in ammonia plants is shown in the following table where the urea production data and the ammonia production data are given with respect to 1990=100 by years. Therefore, one can compare the urea production and the ammonia production by years. Türkiye assumes 0.733 tonnes of CO2 are required per tonnes of urea produced. This value is taken from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Table 4.13 Ammonia production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 180 Year Ammonia Production (1990=100) Urea Production (1990=100) CO₂ Emission (kt) CO₂ Removal (kt) Net CO₂ Emission (kt) 1990 100 100 915 491 425 1995 82 85 764 415 2000 15 14 158 70 2005 104 77 945 378 2010 21 17 201 82 2011 122 77 1232 376 2012 142 65 1360 321 2013 97 54 908 263 2014 107 35 993 174 2015 157 64 1503 314 2016 105 44 1002 215 2017 82 65 844 319 2018 150 74 1413 364 2019 97 68 893 333 2020 97 76 916 371 2021 183 75 1856 367 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 348 88 567 119 856 1039 645 818 1190 787 525 1050 560 545 1489 180 Industrial Processes and Product Use Choice of emission factor Türkiye applies the carbon content of natural gas and an oxidation factor to the total fuel requirement to estimate emissions. The carbon content of the natural gas is provided by BOTAS (Petroleum Pipeline Corporation) and it is the same as that used in the energy sector. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Because a country specific EF is used for the calculation of emissions from ammonia production, uncertainty is taken as ±5%. Consistent with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, due to the use of plant specific activity data, the uncertainty value for AD is considered as ±2%. In 2020 submission, uncertainty for CO2 emissions from category 2.B.1 was quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation. The MC analysis resulted with (-7.46%,+7.54%) combined uncertainty. Detailed information is in Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: There are three ammonia producers in the Turkish market. All producers utilize natural gas to produce ammonia and use the same process. Hence their implied emission factors are comparable. When compared they are found consistent. Furthermore, total ammonia production data of Türkiye obtained from the producers is checked with data from PRODCOM every year. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: A correction in carbon content factor of natural gas results increase in emissions from ammonia production for the years 2018 and 2019 with 11.1 kt CO2 and 14.9 kt CO2 respectively. Planned Improvement No further improvements are planned regarding this source. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 181181 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.3.2. Nitric acid production (Category 2.B.2) Source Category Description: Nitrous oxide (N2O) is emitted during the production of nitric acid which is a raw material mainly in the manufacturing of nitrogenous-based fertilizer. Nitric acid is also used in the production of explosives, for metal etching and in the processing of ferrous metals. In Türkiye; these are four nitric acid plants, IGSAS is in operation since 1961, Toros Tarım since 1972, Gemlik Gubre since 2006 and BAGFAS since 2015. These are medium pressure combustion plants. Some of these plants indicate their use of a selective catalytic reduction system. N2O emissions were relatively stable between 1990 (3.57 kt N2O) and 2004 (2.4 kt N2O). Emissions from nitric acid production is not stable between 2005 and 2009 as can be seen from the figure 4.13, this is due to a new nitric acid plant starts production in 2006. Moreover, one of the nitric acid plants starts using an abatement technology in 2008 which decreases its emission factor. N2O emissions reached in 2021 (6.79 kt N2O). In 2016 and 2017 N2O emissions was 4.09 kt and 3.9 kt it is much less than year 2014 due to dramatic decrease of production in one big capacity nitric acid plant. Figure 4.13 N2O emissions from nitric acid productions, 1990-2021 8 7 kt 6 5 4 3 2 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 1 Methodological Issues: N2O emissions from nitric acid production are not a key category in Türkiye. N2O emissions are calculated using the T1 method in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Total nitric acid production is multiplied by an emission factor as shown below. 182 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 182 Industrial Processes and Product Use Where: EN2O = EF ∙ NAP EN2O = N2O emissions, kg EF = N2O emission factor (default), kg N2O/tonne nitric acid produced NAP = nitric acid production, tonnes Collection of activity data Nitric acid production data were obtained from plants. A questionnaire is sent to nitric acid production plants every year and the production data is filled by the operators. Production data are reported for 100% concentration HNO3 and the quantities are determined by flow meters measuring the nitric acid production flow through the pipelines and a totalizer sums up to give the annular production data. Choice of emission factor There are four nitric acid production plants, IGSAS, Toros Tarım, Gemlik Gubre and BAGFAS. Emission factors are determined according to their usage of abatement technology and its efficiency. However, the emission factors for each plant and the total nitric acid production cannot be revealed due to confidentiality reasons between the years 1990 and 2015. Total nitric acid production is given in the table below. Table 4.14 Nitric acid production and N2O emissions, 1990-2021 Year Nitric acid production Total N2O emission (kt) 1990 C 3.57 1995 C 3.37 2000 C 2.84 2005 C 4.54 2010 C 5.55 2011 C 5.84 2012 C 5.96 2013 C 5.99 2014 C 6.07 2015 863 4.88 2016 771 4.09 2017 778 3.88 2018 1 066 6.12 2019 2020 2021 1 303 1 300 1 349 6.77 6.73 6.79 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 183183 Industrial Processes and Product Use Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines recommended default uncertainty value of ± 20% is used for the EF, consistent with the value in Table 3.3 for medium pressure combustion plants. Türkiye applies the default IPCC uncertainty value for AD uncertainty of ± 2%, which is in line with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 3 (page 3.25). Category 2.B.2 (Nitric acid production) employed a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis which causes a combined uncertainty as ±20.59% for N2O emissions in 2020 submission. Detailed explanation of Approach 2 method is in Uncertainty part of this inventory report (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Plant specific nitric acid production data, which are collected from the plants by an annual questionnaire for this inventory calculations, are compared with TurkStat PRODCOM -Turkish national industrial production statistics- and found consistent. According to the monitoring, reporting and verifying regulation, nitric acid plants are obliged to report their emissions to the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change by measuring their emissions with N2O gas monitoring device. Calculated and reported emissions are compared. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Furthermore, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Inconsistent activity data of a nitric asit producer changed retrospectively which results an average increase in emissions of 0.56 kt N2O for the years 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017. Planned Improvements: No further improvement are planned regarding this source. 184 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 184 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.3.3. Adipic acid production (Category 2.B.3) There is no adipic acid production in Türkiye during the period 1990-2021. 4.3.4. Caprolactam, glyoxal and glyoxylic acid production (Category 2.B.4) There is no caprolactam, glyoxal and glyoxylic acid production in Türkiye during the period 1990-2021. 4.3.5. Carbide production (Category 2.B.5) Source Category Description: The production of carbide can result in emissions of CO2, CH4, CO and SO2. Silicon carbide is a significant artificial abrasive. It is produced from silica sand or quartz and petroleum coke. Calcium carbide is used in the production of acetylene and as a reductant in electric arc furnaces. The acetylene is used for welding applications. Therefore, use of acetylene also results in emissions and it is accounted in the IPPU. Calcium carbide is produced by the reaction of metallurgical coke and lime under electric arc according to the reaction given below. CaO + 3C → CaC2 + CO (+ ½ O2 → CO2) Calcium carbide is used either as a reductant in the steel making process or the feedstock for acetylene production in Türkiye. Afterwards acetylene is used as fuel in the welding applications. The combustion of acetylene in welding applications give emissions according to the reaction given below and it is accounted in IPPU sector. CaC2 + 2H2O → Ca(OH)2 + C2H2 (+ 2.5 O2 → 2CO2 + H2O) In Türkiye there is no silicon carbide production. Calcium carbide has been produced in Türkiye till 2015. The amount of coke used is deducted from the Energy part of the NIR to avoid double count. CO2 emissions from calcium carbide production and usage of carbide in acetylene was 59 kt CO2 in 1990. Year by year carbide production decreased and in 2015 the carbide production and usage of carbide in acetylene production emissions was 12.1 kt CO2. Finally, in 2016 the production line of carbide was closed due to economic reasons. And use of carbide in acetylene continued and resulted 8.5 kt CO2 emissions in 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 185185 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.14 CO2 emissions due to carbide production, 1990-2021 70 60 kt 50 40 30 20 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 10 Methodological Issues: Carbide production is not a key category. Calcium carbide was produced in Türkiye by a single plant till 2015 and then the production line was closed. The calculation of emissions is based on plant-specific data. Where: ECO2 = AD • EF ECO2 = emissions of carbon dioxide AD = activity data on carbide production EF = CO2 emission factor. The use of calcium carbide also leads to the emissions and it is calculated by the Tier 1 methodology suggested in the guideline. The amount calcium carbide used is multiplied with the proper emission factor suggested in the guideline. Collection of activity data The calcium carbide production period of a single plant which finalize its production in 2015, the calcium carbide production data was directly obtained from the producer on an annual basis by a questionnaire. Both amount of carbide produced and amount of raw material used as metallurgical coke data were obtained. However, emissions were calculated by using the carbide production data. Confidential production data are provided relative to 1990, along with CO2 emissions from calcium carbide production as can be seen in the table below. 186 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 186 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.15 Calcium carbide production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 Calcium Carpide Production (1990=100) Calcium carpide use (kt) CO2 Emissions from carbide production (kt) CO2 Emissions (kt) 1990 100.0 15.9 41.5 59.0 1995 24.2 6.9 10.0 17.6 2000 43.3 13.6 18.0 32.9 2005 27.1 10.8 11.2 23.1 2010 19.8 9.4 8.2 18.6 2011 28.0 10.7 11.6 23.4 2012 28.8 8.1 11.9 20.9 2013 27.5 9.4 11.4 21.7 2014 25.4 9.0 10.5 20.5 2015 13.9 5.7 5.8 12.1 2016 0.0 7.0 0.0 7.7 2017 0.0 6.9 0.0 7.6 2018 0.0 5.7 0.0 6.2 2019 0.0 7.4 0.0 8.2 2020 0.0 6.9 0.0 7.5 2021 0.0 7.7 0.0 8.5 Years Choice of emission factor Due to confidentiality the emission factor of the carbide production cannot be revealed. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The greatest contributor to the uncertainty is that the assumption made upon all of the carbide is used for producing acetylene gas. Depending on the expert judgement the uncertainty value of the EF is taken ±20% while the default uncertainty value of the activity data is taken as 5% consistent with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. (Volume 3 Page 3.45). In 2020 submission combined uncertainty estimates of Carbide production (Category 2.B.5) are quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in Category 2.B.5 CO2 emissions in 2018 are estimated at -20.55% to +20.87% with Approach 2 method. For more details, please refer to the Uncertainty chapter at the end of the Inventory report in Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Plant-specific production data are compared with national statistics data available from PRODCOM (National Industrial Production Statistics) and found consistent. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 187187 Industrial Processes and Product Use In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: No recalculations have been made to emissions from this category. Planned Improvements No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 4.3.6. Titanium dioxide production (Category 2.B.6) There is no titanium dioxide production in Türkiye during the period 1990-2021. 4.3.7. Soda ash production (Category 2.B.7) Source Category Description: Soda ash (sodium carbonate, Na2CO3) is a white crystalline solid that is used as a raw material in a large number of industries including glass manufacture, soap and detergents, pulp and paper production and water treatment. CO2 is emitted from the use of soda ash and these emissions are accounted for as a source under the relevant using industry as discussed in Volume 3, Chapter 2 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. CO2 is also emitted during production of soda ash, with the quantity emitted dependent on the industrial process used to manufacture soda ash. Emissions of CO2 from the production of soda ash vary substantially with the manufacturing process. Four different processes may be used commercially to produce soda ash. Three of these processes, monohydrate, sodium sesquicarbonate (trona) and direct carbonation, are referred to as natural processes. The fourth, the Solvay process, is classified as a synthetic process. Calcium carbonate (limestone) is used as a source of CO2 in the Solvay process. There are three soda ash plants in Türkiye. One of these plants produces soda ash by utilizing trona and began operation in 2009, while the other produce synthetic soda ash (solvay process) and began operation in 1969. Third one started production in 2018. 188 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 188 Industrial Processes and Product Use In the Solvay process, sodium chloride brine, limestone, metallurgical coke and ammonia are the raw materials used in a series of reactions leading to the production of soda ash. Ammonia, however, is recycled and only a small amount is lost. From the series of reactions CO2 is generated during calcination of limestone. The generated CO2 is captured, compressed and directed to Solvay precipitating towers for consumption in a mixture of brine (aqueous NaCl) and ammonia. Although CO2 is generated as a byproduct, the CO2 is recovered and recycled for use in the carbonation stage and in theory the process is neutral, i.e., CO2 generation equals uptake. Soda ash production by utilizing trona started in 2009 while emissions from soda ash production using the solvay process are not estimated due to the carbon neutral characteristic of the process. Therefore; for the years 1990-2008, emissive soda ash production is reported as not occurring. In the figure below you can see the trend of the CO2 emissions from soda ash productions. In the year 2009 a small amount of CO2 emitted due to plant was not working full capacity due to start up. In 2021 emissions from soda ash decreased by 15.9% with respect to previous year and it was 615 kt of CO2. Figure 4.15 CO2 Emissions resulting from soda ash production 2009-2021 700 600 (kt) 500 400 300 200 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0 2009 100 Methodological Issues: The natural production process of soda ash results in CO2 emissions. Türkiye applies a Tier 1 method, for this non-key category, quantifying emissions based on the plant-specific activity data and default emission factor, and using the following formula: Where: 𝐸𝐸�� =AD ∙ EF ECO2 = emissions of carbon dioxide in tonnes AD = quantity of soda ash produced (from trona) in tonnes EF = emission factor per unit of soda ash produced Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 189189 Industrial Processes and Product Use Collection of activity Data The amount of soda ash produced is is directly taken from the plants. Data are acquired on a yearly basis and it is based on a questionnaire which is sent to the plants. The production trend and emissions can be seen from the table below. Table 4.16 Soda ash production and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 Soda ash production by utilizing Trona (2009=100) CO2 Emissions (kt) 1990-2008 NO NO 2009 100 24 2010 451 110 2011 538 132 2012 535 131 2013 511 125 2014 554 135 2015 549 134 2016 588 144 2017 850 208 2018 1 905 466 2019 2 278 557 2020 2 170 531 2021 2 514 615 Year Choice of emission Factor The EF is confidential. The EF was held constant over the time series. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Türkiye assumes that the uncertainty of the EF is 1% and the uncertainty of the AD is ±5% in consistent with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 3 page 3.55). Moreover, Monte Carlo analysis has been carried out for the CO2 emissions from soda ash production for 2020 submission and it resulted with -5.10% to +5.15% combined uncertainty. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of soda ash production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: On the PRODCOM soda ash production data is available since 2009. PRODCOM data and plant specific data are compared and found consistent. Moreover, according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines the emission 190 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 190 Industrial Processes and Product Use from soda ash production can be calculated by either using the soda ash production data or using the trona consumption data. The emissions are calculated and reported using the soda ash production data. However, for quality control purpose the emissions is also calculated based on the trona consumption. The plant mines the trona by solving it underwater and then pumps it into the process. The amount of solution pumped and its purity is known by the plant. Therefore, the amount of trona utilized is calculated and reported by the plant. When the two methods are compared 12% difference is found for 2017. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. In addition, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: No recalculations have been made to emissions from this category. Planned Improvements No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 4.3.8. Petrochemical and carbon black production (Category 2.B.8) Source Category Description: The petrochemical industry uses fossil fuels (e.g., natural gas) or petroleum refinery products (e.g., naphtha) as feedstocks. Within the petrochemical industry and carbon black industry, primary fossil fuels (natural gas, petroleum, coal) are used for non-fuel purposes in the production of petrochemicals and carbon black. The use of these primary fossil fuels may involve combustion of part of the hydrocarbon content for heat raising and the production of secondary fuels (e.g., off gases). Türkiye reports CO2 emissions from petrochemicals production. There is a single petrochemical producer in Türkiye and the company name is PETKIM. Carbon black was produced by PETKIM till 2001, however it was at a different production site and this production site was closed in 2001. During the production of petrochemicals various gases are generated. However PETKIM has a closed circuit that collects all the process gases, which includes greenhouses gases and combustible gases, and Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 191191 Industrial Processes and Product Use uses it as fuel. This fuel is named fuel gas and emissions due to the combustion of fuel gas is included in the energy sector. However, some of the fuel gas is combusted in the flare stacks and the emissions from the flare stacks are included in the IPPU category. The figures below show the CO2 emissions from flare stacks from the petrochemicals production at main production site of PETKIM between 1990 and 2021 and also carbon black production emissions at Kocaeli production site between 1990 and 2001. Since PETKIM has a closed system for its stacks, all the methane emissions are assumed to be collected in the fuel gas. Hence it is covered in the energy sector. Table 4.17 CO2 emissions from flaring in petrochemical sector, 1990-2021 (kt) CO2 emissions from carbon black production CO2 emissions from flaring 1990 80.1 1.35 81.5 1995 104.7 1.35 106.1 2000 91.9 1.35 93.2 2005 NO 1.35 1.35 2010 NO 1.35 1.35 2011 NO 1.35 1.35 2012 NO 1.35 1.35 2013 NO 1.35 1.35 2014 NO 1.35 1.35 2015 NO 1.35 1.35 2016 NO 1.32 1.32 2017 NO 1.35 1.35 2018 NO 1.19 1.19 2019 NO 1.35 1.35 2020 NO 1.35 1.35 2021 NO 1.35 1.35 Year Total CO2 emissions in petrochemical industry Methodological Issues: CO2 emissions are calculated by multiplying the amount of fuel gas burnt with the Where: 192 ECO2= Mfuel gas x Carbon content of fuel gas x 44/12 ECO2= CO2 emissions from production of petrochemical in tonnes M fuel gas = Amount of fuel gas combusted as the flare gas in tonnes 44/12 = The molar weight ratio of carbondioxide to carbon Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 192 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from carbon black production are calculated by Tier 1 methodology. The annual production amount is multiplied by the default CO2 mission factor. ECO2 = Mcarbon black x Carbon Black CO2 EF Carbon black production also causes CH4 emissions. CH4 emissions are calculated by Tier 1 methodology. The annual production amount is multiplied by the default CH4 emission factor. ECH4 = Mcarbon black x Carbon Black CH4 EF Collection of activity data There is a single producer of petrochemicals in Türkiye. The amount of fuel gas combusted in the flare stacks is asked to the producer by an annual questionnaire. The amount of fuel gas combusted is confidential since there is one single company producing petrochemicals. Choice of emission factor The fuel gas composition is asked to the producer. The volumetric gas composition data is gathered and it is used to calculate the carbon content of fuel gas. Since there is one single company in Türkiye in the field of petrochemical production its fuel gas characteristic is confidential. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: As 2006 IPCC Guidelines recommended default uncertainty values is used as ±10% for EF and AD based on expert judgement and table 3.27 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 3. Uncertainty in CO2 emissions from category 2.B.8 was quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation in 2020 submission. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated with a symmetrical normal distribution as ±14.29%. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of petrochemical and carbon black production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: A site visit was done to the PETKIM in 2017 by the TurkStat's inventory compilers. During this site visit all the process flow charts were examined and discussed with PETKIM engineers in order to understand emission pathways and ensure all emissions are included and not double counted. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 193193 Industrial Processes and Product Use QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: No recalculations have been made to emissions from this category. Planned Improvements No further improvements are planned regarding this source. 4.3.9. Fluorochemical production (Category 2.B.9) There is no fluorochemical production in Türkiye during the period 1990-2021. 4.4. Metal Industry (Category 2.C) In 2021, the metal industry was responsible for 12 909 kt CO2 eq., 17.2% of total emissions from the industrial processes and product use sector. The vast majority of emissions in the metal industry (92.3%) are from iron and steel production. Zinc industry was responsible for 578.9 kt CO2 eq., 4.5% of metal emissions, ferroalloys production 193 kt CO2 eq., 1.5% of metal emissions and aluminium production was responsible for 124.6 kt CO2 eq., 1% of metal emissions. Magnesium production was responsible for 88.3 kt CO2 eq. contributed 0.7% and lead production was responsible for 10 kt CO2 eq. contributed 0.1% of sector emissions (see Figure 4.16). Between 1990 (7 620.3 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (12 909 kt CO2 eq.), emissions from the metal industry increased by 69.4%, again driven in large part by the iron and steel industry, which increased by 71.5% during the time period, from 6 946.7 kt CO2 eq. in 1990 to 11 914.2 kt CO2 eq. in 2021. This increase in emissions was partially offset by the elimination of PFC emissions in aluminium production (PFC emissions were 472.8 kt CO2 eq. in 1990 and it is 6.8 kt CO2 eq. in 2021). Emissions from secondary Zinc production are included for the first time in this submission. Additionally, primary magnesium production data have been gathered and included between the years 2016-2021 for this submission. 194 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 194 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.16 Emissions from metal industry, 2021 Zinc 4.5% Ferroalloys 1.5% Iron and steel 92.3% Aluminum 1.0% Magnesium 0.7% Lead 0.1% 4.4.1. Iron and steel production (Category 2.C.1) Source Category Description: Iron and steel production processes result in CO2 and CH4 emissions to be covered under the IPPU category since carbon is used in the reduction process of iron oxides. In Türkiye currently there are three integrated iron and steel production plants. These facilities include sinter production units, blast furnaces for pig iron production, and basic oxygen furnaces. Besides these plants, there are electric arc furnace mills operating in Türkiye. However, there is no direct reduced iron (DRI) production in Türkiye. Emissions from the combustion of carbon containing fuels (i.e. natural gas, fuel oil) for energy purposes are included in the energy chapter of this report. The integrated steel production plants demand iron ore. These plants meet their need from both domestic and foreign markets. In Türkiye there is currently one plant producing pellet iron in order to supply the iron ore demand of the integrated steel plants. Blast furnace units for pig iron production are the most emissive units among the iron and steel production processes. Iron oxide reduces into iron metal when reacted with carbon monoxide in the blast furnaces as shown in the reactions represented in equations below. Fe2O3 + 3CO → 2Fe + 3CO2 3 Fe2O3(s) + CO(g) → 2 Fe3O4(s) + CO2(g) Fe3O4(s) + CO(g) → 3 FeO(s) + CO2(g) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 195195 Industrial Processes and Product Use Carbon monoxide is generated in the blast furnace from the carbon containing fuels (mainly coke) as can be seen in equation below. Coke provides the necessary carbon for both the reduction reactions as well the heat needed for melting the iron and the impurities. Besides, coke provides mechanical strength for the blast furnace burden. 2 C(s) + O2(g) → 2 CO(g) Limestone is used in the blast furnaces for removing acidic impurities from the ore. When limestone is heated up to about 1500 °C it releases carbon dioxide and left as CaO by the reaction shown in equation below. Then CaO reacts with the acidic impurities and deposits at the bottom of the blast furnace. CaCO3(s) →CaO(s) + CO2(g) Sinter production is also an emissive process within the iron and steel industry. Sinter plants in Türkiye are within the integrated steel plants. Sintering is a heat treatment process that agglomerates iron ore fines and metallurgical wastes (i.e. collected dusts, sludge) into larger, stronger and porous particles necessary for blast furnaces charging. The sintering process involves the heating of iron ore fines by burning coke fines to produce a semi-molten mass that solidifies into porous pieces of sinter. Coke gas is usually used to ignite the sinter blend. This process also involves reduction of some iron oxides into iron metal within the iron ore fines. Therefore, the same reactions given above for the reduction of iron oxides also works for the sintering process and causes CO2 release. During the sintering process high temperatures are achieved and limestone is calcined and release CO2 emissions. Basic Oxygen Furnaces (BOF) are also a part of the integrated steel plants. BOF processes the product of the blast furnace which is molten iron to produce steel. The BOF process also emits CO2. The process involves oxygen blowing into the molten iron and stirring it. The oxygen reacts with impurities to purify molten iron and also reacts with dissolved carbon leaving as CO2. This process converts iron into steel. Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) is another process unit for producing steel. Unlike BOF, only scrap iron and steel is used in the EAF to produce steel. The scrap metal is melted using high voltage electric arcs. There would be iron oxides in the feed of the EAF. Therefore, these iron oxides should be reduced to iron with the same reactions given above that cause CO2 emissions. Metallurgical coke, petroleum coke, graphite, anthracite, carbon granules and natural gas may be used as the carbon source. Besides that, oxygen is blown into the molten steel in order to remove excess carbon and other impurities and to improve steel quality. This process step also releases CO2 emissions due to reaction of oxygen and carbon. Iron and steel production is classified as heavy industry and it requires vast amount of energy. All of the integrated steel plants in Türkiye recycle exhaust gases of the Blast Furnaces and Basic Oxygen Furnaces to meet up their energy requirement. These gases are collected and burnt in order to heat up the coke ovens, produce the high pressure steam requirement of the plant, pre heat the blast furnace air, produce 196 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 196 Industrial Processes and Product Use electricity, heat up the rolls and for other small issues. Their emissions are covered in the energy sector of this report. Besides, integrated iron and steel production plants produce lime for their own consumption and lime production also causes CO2 emission and it is covered in lime production part of IPPU. In Türkiye there are currently 3 integrated iron and steel plants and 26 electric arc furnaces mills operating. The table below presents 2.C.1 category CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2021, and figure 4.17 shows the 2.C.1 category CO2 emissions cumulatively revealing the emissions trend in the iron and steel production. Table 4.18 CO2 emissions allocations in 2.C.1 category, 1990-2021 Emissions from pellet production (kt) Total emissions in 2.C.1 CRF category Year Emissions from Iron and Steel Production (integrated plants) Emissions from Steel Production (EAF plants) Emissions from sinter production 1990 5 522 353 1 033 31 6 939 1995 4 048 605 988 26 5 668 2000 3 800 648 1 242 28 5 718 2005 4 449 1 057 1 358 34 6 898 2010 5 858 1 488 1 480 45 8 870 2011 6 433 1 800 1 642 45 9 920 2012 6 824 1 891 1 703 46 10 464 2013 6 892 1 760 1 867 44 10 564 2014 6 845 1 691 1 890 47 10 472 2015 7 235 1 458 1 985 46 10 725 2016 8 140 1 555 1 961 47 11 704 2017 7 871 1 849 2 150 45 11 914 2018 7 831 1 837 2 220 45 11 933 2019 6 857 1 629 2 067 46 10 600 2020 6 438 1 713 1 936 46 10 133 2021 7 486 2 058 2 306 47 11 898 Figure 4.17 CO2 emissions allocations within the 2.C.1 CRF category, 1990-2021 14 000 (kt) 12 000 10 000 Emissions from pellet production 8 000 Emissions from sinter production 6 000 4 000 Emissions from Steel Production (EAF plants) 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2 000 Emissions from Iron and Steel Production (integrated plants) 197 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 197 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from iron and steel production in 2021 was 11.9 million tons and it increased by 71.5% since 1990. Beginning by the year 2000 steel production have increased and Türkiye became the world's 7th biggest6 crude steel producer reaching 40.6 million tons by 2021. In 2021 steel production increased by 15%. Steel production capacity of Türkiye is over 50 million tons. Methodological Issues: For the calculation of CO2 emissions from iron and steel production and sinter production in the integrated plants, the 2006 IPCC Tier 3 method is used. The Tier 3 methodology equation for calculating CO2 emissions from iron, steel and sinter production in the integrated plants is as follows: Where: ECO2 = emissions of CO2 to be reported in IPPU Sector, tonnes a = input material a b = output material b Qa = quantity of input material a Ca = carbon content of material a Qb = quantity of output material b Cb = carbon content of material b 44/12 = stoichiometric ratio of CO2 to C For the calculation of CO2 emissions from pellet production, the 2006 IPCC Tier 1 method is used where total amount of pellet produced is multiplied with the emission factor. Where: ECO2, non-energy = P ∙ EFp ECO2, non-energy = emissions of CO2 to be reported in IPPU Sector, tonnes P = quantity of pellet produced nationally, tonnes EFp = emission factor, tonnes CO2/tonne pellet produced 6 198 https://worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2021/global-crude-steel-output-decreases-by-0-9-in-2020/ Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 198 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from steel production in EAFs are calculated by applying the Tier 2 method which is the carbon balance calculation on an aggregated national level. The equation is given below: The CH4 emissions from sinter production are calculated using Tier 1 methodology. This is multiplication of the production data with the default emission factor as suggested in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, the equations are shown below. ECH4, non-energy = SI ∙ EFSI Where: ECH4, non-energy = emissions of CH4 to be reported in IPPU Sector, kg SI = quantity of sinter produced nationally, tonnes EFSI = emission factor, kg CH4/tonne sinter produced In Türkiye almost all of the by-product gases are collected and burnt for energy recovery. Therefore, it is assumed that no methane is emitted due to the pig iron production under 2C1 CRF category. Figure 4.18 shows the allocations of the emissions from integrated iron and steel plants between Energy and IPPU sectors. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 199199 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.18 Allocations of the emissions from integrated iron and steel plants Collection of activity data To estimate CO2 and CH4 emissions at integrated facilities, Türkiye collects activity data via annual basis questionnaire from each of the three facilities. All the solid materials are weighted by scales whereas gaseous materials are measured by flowmeters and the annual values are calculated by a computer programmed totalizer. Pellet is produced by a single company beside an iron mine in Türkiye. The activity data is obtained from this company. The quantity data of crude steel production and raw material consumption at electric arc furnaces is obtained from Turkish Steel Producers Association by an annual basis questionnaire. Each of the integrated facility keeps an energy balance table where all the fuel consumptions and generations are recorded annually. These tables are the main data source for the fuel consumptions. The consumption of non-fuel materials, (e.g. limestone, dolomite), are asked by a questionnaire. 200 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 200 Industrial Processes and Product Use Sinter, pellet production and steel production by plant type are included in the table below. Table 4.19 Sinter, pellet and iron & steel production by plant type, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 Total pellet production 1 032 Total sinter production 4 507 Steel production (BOF) 4 401 Steel production (EAF) 4 955 Total steel production 9 356 1995 855 4 285 4 259 8 501 12 760 2000 948 5 007 5 372 9 096 14 468 2005 1 120 5 355 6 254 14 847 21 101 2010 1 493 5 845 8 444 20 905 29 349 2011 1 495 6 361 9 023 25 275 34 298 2012 1 543 7 356 9 500 26 560 36 059 2013 1 480 7 617 10 111 24 723 34 834 2014 1 550 7 928 10 483 23 752 34 235 2015 1 547 8 567 11 215 20 482 31 697 2016 1 565 9 834 11 545 21 846 33 392 2017 1 501 9 342 11 795 25 963 37 758 2018 1 513 9 798 11 734 25 799 37 533 2019 1 547 9 101 11 002 22 884 33 887 2020 1 524 8 866 11 283 24 056 35 338 2021 1 568 9 553 11 721 28 902 40 622 Figure 4.19 Comparing emissions (kt CO2 eq.) and steel production (kt) from BOFs anf EAFs (kt) 30 000.0 25 000.0 20 000.0 15 000.0 10 000.0 0.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5 000.0 BOF Emissions (CO₂ eq.) EAF Emissions (CO₂ eq.) BOF Steel production EAF Steel production The CO2 eq. emissions and total steel production (kt) of integrated plants (BOF) and Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) are shown in the figure 4.19. In 2021, the BOFs produced 28.9% and EAFs produced 71.1% of Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 201201 Industrial Processes and Product Use total iron and steel whereas the BOFs contributed 82.7% and EAFs contributed 17.3% of total emissions from iron and steel production. Choice of emission factor To estimate CO2 emissions from integrated facilities, Türkiye collects any available plant-specific data on carbon content for integrated facilities and for the remaining materials the material-specific carbon content values from Table 4.3 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines are applied for the entire time series. To determine carbon content, the facilities make laboratory analysis for the product iron and steel, for the process gases and for the coals used in the plant. In order to estimate CO2 emissions from EAFs, Türkiye collects raw material consumption and steel production data. These input and output data are aggregated on national level and multiplied by the default carbon contents for each raw material. However, the raw material consumption data is not available before the year 2013. Hence the average implied emission factor found to be 0.0712 t CO2 /t steel produced between 2013 and 2016, and this factor is applied for the previous years. To estimate CO2 emissions from pellet production, the default emission factor (0.03 t CO2/t pellet) from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines used for the entire time series. To estimate CH4 emissions from sinter production, the default emission factor (0.07 kg CH4/t sinter) from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines applied. Emission factors used in the calculations are provided in the table below. Table 4.20 Emission factors iron and steel production Activity CO2 EF Pellet production (used in all-time series) EAF steel production Activity 0.03 t/t pellet 0.0712 t/t steel CH4 EF Sinter production (used in all-time series) 0.07 kg/t sinter Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Uncertainties for the activity data and the emission factors are estimated to be 10% and 8%, respectively. Because especially the activity data and the emission factors regarding the process gases (coke oven gas, blast furnace gas, oxygen steel furnace gas) are quite uncertain. An uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 and CH4 for 2.C.1 category and also to other IPPU categories in 2020 inventory year. Combined 202 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 202 Industrial Processes and Product Use uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated at the range of -29.05% to +29.32%, CH4 emissions is estimated as -13.04% to +11.59% in 2020 submission. Further information is given in Uncertainty part at the end of this inventory report (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: There are three integrated iron and steel plants in Türkiye and plant specific data are gathered from these plants. These integrated steel plants were built as public economic enterprises and all of them have been privatized until 2006. Due to significant improvements on data recording after privatization, the integrated steel plants data are reliable after 2006. The integrated steel plants have similar steel production techniques therefore their data can be compared to each other. Coke consumed/steel produced, coke breeze consumed/sinter produced ratios are compared to each other in order to identify potential inconsistencies and reporting errors. Moreover,Turkish inventory team had site visits and held meetings with experts from the field on integrated steel plants in 2016. Through the site visits and the meetings, process flow charts and data reporting issues were discussed in order to identify potential inconsistencies and reporting errors. In addition, carbon mass balance is done over each of the three integrated plant by considering all carbon containing material input and output to the factories. So that the total emissions (both IPPU and Energy) of the three plants are calculated. Then it is compared with the summation of each emission categories (1.A.1.a, 1.A.1.c, 1.A.2.a, and 2.C.1) for iron and steel production. The comparison result is given in the below. Emissions calculated by carbon mass balance over integrated plants = 21 203 kt, Summed up emissions for each CRF category for integrated plants = 19 884 kt, Percentage of equivalence = 93.3%. The percentage of equivalence is 96% when the data of the three integrated plants are aggregated together, and on the plant basis the percentage of equivalence is at least 94%. The percentage of equivalence shows that the calculated emissions are reliable, but still it can be improved. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 203203 Industrial Processes and Product Use Furthermore, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculations: Steel production data of an integrated plant for the years 1990 and 1995 are corrected due to availability of retrospective data from Turkish Steel Producers Association. Limestone used in BOF data corrected by one of the integrated plant and recalculated for the years 2018-2020. Furthermore, carbon content of BOF and Blast Furnace gas data backcasted and recalculated. These changes results, average recalculation calculated as 62.3 kt CO2 increase for the period of 19902020 and 1.3 kt CO2 increase for 2020. With respect to previous year, the currently submitted values for the years 1990-2020 show an increase of 0.98% average recalculation rate. Planned Improvements: There is no further planned improvement in this sector. 4.4.2. Ferroalloys production (Category 2.C.2) Source Category Description: Ferroalloy is the term used to describe concentrated alloys of iron and one or more metals such as silicon, manganese, chromium, molybdenum, vanadium and tungsten. Silicon metal production is usually included in the ferroalloy group because silicon metal production process is quite similar to the ferrosilicon process. These alloys are used for deoxidising and altering the material properties of steel. Ferroalloy facilities manufacture concentrated compounds that are delivered to steel production plants to be incorporated in alloy steels. Silicon metal is used in aluminium alloys, for production of electronics. Ferroalloy production involves a metallurgical reduction process that results in significant CO2 emissions. In Türkiye there are currently two ferrochrome producer. These two producer are using electric arc furnaces to melt scrap iron and chromite ore in the pot. Some metallurgical coke is added in the pot to reduce chromite and produce ferrochrome. Between 2011 and 2014 some amount of ferrosilicon manganese was also produced. However, plants are closed due to the high production costs. 204 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 204 Industrial Processes and Product Use In this category; emissions from ferrochromium and ferrosilicon manganese production are considered. Other types of ferroalloys are not produced in Türkiye on industrial scale. Although Türkiye is rich in terms of chrome mines, ferrochrome production is relatively low. This is due to high prices of energy in Türkiye. CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production are driven by mainly ferrochrome production which is strongly depended on the energy prices. There was a decline in emissions between 2000 (47.6 kt CO2) and 2004 (11 kt CO2) owing to one of the ferrochromium producers was slowed down and finally out of operation during its privatization period. CO2 emissions generally climbed until 2008 (92 kt CO2) with economic growth before decreasing again in 2009 (59 kt CO2) due to global economic recession and low demand on steel. There was then a steep increase between 2009 and 2013 (184 kt CO2, an increase in emissions of 210%) due to two new investments on production of ferrosilica manganese. However ferrosilica manganese production plants were closed in 2012 and 2013 due to high energy costs. In 2021, CO2 emissions from ferroalloy production was 193 kt. Figure 4.20 CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production, 1990-2021 200 180 CO2 emission (kt) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Methodological Issues: Türkiye reports CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production following the IPCC Tier 1 approach, as shown in equation below. Ferroalloys production is not a key category. CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production 𝐸𝐸��� = �(𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀� ∙ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) � Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 205205 Industrial Processes and Product Use Where: ECO2 = CO2 emissions, tonnes MPi = production of ferroalloy type i, tonnes EFi = generic emission factor for ferroalloy type i, tonnes CO2/ tonne specific ferroalloy product Collection of activity data Activity data are obtained from the two ferrochrome producers by a production survey on the yearly basis by TurkStat. Both the ferro-chromium production data and the reductant agent consumption data are gathered for all the time series. The coke used in the ferro chromium production is deducted from the total coke consumption of Türkiye in the energy sector to avoid a double counting. Choice of emission factor Türkiye applies the default CO2 emission factors for ferro-chromium (1.3 t CO2/t product) from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Table 4.21 Ferroalloys production and emissions, 1990-2021 Total ferroalloy production (1990=100) CO2 Emission (kt) 1990 100 62 1995 97 60 2000 77 48 2005 53 32 2010 Years 206 138 85 2011 196 121 2012 184 113 2013 298 184 2014 205 126 2015 204 126 2016 219 135 2017 226 139 2018 276 170 2019 250 154 2020 240 148 2021 313 193 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 206 Industrial Processes and Product Use Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Ferroalloy production data was gathered directly from the plants. There are two ferro chrome producers in Türkiye. Both of them supply ferro alloy production and coke consumption data. The production and consumption ratios of the two producers are compared and found consistent. Furthermore, PRODCOM data for ferro alloy production compared every year and found consistent. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Since the calculations are based on default Tier 1EFs and company derived production data, uncertainty values of EF are considered 25% and AD are 5% as recommended in Table 4.9 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Moreover, Monte Carlo analysis has been carried out for the CO2 emissions from ferroalloys production in 2020 submission and it resulted with a range of -25.15% to +25.52% combined uncertainty with means of recommended Approach 1 uncertainties. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of other uses of ferroalloys production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Recalculation: There is no recalculation in this sector in this submission. Planned Improvements: There are no planned improvements in this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 207207 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.4.3. Aluminium production (Category 2.C.3) Source Category Description: Türkiye estimates CO2 and PFCs (CF4 and C2F6) emissions from primary aluminium production. Primary aluminium is aluminium tapped from electrolytic cells or pots during the electrolytic reduction of metallurgical alumina (aluminium oxide). It thus excludes alloying additives and recycled aluminium. Primary aluminium is molten or liquid metal tapped from the pots and that is weighed before transfer to a holding furnace or before further processing. Eti Aluminium is Türkiye’s only producer of primary aluminium and it is the country’s only fully integrated producer which takes in untreated ore downstream and then has the capacity to fulfill every process requirement to the finished product. The company has its own bauxite ore mines located just 20 kilometers away from the factory and this is the starting point of its operations. Eti Aluminium’s Seydişehir Aluminium Plant, located in the Central Anatolia region of Türkiye, is an integrated primary aluminium production plant. From here the company is able to convert aluminium ore into metallic aluminium by first processing the ore and then shaping it through the use of casting, rolling and extrusion systems. The integrated production process itself consists of five main production phases. These are bauxite mining, alumina production, liquid aluminium production, the alloying and casting of the liquid aluminium, and the last but by no means least, the production of semi and/or end products through the use of the aforementioned casting, rolling and extrusion processes. Most carbon dioxide emissions result from the electrolysis reaction of the carbon anode with alumina (Al2O3). The consumption of prebaked carbon anodes and Søderberg paste is the principal source of process related carbon dioxide emissions from primary aluminium production. PFCs are formed during a phenomenon known as the ‘anode effect’ during liquid aluminium production via electrolysis. Eti Aluminium used Søderberg cells till the modernization of the aluminium production plant in 2015. In 2015 all of the Søderberg cells were replaced with the prebaked cells. The CO2 emissions from aluminium productions is shown in figure 4.21. Overall between 1990 (99.2 kt CO2 eq) and 2021 (117.8 kt CO2 eq.) emissions have increased by 18.8% due to increasing aluminium production of Türkiye. In 1993 aluminium production decreased remarkably because of the excessive world aluminium stocks prior to the world economic recession of 1994. CO2 emissions remained generally stable until a similar trend was seen in 2008 (111.8 kt), 2009 (51.2 kt) and 2010 (96.4 kt) similarly 208 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 208 Industrial Processes and Product Use because of the world economic recession in 2008. In 2021, CO2 emissions remained stable with respect to 2020. Figure 4.21 CO2 emissions from aluminium production, 1990-2021 140 kt 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 CF4 and C2F6 emissions are reported in the Table 4.22, fluctuations in the trend are due to Anode Effect parameter changes as well as primary aluminium production trend. From the year 2006, PFCs emissions from the aluminium production plant are estimated using T3 methodology. Eti Aluminium have communicated that after privatization in 2005, there has been great savings in energy consumption in 2006, at the same time there has been a decreasing trend in the number of anode effects. As it can be seen from the table below, reductions in PFCs emissions have occurred after 2006. Methodological Issues: CO2 emissions from primary aluminium production are calculated by the T3 method for the entire time series. Eti Aluminium, the only primary aluminium producer in Türkiye, switched its production process in the mid of 2015. The company is now using Prebaked smelters. Before that Søderberg process was used to produce aluminium. For 1990-2014 CO2 emissions come from only Søderberg cells. However, in 2015 Søderberg cells were switched to Prebaked cells. In 2016 CO2 emissions come from only Prebaked cells. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 209209 Industrial Processes and Product Use CO2 emissions from Søderberg cells Where: ECO2 = CO2 emissions from paste consumption, tonnes CO2 MP = total metal production, tonnes Al PC = paste consumption, tonnes/tonne Al CSM = emissions of cyclohexane soluble matter, kg/tonne Al BC = binder content in paste, wt % Sp = sulphur content in pitch, wt % Ashp = ash content in pitch, wt % Hp = hydrogen content in pitch, wt % Sp = sulphur content in calcined coke, wt % Ashc = ash content in calcined coke, wt % CD = carbon in skimmed dust from Søderberg cells, tonnes C/tonne Al 44/12 = CO2 molecular mass: carbon atomic mass ratio, dimensionless CO2 emissions from Prebaked cells Where: ECO2 = CO2 emissions from paste consumption, tonnes CO2 MP = total metal production, tonnes Al NAC = net prebaked anode consumption per tonne of aluminium, tonnes C / tonne Al Ca = carbon content in baked anodes, wt % 44/12 = CO2 molecular mass: carbon atomic mass ratio, dimensionless PFC emissions PFCs are formed during a phenomenon known as the ‘anode effect’. PFCs emissions have been estimated from the primary aluminium production multiplied for the relative (CF4, C2F6), following a PFC emission by slope method (Tier 2 and Tier 3) IPCC methodology. 210 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 210 Industrial Processes and Product Use Due to the process change in Eti Aluminium, the company has switched to the Prebake cells just in 2015 after using Søderberg process for long years. This technology change has leaded to changing the coefficient numbers and the difference between 2014-2015 has occurred because of this reason. Also PFC, C2F6 and CF4 emission factors are recalculated in Eti Aluminium Facility in 2015-2016, calculation made by using the current coefficients in the Greenhouse Gas Monitoring Reporting Communiqué of MoEUCC and it can be seen from the table that there is a decrease trend between years 2016-2018. In the same years, total production value has also decreased. In 2021 emission values have decreased for both gasses, compared to the previous year. In the following table PFCs, CF4 and C2F6 are reported. Table 4.22 PFCs, CF4 and C2F6 emissions 1990-2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Year PFCs CF4 C2F6 1990 1995 472.804 434.7635 38.040 409.326 376.3931 32.933 2000 409.246 376.3197 32.927 2005 399.265 367.1413 32.124 2010 387.558 356.3761 31.182 2011 362.642 333.4646 29.177 2012 271.325 249.4952 21.830 2013 199.968 183.8793 16.089 2014 186.639 171.6230 15.016 2015 91.359 84.0086 7.351 2016 37.363 31.1425 6.221 2017 25.164 20.9742 4.190 2018 10.084 8.4046 1.679 2019 17.095 14.2483 2.846 2020 10.371 8.6444 1.727 2021 6.779 5.6503 1.129 As shown in the table emission values of PFCs, CF4 and C2F6 decreased after 2015, compared to previous years. Because Aluminium production system was changed from Søderberg to Prebaked smelted in 2015. PFCs are formed during a phenomenon known as the ‘anode effect’ during liquid aluminium production via electrolysis. There has been a decreasing trend in the number of anode effects after switching to prebaked smelter system. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 211211 Industrial Processes and Product Use Collection of activity data To estimate CO2 emissions, the parameters below are obtained from the single producer. The data are obtained from the producer company by an annual questionnaire. However, plant specific data can only be obtained for the years 2005-2015, and for 1990-2004 the default parameters are used as the emission factors and national statistics are used as the production data. The paste consumption data for 19902004 is assumed to be constant and same with the 2005 data. Total aluminium production is given in table 4.23 below. Table 4.23 Aluminium production emissions, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Aluminium Production (1990=100) 100 115 114 109 98 103 79 59 55 83 143 137 133 142 146 145 CO2 emissions (kt) 99.2 114.4 112.7 102.2 96.4 100.3 76.4 55.3 54.9 74.7 117.3 108.4 107.3 112.1 117.7 117.8 Choice of emission factor Some of the CO2 emission factors are provided by the facility while some are used as default values. In the tables below the emission factors used in the formula for Søderberg cells and Prebaked cells can be found. 212 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 212 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.24 Emission factors for aluminium production with Søderberg cells, 2005-2015 Emission factor Type of data Value PC (Paste consumption) Plant specific Confidential CSM (Emissions of cyclohexane soluble matter) Default 4 kg/tonne Al BC (Binder content in paste) Plant specific Confidential Sp (Sulphur content in pitch) Plant specific Confidential Ashp (Ash content in pitch) Plant specific Confidential Hp (Hydrogen content in pitch) Default 3.3 wt % Cc (Carbon content in calcined coke) Plant specific Confidential Ashc (Ash content is calcined coke) Plant specific Confidential CD (Carbon in skimmed dust from Søderberg cells) Plant specific Confidential Note: For 1990-2004 PC value assumed to be constant and same with the 2005 data. All other parameters are default for the years 1990-2004 Table 4.25 Emission factors for aluminium production with Prebaked cells, 2015-2021 Emission factor Type of data Value NAC (Net Prebaked Anode Consumption) Plant specific Confidential Ca (Carbon content in baked anodes) Plant specific Confidential Note that the company, Eti Aluminium, switched to the Prebake cells just in 2015 after using Søderberg process for long years. The system is not fully developed yet. NAC value is not measured but it is estimated by the process engineers of the company. For the calculation of PFCs emissions, the company yearly supply data for the following parameters, from 1990:       Primary aluminium production (tonnes); Anode effect (minute/day); CF4 Slope coefficient; C2F6 Slope coefficient; CF4EF (kg CF4/tonnes aluminium); C2F6EF (kg C2F6/tonnes aluminium). Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: For CO2 emissions, the uncertainty values of the T2 method is considered ±5% for the EF and ±1% for AD, as recommended in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 3 (page 4.56). AD are relatively low as there is very little uncertainty in the data on annual production of aluminium and information is provided directly from the single producer. The CO2 emission factor is also low as the mechanisms leading to emissions are well known. On the other hand, for F-gases, uncertainty values of T3 are considered 5% for EF and 2% for AD as recommended in 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 3 (page 4.56). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 213213 Industrial Processes and Product Use Category 2.C.3 employed a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis which causes a combined uncertainty range (-5.15%,+5.16%) for CO2 emissions in 2020 submission. Detailed explanation of Approach 2 method is in Uncertainty part of this inventory report (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Within the scope of the Turkish National Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory Improvement Project, Türkiye's only primary aluminium producer, Eti Alüminyum A.Ş., was visited on July 2017 and detailed information on production processes and data recording systems were obtained. The emission calculation methodology, the parameters used in the formulation and the data gathered were discussed with sector experts. The methodology, the parameters and the data were also approved by the sector experts. The production data is gathered from the producer and aggregated national implied emission factors are compared with IPCC default values. Due to the data confidentiality the IEFs cannot be tabulated in here. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Emission calculations from PFC gases under the aluminium sector have been revised and recalculated according to the 2006 IPCC guidelines instead of 1996 IPCC guidelines. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned. 214 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 214 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.4.4. Magnesium production (Category 2.C.4) Magnesium is mainly used in electronics, defense, automotive and aircraft industries for its lightness and strength. Türkiye estimates CO2 and SF6 emissions emissions from magnesium metal production for the first time in this submission. While metallic magnesium derived from mineral source, CO2 released during calcination of carbanate-based ores. Kar Mineral Madencilik is Türkiye’s only producer of primary magnesium, launched its operation in 2016. Kar Mineral Madencilik uses Pigdeon method from dolomite mine for primary producing of magnesium metal. The magnesium production consist of eight main production phases. These are dolomite mining, crushing, calcination, grinding, pelleting, reduction, rafination and casting. Since all molten magnesium spontaneously burns in the presence of atmospheric oxygen, production and casting of all magnesium metal requires a protection system to prevent burning. The Magnesium production industry uses SF6 as a cover gas to prevent the oxidation of molten magnesium. Methodological Issues: Türkiye implements Tier 1 method for calculation of CO2 emissions from magnesium production. Primary production data collected from the plant as activity data and multiplied by the default IPCC EF. Where: 𝑬𝑬𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪 = ( 𝑷𝑷𝒅𝒅 ∙ 𝑬𝑬𝑬𝑬𝒅𝒅 ). 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏�𝟑𝟑 ECO2 = CO2 emissions from primary magnesium production, Gg Pd = national primary magnesium production from dolomite, tonnes EFd =Default emission factor for CO2 emissions from primary magnesium production from dolomite, tonne CO2 /tonne primary Mg produced Tier 2 method for calculation of SF6 is implemented which assumes that all SF6 is consumed is subsequentlyemitted. Consuption of SF6 data is gathered directly from the plant. 𝑬𝑬𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 = 𝑪𝑪𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 ESF6 = SF6 emissions from magnesium casting, tonnes CSF6 = consumption of SF6 in magnesium smelters and foundries, tonnes Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 215215 Industrial Processes and Product Use Consumed SF6 which is also assumed to be equal to emissions reported by the plant. There was no use of other cover gases (HFC-134a or FK 5-1-12) hence emissions were not reported for these alternatives. Collection of activity data Primary magnesium production data is directly reported by the plant annually. Dolomite used as raw material for production of magnesium. The production trend and emissions can be seen from the table below. Table 4.26 CO2 emissions from magnesium production, 2016-2021 Year Magnesium Production (2016=100) CO2 NO 100.0 720.2 370.7 779.8 1153.4 1099.4 NO 3.5 25.2 13.0 27.3 40.4 38.5 1990-2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 SF6 data is reported by the plant annually. Other cover gases (HFC-134a or FK 5-1-12) do not used by the plant. SF6 emissions from magnesium casting processes and CO2 eq. values can be seen from the table below. Table 4.27 SF6 emissions from magnesium casting, 2016-2021 Year ESF6 SF6 Emissions (kt-CO2 eq) 2016 0.040 0.912 2017 0.196 4.469 2018 0.260 5.928 2019 1.768 40.310 2020 2.444 55.723 2021 2.184 49.795 Choice of emission factor Türkiye applies default IPCC EF for primary magnesium producing which takes into account the type of raw material used. According to IPPC guideline Table 4.19 EF for dolomite is 5.13 tonnes CO2 emission/tonne primary magnesium produced. For magnesium casting processes Türkiye implement Tier 2 method that assumes all SF6 consumed is emitted. Annual consumed SF6 data gathered directly from the plant. 216 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 216 Industrial Processes and Product Use Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines recommended uncertainty value of 5% is used for the AD since the magnesium production data are gathered directly from the single production plant. Uncertainty value of default EF is estimated 10% based on the expert judgement. The uncertainty estimate is 5% according to IPCC guideline for the SF6 consumption for magnesium casting data which gathered from purchase registers is reported directly by the plant. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this year's inventory. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned. 4.4.5. Lead production (Category 2.C.5) Source Category Description There are two primary processes for the production of rough lead bullion from lead concentrates. The first type is sintering/smelting, which consists of sequential sintering and smelting steps and constitutes roughly 78% of world-wide primary lead production. The second type is direct smelting, which eliminates the sintering step and constitutes the remaining 22% of primary lead production in the developed world. However, in Türkiye there is no primary lead production. Türkiye is producing lead by only smelting the recycled lead from vehicles' old batteries. There are over 25 million registered road motor vehicles and there is huge amount of vehicle batteries to be recycled every year in Türkiye. Therefore, there are many lead batteries recycling companies in Türkiye. In lead recycling the batteries are crushed and then the scrap lead and plastic contents are separated by floating. Then the lead is put into a smelting furnace with some reductant agent (natural gas, fuel oil or Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 217217 Industrial Processes and Product Use metallurgical coke), silica, and iron. The furnace is heated up and the lead is melted in the furnace. During this process oxides are carbonated and leave the furnace as CO2. Methodological Issues: Lead production is not a key category in Türkiye, and due to lack of data, the Tier 1 is applied to calculate CO2 emissions by multiplying process specified to lead production data, as shown in equation below. Where: ECO2 = S ∙ EF s ECO2 = CO2 emissions from lead production, tonnes S= quantity of lead produced from secondary materials, tonnes EFS = emission factor for secondary materials, tonne CO2 / tonne lead produced The lead production data is known for only 1990-1996. Besides that, the amount of vehicle batteries recycled is known for the years 2007 and 2021. There is no data between 1997 and 2006. The specialists from the production field indicated that lead production amount is 60% of the vehicle batteries recycled by weight and this assumption is used for the estimation of secondary lead production. The amount of lead produced between 1997 and 2006 is estimated by interpolation. Collection of activity data There are many companies in Türkiye recycling vehicle batteries for lead recovery. Since old batteries are classified as dangerous waste, it is statistically overseen. The amount of vehicle batteries recycled is known for the years 2007-2021. The data is gathered from TurkStat data bases and Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. It is assumed that 60% of the waste battery weight is recycled as lead. This assumption is based on the experts who work in the lead smelting industry. 19901996 lead production data is found in the 8th five years development plan of Türkiye. The data for the years 1997-2006 are estimated by interpolation. In the table below the amount of vehicle batteries recycled and consequently the amount of lead produced in the smelting process is shown. The emissions from lead production is also shown in the same table. 218 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 218 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.28 Lead production and CO2 emissions from lead production, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Recycled waste batteries (kt) No Data No Data No Data No Data 55.0 59.4 59.5 69.0 61.3 71.4 66.4 73.9 72.6 73.5 78.5 83.6 Lead production from waste batteries (kt) 11.0 11.1 18.5 24.8 33.0 35.6 35.7 41.4 36.8 42.9 39.8 44.3 43.5 44.1 47.1 50.1 CO2 emissions (kt) 2.2 2.2 3.7 5.0 6.6 7.1 7.1 8.3 7.4 8.6 8.0 8.9 8.7 8.8 9.4 10.0 Choice of emission factor Emission factor of 0.20 tonne of CO2 / tonne of lead produced is used in the calculations. This is the process type specific emission factor for the treatment of secondary raw materials in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Table 4.21. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: National production data for the amount of vehicle batteries are used as the activity data and it is estimated that 60% by weight of the amount of batteries recycled is recovered as lead. Due to this assumption the activity data has an uncertainty of 25% relying on the expert judgement. The process type emission factor has an uncertainty of 20% by default. In 2020 submission, uncertainty in CO2 emissions from category 2.C.5 was quantified using the Monte Carlo simulation for other IPPU sub-categories. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions from lead production in 2018 is estimated at -22.87% to +24.60%. Further information about Monte Carlo analysis of lead production can be seen in Uncertainty chapter (Annex 2). Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The weight data of recycled batteries is gathered from Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (MoEUCC). The same data is also produced by TurkStat. When this two data sets from different sources are compared they are found consistent. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 219219 Industrial Processes and Product Use In order to estimate the amount of lead produced using the amount of batteries recycled data, the biggest two lead smelter company were asked and the production engineers and environmental responsibles gave necessary information. One company responsible declared 55-60% of lead recovery, the other company declared 65% of lead recovery from the old vehicle batteries by weight. Therefore, these information is consistent with the assumption that 60% of lead is recovered by weight. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this year's inventory. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned at this time. 4.4.6. Zinc production (Category 2.C.6) Source Category Description: Zinc production in Türkiye consist of secondary processes, currently there is no primary zinc production. There was a single primary production plant (CINKUR), located in Kayseri, produced primary zinc between the years 1968 and 1999. The plant was producing zinc by utilizing zincoxide ore by pyrometallurgical (Imperial Smelting Furnace) process until it closed in 1999. Zinc consumed in variety of areas including galvanizing where zinc coating is applied to steel in order to prevent corrosion, zinc alloys production, agricultural fertilizers, chemicals and paint industries. Türkiye estimates CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production first time in this submission. Secondary zinc production began in 1999 with single plant which stopped its operations for the years 2003, 2004 and 2009. Second plant launced operation in 2010 and three of them started their operations in 2015. 220 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 220 Industrial Processes and Product Use For secondary zinc production, electric arc furnace (EAF) dust, which captured during the recycling of galvanized steel, is main raw material. Flotation residuals from zinc mines are also used in production of secondary zinc. In the Waelz kiln process, EAF dust and mine residuals enters a kiln along with a reducing agent (metallurgical coke or anthracite) and limestone at a temperature of 1200-1300 C. As the feed material moves down the kiln, zinc transformed to gas and turned to Waelz oxide which is captured, cooled and leached in order to produce zinc concentrate. The use of carbon-containing reducing agent in hightemperature fuming process results in non-energy CO2 emissions. Emissions from fuels consumed for energy purposes during the production of zinc are accounted for in the Energy chapter. Methodological Issues: Estimations are based on the Tier 1 method described in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. In order to calculate CO2 emissions from primary zinc production, the default EF is multiplied with zinc production data as shown in the equation below. ECO2 = Zn ∙ EFdefault Where: ECO2 = CO2 emissions from primary zinc production, tonnes Zn = quantity of zinc produced, tonnes EF default = Default emission factor, tonnes CO2/ tonne zinc produced CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production calculated as shown in the equation below. ECO2 = WK ∙ EFWK ECO2 = CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production, tonnes WK = quantity of zinc produced by Waelz kiln process, tonnes EF default = emission factor for Waelz kiln process, tonnes CO2/ tonne zinc produced Collection of activity data To estimate CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production, production data obtained from the plants by a questionnaire in which retrospective data also demanded. For primary zinc production the plant stopped its activities in 1999. And it changed its owners many times from then. The newest owners of the plant have no information dating back to those years. Fortunately, Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 221221 Industrial Processes and Product Use the capacity utilization rate and the total zinc production capacity of the plant is found in the records of the ministry of state responsible for privatization (2001). By multiplying the production capacity of the plant with the capacity utilization rate, the production data of the plant are estimated for 1990-1999. The table below shows the amount of primary and secondary zinc production and CO2 emissions. Table 4.29 Zinc productions and CO2 emission (kt), 1990-2021 Years Primary Zinc Production Emissions from Primary Zinc Production CO2 Secondary Zinc Production Emissions from Secondary Zinc Production CO2 Total Emissions from Zinc Production CO2 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 22.0 20.4 NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO 37.8 35.1 NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO 3.7 1.3 17.0 26.2 28.9 30.3 33.7 113.9 113.7 133.7 147.6 110.9 141.2 158.2 NO NO 13.7 4.6 62.2 95.8 105.6 110.7 123.2 417.0 416.2 489.3 540.3 406.0 516.9 578.9 37.8 35.1 13.7 4.6 62.2 95.8 105.6 110.7 123.2 417.0 416.2 489.3 540.3 406.0 516.9 578.9 NO = Not Occurred Figure 4.22 CO2 emissions from primary and secondary zinc production, 1990-2021 600 kt 500 400 300 200 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100 Primary Zinc Production 222 Secondary Zinc Production Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 222 Industrial Processes and Product Use Choice of emission factor Default emission factor of 1.72 tonne of CO2/tonne of zinc produced is used in the primary zinc production calculations. This is the default emission factor in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Table 4.24 based on weighting of 60% Imperial Smelting and 40% Waelz Kiln. For the calculation of emissions from secondary zinc production, Waelz kiln process emission factor of 3.66 tonne of CO2/tonne of zinc produced is used. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Uncertainty value for EF is considered 50% as recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 3 Table 4.25 due to the use of default EF. Since production data gathered directly from the plants, the uncertainty value for AD is considered 5%. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: Experts from zinc trader and waelz oxide producer companies in Türkiye are personally communicated and by this way it is verified that Türkiye's only primary zinc producer was CINKUR and it was closed in 1999. CINKUR's zinc production data is also found in the 8th five years development plan of Türkiye (2001) and it is stated that CINKUR is roughly producing 20.000 tons zinc/year which is in line with our calculated production data for the years between 1990 and 1996. CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production is estimated first time in this submission. Secondary zinc production data which are collected from the plants via questionnaire for this inventory calculations, are compared with PRODCOM and found consistent. In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Türkiye estimates CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production first time in this submission. In 1999 both primary and secondary zinc is produced and CO2 emissions from zinc production increased by 3.7 kt. For the years between 2000-2002, 2005-2008 and 2010-2021 emission values are added from secondary zinc production for the first time. Planned Improvements: The activities of secondary zinc producers will continue to be examined in next submissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 223223 Industrial Processes and Product Use 4.5. Non-Energy Products from Fuels and Solvent Use (Category 2.D) 4.5.1. Lubricant use (Category 2.D.1) Source Category Description: Lubricants are mostly used in industrial and transportation applications. Lubricants are produced either at refineries through separation from crude oil or at petrochemical facilities. They can be subdivided into (a) motor oils and industrial oils, and (b) greases, which differ in terms of physical characteristics (e.g., viscosity), commercial applications, and environmental fate. The use of lubricants in engines is primarily for their lubricating properties and associated emissions are therefore considered as non-combustion emissions and reported in the IPPU Sector. Methodological Issues: Detailed activity data on lubricants are not available in Türkiye and CO2 emissions calculation is based on the amount of lubricant consumption is obtained from IEA - Eurostat - UNECE Energy Questionnaire - Oil table of Türkiye. Total consumption data for all lubricants (i.e. no separate data for oil and grease) is calculated by subtracting exports-imports and stock changes from production data. T1 method which is formulated by Equation 5.2 in 2006 IPCC Guidelines is used to calculate CO2 emission. Lubricant consumption data and the weighted average oxidation during use (ODU) factor and default carbon content factor for lubricants as a whole is used as default value for the calculation. The amount of lubricant consumed in terms of kt converted to in terms of TJ by multiplying it with a factor (40.2). The following table shows the amount of lubricant used and the CO2 emissions, from 1990 to 2021. 224 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 224 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.30 The Amount of lubricant used and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Lubricant use CO2 1990 297 175.1 1995 339 199.9 2000 460 271.2 2005 667 393.3 2010 713 420.4 2011 1 416 834.9 2012 998 588.4 2013 894 527.1 2014 654 385.6 2015 432 254.7 2016 229 135.0 2017 243 143.3 2018 328 193.4 2019 211 124.4 2020 203 119.5 2021 277 163.1 As activity data is calculated by subtracting exports-imports and stock changes from production data, fluctuations between some of the years are through the changes of these indicators. Due to decreasing import of lubricant in 2015 from 421 ktons to 199 ktons in 2016, resulted 47% decrease in activity data. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Because the default ODU factors developed are very uncertain, as they are based on limited knowledge of typical lubricant oxidation rates, the default uncertainty for EF is 50%. For AD uncertainty value is considered to be 25%. An uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 for 2.D.1 category and also to other IPPU categories in 2020 inventory year. Combined uncertainty of CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated at the range of -51.96% to +59.43%. Please refer to Annex 2 for more detailed information. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 225225 Industrial Processes and Product Use A QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned at this time. 4.5.2. Paraffin wax use (Category 2.D.2) Source Category Description: The category, as defined here, includes such products as petroleum jelly, paraffin waxes and other waxes, including ozokerite (mixtures of saturated hydrocarbons, solid at ambient temperature). Paraffin waxes are separated from crude oil during the production of light (distillate) lubricating oils. Paraffin waxes are categorized by oil content and the amount of refinement. Waxes are used in a number of different applications. Paraffin waxes are used in applications such as: candles, corrugated boxes, paper coating, board sizing, food production, wax polishes, surfactants (as used in detergents) and many others. Emissions from the use of waxes derive primarily when the waxes or derivatives of paraffin are combusted during use (e.g., candles), and when they are incinerated with or without heat recovery or in wastewater treatment (for surfactants). Methodological Issues: Detailed activity data on paraffin wax use are not available in Türkiye and CO2 emissions calculation is based on the amount of paraffin waxes consumed in a country which is obtained from IEA - Eurostat UNECE Energy Questionnaire - Oil table of Türkiye. Total consumption data for paraffin waxes is calculated by subtracting exports-imports and stock changes from production data. Tier 1 method formulated as Equation 5.4 in 2006 IPCC Guidelines is used with default carbon content and ODU factor. The following table shows the amount of paraffin wax used and resulting CO2 emissions, 1990 to 2021. 226 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 226 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.31 The Amount of paraffin wax used and CO2 emissions, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Paraffin wax use CO2 1990 14 8.3 1995 5 2.9 2000 10 5.9 2005 89 52.5 2010 19 11.2 2011 32 18.9 2012 29 17.1 2013 11 6.5 2014 23 13.6 2015 20 11.8 2016 19 11.2 2017 14 8.3 2018 22 13.0 2019 23 13.6 2020 25 14.6 2021 11 6.7 As activity data is calculated by subtracting exports-imports and stock changes from production data, fluctuations between some of the years are through the changes of these indicators. Due to increasing import of lubricant in 2014 resulted 109% increase in activity data. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Uncertainty values of AD is considered to be 25%, on the other hand since the ODU factor is highly dependent on specific country conditions and policies, the default EF exhibits an uncertainty of 100% according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Additionally, an uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 for 2.D.2 category (Paraffin wax use) in 2020 inventory year. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2018 is estimated at the range of (-98.46%,+107.31%). For more detailed information please refer to Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: In this submission for minimizing calculation errors, emission calculation was done by using two different software and results were compared. QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 227227 Industrial Processes and Product Use Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer from CITEPA (Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned. 4.6. Electronics Industry (Category 2.E) A research for this category, has been done by taking into consideration of relevant sectors and gases. According to the results, it has been appeared that F-gases have not been used in the manufacturing processes of these sectors. However, it is founded that some gases have been used with the aim of research and development. Source category description The sub-sector only consists of the following sub-application: 2.E.5- Other, other electronic uses. Methodological issues This section is composed of results of the research which has been conducted by the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. As it is stated above, results show that F-gases are not used in the manufacturing of flat panel display, photovoltaic products and semiconductors. This information has been gathered by contacting with largest companies within the relevant sectors. However, it is observed that CF4, CHF3 and SF6 are used for the research and development in the area of semiconductor products. Therefore, these gases are reported under the category of 2.E.5 “other electronic uses”. According to the research, these gases were started to be used in 2010. For reporting of emission, it is assumed that same amount of gas was used for each year. This assumption is made by considering the expert judgement. MoEUCC has made survey with the leading company of Türkiye, which has R&D department in electronic industry and the numbers assessed due to the results of survey. 228 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 228 Industrial Processes and Product Use Table 4.32 shows the consumption amount of each gases which are consumed for the research and development purpose. Table 4.32 Consumption of each gases, 2010-2021 (kg) Years CF4 HFC-23 SF6 2010 1.2 6 1 848 2011 1.2 6 1 848 2012 1.2 6 1 848 2013 1.2 6 1 848 2014 1.2 6 1 848 2015 1.2 6 1 848 2016 1.2 6 1 848 2017 1.28 6.4 1 984.7 2018 1.31 6.56 2 501.7 2019 1.32 6.61 2 524.2 2020 1.34 6.72 2 569.6 2021 1.49 7.46 2 852.3 Türkiye's economy grew 11 percent in 2021 and the value of consumption of each gas has determined for 2021 by using the value of economic grew. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission. Planned Improvements: No further improvements are planned. 4.7. Product Use as Substitutes for ODS (Category 2.F) Source Category Description: Production of fluorochemicals does not exist in Türkiye. Therefore, all demand for these gases is met by imports. The sub sector emissions of fluorinated substitutes for ODS consist of the following sub application; Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 229229 Industrial Processes and Product Use   2F3 emissions from fire protection 2F6 emissions from other applications Methodological Issues: The methodology used to estimate HFCs emissions from the sub-sector has been based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, using the model provided by the IPCC, which calculate emissions following T1 method. Inventory calculations have been based on the raw trade data (import and export) provided for each gas by Ministry of Trade. It should be noted that HFCs are being used as alternatives to CFCs since 1999. Since then it is thought that HFCs are used in different industrial sectors. However due to lack of information, it is assumed that most of HFCs gases, excluding HFC-227ea that is used only in fire extinguishers, are used in refrigeration and air conditioning sector. Due to this reason, these gases are calculated according to the calculation assumptions for refrigeration and air conditioning but calculation results are reported under “Other Applications” title in 2F category. As it is written in 2006 IPCC Guidelines, following assumptions are used in a hybrid Tier 1a/b approach for calculations;      Servicing of equipment containing the refrigerant does not commence until 3 years after the equipment is installed. Emissions from banked refrigerants average 3% annually across the whole refrigeration and air conditioning application area. In a market, two thirds of the sales of a refrigerant are used for servicing and one third is used to charge new equipment. The average equipment lifetime is 15 years. The complete transition to a new refrigerant technology will take place over a 10 years period. For calculation of HFC-227ea, expert judgements are considered. According to the information which is obtained from discussion with experts who are working under the Protection of Ozon Layer Division of MoEUCC and Turkish Fire Protection and Training Foundation (TUYAK) which is representative of fire sector, HFC-227ea is mostly consumed in fire protection application in Türkiye. Regarding to this information, this gas is reported under “2F3 Fire Protection” category. As it is stated in the 2006 IPCC Guideline, HFCs in this application area, are emitted over a period longer than one year. To consider this, spreadsheet which is proposed by guideline is used for calculation. 230 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 230 Industrial Processes and Product Use Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Table 4.33 and Figure 4.23 present total HFCs emissions from 1999 to 2021. Increasing trend in emissions is clearly observed from these presentations. The reason behind this can be explained by the prohibition of CFCs in the country. Since 1999, HFCs have been used as substitution of CFCs (Values of 1999 has been calculated due to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories). Table 4.33 Total HFCs emissions, 1999-2021 Year HFCs Emissions (kt CO2 eq.) HFCs Emissions (tonnes) 2000 81.3 115.7 2005 808.6 1 146.9 2010 2 412.4 3 054.3 2011 2 949.9 3 432.7 2012 3 654.4 4 256.9 2013 4 030.0 4 471.1 2014 4 490.6 4 929.6 2015 4 522.5 4 817.5 2016 4 806.7 5 110.9 2017 4 955.5 5 256.3 2018 4 929.9 5 040.2 2019 5 857.9 5 676.5 2020 6 508.4 6 497.6 2021 7 635.8 7 209.7 Figure 4.23 Total HFCs emissions, 1999-2021 9000 (tonnes) 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 Above presentation shows aggregated emissions caused by HFCs including HFC-23, HFC-32, HFC-41, HFC-43-10mee, HFC-125, HFC-134, HFC-134a, HFC-143, HFC-143a, HFC-152a, HFC-227ea, HFC-236fa, Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 231231 Industrial Processes and Product Use HFC-245ca, and HFC-365 mfc. Moreover, table below separately indicates emissions from these gases for specific years. All emission values are presented in tonnes and for each gas emissions are calculated related to Tier 1a/1b method of IPCC. Inventory calculations have been based on the raw trade data (import and export) provided for each gas by Ministry of Trade and the change in graph is consistent with number of import and export. Table 4.34 HFCs Emissions (tonnes) Substance 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 HFC-23 0.02 0.29 0.57 0.63 5.40 4.70 4.10 3.66 5.33 4.70 3.58 3.18 2.97 2.52 HFC-32 NO NO NO NO 0.01 0.01 0.5 0.6 0.7 3.5 86.9 179.3 323.7 600.1 HFC-41 NO NO 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.08 NO NO NO HFC-4310mee NO NO NO 0.04 0.08 0.07 0.15 0.12 0.51 0.88 1.65 3.20 2.97 2.84 HFC-125 NO NO 0.7 1.2 3.6 6.7 15.3 25.5 21.7 27 30.5 35.7 27.9 102.2 HFC-134 NO NO NO 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 HFC-134a 80.4 791.4 2,066.3 HFC-143 NO NO 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 NO NO HFC-143a NO NO NO NO 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.83 2.41 2.05 1.74 1.48 1.26 30.57 HFC-152a 0.78 14 331.4 642.2 HFC-236fa NO NO 0.68 1.66 3.07 4.12 4.11 4.09 6.03 6.77 9.45 9.58 11.80 13.83 HFC-245ca NO NO 0.02 1.14 0.97 0.82 2.65 2.26 1.92 1.63 1.42 1.24 0.99 5.58 HFC-245fa NO NO NO NO NO NO 12 25.20 29.05 30.51 28.16 23.93 32.85 29.79 HFC-365mfc NO NO 0.12 1.10 1.08 0.92 0.78 0.66 0.56 0.48 0.41 1.04 0.19 1.08 HFC-227ea 0.13 2.87 12.67 16.55 20.45 26.06 33.23 39.33 47.58 56.61 67.10 78.33 92.14 102.31 2,285.4 2,770.4 2,877.5 3,143.3 3,000.0 3,153.4 3,215.9 2,978.3 3,303.5 3,778.3 849.4 1,109.1 1,274.5 1,418.2 1,537.6 1,605.6 1,720.6 2,217.5 2,233.4 3,775.9 2,969.1 The calculation method is IPCC T1 for all substances given above. Inventory calculations have been based on the raw trade data (import and export) provided for each gas by Ministry of Trade and the change in emission values are consistent with number of import and export. 232 232 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.24 HFC-227ea Emissions (tonnes), 2000-2021 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Recalculation: Recalculations have been carried out for the years 2014-2021, to take account of calculation error of data, because of the calculation worksheet updated problem. Planned Improvement: No further improvements are planned. 4.8. Other Product Manufacture and Use (Category 2.G) Source Category Description: The sub-sector other product manufacture and use consists of the following sub- applications:  2.G.1- SF6 Emissions from electrical equipment Methodological Issues: It is assumed that SF6 is used only in electrical instruments, mainly in circuit breakers. Emission results are reported based on the import and export data of SF6. However, custom code for this gas was established in 2013 and trade data is available only for 2013-2021. Therefore, trend of electricity consumption is used for the prediction of imported gas for previous years. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 233233 Industrial Processes and Product Use Data for electricity consumption is obtained from the Turkish Electricity Transmission Corporation and the trade data for SF6 is provided by Ministry of Trade. Table 4.35 shows the distribution of electricity consumption, SF6 consumption (import and export values) and emissions of SF6 which is emitted from the circuit breakers used in Electricity industry. The IPCC default values of emission factors (including natural leakage and emissions of operation, maintenance, and disposal) are 2.6% for the EU, 0.7% for Japan, and 2.0% as a global average and calculation made by using the global average value. Table 4.35 SF6 Consumption and Electricity Consumption Years 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Electricity consumption (GWh) 98 130 172 186 194 198 207 216 225 249 254 257 261 286 296 263 051 100 923 045 375 233 495 020 863 273 193 692 SF6 net consumption (tonnes) 29.260 38.776 51.215 55.397 58.024 58.953 71.826 87.055 80.002 160.277 156.591 127.774 125.464 64.130 SF6 Emissions (tonnes) 0.585 0.775 1.024 1.107 1.160 1.179 1.436 1.741 1.600 3.205 3.131 2.555 2.509 1.282 There is no information about the number and the capacity of the used, imported or exported equipment and the number of destroyed equipment. The imported gas amount has been assumed as 2% emitted in related year. Import and export data is provided by Ministry of Trade. In 2021, SF6 net consumption decreased dramatically, continuing the downward trend which began in 2017. In addition, a decrease in SF6 emissions was also observed compared with the previous years. This may be in part due to a preference for the 36 kV vacuum breaker over the 36 kV SF6 gas breaker in the procurement tenders held in recent years. 234 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 234 Industrial Processes and Product Use Figure 4.25 SF6 emissions, 1996-2021 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Uncertainties of SF6 was estimated using expert judgement as described in IPCC Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management (2000) Reference. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: During the preparation of the inventory submission activities related to source specific quality control were mainly focused on completeness and consistency of emission estimates and on proper use of notation keys in the CRF tables according to QA/QC plan. Aggregated national EFs are compared with IPCC default values. Recalculation: The consumption of SF6 in Mg production between the years 2016-2021 is accounted in the magnesium production sector. Planned Improvement: No further improvements are planned. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 235235 Agriculture 5. AGRICULTURE (CRF Sector 3) 5.1. Sector Overview Agricultural activities will most likely coexist with the existence of human beings on this planet, and agricultural production is indispensable to the continuance of life. Effects of climate change are observed by concentration of GHGs for many sectors including agriculture which generally comes second in size after the energy sector. The total emission value calculated for the agriculture sector is 72 Mt CO2 eq. for the year 2021 which is 13.9% of the total emission value including the LULUCF sector and 12.8% of all emissions excluding the LULUCF sector for Türkiye. The agricultural sector is divided into ten categories from 3.A to 3.J in the CRF tables. These categories are listed in Table 5.1 briefly for gases emitted from each of these sources. Table 5.1 Categories of the agriculture sector and emitted gases CRF Categories CO2 CH4 N 2O NOx CO NMVOC x xb xb x xb xb SO2 3.A Enteric fermentation x 3.B Manure management x 3.C Rice cultivation x 3.D Agricultural soils 3.E Prescribed burning of savannas x x xc xc xc xc 3.F Field burning of agricultural residues x x xb xb xb xb 3.G Liming x 3.H Urea application x 3.I Other carbon-containing fertilizers x 3.J Other a xa to be reported under LULUCF Sector. b Emissions of this gas from this category are likely to be emitted and a methodology is provided in the EMEP/EEA Guidebook. Emissions of this air pollutant from this category are likely to be emitted and the methodology may be included in the EMEP/EEA Guidebook in the future. C 236 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 236 Agriculture The percentage of emissions from this sector as percentage of total national GHG emissions (excluding LULUCF) gradually declined from around 21% to 10.6% in most of the years between 1990 and 2009 before levelling off and thereafter gaining momentum. With the aim to give a clear view on the weights of the categories within the sector, the following Table 5.2 presents emission and percentage values for the year 2021. Table 5.2 Agriculture sector emissions and overall percentages by categories, 2021 3 Agriculture CH4 N2O CO2 Total (kt CO2 eq.) (kt CO2 eq.) (kt) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 39 332 31 442 1 302 72 075 100.0 34 953 48.5 9 144 12.7 269 0.4 26 249 36.4 A. Enteric fermentation 34 953 B. Manure management 3 988 C. Rice cultivation 5 155 269 D. Agricultural soils 26 249 E. Prescribed burning of savannas F. Field burning of agricultural residues NO 121 37 159 G. Liming NE* H. Urea application 1 302 1 302 I. Other carbon-containing fertilizers NO J. Other NO GHG Percentage Shares 0.2 54.6 43.6 1.8 1.8 100.0 *The emission level from source category 3.G Liming is considered to be insignificant according to Paragraph 37(b) of 24/CP.19. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Table 5.3 clearly presents the developments of the emissions for the agriculture sector. The overall emission value for the sector increased from approximately 46.1 Mt CO2 eq. to around 72 Mt CO2 eq. (an increase of 56.5%) during the 32 years period after 1990. The biggest increase among the categories in absolute terms for the emissions is observed in the enteric fermentation category where the emissions increased by around 12.6 Mt CO2 eq. (56.1%) from 22.4 Mt CO2 eq. to 35 Mt CO2 eq. for the same period. The primary reason for this increase is the change in activity data (AD). Other significant increases in this thirty-two years period are seen in agricultural soils, manure management, and urea application where the figures are 8.9 Mt CO2 eq. (51.6%), 3.7 Mt CO2 eq. (68.2%), and 0.8 Mt CO2 eq. (183%), respectively. Increases in emissions from enteric fermentation and manure management are largely a result of changes in activity data. Emissions for rice cultivation increased by around 0.2 Mt CO2 eq. (169.1%) whereas the emissions for field burning of agricultural residues between 1990 and 2021 resulted in a decrease of 54.3%. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 237237 Agriculture Table 5.3 Overview of the agriculture sector emissions, 1990‒2021 A. Enteric fermentation B. Manure management C. Rice cultivation Agriculture total Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 22 397 48.6 5 436 11.8 100 0.2 46 054 100 1995 21 815 49.5 5 523 12.5 113 0.3 44 080 100 2000 19 234 45.4 5 142 12.1 128 0.3 42 332 100 2005 19 680 46.4 4 781 11.3 183 0.4 42 439 100 2010 20 946 47.2 5 391 12.1 202 0.5 44 409 100 2011 22 847 48.7 5 639 12.0 204 0.4 46 901 100 2012 25 790 49.0 6 425 12.2 249 0.5 52 662 100 2013 26 906 48.2 6 769 12.1 231 0.4 55 858 100 2014 27 154 48.3 7 068 12.6 229 0.4 56 219 100 2015 26 947 48.0 6 956 12.4 240 0.4 56 133 100 2016 26 984 45.8 7 060 12.0 243 0.4 58 894 100 2017 30 110 47.6 7 697 12.2 234 0.4 63 262 100 2018 32 136 49.2 8 508 13.0 252 0.4 65 338 100 2019 33 368 49.1 8 597 12.6 263 0.4 68 022 100 2020 34 615 47.3 9 060 12.4 262 0.4 73 154 100 2021 34 953 48.5 9 144 12.7 269 0.4 72 075 100 (kt CO2 eq.) Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Table 5.3 Overview of the agriculture sector emissions, 1990‒2021 (continued) D. Managed soils F. Field burnıng Agriculture total Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 17 314 37.6 347 0.8 460 1.0 46 054 100 1995 15 871 36.0 332 0.8 426 1.0 44 080 100 2000 16 870 39.9 340 0.8 617 1.5 42 332 100 2005 16 880 39.8 302 0.7 613 1.4 42 439 100 2010 17 006 38.3 219 0.5 645 1.5 44 409 100 2011 17 421 37.1 233 0.5 558 1.2 46 901 100 2012 19 334 36.7 224 0.4 640 1.2 52 662 100 2013 20 905 37.4 240 0.4 807 1.4 55 858 100 2014 20 764 36.9 215 0.4 788 1.4 56 219 100 2015 21 006 37.4 174 0.3 811 1.4 56 133 100 2016 23 147 39.3 164 0.3 1 295 2.2 58 894 100 2017 23 607 37.3 165 0.3 1 450 2.3 63 262 100 2018 23 022 35.2 163 0.2 1 257 1.9 65 338 100 2019 24 342 35.8 165 0.2 1 288 1.9 68 022 100 2020 27 389 37.4 171 0.2 1 657 2.3 73 154 100 2021 26 249 36.4 159 0.2 1 302 1.8 72 075 100 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 238 H. Urea application (kt CO2 eq.) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 238 Agriculture Furthermore, in relative terms, the biggest category in the agriculture sector is enteric fermentation having a 48.5% share for 2021, so it dominates the sector. In all reported years, 1990-2021, this category had an average share of 47.6% in the agriculture sector, starting with a share of 48.6% in 1990. The second biggest category is agricultural soils having a proportion of 36.4% for 2021 decreased from 37.4% in 2020. While having a percentage share of agricultural soils of 40.2% in 2004, its average share for the entire reporting period of thirty-two years is around 37.9%. Manure management’s share presents somehow a more stable increasing trend, starting from 11.8% in 1990 and reaching 12.7% in 2021 while having an average of 12.1% for all reporting years. For 2021, remaining categories, which are rice cultivation, field burning of agricultural residuals, and urea application, had emission shares of 0.4%, 0.2%, and 1.8%, respectively. Though the share increased by around 72% for rice cultivation and 80.8% for urea application, the absolute terms were small and relative weights of these two categories were low for the period 1990-2021. Despite these increasing values, the share for field burning of agricultural residues decreased from 0.8% to 0.2% for the reporting period. A graphical representation is given below in Figure 5.1, which presents the overall cumulative distribution and the trend for the reporting period of the agriculture sector. Other sources are calculated by the summation of emission figures from rice cultivation, field burning, and urea application. Figure 5.1 Cumulative emissions of agricultural categories, 1990‒2021 80 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 70 000 60 000 50 000 Other Sources 40 000 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 Enteric fermentation 1992 10 000 1991 Manure management 1990 20 000 2008 Agricultural soils 30 000 239 239 Agriculture Additionally, it should be noted that prescribed burning of savannas (CRF Category 3.E) does not occur in Türkiye and is therefore not reported in this National Inventory Report whereas liming (CRF Category 3.G) is considered to be insignificant according to Paragraph 37(b) of 24/CP.19. Other carbon-containing fertilizers (CRF Category 3.I) are not occurring while the final category, other (CRF Category 3.J) in the agriculture sector, is an option to be used only if necessary. Figure 5.2 shows an overview of category shares and methods used for the agriculture sector. Figure 5.2 Category shares and methods used in the agriculture sector, 2021 T1 - Field burning of T1 - Urea application 1.8% agricultural residues 0.2% Tier 1 - Agricultural soils 36.4% T1 - Rice cultivation 0.4% Tier 2 - Enteric fermentation (Cattle) 37.9% T1 - Enteric fermentation (Sheep) 8% T1 - Manure management 12.7% T1 - Enteric fermentation (Other animals) 2.6% The methods used for the emission estimations in the agriculture sector except for cattle in enteric fermentation are Tier 1 (T1). The only Tier 2 (T2) method used in this sector is for emissions due to enteric fermentation of cattle which has a value of 27 290 kt CO2 eq. This amount equals to around 37.9% of total emissions in the agriculture sector and 78.1% of total emissions in enteric fermentation which is the biggest subcategory in enteric fermentation as presented in Figure 5.2. 240 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 240 Agriculture Table 5.4 Agriculture sector emissions ‒ comparison between 2020 and 2021 Source Category 3. Agriculture Sector 2020 2021 Change (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 73 154 100 72 075 100 -1 078 -1.5 3.A Enteric Fermentation 34 615 47.3 34 953 48.5 339 1 3.B Manure Management 9 060 12.4 9 144 12.7 83 0.9 3.C Rice Cultivation 262 0.4 269 0.4 8 3 3.D Agricultural Soils 27 389 37.4 26 249 36.4 -1 140 -4.2 3.F Field Burning 171 0.2 159 0.2 -13 -7.5 3.H Urea Application 1 657 2.3 1 302 1.8 -355 -21.4 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Note that two source categories, CRF 3.E and 3.I, are not occurring (NO), while another source category, CRF 3.G Liming, is not estimated (NE) because it is considered to be insignificant. The emission values between the latest of two reporting years, 2020 and 2021, are presented in Table 5.4 and in order to present a different perspective on the size changes of major agricultural categories, Figure 5.3 is also given. Major agricultural categories, enteric fermentation, manure management, and agricultural soils, are responsible for more than 97% of the emissions in the sector. Additionally, the main changes in minor agricultural categories are shown in Figure 5.4. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 241 241 Agriculture Figure 5.3 Trends in major agriculture categories 40 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 Enteric Fermentation Manure Management 1990 2000 2010 Agricultural Soils 2021 Figure 5.4 Trends in minor agriculture categories 1400 (kt CO2 eq.) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Rice Cultivation Field Burning of Agricultural Residues 1990 242 2000 2010 Urea Application 2021 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 242 Agriculture GHG emission values and their percentage shares in the agriculture sector, CH4, N2O and CO2, are presented in Table 5.5. After its initial increase in 1991, emission values for CH4 decreased in the eleven years (except in 1996 and 1999) until 2002. Thereafter, the overall increasing trend could be split into two phases: a moderate one until 2009 and a stronger one after 2009. Overall, the percentage share of CH4 increased from 54.5% in 1990 to 54.6% in 2021. The average share of N2O emissions were around 44.8% with respect to yearly total agricultural emission values. The emission values for N2O were 20 480 kt CO2 eq. (44.5%) in 1990 and increased to an estimated value of 31 442 kt CO2 eq. while taking a smaller share of 43.6% of total agricultural emissions in 2021. N2O emissions are due to manure management and agricultural soils source categories in the agricultural sector. CO2 emissions result only from urea application; have the smallest share in this sector, and ranges between 0.9% and 2.3% for the period 1990-2021. The highest absolute value of CO2 emissions occurred in 2020 with 1 657 kt, while it has the smallest value in 1995 with 426 kt depending on the amount of urea applied. The corresponding value for the latest reporting year accounts for a share of 1.8%. Table 5.5 Overview of GHGs in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 CH4 N2O CO2 Total Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 25 114 54.5 20 480 44.5 460 1.0 46 054 1995 24 707 56.1 18 947 43.0 426 1.0 44 080 2000 21 955 51.9 19 759 46.7 617 1.5 42 332 2005 22 053 52.0 19 773 46.6 613 1.4 42 439 2010 23 786 53.6 19 978 45.0 645 1.5 44 409 2011 25 681 54.8 20 662 44.1 558 1.2 46 901 2012 29 048 55.2 22 975 43.6 640 1.2 52 662 2013 30 316 54.3 24 734 44.3 807 1.4 55 858 2014 30 712 54.6 24 720 44.0 788 1.4 56 219 2015 30 351 54.1 24 972 44.5 811 1.4 56 133 2016 30 464 51.7 27 134 46.1 1 295 2.2 58 894 2017 33 818 53.5 27 995 44.3 1 450 2.3 63 262 2018 36 399 55.7 27 682 42.4 1 257 1.9 65 338 2019 37 578 55.2 29 157 42.9 1 288 1.9 68 022 2020 39 006 53.3 32 491 43.0 1 657 2.3 73 154 2021 39 332 54.6 31 442 43.6 1 302 1.8 72 075 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Source categories for CH4 and N2O emissions are presented in Table 5.9 and 5.10, respectively, whereas the only source category for CO2 emissions is urea application (CRF category 3.H) which emits carbon dioxide reported under the agriculture sector. The activity data used for the compilation of the GHG inventory are provided mainly by TurkStat’s databases distributed by its Central Dissemination System on the following website accessible on https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?kn=101&locale=en which is also accessible at www.turkstat.gov.tr. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 243 243 Agriculture Livestock population data are critical activity data for the required calculations. Animal population numbers shown in Table 5.6 are provided by TurkStat for the entire time series, 1990-2021. There are differences among population sizes (cattle, sheep and swine), between the numbers used for the estimations of GHG emissions and official numbers submitted to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). The FAO data are slightly old and do not consider the most recent TurkStat data, which is used for the inventory submission. Therefore, the AD of the GHG inventory are more recent and accurate compared to FAO. Moreover, FAO has some assumptions on TurkStat data. Although the data are updated each year by TurkStat, FAO has still continued to use its assumptions. Therefore, the data sent by TurkStat, which are also used for GHG inventory, are the most accurate data available for inventory calculations. Data on livestock production have been collected from District Offices of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry at the end of the year. Since 2014, data on livestock numbers have been collected and published two times a year. The data, entered into an online database by the district offices, have been analyzed together with the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Prepared data are sent to the Ministry for controlling process. Once again controlled data are analyzed by Agricultural Production Statistics Group at TurkStat and will then become ready for publishing after final analysis and controls. Livestock population numbers are given for livestock species in Table 5.6. As the numbers show, both dairy and non-dairy cattle, domestic sheep, poultry and goats have significantly high population numbers with respect to other livestock species. Five columns, which are dairy cattle, non-dairy cattle, sheep merino, goats, and poultry, have positive differences between 1990 and 2021 with population increasing around 0.9 million (14.7%), 5.6 million (102.2%), 3.2 million (374%), 1.4 million (13%) and 295.9 million (289.3%), respectively. It is remarkable that poultry numbers had more than tripled in 32 years from around 102.3 million to over 398 million. Contrary to these developments, the change for the reporting period of 32 years was as much as -88.7% for the swine population and -90.1% for mules and asses. Similarly, other changing percentages observed for camels, domestic sheep, buffalo, and horses are -39.8%, 3.7%, -50%, -83.7%, respectively. The figures also presents a decreasing trend for few livestock species for the reporting period of 1990-2021. During the reporting period, our country's population is increasingly living in urban areas rather than in rural areas which reduced the demand for some of the animals in small households living in rural areas. Moreover, a few animal categories used for carrying goods previously in rural areas, are not needed any more extensively for this purpose. Thus the demand for a few livestock species decreased. 244 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 244 Agriculture Table 5.6 Livestock population numbers in Türkiye, 1990‒2021 (thousand) Year Dairy Cattle NonDairy Cattle 1990 5 893 5 485 39 711 842 10 926 371 513 1 187 14.0 102 255 1995 5 886 5 903 32 985 806 9 111 255 415 900 7.0 135 251 2000 5 280 5 481 27 719 773 7 201 146 271 588 4.0 264 451 2005 3 998 6 528 24 552 752 6 517 105 208 423 2.7 322 917 2010 4 362 7 008 22 003 1 086 6 293 85 155 260 2.8 238 973 2011 4 761 7 625 23 811 1 221 7 278 98 151 248 3.1 241 499 2012 5 431 8 484 25 893 1 533 8 357 107 141 236 4.3 257 505 2013 5 607 8 808 27 485 1 799 9 226 118 136 227 4.5 270 202 2014 5 609 8 614 29 034 2 106 10 345 122 131 212 4.1 298 030 2015 5 536 8 458 29 302 2 206 10 416 134 123 198 3.2 316 332 2016 5 432 8 648 28 833 2 151 10 345 142 120 190 2.9 333 541 2017 5 969 9 975 31 257 2 420 10 635 161 114 176 3.1 348 144 2018 6 338 10 705 32 513 2 682 10 922 178 108 165 3.3 359 218 2019 6 581 11 107 34 199 3 077 11 205 184 102 156 3.1 348 785 2020 6 775 11 190 38 580 3 547 11 986 192 90 133 2.0 386 081 2021 6 759 11 091 41 183 3 995 12 342 186 84 118 2.6 398 115 Sheep Domestic Sheep Merino Goats Buffalo Horses Mules and Asses Swine, Camels Poultry Note that dairy cattle population for the year 2003 is taken as the average of population figures for 2002 and 2004 after carefully discussed/scrutinized with the Agricultural Statistics Department at TurkStat in order to ensure comparability for the entire time series. This was necessary because of a different methodology applied regarding dairy cattle for the year 2003. Non-dairy cattle figures were adjusted accordingly. Time series for cattle population with its subcategories in our country are presented in Table 5.7. Livestock production can result in CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation and also in CH4 and N2O emissions from livestock manure management systems. Cattle as a livestock category is a significant source of CH4 in our country because of their large population and high CH4 emission rate due to their ruminant digestive system. In Türkiye there are three dairy cattle types categorized as culture cattle, hybrid cattle and domestic cattle as shown in Table 5.8. Culture dairy cattle is a dairy cattle type having higher milk yields compared to domestic dairy cattle whereas milk yields values of hybrid cattle are between them. Hybrid cattle are breeds of culture and domestic dairy cattle. Culture dairy cattle population is increasing by years except for the years 1997, 1998, 2002-2004 and 2021. But, in general, the culture dairy cattle population has a positive trend in the period 1990-2021, which has a percentage increase of 41.3% from 9% in 1990 to 50.3% in 2021 within dairy cattle population. For hybrid cattle population, which was around 2.8 million in 2021 despite being 1.9 million in 1990, a big increase or decrease in percentage share cannot be observed throughout the same period, though the final three reporting years identified a total increase of around 0.1 million. The share of domestic cattle among dairy cattle was 58.1% in 1990 but this ratio reduced to 7.7% in 2021. As seen in Table 5.7, non-dairy cattle number increased by approximately 5.6 million from around 5.5 million in 1990 to more than 11.1 million in 2021 and its share in total number of cattle increased from 48.2% to 62.1% between 1990 and 2021. Furthermore, Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 245 245 Agriculture Figure 5.5 presents three types of dairy cattle as well as non-dairy cattle population numbers for the period of 1990-2021 in a straightforward chart. Figure 5.5 Population numbers for cattle categories, 1990‒2021 Dairy Cattle (Culture) 246 Dairy Cattle (Hybrid) Dairy Cattle (Domestic) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 (million) 1990 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Non-Dairy Cattle 246 Agriculture Table 5.7 Subcategories of cattle population, 1990‒2021 Total Cattle Year Dairy Cattle Non-Dairy Cattle (population) (population) (%) (population) (%) 1990 11 377 057 5 892 550 51.8 5 484 507 48.2 1995 11 789 000 5 885 586 49.9 5 903 414 50.1 2000 10 761 000 5 279 573 49.1 5 481 427 50.9 2005 10 526 440 3 998 095 38.0 6 528 345 62.0 2010 11 369 800 4 361 842 38.4 7 007 958 61.6 2011 12 386 337 4 761 150 38.4 7 625 187 61.6 2012 13 914 912 5 431 403 39.0 8 483 509 61.0 2013 14 415 257 5 607 278 38.9 8 807 979 61.1 2014 14 223 109 5 609 249 39.4 8 613 860 60.6 2015 13 994 071 5 535 779 39.6 8 458 292 60.4 2016 14 080 155 5 431 720 38.6 8 648 435 61.4 2017 15 943 586 5 969 051 37.4 9 974 535 62.6 2018 17 042 506 6 337 906 37.2 10 704 600 62.8 2019 17 688 139 6 580 834 37.2 11 107 305 62.8 2020 17 965 482 6 775 321 37.7 11 190 161 62.3 2021 17 850 543 6 759 168 37.9 11 091 375 62.1 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Note also the footnote to Table 5.6. Table 5.8 Subcategories of dairy cattle population, 1990‒2021 Total Culture Hybrid Domestic Year (population) (population) (%) (population) (%) (population) (%) 1990 5 892 550 530 330 9.0 1 941 170 32.9 3 421 050 58.1 1995 5 885 586 870 246 14.8 2 392 621 40.7 2 622 719 44.6 2000 5 279 573 904 850 17.1 2 335 119 44.2 2 039 604 38.6 2005 3 998 095 925 613 23.2 1 717 310 43.0 1 355 172 33.9 2010 4 361 842 1 626 416 37.3 1 787 010 41.0 948 416 21.7 2011 4 761 150 1 868 281 39.2 1 962 711 41.2 930 158 19.5 2012 5 431 403 2 211 245 40.7 2 263 400 41.7 956 758 17.6 2013 5 607 278 2 314 282 41.3 2 395 898 42.7 897 098 16.0 2014 5 609 249 2 427 915 43.3 2 428 709 43.3 752 625 13.4 2015 5 535 779 2 500 881 45.2 2 314 063 41.8 720 835 13.0 2016 5 431 720 2 542 164 46.8 2 235 503 41.2 654 053 12.0 2017 5 969 051 2 940 907 49.3 2 426 763 40.7 601 381 10.1 2018 6 337 906 3 185 954 50.3 2 554 949 40.3 597 003 9.4 2019 6 580 834 3 249 038 49.4 2 745 272 41.7 586 524 8.9 2020 6 775 321 3 398 270 50.2 2 808 168 41.4 568 883 8.4 2021 6 759 168 3 398 164 50.3 2 842 183 42.0 518 821 7.7 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Note also the footnote to Table 5.6. Table 5.3, given previously, presents a detailed perspective on the agriculture sector emissions for the reporting period. GHG emissions from livestock are CH4 in enteric fermentation and CH4 and N2O in manure management. Rice cultivation leads to CH4 emissions, agricultural soils to N2O emissions, field burning of crop residues to CH4 and N2O emissions. Urea application is the only category directly resulting in CO2 emissions reported under the agriculture sector in our country. An overview of emission Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 247 247 Agriculture factors and parameters related to emission calculations from the agriculture sector is shown in Annex 3 of the NIR. Methane (CH4) Emissions from enteric fermentation, manure management, rice cultivation and field burning of agricultural residues include methane. The agriculture sector in our country produced 1573.3 kt CH4 (39.3 Mt CO2 eq.) emissions, which equals 54.6% of agricultural emissions or 61,4% of Türkiye’s CH4 emissions (without LULUCF), or 7% of Türkiye’s total emissions in 2021. CH4 emissions had increased by 14 218 kt CO2 eq. (56.6%) from its 1990 level of 25 114 kt CO2 eq. to 39 332 kt CO2 eq. in 2021. This increase is mainly a result of increases in CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation of 12 557 kt CO2 eq., from manure management of 1 636 kt CO2 eq., and from rice cultivation of 169 kt CO2 eq. The total increase as high as 14 218 kt CO2 eq. is responsible for 54.6% of 26 022 kt CO2 eq. overall increase in emissions from the agricultural sector between 1990 and 2021. Enteric fermentation is the single dominant category leading to 89.2% in 1990 and 88.9% in 2021 of all CH4 emissions of the agriculture sector. Enteric fermentation was followed by manure management with 9.4% in 1990 and 10.1% in 2021. CH4 emissions from field burning of agricultural residues are 1.1% in 1990 and 0.3% in 2021 of all CH4 emissions from the agriculture sector. CH4 emissions share of rice cultivation is 0.4% and 0.7% for 1990 and 2021, respectively. An overview of CH4 emissions are presented in the following table. Table 5.9 Overview of CH4 emissions in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 CH4 Emissions 3.A 3.B Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 22 397 89.2 1995 21 815 88.3 2000 19 234 2005 3.C Total (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) 2 352 9.4 100 0.4 265 1.1 25 114 2 526 10.2 113 0.5 254 1.0 24 707 87.6 2 334 10.6 128 0.6 260 1.2 21 955 19 680 89.2 1 959 8.9 183 0.8 231 1.0 22 053 2010 20 946 88.1 2 471 10.4 202 0.8 167 0.7 23 786 2011 22 847 89.0 2 452 9.5 204 0.8 178 0.7 25 681 2012 25 790 88.8 2 837 9.8 249 0.9 171 0.6 29 048 2013 26 906 88.8 2 996 9.9 231 0.8 184 0.6 30 316 2014 27 154 88.4 3 163 10.3 229 0.7 164 0.5 30 712 2015 26 947 88.8 3 031 10.0 240 0.8 133 0.4 30 351 2016 26 984 88.6 3 112 10.2 243 0.8 126 0.4 30 464 2017 30 110 89.0 3 348 9.9 234 0.7 126 0.4 33 818 2018 32 136 88.3 3 886 10.7 252 0.7 124 0.3 36 399 2019 33 368 88.8 3 820 10.2 263 0.7 126 0.3 37 578 2020 34 615 88.7 3 999 10.3 262 0.7 131 0.3 39 006 2021 34 953 88.9 3 988 10.1 269 0.7 121 0.3 39 332 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 248 3.F (%) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 248 Agriculture Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Nitrous oxide is a GHG with a high global warming potential. Overall, excluding LULUCF, N2O emissions accounted for around 7.1% of Türkiye's GHG emissions in 2021. Emissions from manure management, agricultural soils, and field burning of agricultural residues include N2O gas. Agriculture as a sector produced 105.51 kt N2O emissions (31.4 Mt CO2 eq.), which equals 43.6% of agricultural emissions or 78% of Türkiye’s N2O emissions (excluding LULUCF) or 5.6% of Türkiye’s total emissions in 2021. N2O emissions have increased by 10 962 kt CO2 eq. (53.5%) from 20 480 kt CO2 eq. (1990) to 31 442 kt CO2 eq. (2021). The source category agricultural soils is the dominant source of N2O emissions, responsible for 84.5% and 83.5% of total agricultural N2O emissions for the years 1990 and 2021, respectively. Regarding N2O emissions, agricultural soils were followed by manure management with 15.1% in 1990 and 16.4% in 2021, and field burning of agricultural residues with 0.4% in 1990 and 0.1% in 2021. While a percentage as high as 81.5% of the augmentation in nitrous oxide emissions is a result of increases of N2O emissions in agricultural soils by 8 935 kt CO2 eq., manure management is responsible for the remaining increase of 18.9% with 2 071 kt CO2 eq. in N2O emissions. N2O emissions of field burning of agricultural residues show a decrease of 54.3% (0.1% of Agricultural N2O emissions by an amount of 37 kt CO2 eq.) between 1990 and 2021. The net increase of 10 962 kt CO2 eq. of N2O emissions added up to 42.1% of the overall increase of 26 022 kt CO2 eq. emissions in the agriculture sector between 1990 and 2021. An overview of N2O emissions is presented in the next table. Table 5.10 Overview of N2O emissions in the agriculture sector, 1990‒2021 N2O Emissions 3.B 3.D 3.F Total Year (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 3 084 15.1 17 314 84.5 82 0.4 20 480 1995 2 997 15.8 15 871 83.8 78 0.4 18 947 2000 2 809 14.2 16 870 85.4 80 0.4 19 759 2005 2 822 14.3 16 880 85.4 71 0.4 19 773 2010 2 921 14.6 17 006 85.1 52 0.3 19 978 2011 3 187 15.4 17 421 84.3 55 0.3 20 662 2012 3 588 15.6 19 334 84.2 53 0.2 22 975 2013 3 772 15.3 20 905 84.5 57 0.2 24 734 2014 3 905 15.8 20 764 84.0 51 0.2 24 720 2015 3 925 15.7 21 006 84.1 41 0.2 24 972 2016 3 948 14.5 23 147 85.3 39 0.1 27 134 2017 4 349 15.5 23 607 84.3 39 0.1 27 995 2018 4 622 16.7 23 022 83.2 38 0.1 27 682 2019 4 776 16.4 24 342 83.5 39 0.1 29 157 2020 5 062 15.6 27 389 84.3 40 0.1 32 491 2021 5 155 16.4 26 249 83.5 37 0.1 31 442 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 249 249 Agriculture 5.2. Enteric Fermentation (Category 3.A) Source Category Description: Enteric fermentation is a digestive process whereby carbohydrates are broken down by micro-organisms into simple molecules. The main product is CH4 gas. Animals produce CH4 during and/or after feed intake. The largest source of CH4 emissions in the agricultural sector in our country is enteric fermentation. It is the biggest source of total carbon dioxide equivalent emissions in the agriculture sector with 48.6% (22.4 Mt CO2 eq.) in 1990 and with 48.5% (35 Mt CO2 eq.) in 2021. In 2021, enteric fermentation contributed as high as 34 953 kt CO2 eq., responsible for nearly half of agricultural emissions as stated above and 6.2% of Türkiye’s total CO2 eq. emissions. Dairy and nondairy cattle contributed 27 290 kt CO2 eq. (78.1%) of emissions to the enteric fermentation category and sheep (domestic and merino) contributed 5 797 kt CO2 eq. (16.6%) of emissions to this category. This source category in 2021 resulted in a value of 12 557 kt CO2 eq. (56%) of increased emissions compared to 1990 levels (22 397 kt CO2 eq). CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation, which are presented by main livestock species in Table 5.11, fluctuate over time. This source category is a key category according to level and trend assessment. Enteric fermentation emissions declined by 24.2% (5.4 Mt CO2 eq.) between 1990 and 2002. The decline in emissions in the early 1990s was primarily occurred by a fall in cattle and sheep numbers; however, the emissions had begun to increase as the numbers of cattle began to rise by late 2004, reflecting changing relative returns to each industry. Due to governmental support, the numbers of many significant livestock species have been increasing in recent years, thereby resulting also in an increase in CH4 emissions for these subcategories. Between 2004 and 2021, emissions from enteric fermentation increased by 84.3% (16 Mt CO2 eq). There have been changes in the relative sources of emissions within enteric fermentation (Table 5.11) since 1990. The largest increase occurred from non-dairy cattle emissions due to an increase in its population numbers. In 2021, non-dairy cattle were responsible for 13 154 kt CO2 eq., increased by 7 294 kt CO2 eq. (124.5%) from the 1990 level of 5 860 kt CO2 eq. Despite a slight increase of 15% in dairy cattle population for the period of 1990-2021, this subcategory is responsible for 14 136 kt CO2 eq. in 2021, still an increase of 5 106 kt CO2 eq. (56.5%) above its 1990 level of 9 030 CO2 eq. A closer look at the changes in the composition structure of dairy cattle (culture, hybrid, and domestic cattle) revealed a reasonable explanation for the same period. The dairy cattle population was 5.9 million in total for 1990, which consisted of culture cattle (0.53 million), hybrid cattle (1.94 million), and domestic cattle (3.42 million). The respective figures for the year 2021 were 6.76 million in total for dairy cattle consisting of culture cattle (3.4 million), hybrid cattle (2.8 million), and domestic cattle (0.5 million). 250 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 250 Agriculture The share of culture dairy cattle type had increased significantly in numbers while domestic dairy cattle experienced a reduction both in absolute and relative terms presented in Table 5.8. Population numbers of livestock species for the period 1990-2021 are shown in Table 5.6. While Figure 5.6 presents the percentage shares for the subcategories of enteric fermentation emission sources for the latest reporting year, on the next page, Table 5.11 presents CH4 emissions of enteric fermentation regarding livestock species for the period, 1990-2021. Figure 5.6 Enteric Fermentation Emission Sources, 2021 Tier 1 – Other Animals 5% Tier 1 – Sheep 17% Tier 2 – Cattle 78% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 251 251 Agriculture Table 5.11 Enteric fermentation CH4 emissions, 1990‒2021 Year Dairy Cattle 1990 9 030 5 860 4 964 137 1 366 510 231 297 3 22 397 1995 9 431 6 226 4 123 131 1 139 351 187 225 2 21 815 2000 8 592 5 680 3 465 126 900 201 122 147 1 19 234 2005 7 490 7 839 3 069 122 815 144 94 106 1 19 680 2010 8 653 8 327 2 750 177 787 116 70 65 1 20 946 2011 9 523 8 973 2 976 198 910 134 68 62 2 22 847 2012 10 935 10 053 3 237 249 1 045 148 64 59 2 25 790 2013 11 333 10 410 3 436 292 1 153 162 61 57 2 26 906 2014 11 440 10 168 3 629 342 1 293 168 59 53 2 27 154 2015 11 351 9 983 3 663 358 1 302 184 55 49 2 26 947 2016 11 197 10 241 3 604 350 1 293 195 54 47 2 26 984 2017 12 410 11 751 3 907 393 1 329 222 51 44 2 30 110 2018 13 218 12 716 4 064 436 1 365 245 49 41 2 32 136 2019 13 705 13 147 4 275 500 1 401 253 46 39 2 33 368 2020 14 145 13 232 4 822 576 1 498 265 41 33 2 34 615 2021 14 136 13 154 5 148 649 1 543 255 38 29 2 34 953 Sheep Domestic Sheep Merino Goats Buffalo Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 252 (kt CO2 eq.) NonDairy Cattle Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Horses Mules and Asses Swine, Camels Total 252 Agriculture Methodological Issues: Türkiye applies T1 method to estimate CH4 emissions from enteric fermentation for all livestock populations except cattle for which T2 method is applied. The T2 method is applied by using mainly country-specific parameters. Necessary data for T2 calculations are mainly gathered from TurkStat Agricultural Statistics Department, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, academic sources. The results for cattle in enteric fermentation are presented both in Figure 5.6 and Table 5.11. Moreover, Tables 5.12 and 5.13 present key country-specific parameters regarding T2 calculation; except for methane conversion factor which is a default value shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The annual population numbers for livestock species are included in Table 5.6 above. The AD (the population of livestock species) are obtained from TurkStat livestock statistics. TurkStat collects livestock data as explained in the sector overview. T2 cattle emissions are calculated according to equations 10.3, 10.4, 10.6, 10.8, 10.13, 10.14, 10.15, 10.16 and 10.21 presented in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 4, Chapter 10. Sheep are categorized as merino and domestic sheep in our country. For domestic sheep IPCC default EF for developing countries (5.0 kg CH4 head-1 year-1) is used. Merino sheep are also a kind of domestic sheep fed for their wool. The weight of merino sheep is higher compared to domestic sheep and their feeding rate is also higher than domestic ones. For these reasons, EF for merino sheep is chosen as a higher value compared to domestic sheep. The EF of merino sheep is taken as an average value (6.5 kg CH4 head-1 year-1) from the IPCC default EF for developing countries (5.0 kg CH4 head-1 year-1) and developed countries (8.0 kg CH4/head/year). The country-specific typical animal mass values are 50 kg/head and 60 kg/head for domestic sheep and merino sheep, respectively. It is clear that emission levels for merino sheep currently calculated are conservative since the approximate EF for merino sheep is 5.73 kg CH4/head/year obtained by the quotient of the weight figures (60 kg/50kg) raised to the power of 0.75 and then multiplied by the EF for domestic sheep (5.0 kg CH4 head-1 year-1). As stated clearly in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (Vol.4, Chapter 10, page 10.24), this approximate figure can only be used to assess the significance of the emissions from a livestock species. The EF value for merino sheep is clearly higher than the calculated approximate EF value. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD for this sector are gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat. Uncertainties for the activity data are determined by TurkStat experts and uncertainty values for EFs are taken from the IPCC Guidelines. The calculated AD uncertainty figure is 8.74% whereas the EF uncertainty value is 11.99% figured out by using Equation 3.2 in the IPCC Guidelines Vol. 1. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 253 253 Agriculture Source category 3.A Gas CH4 Comments on time series consistency All EFs for cattle are not constant over the entire time series because they are estimated mainly according to the split of culture, hybrid and domestic. Since the population numbers for cattle change over the reporting period, the respective EFs also reflect this change. EFs for all other livestock species are constant. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for the QA/QC procedures of the National GHG emission inventory. The National Inventory System QA/QC Plan prepared by TurkStat is a significant tool for implementing QA/QC procedures for the Inventory. AD for this source category are gathered mainly from the Agricultural Statistics Department of TurkStat. The respective AD used for calculations are published also as official statistics by TurkStat which have their own QA/QC procedures. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculations are re-examined. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There was no recalculation exercised regarding emission estimates from this source category in this submission. 254 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 254 Agriculture Table 5.12 Key T2 parameters and estimated emissions for dairy cattle, 1990‒2021 Dairy Cattle Mass (kg) GE intake (MJ/head/ day) CH4 Conversion rates, Ym (%) Milk yield (kg/day) Digestibility of feed (%) 361.2 350.4 143.8 6.50 3.70 64.19 377.2 377.4 150.3 6.50 4.32 65.54 2000 343.7 389.0 152.7 6.50 4.53 66.14 2005 299.6 404.1 175.8 6.50 6.87 66.61 2010 346.1 440.9 186.1 6.50 7.80 67.83 2011 380.9 446.8 187.7 6.50 7.94 68.05 2012 437.4 451.5 188.9 6.50 8.06 68.24 2013 453.3 454.6 189.6 6.50 8.14 68.40 2014 457.6 461.0 191.4 6.50 8.30 68.66 2015 454.0 464.2 192.4 6.50 8.38 68.70 2016 447.9 467.9 193.4 6.50 8.47 68.80 2017 496.4 474.1 195.1 6.50 8.61 68.99 2018 528.7 476.4 195.7 6.50 8.66 69.06 2019 548.2 475.9 195.4 6.50 8.65 69.11 2020 565.8 477.7 195.9 6.50 8.69 69.16 2021 565.4 478.9 196.2 6.50 8.73 69.23 Year CH4 Emissions (kt) 1990 1995 Table 5.13 Key T2 parameters and estimated emissions for non-dairy cattle, 1990‒2021 Non-dairy Cattle CH4 GE intake Conversion (MJ/head/ rates, Ym (%) day) Year CH4 Emissions (kt) Mass (kg) Digestibility of feed (%) 1990 234.4 180.6 100.3 6.50 60.77 1995 249.0 192.3 99.0 6.50 62.08 2000 227.2 194.5 97.2 6.50 62.54 2005 313.6 253.9 112.7 6.50 64.56 2010 333.1 279.2 111.5 6.50 65.84 2011 358.9 281.2 110.4 6.50 65.97 2012 402.1 287.5 111.2 6.50 66.23 2013 416.4 289.0 110.9 6.50 66.33 2014 406.7 293.6 110.8 6.50 66.55 2015 399.3 296.4 110.7 6.50 66.61 2016 409.6 297.6 111.1 6.50 66.72 2017 470.0 296.4 110.5 6.50 66.86 2018 508.6 300.1 111.5 6.50 66.99 2019 525.9 300.1 111.1 6.50 67.03 2020 529.3 304.5 110.9 6.50 67.09 2021 526.2 305.2 111.3 6.50 67.18 Planned Improvement: Türkiye considers the possibility of using Tier 2 method for estimating enteric fermentation emissions from sheep in the next submissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 255 255 Agriculture 5.3. Manure Management (Category 3.B) Source Category Description: In Türkiye, manure management systems (MMS) distribution data are a result of the combination of various sources, including expert opinions, comparison of countries in the Mediterranean basin, MoAF data, TurkStat data etc. resulting in a country-specific MMS distribution presented in Table 5.19. This source category contains two types of emissions, CH4 and N2O, and for both of these emissions, the source category is a key category according to level assessment. According to trend assessment, while the source category is key category only for N2O emissions with LULUCF, it is also key category for N2O and CH4 emissions without LULUCF. In 2021, emissions including CH4 and N2O from the manure management category reached 9 144 kt CO2 eq. This number represented 12.7% of emissions of the agriculture sector. Emissions from this source category in 2021 increased by 3 707 kt CO2 eq., nearly 68.2% above its 1990 level of 5 436 kt CO2 eq. Similarly, the increase is calculated as 1 636 kt CO2 eq. for CH4 emissions and 2 071 kt CO2 eq. for N2O emissions and increasing percentages are 70% and 67.1%, respectively, for the period 19902021. Manure management emissions can also be described as direct emissions consisting of CH4 and N2O emissions with a share of 79.6% (7280 kt CO2 eq.) and indirect emissions consisting only of N2O emissions with a share of 20.4% (1 864 kt CO2 eq.). It is also significant to note that there are two types of indirect N2O emissions to be calculated under manure management, which are due to nitrogen volatilization and nitrogen leaching and run-off. The indirect N2O emissions share of 20.4% is only a result of the amount of manure nitrogen that is lost due to volatilization of NH3 and NOx. Indirect emissions due to leaching and run-off from manure are calculated as 158 kt CO2 eq. for the latest reporting year. This emission level is considered insignificant and reported as NE according to 24/CP.19 paragraph 37(b). While the following Figure 5.7 presents emission shares of manure management subcategories for the latest reporting year, Table 5.11 combines and presents the emission figures from manure management for the entire reporting period. 256 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 256 Agriculture Figure 5.7 Manure Management Emission Sources, 2021 Indirect N2O 20% CH4 – Cattle 40% N2O - Other Animals 5% N2O – Sheep 10% CH4 – Sheep 2% N2O – Cattle 21% CH4 – Other Animals 2% Regarding MMS, TurkStat has asked academicians for their views on the topic, investigated countries in the Mediterranean Basin whose the agriculture sector would resemble of our country’s, searched internally through some of our regional offices, looked for field experiences gained throughout the years within TurkStat and also scrutinized agriculture-related data which have not been published so far in order to come up with a distribution that would reflect our country-specific conditions better. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 257 257 Agriculture Table 5.14 Overview of emissions from manure management, 1990‒2021 Manure management source category Agriculture Total Total Year (kt CO2 eq.) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 46 054 5 436 11.8 2 352 5.1 2 190 4.8 895 1.9 1995 44 080 5 523 12.5 2 526 5.7 2 072 4.7 925 2.1 2000 42 332 5 142 12.1 2 334 5.5 1 836 4.3 973 2.3 2005 42 439 4 781 11.3 1 959 4.6 1 754 4.1 1 069 2.5 2010 44 409 5 391 12.1 2 471 5.6 1 851 4.2 1 070 2.4 2011 46 901 5 639 12.0 2 452 5.2 2 033 4.3 1 154 2.5 2012 52 662 6 425 12.2 2 837 5.4 2 296 4.4 1 292 2.5 2013 55 858 6 769 12.1 2 996 5.4 2 418 4.3 1 354 2.4 2014 56 219 7 068 12.6 3 163 5.6 2 500 4.4 1 405 2.5 2015 56 133 6 956 12.4 3 031 5.4 2 503 4.5 1 422 2.5 2016 58 894 7 060 12.0 3 112 5.3 2 501 4.2 1 446 2.5 2017 63 262 7 697 12.2 3 348 5.3 2 759 4.4 1 590 2.5 2018 65 338 8 508 13.0 3 886 5.9 2 929 4.5 1 692 2.6 2019 68 022 8 597 12.6 3 820 5.6 3 044 4.5 1 732 2.5 2020 73 154 9 060 12.4 3 999 5.5 3 224 4.4 1 837 2.5 2021 72 075 9 144 12.7 3 988 5.5 3 291 4.6 1 864 2.6 CH4 Direct N2O Indirect N2O Indirect N2O emissions from manure management include only emissions due to atmospheric deposition. Manure management indirect N2O emissions due to leaching and run-off are considered to be insignificant because of its calculated emission level of 158 kt CO2 eq. for the latest reporting year. This level is well-below the threshold level specified in Paragraph 37(b) of 24/CP.19. The indirect N2O emissions level from nitrogen leaching and run-off is estimated by applying Equations 10.28 and 10.29 (Chapter 10, Volume 4, 2006 IPCC Guidelines). Given our country’s rather dry climatic conditions, a FracLeachMS value of 4.5% is used in the calculations for all solid storage and dry lot manure systems as appropriate. 4.5% is the mid-range value between 3% and 6% which is considered to be more suitable in drier climates as explained on page 10.56 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 258 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 258 Agriculture Methane Generation Livestock manure is primarily composed of organic material and water. Anaerobic and facultative bacteria decompose the organic material under anaerobic conditions. Several biological and chemical factors influence methane generation from manure. The amount of CH4 produced during decomposition is influenced by the climate and the manner in which the manure is managed. The management system determines key factors that affect CH4 production including contact with oxygen, water content, pH, and nutrient availability. Climate factors include temperature and rainfall. Optimal conditions for CH4 production include an anaerobic, water-based environment, a high level of nutrients for bacterial growth, a neutral pH (close to 7.0), warm temperatures, and a moist climate. Manure management CH4 emissions contributed 3 988 kt CO2 eq. (43.6% of the manure management category) which constituted 5.5% of agricultural emissions in 2021 whereas the respective share in 1990 was 5.1%, around 0.4 per cent below the current reporting value. With respect to all CH4 emissions of the agriculture sector, the second highest CH4 emission source category was manure management for all reporting years with a share value of 9.4% and 10.1% for 1990 and 2021, respectively, and an average share value of 9.9% for the reporting period, 1990-2021. Nitrous Oxide Generation Production of N2O reported in the manure management category occurs during storage and treatment of manure before it is applied to land. N2O emissions contributed 5 155 kt CO2 eq. (56.4% of the manure management category) which represented 7.2% of agricultural emissions in 2021 whereas the respective share in 1990 was 6.7%, less than the current percentage of 2021. With respect to all N2O emissions of the agriculture sector, the second highest N2O emission source category was manure management after agricultural soils category for all reporting years. N2O emissions of manure management accounted for 15.1% and 16.4% of all N2O emissions in the agriculture sector in 1990 and 2021, respectively. Direct N2O emissions from MMS can occur via combined nitrification (under aerobic conditions) and denitrification (an anaerobic process) of nitrogen contained in the manure. The emission of N2O from manure during storage and treatment depends on the nitrogen and carbon content of manure, on the duration of the storage and type of treatment. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 259 259 Agriculture Indirect N2O emissions result from volatile nitrogen losses that occur primarily in the forms of ammonia and NOx. Indirect emissions occur from the deposition of volatilized nitrogen from manure management systems and via runoff and leaching of nitrogen into soils. The following figure on CH4 and N2O emissions of manure management and the agriculture sector gives a view on tendencies. As indicated above, CH4 and N2O from manure management are only a fraction of total CH4 and N2O emissions from the agriculture sector (10.1% and 16.4%, respectively) and therefore these are not a key driver in the overall trends in the agriculture sector. However, the trends for these gases in this category generally reflect the overall trend of the same gases in the agriculture sector. Figure 5.8 shows a trend comparison of these two gas emissions. Figure 5.8 Comparing CH4 and N2O emission trends, 1990‒2021 45 000 (kt CO2 eq.) 40 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 CH₄ Manure Management N₂O Manure Management CH₄ Agriculture Total N₂O Agriculture Total 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 5 000 Typical animal mass values, Nrates and Nitrogen excretion rates (Nex) are crucial parameters in estimating emissions from manure management. Table 5.15 and Table 5.16 present these values for animal categories for the entire reporting period 1990-2021. 260 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 260 Agriculture Table 5.15 Typical animal mass, Nrate and Nex values for cattle and poultry, 1990‒2021 Year Mass (kg) Dairy Cattle Non-dairy Cattle Nratea Nexb Mass Nratea Nexb Mass (kg) (kg) Poultry Nratea Nexb 1990 350.4 0.47 60.38 180.6 0.34 22.41 2.22 0.81 0.65 1995 377.4 0.47 65.12 192.3 0.34 23.87 2.14 0.81 0.63 2000 389.0 0.47 67.15 194.5 0.34 24.14 2.02 0.81 0.60 2005 404.1 0.47 69.79 253.9 0.34 31.51 2.18 0.81 0.65 2010 440.9 0.47 76.25 279.2 0.34 34.64 2.28 0.81 0.68 2011 446.8 0.47 77.27 281.2 0.34 34.90 2.30 0.82 0.68 2012 451.5 0.47 78.10 287.5 0.34 35.67 2.29 0.82 0.68 2013 454.6 0.47 78.64 289.0 0.34 35.87 2.30 0.82 0.68 2014 461.0 0.47 79.77 293.6 0.34 36.43 2.30 0.82 0.68 2015 464.2 0.47 80.33 296.4 0.34 36.79 2.28 0.82 0.68 2016 467.9 0.47 80.97 297.6 0.34 36.93 2.28 0.82 0.68 2017 474.1 0.47 82.06 296.4 0.34 36.78 2.29 0.81 0.68 2018 476.4 0.47 82.47 300.1 0.34 37.24 2.32 0.81 0.69 2019 475.9 0.47 82.37 300.1 0.34 37.25 2.34 0.81 0.70 2020 477.7 0.47 82.69 304.5 0.34 37.79 2.36 0.81 0.70 2021 478.9 0.47 82.90 305.2 0.34 37.87 2.36 0.81 0.70 All mass values are live weight figures and these figures are country-specific. Country-specific figures for cattle are gathered from a variety of sources including the Ministry for Agriculture and Forestry and TurkStat data. Country-specific poultry mass data ara gathered from the Ministry for Agriculture and Forestry. a Unit for Nrate is kg N/ (1000 kg animal mass × day). b Unit for Nex is kg N/ (head × yr). Table 5.16 Typical animal mass, Nrate and Nex values for some livestock species Mass Nrateb Nex Years Livestock species 1990 ‒ 2021 Sheep (domestic) 1990 ‒ 2021 1990 ‒ 2021 1990 ‒ 2021 Buffalo 380 0.32 44.38 1990 ‒ 2021 Horses 238 0.46 39.96 1990 ‒ 2021 Mules & Asses 130 0.46 21.83 1990 ‒ 2021 Swinea 28 0.402 4.11 1990 ‒ 2021 Camels 217 0.46 36.43 (kg) (kg N/head/yr) 50 1.17 21.35 Sheep (merino) 60 1.01 22.12 Goats 45 1.37 22.50 All mass figures are live weight figures. Mass values given for sheep (domestic and merino) and goats were country-specific values. Mass values given for buffalo, horses, swine, camels, and mules & asses were all default values presented in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4. a According to the footnote given on page 10.59, Table 10.19 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4 Chapter 10, nitrogen excretion for swine is based on an estimated country population of 90% market swine and 10% breeding swine. Thus, the Nrate is calculated as given and used in the related Nex calculation: (90% × 0.42)+(10% × 0.24)=0.402 (Nrate value for swine). b Unit for Nrate is kg N/ (1000 kg animal mass × day). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 261 261 Agriculture Methodological Issues: Türkiye applies T1 method according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines to estimate methane and nitrous oxide emissions from manure management for all livestock types. CH4 and N2O emissions from manure management are key category according to level assessment. The annual population for each livestock category is included in Table 5.6 above. The AD (the population of animals) provider is TurkStat livestock statistics for the entire time series 1990-2021. TurkStat collects livestock data as explained in the Sector Overview. In addition, our country uses the national animal population numbers and allocates the population for each animal subcategory into cool, temperate and warm climate regions in the following manner. First, the animal population numbers are listed according to their respective provinces in our country. Second, all provinces are allocated to one of the three mentioned climate regions concerning their yearly average temperature values. Finally, all population numbers of each animal subcategory within each of the climate regions, namely cool, temperate and warm, are added up before calculating the weighted average with respect to population numbers of the total animal subcategory. The CH4 EFs are default IPCC T1 factors except for cattle. In Türkiye, there are three dairy cattle types categorized as culture cattle, hybrid cattle and domestic cattle. For 2021, the average milk production of culture cattle is around 3 862 kg head-1 yr-1. Hence, the EF for culture cattle is taken as the average of EFs of Western Europe and Asia with respect to milk yield of these cattle, and the mean of milk production of Western Europe (6 000 kg head-1 yr-1) and Asia (1 650 kg head-1 yr-1) is 3 825 kg head-1 yr-1. In a similar manner, domestic cattle's EF was taken as Asia EF, and hybrid cattle's EF is taken as the average of culture and domestic cattle EF. The average milk production of domestic cattle is 1 303 kg head-1 yr-1 and this value is closer to the Asia average milk production value of 1 650 kg head-1 yr-1. The average milk production of Hybrid cattle is 2 723 kg head-1 yr-1 and this value is close to the mean of 3 825 and 1 650 kg head-1 yr-1 which is 2 737 kg head-1 yr-1. Furthermore, domestic dairy cattle have almost similar properties with Asian cattle like milk yield. Since the T1 method regarding cattle still applies for agricultural categories other than enteric fermentation, the explanation given is still valid for other agricultural categories like manure management. In order to select appropriate EFs, animal population data, collected from TurkStat databases, are categorized according to their provinces with respective annual temperature figures. CH4 and N2O emission factors are default 2006 IPCC T1 factors. The annual average temperatures of the provinces are taken into account in order to select the EFs for manure management. All temperature data are taken directly from the General Directorate of Meteorology. Table 5.17 presents default EFs based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Vol.4 for cattle types and swine for each region according to temperature 262 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 262 Agriculture classification. Considering annual average air temperature, provinces are categorized between cool (0oC - 14oC) and temperate (15oC - 25oC) climate region. Similar to the methods applied in enteric fermentation, the IPCC default emission factors selected for cattle were based on the IPCC default factors for Western Europe and Asia (see Table 10.14, Vol.4 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines). The EF for domestic cattle and non-dairy cattle were assumed to be similar with cattle in Asia because their milk yield values were similar for the former and the weight figures were similar for the latter. The EF for culture cattle was estimated as the mean of the emission factors for dairy cattle from Western Europe and Asia, for the same temperature zone (e.g., at <10o C Türkiye estimates that culture cattle have an EF of 15 kg CH4/head/year, which is the average of 21 kg CH4/head/year and 9 kg CH4/head/year from Western Europe and Asia, respectively). The EF for hybrid cattle is the mean of domestic and culture cattle. For swine, the EFs for Asia from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines (Table 10.14 of Volume 4, Chapter 10) were selected, because of similar body weights. The EFs for sheep and other livestock, shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, are also broken into two climate regions and shown in Table 5.18. Türkiye does not have a province with an annual average temperature above 25°C; therefore, the warm climate region does not exist in the country. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 263 263 Agriculture Table 5.17 Manure management CH4 emission factors for cattle and swine (kg CH4/head/year) Cool EF (< 15 °C) Temperate EF (15-25 °C) 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Dairy Cattle (Culture) 15.0 16.5 17.5 19.0 20.5 23.5 25.5 27.5 29.5 32.0 34.5 37.5 40.0 43.5 47.0 50.5 Dairy Cattle (Hybrid) 12.0 13.3 13.8 15.0 16.3 18.3 19.8 21.3 22.8 24.5 26.3 28.8 30.5 33.3 35.5 38.3 Dairy Cattle (Domestic) 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 23 24 26 Non-Dairy Cattle 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3. Swine 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 1. Cattle Table 5.18 Manure management CH4 emission factors for sheep and other livestock (kg CH4/head/year) Cool EF (< 15 °C) Temperate EF (15-25 °C) 2. Sheep Sheep (Domestic) 0.100 0.150 Sheep (Merino) 0.145 0.215 Buffalo 1.00 2.00 Camels 1.28 1.92 Goats 0.11 0.17 Horses 1.09 1.64 Mules and asses 0.60 0.90 Poultry 0.01 0.02 4. Other livestock Furthermore, Table 5.19 presents the Manure Management System (MMS) used according to countryspecific values. These figures are able to reflect Türkiye's conditions in an improved way leading to improved emission estimations. Note also that 50% of burned manure is reported under the Energy sector category 1.A.4.b – fuel combustion activities (residential), while the remaining 50% is calculated and reported under pasture, range and paddock according to the rules given under section 10.5.2 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Vol.4. 264 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 264 Agriculture Table 5.19 Manure Management System Distribution, 1990‒2021 (%) MS Dairy Cattle (Culture) Dairy Cattle (Hybrid) Dairy Cattle (Domestic) Non-Dairy Cattle Liquid system Solid storage Dry lot Pasture, range and paddock Burned for fuel or as waste 10.0 50.0 6.0 30.0 4.0 10.0 50.0 6.0 30.0 4.0 10.0 50.0 6.0 30.0 4.0 10.0 50.0 6.0 30.0 4.0 96.0 4.0 Swine Sheep (Domestic) Sheep (Merino) 40.0 60.0 40.0 60.0 Buffalo 60.0 Camels 40.0 Horses 25.0 15.0 60.0 Goats Mules and Asses 10.0 10.0 80.0 25.0 15.0 60.0 6.0 30.0 Poultry manure 4.0 60.0 Chickens 20.0 Ducks & Geese 100.0 Turkeys 20.0 80.0 80.0 Note that "Other" shown in the CRF Tables relates entirely to poultry manure. Anaerobic lagoon, daily spread, composting and digesters (four different MMS types) were considered as either not occurring or negligible. Definite data on MMS are not available and the table was prepared in order to serve the estimations for CRF 3.B source category based on a variety of data sources. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The approach to produce quantitative uncertainty estimates was used as described in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for determining uncertainties of that category in total emissions. The AD for this sector are gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat. Uncertainties for activity data are determined by TurkStat experts and uncertainty values for EFs are taken from the IPCC Guidelines. The calculated AD uncertainty figure is 14.1% both for CH4 and N2O gases whereas EF uncertainty values are 30% and 50% for CH4 and N2O gases, respectively, as presented in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 265 265 Agriculture Source category 3.B Gas CH4, N2O Comments on time series consistency CH4 EFs are selected according to the yearly mean temperature values of the 81 provinces. N2O EFs are mainly constant over the entire time series except for cattle (dairy & other) and poultry which reflect the weighted average of their subcategories over the reporting period. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines were used for the QA/QC procedures of National GHG emission inventory. A National Inventory System QA/QC Plan prepared by TurkStat is also a significant tool for implementing QA/QC principles for the Inventory. AD for this source category are gathered mainly from the Agricultural Statistics Department of TurkStat. The respective AD, used for calculations, are also published as official statistics by TurkStat which have their own QA/QC procedures. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There was no recalculation exercised regarding emission estimates from this source category in this submission. Planned Improvement: All data and methodologies are kept under review and an upgrade from T1 to T2 will be considered for the future. 266 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 266 Agriculture 5.4. Rice Cultivation (Category 3.C) Source Category Description: GHG emissions from rice production are the result of the CH4 gas released by anaerobic digestion of organic substances in the paddy fields. The aforementioned CH4 gas emissions are calculated according to the approach shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines which are estimated by IPCC's default emission factors. The annual amount of CH4 emitted from a given area of rice is a function of the number and duration of crops grown, water regimes before and during the cultivation period, and organic and inorganic soil amendments. Soil type, temperature, fertilizer application, rice cultivar also affect CH4 emissions. CH4 emissions from rice cultivation are not a key category. Figure 5.9 presents total annual harvested area in hectare (line drawn in blue - left axis) and total CH4 emissions emitted in kt (line drawn in dark red - right axis) for rice cultivation covering the period 1990-2021. Figure 5.9 Harvested area and emitted CH4 for rice cultivation, 1990‒2021 140 000 (Harvested area, ha) (CH4, kt) 120 000 12 10 100 000 8 80 000 6 60 000 4 40 000 2 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20 000 0 Rice cultivation contributed 10.77 kt CH4 (269.3 kt CO2 eq.) emissions or 0.37% of total agricultural emissions in 2021 whereas the respected value for the year 1990 was around 4 kt CH4 (100.1 kt CO2 eq.) emissions or 0.22% of total sector emissions. Overall, emissions from rice cultivation increased by 169.2 kt CO2 eq. (169.1%) for the entire reporting period and the increase was calculated around 32% between the years 2011 and 2021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 267 267 Agriculture Table 5.20, given below, presents the activity data and estimated emissions of this source category in detail. Table 5.20 Irrigated area and estimated emissions for rice cultivation, 1990‒2021 Continuously Flooded Total Single Aeration Multiple Aeration (kt CO2 eq.) (kt CO2 eq.) Year (kt CO2 eq.) Area (ha) (kt CO2 eq.) 1990 100.08 46 348 51.84 17 276 16.08 8 693 32.16 20 379 1995 112.51 49 955 62.85 21 203 16.71 8 434 32.95 20 318 2000 127.96 57 859 71.20 24 800 20.42 10 694 36.35 22 365 2005 182.98 84 909 96.05 32 926 35.04 18 949 51.89 33 034 2010 201.88 98 966 86.23 29 856 39.80 21 900 75.86 47 210 2011 204.08 99 383 93.73 32 456 38.95 21 449 71.40 45 479 2012 248.91 119 664 120.32 41 613 44.29 24 647 84.30 53 405 2013 230.53 110 592 111.64 38 670 41.45 23 018 77.44 48 905 2014 229.37 108 649 114.59 39 628 45.20 25 395 69.59 43 626 2015 239.85 115 856 115.71 40 057 41.58 23 355 82.56 52 444 2016 242.83 116 056 120.66 41 763 42.80 23 912 79.38 50 381 2017 233.65 109 505 121.81 42 153 42.60 23 778 69.24 43 575 2018 252.22 120 137 125.12 43 178 45.84 25 606 81.26 51 353 2019 262.86 126 419 127.74 44 053 45.94 25 817 89.17 56 549 2020 261.53 125 398 127.58 43 942 47.08 26 551 86.87 54 905 2021 269.33 129 475 130.04 44 740 48.38 27 206 90.91 57 530 Area (ha) Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 268 Intermittently Flooded Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Area (ha) Area (ha) 268 Agriculture Methodological Issues: Harvested area data for rice cultivation are taken from TurkStat agricultural statistics and area records are available for all districts of Türkiye since 1990. T1 method is used for calculation, and the emission factor and scaling factors are taken from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. The cultivation period of rice production in Türkiye is around 130 days. The methods mainly used in our country includes continuously flooded, intermittently flooded with single aeration and intermittently flooded with multiple aeration. Accordingly, disaggregated case parameters are used for these methods from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Initially, the required data are gathered from TurkStat's regional offices. Mainly based on these data, in addition to data received from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, values of scaling factors according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines are determined for both SFw and SFp parameters. Due to the large geographical diversity of our country, all values for disaggregated scaling factors are used. Moreover, information on cultivation period for rice production is also obtained from regional offices of TurkStat and all different periods are taken into account. The default CH4 baseline emission factor (EFc) applied is 1.30 CH4/ha/day for rice cultivation emission calculations, a non-key category, under T1 method. Organic amendments are not used or, if any, used in negligible amounts. This, in turn, reduces the value of the related scaling factor (SFo) to 1, a multiplicative identity, given by Equation 5.3 on page 5.50 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4. Furthermore, scaling factors (SFs,r) for other related variables are not available, and as a result not used, which is in line with the information provided on page 5.48 presented in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4. Accordingly, emissions from this source category are calculated and reported taking into account the country-specific conditions. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD for this sector are gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat, and the information about water regime, water regime prior to rice cultivation and cultivation periods, which are crucial in determining appropriate scaling factors, are obtained from regional offices of TurkStat for all provinces and their districts in Türkiye. The AD for this sector are gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat and the related AD uncertainty figure is considered to be 5%. Uncertainty value for the EF is calculated as 76.73% according to the information shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. An Approach 2 uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out on the methodology used to estimate emissions of methane from rice cultivation category. The Monte Carlo uncertainty range for CH4 emissions from rice cultivation is similar to Approach 1, the error propagation method and mean estimates of combined MC simulation uncertainty were between -68.98% and +70.43% in 2017. For more detailed information about Monte Carlo method, refer to the uncertainty section in the annexes. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 269 269 Agriculture Source category 3.C Gas Comments on time series consistency CH4 EFs reflect the subcategories of the methods applied for rice cultivation. The calculations reflect different types of water regimes applied in the country. A list of EFs and related parameters used for emission calculations are listed in Annex 3 of the National Inventory Report. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines were used for the QA/QC procedures of National GHG emission inventory. A National Inventory System QA/QC Plan prepared by TurkStat is also a significant tool for implementing QA/QC principles for the Inventory. AD for this source category are mainly gathered from the Agricultural Statistics Department of TurkStat. The respective AD, used for calculations, are also published as official statistics by TurkStat which have their own QA/QC procedures. Emission trends are analyzed. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: There was no recalculation exercised regarding emission estimates from this source category in this submission. Planned Improvement: All data and methodologies are kept under review. There are no further planned improvements in this source category. 270 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 270 Agriculture 5.5. Agricultural Soils (Category 3.D) Source Category Description: This source, which is a key category, contains N2O emissions from synthetic fertilizers, organic fertilizers and crop residues. In this section N2O emissions from pasture, range and paddock manure, cultivation of organic soils, and indirect emissions, which consist of atmospheric deposition and nitrogen leaching and run-off, are estimated too. The complete time series regarding emissions are submitted in this submission. Both direct and indirect N2O emissions from this source category are key categories according to the level and trend assessment (with and without LULUCF). Agriculture soils produced 88.1 kt N2O (26.2 Mt CO2 eq.) emissions in 2021 and agriculture soils is the largest source category of N2O emissions in Türkiye. This figure represented 83.5% of N2O emissions in the Agriculture sector, around 65.1% of Türkiye’s N2O emissions (without LULUCF), and close to 37% of agricultural emissions. Emissions were 8 935 kt CO2 eq. (51.6%) above the 1990 level of 17 314 kt CO2 eq. in 2021 - the latest reporting year. Direct N2O emissions increased by 8 050 kt CO2 eq. (53%) whereas indirect N2O emissions increased by 885 kt CO2 eq. (41.4%) for the given period 1990-2021. The increase is a result of the emission changes of direct and indirect N2O emissions from managed soils. The total change of direct N2O emissions is a result of increases in the subcategories inorganic N fertilizers, a subcategory of organic N fertilizers, urine and dung deposited by grazing animals, crop residues, and also decreases in cultivation of organic soils and two subcategories of organic N fertilizers. Direct N2O emissions due to mineralization/immobilization related to loss/gain of soil organic carbon in the agriculture sector did not occur for the entire reporting period. Several subcategories contribute to emissions from agricultural soils from direct and indirect pathways (Tables 5.21 – 5.24). Direct N2O emissions occur directly from the soils to which N has been added or released; indirect emissions arise from volatilization (evaporation or sublimation) and subsequent redeposition of NH3 or NOx or result from leaching and runoff of soil N within water (IPCC, 2006). A precise overview is also presented in Figure 5.10 and Table 5.21 for direct and indirect N2O emissions. The abbreviations used in this figure are listed on the headings of Tables 5.22 and 5.24. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 271 271 Agriculture Figure 5.10 Sub-categories of Agricultural Soils Emission Sources, 2021 FOS 0.3% N2O(ATD) 10.6% FCR 12.6% FSN 31.9% FPRP 27.7% 272 N2O(L) 0.9% FON 16% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 272 Agriculture Table 5.21 Overview of N2O emissions from managed soils, 1990‒2021 Agricultural soils Year Agriculture Total Total Direct N2O Indirect N2O (kt CO2 eq.) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 46 054 17 314 37.6 15 176 33.0 2 138 4.6 1995 44 080 15 871 36.0 13 951 31.6 1 920 4.4 2000 42 332 16 870 39.9 14 925 35.3 1 946 4.6 2005 42 439 16 880 39.8 14 996 35.3 1 883 4.4 2010 44 409 17 006 38.3 15 153 34.1 1 853 4.2 2011 46 901 17 421 37.1 15 506 33.1 1 915 4.1 2012 52 662 19 334 36.7 17 184 32.6 2 150 4.1 2013 55 858 20 905 37.4 18 590 33.3 2 314 4.1 2014 56 219 20 764 36.9 18 425 32.8 2 340 4.2 2015 56 133 21 006 37.4 18 656 33.2 2 350 4.2 2016 58 894 23 147 39.3 20 587 35.0 2 560 4.3 2017 63 262 23 607 37.3 20 977 33.2 2 631 4.2 2018 65 338 23 022 35.2 20 424 31.3 2 598 4.0 2019 68 022 24 342 35.8 21 593 31.7 2 749 4.0 2020 73 154 27 389 37.4 24 297 33.2 3 092 4.2 2021 72 075 26 249 36.4 23 226 32.2 3 023 4.2 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Table 5.22 Categories of Direct N2O emissions of agricultural soils, 1990‒2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Direct N2O Emissions from Managed Soils Year Total N2O Emissions from Managed Soils Total Inorganic N Fertilizers (FSN) Organic N Fertilizers (FON) Urine and Dung Deposited by Grazing Animals (FPRP) 1990 17 314 1995 Crop Residues (FCR) Loss/ Gain of soil organic matter (FSOM) Cultivation of Organic Soils (FOS) 15 176 5 618 2 773 5 118 1 585 NO 82 15 871 13 951 4 934 2 609 4 690 1 635 NO 82 2000 16 870 14 925 6 456 2 433 4 183 1 771 NO 82 2005 16 880 14 996 6 427 2 360 3 994 2 134 NO 82 2010 17 006 15 153 6 292 2 351 4 001 2 427 NO 82 2011 17 421 15 506 5 897 2 555 4 382 2 589 NO 82 2012 19 334 17 184 6 706 2 857 4 916 2 625 NO 82 2013 20 905 18 590 7 419 3 008 5 208 2 874 NO 82 2014 20 764 18 425 6 991 3 128 5 465 2 759 NO 82 2015 21 006 18 656 6 961 3 150 5 497 2 965 NO 82 2016 23 147 20 587 8 881 3 156 5 493 2 976 NO 82 2017 23 607 20 977 8 264 3 463 5 993 3 175 NO 82 2018 23 022 20 424 7 153 3 667 6 326 3 195 NO 82 2019 24 342 21 593 7 879 3 800 6 569 3 263 NO 82 2020 27 389 24 297 9 612 4 077 7 061 3 463 NO 82 2021 26 249 23 226 8 370 4 198 7 282 3 295 NO 82 FSOM refers to mineralization/immobilization associated with loss/gain of soil organic matter and related activity data are taken from CRF Table 4.B. The notation key NO was used for FSOM for the entire reporting period because the related activity data do not show a carbon loss from cropland remaining cropland. Activity data (Area of organic soils) required for the calculation of emissions from FOS are taken from the data available in CRF Table 4.B and CRF Table 4.C. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 273 273 Agriculture Table 5.23 Subcategories of Organic N fertilizers emissions, 1990‒2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Year Total N2O Emissions from Managed Soils Total Direct N2O Emissions from Managed Soils 1990 17 314 1995 15 871 2000 Organic N Fertilizers (FON) Organic N Fertilizers (FON) Animal Manure Applied to Soils Sewage Sludge Applied to Soils Other Organic Fertilizers Applied to Soils 15 176 2 773 2 769 3 1 13 951 2 609 2 605 3 1 16 870 14 925 2 433 2 419 12 2 2005 16 880 14 996 2 360 2 348 11 1 2010 17 006 15 153 2 351 2 347 3 1 2011 17 421 15 506 2 555 2 551 3 1 2012 19 334 17 184 2 857 2 853 3 1 2013 20 905 18 590 3 008 3 004 3 1 2014 20 764 18 425 3 128 3 125 2 1 2015 21 006 18 656 3 150 3 147 2 1 2016 23 147 20 587 3 156 3 153 2 1 2017 23 607 20 977 3 463 3 460 2 1 2018 23 022 20 424 3 667 3 663 2 2 2019 24 342 21 593 3 800 3 797 2 1 2020 27 389 24 297 4 077 4 075 1 2 2021 26 249 23 226 4 198 4 193 2 3 Other organic fertilizers applied to soils consist only of compost applied to soils. There is no data available and no indication for the use of other organic fertilizers other except compost. Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Table 5.24 Categories of Indirect N2O emissions of agricultural soils, 1990‒2021 (kt CO2 eq.) Indirect N2O Emissions from Managed Soils Year Total N2O Emissions from Managed Soils 1990 17 314 1995 2000 Total Atmospheric Deposition N2O(ATD) Nitrogen Leaching and Run-off N2O(L) 2 138 1 977 161 15 871 1 920 1 774 146 16 870 1 946 1 789 157 2005 16 880 1 883 1 726 157 2010 17 006 1 853 1 695 158 2011 17 421 1 915 1 754 161 2012 19 334 2 150 1 972 178 2013 20 905 2 314 2 121 193 2014 20 764 2 340 2 148 191 2015 21 006 2 350 2 156 194 2016 23 147 2 560 2 345 215 2017 23 607 2 631 2 413 218 2018 23 022 2 598 2 387 211 2019 24 342 2 749 2 526 223 2020 27 389 3 092 2 839 253 2021 26 249 3 023 2 782 241 Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. 274 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 274 Agriculture Direct N2O emissions from agricultural soils are a result of addition of nitrogen in the form of inorganic nitrogen fertilizers, organic nitrogen fertilizers (predominantly in the form of animal manure), inputs from above-ground and below-ground crop residues and from forages during pasture renewal, mineralization of cropland soil organic matter loss, urine and dung deposited by grazing animals, and cultivation of organic soils. These combined direct N2O soil emissions contributed 23 226 kt CO2 eq. (88.5%) to emissions from the Agricultural soils category and around 32% of emissions under the total Agriculture sector in 2021. This is an increase of 8 050 kt CO2 eq. (53%) from the 1990 reported figure of 15 176 kt CO2 eq. A major direct source of N2O emissions from agricultural soils is an outcome of the use of synthetic fertilizer. Around thirty-four per cent (34.2%) of increase in direct emissions from agricultural soils, observed between 1990 and 2021, is a result of an increase in synthetic fertilizers application. Widespread increase in the use of such nitrogen-based fertilizers has been driven by the need for greater crop yields and more intensive farming practices. In 2021, N2O emissions from synthetic nitrogen fertilizers contributed 8 370 kt CO2 eq. (31.9%) to emissions from the managed soils category. This is an increase of 2 752 kt CO2 eq. (49%) from the 1990 level of 5 618 kt CO2 eq. Nitrogen emissions of synthetic fertilizer contributed 11.6% to the total emissions under the agriculture sector for the latest reported year. In 2021, N2O emissions from organic N fertilizers contributed 4 198 kt CO2 eq. (16%) to emissions from the agricultural soils category and 5.8% of emissions under the total agriculture sector. Activity data (as dry matter) for sewage sludge and compost are both received within TurkStat. The country-specific nitrogen content value for sewage sludge is taken as 5.15% calculated as an average according to the values presented in a specific research study (Topaç and Başkaya, 2008), while the nitrogen content for compost is taken as 1%. The only source of emissions due to other organic fertilizers is compost because there are neither activity data available on possibly other organic fertilizers except for compost data nor an indication of such an activity. An increase of 1 424 kt CO2 eq. (51.4%) is observed from the 1990 level of 2 773 kt CO2 eq. of N2O emissions due to organic nitrogen fertilisers of which sewage sludge applied to soils marks a slightly peculiar trend observable on Table 5.23. Since Türkiye applied the Tier 1 methodology, emissions are directly linked to activity data changes. In the initial years, the number of municipal wastewater treatment plants increased in our country leading to an increase in emissions thereof. Thereafter, three factors could be given which resulted in a reduction of these emissions: First, increase in number of landfilling sites affected the trend in sewage sludge applied to soils. Second, new legislations which set criteria on sewage sludge for its use on agricultural soils limited the use of sewage sludge on soils. Third, some wastewater treatment plants using sewage sludge extensively before, changing their treatment methods. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 275 275 Agriculture As observed from Table 5.22, N2O emissions from urine and dung deposited by grazing animals contributed 7 282 kt CO2 eq. (28%) to emissions from the agricultural soils category and 10.1% of emissions under the total agriculture sector in 2021. This is an increase of 2 164 kt CO2 eq. (42.3%) from the 1990 level of 5 118 kt CO2 eq. Moreover, N2O emissions from crop residues contributed 3 295 kt CO2 eq. (12.6%) to emissions from the agricultural soils category and 4.6% of emissions under the total agriculture sector. This is a value of more than twofold presenting an increase of 1 710 kt CO2 eq. (107.9%) from the 1990 level of 1 585 kt CO2 eq. Emission calculations from cultivation of organic soils are directly based on related LULUCF sector data entered into CRF Tables 4.B and 4.C while the related activity data source is the new LULUCF reporting system (LRS) in Türkiye for which further information is presented in the LULUCF sector overview section. Indirect N2O emissions were calculated as 3 023 kt CO2 eq. for 2021. Indirect N2O emissions through atmospheric deposition amounted to 2 782 kt CO2 eq. (10.6%) from the agricultural soils category and 3.9% of emissions under the entire agriculture sector for 2021. This is an increase of 805 kt CO2 eq. (40.7%) from the 1990 level of 1 977 kt CO2 eq. Indirect N2O emissions through leaching and runoff added 241 kt CO2 eq. (0.9%) to emissions from the agricultural soils category in 2021 and 0.3% of emissions under the total agriculture sector. Briefly, agricultural soils emissions have increased by nearly 51.6% (around 9 Mt CO2 eq.) between 1990 and 2021. The increase is a result of the emission changes of direct and indirect N2O emissions from managed soils. The former, direct N2O emissions increased by around 8 Mt CO2 eq. and the latter, indirect N2O emissions, by 1 Mt CO2 eq. for the given period, 1990-2021. The total net increase of 8 Mt CO2 eq. of direct N2O emissions is a result of changes in inorganic N fertilizers, organic N fertilizers, urine and dung deposited by grazing animals, crop residues subcategories. The related figures of changes for 1990-2021 concerning these five subcategories mentioned are 2 752 kt (49%), 1 424 kt (51.4%), 2 164 kt (42.3%), and 1 710 kt (107.9%), respectively. Estimations from cultivation of organic soils are constant at 82 kt CO2 eq. Organic N fertilizers are further subdivided into three groups, namely animal manure, sewage sludge, and other organic fertilizers (which consists entirely of compost), all applied to soils. The increase in animal manure applied to soils is 1 424 kt (51.4%) from 2 769 kt to 4 193 kt whereas the two other organic N fertilizer subcategories decreased as presented in Table 5.23. On the other hand, the total increase of 1 Mt CO2 eq. of indirect N2O emissions is divided into two categories, atmospheric deposition and nitrogen leaching and run-off. The related figures of changes for these subcategories are 805 kt (40.7%) and 80 kt (49.8%) for the period of 1990-2021, respectively. 276 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 276 Agriculture Methodological Issues: N2O emissions are calculated by using the IPCC T1 approach. The AD used in emission calculations are taken from agricultural statistics of TurkStat. The N2O EFs are IPCC T1 default factors. When a crop is harvested, a portion of the crop is left in the field to decompose. The remaining plant matter is a nitrogen source that undergoes nitrification and denitrification and can thus contribute to N2O production. Crop residue emission calculations follow the principles shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. N2O emissions are now calculated according to all cultivated plants in Türkiye. Both aboveground and belowground crop residues are included. Crop yields vary from year to year, as well as cultivated areas, which cause fluctuations in crop residue emissions. It should be further added that the default EF used for crop residues is 0.01 (kg N2O–N)/(kg N) except for the EF used for flooded rice which is 0.003 (kg N2O–N)/(kg N). This difference in EFs used in calculations for crop residues emissions is the reason which leads to inconstant implied emission factors over the reporting period. The following table summarizes the crop headings for which N2O emissions due to crop residues are calculated in our country. Table 5.25 Crop data used for crop residue calculations Major Crop Types Individual Crops Grains Beans & Pulses Tubers Root crops, other Maize Sorghum Wheat Soybean Rice Dry bean Barley Potato N-fixing forages Oats Peanut Non-N-fixing forages Millet Alfalfa Grass-clover mixtures Source category 3.D.1 Rye Gas N2O Comments on time series consistency All EFs are constant over the entire time series for FSN, FOS and all subcategories of FON . The same EF for FCR is used except for flooded rice and the EF for FPRP is chosen according to livestock species. In the 2016 Assessment Review Report of Türkiye, published on 24 April 2017, a recommendation was made by the Expert Review Team to investigate the actual leaching conditions in Türkiye and estimate the most likely FracLEACH-(H) for its national conditions and include justification of the FracLEACH-(H) value used in its NIR. The ERT also noted that taking into account the dry conditions in Türkiye and the use of a FracLEACH-(H) of 0.3, a likely overestimation is taking place. To address this recommendation and use a more precise FracLEACH-(H) value this issue was evaluated. As a result, a revised country-specific Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 277 277 Agriculture FracLEACH-(H) value of 0.015 is calculated and used with respect to the footnote of Table 11.3 shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. While calculating this parameter, following steps are implemented: First, the Climate Map (Figure 5.11) was used as a reference data source while keeping in mind that in this data source, the entire 12 months in a year (including also the dry months of June, July and August) are taken into account, not 9 months as mentioned in the footnote of Table 11.3 shown in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4. Secondly, soil water-holding capacity is assumed to be zero as a conservative approach. In other words, if rainfall exceeds the potential evapotranspiration then it is assumed that surface runoff or leaching occurs. In general conditions, there is a soil layer (shallow or deep) that hold water and disable surface runoff but it is not possible to make an assessment on the water capacity of soils for the whole country. Thirdly, it is assumed that leaching/run-off occurs in all wet areas shown in the Climate Map but deos not occur in the dry areas of the country. Thus, a ratio between wet and dry areas has been determined and multiplied by 0.3 to result in 0.015 as a FracLEACH-(H) value7. This newly calculated value has been used since the submission of the 1990-2016 Inventory. According to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, a climate map of Türkiye (Figure 5.11) was prepared before and this map was used to estimate a country-specific FracLEACH-(H) value. Four sub-climate types have been identified based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines that use basic climatic parameters of temperature, potential evapotranspiration and precipitation. The Climate map given below is taken from the IPCC Climate Zones which is also presented as Figure 3A.5.1 on page 3.38 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. Figure 5.11 Climate Map of Türkiye 7 278 Please refer to section related to the agriculture sector of Annex 3 in this NIR for calculation details. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 278 Agriculture Regarding emission calculations from crop residues, TurkStat received country-specific data on renewal fractions and fractions removed from the MoAF. Renewal fraction for a yearly crop is 1 by definition of 1/X (where X is 1 year). This figure is used for most of the crops presented in the classification of Table 11.2 on pages 11.17-11.18 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 4 (since almost all crops are yearly crops). A fraction of 0.25 (as a result of 1/X where X is 4 years) was used only for the following major crop types and individual crops according to the information received from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry: perennial grasses, grass-clover mixtures, alfalfa. Fraction removed values are given for all major crop types and individual crops as received from the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry as follows: first for major crop types: grains (0.75), beans & pulses (0.80), tubers (0.00), root crops and other (0.00), N-fixing forages (0.80), non-N-fixing forages (1.00), perennial grasses (0.90), grass-clover mixtures (0.90); and second for Individual crop types: alfalfa (0.90), maize, millet, soya bean and dry bean (0.80), wheat, rice, barley, oats, sorghum and rye (0.75), peanuts (0.70); potato (0.00). The use of these data set helped in order to reflect the country-specific conditions in an improved way. It should be further noted that default factor values shown in Table 11.2 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.4 were used to calculate emissions from crop residues according to the T1 method. Default factors used for FCR calculations include dry matter fraction of harvested product, N-content of above-ground residues, ratio of below-ground residues to above-ground biomass, and N content of below-ground residues. Additionally, default slope and intercept figures regarding aboveground residue dry matter from the same table are also used in the calculations. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD for this sector are gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat except for data on synthetic fertilizer consumption amounts, which is obtained from the MoAF. By using Equation 3.1 and 3.2 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol. 1, uncertainties for the AD are calculated as 18.51% by TurkStat for N2O Emissions from Managed Soils. In a similar manner, the respective EF uncertainty for this category is figured out as 94.65% after taking the default uncertainties in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines into consideration. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for the QA/QC procedures of the National GHG emissions inventory. A National Inventory System QA/QC Plan prepared by TurkStat is also a significant tool for implementing QA/QC principles for the Inventory. AD for this source category are gathered mainly from the Agricultural Statistics Department of TurkStat. Data used for calculations are published also as official statistics by TurkStat which have their own QA/QC procedures. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 279 279 Agriculture It should be further noted that the activity data for synthetic fertilizer are also almost entirely consistent with the data available on International Fertilizer Association's (IFA) website. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Minor revisions are a result of transmission errors in the calculation of field burning emissions affecting calculations of crop residues emissions for 2019. For this source category, the recalculation has a decreasing effect of -0.0007% (0.202 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2019. Planned Improvement: All data and methodologies are kept under review and further possible improvements are being considered for the future. 5.6. Prescribed Burning of Savannas (Category 3.E) This source category of agriculture emissions is not relevant to Türkiye. 5.7. Field Burning of Agricultural Residues (Category 3.F) Source Category Description: The burning of residual crop material releases CH4, N2O, CO, NOx and NMVOC gases of which CO, NOx and NMVOC are gases leading to indirect GHG gas emissions. The resulting atmospheric release of agricultural residues is not considered to be a net carbon dioxide source, as carbon is being absorbed again during the growing season. This source category is not a key category. Emission values due to field burning of crop residues are presented in Table 5.3 for all thirty-two reporting years. After consultations with the Ministry of Forestry and Agriculture (MoAF) and our own research, wheat, barley, maize and rice cultivation areas in Türkiye were found to be included in field burning. As field burning is illegal and widely under control, it is becoming rare. Also, the machinery is usually able to manage the excess straw left on fields after harvesting. As presented in detail in Table 5.26, CH4 and N2O emissions amounted to 121 kt CO2 eq. and 37 kt CO2 eq., respectively, for this source category in 2021. 280 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 280 Agriculture Table 5.26 Emissions from field burning of agricultural residues, 1990 and 2021 Changes from 1990 to 2021 Emissions (kt CO2 eq.) Category Percentages of the agricultural sector (%) 1990 (%) 2021 (%) (kt CO2 eq.) (%) 1990 2021 347 100 159 100 -188 -54.2 0.75 0.22 CH4 265 76 121 76 -144 -54.3 0.58 0.17 N2O 82 24 37 24 -45 -54.9 0.18 0.05 Field burning of agricultural residues Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. In 2021, field burning of agricultural residues contributed 159 kt CO2 eq. This emission value represented 0.22% of all agricultural emissions. Total field burning CO2 eq. emissions presented a decreasing trend because of prohibitive legislative measures undertaken. CH4 and N2O emissions from field burning have mostly a negative trend except for some years. Prohibiting measures and increase of public awareness related to field burning are key in this decreasing trend and relevant authorities impose also fines on misconduct. Additionally, the use of advanced agricultural machinery assisting farmers in handling crop residues more easily, could also be considered as another factor leading to the reduction of field burning practices. The respective percentage change from this source category is -54.3% for the period of 19902021. Methodological Issues: Activity data used in the emission estimation are taken from TurkStat agricultural statistics. The emissions are calculated according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 4, Equation 2.27 presented in Chapter 2. Crop residue per hectare is multiplied with area of both cereal and then with fraction burned, combustion factor and the related emission factor. Both CO2 and N2O emissions are calculated using the IPCC Tier 1 approach. The values calculated for CH4 and N2O emissions were converted to their CO2 equivalents by multiplying the values with their respective global warming potential factors. Other emission values under this source category, NOx, CO, and NMVOC, are not estimated. Most of the farmers obey the rules, prohibiting stubble burning leaving some farmers still practising crop residue burning. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 281 281 Agriculture Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The AD for this sector were gathered from agricultural statistics of TurkStat. Uncertainty values concerning AD for two GHG sources under this source category, namely CH4 and N2O, are each estimated to be 50% whereas uncertainty values concerning EF for these gases are estimated to be 40% as recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Source category 3.F Gas Comments on time series consistency CH4, N2O All EFs are constant over the entire time series Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for the QA/QC procedures of National GHG emission inventory in order to attain quality objectives. A National Inventory System QA/QC Plan prepared by TurkStat is also a significant tool for implementing QA/QC principles for the Inventory. AD for this source category are gathered mainly from the Agricultural Statistics Department of TurkStat. Data used for calculations are also published as official statistics by TurkStat which have their own QA/QC procedures. Calculations are implemented every year during preparation phase of the NIR. If errors or inconsistencies are found, they are documented and corrected accordingly. Regarding field burning of agricultural residues, a more representative data for burned fractions were received from MoAF. Annual checks are undertaken whether new scientific articles for updating emission factors have been published in Türkiye. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Minor revisions are a result of transmission errors for 2020. For this source category, the recalculation has a decreasing effect of -1.08% (1.87 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2020. Planned Improvement: All data and methodologies are kept under review and there are no further planned improvements regarding this source. 282 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 282 Agriculture 5.8. Liming (Category 3.G) Possible data sources are considered for this mandatory category. Three factors are possibly more important than others which explain the use of carbonate limestone applied to soils in our country. First, soils with lower pH values are present mainly in the Black Sea Region and Marmara Region. Second, it is not an inexpensive method to reduce acidity of soils for agricultural producers by using carbonate limestone. Third, there are also non-carbon containing materials available, which are suitable to be applied on soils in order to reduce acidity. Our research is almost decisive in estimating CO2 emissions amounted to far less than 100 kt for 2015 due to liming applied on soils. Hence, this category is considered as insignificant according to 24/CP.19, annex I, paragraph 37(b). This source category is reported as not estimated in the CRF. 5.9. Urea Application (Category 3.H) Source Category Description: Adding urea to soils during fertilisation leads to a loss of CO2 that was fixed in the industrial production process (IPCC, Vol.4, 2006). Urea (CO(NH2)2) is converted into ammonium (NH4+), hydroxyl ion (OH-) and bicarbonate (HCO3-), in the presence of water and urease enzymes. Similar to the soil reaction following addition of lime, bicarbonate that is formed evolves into CO2 and water (IPCC, Vol.4, 2006). CO2 emissions from applied urea led to emissions as high as 1 302 kt CO2 in 2021 which is an amount representing 1.8% of agricultural emissions. Emissions from the urea application in 2021 were 842 kt CO2 (183%) above its 1990 level of 460 kt CO2. This source category, CO2 emissions from urea application, is not a key category. Observed recent increases (except in 2018 and 2021) in the use of urea application is a result of its use as a substitute for nitrogen-based fertilizers. Türkiye has limited the use of nitrogen-based fertilizers since June 2016 leading to a shift in farmers’ preferences. Emissions values due to urea application are shown in Table 5.3 for the period of 1990-2021 in the sector overview section. Figure 5.12 presents the annual amount of urea application in kt (line drawn in blue - left axis) and CO2 emissions emitted in kt (line drawn in dark red - right axis). A direct relationship between the two values is observed in the figure. In addition, an overall sharp increasing trend can be seen in the last ten years except for the years 2018 and 2021 which reflect decreases. Changes in estimations are directly linked to changes in activity data for the consumption of urea. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 283 283 Agriculture Figure 5.12 Urea application and emitted CO2, 1990‒2021 (CO2, kt) (Urea applied, kt) 2500 2000 1800 2000 1600 1400 1500 1200 1000 1000 800 600 500 400 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 200 0 Methodological Issues: Emissions associated with the application of urea are calculated by using T1 approach (equation 11.13; IPCC, 2006), using the default EF for carbon conversion of 0.20. This value equals the carbon content of the atomic weight of urea. In order to calculate CO2-C emissions resulting from urea application, the annual total amount of urea applied to the soils in the country is determined. Related AD, required for the calculation are taken from the website of MoAF under the title of "Chemical fertilizer production, consumption, import and export statistics" which is updated every year for the subsequent year. The data time series starts from the year 1981 and our country uses directly the consumption data presented as the related activity data which is accessible on the following link: https://www.tarimorman.gov.tr/Konular/Bitkisel-Uretim/Bitki-Besleme-ve-Tarimsal-Teknolojiler/BitkiBesleme-Istatistikleri# Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Under the IPCC (2006) T1 methodologies, the default EFs are used, which assume conservatively that all carbon in the urea is emitted as CO2 into the atmosphere. The default EF is assumed to be certain under this theoretical assumption. A default 10% uncertainty is applied regarding the AD used in the 284 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 284 Agriculture emission calculation of urea application, whereas the uncertainty of the EF is taken as 50% as presented in the IPCC Guidelines under the related section. An uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 from urea application in this inventory year. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2017 is estimated between -13.54% and +14.70%. The Monte Carlo uncertainty range for CO2 emissions from urea application is lower than Approach 1 results and the main reason for this difference is explained in Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The 2006 IPCC Guidelines are used for the QA/QC procedures of the National GHG emission inventory. A National Inventory System QA/QC Plan, prepared by TurkStat, is a significant tool for implementing QA/QC principles for the Inventory. AD for this source category are obtained from the MoAF. Data used for calculations are a part of official statistics, which have their own QA/QC procedures. Specially, the time series was checked for consistency. As a general QC check, the multiplications of activity data and emission factors were double-checked for CO2 emissions from urea application. Emission trends are analyzed. If there is a high fluctuation in the series, then AD and emission calculation are re-examined. It should be further noted that the activity data for urea applied are almost entirely consistent with the data available on the website of the International Fertilizer Industry Association (IFA). Moreover, a QA work was conducted by a Project Engineer from CITEPA for this category in January 2020. Recalculation: Two very minor revisions are a result of update in activity data for 2011 and 2020. For this source category, the first recalculation has a decreasing effect of -0.000039% (0.00022 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2011 and the second recalculation has an increasing effect of 0.00000838% (0.000139 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2020. Planned Improvement: All data and methodologies are kept under review. There are no further planned improvements in this source category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 285 285 Agriculture 5.10. Other Carbon-Containing Fertilizers (Category 3.I) This source category of agriculture emissions is not relevant to Türkiye. 5.11. Other (Category 3.J) There are no other activities to be considered under this sector. 286 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 286 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 6. LULUCF (CRF Sector 4) 6.1. Sector Overview The LULUCF sector of Türkiye is a net removal dominated by forests. The 23 Mha of forest area removed a net 34 Mt of CO2 eq. from the atmosphere in 2021. Other land uses are net emissions while accounting equals to 5 percent of forest land removals. The total removals of the sector when HWP was added has been 47,1 Mt of CO2 eq. representing a 29 percent decrease compared to 1990. The reason for the decrease in the trend for the last 3 years was intense wood harvest policies to meet of demand of the wood industry of Türkiye and mega forest fires in 2021. These intense harvest policies also caused decreasing in annual increment values per hectare. Figure 6.1 The trend of LULUCF sector net removals including HWP 1990-2021 0 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 -20 000 -40 000 -80 000 -47,146 -56,948 -62,720 -69,752 -74,959 -73,110 -72,807 -76,877 -76,488 -73,385 -75,582 -71,880 -70,849 -67,917 -71,780 -71,455 -71,778 -69,687 -71,159 -69,282 -70,784 -68,052 -71,192 -70,612 -70,449 -67,128 -67,766 -68,014 -66,603 -67,474 -67,373 -66,511 -60 000 kt CO2 eq -100 000 A. Forest land G. Harvested wood products 4. Land use, land-use change and forestry Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 287 287 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The LULUCF sector methodologies related to activity data have entirely been modified with the support of EU funded project entitled “Technical Assistance for Developed Analytical Basis for Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) Sector” started in August 2017. The project was completed in July 2019 but so far provided significant improvements on; i. Developing spatially explicit land use matrices for the land uses and conversions starting from 1990, ii. Capacity building in relevant inventory agencies, iii. Development of a Program of Works, Annual Work Plan and Compendium, iv. A new system to calculate and report GHG emissions/removals in LULUCF sector, v. Activity data disaggregated into 8 Ecoregions and 28 Forest Administrative regions for higher level accuracy, vi. Updated NIR. The details of the project can be seen on the project web page https://www.lulucf-tr.org/ The new LULUCF reporting system (LRS) of Türkiye is composed of below elements: ▪ A spatially explicit land cover-driven AD produced by an experienced international company. The system uses tracks all land cover with satellite images since 1990 and detects all changes on an annual basis. Each 1 hectare unit of land (1 ha) is tracked for the reporting period and calculated for emissions and removals on a consistent approach ▪ Updated land use definitions ▪ A new system of reporting that is capable of performing calculations; harmonizing spatial data with EF data, archiving, and tools to enhance QA/QC ▪ Re-assessed EFs by a team of experts ▪ An EF database and Reference Library were developed and used. The system enables experts to update the EFs and coefficients on a continuous basis ▪ A database has been developed to query all land covers and changes. Thus, land cover database on Satellite images can be checked and verified anytime The LRS is managed and used by a group of national experts for different elements. This means that the inventory is prepared by more than 10 experts each focusing on a different item. This enables sharing of responsibility and improvement potential. The new system increased the transparency significantly by using AD produced by an international remote sensing company, and a renewed NIR. Furthermore, the new spatially explicit land use tracking system improved completeness, accuracy and consistency because the same methodology has been 288 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 288 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry used for the whole reporting period and for all land uses with around 90 percent accuracy. The new reporting system caused significant changes in emissions and removals. The main categories of removals have been FL-FL and HWPs. The outcome of the key category analysis for 2021 was listed in Table 6.1. Table 6.1 Key categories identification in the LULUCF sector (Tier 1) CATEGORIES OF EMISSIONS AND REMOVALS Gas 2021 4.A.1 Forest Land Remaining Forest Land CO2 Key (L,T) 4.G Harvested Wood Products CO2 Key (L,T) Within the new reporting system, a national EF database together with a reference library has been established. They are very similar to the IPCC EF database in structure and include all data used in the inventory even the default coefficients. The context and management of the EF database are as follows; Emission factors are the second set of data, needed for estimation of GHG emissions and removals. An emission factor (EF) is defined as the average emission rate of a given GHG for a given source, relative to units of activity (IPCC 1996). Emission factors can be collected from various sources, from national and international statistics and monitoring, databases, research studies, scientific papers, technical reports etc. The use of appropriate emission factor is essential as wrong selection may lead to underor overestimation of emissions and removals. In general, the IPCC guidelines include a large list of emission factors, which can be used when Tier 1 methods are selected for estimation. Moreover, there exists an emission factor database (EFDB: https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/EFDB/main.php) of the IPCC, which also includes a large set of emission factors, relevant to the LULUCF. The following approach is implemented for updating the national EF database: ▪ Check for improvement of EF database on annual basis (e.g. new EF gathered, higher Tier method selected, category become key source etc.). ▪ Collect country-specific emission and stock change factors for all key categories. ▪ Collect all relevant default emission factors of the IPCC for other categories (non-key). ▪ Assign appropriate specific emission and stock change factors to each corresponding category. ▪ Add and update EF database when new or improved emission factors are obtained or determined, respectively. ▪ Store a reference of the EF in the archive (data source, uncertainty, background data etc.). ▪ Record the person and reason whenever your update the EF database. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 289 289 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The EF database is embedded in the reporting system on the main computer and has the below table format; Land-use definitions and the classification systems used and their correspondence to the land use, land-use change and forestry categories The Land Use definitions of Türkiye have been updated with the new land monitoring system. The country has been divided into 8 ecological zones based on international and national literature. The ecoregions assessment has provided the possibility to disaggregate calculations into more homogenous regions and use more specific EFs and coefficients. The Ecozones identified by Serengil (2018) and their relationship with climate types are given below (Figure 6.2. and Table 6.2.) Figure 6.2 The ecoregions in Türkiye (Serengil, 2018) 290 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 290 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.2 Ecozones in Türkiye and their relationships with climate classifications (Serengil, 2018) Ecozone 1 Temperate deciduous Black Sea Coastal forest & mixed forest 2 coniferous and mixed forest Mediterranean coastal zone 3 deciduous and coniferous forest 5 Temperate deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Aegean Inland deciduous Mediterranean forest, shrubs East Anatolian deciduous Temperate deciduous forest zone & mixed forest Legend Warm Temp Moist Warm Temp Dry Warm Temperate Moist-Dry Mediterranean Inland Temperate Warm Temp Dry Mountain Climate Mediterranean Inland Temperate Warm Temp Dry Climate Temperate deciduous Semi Dry Steppe & mixed forest Map Climate Zone Coastal Zone forest, shrubs 8 East Anatolian steppe Temperate forest, shrubs zone IPCC Climate Type Black Sea Inland Mediterranean Mediterranean and coniferous forest Zone Mediterranean Mediterranean Mountain 6 Central Anatolian steppe 7 Climate Type Euxine-Colchic deciduous North Anatolian deciduous, 4 Biome Climate Warm-Cool Temp Dry Temperate Continental Warm Temp Dry Climate Temperate Continental grassland, shrubs Mountainous and steppe Climate Cool Temp Moist-Dry The new definitions of land uses have been explained below. The former forest definition in 2018 submission was the national legal definition. The national definition had a threshold just for the minimum area which is 3 ha. The application of the new definition and spatially explicit land tracking system did not change the forest area drastically but the share of productive forest in forest land category increased. The difference between the old and the new systems has been discussed in Forest land category below. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 291 291 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Forest Land: Forest Land category has been disaggregated into 2 major subcategories;  Productive Forest: Tree and woodland communities of more than 1 ha with a crown closure of over 10 percent, which are grown by both human efforts and naturally are regarded as Forests.  Other Wooded Forest (OWF): The same definition applies except for the crown closure. The crown closure for OWF is between 1 to 10 percent. The wooded land with crown closures of less than 1 percent is allocated under grassland. Cropland: The following land uses are included in the croplands. ▪ Arable land (Non-irrigated arable land, Permanently irrigated land) ▪ Permanent crops (Vineyards, Fruit trees and berry plantations, Olive groves) ▪ Poplar plantations in or near the agricultural area Grassland: All woody/herbaceous vegetation is defined as grassland. The grasslands include shrubs and trees that provide a crown closure of less than 1 percent. The demand for grazing areas is high in the country and differentiation between managed and unmanaged is not technically possible thus all grasslands are accepted as managed. Wetlands: This category is divided into two as managed and unmanaged. Only flooded land (dams, irrigation dams and reservoirs) and peatlands are included in the managed wetland definition. Natural systems like rivers and lakes are classified under unmanaged wetlands. Settlements: Artificial surfaces are reported under Settlements. These include; ▪ Urban fabric (continuous, discontinuous fabric) ▪ Industrial, commercial and transport units (Industrial or commercial units, Road and rail networks and associated land, Port areas, Airports) ▪ Mine, dump and construction sites (Mineral extraction sites, Dump sites, Construction sites, ) ▪ Artificial, non-agricultural vegetated areas (Green spaces like parks and cemeteries that are not classified as forest, sport and leisure facilities) Other Land: Open spaces with little or no vegetation are defined under Other Land. These include; 292 ▪ Beaches, dunes, sands ▪ Bare rocks, ▪ Sparsely vegetated areas Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 292 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Information on approaches used for representing land areas and on land-use databases used for the inventory preparation In the previous submission, there was inconsistency between activity data of forestry and other land uses. The AD related to forest land was collected from a tabular database called ENVANIS. The ENVANIS system is the major data source of forest management in Türkiye and provides both area data, increment and other relevant data related to the forests. It bases on 10 years rotation period field measurements that are implemented on 10 percent of the forests in the country. The ENVANIS system provides high accuracy information on stand parameters but has some disadvantages for GHG inventories. These disadvantages are;  The forest area in the ENVANIS system uses a national legal forest definition and is not compatible with land cover maps i.e. CORINE. Thus it is not possible to establish a consistent land use matrix with a combination of ENVANIS and spatial databases that base on land cover.  As 10 percent of the country forests are sampled and measured every year the data given in ENVANIS represents only this amount of updated data.  The types of conversions are unknown. The forest area increase or decrease is reported but the land use that forest is converted is not. Thus an assumption was made that these area areas are all grassland. The new system uses data from Forestry Statistics such as annual increment but not the area data. Below are the specifications of the satellite based system that has been produced just to be used for GHG calculations. The New Satellite Based Land Cover Monitoring System (SBLMS) A satellite Earth Observation based on AD monitoring system for LULUCF for the entire territory of Türkiye is developed. The system relies on wall-to-wall spatially explicit mappings to analyze LULUCF activity data and changes for the period from 1990 to 2015. The system delivers complete annual land use and land use change matrices, allowing for consistent spatially explicit assessment in high spatial resolution (30m, 1 ha MMU). The matrices report on land use and land use change between the six IPCC Guidelines land use categories and related 11 subcategories. With this system every unit of land is univocally assigned to only one land use category, eliminating double counting or omissions. By providing consistent information on all land use and land use change categories, inconsistencies in previous submissions in land use representation derived from CORINE Land Cover and ENVANIS have been overcome. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 293 293 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Figure 6.3 The temporal structure of the SBLMS with the satellites used Following similar approaches of other Mediterranean countries, this is achieved through ▪ detailed mapping of the selected reference years (here 1990, 2000 and 2015) from time series high-resolution satellite images, ▪ the determination of changes between these reference years and, ▪ an assessment of the intermediate years through advanced analyses. Table 6.3 Classification approach for all categories and subcategories under SBLMS Category Proposed classification approaches 294 Category Classification Approach Forest The identification of deciduous and coniferous forests is based on time-series analysis, where phonological changes are used to differentiate between these two classes. Copernicus HRL Forest layers 2015 and 2012 are used as ground truth. Following this differentiation a local filter with a size of 1ha will be applied, where areas without dominant tree type are classified as mixed forest. Cropland Separation of cropland and grassland is a complex task in image classification and requires multitemporal data analyses and reference ground truth data. Annual crops have been identified due to their vegetation phenology (periodic change of vegetation status). Perennial crops on the other hand are hard to differentiate from forest areas, due to similar spectral characteristics compared to other woody vegetation. Therefore, ancillary information is needed to assist in the identification of perennial croplands (e.g.. LPIS for 2015). The global NASA Crop layer and CORINE are used to prepare samples for both crop sub-categories. A fully automated classification approach for 25 years over entire Türkiye cannot reliably detect different crop types, so statistical information (e.g. TUIK) can instead be used to calculate crop type ratios that are then applied to the detected crop areas, assuming the area estimates in the TUIK database are representative for the entire country. Grassland Grassland areas are classified by the spectral characteristics detected over time. The differentiation between woody grasslands and herbaceous grasslands is based on spectral classification as well as ruleset to improve accuracy. Woody grasslands, for example, are likely to be found around forests, so their proximity to a forest boundary has been taken into consideration. For consistency woody grasslands that have a crown closure of 1 to 10 percent are merged with Other Forested Areas category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 294 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Wetland Open (artificial) waterbodies are readily detectable with satellite data given their sudden appearance at a fixed point in time (e.g. construction of a dam) and their permanence following that date. Different indices (e.g. Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)) are used to efficiently delineate wetlands. Auxiliary data on dam constructions are needed to improve detection accuracy. Settlement For the identification of settlement areas, indices like the NDVI are used, as they highlight both vegetated and non-vegetated areas. The HRL and CORINE datasets have been used to provide ground truth. Other land Areas which are covered by bare soil, sand, rocks, and salt marshes will be classified as other land. Permanent snow and ice will also fall under this category, should they be present in Türkiye in any given year. Land use baseline establishment For each of the three reference years (1990, 2000 and 2015) a land cover map has been produced by applying the classification procedures described above. The outputs have further been refined using existing datasets for Türkiye, especially for the differentiation of perennial crops. Due to the different types and amounts of data available for the different time steps, specific methodologies have been applied to achieve consistent outputs over the entire 1990-2015 period. 2015 is the most recent reference year for mapping and AD reporting in this project. With the Copernicus program, the availability of high resolution satellite imagery has dramatically improved and the monitoring system can utilize this wealth of information by including both Sentinel 2 (10-20m) and Landsat 8 (30m) imagery in the production process. In addition to the high availability of satellite imagery, an extensive list of highly accurate, spatially explicit information products have been used to support the mapping in 2015. These include LPIS, Copernicus High Resolution Layers (HRL) for Forest, Wetlands, Grassland, and Settlements, other global data layers (e.g. USGS Global Crop Maps) and other auxiliary data. Mapping of the intermediate reference year 2000 is primarily based on Landsat 7 with support from Landsat 5 imagery. CORINE is used as auxiliary data. The reference year 1990 is the base year for UNFCCC reporting and relies primarily on Landsat 5 imagery for mapping. Considering the 20-year-transition rule, it was anticipated that the time from 1970 until 1990 be reviewed for the definition of the 1990 map (see D4.2.1). The Landsat satellite program started in 1972, however, satellite data is only sparsely available for Türkiye until the 1980s and the assessment of approaches chosen by other Mediterranean countries shows that the primary input for 1990 base 295 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 295 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry maps is national forest statistics. The Turkish national forest inventory is available for 1972, however, it is not spatially explicit and uses an incompatible definition for forest which means that it is of very limited use in an assessment of the 1970-1990 period. In order to overcome these high uncertainties, some countries (e.g. Greece) have chosen to report 1990 as is and commence with any land use changes from then on. In our approach, we used the 1990 land cover/land use map on Landsat 5 imagery as the base year. The monitoring system uses an accurate approach by performing change detection for intermediate years through breakpoint analyses of spectral indices calculated from all satellite data available for the intermediate period. This method provides accurate estimates of changes and their change years, and together with the 3 national land cover/land use maps, provides the basis for the annual matrices. Figure 6.4 Change detection approach between reference years The satellite based land monitoring system is planned to be continued and improved in the coming years. Land Use Matrixes Land uses and transitions between the 6 land use types and 11 land use subcategories have been calculated in annual land use/land use change matrixes for all 25 years (without any interpolation in between). Further, the last 6 years (2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021) have been extrapolated. All transitions are reported as transitions for 20 years following the transition event. Land categories and subcategories have been further disaggregated into 8 ecozones and 28 forest regional directorates. The ecozones have been explained above in Table 6.2. The outline of the core matrix is illustrated in Table 6.4. 296 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 296 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.4 A sample land use matrix (2015) FROM: Initial area Total unmanaged land Other land Settlements Wetlands (unmanaged) Wetlands (managed) Grassland (unmanaged) Grassland (managed) Cropland Forest land (unmanaged) Forest land (managed) TO: (kha) Forest land (managed) (2) Forest land (unmanaged)(2) Cropland(2) Grassland (managed)(2) 22723.46 NO 2.31 NO 4.37 4.41 NO 0.39 NO 0.44 2.16 NO 22735.23 NO NO NO 26871.50 NO 0.10 NO NO NO 1.86 NO NO NO 1.63 NO 1.32 NO NO NO 26878.71 61.81 NO 5.32 23974.34 NO 1.06 NO 0.70 1.51 NO 24044.74 Grassland (unmanaged)(2) Wetlands (managed)(2) NO NO NO NO NO 0.19 NO 0.09 NO NO NO 465.68 NO NO NO 0.03 NO 0.24 NO NO Wetlands (unmanaged)(2) NO NO NO NO NO NO 1344.22 NO NO NO 1344.22 Settlements(2) NO NO NO NO NO 0.00 NO 1383.70 0.01 NO 1383.71 NO 0.46 0.18 NO NO NO NO 26881.83 23979.13 NO NO NO 0.26 NO 469.25 NO NO 1344.22 0.06 NO 1386.55 1672.49 NO 1677.73 NO NO 3.02 0.00 2.84 4.13 Other land(2) Total unmanaged land (3) Final area Net change (4) 0.14 NO 22787.72 52.50 3.12 -65.61 NO 466.23 NO 1673.60 NO NO NO 78526.44 NO 0.00 Accuracy Assessment For the land cover and land use datasets of the years 1990, 2000 and 2015, a scientifically sound thematic accuracy assessment has been carried out following best-practice standards according to ISO 19157 Geographic information - Data quality, the CEOS guidelines for Calibration and Validation and the QA4EO principles. This involves the following core design principles: ▪ Sampling design: A probability sampling design is used to generate a stratified random point sample that is statistically viable for all sampled categories and sub-categories at a confidence interval of 95%. ▪ Response design: The samples are then validated against higher quality data that includes aerial imagery (e.g. Google and Bing maps) for 2015; 15m pan-sharpened Landsat 7 imagery for 2000 and Landsat 5 imagery for 1990, in addition to other independent aerial or very high resolution satellite imagery, other map products or local auxiliary data. ▪ Analysis: The outcomes are presenting uncertainty measures on the area and area changes of the land use categories in the form of a confusion matrix (Table 6.5) that provides information on overall thematic accuracy, class-specific user’s and producer’s accuracies, and Kappa coefficients at a confidence interval of 95%. User accuracy and Producer accuracy are defined as follows: User accuracy is a measure of commission error: Represents the probability that a pixel classified into a given category actually represents that category on the ground. Producer accuracy is a measure of omission error. This value represents how well reference pixels of the ground cover type are classified. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 297 297 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.5 Confusion Matrix Completeness As regards the inventory completeness, sinks and sources that have been reported with notation keys NA, NO, IE and NE in the CRF tables are listed below: Table 6.6 Completeness Table Sink/source category Pool GHG Reported as Mandatory Forest land remaining forest land Soil CO2 NO No Explanation It is assumed that carbon stocks of soils in Forest Land Remaining Forest Land do not change. Forest land remaining forest land Land converted to Forest land Dead CO2 NO No It is assumed that carbon stocks of wood and DOM in Forest Land Remaining litter Forest Land do not change. Dead CO2 NO Yes wood The DW carbon stocks in case of land conversion are assumed to be not changing and DW carbon stocks in all land use are assumed to be zero. The IPCC 2006 does not provide a default value for DW C stocks. Forest land, Biomass Burning- Biomass CO2, CH4 NO Yes and N2O Controlled Burning Controlled Burning is not applied in Forest land. Forest lands, drained soils Biomass Non-CO2 NE Yes No available data on drainage Drained wetlands Biomass Non-CO2 NO Yes Wetland drainage is not performed in Türkiye. Croplands, grasslands, wetlands Biomass and settlements, biomass burning 298 CO2, CH4 NA,NO,IE Yes No available data and N2O Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 298 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 6.2. Forest Land (4.A) Source Category Description: The forest land category includes CSC from Forest Land Remaining Forest Land (FL-FL) and Land Converted to Forest Land (L-FL) subcategories. Tier 2 methods that are combinations of national EFs and IPCC methods have been applied except for some default coefficients (i.e. CF, root to shoot ratio). The AD in these subcategories have entirely been changed. The previous submissions used to base on ENVANIS statistics for AD and increment values. With the spatially explicit land tracking system the increment values are taken from Forestry Statistics but AD has entirely been changed. The improvements in this category with the new reporting system and consequences are as follows; ▪ The forest definition has been changed to one that is more suitable for GHG inventories. The previous national definition was a legal definition that do not include a threshold for crown closure. All land uses have been disaggregated into ecozones but forests have also been split into 28 regional forestry directorates. This will enable to implementation of mitigation actions more effectively among forestry directorates. ▪ Now the forest land has been split into 4 subcategories that are coniferous, deciduous, mixed forest and other forested land (OFL). OFL are forest areas with crown closure between 1 to 10 percent. The previous forest definition included a minimum area of 3 ha. The new system defines all forests with a minimum area of 1 ha. ▪ The previous system was based on Forestry Statistics which was available since 2007. The period before 2007 was extrapolated basis on 1972 and 1999’s forest inventory. With the new system, consistent land use and land use change AD has been available for the whole reporting period. The AD base on satellite images and has 1 ha spatial resolution. ▪ The previous system was not able to identify land conversions between forests and other land uses (i.e. L-FL, FL-CL, FL-GL) and it was assumed that conversions occur only from and to grasslands. Now all land conversions have been tracked with high accuracy and emissions/removals have been reported. ▪ The previous system was based on reports from regional forestry districts and was not subject to verification while the new system enables verification of the satellite based maps from other sources (i.e. Land Parcel Identification System, CORINE). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 299 299 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry ▪ The crown closure data from Forestry Statistics was based on subjective observations while the new system enabled objective automatic identification. ▪ The AD of the previous system was derived from the management unit of GDF while AD has been produced by an international remote sensing company. This strengthens the objectiveness of the AD. ▪ As a consequence of changes in definition and AD development methodology, the total forest did not change significantly but productive forest areas that have crown closure of more than 10 percent increased significantly. As a result of this, the removals due to the increase in aboveground biomass increased drastically. The increment data taken from Forestry Statistics puts forward large increases in increment between 2011 and 2018 which may be caused by rehabilitation projects in the early 2000s. The productivity of the stands increased as the stands reached the fast-growing young ages in the 2010s. The changes in increment for forest types are given below; Table 6.7 Annual increment rates of forest types in Türkiye (m³/ha) Year 300 Deciduous Coniferous Mixed OFL 1990 3.15 2.99 3.07 0.26 1995 3.20 3.03 3.11 0.27 2000 3.25 3.08 3.16 0.27 2005 3.30 3.13 3.21 0.23 2010 3.35 3.39 3.37 0.22 2011 3.48 3.45 3.47 0.21 2012 3.48 3.45 3.47 0.21 2013 3.48 3.45 3.47 0.21 2014 3.48 3.45 3.47 0.21 2015 3.25 3.56 3.40 0.22 2016 3.25 3.56 3.40 0.22 2017 3.25 3.56 3.40 0.22 2018 3.27 3.58 3.42 0.22 2019 3.27 3.56 3.41 0.21 2020 3.22 3.53 3.38 0.21 2021 3.17 3.49 3.33 0.21 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 300 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Information on Land Classification and Activity Data Detailed information has been provided under section 6.3. Land-use definitions and the classification systems In the previous submissions before 2019 national forest definition was used. With the 2019 submission, the forest definition has been changed to a definition in line with the definitions of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. The EU and FAO compliant forest definition of 10% crown cover, 1 ha MMU and 5m tree height is applied to all sub-categories. The lands below 10 percent crown closure are classified under other forested land (OFL) as a subcategory under forest land. Agriculturally used tree crops are classified under perennial croplands and are not part of the forest definition. The forests have further been classified as coniferous, deciduous and mixed forests. The mixed forests consist of both coniferous and deciduous trees with neither species clearly dominating the stand. Table 6.8 Forest area (kha) changes in Türkiye, 1990-2021 Tabular (old system) Productive Other Year forest Forested Land 1990 10 494 10 075 1995 10 546 2000 Spatially explicit land tracking (new system) Productive Other Forested forest Land Total 20 569 19 721 3 258 22 979 10 125 20 672 19 699 3 248 22 955 10 643 10 218 20 861 19 664 3 242 22 908 2005 10 662 10 586 21 248 19 637 3 218 22 865 2010 11 203 10 334 21 537 19 583 3 184 22 783 2015 12 704 9 639 22 343 19 606 3 181 22 787 2016 12 704 9 639 22 343 19 658 3 182 22 840 2017 12 983 9 638 22 621 19 583 3 183 22 766 2018 12 983 9 638 22 621 19 602 3 184 22 786 2019 13 083 9 656 22 740 19 610 3 184 22 794 2020 13 264 9 668 22 933 19 603 3 194 22 797 2021 13 500 9 610 23 110 19 700 3 203 22 903 Total Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 301 301 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The increment data is provided by the Management Department of the Forest Service (GDF) via Forestry Statistics. The Forestry Statistics database collects and processes data from forest management plans as the plans are renewed every ten years. Since 2007, the Forestry Statistics database, a forest resources inventory based on forest management units is used. This database covers the data of areas, annual increment, commercial volume and growing stock of each forest management unit by the species, management types, form of stand, purpose, etc. Therefore, a comparison of forest area, annual increment and growing stock, between two subsequent years, has been possible since 2007. The comparison of removals by forestry sector, according to the forest area, growing stock changes and annual increment since 1990 is given in Table 6.8, 6.10 and 6.11. 302 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 302 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Databases to Identify Forests There are only two documents (1972 and 1999 inventory) relevant to the national forest inventory results in Türkiye before 2002. The first document showing the 1972 situation was presented in 1980, and the second was prepared at the end of 1999. Because of the absence of regular national forest inventory works in Türkiye, both of the results were obtained based on the summaries of management plans data renewed every ten years interval. The data provided by the first inventory (1972) has been shown in Table 6.9. The growing stock and annual increment data since 1990 have been presented in Tables 6.10 and 6.11. Table 6.9 Forest inventory, 1972 (Source: GDF) Areas Productivea Type Degradedb Total ha % ha % ha % High Forest 6 176 899 30.58 4 757 708 23.55 10 934 607 54.13 Coppice 2 679 558 13.27 6 585 131 32.60 9 264 689 45.87 Total 8 856 457 43.85 11 342 839 56.15 20 199 296 100.00 Growing stock Productivea Type m3 High Forest 758 732 197 Coppicec 88 300 818 Total 847 033 015 Degradedb % m3 Total % m3 % 81.10 54 349 847 5.81 813 082 044 86.91 9.44 34 129 288 3.65 122 430 106 13.09 90.54 88 479 135 9.46 935 512 150 100.00 Annual volume increment Productivea Type High Forest Coppicec Total Degradedb Total m3 % m3 % m3 % 20 791 672 74.09 1 343 744 4.79 22 135 416 78.88 4 813 197 17.15 1 114 592 3.97 5 927 789 21.12 25 604 869 91.24 2 458 336 8.76 28 063 205 100.00 a) Crown closure between 0.11–1.00. b) Crown closure between 0.01–0.10. c) 0.75 coefficient was used to convert the stere volume to a m3 volume. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 303 303 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.10 Growing stock, 1990-2021 (Source: GDF) Productive1 Degraded2 Productive Coppices (thousand m³) Degraded 3 total High Forest 3 Year High Forest Coppices total Total 1990 984 907 64 986 1 049 893 43 622 12 038 19 976 1 105 553 1995 1 028 346 67 957 1 096 303 45 618 12 589 20 890 1 154 509 2000 1 087 582 72 002 1 159 584 48 334 13 338 22 134 1 221 256 2005 1 177 849 71 551 1 249 400 51 045 12 661 23 655 1 313 106 2010 1 328 437 59 097 1 387 534 49 351 12 286 19 415 1 449 171 2015 1 552 821 33 695 1 586 516 59 997 11 954 71 951 1 658 467 2016 1 540 723 29 215 1 569 939 60 895 10 377 71 271 1 641 210 2017 1 601 931 13 728 1 615 659 64 991 4 314 69 306 1 684 964 2018 1 601 931 13 728 1 615 659 64 991 4 314 69 306 1 684 964 2019 1 595 828 14 013 1 609 841 64 791 4 723 69 514 1 679 356 2020 1 614 281 14 013 1 628 295 64 037 4 722 68 759 1 697 055 2021 1 639 227 14 013 1 653 240 63 731 4 722 68 454 1 721 695 1) Crown closure between 0.11–1.00. 2) Crown closure between 0.01–0.10. 3) 0.75 coefficient was used to convert the stere volume to a m3 volume. Table 6.11 Annual volume increment, 1990-2021 (Source: GDF) Productive1 Degraded2 Productive Years High Forest (m³) Degraded Coppices3 total High Forest Coppices3 total Total 1990 28 263 488 3 594 725 31 858 213 1 292 180 761 076 2 053 256 33 911 468 1995 28 997 951 3 697 360 32 695 311 1 329 099 782 820 2 111 919 34 807 230 2000 31 047 474 3 985 847 35 033 320 1 432 875 843 943 2 276 819 37 310 139 2005 33 282 485 4 025 038 37 307 523 1 495 502 922 183 2 417 685 39 725 208 2010 37 857 085 3 089 208 40 946 293 1 468 070 792 878 2 260 948 43 207 241 2015 46 011 103 1 511 832 47 522 935 1 484 455 585 191 2 069 646 49 592 580 2016 43 669 510 1 277 030 44 946 540 1 539 688 487 331 2 027 019 46 973 559 2017 45 516 439 755 697 46 272 136 1 728 694 252 728 1 981 422 48 253 588 2018 44 247 096 762 981 45 010 077 1 713 433 276 490 1 989 923 47 000 000 2019 44 447 096 762 981 45 210 077 1 713 433 276 490 1 989 923 47 200 000 2020 44 647 096 762 981 45 410 077 1 713 498 276 425 1 989 923 47 400 000 2021 44 863 388 762 981 45 626 369 1 697 206 276 425 1 973 631 47 600 000 1) Crown closure between 0.11–1.00 (productive forest). 2) Crown closure between 0.01–0.10 (degraded). 3) 0.75 coefficient was used to convert the stere volume to a m3 volume. 304 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 304 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Evaluation of Table 6.9, 6.10, and 6.11 can be outlined as below: 1. The growing stocks and annual volume increments of the coppice forests reduced while high forests increased constantly. The highest amount of decrease in growing stock/annual increment has occurred in degraded coppices due to converting the coppices into high forests. 2. The total amount of growing stocks and annual volume increment in the coniferous and deciduous forests per hectare have slightly decreased. The considerable reasons for these changes can be: 1. The changing approaches on the forestry applications towards multi-functional use of forest resources in the framework of sustainable forest management concept, 2. Converting coppices into the high forests, 3. The reforestation of unstocked areas in and around forests and rehabilitation of degraded forests by the GDF. 4. Intense harvest policies also caused decreasing in annual increment values per hectare. All the factors focused on above have played an affecting role inthese changes. Almost entire of Turkish forests can be categorized in the temperate climate zone. CSC in Forest Land Remaining Forest Land The carbon stock change in FL-FL subcategory has been net removals during the reporting period. The driver of this situation was the increment of forests. The increment of the forests in the country increased for the reporting period constantly while increased faster for some years. The steep increase between 2009 and 2019 was due to the difference in increment (m3/ha) for 2014 (Ivdec=3.26, Ivcon=3.31, Ivmixed=3.29, Ivdeg=0.22) and 2019 (Ivdec=3.27, Ivcon=3.56, Ivmixed=3.41, Ivdeg=0.21). This might have been caused by extensive rehabilitation campaigns during the 2000s. However, after 2019, annual increment values have been decreasing due to most of the intensive wood harvesting activities being applied in productive forests. The increment data is derived from all management units of the country as explained in the methodology section. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 305 305 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The removals of the forest land remaining forest land subcategory have been decreased for the last 3 years. The main reason is the increase of the fellings for industrial roundwood due to intense wood harvest policies. The industrial roundwood production amounts have been increased respectively by 15,5 million m3 for 2017 to 19 million m3 for 2018, 22 million m3 for 2019, 30 million m3 for 2020 and 33 million m3 for 2021. In addition, approximately 10 million CO2 eq. emission estimated for Forest Land Remaining Forest Land category due to mega fire in 2021 in Türkiye. Figure 6.5 Gains and losses in Forest land Remaining Forest land subcategory (FL-FL) 30 000 25 000 20 000 kt C 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 -5 000 -10 000 -20 000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -15 000 Gains Losses CSC in Land Converted to Forest Land The CSC in Land Converted to Forest land category is not a key category anymore with the new reporting system. The main reason for the drop in L-FL removals is due to a change in forest definition. As explained in the section 6.2 the forest definition has been changed to a physical definition while it used to be a legal national definition. As a consequence of this, the AD for land converted to forest land decreased substantially. The CSC in L-FL subcategory moved from net loss to net gain during the reporting period through large fluctuations are observed (Figure 6.6). The large loss in CSC in 1992 was due to a relatively larger conversion from grassland to forest. As explained in the methodology section below the conversion from grassland to forest land causes a loss in living biomass carbon for the first year. 306 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 306 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Figure 6.6 Gains and losses in Land Converted to Forest land subcategory (L-FL) L-FL 25 20 15 kt C 10 5 0 -5 - 15 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 - 10 Gains Losses As seen from the graph above (Figure 6.6) the L-FL gains increased until 2011 and stabilized since then. There have been 3 types of transitions that occurred during the reporting period; ▪ Grassland Converted to Forest land ▪ Other land Converted to Forest land ▪ Cropland (Perennial) Converted to Forest land Between 1991 and 1996 the conversions were around 4000 ha per year, then dropped below 2000 between 1997 to 2000 and then rise again until 2010. The conversions to Forest land drop to a band around 2000 since then. Figure 6.7 Area data for Land Converted to Forest land subcategory 9 8 7 5 CL-FL 4 GL-FL 3 OL-FL 2 1 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Area kha 6 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 307 307 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry As seen in Figure 6.7 the major conversion path in L-FL subcategory is the conversion from Grassland to Forest land. The driver of this conversion type is the afforestation/reforestation of grasslands in or around the forests. Table 6.12 Area of Land converted to forest land (kha) Year GL-FL CL-FL OL-FL Year GL-FL CL-FL OL-FL 1990 0.00 0.00 0.00 2006 7.35 0.22 0.77 1991 3.40 0.07 0.56 2007 4.28 0.17 0.57 1992 6.71 0.14 1.00 2008 5.51 0.18 1.01 1993 2.97 0.08 0.45 2009 3.63 0.10 0.34 1994 3.28 0.08 0.32 2010 5.84 0.18 0.56 1995 3.32 0.10 0.41 2011 2.15 0.08 0.25 1996 2.89 0.09 0.30 2012 2.56 0.13 0.29 1997 1.02 0.04 0.11 2013 0.86 0.05 0.08 1998 1.24 0.06 0.23 2014 1.34 0.06 0.15 1999 0.63 0.07 0.28 2015 1.45 0.09 0.14 2000 0.30 0.03 0.10 2016 1.68 0.08 0.18 2001 2.77 0.07 0.24 2017 1.58 0.08 0.17 2002 5.67 0.21 0.68 2018 1.38 0.07 0.15 2003 2.77 0.11 0.35 2019 1.49 0.08 0.16 2004 6.07 0.24 0.74 2020 1.52 0.08 0.16 2005 3.47 0.15 0.40 2021 0.56 0.04 0.18 Methodological Issues: Forest Land Remaining Forest land The calculations in FL category are based on 8 ecozones and 28 forestry regional directorates. The soil C stocks for each ecozone have been calculated by TAGEM (General Directorate of Agricultural Research) based on the soil database since the 2019 submission. Above- and below-ground biomass Gain-Loss Method (Tier 2) is used to estimate annual change in carbon stocks in living above- and below-ground biomass, considering the country-specific data on mean annual increment, volume of commercial cutting, fuelwood removal and loss due to disturbances, national biomass expansion factors 308 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 308 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 (BCEFI, BCEFR) and basic wood densities (D), and default root-to-shoot ratios (R) and carbon fractions (CF). The below equations have been used in estimations; 2006 IPCC equations: Vol 4., Ch. 2: 2.7 / 2.9 / 2.10 / 2.11 / 2.12 / 2.13 / 2.14 The estimation approach was as follows; i. The area of each forest stratum with corresponding mean annual increment has been multiplied by national BCFI coefficients, IPCC 2006 default root-to-shoot ratios, and IPCC 2006 default CF coefficients to get annual biomass gain (∆CG). The increment data is provided by the Forest Management Department via the ENVANIS system and they are updated every year for four forest types; ▪ Deciduous forest ▪ Coniferous forest ▪ Mixed forest ▪ Degraded forest The increment data used are given in Table for some years. ii. Annual carbon loss (∆CL) as a sum of wood removals (i.e. commercial cutting), fuelwood removal and disturbance (i.e. forest fires) by each forest stratum has been calculated. In the calculation of annual carbon losses in biomass due to disturbances (Disturbance), the annual area affected by disturbances has been used (see Equation 2.14). The data used in this step is received from relevant departments (Production and Marketing, Fire etc.) of the GDF. The annual biomass loss is a sum of losses from commercial round wood felling, fuelwood gathering and other losses in forest land was calculated by using the following Equation 2.11 of AFOLU Guidance. Biomass gains and biomass losses are estimated separately. For example, commercial round wood felling has been calculated in a different column as well as fuelwood gathering and other losses according to Equation 2.12, Equation 2.13 and Equation 2.14 respectively. The calculations of biomass losses are consistent with the IPCC 2006 Guidance for AFOLU (Vol 4). 2006 IPCC equations: Vol 4., Ch. 2: 2.11 / 2.12 / 2.13 / 2.14 / 2.17 /2.24 / 2.27 The FG data in eq. 13 is obtained from the GDF (Forestry Statistic 2021). According to GDF’s data, percentage of the illegal cutting is 67, also the fuelwood gathering is 33. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 309 309 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In eq. 2.14 to calculate the losses from wildfires the BW covers the dead organic matter. It is assumed that all dead organic matter is burned in wildfires in this category. It is also assumed that average biomass during wildfires is burned with 44 percent of burning productivity (GDF 2008-2016). iii. All biomass gains and losses have been summed up from strata to get estimates for FF. iv. Annual change in carbon stock in biomass has been estimated as a difference between ∆CG and ∆CL. Table 6.13 The Average basic wood density and national BCEF’s factors (Tolunay, 2013) Vegetation type Coniferous Deciduous Basic wood density (tonnes/m3) BCEFI (tonnes/m3) BCEFs (tonnes/m3) BCEFR (tonnes/m3) 0.446 0.541 0.563 0.612 0.541 0.709 0.717 0.797 Soil and dead organic matter Currently, no changes in CSC in deadwood, litter and soil (Tier 1 assumption) are reported due to lack of data related to any change in soil and DOM carbon stocks in FL-FL. Land Converted to Forest land The annual increments and coefficients used for Land Converted to Forest Land were; Table 6.14 Coefficients used to calculate CS and CSC in L-FL Root to Shoot Ratio Forest Type Annual Increment m /ha 3 BCEFI tonnes d.m. below-ground CF tonnes biomass/tonnes above- C/tonnes dm ground d.m. biomass Forest Deciduous 0.691 0.7092 0.463 0.483 Forest Coniferous 0.691 0.5412 0.403 0.513 Forest Mixed 0.691 0.6252 0.483 0.493 Forest Degraded 0.691 0.6252 0.443 0.493 1Forest Management Department 2Tolunay 3IPCC 310 (2013) 2006 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 310 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The conversion period is accepted as 20 years. It is assumed that there is no change in the dead wood carbon stocks for land converted to forest land categories. The DOM C stock is assumed to accumulate in 20 years conversion time to reach a steady state given in Table 6.15 below (Tolunay and Çömez, 2008) : Table 6.15 Carbon stocks in DOM used for all forest areas in Türkiye DOM (tonnes/ha) Coniferous 7.51 ± 6.61 (n=601) Deciduous 3.09 ± 1.58 (n=368) The below soil C stock values have been applied in case of land use conversions. The stock values have been calculated by the Research Units of Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Table 6.16 SOC stocks of forests disaggregated for ecozones C stock Ecozone Forest land (tC/ha) Mediterranean Mountain zone SOC ref 51.53 46.96 46.08 37.77 East Anatolian steppe 48.41 47.99 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 45.14 41.30 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 51.90 49.66 Central Anatolian steppe 49.92 40.41 Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest 50.88 42.53 55.05 54.57 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Reference to the 2006 IPCC equations: Vol 4., Ch. 2: 2.16 / 2.19 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 311 311 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: According to para 15 of 24/CP19 Annex I Parties shall quantitatively estimate the uncertainty of the data used for all source and sink categories using at least Approach 1, and report uncertainties for at least the base year (1990) and last reported year (2021), as well as the trend uncertainty between these two years. There are two approaches presented in the 2006 IPCC guidelines, which use simple error propagation equations and Monte Carlo or similar techniques, respectively. The first approach has been used with the equations IPCC (2006) equations: Vol. 1, Ch. 3: 3.1 / 3.2. Uncertainty of input data is provided by underlying systems. Uncertainty of activity data is derived for 11x11 land categories for the latest reported year 2015. Under the current stage of finalization of land use mapping, still, preliminary values of the uncertainty of activity data are estimated in the range of 5% for land remaining in the same category and 10% for land being in conversion among various land categories. Uncertainty (in %, consistent with 2006 IPCC Guidelines) for CSCs is provided according to various underlying national sources and references. Uncertainty propagation tracks GHG inventory calculation, i.e. from the most detailed input activity data and CSC/EF to GHG estimates at the land use subcategory and LULUCF sector. Uncertainty is propagated following Tier 1 with Eq. 3.2 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines where uncertain data is added or subtracted, and Eq. 3.1 of 2006 IPCC Guidelines where uncertain data is multiplied or divided. Estimation of GHG inventory uncertainty covers completely the national territory for the year 1990 as the base year and last reported year (2021). Wherever CSC in a C pool is reported as NO or NA such estimates are not included in the Tier 1 propagation of uncertainty. For all C pools subject to 20 year transition the uncertainty estimation considers aggregation of two terms: a) uncertainty associated with the CSC for the area in the first year of the conversion which involves the uncertainty of C stocks in land use from before and after conversion, and the uncertainty of CSC in the first year after the conversion, and, b) uncertainty for the rest of the area reported under respective conversion cumulated from previous years. 312 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 312 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Table 6.17 shows the relative uncertainty for CSC overall for land subcategories. Table 6.17 Uncertainty calculation results for the whole LULUCF sector Summary BY* (1990) LRY** (2021) 4A1 51% 50% 4A2 0% 57% 4B1 7% 10% 4B2 0% 47% 4C1 0% 0% 4C2 0% 149% 4D1 0% 0% 4D2 0% 86% 4E1 0% 0% 4E2 0% 26% 4F1 0% 0% 4F2 0% 18% Table 4(I) 0% 0% Table 4(II) 0% 0% Table 4(III) 0% 75% Table 4(IV) 0% 387% Table 4(V) 54% 54% 50.80% 51.14% LULUCF sector *BY: Base Year ; ** LRY:Last Reported Year Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 313 313 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The summary table for the uncertainty in Forest land categories (FL-FL and L-FL) is as follows; Table 6.18 Uncertainty summary table for Forest land subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 4A1 – FL-FL 51% 50% ΔCC in Living Biomass 51% 50% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) 33% 34% Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) 35% 35% Net C stock change in Litter (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in Dead Wood (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA NA 4A2 – L-FL 0% 57.1% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 4.9% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA 22.6% Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA 4.9% Net C stock change in Dead Wood (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in Litter (ΔCC) NA 300.7% Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA 47.0% Forest land Remaining Forest land Land Converted to Forest land Two forest inventories were carried out by the GDF for 1972 and 1999. Forestry Statistics has been started since 2007. The data on growing stocks and annual increments during the 1990-2007 period were calculated by interpolation among data from these three inventories (1972, 1999 and 2007). Thus, the annual increases of growing stocks and volume increments were assumed as linear. The Forestry Statistics tables have been published annually by GDF since 2007. The time series consistency of area data has been significantly increased by using the same satellite images and methods as explained above. The statistics on the forest fires and commercial round wood production for the same period and fuelwood gathering data were also provided by Forestry Statistics. 314 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 314 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The QA/QC procedure has been realized in the framework of a plan developed and carried out by TurkStat the national inventory agency. The sector specific QA/QC has been realized by the LULUCF experts in and out of the agencies. Recalculation: The Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Category was recalculated due to an update of the annual increment values for the years between 1990-2019 with increment borer by the ongoing National Forest Inventory Program of GDF. Updated annual increment values by field measurement are reported in Table 6.7. Annual increment values were also changed in the Forestry Statistics for whole time series. All the changes by recalculating are demonstrated in Table 6.19. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 315 315 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.19 Changes by the recalculation of Forest Land Remaining Forest Land subcategory Recalculated Values Old Values Changes(%) Year (ktonnes CO2) (ktonnes CO2) 1990 -52 830.00 -63 604.96 20.40 1991 -54 395.61 -65 080.08 19.64 1992 -54 130.19 -64 723.50 19.57 1993 -54 333.53 -64 854.30 19.36 1994 -56 160.99 -66 605.68 18.60 1995 -54 962.96 -65 327.37 18.86 1996 -55 773.70 -65 327.89 17.13 1997 -59 000.17 -67 725.27 14.79 1998 -60 329.95 -68 223.84 13.08 1999 -61 614.21 -68 690.78 11.49 2000 -57 890.32 -64 375.54 11.20 2001 -61 443.38 -67 313.82 9.55 2002 -68 857.54 -65 536.58 -4.82 2003 -70 265.57 -66 806.09 -4.92 2004 -69 597.62 -65 608.20 -5.73 2005 -69 355.58 -66 598.59 -3.98 2006 -70 281.17 -66 926.69 -4.77 2007 -68 870.02 -66 142.25 -3.96 2008 -63 966.66 -62 383.80 -2.47 2009 -67 380.21 -65 078.58 -3.42 2010 -67 613.57 -65 874.37 -2.57 2011 -69 387.58 -67 507.44 -2.71 2012 -67 152.58 -65 695.42 -2.17 2013 -67 912.29 -67 473.50 -0.65 2014 -68 099.07 -67 109.02 -1.45 2015 -87 668.69 -62 936.81 -28.21 2016 -85 232.65 -62 370.60 -26.82 2017 -90 194.56 -65 323.21 -27.58 2018 -84 849.21 -60 188.20 -29.06 2019 -75 310.53 -53 999.27 -28.30 As explained above the area based AD in the Forest land sector moved from ENVANIS to a spatially explicit land tracking system. This enabled the production of a consistent land use matrix that determines the land use and conversions with 1 ha accuracy. On the other hand, removals from L-FL decreased significantly with the new system. The reason for this was the change in AD. 316 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 316 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Planned Improvement: The Forest Land is the major category. The removals are based on the increment data while emissions are on the harvest. An improvement plan has been developed for the sector in the framework of the LULUCF project. The plan has three basic scales; short (ST), medium (MT) and long terms (LT). Short term (2023) Long term (2026+) Medium term (2025) The planned improvements for Forest Land category are; ▪ Re-evaluation of the emission/other factors used for living biomass, DOM, and mineral soils (ST, MT) based on Mediterranean Emission/Other factors Database by the collaboration program of ONF-GDF. ▪ Estimation of carbon stocks for carbon pools for which emissions are currently not reported, namely deadwood, litter and mineral soil (MT) ▪ Preparation of input forest data and parameters for some of the existing forest models (e.g. CBM) to be able for running simulations and making projections of forest development under different scenarios (MT, LT) ▪ Development and establishment of National Forest Inventory (NFI) based on permanent sample plot system (LT) ▪ Use a higher Tier level in reporting (MT, LT). ▪ Develop and use allometric equations instead of currently used national BCEF coefficients (MT, LT). ▪ Preparement of the land use matrix for 2020 or beyond. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 317 317 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.3. Croplands (4.B) Source Category Description: Estimation of emissions and removals from cropland follows the 2006 IPCC guidelines (Volume 4, Ch. 5). Currently, there are two strata for different crops in Türkiye, namely annual and perennial crops. Besides, emissions are estimated due to cultivation of organic soil and direct N2O emission from N mineralization associated with loss of soil organic matter due to land use change or management of mineral soils. Figure 6.8 The changes in net emissions and removals in CL-CL and L-CL subcategories 600 500 kt CO2 eq 400 300 200 100 0 -100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -200 L - CL CL - CL The cropland category is net emissions due to conversions to cropland. The CL-CL subcategory becomes removals in some years and emissions in others. The main reason for this is the rate of conversions between annual and perennial crops. The perennial crops are assumed to have larger C stocks compared to annual crops as explained in the methodology section below. Cropland remaining Cropland and Land converted to Cropland has been reported under this category. CSC in aboveground, belowground, organic and mineral soil pools have been calculated and reported. The Cropland category was a large source in the last submission but has diminished with the change in emission factors and activity data. The Cropland covers all perennial and annual crops in agricultural lands. Orchards and poplars are included in this category. 318 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 318 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Information on Land Classification and Activity Data The CL-CL area decreases during the reporting period due to conversions to other land uses but stabilize after around 2010 and increases after 2015 as lands in L-CL are added after 2010 (20 years transition period). Figure 6.9 The change in area of CL-CL 27200 27150 27100 Area kha 27050 27000 26950 26900 26850 26800 26750 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 26700 CL -CL Figure 6.10 The change in area of L-CL 250 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Area kHa 200 L-CL Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 319 319 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry On the other hand, the area of L-CL increases but not with the same ratio as conversions from croplands. Thus the cropland area in total decreases during the reporting period. Land-use definitions and the classification systems Activity data for cropland remaining cropland have been subdivided into annual and perennial crops. Cropland category includes all annual and perennial crops including orchards including olives, vineyards and poplar plantations; the change in all carbon pools has been assumed to be not changing for annual and perennial crops. The increase in biomass stocks in a single year is assumed to equal biomass losses from harvest and mortality in that same year. However, CSC have been calculated in case of conversions between annual and perennial croplands. Methodological Issues: Annual cropland remaining annual cropland Above- and below-ground biomass For annual crops increase in biomass stocks in a single year is assumed to equal biomass losses from harvest and mortality in that same year (IPCC 2006). Dead organic matter According to Tier 1 method, there is no need to estimate the carbon stock changes for DOM. Mineral and organic soils Currently, there is no specific data on management systems in the country to apply reference carbon stocks and stock change factors. Emissions from organic soil are estimated using the default equation and emission factors. Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.24 / 2.25 / 2.26 Perennial cropland remaining perennial cropland Above- and below-ground biomass At present, the Gain-Loss method has been applied to estimate CSC in biomass pools. The accumulation rate and rotation period for perennial crops were assumed according to values used by the inventory of Italy. If perennial crops, such as vineyards, orchards and olive groves can be disaggregated regarding spatially-explicit activity data, then default values for carbon stocks at maturity, rotation periods, biomass accumulation rates etc. for these crops can be obtained from the MediNet Biomass Report (Canaveira et al., 2018). Canaveira P, Manso S, Pellis G, Perugini L, De Angelis P, Neves R, Papale D, 320 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 320 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Paulino J, Pereira T, Pina A, Pita G, Santos E, Scarascia-Mugnozza G, Domingos T, and Chiti T (2018). Biomass Data on Cropland and Grassland in the Mediterranean Region. Final Report for Action A4 of Project MediNet. Available at https://www.lifemedinet.com/documents. Reference to 2006 IPCC equation: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.7 Since the size of loss due to harvesting is usually not available for perennial woody biomass, the CSC in living biomass has been assumed to be compensated with the harvest of the trees. Hence C gains due to the increment of the perennial trees are neutralized by the loss due to cutting of the trees at 100/rotation period of the total perennial crops area. The rotation period of perennial croplands is assumed to be 20 years, with 15 tons C/ha when mature. Thus the increment is 0.75 tons C/ha/yr. Dead organic matter According to Tier 1 method the carbon stock changes for DOM has not been estimated. If specific national data on different crop and climate types and management practices or periodic inventories are improved then Gain-Loss or Stock-Difference method, respectively, can be applied. Mineral and organic soils Currently, there is no specific data on management systems in the country to apply reference carbon stocks and stock change factors. Tier 1 method can be applied when these data become available. Emissions from organic soil have been estimated using a default equation and emission factor. Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.24 / 2.25 / 2.26 Annual cropland converted to perennial cropland The 2006 IPCC guidelines do not include any specific method for conversions between annual and perennial cropland. As carbon accumulation rates and soil carbon stocks in these two cropland subcategories are different, more accurate estimation of emissions and removals is needed. Annual CSC in biomass has been estimated using the equation below: Annual change in biomass = conversion area for a transition period of 20 years * ΔCgrowth + annual area of currently converted land * ΔCconversion ΔCconversion = Cafter - Cbefore Cafter = carbon stock immediately after conversion (at Tier 1 assume Cafter = 0) Cbefore = carbon stock of annual crop before conversion (IPCC default value = 5 t C ha-1) ΔCgrowth = carbon accumulation rate of perennial crops (0.75 t C ha-1 yr-1) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 321 321 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The biomass loss is accounted only for the year of conversion, thus ΔCconversion must be multiplied by annual area (i.e. area in the year of conversion). Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.15 / 2.16 The calculation spreadsheet for annual-perennial conversion is as follows; Table 6.20 Coefficients and CS values used in annual/perennial conversions in cropland category Ecozones Mediterranean Mountain zone NAI Y1 Loss Y1 ΔCG ΔCL (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) 0.75 BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/yr) (tC/yr (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 0.75 0 0 5 -4.25 0.75 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest As seen from Table CS for annual crops is 5 tC/ha and is lost in the first year of conversion while the planted seedlings grow with 0.75 tC/ha per year for the next 20 years until the land is allocated as CLCL. 322 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 322 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Dead organic matter According to Tier 1 method, carbon stock changes for DOM are assumed to be not changing. Mineral and organic soil According to Tier 2 method country-specific carbon stocks have been used to estimate annual change in organic carbon stocks in mineral soil. Country-specific carbon stocks have been calculated by the TAGEM (General Directorate of Agricultural Research) and used for both cropland subcategories in case of conversion, default equation, assuming a transition period of 20 years has been used. Emissions from organic soil should be estimated using a default equation and emission factors. Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.24 / 2.25 / 2.26 The below default coefficients have been employed to calculate CSC in mineral soils in case of conversions (between cropland subcategories or LULUCF land use categories) CS for annual and perennial croplands. The SOC of perennial crops has been assumed to be same as SOCref. Table 6.20a Coefficients and soil CS values used in annual/perennial conversions in cropland category SOC ref CSannualcrops CSperennialcrops (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) 46.96 40.22 46.96 37.77 29.62 37.77 East Anatolian steppe 47.99 38.90 47.99 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 41.30 30.44 41.30 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 49.66 38.68 49.66 Central Anatolian steppe 40.41 32.14 40.41 42.53 30.99 42.53 54.57 34.29 54.57 Ecozone Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 323 323 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Perennial cropland converted to annual cropland Annual CSC in biomass on areas of conversion from perennial cropland to annual cropland has been estimated by the same equation as for the opposite management change with the difference that only annual area of currently converted land is considered here because the gains of the annual crop during land use changes to annual cropland are accounted only once. The estimation of CSC in biomass has been performed using the equation below: Annual change in biomass = annual area of currently converted land *(ΔCconversion + ΔCgrowth) ΔCconversion = Cafter - Cbefore Cafter = carbon stock immediately after conversion (at Tier 1 assume Cafter = 0) Cbefore = carbon stock of annual/perennial crop before conversion (15 t C ha-1) ΔCgrowth = carbon accumulation rate of annual/perennial crop (IPCC default value = 5 t C ha-1) Dead organic matter According to Tier 1 method, carbon stock changes for DOM are assumed to be not changing. Mineral and organic soil According to Tier 2 method country-specific carbon stocks have been used to estimate annual change in organic carbon stocks in mineral soil. Country-specific carbon stocks have been calculated by the TAGEM (General Directorate of Agricultural Research) and used for both cropland subcategories in case of conversion, default equation, assuming a transition period of 20 years has been used. Emissions from organic soil should be estimated using a default equation and emission factors. Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.24 / 2.25 / 2.26 Land converted to cropland Above- and below-ground biomass Changes in biomass carbon stocks have been estimated according to Tier 1/Tier 2 method with spatiallyexplicit activity data. Conversions from all other land uses (e.g. from forest land, grassland etc.) to cropland are likely to occur in the country. The principle of estimating the CSC in biomass in land converted to cropland is the same as described in the subcategories annual cropland converted to 324 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 324 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry perennial and vice versa, depending on conversion to which cropland subcategory happened (i.e. annual or perennial cropland). Below calculation algorithms have been applied for land conversions to Cropland; In case of forest land converted to annual and perennial cropland; Table 6.21 Coefficients and CS values used in L-CL category For FL-CLannual Ecozone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone CF Forest Deciduous Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded ΔCG ΔCL BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 CSC Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) 0.48 5.00 0 0 41.97 -36.97 0 0.51 5.00 0 0 64.80 -59.80 0 0.49 5.00 0 0 52.35 -47.35 0 0.49 5.00 0 0 4.051 0.95 0 0.48 0.75 0 0 41.97 -41.22 0.75 0.51 0.75 0 0 64.80 -64.05 0.75 0.49 0.75 0 0 52.35 -51.60 0.75 0.49 0.75 0 0 4.05 -3.30 0.75 For FL-CLperennial i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone Forest Deciduous Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded 325 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 325 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of grassland converted to annual and perennial cropland; For GL-CLannual Ecozone ΔCG ΔCL BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 CSC Y2 (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 5.00 0 0 1.86 3.14 0 0.75 0 0 1.86 -1.11 0.75 i.e. Mediterranean GL-CLann Mountain zone For GL-CLannual i.e. Mediterranean GL-CLper Mountain zone In case of wetland (managed/unmanaged) converted to annual and perennial cropland; For WLmanaged/unmanaged-CLannual ΔCG Ecozone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone WLmanCLann WLunma n-CLann ΔCL BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 CSC Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) 5.00 0 0 1.86 3.14 0 5.00 0 0 1.86 3.14 0 For WLmanaged/unmanaged-CLperennial i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone WLmanCLper WLunma n-CLper 0.75 0 0 1.86 -1.11 0.75 0.75 0 0 1.86 -1.11 0.75 326 326 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of settlement converted to annual and perennial cropland; For SL-CLannual Ecozone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone SLCLann ΔCG ΔCL BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 CSC Y2 (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 5.00 0 0 5.03 -0.03 0 0.75 0 0 5.03 -4.28 0.75 For SL-CLperennial i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone SLCLper In case of other land converted to annual and perennial cropland; For OL-CLannual Ecozone i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone OLCLann ΔCG ΔCL BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 CSC Y2 (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 5 0 5 0 0 0 0.75 0 0 0 0.75 0.75 For OL-CLperennial i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone OLCLper Dead organic matter A Tier 1 method takes into account the estimation of CSC in dead organic matter only for major conversion categories (e.g. forest land to cropland). It is assumed that all dead organic matter is removed in the year of conversion, so there is no accumulation in land converted to cropland afterwards. Reference to 2006 IPCC equation: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.23, 327 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 327 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.22 Coefficients and CS values used in L-CL category For FL-CLannual/perennial Ecozone i.e. Mediterranean Forest Mountain zone Deciduous Forest Coninferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded CSC LT CSC DW CSC DOM (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) 0.50 -3.09 -0.49 -3.58 0.37 0.50 -7.51 -0.36 -7.87 0.37 0.50 -5.30 -0.42 -5.72 0.37 0.50 0.00 -0.03 -0.03 CFlitter CFdw 0.37 Mineral and organic soil The Tier 2 method has been applied here, as country-specific reference carbon stocks were available for all land categories. The general approach, assuming the 20-year transition period after which the soil reaches a new equilibrium, has been used for land use changes to cropland. In case organic soil is subject to this type of land-use change, emissions have been estimated using the default emission factor and method. Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.24 / 2.25 / 2.26 328 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 328 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of forest land (FL) converted to annual and perennial cropland; Table 6.23 Coefficients and soil CS values used in L-CL category C stock Ecozone C stock Forest land SOC Cropland CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/ha) ref (tC/ha) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 51.53 46.96 40.22 -0.57 -0.57 46.08 37.77 29.62 -0.82 -0.82 FL-CLann 48.41 47.99 38.90 -0.48 -0.48 FL-CLann 45.14 41.30 30.44 -0.74 -0.74 FL-CLann 51.90 49.66 38.68 -0.66 -0.66 FL-CLann 49.92 40.41 32.14 -0.89 -0.89 FL-CLann 50.88 42.53 30.99 -0.99 -0.99 FL-CLann 55.05 54.57 34.29 -1.04 -1.04 Mediterranean Mountain zone FL-CLper 51.53 46.96 46.96 -0.23 -0.23 46.08 37.77 37.77 -0.42 -0.42 FL-CLper 48.41 47.99 47.99 -0.02 -0.02 FL-CLper 45.14 41.30 41.30 -0.19 -0.19 FL-CLper 51.90 49.66 49.66 -0.11 -0.11 FL-CLper 49.92 40.41 40.41 -0.48 -0.48 FL-CLper 50.88 42.53 42.53 -0.42 -0.42 FL-CLper 55.05 54.57 54.57 -0.02 -0.02 Forest Type FL-CLannual Mediterranean Mountain zone FL-CLann Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous FL-CLann forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest FL-CLperennial Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous FL-CLper forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 329 329 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of grassland (GL) converted to annual and perennial cropland; C stock C stock Grassland Cropland (tC/ha) (annual) (tC/ha) 46.96 42.26 37.77 East Anatolian steppe CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) 40.22 -0.10 -0.10 33.99 29.62 -0.22 -0.22 47.99 43.19 38.90 -0.21 -0.21 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 41.30 37.17 30.44 -0.34 -0.34 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 49.66 44.69 38.68 -0.30 -0.30 Central Anatolian steppe 40.41 36.37 32.14 -0.21 -0.21 42.53 38.28 30.99 -0.36 -0.36 54.57 49.11 34.29 -0.74 -0.74 46.96 42.26 46.96 0.23 0.23 37.77 33.99 37.77 0.19 0.19 East Anatolian steppe 47.99 43.19 47.99 0.24 0.24 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 41.30 37.17 41.30 0.21 0.21 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 49.66 44.69 49.66 0.25 0.25 Central Anatolian steppe 40.41 36.37 40.41 0.20 0.20 42.53 38.28 42.53 0.21 0.21 54.57 49.11 54.57 0.27 0.27 SOC ref Ecozone GL-CLannual Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest GL-CLperennial Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest 330 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 330 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of wetland (WL) (Managed/Unmanaged) converted to annual and perennial cropland; C stock Parameters/C stock in year SOC ref Wetlands (tC/yr/ha) C stock Cropland CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha) (annual) (tC/ha) 46.96 42.26 40.22 -0.10 -0.10 37.77 33.99 29.62 -0.22 -0.22 East Anatolian steppe 47.99 43.19 38.90 -0.21 -0.21 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 41.30 37.17 30.44 -0.34 -0.34 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 49.66 44.69 38.68 -0.30 -0.30 Central Anatolian steppe 40.41 36.37 32.14 -0.21 -0.21 42.53 38.28 30.99 -0.36 -0.36 54.57 49.11 34.29 -0.74 -0.74 46.96 42.26 46.96 0.23 0.23 37.77 33.99 37.77 0.19 0.19 East Anatolian steppe 47.99 43.19 47.99 0.24 0.24 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 41.30 37.17 41.30 0.21 0.21 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 49.66 44.69 49.66 0.25 0.25 Central Anatolian steppe 40.41 36.37 40.41 0.20 0.20 42.53 38.28 42.53 0.21 0.21 54.57 49.11 54.57 0.27 0.27 WL-CLannual Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest WL-CLperennial Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 331 331 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of settlements (SL) converted to annual and perennial cropland; C stock Ecozones C stock Settlements SOC ref (tC/ha) Cropland (annual) (tC/ha) CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) SL-CLannual Mediterranean Mountain zone 20.14 46.96 40.22 1.00 1.00 20.14 37.77 29.62 0.47 0.47 20.14 47.99 38.90 0.94 0.94 20.14 41.30 30.44 0.51 0.51 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 20.14 49.66 38.68 0.93 0.93 Central Anatolian steppe 20.14 40.41 32.14 0.60 0.60 20.14 42.53 30.99 0.54 0.54 20.14 54.57 34.29 0.71 0.71 20.14 46.96 46.96 1.34 1.34 20.14 37.77 37.77 0.88 0.88 20.14 47.99 47.99 1.39 1.39 20.14 41.30 41.30 1.06 1.06 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 20.14 49.66 49.66 1.48 1.48 Central Anatolian steppe 20.14 40.41 40.41 1.01 1.01 20.14 42.53 42.53 1.12 1.12 20.14 54.57 54.57 1.72 1.72 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest SL-CLperennial Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest 332 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 332 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry In case of otherland (OL) converted to annual and perennial cropland; C stock Ecozones C stock Otherland SOC ref (tC/ha) Cropland (annual) (tC/ha) CSC Y1 NAI Y2 (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) OL-CLannual Mediterranean Mountain zone 12.78 46.96 40.22 1.37 1.37 12.78 37.77 29.62 0.84 0.84 East Anatolian steppe 12.78 47.99 38.90 1.31 1.31 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 12.78 41.30 30.44 0.88 0.88 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 12.78 49.66 38.68 1.30 1.30 Central Anatolian steppe 12.78 40.41 32.14 0.97 0.97 12.78 42.53 30.99 0.91 0.91 12.78 54.57 34.29 1.08 1.08 12.78 46.96 46.96 1.71 1.71 12.78 37.77 37.77 1.25 1.25 East Anatolian steppe 12.78 47.99 47.99 1.76 1.76 East Anatolian deciduous forest zone 12.78 41.30 41.30 1.43 1.43 Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest 12.78 49.66 49.66 1.84 1.84 Central Anatolian steppe 12.78 40.41 40.41 1.38 1.38 12.78 42.53 42.53 1.49 1.49 12.78 54.57 54.57 2.09 2.09 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest OL-CLperennial Mediterranean Mountain zone Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 333 333 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.24 Uncertainty summary table for Cropland subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 7.3% 9.9% 0.0% 12.6% Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) 7.3% 15.3% 4B2 – L-CL 0% 47% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 46% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA NA 42% NA 64% Cropland Remaining Cropland 4B1 – CL-CL Net C stock change in Living Biomass (ΔCC) Land Converted to Cropland Net C stock change in Dead Organic Matter (ΔCC) Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) 334 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 334 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The QA/QC procedure has been realized in the framework of a plan developed and carried out by TurkStat the national inventory agency. The sector specific QA/QC has been realized during the LULUCF project activities mentioned above. The calculation procedures have been checked and discussed with the LULUCF experts in and out of the agencies. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Planned Improvement: The planned improvements for Cropland category are; ▪ Increase from Tier 1 to Tier 2 method in estimating the carbon stock change in living biomass in Land converted to cropland (MT) ▪ Collection, sampling and/or modelling of carbon stocks in mineral soil at a larger spatial scale (e.g. consider potential use of National Geospatial Soil Fertility and Soil Organic Carbon Information System) (MT) ▪ Data collection about management systems (land use, tillage, input) for Cropland remaining cropland, also through use of existing generalised maps of dominant crops in Türkiye (MT) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 335 335 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.4. Grassland (4.C) Source Category Description: Grasslands are all lands with non woody vegetation subject to grazing. CSC in grasslands is assumed to be not changing if management is not changed. Actually, there are grassland rehabilitation projects implemented in the country but conservatively we assumed no change in biomass. We plan to report these projects as the grassland monitoring system becomes available. Emissions from organic soils are reported assuming that all grasslands are managed. Default EFs are used in this procedure but the AD is disaggregated for climate types. Figure 6.11 The change in net emissions in Grassland category 1000 900 800 CO2 eq 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 Grasland 336 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 336 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Figure 6.12 The change in area of GL-GL 24300 24250 24200 Area kHa 24150 24100 24050 24000 23950 23900 23850 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 23800 GL -GL Figure 6.13 The change in area of L-GL 80 70 Area kHa 60 50 40 30 20 10 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 L - GL Methodological Issues: Grassland remaining grassland (GL-GL) All carbon pools in GL-GL are assumed to be not changing and thus reported as NO except emissions from organic soils. A 3.01 k ha of organic soils have been reported in GL-GL subcategory. This caused a 0.03 k t CO2 eq. of emissions every year during the reporting period. The management in these areas is not known exactly but is considered as managed to be conservative. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 337 337 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Land converted to grassland (GL-GL) Above- and below-ground biomass Table 6.25 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-GL subcategories Ecozones NAI Y1 Loss Y1 ΔCG ΔCL Forest type (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) BAFTER BBEFORE (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) CSC Y1 (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Grassland i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone Forest Deciduous Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded 1.86 0 0 41.97 -40.11 1.86 0 0 64.80 -62.94 1.86 0 0 52.35 -50.49 1.86 0 0 4.05 -2.19 0 0 5 -3.14 1.86 0 0 15 -13.14 1.86 0 0 1.86 0.00 1.86 0 0 5.03 -3.17 1.86 0 0 0 1.86 Cropland (annual) converted to Grassland Croplandannual 1.86 Cropland (perennial) converted to Grassland Croplandperennial Wetland converted to Grassland Grassland Settlements converted to Grassland Settlements Otherland converted to Grassland Other land Dead organic matter CSC converted to wetlands for forest lands are calculated based on the below coefficients and EF. The CSC for other conversions are assumed to be not occurring. 338 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 338 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.26 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-GL subcategories Ecozones Forest type CF litter CF Dead Wood CSC LT CSC DW CSC DOM (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Grassland i.e. Forest Mediterranean Deciduous Mountain zone Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded 0.37 0.50 -3.09 -0.49 -3.58 0.37 0.50 -7.51 -0.36 -7.87 0.37 0.50 -5.30 -0.42 -5.72 0.37 0.50 0.00 -0.03 -0.03 Mineral and organic soil The CSC in mineral soils have been calculated based on national stock values determined by General Directorate of Agricultural Research. The default conversion duration of 20 years has been applied. Table 6.27 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-GL subcategories Ecozone Mediterranean Mountain zone SOC ref C stock Grassland (tC/ha) Forest land Cropland Cropland (Annual) (perennial) C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) Wetland Settl. Otherl. C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) 46.96 42.26 51.53 40.22 46.96 42.26 20.14 12.78 37.77 33.99 46.08 29.62 37.77 33.99 20.14 12.78 47.99 43.19 48.41 38.90 47.99 43.19 20.14 12.78 41.30 37.17 45.14 30.44 41.30 37.17 20.14 12.78 49.66 44.69 51.90 38.68 49.66 44.69 20.14 12.78 40.41 36.37 49.92 32.14 40.41 36.37 20.14 12.78 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 339 339 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.27 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-GL subcategories (Cont'd) Aegean Inland deciduous and 42.53 38.28 50.88 30.99 42.53 38.28 20.14 12.78 54.57 49.11 55.05 34.29 54.57 49.11 20.14 12.78 coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.28 Uncertainty summary table for Grassland subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 0 0 ΔCC in Living Biomass NO NA Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NO NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) 0.00 NA 4C2 – L-GL 0% 149% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 32% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA 190% Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA 149% Grassland Remaining Grassland 4C1 – GL-GL Land Converted to Grassland 340 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 340 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The QA/QC procedure has been realized in the framework of a plan developed and carried out by TurkStat the national inventory agency. The sector specific QA/QC has been realized during the LULUCF project activities mentioned above. The calculation procedures have been checked and discussed with the LULUCF experts in and out of the agencies. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Planned Improvement: The planned improvements for Grassland category are; ▪ Re-evaluation of the estimation of emissions due to drainage of organic soil (MT) ▪ Check for the size of emission factors for the subcategory Land converted to grassland (MT) ▪ Verification of assumptions by surveying national research studies and papers (ST, MT) ▪ Data collection about management systems (land use, management, input) for Grassland remaining grassland (MT, LT) ▪ Estimation of carbon stock changes in mineral soil for Grassland remaining grassland, using a default method (applying SOCREF and stock change factors) (MT) ▪ Modelling of carbon stocks in mineral soil at a larger spatial scale (e.g. considering potential use of National Geospatial Soil Fertility and Soil Organic Carbon Information System) (MT, LT) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 341 341 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.5. Wetlands (4.D) Source Category Description: Emissions/removals from wetlands remaining wetlands are currently assumed to be not occurring. Two subcategories are currently included under the wetlands remaining wetlands in the CRF table 4.D of Türkiye, namely peat extraction remaining peat extraction and flooded land remaining flooded land. All carbon pools in WL-WL, except peat extraction, are assumed to be unchanged, and thus reported as NO. Information is given in Tables 29 and 30. Because OL-WL emissions are calculated at a negligible level, they are reported with the notation key “NE” in accordance with paragraph 37(b) of the UNFCCC Annex I inventory reporting guide. Since the biomass and soil organic carbon emission coefficients we used in Grassland areas were the same as the biomass and soil organic carbon emission coefficients we used for wetlands areas, it was assumed that there was no gain or loss. Therefore, it is reported as NO. With the biomass and soil organic carbon emission coefficients we used for wetlands areas, it is considered that the gain is relatively low for cropland areas. It is entered as NE in the CRF because it is assumed that the loss is not significant in CL-WL transformations. 342 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 342 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Figure 6.14 The emissions/removals from wetlands category 800 700 kt CO2 eq 600 500 400 300 200 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 Wetlands As seen from the figure above the emissions in L-WL were around 100 kt CO2 eq. and stable. In 2013 the emissions peaked and then dropped in 2015 and even turned to be a slight removal. In 2016 and 2017 the emissions rise again. The driver of the fluctuations in emissions was caused by emissions from living biomass pools due to land conversions. The emission declined again in 2018-2019-2020. Estimation of emissions and removals from wetlands follows the 2006 IPCC guidelines (Volume 4, Ch. 7) and 2013 Wetlands Supplement. Wetlands include any land that is covered or saturated by water for all or part of the year, and that does not fall into the Forest Land, Cropland, or Grassland categories (IPCC 2006). In wetlands category emissions are estimated only for managed wetlands due to human activity, such as drainage, rewetting, dam construction etc. Information on Land Classification and Activity Data The wetland managed until 2015 has steadily increased, mostly resulting in emissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 343 343 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Figure 6.15 a The change in area of managed wetlands 1900 1850 Area kHa 1800 1750 1700 1650 1600 1550 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1500 Wetlands Figure 6.15 b The change in area of unmanaged wetlands 1352 1350 1348 Area kHa 1346 1344 1342 1340 1338 1336 1334 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1332 Wetlands Land-use definitions and the classification systems All human made reservoirs are included in the managed wetlands category while natural water bodies are in the unmanaged wetlands subcategory. 344 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 344 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Methodological Issues: Wetland remaining wetland (WL-WL) All carbon pools in WL-WL except peat extraction are assumed to be not changing and thus reported as NO. The activity data used in peat extraction is based on permitted area for extraction by the ministry and depth. We assumed that all permitted area has been subject to production. The on and off site emissions have been estimated at Tier 1 level with default EFs (IPCC Vol. Chapter 7. Table 7.4, 7.5, Temperate zone, nutrient poor). Reference to 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 7: 7.2 / 7.3 /7.4 /7.5 Land converted to wetland (L-WL) Above- and below-ground biomass Table 6.29 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-WL subcategories Ecozones Forest type NAI Y1 Loss Y1 ΔCG ΔCL (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) 1.86 0 0 41.97 -40.11 1.86 0 0 64.80 -62.94 1.86 0 0 52.35 -50.49 1.86 0 0 4.05 -2.19 0 0 5 -3.14 1.86 0 0 15 -13.14 0.00 0 1.86 1.86 0.00 1.86 0 0 5.03 -3.17 1.86 0 0 0 1.86 BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Wetland i.e. Mediterranean Forest Mountain zone Deciduous Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded Cropland (annual) converted to Wetland Croplandannual 1.86 Cropland (perennial) converted to Wetland Grassland converted to Wetland Settlements converted to Wetland Otherland converted to Wetland Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 345 345 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Dead organic matter CSC converted to wetlands for forest lands are calculated based on the below coefficients and EF. The CSC for other conversions are assumed to be not occurring. It is assumed that there is no DOM in nonForestland. Table 6.30 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-WL subcategories Ecozones Forest type CF Dead CSC LT Wood (tC/ha/yr) 0.37 0.50 -3.09 -0.49 -3.58 0.37 0.50 -7.51 -0.36 -7.87 0.37 0.50 -5.30 -0.42 -5.72 0.37 0.50 0.00 -0.03 -0.03 CF litter CSC DW CSC DOM (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Wetland i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone Forest Deciduous Forest Coniferous Forest Mixed Forest Degraded Mineral and organic soil The CSC in mineral soils have been calculated based on national stock values determined by General Directorate of Agricultural Research. The default conversion duration of 20 years has been applied. 346 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 346 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.31 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-WL subcategories SOC Ecozone ref Mediterranean Mountain zone C stock Wetlands (tC/ha) Forest land Cropland Cropland (Annual) (perennial) C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) Grassland Settl. Otherl. C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) 46.96 42.26 51.53 40.22 46.96 42.26 20.14 12.78 37.77 33.99 46.08 29.62 37.77 33.99 20.14 12.78 47.99 43.19 48.41 38.90 47.99 43.19 20.14 12.78 41.30 37.17 45.14 30.44 41.30 37.17 20.14 12.78 49.66 44.69 51.90 38.68 49.66 44.69 20.14 12.78 40.41 36.37 49.92 32.14 40.41 36.37 20.14 12.78 42.53 38.28 50.88 30.99 42.53 38.28 20.14 12.78 54.57 49.11 55.05 34.29 54.57 49.11 20.14 12.78 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest 347 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 347 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.32 Uncertainty summary table for Wetland subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 4D1 – WL-WL 0% 0 ΔCC in Living Biomass NA NA Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA NA 4D2 – L-WL 0% 86% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 33% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA 195% Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA 183% Wetland Remaining Wetland Land Converted to Wetland 348 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 348 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The QA/QC procedure has been realized in the framework of a plan developed and carried out by TurkStat the national inventory agency. The sector specific QA/QC has been realized during the LULUCF project activities mentioned above. The calculation procedures have been checked and discussed with the LULUCF experts in and out of the agencies. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Planned Improvement: The planned improvements for Wetland category are; ▪ Use of Wetlands Supplement more effectively (ST, MT) ▪ Review all existing national and international databases related to wetlands (e.g. Ramsar Convention on Wetlands, FAOSTAT, Wetlands International, NGO data etc.) (MT) ▪ Expert judgment (e.g. by national soil scientist) about different types of managed wetlands that are likely to occur in Türkiye (ST, MT) ▪ Collection of activity data regarding specific types of managed wetlands (MT) ▪ Sampling of SOC and estimation of carbon stocks for major soil types of wetlands (MT, LT) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 349 349 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.6. Settlements (4.E) Source Category Description: The carbon stock change in settlements remaining settlements has been estimated to be not changing. Land converted to settlements caused emissions to increase until 2010 and then stabilise. The major driver of the emissions has been conversions from other land uses that resulted in loss of carbon. Figure 6.16 The change in net emissions in settlements 500 450 400 kt CO2 eq 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 Settlements Information on Land Classification and Activity Data The area of settlements is increasing constantly with the conversions mainly from cropland and grassland. 350 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 350 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Figure 6.17 The change in area of settlements 1000 950 Area kHa 900 850 800 750 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 700 SL - SL Land-use definitions and the classification systems The emission factors and coefficients for calculating GHG emissions and removals in this category are based on the results of a national research project entitled “Development of a climate change-ecosystem services software to support sustainable land planning works” funded by the Scientific and Technical Research Council of Türkiye with the Project Number 112Y096. The method we used to develop EFs for Settlements category is based on a modelling study while representativeness is weak because the study is conducted only in Istanbul. At least 2-3 similar studies are needed to have higher representativeness. The methodological level is Tier 3 in this estimation because we performed a gridded spatial analysis modelling approach. Methodological Issues: Settlements remaining settlements (SL-SL) All carbon pools in SL-SL are assumed to be not changing thus reported as NO. The CS values used in other categories have also been used in this category. The forest land living biomass C stocks have been taken from ENVANIS, croplands from both IPCC 2006 and neighbouring countries, grasslands from Serengil et al. (2015). Thus below EFs have been used. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 351 351 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The CS of settlements has been calculated based on the above values in the context of the TUBITAK 112Y096 project. The following methodology has been applied;  The study area (740 km2) has been divided into 500*500 meter grids,  The land uses in each grid have been determined from SPOT6 2013 satellite image with a 1.5*1.5 meter resolution using supervised classification,  The accuracy check has been performed with 1000 plots with over 90 percent accuracy,  The land use in each grid has been multiplied by carbon stocks given in Table 6.20.  The impervious areas in each grid have been grouped under 5 classes that are >20 percent, >40 percent, >60 percent, and >80 percent. The project area has been classified into 4 settlement intensity classes in this way (Table 6.33). Table 6.33 Total carbon stocks calculated for various settlements intensity classes (Serengil et al., 2015) Settlement class Settlement intensity (SC) (% imperviousness) Sample size (t C /ha) σ(t C /ha) (#) 1 >20 85.27 74.19 1 145 2 >40 51.87 41.85 697 3 >60 32.04 25.32 438 4 >80 17.26 13.73 258 The weighted average for settlement land cover has been calculated as 25.17 t C/ha in total 20.14 Mg C/ha in biomass, and 5.03 Mg C/ha in soil pools. The settlement intensity and CS in the study are of the TUBITAK 112Y096 is given in Figure 6.18 and Figure 6.19 352 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 352 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Figure 6.18 Impervious areas in the study area (Alibeyköy, Sazlıdere and Kağıthane watersheds in Istanbul) Figure 6.19 Carbon intensity in the study area (Alibeyköy, Sazlıdere and Kağıthane watersheds in Istanbul) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 353 353 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Land converted to settlements (L-SL) Above- and below-ground biomass Table 6.34 Coefficients and living biomass CS values for L-SL subcategories Ecozones NAI Y1 Loss Y1 ΔCG ΔCL (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) Forest Deciduous 5.03 0 0 41.97 -36.94 Forest Coniferous 5.03 0 0 64.80 -59.77 Forest Mixed 5.03 0 0 52.35 -47.32 Forest Degraded 5.03 0 0 4.05 0.98 0 0 5 0.03 5.03 0 0 15 -9.97 5.03 0 0 1.86 3.17 5.03 0 0 1.86 3.17 5.03 0 0 0 5.03 Forest type BAFTER BBEFORE CSC Y1 (tC/yr/ha) (tC/yr/ha) (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Settlements i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone Cropland (annual) converted to Settlements Croplandannual 5.03 Cropland (perennial) converted to Settlements Grassland converted to Settlements Wetlands converted to Settlements Otherland converted to Settlements Dead organic matter CSC converted to settlements from forest lands are calculated based on the below coefficients and EF. The CSC for other conversions are assumed to be not occurring. It is assumed that there is no DOM in non-Forestland. 354 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 354 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.35 Coefficients and DOM CS values for L-SL subcategories Ecozones Forest type CF litter CF Dead Wood CSC LT CSC DW CSC DOM (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) (tC/ha/yr) Forest land converted to Wetland i.e. Mediterranean Mountain zone Forest Deciduous 0.37 0.50 -3.09 -0.49 -3.58 Forest Coniferous 0.37 0.50 -7.51 -0.36 -7.87 Forest Mixed 0.37 0.50 -5.30 -0.42 -5.72 Forest Degraded 0.37 0.50 0.00 -0.03 -0.03 Mineral and organic soil The CSC in mineral soils have been calculated based on national stock values determined by General Directorate of Agricultural Research. The default conversion duration of 20 years has been applied. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 355 355 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.36 Coefficients and soil CS values for L-SL subcategories Ecozone Mediterranean Mountain zone SOC ref C stock Settl. (tC/ha) Forest Cropland Cropland land (Annual) (perennial) C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) Grassland Wetland Otherl. C stock C stock C stock (tC/ha) (tC/ha) (tC/ha) 46.96 20.14 51.53 40.22 46.96 42.26 42.26 12.78 37.77 20.14 46.08 29.62 37.77 33.99 33.99 12.78 47.99 20.14 48.41 38.90 47.99 43.19 43.19 12.78 41.30 20.14 45.14 30.44 41.30 37.17 37.17 12.78 49.66 20.14 51.90 38.68 49.66 44.69 44.69 12.78 40.41 20.14 49.92 32.14 40.41 36.37 36.37 12.78 42.53 20.14 50.88 30.99 42.53 38.28 38.28 12.78 54.57 20.14 55.05 34.29 54.57 49.11 49.11 12.78 Mediterranean coastal zone deciduous and coniferous forest East Anatolian steppe East Anatolian deciduous forest zone Euxine-Colchic deciduous forest Central Anatolian steppe Aegean Inland deciduous and coniferous forest North Anatolian deciduous, coniferous and mixed forest Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. 356 356 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.37 Uncertainty summary table for Settlement subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 4E1 – SL-SL 0% 0 ΔCC in Living Biomass NA NA Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA NA 4E2 – L-SL 0% 26% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 24% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA 97% Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA 27% Settlement Remaining Settlement Land Converted to Settlement Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: The QA/QC procedure has been realized in the framework of a plan developed and carried out by TurkStat the national inventory agency. The sector specific QA/QC has been realized during the LULUCF project activities mentioned above. The calculation procedures have been checked and discussed with the LULUCF experts in and out of the agencies. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Planned Improvement: The planned improvements for Settlement category are; ▪ Update carbon stock changes for all relevant carbon pools for each land use conversion to settlements (MT, LT) ▪ Extend the study mentioned in the methodology section to other settlement areas and thus update the CS values (MT, LT) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 357 357 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.7. Other land (4.F) Source Category Description: Other land category is a net emission due to land converted to other land. However, the amount of land converted to Other land is quite low. It is assumed that other land may have organic carbon in soils but not in living biomass. Methodological Issues: The same conversion principles apply to Other land category. The coefficients and EFs use are as follows; Table 6.38 The coefficients and EF used in Other land category EF Living Biomass DOM Soil Other land 0 0 12.78 The C stocks for living biomass and DOM are assumed to be zero while mineral soil carbon stock is 12.78 based on calculations of General Directorate of Agricultural Research. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. 358 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 358 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.39 Uncertainty summary table for Otherland subcategories BY (1990) LRY (2021) 4F1 – OL-OL 0% 0 ΔCC in Living Biomass NA NA Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA NA Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA NA 4F2 – L-OL 0% 18% ΔCC in Living Biomass NA 31% Annual Loss Living Biomass (ΔCL) NA NA Annual Gain Living Biomass (ΔCG) NA NA Net C stock change in DOM (ΔCC) NA 139% Net C stock change in SOM (ΔCC) NA 19% Other land Remaining Other land Land Converted to Other land 6.8. Direct N2O emissions from N inputs to managed soils (4(I)) Source Category Description: Emissions and removals from this category as not been calculated since the activity data for N inputs can not be differentiated for the sectors and land uses. Methodological Issues: The NO notation key has been used for wetlands and other land. The IE notation key has been used for forest land and settlements since we presume that N inputs are common in urban areas and some specific forestry applications (i.e. nurseries) but are included in the amount used for croplands. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 359 359 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.40 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (I) category 360 Summary BY (1990) LRY(2021) Table 4(I) 0% 0% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 360 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 6.9. Emissions and removals from drainage and rewetting and other management of organic and mineral soils (4(II)) Source Category Description: There is no reliable data for drainage/rewetting and other management of organic and mineral soils. The category has been reported as NO. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.41 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (II) category Summary BY (1990) LRY (2021) Table 4(II) 0% 0% Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 361 361 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.10. N2O emissions from N mineralization/immobilization associated with loss/gain of soil organic matter resulting from change of land use or management of mineral soils (4(III)) Source Category Description: N2O emissions from N mineralization/immobilization associated with loss/gain of soil organic matter resulting from change of land use or management of mineral soils have been estimated and reported, according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, under this category. N2O emissions from land use conversions are derived from mineralization of soil organic matter resulting from the conversions that result in C losses. Because N2O emissions from mineralization from other lands in CRF table 4(III) are calculated to be negligible, they are shown with the notation key “NE” in accordance with paragraph 37(b) of the UNFCCC Annex I inventory reporting guide. Methodological Issues: Equation 11.8 in IPCC (2006) has been used to calculate the mineralised N resulting from loss of soil organic C stocks in mineral soils through Land-use Change or Management Practices. The emissions due to loss of soil organic C were calculated and reported for all conversions. Gains have not been calculated since IPCC 2006 Guidelines suggest Tier 3 methods in order to calculate gains. A default value of 15 as the C:N ratio of the soil organic matter has been used for conversions involving land-use change from forest or grassland to cropland. A default value of 10 has been used for conversions or management changes on cropland remaining cropland. The parameters used in calculations are; Table 6.42 EFs used for N2O emissions Parameter (for 1 tC lost) C/N=15 (all) C/N=10 (CL) 15 10 EF1 (kgN2O-N/kg N ) 0.01 0.01 Factor (N2O-N) to (N2O) 1.57 1.57 0.001047619 0.001571429 C/N ratio Aggregated factor (t N2O) 362 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 362 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 5 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.43 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (III) category Summary BY (1990) LRY (2021) Table 4(I) 0% 75% Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 363 363 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.11. Indirect N2O emissions from managed soils (4(IV)) Source Category Description: The estimation of indirect N2O emissions follows the 2006 IPCC guidelines (Volume 4, Ch. 11). The indirect N2O emissions from N leaching and runoff from managed soils are estimated based on annual amount of N mineralised in mineral soils associated with loss of soil organic matter due to land-use change (i.e. from direct N2O emissions). Default emission factors have been used accordingly. Reference to 2006 IPCC equation: Vol. 4., Ch. 11: 11.10 Methodological Issues: The atmospheric deposition as indirect N2O Emissions from Managed Soils has been reported as IE in this category as sources of N can not be differentiated from Croplands and Grasslands thus reported under 3D(b). However, Nitrogen Leaching and Runoff has been estimated by using the default EFs of IPCC 2006. 364 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 364 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.44 EFs used for N2O emissions Parameter Values Volatilization fraction: Frac GASF 0.2 ((kg NH3–N + NOx–N) (kg Napplied) –1) EF4(kg N2O–N (kg NH3–N + NOX–Nvolatilised)-1) 0.01 FracLEACH-(H) [N losses by leaching/runoff for regions 0.3 EF5 [leaching/runoff], kg N2O–N (kg N leaching/runoff) 0.0075 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.45 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (IV) category Summary BY (1990) LRY (2021) Table 4(I) 0% 387% Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 365 365 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.12. Biomass Burning (4(V)) Estimated effect of mega forest fires in Türkiye in 2021 was 10 460 kton CO2 eq. emission for Forest Land category from 134.8 kha burned forest area. Source Category Description: Several types of country-specific data have been collected to estimate emissions from biomass burning. The most important input variable is activity data (i.e. area burnt) that is collected each year. The second important variable to be collected is above-ground biomass of lands that were affected by wildfires. In addition, Türkiye also collects country-specific data on types of wildfires, carbon pools affected and the fraction of biomass lost in wildfires. Methodological Issues: To calculate emissions from wildfires; ▪ Average above-ground biomass of those forest types (coniferous, deciduous, mixed and OFL) that were affected by wildfires were calculated on an annual basis. ▪ Average fraction of biomass lost in wildfires was estimated. Emission estimation due to biomass burning follows the 2006 IPCC guidelines (Volume 4, Ch. 2 and Ch. 4). Currently, CO2 emissions from biomass burning are estimated as part of annual carbon loss in biomass (i.e. Ldisturbance). A generic approach for estimating the amount of carbon lost from disturbances is applied, based on area affected by disturbance (i.e. area burnt), average above-ground biomass on area burnt and average fraction of biomass lost in wildfires. Non-CO2 emissions from biomass burning have also been estimated by applying a generic methodology for each greenhouse gas through use of default emission factors (i.e. for CO, CH4, N2O, NOx and NMVOC). Field burning of agricultural residues is estimated under the Agriculture sector (CRF table 3.F). Controlled burning is not a practice used in Türkiye. Thus reported as NO. Wildfires in wetlands are reported as NO. Most of the wildfires in the GL areas are caused by forest fires and they are reported as NA because the activity data cannot be reached clearly. Reference to the 2006 IPCC equations: Vol. 4., Ch. 2: 2.14 / 2.27 366 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 366 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry The EFs and coefficients used are as follows; Table 6.46 EFs used for Biomass burning emissions Parameters Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 2019 2020 2021 ABG Dec (tDM/ha) 98.50 102.49 107.61 127.34 128.00 112.87 106.88 96.84 95.05 79.93 ABG Con (tDM/ha) 71.09 73.98 77.67 83.75 86.12 85.79 87.88 90.34 85.80 72.23 ABG Mixed (tDM/ha) 84.80 88.23 92.64 105.55 107.06 99.33 97.38 93.59 90.42 76.08 ABG Degraded (tDM/ha) 5.78 6.02 6.32 6.52 5.57 4.64 4.19 5.78 5.94 4.39 R For Dec 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 R For Con 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 R For Mix 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 R For Deg 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 LB total Dec (tDM/ha) 127.07 132.22 138.82 164.27 165.12 145.60 137.88 124.92 122.61 103.11 LB total Con (tDM/ha) 87.45 90.99 95.53 103.01 105.93 105.53 108.09 111.12 105.54 88.85 LB total Mixed (tDM/ha) 106.84 111.18 116.73 132.99 134.90 125.16 122.70 117.92 113.94 95.87 LB total Degraded (tDM/ha) 8.27 8.60 9.03 9.32 7.96 6.64 5.99 8.26 8.50 6.29 LT Dec (tDM/ha) 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 8.35 LT Con (tDM/ha) 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 20.30 LT Mix (tDM/ha) 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 LT Deg (tDM/ha) 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 27.00 28.00 29.00 30.00 DW Dec (tDM/ha) 0.99 1.02 1.08 1.27 1.28 1.13 1.07 0.97 0.95 0.80 DW Con (tDM/ha) 0.71 0.74 0.78 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.86 0.72 DW Mix (tDM/ha) 0.85 0.88 0.93 1.06 1.07 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.90 0.76 DW Deg (tDM/ha) 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 Burned share Dec 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Burned share Con 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 367 367 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Table 6.46 EFs used for Biomass burning emissions (Cont'd) Parameters 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 2019 2020 2021 Burned share Mix 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Burned share Deg 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 105.00 109.35 115.03 129.25 132.07 125.52 125.41 124.27 118.97 100.35 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 46.20 48.11 50.61 56.87 58.11 55.23 55.18 54.68 52.35 44.15 11.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 7.96 7.96 7.96 7.96 7.96 Total stock available for burning (tDM/ha) Cf (combustion factor, Extra tropical forest) FLremFL Amount burnt (tDM/ha) convFL Amount burnt (tDM/ha) Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The time series consistency has been ensured via the new land tracking system as explained in section 6.3. The same methodology to estimate uncertainty has been employed as 6.4.5 and the below summary table has been produced. Table 6.47 Uncertainty summary table for 4 (V) category Summary BY (1990) LRY (2021) Table 4(I) 54% 54% Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this submission in this category. 368 368 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry 6.13. Harvested Wood Products (4.G) Source Category Description: Carbon stock changes of the HWP category calculations have been revised and recalculated in this submission. The previous computation was done in the context of a study by Bouyer and Serengil (2014). The revision involved below changes; ▪ The approach has been reviewed by international experts and modified based on their suggestions, ▪ Paper has been added as the third product since 2019 submission (for 1990-2017), ▪ A KP analogical approach has been employed. Export and import amounts have been taken into account, Figure 6.20 Emissions and removals in HWP pool 2000 Emissions/removals from HWP (Gg CO2) 0 -2000 -4000 -6000 -8000 -10000 -12000 -14000 -16000 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 -18000 WP_domestic (Gg CO2) SW_domestic (Gg CO2) PP_domestic (Gg CO2) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 HWP 369 369 5 Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry Methodological Issues: The following methodology has been applied in calculations; The activity data on various forest products (sawnwood, wood panels and paper) variables for HWP has been downloaded from the FAO database: http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/FO. It is assumed that paperboard is part of the paper category. The data on production of industrial roundwood (production, import, export) and production of wood pulp (production, import, export) have been obtained from the FAO database and annual fraction (i.e. share) of domestic harvest calculated accordingly. Approach B has been used for HWP calculations. General method to estimate annual change in carbon stock in “products in use” based on first order decay function and half-life is used. Domestic consumption is computed from production data (domestic harvest) plus imports minus exports. The annual fraction of the feedstock coming from domestic harvest for the HWP categories sawnwood and wood-based panels has been estimated. Also, the annual fraction of domestically produced wood pulp as feedstock originating from domestic harvest for the production of the HWP category paper and paperboard (IPCC 2014) is estimated. Annual carbon stock inflow from domestic wood production for each category was extrapolated backward by applying equation 12.6 to get figures for period before 1961 because FAO statistics start from 1961 (annual rate of increase for industrial roundwood production can be used from table 12.3; for Europe the U value = 0.0151). Country specific wood density values have been used. Reference to 2014 IPCC equations: Ch. 2: 2.8.1 / 2.8.2 Reference to 2014 IPCC table: Ch. 2: 2.8.1 Reference to 2006 IPCC equation: Vol. 4., Ch. 12: 12.6 Default half-lives from Table 2.8.2 were used for each HWP category in the FOD constant (k) and the estimation from the year 1900 to present has been performed. Annual CSC in the HWP pool was calculated as difference between subsequent years for the whole reporting period, i.e. base year to present (ΔCi = Ci – Ci-1). Reference to 2006 IPCC equation: Vol. 4., Ch. 12: 12.1 Reference to 2014 IPCC table: Ch. 2: 2.8.2 Recalculation: There is no recalculation on Harvested Wood Products category for this submission. 370 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 370 6 Waste 7. WASTE (CRF Sector 5) 7.1. Sector Overview The waste sector includes CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal, CH4 and N2O emissions from biological treatment of solid waste, CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions from open burning of waste and, CH4 and N2O emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge. Emissions from waste incineration are included in the inventory but reported in the energy sector since the purpose of waste incineration is energy recovery. Total waste emissions for the year 2021 are 14.7 Mt CO2 eq., or 2.6% of total GHG emissions (without LULUCF). Within the sector, 63.5% of the emissions were from solid waste disposal, followed by 36.3% from wastewater treatment and discharge, 0.17% from biological treatment of solid waste and 0.05% from open burning of waste. The major GHG emissions from the waste sector are CH4 emissions, which represent 83.9% of total emissions from this sector in 2021, followed by N2O emissions with 16.1% and a very small percent of CO2 as 0.02%. Table 7.1 CO2 equivalent emissions for the waste sector, 2021 (kt CO2 eq.) GHG source and sink categories CO2 CH4 N2O Total 5. Waste 3.6 12 327.0 2 367.3 14 698.0 A. Solid waste disposal NA 9 337.6 NA 9 337.6 B. Biological treatment of solid waste NA 14.5 10.3 24.8 C. Incineration and open burning of waste 3.6 3.1 0.6 7.3 D. Wastewater treatment and discharge NA 2 971.8 2 356.4 5 328.2 E. Other NO NO NO NO Waste emissions are 32.6% (3.6 Mt CO2 eq.) higher in 2021 than they were in 1990 and 9.9% (1.6 Mt CO2 eq.) lower than in 2020 as seen in Figure 7.1. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 371 371 6 Waste Figure 7.1 Total GHG emissions of waste sector, 1990-2021 20 18 (Mt CO2 eq.) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 2 Total emissions in the waste sector gradually increased between 1990 (11 081 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (14 698 kt CO2 eq.) driven largely by the steady rise in emissions from solid waste disposal between 1990 and 2011 followed by a decrease in emissions since from solid waste disposal after 2011. Emissions from solid waste disposal increased by 91.6% (6 162 kt CO2 eq.) between 1990 and 2011, before decreasing by 27.6% between 2011 and 2021 (3 554 kt CO2 eq.). Methane recovery in solid waste disposal sites is reported as of 2002 (37 kt CO2 eq.) and increasing to 9 946 kt CO2 eq. in 2021. The decline in recent total emissions is mainly due to the increase in methane recovery between 2011 (985 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021, an increase of 910%. For the full discussion of trends for individual categories, see the category-specific discussions below. Methodological tiers and EFs used to estimate emissions from waste sector are summarized by categories in Table 7.2. Table 7.2 Summary of methods and emission factors used GHG source and sink categories CO2 CH4 N2O Method Emission applied factor Method Emission applied factor Method Emission applied factor 5. Waste T2 CS,D T1,T2 CS,D T1 D A. Solid waste disposal NA NA T2 CS,D NA NA B. Biological treatment of solid waste NA NA T1 D T1 D C. Incineration and open burning of waste T2 CS,D T1 D T1 D D. Wastewater treatment and discharge NA NA T2 CS T1 D D: IPCC Default, CS: Country Specific, NA: Not Applicable, T1: Tier 1, T2: Tier 2 372 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 372 Waste 6 7.2. Solid Waste Disposal (Category 5.A) Source Category Description: This category includes emissions from solid waste disposal sites (SWDS). The category consists of two waste disposal practices in Türkiye:  Managed waste disposal sites,  Unmanaged waste disposal sites. There are no semi-aerobic managed waste disposal sites (5.A.1.b) in Türkiye and all managed waste disposal sites are categorized under anaerobic managed waste disposal sites (5.A.1.a). Unmanaged waste disposal sites (5.A.2) cannot be classified into deep and shallow due to lack of knowledge. The category covers CH4 emissions from two types of waste in municipal SWDS in Türkiye:  Municipal solid waste (MSW),  Industrial waste,  Sewage sludge, and  Clinical waste. According to the clinical waste management practices and regulations in Türkiye, clinical waste which is collected separately from health institutions is disposed of in SWDS or incinerated. Almost all of the clinical waste is sterilized prior to disposal in SWDS. Hazardous wastes are disposed in separated lots in SWDS. Hazardous wastes are not taken into account in this source category because these types of wastes are not producing methane. Industrial waste including hazardous and clinical waste is usually incinerated and considered in the category of Public Electricity and Heat Production (1.A.1.a). The total amount of waste disposed in the SWDS has increased through the years mainly due to population growth (Table 7.7). The number of managed SWDS has also increased over the years (Table 7.4) and the share of managed SWDS as a fraction of total SWDS surpassed unmanaged SWDS as of from 2012 onwards, particularly due to improved landfill management practices, including landfill gas recovery. Since 2004, Türkiye has carried out many actions related to waste management and regulatory policies. The first legal regulation in this field in Türkiye was the Solid Waste Control Regulation (14.03.1991) which provided for and guided practices in the collection and removal of domestic and industrial waste. Revisions of the regulation to harmonize it with the EU Landfill policy were carried out in 2010 (26.03.2010). Waste Management Action Plan covering 2008-2012 was prepared by the former Ministry of Environment and Forestry (MoEF), using the outcomes of the EU funded Environmental Heavy Cost Investment Planning (EHCIP) Project, solid waste master plan projects and the EU Integrated Environmental Adaptation Strategy (NES) (2007-2023). The former Ministry of Environment and Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 373 373 6 Waste Urbanization (MoEU) published the National Waste Management and Action Plan (2016-2023) in December 2017, in order to set goals for local authorities in all 81 provinces towards an integrated waste management system, which will require more recovering, recycling and energy production from waste and accordingly limit the number of landfills needed as it is aimed at in circular economies. All these waste management policies and actions in Türkiye have reduced the share of GHG emissions from the waste sector. Methodological Issues: Methane Emissions from Solid Waste Disposal CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal is a key category according to both a level and a trend assessment. СН4 emissions of MSW, industrial waste, sewage sludge and clinical waste emissions are estimated from municipal SWDS in Türkiye. The IPCC T2 First Order Decay (FOD) method recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories is used with default parameters and countryspecific AD on current and historical waste disposal at SWDS to estimate CH4 emissions. Closed SWDS continue to emit CH4. This is automatically accounted for in the FOD method because historical waste disposal data are used. The CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal for a single year can be estimated based on Equation 3.1 in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 3 as given in the equation below. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �� 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔�,� − 𝑅𝑅� � ⦁(1 − 𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂� ) � Where: CH4 Emissions = CH4 emitted in year T, Gg T = inventory year x = waste category or type/material RT = recovered CH4 in year T, Gg OXT = oxidation factor in year T, (fraction) The CH4 generated by each category of waste disposed is added to get total CH4 generated in each year. Finally, emissions of CH4 are calculated by subtracting the CH4 gas recovered from the disposal site. The total amount of CH4 generated, CH4 recovered and net CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites are estimated as given in Table 7.3 and Figure 7.2. 374 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 374 6 Waste Table 7.3 CH4 generated, recovered and emitted from SWDS, 1990-2021 Year CH4 Recovered CH4 Generated 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 (kt) CH4 Emitted Managed Unmanaged Managed Unmanaged NO NO NO 1.7 36.3 39.4 68.6 109.5 128.4 127.6 169.7 214.3 236.8 282.6 305.8 396.2 NO NO NO NO NO NO NO 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.0 7.9 6.5 7.0 2.2 1.6 NO 5.6 45.9 105.5 143.2 160.4 153.7 136.6 142.8 168.3 153.8 139.6 146.5 131.5 136.9 73.6 269.2 299.5 337.3 357.0 359.4 355.3 352.7 344.0 338.3 334.0 330.0 321.4 317.7 309.9 307.6 299.9 269.2 305.1 383.3 464.1 538.8 555.0 574.9 594.5 613.5 633.9 656.6 683.1 707.5 731.0 752.4 771.4 Figure 7.2 CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal, 1990-2021 800 (kt) 700 600 500 400 300 200 CH₄ generated CH₄ recovered 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 100 CH₄ emitted (net emissions) Net methane emissions tend to decrease with the increase in methane recovery amount due to the increase in the capacity and number of methane recovery facilities producing electricity/heat energy from landfill gas in Türkiye. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 375 375 6 Waste Choice of Activity Data For calculating CH4 generated; municipal solid waste AD, industrial waste AD, sewage sludge AD and clinical waste AD are needed. As is described in more detail below, for MSW, industrial waste, sewage sludge and clinical waste, national data are used where possible, depending on availability of all ADs. If national data are not available for a specific inventory year, population data and waste per capita data are used to estimate national data on MSW generation. By the same logic, GDP data and waste generation rate data are used as drivers for estimating industrial waste generation and some missing data imputation methods were implied for sludge and clinical waste data when any year’s data is missing. The percentage of waste generated which goes to SWDS (% to SWDS) and composition of waste going to SWDS are also used for the calculations. The distribution of site types is used for calculating a weighted average methane correction factor (MCF). The other parameters needed for the FOD model are; degradable organic carbon (DOC), fraction of DOC which decomposes (DOCF), methane generation rate constant (k), fraction of methane (F) and oxidation factor (OX). The justification for the selection of parameters by Türkiye is further described below. Municipal Solid Waste Activity Data The annual data of MSW disposed in the municipal SWDS (the amount of MSW both in managed and unmanaged landfills) are collected by TurkStat from Municipal Waste Statistics Survey which is applied to all municipalities. However, the survey could not be conducted on a regular basis before 2006, and since 2006 has started to be held biennially. The data for years 1994-1998, 2001-2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020 are available. For 2021, the survey data is not available. The specific data collected by TurkStat are the amount of MSW is weighed, generally based on waste delivery vehicle capacity. 2005 data of MSW disposed in managed SWDS is gathered via Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Statistics Survey by TurkStat. In Türkiye, managed SWDS are in operation since 1992 (See Table 7.4). In 1992 and 1993, there was only one managed SWDS according to the results of Municipal Waste Statistics Survey. Therefore, the waste disposal amounts of that site for those years are used for emission estimations (see Table 7.6). Missing data for the years not surveyed for total MSW delivered to SWDS are estimated by regression model. For distribution of MSW to managed and unmanaged landfills between 1990 and 2020, the missing data for the remaining years are estimated by linear interpolation. 2021 data of MSW disposed in managed SWDS is estimated by trend extrapolation. 376 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 376 6 Waste Data are generally available from the statistical surveys described above (noting the need to resolving data gaps for intervening years when survey data were not available). Data on MSW generation were not available prior to 1994. Recognizing that, in accordance with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, data on MSW generation are needed for at least the last 50 years, Türkiye has made assumptions to collect the full time series of data. As described further below, between 1950 and 1993, the amount of waste generated is estimated based on the waste per capita ratio in 1994 and mid-year population data for each year. The total number of managed SWDS has increased by years as shown in Table 7.4 below. Table 7.4 Number of managed SWDS, 1992-2020 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002 1 1 2 6 6 8 8 10 12 12 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 15 16 18 22 37 52 80 113 134 159 174 Source: (1) TurkStat, Municipal Waste Statistics, 1992-2010 (2) TurkStat, Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Statistics, 2012-2020 Amount of municipal waste by disposal methods are given in Table 7.5. Table 7.5 Amount of municipal waste by disposal methods, 1994-2020 Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Municipality's dumping site 14 479.2 17 174.9 17 519.5 16 805.1 16 852.8 14 569.8 16 310.0 16 566.5 16 415.8 14 941.2 12 677.1 11 001.2 9 771.0 9 935.6 9 094.9 6 520.7 5 492.8 Controlled landfill site 809.0 1 444.0 2 847.0 4 363.8 5 257.9 8 304.2 7 047.0 7 431.8 7 001.5 9 428.3 10 947.4 13 746.9 15 484.2 17 807.4 19 337.9 21 643.8 22 443.5 Composting plant 192.1 158.9 178.8 180.4 166.3 218.1 383.1 325.9 350.7 254.9 275.7 194.5 154.7 126.5 146.5 122.9 117.5 Burning in an open area 442.1 405.0 437.9 625.1 386.1 343.6 220.5 258.5 101.6 246.5 239.3 133.9 104.8 4.3 10.2 6.1 19.0 Lake and river disposal 557.6 370.4 370.3 384.4 374.9 100.9 196.8 228.5 154.7 69.8 47.7 44.0 33.4 15.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 Burial 523.4 828.9 823.6 1 446.9 852.4 481.7 499.9 597.0 426.5 144.5 100.5 34.3 94.3 7.3 6.7 2.0 6.9 (kt) Other (1) 753.3 527.3 303.3 365.8 1 039.1 1 115.4 715.8 709.3 562.7 194.7 73.1 122.1 202.3 113.8 41.1 65.3 98.0 Source: TurkStat, Municipal Waste Statistics (1) Data refers to disposals by using as filling material and dumping onto land. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 377 377 6 Waste The amount of waste disposed in unmanaged SWDS consists of the amount of waste disposed to municipality's dumping sites, burial and other. Annual municipal solid waste at the SWDS and distribution of waste by waste management type are given in Table 7.6. Table 7.6 Annual MSW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 Annual MSW at the SWDS (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 15 19 23 25 24 26 25 25 27 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 Managed 518.4 975.1 894.1 947.4 904.4 319.0 551.8 267.0 864.2 415.0 480.5 837.0 231.7 633.6 041.2 417.9 1 7 7 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 22 22 Distribution of waste (%) Unmanaged NO 444.0 288.8 078.2 746.9 615.5 484.2 645.8 807.4 572.7 337.9 490.9 643.8 043.7 443.5 843.4 15 18 16 18 11 11 10 8 10 8 9 8 6 6 5 5 Managed Unmanaged 0.0 7.2 30.5 27.3 55.2 55.5 60.6 65.9 63.9 67.7 67.9 71.1 76.7 77.0 80.0 80.4 100.0 92.8 69.5 72.7 44.8 44.5 39.4 34.1 36.1 32.3 32.1 28.9 23.3 23.0 20.0 19.6 518.4 531.1 605.3 869.2 157.5 703.5 067.6 621.2 056.8 842.3 142.6 346.1 587.9 590.0 597.7 574.6 Population Data: Historical data are obtained from TurkStat's Mid-year Population Estimations and Projections from 1990 onwards as given in Table 7.7. Table 7.7 Mid-year population, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Population 55 56 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 66 67 68 120 055 986 913 837 756 671 582 464 364 269 166 003 795 599 435 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Population 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 295 158 052 039 142 224 176 148 182 218 278 313 407 579 385 147 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 Source: TurkStat, Mid-year Population Estimations and Projections 378 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 378 Waste 6 Waste Per Capita: To calculate waste per capita (kg/cap/yr), the amount of MSW generated and midyear population data are used. The amount of MSW generated for the surveyed years (1994-1998, 2001-2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) are obtained from TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics. The estimations of TurkStat are used for the years 1999, 2000, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019 and 2021. Due to lack of historical MSW generated data, the waste per capita of 1994 (398.5 kg/cap/yr) is used for 1950-1993. Waste per capita for 1990-2021 are given in Table 7.8. Table 7.8 Waste per capita, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MSW Generated (kt) 21 966.7 27 234.1 30 617.0 31 351.9 29 733.0 30 862.0 30 786.0 30 920.0 31 230.0 31 283.0 33 763.5 34 173.0 34 532.6 35 017.4 34 757.8 35 022.1 Population (millions) 55.1 59.8 64.3 68.4 73.1 74.2 75.2 76.1 77.2 78.2 79.3 80.3 81.4 82.6 83.4 84.1 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Waste per capita (kg/cap/yr) 398.5 455.8 476.4 458.1 406.5 415.8 409.5 406.1 404.6 399.9 425.9 425.5 424.2 424.0 416.8 416.2 379 379 6 Waste % to SWDS: To calculate percentage of MSW generated which goes to SWDS, the amount of MSW generated and MSW landfilled data are used. The amount of MSW landfilled for the surveyed years (1994-1998, 2001-2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) are obtained from TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics Survey. The estimations of TurkStat are used for the years 1999, 2000, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019 and 2021. Due to lack of MSW generated data, % to SWDS of 1994 (70.6%) is used for 1950-1993. % to SWDS obtained by dividing the amount of MSW landfilled by MSW generated are given for 19902021 in Table 7.9. Table 7.9 Percentage of MSW disposed in the SWDS, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 380 MSW Generated (kt) 21 966.7 27 234.1 30 617.0 31 351.9 29 733.0 30 862.0 30 786.0 30 920.0 31 230.0 31 283.0 33 763.5 34 173.0 34 532.6 35 017.4 34 757.8 35 022.1 MSW Landfilled (kt) 15 518.4 19 975.1 23 894.1 25 947.4 24 904.4 26 319.0 25 551.8 25 267.0 27 864.2 27 415.0 28 480.5 28 837.0 28 231.7 28 633.6 28 041.2 28 417.9 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 % to SWDS (%) 70.6 73.3 78.0 82.8 83.8 85.3 83.0 81.7 89.2 87.6 84.4 84.4 81.8 81.8 80.7 81.1 380 Waste 6 Waste Composition Data: The waste composition data was previously only available for 1993, 2006 and 2014. To improve the quality of the inventory, an additional question on waste composition data was added to the TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics Survey, and the results of the survey as of 2016 were used in the calculations. For 1993, the source of the data is TurkStat, Environmental Statistics, Household Solid Waste Composition and Tendency Survey Results, 1993. The results of this survey on a national scale are also published in OECD Environmental Data, Compendium 2006-2008. The 2006 data was developed under the Solid Waste Master Plan Project of MoEF and published in Waste Management Action Plan, 2008-2012; MoEF. The source of the 2014 waste composition data is National Waste Management and Action Plan, 2016-2023; MoEU. The source of the 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020 waste composition data is TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics Survey as mentioned above. This survey is conducted biennially, but the waste composition data is compiled annually by inquiring the previous year’s data. Waste composition data for the remaining years were estimated by time series analysis methods. For missing value imputation R programming language was used. Since, it is not possible to generate missing years before 1993 with interpolation. Thus, for providing time series consistency, time series analysis methods were tried and compared with splicing techniques of IPCC guidelines. After the comprehensive study carried out for imputation of missing years, two of the time series analysis methods were found statistically better than the others. These are Linear Weighted Moving Average (LWMA) and Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA). An exponential moving average is calculated similarly to a linear weighted moving average, but uses an exponentially weighted multiplier. Both of them are calculated by adding the moving average of a certain share of the current value to the previous value. They assign more meaning to the recent values and less to the period's beginning. LWMA: Weights decrease in arithmetical progression. The observations directly next to a central value i, have weight 1/2, the observations one further away (i-2,i+2) have weight 1/3, the next(i-3,i+3) have weight 1/4, ... EWMA: uses weighting factors which decrease exponentially. The observations directly next to a central value i, have weight 1/2^1, the observations one further away (i-2,i+2) have weight 1/2^2, the next (i-3,i+3) have weight 1/2^3, ... (The R Project for Statistical Computing- “Time Series Missing Value Imputation”, Package ‘imputeTS’, Version: 2.7, June 20, 2018) As a result, LWMA method was preferred because the values of both the first years and the last years were the same in the EWMA method. Table 7.10 contains these statistically estimated data with the official waste composition data. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 381 381 6 Waste Table 7.10 Waste composition data, 1990-2021 (%) Year Food Garden Paper Wood Textile Plastics Metal Glass Other 58.29 0.95 7.90 0.00 3.81 2.81 1.00 2.76 22.48 64.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 2.00 20.00 1995 58.00 1.00 8.00 0.00 3.80 2.80 1.00 2.80 22.60 2000 48.00 2.67 11.33 0.00 3.47 2.47 1.00 4.13 26.93 36.45 5.31 14.69 0.00 2.98 2.64 1.06 5.56 31.31 34.00 5.00 16.00 0.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 6.00 33.00 2010 41.35 5.92 12.06 0.00 2.95 3.93 1.19 4.69 27.92 2011 46.34 5.98 11.44 0.00 2.10 6.23 1.52 4.51 21.88 2012 51.11 6.41 9.52 0.00 1.81 7.80 1.71 3.88 17.77 50.84 6.45 9.36 0.00 1.93 7.58 1.67 3.82 18.33 48.70 6.84 8.11 0.00 2.90 5.86 1.37 3.38 22.84 1990 1993 (1) 2005 2006 (2) 2013 2014 (3) 2015 52.37 5.67 10.47 0.00 1.09 9.17 1.95 4.34 14.94 2016 (4) 55.13 5.68 11.87 0.00 0.00 11.02 2.28 4.70 9.32 2017 (4) 53.75 3.91 11.91 0.00 0.00 11.36 2.33 5.22 11.53 2018 (4) 54.62 4.96 10.89 0.00 0.00 12.32 2.15 5.13 9.93 2019 (4) 52.71 3.44 9.77 1.24 1.86 11.09 2.09 4.92 12.86 2020 (4) 52.09 2.43 10.26 1.07 1.75 11.30 2.74 5.74 12.62 2021 (5) 52.09 2.43 10.26 1.07 1.75 11.30 2.74 5.74 12.62 (1) TurkStat, Environmental Statistics, Household Solid Waste Composition and Tendency Survey Results, 1993 (2) MoEF, Waste Management Action Plan, 2008-2012 (3) MoEU, National Waste Management and Action Plan, 2016-2023 (4) TurkStat, Municipal Waste Statistics Survey Results, 2016-2020 (5) Assumed the same as 2020 data Industrial Waste Activity Data The annual data of industrial waste disposed in the municipal SWDS are collected by TurkStat's Manufacturing Industry Establishments Water, Wastewater and Waste Statistics Survey which is applied to manufacturing industry establishments having 50 or more employees. However, the survey could not be conducted on a regular basis before 2008, and since 2008 has started to be held biennially. The data are available for the years 1994-1997, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020. The missing data for the remaining years between 1994 and 2020 were estimated by linear interpolation. 2021 data was assumed the same as in 2020. Data are available from the statistical surveys described above (noting the need to resolving data gaps for intervening years when survey data were not available). Data on industrial waste generation were not available prior to 1994. Recognizing that, in accordance with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, data on industrial waste generation are needed for at least the last 50 years, Türkiye has made assumptions to collect the full time series of data. As described further below, between 1950 and 1993, the amount of waste generated is estimated based on the waste generation rate in 1994 and GDP data for each year. 382 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 382 6 Waste The amount of degradable organic material from industrial waste disposed at SWDS is taken into account since only those industrial wastes which are expected to contain DOC and fossil carbon should be considered for the purpose of emission estimations from SWDS. Excluding the industrial waste that is already included in the Municipal Waste Statistics (to avoid double counting), Türkiye concluded that there are no separately managed industrial waste disposal practices in the SWDS. For this reason, the distribution of industrial waste by waste management type is 100% unmanaged for the whole time series. The amount of industrial waste disposed of in unmanaged SWDS consists of dumping onto land, burial and disposals to the Organized Industrial Zones. Annual industrial waste at the SWDS and distribution of waste by waste management type are given in Table 7.11. Table 7.11 Annual IW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 Annual IW at the SWDS (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 12.9 6.7 10.4 2.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.7 6.1 4.0 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.4 5.5 6.5 Managed NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO Unmanaged 12.9 6.7 10.4 2.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.7 6.1 4.0 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.4 5.5 6.5 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Distribution of waste (%) Managed 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Unmanaged 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 383 383 6 Waste GDP Data: Historical data for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by production approach are obtained from TurkStat's National Accounts from 1923 onwards. Compared to the previous submission, 2019 and 2020 GDP data have been revised by the TurkStat. GDP data in current prices used for emission estimations are given in Table 7.12. Table 7.12 GDP by production approach, 1990-2021 (million USD) Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 GDP 149 195 149 156 156 656 177 332 131 639 168 080 181 077 188 735 277 668 254 119 273 085 202 503 238 145 316 561 407 021 504 754 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP 552 367 683 020 782 865 651 543 777 461 837 924 877 676 958 125 939 923 867 071 869 241 859 055 797 221 759 289 717 092 807 106 Source: TurkStat, National Accounts Waste Generation Rate: To calculate waste generation rate (kt/million USD GDP/yr), between 1950 and 1994, the amount of industrial waste (IW) generated and GDP data are used. As noted above, the amount of IW generated for the surveyed years (1994-1997, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) are obtained from TurkStat's Manufacturing Industry Establishments Water, Wastewater and Waste Statistics Survey. Missing data for the years not surveyed (1998, 1999, 20012003, 2005-2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019) are estimated by linear interpolation. For 2021, waste generation rate is calculated by assuming that IW generated in 2021 is the same as in 2020. Due to lack of historical IW generated data, the waste generation rate of 1994 (0.09 kt/million USD GDP/yr) is used for 1950-1993 (see Table 7.13). 384 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 384 6 Waste % to SWDS: To calculate the percentage of industrial waste generated which goes to SWDS, the amount of industrial waste generated and industrial waste landfilled data are used. The amount of industrial waste landfilled for the surveyed years (1994-1997, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) are obtained from TurkStat's Manufacturing Industry Establishments Water, Wastewater and Waste Statistics Survey. 2021 data is estimated by trend extrapolation. Due to lack of industrial waste generated data, the percentage of industrial waste sent to SWDS in 1994 (0.1%) is used for 1950-1993. The percentage of industrial waste to SWDS is obtained by dividing the amount of industrial waste landfilled by industrial waste generated data. Industrial waste AD are given in detail in Table 7.13. Table 7.13 Industrial waste activity data, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP (million USD) 149 195.0 168 080.0 273 085.5 504 753.8 777 460.5 837 924.3 877 675.6 958 125.3 939 922.9 867 071.4 869 240.6 859 055.3 797 221.0 759 288.9 717 091.6 807 105.6 Waste generation rate (kt/million USD/yr) 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Total IW (kt) 13 615.4 12 492.8 17 058.9 18 286.1 13 366.5 14 086.6 14 420.3 15 890.2 15 733.5 15 370.1 16 266.7 20 366.0 22 881.1 23 532.4 23 867.9 23 867.9 % to SWDS (%) 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 Total to SWDS (kt) 12.9 6.7 10.4 2.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 5.7 6.1 4.0 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.4 5.5 6.5 Methane Correction Factor (MCF) Due to the assumption that all managed SWDS are categorized under anaerobic managed SWDS, the default MCF from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for anaerobic managed SWDS (1.0) is taken for managed SWDS. Since there is no information about classification of deep (>=5 meters waste and/or high water table) or shallow (<5 meters waste) for unmanaged waste disposal sites, Türkiye has used the average of the default MCFs for unmanaged-deep (0.8) and unmanaged-shallow (0.4) in the absence of countryspecific information for unmanaged waste disposal practices (0.6). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 385 385 6 Waste A weighted average of MCF from the estimated distribution of site types is needed for the calculation CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites. Calculated values for the MCF are given in Table 7.14. Table 7.14 Weighted averages of MCF, 1990-2021 (weighted average fraction) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MCF for MSW 0.60 0.63 0.72 0.71 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 MCF for IW 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 MCF for SS 0.60 0.60 0.82 0.79 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.78 MCF for CW 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.89 0.88 0.89 0.85 0.82 Choice of Emission Factor and Other Parameters 2006 IPCC default values are selected for utilization in the IPCC Waste Model using the FOD method with the starting year 1950. Degradable Organic Carbon (DOC): Degradable organic carbon (DOC) is the organic carbon in waste that is accessible to biochemical decomposition. IPCC default values for the DOC content of main components (waste types/material) used in the model are listed in Table 7.15. For sewage sludge 0.05 is taken and for clinical waste 0.15 is used according to Table 2.6 in the 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 2. Table 7.15 DOC values by individual waste type (weight fraction, wet basis) Waste Type DOC 386 Food waste Garden Paper Wood Textiles 0.15 0.20 0.40 0.24 0.24 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 386 6 Waste DOC by weight is calculated from the degradable portion of the MSW based on Equation 3.7 in the 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 3 and the IPCC defaults are taken from Table 2.4 in the 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter2. % 𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷 (𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ𝑡𝑡) = (0.15 𝑥𝑥 𝐴𝐴) + (0.20 𝑥𝑥 𝐵𝐵) + (0.40 𝑥𝑥 𝐶𝐶) + (0.24 𝑥𝑥 𝐷𝐷) + (0.24 𝑥𝑥 𝐸𝐸) Where: A = fraction of food waste in MSW B = fraction of garden waste in MSW C = fraction of paper in MSW D = fraction of wood in MSW E = fraction of textiles in MSW The calculated values of DOC by weight for the inventory years of 1990-2021 are listed below in Table 7.16. Table 7.16 DOC by weight, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 %DOC 13.01 13.01 13.10 13.12 12.92 13.23 13.19 13.13 Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 %DOC 12.61 13.44 14.15 13.61 13.54 13.49 13.29 13.29 Fraction of Degradable Organic Carbon Which Decomposes (DOCf): In the absence of countryspecific information, the recommended IPCC default value for DOCf (0.5) is used for the entire time series. Methane Generation Rate Constant (k): IPCC default methane generation rate constants are selected according to the IPCC climate zone definitions in the model. Default k values for dry temperate are listed below and applied for the entire time series. Table 7.17 Dry temperate k values by waste type (years-1) Waste Type k Food waste Garden Paper Wood Textiles 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.04 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 387 387 6 Waste Fraction of Methane in Generated Landfill Gas (F): Most waste in SWDS generates a gas with approximately 50% CH4. The IPCC default value for the fraction of CH4 in landfill gas (0.5) is used for the entire time series. Oxidation Factor (OX): The oxidation factor reflects the amount of CH4 from SWDS that is oxidized in the soil or other material covering the waste. The IPCC default value for OX is zero for managed, unmanaged and uncategorized SWDS and this is the value applied by Türkiye for the entire time series. Methane Recovery The recovery of methane and its subsequent utilization is also considered in the inventory. Methane recovery from landfill gas started to be implemented in Türkiye in 2002. Therefore, the quantity of recovered methane is subtracted from the methane produced beginning in the year 2002. In 2013, Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2012 was applied to all waste disposal and recovery facilities having a license or a temporary license, and regardless of license, to controlled landfill sites, incineration plants and composting plants operated by or on behalf of municipalities. Based on the information obtained from the survey, TurkStat sends official letters to each facility recovering methane for requesting the quantity of methane gas and electricity/heat production for the entire operating period of the facility every year. The facilities estimate the quantity of methane recovered by measuring of gas recovered. The obtained information on the quantity of produced electricity/heat is used for cross-check of the quantity of methane recovered. The coverage of the facilities is followed and updated depending on availability of new information; such as information obtained from the facility, the information from the most recent (biennial) survey (i.e. Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2020). The emissions from energy production from the recovered CH4 gas in SWDS were included in the category of Public Electricity and Heat Production (1.A.1.a). The number of managed and unmanaged SWDS with landfill gas recovery and the amount of recovered methane, by year, are given in Table 7.18. 388 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 388 6 Waste Table 7.18 Methane recovery, 1990-2021 Year 1990-2001 2002 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Number of managed SWDS with landfill gas recovery Number of unmanaged SWDS with landfill gas recovery Recovered methane in managed SWDS (kt) Recovered methane in unmanaged SWDS (kt) NA 1 1 5 8 13 15 17 24 34 36 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 1 1 1 1 NO 1.5 1.7 36.3 39.4 68.6 109.5 128.4 127.6 169.7 214.3 NO NO NO NO NO NO 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.0 7.9 48 51 1 2 236.8 282.6 6.5 7.0 66 63 1 1 305.8 396.2 2.2 1.6 An additional question about landfill gas flaring was added to the Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2014 and was also asked through the most recent survey, Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2020. There is no official data on landfill gas flaring. It will be also considered in the upcoming inventory in case that new information is obtained. Sewage Sludge Sewage sludge is estimated by TurkStat with official data. This sludge is domestic wastewater treatment sludge from municipal wastewater treatment plants. Data on sludge quantity are compiled on wet basis and converted to dry matter by using the coefficients included in the guidelines of the European Union Statistical Office (EUROSTAT). And for the emissions calculations dry basis is used. The source of sewage sludge is TurkStat’s Municipal Wastewater Statistics Survey. In this survey, disposal methods named ‘Dumping on to land’, ‘Municipal dumping sites’, ‘Controlled landfill sites’, ‘Buried’ and ‘Other disposal’ are added together and assumed as the total sludge that stored in SWDS and each sludge amount can be seen from Table 7.37 in Wastewater Treatment and Discharge section (Category 5.D). Methane emissions from sewage sludge and activity data are listed below in Table 7.19 and Table 7.20, respectively. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 389 389 6 Waste Table 7.19 CH4 generated from SS at SWDS, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total NO 0.004 0.055 0.419 1.087 1.227 1.358 1.479 1.576 1.650 1.711 1.757 1.793 1.817 1.837 1.852 Managed NO NO 0.029 0.269 0.613 0.673 0.731 0.787 0.834 0.875 0.908 0.936 0.963 0.990 1.010 1.025 Unmanaged NO 0.004 0.026 0.151 0.474 0.554 0.627 0.693 0.742 0.776 0.802 0.821 0.830 0.827 0.826 0.827 Table 7.20 Annual SS and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 Annual SS at the SWDS (kt) Year 1990-94 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 390 Total 1.5 2.4 58.0 184.6 283.3 280.2 277.0 250.5 223.9 210.0 196.1 180.4 164.6 161.7 158.8 155.8 Managed NO NO 32.0 88.8 98.8 100.0 101.1 96.3 91.5 87.3 83.0 84.2 85.4 80.5 75.6 70.7 Unmanaged 1.5 2.4 26.0 95.7 184.5 180.2 175.9 154.1 132.4 122.7 113.1 96.2 79.2 81.2 83.2 85.2 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Distribution of waste (%) Managed 0.0 0.0 55.1 48.1 34.9 35.7 36.5 38.5 40.9 41.6 42.3 46.7 51.9 49.8 47.6 45.3 Unmanaged 100.0 100.0 44.9 51.9 65.1 64.3 63.5 61.5 59.1 58.4 57.7 53.3 48.1 50.2 52.4 54.7 390 Waste 6 Clinical Waste Data have been collected according to the manual for the implementation of regulation (EC) no 2150/2002 on waste statistics and to the framework of the OECD/EUROSTAT core set of environmental data and indicators. For the reference year 2016 and before, data was produced based on the results of the survey conducted by TurkStat which was applied to the health institutions listed in Medical Waste Control Regulation as producers of large quantities of waste (university hospitals and their clinics, general purpose hospitals and their clinics, maternity hospitals and their clinics and military hospitals and their clinics) as Waste Statistics of Health Institutions. Since 2017, Medical Waste Statistics have been prepared and published annually using medical waste data from the health institutions (university, maternity and general purpose hospitals and their clinics) included in the administrative records of the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (MoEUCC). Within the scope of the Official Statistics Program (2022-2026), it was decided that the press release, which was previously published jointly by TurkStat and MoEUCC, will be published only by the MoEUCC as of 2022. However, since the statistics for 2021 have not yet been published by the MoEUCC, the amount of medical waste disposed of in landfills has been estimated by extrapolation. Methane emissions caused by clinical waste are quite small as seen in Table 7.21. Table 7.21 CH4 generated from CW at SWDS, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990-2003 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total IE 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 Managed IE 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Unmanaged IE 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 As can be seen from Table 7.22, values before 2003 were entered as "IE". The reason why those years were entered as "Included Elsewhere" is the clinical waste data were gathered by TurkStat in those years included in SWDS statistics via Municipal Waste Statistics Survey prior to 2003 because clinical waste was not collected separately before 2003. After 2003, clinical waste was collected separately by municipalities. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 391 391 6 Waste Table 7.22 Annual CW and distribution of waste by management type, 1990-2021 Annual CW at the SWDS (kt) Year 1990-2002 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total IE 47.7 54.4 58.8 63.2 65.1 67.0 67.7 68.5 78.4 82.6 83.0 99.4 115.7 Managed IE 21.1 38.1 44.6 51.0 50.8 50.7 52.5 54.4 56.3 58.2 60.1 62.0 63.9 Unmanaged IE 26.6 16.3 14.2 12.2 14.3 16.3 15.2 14.0 22.0 24.3 22.9 37.4 51.8 Distribution of waste (%) Managed NA 44.3 70.1 75.8 80.7 78.1 75.6 77.6 79.5 71.9 70.5 72.4 62.4 55.2 Unmanaged NA 55.7 29.9 24.2 19.3 21.9 24.4 22.4 20.5 28.1 29.5 27.6 37.6 44.8 Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Uncertainty values for AD are estimated as 10.0% and 30.0% for managed and unmanaged SWDS, respectively. The uncertainty values reflect the uncertainty associated with some of the assumptions made by Türkiye in estimating underlying activity data for municipal solid waste, industrial waste, sewage sludge and clinical waste. Although waste statistics on the amount of MSW generated are not available for all years after 1990, the periodic availability of survey data reduces the uncertainty of these data. The assumption that waste generation per capita prior to 1994 is constant likely overestimates the MSW generation for this time period. Further, estimating MSW generation based on population does not account for the fact that not all of the population may be serviced with waste collection. Combined uncertainty values of EFs are estimated as 30.8% and 38.1% for managed and unmanaged SWDS based on Table 3.5 in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter3. In 2019 submission Monte Carlo simulation is applied to waste sector entirely. The uncertainty estimate was performed by integrating the Monte Carlo simulation straight to the FOD model. According to Approach 2 (Monte Carlo method) results, the combined uncertainty range for CH4 emissions from managed SWDS is -34.93% to +34.82% while for unmanaged SWDS is -46.85% to +47.31% in 2017. Detailed information is in Annex 2. The estimates are calculated in a consistent manner over time series. 392 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 392 Waste 6 Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. The data used in Solid Waste Disposal (CRF Category 5.A) are derived from waste statistics database of TurkStat. TurkStat is producing all its statistics according to the European Code of Practice Principles. Therefore, high quality data are used in the emission estimates of this category. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer (expert from CITEPA - Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in December 2019. As part of sector-specific QA/QC, waste and GHG experts from TurkStat made a plant visit to one of the largest facilities in landfill gas recovery in December 2022. Recalculation: The revision of 2019 and 2020 GDP data by TurkStat resulted in changes in total industrial waste in the SWDS, which led to minor recalculation in CH4 emissions from unmanaged SWDS for 2020. Mainly, methane recovery data from some landfill gas recovery facilities has been recalculated for the years 2014-2016 and 2018-2020 as a result of ongoing verification and comparison activities for the quantity of methane in the recovered landfill gas. The amount of sewage sludge for 2018 and 2020 has been recalculated due to the correction made in the total of “other disposal” in unmanaged landfills. 2017 and 2019 AD were also affected by this correction, as they were estimated by the interpolation method. These have resulted in recalculations in methane emissions from sewage sludge in 2018-2020. In summary, total CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites have been recalculated between the years 2014 and 2020. Compared to the previous inventory submission, CH4 emissions from Solid Waste Disposal decreased by 1.1 per cent (125 kt CO2 eq.) in 2020, mainly due to increase of methane recovery. There is no recalculation for 1990. Planned Improvement: As noted above, a question has been asked about the flaring of landfill gas in the Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2020. According to the results of the survey, it has been determined that there is no flaring at the waste disposal sites in Türkiye. The results of the next survey (Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, 2022) will be assessed, and if appropriate, the results incorporated into the next inventory submission(s). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 393 393 6 Waste 7.3. Biological Treatment of Solid Waste (Category 5.B) Source Category Description: This category includes emissions from composting and anaerobic digestion of organic waste. Türkiye reports CH4 and N2O emissions from composting of municipal solid waste (5.B.1). Türkiye has no information available on the existence of anaerobic digestion of organic waste. Therefore, consistent with the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Türkiye assumes that there is no anaerobic digestion in the country. However, this treatment process will be also considered and reported in coming years depending on availability of any information. The total biological treatment of solid waste emissions for both gases increased by 54.4% (8.7 kt CO2 eq.) between 1990 (16.1 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (24.8 kt CO2 eq.). Methodological Issues: To estimate both CH4 and N2O emissions for composting, Türkiye multiples the mass of organic waste composted by a default emission factor (the IPCC T1 method), as recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories. The CH4 and N2O emissions of biological treatment can be estimated using the default method based on Equations 4.1 and 4.2 in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 4 as given below. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �(𝑀𝑀� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) ⦁ 10�� − 𝑅𝑅 � Where: CH4 Emissions = total CH4 emissions in inventory year, Gg CH4 Mi = mass of organic waste treated by biological treatment type i, Gg EF = emission factor for treatment i, g CH4/kg waste treated i = composting or anaerobic digestion R = total amount of CH4 recovered in inventory year, Gg CH4 𝑁𝑁� 𝑂𝑂 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �(𝑀𝑀� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) ⦁ 10�� � 394 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 394 Waste 6 Where: N2O Emissions = total N2O emissions in inventory year, Gg N2O Mi = mass of organic waste treated by biological treatment type i, Gg EF = emission factor for treatment i, g N2O/kg waste treated i = composting or anaerobic digestion Collection of Activity Data The amount of municipal solid waste delivered to composting plants (1994-1998, 2001-2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) are available in TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics as provided in Table 7.5. Remaining years are estimated with linear interpolation method except 19901993 period. For this beginning period, data was considered the same as for 1994. However, this data is the "amount of waste delivered to composting plants" not the "amount of waste treated by composting plants". Using this data directly will cause overestimation problem. On the other hand, the composted waste data are available in TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics for the years 2006, 2008 and 2010, and in TurkStat's Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Statistics for the years 2005, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020. For aforementioned years, composted waste amounts are taken into account instead of delivered amounts. The 2005 survey data is the oldest reliable data since it is asked to both municipalities and composting plants. Thus, for 2005, The ‘fraction of waste composted’ is calculated as the "amount of waste treated by composting plants" divided by the "amount of waste delivered to composting plants" in order to understand the “amount of waste treated by composting plants" is how much smaller than "amount of waste delivered to composting plants" to estimate the earlier years before 2001. Because after 2001, TurkStat has the composted waste data of the composting plant with the largest share. The “amount of waste treated by composting plants" is approximately the half of the "amount of waste delivered to composting plants" in 2005 (0.49). This ‘fraction of waste composted’ is used as a multiplier for 1990-2000 period with the "amount of waste delivered to composting plants" survey data. Since 2001, the composting plant with the largest share is located in Istanbul, which is the largest city of Türkiye in terms of population. The data of this composting plant has been collected directly by sending official letters to the facility itself. These data of the biggest composting plant are not used directly for the total amount of waste composted because at that time it would have caused underestimation problem. Those available data are used as surrogate data (as one of the recommended splicing techniques in 2006 IPCC Guidelines) with the survey data mentioned above, to avoid overestimation problem resulting from using the "amount of waste delivered to composting plants” survey data for generating a complete time series. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 395 395 6 Waste To summarize the activity data described in detail above, 1990-2000 data were estimated by using the ‘fraction of waste composted’. 2001-2013 data were obtained by estimating from surrogate data. However, if available, survey data were used instead of surrogate data estimations (2005 and 2012). As of 2015, the official data on the amount of waste treated by composting plants were started to be compiled directly from the relevant facilities for the years without survey (2015, 2017, 2019 and 2021). Thus, a complete time series was obtained with the available survey data (2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020). The number of facilities operating each year and the total capacity of composting plants for each year in Türkiye is indicated below. Table 7.23 Number and total capacity of composting plants, 1994-2021 # of composting plants with installed capacity # of operating composting plants Capacity (thousand tonnes/year) 1994-1998 2001 2 3 NA NA 245 299 2002 2003 4 5 NA NA 664 667 2004 2005 5 4 NA NA 667 606 2006 2008 4 4 NA NA 605 551 2010 2012 5 6 NA 6 556 389 2014 2015 4 4 3 3(3) 310 310 2016 2017 7 7 5 5(3) 424 424 2018 2019 8 8 6 6(3) 483 483 2020 2021 9 9 8 6(3) 651 651 Year Source: (1) TurkStat, Municipal Waste Statistics, 1994-2010 (2) TurkStat, Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Statistics, 2012-2020 (3) Administrative records obtained by official letters The number of composting plants with installed capacity and the operating ones are provided separately for available years in Table 7.23. Since the official data (number of facilities) of the survey indicates the number of composting plants with installed capacity, not those active ones in the relevant press releases, precise information on the number of facilities operating by year is not available before 2012. For years without survey (2015, 2017, 2019 and 2021), the number and total capacity of composting plants with installed capacity are assumed to be the same as the previous year. 396 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 396 6 Waste Choice of Emission Factor EFs of 4.0 g CH4/kg waste treated (on a wet weight basis) and 0.24 g N2O/kg waste treated (on a wet weight basis) are selected for the estimates of CH4 and N2O emissions respectively, based on Table 4.1 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 4. The total annual amount of waste treated (as wet weight) by composting plants and emissions from composting are provided in Table 7.24. Table 7.24 Activity data, CH4 and N2O emissions from composting, 1990-2021 Year 1990-94 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Amount of waste treated by composting plants 93.7 77.5 97.9 165.4 174.6 169.6 158.9 120.4 128.0 135.4 140.3 134.1 119.2 127.6 119.5 144.7 (kt) CH4 Emissions 0.37 0.31 0.39 0.66 0.70 0.68 0.64 0.48 0.51 0.54 0.56 0.54 0.48 0.51 0.48 0.58 N2O Emissions 0.022 0.019 0.023 0.040 0.042 0.041 0.038 0.029 0.031 0.032 0.034 0.032 0.029 0.031 0.029 0.035 As seen in Figure 7.3, Figure 7.4 and Figure 7.5, the fluctuations of CH4 and N2O emissions from composting depend mainly on fluctuations of the amount of waste treated by composting plants (AD). Emissions were relatively stable between 1990 and 2000 due to the same number of operating facilities during that period. A remarkable increase was observed when the dominant facility became operational after 2001. Fluctuations have been observed in recent years due to the change in the number of facilities operating in those years, as provided in Table 7.23. CH4 emissions have a maximum value of 0.88 kt in 2003 while having a minimum value of 0.31 kt in 1995. Likewise, N2O emissions have a maximum value of 0.053 kt in 2003 while having a minimum value of 0.019 kt in 1995. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 397 397 0.00 398 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2020 2021 2020 2021 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 2019 0.01 2019 0.02 2018 0.03 2018 0.04 2017 0.05 2016 (kt) 2017 Figure 7.5 N2O emissions from composting, 1990-2021 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 0.06 1992 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 1990 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0 1991 250 1990 6 Waste Figure 7.3 Amount of waste treated by composting plants, 1990-2021 (kt) 200 150 100 50 Figure 7.4 CH4 emissions from composting, 1990-2021 (kt) 398 6 Waste Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The uncertainty value for AD is estimated as 10.0% based on Table 3.5 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 3. The uncertainty value of the EF is considered as 20.0% for both CH4 and N2O EFs since there is no sufficient information in 2006 IPCC. The Biological treatment of solid waste category employed a Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis which causes a combined uncertainty range ±22.2% for CH4 emissions and +50% for N2O emissions in 2019 submission. Detailed explanation of Approach 2 method is in Uncertainty part of this inventory report (Annex 2). The estimates are calculated in a consistent manner over time series. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. The data used in Biological Treatment of Solid Waste (CRF Category 5.B) are derived from waste statistics database of TurkStat. TurkStat is producing all its statistics according to the European Code of Practice Principles. Therefore, high quality data are used in the emission estimates of this category. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer (expert from CITEPA - Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in December 2019. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this category in this submission. Planned Improvement: Emissions and amount of CH4 for energy recovery from anaerobic digestion at biogas facilities (5.B.2) will be included in next inventory submissions depending on the availability of such treatment processes. Türkiye continues to monitor the available waste statistics and any other information to determine the existence of biogas facilities with anaerobic digestion. At this time, no such information exists, but when it becomes available, Türkiye intends to estimate these emissions. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 399 399 6 Waste 7.4. Incineration and Open Burning of Waste (Category 5.C) Source Category Description: This category includes emissions from open burning of waste. The category covers CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions from open burning of waste (5.C.2) which is divided into waste of biogenic origin (5.C.2.1) and waste of non-biogenic origin (5.C.2.2). Only municipal solid waste is open burned in Türkiye (5.C.2.2.a). CO2 emissions from waste of biogenic origin are reported but not counted as part of the national total GHG emissions. Unlike CO2, emissions of CH4 and N2O from biogenic derived wastes are estimated and accounted for under the waste sector. Emissions from waste incineration (5.C.1) are included in the inventory but reported in the energy sector since the purpose of waste incineration is for energy recovery. Emissions from MSW of biogenic origin (5.C.1.1.a) and MSW of non-biogenic origin (5.C.1.2.a) are not occurring since MSW is not incinerated in the incineration plants in Türkiye. Emissions from incineration of industrial solid waste of biogenic origin (5.C.1.1.b.i) and industrial solid waste of non-biogenic origin (5.C.1.2.b.i) are included in public electricity and heat production (1.A.1.a), chemicals (1.A.2.c) and other (1.A.2.g) sub-categories in the energy sector. Emissions from incineration of clinical waste of biogenic origin (5.C.1.1.b.ii) and clinical waste of nonbiogenic origin (5.C.1.2.b.ii) are included in public electricity and heat production (1.A.1.a). Emissions from open burning of waste declined 93% (97.8 kt CO2 eq.) between 1990 to 2021. The main reason of this negative trend is the decreasing amount of waste open-burned by years, especially with a sharp decline in 2014 after the law of Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Methodological Issues: The IPCC Tier 2a method recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories is applied to estimate CO2 emissions. As elaborated below, Türkiye multiplies the amount of waste types open-burned (wet weight) by the dry matter content, the fossil carbon fraction and an oxidation factor. To estimate CH4 and N2O emissions, IPCC default emission factors are multiplied by the amount of waste open-burned (the IPCC T1 method in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines). 400 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 400 6 Waste CO2 Emissions The CO2 emissions from open burning of waste are estimated on the basis of waste types/material (such as paper, wood, plastics) in the waste open-burned as given in Equation 5.2 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 ⦁ ��𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊� ⦁ 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑� ⦁ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� ⦁ 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹� ⦁ 𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂� � ⦁ 44/12 � Where: CO2 Emissions = CO2 emissions in inventory year, Gg/yr MSW = total amount of municipal solid waste as wet weight open-burned, Gg/yr WFj = fraction of waste type/material of component j in the MSW (as wet weight openburned) dmj = dry matter content in the component j of the MSW open-burned, (fraction) CFj = fraction of carbon in the dry matter (i.e., carbon content) of component j FCFj = fraction of fossil carbon in the total carbon of component j OFj = oxidation factor, (fraction) 44/12 = conversion factor from C to CO2 j = component of the MSW open-burned such as paper/cardboard, textiles, food waste, wood, garden (yard) and park waste, disposable nappies, rubber and leather, plastics, metal, glass, other inert waste. The biogenic CO2 emissions from open burning should not be included in national total emission estimates according to the information given in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 5, Section 5.1 as in Table 7.25. Total CO2 emissions from open burning fluctuate between 1990-2021 as shown in Figure 7.6. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 401 401 6 Waste Table 7.25 CO2 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 26.59 25.96 20.98 11.87 11.21 14.09 14.42 7.37 0.48 1.07 1.84 1.54 1.24 2.38 3.62 3.65 Biogenic 0.288 0.285 0.345 0.235 0.142 0.123 0.088 0.045 0.003 0.006 0.011 0.009 0.006 0.011 0.017 0.017 Non-biogenic 26.59 25.96 20.98 11.87 11.21 14.09 14.42 7.37 0.48 1.07 1.84 1.54 1.24 2.38 3.62 3.65 Figure 7.6 CO2 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 45 40 (kt) 35 30 25 20 15 10 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 5 CH4 Emissions The calculation of CH4 emissions is based on the amount of waste open-burned and on the related emission factor as given in Equation 5.4 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) ⦁ 10�� � 402 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 402 Waste 6 Where: CH4 Emissions = CH4 emissions in inventory year, Gg/yr IWi = amount of solid waste of type i open-burned, Gg/yr EFi = aggregate CH4 emission factor, kg CH4/Gg of waste 10-6 = conversion factor from kilogram to gigagram i = category or type of waste open-burned, specified as follows: MSW: municipal solid waste, ISW: industrial solid waste, HW: hazardous waste, CW: clinical waste, SS: sewage sludge, others (that must be specified) Estimated results of CH4 emissions are given in Table 7.26 and Figure 7.7. The CH4 emissions show a decreasing trend with the same fluctuations as with AD between 1990 and 2021 as can be seen in Figure 7.9 below. Table 7.26 CH4 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 2.69 2.63 2.25 1.18 0.87 0.79 0.68 0.36 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.12 0.12 Biogenic 1.81 1.76 1.39 0.67 0.52 0.51 0.46 0.24 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.08 Non-biogenic 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.52 0.35 0.29 0.22 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.04 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 403 403 6 Waste Figure 7.7 CH4 emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 4.50 (kt) 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0.00 1990 0.50 N2O Emissions The calculation of N2O emissions is based on the amount of waste open-burned and a default emission factor as given in Equation 5.5 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5. 𝑁𝑁� 𝑂𝑂 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �(𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� ) ⦁ 10�� Where: � N2O Emissions = N2O emissions in inventory year, Gg/yr IWi = amount of open-burned waste of type i, Gg/yr EFi = N2O emission factor (kg N2O/Gg of waste) for waste of type i 10-6 = conversion from kilogram to gigagram i = category or type of waste open-burned, specified as follows: MSW: municipal solid waste, ISW: industrial solid waste, HW: hazardous waste, CW: clinical waste, SS: sewage sludge, others (that must be specified) Estimated results of N2O emissions from open burning of waste are given in Table 7.27 and Figure 7.8. As with CH4 emissions, N2O emissions have a decreasing trend with the same fluctuations as of AD between 1990 and 2021 as can be seen in Figure 7.9 below. 404 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 404 6 Waste Table 7.27 N2O emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 0.0377 0.0369 0.0337 0.0190 0.0135 0.0119 0.0098 0.0051 0.0004 0.0006 0.0009 0.0008 0.0006 0.0012 0.0018 0.0019 Biogenic 0.0191 0.0187 0.0158 0.0082 0.0060 0.0057 0.0050 0.0026 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 0.0003 0.0006 0.0009 0.0009 Non-biogenic 0.0185 0.0182 0.0179 0.0109 0.0075 0.0062 0.0048 0.0026 0.0002 0.0003 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003 0.0006 0.0009 0.0009 Figure 7.8 N2O emissions from open burning of waste, 1990-2021 0.07 (kt) 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0.00 1990 0.01 Collection of Activity Data Activity data for open burning of MSW are estimated using the total amount of MSW open-burned (19941998, 2001-2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020) as obtained from TurkStat's Municipal Waste Statistics Survey as given in Table 7.5 and applying an estimate of the composition of MSW. To calculate the total amount of MSW open-burned for the years not surveyed (1999, 2000, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019) the total amount of MSW open-burned as a fraction of the MSW generated data is calculated for the available years (MSW generated data are given in Table 7.8). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 405 405 6 Waste Open-burned % in generated MSW for the years 1999, 2000, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019 are estimated by linear interpolation. Due to lack of historical data for MSW openburned, the open-burned % of 1994 (1.89%) is used for 1990-1993. Since the trend extrapolation should not be used, the open-burned % of 2021 was assumed the same as in 2020 to avoid underestimation. As a result, the total amount of MSW open-burned is calculated for the entire timeseries and provided in Table 7.28 and Figure 7.9. Table 7.28 The fraction and amount of MSW open-burned, 1990-2021 Fraction of MSW open-burned (%) 1.89 1.49 1.13 0.58 0.45 0.40 0.34 0.18 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Amount of MSW open-burned (kt) 414.22 405.03 345.52 182.05 133.88 121.98 104.75 54.72 4.28 6.86 10.17 8.18 6.13 12.69 19.02 19.17 Figure 7.9 Total amount of MSW open-burned, 1990-2021 700 (kt) 600 500 400 300 200 406 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 100 406 6 Waste Country-specific values on the total waste amount (Table 7.28) and the waste fraction for each component for MSW are needed to apply Tier 2a. To calculate the country-specific waste fraction, time series of MSW composition data (see Table 7.10) are used. Default dry matter content, total carbon content and fossil carbon fraction of different MSW components are given in Table 7.29 which is based on Table 2.4 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 2. Table 7.29 Default dry matter content, total carbon content and fossil carbon fraction (%) Dry matter content in % of wet waste Total carbon content in % of dry weight Fossil carbon fraction in % of total carbon MSW Component Origin Paper/cardboard Biogenic 90.0 46.0 1.0 Textiles Non-biogenic 80.0 50.0 20.0 Food waste Biogenic 40.0 38.0 - Wood Biogenic 85.0 50.0 - Garden and park waste Biogenic 40.0 49.0 0.0 Plastics Non-biogenic 100.0 75.0 100.0 Metal Non-biogenic 100.0 NA NA Glass Non-biogenic 100.0 NA NA Other, inert waste Non-biogenic 90.0 3.0 100.0 Choice of Emission Factor Dry matter content (dm), total carbon content (CF) and fossil carbon fraction (FCF) in MSW are calculated using Equations 5.8, 5.9 and 5.10 respectively as given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5. All different waste fractions (WF) are given in Table 7.10 and the fractions of carbon content given in Table 7.29 above are used related to CO2 emission factors. A default oxidation factor in % of carbon input (OF) is selected for MSW as 58.0% based on Table 5.2 in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 5. The CH4 emissions from open burning of waste are estimated using an EF of 6500 g CH4 / t wet weight for both biogenic and non-biogenic origin of MSW as reported in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5, Section 5.4.2. The N2O emissions from open burning of waste are estimated using an EF of 150 g N2O / t dry weight for MSW according to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5, Table 5.6. Since the related EF refers to dry weight, the weight of waste open-burned is converted from wet weight to dry weight as reported in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5, Section 5.3.3 for MSW of both biogenic and non-biogenic origin. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 407 407 6 Waste Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: The uncertainty value for AD is estimated as 30.4%. The uncertainty value of the CO2 EF is considered as 40.0%. Since default values for CH4 and N2O EFs are used, the uncertainty values of ± 100% are estimated for both EFs as recommended in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 5, Section 5.7.1. An uncertainty analysis using the Monte Carlo technique was carried out to estimate emissions of CO2 for 5.C category and also to other waste categories in 2019 submission. Combined uncertainty in CO2 emissions in 2017 is estimated at ±41.88%, CH4 emissions is estimated as -85.71% to +114.29% and in N2O emissions is estimated as -72.73% to +100%. Further information is given in Uncertainty part at the end of this inventory report (Annex 2). The estimates are calculated in a consistent manner over time series. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. The data used in Incineration and Open Burning of Waste (CRF Category 5.C) are derived from the waste statistics database of TurkStat. TurkStat is producing all its statistics according to the European Code of Practice Principles. Therefore, high quality data are used in the emission estimates of this category. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer (expert from CITEPA - Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in December 2019. Recalculation: There is no recalculation for this category in this submission. Planned Improvement: There are no planned improvements in this category. 408 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 408 Waste 6 7.5. Wastewater Treatment and Discharge (Category 5.D) Source Category Description: This category includes CH4 and N2O emissions from wastewater treatment and discharge systems. Wastewater originates from domestic, commercial and industrial sources by treatment and disposal systems. Because of the IPCC methodology, emissions from commercial wastewater are estimated as part of domestic wastewater. Treatment and disposal types for domestic and industrial wastewater are separated into collected and uncollected systems. Each system is divided into untreated and treated systems. For collected systems; sea, river and lake discharge, and stagnant sewer are the untreated systems. Aerobic and anaerobic treatments are the main treated systems of sewered to plants. For uncollected systems; septic system is considered as treated and sea, river and lake discharge as untreated practices in Türkiye. CH4 emissions are estimated for both domestic wastewater (5.D.1) and industrial wastewater (5.D.2). N2O emissions from 5.D.2 are also reported in 5.D.1. Wastewater treatment and discharge emissions increased by 26% (1 098 kt CO2 eq.) for the period 1990-2021, also increased by 3% (159 kt CO2 eq.) between 2020 and 2021. Methane recovery in domestic wastewater treatment increased by 411% (565 kt CO2 eq.) between 1998 (137 kt CO2 eq.) and 2021 (702 kt CO2 eq.). Methodological Issues: Methane Emissions from Wastewater Methane Emissions from Domestic Wastewater The IPCC T2 method of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines is applied to estimate CH4 emissions from domestic wastewater. CH4 emissions are estimated using Equation 6.1 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = ���𝑈𝑈� ⦁ 𝑇𝑇�,� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� �� ( 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 − 𝑆𝑆) − 𝑅𝑅 �,� Where: CH4 Emissions = CH4 emissions in inventory year, kg CH4/yr TOW = total organics in wastewater in inventory year, kg BOD/yr Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 409 409 6 Waste S = organic component removed as sludge in inventory year, kg BOD/yr Ui = fraction of population in income group in inventory year Ti,j= degree of utilisation of treatment/discharge pathway or system, j, for each income group fraction in inventory year i = income group: rural, urban high income and urban low income j = each treatment/discharge pathway or system EFj = emission factor, kg CH4 / kg BOD R = amount of CH4 recovered in inventory year, kg CH4/yr Total CH4 emissions are estimated based on country-specific information on the total organics in wastewater minus the total amount of sludge and multiplying by the IPCC default emission factor, corrected for country-specific fractions of urban/rural populations and the fraction of the wastewater utilizing the various discharge pathways. The amount of methane generated, methane recovered and net methane emissions are estimated as given in Table 7.30 and Figure 7.10. Table 7.30 CH4 generated, recovered and emitted from domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 (kt) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 410 CH4 Generated 103.2 109.7 115.6 119.6 121.1 122.4 123.5 111.6 112.7 113.9 115.2 116.5 118.4 119.5 120.5 121.4 CH4 Recovered NO NO 6.9 11.9 16.8 21.5 24.4 25.1 34.3 36.1 36.4 37.3 31.0 31.2 30.7 28.1 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 CH4 Emitted 103.2 109.7 108.6 107.7 104.3 100.9 99.0 86.5 78.5 77.8 78.8 79.2 87.4 88.3 89.8 93.3 410 6 Waste Figure 7.10 CH4 emissions from domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 140 (kt) 120 100 80 60 40 CH₄ generated CH₄ recovered 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 20 CH₄ emitted (net emissions) The key drivers for the decreasing trend in net emissions are the increasing of methane recovery after the beginning year of 1998. Despite having an increasing trend normally, the main reasons for the sharp decreases in generated methane in the years of 2008 and 2013 are the administrative division changes in the proportion of urban and rural population in 2008 and 2013. Collection of Activity Data To calculate CH4 emissions from domestic wastewater, total organics in wastewater (TOW) and organic component removed as sludge (S) are needed. The TOW is calculated using Equation 6.3 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. Where: 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 = 𝑃𝑃 ⦁ 𝐵𝐵𝐵𝐵𝐵𝐵 ⦁ 0.001 ⦁ 𝐼𝐼 ⦁ 365 TOW = total organics in wastewater in inventory year, kg BOD/yr P = country population in inventory year, (person) BOD = country-specific per capita BOD in inventory year, g/person/day, 0.001 = conversion from grams BOD to kg BOD I = correction factor for additional industrial BOD discharged into sewers (for collected the default is 1.25, for uncollected the default is 1.00.) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 411 411 6 Waste The total population is used to calculate TOW and S values. For the entire time series, the total population is taken from Turkstat’s Mid-year Population Estimations and Projections. The total population is then divided into the rural and urban fractions to better characterize the discharge pathways for the domestic wastewater. For the years 1990 and 2000, rural and urban population are available from General Population Censuses. The results of Address Based Population Registration System are used from 2007 to 2021 to split the rural and urban population. Rural and urban population fractions are used to interpolate fractions of rural and urban population for the missing years. The figures are given in Table 7.31. Table 7.31 Fraction of population and total, rural, urban population, 1990-2021 Year Fraction of rural Fraction of urban 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 41.0 38.0 35.1 31.1 23.7 23.2 22.7 8.7 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.2 7.0 6.8 59.0 62.0 64.9 68.9 76.3 76.8 77.3 91.3 91.8 92.1 92.3 92.5 92.3 92.8 93.0 93.2 Total population 55 59 64 68 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 120 756 269 435 142 224 176 148 182 218 278 313 407 579 385 147 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 Rural population 22 22 22 21 17 17 17 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 592 732 557 293 362 222 076 588 367 176 101 012 291 962 862 735 114 684 058 571 715 484 420 471 326 615 802 149 257 131 196 295 Urban population 32 37 41 47 55 57 58 69 70 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 527 023 711 141 779 001 099 559 814 041 176 300 115 616 522 411 886 316 942 429 285 516 580 529 674 385 198 851 743 869 804 705 The urban population consists of the total population of province and district centers and, rural population consists of the total population of towns and villages. The proportions of the population living in the province and district centers were 91.3% in 2013 and 93.2% in 2021 while this figure was 77.3% in 2012. The main reason for this sharp rise was the establishment of 14 new metropolitan municipalities and enlarging the municipal borders by abolition of towns and villages in all of the 30 metropolitan provinces in 2013. TOW is calculated using a country-specific per capita BOD as 53 g/person/day for wastewater collected by sewers. The source of this BOD is Derivation of Factors for Pollution Loads Discharged to Receiving Bodies by Municipalities, İpek Turtin Uzer, Turkish Statistical Institute Expertness Thesis, Ankara, 2010. This study includes a country-specific per capita BOD for receiving bodies as 25 g/person/day. Countryspecific per capita BOD for sludge removed is calculated as 28 g/person/day by using these data to be able to calculate organic component removed as sludge (S). Correction factor (I) is taken as the default value of 1.0. TOW and S values for domestic wastewater are calculated as given in Table 7.32. 412 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 412 Waste 6 Table 7.32 Total organics in wastewater (TOW) and organic component removed as sludge (S) for domestic wastewater, 1990-2021 (kt BOD/yr) Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TOW 066.3 156.0 243.3 323.9 414.9 435.9 454.3 473.1 493.1 513.1 533.6 553.7 574.8 597.5 613.1 627.8 S 563.3 610.7 656.8 699.4 747.5 758.6 768.3 778.2 788.8 799.4 810.2 820.8 832.0 844.0 852.2 860.0 Choice of Emission Factor As given in Equation 6.2 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, CH4 EFs for each domestic wastewater treatment/discharge pathway or system are calculated by multiplying the default maximum CH4 producing capacity (Bo) for domestic wastewater (0.6 kg CH4/kg BOD) by the methane correction factor (MCF) for each type of treatment and discharge pathway or system, which is given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.3. Where: 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� = 𝐵𝐵� ⦁ 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀� EFj = emission factor, kg CH4/kg BOD j = each treatment/discharge pathway or system Bo = maximum CH4 producing capacity, kg CH4/kg BOD MCFj = methane correction factor (fraction) To calculate country-specific values for the degrees of treatment utilization (T), by population class, the results of TurkStat's Municipal Wastewater Statistics Survey, 2012 and Sectoral Water and Wastewater Statistics Survey, 2012 are used. The degrees of utilizations are given in Table 7.33. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 413 413 6 Waste Table 7.33 Degrees of treatment utilization (T) by population class Treatment or discharge system or pathway Rural Urban T (%) To sea, river and lake 0.43 To aerobic plant, not well managed 0.44 To septic systems 10.72 To sea, river and lake 15.43 To aerobic plant, well managed 44.01 To aerobic plant, not well managed 1.82 To anaerobic digester for sludge 20.83 To septic systems 6.31 Total 100.00 Weighted CH4 EFs are calculated using CH4 EFs by each type of treatment and discharge pathway or system and the fractional usage of different treatment systems by population class. Weighted CH4 EFs for domestic wastewater with background data are given in Table 7.34. Table 7.34 MCF, EFs, utilization degrees and weighted EFs by population class Type of treatment and discharge path way or system MCF CH4 EF T (Rural) T (Urban) 0.10 0.06 0.0043 0.1543 Centralized, aerobic, well managed 0.00 0.00 Centralized, aerobic, not well managed 0.30 0.18 Anaerobic digester for sludge 0.80 0.48 Septic system 0.50 0.30 Untreated system Sea, river, lake discharge Treated system 414 0.4401 0.0044 0.0182 0.2083 0.1072 0.0631 Total 0.12 0.88 Weighted CH4 EFs (kg CH4/kg BOD) 0.29 0.15 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 414 Waste 6 Methane Recovery The recovery of methane and its subsequent utilization is also considered in the inventory. Methane recovery from biogas started to be implemented in Türkiye in 1998. Therefore, the quantity of recovered methane is subtracted from the methane produced beginning in the year 1998. In 2013, Municipal Wastewater Statistics Survey, 2012 was applied to all municipalities. Based on the information obtained from the survey, TurkStat sends official letters to each facility recovering methane for requesting the quantity of methane gas and electricity/heat production for the entire operating period of the facility every year. The facilities estimate the quantity of methane recovered by measuring of gas recovered. The obtained information on the quantity of produced electricity/heat is used for cross-check of the quantity of methane recovered. The coverage of the facilities is followed and updated depending on availability of new information; such as information obtained from the facility, the information from the most recent (biennial) survey (i.e. Municipal Wastewater Statistics Survey, 2020). The emissions of energy production from the recovered CH4 gas in biogas facilities were included in the category of Public Electricity and Heat Production (1.A.1.a). The number of biogas facilities in wastewater treatment plants and the amount of recovered methane by year are given in Table 7.35. Table 7.35 Methane recovery, 1990-2021 Year 1990-97 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Number of biogas facilities NA 1 1 1 4 8 13 14 18 19 20 23 23 27 26 25 22 Recovered methane (kt) NO 5.5 6.2 6.9 11.9 16.8 21.5 24.4 25.1 34.3 36.1 36.4 37.3 31.0 31.2 30.7 28.1 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 415 415 6 Waste Sewage Sludge Balance Sewage sludge is domestic wastewater treatment sludge originating from urban wastewater treatment plants operated by municipalities. Thus, the sewage sludge data are collected by TurkStat from Municipal Wastewater Statistics Survey which is applied to all municipalities. Data on the amount of sludge is compiled on a wet basis and converted to dry matter using coefficients in the guidance documents of the European Union Statistical Office (EUROSTAT). Also, data are compiled in accordance with the OECD / EUROSTAT - Wastewater statistics, environmental data and indicators data set. As mentioned in Solid Waste Disposal section (Category 5.A), the disposal methods named ‘Dumping onto land’, ‘Municipal dumping sites’, ‘Controlled landfill sites’, ‘Buried’ and ‘Other disposal’ are added together and assumed as the total sludge that stored in SWDS. For the sewage sludge balance, the amount of sewage sludge by disposal and recovery methods, please refer to Table 7.36. 416 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 416 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 81 795 12 512 17 118 12 433 11 412 10 255 9 261 10 349 3 423 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 095 54 0 0 0 10 321 14 460 6 710 7 023 39 637 19 456 10 112 9 480 2 954 2 760 521 274 45 2 029 0 40 150 0 Dumping onto land 38 971 36 135 62 733 41 214 107 989 92 741 58 026 65 044 12 345 13 218 31 189 28 356 10 125 1 871 1 931 1 783 1 494 (3) Includes other recovery operations. 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 20 000 48 180 4 50 297 0 0 0 0 Municipal Released dumping sites into lake (2) Includes other disposal operations, temporary storage, land treatment, surface impoundment etc. (1) Data on sludge amount is in dry matter. Source: TurkStat, Municipal Wastewater Statistics 91 104 2003 49 555 1998 26 445 34 397 1997 2002 12 322 1996 47 152 13 309 1995 2001 12 546 Agricultural Released use into sea 1994 Year 1 040 10 0 105 22 2 018 3 074 2 161 1 000 0 0 7 300 0 0 0 0 0 135 782 143 494 93 939 53 486 29 952 13 020 2 082 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 571 85 382 83 005 91 539 101 143 98 843 104 846 85 606 92 085 57 518 55 789 40 431 6 627 26 20 0 0 Released Incineration with Controlled into river energy recovery landfill sites (t) 207 4 464 278 4 670 2 517 10 243 12 890 38 281 2 154 10 302 8 378 1 500 487 2 10 0 0 29 561 31 932 43 057 46 884 45 906 71 402 67 350 31 772 36 128 0 37 560 467 0 112 2 56 26 417 15 310 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other Other Buried disposal(2) recovery(3) Table 7.36 Amount of sewage sludge by disposal and recovery methods, 1994-2020 (1) Waste 6 417 6 Waste Methane Emissions from Industrial Wastewater This section deals with estimating CH4 emissions from on-site industrial wastewater treatment. The IPCC T2 method of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines is applied to estimate CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater. CH4 emissions are estimated using Equation 6.4 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = �[(𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇� − 𝑆𝑆� ) 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� − 𝑅𝑅� ] � Where: CH4 Emissions = CH4 emissions in inventory year, kg CH4/yr TOWi = total organically degradable material in wastewater from industry i in inventory year, kg COD/yr i = industrial sector Si = organic component removed as sludge in inventory year, kg COD/yr EFi = emission factor for industry i, kg CH4/kg COD for treatment/discharge pathway or system(s) used in inventory year Ri = amount of CH4 recovered in inventory year, kg CH4/yr Specifically, the country-specific information on the total organically degradable material in wastewater, by industry, is multiplied by a specific emission factor that takes into account the relative use of various treatment/discharge pathways. There is no recovery of methane from industrial wastewater and sludge removal is assumed to be zero. Amount of methane emissions, by industry, are estimated as given in Table 7.37 and Figure 7.11. 418 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 418 6 Waste Table 7.37 CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater by sector, 1990-2021 (kt) Year Total Meat & poultry Organic chemicals Petroleum refineries Plastics & resins Pulp & paper (combined) Starch production 1990-94 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 8.37 12.01 12.82 14.80 14.32 16.50 18.68 18.85 19.02 20.00 20.97 22.86 24.75 25.02 25.29 25.56 1.37 1.79 1.47 1.90 2.03 2.42 2.81 2.79 2.76 3.24 3.72 3.91 4.10 4.23 4.37 4.50 0.54 1.62 2.38 1.03 0.36 0.50 0.63 0.67 0.71 1.03 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.35 1.36 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.28 0.30 0.33 0.70 0.75 0.48 1.54 1.14 1.99 2.84 2.88 2.92 2.98 3.05 3.49 3.93 3.86 3.80 3.74 4.56 5.43 4.55 1.25 2.41 2.52 2.64 2.74 2.85 2.82 2.79 2.93 3.06 3.54 4.02 4.50 1.09 2.29 3.80 8.96 8.26 8.91 9.57 9.58 9.60 9.72 9.84 10.96 12.07 11.76 11.45 11.14 Figure 7.11 CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater, 1990-2021 30 (kt) 25 20 15 10 Starch Production Petroleum Refineries Pulp & Paper Organic Chemicals 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 5 Plastics & Resins Meat & Poultry Collection of Activity Data To calculate CH4 emissions from industrial wastewater, total organically degradable material in wastewater for each industry (TOWi) is used as AD and calculated by applying Equation 6.6 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 419 419 6 Waste 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇� = 𝑃𝑃� ⦁ 𝑊𝑊� ⦁ 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶� Where: TOWi = total organically degradable material in wastewater for industry i, kg COD/yr i = industrial sector Pi = total industrial product for industrial sector i, t/yr Wi = wastewater generated, m3/t product CODi = chemical oxygen demand (industrial degradable organic component in wastewater), kg COD/m3 Organic component removed as sludge (S) is assumed to be zero in the inventory years. The amount of industrial wastewater treated for the following major industrial sectors are obtained from TurkStat's Manufacturing Industry Establishments Water, Wastewater and Waste Statistics Survey for the years 1994-1997, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020. Missing data for the years not surveyed (1998, 1999, 2001-2003, 2005-2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2017 and 2019) are estimated by linear interpolation. Based on the ERT recommendation in the latest review (Report on the individual review of the inventory submission of Turkey submitted in 2021), 2021 AD has been estimated by trend extrapolation method. Therefore, TOWi for 2021 are not assumed to be the same as in the previous year, ensuring that this assumption does not lead to an over or underestimation of emissions. The amount of industrial wastewater treated by industrial sectors are given in Table 7.38. 420 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 420 6 Waste Table 7.38 Amount of industrial wastewater discharged by sector, 1990-2021 (thousand m3/yr) Year 1990-94 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total 110 164 178 184 164 201 239 241 244 264 285 753 593 484 002 314 980 646 879 112 574 035 Meat & poultry 25 33 27 35 38 45 52 52 52 61 70 749 752 591 758 282 624 967 494 020 040 059 Organic chemicals Petroleum refineries Plastics & resins 13 41 61 26 9 12 16 17 18 26 34 9 9 11 9 8 11 14 14 14 15 16 14 15 10 32 23 41 59 59 60 62 63 771 583 139 501 372 791 211 277 342 429 516 155 239 423 728 421 620 819 636 452 670 887 574 739 014 198 862 503 145 995 844 250 655 Pulp & paper (combined) 39 46 39 10 20 21 22 23 24 24 23 072 583 011 691 628 649 670 535 399 180 961 Starch production 8 17 29 69 63 68 73 73 74 75 75 432 697 306 127 750 792 834 944 054 005 956 308 713 332 391 73 634 77 208 34 434 34 351 18 197 19 507 72 778 81 901 25 115 26 268 84 556 93 156 337 462 342 533 79 707 82 205 34 544 34 738 21 490 23 474 80 607 79 312 30 364 34 460 90 750 88 345 347 604 84 703 34 931 25 457 78 017 38 556 85 939 TOWi is calculated by applying COD values for each industrial sector as given in Table 7.39, that are based on Table 6.9 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6 and the results are given in Table 7.40. Table 7.39 COD values by industry type Industry type COD (kg/m3) Meat & Poultry 4.1 Organic Chemicals 3.0 Petroleum Refineries 1.0 Plastics & Resins 3.7 Pulp & Paper (combined) 9.0 Starch Production Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 10.0 421 421 6 Waste Table 7.40 TOWi in wastewater by industry sector, 1990-2021 (kt COD/yr) Organic chemicals Petroleum refineries Plastics & resins Pulp & paper (combined) Starch production Year Total Meat & poultry 1990-94 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 645.9 926.8 989.2 142.5 104.9 273.4 441.8 454.9 468.0 543.2 618.4 105.6 138.4 113.1 146.6 157.0 187.1 217.2 215.2 213.3 250.3 287.2 41.3 124.7 183.4 79.5 28.1 38.4 48.6 51.8 55.0 79.3 103.5 9.2 9.2 11.4 9.7 8.4 11.6 14.8 14.6 14.5 15.7 16.9 53.9 58.2 37.1 119.1 88.3 153.6 218.8 222.0 225.1 230.3 235.5 351.6 419.2 351.1 96.2 185.7 194.8 204.0 211.8 219.6 217.6 215.7 84.3 177.0 293.1 691.3 637.5 687.9 738.3 739.4 740.5 750.1 759.6 1 1 1 1 1 764.3 910.1 930.9 951.8 972.6 301.9 316.6 326.8 337.0 347.3 103.3 103.1 103.6 104.2 104.8 18.2 19.5 21.5 23.5 25.5 269.3 303.0 298.2 293.5 288.7 226.0 236.4 273.3 310.1 347.0 845.6 931.6 907.5 883.4 859.4 Choice of Emission Factor As given in Equation 6.5 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, CH4 EFs for each industrial wastewater treatment/discharge pathway or system are calculated by multiplying the default maximum CH4 producing capacity (Bo) for industrial wastewater (0.25 kg CH4/kg COD) by the methane correction factor (MCF) for each type of treatment and discharge pathway or system which is given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.8., Where: 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸� = 𝐵𝐵� ⦁ 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀� EFj = emission factor for each treatment/discharge pathway or system, kg CH4/kg COD, j = each treatment/discharge pathway or system Bo = maximum CH4 producing capacity, kg CH4/kg COD MCFj = methane correction factor (fraction) 422 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 422 6 Waste Weighted CH4 EFs are calculated by multiplying CH4 EFs for each type of treatment and discharge pathway or system and fractional usage of the different treatment systems. Weighted CH4 EF for industrial wastewater with background data are given in Table 7.41. Table 7.41 MCF, EFs, fractional usages and weighted EF for industrial wastewater Type of treatment and discharge pathway or system MCF CH4 EF Fractional usage 0.10 0.03 0.173 Aerobic treatment plant, well managed 0.00 0.00 0.668 Aerobic treatment plant, not well managed 0.30 0.08 0.088 Anaerobic digester for sludge 0.80 0.20 0.025 Anaerobic reactor 0.80 0.20 0.030 Septic system 0.50 0.13 0.016 Untreated system Sea, river, lake discharge Treated system Total 1.00 Weighted CH4 EF (kg CH4/kg COD) 0.01 Nitrous Oxide Emissions from Wastewater Türkiye applies the default method from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines to estimate N2O emissions from domestic wastewater. N2O emissions from domestic wastewater effluent are estimated using Equation 6.7 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. Specifically, N2O emissions are assumed to equal the amount of nitrogen discharged to aquatic environments, multiplied by an emission factor. 𝑁𝑁� 𝑂𝑂 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = 𝑁𝑁�������� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸�������� ⦁ 44/28 Where: N2O emissions = N2O emissions in inventory year, kg N2O/yr NEFFLUENT = nitrogen in the effluent discharged to aquatic environments, kg N/yr EFEFFLUENT = emission factor for N2O emissions from discharged to wastewater, kg N2O-N/kg N The factor 44/28 is the conversion of kg N2O-N into kg N2O. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 423 423 6 Waste N2O emissions from centralized wastewater treatment plants with nitrification and denitrification steps are also taken into account by subtracting the amount of nitrogen associated with N2O emissions from these plants from the total nitrogen discharged in the wastewater effluent. N2O emissions from such plants are estimated using Equation 6.9 in 2006 IPCC, Volume 5, Chapter 6. Where: 𝑁𝑁� 𝑂𝑂������ = 𝑃𝑃 ⦁ 𝑇𝑇����� ⦁ 𝐹𝐹������� ⦁ 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸����� N2OPLANTS = total N2O emissions from plants in inventory year, kg N2O/yr P = human population TPLANT = degree of utilization of modern, centralized WWT plants, % FIND-COM = fraction of industrial and commercial co-discharged protein (default = 1.25), EFPLANT = emission factor, 3.2 g N2O/person/year The estimation results are given in Table 7.42. As can be seen in Figure 7.12, total N2O emissions increased by 63.5% from 1990 to 2021. N2O emissions from centralized WWT plants for 1990-2000 period are reported as "NO" because the nitrogen removal is not available before 2001. TPLANT values for 2001-2021 are reported in CRF table 5.D, under additional information. Türkiye reports N2O emissions from industrial wastewater as "IE" in CRF table 5.D. As discussed further below, N2O emissions from industrial wastewater (category 5.D.2) discharged into sewers is included in the N2O emissions from domestic wastewater (category 5.D.1). 424 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 424 6 Waste Table 7.42 N2O emissions from wastewater, 1990-2021 (kt) Year N2O emissions from wastewater effluent N2O emissions from centralized WWT plants Total N2O emissions 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 4.84 5.24 5.44 5.68 6.12 6.27 6.47 6.55 6.66 6.92 6.92 7.13 7.24 7.33 7.55 7.77 NO NO NO 0.03 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 4.84 5.24 5.44 5.71 6.21 6.36 6.56 6.64 6.76 7.03 7.03 7.25 7.38 7.46 7.69 7.91 Figure 7.12 N2O emissions from wastewater, 1990-2021 9 8 (kt) 7 6 5 4 3 2 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0 1990 1 Collection of Activity Data The activity data that are needed for estimating N2O emissions are nitrogen content in the wastewater effluent, country population and average annual per capita protein generation (kg/person/yr). The total nitrogen in the effluent is estimated using Equation 6.8 in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6. 𝑁𝑁�������� = (𝑃𝑃 ⦁ 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃 ⦁ ��� ⦁ 𝐹𝐹������� ⦁ 𝐹𝐹������� ) − 𝑁𝑁������ Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 425 425 6 Waste Where: NEFFLUENT = total annual amount of nitrogen in the wastewater effluent, kg N/yr P = human population Protein = annual per capita protein consumption, kg/person/yr FNPR = fraction of nitrogen in protein, kg N/kg protein FNON-CON = factor for non-consumed protein added to the wastewater FIND-COM = factor for industrial and commercial co-discharged protein into the sewer system NSLUDGE= nitrogen removed with sludge, kg N/yr Per capita protein consumption in Türkiye has been obtained from the FAOSTAT’s website (http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/FBS/visualize). The link has re-checked for up-to-date data of recent years, and it is found that the new Food Balances are available after 2018. 2018-2020 data have been updated on the link. These revised data are used instead of the data in the previous submission. 2021 data is extrapolated due to lack of data. Population and annual per capita protein consumption data are given in Table 7.43. Table 7.43 Population and per capita protein consumption, 1990-2021 Year 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Population (1) (1000's persons) 55 59 64 68 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 Per capita protein consumption (2) (kg/person/yr) 120 756 269 435 142 224 176 148 182 218 278 313 407 579 385 147 39.88 39.89 38.44 37.70 37.77 38.13 39.25 39.46 39.24 40.24 39.66 40.35 40.46 40.34 41.15 41.95 Source: (1) TurkStat, Mid-year Population Estimations and Projections (2) FAOSTAT, Food Balance Sheets 426 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 426 6 Waste Additional relevant parameters to calculate total nitrogen in the effluent are given in Table 7.44. Default values from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.11 are used for the fraction of nitrogen in protein (0.16 kg N/kg protein), the fraction of non-consumed protein (1.4), and the fraction of industrial and commercial co-discharged protein (1.25). As discussed above for domestic wastewater, Türkiye assumes that there is zero sludge removed. Regarding the fraction of non-consumed protein, Türkiye has applied the value for developed countries using garbage disposals. Table 7.44 Parameters for estimation of nitrogen in effluent, 2021 Fraction of nitrogen in protein Fraction of non-consumed protein Fraction of industrial and commercial codischarged protein Nitrogen removed with sludge (FNPR) (FNON-CON) (FIND-COM) (NSLUDGE) (kg N/kg protein) 0.16 (kg) 1.40 1.25 0.00 Choice of Emission Factor To estimate N2O emissions from wastewater effluent, the IPCC default N2O EF (EFEFFLUENT) is selected as 0.005 kg N2O-N/kg-N from the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.11. The IPCC default EF (EFPLANTS) to estimate N2O emissions from centralized wastewater treatment plants of 3.2 g N2O/person/year as given in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.11 is applied. To estimate N2O emissions from such plants, the country-specific values of the degree of utilization of modern, centralized WWT plants (TPLANT) are calculated for the whole time series. Uncertainties and Time-Series Consistency: Domestic Wastewater Treatment and Discharge: For CH4 emissions, the uncertainty for AD is estimated as 5.0% and for CH4 EF it is calculated as 37.7% by using default uncertainty ranges provided in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.7. For N2O emissions, the uncertainty for AD is estimated as 30.0%. The uncertainty value of the N2O EF is calculated as 42.4% by using uncertainty values of 30.0% for both EFEFFLUENT and EFPLANTS based on expert judgment since there is no sufficient information in the related section of the 2006 IPCC. Industrial Wastewater Treatment and Discharge: For CH4 emissions, the uncertainty for AD is estimated as 11.2% and for CH4 EF it is calculated as 39.1% by using default uncertainty ranges provided in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, Volume 5, Chapter 6, Table 6.10. The estimates are calculated in a consistent manner over time series. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 427 427 6 Waste In 2019 submission, Monte Carlo analysis has been carried out for the CH4 and N2O emissions from Wastewater treatment and discharge, for the year 2017. Combined uncertainty in CH4 emissions is was estimated at -40.16% to +40.77% for Domestic wastewater sub-category and-32.71% to 41.28% for Industrial wastewater sub-category while N2O combined uncertainty range is -24.38% to+25.56%. More detailed information is in Annex 2. Source-Specific QA/QC and Verification: QA/QC procedures are implemented for each category in order to verify and improve the inventory under the QA/QC plan of Türkiye. The data used in Wastewater Treatment and Discharge (CRF Category 5.D) are derived from waste statistics database of TurkStat. TurkStat is producing all its statistics according to the European Code of Practice Principles. Therefore, high quality data are used in the emission estimates of this category. Moreover, a QA work was conducted by an external reviewer (expert from CITEPA - Technical Reference Center for Air Pollution and Climate Change) for this category in December 2019. Recalculation: Methane recovery data from some biogas facilities has been recalculated for the years 2016-2020 as a result of ongoing verification and comparison activities for the quantity of methane in the recovered biogas. With the update of the 2018 and 2019 data and the availability of 2020 data from FAOSTAT, revised protein supply data were used instead of the previous AD and therefore, recalculation was made for per capita protein consumption data for the years 2018-2020. Total recalculation of CH4 emissions for Wastewater Treatment and Discharge subsector (CRF Category 5.D) resulted with an increase of 6.2 kt CO2 eq. (0.2%) in 2020. For N2O emissions, the recalculation caused an increase by 24.7 kt CO2 eq. (1.1%) in 2020. There is no recalculation for 1990 for both gases. Planned Improvement: Türkiye is planning to improve the parameters used in the estimation of CH4 emissions, both for the degree of treatment utilization by population class (domestic wastewater) and for the fraction usage for different types of wastewater treatment and discharge pathways (industrial wastewater) for the entire time series. 428 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 428 Waste 6 7.6. Other (Category 5.E) There are no other activities to be considered under this category. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 429 429 Other / Indirect Carbon Dioxide and Nitrous Oxide Emissions 8. OTHER Türkiye does not report any emissions under the category 'Other'. 9. INDIRECT CARBON DIOXIDE AND NITROUS OXIDE EMISSIONS Türkiye does not report on indirect carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide emissions. 430 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 430 Recalculations and Improvements 10. RECALCULATIONS AND IMPROVEMENTS Recalculations: Every year the inventory team reviews the latest inventory, checks the entire time series from 1990 onwards and tries to determine the conditions that are not meet the TACCC criteria. Based on the outcomes of the examination some AD revisions, reallocation of emissions or error corrections are made as compared to previous submission. Also the ERT recommendations are one of the most important reasons for recalculations. A remote centralized review of the 2021 inventory submission of Türkiye was organized by the UNFCCC Secretariat from 4 to 9 October 2021. The Report on the individual review of the inventory submission of Turkey submitted in 2021 was published on 5 May 2022. Mainly, the recalculations have been made based on the ERT findings of this report in relevant categories in addition to our own improvements. All kind of recalculations are described in the Chapters 3-7 in detail, and the reasons for recalculations are also summarized below. In energy sector; For the sectors, 1.A.1.b, 1.A.1.c, 1.A.2.a, 1.A.2.f, 1.A.4.a were recalculated due to the change in activity data and some minor error in calculations. In IPPU sector; Glass production activity data of a new plant included in the calculations and this caused recalculations in 2.A.3 and 2.A.4.b sectors. 2.A.4.a production data changes in PRODCOM database reflected to calculations. For 2.B.1 Ammonia production carbon content factor of natural gas for the years 2018 and 2019 are corrected. For 2.B.2 inconsistent activity data of a nitric asit producer changed retrospectively. 2.C.1 Steel production data of an integrated plant for the years 1990 and 1995 are corrected due to availability of retrospective data from Turkish Steel Producers Association. Limestone used in BOF data corrected by one of the integrated plant and recalculated for the years 2018-2020 and carbon content of BOF and Blast Furnace gas data backcasted and recalculated. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 431 431 Recalculations and Improvements Emission calculations from PFC gases under the aluminium sector have been revised and recalculated according to the 2006 IPCC guidelines instead of 1996 IPCC guidelines. CO2 and SF6 emissions from magnesium production and CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production estimated for the first time in this submission. For 2.C.6 in 1999 both primary and secondary zinc is produced and CO2 emissions from zinc production increased by 3.7 kt. For the years between 2000-2002, 2005-2008 and 2010-2021 emission values are added from secondary zinc production for the first time. For 2.F recalculations have been carried out for the years 2014-2021, to take account of calculation error of data, because of the calculation worksheet updated problem. For 2.G. the consumption of SF6 in Mg production between the years 2016-2021 is accounted in the magnesium production sector. In agriculture sector; Two very minor revisions in activity data for Urea Application are the reasons for the recalculation of this category. The first recalculation has a decreasing effect of -0.000039% (0.00022 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2011 and the second recalculation has an increasing effect of 0.00000838% (0.000139 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2020. Minor revisions in Field burning category are a result of transmission errors for 2020. The recalculation has a decreasing effect of -1.08% (1.87 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2020. Minor revisions are a result of transmission errors in the calculation of field burning emissions affecting calculations of crop residues emissions for 2019. For this source category, the recalculation has a decreasing effect of -0.0007% (0.202 kt CO2 eq.) for the year 2019. In LULUCF sector; The Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Category was recalculated due to an update of the annual increment values for the years between 1990-2019 with increment borer by the ongoing National Forest Inventory Program of GDF. 432 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 432 Recalculations and Improvements In waste sector; For Category 5.A, the revision of 2019 and 2020 GDP data by TurkStat resulted in changes in total industrial waste in the SWDS, which led to minor recalculation in CH4 emissions from unmanaged SWDS for 2020. Mainly, methane recovery data from some landfill gas recovery facilities has been recalculated for the years 2014-2016 and 2018-2020 as a result of ongoing verification and comparison activities for the quantity of methane in the recovered landfill gas. The amount of sewage sludge for 2018 and 2020 has been recalculated due to the correction made in the total of “other disposal” in unmanaged landfills. 2017 and 2019 AD were also affected by this correction, as they were estimated by the interpolation method. These have resulted in recalculations in methane emissions from sewage sludge in 2018-2020. For Category 5.D, methane recovery data from some biogas facilities has been recalculated for the years 2016-2020 as a result of ongoing verification and comparison activities for the quantity of methane in the recovered biogas. With the update of the 2018 and 2019 data and the availability of 2020 data from FAOSTAT, revised protein supply data were used instead of the previous AD and therefore, recalculation was made for per capita protein consumption data for the years 2018-2020. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 433 433 Recalculations and Improvements The reasons and the implications of recalculations by CRF category are given in the below table for 1990 and 2020. Table 10.1 Recalculations made in the current submission and their implications to the emission level, 1990 and 2020 CRF category Reasons for recalculation 1. Energy 1990 2020 1990 2020 -66 -1 010 -0.03 -0.19 -75 -1033 -0.03 -0.20 A.1 Energy industries Changes in AD and methods A.2 Manufacturing industries and construction Changes in AD 8 37 0.00 0.01 A.4 Other sectors Changes in AD NO -14 NO 0.00 -127 1 200 -0.06 0.23 -0.12 -32 0.00 -0.01 -127 587 -0.06 0.11 NO 645 NO 0.12 2. IPPU 434 Implication to the CRF category level (kt CO2 eq.) Implication to the total emission w/o LULUCF (%) A. Mineral industry Adding activity data of a new glass plant. Changes reflected to activity data of 2.A.4.a which observed in PRODCOM database. C. Metal industry Steel production data of an integrated plant for the years 1990 and 1995 are corrected. Limestone used in BOF data corrected by one of the integrated plant and recalculated for the years 2018-2020, and carbon content of BOF and Blast Furnace gas data updated according to reporting of integrated plants. Emission calculations from PFC gases under the aluminium sector have been revised and recalculated according to the 2006 IPCC GLs. CO2 and SF6 emissions from magnesium production and CO2 emissions from secondary zinc production estimated for the first time in this submission. For 2.C.6 in 1999 both primary and secondary zinc is produced and CO2 emissions from zinc production recalculated. For the years between 2000-2002, 2005-2008 and 20102021 emission values are added from secondary zinc production for the first time. F. Product uses as ODS substitutes Calculation errors corrected for the years 20142021. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 434 Recalculations and Improvements Table 10.1 Recalculations made in the current submission and their implications to the emission level, 1990 and 2020 (cont’d) CRF category Reasons for recalculation 3. Agriculture Implication to the CRF category level (kt CO2 eq.) Implication to the total emission w/o LULUCF (%) 1990 2020 1990 2020 NO -2 NO 0.00 F. Field burning of agricultural residues Minor transmission error NO -2 NO 0.00 H. Urea application Minor revision on AD NO 0.00 NO 0.00 -10 775 NO -4.91 NO -10 775 NO -4.91 NO NO -94 NO -0.02 4. Land use, land-use change and forestry A. Forest land The Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Category was recalculated due to an update of the annual increment values for the years between 1990-2019 with increment borer by the ongoing National Forest Inventory Program of GDF. 5. Waste A. Solid waste disposal Minor revision of GDP data. Correction of methane recovery data. Correction of sewage sludge data. NO -125 NO -0.02 D. Wastewater treatment and discharge Correction of methane recovery data. Revision of per capita protein consumption data. NO 31 NO 0.01 -194 94 -0.09 0.02 -10 969 94 -5.00 0.02 Total CO2 equivalent emissions without land use, land-use change and forestry Total CO2 equivalent emissions with land use, land-use change and forestry Figures in the table may not add up to the totals due to rounding. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 435 435 Recalculations and Improvements Planned Improvements: Considerable improvements have been made in this submission. However, there are still areas to be improved mainly related to using higher tiers, especially for key categories. Planned improvements are summarized as follows: In energy sector; Emissions from petroleum refining sector recalculated by using reported MRV data for the years 20182021. It is planned to recalculate the emissions from 1990-2017 by using this data with appropriate methods. Prior to 2011 several manufacturing sectors that have their own categories (Pulp, Paper & Print; Nonmetallic minerals; Food processing, beverages & tobacco) were not fully separated out in the national energy balance and therefore some or all of the emissions from these categories were reported under section 1A2g. This is because in the calculation of 1A2 subcategories the national energy balance tables are used and national energy balance tables are not created as time series. All relevant institutions are working together in order to overcome this inconsistency problem. Prior to 2015 1A4a and 1A4b categories were not separated out in the national energy balance and therefore all of the emissions from these categories were reported under section 1A4b. However, since 2015 they are separated. All relevant institutions are working together in order to overcome this inconsistency problem and allocate 1A4a and 1A4b categories in time series. MENR worked on agricultural association for modeling the agricultural diesel oil consumption and the disaggregation of diesel oil consumption was achieved in 2015 national energy balance tables. However national energy balance tables are not in time series therefore the allocation problem still exists between 2012 and 2014. All relevant institutions are working together and make planning in order to overcome this inconsistency problem. Since the 1.B.1 category is a key category in terms of emission trend of CH4, the tiers in CH4 estimation needs to be increased. Detailed investigation has been performed to find out the availability of country specific or basin specific EFs within both general directorates for lignite and hard coal structured under the MENR, namely, DG Turkish Lignite Enterprises and DG Turkish Hard Coal Enterprises. However, information for the generation of country-specific EFs are not available centrally in those coal authorities. Therefore, it is necessary to communicate and cooperate with mining enterprises directly to search the availability of required information for T2 estimation of CH4. 436 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 436 Recalculations and Improvements For 1.B.2 In order to increase the tiers for CH4 emission estimation, availability of detailed information have been searched. It is planned to continue the investigation to find out the availability or possibility of availability of appropriate data for higher tiers. In IPPU sector; For cement production, it is planned to collect data on plant specific CKD for the next submissions. For lime production; it is planned to obtain a country specific emission factor for dolomitic lime in next submissions. In Ceramic sector, production data were gathered from Turkish Ceramics Federation until the federation had judicial issues regarding data collection from its members in 2020. As a result of this situation, TurkStat launched studies for estimating emissions of ceramics sector from other data sources. Calculations will be examined in next submissions. For Product Use as Substitutes for ODS and Other Product Manufacture and Use (2.G) sectors improvements in the sectors data will be done within the scope of "Technical Assistance for Increased Capacity for Transposition and Capacity Building on F-Gases" project which has started in June 2017 and lasted in Aug 2020. After the adaptation of data base system, more detailed data will be collected and improvements in the sector will be done. Data generated from the Monitoring, reporting, verification (MRV) system for GHG emissions in which more than 700 plants submit their verified annual emissions data in energy and industrial sectors according to the regulations of the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change, will be examined by TurkStat in various quality aspects (coverage, accuracy, completeness, consistency). In agriculture sector; Türkiye considers the possibility of using Tier 2 method for estimating enteric fermentation emissions from sheep in the future and also searches for country specific parameters related to using Tier 2 method in manure management. In LULUCF sector; In Forestland category all activity data is planned to update by field measurements of National Forest Inventory Programme of the GDF such as this submission. The annual increment data is also planned to be disaggregated for ecozones in the medium term. The soil and dead organic matter carbon stocks will be updated as more national studies are available. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 437 437 Recalculations and Improvements In Cropland category perennial crops is planned to be disaggregated for major species including olives, vineyards etc. if a method that can be embedded into the current system can be developed. Related to management of annual croplands there are area data available but has not been estimated in this submission. The removals/emissions from cropland management including reduced tillage is planned to be reported not in the short term but in medium or long term. In Grassland category it will be possible to estimate CSC in soils when range rehabilitation data is available. There are several studies going on in grasslands in the country. The results will be incorporated into estimates as they become available. Türkiye is a partner of ICP Forests program. The ICP forest project’s soil analysis in Türkiye was initiated in January 2015 and planned to be finished by 2019. But it is not completed yet. The results of this project may enable us to improve soil and litter carbon stocks. The EU funded project entitled “The Technical Assistance for Developed an Analytical Basis for the LULUCF Sector Project” has been started in 2017 and finish in July in 2019. The project provided a spatially explicit land use tracking system. In this regard it is planned to implement a new project in the long term. In waste sector; In the scope of TurkStat's Waste Disposal and Recovery Facilities Survey, it will be determined whether there is any flaring on waste disposal sites (CRF Category 5.A). Based on the gathered information, flaring would be included in next submission. Emissions and amount of methane for energy recovery from anaerobic digestion at biogas facilities (CRF Category 5.B.2) will be included in next inventory submissions depending on the availability of such treatment processes. In Wastewater Treatment and Discharge (CRF Category 5.D), Türkiye is planning to improve the parameters used in the estimation of CH4 emissions, both for the degree of treatment utilization by population class (domestic wastewater) and for the fraction usage for different types of wastewater treatment and discharge pathways (industrial wastewater) for the entire time series. 438 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 438 Key Categories Annex 1: Key Categories This annex presents the results of Approach 1 key category analysis and results for the latest Turkish GHG inventory submission. The 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National GHG Inventories (2006 IPCC Guidelines) recommend as good practice the identification of key categories of emissions and removals. The objective is to assist inventory agencies in their prioritization efforts to improve overall estimates. A key category is defined as “one that is prioritized within the national inventory system because its estimate has a significant influence on a country’s total inventory of greenhouse gases in terms of the absolute level of emissions and removals, the trend in emissions and removals, or uncertainty in emissions and removals” (2006 IPCC Guidelines); this term is used in reference to both source and sink categories. The Approach 1 Level and Trend Assessment described in the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Vol.1, Chapter 4 is used to identify key categories from two perspectives: their contribution to the overall emissions and their contribution to the emission trend. The level assessment analyses the emission contribution that each category makes to the national total (with and without LULUCF). The trend assessment uses each category’s relative contribution to the overall emissions, but assigns greater weight to the categories whose relative trend departs from the overall trend (with and without LULUCF). In this assessment, trends are calculated as the absolute changes between base year and most recent inventory year. The percent contributions to both levels and trends in emissions are calculated and sorted in descending order. A cumulative total is calculated for both approaches. A cumulative contribution threshold of 95% for both level and trend assessments is a reasonable approximation of 90% uncertainty for the T1 method of determining key categories (2006 IPCC Guidelines). This threshold has therefore been used in this analysis to define an upper boundary for key category identification. Therefore, when source and sink contributions are sorted in decreasing order of importance, those largest ones that together contribute to 95% of the cumulative total are considered quantitatively to be key categories. Level contribution of each source or sink is calculated according to Equation 4.1. available in 2006 IPCC Guidelines while trend assessments are calculated according to the Equation 4.2. and 4.3. In the 2021 inventory key category analysis, there were 31 key categories of emissions and removals shown on the next page in Table A1. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 439 439 440 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Liquid Fuels 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Solid Fuels 1.A.1 Fuel combustion - Energy Industries - Gaseous Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Liquid Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Solid Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Gaseous Fuels 1.A.2 Fuel combustion - Manufacturing Industries and Construction - Other Fossil Fuels 1.A.3.a Domestic Aviation 1.A.3.b Road Transportation 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Liquid Fuels 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Solid Fuels 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Gaseous Fuels 1.A.4 Other Sectors - Biomass 1.B.1 Fugitive emissions from Solid Fuels 1.B.2.b Fugitive Emissions from Fuels - Oil and Natural Gas - Natural Gas 2.A.1 Cement Production 2.A.2 Lime Production 2.A.4 Other Process Uses of Carbonates 2.C.1 Iron and Steel Production 2.F.6 Other Applications 3.A Enteric Fermentation 3.B Manure Management 3.B Manure Management 3.D.1 Direct N2O Emissions From Managed Soils 3.D.2 Indirect N2O Emissions From Managed Soils 4.A.1 Forest Land Remaining Forest Land 4.G Harvested Wood Products 4(V) Biomass Burning 5.A Solid Waste Disposal 5.D Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 5.D Wastewater Treatment and Discharge KEY CATEGORIES OF EMISSIONS AND REMOVALS CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 Aggregate F-gases CH4 CH4 N2O N2O N2O CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CH4 N2O Gas Table A1 Key category analysis summary, 2021 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 440 Criteria used Key for key Key category category source including excluding identification LULUCF LULUCF L T Key Categories 1.A.1. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.1. 2.A.1. 1.A.4. 3.A. 4.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 3.D.a. 1.A.4. 4.G. 1.A.4. 2.C.1. 1.A.2. 5.A. 2.F.6. 1.B.1 1.A.1. 3.B. 3.B. 3.D.b. 5.D. 2.A.4. 1.A.3.a. 2.A.2. 1.B.2.b 5.D. 2.B.2. 1.A.2. 2.B.1. 1.A.3.b. 3.H. 1.A.4. Energy industries Road Transportation Energy industries Cement Production (Mineral Products) Other sectors Enteric fermentation Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Manufacturing industries and construction Manufacturing industries and construction Direct N2O emissions from managed soils Other sectors Harvested Wood Products Other sectors Iron and Steel Production Manufacturing industries and construction Solid waste disposal Other applications Fugitive Emissions from Solid fuels Energy industries Manure management Manure management Indirect N2O Emissions from managed soils Wastewater treatment and discharge Other process uses of carbonates Domestic Aviation Lime Production (Mineral Products) Natural Gas Wastewater treatment and discharge Nitric acid production Manufacturing industries and construction Ammonia Production Road Transportation Urea application Other sectors Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Solid fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 HFC CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 105 822 84 699 45 660 44 227 41 361 34 953 -34 770 28 644 25 118 23 226 18 811 -15 725 12 084 11 898 10 281 9 338 6 880 6 493 6 448 5 155 3 988 3 023 2 972 2 831 2 826 2 751 2 486 2 356 2 023 1 830 1 489 1 395 1 302 1 177 105 84 45 44 41 34 34 28 25 23 18 15 12 11 10 9 6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 822 699 660 227 361 953 770 644 118 226 811 725 084 898 281 338 880 493 448 155 988 023 972 831 826 751 486 356 023 830 489 395 302 177 Table A2 Key category analysis level assessment with LULUCF, 2021 Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) 17.09 13.68 7.37 7.14 6.68 5.65 5.62 4.63 4.06 3.75 3.04 2.54 1.95 1.92 1.66 1.51 1.11 1.05 1.04 0.83 0.64 0.49 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.44 0.40 0.38 0.33 0.30 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.19 Cont. (%) 441 17.09 30.77 38.15 45.29 51.97 57.62 63.23 67.86 71.91 75.67 78.70 81.24 83.20 85.12 86.78 88.29 89.40 90.45 91.49 92.32 92.96 93.45 93.93 94.39 94.85 95.29 95.69 96.07 96.40 96.69 96.93 97.16 97.37 97.56 Cumulative Key Categories 441 1.A.4. 1.A.3.d. 2.A.3. 1.A.1. 4.C.2. 4.A.1. 4.F.2. 1.A.1. 2.B.7. 1.B.2.c 2.C.6. 4.B.2. 1.A.4. 4.A.1. 4.E.2. 1.B.2.a 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.e. 4.A.2. 2.F.3. 1.A.3.c. 3.C. 4.D.2. 1.B.2.c 2.C.2. 2.D.1. 4.B.1. 1.A.2. 3.F. 2.C.3. 1.A.4. 1.A.4. 4.(IV).2. 1.A.4. N2O CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 CH4 CH4 CO2 CO2 HFC CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 N2O CH4 CO2 CH4 N2O N2O N2O 1 141 1 053 807.1 736.3 712.4 696.2 685.8 639.5 615.1 591.2 578.9 486.7 479.9 459.1 420.8 407.4 405.4 360.3 -332.2 329.4 318.3 269.3 225.6 202.3 193.0 163.1 -124.3 122.3 121.2 117.8 93.3 84.8 78.1 76.3 1 141 1 053 807.1 736.3 712.4 696.2 685.8 639.5 615.1 591.2 578.9 486.7 479.9 459.1 420.8 407.4 405.4 360.3 332.2 329.4 318.3 269.3 225.6 202.3 193.0 163.1 124.3 122.3 121.2 117.8 93.3 84.8 78.1 76.3 Table A2 Key category analysis level assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) Other sectors Liquid fuels Domestic Navigation Gas/diesel oil Glass Production Energy industries Solid fuels Land Converted to Grassland Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Land Converted to Other Land Energy industries Gaseous fuels Soda ash production Venting and flaring Zinc Production Land Converted to Cropland Other sectors Biomass Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Land Converted to Settlements Oil Road Transportation Other transportation Land Converted to Forest Land Fire protection Railways Rice cultivation Land Converted to Wetlands Venting and flaring Ferroalloys Production Lubricant Use Cropland Remaining Cropland Manufacturing industries and construction Solid fuels Field burning of agricultural residues Aluminium Production Other sectors Gaseous fuels Other sectors Solid fuels Indirect N2O Emissions from nitrogen leaching and run-off Other sectors Biomass Sector 0.18 0.17 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 442 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 442 97.74 97.91 98.05 98.16 98.28 98.39 98.50 98.61 98.70 98.80 98.89 98.97 99.05 99.12 99.19 99.26 99.32 99.38 99.44 99.49 99.54 99.58 99.62 99.65 99.68 99.71 99.73 99.75 99.77 99.79 99.80 99.82 99.83 99.84 Cont. (%) Cumulative Key Categories 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 2.C.4. 1.A.2. 2.C.4. 1.A.3.c. 3.F. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.a. 2.G.1. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 4.B.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 2.C.1. 1.A.2. 5.B. 1.A.2. 5.B. 2.C.5. 4.C.2. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.d. 2.B.5. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other Energy industries Domestic Navigation Magnesium Production Manufacturing industries and construction Magnesium production Railways Field burning of agricultural residues Manufacturing industries and construction Domestic Aviation Electrical equipment Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Land Converted to Cropland Other sectors Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Energy industries Iron and Steel Production Manufacturing industries and construction Biological treatment of solid waste Manufacturing industries and construction Biological treatment of solid waste Lead Production Land Converted to Grassland Manufacturing industries and construction Domestic Navigation Carbide production Manufacturing industries and construction Energy industries Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Liquid fuels Biomass Other fossil fuels Gas/diesel oil Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Biomass Biomass Residual fuel oil Other fossil fuels Solid fuels CO2 CH4 SF6 N2O CO2 SF6 N2O CO2 N2O N2O CH4 N2O SF6 CH4 N2O N2O N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 N2O CO2 N2O CH4 N2O CO2 CH4 CH4 74.1 68.5 65.0 63.5 62.7 49.8 49.6 38.5 37.5 37.5 31.2 29.3 29.2 28.6 26.7 25.1 22.2 19.1 19.1 18.8 16.7 15.7 14.5 11.3 10.3 10.0 10.0 9.9 8.7 8.5 8.1 7.7 74.1 68.5 65.0 63.5 62.7 49.8 49.6 38.5 37.5 37.5 31.2 29.3 29.2 28.6 26.7 25.1 22.2 19.1 19.1 18.8 16.7 15.7 14.5 11.3 10.3 10.0 10.0 9.9 8.7 8.5 8.1 7.7 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 443 99.85 99.87 99.88 99.89 99.90 99.90 99.91 99.92 99.92 99.93 99.94 99.94 99.95 99.95 99.95 99.96 99.96 99.96 99.97 99.97 99.97 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 Table A2 Key category analysis level assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) Cont. (%) Cumulative Key Categories 443 Total 4.D.2. 1.B.2.a 1.A.1. 5.C. 1.B.2.b 5.C. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.1. 2.B.8. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.1. 1.B.2.c 1.A.1. 4.A.2. 5.C. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.c. 4.A.2. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.3.d. 1.C. 2.E.5. 4.C.1. 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. Land Converted to Wetlands Oil Energy industries Incineration and open burning of waste Natural Gas Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic Navigation Energy industries Petrochemical and carbon black production Domestic Aviation Energy industries Venting and flaring Energy industries Land Converted to Forest Land Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic Navigation Railways Land Converted to Forest Land Other transportation Other transportation Domestic Navigation CO2 Transport and storage Other Grassland Remaining Grassland Other Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Sector 444 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Biomass Biomass Biomass Residual fuel oil Residual fuel oil Other fossil fuels Other fossil fuels Gas/diesel oil Liquid fuels Liquid fuels N2O CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CO2 HFC CO2 PFC CO2 CO2 CO2 517 243.99 4.4 4.1 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 619 146.05 4.4 4.1 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Table A2 Key category analysis level assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont. (%) 444 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cumulative Key Categories 1.A.1. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.1. 2.A.1. 1.A.4. 3.A. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 3.D.a. 1.A.4. 1.A.4. 2.C.1. 1.A.2. 5.A. 2.F.6. 1.B.1 1.A.1. 3.B. 3.B. 3.D.b. 5.D. 2.A.4. 1.A.3.a. 2.A.2. 1.B.2.b 5.D. 2.B.2. 1.A.2. 2.B.1. 1.A.3.b. 3.H. 1.A.4. Energy industries Road Transportation Energy industries Cement Production (Mineral Products) Other sectors Enteric fermentation Manufacturing industries and construction Manufacturing industries and construction Direct N2O emissions from managed soils Other sectors Other sectors Iron and Steel Production Manufacturing industries and construction Solid waste disposal Other applications Fugitive Emissions from Solid fuels Energy industries Manure management Manure management Indirect N2O Emissions from managed soils Wastewater treatment and discharge Other process uses of carbonates Domestic Aviation Lime Production (Mineral Products) Natural Gas Wastewater treatment and discharge Nitric acid production Manufacturing industries and construction Ammonia Production Road Transportation Urea application Other sectors Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Solid fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 HFC CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 105 84 45 44 41 34 28 25 23 18 12 11 10 9 6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 822 699 660 227 361 953 644 118 226 811 084 898 281 338 880 493 448 155 988 023 972 831 826 751 486 356 023 830 489 395 302 177 105 84 45 44 41 34 28 25 23 18 12 11 10 9 6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 822 699 660 227 361 953 644 118 226 811 084 898 281 338 880 493 448 155 988 023 972 831 826 751 486 356 023 830 489 395 302 177 Table A3 Key category analysis level assessment without LULUCF, 2021 Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) 18.75 15.01 8.09 7.84 7.33 6.19 5.08 4.45 4.12 3.33 2.14 2.11 1.82 1.65 1.22 1.15 1.14 0.91 0.71 0.54 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.44 0.42 0.36 0.32 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.21 Cont. (%) 445 18.75 33.76 41.85 49.68 57.01 63.20 68.28 72.73 76.85 80.18 82.32 84.43 86.25 87.90 89.12 90.27 91.42 92.33 93.04 93.57 94.10 94.60 95.10 95.59 96.03 96.45 96.80 97.13 97.39 97.64 97.87 98.08 Cumulative Key Categories 445 1.A.4. 1.A.3.d. 2.A.3. 1.A.1. 1.A.1. 2.B.7. 1.B.2.c 2.C.6. 1.A.4. 1.B.2.a 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.e. 2.F.3. 1.A.3.c. 3.C. 1.B.2.c 2.C.2. 2.D.1. 1.A.2. 3.F. 2.C.3. 1.A.4. 1.A.4. 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 2.C.4. 1.A.2. 2.C.4. 446 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Biomass Biomass Residual fuel oil Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Biomass Other fossil fuels Solid fuels Solid fuels Biomass Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Gas/diesel oil N2O CO2 CO2 N2O N2O CO2 CH4 CO2 CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 HFC CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 N2O CH4 CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CO2 CH4 SF6 N2O CO2 SF6 N2O CO2 1 141 1 053 807.1 736.3 639.5 615.1 591.2 578.9 479.9 407.4 405.4 360.3 329.4 318.3 269.3 202.3 193.0 163.1 122.3 121.2 117.8 93.3 84.8 76.3 74.1 68.5 65.0 63.5 62.7 49.8 49.6 38.5 1 141 1 053 807.1 736.3 639.5 615.1 591.2 578.9 479.9 407.4 405.4 360.3 329.4 318.3 269.3 202.3 193.0 163.1 122.3 121.2 117.8 93.3 84.8 76.3 74.1 68.5 65.0 63.5 62.7 49.8 49.6 38.5 Table A3 Key category analysis level assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) Other sectors Domestic Navigation Glass Production Energy industries Energy industries Soda ash production Venting and flaring Zinc Production Other sectors Oil Road Transportation Other transportation Fire protection Railways Rice cultivation Venting and flaring Ferroalloys Production Lubricant Use Manufacturing industries and construction Field burning of agricultural residues Aluminium Production Other sectors Other sectors Other sectors Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other Energy industries Domestic Navigation Magnesium Production Manufacturing industries and construction Magnesium production Sector 0.20 0.19 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Cont. (%) 446 98.28 98.47 98.61 98.74 98.85 98.96 99.07 99.17 99.26 99.33 99.40 99.46 99.52 99.58 99.63 99.66 99.70 99.72 99.75 99.77 99.79 99.81 99.82 99.83 99.85 99.86 99.87 99.88 99.89 99.90 99.91 99.92 Cumulative Key Categories 1.A.3.c. 3.F. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.a. 2.G.1. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 2.C.1. 1.A.2. 5.B. 1.A.2. 5.B. 2.C.5. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.d. 2.B.5. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 2.C.3. 2.D.2. 1.B.2.a 1.A.1. 5.C. 1.B.2.b 5.C. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.1. 2.B.8. Railways Field burning of agricultural residues Manufacturing industries and construction Domestic Aviation Electrical equipment Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Energy industries Iron and Steel Production Manufacturing industries and construction Biological treatment of solid waste Manufacturing industries and construction Biological treatment of solid waste Lead Production Manufacturing industries and construction Domestic Navigation Carbide production Manufacturing industries and construction Energy industries Aluminium Production Paraffin Wax Use Oil Energy industries Incineration and open burning of waste Natural Gas Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic Navigation Energy industries Petrochemical and carbon black production Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Gas/diesel oil Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Biomass Other fossil fuels Gas/diesel oil Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Biomass N2O N2O CH4 N2O SF6 CH4 N2O N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 N2O CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 CH4 CH4 PFC CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 37.5 37.5 31.2 29.3 29.2 28.6 26.7 22.2 19.1 19.1 18.8 16.7 15.7 14.5 11.3 10.3 10.0 9.9 8.7 8.5 8.1 7.7 6.8 6.7 4.1 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 1.4 37.5 37.5 31.2 29.3 29.2 28.6 26.7 22.2 19.1 19.1 18.8 16.7 15.7 14.5 11.3 10.3 10.0 9.9 8.7 8.5 8.1 7.7 6.8 6.7 4.1 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.5 1.4 Table A3 Key category analysis level assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont. (%) 447 99.92 99.93 99.94 99.94 99.95 99.95 99.96 99.96 99.96 99.97 99.97 99.97 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cumulative Key Categories 447 Total 1.A.3.a. 1.A.1. 1.B.2.c 1.A.1. 5.C. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.3.d. 1.C. 2.E.5. 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 448 Biomass Biomass Biomass Residual fuel oil Residual fuel oil Other fossil fuels Other fossil fuels CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 CO2 HFC PFC CO2 CO2 CO2 564 389.75 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 564 389.75 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Table A3 Key category analysis level assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Fuel GAS 2021 Emission ABS (Emission) Domestic Aviation Energy industries Venting and flaring Energy industries Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic Navigation Railways Other transportation Other transportation Domestic Navigation CO2 Transport and storage Other Other Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Sector 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont. (%) Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 448 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cumulative Key Categories 4.A.1. 1.A.1. 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 2.A.1. 1.A.2. 4.G. 3.A. 1.A.4. 3.D.a. 1.A.1. 5.A. 1.A.4. 2.C.1. 5.D. 2.F.6. 2.A.2. 1.B.2.b 3.B. 3.D.b. 1.B.1 2.A.4. 3.B. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.4. 2.C.3. 5.D. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.4. Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Energy industries Other sectors Energy industries Road Transportation Manufacturing industries and construction Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Cement Production (Mineral Products) Manufacturing industries and construction Harvested Wood Products Enteric fermentation Other sectors Direct N2O emissions from managed soils Energy industries Solid waste disposal Other sectors Iron and Steel Production Wastewater treatment and discharge Other applications Lime Production (Mineral Products) Natural Gas Manure management Indirect N2O Emissions from managed soils Solid fuels Other process uses of carbonates Manure management Railways Other sectors Aluminium Production Wastewater treatment and discharge Manufacturing industries and construction Domestic Aviation Other sectors Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Biomass Other fossil fuels Solid fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Fuel CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 CH4 CO2 CH4 HFC CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 CO2 CH4 CO2 CH4 PFC N2O CO2 CO2 N2O Gas -34 769.50 105 821.85 41 360.99 45 659.89 84 698.63 28 643.76 25 118.37 12 083.73 44 226.79 10 281.13 -15 725.04 34 953.37 18 810.95 23 225.97 6 447.94 9 337.64 479.90 11 897.51 2 971.81 6 880.25 2 750.94 2 485.56 5 155.27 3 023.00 6 493.45 2 831.22 3 988.27 318.31 1 177.33 6.78 2 356.43 1 830.30 2 825.83 76.27 2021 913.74 359.72 2 248.73 143.70 3 084.28 2 137.50 3 598.18 618.97 2 352.09 651.19 1 023.23 472.80 1 440.99 -63 752.02 26 085.75 93.89 5 024.67 24 142.97 22 199.68 1 557.79 14 433.04 10 444.54 13 246.53 -2 906.72 22 396.72 14 749.94 15 176.02 5 954.30 6 729.60 2 263.35 6 938.83 2 789.04 1990 Table A4 Key category analysis trend assessment with LULUCF, 2021 0.182 0.163 0.144 0.120 0.104 0.076 0.075 0.072 0.072 0.069 0.058 0.056 0.051 0.039 0.025 0.021 0.016 0.014 0.012 0.011 0.008 0.008 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 Trend 12.22 10.92 9.65 8.03 7.00 5.11 5.06 4.86 4.81 4.65 3.87 3.74 3.45 2.64 1.66 1.40 1.09 0.91 0.79 0.75 0.55 0.51 0.43 0.43 0.39 0.33 0.32 0.27 0.27 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.17 Cont 449 12.22 23.15 32.80 40.83 47.83 52.94 58.01 62.86 67.67 72.32 76.19 79.93 83.38 86.02 87.68 89.08 90.17 91.08 91.87 92.61 93.17 93.67 94.11 94.54 94.93 95.27 95.59 95.86 96.13 96.38 96.59 96.79 96.97 97.14 Cum. Key Categories 449 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 2.A.3. 1.A.3.d. 1.B.2.a 4.A.1. 2.B.1. 1.A.1. 2.C.6. 3.F. 1.A.4. 2.B.2. 4.A.2. 4.A.1. 4.C.2. 4.F.2. 1.B.2.c 1.B.2.c 2.B.7. 1.A.3.e. 3.H. 2.D.1. 4.B.2. 4.E.2. 1.A.3.b. 2.B.8. 1.A.3.b. 2.F.3. 5.C. 3.F. 4.B.1. 2.B.5. 1.A.3.c. 2.C.3. 450 Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gas/diesel oil Gaseous fuels Residual fuel oil Fuel N2O CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 N2O HFC CH4 N2O CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 Gas 2021 639.50 62.70 807.11 1 053.50 407.39 696.23 1 488.76 736.29 578.89 121.19 1 141.09 2 023.13 -332.21 459.10 712.43 685.80 591.16 202.32 615.14 360.33 1 301.63 163.07 486.66 420.85 405.44 1.35 1 394.77 329.44 3.11 37.45 -124.28 8.50 37.53 117.78 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 67.31 81.93 0.69 58.99 68.71 99.16 96.49 81.49 537.71 39.29 459.95 175.11 126.99 217.58 2.57 282.87 111.30 220.75 419.87 74.60 424.76 96.71 37.84 265.12 692.17 1 063.63 20.70 49.19 1990 Table A4 Key category analysis trend assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Energy industries Domestic Navigation Glass Production Domestic Navigation Oil Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Ammonia Production Energy industries Zinc Production Field burning of agricultural residues Other sectors Nitric acid production Land Converted to Forest Land Forest Land Remaining Forest Land Land Converted to Grassland Land Converted to Other Land Venting and flaring Venting and flaring Soda ash production Other transportation Urea application Lubricant Use Land Converted to Cropland Land Converted to Settlements Road Transportation Petrochemical and carbon black production Road Transportation Fire protection Incineration and open burning of waste Field burning of agricultural residues Cropland Remaining Cropland Carbide production Railways Aluminium Production Sector 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 Cont 450 97.29 97.43 97.56 97.68 97.81 97.94 98.06 98.18 98.30 98.41 98.51 98.60 98.69 98.77 98.85 98.92 99.00 99.06 99.13 99.19 99.25 99.31 99.36 99.41 99.45 99.50 99.54 99.57 99.61 99.64 99.67 99.70 99.73 99.75 Cum. Key Categories 4.D.2. 1.A.4. 5.C. 1.A.4. 2.C.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 3.C. 4.(IV).2. 1.A.1. 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 5.C. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 2.C.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 2.C.4. 1.A.2. 2.G.1. 2.D.2. 4.B.2. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.2. 5.B. 1.A.1. 2.C.5. 5.B. Fuel Land Converted to Wetlands Other sectors Gaseous fuels Incineration and open burning of waste Other sectors Solid fuels Ferroalloys Production Other sectors Liquid fuels Manufacturing industries and construction Liquid fuels Manufacturing industries and construction Solid fuels Rice cultivation Indirect N2O Emissions from nitrogen leaching and run-off Energy industries Other fossil fuels Other Energy industries Biomass Incineration and open burning of waste Manufacturing industries and construction Gaseous fuels Energy industries Liquid fuels Manufacturing industries and construction Solid fuels Energy industries Gaseous fuels Magnesium Production Manufacturing industries and construction Biomass Other sectors Gaseous fuels Manufacturing industries and construction Liquid fuels Magnesium production Manufacturing industries and construction Biomass Electrical equipment Paraffin Wax Use Land Converted to Cropland Manufacturing industries and construction Gaseous fuels Domestic Aviation Manufacturing industries and construction Other fossil fuels Biological treatment of solid waste Energy industries Solid fuels Lead Production Biological treatment of solid waste Sector CO2 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 N2O N2O CH4 N2O CO2 SF6 N2O N2O N2O N2O CH4 CH4 SF6 N2O N2O CH4 CO2 CH4 SF6 CO2 N2O CH4 N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O Gas 225.61 93.28 3.65 84.78 192.97 19.10 19.13 122.32 269.33 78.14 74.11 65.03 63.48 0.55 26.69 4.06 68.45 28.57 49.80 49.62 22.24 8.08 38.52 31.22 29.23 6.68 25.11 11.33 29.29 15.71 14.47 18.84 10.03 10.35 2021 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 9.37 5.71 2.20 6.70 0.70 8.88 8.25 0.00 0.05 12.66 11.23 0.84 12.59 40.84 2.16 0.21 26.59 61.00 61.56 30.81 30.11 72.60 100.08 1990 Table A4 Key category analysis trend assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont 451 99.78 99.80 99.81 99.83 99.84 99.85 99.86 99.87 99.88 99.89 99.90 99.91 99.91 99.92 99.92 99.93 99.94 99.94 99.95 99.95 99.96 99.96 99.97 99.97 99.97 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 Cum. Key Categories 451 4.C.2. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.1. 4.A.2. 1.B.2.b 4.D.2. 4.A.2. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.d. 1.B.2.a 1.B.2.c 2.C.1. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.1. 1.A.1. 1.C. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.3.e. 2.B.8. 2.E.5. 4.C.1. 4.D.1.1. 2.E.5. 452 Total Other fossil fuels Other fossil fuels Gas/diesel oil Residual fuel oil Gas/diesel oil Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Residual fuel oil Biomass Fuel N2O N2O CH4 CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 CH4 N2O CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 CH4 HFC CO2 CO2 PFC Gas Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.13 0.02 0.02 0.05 1.02 0.86 0.53 0.63 2.38 0.91 7.89 0.31 1.79 0.00 3.05 2.15 0.00 1.55 0.25 1990 517 243.99 153 015.20 0.01 0.11 0.03 10.02 8.69 9.88 2.51 0.49 7.66 0.56 3.37 4.37 0.37 0.46 2.55 0.14 4.12 0.85 16.72 1.26 0.94 0.59 0.13 0.19 0.16 2021 Table A4 Key category analysis trend assessment with LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Land Converted to Grassland Domestic Navigation Manufacturing industries and construction Energy industries Domestic Navigation Energy industries Land Converted to Forest Land Natural Gas Land Converted to Wetlands Land Converted to Forest Land Railways Domestic Navigation Domestic Navigation Oil Venting and flaring Iron and Steel Production Domestic Aviation Energy industries Energy industries CO2 Transport and storage Other transportation Other transportation Petrochemical and carbon black production Other Grassland Remaining Grassland Peat Extraction Remaining Peat Extraction Other Sector 1.49 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont 452 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cum. Key Categories 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.3.b. 3.A. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 2.A.1. 3.D.a. 1.A.1. 5.A. 2.C.1. 1.A.4. 5.D. 2.A.2. 3.B. 1.B.1 2.F.6. 3.D.b. 1.B.2.b 3.B. 1.A.4. 1.A.3.c. 5.D. 2.A.4. 2.C.3. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 2.B.2. 1.B.2.a 1.A.3.d. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Residual fuel oil Biomass Other fossil fuels Solid fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Fuel CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 N2O CO2 CH4 CO2 CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 HFC N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 PFC N2O CO2 N2O CH4 CO2 Gas 1 2 2 2 2 2 5 6 6 3 2 3 1 41 105 45 28 12 10 84 34 25 18 44 23 6 9 11 360.99 821.85 659.89 643.76 083.73 281.13 698.63 953.37 118.37 810.95 226.79 225.97 447.94 337.64 897.51 479.90 971.81 750.94 155.27 493.45 880.25 023.00 485.56 988.27 177.33 318.31 356.43 831.22 6.78 76.27 830.30 023.13 407.39 62.70 2021 1 063.63 419.87 282.87 2 137.50 143.70 2 352.09 1 023.23 651.19 1 440.99 618.97 472.80 359.72 26 5 22 14 13 24 22 1 14 10 15 5 6 6 2 2 2 3 3 93.89 085.75 024.67 199.68 433.04 246.53 142.97 396.72 557.79 749.94 444.54 176.02 954.30 729.60 938.83 263.35 789.04 248.73 084.28 598.18 1990 Table A5 Key category analysis trend assessment without LULUCF, 2021 Other sectors Energy industries Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Manufacturing industries and construction Road Transportation Enteric fermentation Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Cement Production (Mineral Products) Direct N2O emissions from managed soils Energy industries Solid waste disposal Iron and Steel Production Other sectors Wastewater treatment and discharge Lime Production (Mineral Products) Manure management Solid fuels Other applications Indirect N2O Emissions from managed soils Natural Gas Manure management Other sectors Railways Wastewater treatment and discharge Other process uses of carbonates Aluminium Production Other sectors Manufacturing industries and construction Nitric acid production Oil Domestic Navigation Sector 0.187 0.177 0.149 0.130 0.114 0.108 0.103 0.103 0.096 0.087 0.079 0.072 0.040 0.036 0.027 0.024 0.019 0.014 0.013 0.013 0.012 0.011 0.010 0.009 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 Trend 10.90 10.27 8.68 7.54 6.63 6.30 6.00 6.00 5.60 5.07 4.61 4.19 2.35 2.11 1.57 1.42 1.11 0.80 0.74 0.73 0.71 0.66 0.56 0.55 0.39 0.36 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.22 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 Cont 453 10.90 21.17 29.85 37.39 44.02 50.32 56.32 62.32 67.91 72.98 77.58 81.77 84.12 86.23 87.80 89.22 90.33 91.13 91.87 92.60 93.31 93.97 94.53 95.07 95.46 95.82 96.17 96.50 96.82 97.05 97.24 97.43 97.60 97.78 Cum. Key Categories 453 1.A.4. 1.A.1. 3.F. 2.A.3. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 2.C.6. 1.A.3.a. 2.B.1. 1.B.2.c 2.D.1. 1.B.2.c 1.A.3.e. 2.B.7. 2.B.8. 3.F. 5.C. 1.A.3.b. 2.B.5. 1.A.3.c. 2.C.3. 2.F.3. 3.H. 1.A.4. 1.A.4. 5.C. 1.A.2. 1.A.4. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 2.C.2. 1.A.1. 5.C. 1.A.1. 454 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Liquid fuels Other fossil fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Solid fuels Gas/diesel oil Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Fuel N2O N2O CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 N2O CH4 CH4 CO2 N2O CO2 HFC CO2 CH4 N2O CO2 N2O CH4 N2O CH4 CO2 CO2 N2O N2O Gas 2021 1 141.09 639.50 121.19 807.11 736.29 1 053.50 578.89 2 825.83 1 488.76 202.32 163.07 591.16 360.33 615.14 1.35 37.45 3.11 405.44 8.50 37.53 117.78 329.44 1 301.63 93.28 84.78 3.65 122.32 19.10 19.13 68.45 192.97 74.11 0.55 4.06 1990 11.23 12.59 459.95 0.21 61.00 26.59 72.60 30.81 30.11 40.84 61.56 81.49 81.93 67.31 96.49 58.99 68.71 99.16 692.17 2.57 265.12 111.30 96.71 220.75 37.84 913.74 424.76 217.58 175.11 126.99 39.29 Table A5 Key category analysis trend assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Other sectors Energy industries Field burning of agricultural residues Glass Production Energy industries Domestic Navigation Zinc Production Domestic Aviation Ammonia Production Venting and flaring Lubricant Use Venting and flaring Other transportation Soda ash production Petrochemical and carbon black production Field burning of agricultural residues Incineration and open burning of waste Road Transportation Carbide production Railways Aluminium Production Fire protection Urea application Other sectors Other sectors Incineration and open burning of waste Manufacturing industries and construction Other sectors Manufacturing industries and construction Manufacturing industries and construction Ferroalloys Production Energy industries Incineration and open burning of waste Energy industries Sector 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Cont 454 97.95 98.12 98.26 98.40 98.53 98.66 98.79 98.92 99.02 99.11 99.19 99.26 99.33 99.39 99.45 99.49 99.54 99.58 99.62 99.66 99.69 99.73 99.76 99.78 99.80 99.82 99.84 99.85 99.87 99.88 99.89 99.89 99.90 99.91 Cum. Key Categories 2.E.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.2. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 1.A.4. 2.C.4. 1.A.2. 2.C.4. 2.D.2. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.2. 3.C. 2.G.1. 5.B. 1.A.2. 5.B. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.2. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 2.C.5. 1.A.1. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.2. 2.C.1. 1.A.1. 1.B.2.b 1.B.2.a 1.A.3.c. 1.B.2.c 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.a. Other Energy industries Manufacturing industries and construction Manufacturing industries and construction Energy industries Other sectors Magnesium Production Manufacturing industries and construction Magnesium production Paraffin Wax Use Road Transportation Manufacturing industries and construction Rice cultivation Electrical equipment Biological treatment of solid waste Manufacturing industries and construction Biological treatment of solid waste Domestic Aviation Manufacturing industries and construction Energy industries Domestic Navigation Lead Production Energy industries Domestic Navigation Manufacturing industries and construction Iron and Steel Production Energy industries Natural Gas Oil Railways Venting and flaring Domestic Navigation Domestic Navigation Domestic Aviation Sector Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Residual fuel oil Gas/diesel oil Biomass Solid fuels Gas/diesel oil Other fossil fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Residual fuel oil Gaseous fuels Biomass Biomass Biomass Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Gaseous fuels Fuel SF6 N2O N2O CH4 CH4 N2O SF6 N2O CO2 CO2 N2O CH4 CH4 SF6 CH4 CH4 N2O N2O N2O CH4 N2O CO2 CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 CO2 CH4 N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 Gas 65.03 63.48 26.69 8.08 28.57 22.24 49.80 49.62 38.52 6.68 1 394.77 31.22 269.33 29.23 14.47 11.33 10.35 29.29 15.71 2.51 0.49 10.03 18.84 8.69 9.88 16.72 7.66 3.37 4.12 0.46 0.85 0.14 2.55 1.26 2021 3.05 2.15 2.20 5.71 1.79 0.00 7.89 0.00 0.25 2.38 0.86 0.91 0.63 0.53 0.31 9.37 0.70 6.70 8.88 8.25 537.71 0.00 100.08 0.84 12.66 2.16 0.05 1990 Table A5 Key category analysis trend assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont 455 99.92 99.92 99.93 99.93 99.94 99.95 99.95 99.96 99.96 99.96 99.97 99.97 99.97 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.98 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cum. Key Categories 455 1.A.1. 1.A.1. 1.C. 1.A.3.e. 2.B.8. 1.A.3.e. 2.E.5. 2.E.5. 456 Total Other fossil fuels Other fossil fuels Fuel N2O CH4 CO2 N2O CH4 CH4 HFC PFC Gas 0.00 0.13 0.02 0.05 0.02 1990 564 389.75 219 526.15 0.16 0.11 0.01 0.94 0.59 0.13 0.19 2021 Table A5 Key category analysis trend assessment without LULUCF, 2021 (cont’d) Energy industries Energy industries CO2 Transport and storage Other transportation Petrochemical and carbon black production Other transportation Other Other Sector 1.72 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Trend 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cont 456 Cum. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 Key Categories Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Uncertainty Annex 2: Uncertainty In 2019 submission, on the recommendation of the UNFCCC expert review team (ERT) in 2018, Turkish Statistical Institute has undertaken a tier 2 uncertainty analysis. Therefore, the country has estimated uncertainties both with Approach 1 and Approach 2 (Monte Carlo Simulation) methods. Approach 1 is based on equations for error propagation, and Approach 2, corresponds to the application of Monte Carlo (MC) analysis. In the IPCC Good Practice Guidance, two methodologies (Tier 1 and Tier 2) for combining uncertainties are defined. Tier 1 uses error propagation equations. The equations are appropriate, when uncertainties are relatively small, have normal distributions and have no significant covariance. Tier 2 is more sophisticated method using Monte Carlo simulation. However, according to the IPCC Good Practice Guidance (Penman et al. 2000), countries performing an uncertainty analysis according to Tier 2 should also report the Tier 1 results. The country considered the uncertainy results in both approaches for prioritizing category improvements. Especially sectors with large AD or EF uncertainties, even if they are not key categories, have been treated as key categories and more precise information has been collected on those sub-categories primarily. In order to do this, both Approach 1 and Approach 2 results are evaluated together. Table A6 shows Approach 1 results using Table 3.2 of Volume 1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for the current submission. In the 2020 submission, Approach 2 was implemented to whole IPPU sector for 2018 emission levels with SPSS Modeler 18.2 software. In the 2019 submission, Approach 2 was implemented to whole waste sector and some specific sub-sectors in energy, IPPU and agriculture sector. (The main reasons of selected categories are their large shares of in total emissions and it is thought that first uncertainty method calculations require quality control for some of them primarily in order to provide category improvements.) MC simulation results are presented in Table A7.1 and A7.2. In Monte Carlo simulation, random numbers are selected from each distribution (for example, from probability distributions of activity data and emission factors) with means of uncertainties of Approach 1, and the total emissions are calculated ten thousand to one hundred thousand of times to obtain the probability distribution of total emissions depending on the opinion of the expert conducting the study. In this MC simulation for emission uncertainties, the selected precisions were obtained after about 100,000 trials. Monte Carlo simulation allows the use of asymmetrical distributions. Normal distribution is the most widely used distribution for uncertainties. It is symmetrical around the mean and defined for all values. However, because emissions cannot be negative, normal distribution is used only in the cases where Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 457 457 Uncertainty uncertainty is lower than ±100%. Normal distribution is a two parametric distribution and can therefore be completely described with the 95% confidence interval. Moreover, some subcategories are defined with the probability density function of lognormal distribution (e.g. urea application and biological treatment of solid waste because of single-sided uncertainty distribution of ADs or EFs). Lognormal distribution is positively skewed, and it is defined only for positive values, which makes it very useful in describing emissions. Lognormal distribution is a transformation of normal distribution and is therefore also a two parametric distribution. A combination of Monte Carlo and Bootstrap simulation was applied also to some categories, with respect to specific data availability assuming a normal distribution for activity data and for the emission factor of natural gas. In 2020 submission, for entire IPPU sector, all distributions assumed were as normal distribution. According to the Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventories, quality control is “a system of routine technical activities, to measure and control the quality of the inventory as it is being developed”. The QC system is designed to provide routine and consistent checks to ensure data integrity, correctness and completeness, to identify and address errors and emissions and to document and archive inventory material and record all QC activities. Therefore, Monte Carlo is a way of QC procedure. And, for the categories with a high uncertainty, generally, further improvements are planned whenever sectoral studies can be carried out. Throughout the entire time series, the uncertainties associated with annual estimates are expressed as a 95% confidence interval, bound by 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the Monte Carlo run outputs as can be seen at the end of this chapter from uncertainty histograms. 458 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 458 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Manufacture of solid fuels Manufacture of solid fuels Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Food Processing, Beverages and Tobacco Food Processing, Beverages and Tobacco Food Processing, Beverages and Tobacco Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Other Industries Other Industries Other Industries Domestic Aviation Road Transportation Road Transportation Source Category Fuel Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Liquid Fuels Solid Fuels Gaseous Fuels Jet kerosene Gasoline Diesel oil CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 Gas Emissions in 2021 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 4 860.3 7 786.9 611.2 913.7 8 377.4 15 765.5 2 626.3 5 587.5 1.9 420.7 2 471.7 2 588.1 1 342.6 944.6 927.8 156.3 14.7 1 938.0 1 823.3 4 854.8 2 289.4 3 650.2 24 147.7 5 024.7 2 346.5 45.2 2 051.4 3 721.7 22.1 151.2 692.3 49.9 1 971.7 6 253.7 0.6 16.9 724.3 534.2 57.1 3 301.5 2 940.4 9 265.6 16 628.7 4 770.5 1 829.7 824.3 3 814.9 6 205.5 2 825.8 8 867.0 66 375.9 931.3 103 358.9 43 536.8 74.1 5 516.6 116.4 2 123.1 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq Emissions in 1990 1.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 21.2 21.2 21.2 15.8 15.8 15.8 2.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 5.0 18.0 14.1 27.8 25.5 29.2 2.0 70.7 70.7 70.7 5.5 10.1 10.1 4.1 3.4 1.1 9.6 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.2 3.5 1.5 20.4 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 12.2 12.2 12.2 22.3 22.3 22.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 7.3 19.3 19.3 19.3 8.6 19.3 15.8 28.7 26.4 30.0 7.3 71.1 71.1 71.1 7.4 11.2 11.2 AD EF Combined Unc. Unc. Unc. % % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.1 H(1) % 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 I(2) % 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 J(3) % 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.4 K(4) % 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 2.4 3.9 1.3 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.1 0.1 0.8 6.2 L(5) % 0.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 5.7 15.4 1.7 0.0 0.8 7.3 16.5 0.0 1.1 38.2 M(6) % 459 Uncertainty 459 460 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.c. 1.A.4.c. 1.B.2.a. 1.B.2.b. 1.B.2.c. 1.C 2.A.1. 2.A.2. 2.A.3. 2.A.4. 2.B.1. 2.B.5. 2.B.7. 2.B.8. 2.C.1. 2.C.2. 2.C.3. 2.C.4. 2.C.5. 2.C.6. 2.D.1. 2.D.2. Road Transportation Road Transportation Railways Railways Domestic Navigation Domestic Navigation Pipeline Transportation Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Residential Residential Residential Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Oil Natural gas Venting and flaring Transport of CO2 Cement Production (Mineral Products) Lime Production (Mineral Products) Glass Production Other process uses of carbonates Ammonia Production Carbide production Soda ash production Petrochemical and carbon black production Iron and Steel Production Ferroalloys Production Aluminium Production Magnesium Production Lead Production Zinc Production Lubricant Use Paraffin Wax Use Source Category LPG Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Residual fuel oil Gas/diesel oil Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Fuel Gas CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2.2 37.8 175.1 8.3 81.5 6 938.8 61.6 99.2 2.4 0.3 217.6 0.1 10 444.5 2 248.7 111.3 619.0 424.8 59.0 8 663.4 14 749.9 93.9 5 769.6 589.5 61.7 282.9 220.8 39.3 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 62.7 1 053.5 360.3 1 267.8 3 488.7 9 138.8 1 154.0 15 322.2 31 932.3 9 662.0 289.9 4.1 3.4 202.3 0.1 44 226.8 2 750.9 807.1 2 831.2 1 488.8 8.5 615.1 1.4 11 897.5 193.0 117.8 38.5 10.0 578.9 163.1 6.7 9 301.7 154.0 318.3 Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 10.1 10.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 15.0 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 14.1 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 3.0 30.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 25.0 5.0 20.0 20.0 % AD Unc. 5.0 7.0 1.5 14.0 3.0 1.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 7.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 20.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 25.0 5.0 10.0 20.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 11.2 12.2 2.5 14.0 15.3 15.1 8.6 10.0 15.7 8.6 10.0 15.7 8.6 15.0 9.9 50.5 50.5 50.5 50.0 5.4 10.2 3.6 30.1 5.4 20.6 5.1 14.1 12.8 25.5 5.1 11.2 32.0 50.2 53.9 102.0 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 H(1) % 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 K(4) % 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.0 1.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 L(5) % 460 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.7 6.5 4.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.d. 3.H. 4.A. 4.B. 4.C. 4.D. 4.E. 4.F. 4.G. 5.C. Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Manufacture of solid fuels Manufacture of solid fuels Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Pulp, Paper and Print Total CO2 Urea application Forest land Cropland Grassland Wetlands Settlements Other land Harvested wood products Incineration and open burning of waste Source Category Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Fuel CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 Gas CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 2.5 2.9 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.7 1.8 1.2 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 5.1 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 18.4 27.6 0.6 7.7 2.2 0.1 1.0 84 977.7 404 283.1 -2 906.7 26.6 1 301.6 -35 101.7 362.4 712.5 225.6 420.8 685.8 -15 725.0 3.6 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 459.9 -63 731.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.9 0.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 21.2 21.2 21.2 15.8 15.8 15.8 2.0 15.8 18.0 10.0 75.7 47.9 148.7 85.9 25.7 15.6 23.3 30.4 % AD Unc. 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 4.5 4.2 10.2 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.2 40.0 25.7 25.0 25.2 25.0 25.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.5 102.2 102.2 102.2 101.2 101.2 101.2 100.0 101.2 101.6 51.0 75.8 48.0 149.0 86.0 26.0 16.0 23.5 50.2 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 H(1) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 J(3) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 K(4) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 24.6 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.4 0.0 L(5) % 461 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 631.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty 461 462 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.e. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.c. Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Food Processing, Beverages and Food Processing, Beverages and Food Processing, Beverages and Food Processing, Beverages and Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Other Industries Other Industries Other Industries Other Industries Domestic Aviation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Railways Railways Domestic Navigation Domestic Navigation Pipeline Transportation Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Residential Residential Residential Residential Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Source Category Tobacco Tobacco Tobacco Tobacco Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid Fuels Solid Fuels Gaseous Fuels Biomass Jet kerosene Gasoline Diesel oil Liquefied petroleum gases (LPG) Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Residual fuel oil Gas/diesel oil Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Fuel CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 Gas Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 22.5 1 023.2 0.2 2 263.4 8.3 0.8 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 75.6 20.9 4.7 17.7 0.3 2.4 13.6 0.0 0.4 5.5 0.1 2.6 0.2 2.9 8.5 20.6 2.3 1 168.9 72.0 479.9 13.9 7.2 42.9 2.2 9.9 19.0 0.7 9.5 2.8 11.9 1.3 80.0 89.5 228.6 6.4 0.9 0.5 18.0 18.0 18.0 5.0 18.0 14.1 5.0 27.8 25.5 29.2 2.0 2.0 70.7 70.7 70.7 2.0 5.5 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 300.0 200.0 % Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 8.3 1.3 AD Unc. Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 80.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 105.0 135.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 250.0 101.6 101.6 101.6 100.1 101.6 101.0 100.1 103.8 103.2 104.2 100.0 100.0 122.5 122.5 122.5 100.0 80.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 105.1 135.1 52.2 52.2 100.1 100.3 101.0 100.1 100.3 101.0 100.1 316.2 320.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 EF Combined Unc. Unc. H(1) % % % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 4.7 0.0 K(4) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.3 0.0 L(5) % 462 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 23.7 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.a. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.b. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.1.c. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.2.a. 1.A.4.c. 1.B.1.a. 1.B.2.a. 1.B.2.b. 1.B.2.c. 2.B.8. 2.C.1. 3.A. 3.B. 3.C. 3.F. 4.A. 5.A.1. 5.A.2. 5.B. 5.C. 5.D.1 5.D.2 Fuel Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Public Electricity and Heat Production Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Petroleum Refining Manufacture of solid fuels Manufacture of solid fuels Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Iron and Steel Production Total CH4 Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Gaseous fuels Coal mining and handling Oil Natural gas Venting and flaring Petrochemical and carbon black production Iron and Steel Production Enteric fermentation Manure management Rice cultivation Field burning of agricultural residues Forest land Managed waste disposal Unmanaged waste disposal sites Biological treatment of solid waste Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic wastewater Industrial wastewater Source Category N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O CO2 eq CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 Gas 16.7 34 953.4 3 988.3 269.3 121.2 696.8 1 839.2 7 498.4 14.5 3.1 2 332.8 639.0 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 0.0 1.5 4.2 0.8 4.1 8.5 95.2 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.0 1.3 735.7 638.4 0.9 63.5 2.7 0.2 1.1 42 563.7 64 717.0 6 729.6 9.4 67.3 2 579.8 209.2 3 598.2 419.9 143.7 127.0 0.0 7.9 22 396.7 2 352.1 100.1 265.1 76.1 % 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.9 0.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 2.0 7.0 16.6 7.0 7.0 7.0 10.0 10.0 8.7 14.1 5.0 50.0 23.5 10.0 30.0 10.0 30.4 5.0 11.2 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 0.7 6 493.4 407.4 2 485.6 591.2 AD Unc. Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 150.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 30.0 5.0 12.0 30.0 76.7 40.0 1.7 30.8 38.1 20.0 100.0 37.7 39.1 75.2 75.0 75.1 75.0 75.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.5 100.0 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.0 100.2 150.9 100.2 100.2 100.2 31.6 11.2 14.8 33.1 76.9 64.0 23.6 32.4 48.5 22.4 104.5 38.0 40.7 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 H(1) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.8 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.0 K(4) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 L(5) % 463 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.9 0.4 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 18.7 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty 463 464 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.b. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.c. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.d. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.e. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.f. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.2.g. 1.A.3.a. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.b. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.c. 1.A.3.d. 1.A.3.d. Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Pulp, Paper and Print Food Processing, Beverages Food Processing, Beverages Food Processing, Beverages Food Processing, Beverages Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Non-metallic minerals Other Industries Other Industries Other Industries Other Industries Domestic Aviation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Road Transportation Railways Railways Domestic Navigation Domestic Navigation Source Category and and and and Tobacco Tobacco Tobacco Tobacco Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Other fossil fuels Biomass Liquid Fuels Solid Fuels Gaseous Fuels Biomass Jet kerosene Gasoline Diesel oil Liquefied petroleum gases (LPG) Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Solid fuels Residual fuel oil Gas/diesel oil Fuel N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O Gas Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 68.4 0.3 2.1 1.8 8.9 288.2 249.5 11.1 31.7 0.3 0.5 8.7 17.2 76.8 2.6 15.7 30.2 1.5 17.0 3.3 18.8 29.3 305.0 1 067.3 8.8 2.5 11.2 37.5 5.6 24.3 0.0 1.0 9.9 6.1 5.3 0.5 21.2 21.2 21.2 15.8 15.8 15.8 2.0 2.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 2.0 5.0 18.0 14.1 2.0 27.8 25.5 29.2 2.0 2.0 70.7 70.7 70.7 2.0 5.5 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 % 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 9.1 3.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 14.8 14.8 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 2.1 0.6 AD Unc. Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 85.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 250.0 142.0 150.0 140.0 140.0 102.2 102.2 102.2 101.2 101.2 101.2 100.0 100.0 101.6 101.6 101.6 100.0 100.1 101.6 101.0 100.0 103.8 103.2 104.2 100.0 100.0 122.5 122.5 122.5 100.0 85.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 250.2 142.1 150.1 140.8 140.8 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 H(1) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 K(4) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 L(5) % 464 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty 1.A.3.e. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.a. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.b. 1.A.4.c. 1.A.4.c. 1.B.2.c. 2.B.2. 3.B. 3.D. 3.F. 4.A. 4.B. 4.C. 4.D. 4.(IV). 5.B. 5.C. 5.D.1 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Total N2O Pipeline Transportation Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Commercial/institutional Residential Residential Residential Residential Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Agriculture/Forestry/Fisheries Venting and flaring Nitric acid production Manure management Agricultural soils Field burning of agricultural residues Forest land Cropland Grassland Wetlands Indirect N2O Emissions Biological treatment of solid waste Incineration and open burning of waste Wastewater treatment and discharge Source Category Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Liquid fuels Solid fuels Gaseous fuels Biomass Liquid fuels Gaseous fuels Fuel CO2 eq N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O Gas 25 001.0 6.7 11.2 1 441.0 0.9 1 063.6 3 084.3 17 313.5 81.9 50.2 11.8 61.0 0.1 359.7 680.3 40 883.2 2 2 5 26 1 0.2 1.2 15.1 4.9 0.6 69.7 17.2 76.3 139.3 0.2 0.9 023.1 155.3 249.0 37.5 459.5 25.1 10.0 4.4 78.1 10.3 0.6 356.4 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 0.0 Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 7.1 14.1 5.0 300.0 14.1 7.0 7.0 2.0 14.1 18.5 50.0 23.5 23.5 23.5 23.5 166.0 10.0 30.4 30 % AD Unc. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 250.0 100.0 100.0 20.0 50.0 94.6 40.0 0.9 4.5 4.5 4.5 350.0 20.0 100.0 42.4 100.1 100.3 101.0 100.1 100.3 101.0 100.1 316.2 250.4 100.2 100.2 20.1 52.0 96.4 64.0 23.5 23.9 23.9 23.9 387.4 22.4 104.5 51.9 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 H(1) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 19.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 K(4) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 L(5) % 465 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 417.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 M(6) % Uncertainty 465 466 472.8 472.8 7 360.6 0.1 329.4 6880.2 6.8 0.0 49.8 65.0 29.2 Gg CO2 eq Gg CO2 eq 25.0 25.0 25.0 2.0 25.0 5.0 25.0 25.0 % AD Unc. (6) Uncertainty introduced into the trend in total national emissions (5) Uncertainty in trend in national emissions introduced by activity data uncertainty 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 Overall Unc. 5.5 8.0 25.5 25.5 25.5 5.4 25.5 7.1 25.5 25.5 EF Combined Unc. Unc. % % Overall Unc. (4) Uncertainty in trend in national emissions introduced by emission factor / estimation parameter uncertainty (3) Type B sensitivity (2) Type A sensitivity (1) Contribution to Variance by Category in Year t 219 526.2 564 389.7 CO2 eq Gas HFC HFC HFC PFC PFC SF6 SF6 SF6 Total all gases without LULUCF Fuel 153 015.2 517 244.0 Total HFCs, PFCs and SF6 Other Fire protection Other applications Aluminium Production Other Magnesium Production Other Electrical equipment Total all gases with LULUCF 2.E.5. 2.F.3. 2.F.6. 2.C.3. 2.E.5. 2.C.4. 2.E.5. 2.G.1. Source Category Emissions in 2021 Emissions in 1990 Table A6 Approach 1 Uncertainty assessment (cont’d) 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 H(1) % Trend Unc. Trend Unc. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I(2) % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 J(3) % 12.3 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 K(4) % 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 L(5) % 466 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 M(6) % Uncertainty Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 Public Electricity and Heat Production Cement Production (Mineral Products) Lime Production (Mineral Products) Urea application Incineration and open burning of waste Rice cultivation Managed waste disposal Unmanaged waste disposal sites Biological treatment of solid waste Incineration and open burning of waste Domestic wastewater Industrial wastewater Biological treatment of solid waste Incineration and open burning of waste Wastewater treatment and discharge 1.A.1.a. 2.A.1. 2.A.2. 3.H. 5.C. 3.C. 5.A.1. 5.A.2. 5.B. 5.C. 5.D.1 5.D.2 5.B. 5.C. 5.D.1 Gaseous fuels Solid fuels Liquid fuels N2O N2O N2O CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 19.49 0.00 0.02 20.97 77.02 0.07 0.33 329.29 33.87 9.35 1.91 1449.63 2683.98 37272.44 45136.77 98081.63 1232.24 19.48 0.00 0.02 24.15 77.04 0.07 0.36 327.05 51.94 104.52 22.36 40.67 38.03 104.52 22.36 48.49 32.38 76.9 34.64 50.24 9.47 50.99 14.14 5.39 1.50 3.50 4.24 Combined Uncertainty (%) Approach 1 (±) 1.91 1451.54 2684.52 37270.42 44124.70 102140.92 1190.78 Estimates of 2017 Emissions (Means) with MC (kt) Source: Ulusoy, G., 2019. Investigation of Sectoral Uncertainties in Turkish Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Application of Monte Carlo Simulation. TurkStat Expertness Thesis, Ankara. Public Electricity and Heat Production 1.A.1.a. Selected Sources Public Electricity and Heat Production 1.A.1.a. 2017 Emissions (kt) Table A7.1 Approach 2 Uncertainty assessment (Monte Carlo Simulation Method) for 2017 467 -24.38, +25.56 -72.73, +100 +50 -32.71, +41.28 -40.16, +40.77 -85.71, +114.29 ±22.22 -46.85, +47.31 -34.93, +34.82 -68.95, +70.43 ±41.88 -13.54, +14.70 -12.29, +12.90 -4.97, +5.02 -1.46, +1.47 -2.97, +2.91 ±2.65 Combined Uncertainty (%) Approach 2 Uncertainty 467 468 37 025.7 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CH4 N2O IPPU Sector 2.A.1. Cement Production (Mineral Products) 2.A.2. Lime Production (Mineral Products) 2.A.3. Glass Production 2.A.4. Other process uses of carbonates 2.B.1. Ammonia Production 2.B.5. Carbide production 2.B.7. Soda ash production 2.B.8. Petrochemical and carbon black production 2.C.1. Iron and Steel Production 2.C.2. Ferroalloys Production 2.C.3. Aluminium Production 2.C.5. Lead Production 2.D.1. Lubricant Use 2.D.2. Paraffin Wax Use 2.C.1. Iron and Steel Production 2.B.2. Nitric acid production 1 823.2 17.1 13.0 193.4 8.1 107.3 169.8 12 536.6 1.2 224.4 6.2 1 038.4 3 356.3 650.0 2 786.7 2018 Emissions (kt) 1 823.8 17.3 13.0 193.4 8.1 107.4 169.9 12 599.2 1.2 224.4 6.2 1 038.3 3 354.3 650.1 2 789.5 37 027.0 Estimates of 2018 Emissions (Means) with MC (kt) 20.10 11.18 103.08 55.90 32.02 5.10 25.50 26.93 14.14 5.10 20.62 5.39 30.07 5.39 14.14 5.39 Combined Uncertainty (%) Approach 1 (±) Table A7.2 Approach 2 Uncertainty assessment (Monte Carlo Simulation Method) for 2018 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 468 ±20.59 -13.04, +11.59 -98.46, +107.31 -51.96, +59.43 -22.87, +24.60 -5.15, +5.16 -25.15, +25.52 -29.05, +29.32 ±14.29 -5.10, +5.15 -20.55, +20.87 -7.46, +7.54 -16.68, +17.81 -9.63, +9.82 -16.87, +17.92 -5.35, +5.37 Combined Uncertainty (%) Approach 2 Uncertainty Uncertainty The probability density functions resulting from the Monte Carlo assessment are shown below: Figure A1 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Public Electricity and Heat Production - Liquid fuels in ENERGY sector, 2017 Figure A2 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Public Electricity and Heat Production - Solid fuels in ENERGY sector, 2017 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 469 469 Uncertainty Figure A3 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Public Electricity and Heat Production- Gaseous fuels in ENERGY sector, 2017 Figure A4 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Cement Production in IPPU sector, 2018 470 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 470 Uncertainty Figure A5 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Lime Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A6 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Glass Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 471 471 Uncertainty Figure A7 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Ceramics in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A8 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Other Uses of Soda Ash in IPPU sector, 2018 472 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 472 Uncertainty Figure A9 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Non-Metallurgical Magnesia Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A10 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Ammonia Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 473 473 Uncertainty Figure A11 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for N2O emissions from Nitric Acid Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A12 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Carpide Production in IPPU sector, 2018 474 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 474 Uncertainty Figure A13 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Soda Ash Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A14 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Petrochemical and Carbon Black Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 475 475 Uncertainty Figure A15 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Iron and Steel Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A16 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Iron and Steel Production in IPPU sector, 2018 476 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 476 Uncertainty Figure A17 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Ferroalloys Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A18 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Aluminum Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 477 477 Uncertainty Figure A19 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Lead Production in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A20 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Lubricant Use in IPPU sector, 2018 478 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 478 Uncertainty Figure A21 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Paraffin Wax Use in IPPU sector, 2018 Figure A22 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Urea Application in AGRICULTURE sector, 2017 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 479 479 Uncertainty Figure A23 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Rice Cultivation in AGRICULTURE sector, 2017 Figure A24 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Managed SWDS in WASTE sector, 2017 480 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 480 Uncertainty Figure A25 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Unmanaged SWDS in WASTE sector, 2017 Figure A26 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Biological Treatment of Solid Waste - Composting in WASTE sector, 2017 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 481 481 Uncertainty Figure A27 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for N2O emissions from Biological Treatment of Solid Waste - Composting in WASTE sector, 2017 Figure A28 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CO2 emissions from Incineration and Open Burning Of Waste in WASTE sector, 2017 482 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 482 Uncertainty Figure A29 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Incineration and Open Burning Of Waste in WASTE sector, 2017 Figure A30 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for N2O emissions from Incineration and Open Burning of Waste in WASTE sector, 2017 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 483 483 Uncertainty Figure A31 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Wastewater Treatment and Discharge- Industrial Wastewater in WASTE sector, 2017 Figure A32 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for CH4 emissions from Wastewater Treatment and Discharge- Domestic Wastewater in WASTE sector, 2017 484 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 484 Uncertainty Figure A33 Probability density function resulting from Monte Carlo analysis for N2O emissions from Wastewater Treatment and Discharge- Domestic Wastewater in WASTE sector, 2017 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 485 485 Country Specific Carbon Content Determination and Emission Factors Annex 3: Country Specific Carbon Content Determination and Emission Factors In Türkiye we do not have ETS registry yet. Therefore, in order to calculate country specific EFs, we lean on data obtained from a number of coal firing plants, BOTAŞ and some public university laboratories. Those analyses are the basis of country specific Carbon Contents. Natural gas In order for carbon content of natural gas to be calculated, densities of gases included in it must be known to convert volumetric compositions to mass fractions. Volumetric fractions of gas concentrations were obtained through gas chromatography analysis from Petroleum Pipeline Corporation (BOTAŞ). Using density of the gases and some stoichiometry carbon mass amount coming from each gas was calculated and summed up to reach an overall carbon amount. For gaseous fuels CO measured in the stack gas was used in order to calculate unoxidised carbon’s mass percentage and then oxidation rate of the related fuel. In order to calculate the oxidation rate of gaseous fuels (natural gas), CO concentration measured in the stack gas of the related plants were obtained from the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change. Turkish Lignite Ultimate analysis results, which were obtained from coal firing plants, were used to calculate carbon content of the related coal types. In the analysis results Carbon content together with, Hydrogen, Sulphur, Oxygen moisture, ash, volatile substances contents are measured. Also net and gross calorific values are provided in the same reports. Carbon contents and net calorific values (circulated figures in the below analysis report) are used for calculating carbon content of Turkish lignite. Oxidation rate of solid fuels was calculated by using the mass percentage of carbon in ash-slag analysis reports which were obtained from coal firing plants. Hard coal Carbon contents and oxidation rates of hard coal is calculated in the same way as in Turkish Lignite. Country specific carbon content and oxidation rates of hard coal calculated based on power plants coal analysis are used for all 1.A categories. 486 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 486 Country Specific Carbon Content Determination and Emission Factors Coke oven coke Country specific Carbon content of coke oven coke is calculated based on carbon content and net calorific values provided by the integrated iron&steel facilities in Türkiye. There are 3 integrated iron&steel facilities in Türkiye and there are coke production plants in all of them. Carbon contents of all carbonaceous material used for iron and steel production is measured by all the facilities. Carbon content of coke oven coke is also measured since it is used as reducing agent in pig iron production. Annual average carbon content of coke oven coke as kg C/ton of coke and net calorific values are compiled from integrated facilities. The mass of carbon is divided by net calorific values of coke oven coke and the result is the carbon content as kg C/GJ of coke. Calculated country specific carbon content is used for estimation of CO2 emissions from coke combustion of all other sectors using coke as a fuel. Gas/diesel oil and Residual fuel oil Carbon content of gas/diesel oil and residual fuel oil is calculated based on fuel analysis made by Petroleum Research Centre at Middle East Technical University (METU) in Ankara. The Research Center was founded by METU Petroleum Engineering Department and General Directorate of Petroleum Affairs (under the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources). The main objective of the Center is to make research on the oil and gas exploration and production, refining and transportation and to conduct projects on topics requested by public and private organizations. Based on the fuel analysis of Petroleum Research Center, an example for calculation of carbon content of gas diesel oil and residual fuel oil is given below. Sample A Number of Sample B C, normalized (%) C NCV kcal/kg (average) D NCV GJ/kg (average) E C mass/kg fuel F (C/100) C content kg C/GJ G (F/E) Diesel 639/06-1106 86.261 10233 0.0428435 0.86261 20.133975 Fuel Oil 255/06-330 86.611 9901 0,0414535 0.86611 20.893530 Source: METU, Petroleum Research Laboratory, 2006. An example for oxidation rate for gas diesel oil and residual fuel oil; Oxidation rate of gas/diesel oil and residual fuel oil is calculated based on stack gas analysis of oil fired power plants. In stack gas analysis, CO percentage in stack gas is measured. Based on the inlet carbon already provided in fuel analysis report and outlet C derived from stack gas analysis, oxidation rates are calculated. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 487 487 Country Specific Carbon Content Determination and Emission Factors An example calculation is given below. Fuel oil density (kg/m3) 0.9757 CO (average v/v %) 3.25 C inlet (m/m) % 86.611 C (outlet v/v %) (*12/28) 1.39 C inlet (v/v) % 88.768 Oxidation rate, %: ((C inlet - C outlet)/C inlet)*100 = 98.43 Petroleum coke Petroleum coke is used in mostly in cement factories. There are around 54 cement factories in Türkiye. Availability of fuel analysis report is asked to the factories via official letters. Net calorific values are available in most of the factories but a few of them has carbon content analysis. Averages of all available data are used as country specific carbon content of petroleum coke. 488 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 488 Emission Factors Emissions Factors Emission Factors used for Energy Sector NCV of Fuels 2021 Hard coal 26.03 Lignite 8.27 Asphaltite 19.51 Coke 24.94 BFG 729 Coke oven gas 4 181 BOF gas 1 520 Oil 43.96 Coal tar 37.25 Petroleum Coke 32.24 Fuel oil 39.39 Diesel oil 43.33 Gasoline 44.80 LPG 47.31 Refinery gas 48.15 Jet Kerosene 44.59 Kerosene 43.75 Naphtha 45.01 By products 40.19 Basic oil 42.00 White spirit 43.50 Bitumen 40.19 Other petroleum products 40.19 Natural gas 34.54 Wood 12.56 Crop and animal residue 11.19 Biofuels 36.05 Unit TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton Kcal/kg Kcal/kg Kcal/kg TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/10^6m3 TJ/kton TJ/kton TJ/kton (TJ/kt) = (1000 TOE)/(kt) * 41.868 (TJ/10^6m3) = (1000 TOE)/(10^6m3) * 41.868 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 489 489 Emission Factors Years 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 490 Hard Coal 93.37 101.38 101.35 100.54 99.12 102.17 102.50 103.34 102.81 93.39 95.52 99.28 96.27 100.90 90.34 94.23 88.71 88.52 93.35 96.03 98.56 95.10 96.65 96.18 93.15 92.38 85.32 94.50 93.25 96.89 91.76 93.64 Country Specific CO2 Emission Factor Lignite Coke BFG COG 114.16 114.01 113.85 113.70 113.54 113.39 113.23 113.08 112.92 112.77 110.05 110.58 111.30 112.00 112.72 113.50 114.18 113.62 112.51 111.39 110.26 109.48 109.29 109.09 107.63 107.63 107.41 107.24 108.88 106.62 104.75 104.08 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.29 110.70 110.62 112.25 110.29 111.97 110.29 111.58 109.79 110.05 111.01 112.45 110.71 110.38 108.37 112.22 108.08 108.48 110.70 108.77 258.85 258.85 258.85 258.85 258.85 258.85 258.85 258.85 255.17 255.17 260.85 261.55 261.55 261.55 261.55 256.64 261.55 264.06 257.53 259.33 257.31 257.81 256.94 252.27 251.92 258.70 265.09 264.12 268.30 285.82 260.32 255.95 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.46 40.25 40.27 40.27 40.90 40.60 41.51 41.76 43.40 40.88 41.41 40.91 41.85 41.22 39.36 40.05 42.12 42.03 40.78 39.02 37.45 37.35 38.87 39.74 42.30 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 BOF Gas 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 176.53 175.60 179.97 174.71 174.81 176.39 173.73 175.09 182.31 190.08 194.38 194.80 196.53 195.64 (t/TJ) Natural Gas 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.61 55.65 55.61 55.60 55.61 55.62 55.62 55.68 55.74 56.31 55.66 55.66 55.68 55.75 55.39 55.62 55.27 53.67 55.67 55.43 Emission Factors Default CO2 Emission Factors Fuels 1990-2021 Sub bituminous coal 96.1 Coal tar 80.7 Crude oil 73.3 Petroleum Coke 97.4 Fuel Oil 77.0 Diesel Oil 72.3 Gasoline 69.3 LPG 63.1 Refinery gas 57.6 Jet kerosene 71.5 Kerosene 71.9 Naphtha 72.7 By products 73.3 Basic oil 73.3 White spirit 73.3 Bitumen 80.7 Other petroleum products 73.3 Navigation diesel oil 72.3 Navigation fuel 77.0 Wood 111.8 Biofuels and Waste 100.1 CH4 and N2O Emission Factors Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 491 491 Emission Factors CH4 and N2O Emission Factors (cont’d) 492 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 492 Emission Factors Emission factors used for IPPU Category Cement Production CKD EF Lime Production EF high calcium lime ((tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate) EF dolomitic lime (tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate) Soda (tonnes CO2/tonne Glass production/Ceramic carbonate) s/Roof and Tiles/ Dolomit (tonnes CO2/tonne Soda ash use carbonate) EF 1.02 0.52 0.69 Reference IPCC Default CS CS 0.77 Default 0.41 IPCC Vol 2. Table 2.1. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_2_Ch2_Mineral_Industry.pdf IPCC Vol 2. Table 2.1. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_2_Ch2_Mineral_Industry.pdf IPCC Vol 2. Table 2.1. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_2_Ch2_Mineral_Industry.pdf IPCC Vol 2. Table 2.1. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_2_Ch2_Mineral_Industry.pdf BOTAŞ BOTAŞ BOTAŞ Default IPCC VOL 2. Table 3.3. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_3_Ch3_Chemical_Industry.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Table 3.3. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_3_Ch3_Chemical_Industry.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Table 3.8. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_3_Ch3_Chemical_Industry.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Table 3.8. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_3_Ch3_Chemical_Industry.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Equation 3.4. https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_3_Ch3_Chemical_Industry.pdf CS, Petkim CS PS, confidential IPCC VOL 2. Table 4.5 https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_4_Ch4_Metal_Industry.pdf PS 0.48 Kalker (tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate) 0.44 Magnesia Production Magnesia (tonnes CO2/tonne carbonate) 0.52 Ammonia Production Natural Gas NCV (kcal/sm3) Natural Gas NCV (GJ/sm3) Nat Gas. Car. Cont. (kgC/GJ) Carbon Oxidation Factor Middle pressure plant (kg N2O/tonne nitric acid) 8453.7 0.0354 15.2 1 7 Nitric Acid Production with abatement technology(kg N2O/tonne nitric acid) 2.5 Carpide (tonnes CO2/tonne carbide produced) 1.09 Asetilen (tonnes CO2/tonne carbide produced) 1.1 Soda Ash Production Soda ash (tonnes CO2/tonne of Trona) 0.097 Petrochemicals Iron and Steel Production Ferro chrome production Fuel gas EAF Integrated Plants Aluminium production Net prebaked anode consumption (ton/ ton alüminyum) Carbon content wt % Carpide Production Lead production Lubricant and paraffin wax use 0.67227 0.0712 1.3 0.412 98.83 0.2 Carbon content 20 Oxidation rate 0.2 PS IPCC VOL 2. Table 4.21 https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_4_Ch4_Metal_Industry.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Table 5.2 https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_5_Ch5_Non_Energy_Products.pdf IPCC VOL 2. Equation 5.4 https://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/3_Volum e3/V3_5_Ch5_Non_Energy_Products.pdf Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 493 493 Emission Factors Emission factors/parameters used in the agriculture sector 3.A Enteric Fermentation EF (kg CH4/head/yr) Method Note 3.A.1 Cattle Dairy Cattle 83.7 T2 Latest Inventory year figure Non-Dairy Cattle 47.4 T2 Latest Inventory year figure Domestic 5.0 T1 Table 10.10 Merino 6.5 T1 Table 10.10, value is derived as follows: (developing EF + developed EF)/2 3.A.3 Swine 1.0 T1 Table 10.10 Buffalo 55.0 T1 Table 10.10 Camels 46.0 T1 Table 10.10 Goats 5.0 T1 Table 10.10 Horses 18.0 T1 Table 10.10 Mules and Asses 10.0 T1 Table 10.10 Poultry NA 3.A.2 Sheep 3.A.4 Other livestock All table references given above refer to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4 except for EFs given for cattle. 3.B(a) Manure Management CH4 Emissions EF (kg CH4/head/yr) Method Note 3.A.1 Cattle Dairy Cattle a T1 Table 5.17 Non-Dairy Cattle a T1 Table 5.17 Domestic b T1 Table 5.18 Merino b T1 Table 5.18 3.A.3 Swine a T1 Table 5.17 Buffalo b T1 Table 5.18 Camels b T1 Table 5.18 Goats b T1 Table 5.18 Horses b T1 Table 5.18 Mules and Asses b T1 Table 5.18 Poultry b T1 Table 5.18 3.A.2 Sheep 3.A.4 Other livestock a b 494 Given on Table 5.17 of this Inventory Report. Given on Table 5.18 of this Inventory Report. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 494 Emission Factors Emission factors/parameters used in the agriculture sector (continued) 3.B(b) Manure Management Direct N2O Emissions EF3 (kg N2O-N / kg N excreted) Method Note Liquid system 0.005 T1 Table 10.21 Solid storage 0.005 T1 Table 10.21 Dry lot 0.02 T1 Table 10.21 Pasture, range and paddock - T1 Reported under 3.D agricultural soils category Burned for fuel or as waste - T1 Reported under the energy sector Other (Poultry manure) 0.001 T1 Table 10.21 All table references given above refer to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. 3.B(b) Manure Management Indirect N2O Emissions Value Method Note All related manure management systems 0.01 T1 Table 11.3, EF4 [kg N2O-N / (kg NH3-N + NOx-N volatilised)] FracGASMS *** T1 ***Default values given on Table 10.22 FracLEACHMS 4.5% T1 Mid-value between 3% and 6% given for drier climates on page 10.56 All value, table and page references given above refer to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. 3.C Rice Cultivation Value EFc 1.30 SFw Unit Method Note T1 Baseline emission factor for all types of water regimes, Table 5.11 1.00 T1 Scaling factor for continuously flooded water regime, Table 5.12 SFw 0.60 T1 Scaling factor for intermittently flooded (single aeration) water regime, Table 5.12 SFw 0.52 T1 Scaling factor for intermittently flooded (multiple aeration) water regime, Table 5.12 SFp 1.00 T1 Scaling factor for non-flooded pre-season less than 180 days, Table 5.13 SFp 0.68 T1 Scaling factor for non-flooded pre-season more than 180 days, Table 5.13 SFp 1.90 T1 Scaling factor for flooded pre-season over 30 days, Table 5.13 kg CH4 /ha/ day All table references given above refer to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 495 495 Emission Factors Emission factors/parameters used in the agriculture sector (continued) 3.D.a Agricultural Soils Direct N2O Emissions EF 3.D.a.1 Inorganic N fertilizers 0.01 3.D.a.2 Organic N fertilizers 0.01 3.D.a.3 Urine and dung deposited by grazing animals 3.D.a.4 Unit kg N2O‒N / (kg N) kg N2O‒N / (kg N) Note ** kg N2O‒N / (kg N) **0.02 for cattle, buffalo, pigs, poultry and 0.01 for sheep and other animals Crop residues 0.01 kg N2O‒N / (kg N) 0.003 is taken for flooded rice & 0.01 for crop residues except flooded rice 3.D.a.5 Loss/Gain of soil organic matter 0.01 kg N2O‒N / (kg N) Note that this particular source category is currently reported as not occurring (NO). 3.D.a.6 Cultivation of organic soils 8 kg N2O‒N / ha EF2 CG, Temp for temperate organic crop and grassland soils - All EF values given above refer to Table 11.1 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. The method used for 3.D.a is T1. 3.D.b Agricultural Soils Indirect N2O Emissions Value EF4 0.01 kg N2O-N / (kg NH3-N + NOx-N volatilised) EF5 0.0075 kg N2O-N / (kg N leaching/runoff) Leaching/runoff FracGASF 0.10 kg NH3-N + NOx-N / (kg N applied) Volatilisation from synthetic fertiliser FracGASM 0.20 kg NH3-N + NOx-N / (kg N applied or deporsited) Volatilisation from all organic N fertilisers applied, and dung and urine deposited by grazing animals FracLEACH-(H) 0.015 kg N / (kg N additions or deposition by grazing animals) Country-specific value* Unit Note N volatilisation and re-deposition All values given above refer to Table 11.3 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4 except for the FracLEACH-(H) value. The T1 method was applied for 3.D.b. * Calculations on the country-specific FracLEACH-(H) value of 0.015: Equation 11.10 is given below; N2O(L)−N = (FSN + FON + FPRP + FCR + FSOM) • FracLEACH −(H) • EF5 Where F=(Fsn+Fon+Fprp+Fcr+Fsom), N2O(L)-N = F * FracLEACH-(H) * EF5 and N2O(L) = N2O-N * (44/12) Applying this equation for two different factors of FracLEACH-(H) would result in for 95% of the total area according to the map given as N2O(L)-N = F * 0.95 * FracLEACH-(H) * EF5 (where FracLEACH-(H) is 0.00) and for 5% of the total area according to the map given as N2O(L)-N = F * 0.05 * FracLEACH-(H) * EF5 (where FracLEACH-(H) is 0.30) Please note that FracLEACH-(H) (for 95% of the land area) equals 0.00 and FracLEACH-(H) (for 5% of the land area) equals 0.30. Finding a new weighted average rate for FracLEACH-(H) is as straightforward as follows: F * FracLEACH-(H)new * EF5 = {[F *0.95] * FracLEACH-(H) * EF5} + {[F * 0.05] * FracLEACH-(H)* EF5} F * FracLEACH-(H)new * EF5 = {[F *0.95] * 0.00 * EF5} + {[F * 0.05] * 0.30 * EF5} F * FracLEACH-(H)new * EF5 = { 0.00 } + { [F * 0.05] * 0.30 * EF5} F * FracLEACH-(H)new * EF5 = { F * 0.015 * EF5 } FracLEACH-(H)new = 0.015 496 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 496 Emission Factors Emission factors/parameters used in the agriculture sector (continued) Gef (g /kg) 3.F Field Burning of agricultural residues CH4 N2O Cf CH4 and N2O Method 3.F.1.1 Wheat 2.7 0.07 0.9 T1 3.F.1.2 Barley 2.7 0.07 0.9 T1 3.F.1.3 Maize 2.7 0.07 0.8 T1 3.F.1.4 Rice 2.7 0.07 0.8 T1 Note Cf value for wheat is used All values given above refer to Table 2.5 for Gef and Table 2.6 for Cf of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. EF 3.H Urea Application (tonne of C/ tonne of urea) Urea fertilisation 0.20 Method T1 Note Information given on page 11.32 of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines Volume 4. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 497 497 Emission Factors Emission factors/parameters used in the waste sector Category EF AD Source TurkStat's surveys and database Methane recovery facilities 5.A Solid waste disposal Default values in IPCC 2006, Vol 5, Chp 3 5.B Biological treatment of solid waste 5.B.1 Composting 5.B.1.a Municipal Solid Waste CH4: 4, N2O: 0.24 (IPCC 2006, Vol 5, Chp 4, Table 4.1 TurkStat's surveys and database Composting plants 5.C Incineration and open burning of waste CO2: OF= 0.58 for MSW (IPCC 2006, 5.C.2 Open Burning of Waste Vol 5, Chp 5, Table 5.2) 5.C.2.1 Biogenic CH4 & N2O: Defaults (IPCC 2006, Vol 5.C.2.1.a Municipal Solid Waste 5, Chp 5, Section 5.4.2 & Table 5.6) TurkStat's surveys and database 5.D Wastewater treatment and discharge 5.D.1 Domestic Wastewater Default values (IPCC 2006, Vol 5, Chp 6, Table 6.3 & 6.11) CS BOD values for TOW calculation (as provided below) 5.D.2 Industrial Wastewater Default values (IPCC 2006, Vol 5, Chp 6, Table 6.8 & 6.9) Country-specific BOD values BOD (g/person/day) TurkStat's surveys and database Methane recovery facilities FAOSTAT TurkStat's surveys and database I Country-specific per capita BOD for wastewater collected by sewers Correction factor for additional industrial BOD discharged into sewers 53 1 BOD (g/person/day) BOD (g/person/day) Country-specific per capita BOD for receiving bodies Country-specific per capita BOD for sludge removed 25 28 Country specific values for degrees of treatment utilization (T) by income groups Treatment or discharge system or pathway Rural Urban To To To To To To To To sea, river and lake aerobic plant, not well managed septic systems sea, river and lake aerobic plant, well managed aerobic plant, not well managed anaerobic digester for sludge septic systems Total 498 T (%) 0.43 0.44 10.72 15.43 44.01 1.82 20.83 6.31 100 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 498 National Energy Balance Sheets, 2021 Annex 4: National Energy Balance Sheets, 2021 Distribution of Energy Supply Domestic Production (+) Hard Coal Lignite Asphaltite 736 16.428 696 Import (+) 22.915 Export (-) 183 6 Coke Derivative Gases BFG COG BOF Gas Coal Tar Oil Oil Products Petroleum Coke Fuel Oil 19.000 1.584 1.572 8.022 11 1.247 3.614 755 6 11 113 32.989 3.380 Bunkers (-) -24 251 11 23.444 16.672 707 744 0 0 0 -4 -22 0 93 0 0 0 -16.534 -11.775 -562 2.667 -11.740 -11.468 -562 Main activity producer plants -10.412 -11.370 -562 Autoproducers -1.327 -98 -332 -293 Stock Change (+/-) Primary Energy Supply Statistical Difference (+/-)-Transformation Sector 4 Electricity and Heat Production Heat Production -4.259 Coke ovens 2.667 Blast Furnaces -362 144 -10 -211 0 -95 36.241 7.742 1.563 -173 0 6 0 642 713 -154 114 -36.241 36.491 1.348 467 106 325 36 -714 -429 -198 -87 -714 -429 -198 -87 -144 -64 -26 -54 794 794 -285 1.519 1.313 -988 -714 -245 -29 -77 -36 -36 39.731 -315 -2.919 19 0 44.233 2.912 -5 36 13 0 43.591 2.198 149 36 13 0 2.647 2.198 27 130 21 33 18 2 0 12 2 -15 Total final energy consumption 6.909 4.897 145 3.410 467 106 325 36 Sectors Total 6.913 4.919 145 3.317 467 106 325 4.878 2.544 24 3.317 467 106 325 0 0 327 429 327 412 Food(10) -30 -77 -35.926 -204 Manufacture of Food, beverage, tobacco products 10,11,12) -207 206 Own use and loses Industry Consumption 169 -107 114 Petroleum Refineries Mining and Quarrying (07,08,09) 287 13 1.348 1 Beverages(11) 1.327 -1.016 7 3 0 0 Tobacco (12) 17 33 4 4 291 560 0 12 8 Textile13) 152 525 Clothing (14) 138 35 Sugar(10.81) Manufacture of textile and leather (13,14,15) Leather and related (15) 0 1 11 8 1 0 0 Manufacture of wood products (16) 10 0 10 Manufacture of paper (17,18) 32 138 5 Manufacture of chemicals and petro chemicals (20,21,22) 342 144 0 18 2 Chemicals(20) 339 97 0 13 1 Fertilizer (20) 0 Pharmaceutical (21) 3 0 2 Rubberi plastics (22) 0 47 3 2.849 1.252 36 163 2.813 1.089 1.026 18 Manufacture of non-metalic minerals (23) Cement (23) Basic Metal Industry (24,25) 0 1 2 2 2.308 1 0 2.173 9 1 Glass (23) Ceramics (23) 0 2 2 2 49 39 2.258 2.135 9 3.284 466 106 323 36 13 27 0 466 106 323 36 13 15 0 7 0 Iron and steel (24) 992 3.279 Non-ferrous metals (24) 33 5 0 18 5 Manufacture of machine, electrical and electronical products (26,27,28) 0 2 4 0 0 1 5 0 2 0 Fabricated metal products 25) Manufacture of transportation Equipment(29,30) Motorized land vehicles 29) 0 1 Other transportation vehicles (30) 2 Furniture and other production(31) 0 9 Construction(41,42,43) 1 14 24 Otherr industry TRANSPORT 0 0 0 0 88 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29.940 Rail 105 Domestic Navigation 368 Domestic Aviation 954 0 19 19 Pipelines 28.513 Road Other Sectors Residential Commercial and Public services 2.035 2.374 121 1.963 1.638 121 72 736 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102 437 458 102 3.193 Agriculture and farming Non Energy Use 4.087 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.918 0 0 1.962 Petrochemicals Feedstock Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 499 499 National Energy Balance Sheets, 2021 Gas Gasoline Diesel Oil Distribution of Energy Supply LPG Refinery Gas Jet Kerosene Kerosene Naphta By Products Base oil White Spirit Bitumen Others Domestic Production (+) Import (+) 11.328 5 3.507 222 184 145 343 35 3 72 Export (-) 2.627 1.791 245 51 159 852 228 1 732 80 Bunkers (-) 313 Stock Change (+/-) 221 0 21 -8 41 0 -25 27 19 17 18 35 8.609 -1.785 3.283 -8 -2.568 0 1 -680 134 51 -711 27 0 0 5 0 0 0 77 0 0 0 0 0 17.282 4.842 1.146 8 3.521 2 2.038 1.307 140 2 1.958 2.730 17.946 4.935 1.146 1.332 3.521 2 2.038 1.307 140 2 1.958 2.730 -487 -93 Total final energy consumption 25.891 3.057 4.428 0 954 2 2.039 626 273 53 1.246 2.757 Sectors Total 25.891 3.057 4.423 0 954 2 1.962 626 273 53 1.246 2.757 311 1 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 109 0 0 Manufacture of Food, beverage, tobacco products 10,11,12)7 0 2 Food(10) 7 0 1 Beverages(11) 1 0 1 Tobacco (12) 0 Sugar(10.81) 0 0 954 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.962 626 273 53 1.246 2.757 Primary Energy Supply Statistical Difference (+/-)-Transformation Sector Electricity and Heat Production4 2.780 -178 -178 Main activity producer plants Autoproducers Heat Production Coke ovens Blast Furnaces Petroleum Refineries Own use and loses Industry Consumption Mining and Quarrying (07,08,09) Manufacture of textile and leather (13,14,15) -1.324 3 0 1 Textile13) 2 0 1 Clothing (14) 1 0 0 Leather and related (15) 0 0 Manufacture of wood products (16) 9 Manufacture of paper (17,18) 2 0 0 Manufacture of chemicals and petro chemicals (20,21,22) 6 0 9 Chemicals(20) 4 0 8 Fertilizer (20) 1 Pharmaceutical (21) 0 0 0 Rubberi plastics (22) 2 0 1 120 0 6 0 0 1 0 Manufacture of non-metalic minerals (23) Glass (23) Ceramics (23) Cement (23) Basic Metal Industry (24,25) 0 10 0 109 0 5 25 0 2 15 0 0 Non-ferrous metals (24) 7 0 0 Fabricated metal products 25) 3 0 2 Manufacture of machine, electrical and electronical products2 (26,27,28)0 2 Manufacture of transportation Equipment(29,30) Iron and steel (24) 0 4 0 0 Motorized land vehicles 29) 2 0 0 Other transportation vehicles (30) 2 0 0 Furniture and other production(31) 9 0 0 Construction(41,42,43) 14 Otherr industry 88 TRANSPORT 22.388 Rail 105 Domestic Navigation 348 3.056 3.523 954 Domestic Aviation Pipelines Road Other Sectors 21.934 3.056 3.193 0 790 0 0 435 Residential Agriculture and farming Non Energy Use Petrochemicals Feedstock 2 356 Commercial and Public services 500 3.523 3.193 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.962 Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 500 National Energy Balance Sheets, 2021 Distribution of Energy Supply Domestic Production (+) Nat. Gas Biofuels and Waste Wood Crop and animal residue Biofuels Hydro Wind 342 4.099 1.191 2.678 229 4.810 2.704 Electricty Other Heat Jeothermal Solar Total 11.234 2.059 46.720 Import (+) 48.431 201 124.296 Export (-) 316 360 9.012 3.380 Bunkers (-) 774 Stock Change (+/-) 807 49.231 4.099 1.191 2.678 229 4.810 2.704 -159 0 11.234 2.059 159.432 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 715 -19.526 -1.264 0 -1.264 0 -4.810 -2.704 24.607 3.977 -9.280 -1.199 -35.573 -17.394 -1.262 -1.262 -4.810 -2.704 28.786 2.065 -9.280 -1.199 -30.566 Main activity producer plants -14.408 -1.243 -1.243 -4.806 -2.694 26.197 1.495 -9.280 -913 -28.204 Autoproducers -2.986 -19 -19 -286 -2.362 -1.525 -1 -1 Primary Energy Supply Statistical Difference (+/-)-Transformation Sector 4 Electricity and Heat Production Heat Production -3 -10 2.589 570 2.265 -66 -684 Coke ovens 1.519 Blast Furnaces Petroleum Refineries -558 -208 Own use and loses -49 -3.971 -353 2.686 -8.462 Total final energy consumption 29.705 2.835 1.191 1.415 229 0 0 24.447 3.977 1.954 860 123.859 Sectors Total 29.705 2.835 1.191 1.415 229 0 0 24.447 3.977 1.954 860 123.144 10.824 1.077 0 1.077 0 0 0 11.481 3.914 0 301 41.488 208 41 543 Industry Consumption 164 Mining and Quarrying (07,08,09) Manufacture of Food, beverage, tobacco products 10,11,12) Food(10) 1.267 83 83 860 550 3.567 1.187 83 83 724 550 3.295 Beverages(11) 42 48 Tobacco (12) 8 22 29 Sugar(10.81) 31 0 0 67 152 1.366 5 5 1.692 118 4.042 1.128 5 5 1.403 118 3.340 228 0 0 248 Manufacture of textile and leather (13,14,15) Textile13) Clothing (14) Leather and related (15) 10 61 Manufacture of wood products (16) 91 651 40 367 367 233 51 95 776 1.004 230 7 7 365 228 2.695 3 3 1.399 357 4.959 Chemicals(20) 1.619 2 2 628 338 3.036 Fertilizer (20) Manufacture of paper (17,18) Manufacture of chemicals and petro chemicals (20,21,22) 842 62 Pharmaceutical (21) 60 60 Rubberi plastics (22) 174 1 1 649 19 893 2.056 606 606 1.284 64 10.420 Manufacture of non-metalic minerals (23) Glass (23) Ceramics (23) Cement (23) Basic Metal Industry (24,25) Iron and steel (24) 905 125 794 181 976 1.007 218 1.473 255 606 606 885 64 7.972 2.060 2 2 3.107 341 10.342 1.604 1 1 2.466 285 9.121 437 55 835 Non-ferrous metals (24) 298 Fabricated metal products 25) 157 1 1 204 2 2 242 6 393 272 0 0 264 9 551 246 0 0 216 9 474 25 0 0 48 77 Furniture and other production(31) 39 2 2 64 115 Construction(41,42,43) 325 381 0 Otherr industry 152 1.383 2.106 135 0 Manufacture of machine, electrical and electronical products (26,27,28) 138 Manufacture of transportation Equipment(29,30) Motorized land vehicles 29) Other transportation vehicles (30) TRANSPORT 259 229 0 0 229 0 0 386 722 0 301 4.053 0 30.562 108 Rail 213 368 Domestic Navigation 954 Domestic Aviation Pipelines 192 Road 66 229 17.823 1.528 1.191 337 13.760 1.528 1.191 337 Other Sectors Residential Commercial and Public services Agriculture and farming Non Energy Use 27 229 0 28.809 0 0 12.832 6.408 125 1.149 0 0 0 63 5.275 3.938 799 219 0 0 0 0 63 0 1.954 559 43.377 853 559 26.134 475 12.149 627 5.093 0 0 7.717 1.962 Petrochemicals Feedstock Energy balance sheets for 1972-2021 are available on the MENR website (https://www.eigm.gov.tr/trTR/Denge-Tablolari/Denge-Tablolari). Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 501 501 Completeness Annex 5: Completeness Table A8.1 Completeness, Sources and sinks not estimated ("NE") GHG 502 Sector Source/sink category CH4 Energy CO2 Agriculture 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.b Solid Fuel Transformation CO2 Agriculture CO2 Energy CO2 Energy CO2 Energy CO2 Energy CO2 Energy CO2 Energy CO2 Energy N2O Agriculture N2O Energy N2O Energy N2O Industrial Processes and Product Use N2O LULUCF no gas LULUCF 3.G Liming/3.G.1 Limestone CaCO3 3.G Liming/3.G.2 Dolomite CaMg(CO3)2 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling/1.B.1.a.1 Underground Mines/1.B.1.a.1.i Mining Activities 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling/1.B.1.a.1 Underground Mines/1.B.1.a.1.ii Post-Mining Activities 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling/1.B.1.a.1 Underground Mines/1.B.1.a.1.iii Abandoned Underground Mines 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling/1.B.1.a.2 Surface Mines/1.B.1.a.2.i Mining Activities 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling/1.B.1.a.2 Surface Mines/1.B.1.a.2.ii PostMining Activities 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.b Solid Fuel Transformation 1.C CO2 Transport and Storage/Injection and Storage/Injection 3.1 Livestock/3.B Manure Management/3.B.2 N2O and NMVOC Emissions/3.B.2.5 Indirect N2O Emissions 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.a Coal Mining and Handling 1.B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels/1.B.1 Solid Fuels/1.B.1.b Solid Fuel Transformation 2.G Other Product Manufacture and Use/2.G.3 N2O from Product Uses/2.G.3.a Medical Applications 4.F Other Land/4(III) Direct N2O Emissions from N Mineralization/Immobilization 4.F Other Land 4.D Wetlands/4.D.2 Land Converted to Wetlands/Carbon stock change/4.D.2.2 Land Converted to Flooded Land/4.D.2.2.2 Cropland converted to flooded land/Carbon stock change in living biomass Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 502 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE") GHG Source/sink category Explanation CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Biomass Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Diesel Oil Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Liquefied Petroleum Gases (LPG) Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses/Biomass Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 503 503 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE")(Cont’d) GHG Source/sink category Explanation CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 CH4 504 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing/Gas/Diesel Oil 4.B Cropland/4.B.1 Cropland Remaining Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires 4.B Cropland/4.B.2 Land Converted to Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires 4.E Settlements/4.E.1 Settlements Remaining Settlements 4.F Other Land/4.F.2 Land Converted to Other Land Included under 1.A.4.c.i Report in "agriculture sector" Report in "agriculture sector" included in "agriculture sector" included in "agriculture sector" 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please included in 1.A.1.a specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please 1.A.2.g specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other included in 1.A.1.a (please specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other 1.A.2.g (please specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Biomass Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Diesel Oil Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 504 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE")(Cont’d) GHG Source/sink category Explanation CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Liquefied Petroleum Gases (LPG) Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 505 505 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE")(Cont’d) GHG Source/sink category Explanation CO2 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Diesel Oil 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 HFC-134a 506 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing Included under 1.A.4.c.i 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing/Gas/Diesel Oil 1.AD Feedstocks, reductants and other non-energy use of Included under 2D fuels/Liquid Fuels/Lubricants 2.B Chemical Industry/2.B.8 Petrochemical and Carbon Included in 2.B.8.g Black Production/2.B.8.b Ethylene 2.B Chemical Industry/2.B.8 Petrochemical and Carbon Black Production/2.B.8.c Ethylene Dichloride and Vinyl Chloride Monomer 2.B Chemical Industry/2.B.8 Petrochemical and Carbon Black Production/2.B.8.e Acrylonitrile 2.C Metal Industry/2.C.1 Iron and Steel Production/2.C.1.b Pig Iron 4.B Cropland/4.B.1 Cropland Remaining Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires 4.B Cropland/4.B.2 Land Converted to Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires Included in 2.B.8.g Included in 2.B.8.g CO2 emissions from pig iron production is included in emissions from steel production Report in "agriculture sector" Report in "agriculture sector" 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please included in 1.A.1.a specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please 1.A.2.g specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other included in 1.A.1.a (please specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other 1.A.2.g (please specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes All emissions caused by HFC-134a is given in 2.F Product Uses as Substitutes for ODS/2.F.6 Other this section due to lack of disaggregated data. Emission estimates are made by tier 1 and Applications/2.F.6.a Emissive/HFC-134a default emission factor. Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 506 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE")(Cont’d) GHG Source/sink category Explanation N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Biomass Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Diesel Oil Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.i Cars/Liquefied Petroleum Gases (LPG) Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.ii Light duty trucks Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iii Heavy duty trucks and buses/Biomass Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Gasoline Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles/Biomass 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.3 Transport/1.A.3.b Road Transportation/1.A.3.b.iv Motorcycles Included under "1.A.3.e Other Transportation" N2O 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing 1.AA Fuel Combustion - Sectoral approach/1.A.4 Other Sectors/1.A.4.c Agriculture/Forestry/Fishing/1.A.4.c.iii Fishing/Gas/Diesel Oil Included under 1.A.4.c.i Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 507 507 Completeness Table A8.2 Completeness, Sources and sinks reported elsewhere ("IE")(Cont’d) GHG N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O 4.A Forest Land/4.A.2 Land Converted to Forest Land/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Organic N Fertilizers 4.B Cropland/4.B.1 Cropland Remaining Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires 4.B Cropland/4.B.2 Land Converted to Cropland/4(V) Biomass Burning/Wildfires Explanation No data available Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils in Forest Land is included in the Agriculture Sector No data available Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils in Forest Land is included in the Agriculture Sector Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils in Forest Land is included in the Agriculture Sector Report in "agriculture sector" Report in "agriculture sector" N2O 4.E Settlements/4.E.1 Settlements Remaining Settlements/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Inorganic N Fertilizers i.e. included in "agriculture sector" N2O 4.E Settlements/4.E.1 Settlements Remaining Settlements/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Organic N Fertilizers i.e. included in "agriculture sector" N2O 4.E Settlements/4.E.2 Land Converted to Settlements/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Inorganic N Fertilizers i.e. included in "agriculture sector" N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O N2O SF6 SF6 508 Source/sink category 4(IV) Indirect N2O Emissions from Managed Soils/Atmospheric Deposition 4.A Forest Land/4.A.1 Forest Land Remaining Forest Land/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Inorganic N Fertilizers 4.A Forest Land/4.A.1 Forest Land Remaining Forest Land/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Organic N Fertilizers 4.A Forest Land/4.A.2 Land Converted to Forest Land/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Inorganic N Fertilizers 4.E Settlements/4.E.2 Land Converted to Settlements/4(I) Direct N2O Emissions from N Inputs to Managed Soils/Organic N Fertilizers 4.F Other Land/4.F.2 Land Converted to Other Land i.e. included in "agriculture sector" included in "agriculture sector" 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please included in 1.A.1.a specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.1.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.1 Biogenic/5.C.1.1.b Other (please 1.A.2.g specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Clinical Waste are Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other included in 1.A.1.a (please specify)/Clinical Waste 5.C Incineration and Open Burning of Waste/5.C.1 Waste Emissions from 5.C.1.2.b Industrial Solid Wastes are included in 1.A.1.a, 1.A.2.c and Incineration/5.C.1.2 Non-biogenic/5.C.1.2.b Other 1.A.2.g (please specify)/Industrial Solid Wastes 5.D Wastewater Treatment and Discharge/5.D.2 Industrial Wastewater 2.G Other Product Manufacture and Use/2.G.1 Electrical Equipment/SF6 2.G Other Product Manufacture and Use/2.G.1 Electrical Equipment/SF6 Emissions from 5.D.2 are included in 5.D.1 Due to lack of data, NE is entered Turkish GHG Inventory Report 1990-2021 508 References References Alemdağ, I.S., 1983. 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