Papers by Michael Kinnison
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 2014
We are witnessing a global, but unplanned, evolutionary experiment with the biodiversity of the p... more We are witnessing a global, but unplanned, evolutionary experiment with the biodiversity of the planet. Anthropogenic disturbances such as habitat degradation and climate change result in evolutionary mismatch between the environments to which species are adapted and those in which they now exist. The impacts of unmanaged evolution are pervasive, but approaches to address them have received little attention. We review the evolutionary challenges of managing populations in the Anthropocene and introduce the concept of prescriptive evolution, which considers how evolutionary processes may be leveraged to proactively promote wise management. We advocate the planned management of evolutionary processes and explore the advantages of evolutionary interventions to preserve and sustain biodiversity. We show how an evolutionary perspective to conserving biodiversity is fundamental to effective management. Finally, we advocate building frameworks for decision-making, monitoring, and implementation at the boundary between management and evolutionary science to enhance conservation outcomes.
The American Naturalist, 2009
Numerous studies of wild populations have shown that phenotypic traits can change adaptively on s... more Numerous studies of wild populations have shown that phenotypic traits can change adaptively on short timescales, but very few studies have considered coincident changes in major fitness components. We here examine adaptive changes in life-history traits and survival rates for wild guppies introduced into new environments. Female life-history traits in the derived (Damier River) populations diverged from the ancestral (Yarra River) population, as a result of adaptation to predation regime (high vs. low) and other aspects of the local river. Moreover, some components of the derived Damier populations, particularly juveniles, now show higher survival in the Damier than do contemporary representatives from the ancestral Yarra population. These results suggest that adaptive change can improve survival rates after fewer than 10 years (fewer than 30 guppy generations) in a new environment.
Contemporary Issues in Genetics and Evolution, 2001
This special issue of Genetica brings together a diverse collection of contributions that examine... more This special issue of Genetica brings together a diverse collection of contributions that examine evolution within and among populations (i.e., microevolution), and the role that microevolution plays in the formation of new species and morphological forms (i.e., macroevolution). Many of the papers present evidence of microevolution occurring over contemporary time frames, further validating the near ubiquity of ongoing evolution in the world around us. Several synthetic reviews of empirical work help to define the conditions under which microevolution is or is not likely to occur. Some of the studies speak directly to current controversies in evolutionary biology, such as the relative roles of determinism and contingency, and the nature of the relationship between microevolution and macroevolution. In general, microevolution seems driven largely by deterministic mechanisms, particularly natural selection, but contingency plays a role in (1) determining whether or not suitable conditions are present for evolution to proceed, and (2) guiding the precise manner by which evolution proceeds. Several theoretical treatments and empirical reviews confirm previous research in showing that microevolutionary processes are at least capable of generating macroevolutionary trends. Macroevolution may indeed reflect microevolution writ large but the pattern by which it arises is perhaps best characterized as microevolution writ in fits and starts.
Molecular Ecology, 2005
Two general processes may influence gene flow among populations. One involves divergent selection... more Two general processes may influence gene flow among populations. One involves divergent selection, wherein the maladaptation of immigrants and hybrids impedes gene flow between ecological environments (i.e. ecological speciation). The other involves geographic features that limit dispersal. We determined the relative influence of these two processes in natural populations of Trinidadian guppies ( Poecilia reticulata ). If selection is important, gene flow should be reduced between different selective environments. If geography is important, gene flow should be impeded by geographic distance and physical barriers. We examined how genetic divergence, long-term gene flow, and contemporary dispersal within a watershed were influenced by waterfalls, geographic distance, predation, and habitat features. We found that waterfalls and geographic distance increased genetic divergence and reduced dispersal and long-term gene flow. Differences in predation or habitat features did not influence genetic divergence or gene flow. In contrast, differences in predation did appear to reduce contemporary dispersal. We suggest that the standard predictions of ecological speciation may be heavily nuanced by the mating behaviour and life history strategies of guppies.
Science (New York, N.Y.), Jan 17, 2014
Two categories of evolutionary challenges result from escalating human impacts on the planet. The... more Two categories of evolutionary challenges result from escalating human impacts on the planet. The first arises from cancers, pathogens, and pests that evolve too quickly and the second, from the inability of many valued species to adapt quickly enough. Applied evolutionary biology provides a suite of strategies to address these global challenges that threaten human health, food security, and biodiversity. This Review highlights both progress and gaps in genetic, developmental, and environmental manipulations across the life sciences that either target the rate and direction of evolution or reduce the mismatch between organisms and human-altered environments. Increased development and application of these underused tools will be vital in meeting current and future targets for sustainable development.
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences - CAN J FISHERIES AQUAT SCI, 1999
Abstract: Between 2.1 and 6.8% of fall-run male chinook,salmon,(Oncorhynchus,tshawytscha ) reared... more Abstract: Between 2.1 and 6.8% of fall-run male chinook,salmon,(Oncorhynchus,tshawytscha ) reared in two New Zealand hatcheries matured as yearling parr, of similar size to immature siblings. The incidence of mature parr in 58 half-sib families ranged from 0 to 69% of the available males. Although chinook salmon are normally semelparous, about 80% of mature parr survived to mature again at age 2, and all fish held for another year matured again at age 3. All three ages produced,milt that successfully fertilized eggs. Morphological,development,in mature,parr and repeat- maturing males was consistent with that of older, first time maturing males. The gonadosomatic index for mature age-2 males was 11.7, 7.2, and 5.4% for repeat-maturing males, freshwater-reared males, and sea-run males, respectively. Muscle energy,density for repeat-maturing males (4.45 kJ/g) was lower than for normal,males (5.20‐5.45 kJ/g) and negatively correlated with the gonadosomatic,index. Although we think it un...
Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 1998
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 2011
Salmo salar migrating through the Penobscot River and estuary in Maine were evaluated with acoust... more Salmo salar migrating through the Penobscot River and estuary in Maine were evaluated with acoustic telemetry in 2005 and 2006. Survival and use of a secondary migration path (the Stillwater Branch) were estimated with a multistate mark-recapture model. Higher rates of mortality per kilometer (range = 0.01-0.22) were observed near release sites and within reaches that contained three particular dams: Howland, West Enfield, and Milford dams. Estimated total survival of tagged hatchery smolts through entire individual reaches containing those dams ranged from 0.52 ( SE = 0.18) to 0.94 ( SE = 0.09), whereas survival through most of the reaches without dams exceeded 0.95.
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 2010
Scale and ontogeny are important in understanding how various ecological processes structure popu... more Scale and ontogeny are important in understanding how various ecological processes structure populations. This is expected to be the case for density-dependent effects (DDE), which influence the population dynamics of many organisms. Our goal was to evaluate stage-specific DDE on the growth, movement, and survival of Atlantic salmon Salmo salar from the individual to the group level over varying spatial
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 2010
Relatively little is known about the distribution and seasonal movement patterns of shortnose stu... more Relatively little is known about the distribution and seasonal movement patterns of shortnose sturgeon Acipenser brevirostrum and Atlantic sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus oxyrinchus occupying rivers in the northern part of their range. During 2006 and 2007, 40 shortnose sturgeon (66-113.4 cm fork length [FL]) and 8 Atlantic sturgeon (76.2-166.2 cm FL) were captured in the Penobscot River, Maine, implanted with acoustic transmitters, and monitored using an array of acoustic receivers in the Penobscot River estuary and Penobscot Bay. Shortnose sturgeon were present year round in the estuary and overwintered from fall (mid-October) to spring (mid-April) in the upper estuary. In early spring, all individuals moved downstream to the middle estuary. Over the course of the summer, many individuals moved upstream to approximately 2 km of the downstream-most dam (46 river kilometers [rkm] from the Penobscot River mouth [rkm 0]) by August. Most aggregated into an overwintering site (rkm 36.5) in mid-to late fall. As many as 50% of the tagged shortnose sturgeon moved into and out of the Penobscot River system during 2007, and 83% were subsequently detected by an acoustic array in the Kennebec River, located 150 km from the Penobscot River estuary. Atlantic sturgeon moved into the estuary from the ocean in the summer and concentrated into a 1.5km reach. All Atlantic sturgeon moved to the ocean by fall, and two of these were detected in the Kennebec River. Although these behaviors are common for Atlantic sturgeon, regular coastal migrations of shortnose sturgeon have not been documented previously in this region. These results have important implications for future dam removals as well as for rangewide and river-specific shortnose sturgeon management.
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 2001
The examination of population-specific adaptations of introduced salmonids to the wide range of e... more The examination of population-specific adaptations of introduced salmonids to the wide range of environments found in Patagonia (southern South America) can help unveil some of the genetic and environmental contributions to life history variation. The rainbow trout Oncorhynchus mykiss introduced into Argentina originated from a few parental stocks. Although some of these stocks were anadromous, all of the dozens of established populations described until now have been freshwater resident. In this paper we provide the first documentation of the presence of an anadromous run of rainbow trout in the Santa Cruz River, the second largest river of Argentinean Patagonia. Microsatellite analysis revealed that anadromous and resident fish from the Santa Cruz River are genetically indistinguishable, probably representing alternative life histories within the same population. Both wild types are very different from the fish of Danish origin that were reared in a local hatchery, suggesting that they are descended more directly from California stocks or that they have been affected by strong drift or selection. Marine growth and freshwater residence are comparable to those of California steelhead. River entrance peaks in early fall. Population age structure and scale pattern analysis indicate that fish enter the river at age 3 but that most do not spawn until their next river entry as 4-year-olds. An unusual aspect of Santa Cruz anadromous fish is that they are long-lived and highly iteroparous. For instance, 20% of the fish analyzed had experienced as many as five spawning events.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2009
The observable traits of wild populations are continually shaped and reshaped by the environment ... more The observable traits of wild populations are continually shaped and reshaped by the environment and numerous agents of natural selection, including predators. In stark contrast with most predators, humans now typically exploit high proportions of prey populations and target large, reproductive-aged adults. Consequently, organisms subject to consistent and strong 'harvest selection' by fishers, hunters, and plant harvesters may be expected to show particularly rapid and dramatic changes in phenotype. However, a comparison of the rate at which phenotypic changes in exploited taxa occurs relative to other systems has never been undertaken. Here, we show that average phenotypic changes in 40 humanharvested systems are much more rapid than changes reported in studies examining not only natural (n ؍ 20 systems) but also other human-driven (n ؍ 25 systems) perturbations in the wild, outpacing them by >300% and 50%, respectively. Accordingly, harvested organisms show some of the most abrupt trait changes ever observed in wild populations, providing a new appreciation for how fast phenotypes are capable of changing. These changes, which include average declines of almost 20% in size-related traits and shifts in life history traits of nearly 25%, are most rapid in commercially exploited systems and, thus, have profound conservation and economic implications. Specifically, the widespread potential for transitively rapid and large effects on size-or life history-mediated ecological dynamics might imperil populations, industries, and ecosystems.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2009
We commend Andersen and Brander (1) for seeking to link fisheries-induced trait change to its bro... more We commend Andersen and Brander (1) for seeking to link fisheries-induced trait change to its broader ecological and commercial consequences. However, we offer some cautionary notes, particularly where such professed evolutionary impact assessments are used to ascribe the relative urgency of managing fisheries-induced trait change versus other aspects of harvest.
PLoS ONE, 2011
Ecosystems are being altered on a global scale by the extirpation of top predators. The ecologica... more Ecosystems are being altered on a global scale by the extirpation of top predators. The ecological effects of predator removal have been investigated widely; however, predator removal can also change natural selection acting on prey, resulting in contemporary evolution. Here we tested the role of predator removal on the contemporary evolution of trophic traits in prey. We utilized a historical introduction experiment where Trinidadian guppies (Poecilia reticulata) were relocated from a site with predatory fishes to a site lacking predators. To assess the trophic consequences of predator release, we linked individual morphology (cranial, jaw, and body) to foraging performance. Our results show that predator release caused an increase in guppy density and a "sharpening" of guppy trophic traits, which enhanced food consumption rates. Predator release appears to have shifted natural selection away from predator escape ability and towards resource acquisition ability. Related diet and mesocosm studies suggest that this shift enhances the impact of guppies on lower trophic levels in a fashion nuanced by the omnivorous feeding ecology of the species. We conclude that extirpation of top predators may commonly select for enhanced feeding performance in prey, with important cascading consequences for communities and ecosystems.
Oecologia, 1999
... Counts in the creeks and small ponds were considered highly accurate, as were the counts in l... more ... Counts in the creeks and small ponds were considered highly accurate, as were the counts in large ponds when few fish were present. When there were many fish in the large ponds, the accuracy was about 10%. ... Small ponds 89 128 2 0 2 Creeks 10 22 1 2 3 ...
North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 2009
Acoustic telemetry was used to assess riverine behavior and passage success for prespawn male adu... more Acoustic telemetry was used to assess riverine behavior and passage success for prespawn male adult Atlantic salmon Salmo salar in the lower Penobscot River, Maine, in 2005 (n ¼ 10) and 2006 (n ¼ 25). Only 3 of 10 (30%) and 2 of 25 (8%) tagged Atlantic salmon successfully passed all three dams between the head of tide and presumed spawning habitat in 2005 and 2006, respectively. Migrants that failed to pass the second upstream dam frequently fell back into the estuary (3 of 4 in 2005; 17 of 23 in 2006), and few successfully reascended Veazie Dam at the head of tide. Fallback behavior was associated with temperatures exceeding 228C and may reflect a strategy for coping with thermal stress and migratory delays. Atlantic salmon were also observed to actively seek out thermal refuge near one of the dams. Passage data were compared with results from previous telemetry studies that used Carlin tags and radio telemetry from 1987-1990 and 1992, and passive integrated transponder tags from 2002-2004. For all 10 years of study combined, median passage success was 64, 72, and 93% for the three dams. While 2006 may represent an uncommonly poor year for upstream passage at these dams, median cumulative passage past two of these dams was only 71% and ranged from 8% to 87% among years. Study results indicate that poor upstream passage severely limits migratory success in this system, particularly during periods of high discharge. Planned removal of two of these lower river dams is expected to improve migratory success for adult Atlantic salmon in the Penobscot River system.
Molecular Ecology, 2008
Human activities can expose populations to dramatic environmental perturbations, which may then p... more Human activities can expose populations to dramatic environmental perturbations, which may then precipitate adaptive phenotypic change . We ask whether or not phenotypic changes associated with human-disturbed (anthropogenic) contexts are greater than those associated with more 'natural' contexts. Our meta-analysis is based on more than 3000 rates of phenotypic change in 68 'systems', each representing a given species in a particular geographical area. We find that rates of phenotypic change are greater in anthropogenic contexts than in natural contexts. This difference may be influenced by phenotypic plasticity -because it was evident for studies of wild-caught individuals (which integrate both genetic and plastic effects) but not for common-garden or quantitative genetic studies (which minimize plastic effects). We also find that phenotypic changes in response to disturbance can be remarkably abrupt, perhaps again because of plasticity. In short, humans are an important agent driving phenotypic change in contemporary populations. Although these changes sometimes have a genetic basis, our analyses suggest a particularly important contribution from phenotypic plasticity.
Molecular Ecology, 2008
Although trait evolution over contemporary timescales is well documented, its influence on ecolog... more Although trait evolution over contemporary timescales is well documented, its influence on ecological dynamics in the wild has received much less attention particularly compared to traditional ecological and environmental factors. For example, evolution over ecologically relevant timescales is expected in populations that colonize new habitats, where it should theoretically enhance fitness, associated vital rates of survival and reproduction, and population growth potential. Nonetheless, success of exotic species is much more commonly attributed to ecological aspects of habitat quality and 'escape from enemies' in the invaded range. Here, we consider contemporary evolution of vital rates in introduced Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) that quickly colonized New Zealand and diverged over c. 26 generations. By using experimental translocations, we partitioned the roles of evolution and habitat quality in modifying geographical patterns of vital rates. Variation in habitat quality within the new range had the greatest influence on broad geographical patterns of vital rates, but locally adapted salmon still exhibited more than double the vital rate performance, and hence fitness, of nonlocal counterparts. The scope of this fitness evolution far exceeds the scale of divergence in trait values for these populations, or even the expected fitness effects of particular traits. These results suggest that contemporary evolution can be an important part of the eco-evolutionary dynamics of invasions and highlight the need for studies of the emergent fitness and ecological consequences of such evolution, rather than just changes in trait values.
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Papers by Michael Kinnison