Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #NC11
Most recents (24)
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Mark Meadows’ life would be so much better today had Trump fired him for leaking to the press the details about how sick Trump was when he had COVID in October, 2020.
thesun.co.uk/news/12843307/…
thesun.co.uk/news/12843307/…
My theory is that because he knew Trump was mad at him for letting the world know, clumsily and on background, how sick Trump was, Meadows tried to worm his way back into Trump’s good graces by becoming a super-flunkie. Doing whatever Trump wanted in trying to undo the election.
If Trump had fired Meadows in 2020, he would have simply been the fourth WH Chief of Staff to leave the Trump Administration in less than four years. Life would have gone on. His predecessor, Mick Mulvaney, got a job.
@GGGiantGinger @MacFarlaneNews Okay, Texas uses the open primary system.
You should consider which party dominates your gerrymandered district(s) and vote in that party’s primary to maximize your influence in choosing a candidate likely to win in the General Election in November.
1/
You should consider which party dominates your gerrymandered district(s) and vote in that party’s primary to maximize your influence in choosing a candidate likely to win in the General Election in November.
1/
@GGGiantGinger @MacFarlaneNews Just as an example, consider the 2021 Special Election in Texas #TX06, which uses different rules.
The top 2 candidates in the runoff were both Republicans.
Trump endorsed one; many people of good will came together to vote for the other, who won.
2/
The top 2 candidates in the runoff were both Republicans.
Trump endorsed one; many people of good will came together to vote for the other, who won.
2/
@GGGiantGinger @MacFarlaneNews I’ll be honest:
He’s still a conservative Republican reactionary, but in politics, the enemy of my enemy is my friend.
Similarly, voters used North Carolina’s semi-open primary to switch to Unaffiliated to get a Republican ballot to vote Against Madison Cawthorn in #NC11.
3/
He’s still a conservative Republican reactionary, but in politics, the enemy of my enemy is my friend.
Similarly, voters used North Carolina’s semi-open primary to switch to Unaffiliated to get a Republican ballot to vote Against Madison Cawthorn in #NC11.
3/
@JoeyDevlin_ My suggested perspective is for every American to think strategically about how to maximize your influence in the political process by registering and voting.
It varies by state.
Some states have the “closed primary,” only for registered party members.
1/
It varies by state.
Some states have the “closed primary,” only for registered party members.
1/
@JoeyDevlin_ In a “closed primary” state, one should register with the dominant party in the region or state, to vote in the closed party primary likely to pick the winner.
This doesn’t necessarily have to coincide with one’s individual political philosophy.
Maximize one’s influence.
2/
This doesn’t necessarily have to coincide with one’s individual political philosophy.
Maximize one’s influence.
2/
@JoeyDevlin_ In a semi-open primary state, Colorado, Georgia, North Carolina, register as Unaffiliated (or equivalent) to choose your party at each election.
For example, in #NC11 May 17, many progressives requested a Republican ballot to vote Against Madison Cawthorn. @davidbwheeler
3/
For example, in #NC11 May 17, many progressives requested a Republican ballot to vote Against Madison Cawthorn. @davidbwheeler
3/
1. For all of the scandals, the one that did Cawthorn in was leaving the district & coming back. When he left, Edwards, Burril, Woodhouse & O'Connell weren't in this race. If he didn't leave, it's unlikely they would have gotten in. And he likely would weathered the storm.
2. Rules matter: without a runoff, Cawthorn wouldn’t have been elected in in the first place. If the #ncga didn’t move the threshold down to 30% in 2017, we’d be in a runoff in 2022.
National media posting helpful previews about what to follow in NC primaries today. Everyone's listing #nc11, but if you're not also watching #nc4 #nc1 & #nc13, you're doing it wrong (1/4)
#ncpol
#ncpol
Lots of interesting #ncga primaries, but If I could only follow 2, it would be Hise/Ballard (SD 47) on the R side smokymountainnews.com/archives/item/… (story by @SMN_Cory) & deViere/Applewhite (SD19) on the D side newsobserver.com/news/politics-… (story by @dawnbvaughan)
(2/4)
(2/4)
Fascinating local races across the state that will go a long ways to determining the direction of NC. Far too many to list, so I'll just point out this Charlotte City Council seat as one worth watching (story by @timfunk)
(3/4)
theassemblync.com/long-form/patr…
(3/4)
theassemblync.com/long-form/patr…
Some back of the envelope math on potential voter turnout scenarios in #ncpol.
Background: In the past few elections, election day voting has become a smaller proportion of the overall vote. It was ~69% in the 2018 primary. We expect that % to drop, but by how much? 🤷
(1/6)
Background: In the past few elections, election day voting has become a smaller proportion of the overall vote. It was ~69% in the 2018 primary. We expect that % to drop, but by how much? 🤷
(1/6)
So, I ran some scenarios w/ 50% of all turnout coming on election day (ED), 55% coming on ED & 60% coming on ED.
Statewide:
50% ED translates to ~15.8% final turnout
55% ED: 17.6% final turnout
60% ED: 19.8% final turnout
(2/6) #ncpol
Statewide:
50% ED translates to ~15.8% final turnout
55% ED: 17.6% final turnout
60% ED: 19.8% final turnout
(2/6) #ncpol
Here's midterm primary turnout from 1990-2018.
To surpass 2002 primary turnout, election day % would have to exceed all of the scenarios above.
(3/6) #ncpol
To surpass 2002 primary turnout, election day % would have to exceed all of the scenarios above.
(3/6) #ncpol
Yesterday was the last day of in-person early voting in NC. A few more early & mail ballots will trickle in (@gercohen estimates ~1K), but this should be the lion's share
2022: ~576.5K (4% mail)
2020 same day: ~794K
2018 same day: ~293K
2014 same day: ~268.5K
#ncpol (1/4)
2022: ~576.5K (4% mail)
2020 same day: ~794K
2018 same day: ~293K
2014 same day: ~268.5K
#ncpol (1/4)
@followt85611982 @fire_madison @pixiemenace @WendyforWNC To answer from outside NC, they’re all residents of the former non-gerrymandered #NC14, becoming the new non-gerrymandered #NC11.
Many - but not enough - of them were also idealistic Democrats, good people, who focused on a great candidate @ColMorrisDavis for November.
1/
Many - but not enough - of them were also idealistic Democrats, good people, who focused on a great candidate @ColMorrisDavis for November.
1/
@followt85611982 @fire_madison @pixiemenace @WendyforWNC @ColMorrisDavis If a single party dominates a district, such as the Republicans in WNC #NC11, well, I respectfully suggest that citizens register and vote strategically.
In NC, those without personal Democratic political ambitions should register Unaffiliated, to pick your primary.
2/
In NC, those without personal Democratic political ambitions should register Unaffiliated, to pick your primary.
2/
@followt85611982 @fire_madison @pixiemenace @WendyforWNC @ColMorrisDavis As a practical matter, if the November General Election will be decided in the dominant party’s primary, request that ballot to help pick the winner.
Every primary vote Against the incumbent weakens the party in November.
Ask @EricCantor.
3/
Every primary vote Against the incumbent weakens the party in November.
Ask @EricCantor.
3/
Months after we began our efforts, the truth about Representative Madison Cawthorn (#nc11) is finally coming out. 🧵
On Friday, Buzzfeed News published the first piece about Cawthorn's predatory behavior at Patrick Henry College.
"Cawthorn often used his car as a way to entrap and harass his women classmates, taking them on what he could call “fun drives'' off campus."
buzzfeednews.com/article/addyba…
"Cawthorn often used his car as a way to entrap and harass his women classmates, taking them on what he could call “fun drives'' off campus."
buzzfeednews.com/article/addyba…
Cawthorn took fellow student Caitlin Coulter out for a "fun drive", pressuring her with "invasive and suggestive" questions. When she refused his advances, he snapped, driving recklessly back to campus.
Over the past week, Madison Cawthorn's campaign has published ads, emails, tweets, and videos begging for donations. They're nervous because Cawthorn's TRUE colors are finally showing.
Today we'll be counting down his lies and reviewing the evidence against him. #RejectCawthorn
Today we'll be counting down his lies and reviewing the evidence against him. #RejectCawthorn
Share this evidence with anyone you know in #nc11! It's time our nation demanded better! #RejectCawthorn #StandForConsent
Not associated with any campaign or political candidate.
Not associated with any campaign or political candidate.
Over the years, Madison Cawthorn has used his fame to harass and assault women, propagate lies, steal property, and slander supposed friends.
Cawthorn has not upheld the moral standards which we as a nation should require from our political leaders.
SentinelPAC.org
Cawthorn has not upheld the moral standards which we as a nation should require from our political leaders.
SentinelPAC.org
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
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#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
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Mega-THREAD
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
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Mega-THREAD
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
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#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
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Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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#PostcardsforAmerica
Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
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#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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#PostcardsforAmerica
NC Absentee-by-mail (ABM) Oct. 10 update: ~465K (464,921) ABM ballots now accepted. #ncpol (1/8)
51% of accepted ballots thus far are from registered Dems, 18% from reg. Reps, 31% from reg. Unaffiliated. This is the opposite of 2016 when Republicans made up the plurality of folks who returned ABM ballots in NC. #ncpol (2/8)
This newfound Democratic Party domination of ABM balloting is a statewide phenomenon: more Ds than Rs have returned ballots in every county but 5 (Avery, Davie, Mitchell, Stokes, & Yadkin).#ncpol (3/8)
Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
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FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
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facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
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#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Thread:
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#PostcardsforAmerica
Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
& follow @NDLB2020
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
& follow @NDLB2020
ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD
#PostcardsforAmerica
ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:
Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
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Thread:
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#PostcardsforAmerica
UPDATE: Katrina Aldona Krulikas has responded to this thread and lists some of the small details that Cawthorn lied about regarding his experience with Katrina.
#ncpol #nc11
#ncpol #nc11
Cavuto gives Cawthorn a softball interview, says he doesn't know about sexual misconduct allegations and "most are anonymous" (not true), allows Cawthorn to only comment on one (Katrina Aldona Krulikas') and suggest it's a political hit job.
#ncpol #nc11
video.foxbusiness.com/v/618552299800…
#ncpol #nc11
video.foxbusiness.com/v/618552299800…
THREAD ON MADISON CAWTHORN, REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE FOR NC11: Over the last month, stories and investigations have shown that Cawthorn's self-made identity is a fabrication. He's a fraud. He's accused of sexual assault. He's a liar. He's unfit for NC11.
#ncpol #nc11 #RNC2020
#ncpol #nc11 #RNC2020
Cawthorn says he is a "real estate investor." A story by @estherxlwang shows that, per his financial disclosure form, Cawthorn said he "made most of my money in the New York Stock Exchange." There is no job listed.
- disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/fi…
- theslot.jezebel.com/my-dark-journe…
- disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/fi…
- theslot.jezebel.com/my-dark-journe…
Cawthorn's real estate company is named "SPQR Holdings LLC." He is the sole employee. SPQR had only one real estate transaction in 2019 when Cawthorn bought a six-acre property in Georgia for $20,000, ostensibly so that he could give himself a job title.
cowetataxcom.com/content/files/…
cowetataxcom.com/content/files/…
One side effect of Denver Riggleman’s loss in #VA05: it brings an end to President Trump’s perfect record of GOP primary endorsements this cycle, which the Trump campaign and RNC had previously boasted about.
Trump endorsed Riggleman, who was defeated for renomination by former Liberty University athletics director Bob Good, in December. https://t.co/bLqryp55nh
Record number of GOPs leaving Congress!
(27 now & counting...)
Incumbents win 90% of the time.
With these gone, #NoSafeSeats
Below is a THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates for those seats!
Support them!
#Congress2020
Updated (again, because more keep leaving) DECEMBER
(27 now & counting...)
Incumbents win 90% of the time.
With these gone, #NoSafeSeats
Below is a THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates for those seats!
Support them!
#Congress2020
Updated (again, because more keep leaving) DECEMBER
GOP @BradleyByrne is leaving Alabama District 1
Democratic Candidates for #AL1 are:
James Averhart
jamesaverhart.com
@James4congress1
and
Kiani Arkus Gardner
College Instructor & Biologist
kianigardner.com
@KianiGardner
#Congress2020 #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica
THREAD
Democratic Candidates for #AL1 are:
James Averhart
jamesaverhart.com
@James4congress1
and
Kiani Arkus Gardner
College Instructor & Biologist
kianigardner.com
@KianiGardner
#Congress2020 #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica
THREAD
Martha Roby is leaving!
Democratic Candidates Alabama District 2
#AL2
Phyllis Harvey-Hall
Community Activist and Retired Educator
harveyhall2congress.com
Nathan Mathis
Farmer & former State Rep
@olenate2020
#Congress2020
THREAD
Democratic Candidates Alabama District 2
#AL2
Phyllis Harvey-Hall
Community Activist and Retired Educator
harveyhall2congress.com
Nathan Mathis
Farmer & former State Rep
@olenate2020
#Congress2020
THREAD
This is not true
Reality check: Meadows's new #NC11 was Trump +17.3% in 2016, redder than any district Dems flipped in 2018. cc:
@soledadobrien
@soledadobrien
@soledadobrien For reference, Meadows's old #NC11 voted for Trump by 29.1% in 2016 and for Meadows by 20.5% in 2018.
Although the GOP gerrymander of Asheville eased Meadows's path to Congress in 2012, it was by no means "essential" to his "survival" as of the last few years.
Although the GOP gerrymander of Asheville eased Meadows's path to Congress in 2012, it was by no means "essential" to his "survival" as of the last few years.
THREAD:
After 8 full hours of debate on #Impeachment, not one single person defended Trump the man or his character. Nevertheless, Mark "Minion" Meadows yet again placed party over country and constitution and voted “No” on articles of impeachment. 1/
After 8 full hours of debate on #Impeachment, not one single person defended Trump the man or his character. Nevertheless, Mark "Minion" Meadows yet again placed party over country and constitution and voted “No” on articles of impeachment. 1/
Clearly, he does not, and never has, represented this people of #NC11. This is only the latest, and possibly the most egregious, example. I called for impeachment the day the Mueller report was released, and without question would have voted FOR impeachment tonight. 2/
As Rep. @justinamash rightly stated:
"This president will be in power for only a short time, but excusing his misbehavior will forever tarnish your name.
3/
"This president will be in power for only a short time, but excusing his misbehavior will forever tarnish your name.
3/
1/ A court blocked North Carolina's 10-3 GOP-majority congressional germander, & GOP legislators are redrawing the map & could pass one next week. The GOP suspiciously hasn't shared any of their draft maps online, but Dems have, so I'll post those maps in this thread #NCGA #NCpol
