Questions tagged [exit-polls]
Questions about polls that are taken immediately after a person cast their ballot, e.g. by asking people how they voted when exiting polling stations.
16 questions
17
votes
1
answer
2k
views
Who did most Arab Americans vote for in 2024?
I think this may not be answerable right away, but possibly an interesting question.
Various TikTokers etc. suggested voting for Jill Stein as "a vote for Palestine" since the mainstream ...
6
votes
3
answers
2k
views
How did the CBS 2024 presidential election exit poll define "state of democracy"?
According to this article by CBS News, one of the most important political issues for U.S. voters right now is the "state of democracy."
Early exit polls show the state of democracy and the ...
- 179
0
votes
0
answers
183
views
First choice for President polls? (As opposed to who you plan to vote for polls.)
Have there been any polls during this presidential election season asking which candidate is the person's first choice? (If so, details?)
I ask because, as widely reported (e.g. copy here), it's ...
- 119
4
votes
0
answers
59
views
How did California voters by age group vote in the 1984 U.S. Presidential Election?
Is there information on how voters of different age groups in California voted in the 1984 election? For example, what percent of the 18-24 vote in California went to either Reagan or Mondale? Or ...
- 315
1
vote
1
answer
107
views
Who did White voters in California vote for in the 1984 U.S. Presidential Election?
California exit poll 1984: https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/ipoll/study/31090659
I'm not able to download that exit poll myself, but if anyone here has access to it, does it show what percent of White ...
- 315
3
votes
0
answers
92
views
How can I access exit polls by state for the 1984 U.S. Presidential Election?
Even though the 1984 presidential election was a landslide, and there's a national exit poll available, I want to see if there were any differences in exit polls by state. For example, an exit poll ...
- 315
3
votes
1
answer
274
views
What, if anything, has been done to account for mail-in votes in 2020 exit poll data?
Traditionally, exit polls are done by physically presenting a subset of voters with an anonymous survey as they exit the polling place. In normal years, this provides a fairly good picture of the ...
- 26k
2
votes
1
answer
194
views
Where did this figure showing shifts in support between 2016 and 2020 come from?
This article has an image showing shifts in support between 2016 and 2020. Where does this figure come from? While it says Pew Research Center, I can't find this figure on their site.
- 12.4k
6
votes
2
answers
179
views
Can exit-polls for European Elections be published?
European elections are run over multiple days - the earliest voting countries in the EU are voting today, and the final votes will be on Sunday.
Is it permissible for an exit-poll for a single ...
- 1,644
7
votes
1
answer
470
views
How does Indonesia's unofficial presidential election tally finish with "head-snapping" speed?
The NPR News item and podcast In Indonesia, Joko Widodo Secures Another 5-Year Term As President quotes Indonesian president Joko Widodo, and continues:
"Let us reunite as family. Let us ...
- 16.9k
4
votes
1
answer
420
views
How did Labour party members in England vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum?
Polling data is readily available on how members of the Labour across Britain voted in the Brexit referendum: 65% for remain. However, this exit poll includes Labour voters across Great Britain*, and ...
5
votes
1
answer
452
views
What are the main differences between UK and US (NEP) exit polls, methodologically?
The UK since 2001-2005 has apparently managed to get extremely accurate exit-polls:
Prior to 2001 the methods used had been different, and the accuracy of predictions based on exit polls was rather ...
3
votes
2
answers
617
views
Is exit-polling more accurate than pre-election polling?
It has been claimed so in a comment which cites an FT article that I can't read (right now). Presumably the topic is interesting enough to have been discussed elsewhere.
I'm mainly interested in the ...
0
votes
1
answer
395
views
Would a Catalan secession from Spain spark whole new borders in Europe? [closed]
If the Catalan government decides to call for independence later today, would the EU have to recognize Catalonia as an independent country? The U.K. can't veto this decision because of Brexit, and no ...
- 57
2
votes
2
answers
647
views
Where can I do my own analysis of exit poll data?
All the media sites do their own rollups of the exit poll data, but the dimensions they pick are static. Is there any site where I can pivot on my own sets of dimensions? E.g. I see married men went ...
- 129
10
votes
1
answer
346
views
Is the "no poll reporting till voting is done" law specific to the Brexit vote?
I saw mentions that nobody could report on the preliminary outcome of the Brexit vote, because it was illegal to report on any numbers before voting concluded.
Is this rule/law specific to the Brexit ...
- 93.3k