Papers by soukaina khadhraoui
The EUrASEANs : journal on global socio-economic dynamics, Nov 2, 2023
The relationship between public spending and unemployment is an important topic of study in econo... more The relationship between public spending and unemployment is an important topic of study in economics. Public spending was seen as the main cause of rising unemployment, contrary to the idea that it would contribute to the reduction of unemployment. The present paper studies the relationship between the unemployment rate and public spending in a panel of 16 EU states, covering the period 1990-2019 panel and generalized method of moments (GMM) to estimate our dynamic panel data model, which also takes into account the lagged unemployment rate. The model results indicate that public expenditure has a significant positive impact on unemployment. These results confirm the existence of the Abrams curve and the relationship between these two variables is positive.
Business and Economics Journal, 2021
This study aims at examining the interactions between three macroeconomic variables, namely: publ... more This study aims at examining the interactions between three macroeconomic variables, namely: public debt, unemployment and budget deficit. We have assumed that the increase in unemployment is caused by the worsening of the budget deficit and the increase in public debt. To test this hypothesis, we have used a system of simultaneous equations in macroeconomic data from 1990 to 2016 in six countries of the Euro zone countries such as (France, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Ireland and Cyprus) as well as five countries of the MENA countries namely (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, Egypt and Jordan). All the variables were found to be stationary based on recent panel unit root tests. On fully applying both static (, FE, and RE) and dynamic (system GMM) panel data approaches, it was found that confirm that the results of the model estimation for the six countries of the Euro zone approve that there is a two-way relationship there is a two-way relationship between unemployment and debt. Similarly, there is a two-way relationship between the budget deficit and unemployment. At another level, we note a unidirectional relationship from budget deficit to public debt. However, for the five countries of the MENA countries we have found a unidirectional relation going from public debt to unemployment, a twin directional relation between deficit and unemployment and a unidirectional relation going from debt to the deficit.
The contribution of this research to give readers in the first time a clear understanding of the ... more The contribution of this research to give readers in the first time a clear understanding of the analysis of the economic impact of COVID-19 on three countries, mainly, the United States, China and Italy .Also this paper investigates the contagious epidemic in a multivariate time-varying asymmetric framework, focusing on these countries (USA ,China and Italy) during the epidemic corona virus. Methods: Specifically, both a multivariate Gaussian copula model and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) approach are used to capture china, USA, Italy non-linear correlation dynamics during the period January 22, 2020-March 23, 2020. The empirical evidence confirms the spread of the epidemic from one country to all others. Results: The results also suggest that China is more prone to epidemic contagion while the numbers of deaths has a larger impact than country-specific epidemic corona virus.
This study aims at examining the interactions between three macroeconomic variables, namely: publ... more This study aims at examining the interactions between three macroeconomic variables, namely: public debt, unemployment and budget deficit. We have assumed that the increase in unemployment is caused by the worsening of the budget deficit and the increase in public debt. To test this hypothesis, we have used a system of simultaneous equations in macroeconomic data from 1990 to 2016 in six countries of the Euro zone countries such as (France, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Ireland and Cyprus) as well as five countries of the MENA countries namely (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, Egypt and Jordan). All the variables were found to be stationary based on recent panel unit root tests. On fully applying both static (, FE, and RE) and dynamic (system GMM) panel data approaches, it was found that confirm that the results of the model estimation for the six countries of the Euro zone approve that there is a two-way relationship there is a two-way relationship between unemployment and debt. Similarly, there is a two-way relationship between the budget deficit and unemployment. At another level, we note a unidirectional relationship from budget deficit to public debt. However, for the five countries of the MENA countries we have found a unidirectional relation going from public debt to unemployment, a twin directional relation between deficit and unemployment and a unidirectional relation going from debt to the deficit.
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Papers by soukaina khadhraoui