Recent developments in the area of Bid Tender Forecasting have enabled bidders to implement new t... more Recent developments in the area of Bid Tender Forecasting have enabled bidders to implement new types of easy-to-use tools for increasing their chances of winning contracts. Although these new tools (such as iso-Score Curve Graphs, Scoring Probability Graphs, and Position Probability Graphs) are designed for bidders in capped tendering (tenders with an upper price limit), some of their principles can also be applied by a Contracting Authority to detect which bidders do not follow a standard pattern, that is, their bids are extremely high or low. Since a collusive bid generally needs to be sufficiently high or low to make an impact on the bid distribution, any person in charge of supervising capped tenders can be alerted to any bidder that might be involved in a cartel after identifying the same abnormal behavior in a series of tenders through simple calculations and a new type of graph.
The back analysis or inverse analysis of the field instrumentation data is a common technique to ... more The back analysis or inverse analysis of the field instrumentation data is a common technique to ascertain the design parameter validity in deep excavation projects. That analysis is a process full of uncertainties and relies greatly on the expert judgement. Furthermore, deep excavation geotechnical models tend to be computationally very expensive making the inverse analysis a very lengthy process. In this paper, a Bayesian-type methodology to solve inverse problems which relies on the reduction of the numerical cost of the forward simulation through stochastic spectral surrogate models is presented. The proposed methodology is validated with three calibration examples.
Recent developments in the area of Bid Tender Forecasting have enabled bidders to implement new t... more Recent developments in the area of Bid Tender Forecasting have enabled bidders to implement new types of easy-to-use tools for increasing their chances of winning contracts. Although these new tools (such as iso-Score Curve Graphs, Scoring Probability Graphs, and Position Probability Graphs) are designed for bidders in capped tendering (tenders with an upper price limit), some of their principles can also be applied by a Contracting Authority to detect which bidders do not follow a standard pattern, that is, their bids are extremely high or low. Since a collusive bid generally needs to be sufficiently high or low to make an impact on the bid distribution, any person in charge of supervising capped tenders can be alerted to any bidder that might be involved in a cartel after identifying the same abnormal behavior in a series of tenders through simple calculations and a new type of graph.
The back analysis or inverse analysis of the field instrumentation data is a common technique to ... more The back analysis or inverse analysis of the field instrumentation data is a common technique to ascertain the design parameter validity in deep excavation projects. That analysis is a process full of uncertainties and relies greatly on the expert judgement. Furthermore, deep excavation geotechnical models tend to be computationally very expensive making the inverse analysis a very lengthy process. In this paper, a Bayesian-type methodology to solve inverse problems which relies on the reduction of the numerical cost of the forward simulation through stochastic spectral surrogate models is presented. The proposed methodology is validated with three calibration examples.
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Papers by Antonio Grimal