Papers by Andrei Melville
Polis. Political Studies, Mar 27, 2019
The Russian Review, Apr 1, 1992
Sociological Research, Nov 1, 2004
Russian Politics and Law, Nov 1, 2009
The authors describe four idealized alternative scenarios for Russia in 2020—Kremlin Gambit, Fort... more The authors describe four idealized alternative scenarios for Russia in 2020—Kremlin Gambit, Fortress Russia, Russian Mosaic and New Dream— and analyze the views of focus-group participants concerning their probability and desirability. They find that these views are influenced only marginally by electoral preferences.
The future may be approached from different perspectives. The first is that of a professional “st... more The future may be approached from different perspectives. The first is that of a professional “statesman.” His vision is often biased in favour of a particular political goal which should be fulfilled by every means possible. Following this logic, the future is a linear projection of the subsequent steps towards desirable results. The second is the vision of a “scientific man” who can allow himself a non-linear way of thinking. Unlike the statesman, he is focused on different projections, bifurcations and trajectories of existing strategies. Instead of linear extrapolation of current trends, this approach implies alternative scenarios—extreme images, ideal types or gestalts of the future. These gestalts may never come true. However they may highlight various important and sometimes unintended consequences of present trends, being rationally justified and causally linked to existing trends and strategies. Scenarios may be driven by variables such as economic factors, demographic and ...
Полис. Политические исследования, 2006
Classifications are a research instrument of greatest moment that is used in the “Political Atlas... more Classifications are a research instrument of greatest moment that is used in the “Political Atlas of Modern Time” project for the purpose of creating a multidimensional picture of the world. The present article adduces the results of three classifications.
Social Science Research Network, 2012
It is commonplace that a sovereign state is a prerequisite to democracy. But not all states are a... more It is commonplace that a sovereign state is a prerequisite to democracy. But not all states are alike, each having different resources, capacities, priorities, properties, and so forth. What kinds of states and what particular features are conducive to democracy or autocracy? How do different types of stateness and their dynamics relate to different trajectories of regime transformation in post-communist countries? In light of the significant debate in comparative politics regarding the importance of structural and procedural (actor-oriented) factors in democratization and democratic consolidation, we address the effect of stateness on regime transformations in a broad framework, allowing us to specify the role of structural conditions and the decisions of key political actors in postcommunist regime change. The focus of this research is empirical, implementing a combination of qualitative comparative and multivariate statistical methods in order to study a sample of post-communist countries from the two past decades. This Working Paper is an output of a research project implemented as part of the Basic Research
The Glasnost Papers, 2019
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2012
The Journal of Political Theory, Political Philosophy and Sociology of Politics Politeia, 2017
Political Atlas of the Modern World, 2010
Russia after two decades of transition: The state of play This article reviews some of the result... more Russia after two decades of transition: The state of play This article reviews some of the results of the Political Atlas of the World research project launched by the Mgimo University and the Institute for Social Planning as a comparative multi-dimensional statistical analysis to throw light on the position currently occupied by Russia, among other nations. Five complex correlated indices - state efficiency, external and internal threats, potential for international influence, quality of life and the institutional basis of democracy - are used to calculate point scores for 192 countries. The results highlight Russia’s ambiguous and contradictory position, associating its strengths and weaknesses. These results stand as a useful contribution to efforts to move beyond the simplifications and stereotypes that have become current about Russia. They also identify the problems Russia is facing and possible solutions which have not yet been properly exploited.
Wiley-Blackwell eBooks, Aug 13, 2010
Wiley-Blackwell eBooks, Aug 13, 2010
s Conditions affecting the success of fisheries co-management: lessons from Asia 131 Economic glo... more s Conditions affecting the success of fisheries co-management: lessons from Asia 131 Economic globalization and Asia: trade, finance, and taxation 113 Education and labor market participation of women in Asia: evidence from five countries 149 How far down the path to free trade? The importance of rice price stabilization in developing Asia 80 Institutions and the Environmental Kuznets Curve for deforestation: a cross country analysis for Latin America, Africa and Asia 131 The relation between savings and growth: cointegration and causality evidence from Asia 91 Working Papers Asia’s and Latin America’s development in comparative perspective: landlords, peasants and industrialization 156 Economic globalization and Asia: trade, finance and taxation 153 How important are the ‘non-traditional’ economic roles of agriculture in development? 153 Information flows during the Asian crisis: evidence from closed-end funds 155 Looking beyond AFTA: prospects and challenges for inter-regional trade 152 Regional arrangements for providing liquidity in a financial crisis developments in Asia 153 Revisiting the case for a Tobin tax post Asian crisis: a financial safeguard or financial bonanza? 153 The economics and politics of monetary regionalism in Asia 153 European unemployment and the Asian emergence: insights from the elemental trade model 153 Designing a financial market structure in post-crisis Asia—how to develop corporate bond markets 151 Growth and poverty alleviation: lessons from development experience, 151 Population pressure, land tenure, and natural resource management, 151
Routledge eBooks, Oct 31, 2022
러시아연구(Russian Studies), 1993
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Papers by Andrei Melville