Alfa 0.

776249006

Ventas reales Error

Periodo
del periodo
Pronostico Error
cuadrado Ventas Reales vs P
1 1002
2500
2 1380 1,002.00 378.00 142884
3 1190 1,295.42 105.42 11113.8243 2000
4 2016 1,213.59 802.41 643864.5281
5 1842 1,836.46 5.54 30.69618987 1500
6 1543 1,840.76 297.76 88661.21222
1000
7 1328 1,609.62 281.62 79312.1726
8 1276 1,391.01 115.01 13228.14836
500
9 1762 1,301.73 460.27 211844.3977
10 1981 1,659.02 321.98 103674.2626 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
11 1490 1,908.96 418.96 175523.764
12 1206 1,583.74 377.74 142688.8098 Ventas reales del periodo
13 ¿? 1,290.52
3,564.72 1,612,825.82
 Ventas Reales vs Pronostico

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Ventas reales del periodo Pronostico

 Alfa 0.2

Ventas reales Error

Periodo Pronostico Error
del periodo cuadrado
1 1002
2 1380 1,002.00 378.00 142884 Ventas Reales vs Pronosti
3 1190 1,077.60 112.40 12633.76 2500
4 2016 1,100.08 915.92 838909.4464
5 1842 1,283.26 558.74 312185.9177 2000
6 1543 1,395.01 147.99 21900.68493
7 1328 1,424.61 96.61 9333.291152 1500
8 1276 1,405.29 129.29 16715.17181
1000
9 1762 1,379.43 382.57 146360.0081
10 1981 1,455.94 525.06 275684.0263
500
11 1490 1,560.96 70.96 5034.616285
12 1206 1,546.76 340.76 116120.1201
0
13 ¿? 1,478.61 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3,658.29 1,897,761.04 Ventas reales del periodo P
Ventas Reales vs Pronostico

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Ventas reales del periodo Pronostico

 Alfa 0.4

Ventas reales Error

Periodo Pronostico Error
del periodo cuadrado Ventas Reales vs Pro
1 1002
2500
2 1380 1,002.00 378.00 142884
3 1190 1,153.20 36.80 1354.24 2000
4 2016 1,167.92 848.08 719239.6864
5 1842 1,507.15 334.85 112123.1831 1500
6 1543 1,641.09 98.09 9621.883517
7 1328 1,601.85 273.85 74996.40767 1000
8 1276 1,492.31 216.31 46791.24129
500
9 1762 1,405.79 356.21 126887.2032
10 1981 1,548.27 432.73 187252.9858
0
11 1490 1,721.36 231.36 53529.10232 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
12 1206 1,628.82 422.82 178775.1821
Ventas reales del periodo
13 ¿? 1,459.69
3,629.11 1,653,455.12
entas Reales vs Pronostico

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Ventas reales del periodo Pronostico

 Alfa 0.6

Ventas reales Error

Periodo Pronostico Error
del periodo cuadrado
1 1002
2 1380 1,002.00 378.00 142884 Ventas Reales vs Prono
3 1190 1,228.80 38.80 1505.44
2500
4 2016 1,205.52 810.48 656877.8304
5 1842 1,691.81 150.19 22557.63686 2000
6 1543 1,781.92 238.92 57084.2955
7 1328 1,638.57 310.57 96453.27768 1500
8 1276 1,452.23 176.23 31056.20648
9 1762 1,346.49 415.51 172647.6586 1000
10 1981 1,595.80 385.20 148381.7873
500
11 1490 1,826.92 336.92 113514.1252
12 1206 1,624.77 418.77 175366.1599
0
13 ¿? 1,373.51 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3,659.59 1,618,328.42 Ventas reales del periodo P
ntas Reales vs Pronostico

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Ventas reales del periodo Pronostico

 Alfa 0.8
Ventas Reales vs P
Ventas reales Error
Periodo Pronostico Error 2500
del periodo cuadrado
1 1002
2000
2 1380 1,002.00 378.00 142884
3 1190 1,304.40 114.40 13087.36 1500
4 2016 1,212.88 803.12 645001.7344
5 1842 1,855.38 13.38 178.917376 1000
6 1543 1,844.68 301.68 91007.9263
7 1328 1,603.34 275.34 75809.38425 500
8 1276 1,383.07 107.07 11463.3442
9 1762 1,297.41 464.59 215840.7074 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
10 1981 1,669.08 311.92 97292.41432
11 1490 1,918.62 428.62 183712.135 Ventas reales del period
12 1206 1,575.72 369.72 136695.3239
13 ¿? 1,279.94
3,567.82 1,612,973.25
 Ventas Reales vs Pronostico

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Ventas reales del periodo Pronostico