Taller Pronostico
Taller Pronostico
Taller Pronostico
lona 900
resorte 100
$ 1,050,000
Materiales directos
2024 629,737,350
2025 694,432,950
2026 759,128,550
2027 823,824,300
2028 888,519,900
Costos indirectos
2024 755,684,820
2025 833,319,540
2026 910,954,260
2027 988,589,160
2028 1,066,223,880
Pronostico
Historico Ventas
2017 1,456,980 218,547 Chart Title
2018 1,512,345 226,852 7,000,000
2019 1,890,234 283,535
6,000,000 5,923,466
2020 2,309,877 346,482 R² ==0.992792056629188
f(x) 431304.206293706 x + 747815.242424243 5,492,162
2021 2,908,654 436,298 5,000,000 5,060,857
4,629,553
2022 3,245,678 486,852 4,000,000 3,987,456 4,198,249
2023 3,987,456 598,118 3,245,678
3,000,000 2,908,654
2024 4,198,249 629,737
2,309,877
2025 4,629,553 694,433 2,000,000 1,890,234
1,456,980 1,512,345
2026 5,060,857 759,129 1,000,000
2027 5,492,162 823,824
-
2028 5,923,466 888,520 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2024 T1 T2 T3 T4
porcentaje 18% 21% 28% 33% 100%
cantidad 113,353 132,245 176,326 207,813 629,737
valor venta 9,810
cantidad 1,111,990,213 1,297,321,915 1,729,762,553 2,038,648,723 6,177,723,404
2025 T1 T2 T3 T4
porcentaje 18% 21% 28% 33% 100%
cantidad 124,998 145,831 194,441 229,163 694,433
valor venta 10,693
cantidad 1,336,602,876 1,559,370,022 2,079,160,030 2,450,438,606 7,425,571,534
5,923,466
5,492,162
060,857
2026 T1 T2 T3 T4
porcentaje 18% 21% 28% 33% 100%
cantidad 136,643 159,417 212,556 250,512 759,129
valor venta 11,655
cantidad 1,592,575,785 1,858,005,083 2,477,340,110 2,919,722,273 8,847,643,250 2028
porcentaje
2027 T1 T2 T3 T4 cantidad
porcentaje 18% 21% 28% 33% 100% valor venta
cantidad 148,288 173,003 230,671 271,862 823,824 cantidad
valor venta 12,704
cantidad 1,883,855,503 2,197,831,421 2,930,441,894 3,453,735,089 10,465,863,907
T1 T2 T3 T4
18% 21% 28% 33% 100%
159,934 186,589 248,786 293,212 888,520
13,848
2,214,760,244 2,583,886,951 3,445,182,601 4,060,393,780 12,304,223,575
2024 2,025 2026 2,027
produción 629,737 694,433 759,129 823,824
inventario final 8,746 9,645 10,543 11,442
inventario inicial 300 8,746 9,645 10,543
unidades a producir 638,183 695,332 760,028 824,723
0.5 900
compras 2024 2,025 2026 2,027
lona 319,092 347,666 380,014 412,361
inventario final 2,897 3,167 3,436 3,706
inventario inicial 300 2,897 3,167 3,436
cantidad comprar 321,689 347,935 380,283 412,631
costo total 289,520,000 313,141,810 342,255,006 371,367,754
0.7 100
compras 2024 2,025 2026 2,027
lona 446,728 486,732 532,019 577,306
inventario final 6,205 6,760 7,389 8,018
inventario inicial 300 6,205 6,760 7,389
cantidad comprar 452,633 487,288 532,648 577,935
costo total 45,263,290 48,728,770 53,264,828 57,793,476
cif
105% 1800 1200
presupuesto costos 2024 2,025 2026 2,027
materiales unitarios 1,000 1,050 1,103 1,158
costos m directo 638,183,347 730,098,133 837,930,380 954,719,432
mano de obra directa 1,206,166,526 1,379,885,472 1,583,688,418 1,804,419,727
costos indirectos 804,111,018 919,923,648 1,055,792,279 1,202,946,485
2028
888,520
12,341
11,442
889,419
2028
444,709 105%
- 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
3,706 1000 1,050 1,103 1,158 1,216
441,003 1800 1,890 1,985 2,084 2,188
396,903,030 1200 1,260 1,323 1,389 1,459
4000 4,200 4,410 4,631 4,862
2028
622,593
8,647
8,018
623,222
62,322,198
2028
1,216
1,081,093,813
2,043,267,307
1,362,178,205
2,188
1,945,968,864
4,389,240,881
4,935
2028
2024 2,025 2026 2,027 2028
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
-
2028
1,276
2,297
1,532
5,105
PRESUPUESTO DE PRODUCCIÓN
INVENTARIO INICIAL
CANTIDAD 300 UNIDADES
VALOR $ 3,500 X UNIDAD
VALOR REAL $ 1,050,000 VALOR TOTAL
COSTO PRODUCTO TOTAL $ 4,000