Estimación X Y

Número de Horas para la

Falla (i) Falla (ti) F(t)^ ln(ti) ln(ln(1/1-F(T)))
1 2820 6.14% 7.94 -2.76
0.90
2 3564 14.91% 8.18 -1.82
3 3852 23.68% 8.26 -1.31 0.40 f(x) = 6.69788959285861 x − 56.31
R² = 0.940347577582163
4 3852 32.46% 8.26 -0.94
5 4320 41.23% 8.37 -0.63 -0.10
7.90 8.00 8.10 8.20
6 4332 50.00% 8.37 -0.37
-0.60
7 4332 58.77% 8.37 -0.12
8 4668 67.54% 8.45 0.12 -1.10
9 4728 76.32% 8.46 0.36
10 4728 85.09% 8.46 0.64 -1.60

11 4908 93.86% 8.50 1.03

-2.10

1β 6.70 -2.60
3Y 0
2n 4483.10 -3.10

t f(t)
0 #NUM!
80 0.0000000
0.0006
160 0.0000000
240 0.0000000 0.0005
320 0.0000000
400 0.0000000 0.0004

480 0.0000000
0.0003
560 0.0000000
640 0.0000000 0.0002
720 0.0000000
0.0001
800 0.0000001
880 0.0000001 0
960 0.0000002 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

1040 0.0000003
1120 0.0000005
1200 0.0000008
1280 0.0000011
1360 0.0000016
1440 0.0000023
1520 0.0000031
1600 0.0000041
1680 0.0000054
1760 0.0000071
1840 0.0000091
1920 0.0000116
2000 0.0000147
2080 0.0000183
2160 0.0000227
2240 0.0000279
2320 0.0000340
2400 0.0000412
2480 0.0000495
2560 0.0000590
2640 0.0000700
2720 0.0000825
2800 0.0000966
2880 0.0001125
2960 0.0001302
3040 0.0001498
3120 0.0001713
3200 0.0001947
3280 0.0002200
3360 0.0002471
3440 0.0002757
3520 0.0003056
3600 0.0003365
3680 0.0003678
3760 0.0003990
3840 0.0004295
3920 0.0004584
4000 0.0004850
4080 0.0005083
4160 0.0005274
4240 0.0005414
4320 0.0005495
4400 0.0005510
4480 0.0005453
4560 0.0005322
4640 0.0005118
4720 0.0004843
4800 0.0004505
4880 0.0004115
4960 0.0003685
5040 0.0003231
5120 0.0002770
5200 0.0002319
5280 0.0001891
5360 0.0001501
5440 0.0001157
5520 0.0000864
5600 0.0000624
5680 0.0000435
5760 0.0000291
5840 0.0000188
5920 0.0000116
6000 0.0000068
6080 0.0000038
6160 0.0000020
6240 0.0000010
6320 0.0000005
6400 0.0000002
 f(x) = 6.69788959285861 x − 56.3164109628985
R² = 0.940347577582163

.90 8.00 8.10 8.20 8.30 8.40 8.50 8.60

t f(t) t
0 0.0% 0
80 0.0% 80
120.0%
160 0.0% 160
240 0.0% 100.0% 240
320 0.0% 320
80.0%
400 0.0% 400
480 0.0% 60.0% 480
560 0.0% 560
640 0.0% 40.0% 640
720 0.0% 720
20.0%
800 0.0% 800
880 0.0% 0.0% 880
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
960 0.0% 960
1040 0.0% 1040
1120 0.0% 1120
1200 0.0% 1200
1280 0.0% 1280
1360 0.0% 1360
1440 0.0% 1440
1520 0.1% 1520
1600 0.1% 1600
1680 0.1% 1680
1760 0.2% 1760
1840 0.3% 1840
1920 0.3% 1920
2000 0.4% 2000
2080 0.6% 2080
2160 0.7% 2160
2240 1.0% 2240
2320 1.2% 2320
2400 1.5% 2400
2480 1.9% 2480
2560 2.3% 2560
2640 2.8% 2640
2720 3.5% 2720
2800 4.2% 2800
2880 5.0% 2880
2960 6.0% 2960
3040 7.1% 3040
3120 8.4% 3120
3200 9.9% 3200
3280 11.6% 3280
3360 13.5% 3360
3440 15.6% 3440
3520 18.0% 3520
3600 20.6% 3600
3680 23.4% 3680
3760 26.5% 3760
3840 29.8% 3840
3920 33.4% 3920
4000 37.2% 4000
4080 41.3% 4080
4160 45.4% 4160
4240 49.8% 4240
4320 54.2% 4320
4400 58.6% 4400
4480 63.0% 4480
4560 67.4% 4560
4640 71.6% 4640
4720 75.6% 4720
4800 79.4% 4800
4880 82.9% 4880
4960 86.0% 4960
5040 88.8% 5040
5120 91.2% 5120
5200 93.3% 5200
5280 95.0% 5280
5360 96.3% 5360
5440 97.4% 5440
5520 98.2% 5520
5600 98.8% 5600
5680 99.2% 5680
5760 99.5% 5760
5840 99.7% 5840
5920 99.8% 5920
6000 99.9% 6000
6080 100.0% 6080
6160 100.0% 6160
6240 100.0% 6240
6320 100.0% 6320
6400 100.0% 6400
f(t)
100.0%
100.0% 120.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0% 80.0%
100.0%
100.0% 60.0%

100.0%
40.0%
100.0%
100.0% 20.0%
100.0%
100.0% 0.0%
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
99.9%
99.9%
99.9%
99.8%
99.7%
99.7%
99.6%
99.4%
99.3%
99.0%
98.8%
98.5%
98.1%
97.7%
97.2%
96.5%
95.8%
95.0%
94.0%
92.9%
91.6%
90.1%
88.4%
86.5%
84.4%
82.0%
79.4%
76.6%
73.5%
70.2%
66.6%
62.8%
58.7%
54.6%
50.2%
45.8%
41.4%
37.0%
32.6%
28.4%
24.4%
20.6%
17.1%
14.0%
11.2%
8.8%
6.7%
5.0%
3.7%
2.6%
1.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
 Estimación X Y
1.50

F(t)^ ln(ti) ln(ln(1/1-F(T))) 1.00

Número de Horas para f(x) = 2.58680715431555 x − 17.339478586550
Falla (i) la Falla (ti) R² = 0.998121275586071
1 300 6.73% 5.70 -2.66 0.50
2 410 16.35% 6.02 -1.72
0.00
3 500 25.96% 6.21 -1.20 5.60 5.80 6.00 6.20 6.40 6.60
4 600 35.58% 6.40 -0.82
-0.50
5 660 45.19% 6.49 -0.51
6 750 54.81% 6.62 -0.23 -1.00
7 825 64.42% 6.72 0.03
8 900 74.04% 6.80 0.30 -1.50
9 1050 83.65% 6.96 0.59
-2.00
10 1200 93.27% 7.09 0.99
-2.50
1β 2.59
2Y 0 -3.00
3n 814.88

t f(t) t
0.0014000
0 #NUM! 0
35 0.0000190 0.0012000
35
70 0.0000607 70
105 0.0001175 0.0010000 105
140 0.0001864 140
0.0008000
175 0.0002650 175
210 0.0003513 0.0006000 210
245 0.0004434 245
280 0.0005391 0.0004000 280
315 0.0006365 315
0.0002000
350 0.0007334 350
385 0.0008277 0.0000000 385
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
420 0.0009172 420
455 0.0009999 455
490 0.0010740 490
525 0.0011377 525
560 0.0011896 560
595 0.0012286 595
630 0.0012540 630
665 0.0012653 665
700 0.0012626 700
735 0.0012462 735
770 0.0012168 770
805 0.0011756 805
840 0.0011238 840
 875 0.0010631 875
910 0.0009953 910
945 0.0009221 945
980 0.0008454 980
1015 0.0007670 1015
1050 0.0006886 1050
1085 0.0006117 1085
1120 0.0005377 1120
1155 0.0004676 1155
1190 0.0004023 1190
1225 0.0003423 1225
1260 0.0002882 1260
1295 0.0002399 1295
1330 0.0001976 1330
1365 0.0001609 1365
1400 0.0001295 1400
1435 0.0001031 1435
1470 0.0000811 1470
1505 0.0000631 1505
1540 0.0000485 1540
1575 0.0000368 1575
1610 0.0000277 1610
1645 0.0000205 1645
1680 0.0000150 1680
1715 0.0000109 1715
1750 0.0000078 1750
1785 0.0000055 1785
1820 0.0000038 1820
1855 0.0000026 1855
1890 0.0000018 1890
1925 0.0000012 1925
1960 0.0000008 1960
1995 0.0000005 1995
2030 0.0000003 2030
2065 0.0000002 2065
2100 0.0000001 2100
15431555 x − 17.3394785865503
75586071

6.20 6.40 6.60 6.80 7.00 7.20

f(f) t f(t)
120.00%
0.00% 0 100.0%
0.03% 35 100.0%
0.17% 100.00% 70 99.8%
0.50% 105 99.5%
1.04% 80.00% 140 99.0%
1.85% 175 98.1%
2.95% 60.00% 210 97.0%
4.37% 245 95.6%
6.11% 40.00% 280 93.9%
8.20% 315 91.8%
10.63% 20.00% 350 89.4%
13.39% 385 86.6%
16.48% 0.00% 420 83.5%
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
19.87% 455 80.1%
23.53% 490 76.5%
27.44% 525 72.6%
31.54% 560 68.5%
35.81% 595 64.2%
40.19% 630 59.8%
44.63% 665 55.4%
49.08% 700 50.9%
53.50% 735 46.5%
57.84% 770 42.2%
62.05% 805 37.9%
66.10% 840 33.9%
 69.95% 875 30.1%
73.57% 910 26.4%
76.94% 945 23.1%
80.05% 980 20.0%
82.88% 1015 17.1%
85.44% 1050 14.6%
87.72% 1085 12.3%
89.74% 1120 10.3%
91.50% 1155 8.5%
93.03% 1190 7.0%
94.33% 1225 5.7%
95.44% 1260 4.6%
96.36% 1295 3.6%
97.13% 1330 2.9%
97.76% 1365 2.2%
98.27% 1400 1.7%
98.67% 1435 1.3%
99.00% 1470 1.0%
99.25% 1505 0.8%
99.44% 1540 0.6%
99.59% 1575 0.4%
99.70% 1610 0.3%
99.79% 1645 0.2%
99.85% 1680 0.2%
99.89% 1715 0.1%
99.93% 1750 0.1%
99.95% 1785 0.0%
99.97% 1820 0.0%
99.98% 1855 0.0%
99.99% 1890 0.0%
99.99% 1925 0.0%
99.99% 1960 0.0%
100.00% 1995 0.0%
100.00% 2030 0.0%
100.00% 2065 0.0%
100.00% 2100 0.0%
120.0%

100.0%

80.0%

60.0%

40.0%

20.0%

0.0%
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
 Estimación X Y
Número de Horas para la
Falla (i) Falla (ti) F(t)^ ln(ti) ln(ln(1/1-F(T)))
1 78 4.55% 4.36 -3.07 1.30
2 88 11.04% 4.48 -2.15 f(x) = 6.0577434000685 x − 29.0
0.80 R² = 0.955808972417126
3 95 17.53% 4.55 -1.65
4 99 24.03% 4.60 -1.29 0.30
5 100 30.52% 4.61 -1.01
4.32
-0.20 4.42 4.52
6 103 37.01% 4.63 -0.77
7 105 43.51% 4.65 -0.56 -0.70
8 110 50.00% 4.70 -0.37
9 111 56.49% 4.71 -0.18 -1.20

10 117 62.99% 4.76 -0.01 -1.70

11 129 69.48% 4.86 0.17
12 136 75.97% 4.91 0.35 -2.20

13 136 82.47% 4.91 0.55 -2.70

14 142 88.96% 4.96 0.79
15 147 95.45% 4.99 1.13 -3.20

1β 6.06
3Y 0
2n 121.59

t t(f)
0.016
0 #NUM! 0.014
7 0.0000000
14 0.0000001 0.012
21 0.0000012 0.01
28 0.0000086
35 0.0000350 0.008
42 0.0001047
0.006
49 0.0002568
56 0.0005483 0.004
63 0.0010545
0.002
70 0.0018642
77 0.0030670 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
84 0.0047258
91 0.0068319
98 0.0092459
105 0.0116442
112 0.0135149
119 0.0142618
126 0.0134438
133 0.0110724
140 0.0077557
147 0.0044734
154 0.0020452
161 0.0007089
168 0.0001770
175 0.0000300
182 0.0000032
189 0.0000002
196 0.0000000
203 0.0000000
210 0.0000000
217 0.0000000
224 0.0000000
231 0.0000000
238 0.0000000
245 0.0000000
252 0.0000000
259 0.0000000
266 0.0000000
273 0.0000000
280 0.0000000
287 0.0000000
294 0.0000000
301 0.0000000
308 0.0000000
315 0.0000000
322 0.0000000
329 0.0000000
336 0.0000000
343 0.0000000
350 0.0000000
357 0.0000000
364 0.0000000
371 0.0000000
378 0.0000000
385 0.0000000
392 0.0000000
399 0.0000000
406 0.0000000
413 0.0000000
420 0.0000000
0
f(x) = 6.0577434000685 x − 29.0810007564662
0 R² = 0.955808972417126

4.32
0 4.42 4.52 4.62 4.72 4.82 4.92

t f(t) 120.0% t

0 0.0% 0
7 0.0% 100.0% 7
14 0.0% 14
21 0.0% 80.0% 21
28 0.0% 28
35 0.1% 60.0% 35
42 0.2% 42
49 0.4% 49
40.0%
56 0.9% 56
63 1.8% 63
20.0%
70 3.5% 70
77 6.1% 77
84 10.1% 0.0% 84
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
91 15.9% 91
98 23.7% 98
105 33.7% 105
112 45.6% 112
119 58.4% 119
126 71.1% 126
133 82.1% 133
140 90.5% 140
147 95.7% 147
154 98.5% 154
161 99.6% 161
168 99.9% 168
175 100.0% 175
182 100.0% 182
189 100.0% 189
196 100.0% 196
203 100.0% 203
210 100.0% 210
217 100.0% 217
224 100.0% 224
231 100.0% 231
238 100.0% 238
245 100.0% 245
252 100.0% 252
259 100.0% 259
266 100.0% 266
273 100.0% 273
280 100.0% 280
287 100.0% 287
294 100.0% 294
301 100.0% 301
308 100.0% 308
315 100.0% 315
322 100.0% 322
329 100.0% 329
336 100.0% 336
343 100.0% 343
350 100.0% 350
357 100.0% 357
364 100.0% 364
371 100.0% 371
378 100.0% 378
385 100.0% 385
392 100.0% 392
399 100.0% 399
406 100.0% 406
413 100.0% 413
420 100.0% 420
f(t)
120.0%
100.0%
100.0% 100.0%
100.0%
100.0% 80.0%
100.0%
99.9% 60.0%
99.8%
99.6% 40.0%
99.1%
98.2%
20.0%
96.5%
93.9%
0.0%
89.9% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
84.1%
76.3%
66.3%
54.4%
41.6%
28.9%
17.9%
9.5%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
 Estimación X Y
Número de
Falla (i) Duración H (ti) F(t)^ ln(ti) ln(ln(1/1-F(T)))
1 1187 4.27% 7.08 -3.13 1.20 f(x) = 3.65356369289046 x − 28
2 1206 10.37% 7.10 -2.21 R² = 0.95198243991821
0.70
3 1235 16.46% 7.12 -1.72
4 1579 22.56% 7.36 -1.36 0.20
5 1711 28.66% 7.44 -1.09 7.00 7.20 7.40
1767 -0.30
6 34.76% 7.48 -0.85
7 1827 40.85% 7.51 -0.64 -0.80
8 2009 46.95% 7.61 -0.46
9 2143 53.05% 7.67 -0.28 -1.30

10 2166 59.15% 7.68 -0.11 -1.80

11 2260 65.24% 7.72 0.06
12 2527 71.34% 7.83 0.22 -2.30

13 2563 77.44% 7.85 0.40 -2.80

14 2697 83.54% 7.90 0.59
15 2751 89.63% 7.92 0.82 -3.30
16 3248 95.73% 8.09 1.15

1β 3.65
3Y 0
2n 2298.13

t f(t)
0 #NUM!
65 0.0000001 0.0007000
130 0.0000007
0.0006000
195 0.0000022
260 0.0000047
0.0005000
325 0.0000086
390 0.0000141 0.0004000
455 0.0000212
520 0.0000302 0.0003000
585 0.0000413
650 0.0000545 0.0002000
715 0.0000700
0.0001000
780 0.0000878
845 0.0001079
0.0000000
910 0.0001304 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
975 0.0001552
1040 0.0001821
1105 0.0002111
1170 0.0002418
1235 0.0002740
1300 0.0003074
1365 0.0003415
1430 0.0003759
1495 0.0004101
1560 0.0004434
1625 0.0004752
1690 0.0005050
1755 0.0005320
1820 0.0005556
1885 0.0005753
1950 0.0005906
2015 0.0006008
2080 0.0006058
2145 0.0006053
2210 0.0005991
2275 0.0005873
2340 0.0005702
2405 0.0005480
2470 0.0005214
2535 0.0004908
2600 0.0004570
2665 0.0004208
2730 0.0003831
2795 0.0003447
2860 0.0003064
2925 0.0002689
2990 0.0002331
3055 0.0001993
3120 0.0001682
3185 0.0001399
3250 0.0001148
3315 0.0000927
3380 0.0000738
3445 0.0000578
3510 0.0000446
3575 0.0000338
3640 0.0000252
3705 0.0000185
3770 0.0000133
3835 0.0000094
3900 0.0000065
3965 0.0000044
4030 0.0000030
4095 0.0000019
4160 0.0000012
4225 0.0000008
4290 0.0000005
4355 0.0000003
4420 0.0000002
4485 0.0000001
4550 0.0000001
4615 0.0000000
4680 0.0000000
4745 0.0000000
4810 0.0000000
4875 0.0000000
4940 0.0000000
5005 0.0000000
5070 0.0000000
5135 0.0000000
5200 0.0000000
0 f(x) = 3.65356369289046 x − 28.2504497014861
R² = 0.95198243991821
0

0
7.00 7.20 7.40 7.60 7.80 8.00
0

t f(t)
0 0.0%
120.0%
65 0.0%
130 0.0%
100.0%
195 0.0%
260 0.0%
325 0.1% 80.0%
390 0.2%
455 0.3% 60.0%
520 0.4%
585 0.7% 40.0%
650 1.0%
715 1.4%
20.0%
780 1.9%
845 2.6%
910 3.3% 0.0%
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
975 4.3%
1040 5.4%
1105 6.7%
1170 8.2%
1235 9.8%
1300 11.7%
1365 13.9%
1430 16.2%
1495 18.8%
1560 21.6%
1625 24.6%
1690 27.8%
1755 31.2%
1820 34.7%
1885 38.4%
1950 42.3%
2015 46.1%
2080 50.1%
2145 54.0%
2210 58.0%
2275 61.9%
2340 65.6%
2405 69.3%
2470 72.8%
2535 76.1%
2600 79.2%
2665 82.0%
2730 84.7%
2795 87.0%
2860 89.2%
2925 91.0%
2990 92.7%
3055 94.1%
3120 95.3%
3185 96.3%
3250 97.1%
3315 97.8%
3380 98.3%
3445 98.8%
3510 99.1%
3575 99.3%
3640 99.5%
3705 99.7%
3770 99.8%
3835 99.8%
3900 99.9%
3965 99.9%
4030 100.0%
4095 100.0%
4160 100.0%
4225 100.0%
4290 100.0%
4355 100.0%
4420 100.0%
4485 100.0%
4550 100.0%
4615 100.0%
4680 100.0%
4745 100.0%
4810 100.0%
4875 100.0%
4940 100.0%
5005 100.0%
5070 100.0%
5135 100.0%
5200 100.0%
t f(t)
0 100.0% 120.0%
65 100.0%
130 100.0% 100.0%
195 100.0%
260 100.0% 80.0%
325 99.9%
390 99.8%
60.0%
455 99.7%
520 99.6%
40.0%
585 99.3%
650 99.0%
715 98.6% 20.0%

780 98.1%
845 97.4% 0.0%
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
910 96.7%
975 95.7%
1040 94.6%
1105 93.3%
1170 91.8%
1235 90.2%
1300 88.3%
1365 86.1%
1430 83.8%
1495 81.2%
1560 78.4%
1625 75.4%
1690 72.2%
1755 68.8%
1820 65.3%
1885 61.6%
1950 57.7%
2015 53.9%
2080 49.9%
2145 46.0%
2210 42.0%
2275 38.1%
2340 34.4%
2405 30.7%
2470 27.2%
2535 23.9%
2600 20.8%
2665 18.0%
2730 15.3%
2795 13.0%
2860 10.8%
2925 9.0%
2990 7.3%
3055 5.9%
3120 4.7%
3185 3.7%
3250 2.9%
3315 2.2%
3380 1.7%
3445 1.2%
3510 0.9%
3575 0.7%
3640 0.5%
3705 0.3%
3770 0.2%
3835 0.2%
3900 0.1%
3965 0.1%
4030 0.0%
4095 0.0%
4160 0.0%
4225 0.0%
4290 0.0%
4355 0.0%
4420 0.0%
4485 0.0%
4550 0.0%
4615 0.0%
4680 0.0%
4745 0.0%
4810 0.0%
4875 0.0%
4940 0.0%
5005 0.0%
5070 0.0%
5135 0.0%
5200 0.0%