Costos de Inversión BD

ALTERNATIVA 1
MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SERVICIOS TURÍSTICOS DEL COMPLEJO RECREACIONAL BOSQUE DO

EN EL ANEXO DE PACCHA, DISTRITO DE EL TAMBO, REGIÓN JUNÍN.
Item Descripción
01 GESTIÓN DE LA CALIDAD TURÍSTICA
01.01 OBRAS PROVISIONALES ,TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES ,SEGURIDAD Y
01.01.01 SALUD
OBRAS PROVISIONALES
01.01.02 TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES
01.01.03 SEGURIDAD Y SALUD
01.02 INSTALACIONES TURISTICAS
01.02.01 CONSTRUCCIÓN DE PORTADA DE INGRESO
01.02.02 CONSTRUCCIÓN DE BOLETERIA Y ORIENTACIÓN TURISTICA
01.02.03 CONSTRUCCION DE GUARDIANÍA (2)
01.02.04 STAND DE ARTESANÍA
01.02.05 STAND DE GASTRONOMÍA
01.02.06 HABILITACIÓN DE ESTACIONAMIENTO
01.02.07 CONSTRUCCIÓN DE MIRADORES
01.02.08 AMPLIACIÓN DE OFICINAS ADMINISTRATIVAS Y TÓPICO
01.02.09 CONSTRUCCIÓN DE SS.HH. Y CUARTO DE MÁQUINAS
01.02.10 CONSTRUCCIÓN DE CERCO PERIMÉTRICO
01.02.11 HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE COMIDA
01.02.12 HABILITACIÓN DE ESPACIOS RECREATIVOS
01.02.13 HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE DESCANSO
01.02.14 HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE CAMPAMENTO
01.03 SERVICIOS BÁSICOS
01.03.01 INSTALACION DE REDES DE AGUA
01.03.02 INSTALACION DE REDES DE DESAGUE AL BIODIGESTOR
01.03.03 DRENAJE PLUVIAL
01.03.04 INSTALACIONES ELÉCTRICAS
01.04 SEÑALIZACIÓN TURÍSTICA
01.04.01 SEÑALIZACION TURISTICA
01.04.02 SEÑALIZACION VIAL
01.04.03 SEÑALIZACIÓN DE SEGURIDAD
01.05 ACCESIBILIDAD
01.05.01 MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SENDEROS PEATONALES
01.06 POSICIONAMIENTO DEL COMPLEJO TURÍSTICO
01.06.01 PROMOCIÓN Y DIFUSIÓN MEDIANTE MATERIALES
01.06.02 PROMOCIÓN Y DIFUSIÓN ONLINE
01.07 CALIDAD EN LA ATENCIÓN AL CLIENTE
01.07.01 ASISTENCIA TÉCNICA
01.07.02 CAPACITACIÓN EN BUENAS PRÁCTICAS
02 CULTURA TURÍSTICA Y GASTRONÓMICA
02.01 CULTURA TURÍSTICA
02.01.01 CONCIENTIZACION DE LA IDENTIDAD CULTURAL
02.01.02 CAPACITACIÓN Y ASESORIA TÉCNICA A LOS ARTESANOS
02.02 CULTURA GASTRONÓMICA
02.02.01 CAPACITACIÓN EN LA GASTRONOMIA LOCAL
02.02.02 TALLER GASTRONÓMICO
03 GESTIÓN AMBIENTAL
03.01 PRESERVACIÓN DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE
03.02.01 FORESTACIÓN DE ÁRBOLES NATIVOS
03.02 MANEJO DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS
03.02.01 IMPLEMENTACIÓN DE TACHOS Y DÉPOSITO TEMPORAL
03.02.02 CAPACITACIÓN EN MANEJOR DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS
COSTO DIRECTO
10% GASTOS GENERALES
8% UTILIDAD
18% IGV
5% GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO
3% GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN
2% LIQUIDACIÓN
COSTO INDIRECTO
COSTO TOTAL
DESCOMPUESTO DEL COSTO DIRECTO A PRECIOS DE MERCADO

MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA
MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA
MATERIALES
EQUIPOS
SUBCONTRATOS
COSTO DIRECTO
10% GASTOS GENERALES
8% UTILIDAD
18% IGV
5% GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO
3% GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN
2% LIQUIDACIÓN
COSTO INDIRECTO
COSTO TOTAL
FACTORES DE CORRECCIÓN (FC)

Bienes transables
Bienes no transables
Mano de obra calificada
Mano de obra no calificada
Mano de obra semicalificada
Combustibles (Diesel)
COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES

MATERIALES
EQUIPOS
SUBCONTRATOS
COSTO DIRECTO
GASTOS GENERALES
UTILIDAD
IGV
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO
GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN
LIQUIDACIÓN
COSTO INDIRECTO
COSTO TOTAL
L BOSQUE DORADO, MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SERVICIOS TURÍSTICO
NÍN. ANEXO DE PACCHA, DIS
Parcial S/. Item

2,918,034.15 01
47,221.52 01.01
19,372.16 01.01.01
23,899.36 01.01.02
3,950.00 01.01.03
1,656,008.88 01.02
12,614.70 01.02.01
21,672.51 01.02.02
16,635.63 01.02.03
136,203.60 01.02.04
254,946.61 01.02.05
151,075.99 01.02.06
465,037.99 01.02.07
67,877.22 01.02.08
63,990.28 01.02.09
286,644.90 01.02.10
23,596.68 01.02.11
52,487.53 01.02.12
96,724.57 01.02.13
6,500.67 01.02.14
190,120.73 01.03
23,781.56 01.03.01
30,493.60 01.03.02
28,627.99 01.03.03
107,217.58 01.03.04
167,091.35 01.04
7,733.73 01.04.01
132,669.92 01.04.02
26,687.70 01.04.03
826,341.67 01.05
826,341.67 01.05.01
20,250.00 01.06
6,250.00 01.06.01
14,000.00 01.06.02
11,000.00 01.07
5,000.00 01.07.01
6,000.00 01.07.02
31,250.00 02
15,000.00 02.01
7,500.00 02.01.01
7,500.00 02.01.02
16,250.00 02.02
5,000.00 02.02.01
11,250.00 02.02.02
70,400.00 03
60,000.00 03.01
60,000.00 03.02.01
10,400.00 03.02
5,400.00 03.02.01
5,000.00 03.02.02
3,019,684.15
301968.415 10%
241574.732 8%
641380.91346 18%
150984.2075 5%
90590.5245 3%
45295.26225 2%
1,471,794.05
S/ 4,491,478.20
S/ 981,907.71 ### 0.325169011

S/ 420,817.59 ### 0.139358148
S/ 1,313,567.81 0.435001724
S/ 101,455.85 0.033598166
S/ 201,935.19 0.066872951
S/ 3,019,684.15
S/ 301,968.42 10%
S/ 241,574.73 8%
S/ 641,380.91 18%
S/ 150,984.21 5%
S/ 90,590.52 3%
S/ 45,295.26 2%
S/ 1,471,794.05
S/ 4,491,478.20
1.08
0.847 SERVICIOS DE AGUA ELEC
0.8
0.62
0.65
0.735
S/ 785,526.17
S/ 260,906.91
S/ 1,418,653.23
S/ 109,572.32
S/ 171,039.11
S/ 2,745,697.73
S/ 255,767.25
S/ 204,613.80
S/ 543,249.63
S/ 120,787.37
S/ 72,472.42
S/ 38,365.09
S/ 1,235,255.55
S/ 3,980,953.28
ALTERNATIVA 2
ORAMIENTO DE LOS SERVICIOS TURÍSTICOS DEL COMPLEJO RECREACIONAL BOSQUE DORADO, EN EL

ANEXO DE PACCHA, DISTRITO DE EL TAMBO, REGIÓN JUNÍN.
Descripción Parcial S/.

GESTIÓN DE LA CALIDAD TURÍSTICA 2,941,555.98
OBRAS PROVISIONALES ,TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES ,SEGURIDAD Y SALUD 47,221.52
OBRAS PROVISIONALES 19,372.16
TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES 23,899.36
SEGURIDAD Y SALUD 3,950.00
INSTALACIONES TURISTICAS 1,664,326.70
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE PORTADA DE INGRESO 12,614.70
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE BOLETERIA Y ORIENTACIÓN TURISTICA 21,672.51
CONSTRUCCION DE GUARDIANÍA (3) 24,953.45
STAND DE ARTESANÍA 136,203.60
STAND DE GASTRONOMÍA 254,946.61
HABILITACIÓN DE ESTACIONAMIENTO 151,075.99
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE MIRADORES 465,037.99
AMPLIACIÓN DE OFICINAS ADMINISTRATIVAS Y TÓPICO 67,877.22
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE SS.HH. Y CUARTO DE MÁQUINAS 63,990.28
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE CERCO PERIMÉTRICO 286,644.90
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE COMIDA 23,596.68
HABILITACIÓN DE ESPACIOS RECREATIVOS 52,487.53
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE DESCANSO 96,724.57
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE CAMPAMENTO 6,500.67
SERVICIOS BÁSICOS 205,324.74
INSTALACION DE REDES DE AGUA 23,781.56
INSTALACION DE REDES DE DESAGUE AL POZO SÉPTICO 45,697.61
DRENAJE PLUVIAL 28,627.99
INSTALACIONES ELÉCTRICAS 107,217.58
SEÑALIZACIÓN TURÍSTICA 167,091.35
SEÑALIZACION TURISTICA 7,733.73
SEÑALIZACION VIAL 132,669.92
SEÑALIZACIÓN DE SEGURIDAD 26,687.70
ACCESIBILIDAD 826,341.67
MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SENDEROS PEATONALES 826,341.67
POSICIONAMIENTO DEL COMPLEJO TURÍSTICO 20,250.00
PROMOCION Y DIFUSION MEDIANTE MATERIALES 6,250.00
PROMOCIÓN Y DIFUSIÓN ONLINE Y RADIO Y TV 14,000.00
CALIDAD EN LA ATENCIÓN AL CLIENTE 11,000.00
ASISTENCIA TÉCNICA 5,000.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN BUENAS PRÁCTICAS 6,000.00
CULTURA TURÍSTICA Y GASTRONÓMICA 31,250.00
CULTURA TURÍSTICA 15,000.00
CONCIENTIZACION DE LA IDENTIDAD CULTURAL 7,500.00
CAPACITACIÓN Y ASESORIA TÉCNICA A LOS ARTESANOS 7,500.00
CULTURA GASTRONÓMICA 16,250.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN LA GASTRONOMIA LOCAL 5,000.00
TALLER GASTRONÓMICO VARIADO 11,250.00
GESTIÓN AMBIENTAL 72,500.00
PRESERVACIÓN DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE 60,000.00
FORESTACIÓN DE ÁRBOLES NATIVOS 60,000.00
MANEJO DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS 12,500.00
IMPLEMENTACIÓN DE CILINDROS Y DÉPOSITO TEMPORAL 7,500.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN MANEJOR DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS 5,000.00
COSTO DIRECTO 3,045,305.98
GASTOS GENERALES 304530.5975
UTILIDAD 243624.478
IGV 646822.98909
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO 152265.29875
GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN 91359.17925
LIQUIDACIÓN 45679.589625
COSTO INDIRECTO 1,484,282.13
COSTO TOTAL S/ 4,529,588.11
DESCOMPUESTO DEL COSTO DIRECTO A PRECIOS DE MERCADO

MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA S/ 990,239.13
MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA S/ 424,388.20
MATERIALES S/ 1,324,713.35
EQUIPOS S/ 102,316.70
SUBCONTRATOS S/ 203,648.60
COSTO DIRECTO S/ 3,045,305.98
GASTOS GENERALES S/ 304,530.60
UTILIDAD S/ 243,624.48
IGV S/ 646,822.99
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO S/ 152,265.30
GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN S/ 91,359.18
LIQUIDACIÓN S/ 45,679.59
COSTO INDIRECTO S/ 1,484,282.13
FACTORES DE CORRECCIÓN (FC)

Bienes transables 1.08
Bienes no transables 0.847
Mano de obra calificada 0.8
Mano de obra no calificada 0.62
Mano de obra semicalificada 0.65
Combustibles (Diesel) 0.735
COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES
MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA S/ 792,191.31

MANO DE OBRA NO CALIFICADA S/ 263,120.68
MATERIALES S/ 1,430,690.42
EQUIPOS S/ 110,502.03
SUBCONTRATOS S/ 172,490.36
IGV S/ 547,859.07
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO S/ 121,812.24
COSTO INDIRECTO S/ 1,245,736.62
01 GESTIÓN DE LA CALIDAD TURÍSTICA
02 CULTURA TURÍSTICA Y GASTRONÓMICA
03 GESTIÓN AMBIENTAL
01.02.03 CONSTRUCCION DE GUARDIANÍA (3)
01 TANQUE SEPTICO (01 UNIDAD)

02 POZO DE PERCOLACION (02 UNIDADES)
03 CAJAS DE INSPECCION
TOTAL
INSTALACION DE DESAGUE
0.32516901146764 S/ 1,402,725.30
0.13935814777185 S/ 1,414,627.33
0.43500172360742
0.03359816621881
0.06687295093429
S/ 3,045,305.98
SERVICIOS DE AGUA ELEC

S/ 2,941,555.98
S/ 31,250.00
S/ 72,500.00
16,635.63
AREA
10,767.91 10.71 m2
19,566.98 42.47 m3
2,420.53 1.34 m4
32,755.42
12942.19
COSTOS DE O&M SIN PROYECTO
COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN POR MES - SIN PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
Descripción Unidad Cantidad
ON UNITARIA
Remuneración del personal Total

Cobrador mes 1 S/. 250.00
Personal Limpieza semanal 4 S/. 20.00
Insumos, material y herramientas Total
Transporte semanal 4 S/. 15.00
Material y Herramientas mes 1 S/. 15.00
Servicios básicos Total
Agua mes 1 S/. 3.50
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO - SIN PROYECTO
MANTENIMIENTO - SIN PROYECTO
Descripción Unidad Cantidad Parcial
Estacionamiento Costoxaño 2 S/. 80.00

Anfiteatro Costoxaño 3 S/. 100.00
Senderos peatonales Costoxaño 1 S/. 150.00
Red de agua Costoxaño 2 S/. 80.00
Servicios higiénicos Costoxaño 2 S/. 80.00
Restaurante (varios usos) Costoxaño 3 S/. 100.00
Espacios de recreación Costoxaño 2 S/. 80.00
Total x año
PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3
COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
Personal S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00
Insumos, material y
S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00
herramientas
Servicios básicos S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
Infraestructura S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
TOTAL COSTOS DE O Y M S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
COSTOS DE O&M CON PROYECTO - ALTERNATIVA 1
COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN - CON PROYECTO
Remuneración del Personal - CON PROYECTO

REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Administrador mes 1 S/. 1,500.00

Cobrador mes 1 S/. 1,200.00
Personal de seguridad mes 2 S/. 1,200.00
Personal Limpieza mes 1 S/. 1,000.00
Total
Insumos, material y herramientas - CON PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Medicamentos mes 1 S/. 250.00

Útiles de oficina mes 1 S/. 100.00
Materiales de limpieza mes 1 S/. 200.00
Herramientas mes 1 S/. 80.00
Gastos de transporte mes 1 S/. 150.00
Publicidad mes 1 S/. 150.00
Eventos en Bosque Dorado mes 1 S/. 250.00
Servicios a terceros mes 1 S/. 200.00
Total
Servicios Básicos- CON PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Agua mes 1 S/. 50.00

Luz mes 1 S/. 500.00
Comunicación mes 1 S/. 150.00
Total
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO POR MES - CON PROYECTO
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO ANUAL - CON PROYECTO
CANTIDAD x PRECIO
DESCRIPCIÓN TOTAL
AÑO UNITARIO
Mantenimiento de las Instalaciones turísticas
Reparacion estructural - General 2 S/5,000.00 S/10,000.00
Pintado - General 1 S/2,000.00 S/2,000.00
Limpieza - General 2 S/500.00 S/1,000.00
Reparación del sendero peatonal 2 S/1,000.00 S/2,000.00
Mantenimiento de equipos 2 S/500.00 S/1,000.00
Mantenimiento de mobiliarios 2 S/1,500.00 S/3,000.00
Mantenimiento del Pararrayo 1 S/500.00 S/500.00
Mantenimiento del cerco perimetral 2 S/1,500.00 S/3,000.00
Mantenimiento de los Servicios Básicos
Instalaciones de agua y desague 3 S/500.00 S/1,500.00
Limpieza de Biodigestores 2 S/750.00 S/1,500.00
Drenaje Pluvial 1 S/500.00 S/500.00
Instalaciones elécticas - General 3 S/1,500.00 S/4,500.00
Mantenimiento de las Señalizaciones
Reparacion de señalizaciones 6 S/500.00 S/3,000.00
Mantenimiento Ambiental
Mantenimiento del bosque 3 S/1,000.00 S/3,000.00
Area verde (Jardinería) 12 S/500.00 S/6,000.00
Tachos de Basura 6 S/100.00 S/600.00
Mantenimiento correctivo
Para mantenimientos inmediatos o 12 S/200.00 S/2,400.00
diferidos
TOTAL S/. 45,500.00
PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN CON PRO
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3
Personal S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00

Insumos, material y
S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00
herramientas
Servicios básicos S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00
COSTOS DE
S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
MANTENIMIENTO
Mantenimiento S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
COSTOS DE O&M CON PROYECTO - ALTERNATIVA 2
COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN - CON PROYECTO
Remuneración del Personal - CON PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Administrador mes 1 S/. 1,500.00

Cobrador mes 1 S/. 1,200.00
Personal de seguridad mes 3 S/. 1,000.00
Personal Limpieza mes 1 S/. 1,000.00
Total
Insumos, material y herramientas - CON PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Medicamentos mes 1 S/. 250.00

Útiles de oficina mes 1 S/. 150.00
Materiales de limpieza mes 1 S/. 200.00
Herramientas mes 1 S/. 80.00
Gastos de transporte mes 1 S/. 150.00
Publicidad mes 1 S/. 150.00
Eventos en Bosque Dorado mes 1 S/. 250.00
Servicios a terceros mes 1 S/. 200.00
Total
Servicios Básicos- CON PROYECTO
REMUNERACI
ON UNITARIA
Agua mes 1 S/. 50.00

Luz mes 1 S/. 500.00
Comunicación mes 1 S/. 100.00
Total
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO POR MES - CON PROYECTO
COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO ANUAL - CON PROYECTO

CANTIDAD x PRECIO
DESCRIPCIÓN TOTAL
AÑO UNITARIO
Mantenimiento de las Instalaciones turísticas
Reparacion estructural - General 2 S/5,000.00 S/10,000.00
Pintado General 1 S/2,200.00 S/2,200.00
Limpieza General 2 S/500.00 S/1,000.00
Reparación del sendero peatonal 2 S/1,000.00 S/2,000.00
Mantenimiento de equipos 2 S/500.00 S/1,000.00
Mantenimiento de mobiliarios 2 S/1,500.00 S/3,000.00
Mantenimiento del Pararrayo 1 S/500.00 S/500.00
Mantenimiento del cerco de madera 3 S/2,000.00 S/6,000.00
Mantenimiento de los Servicios Básicos
Instalaciones de agua y desague 3 S/500.00 S/1,500.00
Limpieza del pozo séptico 1 S/2,000.00 S/2,000.00
Drenaje Pluvial 1 S/500.00 S/500.00
Instalaciones elécticas General 4 S/1,800.00 S/7,200.00
Mantenimiento de las Señalizaciones
Reparacion de señalizaciones 6 S/500.00 S/3,000.00
Mantenimiento Ambiental
Mantenimiento del bosque 3 S/1,000.00 S/3,000.00
Area verde (Jardinería) 12 S/500.00 S/6,000.00
cilindros de Basura 5 S/150.00 S/750.00
Mantenimiento correctivo
Para mantenimientos inmediatos o 12 S/250.00 S/3,000.00
diferidos
TOTAL S/. 52,650.00
PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN CON PRO
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3

Personal S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00
Insumos, material y
S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00
herramientas
COSTOS DE
S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00
MANTENIMIENTO
TOTAL COSTOS DE O & M S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00
COSTOS INCREMENTALES A PRECIOS DE MERCADO ALTERNATIVA 1
EJECUCIÓN
RUBRO /AÑOS
Año 0 Año 1 Año 2
I. COSTOS CON PROYECTO
A. COSTOS DE INVERSIÓN
Calidad Turística
Cultura Turistica y
gastronómica
Gestión Ambiental
IGV S/ 617,903.76
GASTO DE
EXPEDIENTE S/ 134,964.73
TÉCNICO
GASTOS DE
S/ 176,040.96
SUPERVISIÓN
B. COSTOS DE OPER Y S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00
MAN
Operación S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00
Mantenimiento S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
II. COSTOS SIN PROYECTO
C. COSTOS DE OPER Y S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00

MAN
Operación S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
III. COSTOS
S/ 4,405,718.37 S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00
INCREMENTALES
COSTOS INCREMENTALES A PRECIOS DE MERCADO ALTERNATIVA 2
EJECUCIÓN
RUBRO /AÑOS
Calidad Turística
Cultura Turistica y
gastronómica
Gestión Ambiental
IGV S/ 617,903.76
GASTO DE
EXPEDIENTE S/ 134,964.73
TÉCNICO
GASTOS DE
S/ 176,040.96
SUPERVISIÓN
LIQUIDACIÓN
B. COSTOS DE OPER Y S/ 44,010.24
MAN S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00
Operación S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00
II. COSTOS
C. COSTOSSINDE
PROYECTO
OPER Y
MAN S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
Operación S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
III. COSTOS
S/ 4,405,718.37 S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00
INCREMENTALES
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 330.00
S/. 250.00
S/. 80.00
S/. 75.00
S/. 60.00
S/. 15.00
S/. 3.50
S/. 3.50
MONTO A
PRECIOS
PRIVADOS
S/. 160.00
S/. 300.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 160.00
S/. 160.00
S/. 300.00
S/. 160.00
S/. 1,390.00
DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN SIN PROYECTO
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00 S/ 3,960.00
S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00 S/ 900.00
S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00 S/ 42.00
S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
O
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 1,500.00
S/. 1,200.00
S/. 2,400.00
S/. 1,000.00
S/. 6,100.00
CTO
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 250.00
S/. 100.00
S/. 200.00
S/. 80.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 250.00
S/. 200.00
S/. 1,380.00
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 50.00
S/. 500.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 700.00
N LA SITUACIÓN CON PROYECTO
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00
S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00

S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00 S/ 16,560.00
S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00 S/ 8,400.00
S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00
O
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 1,500.00
S/. 1,200.00
S/. 3,000.00
S/. 1,000.00
S/. 6,700.00
CTO
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 250.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 200.00
S/. 80.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 150.00
S/. 250.00
S/. 200.00
S/. 1,430.00
MONTO A
PRECIOS DE
MERCADO
S/. 50.00
S/. 500.00
S/. 100.00
S/. 650.00
N LA SITUACIÓN CON PROYECTO
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00

S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00 S/ 80,400.00
S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00 S/ 17,160.00
S/ 7,800.00 S/ 7,800.00 S/ 7,800.00 S/ 7,800.00 S/ 7,800.00 S/ 7,800.00
S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00
S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00
S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00
FUNCIONAMIENTO
Año 3 Año 4 Año 5 Año 6 Año 7 Año 8
S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00
S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00

S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00

S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00
FUNCIONAMIENTO
S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00
S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00
S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00
S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00

S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00

10
S/ 4,902.00
S/ 3,960.00
S/ 900.00
S/ 42.00
S/ 1,390.00
S/ 1,390.00
S/ 6,292.00
10
S/ 98,160.00
S/ 73,200.00
S/ 16,560.00
S/ 8,400.00
S/ 45,500.00
S/ 45,500.00
S/ 143,660.00
10
S/ 105,360.00
S/ 80,400.00
S/ 17,160.00
S/ 7,800.00
S/ 52,650.00
S/ 52,650.00
S/ 158,010.00
Año 9 Año 10
S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00
S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00
S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00
S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 137,368.00 S/ 137,368.00
Año 9 Año 10
S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00
S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00
S/ 52,650.00 S/ 52,650.00
S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00
S/ 4,902.00 S/ 4,902.00
S/ 1,390.00 S/ 1,390.00
S/ 151,718.00 S/ 151,718.00
MANTENIMIENTO - CON PROYECTO
Estacionamiento
Mantenimient S/100.00 S/100.00
Mantenimient S/50.00
Accesos
Mantenimiento del acceso vehicular
Mantenimiento del acceso peatonal
Stands
Limpieza general
Reparacion estructural
Pintura
Miradores
Limpieza general
Pintado general
Botería, Guardiania y Cuarto de máquinas
Mantenimiento de equipos
Limpieza general
Pintado general
Areas de comida y recreación
Mantenimiento de mobiliarios
Mantenimiento general
Area administrativa
Mantenimiento de equipos
Limpieza general
CON PROYECTO
MANTENIMIENTO - CON PROYECTO
S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00

S/50.00 S/50.00 S/50.00 S/50.00
S/150.00 S/150.00 S/150.00

S/200.00 S/200.00 S/200.00
S/500.00
S/800.00
S/500.00
S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00

S/500.00
S/500.00
to de máquinas
S/200.00
S/150.00
S/250.00
S/300.00
S/500.00
S/300.00
S/100.00
S/200.00
S/. -
S/100.00 S/100.00 S/100.00 ###
S/50.00 S/. 300.00
S/. -
S/150.00 S/. 600.00
S/200.00 S/. 800.00
S/. -
S/500.00 ###
S/800.00 ###
S/500.00 ###
S/. -
S/100.00 S/. 400.00
S/500.00 ###
S/500.00 ###
S/. -
S/200.00 S/. 400.00
S/150.00 S/. 300.00
S/250.00 S/. 500.00
S/300.00 S/. 600.00
S/. -
S/500.00 ###
S/300.00 S/. 600.00
S/. -
S/100.00 S/. 200.00
S/200.00 S/. 400.00
Item
01
01.01
01.01.01
01.01.02
01.01.03
01.02
01.02.01
01.02.02
01.02.03
01.02.04
01.02.05
01.02.06
01.02.07
01.02.08
01.02.09
01.02.10
01.02.11
01.02.12
01.02.13
01.02.14
01.03
01.03.01
01.03.02
01.03.03
01.03.04
01.04
01.04.01
01.04.02
01.04.03
01.05
01.05.01
01.06
01.06.01
01.06.02
01.07
01.07.01
01.07.02
02
02.01
02.01.01
02.01.02
02.02
02.02.01
02.02.02
03
03.01
03.02.01
03.02
03.02.01
03.02.02
Descripción Parcial S/.
GESTIÓN DE LA CALIDAD TURÍSTICA S/ 2,918,034.15
OBRAS PROVISIONALES ,TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES ,SEGURIDAD Y S/ 47,221.52
SALUD
OBRAS PROVISIONALES S/ 19,372.16
TRABAJOS PRELIMINARES S/ 23,899.36
SEGURIDAD Y SALUD S/ 3,950.00
INSTALACIONES TURISTICAS S/ 1,656,008.88
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE PORTADA DE INGRESO S/ 12,614.70
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE BOLETERIA Y ORIENTACIÓN TURISTICA S/ 21,672.51
CONSTRUCCION DE GUARDIANÍA (2) S/ 16,635.63
STAND DE ARTESANÍA S/ 136,203.60
STAND DE GASTRONOMÍA S/ 254,946.61
HABILITACIÓN DE ESTACIONAMIENTO S/ 151,075.99
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE MIRADORES S/ 465,037.99
AMPLIACIÓN DE OFICINAS ADMINISTRATIVAS Y TÓPICO S/ 67,877.22
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE SS.HH. Y CUARTO DE MÁQUINAS S/ 63,990.28
CONSTRUCCIÓN DE CERCO PERIMÉTRICO S/ 286,644.90
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE COMIDA S/ 23,596.68
HABILITACIÓN DE ESPACIOS RECREATIVOS S/ 52,487.53
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE DESCANSO S/ 96,724.57
HABILITACIÓN DE AREAS DE CAMPAMENTO S/ 6,500.67
SERVICIOS BÁSICOS S/ 190,120.73
INSTALACION DE REDES DE AGUA S/ 23,781.56
INSTALACION DE REDES DE DESAGUE AL BIODIGESTOR S/ 30,493.60
DRENAJE PLUVIAL S/ 28,627.99
INSTALACIONES ELÉCTRICAS S/ 107,217.58
SEÑALIZACIÓN TURÍSTICA S/ 167,091.35
SEÑALIZACION TURISTICA S/ 7,733.73
SEÑALIZACION VIAL S/ 132,669.92
SEÑALIZACIÓN DE SEGURIDAD S/ 26,687.70
ACCESIBILIDAD S/ 826,341.67
MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SENDEROS PEATONALES S/ 826,341.67
POSICIONAMIENTO DEL COMPLEJO TURÍSTICO S/ 20,250.00
PROMOCIÓN Y DIFUSIÓN MEDIANTE MATERIALES S/ 6,250.00
PROMOCIÓN Y DIFUSIÓN ONLINE S/ 14,000.00
CALIDAD EN LA ATENCIÓN AL CLIENTE S/ 11,000.00
ASISTENCIA TÉCNICA S/ 5,000.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN BUENAS PRÁCTICAS S/ 6,000.00
CULTURA TURÍSTICA Y GASTRONÓMICA S/ 31,250.00
CULTURA TURÍSTICA S/ 15,000.00
CONCIENTIZACION DE LA IDENTIDAD CULTURAL S/ 7,500.00
CAPACITACIÓN Y ASESORIA TÉCNICA A LOS ARTESANOS S/ 7,500.00
CULTURA GASTRONÓMICA S/ 16,250.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN LA GASTRONOMIA LOCAL S/ 5,000.00
TALLER GASTRONÓMICO S/ 11,250.00
GESTIÓN AMBIENTAL S/ 70,400.00
PRESERVACIÓN DEL MEDIO AMBIENTE S/ 60,000.00
FORESTACIÓN DE ÁRBOLES NATIVOS S/ 60,000.00
MANEJO DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS S/ 10,400.00
IMPLEMENTACIÓN DE TACHOS Y DÉPOSITO TEMPORAL S/ 5,400.00
CAPACITACIÓN EN MANEJOR DE RESIDUOS SÓLIDOS S/ 5,000.00
GASTOS GENERALES (10%) 301968.415
UTILIDAD (8%) 241574.732
IGV (18%) 641380.91346
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNICO (5%) 150984.2075
GASTOS DE SUPERVISIÓN (3%) 90590.5245
LIQUIDACIÓN (1.5%) 45295.26225
COSTO INDIRECTO 1,471,794.05
MODELO: GUÍA DE TURISMO
1) BENEFICIOS SOCIALES
A) DETERMINACION DE LOS BENEFICIOS SOCIALES GENERADOS POR LOS VISITANTES
TURISTA EXTRANJERO
GASTO DE TURISTA EXTRANJERO
SIN PROYECTO CON PROYECTO

FrecuenciGasto FrecuencGasto
95% ### 78% S/120.00
5% ### 22% S/70.00 (∆GD)
### S/109.00 S/11.50
PERIODO DE PERMANENCIA ADICIONAL

85% 30 90% 40
15% 15 10% 20 (∆T)
### S/38.00 S/10.25
TURISTA NACIONAL
GASTO POR LA COMPRA DE SOUVENIRS

2% ### 3% S/8.00
5% ### 16% S/10.00
15% ### 7% S/15.00
27% ### 30% S/20.00
18% ### 15% S/30.00
7% ### 2.40% S/35.00
5% ### 8.55% S/40.00
10% ### 7% S/45.00
5% ### 9% S/50.00
3% ### 2% S/60.00
3% ### 1% S/70.00 (∆T)
21.25 27.11 5.86
OTROS GASTOS
DESCRIPCION UNIDAD SIN PROY CON PROYECTO(ΔGP)
Alimentación S/. x turi S/ 20.00 S/ 25.00 S/ 5.00
Hospedaje S/. x turi S/ 20.00 S/ 25.00 S/ 5.00
Gasto en tarifas S/. x turi S/ 3.00 S/ 5.00 S/ 2.00
Compra de artesS/. x turi S/ 25.00 S/ 25.00 S/ -
PERIODO DE PERMANENCIA ADICIONAL

FrecuenciDías FrecuencDías
93.00% 0 92.50% 1
5.50% 1 6.00% 2
1.50% 2 1.50% 3 (∆T)
0.085 1.09 1.005
EXCURSIONISTA
DESCRIPCION UNIDAD SIN PROY CON PROYECTO(ΔGP)

Alimentación S/. x Exc S/ 8.00 S/ 10.00 S/ 2.00
Gasto en TarifasS/. x Exc S/ 1.00 S/ 4.00 S/ 3.00
B) ESTIMACIÓN DEL FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS SOCIALES INCREMENTALES
★ Número adicional de turistas (ΔNP) al año que genera el proyecto.

DEMANDA
EFECTIVA 0 1 2 3 4
INCREMENTA2019-2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Turista LNacional - 92,669 96,234 99,800 103,365
Turista extranjero - 976 1,017 1,059 1,101
Excursionista - 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
★ Variación de los beneficios generados por el visitante
DESCRIPCION UNIDAD SIN PROY CON PROYECTOINCREMENTAL

TURISTA EXTR
Gasto promedio S/. x turi S/97.50 S/109.00 S/11.50
Pernoctación adidías x tur S/27.75 S/38.00 S/10.25
TURISTA NACI
Pernoctación adidías x tur S/ 0.09 S/ 1.09 S/ 1.01
Sourvenirs S/. x turi S/ 21.25 S/ 27.11 S/ 5.86
Hospedaje S/. x turi S/ 20.00 S/ 25.00 S/ 5.00
Gasto en TarifasS/. x turi S/ 3.00 S/ 5.00 S/ 2.00
Compra de artesS/. x turi S/ 25.00 S/ 25.00 S/ -
EXCURSIONIST
Gasto en TarifasS/. x turi S/ 1.00 S/ 4.00 S/ 3.00
BENEFICIOS A PRECIO PRIVADOS
0 1 2 3
AÑO UNIDAD
2019-2022 2023 2024 2025
TURISTA EXTR
N° Turistas 976 1,017 1,059
Incremental
Soles S/21,218.52 S/22,130.07 S/23,041.61
TURISTA NACI
Incremental N° Turistas 92,669 96,234 99,800
Sourvenirs Soles S/ 543,040.47 S/ 563,934.14 S/ 584,827.81
Alimentación Soles S/ 463,345.11 S/ 481,172.47 S/ 498,999.84
Hospedaje Soles S/ 463,345.11 S/ 481,172.47 S/ 498,999.84
Gasto en TarifasSoles S/ 185,338.04 S/ 192,468.99 S/ 199,599.93
Compra de artesSoles S/ - S/ - S/ -
EXCURSIONIST
Incremental N° Turistas 1,500 1,500 1,500
TOTAL S/1,683,788.90 S/1,748,379.79 S/1,812,970.68
BENEFICIOS A PRECIO SOCIALES
c FC
Materiales trans 1.08
Servicios y otros 0.847
0 1 2 3
AÑO UNIDAD
2019-2022 2023 2024 2025
TURISTA EXTR
Soles S/22,916.01 S/23,900.47 S/24,884.94
TURISTA NACI
Sourvenirs Soles S/ 459,955.28 S/ 477,652.21 S/ 495,349.15
Hospedaje Soles S/ 392,453.31 S/ 407,553.08 S/ 422,652.86
Compra de artesSoles S/ - S/ - S/ -
EXCURSIONIST
TOTAL S/1,431,113.12 S/1,486,033.99 S/1,540,954.86
LOS VISITANTES
5 6 7 8 9
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
106,931 110,496 114,062 121,193 124,758
1,143 1,185 1,227 1,311 1,353
1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
4 5 6 7 8
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
1,101 1,143 1,185 1,227 1,311

S/23,953.16 S/24,864.70 S/25,776.25 S/26,687.79 S/28,510.88
103,365 106,931 110,496 114,062 121,193

S/ 605,721.48 S/ 626,615.15 S/ 647,508.82 S/ 668,402.49 S/ 710,189.83
S/ 516,827.20 S/ 534,654.57 S/ 552,481.93 S/ 570,309.29 S/ 605,964.02
S/ 516,827.20 S/ 534,654.57 S/ 552,481.93 S/ 570,309.29 S/ 605,964.02
S/ 206,730.88 S/ 213,861.83 S/ 220,992.77 S/ 228,123.72 S/ 242,385.61
S/ - S/ - S/ - S/ - S/ -
1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500

S/ 3,000.66 S/ 3,000.66 S/ 3,000.66 S/ 3,000.66 S/ 3,000.66
S/ 4,500.99 S/ 4,500.99 S/ 4,500.99 S/ 4,500.99 S/ 4,500.99
S/1,877,561.57 S/1,942,152.46 S/2,006,743.35 S/2,071,334.24 S/2,200,516.02
4 5 6 7 8
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
S/25,869.41 S/26,853.88 S/27,838.35 S/28,822.82 S/30,791.75
S/ 513,046.09 S/ 530,743.03 S/ 548,439.97 S/ 566,136.91 S/ 601,530.79

S/ 437,752.64 S/ 452,852.42 S/ 467,952.19 S/ 483,051.97 S/ 513,251.53
S/ 437,752.64 S/ 452,852.42 S/ 467,952.19 S/ 483,051.97 S/ 513,251.53
S/ 175,101.06 S/ 181,140.97 S/ 187,180.88 S/ 193,220.79 S/ 205,300.61
S/ - S/ - S/ - S/ - S/ -
S/ 2,541.56 S/ 2,541.56 S/ 2,541.56 S/ 2,541.56 S/ 2,541.56

S/ 3,812.34 S/ 3,812.34 S/ 3,812.34 S/ 3,812.34 S/ 3,812.34
S/1,595,875.74 S/1,650,796.61 S/1,705,717.48 S/1,760,638.36 S/1,870,480.10
MODELO: GUÍA PERFIL ICA
1) BENEFICIOS SOCIALES
PROYECCIONES DE DEMANDA
Con proyecto
Año Nacional Internacional
1 109,529 1036.6300281
2 116,269 1080.3657081
3 123,052 1124.1013881
4 129,871 1167.8370681
5 136,721 1211.5727481
6 143,597 1255.3084281
7 150,498 1299.0441081
8 157,418 1342.7797881
9 164,358 1386.5154681
10 171,315 1430.2511481
DISPOCISIÓN DE GASTO (PRECIOS DE MERCADO)
GASTO EN ALIMENTAC
Turistas Internacional
Valor Repr.
Clase
Clase
Menor a 25 Soles 20
Entre 26 y 50 Soles 25
Entre 51 y 75 Soles
Mayor a 100 Soles 0
GASTO EN SOUVENIR
Turistas Internacional
Valor Repr.
Clase
Clase
Menor 30 Soles 10
Mayor a 100 Soles 0
GASTO EN TARIFAS (Turista Naciona

< 10 Nuevos Soles 5
CALCULO DE BENEFICIOS: Alimentación

TURISTAS INTERNACIONALES
FACTOR DE CORRECCIÓN (Fc)
Gasto promedio X Clas 20.000 25
Porcentaje de Gasto ( 97.80% 2.20%
Demanda sin Gasto Clase Gasto Clase ii

proyecto (C) i CxAixBi (D) CxAiixBii (E)
138 2,703.53 76.02

144 2,817.59 79.23
150 2,931.66 82.43
156 3,045.72 85.64
162 3,159.78 88.85
167 3,273.84 92.06
173 3,387.91 95.26
179 3,501.97 98.47
185 3,616.03 101.68
191 3,730.09 104.89
Total sin Proyecto
Demanda con Gasto Clase Gasto Clase ii

proyecto (H) i HxAixBi (D) HxAiixBii (E)
1,037 20,276.48 570.15

10 1,080 21,131.95 594.20
2032 1,124 21,987.42 618.26
128,324 1,168 22,842.89 642.31
1,395 1,212 23,698.36 666.37
1,500 1,255 24,553.83 690.42
1,299 25,409.30 714.47
1,343 26,264.77 738.53
1,387 27,120.24 762.58
1,430 27,975.71 786.64
Total con Proyecto
CALCULO DE BENEFICIOS: Souvernirs
TURISTAS INTERNACIONALES
Gasto promedio X Clas 10 15
Porcentaje de Gasto ( 1.30% 30.90%
Gasto Clase Gasto Clase
i ii
Demanda sin proyecto
CxAixBi CxAiixBii
(D) (E)
138 17.97 640.64
144 18.73 667.67
150 19.48 694.69
156 20.24 721.72
9 10 162 21.00 748.75
2031 2032 167 21.76 775.78
173 22.52 802.81
1,353 1,395 179 23.27 829.84
S/29,422.43 S/30,333.97 185 24.03 856.87
191 24.79 883.90
124,758 128,324 Sin Proyecto
S/ 731,083.50 S/ 751,977.18 Gasto Clase Gasto Clase
S/ 623,791.39 S/ 641,618.75 i ii
Demanda con proyecto
S/ 623,791.39 S/ 641,618.75 HxAixBi HxAiixBii
S/ 249,516.55 S/ 256,647.50 (D) (E)
S/ - S/ - 1,037 134.76 4,804.78
1,080 140.45 5,007.50
1,500 1,500 1,124 146.13 5,210.21
S/ 3,000.66 S/ 3,000.66 1,168 151.82 5,412.92
S/ 4,500.99 S/ 4,500.99 1,212 157.50 5,615.64
S/2,265,106.91 S/2,329,697.80 1,255 163.19 5,818.35
1,299 168.88 6,021.07
1,343 174.56 6,223.78
1,387 180.25 6,426.50
1,430 185.93 6,629.21
Con Proyecto
CALCULO DE BENEFICIOS: Tarifas

9 10
2031 2032 TURISTAS INTERNACIONALES
S/31,776.22 S/32,760.69 Gasto promedio X Clas 5
Porcentaje de Gasto ( 100% 100.00%
S/ 619,227.73 S/ 636,924.67 Gasto Clase
Total gasto a precios
S/ 528,351.30 S/ 543,451.08 i privados
S/ 528,351.30 S/ 543,451.08 CxAixBi G=D+E+F
S/ 211,340.52 S/ 217,380.43 (D)
S/ - S/ - 138 691.09 691.09
144 720.24 720.24
S/ 2,541.56 S/ 2,541.56 150 749.40 749.40
S/ 3,812.34 S/ 3,812.34 156 778.56 778.56
S/1,925,400.98 S/1,980,321.85 162 807.72 807.72
167 836.87 836.87
173 866.03 866.03
179 895.19 895.19
185 924.34 924.34
191 953.50 953.50
Total sin Proyecto
Gasto Clase
i privados
Demanda con proyecto
HxAixBi I=D+E+F
(D)
1,037 5,183.15 5,183.15
1,080 5,401.83 5,401.83
1,124 5,620.51 5,620.51
1,168 5,839.19 5,839.19
1,212 6,057.86 6,057.86
1,255 6,276.54 6,276.54
1,299 6,495.22 6,495.22
1,343 6,713.90 6,713.90
1,387 6,932.58 6,932.58
1,430 7,151.26 7,151.26
Total con Proyecto
ESTIMADO DE BENEFICIOS SOCIALES
Sin Pr
Alimentación
Inter. Nac
1 2,355.55 141,151.95
2 2,454.93 144,830.13
3 2,554.31 148,508.31
4 2,653.70 152,186.49
5 2,753.08 155,864.67
6 2,852.46 159,542.85
7 2,951.84 163,221.03
8 3,051.22 166,899.21
9 3,150.60 170,577.39
10 3,249.98 174,255.58
Los incrementales por rubro son los siguientes:
Alimentación
Sin Proyecto Con proyecto
1 143,507.50 2,242,219.20
2 147,285.06 2,379,855.10
3 151,062.62 2,518,364.34
4 154,840.19 2,657,604.75
5 158,617.75 2,797,474.77
6 162,395.31 2,937,872.85
7 166,172.87 3,078,778.69
8 169,950.43 3,220,070.43
9 173,728.00 3,361,768.36
10 177,505.56 3,503,811.57
on proyecto Sin proyecto Incremental
Excursionista Nacional InternacionalExcursionista Nacional Internacional
5000 6949.816338 138.217337 4000 102579.18366 898.412691
5000 7130.916786 144.048761 4000 109138.08321 936.316947
5000 7312.017234 149.880185 4000 115739.98277 974.221203
5000 7493.117682 155.711609 4000 122377.88232 1012.125459
5000 7674.21813 161.543033 4000 129046.78187 1050.029715
5000 7855.318578 167.374457 4000 135741.68142 1087.933971
5000 8036.419026 173.205881 4000 142461.58097 1125.838227
5000 8217.519474 179.037305 4000 149200.48053 1163.742483
5000 8398.619922 184.868729 4000 155959.38008 1201.646739
5000 8579.72037 190.700153 4000 162735.27963 1239.550995
DE MERCADO)
GASTO EN ALIMENTACIÓN
onal Turistas Nacionales
Tasa Clase Valor Repr. Clase Tasa
98% Menor a 25 Soles 15 10%

2% Entre 26 y 50 Soles 25 90%
Entre 51 y 75 Soles 63 0%
0% Entre 76 y 100 Soles 88 0%
0% Mayor a 100 Soles 120 0%
100% 100%
GASTO EN SOUVENIRS
onal Turistas Nacionales
Tasa Clase Valor Repr. Clase Tasa
1% Menor 30 Soles 3 0%
31% Entre 31 y 50 Soles 15 30%
36% Entre 51 y 75 Soles 18 28%
32% Entre 76 y 100 Soles 20 24%
0% Mayor a 100 Soles 25 18%
100% 100%
ASTO EN TARIFAS (Turista Nacional e Internacional)
100% < 10 Nuevos Soles 5 100%
ERNACIONALES TURISTAS NACIONALES
0.84745763 FACTOR DE CORRECCIÓN (Fc)
Gasto promedio X Clas 15 25
100.00% Total gasto a Porcentaje de Gasto 10.34% 89.66%
precios Sociales Demanda sin Gasto Clase i Gasto Clase ii
privados GxFc proyecto (C) CxAixBi (D) CxAiixBii (E)
G=D+E+F
2,779.55 2,355.55 6,950 10,779.17 155,780.13
2,896.82 2,454.93 7,131 11,060.05 159,839.50
3,014.09 2,554.31 7,312 11,340.94 163,898.87
3,131.36 2,653.70 7,493 11,621.83 167,958.23
3,248.63 2,753.08 7,674 11,902.71 172,017.60
3,365.90 2,852.46 7,855 12,183.60 176,076.97
3,483.17 2,951.84 8,036 12,464.49 180,136.33
3,600.44 3,051.22 8,218 12,745.37 184,195.70
3,717.71 3,150.60 8,399 13,026.26 188,255.07
3,834.98 3,249.98 8,580 13,307.15 192,314.43
28,027.67 Total sin Proyecto
Total gasto a Total gasto a
precios precios Demanda con Gasto Clase i Gasto Clase ii
privados Sociales proyecto (H) HxAixBi (D) HxAiixBii (E)
G=D+E+F GxFc
20,846.63 17,666.64 109,529 169,879.48 2,455,092.54
21,726.15 18,412.00 116,269 180,333.22 2,606,169.64
22,605.68 19,157.36 123,052 190,853.65 2,758,210.58
23,485.20 19,902.71 129,871 201,429.92 2,911,058.47
24,364.73 20,648.07 136,721 212,054.27 3,064,601.22
25,244.25 21,393.43 143,597 222,718.95 3,218,726.76
26,123.78 22,138.79 150,498 233,422.40 3,373,412.67
27,003.30 22,884.15 157,418 244,155.32 3,528,524.47
27,882.83 23,629.51 164,358 254,919.26 3,684,084.57
28,762.35 24,374.87 171,315 265,709.57 3,840,025.73
cto 210,207.55 Total con Proyecto
FACTOR DE
DE CORRECCIÓN (Fc) 0.84745763
CORRECCIÓN (Fc)
20 25 Gasto promedio
36.20% 31.60% 100.00% Total gasto a precios Porcentaje de
Total gasto a preciosSociales GxFc
iii iv privados
Demanda sin pr
CxAixBi (F) CxAiixBii G=D+E+F+G
Demanda sin pr
(G)
1,000.69 1,091.92 2,751.22 2,331.54 6,950
1,042.91 1,137.99 2,867.29 2,429.91 7,131
1,085.13 1,184.05 2,983.37 2,528.28 7,312
1,127.35 1,230.12 3,099.44 2,626.64 7,493
1,169.57 1,276.19 3,215.51 2,725.01 7,674
1,211.79 1,322.26 3,331.59 2,823.38 7,855
1,254.01 1,368.33 3,447.66 2,921.75 8,036
1,296.23 1,414.39 3,563.74 3,020.12 8,218
1,338.45 1,460.46 3,679.81 3,118.48 8,399
1,380.67 1,506.53 3,795.89 3,216.85 8,580
Sin Proyecto 27,741.96
iii iv privados Sociales IxFc
Demanda con proyecto (H)
HxAixBi (F) HxAiixBii G=D+E+F+G
(G)
7,505.20 8,189.38 20,634.12 17,486.54 109,529
7,821.85 8,534.89 21,504.68 18,224.30 116,269
8,138.49 8,880.40 22,375.24 18,962.07 123,052
8,455.14 9,225.91 23,245.80 19,699.83 129,871
8,771.79 9,571.42 24,116.36 20,437.59 136,721
9,088.43 9,916.94 24,986.91 21,175.35 143,597
9,405.08 10,262.45 25,857.47 21,913.11 150,498
9,721.73 10,607.96 26,728.03 22,650.87 157,418
10,038.37 10,953.47 27,598.59 23,388.64 164,358
10,355.02 11,298.98 28,469.15 24,126.40 171,315
Con Proyecto 208,064.70
TURISTAS NACIONALES
0.84745763 FACTOR DE CORRECCIÓN (Fc) 0.84745763
Gasto promed 5 Total gasto a precios Sociales
Total gasto a precios Porcentaje d 100.00% 100.00% GxFc
Sociales GxFc Gasto Clase
Total gasto a precios privados
i G=D+E+F
Demanda sin
CxAixBi
(D)
585.67 6,950 34,749.08 34,749.08 29,448.37
610.38 7,131 35,654.58 35,654.58 30,215.75
635.09 7,312 36,560.09 36,560.09 30,983.12
659.79 7,493 37,465.59 37,465.59 31,750.50
684.50 7,674 38,371.09 38,371.09 32,517.87
709.21 7,855 39,276.59 39,276.59 33,285.25
733.92 8,036 40,182.10 40,182.10 34,052.62
758.63 8,218 41,087.60 41,087.60 34,820.00
783.34 8,399 41,993.10 41,993.10 35,587.37
808.05 8,580 42,898.60 42,898.60 36,354.75
6,968.59 Total sin Proyecto 329,015.61
Total gasto a precios Demanda con proyectoGasto Clase
Total gasto a precios privados
Sociales IxFc (H) i G=D+E+F
Total gasto a precios Sociales GxFc
HxAixBi
(D)
4,392.50 109,529 547,645.00 547,645.00 464,105.93
4,577.82 116,269 581,345.00 581,345.00 492,665.26
4,763.14 123,052 615,260.00 615,260.00 521,406.78
4,948.46 129,871 649,355.00 649,355.00 550,300.85
5,133.78 136,721 683,605.00 683,605.00 579,326.27
5,319.10 143,597 717,985.00 717,985.00 608,461.87
5,504.42 150,498 752,490.00 752,490.00 637,703.39
5,689.74 157,418 787,090.00 787,090.00 667,025.43
5,875.07 164,358 821,790.00 821,790.00 696,432.21
6,060.39 171,315 856,575.00 856,575.00 725,911.02
52,264.43 Total con P 5,943,339.00
Sin Proyecto
Souvenirs Tarifas Alimentación
Total
Inter. Nac Inter. Nac Inter.
2,331.54 111,244.18 585.67 29,448.37 287,117.26 17,666.64
2,429.91 114,143.01 610.38 30,215.75 294,684.11 18,412.00
2,528.28 117,041.85 635.09 30,983.12 302,250.96 19,157.36
2,626.64 119,940.68 659.79 31,750.50 309,817.81 19,902.71
2,725.01 122,839.52 684.50 32,517.87 317,384.66 20,648.07
2,823.38 125,738.35 709.21 33,285.25 324,951.51 21,393.43
2,921.75 128,637.19 733.92 34,052.62 332,518.36 22,138.79
3,020.12 131,536.02 758.63 34,820.00 340,085.21 22,884.15
3,118.48 134,434.86 783.34 35,587.37 347,652.06 23,629.51
3,216.85 137,333.69 808.05 36,354.75 355,218.90 24,374.87
mentación Souvenirs Tarifas

Incremental Sin Proyecto Con proyectoIncremental Sin Proyecto Con proyecto
2,098,711.70 113,575.72 ### 1,657,117.40 30,034.04 468,498.43
2,232,570.04 116,572.92 ### 1,762,743.65 30,826.13 497,243.08
2,367,301.72 119,570.12 ### 1,869,058.20 31,618.21 526,169.92
2,502,764.56 122,567.33 ### 1,975,948.99 32,410.29 555,249.31
2,638,857.02 125,564.53 ### 2,083,335.99 33,202.38 584,460.06
2,775,477.54 128,561.73 ### 2,191,139.16 33,994.46 613,780.97
2,912,605.82 131,558.94 ### 2,299,342.51 34,786.55 643,207.82
3,050,119.99 134,556.14 ### 2,407,849.98 35,578.63 672,715.17
3,188,040.37 137,553.34 ### 2,516,677.59 36,370.71 702,307.27
3,326,306.01 140,550.55 ### 2,625,777.32 37,162.80 731,971.41
remental
Excursionista
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
1000
ACIONALES
0.84745763
100.00%
Total gasto a
precios Sociales GxFc
privados
G=D+E+F
166,559.30 141,151.95
170,899.55 144,830.13
175,239.81 148,508.31
179,580.06 152,186.49
183,920.31 155,864.67
188,260.57 159,542.85
192,600.82 163,221.03
196,941.07 166,899.21
201,281.33 170,577.39
205,621.58 174,255.58
1,577,037.62
Total gasto a
Total gasto a
precios
precios
privados
Sociales GxFc
G=D+E+F
2,624,972.01 2,224,552.56
2,786,502.85 2,361,443.10
2,949,064.23 2,499,206.98
3,112,488.39 2,637,702.03
3,276,655.49 2,776,826.69
3,441,445.70 2,916,479.42
3,606,835.07 3,056,639.90
3,772,679.79 3,197,186.27
3,939,003.83 3,338,138.85
4,105,735.29 3,479,436.70
to 28,487,612.51
TURISTAS NACIONALES
CTOR DE
0.84745763
RRECCIÓN (Fc)
15 18 20 25
30.00% 27.60% 24.10% 18.40% 100.10%
Gasto Clase Gasto Clase Gasto Clase GastoTotal Clase
gasto a precios privados
i ii iii iv G=D+E+F
Total gasto a
CxAixBi CxAiixBii CxAiiixBiii CxAivxBiv (E) precios
Sociales GxFc
Total gasto a
precios
(D) (E) (D) Sociales GxFc
31,274.17 34,526.69 33,498.11 31,969.16 131,268.13 111,244.18
32,089.13 35,426.39 34,371.02 32,802.22 134,688.76 114,143.01
32,904.08 36,326.10 35,243.92 33,635.28 138,109.38 117,041.85
33,719.03 37,225.81 36,116.83 34,468.34 141,530.01 119,940.68
34,533.98 38,125.52 36,989.73 35,301.40 144,950.63 122,839.52
35,348.93 39,025.22 37,862.64 36,134.47 148,371.26 125,738.35
36,163.89 39,924.93 38,735.54 36,967.53 151,791.88 128,637.19
36,978.84 40,824.64 39,608.44 37,800.59 155,212.51 131,536.02
37,793.79 41,724.34 40,481.35 38,633.65 158,633.13 134,434.86
38,608.74 42,624.05 41,354.25 39,466.71 162,053.76 137,333.69
Sin Proyecto 1,242,889.37
Gasto Clase Gasto Clase Gasto Clase GastoTotal Clase
gasto a precios privados
i ii iii iv G=D+E+F
Total gasto a
HxAixBi HxAiixBii CxAiiixBiii CxAivxBiv (E) precios
(D) (E) (D) Sociales GxFc
492,880.50 544,140.07 527,929.78 503,833.40 2,068,783.75 1,753,206.58
523,210.50 577,624.39 560,416.58 534,837.40 2,196,088.87 1,861,092.27
553,734.00 611,322.34 593,110.64 566,039.20 2,324,206.18 1,969,666.26
584,419.50 645,199.13 625,978.22 597,406.60 2,453,003.45 2,078,816.49
615,244.50 679,229.93 658,995.22 628,916.60 2,582,386.25 2,188,462.93
646,186.50 713,389.90 692,137.54 660,546.20 2,712,260.14 2,298,525.55
677,241.00 747,674.06 725,400.36 692,290.80 2,842,606.22 2,408,988.33
708,381.00 782,052.62 758,754.76 724,122.80 2,973,311.18 2,519,755.25
739,611.00 816,530.54 792,205.56 756,046.80 3,104,393.90 2,630,842.30
770,917.50 851,092.92 825,738.30 788,049.00 3,235,797.72 2,742,201.47
Con Proyecto 22,451,557.42
a precios Sociales
Con Proyecto
mentación Souvenirs Tarifas
Total
Nac Inter. Nac Inter. Nac
2,224,552.56 17,486.54 1,753,206.58 4,392.50 464,105.93 4,481,410.75
2,361,443.10 18,224.30 1,861,092.27 4,577.82 492,665.26 4,756,414.75
2,499,206.98 18,962.07 1,969,666.26 4,763.14 521,406.78 5,033,162.59
2,637,702.03 19,699.83 2,078,816.49 4,948.46 550,300.85 5,311,370.37
2,776,826.69 20,437.59 2,188,462.93 5,133.78 579,326.27 5,590,835.34
2,916,479.42 21,175.35 2,298,525.55 5,319.10 608,461.87 5,871,354.72
3,056,639.90 21,913.11 2,408,988.33 5,504.42 637,703.39 6,152,887.96
3,197,186.27 22,650.87 2,519,755.25 5,689.74 667,025.43 6,435,191.72
3,338,138.85 23,388.64 2,630,842.30 5,875.07 696,432.21 6,718,306.57
3,479,436.70 24,126.40 2,742,201.47 6,060.39 725,911.02 7,002,110.84
Tarifas
Incremental
438,464.39
466,416.95
494,551.71
522,839.02
551,257.68
579,786.51
608,421.27
637,136.54
665,936.56
694,808.61
Incremental
4,194,293.49
4,461,730.64
4,730,911.63
5,001,552.57
5,273,450.69
5,546,403.21
5,820,369.60
6,095,106.51
6,370,654.52
6,646,891.94
BOSQUE DORADO
Con proyecto Sin proyecto Incremental
Año Nacional InternacionalExcursionistaNacional InternacionalExcursionistaNacional
0 109,529 1036.63003 5000 6949.81634 138.217337 4000 102579.184
0 116,269 1080.36571 5000 7130.91679 144.048761 4000 109138.083
0 123,052 1124.10139 5000 7312.01723 149.880185 4000 115739.983
0 129,871 1167.83707 5000 7493.11768 155.711609 4000 122377.882
0 136,721 1211.57275 5000 7674.21813 161.543033 4000 129046.782
0 143,597 1255.30843 5000 7855.31858 167.374457 4000 135741.681
0 150,498 1299.04411 5000 8036.41903 173.205881 4000 142461.581
0 157,418 1342.77979 5000 8217.51947 179.037305 4000 149200.481
0 164,358 1386.51547 5000 8398.61992 184.868729 4000 155959.38
0 171,315 1430.25115 5000 8579.72037 190.700153 4000 162735.28
Incremental
InternacionalExcursionista
898.412691 1000
936.316947 1000
974.221203 1000
1012.12546 1000
1050.02971 1000
1087.93397 1000
1125.83823 1000
1163.74248 1000
1201.64674 1000
1239.55099 1000
2) COSTOS SOCIALES
A. Identificación de los factores de corrección
Factores de corrección social
DESCRIPCIÓN FC
Bienes transables 1.08 1.08
Bienes no transables 0.847 0.847
Mano de obra calificada 0.8 0.8
Mano de obra no calificada 0.62 0.62
Mano de obra semicalificada 0.65 0.65
Combustibles (Diesel) 0.735 0.735
B. Estimación de los costos a precios sociales

B1. Costos de inversión:
Resumen de costos inversión de la alternativa 1
COSTO DE INVERSIÓN ALTERNATIVA 1

MATERIALES
EQUIPOS
SUBCONTRATOS
COSTO DIRECTO
GASTOS GENERALES
UTILIDAD
IGV
LIQUIDACIÓN
COSTO INDIRECTO
COSTO TOTAL ALTERNATIVA 1
Resumen de costos inversión de la alternativa 2
COSTO DE INVERSIÓN ALTERNATIVA 2

MATERIALES
EQUIPOS
SUBCONTRATOS
COSTO DIRECTO
GASTOS GENERALES
UTILIDAD
IGV
LIQUIDACIÓN
COSTO INDIRECTO
COSTO TOTAL ALTERNATIVA 2
B2. Costos de operación y mantenimiento:
★ Sin proyecto
Resumen total costo Operación y Mantenimiento sin proyecto a precios sociales
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3
Personal S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00
Insumos, material y herramientas S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00
Servicios básicos S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57
★ Con proyecto
Resumen total costo Operación y Mantenimiento con proyecto a precios sociales - Alternativa 1
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3
Personal S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00
Insumos, material y herramientas S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80
Resumen total costo Operación y Mantenimiento con proyecto a precios sociales - Alternativa 2
RUBRO /AÑOS 1 2 3
Personal S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00
Insumos, material y herramientas S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80
C. Estimación de los flujos de costos incrementales a precios sociales

Flujo de costos a precios sociales - Alternativa 1
EJECUCIÓN
RUBRO /AÑOS
IGV S/ 543,249.63
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNIC S/ 120,787.37
B. COSTOS DE OPER Y MAN S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10
Operación S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60
C. COSTOS DE OPER Y MAN S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90
Operación S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
III. COSTOS INCREMENTALES S/ 3,980,953.28 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
Flujo de costos a precios sociales - Alternativa 2
EJECUCIÓN
RUBRO /AÑOS
IGV S/ 547,859.07
GASTOS DE EXPEDIENTE TÉCNIC S/ 121,812.24
B. COSTOS DE OPER Y MAN S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95
Operación S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40
C. COSTOS DE OPER Y MAN S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90
Operación S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
III. COSTOS INCREMENTALES S/ 4,014,731.42 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
Bienes transables 3%
Bienes no transables 62%
Mano de obra calificada 20%
Mano de obra no calificada 3%
Mano de obra semicalificada 5%
Combustibles (Diesel) 7%
100%
Total a precios Total a precios

privados S/. sociales S/.
S/ 981,907.71 S/ 785,526.17
S/ 420,817.59 S/ 260,906.91
### ###
S/ 101,455.85 S/ 109,572.32
S/ 201,935.19 S/ 171,039.11
### ###
S/ 301,968.42 S/ 255,767.25
S/ 241,574.73 S/ 204,613.80
S/ 641,380.91 S/ 543,249.63
S/ 150,984.21 S/ 120,787.37
S/ 90,590.52 S/ 72,472.42
S/ 45,295.26 S/ 38,365.09
### ###
### ###
Total a precios Total a precios

privados S/. sociales S/.
S/ 990,239.13 S/ 792,191.31
S/ 424,388.20 S/ 263,120.68
### ###
S/ 102,316.70 S/ 110,502.03
S/ 203,648.60 S/ 172,490.36
### ###
S/ 304,530.60 S/ 257,937.42
S/ 243,624.48 S/ 206,349.93
S/ 646,822.99 S/ 547,859.07
S/ 152,265.30 S/ 121,812.24
S/ 91,359.18 S/ 73,087.34
S/ 45,679.59 S/ 38,690.61
### ###
### ###
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00 S/ 3,168.00
S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00 S/ 972.00
S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57 S/ 35.57
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90
- Alternativa 1
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60
S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00 S/ 58,560.00
S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80 S/ 17,884.80
S/ 7,114.80 S/ 7,114.80 S/ 7,114.80 S/ 7,114.80 S/ 7,114.80 S/ 7,114.80
S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50
S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50
S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10
- Alternativa 2
4 5 6 7 8 9
S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40
S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00 S/ 64,320.00
S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80 S/ 18,532.80
S/ 6,606.60 S/ 6,606.60 S/ 6,606.60 S/ 6,606.60 S/ 6,606.60 S/ 6,606.60
S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55
S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55
S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95
FUNCIONAMIENTO
S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10

S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60
S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50
S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90

S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
FUNCIONAMIENTO
S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95
S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40
S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55
S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90

S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
2) COSTOS SOCIALES
PRESUPUESTO DE INVERSIÓN A PRECIOS SO
Distribución por Rubros

CONCEPTO
Expediente técnico
A. Infraestructura para
B. Infraestructura de ser
C. Infraestructura Vial
D. Señalización turística
E. Mitigación Ambiental
Costos Directos de Obra
F. Gastos Generales (9.2
H. Utilidad (7% Costos Di
G. Supervisión
E. Desarrollo de Capacid
F. Desarrollo de Capacid
G. Desarrollo de Capacid
Gastos Administrativos
TOTAL
OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO SIN PROYECT
CONVERSIÓN SOCIAL DE GASTOS DE OPERAC
Detalle
Mano de Obra Calificada
Mano de Obra No Califica
Bienes e Insumos
Servicios
Total
CONVERSIÓN SOCIAL DE PRESUPUESTOS DE

Detalle
Factor de Conversión Soc
Mantenimiento Rutinario
Pintura
Estabilización con CLCA2
Reconformación de la cap
Señalización y seguridad
Marcas en el pavimento
Gastos generales
CONVERSIÓN SOCIAL DE PRESUPUETOS DE M
Detalle
Factor de Conversión Soc
Mantenimiento predictivo
FLUJO DE MANTENIMIENTO A FLUJOS SOCIAL
ACTIVIDAD
Mantenimiento anual
Pintura
Estabilización con clca2
10 Reconformación de la cap
S/ 4,175.57 Señalización y seguridad
S/ 3,168.00 Marcas en el pavimento
S/ 972.00 Costo directo
S/ 35.57 Gastos generales
S/ 1,177.33 Subtotal
S/ 1,177.33 Igv ( 18% ) (*)
S/ 5,352.90 MANTENIMIENTO PREVE
Mantenimiento Predictivo
MANTENIMIENTO PREDI
FLUJO DE OPERACIÓN A COSTOS SOCIALES (

10
S/ 83,559.60 Detalle
S/ 58,560.00 Mano de Obra Calificada
S/ 17,884.80 Mano de Obra No Califica
S/ 7,114.80 Bienes e Insumos
S/ 38,538.50 Servicios
S/ 38,538.50 Total
S/ 122,098.10
FLUJO DE COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTEN
Detalle
10 Operación con proyec
S/ 89,459.40 Mantenimiento con pr
S/ 64,320.00 Mantenimiento Predic
S/ 18,532.80 Mantenimiento Preve
S/ 6,606.60 Operación y Mantenimie
S/ 44,594.55
S/ 44,594.55 COSTOS INCREMENTALES A PRECIOS SOCIAL
S/ 134,053.95
Precios Sociales
Sin Proyecto
Operación
Mantenimiento
Con Proyecto
Operación
Mantenimiento
Año 9 Año 10 Incremental
Operación
Mantenimiento
S/ 122,098.10 S/ 122,098.10
S/ 83,559.60 S/ 83,559.60
S/ 38,538.50 S/ 38,538.50
S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90
S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
Año 9 Año 10
S/ 134,053.95 S/ 134,053.95
S/ 89,459.40 S/ 89,459.40
S/ 44,594.55 S/ 44,594.55
S/ 5,352.90 S/ 5,352.90
S/ 4,175.57 S/ 4,175.57
S/ 1,177.33 S/ 1,177.33
S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
A PERFIL ICA
TO DE INVERSIÓN A PRECIOS SOCIALES
55% 10% 10% 25% FC

Precios PrivadBienes e Insu Servicios MOC MONC Total
493,242.46 6,490.00 180,424.45 306,328.00 0 493,242.45
1,882,907.84 1,035,599.31 188,290.78 188,290.78 470,726.96 1,882,907.84
7,865,869.05 4,326,227.98 786,586.90 786,586.90 1,966,467.26 7,865,869.05
3,407,886.94 1,874,337.82 340,788.69 340,788.69 851,971.74 3,407,886.94
296,383.50 163,010.93 29,638.35 29,638.35 74,095.88 296,383.50
276,900.45 276,900.45 276,900.45

13,729,947.78 7,399,176.03 1,622,205.19 1,345,304.73 3,363,261.83 13,729,947.78
1,263,155.20 680,724.20 149,242.88 123,768.04 309,420.09 1,263,155.20
961,096.35 517,942.32 113,554.36 94,171.33 235,428.33 961,096.34
1,200,000.00 23,859.60 195,560.40 980,580.00 0 1,200,000.00
123,062.00 123,062.00 123,062.00
55,136.00 55,136.00 55,136.00
55,136.00 55,136.00 55,136.00
35,000.00 7,480.00 6,400.00 21,120.00 0 35,000.00
17,915,775.79 8,635,672.15 2,500,721.27 2,871,272.10 3,908,110.25 17,915,775.77
Y MANTENIMIENTO SIN PROYECTO
SOCIAL DE GASTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO (SITUACION SIN PROYECTO)
Operación Mantenimiento FC Operación Mantenimiento

60,000.00 0 0.909 54,540.00 0
402,000.00 0 0.86 345,720.00 0
65,400.00 13,800.00 0.8475 55,423.73 11,694.92

43,440.00 12,000.00 0.8475 36,813.56 10,169.49
570,840.00 25,800.00 492,497.29 21,864.41
SOCIAL DE PRESUPUESTOS DE MATENIMIENTO PREVENTIVO (SITUACION CON PROYECTO)

Bienes e Insumos Servicios MOC MONC Total
0.8475 0.85 0.909 0.86
108,095.33 72,063.56 25,765.61 36,565.05 242,489.55
7,783.83 5,189.22 1,855.35 2,633.01 17,461.41
21,188.69 14,125.80 5,050.54 7,167.43 47,532.46
118,460.65 78,973.77 28,236.28 40,071.29 265,741.99
1,643.64 1,095.76 391.78 555.99 3,687.18
14,918.31 9,945.54 3,555.93 5,046.37 33,466.15
13,881.36 20,822.03 11,167.07 24,651.90 70,522.35
SOCIAL DE PRESUPUETOS DE MATENIMIENTO PREDICTIVO (SITUACION CON PROYECTO)

0.8475 0.8475 0.909 0.86
predictivo 7,038.00 7,038.00
NTENIMIENTO A FLUJOS SOCIALES (SITUACION CON PROYECTO)
1° AÑO 2° AÑO 3° AÑO 4° AÑO 5° AÑO 6° AÑO
242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55

17,461.41
47,532.46
265,741.99
3,687.18
33,466.15 33,466.15
242,489.55 275,955.70 242,489.55 242,489.55 610,378.74 242,489.55
70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35
313,011.91 346,478.05 313,011.91 313,011.91 680,901.09 313,011.91
56,342.14 62,366.05 56,342.14 56,342.14 122,562.20 56,342.14
369,354.05 408,844.10 369,354.05 369,354.05 803,463.29 369,354.05
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
ERACIÓN A COSTOS SOCIALES (SITUACION CON PROYECTO)
Operación FC Operación
60,000.00 0.909 54,540.00
402,000.00 0.86 345,720.00
65,400.00 0.8475 55,423.73
65,440.00 0.8475 55,457.63
592,840.00 511,141.36
STOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO A PRECIOS SOCIALES

1 2 3 4 5 6
511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36
376,392.05 415,882.10 376,392.05 376,392.05 810,501.29 376,392.05
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
369,354.05 408,844.10 369,354.05 369,354.05 803,463.29 369,354.05
887,533.41 927,023.46 887,533.41 887,533.41 1,321,642.65 887,533.41
REMENTALES A PRECIOS SOCIALES
1 2 3 4 5 6
514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69
492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29
21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41
887,533.41 927,023.46 887,533.41 887,533.41 1,321,642.64 887,533.41
511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36
376,392.05 415,882.10 376,392.05 376,392.05 810,501.29 376,392.05
373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71
18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07
354,527.64 394,017.70 354,527.64 354,527.64 788,636.88 354,527.64
0.847 0.847 0.909 0.86
5,500.00 152,902.07 278,452.15 0 436,854.23
877,626.54 159,568.46 171,156.32 404,825.19 1,613,176.50
3,666,294.90 666,599.07 715,007.50 1,691,161.85 6,739,063.31
1,588,421.88 288,803.98 309,776.92 732,695.69 2,919,698.47
138,144.85 25,117.25 26,941.26 63,722.45 253,925.81
234,661.40 234,661.40
6,270,488.16 1,374,750.16 1,140,088.76 2,850,221.89 11,635,548.97
576,884.91 126,477.01 104,888.17 262,220.41 1,070,470.51
438,934.17 96,232.51 79,806.21 199,515.53 814,488.43
20,220.00 165,729.15 831,000.00 0 1,016,949.15
0 104,289.83 0 0 104,289.83
0 46,725.42 0 0 46,725.42
0 46,725.42 0 0 46,725.42
6,338.98 5,423.73 17,898.31 0 29,661.02
7,318,366.23 2,119,255.31 2,452,133.59 3,311,957.84 15,201,712.97
ROYECTO)
7° AÑO 8° AÑO 9° AÑO 10° AÑO
242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55 242,489.55

17,461.41
47,532.46
265,741.99
3,687.18
33,466.15 33,466.15
275,955.70 242,489.55 242,489.55 610,378.74
70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35 70,522.35
346,478.05 313,011.91 313,011.91 680,901.09
62,366.05 56,342.14 56,342.14 122,562.20
408,844.10 369,354.05 369,354.05 803,463.29
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
7 8 9 10
511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36
415,882.10 376,392.05 376,392.05 810,501.29
7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00 7,038.00
408,844.10 369,354.05 369,354.05 803,463.29
927,023.46 887,533.41 887,533.41 1,321,642.65
7 8 9 10
514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69 514,361.69
492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29 492,497.29
21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41 21,864.41
927,023.46 887,533.41 887,533.41 1,321,642.64
511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36 511,141.36
415,882.10 376,392.05 376,392.05 810,501.29
412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07 18,644.07
394,017.70 354,527.64 354,527.64 788,636.88
2) INDICADORES DE RENTABILIDAD SOCIAL
Flujo de ingresos y costos - Alternativa 1
0 1 2 3
Rubro
2020-2022 2023 2024 2025
Beneficios incrementales S/ - S/ 1,431,113.12 S/ 1,486,033.99 S/ 1,540,954.86
Costos incrementales S/ 3,980,953.28 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
Flujo neto social -S/ 3,980,953.28 S/ 1,314,367.92 S/ 1,369,288.79 S/ 1,424,209.67
Tasa de descuento 8%
VAN Social S/ 6,347,817.86
TIR Social 34.4942%
∑ Ingresos S/11,112,140.91
∑ Costos S/4,764,323.05
B/C 2.33
0 1 2 3
El tiempo de recuperación -S/ 3,980,953.28 -S/ 2,666,585.36 -S/ 1,297,296.57 S/ 126,913.10
PB (Años) 2.91
Flujo de ingresos y costos - Alternativa 2
0 1 2 3
Rubro
2020-2022 2023 2024 2025
Beneficios incrementales S/ - S/ 1,431,113.12 S/ 1,486,033.99 S/ 1,540,954.86
Costos incrementales S/ 4,014,731.42 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
Flujo neto social -S/ 4,014,731.42 S/ 1,302,412.07 S/ 1,357,332.94 S/ 1,412,253.82
VAN Social S/ 6,233,815.00
TIR Social 33.870%
∑ Ingresos S/11,112,140.91
∑ Costos S/4,878,325.91
B/C 2.28
0 1 2 3
El tiempo de recuperación -S/ 4,014,731.42 -S/ 2,712,319.35 -S/ 1,354,986.40 S/ 57,267.41
PB (Años) 2.96
Evaluación a precios sociales
Indicadores Alternativa 1 Alternativa 2
Valor Actual Neto (VAN) S/ 6,347,817.86 S/ 6,233,815.00
Tasa Interna de Retorno (T 34.49% 33.87%
B/C 2.33 2.28
4 5 6 7 8
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
S/ 1,595,875.74 S/ 1,650,796.61 S/ 1,705,717.48 S/ 1,760,638.36 S/ 1,870,480.10
S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
S/ 1,479,130.54 S/ 1,534,051.41 S/ 1,588,972.29 S/ 1,643,893.16 S/ 1,753,734.91
4 5 6 7 8
S/ 1,606,043.63 S/ 3,140,095.05 S/ 4,729,067.33 S/ 6,372,960.49 S/ 8,126,695.40
4 5 6 7 8
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
S/ 1,595,875.74 S/ 1,650,796.61 S/ 1,705,717.48 S/ 1,760,638.36 S/ 1,870,480.10
S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
S/ 1,467,174.69 S/ 1,522,095.56 S/ 1,577,016.44 S/ 1,631,937.31 S/ 1,741,779.06
4 5 6 7 8
S/ 1,524,442.10 S/ 3,046,537.67 S/ 4,623,554.10 S/ 6,255,491.41 S/ 7,997,270.47
9 10
2031 2032
S/ 1,925,400.98 S/ 1,980,321.85
S/ 116,745.20 S/ 116,745.20
S/ 1,808,655.78 S/ 1,863,576.65
9 10
S/ 9,935,351.18 S/11,798,927.83
9 10
2031 2032
S/ 1,925,400.98 S/ 1,980,321.85
S/ 128,701.05 S/ 128,701.05
S/ 1,796,699.93 S/ 1,851,620.80
9 10
S/ 9,793,970.40 S/11,645,591.20
FLUJO SOCIAL ALTERNATIVA 1
Detalle Inversión 1
Costo social 3,980,953.28 116,745.20
Beneficios 0 4,194,293.49
Alimentación 3,313,921.03
Tarifas 928,215.25
Souvenirs 1,376,490.45
Flujo -3,980,953.28 4,077,548.29
Tasa de Descuento
8%
Tasa de Descuento
###
TIR 108.53%
ALTERNATIVA 2
Detalle Inversión 1
Costo social 4,014,731.42 128,701.05
Beneficios 0 4,194,293.49
Alimentación 3,313,921.03
Tarifas 928,215.25
Souvenirs 1,376,490.45
Flujo -4,014,731.42 4,065,592.44
Tasa de Descuento
8%
Tasa de Descuento
###
TIR 107.38%
Evaluación a precios sociales

Indicadores Alternativa 1 Alternativa 2
Tasa de descuent 8%
Valor Actual Neto S/ 30,415,371 S/ 30,301,368
Tasa Interna de Re 108.53% 107.38%
Evaluación Privada
El proyecto no es factible de evaluación privada toda vez que es una la z
2 3 4 5 6 7
116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
4,461,730.64 4,730,911.63 5,001,552.57 5,273,450.69 5,546,403.21 5,820,369.60
3,521,278.45 3,730,070.83 3,940,008.29 4,150,992.19 4,362,791.51 4,575,420.13
985,329.66 1,042,816.10 1,100,600.00 1,158,655.93 1,216,921.19 1,275,403.39
1,492,784.62 1,610,604.61 1,729,652.98 1,849,799.77 1,970,848.08 2,092,695.63
4,344,985.45 4,614,166.43 4,884,807.37 5,156,705.49 5,429,658.02 5,703,624.40
2 3 4 5 6 7
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
4,461,730.64 4,730,911.63 5,001,552.57 5,273,450.69 5,546,403.21 5,820,369.60
3,521,278.45 3,730,070.83 3,940,008.29 4,150,992.19 4,362,791.51 4,575,420.13
985,329.66 1,042,816.10 1,100,600.00 1,158,655.93 1,216,921.19 1,275,403.39
1,492,784.62 1,610,604.61 1,729,652.98 1,849,799.77 1,970,848.08 2,092,695.63
4,333,029.60 4,602,210.58 4,872,851.52 5,144,749.64 5,417,702.17 5,691,668.55
privada toda vez que es una la zona de intervención es una zona natural protegida y no es un bien explotable desde el punto d
8 9 10
116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
6,095,106.51 6,370,654.52 6,646,891.94
4,788,691.83 5,002,600.43 5,217,042.97
1,334,051.69 1,392,866.95 1,451,817.80
2,215,310.00 2,338,527.30 2,462,371.97
5,978,361.32 6,253,909.32 6,530,146.74
8 9 10
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
6,095,106.51 6,370,654.52 6,646,891.94
4,788,691.83 5,002,600.43 5,217,042.97
1,334,051.69 1,392,866.95 1,451,817.80
2,215,310.00 2,338,527.30 2,462,371.97
5,966,405.47 6,241,953.47 6,518,190.89
un bien explotable desde el punto de vista privado o a través de alguna fórmula pública – privada.
ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
RESUMEN - ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
Inversión O&M Beneficios

Variaci
VAN TIR VAN TIR VAN
-50% S/ 8,338,294.50 69.56% S/ 6,739,502.74 36.00% S/ 791,747.40
-45% S/ 8,139,246.83 63.39% S/ 6,700,334.25 35.85% S/ 1,347,354.45
-40% S/ 7,940,199.17 58.21% S/ 6,661,165.76 35.70% S/ 1,902,961.49
-35% S/ 7,741,151.51 53.79% S/ 6,621,997.27 35.55% S/ 2,458,568.54
-30% S/ 7,542,103.84 49.96% S/ 6,582,828.79 35.40% S/ 3,014,175.58
-25% S/ 7,343,056.18 46.61% S/ 6,543,660.30 35.25% S/ 3,569,782.63
-20% S/ 7,144,008.51 43.64% S/ 6,504,491.81 35.10% S/ 4,125,389.67
-15% S/ 6,944,960.85 40.99% S/ 6,465,323.32 34.95% S/ 4,680,996.72
-10% S/ 6,745,913.18 38.61% S/ 6,426,154.83 34.80% S/ 5,236,603.77
-5% S/ 6,546,865.52 36.46% S/ 6,386,986.34 34.65% S/ 5,792,210.81
0% S/ 6,347,817.86 34.49% S/ 6,347,817.86 34.49% S/ 6,347,817.86
5% S/ 6,148,770.19 32.70% S/ 6,308,649.37 34.34% S/ 6,903,424.90
10% S/ 5,949,722.53 31.04% S/ 6,269,480.88 34.19% S/ 7,459,031.95
15% S/ 5,750,674.86 29.51% S/ 6,230,312.39 34.04% S/ 8,014,638.99
20% S/ 5,551,627.20 28.09% S/ 6,191,143.90 33.89% S/ 8,570,246.04
25% S/ 5,352,579.53 26.76% S/ 6,151,975.41 33.74% S/ 9,125,853.08
30% S/ 5,153,531.87 25.53% S/ 6,112,806.93 33.58% S/ 9,681,460.13
35% S/ 4,954,484.21 24.37% S/ 6,073,638.44 33.43% S/ 10,237,067.17
40% S/ 4,755,436.54 23.28% S/ 6,034,469.95 33.28% S/ 10,792,674.22
45% S/ 4,556,388.88 22.25% S/ 5,995,301.46 33.13% S/ 11,348,281.26
50% S/ 4,357,341.21 21.28% S/ 5,956,132.97 32.98% 11,903,888.31
SENSIBILIDAD
RESUMEN - ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD

S/13,000,000.00
S/12,000,000.00
S/11,000,000.00
S/10,000,000.00
S/9,000,000.00
S/8,000,000.00
S/7,000,000.00
Inversió
VAN
S/6,000,000.00 O &M
S/5,000,000.00 Benefic
S/4,000,000.00
S/3,000,000.00
S/2,000,000.00
S/1,000,000.00
S/8,000,000.00
S/7,000,000.00
Inversió
VAN
S/6,000,000.00 O &M
S/5,000,000.00 Benefic
S/4,000,000.00
S/3,000,000.00
S/2,000,000.00
S/1,000,000.00
S/-
-60%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
50%
-50%
30%
40%
60%
VARIACIÓN
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: INVERSIÓN
VARIACIÓN 0 1 2 3
-50% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-45% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-40% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-35% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-30% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-25% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-20% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-15% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
COSTO SOCIAL
-10% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20

-5% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
0% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
5% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
10% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
15% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
20% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
25% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
30% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
35% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
40% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
45% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
50% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
Beneficios 0 1,431,113.12 ### 1,540,954.86
-50% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-45% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-40% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-35% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-30% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-25% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-20% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-15% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
-10% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
FLUJO
-5% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
FLUJO
### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
5% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
10% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
15% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
20% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
25% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
30% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
35% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
40% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
45% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
50% ### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO
VAR 0 1 2 3
-50% ### 58,372.60 ### 58,372.60
-45% ### 64,209.86 ### 64,209.86
-40% ### 70,047.12 ### 70,047.12
-35% ### 75,884.38 ### 75,884.38
-30% ### 81,721.64 ### 81,721.64
-25% ### 87,558.90 ### 87,558.90
-20% ### 93,396.16 ### 93,396.16
-15% ### 99,233.42 ### 99,233.42
COSTO SOCIAL
-10% ### 105,070.68 ### 105,070.68

-5% ### 110,907.94 ### 110,907.94
0% ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
5% ### 122,582.46 ### 122,582.46
10% ### 128,419.72 ### 128,419.72
15% ### 134,256.98 ### 134,256.98
20% ### 140,094.24 ### 140,094.24
25% ### 145,931.50 ### 145,931.50
30% ### 151,768.75 ### 151,768.75
35% ### 157,606.01 ### 157,606.01
40% ### 163,443.27 ### 163,443.27
45% ### 169,280.53 ### 169,280.53
50% ### 175,117.79 ### 175,117.79
Beneficios 0 1,431,113.12 ### 1,540,954.86
-50% ### 1,372,740.52 ### 1,482,582.26
-45% ### 1,366,903.26 ### 1,476,745.00
-40% ### 1,361,066.00 ### 1,470,907.74
-35% ### 1,355,228.74 ### 1,465,070.49
-30% ### 1,349,391.48 ### 1,459,233.23
-25% ### 1,343,554.22 ### 1,453,395.97
-20% ### 1,337,716.96 ### 1,447,558.71
LUJO
-15% ### 1,331,879.70 ### 1,441,721.45
-10% ### 1,326,042.44 ### 1,435,884.19
-5% ### 1,320,205.18 ### 1,430,046.93
FLUJO
### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
5% ### 1,308,530.66 ### 1,418,372.41
10% ### 1,302,693.40 ### 1,412,535.15
15% ### 1,296,856.14 ### 1,406,697.89
20% ### 1,291,018.88 ### 1,400,860.63
25% ### 1,285,181.62 ### 1,395,023.37
30% ### 1,279,344.36 ### 1,389,186.11
35% ### 1,273,507.10 ### 1,383,348.85
40% ### 1,267,669.84 ### 1,377,511.59
45% ### 1,261,832.58 ### 1,371,674.33
50% ### 1,255,995.32 ### 1,365,837.07
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: BENEFICIOS
VAR 0 1 2 3
Costo social ### 116,745.20 ### 116,745.20
-50% 0.00 715,556.56 ### 770,477.43
-45% 0.00 787,112.21 ### 847,525.17
-40% 0.00 858,667.87 ### 924,572.92
-35% 0.00 930,223.53 ### 1,001,620.66
-30% 0.00 1,001,779.18 ### 1,078,668.40
-25% 0.00 1,073,334.84 ### 1,155,716.15
-20% 0.00 1,144,890.49 ### 1,232,763.89
-15% 0.00 1,216,446.15 ### 1,309,811.63
-10% 0.00 1,288,001.80 ### 1,386,859.38
Beneficios
-5% 0.00 1,359,557.46 ### 1,463,907.12

0.00 1,431,113.12 ### 1,540,954.86
5% 0.00 1,502,668.77 ### 1,618,002.61
10% 0.00 1,574,224.43 ### 1,695,050.35
15% 0.00 1,645,780.08 ### 1,772,098.09
20% 0.00 1,717,335.74 ### 1,849,145.83
25% 0.00 1,788,891.39 ### 1,926,193.58
30% 0.00 1,860,447.05 ### 2,003,241.32
35% 0.00 1,932,002.71 ### 2,080,289.06
40% 0.00 2,003,558.36 ### 2,157,336.81
45% 0.00 2,075,114.02 ### 2,234,384.55
50% 0.00 2,146,669.67 ### 2,311,432.29
-50% ### 598,811.36 ### 653,732.24
-45% ### 670,367.02 ### 730,779.98
-40% ### 741,922.67 ### 807,827.72
-35% ### 813,478.33 ### 884,875.46
-30% ### 885,033.99 ### 961,923.21
-25% ### 956,589.64 ### 1,038,970.95
-20% ### 1,028,145.30 ### 1,116,018.69
-15% ### 1,099,700.95 ### 1,193,066.44
-10% ### 1,171,256.61 ### 1,270,114.18
-5% ### 1,242,812.26 ### 1,347,161.92
FLUJO
### 1,314,367.92 ### 1,424,209.67
5% ### 1,385,923.58 ### 1,501,257.41
10% ### 1,457,479.23 ### 1,578,305.15
15% ### 1,529,034.89 ### 1,655,352.90
20% ### 1,600,590.54 ### 1,732,400.64
25% ### 1,672,146.20 ### 1,809,448.38
30% ### 1,743,701.85 ### 1,886,496.13
35% ### 1,815,257.51 ### 1,963,543.87
40% ### 1,886,813.17 ### 2,040,591.61
45% ### 1,958,368.82 ### 2,117,639.35
50% ### 2,029,924.48 ### 2,194,687.10
Análisis de Riesgo de Rentabilidad Social

VISTA MODELO – ANALISIS DE RIESGO
Costo s 15,201,712.97 ### 412,661.77 ### 373,171.71

Benefic0 ### 5,999,392.73 ### 6,770,261.27
Alimen ### 3,521,278.45 ### 3,940,008.29
Tarifas ### 985,329.66 ### 1,100,600.00
Souven ### 1,492,784.62 ### 1,729,652.98
Flujo -15,201,712.97 ### 5,586,730.96 ### 6,397,089.56
TASA 9%
Van 27,376,540
TIR 38.21%
DIAGRAMA DE PROBABILIDADES
Beneficios
TIR
11.93%
14.52%
17.00%
19.38%
21.69%
23.93%
26.13%
28.27%
30.38%
32.45%
34.49%
36.51%
38.50%
40.48%
42.43%
44.37%
46.30%
48.21%
50.11%
52.01%
53.89%
Inversión
O &M
Beneficios
Inversión
O &M
Beneficios
50%
60%
TASA 8%
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
### 58,372.60 58,372.60 58,372.60 58,372.60 58,372.60 58,372.60
### 64,209.86 64,209.86 64,209.86 64,209.86 64,209.86 64,209.86
### 70,047.12 70,047.12 70,047.12 70,047.12 70,047.12 70,047.12
### 75,884.38 75,884.38 75,884.38 75,884.38 75,884.38 75,884.38
### 81,721.64 81,721.64 81,721.64 81,721.64 81,721.64 81,721.64
### 87,558.90 87,558.90 87,558.90 87,558.90 87,558.90 87,558.90
### 93,396.16 93,396.16 93,396.16 93,396.16 93,396.16 93,396.16
### 99,233.42 99,233.42 99,233.42 99,233.42 99,233.42 99,233.42
### 105,070.68 105,070.68 105,070.68 105,070.68 105,070.68 105,070.68
### 110,907.94 110,907.94 110,907.94 110,907.94 110,907.94 110,907.94
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 122,582.46 122,582.46 122,582.46 122,582.46 122,582.46 122,582.46
### 128,419.72 128,419.72 128,419.72 128,419.72 128,419.72 128,419.72
### 134,256.98 134,256.98 134,256.98 134,256.98 134,256.98 134,256.98
### 140,094.24 140,094.24 140,094.24 140,094.24 140,094.24 140,094.24
### 145,931.50 145,931.50 145,931.50 145,931.50 145,931.50 145,931.50
### 151,768.75 151,768.75 151,768.75 151,768.75 151,768.75 151,768.75
### 157,606.01 157,606.01 157,606.01 157,606.01 157,606.01 157,606.01
### 163,443.27 163,443.27 163,443.27 163,443.27 163,443.27 163,443.27
### 169,280.53 169,280.53 169,280.53 169,280.53 169,280.53 169,280.53
### 175,117.79 175,117.79 175,117.79 175,117.79 175,117.79 175,117.79
### 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
### 1,592,424.01 1,647,344.88 1,702,265.76 1,812,107.50 1,867,028.38 1,921,949.25
### 1,586,586.75 1,641,507.62 1,696,428.50 1,806,270.24 1,861,191.12 1,916,111.99
### 1,580,749.49 1,635,670.36 1,690,591.24 1,800,432.98 1,855,353.86 1,910,274.73
### 1,574,912.23 1,629,833.10 1,684,753.98 1,794,595.72 1,849,516.60 1,904,437.47
### 1,569,074.97 1,623,995.85 1,678,916.72 1,788,758.46 1,843,679.34 1,898,600.21
### 1,563,237.71 1,618,158.59 1,673,079.46 1,782,921.21 1,837,842.08 1,892,762.95
### 1,557,400.45 1,612,321.33 1,667,242.20 1,777,083.95 1,832,004.82 1,886,925.69
### 1,551,563.19 1,606,484.07 1,661,404.94 1,771,246.69 1,826,167.56 1,881,088.43
### 1,545,725.93 1,600,646.81 1,655,567.68 1,765,409.43 1,820,330.30 1,875,251.17
### 1,539,888.67 1,594,809.55 1,649,730.42 1,759,572.17 1,814,493.04 1,869,413.91
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,528,214.15 1,583,135.03 1,638,055.90 1,747,897.65 1,802,818.52 1,857,739.39
### 1,522,376.89 1,577,297.77 1,632,218.64 1,742,060.39 1,796,981.26 1,851,902.13
### 1,516,539.63 1,571,460.51 1,626,381.38 1,736,223.13 1,791,144.00 1,846,064.87
### 1,510,702.37 1,565,623.25 1,620,544.12 1,730,385.87 1,785,306.74 1,840,227.61
### 1,504,865.11 1,559,785.99 1,614,706.86 1,724,548.61 1,779,469.48 1,834,390.35
### 1,499,027.85 1,553,948.73 1,608,869.60 1,718,711.35 1,773,632.22 1,828,553.09
### 1,493,190.59 1,548,111.47 1,603,032.34 1,712,874.09 1,767,794.96 1,822,715.83
### 1,487,353.33 1,542,274.21 1,597,195.08 1,707,036.83 1,761,957.70 1,816,878.57
### 1,481,516.07 1,536,436.95 1,591,357.82 1,701,199.57 1,756,120.44 1,811,041.31
### 1,475,678.82 1,530,599.69 1,585,520.56 1,695,362.31 1,750,283.18 1,805,204.05
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
### 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20 116,745.20
### 825,398.30 852,858.74 880,319.18 935,240.05 962,700.49 990,160.92
### 907,938.13 938,144.62 968,351.10 1,028,764.06 1,058,970.54 1,089,177.02
### 990,477.97 1,023,430.49 1,056,383.01 1,122,288.06 1,155,240.59 1,188,193.11
### 1,073,017.80 1,108,716.36 1,144,414.93 1,215,812.07 1,251,510.63 1,287,209.20
### 1,155,557.63 1,194,002.24 1,232,446.85 1,309,336.07 1,347,780.68 1,386,225.29
### 1,238,097.46 1,279,288.11 1,320,478.77 1,402,860.08 1,444,050.73 1,485,241.39
### 1,320,637.29 1,364,573.99 1,408,510.68 1,496,384.08 1,540,320.78 1,584,257.48
### 1,403,177.12 1,449,859.86 1,496,542.60 1,589,908.09 1,636,590.83 1,683,273.57
### 1,485,716.95 1,535,145.73 1,584,574.52 1,683,432.09 1,732,860.88 1,782,289.66
### 1,568,256.78 1,620,431.61 1,672,606.44 1,776,956.10 1,829,130.93 1,881,305.76
### 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
### 1,733,336.44 1,791,003.36 1,848,670.27 1,964,004.11 2,021,671.02 2,079,337.94
### 1,815,876.27 1,876,289.23 1,936,702.19 2,057,528.11 2,117,941.07 2,178,354.03
### 1,898,416.10 1,961,575.10 2,024,734.11 2,151,052.12 2,214,211.12 2,277,370.13
### 1,980,955.93 2,046,860.98 2,112,766.03 2,244,576.12 2,310,481.17 2,376,386.22
### 2,063,495.76 2,132,146.85 2,200,797.94 2,338,100.13 2,406,751.22 2,475,402.31
### 2,146,035.59 2,217,432.73 2,288,829.86 2,431,624.13 2,503,021.27 2,574,418.40
### 2,228,575.42 2,302,718.60 2,376,861.78 2,525,148.14 2,599,291.32 2,673,434.50
### 2,311,115.25 2,388,004.48 2,464,893.70 2,618,672.14 2,695,561.37 2,772,450.59
### 2,393,655.08 2,473,290.35 2,552,925.62 2,712,196.15 2,791,831.41 2,871,466.68
### 2,476,194.91 2,558,576.22 2,640,957.53 2,805,720.15 2,888,101.46 2,970,482.77
### 708,653.11 736,113.55 763,573.98 818,494.86 845,955.29 873,415.73
### 791,192.94 821,399.42 851,605.90 912,018.86 942,225.34 972,431.82
### 873,732.77 906,685.29 939,637.82 1,005,542.87 1,038,495.39 1,071,447.91
### 956,272.60 991,971.17 1,027,669.74 1,099,066.87 1,134,765.44 1,170,464.01
### 1,038,812.43 1,077,257.04 1,115,701.65 1,192,590.88 1,231,035.49 1,269,480.10
### 1,121,352.26 1,162,542.92 1,203,733.57 1,286,114.88 1,327,305.54 1,368,496.19
### 1,203,892.09 1,247,828.79 1,291,765.49 1,379,638.89 1,423,575.58 1,467,512.28
### 1,286,431.92 1,333,114.66 1,379,797.41 1,473,162.89 1,519,845.63 1,566,528.38
### 1,368,971.75 1,418,400.54 1,467,829.32 1,566,686.90 1,616,115.68 1,665,544.47
### 1,451,511.58 1,503,686.41 1,555,861.24 1,660,210.90 1,712,385.73 1,764,560.56
### 1,534,051.41 1,588,972.29 1,643,893.16 1,753,734.91 1,808,655.78 1,863,576.65
### 1,616,591.24 1,674,258.16 1,731,925.08 1,847,258.91 1,904,925.83 1,962,592.75
### 1,699,131.07 1,759,544.03 1,819,957.00 1,940,782.92 2,001,195.88 2,061,608.84
### 1,781,670.90 1,844,829.91 1,907,988.91 2,034,306.92 2,097,465.93 2,160,624.93
### 1,864,210.73 1,930,115.78 1,996,020.83 2,127,830.93 2,193,735.97 2,259,641.02
### 1,946,750.57 2,015,401.66 2,084,052.75 2,221,354.93 2,290,006.02 2,358,657.11
### 2,029,290.40 2,100,687.53 2,172,084.67 2,314,878.94 2,386,276.07 2,457,673.21
### 2,111,830.23 2,185,973.41 2,260,116.58 2,408,402.94 2,482,546.12 2,556,689.30
### 2,194,370.06 2,271,259.28 2,348,148.50 2,501,926.95 2,578,816.17 2,655,705.39
### 2,276,909.89 2,356,545.15 2,436,180.42 2,595,450.95 2,675,086.22 2,754,721.48
### 2,359,449.72 2,441,831.03 2,524,212.34 2,688,974.96 2,771,356.27 2,853,737.58
### 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95

### 7,550,560.78 7,943,519.15 8,338,053.52 8,733,994.68 9,131,232.74
### 4,362,791.51 4,575,420.13 4,788,691.83 5,002,600.43 5,217,042.97
### 1,216,921.19 1,275,403.39 1,334,051.69 1,392,866.95 1,451,817.80
### 1,970,848.08 2,092,695.63 2,215,310.00 2,338,527.30 2,462,371.97
### 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.79
###
38.20%
VAN TIR
8,338,294 69.56%
8,139,247 63.39%
7,940,199 58.21%
7,741,152 53.79%
7,542,104 49.96%
7,343,056 46.61%
7,144,009 43.64%
6,944,961 40.99%
6,745,913 38.61%
6,546,866 36.46%
6,347,818 34.49%
6,148,770 32.70%
5,949,723 31.04%
5,750,675 29.51%
5,551,627 28.09%
5,352,580 26.76%
5,153,532 25.53%
4,954,484 24.37%
4,755,437 23.28%
4,556,389 22.25%
4,357,341 21.28%
VAN TIR
6,739,503 36.00%
6,700,334 35.85%
6,661,166 35.70%
6,621,997 35.55%
6,582,829 35.40%
6,543,660 35.25%
6,504,492 35.10%
6,465,323 34.95%
6,426,155 34.80%
6,386,986 34.65%
6,347,818 34.49%
6,308,649 34.34%
6,269,481 34.19%
6,230,312 34.04%
6,191,144 33.89%
6,151,975 33.74%
6,112,807 33.58%
6,073,638 33.43%
6,034,470 33.28%
5,995,301 33.13%
5,956,133 32.98%
VAN TIR
791,747 11.93%
1,347,354 14.52%
1,902,961 17.00%
2,458,569 19.38%
3,014,176 21.69%
3,569,783 23.93%
4,125,390 26.13%
4,680,997 28.27%
5,236,604 30.38%
5,792,211 32.45%
6,347,818 34.49%
6,903,425 36.51%
7,459,032 38.50%
8,014,639 40.48%
8,570,246 42.43%
9,125,853 44.37%
9,681,460 46.30%
10,237,067 48.21%
10,792,674 50.11%
11,348,281 52.01%
11,903,888 53.89%
VAR 0 1 2 3
-50% 7,600,856.49 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-45% 8,360,942.13 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-40% 9,121,027.78 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-35% 9,881,113.43 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-30% 10,641,199.08 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-25% 11,401,284.73 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-20% 12,161,370.38 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-15% 12,921,456.03 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-10% 13,681,541.68 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-5% 14,441,627.32 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71

COSTO
0% 15,201,712.97 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
SOCIAL
5% 15,961,798.62 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
10% 16,721,884.27 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
15% 17,481,969.92 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
20% 18,242,055.57 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
25% 19,002,141.22 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
30% 19,762,226.86 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
35% 20,522,312.51 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
40% 21,282,398.16 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
45% 22,042,483.81 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
50% 22,802,569.46 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
Beneficios 5,618,626.74 5,999,392.73 6,383,491.54
-50% -7,600,856.49 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-45% -8,360,942.13 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-40% -9,121,027.78 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-35% -9,881,113.43 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-30% -10,641,199.08 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-25% -11,401,284.73 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-20% -12,161,370.38 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-15% -12,921,456.03 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-10% -13,681,541.68 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
FLUJO
-5% -14,441,627.32 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
FLUJO -15,201,712.97 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
5% -15,961,798.62 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
10% -16,721,884.27 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
15% -17,481,969.92 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
20% -18,242,055.57 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
25% -19,002,141.22 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
30% -19,762,226.86 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
35% -20,522,312.51 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
40% -21,282,398.16 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
45% -22,042,483.81 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
50% -22,802,569.46 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 VAN
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
6,770,261.26 7,159,447.90 7,550,560.79 7,943,519.15 8,338,053.53 8,733,994.68 9,131,232.73
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 34,977,396.55
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 34,217,310.90
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 33,457,225.25
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 32,697,139.60
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 31,937,053.95
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 31,176,968.30
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 30,416,882.66
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 29,656,797.01
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 28,896,711.36

6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 28,136,625.71
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 27,376,540.06
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 26,616,454.41
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 25,856,368.76
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 25,096,283.12
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 24,336,197.47
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 23,576,111.82
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 22,816,026.17
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 22,055,940.52
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 21,295,854.87
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 20,535,769.22
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 19,775,683.58

TIR
74.90%
68.40%
63.00%
58.40%
54.40%
50.90%
47.80%
45.00%
42.50%
40.30%
38.20%
36.30%
34.60%
33.00%
31.50%
30.10%
28.90%
27.60%
26.50%
25.40%
24.40%
ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
RESUMEN - ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
Inversión O&M Beneficios

Variació
VAN TIR VAN TIR VAN
-50% ### 68.41% ### 35.52% ###
-45% ### 62.35% ### 35.36% ###
-40% ### 57.25% ### 35.19% ###
-35% ### 52.89% ### 35.03% ###
-30% ### 49.12% ### 34.86% ###
-25% ### 45.82% ### 34.70% ###
-20% ### 42.89% ### 34.53% ###
-15% ### 40.28% ### 34.37% ###
-10% ### 37.94% ### 34.20% ###
-5% ### 35.81% ### 34.04% ###
0% ### 33.87% ### 33.87% ###
5% ### 32.09% ### 33.70% ###
10% ### 30.46% ### 33.54% ###
15% ### 28.95% ### 33.37% ###
20% ### 27.54% ### 33.21% ###
25% ### 26.24% ### 33.04% ###
30% ### 25.01% ### 32.87% ###
35% ### 23.87% ### 32.71% ###
40% ### 22.79% ### 32.54% ###
45% ### 21.77% ### 32.37% ###
50% ### 20.81% ### 32.21% 11,789,885.45
SENSIBILIDAD
RESUMEN - ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD

S/13,000,000.00
S/12,000,000.00
S/11,000,000.00
S/10,000,000.00
S/9,000,000.00
S/8,000,000.00
S/7,000,000.00 Inversión
S/6,000,000.00
VAN
O &M
S/5,000,000.00
Beneficios
S/4,000,000.00
S/3,000,000.00
S/2,000,000.00
S/1,000,000.00
S/8,000,000.00
S/7,000,000.00 Inversión
S/6,000,000.00
VAN
O &M
S/5,000,000.00
Beneficios
S/4,000,000.00
S/3,000,000.00
S/2,000,000.00
S/1,000,000.00
S/-
-50%
-40%
-60%
-30%
-20%
-10%
40%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
60%
VARIACIÓN
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: INVERSIÓN
VARIACIÓN 0 1 2 3
-50% 2,007,365.71 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-45% 2,208,102.28 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-40% 2,408,838.85 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-35% 2,609,575.42 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-30% 2,810,311.99 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-25% 3,011,048.56 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-20% 3,211,785.13 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-15% 3,412,521.70 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
COSTO SOCIAL
-10% 3,613,258.27 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05

-5% 3,813,994.85 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
0% 4,014,731.42 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
5% 4,215,467.99 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
10% 4,416,204.56 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
15% 4,616,941.13 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
20% 4,817,677.70 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
25% 5,018,414.27 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
30% 5,219,150.84 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
35% 5,419,887.41 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
40% 5,620,623.98 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
45% 5,821,360.55 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
50% 6,022,097.12 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
Beneficios 0 1,431,113.12 1,486,033.99 1,540,954.86
-50% -2,007,365.71 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-45% -2,208,102.28 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-40% -2,408,838.85 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-35% -2,609,575.42 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-30% -2,810,311.99 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-25% -3,011,048.56 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-20% -3,211,785.13 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-15% -3,412,521.70 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
-10% -3,613,258.27 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
FLUJO
-5% -3,813,994.85 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
FLUJO
-4,014,731.42 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
5% -4,215,467.99 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
10% -4,416,204.56 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
15% -4,616,941.13 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
20% -4,817,677.70 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
25% -5,018,414.27 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
30% -5,219,150.84 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
35% -5,419,887.41 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
40% -5,620,623.98 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
45% -5,821,360.55 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
50% -6,022,097.12 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO
VAR 0 1 2 3
-50% 4,014,731.42 64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52
-45% 4,014,731.42 70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58
-40% 4,014,731.42 77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63
-35% 4,014,731.42 83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68
-30% 4,014,731.42 90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73
-25% 4,014,731.42 96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78
-20% 4,014,731.42 102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84
-15% 4,014,731.42 109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89
COSTO SOCIAL
-10% 4,014,731.42 115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94

-5% 4,014,731.42 122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99
0% 4,014,731.42 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
5% 4,014,731.42 135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10
10% 4,014,731.42 141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15
15% 4,014,731.42 148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20
20% 4,014,731.42 154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26
25% 4,014,731.42 160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31
30% 4,014,731.42 167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36
35% 4,014,731.42 173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41
40% 4,014,731.42 180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46
45% 4,014,731.42 186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52
50% 4,014,731.42 193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57
Beneficios 0 1,431,113.12 1,486,033.99 1,540,954.86
-50% -4,014,731.42 1,366,762.59 1,421,683.47 1,476,604.34
-45% -4,014,731.42 1,360,327.54 1,415,248.41 1,470,169.29
-40% -4,014,731.42 1,353,892.49 1,408,813.36 1,463,734.23
-35% -4,014,731.42 1,347,457.44 1,402,378.31 1,457,299.18
-30% -4,014,731.42 1,341,022.38 1,395,943.26 1,450,864.13
-25% -4,014,731.42 1,334,587.33 1,389,508.20 1,444,429.08
-20% -4,014,731.42 1,328,152.28 1,383,073.15 1,437,994.03
LUJO
-15% -4,014,731.42 1,321,717.23 1,376,638.10 1,431,558.97
-10% -4,014,731.42 1,315,282.17 1,370,203.05 1,425,123.92
-5% -4,014,731.42 1,308,847.12 1,363,768.00 1,418,688.87
FLUJO
-4,014,731.42 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
5% -4,014,731.42 1,295,977.02 1,350,897.89 1,405,818.76
10% -4,014,731.42 1,289,541.97 1,344,462.84 1,399,383.71
15% -4,014,731.42 1,283,106.91 1,338,027.79 1,392,948.66
20% -4,014,731.42 1,276,671.86 1,331,592.73 1,386,513.61
25% -4,014,731.42 1,270,236.81 1,325,157.68 1,380,078.55
30% -4,014,731.42 1,263,801.76 1,318,722.63 1,373,643.50
35% -4,014,731.42 1,257,366.70 1,312,287.58 1,367,208.45
40% -4,014,731.42 1,250,931.65 1,305,852.52 1,360,773.40
45% -4,014,731.42 1,244,496.60 1,299,417.47 1,354,338.35
50% -4,014,731.42 1,238,061.55 1,292,982.42 1,347,903.29
DESARROLLO DE SENSIBILIDAD: BENEFICIOS
VAR 0 1 2 3
Costo social 4,014,731.42 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
-50% 0.00 715,556.56 743,016.99 770,477.43
-45% 0.00 787,112.21 817,318.69 847,525.17
-40% 0.00 858,667.87 891,620.39 924,572.92
-35% 0.00 930,223.53 965,922.09 1,001,620.66
-30% 0.00 1,001,779.18 1,040,223.79 1,078,668.40
-25% 0.00 1,073,334.84 1,114,525.49 1,155,716.15
-20% 0.00 1,144,890.49 1,188,827.19 1,232,763.89
-15% 0.00 1,216,446.15 1,263,128.89 1,309,811.63
-10% 0.00 1,288,001.80 1,337,430.59 1,386,859.38
Beneficios
-5% 0.00 1,359,557.46 1,411,732.29 1,463,907.12

0.00 1,431,113.12 1,486,033.99 1,540,954.86
5% 0.00 1,502,668.77 1,560,335.69 1,618,002.61
10% 0.00 1,574,224.43 1,634,637.39 1,695,050.35
15% 0.00 1,645,780.08 1,708,939.09 1,772,098.09
20% 0.00 1,717,335.74 1,783,240.79 1,849,145.83
25% 0.00 1,788,891.39 1,857,542.49 1,926,193.58
30% 0.00 1,860,447.05 1,931,844.19 2,003,241.32
35% 0.00 1,932,002.71 2,006,145.89 2,080,289.06
40% 0.00 2,003,558.36 2,080,447.58 2,157,336.81
45% 0.00 2,075,114.02 2,154,749.28 2,234,384.55
50% 0.00 2,146,669.67 2,229,050.98 2,311,432.29
-50% -4,014,731.42 586,855.51 614,315.95 641,776.39
-45% -4,014,731.42 658,411.17 688,617.65 718,824.13
-40% -4,014,731.42 729,966.82 762,919.35 795,871.87
-35% -4,014,731.42 801,522.48 837,221.05 872,919.61
-30% -4,014,731.42 873,078.14 911,522.75 949,967.36
-25% -4,014,731.42 944,633.79 985,824.45 1,027,015.10
-20% -4,014,731.42 1,016,189.45 1,060,126.15 1,104,062.84
-15% -4,014,731.42 1,087,745.10 1,134,427.84 1,181,110.59
-10% -4,014,731.42 1,159,300.76 1,208,729.54 1,258,158.33
-5% -4,014,731.42 1,230,856.41 1,283,031.24 1,335,206.07
FLUJO
-4,014,731.42 1,302,412.07 1,357,332.94 1,412,253.82
5% -4,014,731.42 1,373,967.73 1,431,634.64 1,489,301.56
10% -4,014,731.42 1,445,523.38 1,505,936.34 1,566,349.30
15% -4,014,731.42 1,517,079.04 1,580,238.04 1,643,397.05
20% -4,014,731.42 1,588,634.69 1,654,539.74 1,720,444.79
25% -4,014,731.42 1,660,190.35 1,728,841.44 1,797,492.53
30% -4,014,731.42 1,731,746.00 1,803,143.14 1,874,540.28
35% -4,014,731.42 1,803,301.66 1,877,444.84 1,951,588.02
40% -4,014,731.42 1,874,857.32 1,951,746.54 2,028,635.76
45% -4,014,731.42 1,946,412.97 2,026,048.24 2,105,683.50
50% -4,014,731.42 2,017,968.63 2,100,349.94 2,182,731.25
Análisis de Riesgo de Rentabilidad Social

VISTA MODELO – ANALISIS DE RIESGO
Costo so ### 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71

Benefici0 5,618,626.73 5,999,392.73 6,383,491.54 6,770,261.27
Alimenta 3,313,921.03 3,521,278.45 3,730,070.83 3,940,008.29
Tarifas 928,215.25 985,329.66 1,042,816.10 1,100,600.00
Souveni 1,376,490.45 1,492,784.62 1,610,604.61 1,729,652.98
Flujo ### 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.96 6,010,319.83 6,397,089.56
TASA 9%
Van ###
TIR ###
DIAGRAMA DE PROBABILIDADES
Beneficios
TIR
11.36%
13.95%
16.42%
18.81%
21.11%
23.35%
25.54%
27.68%
29.77%
31.84%
33.87%
35.88%
37.86%
39.82%
41.77%
43.69%
45.61%
47.51%
49.40%
51.28%
53.15%
IBILIDAD
Inversión
O &M
Beneficios
Inversión
O &M
Beneficios
40%
50%
60%
TASA 8%
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
1,595,875.74 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52 64,350.52
70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58 70,785.58
77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63 77,220.63
83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68 83,655.68
90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73 90,090.73
96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78 96,525.78
102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84 102,960.84
109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89 109,395.89
115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94 115,830.94
122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99 122,265.99
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10 135,136.10
141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15 141,571.15
148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20 148,006.20
154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26 154,441.26
160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31 160,876.31
167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36 167,311.36
173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41 173,746.41
180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46 180,181.46
186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52 186,616.52
193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57 193,051.57
1,595,875.74 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
1,531,525.21 1,586,446.09 1,641,366.96 1,696,287.83 1,806,129.58 1,861,050.45 1,915,971.33
1,525,090.16 1,580,011.03 1,634,931.91 1,689,852.78 1,799,694.53 1,854,615.40 1,909,536.27
1,518,655.11 1,573,575.98 1,628,496.85 1,683,417.73 1,793,259.47 1,848,180.35 1,903,101.22
1,512,220.06 1,567,140.93 1,622,061.80 1,676,982.68 1,786,824.42 1,841,745.30 1,896,666.17
1,505,785.00 1,560,705.88 1,615,626.75 1,670,547.62 1,780,389.37 1,835,310.24 1,890,231.12
1,499,349.95 1,554,270.82 1,609,191.70 1,664,112.57 1,773,954.32 1,828,875.19 1,883,796.06
1,492,914.90 1,547,835.77 1,602,756.65 1,657,677.52 1,767,519.27 1,822,440.14 1,877,361.01
1,486,479.85 1,541,400.72 1,596,321.59 1,651,242.47 1,761,084.21 1,816,005.09 1,870,925.96
1,480,044.79 1,534,965.67 1,589,886.54 1,644,807.41 1,754,649.16 1,809,570.03 1,864,490.91
1,473,609.74 1,528,530.62 1,583,451.49 1,638,372.36 1,748,214.11 1,803,134.98 1,858,055.85
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,460,739.64 1,515,660.51 1,570,581.38 1,625,502.26 1,735,344.00 1,790,264.88 1,845,185.75
1,454,304.59 1,509,225.46 1,564,146.33 1,619,067.20 1,728,908.95 1,783,829.82 1,838,750.70
1,447,869.53 1,502,790.41 1,557,711.28 1,612,632.15 1,722,473.90 1,777,394.77 1,832,315.65
1,441,434.48 1,496,355.35 1,551,276.23 1,606,197.10 1,716,038.85 1,770,959.72 1,825,880.59
1,434,999.43 1,489,920.30 1,544,841.17 1,599,762.05 1,709,603.79 1,764,524.67 1,819,445.54
1,428,564.38 1,483,485.25 1,538,406.12 1,593,327.00 1,703,168.74 1,758,089.62 1,813,010.49
1,422,129.32 1,477,050.20 1,531,971.07 1,586,891.94 1,696,733.69 1,751,654.56 1,806,575.44
1,415,694.27 1,470,615.14 1,525,536.02 1,580,456.89 1,690,298.64 1,745,219.51 1,800,140.38
1,409,259.22 1,464,180.09 1,519,100.97 1,574,021.84 1,683,863.59 1,738,784.46 1,793,705.33
1,402,824.17 1,457,745.04 1,512,665.91 1,567,586.79 1,677,428.53 1,732,349.41 1,787,270.28
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05 128,701.05
797,937.87 825,398.30 852,858.74 880,319.18 935,240.05 962,700.49 990,160.92
877,731.65 907,938.13 938,144.62 968,351.10 1,028,764.06 1,058,970.54 1,089,177.02
957,525.44 990,477.97 1,023,430.49 1,056,383.01 1,122,288.06 1,155,240.59 1,188,193.11
1,037,319.23 1,073,017.80 1,108,716.36 1,144,414.93 1,215,812.07 1,251,510.63 1,287,209.20
1,117,113.02 1,155,557.63 1,194,002.24 1,232,446.85 1,309,336.07 1,347,780.68 1,386,225.29
1,196,906.80 1,238,097.46 1,279,288.11 1,320,478.77 1,402,860.08 1,444,050.73 1,485,241.39
1,276,700.59 1,320,637.29 1,364,573.99 1,408,510.68 1,496,384.08 1,540,320.78 1,584,257.48
1,356,494.38 1,403,177.12 1,449,859.86 1,496,542.60 1,589,908.09 1,636,590.83 1,683,273.57
1,436,288.16 1,485,716.95 1,535,145.73 1,584,574.52 1,683,432.09 1,732,860.88 1,782,289.66
1,516,081.95 1,568,256.78 1,620,431.61 1,672,606.44 1,776,956.10 1,829,130.93 1,881,305.76
1,595,875.74 1,650,796.61 1,705,717.48 1,760,638.36 1,870,480.10 1,925,400.98 1,980,321.85
1,675,669.52 1,733,336.44 1,791,003.36 1,848,670.27 1,964,004.11 2,021,671.02 2,079,337.94
1,755,463.31 1,815,876.27 1,876,289.23 1,936,702.19 2,057,528.11 2,117,941.07 2,178,354.03
1,835,257.10 1,898,416.10 1,961,575.10 2,024,734.11 2,151,052.12 2,214,211.12 2,277,370.13
1,915,050.88 1,980,955.93 2,046,860.98 2,112,766.03 2,244,576.12 2,310,481.17 2,376,386.22
1,994,844.67 2,063,495.76 2,132,146.85 2,200,797.94 2,338,100.13 2,406,751.22 2,475,402.31
2,074,638.46 2,146,035.59 2,217,432.73 2,288,829.86 2,431,624.13 2,503,021.27 2,574,418.40
2,154,432.24 2,228,575.42 2,302,718.60 2,376,861.78 2,525,148.14 2,599,291.32 2,673,434.50
2,234,226.03 2,311,115.25 2,388,004.48 2,464,893.70 2,618,672.14 2,695,561.37 2,772,450.59
2,314,019.82 2,393,655.08 2,473,290.35 2,552,925.62 2,712,196.15 2,791,831.41 2,871,466.68
2,393,813.60 2,476,194.91 2,558,576.22 2,640,957.53 2,805,720.15 2,888,101.46 2,970,482.77
669,236.82 696,697.26 724,157.70 751,618.13 806,539.01 833,999.44 861,459.88
749,030.61 779,237.09 809,443.57 839,650.05 900,063.01 930,269.49 960,475.97
828,824.40 861,776.92 894,729.44 927,681.97 993,587.02 1,026,539.54 1,059,492.06
908,618.18 944,316.75 980,015.32 1,015,713.89 1,087,111.02 1,122,809.59 1,158,508.16
988,411.97 1,026,856.58 1,065,301.19 1,103,745.80 1,180,635.03 1,219,079.64 1,257,524.25
1,068,205.76 1,109,396.41 1,150,587.07 1,191,777.72 1,274,159.03 1,315,349.69 1,356,540.34
1,147,999.54 1,191,936.24 1,235,872.94 1,279,809.64 1,367,683.04 1,411,619.73 1,455,556.43
1,227,793.33 1,274,476.07 1,321,158.81 1,367,841.56 1,461,207.04 1,507,889.78 1,554,572.53
1,307,587.12 1,357,015.90 1,406,444.69 1,455,873.47 1,554,731.05 1,604,159.83 1,653,588.62
1,387,380.90 1,439,555.73 1,491,730.56 1,543,905.39 1,648,255.05 1,700,429.88 1,752,604.71
1,467,174.69 1,522,095.56 1,577,016.44 1,631,937.31 1,741,779.06 1,796,699.93 1,851,620.80
1,546,968.48 1,604,635.39 1,662,302.31 1,719,969.23 1,835,303.06 1,892,969.98 1,950,636.90
1,626,762.26 1,687,175.22 1,747,588.18 1,808,001.15 1,928,827.07 1,989,240.03 2,049,652.99
1,706,556.05 1,769,715.05 1,832,874.06 1,896,033.06 2,022,351.07 2,085,510.08 2,148,669.08
1,786,349.84 1,852,254.88 1,918,159.93 1,984,064.98 2,115,875.08 2,181,780.12 2,247,685.17
1,866,143.62 1,934,794.72 2,003,445.81 2,072,096.90 2,209,399.08 2,278,050.17 2,346,701.26
1,945,937.41 2,017,334.55 2,088,731.68 2,160,128.82 2,302,923.09 2,374,320.22 2,445,717.36
2,025,731.20 2,099,874.38 2,174,017.56 2,248,160.73 2,396,447.09 2,470,590.27 2,544,733.45
2,105,524.98 2,182,414.21 2,259,303.43 2,336,192.65 2,489,971.10 2,566,860.32 2,643,749.54
2,185,318.77 2,264,954.04 2,344,589.30 2,424,224.57 2,583,495.10 2,663,130.37 2,742,765.63
2,265,112.56 2,347,493.87 2,429,875.18 2,512,256.49 2,677,019.11 2,759,400.42 2,841,781.73
807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95

7,159,447.89 7,550,560.78 7,943,519.15 8,338,053.52 8,733,994.68 9,131,232.74
4,150,992.19 4,362,791.51 4,575,420.13 4,788,691.83 5,002,600.43 5,217,042.97
1,158,655.93 1,216,921.19 1,275,403.39 1,334,051.69 1,392,866.95 1,451,817.80
1,849,799.77 1,970,848.08 2,092,695.63 2,215,310.00 2,338,527.30 2,462,371.97
6,352,166.94 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.79
27,376,540.06
38.20%
VAN TIR
8,241,181 68.41%
8,040,444 62.35%
7,839,708 57.25%
7,638,971 52.89%
7,438,234 49.12%
7,237,498 45.82%
7,036,761 42.89%
6,836,025 40.28%
6,635,288 37.94%
6,434,552 35.81%
6,233,815 33.87%
6,033,078 32.09%
5,832,342 30.46%
5,631,605 28.95%
5,430,869 27.54%
5,230,132 26.24%
5,029,396 25.01%
4,828,659 23.87%
4,627,922 22.79%
4,427,186 21.77%
4,226,449 20.81%
VAN TIR
6,665,612 35.52%
6,622,433 35.36%
6,579,253 35.19%
6,536,073 35.03%
6,492,893 34.86%
6,449,714 34.70%
6,406,534 34.53%
6,363,354 34.37%
6,320,174 34.20%
6,276,995 34.04%
6,233,815 33.87%
6,190,635 33.70%
6,147,456 33.54%
6,104,276 33.37%
6,061,096 33.21%
6,017,916 33.04%
5,974,737 32.87%
5,931,557 32.71%
5,888,377 32.54%
5,845,197 32.37%
5,802,018 32.21%
VAN TIR
677,745 11.36%
1,233,352 13.95%
1,788,959 16.42%
2,344,566 18.81%
2,900,173 21.11%
3,455,780 23.35%
4,011,387 25.54%
4,566,994 27.68%
5,122,601 29.77%
5,678,208 31.84%
6,233,815 33.87%
6,789,422 35.88%
7,345,029 37.86%
7,900,636 39.82%
8,456,243 41.77%
9,011,850 43.69%
9,567,457 45.61%
10,123,064 47.51%
10,678,671 49.40%
11,234,278 51.28%
11,789,885 53.15%
VAR 0 1 2 3
-50% 7,600,856.49 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-45% 8,360,942.13 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-40% 9,121,027.78 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-35% 9,881,113.43 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-30% 10,641,199.08 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-25% 11,401,284.73 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-20% 12,161,370.38 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-15% 12,921,456.03 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-10% 13,681,541.68 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
-5% 14,441,627.32 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71

COSTO
0% 15,201,712.97 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
SOCIAL
5% 15,961,798.62 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
10% 16,721,884.27 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
15% 17,481,969.92 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
20% 18,242,055.57 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
25% 19,002,141.22 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
30% 19,762,226.86 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
35% 20,522,312.51 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
40% 21,282,398.16 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
45% 22,042,483.81 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
50% 22,802,569.46 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71
Beneficios 5,618,626.74 5,999,392.73 6,383,491.54
-50% -7,600,856.49 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-45% -8,360,942.13 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-40% -9,121,027.78 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-35% -9,881,113.43 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-30% -10,641,199.08 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-25% -11,401,284.73 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-20% -12,161,370.38 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-15% -12,921,456.03 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
-10% -13,681,541.68 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
FLUJO
-5% -14,441,627.32 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
FLUJO -15,201,712.97 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
5% -15,961,798.62 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
10% -16,721,884.27 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
15% -17,481,969.92 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
20% -18,242,055.57 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
25% -19,002,141.22 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
30% -19,762,226.86 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
35% -20,522,312.51 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
40% -21,282,398.16 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
45% -22,042,483.81 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83
50% -22,802,569.46 5,245,455.02 5,586,730.97 6,010,319.83

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 VAN
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
373,171.71 807,280.95 373,171.71 412,661.77 373,171.71 373,171.71 807,280.95
6,770,261.26 7,159,447.90 7,550,560.79 7,943,519.15 8,338,053.53 8,733,994.68 9,131,232.73
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 34,977,396.55
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 34,217,310.90
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 33,457,225.25
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 32,697,139.60
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 31,937,053.95
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 31,176,968.30
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 30,416,882.66
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 29,656,797.01
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 28,896,711.36

6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 28,136,625.71
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 27,376,540.06
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 26,616,454.41
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 25,856,368.76
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 25,096,283.12
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 24,336,197.47
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 23,576,111.82
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 22,816,026.17
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 22,055,940.52
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 21,295,854.87
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 20,535,769.22
6,397,089.55 6,352,166.95 7,177,389.07 7,530,857.38 7,964,881.81 8,360,822.97 8,323,951.78 19,775,683.58

TIR
74.90%
68.40%
63.00%
58.40%
54.40%
50.90%
47.80%
45.00%
42.50%
40.30%
38.20%
36.30%
34.60%
33.00%
31.50%
30.10%
28.90%
27.60%
26.50%
25.40%
24.40%
FALTANTES ESTUDIOS DE PIP TAREAS:
1. PRESUPUESTO
CAPITULO 1 Desarrollar matriz marco lógico
Desarrollar el S10
Averiguar la U.F. en la MDT Desagregado de Gastos generales
Utilidad sustento
Gastos del E.T. sustento
Gastos Liquidación
Gastos de I.A.
2. O&M
Sustentar costos de O&M
CAPITULO 2 Depreciación
Tipos y cant. de Artesanía fotos 3. BENEFICIOS SOCIALES

Sustentar beneficios sociales
4. COSTOS SOCIALES
Cálculo de FC
5. INDICADORES
CAPITULO 3 Sustentar tasa de descuento social
Demanda
Demandas altos picos
Encuestas
6. ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD
Realizar el analisis de sensibilidad de varios Factore
Alternativas de Solución
Cerco vegetal
CAPITULO 4
ANEXOS
Panel Fotográfico
Problemática
Topografía
Encuestas
Planos
Plano de arquitectura propuesta
Plano de arquitectura propuesta
Acta de compromiso de……….. Sobre acciones de operación y mantenimiento

Saneamiento fisico legal del bosque dorado
Acta de donación del terreno
Hoja de insumos
Padron de beneficiarios
Presupuesto del PIP alternativa única
Documentos de sostenibilidad
Documento que acredite la responsabilidad de la administración
TAREAS: TAREAS:
1. PLANOS SÁBADO
riz marco lógico Planos Arquitectura Instalar Civil 3D
Planos Estructurales Dibujar topografía Revit y Civil
e Gastos generales Planos de Agua, Desague, Drenaje Instalar S10
Planos Eléctricos Bosquejo de Estructuras
Planos de Señalización Bosquejo de Agua desague Drenaje
Plano Topográfico Bosquejo de Electricas
Planilla de partidas
Estructura de S10
1. PLANOS DOMINGO
Presupuesto en s10
Planos de Arq, Estr, iiss, iiee
eficios sociales
de descuento social
sis de sensibilidad de varios Factores

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ALTERNATIVA 1

MEJORAMIENTO DE LOS SERVICIOS TURÍSTICOS DEL COMPLEJO RECREACIONAL BOSQUE DO

DESCOMPUESTO DEL COSTO DIRECTO A PRECIOS DE MERCADO

FACTORES DE CORRECCIÓN (FC)

COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES

MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA

Parcial S/. Item

S/ 981,907.71 ### 0.325169011

ORAMIENTO DE LOS SERVICIOS TURÍSTICOS DEL COMPLEJO RECREACIONAL BOSQUE DORADO, EN EL

Descripción Parcial S/.

DESCOMPUESTO DEL COSTO DIRECTO A PRECIOS DE MERCADO

FACTORES DE CORRECCIÓN (FC)

COSTOS A PRECIOS SOCIALES

MANO DE OBRA CALIFICADA S/ 792,191.31

01.02.03 CONSTRUCCION DE GUARDIANÍA (3)

01 TANQUE SEPTICO (01 UNIDAD)

SERVICIOS DE AGUA ELEC

COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN POR MES - SIN PROYECTO

Remuneración del personal Total

COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO - SIN PROYECTO

MANTENIMIENTO - SIN PROYECTO

Descripción Unidad Cantidad Parcial

Estacionamiento Costoxaño 2 S/. 80.00

PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN

COSTOS DE O&M CON PROYECTO - ALTERNATIVA 1

COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN - CON PROYECTO

Remuneración del Personal - CON PROYECTO

Administrador mes 1 S/. 1,500.00

Insumos, material y herramientas - CON PROYECTO

Medicamentos mes 1 S/. 250.00

Servicios Básicos- CON PROYECTO

Agua mes 1 S/. 50.00

COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO ANUAL - CON PROYECTO

PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN CON PRO

COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00

Personal S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00

TOTAL COSTOS DE O Y M S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00 S/ 143,660.00

COSTOS DE O&M CON PROYECTO - ALTERNATIVA 2

COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN - CON PROYECTO

Remuneración del Personal - CON PROYECTO

Administrador mes 1 S/. 1,500.00

Insumos, material y herramientas - CON PROYECTO

Medicamentos mes 1 S/. 250.00

Servicios Básicos- CON PROYECTO

Agua mes 1 S/. 50.00

COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO POR MES - CON PROYECTO

COSTOS DE MANTENIMIENTO ANUAL - CON PROYECTO

PROYECCIÓN DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN CON PRO

COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00 S/ 105,360.00

TOTAL COSTOS DE O & M S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00 S/ 158,010.00

COSTOS INCREMENTALES A PRECIOS DE MERCADO ALTERNATIVA 1

I. COSTOS CON PROYECTO

II. COSTOS SIN PROYECTO

C. COSTOS DE OPER Y S/ 6,292.00 S/ 6,292.00

COSTOS INCREMENTALES A PRECIOS DE MERCADO ALTERNATIVA 2

DE LOS COSTOS DE OPERACIÓN Y MANTENIMIENTO EN LA SITUACIÓN SIN PROYECTO

S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00 S/ 98,160.00

S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00 S/ 73,200.00

S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00 S/ 45,500.00