Proyecto Hidrologico para La Construccion de Una Presa.111
Proyecto Hidrologico para La Construccion de Una Presa.111
Proyecto Hidrologico para La Construccion de Una Presa.111
- ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
DOBLE MASA:
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
ESTACION
LLAGADEN
655.720
696.280
541.840
428.110
661.390
313.200
553.700
469.190
603.850
509.190
726.950
457.530
688.480
436.950
662.560
278.480
527.290
337.900
629.590
467.130
581.290
545.990
343.860
602.590
497.790
492.080
637.540
556.740
537.790
553.56
620.65
596.62
587.29
667.7
659.42
ESTACION
CONTUMAZA
792.140
417.730
393.130
955.490
344.560
669.710
452.660
623.950
1023.240
783.660
371.000
545.230
474.500
678.360
1155.290
1576.560
567.770
1075.390
559.490
938.040
751.650
1132.010
1170.010
1263.010
366.800
792.700
678.700
907.730
839.760
964.19
976.2
804.68
1170.24
1586.59
1101.4
ESTACION
CHILETE
210.100
168.990
247.180
146.940
304.220
108.320
244.050
180.990
253.170
222.520
348.120
163.230
322.070
195.200
353.240
144.890
199.150
175.710
232.480
204.170
273.670
272.120
75.180
177.330
204.730
180.080
230.640
219.630
241.150
211.67
233.39
345.17
255.88
175.54
268.99
30000.0
25000.0
20000.0
LLAGADEN
CONTUMAZ
15000.0
CHILETE
10000.0
5000.0
0.0
0.0
5000.0
10000.0
15000.0
20000.0
PROMEDIO ACUMULADO
DE ESTA CURVA DOBLE MASA SELECIONAMOS NUESTRA ESTACION IDICE - LA ESTACION LLAGADEN
35000.0
30000.0
25000.0
20000.0
CONTUMAZA
15000.0
CHILETE
10000.0
5000.0
0.0
0.0
5000.0
10000.0
15000.0
20000.0
25000.0
EVALUACION Y CUANTIFICACION
Mediante el Anlisis estadistico de las Medias y Desviaciones Estndar, para las Pruebas "T" y "F".
N
DE DATOS
n
ESTACION CONTUMAZA
GRADOS D
LIBERTAD
n-1
19
16
18
15
ESTACION CHILETE
23
12
GRADOS DE
LIBERTAD
TOTAL
MEDIA
D. ESTAND
n1+n2-2
33
77.400
58.600
77.812
78.784
n-1
TOTAL
MEDIA
D. ESTAND
22
11
n1+n2-2
33
18.280
19.060
26.095
24.346
Tc=(X1-X2)/Sd
Sd =Sp*(1/n1+1/n2)^0.5
Sp=[(n1-1)*S1^2+(n2-1)*S2^2]^0.5(n1+n2-2)
Reemplazando en las ecuaciones anteriores se tiene:
ESTACION
CONTUMAZA
Sp= 3338.38
Sd= 1132.75
Tc= 0.017
CHILETE
4.4433
1.5823
1.105
Tt=
CONDICION
2.036
2.036
NO SE CORRIGE
NO SE CORRIGE
PRUEBA F FISHER
HP : HIPOTESIS PLANTEADA, S1^2=S2^2
DONDE:
S1^2 Y S2^2 Son las variancias muestra
HA : HIPOTESIS ALTERNA S1^2=S2^2 (ALFA=0.050)
Fc=S1^2/S2^2 ; si S1^2>S2^2
Fc=S2^2/S^2 ; si S2^2>S1^2
ESTACION
CONTUMAZA CHILETE
FC
1.025
1.149
Luego: FC 0.9755
NO SE CORRIGE
22 _ 11
2.63
NO SE CORRIGE
2. TRANSFERENCIA DE DATOS
Ya habiendo cumplido con las pruebas de consistencia, el siguiente paso es trasferir los datos de precipitaciones
para la microcuenca del ro HUERTAS, tomando como base las estaciones: LLAGADEN, CONTUMAZA Y CHILETE.
ESTACION LLAGADEN
PRESIPITACION (mm)
CATEGORIA
Climatologica ordinaria
DEPARTAMENTO
CAJAMARCA
2000
PROVINCIA
CAJAMARCA
DISTRITO
MAGDALENA
ALTITUD
LATITUD
LONGITUD
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
TOT.
X
S
ENE
7 16
78 35
MAR
ABR
JUN
JUL
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
108.2
173.13
43.00
88.90
185.00
52.50
13.10
69.25
48.70
53.40
115.00
85.00
175.52
179.90
161.30
10.88
34.50
29.29
61.20
55.70
50.00
36.90
17.90
64.30
190.20
113.70
128.60
56.30
16.40
53.56
94.66
72.95
86.63
45.99
153.96
172.0
136.02
55.00
119.51
223.10
55.10
146.40
74.54
57.20
96.80
107.70
126.70
81.18
16.40
202.20
55.80
94.50
5.60
257.50
79.40
75.70
107.90
73.00
50.60
76.30
112.50
189.20
182.37
182.37
90.28
134.54
153.75
99.81
193.01
51.79
FEB
88.9
79.88
182.30
74.75
84.30
37.50
111.70
92.20
234.50
175.20
159.90
45.40
144.00
87.26
72.80
51.10
275.60
71.00
119.30
25.50
196.00
110.23
51.60
96.60
25.00
29.30
57.60
102.93
104.38
144.40
154.45
140.50
67.16
217.38
175.20
118.6
119.37
67.50
40.40
29.50
25.40
73.70
45.80
118.80
33.50
110.30
40.90
14.50
46.42
62.30
14.40
13.70
23.40
22.60
71.70
77.80
72.32
35.83
187.80
85.60
74.70
79.03
59.38
80.32
49.39
80.72
34.75
124.83
44.82
53.63
6.1
4.82
13.87
8.10
19.50
4.10
2.30
13.65
4.05
8.30
19.20
3.41
38.23
5.30
9.64
45.50
6.80
3.83
5.73
16.13
15.00
40.85
31.00
7.70
4.78
4.80
7.04
18.42
7.19
8.46
3.51
3.66
3.64
7.59
4.93
MAY
11.6
8.07
7.37
2.02
1.00
6.10
6.20
15.10
13.60
1.80
11.70
7.60
18.10
9.70
8.12
6.01
3.74
12.20
7.55
8.04
8.80
9.80
9.47
0.52
6.09
4.40
10.28
5.93
6.75
11.41
9.76
11.10
11.73
11.12
9.12
2.9
7.47
12.73
6.93
16.80
18.10
8.50
13.83
1.80
9.39
13.68
15.20
2.38
7.45
14.49
17.22
3.80
9.72
8.18
7.96
13.25
5.40
5.59
10.41
9.69
13.85
8.47
13.60
14.32
2.03
14.69
6.38
5.64
12.16
2.72
AGOS
9.9
8.34
15.55
7.05
2.47
4.40
1.00
17.15
19.20
1.50
16.07
5.40
20.40
16.72
7.21
16.28
5.40
4.65
0.60
9.16
6.00
2.79
5.25
6.80
9.70
14.68
19.78
8.11
3.24
18.43
4.32
15.94
3.26
16.77
5.90
5.0
16.01
23.43
9.20
0.70
20.00
24.00
11.27
10.00
19.20
31.80
22.50
40.00
2.10
17.90
2.20
9.70
3.91
13.63
22.24
11.94
37.90
10.20
39.06
20.93
18.65
24.71
25.90
9.92
16.99
26.21
19.37
28.66
28.42
19.70
31.2
22.13
42.53
35.35
56.40
33.30
33.70
65.00
46.50
15.20
45.00
21.40
76.50
9.60
7.10
17.49
17.49
77.10
38.90
42.50
0.00
53.50
10.10
2.10
7.60
27.40
51.43
45.94
37.95
37.43
20.12
51.71
55.15
35.44
60.70
31.6
51.15
25.54
24.40
22.02
33.00
65.30
34.20
9.00
30.60
26.40
25.50
12.60
14.60
14.60
1.00
59.86
44.70
20.00
35.30
0.00
48.80
60.05
35.80
37.70
62.30
16.51
22.28
24.79
59.27
19.95
27.66
33.56
13.51
52.21
69.7
69.89
53.02
11.50
20.60
23.70
67.80
17.20
40.50
64.30
70.20
58.52
65.07
41.50
84.90
40.60
2.20
52.50
74.40
93.50
126.80
19.60
33.87
100.90
24.20
15.80
44.89
15.58
50.16
61.91
57.72
58.85
67.22
41.49
69.56
TOTAL
655.72
696.28
541.84
428.11
661.39
313.2
553.7
469.19
603.85
509.19
726.95
457.53
688.48
436.95
662.56
278.48
527.29
337.9
629.59
467.13
581.29
545.99
343.86
602.59
497.79
492.08
637.54
556.74
537.79
553.56
620.65
596.62
587.29
667.70
659.42
2925.52
3935.76
3885.82
2233.71
407.17
291.91
336.77
329.39
643.30
1230.98
1095.74
1810.17
19126.24
83.59
112.45
111.02
63.82
11.63
8.34
9.62
9.41
18.38
35.17
31.31
51.72
546.46
54.39
59.70
62.40
38.54
11.16
3.91
4.74
6.23
10.35
20.34
17.50
27.67
113.52
ESTACION CONTUMAZA
PRESIPITACION (mm)
CATEGORIA
Climatologica Ordinaria
ALTITUD
LATITUD
LONGITUD
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
TOT.
X
S
ENE
DEPARTAMENTO
CAJAMARCA
2330
7 22
78 49
FEB
PROVINCIA
CONTUMAZ
DISTRITO
CONTUMAZ
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
217.8
8.50
134.80
171.00
11.70
25.50
60.70
22.70
100.50
251.60
38.90
25.80
122.70
110.90
14.50
87.00
174.50
242.51
24.14
251.20
23.78
183.97
157.05
246.43
79.60
105.10
144.26
148.09
221.07
194.26
115.76
133.74
267.04
246.78
188.19
96.2
56.00
67.50
265.20
36.40
99.90
38.80
75.10
140.40
88.90
113.40
108.00
94.10
111.30
51.30
603.00
111.00
243.95
4.57
100.67
150.28
366.35
243.95
224.92
74.60
243.00
77.08
188.05
3.82
184.64
145.20
186.42
193.08
602.89
143.94
108.5
163.30
35.50
117.00
90.10
186.90
95.10
283.40
541.00
132.40
24.80
71.20
45.60
119.60
100.90
246.80
78.60
122.36
120.05
120.55
132.84
123.00
131.07
119.49
41.70
175.90
122.78
146.76
127.33
147.53
163.59
138.82
138.65
121.82
220.21
153.2
38.00
25.00
3.00
9.70
72.50
89.50
61.70
62.90
147.80
41.20
5.00
69.20
50.40
205.00
231.20
9.80
91.05
94.90
9.79
112.64
37.38
133.21
198.60
89.00
168.20
24.90
71.74
7.16
33.76
89.52
7.96
64.34
181.18
198.39
20.2
15.00
6.50
27.00
6.00
6.00
33.60
3.90
3.20
20.40
13.61
18.56
8.90
13.20
161.00
42.00
20.00
13.60
14.93
27.36
16.24
30.80
31.73
36.72
14.90
6.60
56.13
56.29
132.96
53.04
97.08
3.47
160.78
88.59
68.94
9.1
5.43
8.88
11.19
6.96
7.50
5.00
4.05
2.00
10.00
10.40
8.20
12.00
10.27
7.94
9.31
9.35
8.41
5.64
8.06
5.81
2.66
4.91
7.68
0.00
7.80
8.33
6.65
5.56
5.30
5.79
9.63
6.46
7.26
3.35
6.0
2.00
10.57
3.31
1.50
10.33
7.26
0.40
3.00
10.00
3.54
4.42
10.38
5.52
14.00
5.00
5.69
3.94
3.65
1.11
9.75
10.85
1.67
9.60
0.00
0.00
7.27
4.56
7.85
12.57
13.84
2.08
2.04
13.36
13.17
AGOS
90.1
2.50
26.38
85.35
50.00
92.08
6.50
7.70
86.04
14.35
17.68
53.40
1.00
42.47
12.05
93.00
13.76
16.01
58.58
53.98
64.25
41.16
89.25
29.49
0.00
0.00
1.84
20.17
11.93
16.72
91.59
27.25
57.82
71.31
3.26
7.0
4.00
14.00
161.05
13.00
3.00
15.20
26.30
5.20
38.00
46.00
17.00
73.22
20.00
188.40
95.00
12.77
145.51
65.96
116.71
46.39
107.14
13.96
172.04
1.90
14.60
71.58
114.31
150.29
179.80
19.14
38.56
101.16
133.81
77.19
31.5
25.50
50.00
85.67
63.80
28.40
68.90
59.40
11.20
14.00
45.27
104.20
6.00
10.00
139.20
95.25
53.60
76.72
47.38
71.98
53.62
58.05
133.25
135.57
18.00
49.10
12.95
28.60
58.37
8.07
98.49
98.08
89.27
77.27
62.88
40.0
28.50
4.00
17.72
26.00
63.90
14.90
36.80
23.00
36.21
5.20
121.45
6.00
69.00
126.00
22.00
19.90
25.35
108.21
86.86
65.86
103.20
100.51
39.26
38.10
22.40
99.97
76.59
94.91
46.25
44.06
102.37
55.10
12.10
48.80
12.5
69.00
10.00
8.00
29.40
73.70
17.20
42.50
44.80
20.00
11.00
8.00
25.40
115.70
135.00
47.00
58.80
85.98
11.48
89.77
70.19
67.45
129.45
43.21
9.00
0.00
51.61
45.92
18.51
82.25
92.14
56.30
34.50
30.22
73.08
TOTAL
792.14
417.73
393.13
955.49
344.56
669.71
452.66
623.95
1023.24
783.66
371
545.23
474.5
678.36
1155.29
1576.56
567.77
1075.39
559.49
938.04
751.65
1132.01
1170.01
1263.01
366.8
792.7
678.7
907.73
839.76
964.19
976.20
804.68
1170.24
1586.59
1101.40
4552.11
5533.91
4855.15
2888.82
1329.26
246.89
220.19
1348.97
2309.19
2069.54
1830.48
1719.06
28903.57
130.06
158.11
138.72
82.54
37.98
7.05
6.29
38.54
65.98
59.13
52.30
49.12
825.82
83.49
136.83
88.43
66.63
42.40
2.68
4.39
32.73
59.68
37.20
36.38
36.10
326.68
ESTACION CHILETE
PRESIPITACION (mm)
CATEGORIA
Pluvimetrica
ALTITUD
LATITUD
LONGITUD
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
TOT.
X
Sx
ENE
DEPARTAMENTO
CAJAMARCA
850
7 13
78 51
FEB
MAY
JUN
PROVINCIA
CONTUMAZA
DISTRITO
CHILETE
MAR
ABR
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
38.43
30.20
10.00
30.40
82.80
3.60
4.00
24.50
6.90
28.10
91.00
28.90
34.10
54.10
50.10
0.30
8.10
2.00
41.60
20.50
95.40
13.27
0.60
12.10
45.00
40.20
25.10
38.71
17.41
38.95
3.58
61.57
13.50
20.79
20.81
50.75
19.60
29.30
13.50
123.10
5.30
42.80
3.80
34.80
39.20
30.80
44.40
59.30
57.20
142.00
51.50
43.10
6.10
78.70
49.44
36.10
112.85
18.80
13.60
62.80
32.50
73.65
41.38
46.22
21.41
22.61
22.45
42.99
30.80
86.15
57.39
56.00
133.00
43.30
35.40
7.30
89.90
33.10
144.10
87.20
59.10
23.00
127.40
12.60
73.00
40.80
104.00
36.70
34.00
10.10
68.31
54.66
0.90
32.00
12.60
11.80
28.54
31.19
120.77
61.34
104.80
141.30
105.53
50.12
49.69
15.44
30.70
29.50
20.10
8.10
42.29
60.20
23.10
31.10
10.20
102.80
14.60
38.30
21.60
36.00
5.10
3.20
52.67
6.50
31.70
27.05
37.54
5.40
76.30
26.90
42.90
50.23
51.73
1.36
33.18
36.44
52.51
35.79
13.37
51.64
2.94
1.80
1.70
2.20
8.60
15.40
1.20
11.80
3.00
3.20
6.30
7.01
1.30
5.20
6.70
8.00
14.22
2.80
11.56
2.70
3.26
3.77
10.70
3.00
6.63
3.50
5.19
3.11
2.00
6.60
13.01
4.32
1.30
5.48
6.03
6.76
2.21
1.42
3.32
5.40
4.07
2.40
3.80
4.28
7.15
5.63
7.10
7.30
4.00
5.69
6.78
6.36
4.08
7.24
2.21
2.59
2.79
7.06
5.60
0.90
6.19
5.86
4.97
2.61
2.60
7.20
5.50
1.22
4.26
2.86
2.92
7.42
2.24
2.73
12.70
1.08
0.77
1.49
6.49
0.80
3.02
2.42
2.64
0.72
2.73
1.81
0.80
1.49
2.64
1.20
3.41
9.18
1.92
0.98
5.60
1.20
7.97
6.43
6.34
2.53
9.03
9.66
5.94
10.65
0.82
JUL
AGOS
6.29
4.50
5.22
5.69
3.88
3.43
11.18
2.20
2.40
6.27
8.83
0.80
4.67
8.57
3.92
3.22
7.56
6.82
6.50
11.25
3.41
4.14
7.20
2.60
12.10
5.05
3.46
10.03
1.84
4.63
7.09
9.24
10.20
9.14
4.99
2.48
2.86
2.90
2.10
3.00
5.35
0.60
5.90
1.80
2.20
10.10
4.40
8.10
2.48
3.50
3.27
3.90
1.99
3.07
4.77
2.80
4.15
8.00
1.95
1.60
3.85
2.53
4.09
5.42
4.86
5.00
6.31
3.47
6.78
4.17
2.00
5.50
9.50
20.00
16.50
12.50
9.60
48.80
4.10
7.80
5.10
8.20
24.70
1.60
0.80
3.66
3.66
20.90
18.77
14.20
13.43
10.04
2.20
5.00
5.24
10.18
2.41
7.18
12.55
9.71
11.50
6.20
20.38
2.55
20.36
13.80
2.40
1.20
2.80
2.14
1.60
13.90
11.60
4.80
12.20
9.44
12.00
10.20
9.83
14.40
7.55
1.75
13.36
6.19
16.90
2.29
12.33
0.30
6.80
11.90
9.07
12.09
5.15
8.92
10.26
6.07
12.75
0.17
8.59
11.80
10.90
5.80
21.20
0.80
2.60
6.40
7.50
10.90
9.40
18.20
16.00
10.40
4.06
17.30
14.40
12.90
2.50
26.80
15.71
39.20
15.62
7.40
12.10
17.40
13.46
13.64
13.61
15.66
15.71
15.60
7.06
13.36
15.39
13.01
9.67
TOTAL
210.1
168.99
247.18
146.94
304.22
108.32
244.05
180.99
253.17
222.52
348.12
163.23
322.07
195.2
353.24
144.89
199.15
175.71
232.48
204.17
273.67
272.12
75.18
177.33
204.73
180.08
230.64
219.63
241.15
211.67
233.39
345.17
255.88
175.54
268.99
1036.620
1589.00
2080.94
1125.54
195.53
159.41
139.77
208.32
139.75
376.82
286.55
451.66
7789.91
29.6177
45.40
59.46
32.16
5.59
4.55
3.99
5.95
3.99
10.77
8.19
12.90
222.57
24.75
32.19
41.35
21.88
3.91
1.99
3.34
2.96
2.06
9.28
4.75
7.16
64.29
PROCESAMIENTO DE DATOS
1. En el siguiente cuadro mostramos los promedios de las precipitaciones de las tres estaciones
Altitud media =
2231.00 msnm
AGOS
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
121.5
70.6
62.6
96.8
93.2
27.2
25.9
38.8
52.0
111.0
81.6
46.6
110.8
115.0
75.3
32.7
72.4
91.3
42.3
109.1
56.4
78.0
58.5
107.6
104.9
86.3
99.3
81.0
85.0
95.6
71.3
89.4
122.4
104.5
121.0
ENE
106.3
70.5
50.6
132.7
127.5
53.4
76.0
51.1
77.5
75.0
84.0
93.0
78.2
61.6
131.8
236.8
82.9
85.2
113.6
76.5
87.4
195.7
111.9
96.4
71.2
129.3
113.3
137.3
77.5
98.8
100.8
120.9
112.0
275.6
94.0
FEB
84.9
99.7
116.9
78.4
69.9
77.2
98.9
136.2
306.5
131.6
81.3
46.5
105.7
73.2
82.2
112.9
152.7
76.7
91.1
52.1
132.4
96.0
61.2
82.7
26.4
72.3
69.6
93.6
117.5
117.8
140.9
140.2
103.8
129.8
148.4
MAR
95.7
62.7
40.7
21.2
15.8
46.7
74.5
43.5
70.9
63.8
84.8
20.2
40.7
39.5
101.1
83.6
8.9
55.7
41.3
37.7
72.5
49.1
58.1
154.2
67.2
95.3
51.4
61.0
29.6
38.8
68.9
31.7
75.0
79.8
101.2
ABR
9.8
7.2
7.4
12.4
11.4
8.5
12.4
9.8
3.4
10.6
13.0
9.7
16.1
7.9
59.1
31.8
13.7
6.7
10.7
15.4
11.5
25.1
24.5
15.8
8.8
5.0
22.8
25.9
47.4
22.7
37.9
3.8
55.2
33.9
26.6
MAY
9.2
5.2
5.9
5.5
4.5
5.9
4.5
7.7
6.6
6.3
9.2
7.6
12.5
8.0
7.3
7.4
6.5
8.2
6.8
6.1
5.7
5.1
7.1
4.6
2.3
6.1
8.2
5.9
5.0
6.4
7.6
8.7
6.5
7.5
5.1
JUN
3.9
5.6
8.5
4.3
10.3
9.8
5.5
5.2
3.8
6.7
6.7
7.3
5.1
4.6
10.4
8.0
3.4
5.1
4.8
3.4
8.8
8.5
3.1
7.0
5.1
5.0
7.9
8.2
9.5
5.7
12.5
6.0
4.5
12.1
5.6
JUL
35.4
5.1
15.7
32.7
18.8
33.3
6.2
9.0
35.9
7.4
14.2
19.9
8.7
22.6
7.7
37.5
8.9
9.2
21.9
24.8
24.6
16.0
33.9
13.0
7.3
6.6
8.4
12.8
5.7
13.3
34.3
17.5
23.8
32.4
4.7
4.8
7.6
13.4
57.5
5.6
9.5
13.3
14.5
5.7
19.8
29.3
14.6
40.4
8.2
69.9
33.5
8.8
50.5
27.6
47.9
20.4
49.7
10.7
71.0
8.1
12.4
32.9
48.1
55.2
67.2
16.8
21.4
44.4
56.3
33.7
21.6
17.7
34.0
47.0
45.6
24.7
37.4
57.7
20.6
12.3
31.8
44.6
35.7
7.1
49.0
38.8
24.9
58.2
35.0
42.9
22.4
40.5
48.5
47.6
10.3
28.9
22.3
27.2
36.3
18.4
43.4
52.0
54.9
38.4
48.0
28.5
27.4
10.2
15.0
16.7
32.8
31.4
27.5
12.3
26.3
13.7
53.0
9.6
31.1
51.7
10.2
27.2
27.8
44.8
46.4
22.7
54.8
53.6
27.3
29.2
31.3
42.9
34.7
42.9
38.6
23.4
47.6
29.6
11.4
37.6
31.0
48.2
28.1
6.8
17.5
34.6
30.8
23.5
31.6
34.2
32.4
25.6
31.5
58.2
78.1
33.5
21.2
55.1
33.9
74.2
70.9
31.5
58.5
53.8
15.6
9.8
36.7
25.7
28.1
53.3
52.3
42.8
39.0
28.2
50.8
TOTAL
552.65
427.67
394.05
510.18
436.72
363.74
416.80
424.71
626.75
505.12
482.02
388.66
495.02
436.84
723.70
666.64
431.40
529.67
473.85
536.45
535.54
650.04
529.68
680.98
356.44
488.29
515.63
561.37
539.57
576.47
610.08
582.16
671.14
809.94
676.60
2838.08
3686.22
3607.30
2082.69
643.99
232.74
232.24
628.89
1030.75
1225.78
1070.92
1326.96
18606.57
81.09
105.32
103.07
59.51
18.40
6.65
6.64
17.97
29.45
35.02
30.60
37.91
531.62
28.19
48.00
46.76
29.56
14.13
1.79
2.49
10.79
20.90
13.83
13.42
17.32
108.83
2231.00 m.s.n.m.
n = 35 - 2 = 33
ESTACIN ALTITUD
LLAGADEN
2000
CONTUMAZA
2330
CHILETE
850
ENE
83.586
130.060
29.618
FEB
112.450
158.112
45.400
MAR
111.023
138.719
59.455
ABR
63.820
82.538
32.158
MAY
11.633
37.979
5.587
JUN
8.340
7.054
4.555
JUL
9.622
6.291
3.993
AGO
9.411
38.542
5.952
SET
18.380
65.977
3.993
OCT
35.171
59.130
10.766
NOV
31.307
52.299
8.187
DIC
51.719
49.116
12.905
PROM
1726.67
DESV. EST.
776.938
PROM(SUMAPROD)
81.09
50.268
165129.4
105.32
56.693
210630.3
103.07
40.226
198599.4
59.51
25.465
115762.7
18.40
17.224
38835.4
6.65
1.925
12329.3
6.64
2.830
12432.3
17.97
17.901
37894.8
29.45
32.441
64626.7
35.02
24.182
72421.8
30.60
22.065
63810.2
37.91
21.697
76282.5
0.653
0.048
23.006
0.660
0.034
44.029
0.658
0.022
22.272
0.528
0.012
-1.811
0.567
0.001
4.225
0.443
0.002
3.847
0.494
0.011
-1.681
0.547
0.023
-9.957
0.636
0.020
0.840
0.640
0.018
-0.804
0.642
0.018
6.966
0.86
2.036
CUMPLE
0.88
2.036
CUMPLE
0.87
2.036
CUMPLE
0.62
2.036
CUMPLE
0.69
2.036
CUMPLE
0.49
2.036
CUMPLE
0.57
2.036
CUMPLE
0.65
2.036
CUMPLE
0.82
2.036
CUMPLE
0.83
2.036
CUMPLE
0.84
2.036
CUMPLE
120.310
1.1673
70.381
1.1828
24.303
1.3208
R
B
A
Tc =
Tt =
EVALUACIN
P (altura de estacin Huertas)
COEF. DE CORRELACION
0.643
0.042
9.241
Y = BX + A
0.84
2.036
CUMPLE
102.073
1.2588
129.363
1.2283
7.358
1.1065
7.450
1.1228
23.708
1.3194
40.960
1.3908
45.006
1.2851
39.770
1.2998
46.952
1.2384
3. Por ultimo se multiplica las Prrecipitaciones Promedio por su Coeficiente para obtener las
precipitaciones para la ESTACIN GENERADA PARA LA SUB CUENCA DEL RIO HUERTAS.
2231.00 msnm
UTM
736 - 751 Km E
9 184 - 9 202 Km N
AO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
1963
152.93
130.58
99.14
113.25
12.90
10.14
1964
88.88
86.64
116.41
74.15
9.52
5.79
1965
78.80
62.15
136.50
48.10
9.72
6.52
1966
121.81
163.04
91.46
25.04
16.42
6.10
1967
117.28
156.65
81.63
18.65
15.01
4.93
1968
34.24
65.63
90.16
55.27
11.23
6.52
1969
32.64
93.35
115.45
88.08
16.33
5.02
1970
48.86
62.82
159.03
51.49
12.92
8.46
1971
65.50
95.15
357.82
83.90
4.51
7.33
1972
139.77
92.08
153.62
75.50
14.04
6.99
1973
102.76
103.13
94.86
100.26
17.22
10.23
1974
58.62
114.27
54.32
23.85
12.76
8.45
1975
139.44
96.04
123.35
48.10
21.32
13.79
1976
144.72
75.70
85.39
46.69
10.43
8.84
1977
94.79
161.93
95.99
119.58
78.08
8.02
1978
41.20
290.82
131.79
98.84
42.05
8.15
1979
91.09
101.78
178.29
10.53
18.06
7.17
1980
114.89
104.67
89.52
65.89
8.91
9.11
1981
53.26
139.52
106.36
48.89
14.19
7.54
1982
137.38
93.97
60.76
44.63
20.34
6.75
1983
70.99
107.30
154.53
85.75
15.19
6.34
1984
98.24
240.37
112.02
58.05
33.21
5.62
1985
73.66
137.47
71.43
68.77
32.33
7.91
1986
135.46
118.37
96.53
182.42
20.88
5.09
1987
132.09
87.49
30.86
79.44
11.58
2.58
1988
108.68
158.86
84.44
112.68
6.56
6.78
1989
125.02
139.18
81.29
60.78
30.10
9.03
1990
102.00
168.60
109.29
72.09
34.26
6.47
1991
106.95
95.15
137.15
35.03
62.59
5.50
1992
120.33
121.33
137.46
45.86
29.98
7.12
1993
89.79
123.79
164.53
81.48
50.02
8.39
1994
112.56
148.47
163.66
37.54
5.04
9.67
1995
154.06
137.52
121.14
88.69
72.96
7.16
1996
131.57
338.47
151.49
94.37
44.76
8.35
1997
152.30
115.41
173.19
119.72
35.18
5.65
TOT.
3572.57
4527.72
4210.84
2463.33
850.60
257.52
X
102.07
129.36
120.31
70.38
24.30
7.36
Sx
35.47927812 58.96239539 54.58917317 34.9661574 18.659593 1.9822501
JUL
4.42
6.32
9.56
4.85
11.60
11.04
6.19
5.88
4.23
7.56
7.57
8.25
5.76
5.12
11.68
8.99
3.85
5.67
5.42
3.84
9.88
9.52
3.44
7.86
5.72
5.63
8.87
9.20
10.67
6.41
14.06
6.78
5.10
13.54
6.25
260.75
7.45
2.7978192
AGO
SET
OCT
NOV
DIC
TOTAL
46.73
6.69
27.72
36.99
38.44
679.94
6.75
10.60
22.76
35.55
59.73
523.11
20.74
18.70
43.71
13.32
34.77
482.57
43.14
79.90
60.41
19.46
8.38
640.01
24.78
7.74
58.56
21.73
21.71
540.28
43.94
13.14
31.78
42.68
42.85
448.48
8.22
18.45
48.06
40.77
38.18
510.74
11.90
20.15
74.19
35.79
29.14
520.64
47.34
7.88
26.47
15.94
39.09
755.17
9.73
27.54
15.85
34.23
42.31
619.22
18.73
40.75
40.85
17.78
40.12
594.28
26.21
20.35
57.31
68.87
31.75
485.01
11.47
56.25
45.92
12.48
39.02
612.94
29.80
11.40
9.08
40.48
72.03
539.69
10.19
97.27
63.01
67.15
96.72
904.42
49.48
46.58
49.86
13.24
41.49
822.47
11.75
12.23
32.02
35.31
26.21
528.30
12.09
70.20
74.84
36.14
68.23
660.14
28.89
38.32
45.00
58.23
41.94
587.54
32.72
66.63
55.12
60.25
91.84
674.22
32.40
28.34
28.72
29.53
87.77
656.74
21.15
69.17
52.08
71.20
38.99
809.62
44.73
14.91
62.35
69.69
72.41
659.09
17.10
98.77
61.11
35.47
66.67
845.74
9.59
11.33
13.21
38.00
19.26
441.15
8.68
17.20
37.13
40.63
12.15
599.41
11.03
45.81
28.61
55.70
45.45
640.88
16.85
66.90
35.01
45.07
31.85
697.60
7.48
76.79
46.64
55.73
34.83
674.50
17.50
93.49
23.65
50.16
65.95
719.24
45.30
23.34
55.73
30.36
64.78
751.58
23.06
29.78
66.82
61.86
53.05
718.30
31.35
61.80
70.59
38.49
48.34
837.20
42.76
78.36
49.37
14.82
34.97
1002.82
6.22
46.85
61.66
48.88
62.87
834.19
829.77
1433.60
1575.22
1391.94
1643.34
23017.21
23.71
40.96
45.01
39.77
46.95
657.63
14.2407623 29.0740563 17.7672377 17.4455375 21.4463857 135.895686
657.63
3. BALANCE HIDRICO Y
GENERACION DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS MENSUALES
Para esta ocacion usaremos el METODO DE BALANCE HIDROLOGICO
La Ecuacion General es:
Pero:
Pi - Di = C * Pi = PEi
C:Coeficiente de Escorrentia
Tendriamos:
Qm = PEi + Gi - Ai
DATOS PREVIOS:
ALTITUD
TEMPERATURA MEDIA
PR. MENSUAL ANUAL
2231 msnm
15.82 C
657.6
L = 300 + 25T + T
DFICIT DE ESCORRENTA
P2
D = P 0.9 + 2
L
2 Donde:
- 1
D: Dficit de escorrendia
P: Precipitacin mensual anual
L: Coeficiente de temperatura
Reemplazando tenemos:
D = 547.7392
COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTIA (Ce)
Donde:
Ce: Coeficiente de escorrentia
P-D
P: Presipitacin mensual anual
Ce =
Ce =
P - D
P
D: Dficit de escorrendia
32.2
508
P: Ptotal mensual
+ 5.08
PN: Numero de escurrimiento
N
Pe =
2032
P + N - 20.32
MES
Ene
P TOTAL 102.07
P EFEC. P. 57.64
Feb
129.36
81.80
Mar
Abr
May
Jun
120.31 70.38 24.30 7.36
73.67 31.48
2.76 0.22
Jul
Agos Sep
Oct
Nov
7.45
23.71 40.96 45.01 39.77
0.21
2.55 10.94 13.41 10.24
Dic
46.95
14.65
DATOS
REA DE LA CUENCA:
101.5 km2
PENDIENTE DEL CAUCE PRINCIPAL:
10.1
%
TEMPERATURA MEDIA:
15.82
COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTA:
0.167
COEFICIENTE DE AGOTAMIENTO:
Donde:
a: Coeficiente de agotamiento
AR: rea de la Cueenca
a = 0.0184
RETENCIN EN LA CUENCA ( R )
R = (Ca * AR)* LA + AL * LL + AN * LN
Retencin por acufero
Donde:
Ca: Coeficiente del Acuifero
MICROCUENCA de 15% a 18%
Donde:
LA
239.25
Ademas:
Ca * AR
15.23
3643.6579 mm*km2/ao
35.8875
mm/ao
R
R etenciontotal =
AR
Seguidamente llenamos el siguiente cuadro, teniendo como base las formulas respectivas
para obtener calculos
Relacin entre Descargas y Retencin
bo = e
- at
PE + G i - Ai
Gi =
bo
R
bm
Coeficiente de Abastecimiento
ai =
PE E
100
PE T
Ai =
Caudales generados(mm/mes)
ai
R
100
Caudales generados(m3/seg)
( PE + Gi - Ai ) AREA
N Das
1
2
ENERO
31
FEBRERO
28
MARZO
31
ABRIL
30
MAYO
31
JUNIO
30
JULIO
31
AGOSTO
31
SETIEMBRE
30
OCTUBRE
31
NOVIEMBRE
30
DICIEMBRE
31
AO
365
PRECIPITACIN
TOTAL EFECTIVA
mm/mes
3
4
102.07
57.64
129.36
81.80
120.31
73.67
70.38
31.48
24.30
2.76
7.36
0.22
7.45
0.21
23.71
2.55
40.96
10.94
45.01
13.41
39.77
10.24
46.95
14.65
657.63
299.56
GASTO
ABASTECIMIENTO
CAUDALES
Gi
ai
Ai
MENS. GENER.
mm/mes
mm/mes mm/mes m3/seg
5
6
7
8
9
10
19.24
6.91
50.74
8.67
27.31
9.80
72.00
12.30
24.59
8.83
64.84
11.08
10.51
3.77
27.71
4.73
0.58
16.45
19.21
3.28
0.33
9.31
9.53
1.63
0.19
5.37
5.58
0.95
0.11
3.04
5.58
0.95
0.06
1.72
12.66
2.16
4.48
1.61
11.80
2.02
3.42
1.23
9.01
1.54
4.89
1.75
12.89
2.20
1.26
35.89
94.43
33.89
301.56
51.51
bi
VOLUMEN
MMC
11
22.46
31.88
28.71
12.27
8.50
4.22
2.47
2.47
5.60
5.23
3.99
5.71
133.51
Qt
Qt-1
PE
(Qt-1)^2
(PE)^2
Qt-1*PE
Qt*PE
Qt-1*QT
8.67
12.30
11.08
4.73
3.28
1.63
0.95
0.95
2.16
2.02
1.54
2.20
51.51
2.20
8.67
12.30
11.08
4.73
3.28
1.63
0.95
0.95
2.16
2.02
1.54
51.51
57.64
4.85
81.80 75.10
73.67 151.25
31.48 122.68
2.76 22.40
0.22 10.77
0.21
2.65
2.55
0.91
10.94
0.91
13.41
4.67
10.24
4.06
14.65
2.37
299.56 402.62
3322.44
6691.31
5427.13
990.85
7.61
0.05
0.04
6.48
119.61
179.79
104.83
214.57
17064.7
126.94
708.89
906.02
348.65
13.06
0.73
0.34
2.43
10.43
28.99
20.64
22.55
2189.7
499.52
1006.02
815.96
148.97
9.05
0.36
0.20
2.43
23.64
27.03
15.76
32.26
2581.2
19.09
106.58
136.22
52.42
15.53
5.34
1.55
0.91
2.06
4.36
3.10
3.39
350.55
75.10
151.25
122.68
22.40
10.77
2.65
0.91
0.91
4.67
4.06
2.37
4.85
2653.17
3055.79
Qi -1
PEi
S=
r=
B
Q
1 i
B
=
Q
i
2 iQi -1
2
B Q PE
3 i i
i
Q
PE
Q
PE
Q PE PE
i -1
2
i -1
i -1
( Qi ) 2
Qi Qi -1 ) - B ( Q PE - Qi PE1 )
- B2 ( QiQi -1 3
i
i
12
12
12
9
B2 ( QiQi -1 -
Q
i
Qi -1
12
B1
B2
B3
S
R^2
R
) - B3 ( Qi PEi -
( Qi )
12
Q
i
12
PE1
1.5
0.13
0.13
1.43
0.95
0.98
1
2 2
Qi = B1 + B 2 Qi -1 + B 3 PE i + Z S (1 - r )
NUMEROS ALEATORIOS
AO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
1963
-0.30
-1.28
0.24
1.28
1.20
1.73
-2.18
-0.23
1.10
-1.09
-0.69
1964
-1.85
-0.98
-0.77
-2.12
-0.57
-0.40
0.13
-0.37
-0.33
-0.37
1.34
1965
-0.19
-0.51
1.97
0.87
2.38
-0.65
1.66
-1.61
0.54
0.90
1.92
1966
-0.52
0.68
-0.38
0.76
-1.44
-0.85
-1.52
-0.36
-0.03
0.03
-0.32
1967
-1.74
-0.74
-2.58
1.45
-1.28
-0.65
0.76
0.47
0.87
0.60
-1.37
1968
0.69
0.32
-0.94
-0.24
0.13
0.56
0.14
-0.91
1.88
0.49
0.07
1969
0.86
-0.64
-0.92
1.11
-1.20
-1.56
0.71
0.64
2.21
1.44
1.30
1970
0.00
0.45
-0.03
-1.05
-1.77
0.83
0.44
0.62
0.21
-1.03
1.24
1971
-0.84
-0.82
-0.43
-0.45
-0.52
0.85
0.51
-0.61
1.30
-1.76
0.55
1972
0.04
-0.65
-0.55
0.85
0.80
0.46
0.69
1.63
0.30
0.59
1.85
1973
1.04
0.14
1.14
-0.15
-0.78
1.08
-0.58
0.53
0.55
-0.32
-0.44
1974
1.99
-0.57
0.09
-0.23
2.84
1.25
0.88
1.33
0.19
0.54
-0.25
1975
1.27
-0.29
-1.31
0.76
0.78
0.43
0.40
-0.65
0.72
0.53
1.08
1976
0.46
1.47
-1.72
0.05
1.35
1.69
0.24
0.15
1.85
-0.04
-0.66
1977
-0.01
1.04
0.43
1.45
-0.12
-0.96
-1.54
-2.57
0.10
0.30
-0.02
1978
0.26
1.48
0.09
-1.12
-1.39
0.19
0.95
-1.51
-0.61
0.52
-0.22
1979
-0.16
-0.44
-0.80
0.64
0.06
1.26
0.26
0.06
0.23
0.21
-0.01
1980
0.24
0.15
0.75
-0.74
0.62
0.22
0.11
0.87
1.80
-1.31
-1.23
1981
1.19
-0.88
-2.15
-0.90
0.20
0.43
-0.98
-0.86
0.46
0.12
-0.54
1982
-0.94
-0.90
1.05
1.63
-0.67
-0.17
0.11
1.84
0.60
1.65
0.18
1983
-0.64
-0.97
1.19
0.92
-1.73
1.27
-0.20
-1.13
-1.88
-0.82
0.47
1984
-0.07
-0.05
0.21
-0.35
0.93
-0.49
2.34
0.74
0.61
-0.98
0.87
1985
-0.73
-0.30
-1.34
1.35
1.05
0.18
-2.19
0.51
0.53
1.22
1986
-0.56
-0.73
-1.72
1.37
-0.97
1.55
-1.17
-0.41
-1.31
1.59
-0.96
0.03
1987
0.98
1.95
-0.06
-1.03
-0.57
0.85
0.87
0.51
-1.49
-1.40
-0.14
1988
-0.63
0.88
-0.84
-0.11
-0.23
1.52
-1.32
-0.94
-0.17
-1.06
-1.43
1989
0.58
-0.34
0.41
-2.05
1.17
-1.95
-0.52
-0.98
-0.10
0.13
1.74
1990
-0.79
-0.75
-0.76
1.28
-1.44
0.97
-0.65
-0.67
0.08
-0.83
0.70
1991
-0.79
0.42
-0.87
-0.23
-0.26
0.38
-0.72
-0.76
-0.51
-0.06
0.33
1992
-0.79
0.53
-0.99
-0.31
-0.26
0.38
-0.78
-0.87
-0.57
0.23
0.37
1993
-0.79
0.63
-1.10
-0.39
-0.27
0.37
-0.84
-0.97
-0.63
0.52
0.40
1994
-0.79
0.74
-1.21
-0.47
-0.27
0.37
-0.91
-1.07
-0.69
0.81
0.44
1995
-0.79
0.85
-1.33
-0.55
-0.28
0.36
-0.97
-1.18
-0.75
1.10
0.47
1996
-0.79
0.96
-1.44
-0.63
-0.28
0.35
-1.03
-1.28
-0.81
1.39
0.50
1997
-0.79
1.07
-1.55
-0.71
-0.29
0.35
-1.10
-1.39
-0.87
1.68
0.54
SEP
OCT
NOV
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
ENE
103.37
46.43
38.15
75.01
70.97
7.20
6.39
15.89
27.74
91.26
58.23
22.65
90.96
95.80
51.40
11.08
48.28
68.85
18.87
89.07
31.95
54.35
34.05
87.33
84.27
63.38
77.89
57.58
61.87
73.69
47.19
66.80
104.42
83.80
102.78
FEB
82.90
44.56
25.23
112.76
106.81
27.84
50.18
25.73
51.71
49.11
58.56
68.30
52.47
35.66
111.72
235.21
57.39
59.89
91.03
50.71
62.18
186.30
89.16
71.94
45.27
108.86
90.72
117.95
51.71
74.58
76.78
99.24
89.20
281.80
69.31
MAR
ABR
55.11 67.40
70.20 34.43
88.27 15.39
48.59
3.03
40.44
1.03
47.49 20.26
69.35 45.76
109.02 17.65
300.78 42.30
104.00 35.50
51.46 56.08
19.60
2.60
76.38 15.39
43.53 14.48
52.42 73.02
84.00 54.86
127.05
0.00
46.96 28.03
61.36 15.91
24.20 13.17
104.85 43.82
66.32 22.24
32.29 30.23
52.89 130.94
5.52 38.67
42.74 66.90
40.17 24.22
63.92 32.81
88.87
7.61
89.15 13.95
114.15 40.32
113.34
8.97
74.41 46.27
102.03 51.05
122.26 73.14
MAY
0.09
0.03
0.02
0.55
0.32
0.01
0.54
0.09
0.81
0.20
0.71
0.08
1.76
0.00
37.57
11.59
0.89
0.06
0.21
1.47
0.35
6.67
6.23
1.63
0.01
0.35
5.16
7.21
25.55
5.11
16.66
0.67
33.50
13.25
7.69
JUN
0.01
0.49
0.35
0.43
0.70
0.35
0.67
0.10
0.23
0.28
0.00
0.10
0.17
0.07
0.14
0.13
0.25
0.05
0.20
0.31
0.39
0.53
0.15
0.66
1.45
0.31
0.05
0.36
0.56
0.26
0.10
0.02
0.25
0.11
0.52
JUL
0.83
0.39
0.02
0.72
0.02
0.00
0.42
0.48
0.89
0.20
0.19
0.12
0.50
0.65
0.02
0.06
1.00
0.52
0.58
1.01
0.01
0.03
1.14
0.16
0.51
0.53
0.06
0.04
0.00
0.37
0.20
0.31
0.65
0.14
0.40
AGO
14.51
0.31
1.59
12.25
2.94
12.74
0.12
0.03
14.90
0.02
1.05
3.49
0.01
5.03
0.00
16.30
0.02
0.04
4.62
6.42
6.26
1.71
13.23
0.69
0.02
0.08
0.00
0.63
0.21
0.77
13.59
2.32
5.75
12.02
0.41
0.32
0.00
1.04
39.04
0.17
0.11
0.98
1.42
0.16
4.03
10.81
1.48
20.95
0.01
53.51
14.41
0.04
31.33
9.41
28.59
4.38
30.54
0.31
54.80
0.01
0.71
13.92
28.80
36.53
50.30
2.42
5.02
24.97
37.79
14.58
4.11
2.22
12.60
23.95
22.60
5.96
15.37
34.47
3.59
0.45
10.87
21.71
13.99
0.05
25.87
16.56
6.08
34.98
13.40
20.16
4.54
18.06
25.38
24.47
0.11
8.74
4.49
7.60
14.44
2.53
20.59
28.74
31.64
16.23
24.87
8.67
7.88
0.12
1.23
1.89
11.97
10.82
8.01
0.47
7.19
0.83
30.31
0.06
10.65
28.99
0.12
7.76
8.20
22.37
23.83
4.90
32.11
30.94
7.84
9.23
10.74
20.57
13.45
20.58
16.76
5.29
25.02
9.50
0.29
15.90
Ahora remplazamos los datos en la ecuacin anterior para tener los datos de los caudales medios mensuales
CUADRO DE CAUDALES MEDIOS GENERADOS PARA LA SUB CUENCA DEL RIO HUERTAS
AO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
ENE
15.13
7.23
6.69
11.37
10.46
2.94
2.89
3.85
5.12
13.66
9.69
5.37
14.02
14.39
8.47
3.31
8.01
10.81
4.62
13.06
5.73
8.83
5.98
12.96
13.05
9.83
12.10
9.02
9.58
11.11
7.67
10.22
15.11
12.43
14.89
FEB
13.00
8.11
5.74
17.50
16.28
6.35
8.95
6.12
9.09
8.80
10.29
11.33
9.36
7.73
17.48
33.68
9.95
10.46
14.18
8.93
10.40
26.83
14.12
11.74
9.14
17.06
14.31
17.72
9.48
12.49
12.81
15.77
14.50
39.57
11.98
MAR
10.34
11.98
15.20
9.29
7.53
8.97
11.82
17.26
42.06
16.44
10.15
5.67
12.61
8.21
10.05
14.05
19.36
9.44
10.39
6.58
17.11
11.79
6.87
9.42
3.80
8.39
8.45
11.17
14.37
14.37
17.59
17.45
12.35
15.90
18.50
ABR
12.11
6.74
5.22
3.58
3.54
5.50
9.24
4.90
8.29
7.83
10.18
3.20
5.19
4.84
12.90
9.71
3.15
6.35
4.72
5.17
8.93
5.72
7.30
20.40
7.64
11.60
5.43
7.62
3.85
4.65
8.06
3.96
8.78
9.37
12.22
MAY
2.51
1.94
2.88
1.73
1.75
2.16
1.80
1.56
2.05
2.40
1.96
3.03
2.59
2.55
6.96
3.18
2.25
2.32
2.21
2.09
1.61
3.28
3.26
2.02
1.94
2.09
3.16
2.59
5.36
2.70
4.20
2.12
6.38
3.75
3.02
JUN
2.48
1.86
1.76
1.71
1.81
2.15
1.52
2.20
2.23
2.11
2.27
2.34
2.09
2.48
1.64
2.00
2.36
2.00
2.09
1.91
2.38
1.84
2.01
2.51
2.39
2.45
1.31
2.28
2.12
2.08
2.06
2.05
2.07
2.05
2.11
JUL
1.12
1.81
2.25
1.32
1.96
1.76
1.99
1.92
1.99
1.96
1.55
2.01
1.91
1.87
1.22
2.02
1.93
1.82
1.47
1.88
1.65
2.46
1.16
1.36
2.06
1.36
1.55
1.51
1.48
1.51
1.47
1.46
1.49
1.40
1.41
AGO
3.43
1.55
1.31
3.10
2.15
2.99
1.84
1.82
3.37
2.15
1.93
2.50
1.42
2.32
0.80
3.26
1.64
1.91
1.95
3.05
2.08
2.08
3.51
1.58
1.79
1.34
1.31
1.49
1.41
1.45
3.08
1.58
1.99
2.78
1.23
SEP
2.02
1.52
1.93
6.69
1.93
2.24
2.46
1.88
2.06
2.25
3.20
1.88
4.58
2.22
8.61
3.30
1.70
6.27
2.99
5.53
1.59
5.79
1.83
8.33
1.15
1.66
3.40
5.39
6.21
7.98
1.74
2.06
4.63
6.28
3.24
OCT
1.97
1.95
3.71
4.90
4.91
2.71
4.24
5.93
1.69
2.03
3.09
4.78
3.77
1.77
5.24
4.10
2.64
5.91
3.56
4.93
2.11
3.81
5.47
5.47
1.35
2.58
2.41
2.50
3.64
2.18
4.62
5.78
6.25
4.33
5.55
NOV
2.67
3.22
2.39
1.82
1.57
3.34
3.59
3.20
2.00
3.29
1.73
5.62
2.11
2.94
5.53
1.71
2.77
2.43
4.50
4.92
2.55
6.22
5.48
2.79
2.92
2.70
4.99
3.73
4.54
4.06
2.58
5.15
3.15
1.96
4.00
DIC
-1.69
-0.09
-0.08
2.19
-1.12
0.83
0.11
-0.31
-0.12
-0.34
-1.37
-1.22
-2.77
0.91
0.20
-0.34
-1.22
0.56
0.10
1.56
0.92
1.45
1.21
0.33
-0.63
-2.16
-0.51
0.24
-1.28
-1.59
-1.90
-2.21
-2.53
-2.84
-3.15
DIC
9.48
23.45
7.47
0.10
1.88
12.07
9.33
4.73
9.85
11.75
10.45
5.95
9.81
32.77
53.05
11.25
3.49
29.82
11.52
48.91
45.50
9.79
33.07
28.63
1.18
0.04
13.69
6.00
7.51
28.08
27.19
18.72
15.55
7.58
25.77
DIC
2.39
4.72
2.64
2.42
1.59
3.53
2.95
2.22
2.94
3.12
2.62
2.08
2.09
6.25
8.66
3.05
1.76
5.76
3.23
8.56
7.91
3.44
6.38
5.53
1.65
1.01
3.32
2.56
2.27
4.84
4.63
3.43
2.91
1.78
4.04
Probilidad de Weibull
m
f ( x) =
100
N + 1
CUADRO 01: ORDENAMIENTO DE LOS DATOS DE CAUDALES MEDIOS GENERADOS Y CLCULO DE LA PROBABILIDAD EMPIRICA
m
P(X>X)
FEB
MAR.
ABR.
MAY.
JUN.
JUL.
AGOS.
SET.
OCT.
NOV.
DIC.
TOTAL
2.778
15.1
39.6
42.1
20.4
7.0
2.5
2.5
3.5
8.6
6.2
6.2
8.7
1002.8
5.556
15.1
33.7
19.4
12.9
6.4
2.5
2.2
3.4
8.3
5.9
5.6
8.6
904.4
8.333
14.9
26.8
18.5
12.2
5.4
2.5
2.1
3.4
8.0
5.9
5.5
7.9
845.7
11.111
14.4
17.7
17.6
12.1
4.2
2.5
2.0
3.3
6.7
5.8
5.5
6.4
837.2
13.889
14.0
17.5
17.4
11.6
3.7
2.4
2.0
3.1
6.3
5.5
5.2
6.3
834.2
16.667
13.7
17.5
17.3
10.2
3.3
2.4
2.0
3.1
6.3
5.5
5.0
5.8
822.5
19.444
13.1
17.1
17.1
9.7
3.3
2.4
2.0
3.0
6.2
5.5
4.9
5.5
809.6
22.222
13.1
16.3
16.4
9.4
3.2
2.3
2.0
3.0
5.8
5.2
4.5
4.8
755.2
25.000
13.0
15.8
15.9
9.2
3.2
2.3
2.0
2.8
5.5
4.9
4.5
4.7
751.6
10
27.778
12.4
14.5
15.2
8.9
3.0
2.3
1.9
2.5
5.4
4.9
4.1
4.6
719.2
11
30.556
12.1
14.3
14.4
8.8
3.0
2.2
1.9
2.3
4.6
4.9
4.0
4.0
718.3
12
33.333
11.4
14.2
14.4
8.3
2.9
2.2
1.9
2.2
4.6
4.8
3.7
3.5
697.6
13
36.111
11.1
14.1
14.0
8.1
2.7
2.2
1.9
2.1
3.4
4.6
3.6
3.4
679.9
14
38.889
10.8
13.0
12.6
7.8
2.6
2.1
1.9
2.1
3.3
4.3
3.3
3.4
674.5
15
41.667
10.5
12.8
12.3
7.6
2.6
2.1
1.8
2.1
3.2
4.2
3.3
3.3
674.2
16
44.444
10.2
12.5
12.0
7.6
2.5
2.1
1.8
2.0
3.2
4.1
3.2
3.2
660.1
17
47.222
9.8
12.0
11.8
7.3
2.5
2.1
1.8
1.9
3.0
3.8
3.2
3.1
659.1
18
50.000
9.7
11.7
11.8
6.7
2.4
2.1
1.6
1.9
2.5
3.8
3.1
3.1
656.7
19
52.778
9.6
11.3
11.2
6.3
2.3
2.1
1.6
1.9
2.2
3.7
2.9
2.9
640.9
20
55.556
9.0
10.5
10.4
5.7
2.2
2.1
1.6
1.8
2.2
3.6
2.9
2.9
640.0
21
58.333
8.8
10.4
10.3
5.5
2.2
2.1
1.5
1.8
2.2
3.6
2.8
2.9
619.2
22
61.111
8.5
10.3
10.2
5.4
2.2
2.1
1.5
1.8
2.1
3.1
2.8
2.6
612.9
23
63.889
8.0
9.9
10.1
5.2
2.1
2.0
1.5
1.6
2.1
2.7
2.7
2.6
599.4
24
66.667
7.7
9.5
9.4
5.2
2.1
2.0
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.6
2.7
2.6
594.3
25
69.444
7.2
9.4
9.4
5.2
2.1
2.0
1.5
1.6
1.9
2.6
2.6
2.4
587.5
26
72.222
6.7
9.1
9.3
4.9
2.1
2.0
1.5
1.5
1.9
2.5
2.6
2.4
540.3
27
75.000
6.0
9.1
9.0
4.8
2.0
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.9
2.4
2.4
2.3
539.7
28
77.778
5.7
8.9
8.5
4.7
2.0
1.9
1.4
1.4
1.9
2.2
2.4
2.2
528.3
29
80.556
5.4
8.9
8.4
4.7
1.9
1.8
1.4
1.4
1.8
2.1
2.1
2.1
523.1
30
83.333
5.1
8.8
8.2
4.0
1.9
1.8
1.4
1.4
1.7
2.0
2.0
2.1
520.6
31
86.111
4.6
8.1
7.5
3.9
1.8
1.8
1.4
1.3
1.7
2.0
2.0
1.8
510.7
32
88.889
3.9
7.7
6.9
3.6
1.7
1.7
1.3
1.3
1.7
2.0
1.8
1.8
485.0
33
91.667
3.3
6.3
6.6
3.5
1.7
1.6
1.2
1.3
1.6
1.8
1.7
1.7
482.6
34
94.444
2.9
6.1
5.7
3.2
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.2
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.6
448.5
35
97.222
2.9
5.7
3.8
3.1
1.6
1.3
1.1
0.8
1.1
1.3
1.6
1.0
441.1
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
35
9.4
13.5
12.7
7.4
2.8
2.1
1.7
2.1
3.6
3.8
3.4
3.7
657.6
n
X
S
R
Tc
Tt
HA
si / no
ENE
3.8
7.2
6.5
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.3
0.7
2.2
1.5
1.3
2.0
135.9
0.984
0.982
0.993
0.981
0.943
0.982
0.990
0.984
0.988
0.990
0.960
0.959
0.987
32.24
30.41
48.64
29.61
17.26
30.41
40.72
32.24
37.19
40.72
20.52
20.27
35.74
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
2.048
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
SI
Seguidamente se presentan las curvas de persistencia correspondiente al acumulado y a cada mes de la estacin problema.
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc = 35.74
Tt = 0.987
Tc > Tt Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
100.0
120.0
(%)
DISPN
AL 95%
TIPO
ECUACION
ENERO
EXPONENCIALy = 19.202e(-0.0162*x) 1.891
FEBRERO
LOGARITMICA y = -8.0266Ln(x) + 42.793
6.24
MARZO
LOGARITMICA y = -6.8674Ln(x) + 37.807
6.53
ABRIL
LOGARITMICA y = -4.0468Ln(x) + 22.155
3.73
MAYO
LOGARITMICA y = -1.4088Ln(x) + 7.9297
1.51
JUNIO
LOGARITMICA y = -0.2787Ln(x) + 3.0961.83
JULIO
LOGARITMICA y = -0.348Ln(x) + 2.95961.37
AGOSTO
LOGARITMICA y = -0.8146Ln(x) + 5.0685
1.36
SETIEMBRE LOGARITMICA y = -2.4938Ln(x) + 12.729
1.37
OCTUBRE
LINEAL
y = -0.0515x + 6.3436 1.45
NOVIEMBRE LOGARITMICA y = -1.442Ln(x) + 8.645 2.08
DICIEMBRE LOGARITMICA y = -2.2673Ln(x) + 11.951.62
MES
HP: R = 0
HA: R 0
Tc =
Tt =
(Prueba significativa
40
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
16
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
18
y = 19.202e-0.016x
R = 0.9154
14
12
10
8
6
35
30
y = -8.027ln(x) + 42.793
R = 0.9275
25
20
15
10
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0110.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
P(x>X)
70
80
90
100 110
P(x>X)
(%)
( = 0.05)
HP: R = 0
HA: R 0
32.2423097
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
Tc =
Tt =
30.41367441
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
25
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
( = 0.05)
HP: R = 0
HA: R 0
Tc =
Tt =
(%)
y = -6.867ln(x) + 37.807
R = 0.8387
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
100.0
20
y = -4.047ln(x) + 22.155
R = 0.9598
15
10
5
0
120.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
(%)
60.0
P(x>X)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
48.64
Tt =
2.048
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
80.0
120.0
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
29.61
Tt =
2.048
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
3
y = -0.279ln(x) + 3.096
R = 0.7382
7
2.5
6
5
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
100.0
(%)
y = -1.409ln(x) + 7.9297
R = 0.9469
4
3
2
1
1.5
1
0.5
0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
(%)
100.0
120.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
(%)
100.0
120.0
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
17.26
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
30.41
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
30
y = -0.348ln(x) + 2.9596
R = 0.8726
25
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
20
y = -0.815ln(x) + 5.0685
R = 0.9128
15
10
5
0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
100.0
120.0
0.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
40.72
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
80.0
100.0
120.0
(%)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
32.24
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
12
6
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
10
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
20.0
(%)
y = -2.494ln(x) + 12.729
R = 0.9494
6
4
2
y = -0.0515x + 6.3436
R = 0.9918
4
3
2
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
80.0
100.0
120.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
(%)
60.0
P(x>X)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
37.19
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
80.0
100.0
120.0
(%)
HP: R = 0
( = 0.05)
HA: R 0
Tc =
40.72
Tt =
2.048
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
12
y = -1.442ln(x) + 8.645
R = 0.9409
10
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
PRECIPITACIN (mm)
5
4
3
2
1
0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
P(x>X)
HP: R = 0
HA: R 0
Tc =
Tt =
80.0
2.048
120.0
6
4
2
0
0.0
20.0
40.0
(%)
60.0
P(x>X)
( = 0.05)
20.52
100.0
y = -2.267ln(x) + 11.95
R = 0.9773
HP: R = 0
HA: R 0
Tc =
Tt =
80.0
(%)
( = 0.05)
20.27
2.048
100.0
120.0
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
Tc >
Tt
Aceptar HA
(Prueba significativa puede utilizarce la ecuacin)
WEBERBAWER
2536 msnm
07 10 SUR
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
Ao
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Prom.
Desv. Est.
5 min.
101
73
90
68
65
26
60
73.02
67.2
88.29
75.3
112.8
59.31
84.6
76
70.4
73.6
111.6
83
56
58
91.49
71.11
81.3
82.2
92
70.8
76.33
17.98
DEPARTAMENTO :
PROVINCIA :
LONGITUD :
10 min.
71
58
50
63
53
24
60
61
54.8
75.15
50.4
71.8
54.4
65.4
49.2
52.8
47.8
75
73
39
51
64.18
56.25
60.21
68.1
66.34
42.85
57.69
11.85
30 min.
24
34
24
37
37
21
38
33.8
29.13
37.2
31.4
27.6
25.56
30.11
21.6
23
28
37.94
41
19
28
36.22
28.66
22.44
35.04
40.6
20.05
30.05
6.77
60 min.
14
18
16
19
21
12
23
21.08
15.54
23.1
23.71
15.63
14.7
15.6
13.2
13.79
16
23
26
10
18
19.04
16.72
17.88
17.86
27.1
11
17.85
4.47
CAJAMARCA
CAJAMARCA
78 30 W
120 min.
11
19
10
9
11
6
14
9.28
13.02
13.27
13.99
9.8
8.05
8.23
7.95
7.85
9.6
12
14
5
10
12.91
9.32
11.12
8.94
13.5
4.44
10.45
3.18
RIO HUERTAS
2231 msnm
DEPARTAMENTO :
PROVINCIA:
I 2 = I1
H media
H1
Donde:
CAJAMARCA
CONTUMAZA
Ao
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Prom.
Desv. Est.
5 min.
88.85
64.22
79.18
59.82
57.18
22.87
52.78
64.24
59.12
77.67
66.24
99.23
52.18
74.43
66.86
61.93
64.75
98.18
73.02
49.26
51.02
80.49
62.56
71.52
72.31
80.94
62.29
67.15
15.82
10 min.
62.46
51.02
43.99
55.42
46.63
21.11
52.78
53.66
48.21
66.11
44.34
63.16
47.86
57.53
43.28
46.45
42.05
65.98
64.22
34.31
44.87
56.46
49.48
52.97
59.91
58.36
37.70
50.75
10.42
30 min.
21.11
29.91
21.11
32.55
32.55
18.47
33.43
29.73
25.63
32.73
27.62
24.28
22.49
26.49
19.00
20.23
24.63
33.38
36.07
16.71
24.63
31.86
25.21
19.74
30.83
35.72
17.64
26.44
5.96
60 min.
12.32
15.84
14.08
16.71
18.47
10.56
20.23
18.54
13.67
20.32
20.86
13.75
12.93
13.72
11.61
12.13
14.08
20.23
22.87
8.80
15.84
16.75
14.71
15.73
15.71
23.84
9.68
15.70
3.93
120 min.
9.68
16.71
8.80
7.92
9.68
5.28
12.32
8.16
11.45
11.67
12.31
8.62
7.08
7.24
6.99
6.91
8.45
10.56
12.32
4.40
8.80
11.36
8.20
9.78
7.86
11.88
3.91
9.20
2.79
5 min.
10 min.
30 min.
60 min.
120 min.
138.46
92.25
50.33
33.27
23.32
136.99
92.06
49.84
31.92
17.19
123.98
89.61
46.65
29.10
17.19
112.93
88.14
46.57
28.36
17.17
112.31
87.15
45.66
28.23
16.57
110.48
83.59
45.42
28.23
16.29
108.38
81.43
45.42
25.88
15.98
103.85
80.28
44.46
25.78
15.85
101.88
78.78
43.01
23.37
14.73
100.90
77.33
41.74
23.32
13.65
99.80
74.88
41.49
22.10
13.50
93.29
73.91
38.54
22.10
13.50
92.43
73.65
36.96
21.95
12.28
90.35
71.20
35.76
21.92
12.28
89.63
69.05
35.18
20.52
12.03
89.61
67.27
34.37
19.64
11.78
87.29
66.78
34.37
19.64
11.44
86.91
65.06
33.88
19.19
11.39
86.42
64.81
31.38
19.15
11.05
83.47
62.60
29.46
19.08
10.97
82.49
61.87
29.46
18.04
10.10
79.79
61.38
28.23
17.19
9.88
73.65
60.39
27.55
16.93
9.76
72.80
58.68
26.51
16.20
9.64
71.20
52.60
25.78
14.73
7.37
68.74
47.87
24.61
13.50
6.14
31.92
29.46
23.32
12.28
5.45
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
P(X>X) Weibull
P(X>X) Blom
P(X>X) G-P
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.929
0.964
0.023
0.060
0.096
0.133
0.170
0.206
0.243
0.280
0.317
0.353
0.390
0.427
0.463
0.500
0.537
0.573
0.610
0.647
0.683
0.720
0.757
0.794
0.830
0.867
0.904
0.940
0.977
0.026
0.062
0.099
0.135
0.172
0.208
0.245
0.281
0.318
0.354
0.391
0.427
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.573
0.609
0.646
0.682
0.719
0.755
0.792
0.828
0.865
0.901
0.938
0.974
Fx
- x
- e
Estimacin de u:
= e
los valores : y y uy , se obtienen de tabla en la cual se ingresa con el nmero de datos con los que se esta
trabajando.
los valores : x y s, es el promedio y desviacin estandar de los valores correspondientes a las intensidades
y = 1.0998
uy = 0.53443
X = 67.15
S = 15.82
U = x - uy
14.38
u=
59.47
I5 min.
P(X>X) Weibull
1- P(X>X)
138.46
136.99
123.98
112.93
112.31
110.48
108.38
103.85
101.88
100.90
99.80
93.29
92.43
90.35
89.63
89.61
87.29
86.91
86.42
83.47
82.49
79.79
73.65
72.80
71.20
68.74
31.92
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.929
0.964
0.96
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.82
0.79
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.50
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.18
0.14
0.11
0.07
0.04
F(X < X)
0.9959
0.9955
0.9888
0.9760
0.9750
0.9716
0.9672
0.9553
0.9490
0.9455
0.9413
0.9092
0.9039
0.8897
0.8845
0.8843
0.8655
0.8621
0.8577
0.8283
0.8173
0.7840
0.6887
0.6733
0.6425
0.5917
0.0011
0.03
0.07
0.10
0.12
0.15
0.19
0.22
0.24
0.27
0.30
0.33
0.34
0.37
0.39
0.42
0.46
0.47
0.50
0.54
0.54
0.57
0.57
0.51
0.53
0.54
0.52
0.03
c =
0.57
Por lo tanto como t > 0 los datos se ajustan al modelo WEIBULL (Para t = 5 mins.)
Probabilidad
0.80
0.60
0.40
Modelo Terico
0.20
Modelo Emprico
(Weibull)
0.00
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Intensidades(mm/hr)
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
Fx
= e
- e
- x - u
los valores :
y y uy , se obtienen de tabla en la cual se ingresa con el nmero de datos con los que se esta
trabajando.
los valores :
los valores :
Donde:
y = 1.0998
uy = 0.53443
X = 50.75
S = 10.42
U = x - uy
9.48
u=
45.69
t =
0.258
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
I10 min.
P(X>X) Weibull
1- P(X>X)
92.25
92.06
89.61
88.14
87.15
83.59
81.43
80.28
78.78
77.33
74.88
73.91
73.65
71.20
69.05
67.27
66.78
65.06
64.81
62.60
61.87
61.38
60.39
58.68
52.60
47.87
29.46
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.929
0.964
0.96
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.82
0.79
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.50
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.18
0.14
0.11
0.07
0.04
F(X < X)
0.9927
0.9925
0.9903
0.9887
0.9875
0.9818
0.9773
0.9743
0.9700
0.9652
0.9551
0.9504
0.9490
0.9345
0.9185
0.9025
0.8976
0.8785
0.8755
0.8455
0.8341
0.8261
0.8091
0.7757
0.6174
0.4520
0.0039
0.63
Por lo tanto como t > c los datos se ajustan al modelo WEIBULL (Para t = 10 mins.)
Probabilidad
0.80
0.60
0.40
Modelo Terico
0.20
Modelo Emprico
(Weibull)
0.00
25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
65.0
75.0
85.0
95.0
Intensidades(mm/hr)
Fx
los valores :
los valores :
= e
- e
- x - u
y y uy , se obtienen de tabla en la cual se ingresa con el nmero de datos con los que se esta
trabajando.
x y s, es el promedio y desviacin estandar de los valores correspondientes a las intensidades
transpuestas correspondientes al tiempo que se esta trabajando ( I 30 min ).
los valores :
Donde:
y = 1.0998
uy = 0.53443
X = 26.44
S = 5.96
U = x - uy
5.42
u=
23.54
t =
0.258
I30 min.
P(X>X) Weibull
1- P(X>X)
F(X < X)
50.33
49.84
46.65
46.57
45.66
45.42
45.42
44.46
43.01
41.74
41.49
38.54
36.96
35.76
35.18
34.37
34.37
33.88
31.38
29.46
29.46
28.23
27.55
26.51
25.78
24.61
23.32
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.929
0.964
0.96
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.82
0.79
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.50
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.18
0.14
0.11
0.07
0.04
0.9929
0.9922
0.9860
0.9859
0.9833
0.9825
0.9825
0.9792
0.9729
0.9658
0.9643
0.9392
0.9195
0.9005
0.8899
0.8733
0.8733
0.8622
0.7902
0.7151
0.7151
0.6567
0.6204
0.5613
0.5160
0.4402
0.3531
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.13
0.16
0.20
0.23
0.26
0.29
0.32
0.36
0.37
0.38
0.40
0.43
0.44
0.48
0.51
0.47
0.43
0.47
0.44
0.44
0.42
0.41
0.37
0.32
c =
0.51
Por lo tanto como t > c los datos se ajustan al modelo WEIBULL (Para t = 30 mins.)
Probabilidad
0.80
0.60
0.40
Modelo Terico
0.20
Modelo Emprico
(Weibull)
0.00
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
Intensidades(mm/hr)
Fx
= e
- e
- x - u
los valores :
y y uy , se obtienen de tabla en la cual se ingresa con el nmero de datos con los que se esta trabajando.
los valores :
los valores :
Donde:
y = 1.0998
uy = 0.53443
X = 15.70
S = 3.93
U = x - uy
3.57
u=
13.79
t =
0.258
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
I60 min.
P(X>X) Weibull
1- P(X>X)
33.27
31.92
29.10
28.36
28.23
28.23
25.88
25.78
23.37
23.32
22.10
22.10
21.95
21.92
20.52
19.64
19.64
19.19
19.15
19.08
18.04
17.19
16.93
16.20
14.73
13.50
12.28
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.929
0.964
0.96
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.82
0.79
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.50
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.18
0.14
0.11
0.07
0.04
F(X < X)
0.9957
0.9937
0.9863
0.9831
0.9826
0.9826
0.9665
0.9656
0.9337
0.9328
0.9067
0.9067
0.9029
0.9023
0.8589
0.8230
0.8230
0.8016
0.7998
0.7960
0.7376
0.6790
0.6597
0.6008
0.4633
0.3380
0.2167
c =
0.51
Por lo tanto como t > c los datos se ajustan al modelo WEIBULL (Para t = 60 mins.)
Probabilidad
0.80
0.60
0.40
Modelo Terico
0.20
Modelo Emprico
(Weibull)
0.00
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Intensidades(mm/hr)
Fx
los valores :
los valores :
= e
- e
- x - u
y y uy , se obtienen de tabla en la cual se ingresa con el nmero de datos con los que se esta
trabajando.
x y s, es el promedio y desviacin estandar de los valores correspondientes a las intensidades
transpuestas correspondientes al tiempo que se esta trabajando ( I 120 min ).
los valores :
Donde:
y = 1.0998
uy = 0.53443
X = 9.20
S = 2.79
U = x - uy
2.54
u=
7.84
t =
0.258
m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
I120 min.
P(X>X) Weibull
1- P(X>X)
23.32
17.19
17.19
17.17
16.57
16.29
15.98
15.85
14.73
13.65
13.50
13.50
12.28
12.28
12.03
11.78
11.44
11.39
11.05
10.97
10.10
9.88
9.76
9.64
7.37
0.036
0.071
0.107
0.143
0.179
0.214
0.250
0.286
0.321
0.357
0.393
0.429
0.464
0.500
0.536
0.571
0.607
0.643
0.679
0.714
0.750
0.786
0.821
0.857
0.893
0.96
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.82
0.79
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.50
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.25
0.21
0.18
0.14
0.11
F(X < X)
0.9978
0.9751
0.9751
0.9750
0.9684
0.9647
0.9603
0.9582
0.9358
0.9035
0.8980
0.8980
0.8400
0.8400
0.8252
0.8093
0.7849
0.7812
0.7537
0.7474
0.6635
0.6392
0.6252
0.6108
0.2995
26
27
6.14
5.45
0.929
0.964
0.07
0.04
0.1416
0.0771
0.07
0.04
0.47
Por lo tanto como t > c los datos se ajustan al modelo WEIBULL (Para t = 120 mins.)
Probabilidad
0.80
0.60
0.40
Modelo Terico
0.20
Modelo Emprico
(Weibull)
0.00
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
24.0
Intensidades(mm/hr)
Ahora, para una VIDA UTIL DE 25 AOS SE TIENE LOS SIGUIENTES DATOS
SUB CUENCA :
Altitud Media:
VIDA UTIL (N).
Aos
25
25
25
25
25
Ro Huertas
2231 m.s.n.m.
Tiempo de Retorno (T)
(Aos)
390.41
190.32
90.13
56.57
29.36
DEPARTAMENTO :
PROVINCIA :
Riesgo de falla(J)
J (%)
5
10
20
30
50
CAJAMARCA
CHILETE
5
145.3
134.9
124.1
117.4
107.8
120
23.0
21.2
19.3
18.1
16.4
Tr =
1
N
1 - (1 - J )
siendo
u y 1varibles
segn el tiempo (5.10,30,60,120 min.), que se este trabajando.
X = u - Ln - Ln1 -
se estimo una vida util de 25 aos y unperiodo deretorno de
T56aos
INTENSIDADES MAXIMAS
140
Potencial (INTENSIDADES PARA UNA VIDA UTIL DE 25 AOS Y
UN TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 56 AOS )
120
100
80
60
40
y = 296.63x-0.596
R = 0.9958
20
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
TIEMPO (mintos)
DE LA GRAFICA DEL AJUSTE POR REGRESION ( POTENCIAL),PARA UNA VIDA UTIL DE 25 AOS Y UN TIEMPO DE RETORNO 56 AOS
SE AJUSTA A LA ECUACION DE MONTANA, OBTENEMOS LA ECUACION :
Y=444.92 X-0.5917
Y=444.92 X-0.5917
Donde x representa el valor del tc, en nuestro caso igual a 1.03 horas que es 61.8 minutos, entonces:
Y=444.92x61.8- 0.5917
Y=38.775
Entonces Y representa el valor de la intensidad maxima correspondiente a nuestro tiempo de concentracin de nuestra sub cuenca.
I MAX =
38.775
101.53
AREA TOTAL=
Pendiente
DESCRIPCIN
Pastos
Bosques
Cultivos
Desnudos
Asfalto
Sumatoria
48.72%
AREA
35.45
9
82.36
12.26
3.28
142.35
C
0.29
0.22
0.38
0.14
0.12
C*A
10.2805
1.98
31.2968
1.7164
0.3936
45.6673
0.321
Q=C*I*A
reemplazando
Q=(0.511*24.5*159.4*103)/3600
tenemos:
Qmax=
350.828
m3/s
Ac =
L.m.r =
L.c.p =
S=
So =
101.53
23.72
23.22
9.78
49.12
Km^2
Km
Km
%
%
Empleando la ecuacin (06.1) se obtiene el valor del Tc, para una pendiente del cauce
principal > de 8% el valor de V = 1.5m/s ontenido de la tabla (01)
Tc =
1.9
Tiempo de Concentracin
Tc =
1.9
1.14
2.76
2.518
6.724
8.38
m^3/s*mm
tr =
Hidrograma unitario
x
y
0.00
0.00
2.52
8.38
6.72
0.00
Caudal (m^3/s/mm)
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Tiempo (h)
ABSCISAS
0
0.012
0.076
0.158
0.278
0.43
0.601
0.892
1.0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.8
1.0
RAMA DESCENDENTE
ORDENADAS
1.0
0.918
0.753
0.532
0.418
0.323
0.24
0.177
0.133
0.095
0.076
0.038
0.019
0.006
0
ABSCISAS
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
RAMA ASCENDENTE
RAMA DESCENDENTE
ORDENADAS
ABSCISAS
ORDENADAS
ABSCISAS
0.00
0.10
0.64
1.32
2.33
3.60
5.04
7.48
8.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.76
1.01
1.26
1.51
2.01
2.52
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
8.38
7.69
6.31
4.46
3.50
2.71
2.01
1.48
1.11
0.80
0.64
0.32
0.16
0.05
0.00
2.52
3.02
3.53
4.03
4.53
5.04
5.54
6.04
6.55
7.05
7.56
8.81
10.07
11.33
12.59
Caudal (m^3/s/m)
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
X
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Y
0
0.012
0.076
0.158
0.278
0.43
0.601
0.892
1.0
1.0
0.918
0.753
0.532
0.418
0.323
0.24
0.177
0.133
0.095
0.076
0.038
0.019
0.006
0
X*tp
Y*qp
0.000
0.252
0.504
0.756
1.007
1.259
1.511
2.015
2.518
2.518
3.022
3.526
4.029
4.533
5.037
5.540
6.044
6.548
7.052
7.555
8.814
10.074
11.333
11.500
0.000
0.101
0.637
1.324
2.330
3.603
5.036
7.475
8.380
8.380
7.693
6.310
4.458
3.503
2.707
2.011
1.483
1.115
0.796
0.637
0.318
0.159
0.050
0.0000
JUN
7.36
0.22
JUL
7.45
0.21
AGO
23.71
2.55
SET
40.96
10.94
6
1.400
7
-1.408
0.2
0
0
Tiempo (h)
TOTAL
MEDIA
ENE
102.07
57.64
PROMEDIO=
MAXIMO=
FEB
MAR
129.36
120.31
81.80
73.67
24.963 mm
81.80 mm
ABR
70.38
31.48
MAY
24.30
2.76
Qmax=
m /seg
209.19
0
0.000
1
3.200
2
6.800
3
7.450
4
5.500
5
3.430
3. TRANSITO DE AVENIDAS
Para nuestro caso, analizaremops en embalses. El calculo de la variacion del nivel de agua es esencial en el diseo del aliviadero
y a la vez garantizar la seguridad del conjunto. Considremos las siguientes ecuaciones fundamentales:
La ecuacion de continuidad :
I (t ) - Q (t ) =
dS
dt
OCT
45.01
13.41
NOV
39.77
10.24
Tiemp Transc.
Q entrada
(hr)
1
(hr)
2
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
(m3/seg)
2'
0.000
0.101
0.637
1.324
2.330
3.603
5.036
7.475
8.380
8.380
7.693
6.310
4.458
3.503
2.707
2.011
1.483
1.115
0.796
0.637
0.318
0.159
0.050
0.000
0 -.5
.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2
2 - 2.5
2.5 - 3
3 -3.5
3.5 - 4
4- 4.5
4.5 - 5
5 - 5.5
5.5 - 6
6 - 6.5
6.5 - 7
7. - 7.5
7.5 - 8
8 - 8.5
8.5 - 9
9 - 9.5
9.5 - 10
10 - 10.50
10.5-11
11-11.5
Para la elaboracion del cadro anterior se ha asumido una longuitud de cresta L= 40 m. y un coeficiente C=2.0
Longuitud de la cresta: L =
Intervalo
AREA
10
30
17.2ha
m
min
220000
C = 2.0
m2 (Area de embalse se saca de la curvas caracteristicas)
Altura de Vertedero =
0.3
Qsal medio
20
Caudal (m3/seg)
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Tiempo (horas)
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10 10.5
6.5
horas
DIC
46.95
14.65
max
min
VOLUMEN TIL
VOLUMEN
Oferta
m3
MMC
5064781.6 5.06
15097869 15.10
17499878 17.50
9658753.6 9.66
4055628.6 4.06
4735155.1 4.74
3682400.5 3.68
3639709.6 3.64
3557628.4 3.56
3886626.2 3.89
5386978.3 5.39
4352386.4 4.35
5.06
20.16
37.66
47.32
51.38
56.11
59.79
63.43
66.99
70.88
76.27
80.62
m3/seg
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.40
VOLUMEN
demanda
m3
MMC
1071360
1.07
967680
0.97
1071360
1.07
1296000
1.30
1607040
1.61
1814400
1.81
2142720
2.14
2142720
2.14
1555200
1.56
1339200
1.34
1036800
1.04
1071360
1.07
Vol Acum
demanda
Diferencia
1.07
2.04
3.11
4.41
6.01
7.83
9.97
12.11
13.67
15.01
16.04
17.12
3.99
18.12
34.55
42.91
45.36
48.28
49.82
51.32
53.32
55.87
60.22
63.50
31
59
90
120
151
181
212
243
273
304
334
365
63.5020
3.9934
67.495 MMC
Diagrama RIPPL
18
16
Qmedio
Of
m3/seg
31
ENERO
1.89
28
FEBRERO
6.24
31
MARZO
6.53
30
ABRIL
3.73
31
MAYO
1.51
30
JUNIO
1.83
31
JULIO
1.37
31
AGOSTO
1.36
30 SEPTIEMBRE 1.37
31
OCTUBRE
1.45
30 NOVIEMBRE 2.08
31 DICIEMBRE
1.62
MES
14
12
10
Oferta
demanda
8
6
4
2
0
0
100
200
TIEMPO
300
400