The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
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| Turnout | 76.76% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results
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As expected, Trump comfortably carried South Carolina’s nine electoral votes for the third consecutive cycle, winning the state by a 17.9% margin. Trump flipped Jasper County into the Republican column for the first time since Richard Nixon in 1972.
This was the largest Republican win in the state since 1988.
Primary elections
editDemocratic primary
editOn February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, 2024.[2] Due to protests to the change, the New Hampshire primary was scheduled for January 23, maintaining its traditional "first-in-the-nation" status. However, the primary was deemed non-binding, so the South Carolina primary was the first contest in which candidates could earn delegates.[3] President Biden won the primary in a landslide, winning all 55 of the state's unbound delegates.[4] The Democratic primary recorded low voter turnout among registered voters, with only 4% participating.[5]
The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 3, 2024.
Biden
- >90%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 126,493 | 96.2% | 55 | TBD | 55 |
| Marianne Williamson | 2,732 | 2.1% | 0 | TBD | 0 |
| Dean Phillips | 2,247 | 1.7% | 0 | 0 | |
| Total: | 131,472 | 100% | 55 | 10 | 65 |
Republican primary
editThe South Carolina Republican primary was held on February 24, 2024, the fifth contest in the nationwide Republican primaries. Nikki Haley, who served as the governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, lost her home state to former president Donald Trump by 20 points. Trump won six congressional districts, earning a total of 47 delegates. Haley won the 1st district, earning three delegates. The Republican primary recorded a voter turnout of 23% among its registered voters, passing its 2016 turnout record.[7]
Trump
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Haley
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 452,496 | 59.79% | 47 | 47 | |
| Nikki Haley | 299,084 | 39.52% | 3 | 3 | |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,953 | 0.39% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 726 | 0.10% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 658 | 0.09% | |||
| Ryan Binkley | 528 | 0.07% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 361 | 0.05% | |||
| Total: | 756,806 | 100.00% | 50 | 0 | 50 |
| Source: [9] | |||||
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[10] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[14] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[15] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[16] | Safe R | October 16, 2024 |
| 538[17] | Solid R | October 21, 2024 |
| RCP[18] | Likely R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[19] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
editDonald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[20] | October 5–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58.5% | 41.5% | – |
| ActiVote[21] | September 9 – October 17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
| Winthrop University[22] | September 21–29, 2024 | 1,068 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | 6%[b] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[23] | October 17–25, 2024 | 1,241 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 53% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 1,136 (LV) | 54% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | |||
| East Carolina University[24] | October 18–22, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 42% | – | – | 1% | 2% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[25][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Emerson College[26] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| The Citadel[27] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Winthrop University[28] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[29] | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| 643 (LV) | 54% | 36% | 10% | |||
| Echelon Insights[30] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[31] | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[27] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[27] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Winthrop University[28] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[27] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 25% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[25][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[25][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[30] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Ballot changes after the primaries
editOn July 21, 2024, Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the Presidential race and endorsed Kamala Harris.[32][33] Harris and running mate Tim Walz replaced Biden on the South Carolina ballot.
On August 23, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., suspended his presidential campaign and endorsed Donald Trump.[34][35] The Alliance Party of South Carolina removed Kennedy's name from the ballot, fielding no presidential candidate on their ticket for the year.[36]
South Carolina political parties had until September 3 to make final changes and certify their presidential and vice presidential candidates for the state ballot.[37]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 1,483,747 | 58.23% | +3.12% | ||
| Democratic | 1,028,452 | 40.36% | −3.07% | ||
| Libertarian | 12,669 | 0.50% | −0.61% | ||
| Green | 8,117 | 0.32% | +0.05% | ||
| Constitution | 5,352 | 0.21% | |||
| South Carolina Workers Party | 3,059 | 0.12% | |||
| United Citizens | 6,744 | 0.26% | |||
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 2,548,140 | 100% | |||
By county
edit| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Abbeville | 8,509 | 70.63% | 3,399 | 28.21% | 140 | 1.16% | 5,110 | 42.42% | 12,048 |
| Aiken | 53,592 | 62.25% | 31,298 | 36.35% | 1,201 | 1.40% | 22,294 | 25.90% | 86,091 |
| Allendale | 813 | 26.89% | 2,165 | 71.62% | 45 | 1.49% | -1,352 | -44.73% | 3,023 |
| Anderson | 71,828 | 73.07% | 25,281 | 25.72% | 1,187 | 1.21% | 46,547 | 47.35% | 98,296 |
| Bamberg | 2,376 | 41.73% | 3,245 | 56.99% | 73 | 1.28% | -869 | -15.26% | 5,694 |
| Barnwell | 5,605 | 57.18% | 4,082 | 41.64% | 116 | 1.18% | 1,523 | 15.54% | 9,803 |
| Beaufort | 59,123 | 56.63% | 44,002 | 42.15% | 1,278 | 1.22% | 15,121 | 14.48% | 104,403 |
| Berkeley | 64,777 | 57.41% | 46,416 | 41.14% | 1,641 | 1.45% | 18,361 | 16.27% | 112,834 |
| Calhoun | 4,474 | 56.53% | 3,339 | 42.19% | 101 | 1.28% | 1,135 | 14.34% | 7,914 |
| Charleston | 99,265 | 46.27% | 111,427 | 51.94% | 3,829 | 1.79% | -12,162 | -5.67% | 214,521 |
| Cherokee | 18,697 | 75.27% | 5,939 | 23.91% | 203 | 0.82% | 12,758 | 51.36% | 24,839 |
| Chester | 9,030 | 58.05% | 6,353 | 40.84% | 173 | 1.11% | 2,677 | 17.21% | 15,556 |
| Chesterfield | 11,682 | 63.52% | 6,520 | 35.45% | 189 | 1.03% | 5,162 | 28.07% | 18,391 |
| Clarendon | 9,065 | 55.55% | 7,064 | 43.28% | 191 | 1.17% | 2,001 | 12.27% | 16,320 |
| Colleton | 10,696 | 58.52% | 7,376 | 40.36% | 204 | 1.12% | 3,320 | 18,16% | 18,276 |
| Darlington | 17,017 | 56.10% | 12,977 | 42.78% | 337 | 1.12% | 4,040 | 13.32% | 30,331 |
| Dillon | 6,526 | 55.02% | 5,241 | 44.19% | 94 | 0.79% | 1,285 | 10.83% | 11,861 |
| Dorchester | 43,839 | 56.37% | 32,489 | 41.78% | 1,436 | 1.85% | 11,350 | 14.59% | 77,764 |
| Edgefield | 9,092 | 65.32% | 4,659 | 33.47% | 168 | 1.21% | 4,433 | 31.85% | 13,919 |
| Fairfield | 4,792 | 42.73% | 6,277 | 55.97% | 146 | 1.30% | -1,485 | -13.24% | 11,215 |
| Florence | 32,615 | 53.34% | 27,706 | 45.32% | 819 | 1.34% | 4,909 | 8.02% | 61,140 |
| Georgetown | 22,326 | 59.14% | 14,965 | 39.64% | 463 | 1.22% | 7,361 | 19.50% | 37,754 |
| Greenville | 158,451 | 60.21% | 100,074 | 38.01% | 4,791 | 1.78% | 58,377 | 22.20% | 263,316 |
| Greenwood | 19,715 | 63.83% | 10,766 | 34.85% | 407 | 1.32% | 8,949 | 28.98% | 30,888 |
| Hampton | 3,801 | 46.17% | 4,328 | 52.57% | 104 | 1.26% | -527 | -6.40% | 8,233 |
| Horry | 141,719 | 68.81% | 62,325 | 30.26% | 1,910 | 0.93% | 79,394 | 38.55% | 205,954 |
| Jasper | 9,900 | 54.32% | 8,144 | 44.68% | 183 | 1.00% | 1,756 | 9.64% | 18,227 |
| Kershaw | 21,289 | 63.49% | 11,826 | 35.27% | 418 | 1.24% | 9,463 | 28.22% | 33,533 |
| Lancaster | 33,623 | 61.78% | 20,146 | 37.01% | 658 | 1.21% | 13,477 | 24.77% | 54,427 |
| Laurens | 21,110 | 69.87% | 8,769 | 29.02% | 334 | 1.11% | 12,341 | 40.85% | 30,213 |
| Lee | 3,078 | 38.11% | 4,505 | 55.78% | 493 | 6.11% | -1,427 | -17.67% | 8,076 |
| Lexington | 96,965 | 66.01% | 47,815 | 32.55% | 2,123 | 1.44% | 49,150 | 33.46% | 146,903 |
| Marion | 5,906 | 44.11% | 7,316 | 54.65% | 166 | 1.24% | -1,410 | -10.54% | 13,388 |
| Marlboro | 4,896 | 48.23% | 5,137 | 50.60% | 119 | 1.17% | -241 | -2.37% | 10,152 |
| McCormick | 3,565 | 57.94% | 2,513 | 40.84% | 75 | 1.22% | 1,052 | 17.10% | 6,153 |
| Newberry | 12,067 | 66.56% | 5,841 | 32.22% | 221 | 1.22% | 6,226 | 34.34% | 18,129 |
| Oconee | 31,772 | 75.18% | 9,987 | 23.63% | 505 | 1.19% | 21,785 | 51.55% | 42,264 |
| Orangeburg | 13,750 | 37.19% | 22,832 | 61.76% | 388 | 1.05% | -9,082 | -24.57% | 36,970 |
| Pickens | 45,728 | 75.64% | 13,891 | 22.98% | 832 | 1.38% | 31,837 | 52.66% | 60,451 |
| Richland | 58,019 | 31.81% | 121,110 | 66.39% | 3,282 | 1.51% | -63,091 | -38.31% | 182,411 |
| Saluda | 6,452 | 71.58% | 2,454 | 27.22% | 108 | 1.20% | 3,998 | 44.36% | 9,014 |
| Spartanburg | 103,032 | 66.22% | 50,710 | 32.59% | 1,855 | 1.19% | 52,232 | 33.63% | 155,597 |
| Sumter | 21,215 | 46.97% | 23,425 | 51.86% | 530 | 1.17% | -2,210 | -4.89% | 45,170 |
| Union | 8,102 | 65.93% | 4,084 | 33.23% | 103 | 0.84% | 4,018 | 32.70% | 12,289 |
| Williamsburg | 5,524 | 38.55% | 8,634 | 60.25% | 172 | 1.20% | -3,110 | -21.70% | 14,330 |
| York | 88,239 | 58.80% | 59,600 | 39.72% | 2,220 | 1.48% | 28,639 | 19.08% | 150,059 |
| Totals | 1,483,747 | 58.23% | 1,028,452 | 40.36% | 35,941 | 1.41% | 455,295 | 17.87% | 2,548,140 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
editJasper (largest municipality: Hardeeville)
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
References
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- ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
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- ^ a b c d "Trump Leads Haley in South Carolina, but both candidates are finding advantages in the state". The Citadel. February 16, 2024. Archived from the original on March 1, 2024.
- ^ a b "February 2024 Winthrop Poll Results". Winthrop University. February 14, 2024.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey – South Carolina" (PDF). FAU Polling. February 13, 2024.
- ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "RFK Jr. suspends his presidential bid and backs Donald Trump before appearing with him at his rally". AP News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
- ^ "Robert F Kennedy Jr suspends campaign and backs Trump". www.bbc.com. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
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