NIGERIA'S PRESIDENTIAL POLLS: A SWOT analysis, 2022
The 2023 elections will be the seventh consecutiveelectionssincethereturnto democracy in 1999; m... more The 2023 elections will be the seventh consecutiveelectionssincethereturnto democracy in 1999; making a 23-year period of unbroken democracy, the longestinthecountry'sshorthistory.The presidentialelectionisscheduledtohold on25February2023andwillnotfeature theincumbentpresidentforonlythe second time, while governorship and othersubnationalpollswillholdon11 March.Morethan95millionNigerians haveregisteredtocasttheirballotswith keyissuesfortheleadingpresidential candidateslikelytocentrearoundthe economy, prevailing insecurity and corruption. Ironically, these were the same issues that defined the 2015 general electionthatbroughttheoutgoing president, Muhammadu Buhari, to power.
Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long... more Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long as they are not being sold commercially. As copyright holder, ODI requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication. For online use, we ask readers to link to the original resource on the ODI website. The views presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI.
The World Lawyers’ Pledge on Climate Action is an open letter from and to the global legal commu... more The World Lawyers’ Pledge on Climate Action is an open letter from and to the global legal community, calling for the mainstreaming of climate concerns throughout the law and legal profession. It seeks to rethink and redefine the role and responsibilities of lawyers in the climate crisis, and invites lawyers of all kinds —including practitioners, judges, scholars, civil servants, law students, and lawmakers—to integrate climate concerns into their respective areas of expertise and work. The magnitude and urgency of the climate crisis require all lawyers, not just environmental lawyers, to be part of the solution and contribute to climate-protective legal development. The Pledge can be endorsed and signed at http://www.lawyersclimatepledge.org.
This can s e study is a Department for International Development (UK) and British Academy support... more This can s e study is a Department for International Development (UK) and British Academy supported project, coordinated by the Overseas Development Institute (ODI), and carried out in Nigeria by the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD). The motivation for this study was to test theoretical debates around decentralisation. On the one hand, some theorists argue that decentralisation should reduce corruption through more accountable and transparent local governance. Others suggest that increased autonomy and proliferation of actors increases opportunities for corruption. Yet on the ground, it is clear that the rentier state system in Nigeria continues to dominate the political economy affairs of the country. Other studies provide ambiguous evidence of the effects of decentralisation on corruption, while the reality of descriptions of the impact of decentralisation on corruption is dependent on broad categories of quality of governance.
The Boko Haram conflict in Nigeria has caused a lot of deaths, mass abductions and gross human ri... more The Boko Haram conflict in Nigeria has caused a lot of deaths, mass abductions and gross human rights abuses resulting in the dislocation of several families as refugees in neighbouring countries. Other victims have been rendered homeless and destitute as internally displaced persons. The Nigerian government’s response has not been very effective fuelling the suspicion that the insurgency is a combination Islamic militancy and political competition for power. It does not seem that the solution to the Boko Haram conflict is military engagement as other conflicts have shown. This article uses the Nigerian experience between the Niger Delta militants and the Boko Haram insurgency as a case study to discuss the difficult choices between peace, justice and reconciliation. It focuses on the activities of international justice institutions, provisions of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, and the debate between amnesty, prosecution and the interests of justice. The artic...
Authentication of identity has become inextricably associated with individual access to governmen... more Authentication of identity has become inextricably associated with individual access to government services and the assertion of rights that enhance participation, inclusion and protection from discrimination. Governments in the developing world increasingly acknowledge the role of official identification (ID) in promoting development, providing data for national planning, and facilitating social integration. Many African countries have embraced identification as a critical tool for achieving these goals and begun establishing new ID systems, taking advantage of new technologies and a conducive donor environment. The World Bank Group’s Identification for Development (ID4D) initiative reflects this growing consensus. Collaborating with country partners around the world, it has sought to identify opportunities and challenges in different contexts. For example, digital identity can hasten the pace of progress by improving delivery of safety net services to the poor, advance financial i...
This item is brought to you by Swansea University. Any person downloading material is agreeing to... more This item is brought to you by Swansea University. Any person downloading material is agreeing to abide by the terms of the repository licence. Copies of full text items may be used or reproduced in any format or medium, without prior permission for personal research or study, educational or non-commercial purposes only. The copyright for any work remains with the original author unless otherwise specified. The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holder.
Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long... more Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long as they are not being sold commercially. As copyright holder, ODI requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication. For online use, we ask readers to link to the original resource on the ODI website. The views presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI.
Table 1: Issues reviewed during the desk research Key issues Analysis Corruption Analysed the pol... more Table 1: Issues reviewed during the desk research Key issues Analysis Corruption Analysed the political and social context of corruption Types of corruption and the drivers Interrogated the differences and similarities in the prevalence, types and dynamics of corruption in different decentaralised environments, and the key factors-local, Effects of corruption Examined the likely effects/impact of the different types of corruption at the local level, especially on issues related to inequality, inclusion, voice and representation, and the capacity of state institutions to respond to the different needs and priorities of their populations Decentralisation, level governance and corruption Explored the concept of decentralisation, the nature of corruption, governance dynamics and their relationship across different levels of governance Analysis of anticorruption initiatives Analysed the responsibilities, resources, accountabilities, organised incentives or opportunities; and forms of different anti-corruption initiatives national, global driving them multi
The departure in 1999 of the military regime in Nigeria restored hope for human rights that was g... more The departure in 1999 of the military regime in Nigeria restored hope for human rights that was grossly abused by successive military regimes. Regrettably, after eighteen years, it is not yet uhuru for Nigerians. Human rights violations remain rife. Particularly worrying is the government security operatives’ abuse of rights with the resultant casualties. Security agencies have been repeatedly accused of extensive human rights abuses and extrajudicial killings. The number of incidents of human rights violations in Nigeria’s democracy has become a major concern. More disconcerting is that the justice sector has not effectively addressed the issue, largely due to the disregard of lawful processes and orders by the Nigerian state and its machinery. This chapter sets out to analyze and highlight the patent issues of human rights.
Les pays du G5 Sahel – Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritanie, Niger et Tchad – organiseront des élection... more Les pays du G5 Sahel – Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritanie, Niger et Tchad – organiseront des élections en 2020 et 2021. Ces élections se dérouleront dans un contexte où tous sont confrontés à de grands défis humanitaires et sécuritaires, exacerbés par la fragilité de leurs institutions. La propagation de la pandémie de COVID-19 et ses impacts socio-économiques aggravent la situation et soulèvent même des questions sur la possibilité d’organiser des élections dans un environnement si volatil. Ce guide a été développé pour aider les décisionnaires et les praticiens dans ce contexte. Il présente 25 facteurs de risque liés aux processus susceptibles d’amener ou de contribuer à l’irruption de violences dans le cadre des élections. Les facteurs de risques internes sont propres à chaque élection et ne se manifestent pas hors du contexte électoral. Ils sont liés aux parties prenantes, événements, pratiques et équipements électoraux, qui peuvent saper la crédibilité des processus électoraux, voi...
NIGERIA'S PRESIDENTIAL POLLS: A SWOT analysis, 2022
The 2023 elections will be the seventh consecutiveelectionssincethereturnto democracy in 1999; m... more The 2023 elections will be the seventh consecutiveelectionssincethereturnto democracy in 1999; making a 23-year period of unbroken democracy, the longestinthecountry'sshorthistory.The presidentialelectionisscheduledtohold on25February2023andwillnotfeature theincumbentpresidentforonlythe second time, while governorship and othersubnationalpollswillholdon11 March.Morethan95millionNigerians haveregisteredtocasttheirballotswith keyissuesfortheleadingpresidential candidateslikelytocentrearoundthe economy, prevailing insecurity and corruption. Ironically, these were the same issues that defined the 2015 general electionthatbroughttheoutgoing president, Muhammadu Buhari, to power.
Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long... more Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long as they are not being sold commercially. As copyright holder, ODI requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication. For online use, we ask readers to link to the original resource on the ODI website. The views presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI.
The World Lawyers’ Pledge on Climate Action is an open letter from and to the global legal commu... more The World Lawyers’ Pledge on Climate Action is an open letter from and to the global legal community, calling for the mainstreaming of climate concerns throughout the law and legal profession. It seeks to rethink and redefine the role and responsibilities of lawyers in the climate crisis, and invites lawyers of all kinds —including practitioners, judges, scholars, civil servants, law students, and lawmakers—to integrate climate concerns into their respective areas of expertise and work. The magnitude and urgency of the climate crisis require all lawyers, not just environmental lawyers, to be part of the solution and contribute to climate-protective legal development. The Pledge can be endorsed and signed at http://www.lawyersclimatepledge.org.
This can s e study is a Department for International Development (UK) and British Academy support... more This can s e study is a Department for International Development (UK) and British Academy supported project, coordinated by the Overseas Development Institute (ODI), and carried out in Nigeria by the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD). The motivation for this study was to test theoretical debates around decentralisation. On the one hand, some theorists argue that decentralisation should reduce corruption through more accountable and transparent local governance. Others suggest that increased autonomy and proliferation of actors increases opportunities for corruption. Yet on the ground, it is clear that the rentier state system in Nigeria continues to dominate the political economy affairs of the country. Other studies provide ambiguous evidence of the effects of decentralisation on corruption, while the reality of descriptions of the impact of decentralisation on corruption is dependent on broad categories of quality of governance.
The Boko Haram conflict in Nigeria has caused a lot of deaths, mass abductions and gross human ri... more The Boko Haram conflict in Nigeria has caused a lot of deaths, mass abductions and gross human rights abuses resulting in the dislocation of several families as refugees in neighbouring countries. Other victims have been rendered homeless and destitute as internally displaced persons. The Nigerian government’s response has not been very effective fuelling the suspicion that the insurgency is a combination Islamic militancy and political competition for power. It does not seem that the solution to the Boko Haram conflict is military engagement as other conflicts have shown. This article uses the Nigerian experience between the Niger Delta militants and the Boko Haram insurgency as a case study to discuss the difficult choices between peace, justice and reconciliation. It focuses on the activities of international justice institutions, provisions of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, and the debate between amnesty, prosecution and the interests of justice. The artic...
Authentication of identity has become inextricably associated with individual access to governmen... more Authentication of identity has become inextricably associated with individual access to government services and the assertion of rights that enhance participation, inclusion and protection from discrimination. Governments in the developing world increasingly acknowledge the role of official identification (ID) in promoting development, providing data for national planning, and facilitating social integration. Many African countries have embraced identification as a critical tool for achieving these goals and begun establishing new ID systems, taking advantage of new technologies and a conducive donor environment. The World Bank Group’s Identification for Development (ID4D) initiative reflects this growing consensus. Collaborating with country partners around the world, it has sought to identify opportunities and challenges in different contexts. For example, digital identity can hasten the pace of progress by improving delivery of safety net services to the poor, advance financial i...
This item is brought to you by Swansea University. Any person downloading material is agreeing to... more This item is brought to you by Swansea University. Any person downloading material is agreeing to abide by the terms of the repository licence. Copies of full text items may be used or reproduced in any format or medium, without prior permission for personal research or study, educational or non-commercial purposes only. The copyright for any work remains with the original author unless otherwise specified. The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holder.
Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long... more Readers are encouraged to reproduce material from ODI publications for their own outputs, as long as they are not being sold commercially. As copyright holder, ODI requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication. For online use, we ask readers to link to the original resource on the ODI website. The views presented in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of ODI.
Table 1: Issues reviewed during the desk research Key issues Analysis Corruption Analysed the pol... more Table 1: Issues reviewed during the desk research Key issues Analysis Corruption Analysed the political and social context of corruption Types of corruption and the drivers Interrogated the differences and similarities in the prevalence, types and dynamics of corruption in different decentaralised environments, and the key factors-local, Effects of corruption Examined the likely effects/impact of the different types of corruption at the local level, especially on issues related to inequality, inclusion, voice and representation, and the capacity of state institutions to respond to the different needs and priorities of their populations Decentralisation, level governance and corruption Explored the concept of decentralisation, the nature of corruption, governance dynamics and their relationship across different levels of governance Analysis of anticorruption initiatives Analysed the responsibilities, resources, accountabilities, organised incentives or opportunities; and forms of different anti-corruption initiatives national, global driving them multi
The departure in 1999 of the military regime in Nigeria restored hope for human rights that was g... more The departure in 1999 of the military regime in Nigeria restored hope for human rights that was grossly abused by successive military regimes. Regrettably, after eighteen years, it is not yet uhuru for Nigerians. Human rights violations remain rife. Particularly worrying is the government security operatives’ abuse of rights with the resultant casualties. Security agencies have been repeatedly accused of extensive human rights abuses and extrajudicial killings. The number of incidents of human rights violations in Nigeria’s democracy has become a major concern. More disconcerting is that the justice sector has not effectively addressed the issue, largely due to the disregard of lawful processes and orders by the Nigerian state and its machinery. This chapter sets out to analyze and highlight the patent issues of human rights.
Les pays du G5 Sahel – Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritanie, Niger et Tchad – organiseront des élection... more Les pays du G5 Sahel – Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritanie, Niger et Tchad – organiseront des élections en 2020 et 2021. Ces élections se dérouleront dans un contexte où tous sont confrontés à de grands défis humanitaires et sécuritaires, exacerbés par la fragilité de leurs institutions. La propagation de la pandémie de COVID-19 et ses impacts socio-économiques aggravent la situation et soulèvent même des questions sur la possibilité d’organiser des élections dans un environnement si volatil. Ce guide a été développé pour aider les décisionnaires et les praticiens dans ce contexte. Il présente 25 facteurs de risque liés aux processus susceptibles d’amener ou de contribuer à l’irruption de violences dans le cadre des élections. Les facteurs de risques internes sont propres à chaque élection et ne se manifestent pas hors du contexte électoral. Ils sont liés aux parties prenantes, événements, pratiques et équipements électoraux, qui peuvent saper la crédibilité des processus électoraux, voi...
On counterinsurgency, Idayat Hassan and Zacharias Pieri argue that:
• The familiarity of anti-Bok... more On counterinsurgency, Idayat Hassan and Zacharias Pieri argue that: • The familiarity of anti-Boko Haram vigilantes in the Civilian JTF (CJTF) with local languages and the local terrain in northeastern Nigeria makes them uniquely capable of combating Boko Haram at a grassroots level. • Fears have arisen over the possibility that the CJTF will ‘turn bad’ as so often happens with civil- ian-based armed groups (CBAGs). • The Nigerian government has to address concerns of CJTF members regarding their future em- ployment, education, and training and provide them a legitimate path into the armed forces. Failure to act will only serve to further delegitimize the state.
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Papers by Idayat Hassan
• The familiarity of anti-Boko Haram vigilantes in the Civilian JTF (CJTF) with local languages and the local terrain in northeastern Nigeria makes them uniquely capable of combating Boko Haram at a grassroots level.
• Fears have arisen over the possibility that the CJTF will ‘turn bad’ as so often happens with civil- ian-based armed groups (CBAGs).
• The Nigerian government has to address concerns of CJTF members regarding their future em- ployment, education, and training and provide them a legitimate path into the armed forces. Failure to act will only serve to further delegitimize the state.