The Money Supply and Inflation PPT at Bec Doms

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THE MONEY SUPPLY AND INFLATION

QUESTION
China is experiencing a serious inflation Problem. How can we explain this phenomenon?

WHAT IS MONEY?
Money

is the set of assets in an economy that people regularly use to buy goods and services from other people.

FUNCTIONS OF MONEY
Money has three functions in the economy:
Medium of exchange Unit of account Store of value

LIQUIDITY
Liquidity
the ease with which an asset can be converted into the economys medium of exchange.
yLiquidity is

KINDS OF MONEY
Commodity

money takes the form of a commodity with intrinsic value.


Examples: Gold, silver, cigarettes.
Fiat

money is used as money because of government decree.


It does not have intrinsic value. Examples: Coins, currency, check deposits.

MONEY IN THE ECONOMY


Currency

is the paper bills and coins in the hands of the

public. Demand deposits are balances in bank accounts that depositors can access on demand by writing a check.

MONEY SUPPLY
M1 _ M1A _ M1B M2

MONEY IN THE U.S. ECONOMY


Billions of Dollars $5,455 M2 Savings deposits Small time deposits Money market mutual funds A few minor categories ($4,276 billion) M1 Demand deposits Travelers checks Other checkable deposits ($599 billion) Currency ($580 billion) Everything in M1 ($1,179 billion)

$1,179

Copyright2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning

FEDERAL RESERVE
The

Federal Reserve (Fed) serves as the nations central

bank.
It is designed to oversee the banking system. It regulates the quantity of money in the economy.

FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE


The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
Serves as the main policy-making organ of the Federal Reserve System. Meets approximately every six weeks to review the economy.

MONETARY POLICY
Monetary policy is conducted by the Federal Open Market Committee.
Monetary policy is the setting of the money supply by policymakers in the central bank The money supply refers to the quantity of money available in the economy.

OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS
Open-Market Operations
yThe money

supply is the quantity of money available in the

economy. The primary way in which the Fed changes the money supply is through open-market operations.
The Fed purchases and sells U.S. government bonds.

OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS: CONTINUED


Open-Market Operations
To increase the money supply, the Fed buys government bonds from the public. To decrease the money supply, the Fed sells government bonds to the public.

BANKS AND MONEY SUPPLY


Banks can influence the quantity of demand deposits in the economy and the money supply. Reserves are deposits that banks have received but have not loaned out. In a fractional-reserve banking system, banks hold a fraction of the money deposited as reserves and lend out the rest. Reserve Ratio
yThe reserve ratio

is the fraction of deposits that banks

hold as reserves.

MONEY CREATION
When a bank makes a loan from its reserves, the money supply increases. The money supply is affected by the amount deposited in banks and the amount that banks loan.
Deposits into a bank are recorded as both assets and liabilities. The fraction of total deposits that a bank has to keep as reserves is called the reserve ratio. Loans become an asset to the bank.

T-ACCOUNT
T-Account shows a bank that
accepts deposits, keeps a portion as reserves, and lends out the rest. It assumes a reserve ratio of 10%.

T-ACCOUNT: FIRST NATIONAL BANK


First National Bank
Assets
Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Total Assets $100.00 Total Liabilities $100.00

Liabilities
Deposits $100.00

MONEY CREATION: CONTINUED


When one bank loans money, that money is generally deposited into another bank. This creates more deposits and more reserves to be lent out. When a bank makes a loan from its reserves, the money supply increases.

MONEY MULTIPLIER
How much money is eventually created in this economy? The money multiplier is the amount of money the banking system generates with each dollar of reserves.

THE MONEY MULTIPLIER


First National Bank
Assets
Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Total Assets Total Liabilities $100.00 $100.00

Second National Bank


Assets
Reserves $9.00 Loans $81.00 Total Assets $90.00 Total Liabilities $90.00

Liabilities
Deposits $100.00

Liabilities
Deposits $90.00

Money Supply = $190.00!

MONEY MULTIPLIER:CONTINUED
The money multiplier is the reciprocal of the reserve ratio: M = 1/R With a reserve requirement, R = 20% or 1/5, The multiplier is 5.

TOOLS OF MONEY CONTROL


The Fed has three tools in its monetary toolbox:
Open-market operations Changing the reserve requirement Changing the discount rate

OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS
Open-Market Operations
conducts open-market operations when it buys government bonds from or sells government bonds to the public:
When the Fed buys government bonds, the money supply increases. The money supply decreases when the Fed sells government bonds.
yThe Fed

RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
Reserve Requirements
also influences the money supply with reserve requirements. Reserve requirements are regulations on the minimum amount of reserves that banks must hold against deposits.
yThe Fed

CHANGE THE RESERVE REQUIREMENT


Changing the Reserve Requirement
the amount (%) of a banks total reserves that may not be loaned out.
Increasing the reserve requirement decreases the money supply. Decreasing the reserve requirement increases the money supply.
yThe reserve requirement is

CHANGE DISCOUNT RATE


Changing the Discount Rate
yThe discount

rate is the interest rate the Fed charges banks for

loans.
Increasing the discount rate decreases the money supply. Decreasing the discount rate increases the money supply.

PROBLEMS IN CONTROLLING MONEY SUPPLY


The Feds control of the money supply is not precise. The Fed must wrestle with two problems that arise due to fractional-reserve banking.
The Fed does not control the amount of money that households choose to hold as deposits in banks. The Fed does not control the amount of money that bankers choose to lend.

MONEY SUPPLY
The money supply is a policy variable that is controlled by the Fed.
Through instruments such as open-market operations, the Fed directly controls the quantity of money supplied.

MOTIVES OF MONEY DEMAND


Transaction motive Precautionary motive Speculative motive

MONEY DEMAND
Money demand has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in the economy People hold money because it is the medium of exchange.
The amount of money people choose to hold depends on the prices of goods and services.

Value of Money, 1/P (High) 1

Money supply

Price Level, P 1 (Low)

34

1.33

12

2 Equilibrium price level

Equilibrium value of money

14

4 Money demand

(Low)

Quantity fixed by the Fed

Quantity of Money

(High)

Value of Money, 1/P (High) 1

MS1

MS2

Price Level, P 1 1. An increase in the money supply . . . (Low)

2. . . . decreases the value of money . . .

/4 A

1.33 3. . . . and increases the price level.

12

14

B Money demand

(Low) 0 M1 M2 Quantity of Money

(High)

SPECULATIVE MOTIVE
The interest rate and quantity demanded of money are negatively related. Therefore, the money demand curve is downward sloping. The quantity supplied of money is controlled by Fed. Therefore, the money supply curve is vertical. As money demand increases, the interest rate is higher. As money supply increases, the interest rate is lower.

LIQUIDITY TRAP
When the money demand is perfectly elastic at a low interest rate, the increase in money supply would not have any impact on the interest rate.

QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY


The Quantity Theory of Money
How the price level is determined and why it might change over time is called the quantity theory of money.
The quantity of money available in the economy determines the value of money. The primary cause of inflation is the growth in the quantity of money.

VELOCITY OF MONEY
velocity of money refers to the speed at which the typical dollar bill travels around the economy from wallet to wallet. V = (P v Y)/M
The

Where: V = velocity
P = the price level Y = the quantity of output M = the quantity of money

QUANTITY EQUATION
Rewriting the equation gives the quantity equation: MvV=PvY The quantity equation relates the quantity of money (M) to the nominal value of output (P v Y).

QUANTITY EQUATION
The quantity equation shows that an increase in the quantity of money in an economy must be reflected in one of three other variables:
the price level must rise, the quantity of output must rise, or the velocity of money must fall.

INFLATION TAX
the government raises revenue by printing money, it is said to levy an inflation tax. An inflation tax is like a tax on everyone who holds money. The inflation ends when the government institutes fiscal reforms such as cuts in government spending.
When

FISHER EFFECT
Fisher effect refers to a one-to-one adjustment of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate. According to the Fisher effect, when the rate of inflation rises, the nominal interest rate rises by the same amount. The real interest rate stays the same.
The

COSTS OF INFLATION
Shoeleather costs Menu costs Relative price variability Tax distortions Confusion and inconvenience Arbitrary redistribution of wealth

SHOELEATHER COSTS
costs are the resources wasted when inflation encourages people to reduce their money holdings. Inflation reduces the real value of money, so people have an incentive to minimize their cash holdings. Less cash requires more frequent trips to the bank to withdraw money from interest-bearing accounts. The actual cost of reducing your money holdings is the time and convenience you must sacrifice to keep less money on hand. Also, extra trips to the bank take time away from productive activities.
Shoeleather

MENU COSTS
costs are the costs of adjusting prices. During inflationary times, it is necessary to update price lists and other posted prices. This is a resource-consuming process that takes away from other productive activities.
Menu

DISTORTIONS OF RELATIVE PRICES


Inflation distorts relative prices. Consumer decisions are distorted, and markets are less able to allocate resources to their best use.

TAX DISTORTIONS
Inflation exaggerates the size of capital gains and increases the tax burden on this type of income. With progressive taxation, capital gains are taxed more heavily.

TAX DISTORTIONS
The income tax treats the nominal interest earned on savings as income, even though part of the nominal interest rate merely compensates for inflation. The after-tax real interest rate falls, making saving less attractive.

CONFUSION & INCONVENIENCE


When the Fed increases the money supply and creates inflation, it erodes the real value of the unit of account. Inflation causes dollars at different times to have different real values. Therefore, with rising prices, it is more difficult to compare real revenues, costs, and profits over time.

ARBITRARY REDISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH


Unexpected inflation redistributes wealth among the population in a way that has nothing to do with either merit or need. These redistributions occur because many loans in the economy are specified in terms of the unit of account money.

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