CHAPTER 4 Decision Science 22032017
CHAPTER 4 Decision Science 22032017
CHAPTER 4 Decision Science 22032017
Merge Burst
event event
Combination of merge & burst:-
3) Activity relationships:-
Sr
Network Interpretation
no.
5
4) Dummy activities
It requires neither time nor resources.
These are used either to signify
constraints or to avoid ambiguities or ill-
logicalities.
Indicated by dotted lines.
E.g. 1) A project consists of 4 activities
A, B, C, D. Activities B & C depend on A
while D depends on B & C. Draw a n/w
for the project.
Rule:- Two activities can not have
common start as well as common finish
points. They can have either common
e.g. 2) A simple project consists of 6
activities whose activity relationship is
as follows:-
Sr. Preceded
Activity
no. by
1 1-2 None
2 2-3 1-2
3 2-4 1-2
4 3-5 2-3
5 4-5 2-4
6 5-6 3-5 & 4-5
e.g. 2) A simple project consists of 6
activities whose activity relationship is
as follows:-
Sr. Preceded
Activity
no. by
1 1-2 None
2 2-3 1-2
3 2-4 1-2
4 3-5 2-3
5 4-5 2-3 & 2-4
6 5-6 3-5 & 4-5
Rules for drawing the network
1) Every activity must have one tail
(preceding) & one head (succeeding)
event.
2) Two activities can not have common
start as well as common finish points.
They can have either common start or
finish point, but not both.
3) A n/w should be progression of
activities always moving in the forward
direction.
e.g.
4) All activities must be tied into the n/w.
Dangers should be avoided.
e.g.
5) A n/w should have only one starting &
only one completion event.
e.g.
6) Use of unnecessary dummy activities
should be avoided.
Incorre
ct
Steps in building a network
1) Prepare a list of activities to be performed to
complete the project.
2) Establish technological relationships between the
activities.
3) Construct a precedence table with two columns
with activities recorded in the given sequence in
the second column & their precedence
(technological) relationships in the first column.
4) “Connect the first activity under the first column
to the activity opposite to it in the second
column. Locate the activity connected back in the
first column & join this activity in the second
column”. Repeat above process till one sequence
is covered which gives 1st activity chain”.
5) Start with the next activity from the
top in the 1st column which has not
been connected in the 1st sequence &
follow up step “4” & complete second
sequence & hence obtain 2nd activity
chain.
6) Repeat step 5 over again until all
activities in the first column have been
connected.
7) Build up the n/w from the above
activity chains.
8) Modify n/w (if necessary) considering
do’s & don'ts explained under rules of
Network building examples
Example 1: Draw a network for building a storage steel shed
for an industrial unit. The activities involved in the project are
as follows:
Activit Depends on / Immediate
Activity description
y predecessor activity
A Build a site workshop -
B Fence a site -
C Bend reinforcement for A
foundation
D Dig foundation B
E Fabricate steel work A
F Install concrete making B
plant
G Place the reinforcement C,D
H Concrete the foundation G,F
I Paint steel work E
J Build steel structure H,I
K Give finishing touch J
Example 2: Manufacture of a gear box. Draw the network for
following project
Activities as per
Activity description Depends on
given sequence
A Design gear box -
B Prepare engg. Drawings A
C Purchase of gears & B
shafts
D Purchase of bearings, oil B
seals.
E Make pattern for housing B
F Cast housing E
G Machine housing F
H Turn shafts C
I Heat treat shafts H
J Machine gears C
K Cut gears J
L Heat treatment of gears K
M Assemble gear box D,G,I,L
Answer:-
1) 1st activity chain:- A-B-C-H-I-M-N
2) 2nd activity chain:- B-D-M-N
3) 3rd activity chain:- B-E-F-G-M-N
4) 4th activity chain:- C-J-K-L-M-N
Critical path method (CPM):-
The projects in which the duration of
various activities can be determined
with great accuracy, can be planned
using CPM.
Project managers can exactly come to
know the duration of the project (time
required for its completion).
Critical path:- It’s the longest duration
path between the first & the last events
(nodes) of a project.
Required
Activities Time (days)
Predecessors
- A 2
- B 3
- C 4
A D 1
B E 2
B F 5
C G 7
D,E H 2
F,G I 3
H,I J 1
1) Draw a network diagram for following
project
2) Find its critical path
3) Draw a n/w diagram for following project:-
Required
Activities Time (days)
Predecessors
- A 2
A B 3
A C 4
A D 1
A E 2
B,C F 5
F,D,E G 7
E H 2
F I 3
I,G,H J 1
Q.1 Discuss various steps in application of
CPM &
PERT.
Here the preceding event occurs as late as possible & the succeeding
event occurs as early as possible. Under this condition, the excess time
over the performance time of the activity is called the IDF.
Example : The activities of a project & estimated times
in days for each activity are given below:
Acti 1-2 1-3 1-4 2-3 2-6 3-5 4-5 4-6 5-6
vity (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I)
Dura
tion 8 10 8 10 16 17 18 14 9
1) Draw the network for this project
2) Find the critical path
3) What is the minimum time of completion
for the project?
4) Prepare activity schedule showing the ES,
EF, LS, LF & free float of all activities.
5) Compute Earliest Event times, Latest
event times & slack of all events / nodes.
Activity
Activity Event Earliest Earliest Latest Latest
Duratio
Name Nodes Start Finish Start Finish
n
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
Draw the network diagram for the
following list of activities: (SPPU Exam
10 Marks)
Immediate
Immediate
Activity Predecess Activity
Predecessor
or
A - L K
B A M K
C B N K
D C O D
E D P O
F E Q B
G E R N
H C S L,M
I C,F T S
J G,H,I U P,Q
Q.4. Given the following information,
a) Construct the project network diagram b)
Identify the critical path of the project c) Find
its expected duration d) Calculate Earliest Start
Time (EST) & Latest Finish Time (LFT) of all
activities.
Most
Optimistic Pessimistic
Activit Likely
Time Time
y Time
(Weeks) (Weeks)
(Weeks)
1-2 6 8 7
1-3 1 9 2
1-4 1 7 4
2-6 1 3 2
3-5 1 9 2
4-5 1 9 5
4-7 2 8 2
5-6 4 4 4
5-7 4 10 4
6-8 2 14 5
Numericals on CPM
1) Find the duration of following project:-
Activitie Required
Time (Days)
s Predecessors
A - 7
B A 7
C B 2
D C 4
E D 7
F B 5
G B 7
H G 7
I E,F,H 2
2) Find the duration of following project:-
Required
Activities Time (days)
Predecessors
A - 7
B A 10
C A 12
D B 3
E B 8
F B 7
G F 2
H D,E 5
I C 13
J C 6
K H 14
L E,F 5
Sr. Time
Path
no. (Weeks)
1 ABDHK 39
2 ABEL 30
3 ABFL 29
4 ABFG 26
5 ACI 32
6 ACJ 25
7 ABEHK 44
Numerical:-
Calculate the following for the project
given below:-
1) Critical path & duration of the project
2) ES , EF & LS, LF times for all activities
3) Floats of all the activities
4) Slacks of all the events
5) IF & FF of all the activities
6) Independent floats of all the activities
Precedence relationships Activities as per given sequence
- A
- B
- C
B,E D
C E
C F
C G
G H
A I
A J
I,D,F K
K,H L
J,L M
Programme Evaluation & Review
Technique (PERT)
Useful where the duration of various
activities cannot be predicted with certainty.
e.g. Research & development projects.
a) Launching a space shuttle
b) New product development
And / Or
1
4
7
2
6
3
5
Processing n jobs through m
machines
Example 1: Find the optimal sequence
for the following sequencing problem of
four jobs & five machines when passing
is not allowed, of which processing time
(in hours) is given below:
Jobs
Machi
ne 1 2 3 4
A 7 6 5 8
B 5 6 4 3
C 2 4 5 3
D 3 5 6 2