Chapter 13 - Investments and Saving
Chapter 13 - Investments and Saving
Chapter 13 - Investments and Saving
Principles of
Macroeconomics
3
Different Kinds of Saving
Private saving
= The portion of households’ income that is not
used for consumption or paying taxes
=Y–T–C
Public saving
= Tax revenue less government spending
=T–G
7
National Saving
National saving
= private saving + public saving
= (Y – T – C) + (T – G)
= Y – C – G
= the portion of national income that is not used
for consumption or government purchases
8
Saving and Investment
Recall the national income accounting identity:
Y = C + I + G + NX
For the rest of this chapter, focus on the closed
economy case:
Y=C+I+G
national saving
Solve for I:
I = Y–C = (Y – T – C) + (T – G)
–G
Saving = investment in a closed economy
9
Budget Deficits and Surpluses
Budget surplus
= an excess of tax revenue over govt
spending
= T–G
= public saving
Budget deficit
= a shortfall of tax revenue from govt
spending
= G–T
= – (public saving)
10
A C T I V EL E A R N I N
G
1
A.
Suppose GDP equals $10 trillion,
Calculations
consumption equals $6.5 trillion,
the government spends $2
trillion
and has a budget deficit of $300
billion.
Find public saving, taxes, private saving, national
saving, and investment.
ACTIVELEARNIN
G
1
Answers, part A
Given:
Y = 10.0, C = 6.5, G = 2.0, G–T=
0.3
Public saving
= T – G = – 0.3
Taxes: T = G – 0.3 = 1.7
18
The Market for Loanable Funds
Assume: only one financial market
All savers deposit their saving in this market.
All borrowers take out loans from this market.
There is one interest rate, which is both the
return to saving and the cost of borrowing.
19
The Market for Loanable Funds
The supply of loanable funds comes from saving:
Households with extra income can loan it out
and earn interest.
Public saving, if positive, adds to national
saving and the supply of loanable funds.
If negative, it reduces national saving and the
supply of loanable funds.
20
The Slope of the Supply Curve
An increase in
Interest
Rate
the interest rate
Supply
makes saving
more attractive,
6%
which
increases the
quantity of
3% loanable funds
supplied.
60 80 Loanable Funds
($billions)
21
The Market for Loanable Funds
The demand for loanable funds comes from
investment:
Firms borrow the funds they need to pay for
new equipment, factories, etc.
Households borrow the funds they need to
purchase new houses.
22
The Slope of the Demand Curve
A fall in the interest
Interest rate reduces the cost
Rate
of borrowing, which
7% increases the quantity
of loanable funds
demanded.
4%
Demand
50 80 Loanable Funds
($billions)
23
Equilibrium
The interest rate
Interest adjusts to equate
Rate Supply supply and demand.
60 Loanable Funds
($billions)
24
Policy 1: Saving Incentives
Tax incentives for
Interest saving increase
Rate S1 S2 the supply of L.F.
Loanable Funds
60 70
($billions)
25
Policy 2: Investment Incentives
An investment tax
Interest credit increases the
Rate S1 demand for L.F.
6%
…which raises the
5% eq’m interest rate
and increases the
D2 eq’m quantity of L.F.
D1
60 70 Loanable Funds
($billions)
26
A C T I V EL E A R N I N
G
2
Budget deficits
Use the loanable funds model to analyze
the effects of a government budget deficit:
Draw the diagram showing the initial
equilibrium.
Determine which curve shifts when the
government runs a budget deficit.
Draw the new curve on your diagram.
What happens to the equilibrium values of the
interest rate and investment?
A C T I V EL E A R N I N
G
2
Answers A budget deficit reduces
national saving and the
Interest S2 supply of L.F.
Rate S1
Loanable Funds
50 60 ($billions)
Budget Deficits, Crowding Out,
and Long-Run Growth
Our analysis: Increase in budget deficit
causes fall in investment.
The govt borrows to finance its deficit,
leaving less funds available for investment.
This is called crowding out.
Recall from the preceding chapter:
Investment is important for long-run economic
growth. Hence, budget deficits reduce the
economy’s growth rate and future standard of
living.
29
The U.S. Government Debt
The government finances deficits by borrowing
(selling government bonds).
Persistent deficits lead to a rising govt debt.
The ratio of govt debt to GDP is a useful
measure of the government’s indebtedness
relative to its ability to raise tax revenue.
Historically, the debt-GDP ratio usually rises
during wartime and falls during peacetime—until
the early 1980s.
30
U.S. Government Debt
as a Percentage of GNP, 1790–2012
120%
WW2
100%
Financial
80% Crisis
Revolutionary
60% War
Civil
War WW1
40%
20%
0%
1790 1810 1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990
CONCLUSION
Like many other markets, financial markets are
governed by the forces of supply and
demand.
One of the Ten Principles from Chapter 1:
Markets are usually a good way
to organize economic activity.
Financial markets help allocate the economy’s
scarce resources to their most efficient uses.
Financial markets also link the present to the future:
They enable savers to convert current income into
future purchasing power, and borrowers to acquire
capital to produce goods and services in the future.32
Summary
• The U.S. financial system is made up of many
types of financial institutions, like the stock and
bond markets, banks, and mutual funds.
• National saving equals private saving plus
public saving.
• In a closed economy, national saving equals
investment. The financial system makes this
happen.
Summary
• The supply of loanable funds comes from
saving. The demand for funds comes from
investment. The interest rate adjusts to
balance supply and demand in the loanable
funds market.
• A government budget deficit is negative public
saving, so it reduces national saving, the supply
of funds available to finance investment.
• When a budget deficit crowds out investment,
it reduces the growth of productivity and
GDP.