Issue #195 The Energy Picture in A Few Graphics
Issue #195 The Energy Picture in A Few Graphics
Issue #195 The Energy Picture in A Few Graphics
A 2024 Update
“Our most important task is to get off our
collision course. The first step in this process
is to thoroughly understand the problem and
begin to see the possibilities” within
intelligent responses
E.F. Schumacher in his 1973 book, Small Is Beautiful:
Economics as if People Mattered
Table of Contents
• Big Energy Picture In 22 Graphics – VLOG #1
• Electricity Picture In 14 Graphics – VLOG #2
• Noted intelligent response – Cogeneration or Combined Heat AND Power
Responses Intro
buildings 14:45
•Establishing a regenerative farm
matrix 17:24
https://youtu.be/Jo
•What makes up a Net Zero Home or Commercial
Building 20:25
•Intelligent response options for regenerative agriculture
t0RALHVIw
27:25
•Embodied building energy considerations and the green revolution
33:26
•A profitable integrated regenerative agriculture process scenario
38:31
•Regenerative and sustainable closed loop advantages
42:54
Electricity Picture
• Nationally, 450 landfills and 87 incinerators produced about 24 million megawatt-hours of electricity in 2007,
about 2 days of U.S. electricity use.
• By comparison, wind energy contributes about 3 days of U.S. power a year
• Solar produces 76 minutes’ worth.
US Energy Department data, 2009
o Fossil fuels accounted for about 80% of world primary energy consumption in 2022 and since, even with giant
subsidies since 2009:
o Solar was 0.8% & increased 25%
o Wind was 1.3% & increased 14%
o Nuclear was 1.7% & decreased 4%
2023 stats:
There are 3,393 fossil fuel-fired power plants
across the USA, most of which are natural
gas plants. Those plants generate more than
60 percent of the nation’s electricity. The
plants account for around 25 percent of the
nation’s emissions, according to the EPA.
EFFICIENCY
• CHP avoids heat and transmission losses, so is far more
efficient than the electric grid.
ENVIRONMENTAL
• More efficient energy production reduces air pollution
and greenhouse gas emissions.
• By recovering ‘waste heat,’ CHP systems reduce carbon
emissions by 15-40% vs. the grid. EPA statistics show a
5MW natural gas CHP system can decrease emissions The EPA and Canada Green
from 45 kT/yr to 23 kT/yr.
Building Council (LEED)
promote the use of CHP.
Multi-Flex
Fuel By
Yanmar
ARK Passive Cooling uses about 5% (only 0.27kWh when operating per 1/10th
acre) of the amount of electricity that a swamp cooler uses (4.9kWh).
The ARK Cooling system uses 0.56 L h m² as compared to a pad and fan cooling system
(source Al-Helal 2007) which showed water consumption of 1.08 L h m² of floor area,
making the NVAC system more efficient in terms of water use efficiency. A swamp
cooler can use 10 gallons of water per hour with no water recovery (Source: McGill
University thesis)
Hot air out
Screen wind turbines
mesh
Buoyancy Effect
Cool air from low to Wind Effect
ground
Cools by 6-
The ARK Cooling System 20°C or 3.4-
22.7°F while
hardly using
electricity!!
Natural Gas
Hmmm
IEA’s wishful notion
Canada’s Recent Natural Gas Use & the soon to happen collision with its LNG licenses
• Warmer weather will help draw down on the record NatGas storage in the US. The end of
the withdrawal season was:
• 2019: 1.107 trillion cubic feet (tcf)
• 2020: 1.986 tcf
• 2021: 1.750 tcf
• 2022: 1.386 tcf
• 2023: 1.830 tcf
• 2024: 2.259 tcf, the highest inventories in years for the US.
• 47.1 million tons per annum (mtpa) or 2.827 trillion cubic feet of natural gas for export to
Asia by 2028-2030.
The export plans of these LNG plants would leave a massive shortage of natural gas for
export to the USA even if production output can be maintained
Hmmm how much industry might Canada
attract with low natural gas prices rather
than exporting at a discount
Note: Canada decides to export about half
it’s gas which will ultimately hurt Canada
badly
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- Data centers alone now use 4.7+% of electricity used in the world and growing
- It takes an estimated 1,449 kilowatt hours (kWh) of energy to mine a single
bitcoin.
•Canadian Legislated to be Added Carbon Levy
per GJ of Natural Gas:
•2021 - $2.02/GJ
•2026 - $5.57/GJ
•2030 - $8.60/GJ
ARK Concentrated Solar Boiler
Concentrated Solar Boiler
Solar Technology Comparison
Concentrated Solar Plant vs Solar PV farm
CSP PV Comment
Capacity - MW 100 100
Sunlight converstion (watts/square meter) 500 200 PV is 200 and solar thermal is 700
Solar collection Area 200,000 500,000
site collection area ratio 2 0.5 stacked csp vs spaced solar farm
Site Area required (m2) 100,000 1,000,000
Site area required (acres) 25 247 Evacuated Concentrated
investment rate per watt 0.40 1.50
plant cost ($millions) 40 150 Tube Collector Solar Plant
Safe from vacuum loss
X
Dirt, snow, glass
cleaning, etc X
Stagnation &
overheating X
25 years lifetime
X
Medium temperature
160°C plus X
Most Efficiency Wins
Our 4’ X 28’ parabolic mirror concentrated solar system components reach
efficiencies of 72% at 1000w/m² solar radiation. This aligns well with the
International Journal of Low Carbon Technologies 2011 findings that the best
solar performer was a “natural convection heat pipe system (concentrated solar)
where the maximum temperature reached up to nearly 100°C / 210°F or boiling
water temperatures”. Such temperatures enable the use of hot water for
electrical generation, space heating and cooling and or industrial process heat for
maximum flexibility of use. We can also well store this heated water to overcome
solar intermittency in 3” insulated tanks where our heat loss will be only
22BTU/ft²/hr.
Intelligent Response - BioGas
• https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-renewable-natural-gas-boom-coming-advocates-say-as-co
mpanies-turn/
• https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/poop-boom-manure-supplies-tighten-fertilizer-prices-soar
In this work, the analysis study of the use of solar thermal energy to heat a
mesophilic digester was carried out. The aim of this work is to compare
between two optimized design which developed by using TRNSYS platform
and chose the best system which can cover almost all need heat energy of
the bio-digester. The result showed that the design 2 is powerful than the
first design [6], i.e, the system 2 cover almost 100 % in all period of the
year, in the contrary the first design occupied 87% for all year.
Solar
heat gain
assists
Source:
https://afdc.energy.gov/files/u/publication/alternative_fuel_p
rice_report_july_2021.pdf
Carbon intensity is ‘game changer’ | The Western Producer
Algae Greenhouses
The Intelligent
Response of •Small scale biodiesel production plants have been
used by many for a very long time and we provide
JJ_wnwdTMk
Coal
Coal still
globally going
strong in 2024
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/us-coal-miners-all-sold-out-coal-2022
Worldwide demand for coal is set to reach a historic high this year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its ‘Coal 2023’ report .
The body sees global demand for the fuel rising 1.4% by the end of 2023, surpassing 8.5 billion tons for the first time on record, largely due to soaring coal consumption in “favoured” economies. For
instance, “in India and China, it is expected to grow by 8% and 5%, respectively, largely driven by a growing demand for electricity amid insufficient hydropower production”.
Canada has more than tripled coal exports since claiming to ban coal exports under its climate plan, new records show. Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault had threatened to use criminal sanctions
against provinces that continue running coal-fired power plants (turns out the CO² from burning in China is good but helping Canadians is criminal in these policies): "Canada is driving the international
phase-out of emissions from coal power." READ MORE
At 32 million tonnes, Canada’s exports were nearly the same as the US, accounting for a similar dollar value even after factoring in currency translation. About 83% came from BC and Alberta. The difference
was that nearly half of Canadian exports go to China instead of India. Little wonder, federal Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault is listed as executive vice-chairman of the Beijing-based China council for
International Cooperation on Environment and Development. The irony is that he sits on a Chinese environment NGGO linked directly to Chinese Premier Xi Jinping even as he pushes emissions caps back
home.
Nuclear
Current US Nuclear Power Numbers
America currently operates 92 nuclear reactors across 54 commercially
operating nuclear-power plants, providing 18.2 percent of the nation’s
electricity, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
That’s down from 99 reactors in 2016. The average nuclear plant employs
between 400 and 700 highly skilled workers, has a payroll of about $40
million, and contributes $470 million to the local economy,
according to the Nuclear Energy Institute trade group.
Source:
https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/04/case-for-nuclear-strengthens-as-
first-new-nuclear-reactor-in-decades-goes-online/
By 2021, nuclear
energy had fallen to
4.3% of global energy
production. Several
nuclear accidents—
Chernobyl, Three
Mile Island, and
Fukushima—
contributed to
turning sentiment
against nuclear
energy.
o In 2006, the Energy Watch Group of Germany studied world uranium supplies and issued a report concluding that, in its most optimistic scenario,
the peak of world uranium production will be achieved before 2040. If large numbers of new nuclear power plants are constructed to offset the use
of coal as an electricity source, then supplies will peak much sooner. Thomas Seltmann, “Nuclear Power: The Beginning of the End,” Sun & Wind
Energy (Energy Watch Group, November 2009).
o Today, there are some 441 nuclear power reactors operating in 30 countries. These 441 reactors, with combined capacity of over 376 Gigawatts (One
GWe equals one billion watts or one thousand megawatts), require 69,000 tonnes/year of uranium oxide (U3O8).
o In all there are over 300 reactors being built. Each GWe of increased capacity will require about 195 tU per year of extra mine production – three
times this for the first fuel load.
o In 2008, mines supplied 51,600 tonnes of uranium oxide concentrate containing 43,853 tU, which means mining supplied roughly 75% of nuclear
utility power requirements. The remaining supply deficit used to be made up from stockpiled uranium held by nuclear power utilities, but their
stockpiles are pretty much depleted.
o The world only has about 70 years' supply of reactor-grade uranium left at current consumption. New reactors are projected to add an incredible
42% more nuclear power plants within the next decade to 15 years. That means our uranium supply will fall even faster albeit there is hope as we
currently do not have the technology to use most of the energy embodied in uranium or to use thorium.
o “If all the world’s electricity was nuclear-generated, the supply of accessible uranium would be exhausted in nine years.” (source Dr. Helen Caldicott ,
https://www.helencaldicott.com/)
We have been bullish on uranium since 2009
The world might try to go increasingly nuclear – but every cubic mile of oil equivalent (CMO
– energy used globally annually) of nuclear energy will require 500 new surface uranium
mines; 1,000 new underground uranium mines; and 2,280 nuclear reactor operations.
Only a third of world’s great rivers remain free flowing, analysis finds
The Guardian
Billions of people rely on rivers for water, food and irrigation, but from the Danube to the Yangtze most large rivers are
fragmented and degraded. Untouched rivers are largely confined to remote places such as the Arctic and Amazonia. The
assessment, the first to tackle the subject on a worldwide level, examined 12m kilometres of rivers and found that just 90 of
the 246 rivers more than 1,000km (621 miles) long flowed without interruption. Click here to continue reading
European rivers are littered with barricades, but a movement grows to remove them National Geographic
In a four-year study spanning 36 European countries, scientists surveyed almost 1,700 miles of river by foot—and found at
least 1.2 million obstacles preventing European rivers from flowing freely. That’s more than one barrier for every mile of river
(or 0.74 barriers per kilometer).
Hydro-electric output dropped 14% in
2021 due to lack of moisture
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/renewables-not-so-reliable-us-hydropower-plunges-14
2023 headlines:
Drought reveals cracks in Canada-U.S. Columbia River Treaty as B.C. lake dries up
The resident of Nakusp on the shores of the reservoir in British Columbia’s southern Interior says she’s seen thousands
of dead fish on the shore, and the receding waterline means boat access has been cut to waterfront properties.
Instead of lapping waters, some homes now face an expanse of sucking quicksand. Drought is part of the reason. But
so too is the Columbia River Treaty with the United States that obligates B.C. to direct water from the reservoir across
the border at American behest. Click here to continue reading
Money, power and an ecosystem are all at stake in Canada-U.S. negotiations over this river
Walk along the banks of the Columbia River in B.C. and you might be forgiven for thinking it’s like any of the province’s
other big waterways. You might spot a sturgeon, or glimpse one of the more than 60 dams in the Columbia’s
watershed. But the Columbia is not like other rivers. For one, it crosses the U.S. border to empty into the Pacific in
Oregon. The Columbia River basin is also a vital source of electricity, providing about 40 per cent of all U.S.
hydroelectric power, while B.C. draws almost half of its total electrical generation from the region.
Click here to continue reading
Hydrogen
Water for a Hydrogen Economy: an Alberta case study
How much water is required to produce hydrogen? How much water and hydrogen would be required to
replace 20% of the natural gas produced in Alberta? What is the cost of producing hydrogen? A report
was recently published by WaterSMART Solutions Ltd. that responds to these questions. The report
highlights the importance of water in the development of the hydrogen economy, and particularly begins
to consider the tradeoffs that will likely be required with existing water consuming sectors in the
province.
https://watersmartsolutions.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/watersmart_H2infographic_FINAL_v2.pdf
https://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Fuel-Cells/Is-Green-Hydrogen-Being-Overhyped.html
Renewables
If we are about protecting the environment:
Data from NOAA Fisheries shows humpback whale strandings from Maine to Florida have
surged post-2016.
That Or This
1. Gain of rooftop acreage with little transport required
2. Role of small business in decentralized production
3. Virtually free greenhouse cooling
4. Virtually free passive solar greenhouse heating
5. Composting for heating, nutrient reuse and biogas
6. Aquaponics to solve overfishing and reduce produce
fertilizer costs
7. Concentrated solar
8. Cogen to quadgeneration for energy efficiency
9. Algae greenhouse for new fast replenishment fuels
10. Only a fragment of what permaculture has to offer
Leveraging Energy •• The What’s and Why’s of Passive Solar Heating