Experimental Design
Experimental Design
Experimental Design
Faculty of Technology
Wollega University
Cr.hr:- 2( 4ECTS)
Instructor: -Refisa W.
Email:[email protected]
©2023 G.C
Chapter One
Introduction
1. Perception of Quality
Wollega University
variation/process variation.
Taguchi quantified this loss through a quality loss function.
The quality characteristic is the object of interest of a product
or process.
Generally, the quality characteristic will have a target. There
are three types of targets.
1. Nominal–the best: When we have a characteristic with bi-lateral
tolerance, the nominal value is the target. That is, if all parts are made to
this value, the variation will be zero and it is the best.
For example: A component with a specification of 10 0.01 mm has the
nominal value of 10 mm. Similarly, if the supply voltage has a
specification of 230 10 V. Here the nominal value is 230V
…Cont’d
2. Smaller–the better: It is a non negative measurable
Wollega University
where,
Y = value of the quality characteristic (e.g., length, force,
diameter etc.)
L(Y) = loss in per product when the quality characteristic is
equal to Y
T = target value of Y
K = proportionality constant or cost coefficient which depends
on the cost at the specification limits and the width of the
specification
…CONT’D
Wollega University
characteristic (Y).
The specification for voltage is 230 10 V.
Target voltage = 230 V
Consumer tolerance = 10 V.
Let A0 = average cost of repair/adjustment at a deviation of
At the specification,
Therefore,
…Cont’d
Estimation of Average Quality Loss
The quality loss we obtain from Eq. (1.1) is for a single
Wollega University
product.
The quality loss estimate should be an average value and
should be estimated from a sample of parts/products.
Suppose we take a sample of n parts/products. Then we will
have:
Y1, Y2, ..., Yi values where, i = 1, 2, 3, ..., n
Let the average of this sample = . This may or may not
be equal to the target value (T).
The quality loss is modelled as follows:
Estimation of Average Quality Loss
Wollega University
The term in the parenthesis is the average of all values of (Yi – T)2 and is
called Mean Square Deviation (MSD).
Therefore, L(Y) = K(MSD)
On simplification
…Cont’d
Wollega University
where,
= population standard deviation
= bias of the sample from the target.
For practical purpose we use sample standard deviation ( –1)
Since, L(Y) = K(MSD)
……….. (e)
Note that the loss estimated by Equation (E) is the average
loss per part/product
Total loss = (number of parts/products)
Quality Loss Function (smaller-the better case)
……………..(f)
and
……………..(g)
Figure 1.2 shows the loss function for smaller—the better type
of quality characteristic.
…Cont’d
The average loss per part/product
can be obtained by substituting T
Wollega University
= 0 in Eq. (e).
……………(h)
………………………………(j)
Figure 1.3 shows the quality loss for the
case of larger–the better type of quality
characteristic.
The loss per part/product averaged from
many sample parts/products is given by:
………………………………(k)
Wollega University
On simplification of Eq. (k), the average loss per part/product will be given by:
………………………………(l)
Illustration 1.1
Nominal–the Best Case
A company manufactures coolers of various capacities in which the compressor
Wollega University
forms the critical item. The specification for the voltage of the compressor of a
specific capacity is 230 20 V. The consumer loss at the specification was
estimated to be 3000. This includes repair/replacement cost and other related
cost based on customer complaints. The company purchases two types of
compressors (Brand A and Brand B). The output voltage data collected for 20
compressors are given in Table 1.1.
…Cont’d
Determine which brand of compressors should be purchased
Wollega University
…Cont’d
The mean and standard deviation values computed for the
Wollega University
The mean, variance, and the average loss per cable is given in Table 1.4.
…Cont’d
Wollega University
The average loss per casing is less with Supplier 2. Hence, Supplier 2 is preferred.
Illustration 1.3
Larger–the Better Case
Wollega University
This problem is concerned with the comparison of the life of electric bulbs
of same wattage manufactured by two different companies. The quality
characteristic (Y) is the life of the bulb in hours
Determine the average loss per bulb for the two companies.
…Cont’d
Wollega University
The average loss per product is computed from Equation given below
1) Traditional Method
Usually in manufacturing companies, the quality loss is estimated by
considering the number of defects/defectives. In this, it is assumed that all
parts with in the specification will not have any quality loss.
Loss by defect = Proportion out of specification x number of products x
cost per product
2) Quality Loss Function Method
This method is based on dispersion (deviation from target). Depending on
the type of quality characteristic, quality loss is estimated using an
appropriate quality loss function. Suppose we have a nominal–the best
type of quality characteristic.
…Cont’d
Loss by dispersion = X number of products
Wollega University
per part
= 0.0027 X 50,000 X 30
= 4,050.
Note the difference between the two estimates. So, to reduce the quality
loss we need to reduce the dispersion (variation) there by improving
quality.
Basic Design Principles
The purpose of statistically designed experiments is to collect appropriate
data which shall be analyzed by statistical methods resulting in valid and
Wollega University
objective conclusions.
The two aspects of experimental problem are as follows:
1. The design of the experiment, and
2. The statistical analysis of the data.
The following basic principles are used in planning/designing an
experiment.
1. Replication: Replication involves the repetition of the experiment and
obtaining the response from the same experimental set up once again on
different experimental unit (samples).
The purpose of replication is to obtain the magnitude of experimental error.
This error estimate (error variance) is used for testing statistically the
observed difference in the experimental data.
…Cont’d
Replications also permit the experimenter to obtain a precise estimate of
the effect of a factor studied in the experiment.
Wollega University
of the experiment.
Blocking is used to reduce or eliminate the effect of nuisance
factors or noise factors.
A block is a portion of the experimental material that should
be more homogeneous than the entire set of material or a
block is a set of more or less homogeneous experimental
conditions.
It is also a restriction on complete randomization.
The three basic principles of experimental design,
randomization, replication and blocking are part of all
experiments.
Terminology used in Design Experiment
All input variables which affect the output of a system are factors. Factors
are varied in the experiment. They can be controlled at fixed levels.
They can be varied or set at levels of our interest. They can be qualitative or
quantitative. These are also called independent variables.
Levels of a factor: the values of a factor/independent variable being
examined in an experiment.
If the factor is an attribute, each of its state is a level.
For example, setting of a switch on or off are the two levels of the factor
switch setting.
If the factor is a variable, the range is divided into required number of levels.
For example, the factor temperature ranges from 1000 to 1200°C and it is to
be studied at three values say 1000°C, 1100°C and 1200°C, these three
values are the three levels of the factor temperature.
The levels can be fixed or random.
…Cont’d
Treatment: One set of levels of all factors employed in a given experimental
Wollega University
……………………….(k)
It is partitioned into two components.
Total variation = variation between treatments + variation
within the treatment or error
SS Total = SS due to treatments + SS due to error
i.e. SS Total = SST + SSe
A typical format used for ANOVA computations is shown in Table 1.7
…Cont’d
Table 1.7: ANOVA: Single Factor
Experiment
Wollega University
…………………….(1b)
where b0 and b1 are the estimates of βo and β1 respectively. Applying the
method of least squares we get the following two normal equations which
can be solved for the parameters.
…………………….(1c)
…………………….(1d)
…………………….(1e)
…………………….(1f)
…Cont’d
Wollega University
From the normal Eqs. (1c) and (1d), the parameters b0 and b1
can also be expressed in terms of sums of squares as follows:
……………………………………….(1g)
……………………………………….(1h)
…………………………………(1i)
…………………………………(1j)
……… (1k)
SSX and SSY are called corrected sum of squares. And βo and β1 are estimated
as follows:
….Cont’d
Wollega University
….Cont’d
…Cont’d
Test for significance of regression is to determine if there is a linear
Wollega University
…Cont’d
Wollega University
…Cont’d
Wollega University
Chapter Two
Factorial Experiments
Wollega University
Single-Factor Experiments
In single-factor experiments only one factor is investigated.
The factor may be either qualitative or quantitative.
If the levels of a factor are qualitative (type of tool, type of
material, etc.), it is called qualitative factor.
If the levels of a factor are quantitative (temperature, pressure,
velocity, etc.), it is called quantitative factor.
The levels of a factor can be fixed (selecting specific levels) or
random (selecting randomly).
Some examples of a single-factor experiment are:
Studying the effect of type of tool on surface finish of a
machined part
…Cont’d
Effect of type of soil on yield
Wollega University
Table 2.1.
Two-factor factorial Design
we represent the levels of the factor as low (–) and high (+).
represent the levels of the factor as low (–) and high (+).
• The effect due to temperature in this experiment (Figure 2.1(a)) is the
average of the effect at the high level pressure and at the low level of
pressure.
• That is,
Effect of temperature at the high level of pressure = (100 – 80) = 20
Effect of temperature at the low level of pressure = (130 – 110) = 20
Average effect of temperature = 1/2(20 + 20) = 20
Similarly, we can find the effect of pressure.
Average effect of pressure = 1/2{(100 – 130) + (80 – 100)} = –30
Interaction effect: The combined effect due to both the factors
is called the interaction effect.
Tests on Means
Hypothesis Tests
Wollega University
…………………….. (2.1a)
Example
The tensile strength of fabric is required to be at least 50 kg/cm2. From past
experience it is known that the standard deviation of tensile strength is 2.5
kg/cm2. From a random sample of 9 specimens, it is found that the mean
tensile strength is 48 kg/cm2.
Example
ii. p-value approach: From standard normal table, the tail area
under the curve beyond –2.41 is 0.008. So, the p-value for the
test is 0.008.
Since α – value is more than the p-value we reject the null
hypothesis
Example
A cement manufacturer claims that the mean settling time of
his cement is not more than 45 minutes. A random sample of
20 bags of cement selected and tested showed an average
settling time of 49.5 minutes with a standard deviation of 3
minutes. Test whether the company’s claim is true.
Use α = 0.05.
…Cont’d
Wollega University
……………………. (2.2c)
If variances are not known and sample size is large (n > 30), σ1
and σ2 in Eq. (2.2c) are replaced by S1 and S2
Example
A company manufacturing clay bricks claims that their bricks (Brand A) dry
faster than its rival company’s Brand B. A customer tested both brands by
selecting samples randomly and the following results have been obtained
…Example
Table 2.2 Given Illustration
Wollega University
…Example
…Example
From normal table, Z0.05.= 1.65. Hence we reject Ho. That is,
Wollega University
…Example
Quiz-2
1. If the levels of a factor are type of tool, type of material,
Wollega University
The response (yield) total from the two replications for the
four-treatment combinations is shown below.
Illustration 3.1
Wollega University
(Illustration 3.2).
The two replications of this experiment are given in Table 3.3.
Suppose one batch of material is just enough to run one replicate. Each
replication is run in one block. Thus, we will have two blocks for this
problem as shown in Figure 3.3.
From Figure 3.3 the block totals are Block 1 (B1) = 179 and Block 2 (B2)
= 184.
(Illustration 3.3).
Wollega University