Benefits of RFM Analysis: Pareto Principle
Benefits of RFM Analysis: Pareto Principle
Benefits of RFM Analysis: Pareto Principle
value. RFM analysis is a way to use data based on existing customer behavior
to predict how a new customer is likely to act in the future. An RFM model is
built using three key factors:
RFM analysis was born out of direct mail marketing, in particular a 1995 article
by Tom Wansbeek and Jan Roelf Bult titled “Optimal Selection for Direct Mail,”
which was published in the journal Marketing Science. Their work helped
confirm the Pareto Principle — the idea widely held among marketers that
80% of sales come from 20% of a brand’s customers.
Each of these RFM metrics has been shown to be effective in predicting future
customer behavior and increasing revenue. Customers who have made a
purchase in the recent past are more likely to do so in the near future. Those
who interact with your brand more frequently are more likely to do so again
soon. And those who have spent the most are more likely to be big spenders
going forward.
RFM analysis enables you to target customers with messages that best match
their relationship with your brand. For example, you are likely to have more
success suggesting big-ticket items to customers who spend frequently and in
large amounts. On the other hand, you are more likely to grow the customer
value of your relationships with consumers who make purchases frequently,
but only in small amounts, by rewarding them for their loyalty or offering
referral promotions.
With the advent of systems like customer data platforms (CDPs) that help
gather, unify and synthesize customer behaviors, marketers have much more
granular data about the habits of individual customers to inform segmentation.
Rather than segmenting customers only using demographic and psychographic
data, marketers can create segments based on the real-world behavior of
individuals, including purchase history across any channel (online or offline),
browsing history, prior campaign responses and more. Unsurprisingly, this type
of segmentation is called behavioral segmentation.
And even a basic CRM system can perform rudimentary tracking of the three
easily quantifiable characteristics that contribute to RFM analysis:
Recency value: This refers to the amount of time since a customer’s last
interaction with a brand, which can include their last purchase, a visit to a
website, use of a mobile app, a “like” on social media and more. Recency is a
key metric because customers who have interacted with your brand more
recently are more likely to respond to new marketing efforts.
Frequency value: This refers to the number of times a customer has made a
purchase or otherwise interacted with your brand during a particular period of
time. Frequency is a key metric because it shows how deeply a customer is
engaged with your brand. Greater frequency indicates a higher degree of
customer loyalty.
Monetary value: This refers to the total amount a customer has
spent purchasing products and services from your brand over a particular
period of time. Monetary value is a key metric because the customers who
have spent the most in the past are more likely to spend more in the future.
Your best customers: These are the customers who earn top scores in every
category. They’re loyal, willing to spend generously and likely to make another
purchase soon. Such customers are primed to respond well to loyalty
programs. They’re more likely to be interested in new products you launch. And
because they’re committed to your brand and its products, it probably makes
less business sense to offer them discount pricing. Instead, increase CLTV by
suggesting big-ticket items and recommending products based on past
purchases.
Your big spenders: This customer segment is based on only one of the three
metrics: customers with top scores for monetary value. Typically, marketers
target this segment with luxury offers, higher subscription tiers and value-add
cross-/upsells that increase average order value. Again, it probably makes
sense not to shrink margins by offering discounts.
Your loyal customers: This is another customer segment that takes into
consideration only one of the three metrics: customers with top
scores for frequency. Despite making purchases often, they aren’t necessarily
your biggest spenders, so consider rewarding them with free shipping or similar
offers. Advocacy programs and reviews can
also be effective ways to engage these customers.
Your faithful customers: Customers who score high for frequency but low in
monetary value tend to respond best to product recommendations based on
past purchases, as well as incentives tied to spending thresholds (e.g., a free
gift for transactions above the brand’s average order value).
Your at-risk customers: Customers who have been in your top tier in the past
(best, big spenders and/or loyal) but who now score low
for recency and frequency present a special opportunity. Marketers
should consider targeting them with messages aimed at retention, such as
discount pricing, exclusive offers and new product launches. With the help of
your CDP, you can even create specific customer journeys aimed at re-
engaging and retaining at-risk customers.
Simplicity: RFM analysis does not, on its own, require complex tools or
sophisticated analytical capabilities. The principles are easy to understand and
the results are easy to interpret and act on.
Affordability: In many cases, it’s possible for marketing professionals without
advanced statistical or analytical training to
perform RFM customer segmentation with only a standard
spreadsheet.
Effectiveness in direct marketing: RFM analysis, which grew out of
database marketing and direct mail marketing, has been shown to be effective
with relatively inexpensive digital direct marketing strategies that smaller
brands can afford, such as an email marketing campaign.
Nevertheless, thanks to CDPs, marketers are now able to combine RFM data
with other behavioral and demographic traits — everything from geolocation to
recent products purchased — to create even more effective segmentation.
Better yet, they can quickly and easily apply lookalike models and other
sophisticated analytics to predict what messages are
most likely to resonate and how and when those messages are most likely to
prompt action.