2 Time Value of Money
2 Time Value of Money
2 Time Value of Money
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Future Values
t
FV $100 (1 r )
Example - FV
What is the future value of $100 if interest is
compounded annually at a rate of 6% for five years?
5
FV $100 (1 .06 ) $133 .82
Future Values with Compounding
1800
1600 0%
1400 5%
10%
1200
FV of $100
15%
1000
Interest Rates
800
600
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
Compounding Periods
For example, if you invest $50 for 3 years at 12%
compounded semi-annually, your investment will
grow to
23
.12
FV $50 1 $50 (1.06) 6 $70.93
2
Present Values
Present Value Discount Factor
Value today of a Present value of
future cash a $1 future
flow. payment.
Discount Rate
Interest rate used
to compute
present values of
future cash flows.
Present Values
Present Value = PV
PV 3000
(1.08) 2
$2,572
Present Values
Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1
DF 1
(1 r ) t
PV FV 1
(1 r ) t
Present Values with Compounding
120
Interest Rates
100
0%
80 5%
PV of $100
10%
60 15%
40
20
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
PV of Multiple Cash Flows
Example
Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500 cash
now, or make three payments: $8,000 now and $4,000 at
the end of the following two years. If your cost of money is
8%, which do you prefer?
Immediatepayment 8,000.00
4 , 000
PV1 (1.08)1
3,703.70
4 , 000
PV2 (1.08) 2
3,429.36
Total PV $15,133.06
Present Values
$8,000
$4,000 $ 4,000
$10,000
NPV $9,500
1.05
NPV $9,500 $9,523.81
NPV $23.81
The present value of the cash inflow is greater
than the cost. In other words, the Net Present
Value is positive, so the investment should be
purchased.
Net Present Value
ln( 2) 0.6931
T 7.27 years
ln( 1.10) 0.0953
What Rate Is Enough?
Assume the total cost of a college education will be
$50,000 when your child enters college in 12 years.
You have $5,000 to invest today. What rate of interest
must you earn on your investment to cover the cost
of your child’s education? About 21.15%.
T
FV C 0 (1 r ) 12
$50,000 $5,000 (1 r )
12 $50,000
(1 r ) 10 (1 r ) 101 12
$5,000
1 12
r 10 1 1.2115 1 .2115
Multiple Cash Flows
• Consider an investment that pays $200 one year from
now, with cash flows increasing by $200 per year
through year 4. If the interest rate is 12%, what is the
present value of this stream of cash flows?
• If the issuer offers this investment for $1,500, should
you purchase it?
Multiple Cash Flows
0 1 2 3 4
318.88
427.07
508.41
1,432.93
Present Value < Cost → Do Not Purchase
Perpetuities & Annuities
C1 C2
PV ( 1 r ) 1 (1 r ) 2 ....
4.4 Simplifications
• Perpetuity
• A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever
• Growing perpetuity
• A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate
forever
• Annuity
• A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed
number of periods
• Growing annuity
• A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a
fixed number of periods
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever
C C C
…
0 1 2 3
C C C
PV 2
3
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
C
PV
r
Perpetuity: Example
£15
PV £150
.10
Growing Perpetuity
C
PV
rg
Growing Perpetuity: Example
$1.30
PV $26.00
.10 .05
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T
C C C C
PV 2
3
T
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
C 1
PV 1 T
r (1 r )
Annuity: Example
$400 1
PV 1 36
$12,954.59
.07 / 12 (1 .07 12)
What is the present value of a four-year annuity of $100
per year that makes its first payment two years from today if the
discount rate is 9%?
4
$100 $100 $100 $100 $100
PV1 t
1
2
3
4
$323.97
t 1 (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) (1.09) (1.09)
0 1 2 3 4 5
$327 .97
PV $297 .22
0 1.09
Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity
C C×(1+g) C ×(1+g)2 C×(1+g)T-1
0 1 2 3 T
C C (1 g ) C (1 g )T 1
PV 2
T
(1 r ) (1 r ) (1 r )
C 1 g
T
PV 1
r g (1 r )
Growing Annuity: Example
$20,000 1.03
40
PV 1 $265,121.57
.10 .03 1.10
Growing Annuity: Example
You are evaluating an income generating property. Net rent is
received at the end of each year. The first year's rent is
expected to be $8,500, and rent is expected to increase 7%
each year. What is the present value of the estimated income
stream over the first 5 years if the discount rate is 12%?
$8,500 (1.07 ) 2 $8,500 (1.07) 4
$8,500 (1.07 ) $8,500 (1.07) 3
$8,500 $9,095 $9,731.65 $10,412.87 $11,141.77
0 1 2 3 4 5
$34,706.26
4.5 What Is a Firm Worth?
• Conceptually, a firm should be worth the present
value of the firm’s cash flows.
• The tricky part is determining the size, timing and risk
of those cash flows.
Effective Interest Rates
EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = r
12
EAR = (1 + .01) - 1 = .1268 or 12.68%
approximation formula