WSO M&a Modeling Course - VF
WSO M&a Modeling Course - VF
WSO M&a Modeling Course - VF
Welcome!
Instructor Bios Course Background
3
Course Introduction Lesson 1.2
⎻Buy-side advisory
⎻Sell-side advisory
⎻Fairness opinions
Course Prerequisites
• Required
⎻Excel Modeling Course
• Recommended
⎻Valuation Course
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Course Introduction Lesson 1.4
Course Overview
• Module 1) Course Introduction • Module 7) Balance Sheet and
Transaction Adjustments
• Module 2) M&A: The Big Picture
• Module 8) Accretion / Dilution
• Module 3) M&A Players and the
Creation of M&A Processes • Module 9) P&L Projections for Full-
blown Accretion/Dilution
• Module 4) Buyside Processes
• Module 10) Sensitivity Analysis
• Module 5) Sellside Processes
Sellside Case: Nike Sells China Unit
Buyside Case: Nike Acquires
Lululemon
Lululemon
• Module 11) Sellside Accretion /
• Module 6) Valuation, Transaction Dilution
Assumptions, and Sources & Uses
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Module 2: The Big Picture of M&A
M&A: The Big Picture Lesson 2.1
• The Buyer usually has strategic or financial reasons to want to buy the Seller
• Horizontal (acquire competitors) vs. vertical (in the supply chain) integration
Why? • Gain access to new markets, products, brands, customers, management, etc.
• Realize revenue and/or cost synergies post-acquisition
• The Seller may want to cash out their investment, focus on other activities/investments,
or fall subject to a “hostile takeover”
• Whenever your client says! M&A advisory is a year-round job and can be unpredictable
When? • Private company M&A traditionally takes 6-9 months
• Public-to-public M&A can move much quicker due to confidentiality
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M&A: The Big Picture Lesson 2.2
M&A Models
• M&A models are (generally) created by investment bankers to help their clients assess the financial
viability/impact of the contemplated transaction
• These models contain information on the Buyer, Seller, and transaction; models have complex
functionality that allow the user to run various scenarios on the combined projections, synergies,
and transaction funding
• The appropriate scenarios to model are determined after months of detailed due diligence by the
bankers, advisors, and the transaction counterparties
• A key output of an M&A model is the “accretion/dilution” impact of a transaction, or how the
transaction affects a company’s earnings per share
• If a transaction is “accretive” to the Buyer, completing the transaction will increase their earnings
per share (“EPS”)
• If a transaction is “dilutive” to the Buyer, completing it will decrease the EPS of the company
• Companies strive to complete transactions that will increase their shareholder value (the product of
the EPS and P/E multiple); however, dilutive transactions are sometimes completed if the Company
believes the transaction will results in a higher P/E trading multiple (via the market’s perspective of
better growth and profitability prospects due to the transaction)
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M&A: The Big Picture Lesson 2.3
• A key part of the diligence process is identifying synergy • Eliminate redundant positions
opportunities by function and building those savings into the • Increase machinery utilization
financial forecast model • Improve purchasing terms with
greater volumes
• Bankers can assist their clients in modeling out the financial
• Realize operating leverage
impact of potential synergy realization within the valuation and
merger models
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Module 3: M&A Players and
Creation of M&A Process
M&A Players and the Creation of M&A Processes Lesson 3.1
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M&A Players and the Creation of M&A Processes Lesson 3.2
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M&A Players and the Creation of M&A Processes Lesson 3.3
• An investment bank is responsible • An investment bank is responsible • Before certain transaction are
for helping their client for helping their client sell to a completed, the Buyer and/or
analyze/acquire an acquisition new Buyer Seller may require a fairness
target • The early-stage work involves opinion from a “qualified advisor
• Advisory scope ranges from broad selecting and contacting the “(i.e. investment bank)
“search-and-screen” to a targeted universe of potential Buyers, • This involves completing a
“rifle shot” approach preparing detailed company detailed valuation analysis to
• The work involves detailed marketing materials (“CIM”) validate that the transaction
diligence on the target company, outlining the investment valuation is “fair” and are used as
analyzing the strategic acquisition opportunity and key investment defense against shareholder
fit, determining appropriate highlights lawsuits
valuation, and analyzing the • The late-stage work involves • These reports are subject to legal
accretive/dilutive impact (for negotiating with Buyers, scrutiny so they need to be
public-company clients) structuring carefully prepared and adequately
• After potential Buyers bid, the sourced
bank will advise the Seller on how • Can be stand-alone or
to proceed complimentary engagements
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M&A Players and the Creation of M&A Processes Lesson 3.4
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M&A Players and the Creation of M&A Processes Lesson 3.5
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Module 4: Buyside Process
Buyside Processes Lesson 4.1
• This is the more complicated and time-intensive • In this situation, a Seller has contacted the potential
approach, as you need to survey the potential Buyer to alert them that they are entertaining
acquisition landscape and determine who could make acquisition offers
sense to buy and run illustrative analysis on that • Additionally, you know that the Seller is interested in a
combination transaction
• Then, you need approach the target and see if they’re • The flip side is that in these situations there is usually
interested in a M&A discussion – oftentimes they will heavy competition between other potential Buyers the
not engage, so you’ll need to progress onto other targets Seller is likely to have reached out to
• Main risk to banker: significant work with no guarantee • Main risk to banker: your client may not be selected as
of a willing Seller the ultimate acquirer
• The timelines for a buyside process can vary greatly – normally the full process can
take 4 to 8 months; this can vary greatly based on various factors including competing
Bidders, complexity of diligence, and the state of the financing markets
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Buyside Processes Lesson 4.2
While the exact timeline and sequencing of events can vary significantly by
transaction, it is helpful to think about buyside processes in 3 stages:
• 1st Stage: Initial Contact and Transaction Assessment (2-3 months)
• 2nd Stage: Detailed Due Diligence (1-3 months)
• 3rd Stage: Agreement on Price/Structure, Approval & Closing (1-2 months)
Further details on the events in each stage and specific roles of various
transaction participants can be found on the following pages
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Buyside Processes Lesson 4.3
Preliminary • Run initial, high-level valuation analysis on targets to • Senior bankers: Oversee valuation and forecasting work
determine the financial viability of the acquisition • Junior bankers: Run high-level valuation, “ability-to-pay”, and
valuation • Part of this analysis is an “ability-to-pay”, essentially synergy analysis
and “ability- seeing if the client would reasonably be able to afford the • Company: Support bankers’ efforts on synergy estimate with
target through existing cash and new cash/debt in-house knowledge
to-pay” • Initial synergy assessment
analysis
Contact • Determine target outreach list and approach targets • Senior bankers: Finalize target list and use industry
• Sign NDAs (non-disclosure agreements) allowing for the relationships to conduct outreach; broker initial conversations
candidates, sharing of confidential information between parties and information sharing to aid in the preliminary target
sign NDAs, • Initial request for key information to refine valuation analysis; prepare IOI
assessment (e.g. financials, projections, customer info) • Lawyers: Draft NDA and negotiate required NDA edits
submit IOI • Submit Indication of Interest (IOI) with high-level non- • Company: sign off on IOI
binding transaction proposal details
Based on the replies from the companies on the curated target list, the Buyer will
have a small list of potential targets with whom to move into detailed due diligence
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Buyside Processes Lesson 4.4
Detailed • After appropriately progressing diligence, complete • Senior bankers: Guide final valuation assessment and
detailed valuation to determine appropriate valuation coordinate outstanding diligence questions
valuation (could be a tight range) • Junior bankers: Run detailed valuation and assist in drafting
and • Submit a “LOI” (letter of intent) with the proposed price of LOI
and final diligence questions that need to be answered • Company: Seek internal approval for valuation range and LOI
submitting before the transaction can be completed terms; provide input on remaining diligence streams and timing
LOI to close
The timing of this phase depends on how detailed Buyer diligence becomes, and
how quickly the Seller responds to diligence requests
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Buyside Processes Lesson 4.5
Prepare • Prepare definitive agreement that outlines the terms • Senior bankers: Help guide commercial details of definitive
(including valuation) of the proposed acquisition of the agreement
definitive target • Lawyers: Draft and negotiate the definitive legal agreements
agreement • Send this binding document to the Seller for their review • Company: Give directive to advisors throughout negotiations
and mark-up and ensure internal approvals are coordinated
Secure • If needed, secure debt and/or equity funding to finance • Capital markets team: lead outreach and securing of
the transaction financing
financing • Senior bankers: Market company/investment opportunity to
potential financing sources
• Company: final approval on proposed financing terms and
selection of financing partner
Shareholder • Prepare and submit all necessary SEC filings • Senior bankers: Interface between client and junior bankers
• Gain shareholder approval for the transaction and oversee fairness opinion work
& regulatory • Gain regulatory approval – no violation of anti-trust or • Junior bankers: Support fairness opinion workstreams
approvals other regulatory concerns • Lawyers: Coordinate all approvals and regulatory submissions
• Get a fairness opinion if needed (especially if a public • Company: Communicate with shareholders around
company is involved) transaction approval, announce and close transaction, initiate
• Sign and close the transaction post-merger integration plans
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Buyside Processes Lesson 4.5
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Module 5: Sellside Process
Sellside Processes Lesson 5.1
• This is the more common engagement • In this situation, a Seller would engage an
• The Seller will engage the investment bank early on, investment bank to help them evaluate interest from
so that they can help create a potential Buyer list a Buyer
and organize materials that will eventually be sent to • While less common, these require immediate
potential Buyers attention and organization from the bank
• These transactions have good odds of happening, • The Seller could accept the bid, negotiate with the
since the company is interested in selling and just Buyer, reject the bid, or choose to enter a wider sale
needs one Buyer who will meet what they believe is process to ensure they are maximizing their
an acceptable price potential price
• In general, sell-side processes take longer than buy-side process giving the significant
upfront work required to prepare a company for sale – normally the full process can
take 6 to 12 months from engagement to completed transaction
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Sellside Processes Lesson 5.2
While the exact timeline and sequencing of events can vary significantly by
transaction, it is helpful to think about sellside processes in 4 stages:
• 1st Stage: Assessment and Process Set Up (2-3 months)
• 2nd Stage: Initial Buyer Contact and Gauging Interest (1-2 months)
• 3rd Stage: Buyer Meetings and Diligence (1-3 months)
• 4th Stage: Agreement on Price and Transaction Closing (1-2 months)
Note that the above timeline aligns with the more commonly-seen “Seller
outreach” scenario. When a potential Buyer initiates the outreach, discussions
normally advance to the 3rd stage
More details on the events of each stage and specific roles of various
transaction participants can be found on the following pages
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Sellside Processes Lesson 5.3
Create • A “teaser” is a short (1-2 pages or slides) document with • Senior bankers: Oversight and guidance on teaser prep
summary information on a potential acquisition target • Junior bankers: Create and revise the teaser
company • This is the first material shared with potential Buyers to • Company: Review and give final sign-off on teaser
teaser gauge their initial interest without revealing too much
information
• A potential Buyer will use the teaser and their in-house
knowledge to determine if they want to move forward
Create • A Confidential Information Memorandum (“CIM”, also • Senior bankers: Oversight and guidance on CIM prep, which
known as an Offering Memorandum or “OM”) is a more is much more substantial than teaser prep
company detailed document with 50-100 pages or slides • Junior bankers: Creation and numerous edits of the
“CIM” • This is the first and most important document a Buyer will document over a 1-2 month period
review after signing an NDA • Company: Provide raw information used by bankers to draft
• It contains detailed investment highlights, information on the CIM; provide input and comments throughout the drafting
the industry, summary of business and segments, process
historical and projected financials and management
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Sellside Processes Lesson 5.4
Begin • A “data room” is a virtual DropBox-style location where • Senior bankers: Guide what will documents to begin
the Seller will upload all of the relevant documents to help preparing for the data room
preparing the Buyer through their diligence • Junior bankers: Work on preparing some of the data room
data room • Later in a process, the files in the data room will be in documents, organize the dataroom (properly categorized
direct response to questions from potential Buyers – folders, etc.)
however, there are some standard documents Sellers • Lawyers: Help with legal documents for data room
know they will need to upload around customers, facilities, • Tax advisors: Help with tax documents for data room
employees, etc. • Company: Help provide documents and supporting
• Sellers will begin to populate the data room before information for the data room
opening it to Buyers to expedite the diligence process
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Sellside Processes Lesson 5.5
Management • Various meetings between the management teams of the • Senior bankers: Lead interaction with the potential Buyers
Seller and each potential Buyer and guide the company on how to best handle the meetings,
Meetings • Other meetings with certain functions of the Seller and also attend meetings
with Buyers site visits also as needed • Junior bankers: Sometimes attend meetings to ensure follow-
• These can be time intensive, so need to ensure the Buyer ups are handled; prepare any supplementary presentations
list is down to the top few prospects by this time • Company: Lead responses to Buyer questions in various
meetings
Receive • After potential Buyers have enough information to submit • Senior bankers: Manage the timeline for LOI and check-in
a near-final bid, set a date to receive LOIs bids
LOIs • Depending on how the process unfolds, there is • Junior bankers: Analyze LOIs and summarize for clients
sometimes a request for a “check in” bid to further narrow • Lawyers: Assist in negotiating the LOI
the Buyer pool following management meetings • Company: Provide input on price expectations and guidance
• Receive LOIs with the Buyers’ proposed prices and final on which Buyers should remain in the process
key diligence questions outstanding from each
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Sellside Processes Lesson 5.6
Request final • Issue a process letter to Bidders requesting exactly what • Senior bankers: Help guide details of definitive agreement
details are expected in the final binding bids • Junior bankers: Run analysis to contextualize value in binding
binding bids / • Select final Bidder bids
definitive • Ensure Bidder has secured transaction financing • Lawyers: Negotiate the definitive agreements if needed
• Company: Coordinate internal approvals and selection of
agreements preferred Bidder
Get • Prepare and submit all necessary SEC filings • Senior bankers: Lead fairness opinion
• Gain shareholder approval for the transaction • Junior bankers: Support fairness opinion
shareholder • Gain regulatory approval – no violation of anti-trust or • Lawyers: Coordinate all approvals and regulatory submissions
& regulatory other regulatory concerns • Company: Communicate with shareholders around
• Get a fairness opinion if needed (especially if a public transaction approval, announce and close transaction
approvals company is involved)
• Close the transaction
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Buyside Processes Lesson 5.6
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Buyside Case: Nike Acquires Lululemon
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Module 6: Introduction to
M&A Excel Section
Instructor Transition, Housekeeping, & Model Overview
Lesson 6.1: Introduction to M&A Excel
Section
Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.1
Welcome to Excel!
Instructor Bios Fun Facts
Turner DeMuth
• Private Equity Associate, Serent • Former High School Physics in
Capital Chicago
• Former Credit Suisse Technology • Education and EdTech Enthusiast
Investment Banking Coverage
• B.A. in Economics & Psychology • Favorite fruit: Banana
from Columbia University
🍌Required
Don’t forget to
○ Excel Modeling Course do your pre-
work so that we
○ Financial Statement Modeling Course can jump right
to the fun stuff!
○ Valuation Course
🍌Recommended
○ LBO Course
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Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.1
🍌Module formats
○ Overview lesson - preview what we will accomplish in the module
○ Core concept lessons - teach concepts & build the excel model
○ Build the model - we’ll hop into excel and build this section of the model
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Lesson 6.2: Situation Overview
Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.2
The Mission
“Strategic Alternatives”
1 + = EPS?
2 - = EPS?
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Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.2
Setting the Stage: What is this M&A model you speak of?
🍌An M&A or “merger model” is an analysis representing the combination of two companies
🍌The goal of this model is to look at one projected metric after acquisition: Earnings per Share (EPS)
○ If the EPS goes up after the deal, then the acquisition is said to have been “Accretive”
○ If the EPS does down after the deal, then the acquisition is said to have been “Dilutive”
○ We call this part of the model the Accretion / Dilution Analysis
○ Since it takes time for synergies to manifest (more on this later) it is important to look at EPS not
just for the year immediately after the acquisition but instead for multiple years into the future
🍌In our two examples, our analysis will be concentrated on whether Nike buying Lululemon and Nike
selling its China business Unit will be accretive to EPS
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Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.3
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Introduction to M&A Excel Section Lesson 6.3
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Module 7: Nike Acquires
Lululemon - Model Setup
Assumptions, Sources & Uses, & Purchase Price Accounting
Lesson 7.1: Module 7 Overview
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.1
Module 7 Overview
Module 7 Excel Output
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
🍌If Strike Price > Share Price, then it is “Out-Of-The-Money” Exercise price = $5.00
# of options = 100
🍌The Treasury Stock Method (TSM) is used to calculate the Proceeds = exercise price * options
Proceeds = $5 *100 = $500
number of new shares that created by In-The-Money Options
○ The method assumes that all In-The-Money Options will be 3. Calculate # of shares repurchased
the company will use them to buyback shares to limit dilution 4. Calculate Dilution from Options
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
🍌 Offer Premium is the difference between the current stock price and the
price an acquirer offers to pay shareholders for their shares of stock
○ This premium is added to incentivize shareholder to sell their shares
○ There is no requirement to pay a premium and premium amounts vary
greatly, though 25-35% premiums are typical
○ Depending on the situation, there could even be a discount
🍌Calculating a premium is easy: simply decide on a % premium, add 1 to
that %, and multiply the share price by that number
🍌For public companies:Multiples based on premiums are compared to
precedents and trading comps to justify the proposed valuation
🍌For private companies: there is no publicly traded stock, so multiples are
used to calculate purchase price
Amazon-Whole Foods Example
1. 2. 3. Amazon to acquire Whole Foods for $42 a share, in a
deal valued at $13.7 billion. Amazon’s offer
Decide on a premium Calculate the multiplier Multiply by share price
represents a 27 percent premium to Whole Foods’
closing price of $33.07 on Thursday. With Whole
27% 1 + 27% = 1.27 $33.07 * 1.27 Foods shares trading around Amazon’s offer price,
investors appear to be speculating that another suitor
= ~$42.00 could make a play for the grocery chain.
Equity Value is the value of a company's common shares at current share price
Definition
Offer Equity Value uses the offer share price (w/ premium) instead of current price
Deep Dive How its Calculated Also Known As… What It’s Not
Equity Value = Price per Share * Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding (1)
1. Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding = Basic Shares Outstanding + Shares from In-the-Money Stock Options & Warrants +
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Shares from other In-the-Money Convertible or Dilutive Securities (i.e. Restricted Stock, etc.)
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
Enterprise Value reflects the value of a company’s core assets funded by (and
Definition attributable to) BOTH the company’s debt and equity value
Offer Enterprise Value is equivalent, but uses Offer Equity Value
Deep Dive
How its Calculated Also Known As… What It’s Not
Enterprise Value (“EV”) = Equity Value + Total Debt + Value of Preferred Stock (1)+ Value of
Non-Controlling Interests(1) - Excess Cash and Non-core Assets(1)
1. If applicable; most companies have some combination of debt and common equity funding, but not necessarily. Preferred
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stock and non-controlling interests are less frequently seen in public company capital structures, but they are still prevalent.
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
Calendarization is the process of standardizing the reporting time periods so that metrics (such as
Sales and EBITDA) are comparable across companies
⎻ For example, if Max’s Bananas Fiscal Year 2020 (“FY20”) Revenue (for the 12 months ending 5/31/2020)
is projected to be ~$42 billion, compared to Max’s Bananas FY19 Revenue of ~$39 billion, we would
calendarize Max’s Bananas revenue for the calendar 12 months ending 12/31/2019 as follows:
CY2019 Revenue = [39 billion * 5 / 12] + [42 billion * 7 / 12] = ~$40.75 billion
FY20E * $39B
(7/12)
CY2019
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$40.75B
Trading Comps Introduction Lesson 7.2
Definition
Multiples – use a value metric in the numerator and a financial or operational metric in
the denominator. Reflects current valuation on a per unit basis based on market conditions
EV / Revenue P/E
Equity Value divided by Net Income, OR
Enterprise Value divided by Revenue (Price per Share divided by EPS)
EV / EBITDA PEG
P / E ratio divided by Projected Long-term EPS
Enterprise Value divided by EBITDA Growth Rate
EV / EBIT P/B
Enterprise Value divided by EBIT Equity Value divided by Book Value of Equity
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.2
Shortcuts Formulas
🍌Alt + + = automatically create a formula to sum 🍌Calculating options = # of options In- LAST SLIDE
all the numbers in a continuous range The-Money - [(exercise price * # of UNTIL EXCEL
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Lesson 7.3: Key Transaction Assumptions
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
🍌 Maximum Leverage
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
Cash/stock considerations v.
🍌Most important assumption: how the buyer funds the transaction between cash/debt and stock
🍌The split has large implications on the accretion/dilution since adding more shares is inherently dilutive
○ This dilution may be offset by the added earnings from the target (what we are trying to figure out)
○ In general, less new stock issued, the lower the chance the transaction is dilutive
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
Generally, buyers prefer asset sales, whereas sellers prefer stock sales. The actual assets and liabilities
acquired in either transaction tend to be similar, so the only difference is tax treatment.
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
⎻ There is no law for max leverage, but instead it Share of US leveraged buyout market, by leverage level
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.3
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Lesson 7.4: Financing Assumptions & Fees
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
Sources Uses
🍌Excess Cash (Cash on Balance Sheet - Minimum
🍌Equity Purchase Price (buying the company) Cash)
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
• All of these are just different names given to the annual interest on a debt instrument
• They can be grouped into Fixed or Floating:
Fixed interest rate: means the interest expense to be paid is the same in each year, regardless of changes to the
Coupon/ lending environment
Spread/ Floating interest rate: is typically tied to LIBOR plus a specified spread (e.g. LIBOR + 400 bps)
Dividend
• With floating rate interest, typically an interest floor of 1% is set
• If interest rates are expected to fall, investors prefer fixed rates. If they are expected to increase, investors prefer floating
rates
• An original issue discount (OID) is when companies sell debt at a discount to their face value. Bonds are sometimes sold
Original Issue for a price that is less than its stated value at maturity
Discount (OID)
• This is used to incentivize the lender to take the risk to be part of the transaction
• Refers to underwriting fee - similar to M&A fee, this fee is paid the investment banks that underwrite the debt financing
Fees
• Tends to be ~1% of the transaction, though can fluctuate based on various factors
• “LIBOR” stands for the London Interbank Offered Rate, which is the interest rate at which banks can borrow money
unsecured from each other for a period of time. It is the standard benchmark rate upon which most floating-rate loans
LIBOR are priced
• Note: Due to LIBOR rigging scandals, and other controversies around the metric, some institutions are moving over to
using SOFR (the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
• A revolver is usually a line of credit offered by a bank that allows a company to draw down, repay,
and reborrow on an as-needed basis (like a credit card)
• Typically used by companies to meet short-term working capital obligations
• Drawn when available free cash flow is insufficient to fund daily operations
• Tenor: Typically 3 - 5 years
• Security: Secured 1st or 2nd Lien
• Covenants: Maintenance + Incurrence
• Coupon: Floating Rate; typically LIBOR + 200-400 bps
• Borrower is charged an annual fee on unused amount (called an “undrawn commitment fee”)
• Revolvers can come in two forms: Asset-Based Loan (ABL) vs. Cash Flow Revolver
⎻ ABL: The maximum amount that can be drawn is based on the value of the company’s liquid assets – most
commonly accounts receivable and inventory are used in the borrowing-base formula
⎻ Cash Flow Revolver: The maximum amount that can be borrowed is tied to the historical cash flow generation of
the company – therefore covenants tend to be more restrictive due to the uncertainty around future cash flows
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
• TLA refer to secured loans syndicated to banks, and • An institutional term loan (“B”, “C,” or “D”) is a loan
are normally packaged alongside a revolving credit facility for institutional, non-bank investors*
Description facility
• Differs from TLAs in having longer terms while requiring
• Tend to have shorter terms and higher amortization minimal or no principal amortization prior to maturity
levels than other term loans
Tenor ~5 - 8 years
▪ Typically straight-line amortized evenly over its tenor ▪ Typically mandatory amortization will be a percentage
so that full principal is repaid by maturity of the loan that is in aggregate less than the total
principal (e.g. 5% per year on a 7 year loan)
Amortization
▪ In some cases may require no mandatory
amortization
▪ Principal can generally be repaid early by the ▪ Prepayment is generally allowed with institutional term
Prepayment borrower with no prepayment penalties via the loans, however, doing so may come with prepayment
absence of call protection clauses fees depending on the credit terms
Floating
LIBOR + 200-500 bps + 1% Floor
Interest Rate
Since TLAs are backed by collateral and have less risk,
the interest rate tends to be lower than TLB, C, & D
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*Non-bank lenders often include hedge funds, CLOs, mutual funds, and other institutions
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
Check out the WSO
LBO Modeling
Lien
(Priority in Highest Lowest
Bankruptcy)
Secured or
Security Secured 1st or 2nd Lien Unsecured
Unsecured
Mandatory
None Straight-Line Partial None
Amortization
Prepayment
Yes No
Optionality
Note: Interest rates provided throughout this presentation may change depending on the market environment 73
at time of debt issuance. Consult debt comps and financing banks for the most up-to-date assessment of the
financing environment
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.4
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Lesson 7.5: Sources & Uses of cash
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.5
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.5
○ Just how it sounds - the debt the company being acquired has pre-acquisition
○ Process of revising the terms of an existing credit agreement, usually to find more
favorable interest rates, payment schedules, and/or other terms outlined in the contract
○ Refinancing target debt is the process of the acquirer (Nike) electing to keep the debt
Lululemon already has, but refinance it to receive more favorable terms
○ This is both a use of cash (since the acquirer much “purchase” the debt) but also a source
of cash (since the loan itself funds that purchase)
○ Essentially it means the acquirer is taking on the obligation to pay down that debt at the
new agreed upon terms
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.5
Uses
Sources
🍌Excess Cash (Cash on Balance Sheet -
🍌Equity Purchase Price (buying the
Minimum Cash)
company)
○ Some will list Balance Sheet Cash as a
🍌Refinanced Debt
Source and Minimum Cash as a Use -
🍌Transaction Fees impact is same
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.5
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Lesson 7.6: Asset Write Ups & Purchase
Price Allocation
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.6
🍌 Goodwill
🍌Depends on: the price it was purchased at 🍌Depends on: current market conditions
and depreciation amount
○ Fluctuates often and depends on many
○ Follows predictable path variables
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.6
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.6
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.6
Goodwill
🍌 What is Goodwill?
○ An intangible asset created through the acquisition of a company
○ It’s the portion of the purchase price higher than the sum of the net
fair value of all of the assets and liabilities purchased in the Max’s Bananas Example
acquisition 1. Find purchase price
○ Reason for goodwill include: intellectual property, processes, brand Max’s Banana is being bought for $100mm
name, customer base and relations, company culture, etc. 2. Write up assets and liabilities
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.6
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Lesson 7.7: Module 7 Review & Summary
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Model Setup Lesson 7.7
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Module 8: Nike Acquires
Lululemon - Simplified Analysis
Balance Sheet Adjustments & Accretion / Dilution Analysis
Lesson 8.1: Module 8 Overview
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.1
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Lesson 8.2: Simplified Balance Sheet
Adjustments
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.2
🍌 Adjustment rational
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.2
Pro Forma
🍌Pro Forma simply means “post-transaction”
🍌You will hear this used as “Pro Forma Financials” but it can also be used to refer to deal structure
(“Pro Forma Structure”), ownership structure (“Pro Forma Ownership”), and more
○ Can be used to describe anything that will change as a result of some kind of transaction or
event
○ In this course, any time Pro Forma is mentioned, it refers to post- Nike and Lululemon merger
(for the first two analyses) or post- divestiture of the China Business Unit (for the third analysis)
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.2
Adjustment Rational
🍌 In simplified Accretion / Dilution Analysis, we just show balance sheet adjustments for the year of the transaction
BUT for a detailed analysis we need to do this for future years
🍌 Identifiable Intangible Assets Adjustment, which includes…
○ Intangible asset write-up -- from purchase price accounting
○ OID & Fees -- this is because OID and Financing Fees are capitalized to the balance sheet and amortized over
their useful life since they have a “useful life” of many years (throughout the term of the loan)
🍌 Equity Adjustments, which includes...
○ Add new equity to fund the transaction
○ Subtract current target equity -- this gets wiped out in the transaction
○ Subtract transaction fees -- it is assumed that the transaction fees are paid for in cash from the balance sheet,
which is subtracted from shareholder equity
🍌 Goodwill Adjustment, which includes two steps...
○ (1) Adding the Goodwill increase we calculated earlier -- this is because goodwill is created as a result of the
transaction
○ (2) Subtracting the current target goodwill -- this gets wiped out as a result of the transaction
🍌 Deferred Tax Asset Adjustment, which includes…
○ The target tax assets being wiped out since they cannot be carried over to the acquirer as previously mentioned
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.2
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Lesson 8.3: Simplified Income, Synergies,
& Transaction Adjustments
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.3
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.3
🍌Examples: 🍌Examples:
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.3
Interest Income
🍌Interest income on Cash
○ We assume that if there is money sitting on a company’s balance sheet, that money
will be invested to return
○ To be conservative, It is usually assumed that the return on this cash invested is quite
low (usually less than 1%)
○ This line item is the opportunity cost of the returns on cash that is forgone due to the
cash that is needed to be used on the transaction
○ We calculate this as the assumed return on cash * (Nike cash + Lulu cash - Min
Cash)
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.3
Neither is “better” than the other though each may be better suited for certain
scenarios -- both give a different lens into company performance
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.3
Formulas
8.3: Excel Preview 🍌 Total Pre-Tax Revenue Synergies =
calendarized combined revenue for Lulu and
End goal: Calculate Total after tax transaction related income / Nike * Revenue Synergies * Gross Margin
(expenses) 🍌 Total Pre-Tax Revenue Synergies =
🍌Make assumptions on Revenue and Cost Synergies and calendarized combined SG&A for Lulu and
calculate each Nike * cost synergies as % of SG&A
🍌Sum Revenue and Cost Synergies to calculate Total Synergies 🍌 Interest Expense from New Debt = Interest
🍌Calculate interest expense from new debt & interest forgone on rate * New Debt
cash ○ Interest rate = Maximum of LIBOR or
🍌Subtract out D&A if GAAP EPS Interest Floor + rate / 10000
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Lesson 8.4: Accretion / Dilution Analysis
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.4
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.4
🍌Synergies are often assumptions that can often be off, so large numbers here give comfort that
the accretive nature of the deal is not solely predicated on these synergy assumptions
○ This tells us how much in synergies could we give up and still break even
○ This tells us how much in synergies we would need to add to break even
🍌Note this is pre-tax -- since our income is post-tax, we must divide by (1 - tax rate) to gross this up
to a pre-tax amount
🍌Calculation: Multiply our $ accretion or dilution by the Pro Forma FDSO to get Net Income
accretion or dilution and then dividing that by (1 - tax rate)
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.4
Formulas
8.4: Excel Preview 🍌 New Shares Issued = New Equity Issued
(in $) / Nike’s Share Price at Transaction
End goal: Calculate how Accretive or Dilutive this deal seems to be 🍌 Pro Forma Net Income = Nike NI + Lulu
and interpret what this means NI + Transaction NI Adjustment
🍌Calculate the new shares issued in the transaction 🍌 Pro Forma Shares Outstanding = Nike
🍌Calculate Pro Forma Net Income and Pro Forma Shares FDSO + New Shares Issued
Outstanding 🍌 Accretion / (Dilution) per share = Pro
🍌Use these to calculate Pro Forma EPS Forma EPS - Standalone RPS
🍌Calculate how Accretive or Dilutive this is by comparing this to 🍌 Accretion / (Dilution) % = (A/D per
Nike’s EPS had there not been a deal both in $ and % terms Share) / Standalone EPS
🍌Calculate Additional Pretax Synergies Required to Breakeven 🍌 Pretax Synergies to Breakeven = -(PF
🍌Step back and ask “what do these numbers mean?” Shares Outstanding) * (A/D per Share) / (1
- tax rate)
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Lesson 8.5: Module 8 Review & Summary
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 8.5
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Module 9: Nike Acquires
Lululemon - Detailed Analysis
Combined Three Statement Model & Accretion / Dilution
Analysis
Lesson 9.1: Module 9 Overview
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 9.1
🍌 Drivers
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.2
○ Since there is never certainty about what will happen in the future, it’s common to model
multiple different “cases” or scenarios of how a company’s financial projection might play
out
○ The most common case split is to create a base/realistic case, an upside/bull case, and
a downside/bear case
🍌This is where our drivers come into play…
○ Our drivers section is where we will put the various assumptions that drive these
different scenarios, hence the name
○ The most common drivers you’ll see are revenue growth, gross margin, and EBITDA
margin
○ The key is to make these drivers dynamic so by changing one cell, you change the case
for the entire model -- common excel functions to use for this are Index / Match and
Offset functions
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Anaysis Lesson 9.2
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Lesson 9.3: Working Capital Schedule &
Cash Flow Statement
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.3
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.3
🍌Net Working Capital (or NWC) is calculated as: current assets - current liabilities - cash
○ Working capital is a measure of liquidity, operational efficiency, and short-term financial health
🍌As a business grows, it will often need to hold more working capital (e.g. inventory build), which represents
a use and drawdown of cash on the cash flow statement
🍌In order to project working capital, we must project out current assets and liabilities using the below drivers
○ Prepaid expenses: prepaid expenses as a % of revenue → catch-all current assets bucket, including
things like: prepaid taxes, prepaid rent, prepaid utilities, etc.
○ Accrued liabilities: accrued liabilities as a % of COGS → catch-all current liabilities bucket, including
things like: employees salary and bonus, taxes payable, and unbilled goods and services received
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.3
○ To calculate DSO: Accounts Receivables / Credit Sales x 365 [use sales as proxy for credit sales]
○ Therefore, to calculate Accounts Receivable: DSO / 365 x Credit Sales [use sales as proxy for credit sales]
🍌Inventory turns
○ financial ratio showing how many times a company has sold and replaced inventory during a given period
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Anaysis Lesson 9.3
End goal: Create a completed Working Capital Schedule 🍌 Accounts Receivable = Total Revenue * (DSO / 365
days)
and (almost) Completed Cash Flow Statement
🍌 Inventory = COGS / Inventory Turns
🍌 Make assumptions for the drivers of the Working
🍌 Accounts Payables = COGS * (DPO / 365 days)
Capital Schedule
🍌 Change in NWC = (this year NWC) - (last year NWC)
🍌 Use these to calculate totals for Current Assets and
Liabilities
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Lesson 9.4: Debt & Interest Schedule
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
Corkscrew
🍌 This is an excel pattern we see often in our models -- named since resembles the shape of a
corkscrew
🍌 Based on idea that ending of last year is equal to the beginning balance of this year
○ Changes from this year are then subtracted to give the ending balance of this year, which is
equal to the ending balance of next year
○ Cash balances
Beginning balance
Ending balance
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
Interest
Expense
Debt Net
Balance Income
Circuit breaker
Free
Debt
Cash
Paydown
Flow
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
🍌Calculating Cash Flow Available for Debt Service 🍌Creating the Existing Debt Schedule
🍌Creating the Revolver Schedule 🍌Interest Expense – Floating Rates / Fixed Rates
and Financing Fees & OID
🍌Creating the Term Loan Schedule
🍌Linking to Income and Cash Flow Statements
Buckle up…
this one is a long
(but important) one!
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.4
⎻ Link Amortized Financing Fees & OID into Cash Flow from Operations
o Mandatory Amortization is a sum of Mandatory Amortization from our Term Loan, as we are assuming no
mandatory amortization on existing debt
o (Discretionary Debt Paydown) / Revolver Draw is a sum of our Revolver Draw (Paydown) and Optional
Paydown from the Term Loan and Existing Debt
⎻ Once this is done, do a thorough check of the model at this stage to make sure no formulas were made in error
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Lesson 9.5: Credit Metrics & Balance Sheet
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.5
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.5
Credit Metrics
🍌 Credit Metrics: Tools that assist the credit analysis -- help lenders and investors determine
whether corporations are capable of fulfilling financial obligations
○ Net Debt / EBITDA - Leverage Ratio giving credit for having cash on hand
○ Net Debt / (EBITDA - Capex) - Most applicable if capex is a large amount of cash flow
○ EBITDA / Cash Interest - Interest Coverage Ratio taking out non-cash interest
○ Free Cash Flow / Total Debt - % of debt that could be paid down by cash flow generated in
period
○ % Debt Paydown - Shows what % of original debt amount can be paid down over several years
- most debt lenders want to see the ability to pay down at least 60% of debt in ~5 years
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.5
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Lesson 9.6: Tax Schedule
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
🍌NOLs can be used to offset company tax payments in future years through loss carryforward
○ A business loss can only be used to offset business income but not personal income
🍌This amount is limited, so the “Disallowed Interest Carryforward” is the amount of interest expense
disallowed as a deduction in the current year that is carried forward to the next taxable year
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
🍌Any interest above the deduction limit calculated should be accrued and can be carried forward in years
when interest expense is less than the interest deduction limitation
🍌The carryforward used cannot exceed the difference between actual interest expense and the interest
deduction limit
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
🍌Whether to depreciate capex is elective, so we could set the switch to “No” if we wanted to
🍌Don’t forget to adjust your EBITDA and EBIT calculations for your interest deduction limit
⎻ Rapid capex expensing would come in the form of additional D&A which should be subtracted
from EBIT and added to EBITDA for tax purposes
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
🍌Don’t forget to adjust your EBITDA and EBIT calculations for foregone depreciation
⎻ Foregone depreciation would come in the form of reduced D&A which should be added to EBIT
and subtracted from EBITDA for tax purposes
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
🍌As previously discussed, losses generated in one period can accrue and be used to offset positive
net income in future periods
🍌Remember, based on the 2017 Tax Reform, Carryforward of NOLs are limited to only 80% of
taxable income in any given year
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.6
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Lesson 9.7: Accretion / Dilution Analysis
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.7
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.7
Formulas
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Lesson 9.8: Sensitivity Tables
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.8
Lesson 9.8
Excel
Output
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Detailed Analysis Lesson 9.8
Sensitivity Analyses
○ They study how various sources of uncertainty in a model contribute to the model's output
○ When running an accretion/dilution analysis, many transaction and company assumptions are
used
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 9.8
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Lesson 9.9: Module 9 Review & Summary
Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 9.9
🍌To provide a complete picture of M&A modeling, we’ll now look at what a divestment or sell
side M&A model looks like
🍌There are many reasons why a company would divest one of its business units:
⎻ The stand-alone valuation is higher (and accretive to the parent company) than it is by
remaining a wholly-owned subsidiary or business unit
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Nike Acquires Lululemon - Simplified Analysis Lesson 10.1
Module 10 Overview
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Lesson 10.2: Key Assumptions & Asset Sale
Price
Nike Sells China Business Unit - Detailed Analysis Lesson 10.2
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Nike Sells China Business Unit - Detailed Analysis Lesson 10.2
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Nike Sells China Business Unit - Detailed Analysis Lesson 10.2
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Lesson 10.3: Model Walk-Through &
Accretion / Dilution Analysis
Nike Sells China Business Unit - Detailed Analysis Lesson 10.3
○ Finish out the rest of the Three Statement Model and use calculations to run
Accretion / Dilution Analysis
○ This will help us better understand if it’s a smart move financially for Nike to sell its
China business
○ We will be able to compare Accretion / Dilution results across the two scenarios:
Nike buying Lululemon and Nike selling off its China Business
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Nike Sells China Business Unit - Detailed Analysis Lesson 10.3
🍌The mechanics of this model are almost identical to the mechanics of the previous detailed model -- pause
the video here (after the rest of these instructions…) and get modeling!
🍌One hint: there is one minor difference in this model that was not in the past one -- the capital gains tax
amount we calculated in the previous lesson must be linked to reflect an outflow of cash to make that tax
payment
🍌If there are specific excel pieces you are confused about while going through this exercise, go back and
re-watch the lessons we covered those topics for more depth
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Closing Thoughts
WSO M&A Modeling Course Farewell
Thanks for
Thank you & Goodluck! joining us!
🍌 Give yourself a pat on the back… you made it through the M&A Course!
🍌 A couple of closing points…
○ Please let us know feedback on the course (we’re working on Max’s LinkedIn so you can leave feedback there...)
○ Check out other WSO courses and services -- from financial modeling courses to interview prep to mentoring and
resume reviews, WSO has it all
○ We have many mentors and resume reviewers (including me!) on the platform that would love to be helpful
🍌 Parting thoughts…
○ Investment banking (and finance in general) can be a fascinating place to start a career
○ Between the skills you gain, the network you build, and the financial resources that can be made in these roles,
many doors are opened for you
○ My challenge to you is this: whatever door you choose to take, don’t only use the skills and resources you build to
help yourself -- rather, do something good for others as well
○ The skills that are needed for success in finance are the same skills needed to help make the world a better place
for everyone
○ Nobody has ever said it as well as Spiderman’s Uncle Ben: “With great power comes great responsibility”
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