Factors: How Time and Interest Affect Money
Factors: How Time and Interest Affect Money
Factors: How Time and Interest Affect Money
Chapter 2
Factors:
How Time and Interest Affect Money
Learning Objectives
1. F/P and P/F Factors (Single Payment Factors)
2. P/A and A/P Factors (Uniform Series Present Worth
Factor and Capital Recovery Factor)
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Single Payment Factors
(F/P and P/F)
• Objective:
– Derive factors to determine the present or future
worth of a cash flow Fn
• Cash Flow Diagram – basic format
i% / period
0 1 2 3 n-
1 n
P0
Basic Derivation: F/P factor
Excel: =PV(i%, n, , F)
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Derivation: F/P factor
• Find F given P
• F1 = P + Pi = P(1+i)
• F2 = F1 + F1i = F1(1+i)…..or
• F2 = P(1+i) + P(1+i)i = P(1+i)(1+i) = P(1+i)2
• F3 = F2+ F2 i = F2(1+i) =P(1+i)2 (1+i)
= P(1+i)3
In general:
FN = P(1+i)n
FN = P (F/P, i%, n)
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Present Worth Factor from F/P
• Since FN = P(1+i)n
• We solve for P in terms of FN
• P = F{1/ (1+i)n} = F(1+i)-n
P = F(P/F,i%,n) where
(P / F, i%, n) = (1+i)-n
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P/F factor – discounting back in time
………….
N
P/F factor brings a single future
sum back to a specific point in
P
time.
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Example- F/P Analysis
• Example: P= $1,000;n=3;i=10%
• What is the future value, F?
F = ??
0 1 2 3
P=$1,000
i=10%/year
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Example – P/F Analysis
i = 15%/yr
0 1 2 3
………… 8 9
P= ??
P0 = $100,000(P/F, 15%,9) = $100,000(1/(1.15)9)
= $100,000(0.2843) = $28,426 at time t = 0
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Uniform Series Present Worth and Capital Recovery Factors
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Uniform Series Present Worth
(1 i ) n 1
P A n
for i 0
i (1 i )
P / A i %, n factor
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Capital Recovery Factor (CRF) = A/P factor
CRF calculates the equivalent uniform annual worth A over n years for a given P
in year 0, when the interest rate is i.
The present worth point of an annuity cash flow is always one period to the left of the first
A amount.
Given the P/A factor
(1 i ) n 1
P A n
for i 0 Solve for A in terms of P
i (1 i )
Yielding….
i (1 i ) n
A P A/P, i%,
(1 i ) 1
n
n
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Modified HW Problem 2.5
• A maker of microelectromechanical systems [MEMS], believes it can
reduce product recalls if it purchases new software for detecting
faulty parts. The cost of the new software is $225,000.
• How much would the company have to save each year for 4 years to
recover its investment if it uses a minimum attractive rate of return of
15% per year?
(A/P, 15%, 4) p. 745 – Table 19 (interest rate i=15%) column:
A/P, row: n=4
A/P factor = 0.35027
Company would have to save $225,000 x 0.35027 = $78,810.75 each
year.
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HW Problem 2.12*
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Sinking Fund and Series Compound Amount Factors
(A/F and F/A)
1
PF n
Also: (1 i )
i (1 i ) n
A P
(1 i ) 1
n
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Modern context of a Sinking Fund
• Historical Context: A Sinking Fund was a device used in Great Britain in the 18th
century to reduce national debt.
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HW Problem 2.23
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Interpolation (Estimation Process)
• At times, a set of interest tables may not have the exact interest
factor needed for an analysis
• One may be forced to interpolate between two tabulated values
• Linear Interpolation is not exact because:
• The functional relationships of the interest factors are non-
linear functions
• From 2-5% error may be present with interpolation.
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Example 2.7
• Assume you need the value of the A/P factor for i = 7.3% and n =
10 years.
• 7.3% is likely not a tabulated value in most interest tables
• So, one must work with i = 7% and i = 8% for n fixed at 10
• Proceed as follows:
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Basic Setup for Interpolation
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Arithmetic Gradient Factors
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Linear Gradient Example
A1+n-1G
A1+n-2G
• Assume the following:
A1+2G
A1+G
0 1 2 3 n-1 N
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Example: Linear Gradient
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Arithmetic Gradient Factors
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Present Worth Point…
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
X0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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Present Worth: Linear Gradient
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Present Worth: Gradient Component
(Example 2.10*)
• Three contiguous counties in Florida have agreed to pool tax
resources already designated for county-maintained bridge
refurbishment. At a recent meeting, the county engineers estimated
that a total of $500,000 will be deposited at the end of next year into
an account for the repair of old and safety-questionable bridges
throughout the three-county area. Further, they estimate that the
deposits will increase by $100,000 per year for only 9 years
thereafter, then cease.
• Determine the equivalent (a) present worth and (b) annual series
amounts if county funds earn interest at a rate of 5% per year.
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Example 2.10 (b)*
Determine the equivalent annual series amounts if
county funds earn interest at a rate of 5% per year.
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Equations for P/G and A/G
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Geometric Gradients
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cash flow diagrams for geometric gradient series
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Geometric Gradients: Increasing
0 1 2 3 4 …….. n-1 n
A1 A1(1+g)
A1(1+g)2
A1(1+g)3
A1(1+g)n-1
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Geometric Gradients
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Pg /A Equation
• In summary, the engineering economy relation and factor formulas to
calculate Pg in period t = 0 for a geometric gradient series starting in period
1 in the amount A1 and increasing by a constant rate of g each period are
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• Engineers at SeaWorld, a division of Busch Gardens, Inc., have
completed an innovation on an existing water sports ride to
make it more exciting. The modification costs only $8000 and
is expected to last 6 years with a $1300 salvage value for the
solenoid mechanisms. The maintenance cost is expected to
be high at $1700 the first year, increasing by 11% per year
thereafter. Determine the equivalent present worth of the
modification and maintenance cost. The interest rate is 8%
per year.
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continued
•Assume maintenance costs will be $1700 one year from now.
•Assume an annual increase of 11% per year over a 6-year time period.
•If the interest rate is 8% per year, determine the present worth of the future expenses at time t = 0.
•First, draw a cash flow diagram to represent the model.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
$1700
$1700(1.11)1
$1700(1.11)2
$1700(1.11)3
PW(8%) = ?? $1700(1.11)5
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continued
Cash flow diagram
Solution: The cash flow diagram shows the salvage value as a
positive cash flow and all costs as negative.
Use Equation [2.24] for g ≠ i to calculate Pg. The total PT is
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continued *
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i – rate is unknown
• A class of problems may deal with all of the parameters know
except the interest rate.
•For many application-type problems, this can become a difficult task
•Termed, “rate of return analysis”
•In some cases:
•i can easily be determined
•In others, trial and error must be used
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Example: i unknown
0 1 2 3 4 5
•F = P(1+i)n
$3,000 •(1+i)5 = 5,000/3000 = 1.6667
•(1+i) = 1.66670.20
•i = 1.1076 – 1 = 0.1076 = 10.76%
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Unknown Number of Years
0 1 2 ... . . . ……. n
P = $1,000
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Unknown Number of Years
Fn = $2000
• Solving we have…..
0 1 2 ... . . . ……. n
P = $1,000
•(1.05)x = 2000/1000
•X ln(1.05) =ln(2.000)
•X = ln(1.05)/ln(2.000)
•X = 0.6931/0.0488 = 14.2057 yrs
•With discrete compounding it will take 15 years
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• Formulas and factors derived and applied in this chapter perform
equivalence calculations for present, future, annual, and gradient cash
flows. Capability in using these formulas and their standard notation
manually and with spreadsheets is critical to complete an engineering
economy study.
• Using these formulas and spreadsheet functions, you can convert
single cash flows into uniform cash flows, gradients into present worths,
and much more.
• You can solve for rate of return i or time n.
• A thorough understanding of how to manipulate cash flows using the
material in this chapter will help you address financial questions in
professional practice as well as in everyday living.
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WHAT A DIFFERENCE THE YEARS AND
COMPOUND INTEREST CAN MAKE