INSTITUTE - University School of Business DEPARTMENT - Management
INSTITUTE - University School of Business DEPARTMENT - Management
INSTITUTE - University School of Business DEPARTMENT - Management
School of Business
DEPARTMENT -Management
M.B.A
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES
FOR MANAGERS
By : AMAN JINDAL
(Associate Professor)
UNIT-1 DISCOVER . LEARN .
EMPOWER
1
Course After undergoing this Course, the students will be
Outcome able:
To learn the use of descriptive Statistics in taking
CO1
business decisions
To understand the concept of regression lines &
CO2 Probability distribution of data for making futuristic
predictions.
To gain an Understanding of inferential statistics for
CO3
making business decisions.
Definition (Statistics)
Statistics is an art of learning from data. It is a Science
of collection, presentation, analysis, and reasonable
interpretation of data
3
A Brief History of Statistics
A systematic collection of data on the population and the economy was
begun in the Italian city-states of Venice and Florence during the
Renaissance.
The term statistics, derived from the word state, was used to refer to a
collection of facts of interest to the state.
In 1662 the English tradesman John Graunt published a book entitled
Natural and Political Observations Made upon the Bills of Mortality .
4
Definition (Descriptive statistics)
The part of statistics concerned with the
description and summarization of data is
called descriptive statistics
For example:
Tables or graphs are used to organize data, and
descriptive values such as the average score are used
to summarize data.
A descriptive value for a population is called a
parameter and a descriptive value for a sample is
called a statistic.
5
Inferential Statistics
Definition (inferential statistics)
The part of statistics concerned with the drawing of
conclusions from data is called inferential statistics
6
Application Areas of Statistics
In the early 20th century, two of the most important areas of applied statistics were
population biology and agriculture .
Nowadays the ideas of statistics are everywhere.
Descriptive statistics are featured in every newspaper and magazine.
Statistical inference has become indispensable.
to public health and medical research,
to marketing and quality control
to education,
to accounting
to economics
to meteorological forecasting
to polling and surveys
to sports,
to insurance
to gambling and
to all research that makes any claim to being scientific.
7
Scope and importance of Statistics
Statistics and planning: Statistics in indispensable
8
Statistics and business: Statistics is an irresponsible
tool of production control. Business executive are
relying more and more on statistical techniques for
studying the much and desire of the valued customers.
9
Statistics and mathematics: Statistics are intimately
related recent advancements in statistical technique
are the outcome of wide applications of mathematics.
10
Statistics, psychology and education: In education and
physiology statistics has found wide application such
as, determining or to determine the reliability and
validity to a test, factor analysis etc.
11
Statistics in business and management
1 Marketing: Statistical analysis are frequently used in providing
information for making decision in the field of marketing it is
necessary first to find out what can be sold and then to evolve
suitable strategy, so that the goods which to the ultimate
consumer. A skill full analysis of data on production purchasing
power, man power, habits of competitors, habits of consumer,
transportation cost should be consider to take any attempt to
establish a new market.
2. Production: In the field of production statistical data and
method play a very important role. The decision about what to
produce? How to produce? When to produce? For whom to
produce is based largely on statistical analysis.
3. Finance: The financial organization discharging their finance
function effectively depend very heavily on statistical analysis of
peat and tigers.
12
Statistics in business and management
3. Banking: Banking institute have found if increasingly to
establish research department within their organization for the
purpose of gathering and analysis information, not only
regarding their own business but also regarding general
economic situation and every segment of business in which they
may have interest.
4. Investment: Statistics greatly assists investors in making clear
and valued judgment in his investment decision in selecting
securities which are safe and have the best prospects of yielding
a good income.
5. Purchase: the purchase department in discharging their
function makes use of statistical data to frame suitable purchase
policies such as what to buy? What quantity to buy? What time
to buy? Where to buy? Whom to buy?
13
6. Accounting: statistical data are also employer in
accounting particularly in auditing function, the
technique of sampling and destination is frequently
used.
14
Limitations of Statistics
Statistics laws are true on average. Statistics are
aggregates of facts. So single observation is not a
statistics, it deals with groups and aggregates only.
Statistical methods are best applicable on
quantitative data.
Statistical cannot be applied to heterogeneous data.
It sufficient care is not exercised in collecting,
analyzing and interpretation the data, statistical
results might be misleading.
Only a person who has an expert knowledge of
statistics can handle statistical data efficiently.
Some errors are possible in statistical decisions.
Particularly the inferential statistics involves certain
errors. We do not know whether an error has been
committed or not. 15
CLASSIFICATION
AND
TABULATION OF DATA
Concept of Variable
Variable
A characteristic which takes on different values in
different persons, place or things.
Qualitative Variable:-
Year Number
1990 10
1991 5
1992 12
1993 6
1994 9
1995 3
1996 3
1997 5
1998 12
1999 12
2000 8
2001 7
2002 8
Total 100
3. Qualitative i.e. on the basis of some attributes
Example: People by place of residence, sex and
literacy
Place of residence
Rural Urban
Male Female Male Female
Literate Illiterate Literate Illiterate Literat Illiterate Literate Illiterate
e
4. Quantitative: On the basis of quantitative
class intervals
r
The classes should be collectively exhaustive and
non-overlapping i.e. mutually exclusive.
1 0 2 3 4 5 6
7 2 3 4 0 2 5
8 4 5 9 6 3 2
7 6 5 3 3 7 8
9 7 9 4 5 4 3
Steps for frequency distribution
Find the largest & smallest value; those are 9 and 0
respectively.
Look at the given values of the variable one by one and for
each value put a tally mark in the table against the
appropriate class.
Cumulative Cumulative
No. of Frequency Frequency
Tallies Frequency
children Less than More than
type type
0 2 2 35
1 1 3 33
2 4 7 32
3 13 28
6
4 5 18 22
5 5 23 17
6 3 26 12
7 4 30 9
8 2 32 5
9 3 35 3
TABULATION OF DATA
OPD Patients
Age in yrs
Male Female Total
Below 25 25 5 30
25-35 30 4 34
35-45 25 5 30
45-55 22 3 25
Above 55 15 1 16
Total 117 18 135
Number of patients in OPDs of Public sector
hospital by Religion, Age, Rank and Sex
Religion Age(in yr.) Rank
Superviso Assistant Clerks Total
r
F M T F M T F M T FMT
Hindu Below 25
25- 35
35 – 45
45 – 55
55 &
above
Muslim Below 25
25- 35
35 – 45
45 – 55
55 &
above
Total
Presentation of data-
Tables , Charts, Graphs
Introduction
The collection and classification of data lead to the
problems of presentation of data.
Exhibition of data in a clear and attractive manner.
Presentation
of data
Table Graphs
Diagram
Tabular presentation of data
“A statistical table is a systematic organization of data in
columns and rows.”
- Neiswanger
“ Tabulation involves the orderly and systematic
presentation numerical data in a form designed to
elucidate the problem under consideration.”
- Prof. L.R. Connor
Objectives of Tabulation
Simple
Brief
Facilitates comparison
Helpful in presentation
Helpful in analysis
Clarifies the chief characteristics of data
Difference between Classification and
Tabulation
Classification and tabulation have done in sequence. First data
are classified and then they are presented in table.
Classifications forms the basis of tabulation
In classification, data are classified into different classes acc to
their similarities and dissimilarities. On the other hand, in
tabulation, the classified data re placed in rows and columns.
Classification is a process of statistical analysis whereas
tabulation is a process of presentation
Classification divides the data into classes and sub classes,
while tabulation presents the data under headings and sub
headings.
Components of a Table
Table number
Title of the table
Head note
Stubs- Title of the rows of a table
Captions- Title of the columns of a table
Body or Field
Footnotes
Source
Types of Tables
Types
Acc to Acc to
purpose construction
Diagrammatic presentation of data
Data may be presented in a simple and attractive manner
in the form of diagrams.
Type Number
Homicide 13
Rape 34
Robbery 29
Assault 164
164
15
0
10
0
50 34 29
13
Homicid
Assaul
Rap
Robbe
e
ry
t
e
Million
Snack pounds
Potato Chips 11.2
Tortilla Chips 8.2
Pretzels 4.3
Popcorn 3.8
Snack nuts 2.5
We need to find percentages for each category and then
compute the corresponding sectors so that we divide the
circle proportionally.
Million
Snack pounds percentage Degree
Potato Chips 11.2 37.33% ≈134º
Tortilla Chips 8.2 27.33% ≈98º
Pretzels 4.3 14.33% ≈41º
Popcorn 3.8 12.67% ≈46º
Snack nuts 2.5 8.33% ≈30º
Snack nuts
8%
Popcorn
13% Potato Chips
Potato Chips
37% Tortilla Chips
Pretzels
Pretzels
14% Popcorn
Snack nuts
Tortilla Chips
27%
3. PICTOGRAMS-
Used in presenting statistical data
Shows the data in the form of pictures
For eg: Data on cars would be represented by
pictures of cars etc
4. CARTOGRAMS-
Used to give quantitative information on
geographical basis
Show data in the form of maps
For eg: rainfall in different parts of the country,
size of population in diff regions etc.
DATA COLLECTION
PRIMARY & SECONDARY
INTRODUCTION
Data collection is a term used to describe
a process of preparing and collecting data
Systematic gathering of data for
a particular purpose from various sources,
that has been systematically observed,
recorded, organized.
Data are the basic inputs to any decision
making process in business
PURPOSE OF DATA COLLECTION
The purpose of data collection is-
to obtain information
to keep on record
to make decisions
about important issues,
to pass information on
to others
CLASSIFICATION OF DATA
TYPES
PRIMARY SECONDARY
DATA DATA
PRIMARY DATA
The data which are collected from the field under the
control and supervision of an investigator
Primary data means original data that has been collected
specially for the purpose in mind
This type of data are generally afresh and collected for the
first time
It is useful for current studies as well as for future studies
For example: your own questionnaire.
Primary Research Methods & Techniques
Primary
Research
Direct Method :
=
40+0.52X
20
=
40+10.37
= 50.37
Advantages of Median:
in the distribution.
It is defined as that value of the item in
a series.
It is denoted by the capital letter Z.
highest point of the frequencies
distribution curve.
Croxton and Cowden : defined it as “the mode of a
distribution is the value at the point armed with the item
tend to most heavily concentrated. It may be regarded as the
most typical of a series of value”
Z=L1
+
Example: Calculate Mode for the distribution of
monthly rent Paid by Libraries in Karnataka
Z =2000+
Z=2000+0.8 ×500=400
Z=24
Advantages of Mode :
• Mode is readily comprehensible and easily
calculated
• It is the best representative of data
• It is not at all affected by extreme value.
• The value of mode can also be determined
graphically.
• It is usually an actual value of an important
part of the series.
Disadvantages of Mode :
It is not based on all observations.
It is not capable of further mathematical
manipulation.
Mode is affected to a great extent by
sampling fluctuations.
Choice of grouping has great influence
on the value of mode.
Conclusion
• A measure of central tendency is a measure that
tells us where the middle of a bunch of data lies.
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Interpreting Dispersion
What would happen to the dispersion of this variable
if we focused only on people with college-educated
parents?
We would expect people with highly educated parents
to average more education and show less dispersion.
Interpreting Dispersion
Low score=10, Mode=16, High Score=20
Measures of dispersion: R=20-10=10, s=2.2
Years of Education (Both Parents w BA)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Interpreting Dispersion
Entire sample:
Mean = 13.3
Range = 20
s = 2.9
Respondents with college-educated parents:
Mean = 16.0
R = 10
s =2.2
Interpreting Dispersion
As expected, the smaller, more homogeneous and
privileged group:
Averaged more years of education
(16.0 vs. 13.3)
And was less variable
(s = 2.2 vs. 2.9; R = 10 vs. 20)
Measures of Dispersion
Higher for more diverse groups (e.g., large samples,
populations).
Decrease as diversity or variety decreases (are lower
for more homogeneous groups and smaller samples).
The lowest value possible for R and s is 0 (no
dispersion).
CORRELATION
Correlation
key concepts:
Types of correlation
Methods of studying correlation
a) Scatter diagram
b) Karl pearson’s coefficient of correlation
c) Spearman’s Rank correlation coefficient
d) Method of least squares
Correlation
Correlation: The degree of relationship between the
variables under consideration is measure through the
correlation analysis.
The measure of correlation called the correlation
coefficient .
The degree of relationship is expressed by coefficient
which range from correlation ( -1 ≤ r ≥ +1)
The direction of change is indicated by a sign.
The correlation analysis enable us to have an idea about
the degree & direction of the relationship between the two
variables under study.
Correlation
Correlation is a statistical tool that
helps to measure and analyze the
degree of relationship between two
variables.
Correlation analysis deals with the
association between two or more
variables.
Correlation & Causation
Causation means cause & effect relation.
Correlation denotes the interdependency among the
variables for correlating two phenomenon, it is
essential that the two phenomenon should have cause-
effect relationship,& if such relationship does not exist
then the two phenomenon can not be correlated.
If two variables vary in such a way that movement in
one are accompanied by movement in other, these
variables are called cause and effect relationship.
Causation always implies correlation but correlation
does not necessarily implies causation.
Types of Correlation
Type I
Correlation
Correlation
Simple Multiple
Partial Total
Types of Correlation Type II
Simple correlation: Under simple correlation problem
there are only two variables are studied.
Multiple Correlation: Under Multiple Correlation three
or more than three variables are studied. Ex. Qd = f ( P,PC,
PS, t, y )
Partial correlation: analysis recognizes more than two
variables but considers only two variables keeping the
other constant.
Total correlation: is based on all the relevant variables,
which is normally not feasible.
Types of Correlation
Type III
Correlation
Weight
Weight
of B
Weight A linear
relationship
of A
Height
Height Height
of A of B
High Degree of positive correlation
Positive relationship
r = +.80
Weigh
t
Height
Degree of correlation
Moderate Positive Correlation
r = + 0.4
Sho
e
Size
Weight
Degree of correlation
Perfect Negative Correlation
r = -1.0
TV
watchin
g per
week
Exam score
Degree of correlation
Moderate Negative Correlation
r = -.80
TV
watchin
g per
week
Exam score
Degree of correlation
Weak negative Correlation
Sho
r = - 0.2
e
Size
Weight
Degree of correlation
No Correlation (horizontal line)
r = 0.0
IQ
Height
Degree of correlation (r)
r = +.80 r = +.60
r = +.40 r = +.20
2) Direction of the Relationship
Positive relationship – Variables change in the same
direction.
As X is increasing, Y is increasing Indicated by
As X is decreasing, Y is decreasing
sign; (+) or (-).
E.g., As height increases, so does weight.
Negative relationship – Variables change in opposite
directions.
As X is increasing, Y is decreasing
As X is decreasing, Y is increasing
170
THANK YOU
171