Inflation 161202135538
Inflation 161202135538
Inflation 161202135538
N
•What is inflation?
•Measurement of Inflation
•Types of Inflation
•Causes and Effects of Inflation
•Control of Inflation
•Inflation and Economic Developement
•Inflation in India
What is
Inflation?
In economics, inflation is a sustained increase
in the general price level of goods and services in
an economy over a period of time.
Consequently, inflation reflects a reduction in
the purchasing power per unit of money – a loss
of real value in the medium of exchange and unit
of account within the economy.
Measuring
Inflation
• Inflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a
general price index, usually the consumer price index, over
time.
• If the price level in the current year is ‘P1’ & in the previous
year is ‘Po’, then inflation for the current year is
• Short run aggregate supply curve shifts to the left, causing higher price level and
lower real GDP.
• In 2011/12, the UK experienced a rise in cost-push
Graph
inflation, partly due to the depreciation in the
Pound against the Euro. (also due to higher taxes)
showing
Infation in UK
2.Demand-pull
inflation
•Demand pull inflation occurs when aggregate demand is
growing at an unsustainable rate leading to increased
pressure on scarce resources and a positive output gap
• When there is excess demand, producers can raise their prices
and achieve bigger profit margins
• Demand-pull inflation becomes a threat when an economy
has experienced a boom with GDP rising faster than the long-
run trend growth of potential GDP
• Demand-pull inflation is likely when there is full employment
of resources and SRAS is inelastic
Causes of Demand-Pull
Inflation
• A depreciation of the exchange rate increases the price of imports and
reduces the foreign price of a country's exports. If consumers buy fewer
imports, while exports grow, AD in will rise – and there may be a
multiplier effect on the level of demand and output
• Higher demand from a fiscal stimulus e.g. lower direct or indirect taxes
or higher government spending. If direct taxes are reduced, consumers
have more disposable income causing demand to rise. Higher
government spending and increased borrowing creates extra demand in
the circular flow
• Monetary stimulus to the economy: A fall in interest rates may
stimulate too much demand – for example in raising demand for loans
or in leading to house price inflation. Monetarist economists believe
that inflation is caused by “too much money chasing too few goods" and
that governments can lose control of inflation if they allow the financial
system to expand the money supply too quickly.
• Fast growth in other countries – providing a boost to UK exports
overseas. Export sales provide an extra flow of income and spending
into the UK circular flow – so what is happening to the economic cycles
of other countries definitely affects the UK
Concepts of Deflation,
Disinflation,Reflation & Stagflation
• Deflation – is a condition of falling prices on account of
insufficient effective demand. Results in a continuous fall in
level of economic activity & growing unemployment
• Disinflation – it is a process of lowering costs & prices when
they are excessively high. Brings down inflationary trend in
prices without causing unemployment
• Reflation – is a moderate degree of inflation that is
deliberately undertaken to relieve depression
• Stagflation – a situation in which a high rate of inflation
prevails simultaneously with a high rate of unemployment or
stagnant economic condition. It is a combination of inflation &
stagnation
Effects of
Inflation
General
Effect
• An increase in the general level of prices implies a decrease in the
purchasing power of the currency. The effect of inflation is not distributed
evenly in the economy, and as a consequence there are hidden costs to
some and benefits to others from this decrease in the purchasing power of
money.
• Effect On Redistribution Of Income:
(1) Debtors and Creditors,: debtors gain and creditors lose.
(2) Salaried Persons: lose
(3) Wage Earners: may gain or lose
(4) Fixed Income Group: lose
(5) Equity Holders or Investors: gain
(6) Businessmen: gain
(7) Agriculturists: gain or lose
Positive Effect Of
Inflation
1. Deflation (a fall in prices – negative inflation) is very harmful. When
prices are falling people are reluctant to spend money because they
are concerned that prices will be cheaper in the future, therefore,
they keep delaying purchases.
2. Moderate inflation enables adjustment of wages: example, it
may be difficult to cut nominal wages .But, if average wages are
rising due to moderate inflation, it is easier to increase the wages
of productive workers;
3. Inflation can boost growth. At times of very low inflation the
economy may be stuck in a recession. Arguably targeting a higher
rate of inflation can enable a boost in economic growth. (Although
this view is controversial).
Control of
Inflation
1. Monetary Measures: Monetary measures aim at reducing money incomes.
(a) Credit Control
(b) Demonetisation of Currency
(c) Issue of New Currency
2. Fiscal Measures: Fiscal measures are highly effective for controlling government
expenditure, personal consumption expenditure, and private and public investment.
(a) Reduction in Unnecessary Expenditure
(b) Increase in Taxes
(c) Increase in Savings
(d) Surplus Budgets
(e) stop repayment of public debt
3. Other Measures: are those which aim at increasing aggregate supply and reducing
aggregate demand directly.
(a) Increase Production
(b) Adopt Rational Wage Policy
(c) Check Price Control
(d) Rationing
Inflation in
India
• In India ,CPI (combined) is used for calculation of
inflation.
• Current inflation in India: august 2016:- 5.30
%
• In India WPI is published on a weekly basis and
CPI on monthly basis.
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