Business Cycle: Priya Gupta MBA Ist Semester

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BUSINESS CYCLE

PRIYA GUPTA
MBA
Ist SEMESTER
MEANING OF BUSINESS
CYCLE:-
THE TERM OF BUSINESS CYCLE REFERS TO A
WAVE LIKE FLUCTUATION IN THE OVERALL
LEVEL OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
PARTICULARLY IN NATIONAL INCOME,
OUTPUT, PRICE LEVEL, EMPLOYMENT ETC.

Acc to professor. Haberler


“The business cycle in the general sense
may be defined as an alternation of
periods of prosperity and depression of
goods and bad debts.”
FEATURE OF BUSINESS CYCLE
Cyclical fluctuation are wave like
movements.
Fluctuation are repeating in nature.

They occur in income, employment, prices

and output.
These variable move at about the same time

in the same direction


but at different rates.
Business cycle are not seasonal fluctuation.

ACC. To professor Schumpeter:


There are three types of trade cycle:-

VERY LONG CYCLE- 50 TO 60 years


MAJOR CYCLE - 8 TO 12 years
MINOR CYCLE - 2 TO 5 years
PHASES OF BUSINESS
CYCLE
1. expansion/boom/prospering
2. recession
3. Depression/trough/contraction
4. Recovery.
BOOM
IN
C

Re
RE

ce
ssi
A

on
SE

A B C

y r
De

ove
pr

Rec
ess
i
on

TROUGH
Now, the upper half of the business cycle from A to B is divided into
two parts:
a) INCREASING b) RECESSION
And the lower half of the cycle from B to C is also divided into two
parts:
EXPENSION
This phase of the cycle represent the
best stage of prosperity. In this phase
economic activity go on and factor of
production are put to optimum use.
And there is always rise in the
national income, output, capital
expenditure, prices, finished goods,
and also the stock of both input and
output increases.
FEATURES OF EXPENSION
Income and the production is the maximum.
Price rise and wage rate are very high.

Expansion in bank credit.

Increase in consumption expenditure so

demand also increase.


Economy reaches full employment by
removing unemployment.
RECESSION
Under the phase of prosperity, the
entrepreneurs make investment in
certain ventures which do not prove to
be profitable and this investment
shows signs of Recession.
And in this many production
units are closed down, unemployment
spreads and income of the people
starts falling.
THEIR OPTIMISM(Hope) GIVES
WAY TO PESSIMISM(Worst).
FEATURES OF RECESSION
There is fall in income, employment,
Prices and wages began to fall.

Contraction of bank credit.

Decline in the stock of goods.

Demand of the consumer for the various

goods also falls.


When profit falls then there is no

borrowing.
DEPRESSION
Once the process of recession start it becomes
almost difficult to stop. And it create hopeless
depression. Consequently economic activity are
faced with depression.
and in this employment is very low, heavy
fall in price, income and wages, prices of the raw
material fall.

WORKERS ARE HIT ADVERSELY BECAUSE


OF WIDESPREAD UNEMPLOYNMENT.
FEATURES OF DEPRESSION
Demand for the consumer good falls.
 Unemployment increases

Old and outdated machines are not


replaced
Low demand for loan from bank.

A high rate of business failure


RECOVERY
Depression can’t last long forever. After a period
of depression recovery start. In depression the
entrepreneurs don’t even replace machines and
other capital goods. production falls considerably.

In recovery they buy new machines which result


in more demand for capital goods. There is
increase in output and employment.

THUS THE ECONOMY GRADUALLY MOVES FROM


DEPRESSION TO RECOVERY.
FEATURES OF
RECOVERY
Change in the production techniques and
business strategies.
Demand for the bank loans and advance

increases.
Demand for consumption and production

good rises.
Investment increases

THUS OUR PESSIMISM(worst) GIVE


PLACE TO OPTIMISM(hopeful).
CAUSES OF BUSINESS
CYCLE
EXTERNAL FACTORS

These factors generate outside the


economic like wars, revolutions, political
events, growth rate of population,
scientific and technological discoveries
and innovation.
INTERNAL FACTORS
This factors are those which generate with
in the economic system and which give
rise to self-generating business cycles.
EXPENSION-RECESSION-DEPRESSION-
RECOVORY
IT INCLUDES:-

1. BANK CREDIT
2. OVER SAVING OR UNDER CONSUMPTION
3. INNOVATIONS
4. PSYCHOLOGICAL CAUSES
5. MARGINAL EFFICIENCY OF CAPITAL
THANK
YOU

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