Car Industry
Car Industry
Car Industry
Dr Amit Rangnekar
www.dramitrangnekar.com
Firm
Founder
Biz
Cars Information
Toyota (1937),
Japan
Kiichiro
Toyoda
Looms
GM (1908), US
William
Durant
Cars
Cars
6.5
Ford (1903), US
Henry Ford
Cars
2.1
Honda (1948)
Japan
Soichiro
Honda
Bike
Engine
3.9
Nissan (1914)
Japan
Peugeot Citroen
(1810), France
JP Peugeot
Coffee
mill
3.2
Hyundai-Kia
(1967), Korea
Chung Ju
Yung
Construction
2.8
Suzuki (1907),
Japan
Michio
Suzuki
Looms
2.6
10
G Agnelli
2.5
No 1 in Italy, Brazil
9.2
http://www.tflcar.com/2011/01/in-2010-the-top-ten-global-car-makers-that-sold-the-most-cars-are.html
Car Density
Country
Germany
UK
US
Japan
South Korea
Russia
Brazil
Turkey
China
India
(/000 population)
Car Density
565
463
460
455
246
188
158
85
45
13
N America
W Europe
E Europe
Asia
S America
China
Worlds largest car market 13.8m cars
(2010)
7x India
250 carmakers
20 major MNC players, 40 top brands
Top 10- JV- Global major + locals,
dominate
China- Toyota, GM, VW, Top 3 mimic
Global
1,00,0
00
900,00
0
800,00
0
700,00
0
600,00
0
500,00
0
400,00
0
300,00
0
20
20
20
20
05
06
07 Report
08
Global Economic
Research
Global Auto
20
09
20
10
INDI
A
CAGR
L10Y 10.3%
N5Y 10.6%,
Export L10Y 31%
Demographics
50% population < 25
years
Rising PCI
70% cars EMI
Top 10 cities now 45%
(65%)
Manufacturing
2.2m cars to 5m in
N5Y Cost leader,
efficient SCM
Small car proficiency
Policy
Stable political, business
envt
Booming local market
GST will drive growth
Performance
2010- 12th largest, 20183rd
2.4m cars, 2018- 5m
Growth@30%, worlds
2 Wheelers
Global No 2
Motorcycles
80%
Bikes HH
50%
Scooters
Honda 46%
Mopeds TVS
82%
3 Wheelers
Global No 1
Bajaj 68%
in
passenger
Piaggio
40% in
commercial
Commercial/ SUV
Global No 5
M&M 50%
SUV
Tata 60%
MHV
Industry SWOT
Strengths
Weakness
Capacities
Weak brands
Quality
Opportunities
Luxury, Rural,
Penetration,
Exports,
2 Wheelers
Threats
Inflation,
Petrol prices,
Interest rates,
Input costs
BOPS
Many
suppliers,
few
specialised
critical
IOC / CR
Consolidated
Top 3- 70%
Global players
BPOB
Spoilt for
choice
Range, price
points, EMI
TOS
Alternate
technologies,
no break
through
Global Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
India Rank
4
5
7
6
8
10
NA
2
1
9
3
India
India Internation
sale
Ops al sale units units
% India
Contributi
on
TM
576534
343695
60
MSI
2589000
1065732
41
HMIL
5740000
603819
11
TKMI
8420000
74759
GMI
8390000
110804
VWI
7203000
53300
Cars L
Grw%
M&M
GM
Ford
Toyota Honda
VW
Fiat
Renault
Export trends
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2002.0
2005.0
2008.0
2011.0
Source: SIAM, ICRAs estimates; Note: Passenger vehicle volumes includes UVs and MPVs; * Till
SUV
2010- 275,556 units , 13% total market @ 10%,
L5Y CAGR 9%
SUVs Rs. 7-11 lacs dominate
Top 3 MS 86%- M&M 53%, Toyota 20%, Tata 13%
Roles- Passengers + mass mover
M&A Tata- Land Rover, M&M- Ssangyong
NPL- premium SUV, leveraging on platforms and
technology
Source: SIAM Data; * Till February 2011
SUV MS L5Y
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2006.0
2007.0
2008.0
2009.0
2010.0
2011.0
MSI
28000
Ritz
MSI
5750
Wagon R
i10
Swift
Dzire
Indica
MSI
HMI
MSI
MSI
Tata
14000
13800
12000
9000
8100
Indigo
City
Estilo
Innova
Scorpio
Tata
HS
MSI
TKM
MM
5000
5000
4250
4000
4000
Omni
Santro
Bolero
i20
Figo
MSI
HMI
MM
HMI
Ford
7500
7000
7000
6500
6500
Vento
Xylo
Spark
Astar
800
VW
MM
GM
MSI
MSI
3600
2700
2700
2600
2500
Eeco
MSI
6000
Beat
GM
2500
Nano
TM
5800
Polo
VW
2400
SIAM figures / Rediff India's hottest selling passenger cars in December 2010
AKA
A3
Mid
200 201
7
1
26
30
18
10
33
133
49
14
-7
-4
38
15
362
38
Passenger Cars
87
22
30
Utility Vehicles
13
13
20
A4
A5
A6
40014500
45014700
47015000
>5000
Small
Contri 200
%
3
78
5.5
Executiv
e
Premiu
m
Luxury
Market structure
78%
Leader
Nicher/s
3%
Challenge
Tata,
r/s
Hyundai
Followers
18%
GM
Hyundai
Toyota,
VW,
Ford,
Fiat, GM
Nissan,
Skoda
1%
Luxury
BMW
VW,
Toyota
Audi
Fiat,
GM,Skoda
Benz,
Skoda
Mitsubishi
Porsche,
Bentley,
RR
Competition
Top 3 MS 75%, 9 global majors MS 25%, small cars
75%, 24 NPL
2011H1, Top 3 MS down 3.8%, Toyota, VW, Ford up
4.4%
India- 1-2-3- Suzuki-Hyundai-Tata- global strugglers,
well entrenched
Global 1-2-3- Volkswagen, Toyota, GM- bullish on India,
low MS
Honda, Ford, Renault-Nissan- getting act together, top
down, no ULCC
JV / alliances
Compete and collaborate, rising
Trigger- stagnating demand, overcapacity,
commoditization, reduced pricing power, rising
inputs and regulatory norms
Areas- Distribution, technology, manufacturing
and design
Sharing engines/platforms and service network
Fiats tragedy- best diesel engines- used by
Maruti Swift, Tata India- successful, used by Fiat
JV / Alliances
Alliance
Typ Motive
e
Status
Maruti-Suzuki
JV
HondaShriram
JV
Active
ToyotaKirloskar
JV
Active
Fiat Tata
SA
Manufacturing/ distribution
sharing
Active
VW-Suzuki
SS
Active
GM- HM
JV
Opel manufacturing
Dissolved
MahindraFord
JV
Dissolved
MahindraRenault
JV
Dissolved
Reach
Player
Maruti
Entry
1983
Citie Deale
s
rs
805
950
Expansion
2012-13
1050
1996
290
337
360
1999 (cars)
150
250
300
1994
210
250
300
1996
71
120
150
2000
55
117
150
1998
100
159
180
2001
(Skoda)
2005
56
67
100
23
23
45
Policy drivers
Bharat Stage IV- cars > 1 engine type- petrol,
diesel, CNG
ED waivers- cars <4 meters, <1.2L petrol /1.5L
diesel engine
Helped grow exports, significant hub
GST ^18% < Current taxes 22%, drive boom
Maruti strategy
Suzuki- early entry, 1980s- JV GOI
Significant to Suzuki - 23% sales, 56% profits, 65%
growth
Big in small cars- defend MS 42%, credibility
Entry choice- Alto, Estilo, Swift, A-Star, Eeco and
Ritz
Scale, NPL, efficiency, low ownership cost, non
urban 20%
Range, reach, price points, service, key segments,
choice
Hyundai strategy
Hyundai- 327 dealerships , 679 service points
Innovator- tall boy-small cars ( Chose NPL Santro
over Accent)
Succesful brand offerings- Santro, i10, i20, Getz,
Verna, Accent
NPL sub Santro 800 cc HA @ 2.3-2.8L v Alto
< scale & reach than Maruti, export leader
Big in small, mid cars, scaling up executive, absent
premium+
Tata
Cars MS 18% 2007 to 13% 2011
Weakest in Top 3, lacks technology, slow NPD
Nano- delivered, others gave up
Nano- 10,000 Dec10 to 3250 Jul11, NPL Diesel
79% sales from premium model, not base model
Indica / Indigo too many extensions over 10 years
NPL Dolphin, priced above Nano
Improve tier-II /III markets reach, 300 dealers,
portfoilo
Penetratio
n
Maruti
Hyundai
Toyot
a
Ford
Swift,
SX4
Verna
Etios,
Liva
Figo,
diesel
All
models
except
Swift
Santro
GM
Honda
VW
Brio
City,
Jazz
Vento,
Polo
Free
Insurance
Low EMI
Warranty
Volkswagen
Global 3rd, GMS 11%, 13 marquee brands, target
Top3 by 2018
Entry 2007- 3% MS in 3Y, others took > 10Y
Aggressive pricing- Vento < Honda City, Polo < i20,
Jazz
Full portfolio- Audi Luxury, Skoda Luxury (Superb) to
Mass (Polo)
Strategy- range- entry to luxury, high localisation,
fuel efficient
Toyota
1999- JV Toyota Kirloskar Motors Limited, Qualis- SUV
(withdrawn)
High end- Camry, Corolla, Innova, Fortuner (addressed
12% market)
Etios, Liva- developed and adapted for India, now 45%
market
175 Toyota dealerships, 40% in tier-II markets
Boost EM share from 40% to 50% in N3Y,
Capacities, affordable, fuel efficient models
Ford
Demand but constrained by capacity, investing
$1b
GM
Started 1990s, JV- HM and Mahindra, dissolved
India focussed- premium to value in small / medium
cars
Extended Chevy legend- extended - Spark, Beat,
Optra
6 NPL, 14 variants N2Y, enter all segments, diesel,
choice
NPL SUV with Chinese JV partner, NPL 2012 Electric
car
Honda
Mid 19902- JV SIEL, commands premium, super
engines
Stretch model into avatars- City, Civic, Accord
Extend base model to hatchback and sedan
Lack diesel engine and small car presence
City and Jazz, walloped by Vento/ Verna and i20/
Polo
High localisation, reduced prices, NPL Brio
Renault- Nissan
2011- late entry, Fluence Rs15L, establish
brand Renault
2011 SUV Koleos
2012- mass hatchbacks, affordable SUV Duster
2013- 100 dealership in 70 cities
2014- 100,000 cars
2015- 5% MS (Took 8-10 years in Brazil)
Shorter learning curve
Fiat
Legend in India, not leveraged
50:50 JV with Tatas- car sales
Target- 5% MS, 1.3L cars ( currently 25000 cars)
Small car < Rs 2 L- take on Nano, 800
Punto, Linea
Weak link- sales and service network
Segments
Hatchbacks- small passenger 5 door car with fullheight rear door for luggage- A Star, Alto, Santro,
Getz, Palio, Fusion, Beat
Sedan (Saloon)- Regular car body, 4-5 passengers,
4 door car- City, Civic, Dzire, SX4, Verna, Accent,
Indigo, Corolla, Camry
SUV (Sports Utility Vehicle)- huge engine, bold and
boxy look, aggressive looks, long drives and
adventure, fuel guzzlers, Fortuner, Sumo, Safari,
Captiva, Scorpio, Xylo, Land Cruiser, Land Rover,
Pajero
Luxury- lavish, comfortable, expensive, high end
features, social prestige- Audi, Bentley, BMW, Benz,
Lexus
Entry
<2L
Maruti
Suzuki
Value
2-3L
800,
Alto
Hyunda
i
Tata
GM
Ford
Nan
o
Spar
k
3-4L
4-6L
High End
6-10L
10-15L
Premium
15-25L
A
Star,
Eeco
Wagon R, SX4
Swift,
Estilo,
Dzire, Ritz
Santr
o, i10
Getz
I20,
Accent,
Verna
Elantra
Indica
Indigo
Manza
Safari,
Sumo
Grande
Beat
Aveo
Optra
Cruze
Fiesta
Endeavour
Jazz,
City
Civic,
Accord
CR-V
Figo
Honda
Kizashi
Sonata,
Terracan,
Santa Fe
Captiva
FIAT
Punto
Linea
Toyota
Liva
Etios
Corolla,
Camry,
Innova,
Fortuner
Vento
Jetta
Passat
Phaeton
VW
Polo
Economy<Rs 5 L
Player
Maruti Suzuki
Hyundai
Tata
GM
Ford
Honda
FIAT
Toyota
VW
RenaultNissan
BMW
Mini
Entry
Comp
act
Medium Rs 5-10L
Mid
Sedan
Hiend
Premium >Rs
10L
Pre
miu
m
1025
Lux Opule
ury nce
25- 50+
50
Price
Mileag
e
Brand
Design
Presti
ge
Comfo
rt
Small
Mid
1
2
1
2
3
5
4
3
4
5
1
4
5
1
3
2
2
3
1
Most important
Least important
Entry segment
communication
Tag line
Theme
Target
Car
Fir
m
Alto
Economy,
affordability
Smart, utility,
fun
25-35, upgrade
Estilo
Cute
A Star
Design, Zippy
car
20-30, entry
Entry, upgrade,
family
i10
Technology,
style
Upgrade, 25+
Indica
TM
High value,
feature laden
25+, economy
conscious, family
Mid segment
communication
Tag
line
Theme
Target
Car
Fir
m
Getz
25-35, young /
family
Chevro
let
Aveo
UVA
GM
Spacious
Punto
FI
Bold new
drive
Confident
youngsters
25-30
Swift
Happening car,
peppy
20+, Vibrant
couple
Ritz
Urban working
couple
i20
Cool,
contemporary,
superior
30+, style
seeking
Luxury Global
Demand- BRIC, global recovery
Top 3 luxury brands- German, all above 1 m units pa
BMW No 1, Audi No 2, pipped Mercedes,
High EM growth
Porsche, 60659 units @ 37%, Cayenne SUV,
Panamera sedan
Bentley (VW) 2978 units @ 20%
Rolls-Royce (BMW) 1592 units @64%
Mini (BMW) 141,913 units @30%
Luxury Global
BMW
Audi
Mercedes
No 1
No 2
No 3
Units (H111)
L
6.8
6.5
6.1
Growth%
18
18
10
Germany
China
Germany
US, China,
Brazil, India
India 100%,
Brazil 47%,
Global rank
Largest
market
Key markets
Key driver
Emerging markets
Luxury India
1% contribution, 70% growth, 17,000 units
Dynamic shift- affluent population + high
disposable incomes + extravagant lifestyle
SUV + flaunt value + festivities + gifts
Down ageing- 45 (Professionals) to 30s
(intra/entrepreneurs)
Porsche Cayenne Rs 95L, after 1 year use value <
Rs 75L
Increasing rural demand
3
3003
20
81
SUV Q7
A4,A6,A7
Exciting
Sporty
NPL- A8L
Luxury +
Performance
Sporty + Luxury
Affordable +
Luxury
Tata
Trust, economy
GM
Leading automaker
Ford
Driving pleasure
Toyota
VW
Honda
Perceptual map
Low Tech
Hi Tech
Value
Premium
Prestige
Competitive strategies
Market
Leader
Maruti
dominance
Challenger
Hyundai, Tata
(Competition
Follower
based)
Nicher
Ford
Innovation
Pioneers
Maruti, Santro
(NPD, NDS,
Close followers
Hyundai, Tata, GM
Tech)
Late followers
Growth strategies
Organic
Maruti
Inorganic
Integration
Vertical
Horizontal Tata, M&M, VW
Diversification
Related
Unrelated
M&A
Strategic M&A
Strategic alliances
Strategy
Illustrations
DEFENSIVE
(Market Leader)
Block strong
competitive
moves
OFFENSIVE
Exploit leaders
(resourceful # 2/3 weakness
who can match#1)
FLANKING
(# 4-6, or leader)
Enter uncontested
space, surprise.
Leader may also
flank
GUERILLA (Small, Hit and run
low/no resource
strategy
player)
(Leader/major)
Pre-emptive strike
Position Defense
Mobile defense
Counter-offensive
Strategic withdrawal
Flank positioning
Strengthen flanks
Deterrence
Frontal Attack
Confront head-on
Encirclement
Leapfrog
Flanking
Guerilla
Market strategies
Strategy
Produc Design
t
Produc Features
t
Produc Brand extensions
t
Produc Localization to cut down
t
costs
Produc Economies of scale and
t
scope
Produc Technology tie up
t
Produc Relaunch / reposition
t
Produc Flanking
Lead
er
Challen
gers
Followe
rs
Nich
ers
Market strategy
Strategy
Pricing
Drop price
Promotion
Ads, warranty,
offers,
contests
Promotion
Loyalty bonus
Cooperative
JV, alliance
Increase network
Place
Penetrate
markets
Related
diversificati
on
Used cars
Car finance
(Own)
Lead Challeng
er
ers
Follow
ers
Nicher
s
Brand strategy
Corpora
te
Product brand
Sub brand
Maruti
Hyundai
Getz- Prime
Tata
Nano, Safari
Toyota
GM
Chevrolet
Ford
Ikon- Flair
VW
Honda
Fiat
Punto, Linea
Nissan
Endors
ed
References
Strategy
Range & choice
New models / variants
Product innovation
New segment entry
Drop price
Promotion (Ads, warranty, offers,
contests)
Loyalty bonus
JV, alliance
Export Hub
Car finance
Design
Features
Brand extensions
Driving school
Leader
Challenge
r/s
Follower/s
Nicher/s
Strategies- LCFN