Macro I: Introduction To Macroeconomics: The Scope and Method of Economics

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PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro I:
Introduction to Macroeconomics
The Scope and Method
of Economics

THE OVERALL THEME OF MACRO

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Growth & Stability


Economic Growth An increase in the
total output of an economy. It occurs
when a society acquires new resources or
when it learns to produce more using
existing resources.
Stability A condition in which
national output is growing steadily, with
low inflation and full employment of
resources.
aggregate behavior is the behavior of all households and firms together.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

MACROECONOMIC CONCERNS
Three of the major concerns of
macroeconomics are:
Inflation
Output growth
Unemployment

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

MACROECONOMIC CONCERNS

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

INFLATION AND DEFLATION


inflation An increase in the overall
price level.
hyperinflation A period of very rapid
increases in the overall price level.
deflation A decrease in the overall
price level.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Nominal and Real Prices


Nominal price: the absolute price of a good
in terms of dollars
The price you see on a good in a store
Real price: the nominal price of a good
relative to the average dollar price of all
other goods
Real prices are adjusted for inflation

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Nominal and Real Prices


1897 Sears
Catalog price

1997 dollar
equivalent

1 lb. baking soda

$0.06

100 lb. nails

$1.70

13" hammer

$0.42

Scissors

$0.75

Bread pan

$0.37

Telephone

$13.50

Pair of socks

$0.13

Dictionary

$0.70

Bicycle

$24.95

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Item

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Nominal and Real Prices


1897 Sears
Catalog price

1997 dollar
equivalent

1 lb. baking soda

$0.06

$5.34

100 lb. nails

$1.70

$151.39

13" hammer

$0.42

$37.40

Scissors

$0.75

$66.79

Bread pan

$0.37

$32.95

Telephone

$13.50

$1,202.23

Pair of socks

$0.13

$11.58

Dictionary

$0.70

$62.34

Bicycle

$24.95

$2,221.90

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Item

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

INFLATION

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

PRICE INDEXES
consumer price index (CPI) A price
index computed each month by the
Bureau of Labor Statistics using a
bundle that is meant to represent the
market basket purchased monthly by
the typical urban consumer.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

INFLATION

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Inflation Changes the Distribution of Income


If your income is fixed and prices rise, your
ability to purchase goods and services falls
proportionately.

Effects on Debtors and Creditors


real interest rate The difference
between the interest rate on a loan and
the inflation rate.
Inflation that is higher than expected benefits debtors; inflation that is lower than expected
benefits creditors.

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MACROECONOMIC CONCERNS

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

UNEMPLOYMENT
unemployment rate The percentage
of the labor force that is unemployed.
unemployed
unemployme nt rate
employed unemployed

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

RECESSIONS, DEPRESSIONS, AND


UNEMPLOYMENT
labor force The number of people
employed plus the number of
unemployed.
labor force = employed + unemployed
population = labor force + not in labor force

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

RECESSIONS, DEPRESSIONS, AND


UNEMPLOYMENT
unemployed A person 16 years old or
older who is not working, is available for
work, and has made specific efforts to
find work during the previous 4 weeks.
not in the labor force A person who is
not looking for work, because he or she
either does not want a job or has given
up looking.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

RECESSIONS, DEPRESSIONS, AND


UNEMPLOYMENT
discouraged-worker effect The
decline in the measured unemployment
rate that results when people who want
to work but cannot find jobs grow
discouraged and stop looking, thus
dropping out of the ranks of the
unemployed and the labor force.

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RECESSIONS, DEPRESSIONS, AND


UNEMPLOYMENT

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE COSTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT


Some Unemployment Is Inevitable
When we consider the various costs of unemployment, it
is useful to categorize unemployment into three types:
Frictional unemployment
Structural unemployment
Cyclical unemployment

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

structural unemployment The portion


of unemployment that is due to changes
in the structure of the economy that
result in a significant loss of jobs in
certain industries.

Together, the "natural rate"


of unemployment

frictional unemployment The portion


of unemployment that is due to the
normal working of the labor market; used
to denote short-run job/skill matching
problems.

cyclical unemployment The increase


in unemployment that occurs during
recessions and depressions.

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EXPLAINING THE EXISTENCE OF


UNEMPLOYMENT

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

MINIMUM WAGE LAWS


minimum wage laws Laws that set a
floor for wage ratesthat is, a minimum
hourly rate for any kind of labor.

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THE U.S. ECONOMY SINCE 1900:


TRENDS AND CYCLES

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

EXPANSION AND CONTRACTION: THE


BUSINESS CYCLE

A Typical Business Cycle

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

MACROECONOMIC CONCERNS
recession A period during which
aggregate output declines.
Conventionally, a period in which
aggregate output declines for two
consecutive quarters.
depression A prolonged and deep
recession.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

gross domestic product (GDP) The total


market value of all final goods and services
produced within a given period by factors of
production located within a country.

GDP is the total market value of a countrys output. It is the market value of all final goods
and services produced within a given period of time by factors of production located within
a country.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

FINAL GOODS AND SERVICES


final goods and services Goods and
services produced for final use.
intermediate goods Goods that are
produced by one firm for use in further
processing by another firm.
value added The difference between
the value of goods as they leave a stage
of production and the cost of the goods
as they entered that stage.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Tires taken from that pile and mounted on the wheels of the new car
before it is sold are considered intermediate goods to the auto producer.
Tires from that pile to replace tires on your old car are considered final
goods. If, in calculating GDP, we included the value of the tires (an
intermediate good) on new cars and the value of new cars (including the
tires), we would be double counting.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP


current dollars The current prices that
one pays for goods and services.
nominal GDP Gross domestic product
measured in current dollars.

Gapminder?

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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

GDP AND SOCIAL WELFARE


Society is better off when crime decreases; however, a
decrease in crime is not reflected in GDP.
An increase in leisure is an increase in social welfare, but
not counted in GDP.
Nonmarket and household activities are not counted in
GDP even though they amount to real production.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT


underground economy The part of the
economy in which transactions take
place and in which income is generated
that is unreported and therefore not
counted in GDP.
Whenever sellers looking for a
profit come into contact with
buyers willing to pay, markets
will arise, often underground.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

LONG-RUN AND SHORT-RUN CONCERNS: GROWTH,


PRODUCTIVITY, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND INFLATION

output growth The growth rate of the


output of the entire economy.
per-capita output growth The growth
rate of output per person in the
economy.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro II:
Aggregate Demand and Supply
The Scope and Method
of Economics

THE ROOTS OF MACROECONOMICS

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Classical Models
Classical economists applied microeconomic models, or
market clearing models, to economy-wide problems.
Simple classical models failed to explain the prolonged
existence of high unemployment during the Great
Depression. This provided the impetus for the
development of macroeconomics.

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THE ROOTS OF MACROECONOMICS

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

The Keynesian Revolution


In 1936, John Maynard Keynes published The General
Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money.
Much of macroeconomics has roots in Keyness work.
According to Keynes, it is not prices and wages that
determine the level of employment, as classical models
had suggested, but instead the level of aggregate demand
for goods and services.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE METHODOLOGY OF MACROECONOMICS


AGGREGATE DEMAND AND AGGREGATE
SUPPLY
aggregate demand The total demand
for goods and services in an economy.
aggregate supply The total supply of
goods and services in an economy.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

The Wiki AS curve

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro III:

Fiscal Policy and Taxation

The Scope and Method


of Economics

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

GOVERNMENT IN THE MACROECONOMY


fiscal policy Government policies
concerning taxes and expenditures
(spending).
monetary policy The tools used by
the Federal Reserve to control the
quantity of money in the economy.
discretionary fiscal policy Changes in
taxes or spending that are the result of
deliberate changes in government policy.

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THE FEDERAL BUDGET

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Debt vs. Deficit


federal debt The total amount owed
by the federal government.
federal surplus (+) or deficit ()
Federal government receipts minus
expenditures.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE ECONOMYS INFLUENCE


ON THE GOVERNMENT BUDGET
automatic stabilizers Revenue and
expenditure items in the federal
budget that automatically change
with the state of the economy in such
a way as to stabilize GDP.

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PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro IV:
Money and the Banking System
The Scope and Method
of Economics

AN OVERVIEW OF MONEY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

WHAT IS MONEY?
store of value An asset that can be
used to transport purchasing power from
one time period to another.
medium of exchange What sellers
generally accept and buyers generally
use to pay for goods and services.
unit of account A standard unit that
provides a consistent way of quoting
prices.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

AN OVERVIEW OF MONEY

fiat money Items designated as money


that are intrinsically worthless.
The cash in your wallet is fiat money

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HOW BANKS CREATE MONEY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE: GOLDSMITHS


run on a bank Occurs when many of
those who have claims on a bank
(deposits) present them at the same
time.

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HOW BANKS CREATE MONEY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Banks usually make loans up to the point where they can no longer do so
because of the reserve requirement restriction.

reserves The deposits that a bank


has at the Federal Reserve bank plus
its cash on hand.
required reserve ratio The
percentage of its total deposits that a
bank must keep as reserves at the
Federal Reserve.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

HOW BANKS CREATE MONEY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE MONEY MULTIPLIER


An increase in bank reserves leads to a greater than one-for-one increase in the money
supply. Economists call the relationship between the final change in deposits and the
change in reserves that caused this change the money multiplier. Stated somewhat
differently, the money multiplier is the multiple by which deposits can increase for every
dollar increase in reserves.

money multiplier The multiple by


which deposits can increase for every
dollar increase in reserves; equal to 1
divided by the required reserve ratio.
money multiplier

1
required reserve ratio

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

HOW THE FEDERAL RESERVE CONTROLS


THE MONEY SUPPLY
If the Fed wants to increase the supply of money, it creates more reserves, thereby freeing
banks to create additional deposits by making more loans. If it wants to decrease the
money supply, it reduces reserves.

Three tools are available to the Fed for


changing the money supply:
(1) changing the required reserve ratio;
(2) changing the discount rate; and
(3) engaging in open market operations.

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THE EQUILIBRIUM INTEREST RATE

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN THE MONEY MARKET


If the interest rate is initially high
enough to create an excess supply of
money, the interest rate will
immediately fall, discouraging
people from moving out of money
and into bonds.
If the interest rate is initially low
enough to create an excess demand
for money, the interest rate will
immediately rise, discouraging
people from moving out of bonds
and into money.

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

CHANGING THE MONEY SUPPLY TO AFFECT THE


INTEREST RATE

The Effect of an Increase in the Supply of Money on the Interest Rate

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

EXPANSIONARY POLICY EFFECTS


expansionary fiscal policy An increase
in government spending or a
reduction in net taxes aimed at increasing
aggregate output (income) (Y).
expansionary monetary policy An
increase in the money supply aimed at
increasing aggregate output (income) (Y).

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

CONTRACTIONARY POLICY EFFECTS


contractionary fiscal policy A decrease
in government spending or an increase in
net taxes aimed at decreasing aggregate
output (income) (Y).
contractionary monetary policy A
decrease in the money supply aimed at
decreasing aggregate output (income) (Y).

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro V:
Stabilization Policies
The Scope and Method
of Economics

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

TIME LAGS REGARDING MONETARY


AND FISCAL POLICY

Two Possible Time Paths for GDP

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

TIME LAGS REGARDING MONETARY


AND FISCAL POLICY
stabilization policy Describes both
monetary and fiscal policy, the goals of
which are to smooth out fluctuations
in output and employment and to keep
prices as stable as possible.
time lags Delays in the economys
response to stabilization policies.
(back seat driver?)

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

TIME LAGS REGARDING MONETARY


AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

recognition lag The time it takes for policy makers to


recognize the existence of a boom or a slump.
implementation lag The time it takes to put the
desired policy into effect once economists and policy
makers recognize that the economy is in a boom or a
slump.
response lag The time that it takes for the
economy to adjust to the new conditions after a
new policy is implemented; the lag that occurs
because of the operation of the economy itself.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

TIME LAGS REGARDING MONETARY


AND FISCAL POLICY

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Summary
Stabilization is not easily achieved. It takes
time for policy makers to recognize the
existence of a problem, more time for them
to implement a solution, and yet more time
for firms and households to respond to the
stabilization policies taken.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

PART I INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS

Chapter

Macro VI:
Stocks, bonds, international trade, and
The Scope
and Method
currency
exchange
of Economics

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

STOCKS AND BONDS


bond A document that formally
promises to pay back a loan under
specified terms, usually over a specific
time period. (may pay interest)
stock A certificate that certifies
ownership of a certain portion of a firm.
(may pay dividends)
capital gain An increase in the value of
an asset.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE STOCK MARKET SINCE 1948

Dow Jones Industrial Average An index based on the


stock prices of 30 actively traded large companies. The
oldest and most widely followed index of stock market
performance.
But who cares?
The Dow is a price-weighted index.
Its simple, and was computationally feasible for 1910.
It's irrelevant today.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE STOCK MARKET SINCE 1948


NASDAQ Composite An index based on
the stock prices of over 5,000 companies
traded on the NASDAQ Stock Market.
The NASDAQ market takes its name from
the National Association of Securities
Dealers Automated Quotation System.
(Tech companies...)

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE STOCK MARKET SINCE 1948


Standard and Poors 500 (S&P 500) An index
based on the stock prices of the largest 500 firms
traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the
NASDAQ Stock Market, and the American Stock
Exchange.
This is the standard, typically.
Its not based on the prices as much as the firm size
(value weighted).

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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

THE ECONOMIC BASIS FOR TRADE:


COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
theory of comparative advantage
Ricardos theory that specialization and free
trade will benefit all trading partners (real
wages will rise), even those that may be
absolutely less efficient producers.
Specialization and free trade will benefit all trading partners (real wages will rise), even those
that may be absolutely less efficient producers.

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THE ECONOMIC BASIS FOR TRADE:


COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE VERSUS


COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
absolute advantage The advantage in the
production of a product enjoyed by one
country over another when it uses fewer
resources to produce that product than the
other country does.
comparative advantage The advantage in
the production of a product enjoyed by one
country over another when that product can
be produced at lower cost in terms of other
goods than it could be in the other country.
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THE ECONOMIC BASIS FOR TRADE:


COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

Why Does Ricardos Plan Work?

Comparative Advantage Means Lower Opportunity Cost


When countries specialize in producing goods in which they have a comparative advantage,
they maximize their combined output and allocate their resources more efficiently.
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CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

TRADE BARRIERS: TARIFFS, EXPORT


SUBSIDIES, AND QUOTAS
protection The practice of shielding a sector
of the economy from foreign competition.
tariff A tax on imports.
export subsidies Government payments
made to domestic firms to encourage exports.
dumping A firm or industrys sale of
products on the world market at prices
below the cost of production.
quota A limit on the quantity of imports.
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Open-Economy Macroeconomics:
Exchange Rates

CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method


of Economics

When people in different countries buy from and sell to each other, an exchange of
currencies must also take place.

exchange rate The price of one


countrys currency in terms of
another countrys currency; the
ratio at which two currencies are
traded for each other.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

THE OPEN ECONOMY WITH FLEXIBLE


EXCHANGE RATES
The Equilibrium Exchange Rate
CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method
of Economics

The equilibrium exchange rate occurs at the point at which the quantity demanded of
a foreign currency equals the quantity of that currency supplied.

appreciation of a
currency The rise in value
of one currency relative to
another.
depreciation of a
currency The fall in value
of one currency relative to
another.
The Equilibrium Exchange Rate

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THE OPEN ECONOMY WITH FLEXIBLE


EXCHANGE RATES
FACTORS THAT AFFECT EXCHANGE RATES
CHAPTER 1: The Scope and Method
of Economics

Purchasing Power Parity: The Law of One Price


law of one price If the costs of
transportation are small, the price of the
same good in different countries should be
roughly the same.
purchasing-power-parity theory A
theory of international exchange holding
that exchange rates are set so that the
price of similar goods in different countries
is the same.

2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

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