The Battle For Value, Fedex Corp. vs. The United Parcel Service, Inc
The Battle For Value, Fedex Corp. vs. The United Parcel Service, Inc
The Battle For Value, Fedex Corp. vs. The United Parcel Service, Inc
Head-to-Head
FedEx
UPS
Ground Vehicles
50,000
88,000
Aircraft
625
583
Employees
Packages Shipped Daily
Assets
216,500
5.4 million
$15.4 billion
360,000
13 million
$28.9 billion
Revenues
$22.5 billion
$33.4 billion
Net Income
$830 million
$2.9 billion
Assets
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
1984
Acquires Gelco International,
launches Asia-Pacific operations 1985
European hub in Brussels
1987
Warehouse services to IBM
1994
Website for package tracking
1986
handheld barcode scanner
1989
Acquires Tiger International
1990
Malcolm Balbridge Award
1992
2-day delivery
1982
Offers 10:30 AM delivery
1995
Acquires air-routes serving China,
Establishes Latin America Div.
1999
Creates new hub at
CDG Airport in Paris
1982
2002
Home delivery to
cover 100% of U.S.
2003
Acquires Kinko's,
establishes
Chinese headquarters
2003
1982
Establishes next-day air service
1985
Intercontinental air service
between US and Europe
2001
Carries USPS packages,
Acquires American
Freightway Corp.
1994
Website for
package tracking
1988
UPS's first air fleet
2000
Acquires all-cargo air service
in Latin America
1991
Saturday delivery,
Electronic sign. tracking
1990
Offers 10:30 AM guarantee
for next-day air
1999
UPS IPO
1995
Guaranteed 8 A.M.
overnight delivery
1992
Expands delivery
to 200 countries
2003
Contracts with
Yangtze River Express,
Reduces
ground-delivery time
2002
Guaranteed
2001
next-day delivery
Acquires Mail Boxes Etc.,
begins direct flights to China
Enabling Factors
FedEx
UPS
Technology Innovations
Customer ordering
Package Tracking
Process Monitoring
Efficiency,
Low-cost provider
Deregulation
In airline industry
In trucking industry
Ditto
Inhibiting Factors
FedEx
UPS
Domestic express
Ditto
market reached maturity
Union Problems, large
wage increases
1992
$9.25
$0.25
$0.44
21.26
1993
$10.38
$0.25
$0.70
14.82
12.16%
12.16%
1994
$11.75
$0.28
$0.81
14.42
13.25%
27.03%
1995
$13.13
$0.32
$0.92
14.34
11.70%
41.89%
1996
$14.63
$0.34
$1.00
14.55
11.43%
58.11%
1997
$15.38
$0.35
$0.82
18.64
5.13%
66.22%
1998
$20.00
$0.22
$1.59
12.58
30.08%
116.22%
1999
$69.00
$0.58
$0.79
87.34
245.00%
645.95%
2000
$58.75
$0.68
$2.54
23.13
-14.86%
535.14%
2001
$54.50
$0.76
$2.13
25.59
-7.23%
489.19%
2002
$63.08
$0.76
$2.84
22.21
15.74%
581.95%
2003
$74.55
$0.92
$2.57
29.01
18.18%
705.95%
FedEx Corp.
Stock Price Dec 31
Dividends per share
EPS, basic, incl. extra items
P/E multiple
Capital appreciation
FedEx Cumul. Compound annual return
1992
$10.19
$0.00
-$0.53
1993
$12.25
$0.00
$0.25
50.00
20.25%
20.25%
1994
$19.13
$0.00
$0.91
20.96
56.12%
87.73%
1995
$14.97
$0.00
$0.91
11.36
-21.73%
46.93%
1996
$19.16
$0.00
$1.35
14.22
27.97%
88.04%
1997
$26.19
$0.00
$1.56
16.79
36.70%
157.06%
1998
$32.06
$0.00
$1.72
18.70
22.43%
214.72%
1999
$54.81
$0.00
$2.13
25.73
70.96%
438.04%
2000
$35.50
$0.00
$2.36
15.04
-35.23%
248.47%
2001
$40.00
$0.00
$2.02
19.80
12.68%
292.64%
2002
$53.95
$0.00
$2.38
22.67
34.88%
429.57%
2003
$63.98
$0.20
$2.79
22.93
18.59%
528.02%
1992
435.71
1993
466.45
7.06%
7.06%
1994
459.27
-1.54%
5.41%
1995
615.93
34.11%
41.36%
1996
740.74
20.26%
70.01%
1997
970.43
31.01%
122.72%
1998
1229.23
26.67%
182.12%
1999
1469.25
19.53%
237.21%
2000
1320.28
-10.14%
203.02%
2001
1148.08
-13.04%
163.50%
2002
879.82
-23.37%
101.93%
2003
1111.92
26.38%
155.20%
1992
1993
5.11%
13.19%
1994
21.62%
82.32%
1995
0.53%
5.57%
1996
-11.90%
18.03%
1997
-56.51%
34.33%
1998
-65.90%
32.60%
1999
408.74%
200.83%
2000
332.12%
45.45%
2001
325.69%
129.14%
2002
480.02%
327.64%
2003
550.75%
372.83%
700.00%
600.00%
% Return
500.00%
UPS Cumul. Compound annual return
FedEx Cumul. Compound annual return
400.00%
200.00%
100.00%
0.00%
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
Year
2000
2002
2004
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
$187
$4,078
4.59%
$176
$4,344
4.05%
$363
$4,456
8.15%
$405
$4,655
8.70%
$419
$5,081
8.25%
$499
$5,663
8.81%
$727
$6,882
10.56%
$726
$7,863
9.23%
$866
$8,636
10.03%
$750
$10,090
7.43%
$881
$10,870
8.10%
$1,418
$12,050
11.77%
$1,798
216
$10
$2,205
23%
7.97%
9.20%
5.60%
1.10
14.13%
10.97%
$1,882
219
$12
$2,682
46%
6.80%
8.11%
5.60%
1.15
13.24%
9.59%
$1,632
224
$19
$4,274
46%
7.53%
8.71%
5.60%
1.20
14.25%
11.61%
$1,325
225
$15
$3,363
43%
7.01%
8.27%
5.60%
1.20
13.73%
11.18%
$1,325
228
$19
$4,359
43%
7.07%
8.46%
5.60%
1.40
14.91%
12.56%
$1,398
230
$26
$6,018
43%
6.89%
8.16%
5.60%
1.35
14.45%
12.60%
$1,385
295
$32
$9,453
45%
5.94%
7.33%
5.60%
1.30
13.22%
12.05%
$1,360
298
$55
$16,333
41%
5.79%
7.69%
5.60%
1.15
12.23%
11.64%
$1,776
284
$36
$10,098
39%
6.19%
8.87%
5.60%
1.20
12.91%
11.79%
$1,900
297
$40
$11,893
37%
5.65%
7.94%
5.60%
1.20
12.37%
11.36%
$1,800
298
$54
$16,087
38%
5.55%
7.96%
5.60%
1.20
12.27%
11.53%
$1,709
299
$64
$19,104
38%
4.76%
6.58%
5.60%
1.10
10.92%
10.36%
4.59%
10.97%
-6.39%
$4,078
($261)
($261)
4.05%
9.59%
-5.67%
$4,344
($246)
($507)
8.15%
11.61%
-3.46%
$4,456
($154)
($661)
8.70%
11.18%
-2.48%
$4,655
($115)
($777)
8.25%
12.56%
-4.30%
$5,081
($218)
($995)
8.81%
12.60%
-3.79%
$5,663
($215)
($1,210)
10.56%
12.05%
-1.48%
$6,882
($102)
($1,311)
9.23%
11.64%
-2.41%
$7,863
($189)
($1,501)
10.03%
11.79%
-1.75%
$8,636
($151)
($1,652)
7.43%
8.10%
11.36%
11.53%
-3.92%
-3.43%
$10,090
$10,870
($396)
($373)
($2,048) ($2,420)
11.77%
10.36%
1.41%
$12,050
$170
($2,251)
$2,205
1,798
4,003
$2,682
1,882
4,564
$4,274
1,632
5,906
$3,363
1,325
4,688
$4,359
1,325
5,684
$6,018
1,398
7,416
$9,453
1,385
10,838
$16,333
1,360
17,693
$10,098
1,776
11,874
$11,893
1,900
13,793
$16,087
1,800
17,887
$19,104
1,709
20,813
$1,580
1,798
3,378
$625
$1,671
1,882
3,553
$1,011
$1,925
1,632
3,557
$2,349
$2,246
1,325
3,571
$1,117
$2,576
1,325
3,901
$1,783
$2,963
1,398
4,361
$3,055
$3,961
1,385
5,346
$5,492
$4,664
1,360
6,024
$11,669
$4,785
1,776
6,561
$5,313
$5,900
1,900
7,800
$5,993
$6,545
1,800
8,345
$9,542
$7,288
1,709
8,997
$11,816
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
$914
$6,932
13.19%
$888
$7,195
12.34%
$944
$8,280
11.40%
$1,448
$9,679
14.96%
$1,545
$11,796
13.10%
$1,379
$12,514
11.02%
$1,909
$13,350
14.30%
$3,215
$18,845
17.06%
$2,955
$17,161
17.22%
$2,846
$2,589
$20,007 $20,802
14.23%
12.45%
$3,309
$23,391
14.15%
$862
1,190
$9
$11,008
40%
7.97%
8.34%
5.60%
1.24%
8.04%
7.82%
$852
1,160
$10
$12,035
43%
6.80%
7.36%
5.60%
1.13%
6.86%
6.69%
$1,127
1,160
$12
$13,630
40%
7.53%
8.08%
5.60%
1.16%
7.59%
7.39%
$1,729
1,140
$13
$14,963
39%
7.01%
7.71%
5.60%
1.18%
7.08%
6.83%
$2,573
1,140
$15
$16,673
40%
7.07%
7.78%
5.60%
1.18%
7.14%
6.81%
$2,583
1,124
$15
$17,282
41%
6.89%
7.53%
5.60%
1.14%
6.95%
6.63%
$2,191
1,095
$20
$21,896
40%
5.94%
6.71%
5.60%
1.15%
6.00%
5.82%
$1,912
1,211
$69
$83,538
58%
5.79%
6.90%
5.60%
1.15%
5.85%
5.79%
$2,981
1,135
$59
$66,663
39%
6.19%
7.99%
5.60%
1.11%
6.25%
6.19%
12.34%
6.69%
-0.24%
$7,195
($17)
($87)
11.40%
7.39%
-1.91%
$8,280
($158)
($245)
14.96%
6.83%
2.24%
$9,679
$217
($29)
13.10%
6.81%
0.63%
$11,796
$74
$46
11.02%
6.63%
-1.10%
$12,514
($138)
($92)
14.30%
5.82%
3.04%
$13,350
$406
$314
17.06%
5.79%
5.04%
$18,845
$950
$1,264
17.22%
6.19%
5.13%
$17,161
$880
$2,144
$11,008
862
11,870
$12,035
852
12,887
$13,630
1,127
14,757
$14,963
1,729
16,692
$16,673
2,573
19,246
$17,282
2,583
19,865
$21,896
2,191
24,087
$83,538
1,912
85,450
$66,663
2,981
69,644
$61,068
4,648
65,716
$70,839
3,945
74,784
$84,167
3,149
87,316
$3,720
862
4,582
$7,288
$3,945
852
4,797
$8,090
$4,647
1,127
5,774
$8,983
$5,151
1,729
6,880
$9,812
$5,901
2,573
8,474
$10,772
$6,087
2,583
8,670
$11,195
$6,087
2,191
8,278
$15,809
$12,474
1,912
14,386
$71,064
$9,735
2,981
12,716
$56,928
$10,248
4,648
14,896
$50,820
$12,455
3,945
16,400
$58,384
$14,852
3,149
18,001
$69,315
$4,648
1,121
$55
$61,068
38%
5.65%
7.16%
5.60%
1.09%
5.71%
5.62%
$3,945
1,123
$63
$70,839
35%
5.55%
6.66%
5.60%
0.95%
5.60%
5.54%
$3,149
1,129
$75
$84,167
34%
4.76%
5.47%
5.60%
0.80%
4.80%
4.76%
14.23%
12.45%
5.62%
5.54%
2.99%
1.89%
$20,007 $20,802
$598
$393
$2,742
$3,135
14.15%
4.76%
5.11%
$23,391
$1,195
$4,331
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
UPS Annual EVA
FedEx Annual EVA
$400
$200
$0
1992
($200)
($400)
($600)
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
44.1
(42.21)
2.21
1.38
42.6
(817.85)
2.25
1.35
41.82
37.64
2.46
1.42
41.79
103.73
2.53
1.46
42.67
93.51
2.5
1.53
44.11
67.84
2.4
1.51
39.74
208.05
2.49
1.64
44.57
47.08
2.67
1.58
46.98
46.37
2.58
1.58
46.98
98.37
2.42
1.47
44.25
28.5
2.48
1.49
41.54
37.11
2.58
1.46
Liquidity Analysis
Current Ratio
Cash Ratio
Cash from Operations Ratio
Defensive Interval
0.87
0.06
0.36
0.7
0.99
0.11
0.5
0.78
1.15
0.26
0.5
0.91
1.05
0.2
0.58
0.92
1.07
0.06
0.58
0.68
1.09
0.06
0.51
0.72
1.03
0.08
0.61
0.8
1.13
0.12
0.64
0.92
1.14
0.02
0.56
0.94
1.06
0.04
0.63
0.87
1.25
0.11
0.76
0.92
1.18
0.16
0.56
1.02
1.24
1.36
0.34
0.15
0.27
1.21
1.82
0.46
0.21
0.36
0.95
2.92
0.64
0.22
0.42
0.7
3.73
0.65
0.28
0.65
0.52
4.31
0.61
0.23
0.71
0.51
5.06
0.57
0.22
0.66
0.41
6.42
0.74
0.29
1.04
0.29
7.78
0.75
0.27
1.29
0.37
7.83
0.72
0.23
0.91
0.36
6.58
0.65
0.25
0.96
0.28
6.98
0.61
0.27
1.23
0.28
10.51
0.83
0.22
0.93
3.67
(1.51)
(1.63)
(7.20)
(21.85)
4.67
0.69
4.38
3.22
7.43
6.26
2.41
6.45
10.62
26.64
6.29
3.17
7.09
13.25
28.87
6.07
3.00
6.75
11.95
32.51
5.94
3.14
6.51
12.19
35.85
6.82
3.17
6.94
12.70
29.48
6.93
3.76
7.33
13.54
35.63
6.69
3.77
7.32
14.38
42.35
6.09
2.98
5.71
9.90
28.59
5.79
3.45
6.38
10.85
31.87
6.54
3.69
6.30
11.39
44.36
92-93
3.42
6.04
(196.51)
(147.34)
31.67
93-94
8.60
3.44
86.11
279.40
45.51
94-95
10.76
7.36
45.61
45.61
11.40
95-96
9.39
4.13
3.42
3.42
5.53
96-97
12.13
13.83
17.37
17.37
9.65
97-98
37.79
27.02
37.91
39.26
58.27
98-99
5.67
9.93
26.73
25.51
7.43
99-'00
8.84
8.25
9.03
9.03
4.99
00-01
7.52
15.73
(15.10)
(15.10)
2.14
01-02
4.98
3.54
24.07
21.50
(0.16)
02-03
9.12
11.39
14.48
16.90
23.30
Profitability Analysis
Margin before Interest and Tax
Net profit margin
Return on assets
Return on total equity
Financial Leverage effect
Growth
Sales
Book assets
Net income before unusual (gain) loss
Net income
Operating income
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
23.13
267.78
2.59
1.83
23.1
4748.29
2.63
1.86
25.66
161.79
2.52
1.75
30.5
80.63
2.34
1.66
34.81
20.39
2.19
1.5
38.57
20.81
2.04
1.41
37.68
14.51
2.18
1.45
39.67
3.9
2.34
1.17
44.79
11.35
2.41
1.37
53.16
10.33
2.28
1.24
54.92
9.82
2.3
1.19
51.6
7.72
2.41
1.16
Liquidity Analysis
Current Ratio
Cash Ratio
Cash from Operations Ratio
Defensive Interval
1.03
0.06
0.69
1.71
1
0.12
0.74
1.83
1.04
0.09
0.56
1.47
1.09
0.07
0.66
1.36
1.35
0.12
0.6
1.38
1.32
0.14
0.73
1.6
1.46
0.44
0.77
3.12
2.65
1.5
0.53
5.13
1.58
0.43
0.61
3.07
1.64
0.35
0.84
2.82
1.57
0.54
1.01
4.98
1.79
0.72
0.84
4.57
0.23
18.68
18.68
0.23
1.67
0.22
23.59
23.59
0.26
2.04
0.24
20.85
20.85
0.21
1.43
0.34
17.19
17.19
0.22
1.13
0.44
13.71
13.71
0.19
0.74
0.43
7.38
7.38
0.22
0.94
0.36
12.17
12.17
0.25
1.1
0.19
16.08
16.08
0.19
0.92
0.37
19.58
19.58
0.22
0.76
0.5
16.83
16.83
0.29
0.75
0.37
23.15
23.15
0.41
1.22
0.26
36.41
36.41
0.33
1.22
7.74%
3.12%
6.47%
13.87%
35.59%
8.20%
4.55%
9.10%
20.53%
46.16%
7.95%
4.82%
9.10%
20.30%
58.39%
10.29%
4.96%
9.24%
20.25%
53.41%
9.07%
5.12%
8.65%
19.42%
60.16%
7.56%
4.05%
7.16%
14.93%
36.82%
12.47%
7.02%
11.69%
24.27%
60.70%
14.74%
3.26%
4.91%
7.08%
39.72%
15.19%
9.86%
14.61%
30.14%
107.00%
12.69%
7.83%
10.68%
23.41%
61.51%
12.81%
10.18%
12.73%
25.55%
56.55%
13.16%
8.65%
10.44%
19.51%
62.38%
92-93
7.65%
5.93%
5.92%
56.86%
14.08%
93-94
10.08%
16.80%
16.51%
16.51%
6.74%
94-95
7.51%
13.08%
10.57%
10.57%
39.21%
95-96
6.29%
18.26%
9.88%
9.88%
-6.33%
96-97
40.00%
6.41%
-20.68%
-20.68%
-16.31%
97-98
10.37%
7.26%
91.53%
91.53%
81.98%
98-99
9.13%
35.01%
-49.28%
-49.28%
29.06%
99-'00
10.05%
-5.99%
232.28%
232.28%
13.39%
00-01
2.94%
13.73%
-17.35%
-18.23%
-14.02%
01-02
2.04%
6.99%
34.19%
32.64%
3.01%
02-03
7.08%
9.68%
-10.94%
-8.93%
10.01%
Profitability Analysis
Margin before Interest and Tax
Net profit margin
Return on assets
Return on total equity
Financial Leverage effect
Growth
Sales
Book assets
Net income before unusual (gain) loss
Net income
Operating income
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
1992
-5.00%
-10.00%
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Conclusion
Questions