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I would also like to extend my gratitude to the Principal Prof. Uma Mahesh
Sathyanarayan. Secondly, I would like to thank my parents and friends who
helped me a lot in my research paper.
S.N TOPIC Page No.
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1. Abstract 1-1
1. Introduction 2-3
INDEX
Abstract
2. Sectoral variances:
3. Long-Term Effects:
Sectoral variances post-demonetization may have had lasting effects,
influencing the strategic decisions and operational dynamics of industries in the
long term. These variances could have shaped the competitive landscape and
growth trajectories of different sectors.
Long-term effects of demonetization in India refer to the sustained impacts and
consequences of the government's decision to invalidate high-denomination
currency notes in November 2016. These effects have continued to shape
various aspects of the economy, society, and sectors over an extended period
beyond the immediate aftermath of the policy implementation.[3]
1. Swati Chauhan and Nikhil Kaushik "IMPACT OF DEMONETIZATION ON STOCK MARKET: EVENT
STUDY METHODOLOGY" June, 2017,Indian Journal of Accounting (IJA) pp. 127-132
2. Mohammad Shameem Jawed, Amol S. Dhaigude & Archit Vinod Tapar | (2019) The sectoral
effect of demonetization on the economy: Evidence from early reaction of the Indian stock
markets, Cogent Economics & Finance, 7:1, 1595992, DOI:
10.1080/23322039.2019.1595992Gupta & Kumar (2018), "Investor Sentiment and Market
Reactions to Demonetization."
3. Raut, Rajdeep & Das, Niladri & Mishra, Ramkrishna. (2018). Behaviour of Individual
Investors in Stock Market Trading: Evidence from India. Global Business Review. 21.
097215091877891. 10.1177/0972150918778915
Economic Landscape:
Formalization of the Economy: Demonetization aimed to promote the
formalization of the economy by encouraging digital transactions, enhancing
transparency, and reducing the reliance on cash transactions. The long-term
effect of this shift has been a gradual move towards a more formalized
economic system with increased digital payment adoption and financial
inclusion.
Tax Compliance and Revenue Generation: The government's objective of
increasing tax compliance and revenue generation through demonetization has
had long-term implications. Efforts to track unreported income and crack down
on tax evasion have continued post-demonetization, contributing to ongoing
initiatives to strengthen the tax administration system.
Financial Sector:
Promotion of Digital Transactions: The emphasis on digital transactions
during demonetization has had a lasting impact on the financial sector. The
increased adoption of electronic payment methods and the growth of digital
payment platforms have transformed the way transactions are conducted,
leading to a more tech-savvy and digitally connected financial ecosystem.
Technological Advancement: Demonetization underscored the importance of
technological advancements in the financial sector. The long-term effect has
been a push towards innovation, development of secure payment systems, and
the integration of technology to enhance financial services and accessibility for
the population.
Societal Changes:
Consumer Behaviour Shifts: Demonetization triggered changes in consumer
behaviour, leading to increased awareness of digital payment options and a shift
towards formal financial channels. These shifts have persisted in the long term,
influencing how individuals transact, save, and invest their money.
Awareness of Financial Inclusion: The focus on financial inclusion during
demonetization has had lasting effects on promoting access to financial services
for underserved populations. Efforts to bring more individuals into the formal
financial system have continued, contributing to greater financial literacy and
inclusion.
Lessons Learned:
Policy Reforms and Strategies: The long-term effects of demonetization have
highlighted the importance of sustained efforts in tax administration,
formalization of the economy, and promotion of digital transactions. Lessons
learned from this policy move have informed future economic reforms and
strategies to build a more transparent and inclusive financial system [7].
Economic Resilience: The enduring impacts of demonetization have
underscored the need for resilience in the face of economic shocks and policy
changes. Businesses and individuals have adapted to the new financial
landscape, demonstrating the ability to navigate challenges and leverage
opportunities for growth the long-term effects of demonetization in India have
reshaped the economic, social, and technological landscape, emphasizing the
importance of adaptability, innovation, and strategic planning in building a more
resilient and inclusive financial system. [2]
Firm-Level Responses:
Financial Resilience: Individual firms exhibited varying degrees of financial
resilience in response to demonetization. Companies with robust financial
structures and diversified revenue streams were better equipped to withstand
the immediate impact of the policy shock and navigate market uncertainties.
Operational Flexibility: The study emphasized the importance of operational
agility in firm-level responses to demonetization. Companies that quickly
adjusted their operations to accommodate digital payments and online
transactions were able to mitigate disruptions and ensure business continuity
during the transition period.
Innovative Strategies: Choudhary highlighted how certain firms leveraged
demonetization as a catalyst for innovation. By introducing new products,
services, or business models that aligned with the evolving market dynamics
post-demonetization, innovative firms were able to seize opportunities and
differentiate themselves in the competitive landscape. It provided a
comprehensive analysis of how demonetization impacted industry clusters and
influenced firm-level responses in India. Their study underscored the
significance of sector-specific strategies, financial preparedness, operational
adaptability, and innovation in navigating the challenges and leveraging the
opportunities arising from major policy changes like demonetization. [5]
Consumer Behaviour:
The immediate impact of demonetization on consumer behaviour was profound.
The sudden withdrawal of high-denomination currency notes led to widespread
cash shortages, creating challenges for individuals in accessing sufficient cash
for their daily transactions. Long queues at banks and ATMs became a common
sight as people sought to exchange old currency notes for new ones, causing
inconvenience and disruptions in their financial activities. The scarcity of
physical currency prompted a rapid shift towards digital payment methods as
consumers embraced online transactions and mobile wallets as alternatives to
cash.
Businesses:
Demonetization had significant implications for businesses across various
sectors. Small and medium enterprises, in particular, faced immediate cash flow
disruptions as the sudden withdrawal of high-denomination notes impacted their
ability to conduct transactions and manage operational expenses. To adapt to the
cash crunch, businesses swiftly transitioned to digital payment systems, with
many adopting online payment platforms and electronic transactions to sustain
their operations.
5. Amol Deepak Nerkar Demonetisation: Impact on Indian Economy Assistant Professor,
Department of Commerce, Deen Dayal Upadhayaya College, University of Delhi, India
The uncertainty surrounding demonetization resulted in a temporary decline in
sales for businesses, especially those heavily reliant on cash transactions, as
consumer spending patterns shifted in response to the policy change.
Financial Institutions:
Financial institutions encountered challenges in managing the influx of cash
deposits and ensuring operational efficiency during the demonetization period.
The surge in cash transactions and the need to exchange old currency notes
posed logistical hurdles for banks and other financial service providers. In
response to the cash crunch, banks played a crucial role in promoting digital
transactions and encouraging customers to embrace electronic payment
methods. Regulatory measures were introduced to enhance financial
transparency and combat illicit financial activities, with increased scrutiny and
compliance requirements aimed at strengthening the integrity of the financial
system post-demonetization.
immediate effects of demonetization on consumer behaviour, businesses, and
financial institutions in India. The policy decision had far-reaching
consequences, prompting a rapid shift towards digital transactions, causing
disruptions in cash-dependent sectors, and necessitating regulatory adjustments
to ensure the smooth functioning of the financial system in the aftermath of
demonetization. [6]
Post-Demonetization Impacts:
6. The Economic Times "99.30% of demonetised money back in the system, says RBI report "
PTI Last Updated: Aug 30, 2018, 08:38:00 AM IST
The sudden withdrawal of high-denomination currency notes disrupted daily
life for many Indians, highlighting the immediate struggles faced by the
general population in coping with the cash crunch.