The Law of Charts - Trading Educator
The Law of Charts - Trading Educator
The Law of Charts - Trading Educator
The impetus, the driving force behind the law, is that of human action and
reaction to the reality of prices.
We are traders, and, just like you, we experience our winning times and our
losing times. We have no magic to offer you, but what we do offer is what we
have learned over decades of trading in many markets, using many methods and
techniques. We are survivors of some of the most volatile times in history.
Markets have changed drastically from when we first began trading.
However, the laws that govern the markets have never changed. The Law of
Charts dates as far back as the making of charts to depict the action of prices in a
market. Regardless of time frame, whether it is yearly, monthly, daily, or intraday,
you will see the Law of Charts in action. The formations, while not identical, can
be defined, which has made our presentation of the Law of Charts possible.
We are here to serve, as well as to trade. We hope you enjoy this adventure
through the Law of Charts. It is by no means complete. There is so much more to
be said, so much more to explain, which is why we hope you will go past the
basics presented here to delve into the depths of the law.
As with any other law of nature, knowing about the law is not directly profitable.
It is only by implementing the law that profit can be derived. Knowing about
electricity never made anyone any money, but harnessing the power of
electricity has made many fortunes over time.
Let’s begin our exploration of The Law of Charts. At the end, we will invite you to
take our online webinar course, which will enable you to go even deeper into the
law, and will show you how the law is implemented.
A number 1 high is created when a previous up-move has ended and prices have begun to
move down.
The number 1 point is identified as the last bar to have made a new high in the most recent
up-leg of the latest swing.
A number 1 low is created when a previous down-move has ended and prices have
begun to move up. The number 1 point is identified as the last bar to have made a
new low in the most recent down-leg of the latest swing.
The entire 1-2-3 high or low is nullified when any price bar
moves prices equal to or beyond the number 1 point.
A ledge consists of a minimum of four price bars. It must have two matching lows and two
matching highs. The matching highs must be separated by at least one price bar, and the
matching lows must be separated by at least one price bar.
The matches need not be exact, but should not differ by more than three minimum tick
fluctuations. If there are more than two matching highs and two matching lows, then it is
optional whether to take an entry signal from either the latest price matches in the series
(Match ‘A’) or those that represent the highest and lowest prices of the series (Match ‘B’).
A LEDGE CANNOT CONTAIN MORE THAN 10 PRICE BARS. A LEDGE MUST EXIST WITHIN A
TREND. The market must have trended up to the Ledge or down to the Ledge. The Ledge
represents a resting point for prices; therefore you would expect the trend to continue
subsequent to a Ledge breakout. See below:
CONSOLIDATIONS
A Trading Range (See below) is similar to a Ledge, but must consist of more than ten price
bars. The bars between ten and twenty-one are called Congestions. The bars from 21 and on
are called Trading Ranges. Usually, from bars 21-29, there will be a breakout to the high or low
of the Trading Range established by those bars prior to the breakout.
In an up-trending market, after the breakout of a 1-2-3 low, the first instance of the failure
of a price bar to make a new high creates a Ross Hook. (A double high/double top also
creates a Ross Hook).
What makes these formations unique is that they can be specifically defined. The ability to
formulate a precise definition sets these formations apart from such vague generalities as
“head and shoulders,” “coils,” “flags,” “pennants,” “megaphones,” and other such supposed
price patterns that are frequently attached as labels to the action of prices. Our online video
seminar, if you decide to take it, will take you much more deeply in to the Law of Charts and
show you several implementations of that law that are currently making money for numerous
traders around the world.
CONSOLIDATIONS
Sideways price movement may be broken into three distinct and definable areas:
Trading Ranges consisting of more than 29 price bars tend to weaken beyond 29 price bars
and breakouts beyond 29 price bars will be:
• Relatively strong if the Trading Range has been growing narrower from top to
bottom (coiling).
• Relatively weak if the Trading Range has been growing wider from top to bottom
(megaphone).
We have written considerable material about breakouts from Ledges, primarily that since by
definition, Ledges must occur in trending markets, the breakout is best traded in the direction
of the prior trend, once two matching highs and two matching lows have taken place.
Under the topic of the Law of Charts, we have defined the first correction following the
breakout of a Trading Range or Ledge as being a Ross Hook.
A problem most traders have in dealing with sideways markets is determining when prices
are no longer moving sideways and have indeed begun to trend. Apart from an outright
breakout and correction which defines a Ross Hook, how is it possible to detect when a
market is no longer moving sideways, and has begun to trend?
In other writings, we have stated that the breakout of the number 2 point of a 1-2-3 high
or low formation ‘defines’ a trend, and that the breakout of the point of a subsequent Ross
Hook ‘establishes’ the trend previously defined.
However, while a 1-2-3 formation occurring in a sideways market still defines a trend, the
1-2-3 formation, when it occurs in a sideways market, is not satisfactorily traded. This is
because Congestions and Trading Ranges are usually composed of opposing 1-2-3 high and
low formations.
If a sideways market has assumed an /\/\ formation, or is seen as a \/\/ formation, these
formations will more often than not consist of a definable 1-2-3 low followed by a 1-2-3
high, or a 1-2-3 high followed by a 1-2-3 low. In any event, the breakout of the number 2
point is usually not a spectacular event, certainly not one worth trading.
When a market is moving sideways, the trader must see a 1-2-3 formation, followed by
a Ross Hook, all occurring within the sideways price action. The entry is then best
attempted by using the Traders Trick ahead of a breakout of the point of the Ross
Hook. The Traders Trick is explained in great detail in our online recorded webinar.
Of course, nothing works every time. There will be false breakouts. However, on a
statistical basis, a violation of a Ross Hook occurring when price action is sideways,
consistently results in a low risk entry with a heightened probability for success. Since
the violation of a Ross Hook occurring in a sideways market is an acceptable trade,
then an entry based upon a Traders Trick entry ahead of the point of the Ross Hook
being violated offers an even better entry, which is why you will want to hear Joe Ross
explain it. His explanations go far beyond what you will find in his books.
Over the years, the TTE has undergone many refinements based on the experience of
many traders in addition to the personal experience of Joe Ross.
What you see with the examples of the TTE in this document show that the TTE gives a
better entry into a trade then simply waiting for a breakout of a #2 point or a breakout
of the point of a Ross Hook. However, the refinements made to the TTE create even
better trade entries.
We have had a number of people ask about the trading of the 1-2-3 high or low
formation. They ask, “When do you buy and when do you sell?”
Although we prefer to use the Traders Trick Entry whenever possible, the illustrations
should be of help when not using the Traders Trick.
Note: The #3 point does not come down equal to or as low as the #1 point in an uptrend, or equal
to or as high as the #1 point in a down trend.
We set a mental or computer alert, or both, to warn us of an impending breakout of these key
points. We will not enter a trade if prices gap over our entry point. We will enter it only if the
market trades through our entry point.
1-2-3 Highs and Lows come only at market turning points that are in effect major or intermediate
high or lows. We look for 1-2-3 lows when a market seems to be making a bottom, or has reached
a 50% or greater retracement. We look for 1-2-3 highs when a market appears to be making a top,
or has reached a 50% or greater retracement.
Exact entry will always be at or prior to the actual breakout taking place.
We are asked the same question with regard to the Ross Hook as we are about 1-2-3
formations: “When do I buy, and when do I sell?” Our answer is essentially the same as for the
1-2-3 formation. Although we prefer entry via the Traders Trick, such entry is not always
available. When the Traders Trick entry is not available, enter on a breakout of the point of the
Ross Hook itself.
That leaves us with a 1-2-3 low and a Ross Hook in the event of a breakout to the upside. It also
leaves us with a 1-2-3 high and a Ross hook in the event of a breakout to the downside. A
breakout of the double top (Rh) will set us up for any subsequent upside Ross Hooks if prices
take out the double resistance area and then later correct.
Rh
Rh
Prices hit our sell stop below the Rh. Our sell stop has been
placed one tick below the point of the Rh. We want a violation
of the Hook before we will accept entry.
The correction comes intraday, creating an intraday hook situation. Day traders may have been
able to scalp a few ticks of profit here.
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
The correction by prices on the last bar shown gives us
another Rh.
The following comments apply to the chart above and the one below. We may want to put on our
entire position but we have only two opportunities. It may be best to put on 2/3 of the position at
the higher of the two entry points, and only 1/3 at the hook, if we are given the choice. Once
prices start back down, we try for 2/3 immediately. If we still cannot get our position on, then we
will have to place the entire position on at the hook. You may recall in a similar situation we
looked at the 3x3 moving average of the close and considered it a filter for the trade because the
3x3 was running through a five bar consolidation. In this instance, the 3x3 moving average was
still displaying containment of the downtrend.
Rh
Rh
Rh
The following comments apply to the chart above and the chart below: As we take profits out
of the market, we come to a point where we have accumulated sufficient profits that if we wish
to risk those profits, we can begin to keep our stop further away from the price action.
If we don’t want to take additional risk, then it’s best to trail a 50% stop as the market moves
down, and pull stops even tighter on reversal bars, or any indication that something is amiss.
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Rh
Note with regard to the last four charts: An adequate trailing stop would have kept us in the market
throughout the four days show on these charts. We would have been able to build a position by
adding contracts.
But keep in mind that adding contracts also adds all new risk. Furthermore, the risk which is
incurred may be greater in nature than the risk originally accepted. Why? Because each time we add
to our position, we are closer in time to the end of the move being made.
The method of trade management that we have been showing you in this entire series of charts is
here is to demonstrate to you an alternative method of trade management. It is up to the trader to
decide how to manage his/her own positions. In our minds there are two basic approaches, both of
which may be acceptable to some.
The first is that of putting on the entire position upon the initial entry and then liquidating portions
of that position to cover costs, take a small profit, and finally to ride the trade as far as it will go with
what remains of the position after partial liquidation.
The converse of this method is to build the position by entering a portion of it to test the waters. If
the initial portion becomes profitable, you then add to the position by adding contracts in stages
until you have put on the entire position.
Much of any acceptability depends upon your personal comfort level in handling risk, and your
financial capacity for handling risk.
Rh Rh
Rh
Sure enough, prices correct. We would start by trying
to sell a breakout of the correction low. We would also
place a sell stop below the Rh for part of our position.
Rh
Rh
Rh
Traders Trick Entry (TTE) will follow next week via email.
Our main goal is to help you reach YOUR goals of becoming a successful trader, and to
show you that consistent profits are attainable! It’s important to remember, while learning
the “trade” of trading that you must have a general understanding and the proper
resources before even placing trades. Take this seriously, and treat it like it’s your own
business. If you stumble across products promoting “Get Rich Quick” or “The Holy Grail”,
you’ll only learn what false-hopes products are all about. We’ve heard this story from many
of our traders, so don’t fall into that trap. Learning how to trade takes time and patience.
We are here to help you learn with our many resources that we offer, and the experience
of our master traders that can properly guide you.