2019 954 3 Melaka

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2019-954/3-Melaka

Section A [45 marks]


Answer all questions in this section.

(1) The number of hours for which a certain type of dry battery worked
satisfactorily (its life) was measured for a sample of 100 batteries, with the
following results:

Life (centre of interval) 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130
Frequency 2 17 30 21 15 9 3 2 1

Estimate
(a) the mean life of the sample and the standard deviation. [4 marks]
(b) the proportion of the sample that had lives which deviated by less than one
standard deviation from the mean. [3 marks]
(c) The median life of the sample. [2 marks]

(2) Seven coins, of which 3 are silver and 4 copper, are in a box. A random
selection of 3 coins is made and the coins so selected are placed in a purse
(purse A). The remaining coins are placed in a second purse (purse B).
(a) Find the probability that there are at least 2 silver coins in purse A.
[3 marks]
(b) On a particular occasion, it is known that purse A has in it 2 silver coins
and 1 copper coin, and that the remaining coins are in purse B. If one coin
is then drawn at random from a purse selected at random, find the
probability that the coin is silver. [3 marks]

(3) A discrete random variable X takes integer value between 0 and 6 inclusive with
1 3 x
probabilities given by P X  x    .
4 16
(a) Tabulate the probability distribution of X. [2 marks]
(b) Find the expectation and variance of X. [5 marks]

(4) The random variable X measures the reliability of an electric kettle. A random
sample of 80 independent observations of X is taken and the results are
summarized by  x  930 and  x 2  11130 .
(a) Calculate an unbiased estimate of mean and variance of X. [5 marks]
(b) Calculate a 95% symmetrical interval for the population mean  .
[4 marks]

(5) A manufacturer claim that the battery for calculators is last for 2 000 hours with
standard deviation of 25.5 hours. A sample of 200 of these batteries was tested,
the mean life was 1 995 hours. Test at 1% level of significance, whether the
manufacturer’s claim is true. [6 marks]
(6) Over a period of 100 days, the number of deaths (of people over 80) recorded in
a local paper are as follows:

Number of death in a day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 or more


Number of days 24 39 19 11 5 2 0

Test, at 5% level of significance, the hypothesis that the number of death


follows a Poisson distribution with mean 1.35. [8 marks]

Section B [15 marks]


Answer any one question in this section.

(7) Soap powder is packed in packets of two sizes. The mass in each small packet
may regarded as normal variable with mean 505 g and standard deviation 10 g
while the mass in each large packet is another independent normal variable with
mean 1 005 g and standard deviation 20 g.
(a) Find the probability that the mass of one randomly chosen large packet is
less than 1 000 g. [3 marks]
(b) Find the probability that the mass of one randomly chosen large packet
exceeds the total mass of two randomly chosen small packets. [3 marks]
(c) Find the probability that the mass of one randomly chosen large packet is
less than twice the mass of one randomly chosen small packet. [4 marks]
(d) Five large packets and ten small packets are chosen at random. Find the
probability that the average of all the fifteen packets chosen between 665 g
and 675 g. [5 marks]

(8) A particular publisher state that the mean number of pages in each books,  , is
153. In a random sample of 150 books from the publisher, the number of pages
in each book, x, is recorded. The results are summarized by
 x  154  150 and  x  154  11 000
2

(a) Test, at the 7% level of significance, whether the publisher has understated
the mean number of pages in each book. [6 marks]
(b) Determine a 93% confidence interval for  . [3 marks]
(c) The publisher claims that 80% of the books he prints are fantastic and
romance, and the remaining are science fiction. In the above sample, 80
books are fantastic, k books are romance and the remaining are science
fiction. Find the greatest value of k such that the sample provides
significant evidence, at 3% level, that the proportion of books on romance
and fantastic has been overstated. [6 marks]

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