Report Oct 2024
Report Oct 2024
Report Oct 2024
October 2024
By Jens Kengelbach, Daniel Friedman, Anant Shivraj, Lianne Pot,
Andrew Simon, Patrick Sykes, Dominik Degen, Seddik El Fihri,
Kanchan Samtani, Samuele Bellani, Jared Feiger, Edward Gore-Randall,
Maximilian Strauch, Daniel Kim, and Thomas Endter
Contents
01 | Introduction 28 | D
eals Are
Taking Longer
to Close. How to
02 | E
arly Signs of Respond.
a Recovery
35 | A
bout the
09 | T
he Regional Authors
Perspective
36 | A
cknowledgments
18 | Is Your M&A
Organization
Built to Win?
Introduction
BCG’s 2024 M&A Report has four parts: • Regulatory Scrutiny is Delaying Deals. How to
Respond. A recent BCG study found that the time from
• Early Signs of a Recovery. So far, 2024 has fallen short signing to closing has been increasing, particularly for
of expectations for a strong resurgence in M&A activity. larger M&A transactions. Many deals failed to meet their
Dealmakers’ hesitancy is understandable, considering projected timelines, often due to regulatory complex-
the challenges involved in navigating today’s complex ities and the intricate nature of the deals themselves.
political and macroeconomic landscapes. Even so, major Deals with higher announced synergies also faced longer
trends—including energy transformation, digitization, closing periods, as these typically attract heightened
and the rising importance of AI—will continue to propel regulatory scrutiny. To account for timing uncertainty,
the M&A market. companies must adapt their processes and priorities
during both the presigning phase and the integration
• The Regional Perspective. Regional M&A dynamics planning phase.
have led to mixed results in 2024. To gain clarity, we
asked BCG experts in seven regions to describe the state By prioritizing these insights in their M&A strategy and
of play in their M&A market and share insights about carefully managing the complexities of planning and
near-term deal drivers. execution, proactive dealmakers can position themselves
for success.
• Is Your M&A Organization Built to Win? BCG col-
laborated with global dealmakers to study the common
pitfalls and success factors involved in setting up M&A
organizations. We found that building effective M&A
teams depends on making the right choices in several
key areas. Companies must tailor their design choices
across these topics on the basis of a detailed under-
standing of the pros and cons.
S
o far, 2024 has fallen short of expectations for a BCG’s M&A Sentiment Index continues to show signs of a
strong resurgence in M&A activity, as instead a slow strengthening market, albeit slowly and steadily. We antici-
recovery persists. Many dealmakers remain cautious, pate increased activity in the coming months, with deal-
either staying on the sidelines or tentatively dipping their makers in the US and Europe leading the charge. Most
toes in the water. Their hesitancy is understandable, con- industries will participate in the recovery, especially those
sidering the challenges involved in navigating today’s in the energy, technology, and health care sectors. Funda-
complex political and macroeconomic landscapes. Never- mental factors, such as economic growth and political and
theless, some dealmakers—most notably those in indus- regulatory conditions, will surely remain volatile. Even so,
tries undergoing significant transformations—are forging major trends, including energy transformation, digitization,
ahead with their M&A strategies. and the rising importance of AI, will continue to propel the
M&A market.
Amid global economic turbulence, M&A activity has been a
mixed bag. The year began with a modest comeback in
dealmaking, followed by a sluggish second quarter and,
more recently, a volatile return to average activity levels.
During the first nine months of 2024, global aggregate
M&A value increased by approximately 10% compared with
the same period last year.
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2024 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3
2018 2020 2022 2024
Deal volume Deal value
2,503 333
2,503 +10%
316
477 2,153 821 2,170 350 2,153 2,170
205 406 193
342 99 410 357
1,607 339 1,607 231 216 1,596
740 1,596 306 231 1,454
434 1,454 229 199
347 603 263 206 342 227 148
49 106 276 130 131 182 207
49 353 200 284 141 945 154
521 1,778 310 22 155 196 121
23 140 95 722 172 149
47 610
1,162 1,224 1,058 361 447 190
801 924 448
645 720 330
474 482 410 449 318
75 47 47 61 50 44 34 236
Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
The consumer sector had one of the largest percentage Private Equity Dealmaking Is Resurgent
gains in aggregate deal value—a 35% increase—a first sign
of recovery from its previous trough of sluggish activity. Private equity (PE) firms’ dry powder—cash reserves or
Still, this renewed strength reflects not a broad-based liquid assets available for new investments—reached a
increase in deals but a few recent very large deal an- record $2.1 trillion at the end of September 2024, fueling
nouncements, such as the intended acquisition by Cana- the resurgence of PE dealmaking. (See Exhibit 4.) Condi-
da’s Alimentation Couche-Tard of Japan-based Seven & i tions are favorable, as firms need to deploy this capital at
Holdings, valued at $38.7 billion, and in the US, Mars Inc.’s the same time that interest rates are declining and valua-
bid for Kellanova, valued at $29.7 billion. If completed, tion gaps between sellers and buyers are narrowing. So far
these transactions would be the consumer sector’s largest in 2024, the two most active sectors for PE investments
deals in recent years. have been technology, media, and telecommunications
and financial institutions and real estate.
The number of large M&A deals (those valued at more
than $500 million) typically serves as a good indicator of Although the second quarter of 2024 saw an uptick in
overall M&A health. (See Exhibit 3.) The market for large global venture capital funding—particularly in North Amer-
deals was very active in 2021 and 2022, fueled in part by ica and Europe—venture capital activity has not yet fully
the surge in mergers involving special-purpose acquisition recovered and remains far below the level of 2021. Even so,
companies (SPACs). Since then, the market has cooled, companies involved in artificial intelligence (AI) continue
often settling at the lower end of the average range of 60 to to attract significant investments, despite continuing con-
80 deals per month. This decline aligns with a drop in cerns about a crowded market, high valuations, and uncer-
overall business confidence, reflecting the challenging tain growth prospects.
economic environment.
160 105
140
120
100 100
80
80
Volume
60 range2
60
40
95
20
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Strategic acquirer Private equity buyer SPAC merger OECD business confidence index
Deal value ($billions)1 Number of deals M&A deals with PE involvement (%)2
200 1,500 50
45
1,250
40
150
35
1,000
30
100 750 25
20
500
15
50
10
250
5
0 0 0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 H1
2024
• In the US, KKR and T-Mobile US joined forces to acquire Over the long term, several trends will continue to foster
subscription programming services provider Metronet an M&A recovery:
Holdings in a deal valued at $4.9 billion.
• Transformations. Staying the course is not an option in
• In the materials sector, BHP and Lundin Mining teamed an era of technological advances, geopolitical tensions,
up to acquire Canadian Filo and form a 50-50 joint ven- and economic uncertainty. Continuous development
ture. The collaboration seeks to advance the Filo del Sol and transformation are necessary to counter challenges
and Josemaria copper projects. The value of the deal is arising from new customer behaviors, supply chain dis-
$3.2 billion. ruptions, the energy transition, and evolving regulatory
frameworks. For many executives, gaining and retaining
competitive advantage and building resilience are top
Conditions May, on Balance, Foster Momentum priorities. M&A and divestitures are essential tools for
transforming companies, and their importance will only
Dealmakers must contend with several short-term head- increase. We expect to see more transformational deals,
winds. These include uncertainty caused by recent and including those involving assets outside the company’s
upcoming elections, the pace of interest rate cuts, the core business. (See Exhibit 5.) On the buy side, this
potential for an economic slowdown, and elevated market involves acquiring for growth, efficiency, technology, or
volatility. Longer-term concerns include evolving climate talent. On the sell side, it means divesting underper-
regulations, stricter antitrust laws, the fragmentation of forming business units or noncore assets.
global trade, and geopolitical tensions and conflicts.
• Climate and Sustainability. Green deals that pursue
The increasing influence of regulation and policy changes climate and sustainability objectives gained steam over
on M&A activity is noteworthy, too. Traditional antitrust the past decade. Although the focus on ESG issues has
regulations often complicate larger deals. In some cases, waned somewhat—particularly in North America—they
antitrust scrutiny promotes dealmaking because compa- remain firmly on CEO agendas. The ongoing energy
nies often use divestitures to address these concerns. transition, decarbonization, the rise of the circular
Dealmakers face further challenges related to foreign economy, and broader concerns about social impact are
direct investment regulations, national security concerns, influencing companies across all sectors. Acquisitions
and sanctions. In addition, M&A processes are now subject and divestitures are valuable tools for achieving strategic
to greater scrutiny owing to data and privacy protection goals related to these challenges.
laws, cybersecurity issues, and ESG and climate change
regulations. The impact of these factors varies significantly
by country.
Deals considering the similarity of the primary Green deals in the acquirer's industry (percentage of all deals in
SIC code of the acquirer and target (%) the respective industry)
100 40
90 35
80
30
70
60 25
50 20
40 15
30
10
20
10 5
0 0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 H1 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 H1
2024 2024
No common digit Two common digits Energy and utilities Industrials Consumer Health care
One common digit Three common digits Materials FIRE TMT
• Digitization and AI. The ongoing push for digitization For bold dealmakers, doing deals now—when the market
remains a major driver of deals. Recent advances in is not at its peak and valuations have not returned to their
generative AI (GenAI) and robotics, in particular, will heights—provides more time to ensure that transactions
continue to fuel M&A activity as companies pursue align closely with long-term strategy, often resulting in
emerging technological solutions and tech-enhanced higher returns. As always, dealmakers should maintain a
capabilities. In this context, “acquihire” deals—in which strong focus on the value creation thesis, especially syner-
the acquirer’s primary goal is to gain access to a com- gies and related integration implications.
pany’s highly skilled employees—are likely to become
more common. AI is also likely to transform the way deal In this period of relative calm, proactive preparation will
M&A teams operate and manage their activities. To keep differentiate dealmakers who are ready to navigate the
pace with ongoing advances, dealmakers must consider complexities of the market from those who are at risk of
how to integrate AI into their work. (See “Applying AI in being caught off guard. The next wave of M&A is building—
Dealmaking.”) and the companies that prepare for it now will be the ones
leading it.
I
n 2024, caution has been the prevailing theme for many The Africa Perspective by Seddik El Fihri
dealmakers worldwide. Although the market has recov-
ered from its late-2023 lows, a strong resurgence in M&A The Germany Perspective by Jens Kengelbach
activity has yet to materialize as companies navigate com-
plex political and macroeconomic landscapes. The India Perspective by Kanchan Samtani
BCG’s M&A Sentiment Index suggests that there will be The Middle East Perspective by Samuele Bellani
greater dealmaking activity for the remainder of the year.
The index continues to climb slowly but steadily, particular- The Southeast Asia Perspective by Jared Feiger
ly in North America and Europe. However, global deal
volume will probably still be below the long-term average. The UK Perspective by Edward Gore-Randall
To better understand the regional dynamics at work, BCG The US Perspective by Lianne Pot
asked experts in seven regions to describe the current state
of their M&A markets and share insights on the near-term
drivers of deal activity. Here are their perspectives:
During the first nine months of 2024, the total value of • Rising Interest from Non-African and Financial
deals in Africa rose by 36% compared with the same peri- Players. Non-African buyers or financial investors are
od in 2023, outpacing the global increase of 10%. However, executing a growing number of deals that involve African
the number of deals on the continent held steady year targets. Currently, inbound deals account for well over
over year, compared with the global reduction of 13%. half of all transactions—a sharp increase from several
Together, these figures point to a significant rise this year years ago when most deals were between regional play-
in the average deal size across Africa. ers. In part. this trend reflects the increasing presence
of Chinese buyers on the continent. At the same time,
Within the broader trend toward stabilization, several financial sponsors, including private equity firms and
sectors have witnessed significant transactions: sovereign wealth funds, are showing heightened interest
in African opportunities.
• Media. One of the most notable deals in the region this
year was the $1.8 billion bid by Canal+, a French media • Increasing Activity in South Africa. Dealmaking in
group, to acquire South African TV broadcaster Multi- South Africa is set to accelerate, buoyed by optimism
Choice Group. about the country’s macroeconomic outlook following
recent election results. This positive sentiment is attract-
• Energy. Energy deals continue to be a cornerstone ing both local firms with available cash and international
of African M&A. Standout deals in 2024 include Re- investors. In addition, the potential for lower interest rates
naissance’s $2.4 billion acquisition of Shell Petroleum and favorable valuations—especially for distressed com-
Development Nigeria and Carlyle’s $820 million buy- panies in need of capital—is further drawing investors to
out of Energean’s Egyptian and Mediterranean assets. the country.
Carlyle’s acquisition is part of a broader strategy to build
an integrated gas exploration and production company • Rapidly Developing African Economies. As the
in the region. region’s economies continue to grow, local companies
will use strategic deals to close gaps in their value
• Materials. The materials sector remains active, with chains and capabilities. For example, companies must
larger deals focused on gold mining. For instance, Gold strengthen local infrastructure and logistic networks to
Fields acquired Osisko Mining for $1.3 billion. One keep pace with consumers’ rising purchasing power and
notable non-mining deal is Savannah Clinker’s bid for evolving demands. And competition for technological
Kenya-based Bamburi Cement for $150 million. assets and talent may drive further M&A.
So far in 2024, South Africa has recorded the continent’s • Increasing Risk of Slowing Growth. Slower-than-
highest deal value (a total of $3.5 billion), primarily attrib- anticipated global economic growth is tempering re-
utable to Canal+’s acquisition of Multichoice Group. Nige- gional enthusiasm for M&A. Consequently, companies
ria follows closely at $3.4 billion and Egypt ranks third at may adopt a more cautious stance, choosing to observe
$913 million. In terms of transaction volume, South Africa market conditions carefully before committing to
leads with 118 deals, well ahead of Morocco (28), Nigeria significant transactions.
(25), Egypt (22), and Kenya (18). South Africa was also the
continent’s most active market in 2023, followed by Egypt.
So far in 2024, the UAE has recorded the highest deal value
in the region (totaling $1.5 billion). Kuwait and Saudi
Arabia follow with deal values of $1.1 billion and $987
million, respectively. The UAE also led in the number of
In the Middle East, there is a clear divide in M&A between deals, with a total of 98 transactions, followed by Saudi
outbound deals and deals targeting companies within the Arabia with 47 deals and Kuwait with 10 deals.
region. Middle Eastern buyers continue to acquire compa-
nies outside the region, with outbound deal activity re- Looking ahead, BCG’s M&A Sentiment Index points toward
maining at the high levels seen since 2021. We anticipate stable sentiment among dealmakers globally. In the Middle
that robust outbound activity will persist. East, several key factors will shape the prospects for M&A:
For instance, ADNOC has ramped up its buy-side efforts, • Outbound Activity. Strategic players and financial
including the announced acquisition of German chemicals sponsors in the region will continue to invest outside of
company Covestro for $12.5 billion—the first purchase of a the Middle East.
German blue-chip company by a Middle Eastern buyer.
The deal is a cornerstone of ADNOC’s global growth strate- • Economic Diversification. Companies and govern-
gy and will provide the foundation for its international ments face a growing imperative to invest in diversifying
performance materials and specialty chemicals business. the region’s economy beyond its traditional reliance on
oil and natural gas production.
In contrast, M&A activity involving Middle Eastern targets
has been subdued in 2024, continuing the sharp decline • Global Uncertainty. Tensions between major global
that began after the pre-pandemic peak in 2019. In the powers continue to foster political and economic uncer-
first nine months of 2024, the deal value of transactions tainties, which could discourage cross-border dealmak-
targeting companies in the region dropped by 45% com- ing. In addition, increased regulatory scrutiny, partic-
pared with the same period in 2023. In contrast, global ularly in sectors such as technology and finance, may
deal value rose by 10%. Deal volume in the Middle East impede or block potential deals.
increased by 7%, versus a global decline of 13%.
• Rising Risk of Slowing Growth. Slower-than-expected
Despite the overall slump in transactions within the region, global economic growth is dampening regional enthusi-
noteworthy dealmaking has occurred in several sectors: asm for M&A. As a result, companies may take a more
cautious approach, opting to monitor market conditions
• Industrial. In the logistics industry, ADNOC acquired before committing to large transactions.
Navig8 for $1 billion. In the engineering industry, the
John Wood Group rejected Dar Al-Handasah’s $3.2 bil- Other promising trends could help lift the region out of its
lion bid to acquire it. dealmaking slump. These include the rapid development
of capital markets and the sharpening focus of sovereign
• Technology and Telecommunication. Technology and wealth funds on optimizing and monetizing their portfoli-
telecommunication assets are increasingly prominent in os. Together, these trends should provide long-term support
the region’s M&A landscape. Notable deals include Baya- for dealmaking in the Middle East.
nat AI’s bid to acquire Al Yah Satellite Communication for
$2.6 billion and UAE-based Rowad’s $250 million acquisi-
tion of Uganda Telecommunications. Another example is
Presight AI’s investment of $350 million in energy-focused
AI player AIQ.
• Industrials. Companies in this sector have played a • Evolving Demands in Materials and Mining. Mining
major role in the UK’s dealmaking activity in 2024. A companies will use M&A to respond to the growing
highlight is International Paper Company’s takeover need for critical transition resources (such as copper
of DS Smiths for $7.2 billion, outbidding Mondi for the and lithium) to support green business models, and to
acquisition. BHP’s failed attempt to take over Anglo adapt to the uncertain outlook for coal and other fossil
American for $36 billion is also noteworthy. Although BHP energy sources. Increasingly vocal investor demands for
pulled out, the proposed deal was a catalyst for several portfolio realignment are reinforcing this trend.
announced portfolio overhauls and transactions at Anglo
American. • Digital and Data Competencies. Companies will
pursue deals to acquire digital and technological compe-
tencies, particularly as generative AI-driven innovations
become more important. An example is BlackRock’s
purchase of Preqin Holding, a financial data company,
for $3.2 billion.
• Energy. Dealmaking in the upstream oil and gas sector Looking ahead, BCG’s M&A Sentiment Index for the Ameri-
has been especially active in 2024. Notable examples cas indicates slightly improving sentiment among dealmak-
include Diamondback Energy’s $25.8 billion acquisition ers in the region. Key drivers for this improvement are de-
of Endeavor Energy and ConocoPhillips’s $22.6 billion creasing interest rates and strong stock market performance.
purchase of Marathon Oil. Both deals mark significant
milestones in these acquirers’ M&A histories. They
also underscore the heightened industry interest in
exploration and production companies that focus on
unconventional resources.
E
xperience makes the difference between successfully In a large-scale effort, BCG collaborated with global deal-
closing M&A deals and either missing opportunities makers to study the common pitfalls and success factors
or making poor choices. In BCG’s decades of support- involved in setting up M&A organizations. The study in-
ing and studying transactions, we have found that—in the cluded a survey of senior leaders from various regions,
long run—companies that regularly engage in deals create industries, and functions. (See “About the Survey.”)
more value and have higher success rates. Overall, they
create superior returns, whereas less-experienced compa- The study’s findings indicate that making the right choices
nies tend to destroy value. (See Exhibit 6.) in several key areas is essential for building effective M&A
organizations. Because each organization is unique, com-
What gives experienced companies their edge? They un- panies must tailor their design choices across these topics
derstand the fundamental importance of strong executive on the basis of a detailed understanding of the pros and
ownership and strategic guidance over M&A priorities. cons. Companies that succeed will create top-notch teams
Critically, they also recognize the essential role of a dedi- that are prepared to act decisively and effectively through-
cated and capable M&A organization to support their out the life cycle of each deal.
transaction activities. Operating with a clear mandate and
a well-structured, end-to-end process, the M&A organiza-
tion collaborates with business units to identify targets and
execute deals while expertly navigating a minefield of risks.
–1
–0.90
–2
One-time acquirers Serial acquirers1
Acquirer experience level
Understanding the common pain points that M&A profes- Building an effective M&A capability involves tailoring
sionals face in their daily work is crucial to designing effec- various design options to the company’s specific goals.
tive organizational structures. Survey respondents high- There are four key areas to consider: governance structure,
lighted several obstacles that many of them have functional structure and team size, collaboration models,
encountered. (See Exhibit 7.) and processes and tools. Companies can consider a set of
questions to guide their choices among the available op-
The most frequently cited challenge is a lack of promising tions. (See “Questions to Guide Design Decisions.”)
targets: 47% of respondents mentioned shortcomings in
their organization’s target search process. Nearly as many Governance Structure
(46%) pointed to unduly prolonged processes during trans- An M&A organization’s governance structure should align
action execution. And 43% noted the absence of a clearly with the company’s strategic objectives and business
defined growth strategy or described their company’s environment. The top-down governance approach empha-
approach as too opportunistic. sizes a structured and hierarchical decision-making pro-
cess in which directives flow from senior executives to the
The scope of the M&A organization’s perceived responsibil- operational teams. It is suitable for organizations operating
ities throughout the deal process is another significant in traditional and less dynamic industries. The primary
issue. Survey respondents see themselves as having a clear advantages of this structure are clear guidance and effi-
mandate to develop strategic rationales, conduct negotia- ciency, leveraging of executive expertise, and structured
tions, provide financial analyses, perform valuations, and communication. However, it may also limit flexibility and
manage processes and programs. (See Exhibit 8.) But slow decision making.
relatively few respondents see themselves as internal
advisors, integration planners, and communicators. For Bottom-up governance, in contrast, encourages more
maximum effectiveness, the deal team should be deeply ideation and innovation from lower organizational levels.
involved in all of these areas. Because this approach facilitates flexibility, innovation, and
faster decision making, it is popular in dynamic and inno-
Our discussions with successful dealmakers reinforce the vative industries where agility is crucial. It is also widely
importance of ensuring that the M&A organization have a employed by large conglomerates that have diverse, unre-
broader set of capabilities. (See “Lessons From Maersk’s lated business units. Potential challenges of this gover-
M&A-Driven Transformation.”) nance structure include strategic misalignment among
organizational levels and lack of transparency.
For many deal teams, their work ends with deal signing or
closing. However, the subsequent integration phase is
equally important—if not more so. Even if a company has
selected the right target to acquire, which is a prerequisite
for success, a poorly managed postmerger integration will
destroy value. So, one key lesson is that M&A teams must
facilitate a proper platform for the integration phase. This
setup ensures that the company can utilize all insights
gained during the transaction to create a robust target
operating model, clarify synergy enablers, and identify the
actions required to capture value and mitigate risks.
Other 2%
60%
57%
53% 52%
34%
24%
14%
5%
• Level of M&A Function. The M&A function’s position • Internal Collaboration. Options for internal collabo-
within the corporate hierarchy and its reporting structure ration include independent, interlinked, and integrat-
are crucial. Having the function report directly to C-level ed models. An independent model calls for the M&A
executives ensures top-level attention and strategic department to operate with loose ties to adjacent
alignment. On the other hand, integrating the function groups. This is suitable for organizations in which the
into another department enhances coordination and department’s activities are separate from those of other
resource sharing. functions. This model offers clear boundaries but may
not promote integration with the corporate strategy. In
• Allocation of Responsibilities. The distribution of contrast, teams that use an interlinked model share the
M&A responsibilities among executive roles affects the same reporting line and engage in frequent exchanges.
function’s focus and effectiveness. Assigning respon- This model enhances cooperation and alignment with
sibility to the CEO ensures strong strategic alignment, strategic goals, but it also requires robust coordination
whereas placing the CFO at the helm emphasizes finan- to avoid overlaps. In an integrated model, the strategy
cial discipline. Leadership by the chief operating officer department, business units, and M&A teams function as
or chief strategy officer stresses operational efficiency or a cohesive unit. This approach promotes alignment and
strategic execution, respectively. resource sharing but can be complex to manage.
• Degree of Centralization. A centralized M&A team • Stakeholder Involvement Across Deal Stages. Effec-
provides strong cohesion and quick decision making but tive collaboration requires participation from the board,
may give short shrift to business-unit-specific insights. executives, strategy departments, business units, and
In contrast, a divisional team optimizes capital alloca- M&A department at different stages. The board and the
tion and supports specialized tasks but requires careful executive leadership team define strategy top-down, with
coordination. Integrating the M&A team into a business the M&A department providing guidance. Deal sourcing
unit helps align it with business strategies but may raise and screening require high engagement from industry
issues with adherence to enterprise-level strategy. experts, strategy departments, and the M&A team. The
M&A department leads on deal design and valuation, of-
• Team Size and Resources. The scope of an M&A ten with input from external advisors. The M&A team and
organization’s activities affects its required team size board are highly involved in execution, too, with business
and skill level. After assessing the tradeoffs between units joining them to achieve post-merger integration.
utilization, flexibility, and costs, companies may choose
not to build subject matter expertise in certain func- • External Collaboration. External collaboration, par-
tions and business areas within the M&A organization. ticularly with regard to leveraging external advisors, is
To access needed expertise, companies must establish critical for supplementing internal capabilities. Selecting
strong interfaces that promote effective collaboration the right advisors can have a major impact on transac-
between the M&A organization and other departments tion success. Advisors should have a strong track record
and business units. and must possess the appropriate scale and flexibility
to provide services for the transaction. Their skill set
should enable them to efficiently handle process-related
and administrative tasks, and to offer valuable guidance
and insights. In addition, their networks should connect
them with relevant investors and stakeholders.
15 15
10 10
5 5
0 0
Less than 1 Less than 3 3 to 5 5 to 10 10 to 20 More than 20 <$200 $200 million– $500 million– $1 billion– $5 billion– >$10
million $500 million $1 billion $5 billion $10 billion billion
Average deals per year
Despite the regulatory and geopolitical risks, approximately • Approximately 40% of transactions took longer to close
90% of deals worldwide proceeded to closing from 2018 than the timeline estimated in the deal announcement.
through 2022. Nevertheless, uncertainty about timelines has
factored into dealmakers’ financial and strategic assess- • Transactions with higher announced synergies, either
ments. The heightened complexity of integration planning as a percentage of deal value or in absolute terms, took
has taken a further toll on employees and other stakeholders. 30% longer than others to close.
$5 billion
170 501 185
to almost 229 –4% 293 +124% 189 –5%
$10 billion
177 224 195
$2 billion
135 190 210
to almost 148 +6% 183 +18% 193 –4%
$5 billion
128 161 219
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
COVID-19
Exhibit 12 - More Than 40% of Deals Were Delayed, and More Than Half
of These Saw Long Delays
42% of deals do not close within the Among delayed deals, 63% exceed the expected
specified timeframe closing timeline by more than three months
Overall deal count, 2010–2022 Late deals by length of delay, as a percentage of total late deals,
2010–2022
128
167 (58%) 128 (42%)
27% 9 months or more
Deal count by announcement date, 2010–20221
13% 6 to almost 9 months
8 13 12 13 20 29 26 28 36 34 32 22 22
More than 20% lower 5% to 20% lower Within 5% 5% to 20% higher More than 20% higher
• View deals through a regulatory lens. As they iden- • Communicate frequently with employees to main-
tify opportunities, dealmakers should aim to gain an tain morale. Companies should keep employees who
early understanding of which deals may face regulatory are involved in the integration informed about priority
or geopolitical obstacles. This is particularly important topics and the program’s evolution. They should explain
for the largest deals (those with a value of $10 billion any planned work stoppages that are necessary to com-
or more). However, other deals could also face scrutiny ply with regulatory requirements or to facilitate regula-
from regulators in the current environment. tory reviews and approvals. They should also regularly
remind all employees of the deal’s benefits, the future
• Build a diverse pipeline. Companies can create vision for the combined entity, and the importance of
options by building a deal pipeline that encompasses collaboration between the buyer and the seller.
transactions across a range of likelihoods for regulatory
scrutiny, avoiding overreliance on any single type of deal.
Anant Shivraj is a managing director and partner in Lianne Pot is a managing director and senior partner in
BCG’s Singapore office and leads the transactions and the firm’s Los Angeles office and is the leader for transac-
integrations work for Asia-Pacific. You may contact him by tions and integrations in North America. You may contact
email at [email protected]. her by email at [email protected].
Andrew Simon is a managing director and partner in Patrick Sykes is a managing director and partner in the
BCG’s Dallas office. You may contact him by email at firm’s Chicago office and is the North America leader for
[email protected]. mergers and acquisitions. You may contact him by email at
[email protected].
Dominik Degen is a knowledge senior director, transac- Seddik El Fihri is a managing director and partner in the
tions and integrations excellence, in BCG’s Munich office firm’s Casablanca office. You may contact him by email at
and is global team leader for the transactions and integra- [email protected].
tions knowledge team. You may contact him by email at
[email protected].
Kanchan Samtani is Asia-Pacific leader for corporate Samuele Bellani is a managing director and partner in
finance and strategy and India leader for principal inves- the firm’s Dubai office. You may contact him by email at
tors and equity in BCG’s Mumbai - Nariman Point office. [email protected].
You may contact her by email at
[email protected].
Jared Feiger is a managing director and partner in BCG’s Edward Gore-Randall is a managing director and partner
Singapore office. You may contact him at in the firm’s London office and is a core member of the
[email protected]. transactions and integrations excellence team. You may
contact him at [email protected].
Maximilian Strauch is a project leader in BCG’s Berlin Daniel Kim is a knowledge expert and team manager in
office. You may contact him by email at the firm’s Munich office, and manages the transactions
[email protected]. and integrations knowledge team. You may contact him by
email at [email protected].
Thomas Endter is a knowledge expert and team manager For Further Contact
in BCG’s Toronto office. You may contact him by email at
[email protected]. If you would like to discuss this report, please contact the
authors.
The author is grateful to Daniel Kim of BCG’s Transaction The author is grateful to Ashish Baid of BCG’s Transaction
Center for his valuable insights and support in the Center for his valuable insights and support in the
preparation of this article. preparation of this article.
The author is grateful to Daniel Kim of BCG’s Transaction The author is grateful to Daniel Kim of BCG’s Transaction
Center for his valuable insights and support in the Center for his valuable insights and support in the
preparation of this article. preparation of this article.
The author is grateful to Ashish Baid of BCG’s Transaction The author is grateful to Thomas Endter of BCG’s
Center for his valuable insights and support in the Transaction Center for his valuable insights and support in
preparation of this article. the preparation of this article.