Business Ede Vedya
Business Ede Vedya
Business Ede Vedya
Business Plans
• You will be
required to
hand in a
business
planas your
final project.
• This will be a lot of fun !
• Personalize your plan (no cookie
cutterapproach please)
• Basic Requirement: How are you going
tomake money ?
• Best to leverage off your product
proposal(Project #1).
Plan
detailed projections about it future.
• It also covers the financialaspects of starting
or expanding your business
Resou
rces
www.sbaonline.sba.gov U.S. Small
Business Administration
www.paloaltosoftware.com Business
Plan Software
• Define Business
• Begin Brainstorming
1
• What are my competitions’ located? strengths?
• Where will I buy the
• How am I different from the products that I need? competitors, as
seen through
• What hours will I operate? my customers’ eyes?
• Am I better off associating with others or is it betterto • Am I sure of the project cost?
be independent? • What happens if costs exceed predicted costs?
General BP Questions to Ask Yourself • Am I sure of the time factors involved?
• What problem do I solve for • Who will work for me and • Is there a buyer for my project?
how my customer base? will they be paid?
• Who is my target customer? • Who will handle critical tasks
like selling, ordering,
• How will I communicate with bookkeeping, marketing and my
target customer? shipping?
• What products/services will I
• How will I advertise andprovide? promote my business?
• Where will my business be
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Business Plans What is Wrong with Business Plan
Critical Factors to
Every New Venture
• The People: the core team members and
outside parties providing key services
Business Model Rather Than A lot of Numbers
• The Opportunity: profile of business; how will it
grow; what can stand in the way of success
• Numbers in terms of model (demonstrate thatyou have • The Context: the BIG picture - regulatory,
thought through the problem) environmental, interest rates, demographic trends,
inflation, etc., the factors that will change but cannot be
• Key drives of venture success controlled by the entrepreneur
• Risk and Reward: an assessment of what can go
• Address break even issue (when do I make aprofit?) wrong (risk) and what can go right (pay-off). How can
the team respond to problems and uncertainties?
• Cash Flow > 0
Sahlman (HBR 97409)
Great Business
Ideas
• “…. GREAT businesses have attributes that are easy to
identify but hard toassemble.”
• The team’s members have skills and experiences directly
related to theopportunity
• Ideally, they have worked together in the past
• The opportunity has an attractive and sustainable business
model; it ispossible to create a competitive edge and defend it
• Many options exist for expanding the scope and scale of the
business
• Value can be extracted … positive harvest event (a sale) or by
scalingdown or liquidating
• The context is favorable - both regulatory and economic
environment
• RISK is understood, and team understands how to mitigate the
impact of
difficult events Sahlman (HBR 97409)
3
Every business plan should answer the
Following about the personnel !
• Where are the founders from ?
• Where have they been educated ?
• Where have they worked ? For whom ? The opportunity
• What are their accomplishments ?
• What is their reputation within the or is it ?
business/technical community?
• What is their relevant experience ?
• What are their skills, abilities,
knowledge ? Can you answer the following basic questions ?
• How realistic are they ?
• Any essential team members missing ? (1) Is the total market for the venture
• Can they attract/recruit high quality people ?
• How will they respond to adversity ?
large, growing, or both ?
• Do they have the ‘stomach’ to make difficult
choices ? (2) Is the industry now, or can it
• How committed are they to the venture ? become, structurally attractive for the
• What are their motivations ?
Sahlman (HBR 97409) venture ?
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The opportunity of a lifetime or The opportunity of a lifetime
is it ? or is it ?
Can your business plan answer these questions?
• Who is the new venture’s customer ?
• How does the customer make decisions about buying the product ?
Entrepreneurs or investors look for rapidly growing markets • Is the product a compelling purchase to the customer ?
because it is often easier to obtain a share of a growing • How will the product or service be priced ?
• How will the venture reach all of the identified customer segments ?
market than to fight with entrenched competitors for a • How much does it cost (time and resources) to acquire a customer ?
small piece of a mature market. • How much does it cost to produce and deliver a product ?
• How much does it cost to support a customer ?
• How easy is it to retain a customer ?
Competition
• Business is very much like chess - you need to anticipate your competitors next move.
• Don’t be naive and ‘pitch’ an insurmountable lead.
• You may have a proprietary lead, can you keep it ?
• All opportunities have promise !
• All opportunities have VULNERABILITIES !
• You need to identify all of your vulnerabilities !
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Context !
Government Regulations Context !
The Economy
Context
Unforeseen Shift
Form
opportunity people coherent
story
Unfold possibilities of
context action and reaction
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Risk & Reward Risk & Reward
• Good business plans
discuss people, opportunity and • Fortune is hard to predict,
context as a moving target
but you have to convince
• These categories are fluid investors that you have a
and willchange over time sense of the risk and rewards
- key people will leave involved
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Visualizing Risk and Reward
“If you don’t know
where you are going,
any road will get you
there.”
FOR ENTREPRENEURS--
•You better know where you will end up and
have a map for getting there
•A business plan should be the place where the - What is the depth and duration of negative cash flow?
map is drawn, a journey is less risky when you - ideal, cash flow early and often
have directions - possibly generate this curve from a sensitivity spreadsheet
Final Thoughts
• A business plan is a call for
t) action,must be proactive
• Risk management is a key,
- Flat portion reveals a negligible chance of losing a small amount of money
- There is a significant chance of earning between 15% and 45%
often tiltingthe venture in favor of
- Small chance of a killer app > 20%
reward and away from risk
- Possible to predict with Monte Carlo • Should be a coherent document
It is a good
is idea to
Also, lots of books:
- “Complete Business Plan” by Adams (ISBN 1-55850-645-7)
invest in a
- “How to Write a Business Plan” by McKeever (ISBN 0-87337-5440) business plan book -- go
- “BusinessPlan.com” by Ross (ISBN 1-55571-455-2) the local bookstores and
- “The Business Planning Guide” by Bangs (ISBN 1-547410-099-8)
library and find one you
- “Model Business Plans” by Richter (ISBN 0-7352-0024-6)
like.
Main Body
Executive
Summary
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A. Program
Overvie
w
B. Manage
e ment &
Strategy
C. Products
D. Market &
Sales
E. Competit
ion
F. Operatio
ns
G. Risks &
Rewards
H. Financial
ModelsA
ppendix
A.1. Primary Final Objective
A.2. Supportive Financial Projections
A.3. Historical Financial Data
A.4. Organization
A.5. Resources
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A. Program Overview con’t A. Program Overview con’t
•Market: Depict the market size, supported (if possible) by •Location: The primary discussion of facility location is here,
references, market share estimates, future expansion of so cover future plans as well as past and current data. (1
markets with the same or other products, and why the market paragraph)
is considered appropriate for the product. (2 - 3 paragraphs)
•Funding requirements: An overview paragraph introduces a
•Marketing and sales: Summarize marketing objectives, table that shows, by project quarter, funding needs and a
strategies and their rationale, near-term promotion and sales condensed summary of principle company activities. Breaking
activities and their assessment measures, product imaging and up the narrative with a table, a figure, or a list aids readability.
positioning details and associated rationale, and the expected (1 paragraph)
long-term sales growth profile and its rationale. (2 - 4
•Financial goals: Provide intro paragraph citing the financial
paragraphs)
model as source and briefly list key model assumptions and
•Competition: This topic is a substantially condensed provide a tabular summary of the following key financial goals
version of the full section on competition. Modify the for each year of the plan: revenue, expenses, pretax profit,
presentation format to avoid redundancy. (1 - 2 taxes, after-tax profit, number of outstanding stock shares, and
paragraphs) earnings per share.
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D. Marketing and Sales con’t D. Marketing and Sales con’t
•Marketing plan overview con’t: Address product •Sales plan overview: Review the general nature, structure,
marketing, the function that defines system features, leadership, and makeup of the sales function (1 paragraph);
customers and their needs and desires, product imaging and outline the general approach and steps to consummate
pricing, sales leads, forecasts, product and technical typical sales (1 paragraph); and describe customer service
literature, and other promotional tools and who will control function leadership, structure, size, makeup, methods, and
that function (1 paragraph). Next, address promotion and how data are collected to aid product design. (1 paragraph)
advertising by describing current or planned elements, the
target marketplaces, and how your marketing properly •Market size: Define market size and relevant assumptions;
conforms to said markets (1 paragraph). Finally, mention present a table of market size, company sales, and company
sales and service purely by defining management names market share of each plan year; discuss reasonableness of
and titles. (1 paragraph) such company market share achievement; and end by listing
three strong attributes of your product fostering market
penetration (e.g., value, low cost, improved efficiency). (4
paragraphs)
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F. Operations Section F. Operations Section con’t
Information on Internal Technical Operations Information on Internal Technical Operations
•Perspective: Introduce and define in logical order each major •Quality: Discuss the same basic topics as R&D, emphasizing
company technical function for later discussion. We treat how quality is a distinct function and how it is kept relatively
functions in order of product development, with quality last to independent of management of the administration division and
emphasize its central attention. (1 paragraph) the technology division (1 paragraph). The latter treatment
•Product R&D: Describe product development organization, concerns quality at the departmental level. Then treat each of
its leader, to whom the leader reports, facilities and equipment, the two major quality functions, such as quality control, in
functions included here, sources of ideas, and other key data some detail, describing their organization, leadership,
concisely conveying how R&D works and meshes with other functions, facilities and equipment and other key issues.
company functions. (1 - 2 paragraphs) •Manufacturing: Treat
the same basic topics as R&D, plus how key elements (parts,
materials, progressing product, finished product,
nonconforming material) flow through the system, inventory
management, packaging and shipping.
(1 - 2 paragraphs)
Revenue
H. Financial Model Net sales Total of all money received
Income Statement Other revenue A net sales breakdown by component is possible
beyond the three primary ones to present supporting Manufactured materials All parts or materials made in-house
detail. Otherwise, readers of the business plan may
erroneously judge primary statement numbers as too Labor All direct/support labor involved in manufacturing
arbitrary.
Total COGS Total of all COGS
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Selling costs Total of all direct selling costs
H. Financials Current Assets Cash Cash, typically the checking account balance
Balance Sheet Accounts receivable Money due the company in normal business conduct
Presented immediately after the income statement, the Raw materials inventory Inventory as parts and materials
Long-term liabilities
Equity
Common stock
Founders stock + stock in return for investment
Preferred stock Often this is zero for all time periods
Total liability & equity Algebraic sum of all liabilities and equity
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For Your Project:
• The financials described here are pretty
sophisticated.
•At a minimum, it should be at a level that was
presented by Professor Suuuuuuuberg.
•It is really important for you to also show a breakeven
time. When do you make money? Year 2?
Year 3?
We project a 10% margin. We did not modify any of the assumptions in the business plan
template that we downloaded form the Internet.
The project is 98% complete. To complete the remaining 2% will take as long as it took to create
the initial 98% but will cost twice as much.
Our business model is proven … If you take the evidence form the past week for the best of our
50 locations and extrapolate it for all the others.
We have a six-month lead. We tried not to find out how many other people have a sixmonth
lead.
Custom aeres clamoring for our product. We have not yet asked them to pay for it. Also, all of our current
customers are relatives.
We are the low-cost producers. We have not produced anything yet, but we are confident that we
will be able to.
We have no competition. Only IBM, Microsoft, Netscape, and Sun have announced plans to
enter the business.
Our management team has a great deal of Consuming the product or services.
experien…ce
A select group of investors is considering the We mailed a copy of the plan to everyone in the Pratt’s Guide.
If you invest on our terms, you will earn a 68 % If everything that could ever conceivably go right does go right,
rate of return. you might get your money back.
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