Scientific American - December 2024
Scientific American - December 2024
Scientific American - December 2024
of Shape
Treating
Hypochondria
The Science
of Curiosity
How
Horses
Made
the
Modern
World
New archaeological
finds are rewriting
an ancient story
DeCeMber 2024
SCieNTifiCAMeriCAN.CoM
CONTENTS
DECEmbEr 2024 VOLUME 331, NUMBER 5
22
FEATURES
ON THE COVER
Alberto Bernasconi/laif/Redux
74 mIND mATTErS
it’s gratifying to connect with old friends—
so why is it hard to reach out?
BY LARA B. AKNIN AND
GILLIAN M. SANDSTROM
77 rEVIEWS
the surprising evolution of oak trees. A new
translation of Haruki murakami’s fantastical,
cyberpunk detective novel. BY AMY BRADY
78 mATH
How many colors does it take to fill in a map?
Mike Lane/Alamy Stock Photo
BY JACK MURTAGH
80 THE UNIVErSE
the fate of the milky Way depends
on our neighbor. BY PHIL PLAIT
82 Q&A
How to protect yourself from a data breach. 71
BY BEN GUARINO
84 ObSErVATOrY
the fossil-fuel industry argues that we can’t live Scientific American (ISSN 0036-8733), Volume 331, Number 5, December 2024, published monthly, except for a July/August
without its deadly products. it is wrong. issue, by Scientific American, a division of Springer Nature America, Inc., 1 New York Plaza, Suite 4600, New York, N.Y. 10004-1562.
Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and at additional mailing offices. Canada Post International Publications Mail
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gender equality? BY CLARA MOSKOWITZ Copyright © 2024 by Scientific American, a division of Springer Nature America, Inc. All rights reserved.
2 Sc i e n t i f ic A m er ic A n Dece m ber 2 02 4
FROM THE EDITOR
Horses and to increase the rate of absorption, and now marine carbon diox-
ide removal efforts are beginning at scale. On page 40, oceanog-
rapher Jaime B. Palter describes strategies being tested or imple-
Humanity mented now to absorb more of the CO 2 in the ocean so it can pull
more CO 2 from our atmosphere, with helpful, elegant graphics.
Hypochondria is a serious health condition that is starting to
get more respectful, insightful and effective treatments. The term
ID YOU GROW UP AROUND HORSES? If not, your par- can refer to excessive fears about getting an illness or anxiety that
D ents or grandparents or greats probably did. Until very some symptom is a sign of a catastrophic health condition. People
recently, horses were our main means of transporta- affected by a new type of hypochondria called cyberchondria
tion and labor. Humans have been hunting horses spend inordinate amounts of time studying medical conditions
since around 300,000 years ago, but when did our rela- online or visiting multiple doctors. Like other anxiety disorders,
tionship with them change from predator-prey to partner? New hypochondria can be disruptive and tormenting. It can frustrate
archaeological and genetic discoveries have changed the under- physicians who can’t find a “real” condition to diagnose and treat.
standing of horse domestication. Rather than a gradual process Health reporter Joanne Silberner on page 48 covers the latest find-
that began around 6,000 years ago, domestication seems to ings on how to diagnose and treat hypochondria, including advice
have happened quickly, around 4,000 years ago, and it abruptly for people who want to help someone with the condition.
changed trade routes, technology and conquest. Archaeozoolo- Offshore oil rigs have become havens for fish, shrimp, mussels,
gist William T. Taylor shares his own research on page 22 and anemones, and more, serving as artificial reefs in otherwise open
pulls together evidence from burial sites, bits, genes and human water. In the Gulf of Mexico, they’ve allowed red snapper and other
history to show how horses made the modern world. species to expand their ranges and populations. When it’s time to
Don’t you love it when mathematicians figure out a problem decommission an oil rig, the platform and upper part of its support
and then realize nature beat them to it? In a fun and beautifully structure can be removed, leaving the bottom part to the fishes. Cal-
illustrated story on page 32, science writer Elise Cutts shows how ifornia now faces a difficult decision over whether to “rig-to-reef ”
three-dimensional shapes with minimal corners can fit together some of its aging offshore rigs. On page 54, freelance writer Asher
to fill a space. It’s another new insight from the field of tessellation, Radziner explains the stakes, the science and the controversy.
which has been on a tear recently. (You may remember our story Curiosity has been challenging to study because it’s hard to
in the January 2024 issue about newfound Einstein tiles, shapes define exactly what it is. It’s a desire to gain knowledge and reduce
that can fit together infinitely without repeating a pattern.) The uncertainty, sure, but it’s also something delicious and stimulat-
iridescent wash on our illustrations may remind you of nautilus ing and fun. I suspect all of you would score high on any curiosity
shells, which contain the newly defined shapes. scale—learning about the world through science is one of the best
The ocean has absorbed about 25 percent of the carbon dioxide ways to satisfy curiosity . . . and encourage even more of it. On
released by fossil-fuel burning since the industrial rev- page 64, Scientific American Science of Health colum-
olution began. This has slowed the pace of global warm- nist Lydia Denworth explores how curiosity influences
Laura Helmuth
ing—giving us enough time to fix it, we hope. Scientists is editor in chief memory and learning, what brain states underlie it,
have speculated for decades that it could be possible of Scientific American. and how to help young people develop it.
BOARD OF ADVISERS
Robin E. Bell Rita Colwell Jennifer A. Francis Hopi E. Hoekstra John Maeda Martin Rees
Research Professor, Lamont- Distinguished University Senior Scientist and Acting Alexander Agassiz Professor Vice President, Astronomer Royal and Emeritus
Doherty Earth Observatory, Professor, University of Deputy Director, Woodwell of Zoology and Curator of Artificial Intelligence and Professor of Cosmology
Columbia University Maryland College Park and Climate Research Center Mammals, Museum of Design, Microsoft and Astrophysics,
Emery N. Brown Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Carlos Gershenson Comparative Zoology, Satyajit Mayor Institute of Astronomy,
Edward Hood Taplin Professor School of Public Health Research Professor, National Harvard University Senior Professor, University of Cambridge
of Medical Engineering and of Kate Crawford Autonomous University of Ayana Elizabeth Johnson National Center for Biological Daniela Rus
Computational Neuroscience, Research Professor, University Mexico and Visiting Scholar, Co-founder, Urban Ocean Lab, Sciences, Tata Institute Andrew (1956) and Erna Viterbi
M.I.T., and Warren M. Zapol of Southern California Santa Fe Institute and Co-founder, The All We Can of Fundamental Research Professor of Electrical
Professor of Anesthesia, Annenberg, and Co-founder, Alison Gopnik Save Project John P. Moore Engineering and Computer
Harvard Medical School AI Now Institute, Professor of Psychology and Christof Koch Professor of Microbiology and Science and Director,
Vinton G. Cerf New York University Affiliate Professor of Chief Scientist, MindScope Immunology, Weill Medical CSAIL, M.I.T.
Chief Internet Evangelist, Nita A. Farahany Philosophy, University Program, Allen Institute for College of Cornell University Meg Urry
Google Professor of Law and of California, Berkeley Brain Science Priyamvada Natarajan Israel Munson Professor of
Emmanuelle Charpentier Philosophy, Director, Duke Lene Vestergaard Hau Meg Lowman Professor of Astronomy and Physics and Astronomy and
Scientific Director, Max Planck Initiative for Science & Society, Mallinckrodt Professor of Director and Founder, TREE Physics, Yale University Director, Yale Center for
Institute for Infection Biology, Duke University Physics and of Applied Physics, Foundation, Rachel Carson Donna J. Nelson Astronomy and Astrophysics
and Founding and Acting Jonathan Foley Harvard University Fellow, Ludwig Maximilian Professor of Chemistry, Amie Wilkinson
Director, Max Planck Unit for Executive Director, University Munich, and University of Oklahoma Professor of Mathematics,
the Science of Pathogens Project Drawdown Research Professor, University Lisa Randall University of Chicago
of Science Malaysia Professor of Physics,
Harvard University
4 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
CONTRIBUTORS
WILLIAM T. TAYLOR
WHEN HORSE BECAME STEED, PAGE 22
Growing up in Montana, William T. Taylor lived in a
house that was “adorned with every trapping of cow-
boy culture you could imagine,” he says. “On a fancy
occasion, you’d put on your cowboy boots, your bolo
and your hat.” His grandfather was a rancher, but his
own father was a lawyer, so they didn’t have any ani-
mals. Then, after graduating from college, Taylor spent
a summer doing archaeology research in Mongolia,
another place with “very vibrant horse culture.” While
helping to excavate a 2,500-year-old horse burial,
“I had so many questions about the interactions
between people and horses that I couldn’t really get
an answer to.”
Taylor ultimately became an archaeozoologist and
recently published a book called Hoof Beats (Univer-
sity of California Press, 2024). In this issue, he tells
the story of horses’ domestication and spread across
the ancient world. These findings inform our under-
standing of both the past and the present, shaping
conservation strategies for the planet’s last wild horse
species, native to Central Asia, and supporting Indige-
nous peoples’ long histories with horses on America’s
Great Plains. “The way we think about our ancient
relationships to horses,” Taylor says, “is very much the
on-the-ground reality for folks today.”
6 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
LETTERS
[email protected]
whether the asteroid could actually be from EDITOR IN CHIEF Laura Helmuth
Earth, a relic of the huge collision that MANAGING EDITOR Jeanna Bryner COPY DIRECTOR Maria-Christina Keller CREATIVE DIRECTOR Michael Mrak
Deep
Knowledge
Strange “biotwang” near the
Mariana Trench identified
it requires a person on a boat to see and iden- called the bryde’s whale (Balaenoptera from underwater hydrophones to figure
tify the source at exactly the same time the edeni) 10 times. These rarely observed out where this specific whale sound had
sound is heard. “It takes a lot of time, a lot of whales have a vast range spanning much of previously been heard. but according to
effort and a fair amount of luck,” Allen says. the ocean, making them hard to study. On Allen, noaa’s growing database has more
That’s how Allen, Harrell and their col- nine of the occasions when bryde’s whales than 200,000 hours of such recordings.
leagues finally solved the biotwang mys- turned up, the researchers also heard the “It’s so much data that it’s simply impossi-
tery, which they describe in Frontiers in biotwang. “Once, it’s a coincidence,” Allen ble to analyze [manually],” says Olaf Mey-
Marine Science. While surveying whales off says. “Twice is happenstance. Nine times, necke, who studies baleen whales as a
the Mariana Islands, an archipelago near it’s definitely a bryde’s whale.” research fellow at Griffith University in
10 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
BOTH BLIND AND SPECTACULAR GRAVITY ROBOTS SENSE
SIGHTED PEOPLE LEARN LENS REVEALS FAR-OFF SURROUNDINGS
ECHOLOCATION P. 13 GALAXIES P. 16 USING FUNGI P. 17
Australia and wasn’t involved in the study. ing algorithms to look for certain frequen- cause scientists couldn’t easily tell differ-
When analyzing audio data for another cies using image recognition. ent populations of the elusive whales
project, Allen had been “flabbergasted” by The new study lays out the evidence as- apart. In 2016, after a strong El Niño led to
the huge volumes of information to slog sociating biotwangs with bryde’s whales in a shift in the location of the whales’ food
through. At one point, she says, her dad the western North Pacific. The data sug- (largely krill, sardines and anchovies),
suggested, “Just get Google to do it for you.” gest that the animals the researchers stud- there were lots of biotwangs—even in the
So Allen reached out to company staff, and, ied are members of a distinct bryde’s northwestern Hawaiian Islands, an area
to her surprise, they agreed. Google pro- whale population and showed where in the these whales ventured into only under cer-
vided AI tools that helped to speed up her ocean they were found during different tain climate conditions. This correlation
analysis by transforming audio data into an seasons and years—something that had could mean that their movements are at
image called a spectrogram and then train- previously been challenging to discern be- least partially determined by their prey’s
distribution, which changes with environ- counterpart, La Niña, potentially undergo over time and between populations. but
mental conditions. changes,“these whales will have to travel because the tools are open source, other
Once scientists know where and when farther—and they may have to work a little scientists can use them to discover more
these whales travel, Harrell says, AI mod- harder to find food,” Allen says. about whale language. “We seem to be so
els could “connect those data to climate The data-processing technology isn’t detached from, or simply have no access
and environmental factors” and thus sup- perfect. “These algorithms can only search to, this amazing acoustic underwater
port protection efforts. As climate change for a frequency they know,” Meynecke world,” he says. “I think it’s about time
worsens and El Niño and its cold-water says. baleen whale vocalizations change that we change that.” —Melissa Hobson
BIOMECHANICS Grounded running in birds has puzzled through a human lens, then [grounded
scientists because humans mimicking the running] seems like a really weird and kind
Goofy behavior use quite a bit more energy to
achieve a running pace than we do with our
of dumb thing to do because it seems really
energetically costly,” says Armita R. Manaf-
Paradox,” by Pasha A. van Bijlert et al., in Science Advances, Vol. 10; September 25, 2024 (reference)
Source: “Muscle-Controlled Physics Simulations of Bird Locomotion Resolve the Grounded Running
of the times that you see a bird walking in asked to run in a crouched position will in- locomotion through a human-centric lens,”
a weird way, they’re actually not walking; stinctively switch to grounded running as she says, “we’re going to miss out on lots of
they’re running—you can tell from the fact well; give it a try if you’re interested.) really cool and equally viable ways of mov-
that they’re bouncing.” “If we think about bird locomotion ing around the world.” —Meghan Bartels
Staying
Grounded
Birds have a crouched
posture, with their hips and
knees tucked into their
feathered bodies. Because
of this alignment, running
birds exhibit a peculiar
tendency to keep one foot
on the ground throughout
their entire running cycle. In
humans, the lack of an aeri-
al phase in which both feet
leave the ground requires
more energy to sustain, but
in birds, grounded running
saves energy.
CHEMISTRY
Peek Inside
A food dye temporarily
renders skin transparent
color across scientific disciplines—from demonstrate the effect themselves. The team investigated 21 different syn-
things most people will never see in day-to- In art and science, “the goal of both is to thetic dyes before landing on the highly ab-
day life (such as the black color of the brain’s make observations about the world around sorbent tartrazine, more commonly known
dopamine precursors, a lack of which can us and communicate something,” says as Yellow No. 5. The zingy lemon-yellow
lead to Parkinson’s disease) to ubiquitous Thrasher, who describes himself as a “mad coloring is approved by the U.S. Food and
(Sasquatch Books, 2024)
backdrops (for instance, the green porcelain scientist artist.” And “when you combine Drug Administration for use in limited
that gives chalkboards their color). Some the two, when you start to bring creative quantities and is commonly found in chips,
are fanciful: the drab color routinely used to expression to science, I think you get closer sodas, candies, butter, vitamins and drug
paint rental apartments is called “landlord to what a lot of people call alchemy.” tablets. Tartrazine in solution increases the
white,” for example. Still others are pro- —Sarah Lewin Frasier refractive indexes for red and yellow light,
14 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Fundamentals
First Fund
and it absorbs most light at wavelengths in related techniques could potentially assist in
An ETF
the near-ultraviolet and blue spectra. When early skin-cancer detection and make la-
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the dye is applied to mouse skin, these com- ser-based tattoo removal more straightfor- Your money
bined effects reduce the scattering of light ward. They could also make veins more vis- Carefully managed
that gives the tissue its usual opacity. ible for drawing blood or administering flu- Abstract
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“The higher the absorption, the more ef- ids via a needle, he says—especially in older owner of approximately 100 publicly traded
ficient the molecule is,” Ou explains. The people with veins that are difficult to locate. worthy companies, and it owns publicly
fda’s limits on chemicals and additives The strategy may also be a more com- traded debt. These worldwide companies are
have caused the food industry to look “for pelling option than the use of imaging vital, important, useful, or just plain nice to
have around, and most have been pursuing
chemicals that are extremely efficient,” technologies such as magnetic resonance their business course for decades. We
even in small amounts, he says. imaging (MRI) and ultrasound for some individually select these companies with
The researchers tested various concen- experiments, including live-animal stud- care and in a manner as to spread our risk
trations of the dye on hydrogel samples that ies. So says Oregon Health and Science so that no single company event can cause
more than a bruise. Mason Capital has
mimic human tissues’ optical distribution University dermatologist Rajan Kulkarni, managed money this way for more than
and on slices of raw chicken breast. They who worked on a 2014 study in which re- three decades. If you are more specifically
then gently massaged the dye into the skin of searchers replaced the lipids in whole or- interested in who we are, how we do it, and
how you might participate, read on.
anesthetized mice until it was absorbed. In gans and animals with clear hydrogel to
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Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks,
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spreading it onto a leg exposed muscles. Us- terms of a proof of concept, it’s really fan- prospectus or summary prospectus with this and other
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tists also saw details of nerves in the gastric The study authors didn’t observe any Quasar Distributors LLC.
system, small units in muscles called sarco- adverse side effects in the mice after the
meres and, when the dye was applied to the tartrazine was removed, although Ou says
scalp, even structures of the brain’s blood it could cause temporary damage to skin Gentlemen, it's time to
vessels. If the tartrazine wasn’t washed off, tissue. He adds that this dye and similar,
the effect lasted about 10 to 20 minutes be- more efficient molecules must be further upgrade your wallet.
fore the skin returned to its original state. tested for human safety. Tartrazine can "Excellentfycra�ed. . {,ts the front pocket perfectly."
Related research has focused on using cause allergic reactions. And although the -ManofMany
already transparent materials that absorb coloring is fda-approved, the agency has THOUSANDS
OFSSTAR
into the skin, including glycerol and fruc- strict limits on amounts used in products. REVIEWS
tose solution. Those molecules can also re- In the study, the mice were able to tolerate
duce light scattering but are “not as effi- the highest concentration used, 0.6 molar,
cient [as tartrazine] because they are not during the short testing periods. but “hu-
‘colored’ enough,” says study co-author man skin is about 10 times thicker than
From “Achieving Optical Transparency in Live Animals with Absorbing Molecules,”
Guosong Hong, a materials science engi- [that of ] mice, which means that the time
neer at Stanford University. Other ap- required for diffusion is probably much
proaches that remove essential molecules greater—a few minutes for mice is going to Back pocket wallets are badly designed
in tissues rather than adding new ones pro- be hundreds of minutes for humans,” Ou - they're easy targets for pickpockets and
a surefire way to ruin your back. That's
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why we reinvented the wallet, for a more
by Zihao Ou et al., in Science, Vol. 385; September 6, 2024
nonliving animals or biopsied tissue. there will be more follow-up proposing comfortable and more secure everyday.
Although it is far from human trials, the new molecules that are going to be more Our Rogue Front Pocket Wallet is
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ADVANCES
ASTRONOMY ferent path. If a “transient” event, such as for the Hubble Space Telescope to image
a supernova, occurs in any one of those the location, revealing the Carousel Lens
Epic Lineup galaxies, astronomers here will have up to
four views of it at slightly different times.
at high resolution.
William Sheu, an astrophysics gradu-
An ultrarare gravity lens “If we had a supernova exploding, we ate student at the University of California,
would have as many images of the super- Los Angeles, and lead author of a new
peers through space nova as we have images of the source,” says study about the discovery in the Astro-
and time cosmologist Nathalie Palanque-Dela- physical Journal, says analysis of the Hub-
brouille, director of Lawrence berkeley Na- ble images could reveal even more back-
AN ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE alignment of tional Laboratory’s physics division, which ground galaxies that have been magnified
galaxies that forms a giant magnifying lens took part in the lens’s discovery. “That by the gravity of the same foreground gal-
16 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
World's Favorite Puzzle
not involved with the new study. succeeded. “We really had no idea where to
Fungi are inexpensive to maintain and ex- start,” Mishra explains, “because these ro-
cel at detecting subtle shifts—not only in bots were the first of their kind.” It took the
light but also in nutrients and gases such as team three years to design one that could
carbon dioxide and ammonia, says senior startle in response to UV light. Watching the Wonders of Science
study author Robert F. Shepherd, an engi- mechanical starfish scamper across the ta-
neer at Cornell University. Shepherd dreams ble for the first time, Shepherd himself felt
in a Flash.
of agricultural uses for fungi-powered bots: keenly “alive.” —Saima S. Iqbal Tune into our podcast—Science
Quickly—for fresh takes on today’s
most fascinating science news.
6/11/24 2:15 PM
ADVANCES
ASTROPHYSICS sion, tiny quantum fluctuations in space’s Study lead author Tung X. Tran, then
density would have grown larger, and some an undergraduate student at the Massa-
Mini spots might have become so dense that they
collapsed into black holes scattered
chusetts Institute of Technology, built a
computer model of the solar system to see
18 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
ADVANCES
ANIMAL BEHAVIOR was in “how short or long the structures effect of, say, genetic differences, because
are,” says study lead author Maria C. Tello- they don’t have really good genetic infor-
Cultural Ramos, a cognitive ecologist at the Univer-
sity of Hull in England. Tube width also
mation on all the individuals in these
groups,” she says. “I think there’s a lot left
dominant female then lays eggs in the nest, paper, we haven’t gotten there yet with ex-
which has a long, tubelike entrance. Indi- periments, but we have very good clues
vidual birds slumber nearby in the U- that that might be it,” she says. 541632
shaped roosts, which have both an en- “These are important questions that
trance and an exit. are understudied,” says Christina Riehl,
5417632
The scientists found that different gath- an evolutionary biologist at Princeton Uni- The numbers in this triangle are
erings of birds, even those living only a few versity. She’s not convinced the study’s arranged according to a certain system.
meters from one another, built very differ- data are enough to fully rule out genetic What would the next row be?
ent tube structures. The biggest difference influence. “They can’t actually look at the
20 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
ARCHAEOLOGY
When
Horse
Became
Steed
Heritage Images/Getty Images (top); Emma Usmanova ( left ); William T. Taylor ( right ) (opposite page)
overturning some basic assumptions about when—and rendered in charcoal on the limestone walls of France’s
why—horses were first domesticated and how rapidly Chauvet Cave more than 30,000 years ago.
they spread across the globe. These insights dramati- Tracking the transition from this ancient preda-
cally change our understanding of not only horses but tor-prey connection to early domestication—which
also people, who used this important relationship to includes such activities as raising, herding, milking
their advantage in everything from herding to warfare. and riding horses—can be challenging. Researchers
This revised view of the past also has lessons for us to- studying the deep past rarely have the luxury of writ-
day as we consider the fate of endangered wild horses ten documents or detailed imagery to chronicle chang-
in the steppes. And it highlights the essential value of ing relationships between people and animals. This is
Indigenous knowledge in piecing together later chap- especially true in the Eurasian steppes—the cold, dry,
William T. Taylor ters of the horse-human story, when domesticated remote grasslands where scientists suspect that the
is an archaeozoologist horses moved from Eurasia into the rest of the world. first horse herders emerged, which stretch from east-
at the University of ern Europe nearly to the Pacific. In the steppes, cul-
Colorado Boulder. He The genus Equus, which includes horses, asses and tures have long been highly mobile, moving herds to
studies the relationship
Mark Harvey (preceding pages);
between people and zebras, originated around four million years ago in fresh pastures with the changing seasons. Their way of
animals, with a focus North America. Over the next few million years its life left behind archaeological assemblages that can be
on horse domestication. members began dispersing across the beringia land shallow, poorly preserved and difficult to study. In-
Taylor is author of bridge between what is now Russia and Alaska and deed, much of what we know about the origins of horse
Hoof Beats: How Horses
Shaped Human History
into Asia, Europe and Africa. Horses are among hu- domestication comes from a single, powerful scientific
(University of California manity’s oldest and most prized prey animals. Perhaps source: the bones of ancient horses themselves.
Press, 2024). the first indisputable evidence for hunting with weap- As an archaeozoologist, I seek to understand the
24 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Horses served as muses for Ice Age people, who captured their likenesses in spectacular works
of art, such as the images in France’s Chauvet Cave that date to more than 30,000 years ago (top).
But it wasn’t until much later that people domesticated horses, as evidenced by burials at sites such
as Novoil’inovskiy in Russia dating to the early second millennium B.C.E. (bottom left). Burials of
horses and chariots establish that early domesticated horses were used for transport (bottom right).
Di
sp e
r s a l o f h o r s e s by s e a
origins of domestication through the study A stronger, more scientific understand- The Deriyevka horse seemed to tie to-
of horse bones from archaeological sites. In ing of horse domestication began to take gether a number of loose threads in scien-
the early days of this kind of scientific in- shape in the 1990s. building on the work of tists’ understanding of ancient Eurasia. be-
quiry into domestication, some researchers some earlier scholars, archaeologist David ginning after 6,000 years ago, during a pe-
looked for patterns in the size, shape or fre- Anthony of Hartwick College in New York riod called the Eneolithic (also sometimes
quency of these bones over time. The basic State and his colleagues identified direct ev- known as the Copper Age), large human
logic behind this approach is that if horses idence for domestication in horse remains, burial mounds known as kurgans appeared
were living in close contact with people, publishing their findings in Scientific Amer- across much of eastern and central Europe
their bones might have become more wide- ican. When horses are used by people for and the western steppes. Over the years
spread or more variable in shape and size transportation, they sometimes develop a many archaeologists and scholars hypoth-
than in earlier periods, whether because particular pattern of damage on their teeth esized a connection linking kurgans, the
people were breeding them for particular from the equipment that is used to control spread of Indo-European languages and the
traits or because they were putting the them. This damage, known as bit wear, can first horse domestication. Specifically, they
horses to work in ways that altered the an- often be seen on the lower second premolar proposed that the Yamnaya people tamed
imals’ bodies over the course of their life, of horses ridden with metal mouthpieces, or horses in the black Sea steppes and then
among other factors. bits. Anthony and his colleagues found bit swept across Eurasia on horseback, bring-
but it turns out that looking for these wear in an ancient horse from a Ukrainian ing their burial customs and an early form
types of patterns in the archaeological rec- site known as Deriyevka, which was thought of Indo-European language—which is be-
ord is a little bit like reading tea leaves. to have been home to an archaeological cul- lieved to have given rise to many languages
Changes in the shape or number of horse ture known as the Yamnaya people. Al- spoken today, including English. On the
bones found at ancient sites could be caused though the Deriyevka horse had not been heels of Anthony’s discovery, this frame-
by any number of other things, from envi- directly dated, its association with the Yam- work, known as the kurgan hypothesis,
ronmental change to shifting human diets naya culture suggested that herders in the gained wide currency in academic literature
or even sampling errors. At best, these indi- Eurasian steppes might have been raising and popular consciousness.
cators give us only an indirect way to trace and riding domestic horses by the fourth Unfortunately, the Deriyevka horse was
the origin of herding or riding. millennium b.c.e. or even earlier. not what it seemed. A decade later direct
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radiocarbon dating of the remains showed terials, archaeologists began to discuss the es, those chosen for slaughter are either
that the animal wasn’t nearly as old as An- relevance of botai’s horses to the question very young or very old because breeding-
thony thought. Instead it had lived and died of early domestication. age animals are needed to ensure the herd’s
sometime in the early first millennium Early on, the botai domestication debate fertility and survival. Marsha Levine and
b.c.e., when domestic horses and horse- was a spicy one. First Anthony and his col- her colleagues pointed out, however, that
back riding were already widespread and leagues suggested that the strange surface botai’s bone assemblage consisted mainly
well documented. but rather than rejecting shape of some botai teeth was also a form of of the remains of mostly healthy adults.
the kurgan hypothesis entirely, archaeolo- bit wear, hinting that the botai horses were Moreover, the site contained large numbers
gists continued to explore other ani- ridden. Soon, though, Sandra Olsen, now at of breeding-age females, as well as some
mal-bone assemblages from the western the University of Kansas, identified the fetal and neonatal horses from pregnant
steppes dating to around the same period, same features in wild horses, meaning they mares. The slaughter of these animals
searching for horse bones to validate the could not be taken as proof of domestica- would be devastating to the fertility of a do-
idea. During this search one site in particu- tion on their own. Scholars also looked at mestic herd, but evidence of it is common
lar drew renewed interest: botai, located in contextual aspects of the botai site, includ- in archaeological sites where wild animals
northern Kazakhstan. ing the architectural layout, speculating were hunted for food.
botai sits some distance east of the that post holes and backfilled pit houses This healthy disagreement over domes-
Yamnaya homeland. Despite lacking any filled with organic material could be left- tication at botai was temporarily quashed
obvious cultural connections to the Yam- over traces of corrals and corral cleaning. in 2009, when a high-profile publication in
naya, botai is also located in the western Still, other scientists remained skepti- the journal Science brought together new
steppes, and like Deriyevka, it dates to the cal—for good reason. Some botai horses evidence apparently showing that people
fourth millennium b.c.e. Most interesting, were found with harpoons directly embed- from botai milked and rode horses. The
the animal-bone assemblage recovered ded in their ribs, obviously killed by hunt- authors looked at the shape of the bones of
from excavations at botai contained huge ers. An even bigger problem with connect- horses at botai and argued they were sim-
numbers of horses. In fact, among thou- ing botai to domestication, though, was the ilar to the modern domestic horse, Equus
sands of animal bones from botai, almost all age and sex patterns among the animals caballus. Using emerging techniques for
were from horses. Working with these ma- found at the site. In a managed herd of hors- the study of ancient biomolecules, scien-
now allow scientists to reconstruct partial gan hypothesis came accidentally from a scendants of domesticated botai horses, a
or whole genomic sequences from archae- 2018 genomic study by Charleen Gaunitz of conclusion that many others in the scientif-
ological remains. Analysis of DNA from the University of Copenhagen, Ludovic ic community felt was unsupported.
J. Bayarsaikhan (bottom)
ancient people and animals has yielded Orlando of the Center of Anthropobiology The botai debate has had important
some rather remarkable findings, docu- and Genomics of Toulouse in France and real-world impacts for Przewalski’s horse.
menting, for example, the migration of their colleagues that showed botai horses In the 20th century Przewalski’s horses
Yamnaya people from eastern Europe as far were not the ancestors of domestic horses went extinct in the wild, and zoo popula-
east as Siberia and Mongolia during the at all. Rather they were members of anoth- tions dwindled almost to the single digits.
28 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
bones from across Eurasia has all but dis-
proved the kurgan hypothesis. Such data
show us that important cultural develop-
ments in the fourth millennium b.c.e.—
including the Yamnaya migration and
the dissemination of kurgans and Indo-
European culture—probably took place
many centuries before the first horses were
domesticated, aided by the spread of other
livestock such as sheep, goats and cattle
and the use of cattle to pull wagons. Mean-
while many steppe people still hunted wild
horses for meat.
New genomic analyses led by Pablo Lib-
rado of the Institute of Evolutionary biology
in barcelona and Orlando indicate that the
ancestors of modern domestic horses origi-
nated in the black Sea steppes around
2200 b.c.e., nearly 2,000 years later than
previously thought. Although we do not yet
know exactly the details of their initial do-
mestication, it is clear based on the timing
that these horses belonged to post-Yamnaya
culture. Patterns in the ancient genomes
suggest that in the early centuries of domes-
tication, the horse cultures of the western
steppe were selectively breeding these ani-
mals for traits such as strength and docility.
This revised timeline for horse domesti-
cation is part of a growing body of evidence
that casts the Yamnaya legacy in a new light.
Early Indo-European cultures such as the
Yamnaya are sometimes portrayed in popu-
lar culture in a nationalist manner, with
links drawn between their supposed domes-
tication of the horse, impressive transconti-
nental migrations, and cultural dominance.
Recent archaeological and genetic insights into horse domestication have relevance for understanding
the horse-human relationship today. Discoveries of an ancient saddle and other tack in Mongolia show that
Now science indicates that the Yamnaya
steppe cultures helped to invent technology that is still in use (bottom left). Horses from the site of Botai probably didn’t domesticate horses at all,
are now known to have belonged to a wild horse species, Przewalski’s horse, that was hunted for food. and their migrations were not necessarily
Conservation efforts are currently underway to restore this highly endangered species (top left). Horses heroic conquests. For example, new genom-
have figured prominently in the traditions and values of the Lakota and many other Native Nations across
ic data show that by around 5,000 years ago
the Great Plains and Rockies (right).
Yamnaya migrants reached as far as central
Mongolia, where they are known as the Afa-
In recent decades these horses have re- walski’s horses “aren’t wild after all” and nasievo culture. Although these migrants
turned from the brink through a careful are instead domestic escapees. Narratives may have helped spread sheep, goats and
captive-breeding program, and they have like these are no longer supported by the cattle into East Asia, initially it seems their
Courtesy of the Global Institute for Traditional Sciences
been reintroduced into some areas of Cen- archaeological data and can imperil ongo- impact was limited to a few mountain re-
tral Asia. This past June a new band of ing protection, conservation and resto- gions of the eastern steppe. After the Yam-
Przewalski’s horses from the Prague Zoo ration of habitat for this highly endan- naya arrival, it would be almost 2,000 years
was released into the grasslands of central gered species. before horses showed up in the region. And
Kazakhstan, marking the first return of genomic analyses suggest that their Afa-
this species to the region in two centuries. despiTe some lingering conTroversy nasievo descendants had little lasting ge-
In the long term, the success and fund- over botai, the available data emerging netic effect on later populations.
ing of such conservation projects may from new scientific approaches to studying The revelation that people domesticated
hinge heavily on public support, making it the past paint a much clearer picture of horses much later than previously thought
imperative to get the story straight. Media horse domestication than we’ve ever had resolves what was always a nagging prob-
attention around botai has sometimes before. The recent spate of genomic se- lem with the kurgan hypothesis. If horses
generated headlines suggesting that Prze- quencing and radiocarbon dating of horse were domesticated in the Eneolithic, why
30 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Timothy Allen/Getty Images
A nomadic family
corrals livestock
on horseback in
Central Mongolia.
MATHEMATICS
TESSELLATION
REVELATION
32 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
Photographs of 3D-printed shapes show soft cells
derived from space-filling polyhedra. Blue is derived
from a truncated octahedron, and green is from a cube.
34 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
grew out of work on natural mosaics, such as cracked PeoPle have been imagining 3D tessellations at
rock faces. Using averages captures the essence of the least since Plato’s time. He built his model of the uni-
tessellation without imposing unnatural rigidity. verse around tessellations of the five regular convex
As Domokos and Regős explored the rules govern- solids: tetrahedron, cube, octahedron, icosahedron
ing the average properties of mosaics, they realized and dodecahedron. Tessellations of the first four
something: it didn’t seem possible to get the average shapes should build the classical elements of earth, air,
number of vertices (corners) per tile below two. From water and fire, respectively, Plato figured. The dodeca-
there it wasn’t much of a leap to realize that a mono- hedron was the stuff of the cosmos. Plato was wrong
tile—a tile that fills the plane only with copies of itself, about more than this esoteric cosmology. only the
such as the regular hexagons of a honeycomb or squares cube can actually fill 3D space as a monotile—with ex-
of a checkerboard—couldn’t have fewer than two ver- act copies of one shape—without gaps and overlaps
tices. This rule hadn’t been recognized before. (unless the space itself is curved). but cubes squished
When Domokos and Regős couldn’t find any pre- and stretched into parallelepipeds (shapes with six
vious work on the subject, the duo realized they had parallelograms for faces) can fill space, too. And in
something interesting on their hands. but they felt out 1885 Russian crystallographer Evgraf Fedorov cata-
of their geometric depth when it came to translating loged a set of five shapes called the parallelohedra—3D
their discovery into a formal mathematical rule. They forms that can be packed together without any rota-
recruited geometer Ákos G. Horváth, who also works tion. These shapes include the cube and the hexagonal
at the budapest University of Technology and Eco- prism familiar from honeycombs, as well as the more
nomics, to their cause. esoteric rhombic dodecahedron, elongated dodecahe-
Horváth soon devised an algorithm that could warp dron and truncated octahedron.
polygonal tilings of the plane into tilings of shapes All these shapes are polyhedra with flat faces and
with just two vertices. Using it, the team devised straight edges. but 3D shapes with curves can fill
rounded, soft, two-vertex tiles from regular tilings of
triangles, hexagons and rectangles. The hexagonal Regular Convex Solids
tiles they used look like hexagons that have had two
corners stretched out and the rest ground down to
rounded nubs. The square-derived tiles are more di-
verse. one looks like a deformed square, but the others
resemble shingles, fish scales, lentils and the flukes of
whales. The two types of tiles derived from triangles
look a bit like a hill and a ship’s sail. Tetrahedron Cube Octahedron
Then, Domokos says, “we started to fantasize about
what it is in 3D.”
Regular triangulation
Icosahedron Dodecahedron
Ákos G. Horváth and Krisztina Regős; February 6, 2024; arXiv:2402.04190 (tile reference)
Parallelohedra
“Soft Cells and the Geometry of Seashells,” by Gábor Domokos, Alain Goriely,
Rectangular grid
Honeycomb grid
Graphics by Violet Frances (3D) and Jen Christiansen (2D) DEC E M bER 2 02 4 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N.CoM 35
space, too—although the ready examples are only When the trio eventually identified a space-filling
slightly bent and have obvious corners. Tellingly, the 3D shape with just two corners, Domokos thought
known examples all emerged from questions about they’d found their answer. “I got completely obsessed
nature, not abstract mathematics. In 1887 british with this whole thing,” he says. “And I wrote a paper
mathematician William Thomson, also known as Lord proving that the minimum number [of corners] in
Kelvin, posed a puzzle: What arrangement of cells or three dimensions is two.” The proof grew out of a sim-
bubbles of equal volume minimizes the surface area of ple assumption that Domokos thought was trivial. but
the interfaces between them? In other words, what is as months came and went, he slowly started to realize
the optimal foam? that the assumption wasn’t so minor after all—and it
Kelvin’s first solution was a tessellation of slightly might even be wrong. “He wanted to send this article
warped truncated octahedra. In a 1994 paper, physi- to me and Ákos for Christmas. Then for New Year’s
cists Denis Weaire and Robert Phelan, both then at Eve. And then later and later,” Regős recalls, fighting
Trinity College Dublin, beat Kelvin’s structure with a back a grin. “And then he found an example with zero.
tessellation of two different warped polyhedra. And So that was that.” The shape was itself a proof: in three
in 2018 a team of biophysicists led by Luis M. Escu- dimensions, it is possible to tessellate space with ob-
dero of the University of Seville and Javier buceta of jects that have no corners at all.
the Institute for Integrative Systems biology in Spain
discovered a new shape called a scutoid, resembling Space-Filling 3D Shape
a warped honeycomb, which the body’s epithelial with Two Corners
cells assume to pack optimally in tissues that need to
bend and curve. Still, no one seems to have asked how
few corners a space-filling solid can have. The Hun-
garian team’s leap to 3D was, at first, a leap of faith.
“We had not the faintest idea. Not even a hunch,”
Domokos says.
36 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
maining edge where the vertex was before. A closed o’Rourke explains. “but here you’re very much in ge-
solid in 3D space must enclose 4π degrees of curvature, ometry. And yet you need this combinatorial condi-
which are usually concentrated at vertices. Regős was tion. So I find that very nice.”
smearing out that curvature over edges instead. “It took
days and days and days to convince me that what she’s s theY came to understand the mathematics of
doing is not completely rubbish,” Domokos says.
Regős had trouble describing her method for bend-
ing edges in mathematical language. but then she re-
A 2D soft cells, the mathematicians began to real-
ize that the shapes existed beyond their sketches
and notes. “They were right under our noses,” Domokos
alized the process could be boiled down to an easily says. The team started to see planar mosaics of two-ver-
solved 2D problem from graph theory. Every polyhe- tex tiles everywhere, from muscle tissue to zebra stripes.
dron has a dual—another polyhedron whose faces once, on a walk through budapest, Regős even saw
correspond to its edges and vice versa. The team them in the curvy crisscross of a metal safety grate.
showed that if it’s possible to find a path along the At the same time, the trio was finding more and
edges of a polyhedron’s dual that visits each of its ver- more 3D soft cells—Regős added warped versions of
tices exactly once—what’s called a Hamiltonian cir- four parallelohedra, as well as tetrahedra, to Domokos’s
cuit—it’s also possible to warp that shape into a cor- first shape, a warped cube. but the researchers strug-
nerless, space-filling soft cell. gled to identify these 3D soft cells in the real world. That
changed when, about a year after Domokos first found
Dual Polyhedra the edge-bent cube, he realized he’d seen it somewhere
before—not in nature but in architecture.
About a decade earlier, architect Viki Sándor and a
group of students at the University of Vienna had con-
cocted an unusual design for a Cirque du Soleil perfor-
mance center. The building was never constructed, but
it got some attention in architectural circles. Its fun-
damental building block was a shape that looks almost
exactly like Domokos’s cubic soft cell.
Sándor’s project started as a warm-up exercise
around the theme of “balance,” says the architect, now
at the Austrian Institute of Technology. The building
With that condition set, Horváth could finally write had to be modular, so they divided it into cubic blocks,
a mathematical 3D edge-bending algorithm. by map- each to be designed by a different person. by coinci-
ping an infinite category of polyhedral tilings to soft dence, the design was inspired by a self-balancing
tilings, he proved the existence of an infinite class of shape called the gömböc, discovered in 2006 by
soft cells. In other words, for every polyhedron—a 3D Domokos and structural mechanics researcher Péter
shape with flat polygonal faces—that could fill space Várkonyi. Sándor and her teammates liked the göm-
with itself, there must also be a curved soft cell. böc’s contrast of thinness and fatness and wanted a
To o’Rourke, the edge-bending algorithm is the similar shape that would fit different modules to-
most beautiful and significant part of the paper. The gether. They found their answer in the C-shaped
elegance comes from uniting two entirely different curves of a tennis ball. “If you cut along the C-shape,
fields of mathematics. Hamiltonian circuits are purely then you get a very thin and a very fat element. And the
combinatorial (having to do with the mathematics of gömböc follows this principle,” Sándor says. Cutting
counting)—they have “nothing to do with geometry,” curved surfaces into tubes or prisms turned out to be
Non-Space-Filling Space-Filling
Non-Soft
Soft
Ákos G. Horváth and Krisztina Regős; February 6, 2024; arXiv:2402.04190 ( nautilus references)
nice is that architects have intuitively reached that
Nautilus 3D Soft Cell [process] also,” Goriely says. “From our understand-
ing, they’ve reached it with the same types of require-
ments: they wanted to soften the structure.”
“Soft Cells and the Geometry of Seashells,” by Gábor Domokos, Alain Goriely,
the work estabiishes a “useful vocabulary” for
exploring soft shapes, Goodman-Strauss says—a vo-
cabulary that opens up new mathematical questions.
What categories of soft monotiles exist? What groups
of soft shapes can and cannot tile space? Domokos
wonders how softness relates to aperiodicity, the abil-
ity to tile a plane without creating a repeating pattern.
The discovery of the first aperiodic monotiles—single
shapes that fill space with only copies of themselves
but never repeat a pattern—made headlines last year.
Domokos and Regős were curious about what would
happen if they applied their edge-softening algorithm
No one on the team knew the first thing about shells. to the “spectre” tiling, the first truly aperiodic mono-
but Domokos knew someone who did: Alain Goriely, tile. but they were surprised to discover that its soft-
a physicist and applied mathematician at the Univer- ened version couldn’t tile a plane alone.
38 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
like to establish the reasons they are so common in A 3D-printed soft
2D Spectre Tiles nature. “A lot of the paper is about visual similarity, cell derived from
a hexagonal prism
and that’s very unusual,” he says. Exploring this link
further appears promising, though, Kaplan says. “I do
like the motivation: just the simple claim that nature
doesn’t like sharp features, so let’s investigate that
“A Chiral Aperiodic Monotile,” by David Smith, Joseph Samuel Myers, Craig S. Kaplan and
40 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
CLIMATE CHANGE
42 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
with iron could influence climate. At a 1988 meeting
at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Mas-
Oceanographers are still debating
sachusetts, Martin voiced what would become one of how to prove whether any ocean
the most memorable quotes in oceanography: “Give
me half a tanker of iron, and I will give you an ice age.” strategy can effectively remove
Martin’s iron hypothesis prompted more than a
dozen artificial iron-enrichment experiments be-
CO2 from the atmosphere.
tween 1992 and 2009. Researchers released iron on the
ocean’s surface and tracked for days or weeks how the seas. Also in June, start-up Equatic began engineering,
area’s water chemistry and organisms changed. Re- in Quebec, for a demonstration-scale plant that alters
sults confirmed that iron enrichment could lead to a seawater chemistry to absorb more CO2 .
phytoplankton bloom when other conditions were
favorable. Whether or not oceanographers considered Water at the ocean’s surface routinely ex-
these experiments “geoengineering,” the studies changes gases with the atmosphere. Nitrogen, oxygen,
yielded extraordinary insight into the interacting bi- CO2 , and other trace gases each exert a part of the atmo-
ological and chemical processes that could alter cli- sphere’s overall pressure. In the ocean, CO2 also exerts
mate on long timescales. a partial pressure, along with water and other mole-
Serious concerns about interfering with nature cules. When the partial pressure of CO2 in the ocean is
grew, however, and nations worldwide signed a 2008 lower than its partial pressure in the atmosphere, CO2
amendment to the London Convention. It prohibited dissolves in seawater as wind pushes air against the
further ocean-fertilization experiments beyond waves. The air and water seek an equilibrium in their
“small-scale, scientific research studies within coastal CO2 levels. As society’s carbon emissions intensify, the
waters,” which chilled enthusiasm for such work. For atmospheric CO2 partial pressure increases, and more
the next decade researchers conducted studies mostly of the gas is moved into the ocean. Most of the incoming
in virtual oceans, using models. CO2 reacts with seawater to form bicarbonate and car-
Several events started to thaw scientists’ cold bonate, which—like salt in the ocean—remain dis-
views. The 2015 Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting solved in the water column for millennia. Since the in-
warming to 1.5 degrees C set off a slew of studies about dustrial revolution more than 150 years ago, the ocean
how much worse two degrees C of warming would be has absorbed approximately 25 percent of human CO2
for ecosystems and for society. The research revealed emissions, a great service that has significantly slowed
that every fraction of a degree of avoided warming the pace of climate change.
offers protection from serious dangers, including in- The goal of all the mCDR strategies is to lower the
creasingly extreme heat, drought, and loss of terres- partial pressure of CO2 in the ocean’s surface layer, us-
trial and marine biodiversity. Even though break- ing either chemical or biological means. One category
throughs in renewable energy had slowed emissions’ of chemical mCDR has the wonky name “ocean alka-
tremendous rise, carbon removal would also be needed linity enhancement.” Alkalinity is the water’s ability
to stabilize the global climate. to neutralize acids. About 99 percent of the atmo-
Against this backdrop, the National Academies of spheric CO2 the ocean absorbs becomes bicarbonate
Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine released a report or carbonate, and this percentage can go higher when
on mCDR in 2022 that outlined six major strategies the water is more alkaline. Therefore, when an alkaline
and the research required to evaluate them. The doc- substance dissolves in seawater, the reaction reduces
ument provided social acceptance for marine scien- the partial pressure of CO2 , allowing the water to ab-
tists to pursue such work. Companies were looking for sorb more from the air. Spreading pulverized alkaline
ways to buy credible carbon credits on a large scale, rock such as limestone or olivine across the ocean or
adding to the urgency. In 2022 financial services com- on beaches, as Vesta did in June, can raise alkalinity.
pany Stripe and several large corporations committed In a second category of chemical mCDR, called di-
to buying $1 billion of credits for carbon removal and rect ocean removal, seawater is pumped into a floating
permanent storage, on land and in the sea, to help or onshore facility that extracts CO2 and transports it
guarantee demand that could accelerate the develop- for commercial use or stores it underground. The water
ment of carbon-reduction technologies. is then pumped back into the sea, ready to absorb more
Progress has begun in earnest. The National Oceanic CO2 from the air. Researchers are trying a variety of
and Atmospheric Administration and the U.S. Depart- technologies to extract the carbon, such as electrodial-
ment of Energy have both held competitions for pro- ysis, which forces water through a membrane, similar
posals on mCDR science. Research is underway across to how desalination plants operate. Captura is one
the world. In June 2024 a company called Vesta spread company that is pursuing this approach.
8,200 metric tons of crushed olivine—rock dust—on biological techniques depend primarily on plant
the ocean just offshore of North Carolina to try to absorb life, large and small. One approach is to cultivate mac-
CO2 directly from the water. Vesta was the first company roalgae such as kelp—often compared with planting
with a federal permit to test carbon removal from U.S. trees on land. As the plants grow, they store carbon in
CO2
O
C
O
ARTIFICIAL UPWELLING
Instead of fertilizing surface water, pumps can bring nutrients there
from deep water, stimulating algae growth and CO absorption.
Pump
Phytoplankton
CO2
CO2 reacts with sea-
water to form bicarbon-
ate and carbonate,
Water which remain dissolved
H in the water column. H
O
H
O
O
C C H
O O
O Nutrients
Dead
Bicarbonate phyto-
Dissolved CO2 H
O plankton
C H Carbon
O O H
O
C
Carbonic acid O O
Carbonate
Crushed limestone
CO2
Macroalgae CO2
limestone
Greater alkalinity,
more CO2 absorbed
CO2
Seagrasses
Salt-
marsh
plants
Carbon
Pump
Seawater with
less carbon
Seawater
46 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
tended consequences of biological mCDR are the ac-
cidental stimulation of harmful algal blooms that can
Not emitting CO2 is the most
poison shellfish, the expansion of oxygen-poor “dead
zones” that can suffocate fish, and ecosystem effects
reliable solution, but if the last
on the food web, including fisheries. 10 percent of reductions is
We would also have to assess whether biological
methods pursued in one place could cause problems in
difficult, ocean removal could help.
another. If we spread iron on the ocean surface, more
phytoplankton will also consume other nutrients they hard to imagine that such a big increase would not have
need to grow, such as nitrate and phosphate. Across any major unintended consequences.
the Southern Ocean encircling Antarctica, strong Answering the scaling question cannot be left to
westerly winds create upwellings of vast nitrate and oceanographers alone. We must evaluate all the engi-
phosphate reservoirs from the deep ocean, which sug- neering, energy and economic challenges associated
gests that is where iron fertilization could be most ef- with deployment. Community engagement is needed
fective. Ocean currents carry those upwelled nutrients to understand whether society is willing to interact
across the globe, however, sustaining up to 75 percent with the ocean in this way. And, ultimately, if mCDR
of ocean photosynthesis in low latitudes. If iron fertil- passes all the tests and has social acceptance, some
ization prompts phytoplankton to consume these nu- entity or market would have to pay for it.
trients in the Southern Ocean, marine ecosystems
throughout the rest of the world would be robbed of What can We reasonably ask of the ocean? The
this nutrition—a serious ecological issue. And reduced 37 billion metric tons of CO2 we emit every year consti-
growth worldwide would probably mean less CO2 tutes a tiny percentage of Earth’s voluminous atmo-
drawn naturally from the air; in the end, there might sphere, yet it has an outsize impact on our climate. Not
be little additionality. emitting the gas in the first place is a far simpler,
An mCDR technique that removes additional car- cheaper and more reliable solution than finding a tech-
bon, stores it durably and is safe must also pass one nology to pull this trace gas out of the atmosphere.
other test: Can it scale? The world emits more than but even if we could halve emissions within the
37 billion metric tons of CO2 annually. If we don’t want coming decade and slash emissions by 90 percent just
to bail out a sinking ship with a teacup, we should look 20 years later, we will still face roughly 50–50 odds of
for strategies that can remove about a billion metric overshooting 1.5 degrees C of global warming, the goal
tons a year. How might the options stack up? that almost every nation agreed to in the Paris Agree-
Ocean alkalinity enhancement could hypotheti- ment. If the last 10 percent of emissions remained
cally reach tens of billions of metric tons a year, if eval- difficult to eliminate, warming would proceed indefi-
uated solely on the availability of appropriate rock that nitely on a slower but still risky trajectory toward ice-
could be ground into alkaline powder. Logistically, sheet collapse and tens of meters of sea-level rise. We
however, it would be most efficient if the rock were are researching mCDR so strategies might someday
spread by ships already sailing along existing mari- help society solve the final few percent of problems.
time transport routes, and models suggest this ap- We must be honest when assessing promises and
proach would cut the potential to approximately one perils. At the Ocean Sciences Meeting—a leading con-
billion to three billion metric tons of CO2 drawdown ference of oceanographers from around the world—
per year. held last February in New Orleans, it seemed to me
Moreover, the mining and grinding of huge vol- that everyone was talking about mCDR. Many scien-
umes of rock requires substantial energy and comes tists expressed cautious hope that further research
with its own social and ecosystem impacts on land. might prove ocean alkalinity enhancement is safe and
Nearly seven billion metric tons of limestone (an al- cost-effective; it is the most likely to be scalable and
kaline rock) are mined and crushed for agricultural durable. Many researchers were skeptical that biolog-
and other applications every year, so the world would ical methods could be proved safe, verifiable or scal-
need a new industry equally as large to clean up a frac- able. Still, with the need to slow climate change feeling
tion of our CO2 pollution problem. increasingly urgent and given how much these studies
An evaluation of biological methods starts with the might teach us about the ocean itself, interest in fur-
estimate that, worldwide, less than 10 billion metric ther research remains high.
tons of CO2 in the surface ocean naturally ends up Engaging in mCDR research requires a tremendous
sinking to the bottom every year within macroalgae amount of hope. The techniques matter only if all our
and microalgae that die—deep enough to remain in other efforts to mitigate climate change—from renew-
the ocean for at least 100 years. To remove an addi- able energy to more walkable cities—reduce carbon
tional billion tons of CO2 that won’t quickly reenter the emissions to a small fraction of what they are today. FROM OUR ARCHIVES
Out of Thin Air.
atmosphere, a biological method would have to in- Only if we slow the gushing faucet of emissions to a Alec Luhn; September
crease the total amount of biological material sinking trickle can mCDR possibly open the drain enough to 2024. Scientific
into the planet’s deep seas by about 10 percent. It is stop the buildup of CO2 in the atmosphere. American.com/archive
Serious Toll
DEC E M BER 2 02 4 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N.COM 49
T O DESCRIBE THE DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS of
50 Sc i e n t i f ic A m er ic A n Dece m ber 2 02 4
the ancient Greeks thought hypochondria origi- mates that about 20 to 25 percent of hypochondria
nated in a region of the body just under the rib cage cases are illness anxiety disorder, and the rest are so-
that produced “black bile,” an ill-defined substance matic system disorder.
that caused a variety of physical ailments. eventually Hypochondria may, at first glance, seem to be a ver-
hypochondria came to be associated with the nervous sion of a related problem: obsessive compulsive disor-
system, and in the early 20th century Sigmund freud der, or ocD. both are marked by intrusive thoughts and
termed it an “actual” neurosis. He tied it, as he did distressing fears. there are differences, however. Some
many things, to feelings of guilt and sexual repression. people with ocD may have intrusive thoughts about
it wasn’t until the 1990s, after clinical treatment stud- getting an illness, but these individuals usually also have
ies with talk therapy and drugs, that psychiatrists other manifestations of ocD, such as an extreme need
stopped linking hypochondria to guilt about sexual for order or symmetry. Among people with hypochon-
and aggressive feelings. dria, their fear is primarily of having an illness.
Despite the pain and anguish it causes, “for centu- cyberchondria, the latest manifestation of the dis-
ries, hypochondria was deemed a fashionable, even a order, has been the topic of more than 100 medical
desirable disorder,” perhaps as a sign of an intellectual, publications. (the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual
thoughtful disposition, according to hypochondria hasn’t officially recognized it yet.) this version in-
reference material from the Wellcome collection. volves more than opening a laptop and checking Dr.
Some of the most revered minds have claimed to Google—it interrupts people’s lives, taking away from
have the disorder, complete with mournful descrip- time with their families or work and increasing their
tions. there’s this from James boswell, 18th-century anxiety. in 2016 fallon and his colleagues asked 731
biographer of english writer Samuel Johnson: “A Hy- volunteers about “online symptom searching” and
pochondriack [sic] fancies himself at different times about their level of health anxiety. those at the lower
suffering death in all the various ways in which it has end of the illness anxiety scale tended to feel better
been observed and thus he dies many times before his after checking their symptoms online, but not so for
death.” Avowed hypochondriac and 18th-century Ger- those with higher anxiety. “contrary to their belief,”
man philosopher immanuel Kant noted that hypo- fallon says, “checking the internet for answers only
chondria was not a “really existing disease” but an makes them feel worse.”
apprehension. twentieth-century french philosopher in one study of cyberchondria in Germany, half the
Jacques Derrida, convinced throughout his life that his people who used symptom-checker apps qualified as
death was imminent, used to say, “Life will have been having hypochondria. frequent users of such apps, if
so short.” He died of pancreatic cancer at 74. they had the disorder, were likely to be unsettled by
much of the more modern research was done by what the apps told them. A study of nurses in turkey
Arthur barsky, now a professor of psychiatry at brig- showed that cyberchondria coincides with an obses-
ham and Women’s Hospital in boston. in the 1970s he sion with healthy eating, and a study of medical stu-
was doing his psychiatry training at massachusetts dents in egypt revealed an association with smart-
General Hospital. Primary care doctors would stop phone addiction.
him in the hallway or at lunch to ask him about pa- treating any kind of hypochondria is a challenge
tients with headaches, dizziness, fatigue, palpitations for doctors. they’ve got to rule out organic disease, and
or shortness of breath. “they keep coming back,” if they do but the patient keeps coming back, it can be IF YOU NEED HELP:
barsky remembers the doctors complaining, “but i’ve frustrating. back in 1991 barsky and several of his col- If you or some-
done everything i can.” leagues asked patients in a large medical clinic what one you know
barsky searched the medical literature and couldn’t they thought of their physicians, and they also asked is struggling or
find much to guide clinicians. He decided to dig in, and those physicians what they thought of their patients. having thoughts
eventually he published a series of defining papers on the patients with hypochondria were less satisfied of suicide, help
the nature and epidemiology of hypochondriasis and with their physicians than were other patients in the is available.
treatments for the illness that, along with work by Pe- clinic. And perhaps not surprisingly, their physicians Call the
ter tyrer of imperial college London, provided a more reported that those patients were more frustrating to 988 Suicide &
accurate scientific basis for treating the disease. the care for and less likely to listen to them. Crisis Lifeline
American Psychiatric Association eventually decided clinical trials have shown that hypochondria as a at 988
to divide the condition into illness anxiety disorder whole, and somatic system disorder in particular, can
and somatic symptom disorder. fallon, who was a con- be successfully treated with cbt or with antidepres- use the online
sultant to the committee of psychiatrists behind the sants that improve the availability of the neurotrans- Lifeline Chat
renaming, says a major reason for jettisoning the old mitter serotonin (known as SSris). A combination of at 988lifeline.
category was that it focused on the absence of medical the two also works. more than 30 years ago, soon after org/chat
explanations for symptoms, and that enhanced the the first SSri, Prozac, went on the market, fallon tried or contact the
stigma when such a label was attached to a patient’s it on a patient who was very unhappy about being sent Crisis Text Line
chart. the two new descriptions are about actual to a psychiatrist. “He had a dramatic improvement,” by texting
symptoms, such as unusual thoughts and behaviors fallon says, which inspired the psychiatrist to test it in TALK to 741741.
related to a person’s medical concerns. fallon esti- a small trial. Just over 60 percent of the patients im-
52 Sc i e n t i f ic A m er ic A n Dece m ber 2 02 4
ffEctivE trEatmEnts could be lifesaving, as
“It’s not so much death that’s often
E indicated by a study in Sweden. the research
started when, several years ago, psychologist Da-
vid mataix-cols of the Karolinska institute wondered
feared,” says patient Annalisa
just how far the consequences of hypochondria could Barbieri, “but being ill, being
go. “these people suffer enormously over many, many
years,” he says. “And yet no one had actually looked— dependent, the loss of control.”
do they die?” He realized he had a powerful database
to help him answer the question. concerns. finding the best way for doctors to talk with
Sweden has detailed health and demographic rec- patients who have hypochondria will improve their
ords that include whether a patient has ever been diag- lives, according to experts in the field. Kube, in Ger-
nosed with hypochondria by a specialist. mataix-cols many, is exploring optimal approaches to these conver-
and his colleagues checked the death rate among all sations. He plans to study in more detail how doctors
4,129 people with a diagnosis of hypochondria between can best frame “likelihood” statistics and how they can
1997 and 2020 (an undercount, he says; he suspects better communicate probabilities. He also wants to test
doctors in Sweden are reluctant to label their patients the effect of a physician’s demeanor by asking volun-
with a stigmatized condition). they compared that teers to watch videotapes of doctors demonstrating
number with the rate among 41,290 demographically varying levels of warmth and competence.
matched control subjects and reported their results last Some of the researchers in the Swedish early-death
December in JAMA Psychiatry. study plan to train medical personnel on how to recog-
they found a hazard ratio for death of 1.69, meaning nize cases of hypochondria earlier and how to get those
a nearly 70 percent increase in the probability of death patients into treatment. other scientists in Sweden
in the hypochondria group from both natural and unnat- have already shown that computer-based information
ural causes over the course of the study. Suicide was the on health anxiety combined with telehealth sessions
primary cause of unnatural death. mataix-cols empha- with therapists can help as much as face-to-face ther-
sizes that although the fourfold increased suicide risk apy encounters. they looked at how 200 patients did
they found is alarmingly high, the absolute risk in the with either face-to-face sessions or online self-help
population with hypochondria was still quite low. Sui- modules and occasional e-mail check-ins. in both
cide occurred, in fact, in fewer than 1 percent of people groups, hypochondria dropped about 13 points on a
with the condition. “People should not be panicking like, 0- to 54-point scale after 12 weeks of treatment.
‘oh, my God, i’m going to die because of my hypochon- family members and friends can also help someone
dria’—this is not the message they should get,” he says. they know and love who is overcome by obsession and
rather the message he would like repeated is that hypo- fear about health. “expressing empathy first and then
chondria is a serious condition that should be treated. offering to help the person connect with resources can
the results of mataix-cols’s study startled fallon and be a good approach,” says clinical psychologist Jessica
barsky—neither has lost a patient with hypochondria to borelli of the University of california, irvine. “that
suicide. barsky notes that people with hypochondria are might look like, ‘i’ve noticed that you have a lot of wor-
hunting for a disease to match their symptoms so the dis- ries about your health, and that sounds really hard. i’d
ease can be treated; they’re not looking to die. like to help you find some support. is that something
Annalisa barbieri, a 58-year-old woman in england you are open to?’”
with hypochondria, has feared she had Parkinson’s borelli saw her first patient with hypochondria
disease, liver cancer, and other illnesses. “it’s not so about 20 years ago and has seen many since. if you know
much death that’s often feared but the dying, the being someone who has hypochondria, she says, it might be
ill, the being dependent, the unknown, the loss of con- helpful to offer them a suite of options—perhaps assis-
trol,” she says. After cbt, barbieri learned to reframe tance in scheduling an appointment with a therapist or
and replace these terrifying thoughts with more real- medical doctor or help organizing errands or cooking
istic assessments of her body. today, she says, the mon- if an illness obsession has driven them to let things
strous anxiety inside her mostly sleeps. it does re- slide. Sometimes making life seem more manageable
awaken during times of stress, such as the kind she felt can help people begin to function in a healthier way.
recently after her mother and several other people died When a person has been doctor hopping for years,
in a short period. She rolls out what she learned during looking in vain for a medical diagnosis, a therapist
her cbt: to separate out assumptions from facts and to might be where to start. there also may be real but
make a plan. it takes work, she says, and it does work. unexamined medical issues at the root of a patient’s
anxiety, borelli notes. if a person has not seen a pri-
rosEnbluth found writing his book about his con- mary care doctor—some people’s fear of hearing bad FROM OUR ARCHIVES
dition cathartic, and the antianxiety medication he news keeps them away, for instance—helping them to Cyberchondriacs Just
Know They Must Be
reluctantly takes has helped. He says he’s able to think find a physician, schedule a visit, and even offering to Sick. Charles Schmidt;
things through with the help of a new doctor, who often go with them would be a good first step away from un- April 5, 2019. Scientific
spends 45 minutes per visit hearing out rosenbluth’s reasonable fear. American.com/archive
Asher Radziner And for nearly five decades it was. Then, in 2015, conservative estimate, completely removing all of Cal-
is a freelance writer a corroded pipeline near Refugio State beach owned ifornia’s platforms would cost the responsible oil com-
from Venice, Calif. by Plains All American Pipeline cracked, spilling panies $1.5 billion. Smith says these companies would
He recently graduated
from Brown University
142,800 gallons of crude oil into the Santa barbara prefer to delay that process for as long as possible.
with a degree in environ Channel. The spill killed sea lions, pelicans and perch, Some environmental groups in California, meanwhile,
mental science. among other creatures; closed fisheries and beaches; and are pushing to hold them to the speediest timeline.
56 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Platform Holly, located off the
coast of Santa Barbara, Calif.
Offshore oil Love, who has spent the past three decades study- various merits and risks of different removal strate-
infrastructure in ing the aquatic life that now calls southern California’s gies. The results determine a platform’s final resting
California acts as
oil platforms home, would prefer a third alternative. place, which in most cases has been in a scrap metal
a nursery for certain
fish species. In the decades since they were installed, the steel yard. A platform’s support structure is called its
support structures of California’s oil platforms have jacket—hundreds of vertical feet of woven steel that is
become vibrant ecosystems isolated from fishing pres- affixed to the bottom of the ocean. Most of the time en-
sures—de facto marine sanctuaries. Rather than being gineers will use explosives to sever a platform jacket
removed, aging fossil-fuel infrastructure and its seren- from the seafloor. The steel is then hauled to shore for
dipitously associated habitats can be salvaged in the disposal and recycling. Decommissioning is consid-
ocean as state-managed artificial reefs. The entire top- ered complete when a platform has been removed
side—the above-water portion of steel, offices and down to 15 feet below the mud line and the seafloor has
cranes—and shallow section of a rig are removed, but been returned to preplatform conditions.
part of the submerged base may remain. A pathway for Most of the offshore oil platforms that have ever
doing so already exists in the U.S. and has been success- been built were installed in the Gulf of Mexico—more
fully followed 573 times in the Gulf of Mexico. Similar than 7,000 since 1947. More than 5,000 of those have
examples can be found around the world, from Gabon since been removed. In the 1980s oil companies and
to Australia. because Holly is already owned by the recreational fishing associations pushed for an alterna-
state, not an oil company, its transition could illumi- tive outcome that would both be cheaper and help to
nate how to evaluate the fate of rigs worldwide based bolster struggling fish populations. In 1984 the U.S.
on science, not politics. Congress passed the National Fisheries Enhancement
Act, providing for the creation of the National Artificial
hen an oil platform is decommissioned, Reef Plan, which allowed oil platform operators to do-
wells are filled with concrete and sealed. Next, scientists Florida and Alabama each passed the necessary legisla-
conduct an environmental review and consider the tion and established their own State Artificial Reef Pro-
58 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
grams. These were, and still are, funded by oil and gas up with two ways to make a living: one, be a fisherman,
contributions and the interest earned on those pay- and the other, be connected with oil and gas,” bull says.
ments. The program hasn’t replaced full removals; be- In 2001 bull moved back to her native California,
tween 1987 and 2017 only 11 percent of all decommis- and she arrived at U.C.S.b. in 2016. Her experience
sioned oil platforms off Louisiana were partially re- studying the state’s platforms and coming to under-
moved. but in deeper waters, the story is different: of the stand the surrounding politics has shown her that the
15 structures decommissioned in depths greater than differences in platform strategy between California
400 feet, 14 have been partially removed, or “reefed.” and Louisiana are multifold. “There are factions, espe-
When a platform is partially removed, its topside cially in Santa barbara, that absolutely despise oil and
is taken to shore. To avoid creating a navigational haz- gas companies,” bull says. This animosity, she ex-
ard, the first 80 to 85 feet of its jacket closest to the plains, makes the rigs-to-reefs process a harder sell.
surface are either brought ashore or laid along the sea It’s not unwarranted. on January 28, 1969, a blowout
bottom. Finally, the remaining jacket—whether it is at Union oil’s Platform A in the Santa barbara Channel
15 feet of steel or hundreds—is either left in place or spilled 100,000 barrels of crude oil into the Pacific
severed from the seafloor and towed to an approved ocean. black tar covered beaches for dozens of miles
reefing site. Liability for the reefed structure gets and killed thousands of birds and marine mammals. At
transferred from the oil company to the state, and the the time, it was the largest oil spill in U.S. history.
oil company donates 50 percent of its cost savings The spill prompted the first Earth Day and the cre-
(from doing a partial removal versus a full removal) ation of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. It
to the state. This process, colloquially referred to as also spawned numerous environmental nonprofits in
rigs-to-reefs, has successfully bolstered fish popula- the Santa barbara region, including Get oil out! and
tions in the Gulf. the Environmental Defense Center. Development of
Ann Scarborough bull, a U.C.S.b. biologist who new oil fields off the coast of California halted and
studies the ecology of offshore oil platforms and renew- didn’t resume until 1982.
able energy installations, worked in the Gulf of Mexico Then California’s first decommissionings began. In
on offshore oil and gas regulation for 14 years. She ar- 1988 Texaco successfully removed Platforms Helen and
rived in 1975, when her husband took a job in the highly Herman. In 1996 Chevron removed Platforms Hope,
profitable offshore oil industry. When it came to oil plat- Heidi, Hilda and Hazel from the Santa barbara coast—
form ecology, “the Gulf of Mexico hadn’t been studied,” but not completely. The cuttings piles—gigantic mounds
bull says. She took a job as a chief scientist for the U.S. of rock debris, mud, and other hydrocarbon detritus
Minerals Management Service, which has since been discharged by the drilling process—underneath all four
reorganized into the bureau of ocean Energy Manage- platforms were allowed to remain.
ment, and received funding to research the communi- Linda Krop, now chief counsel for the Environ-
ties of fish and invertebrates dwelling underneath the mental Defense Center, was then a law clerk with the
platforms. on her frequent trips offshore, it became organization. The group wasn’t too happy that Chev-
clear to her that the rig jackets provided habitat that was ron had seemingly gotten around the obligations of its
vital to the region’s economy. original contracts, which required full removal of its
Lutjanus campechanus, commonly known as the platforms and restoration of the local environment to
northern red snapper, is one of the most frequently its natural condition.
caught species in the Gulf ’s recreational fishing indus- In the nearly three decades since, Krop has worked
try. A long-lived apex predator, it is mostly sedentary as an attorney holding oil companies accountable for
in its adult phase and restricted to reef habitats. Until their environmentally destructive actions. She had her
the mid-20th century, the primary fishing grounds for greatest court victory in 2016, achieving the termina-
red snapper were off the western coast of Florida and tion of 40 federal oil leases offshore. Krop is firmly
in the waters south of the Florida Panhandle. against the prospect of reefing off California. “The fish
Just as populations in the fish’s historical range were are going to be fine if the platforms go away,” she says.
being depleted by overfishing and trawling, red snap- “They’re not going to disappear.”
per began to shift and expand west across the entirety
of the Gulf. Thousands of oil platforms were being in- in July 2023 i visited Holly with Milton Love on an
stalled across the northwestern and north- central especially foggy morning. After a 30-minute boat trip
Gulf. Decades of research have shown that with natural from the Santa barbara Harbor, its skeletal outline be-
reefs few and far between, red snapper were using the gan to emerge from the mist. From a distance Holly
oil platforms as a kind of outpost, which allowed their resembled a skull with barred teeth and low, hollow
population size to expand significantly. eyes, but up close it was an eight-story scaffolding of
As drilling operations multiplied, commercial and steel beams, pylons and old shipping containers.
recreational reef-fishing industries grew in tandem. Holly hasn’t produced oil for a decade, but the whir-
Surveys from the early 1980s indicated that one quarter ring and beeping of generators and cranes was still too
of fishing trips were associated with oil and gas struc- loud to speak over. People in construction vests milled
tures. “This whole society in the Gulf of Mexico grew about the upper decks, ostensibly monitoring the
60 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
any countries around the world are stationed in shallow waters. but in the eastern state of Sea anemones live
for governments worldwide regarding the environ- cause of rough water conditions.
mental effects of their platform-decommissioning Norman says Australia does not have an official rigs-
practices, there is no international standard for how to-reef program, but in 2023 Exxon applied for permits
an oil platform should be reefed. to partially remove 13 of its platforms. The company, he
Globally, the process is often ad hoc. off the coast of says, withdrew its application this summer after a wave
Gabon, for instance, high-biodiversity habitats under- of media reports featured criticism of partial removal.
neath more than 40 active oil platforms are included As of August 2024, all of Holly’s 30 wells were fully
in a system of marine national parks. In Malaysia, an plugged and abandoned. Jennifer Lucchesi, executive
oil platform has been converted into a resort for scuba director of the California State Lands Commission,
divers. With the assistance of Chevron, Thailand es- says the facility is being “hardened” so it won’t need
tablished an artificial reef program and reefed seven 24-hour staffing as it moves into “caretaker” status.
platforms near Koh Pha-Ngan in 2020. In waters off Now studies of Holly’s subsurface biology are looking
the U.K., five platforms have been approved for partial at the platform’s effects on its local marine environ-
removal, but no full platform jacket has been reefed, ment to inform the creation of an environmental im-
and no rigs-to-reef program exists. A 2017 study eval- pact report, which will review the likely net outcomes
uated the possibility of transforming one U.K. rig into of full removal versus partial removal versus no action.
a hub for harvesting wave energy. The “biological study” component is being prepared
According to Francis Norman, managing director of by Love, bull and their colleagues at U.C.S.b.
the nonprofit Center of Decommissioning Australia, oil companies are interested in platform reefing be-
there is large demand from recreational fishing com- cause of money, not fish. Partial removal is far cheaper
Bob Evans
munities for artificial reefs—at least off the coast of than full removal. Reefing the California platforms in-
Western Australia, where more than 40 platforms are stead of eradicating them would net the companies a
62 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
When a decommissioned
platform is removed,
so, too, goes habitat area
for sea lions and
certain
DEC E M BER 2 02 4 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC fish species.
A N.COM 63
The
64 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
Rewards
of Curiosity
PSYCHOLOGY
66 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Virginia and her co-workers posit that curiosity “must arise from reward. The dopamine link “seems to resonate with this idea that
an internal desire for information” for its own sake. So, for exam- curiosity is an internal reward, and then definitely it’s a motiva-
ple, a child asking why a rainbow happens is probably driven by tor,” says cognitive neuroscientist Jacqueline Gottlieb of Colum-
curiosity if they just saw one—but not if the question is prompted bia University’s Zuckerman Institute.
by a science exam the next day. (Nor is curiosity the craving to To work out that information itself is rewarding, neuroscien-
know the outcome of a biopsy, which can be more like dread.) tists have had to show how the brain distinguishes between phys-
Some researchers study information seeking as a whole without ical rewards and information. Such work started in monkeys, the
trying to separate out curiosity. first other species in which scientists, who fear anthropomorphic
Curiosity can on occasion be disconcerting, even distressing. overreach, have felt confident claiming curiosity exists. (No sur-
People desperate to know, for example, the secret behind a magic prise to fans of Curious George.) Neuroscientist benjamin
trick have been willing to accept mild electric shocks as the price Hayden of the University of Minnesota and his colleagues set up
of satisfying their curiosity sooner. And arguments in pubs led an an experiment in which monkeys got water as a treat, and the
executive at the Guinness brewery to create the company’s epon- researchers gave them the opportunity to find out ahead of time
ymous book of records and then distribute its first copies in whether that reward was coming. The monkeys chose to get a
drinking establishments, the better to settle future disagreements heads-up 80 to 90 percent of the time and were even willing to
immediately. (Have you ever wondered what a beer company and lose out on larger rewards to know. They are saying, in effect,
the world’s largest ball of string had to do with each other?) “I’m so curious that I want this information now,” Hayden says.
More often, though, curiosity is delicious. Studies show we Mice appear to show the same tendencies, according to a study
happily avoid spoilers so as not to lose out on the fun of an by psychologist Jennifer bussell, a postdoctoral researcher at the
unfolding drama. If you missed the Super bowl or the series Zuckerman Institute. Moreover, in both monkeys and mice, neu-
finale of Succession, you probably went well out of your way to rons in the orbitofrontal cortex (OFC), which is involved in an
keep from finding out what happened too soon. Nowadays we all early stage of decision-making, responded differently to water
carry digital reference libraries in our pockets, and we have a rewards and to cues—information—that predicted those
hard time resisting the need to use them as soon as a nagging rewards. The OFC neurons encode details such as the amount of
question arises. Researchers measure the tip-of-the-tongue feel- water as independent variables to be compared later, rather like
ing, which heightens curiosity, by assessing the strength of the raw material that will feed into their choice.
urge to google an answer. (Appropriately, they also liken the “There’s probably a drive that evolved to learn new stuff and
feeling to “mild torment.”) gather information because 99 percent of the time in the natural
It’s probably the anticipation of an answer that feels delecta- world, for an animal, information is useful,” bussell says. “Evolu-
ble. Higher levels of curiosity lead to higher levels of activity in tionarily, you have to nudge the creature to come out of its burrow,
areas such as the striatum, which is involved in the release of even if it’s afraid that there’s a predator coming.” If the brain builds
dopamine, the neurotransmitter most associated with feelings of a system that regards gathering information and reducing uncer-
as Curiosity? al Curios
ity
or seek
Curiosity is difficult to define Intern Explore n
o
y tivated info ti
rm a
because it overlaps with other Qualit ally mo
Intrinsic formation
Lisa K. Son, in Nature Reviews Psycholog y, Vol 3; August 2024; restyled by Jen Christiansen
68 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
Torso gains knowledge, it is saying something like, Hmm, that’s both curious and efficient? Correct guesses are rewarding, and
interesting, let’s build on that. It is the algorithmic version of rein- errors are instructive, but do people monitor how much they are
forcement learning, or practicing. “A child needs to practice to be learning and use that information to decide what to do next? In
able to learn,” Oudeyer says. “What makes it practice? Its moti- this case, yes, they did. Participants monitored both their per-
vational system. Curiosity is one of the fundamental dimensions centage of correct responses and their improvement over time.
of motivational systems that push organisms to explore and to “It becomes obvious that what we should value is learning,” Gott-
learn new things.” lieb says. In other words, high certainty alone is less useful than
When programmed this way, Torso first moved its left the transition between high and low uncertainty. Curiosity is
hand—a lot. Then it discovered the left joystick and moved it what helps us make that shift.
forward, backward, left and right. Eventually it made the con- but curiosity also shifts over time. Although conventional
nection between moving the joystick and moving Ergo, which wisdom says people get less curious as they grow older, studies
moved the ball. Moving the ball changed the color of the lights show that it’s more accurate to say curiosity adapts to what peo-
from blue to yellow to pink. After 15 to 20 hours of exploration, ple know about the world. When you walk into the Louvre in
Torso worked out how to move Ergo in every direction, how to Paris, are you more likely to swing through all the galleries, mak-
move the ball and how to light up the arena. To the researchers’ ing sure to hit the most popular exhibits? Or do you prefer to lose
surprise, the robot even worked out that the cup at the end of yourself for an hour in one wing? Your choice most likely will
Ergo’s lamplike arm could cover the ball and effectively hide it, depend on your age, Tübingen’s Murayama says. In an experi-
which Torso proceeded to do, looking an awful lot like a shell- ment conducted with almost 500 visitors to the London Science
game hustler working a crowd on the sidewalk. Museum who were aged 12 to 79, he found younger people took a
Such experiments are evidence for a positive feedback loop broad approach and older people a narrower but deeper ap -
between curiosity and learning. “Focus on learning activities proach, viewing more facts on fewer topics in a citizen science
that are neither too easy nor too difficult, the ones where you exhibit. “Older adults have more knowledge, and knowledge is
have maximum improvement in speed, which will progressively really a driver of curiosity.”
get you to more and more complicated and yet learnable activi-
ties,” Oudeyer says. As scientists come to understand curiosity better, they may
also better understand some mental health disorders in which its
torso’s progress closely mirrored the developmental trajec- circuits may be disrupted. In depression, for example, curiosity
tories children use as they learn about tools or language. As the is dampened, whereas in obsessive-compulsive disorder the
brain continues to develop, so does the sophistication of its desire to reduce uncertainty is overwhelming.
approach to curiosity. A 2024 study of more than 100 four-year- The research has more immediate implications in the class-
olds found that they relied on learning progress as well as nov- room. It’s well known that curiosity has a positive influence on
elty to explore during a touchscreen game. And Gruber has learning outcomes and student enjoyment. Multiple efforts are
found that compared with younger children, adolescents are underway to leverage the new findings to strengthen both things.
better able to process cognitive conflict (that is, uncertainty) and In 2024 the French government began giving primary school
appraise incoming information in the higher-order areas of the students a peer-reviewed educational technology based on Oud-
prefrontal cortex. eyer’s work. The program generates personalized questions
As for adult humans, we hang out in a sweet spot, Kidd says. driven by what each child wants to learn. Compared with mate-
“We’re much more invested in watching more episodes of a show rial that teachers created by hand, the AI-designed material led
where we know the characters [and] understand something to more efficient learning and higher student motivation because
about the plot than starting something entirely new,” she says. they built on a child’s own interests.
Even in studies where participants get paid to be curious, their There may be useful ways to boost adult curiosity, too. Several
brains aren’t very curious about things that fall outside this satis- researchers are working on programs based on learning progress
fying mental place. but when they are deeply engaged, in what’s that help older adults hone their attentional skills. but anyone
sometimes called a state of flow, learning progress is guiding can take advantage of the sweet spot, Kidd says. “Just even
them. It clearly feeds their curiosity. understanding that having some knowledge will make it easier to
In a 2021 experiment published in Nature Communications, acquire more knowledge can be helpful,” she says. It can get you
Oudeyer and Gottlieb, who are frequent collaborators, and their to “sit and try to focus more on that first book that lets you break
colleagues created a set of four online games. Each game had in” to a new subject.
families of monsters that varied in size, color, number of eyes, And understanding that confidence and curiosity are related
and so on. The goal? Discover the hidden rules that dictate which probably affected your level of curiosity about the nuggets of
of eight foods each family of monsters likes to eat. The easiest trivia I sprinkled through this story. Maybe you knew that the
game had a one-dimensional rule: tall family members like pizza, most popular exhibit at the Louvre is the Mona Lisa or guessed
and short ones like broccoli. Two more games had progressively that the beatles’ most durable hit was Hey Jude. but I suspect you
more complicated rules that were harder to pick up on: with two were very curious about those odd-shaped trees. Yes, there really
dimensions, for instance, tall monsters with three eyes like pizza, are trees with square trunks—in Anton Valley in Panama.
and short monsters with two eyes like broccoli. The fourth game
had no rule; it was entirely random and unlearnable. FROM OUR ARCHIVES
The question was how the nearly 400 players would organize No Spoilers, Please! Abby Hsiung, Jia-Hou Poh, Scott Huettel
their exploration as they worked out the rules. How could they be and Alison Adcock; September 2024. ScientificAmerican.com/archive
Book Bans Harm Kids library shelves are trying to limit the flow
of information. Their efforts aim to un
dermine democracy; they would create
Censoring what children read deprives them an electorate of young people who will
of reality and the chance to feed their curiosity not question authority, build alliances
and develop empathy BY THE EDITORS with people who have less political power,
or challenge the status quo. Knowledge
is power. book bans go against the very
nature of an open, civil society. Whether
through the legal system, the ballot box
or our voices, we must uphold educa
tional freedom and support knowledge.
We must stop the censoring of books.
Censorship has a shameful history in
the U.S. The infamous 1873 Comstock Act
made it illegal to mail works considered to
be obscene, such as pamphlets about birth
control. James Joyce’s Ulysses was banned
in the country in the 1920s, and the U.S.
Postal Service burned copies. More re
cently, conservatives have bowdlerized
the history and science children learn in
schools, altering depictions of slavery,
rejecting textbooks that reference climate
change and challenging evolution.
In 2023 the American Library Associa
tion documented more than 1,200 cases of
efforts to ban library books. Petitioners
targeted more than 4,200 books for re
moval from schools and libraries. The
most contested books of 2023 include
classics such as Toni Morrison’s The Blu-
est Eye, modern novels and graphic novels
about growing up LGbTQ+, a book about
teen health, and another about human
trafficking. PEN America, a nonprofit that
advocates for free expression in literature,
OOKS ARE A GIFT, opening a door to the wide world. noted more than 3,300 efforts to ban
72 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
MIND MATTERS EDITED BY DAISY YUHAS
have faded from your life for no particular a result, we may expect people to go to same people about various barriers to
reason. Whether it be the childhood friend great lengths to maintain their social con- reaching out. These participants had many
who had a baby, the colleague who trans- nections. Yet some inevitably wane, trans- concerns, but they worried most that their
ferred to a new department or the thought- forming active friendships into dormant old friend might not be interested in hear-
ful neighbor who moved away, many of us contact-list entries. ing from them and that it would be awk-
74 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4
THE SCIENCE OF HEALTH
ward to speak after so much time had who would reach out to an old friend. We
passed. In other words, people seemed to were stumped—until we realized that
worry about being an imposition in their many obstacles participants identified
Everyday
friend’s life. This worry is most likely un- when thinking about the task were simi-
founded; research shows that friends lar to the ones that prevent people from
Concussions
we’ve lost touch with appreciate hearing talking to strangers. Hidden brain injuries
from us more than we think. This similarity made us wonder wheth- are surprisingly common.
In fact, we discovered that if people er the passage of time makes old friends
could get past their worries, they were in- feel like strangers. So we tested this idea.
New diagnostics may
deed interested in reconnecting. When we In one study, we asked 288 people how improve outcomes
asked 199 young adults to think about ei- willing they were to engage in various ev- BY LYDIA DENWORTH
ther getting in touch with an old friend or eryday actions, such as picking up gar-
hearing from one, they preferred the lat- bage, booking a dentist appointment, lis-
ter. It’s not that people are uninterested tening to a favorite song from childhood
but rather that they are reluctant to initi- and, critically, talking to a stranger. Sure IFTEEN YEARS AGO I slipped on a
ate these interactions.
I
and creates daily
simple question that triggered endless dispute, left a trail of puzzles for the Morning This forces all the region’s neighbors
overturned publications in its wake and culminated in a res- Brew newsletter. into your second color, say, blue. In
olution that has stretched the very tenets of math. The conun- He holds a Ph.D. in turn, all their neighbors become red
drum that stirred up so much trouble was: What is the theoretical computer and so on, propagating through the
science from Harvard
minimum number of colors needed to color a map so that no University. Follow him map. Eventually you either encounter a
neighboring states or other designated areas have the same hue? on X @JackPMurtagh conflict where neighboring regions
The Milky Way’s Fate as seen by NASA’s Hubble and Spitzer space
telescopes. A similar fate may await our own Milky
Way billions of years from now if it collides with
Will our galaxy ever collide with its neighbor? our nearest neighboring spiral galaxy, Andromeda.
BY PHIL PLAIT nearby galaxies are taken into consider
ation, the chance of the Milky Way collid
ing with Andromeda is only about 50 per
COSMIC TRAIN WRECK may be looming in our future. cent. A decent likelihood, though nowhere
80 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
and fainter. The two next largest are the
Triangulum galaxy (M33), which is about Although Andromeda is headed mostly
2.7 million lightyears from the Milky
Way (and only 700,000 lightyears from
toward us, it may also be moving to the
Andromeda; they lie close together in the side. If this lateral shift is large enough,
night sky), and the Large Magellanic
Cloud (LMC), a satellite of the Milky Way the galaxy could miss us.
that is about 160,000 lightyears away.
These four dominate the Local Group. tic mergers can be quite ostentatious oc Milky Way and Andromeda, they found
In galaxy clusters—large collections of currences. They’re not usually great places the galaxies collided slightly less than
hundreds or thousands of galaxies—we to have a habitable planet. half the time. It’s almost a coin flip: heads
see members colliding fairly often. The This naturally raises the question of means a collision, and tails gives us a close
gravitational interactions between galax whether Andromeda and the Milky Way pass but avoids an actual merger—al
ies can draw them together in a cosmic are doomed to merge. Early studies of though the interaction will cause a some
dance that can take the better part of a Andromeda showed that (unlike nearly what less disruptive version of the chaos
billion years to complete. Two interacting every other galaxy in the universe) it’s described earlier.
galaxies usually first make a close pass blueshifted, meaning it’s moving through What’s also new in this study is the
and then circle back and slam into each space toward the Milky Way. This motion inclusion of both M33 and the LMC, both
other sometime later. The two can merge, isn’t subtle: the galaxy is approaching at a of which are massive enough to gravita
forming a single, larger object that even staggering speed of about 110 kilometers tionally affect the trajectories of their
tually settles into a cottonball shaped per second. much larger siblings. Including just the
elliptical galaxy. That makes it seem like a collision is in LMC reduces the chance of a crash to only
That simple summary belies the mind evitable. How could something approach about 30 percent—it orbits the Milky Way,
crushing chaos of such an event, however. ing so fast not score a hit? The answer is and in most cases, it essentially pulls us to
A close pass can stretch the pair of galaxies that although Andromeda is headed mostly the side just enough to dodge a collision.
like taffy as each gravitationally grasps at toward us, it may also be moving to the Adding M33 in, however, pulls us back
the other, drawing out streams of gas and side. If this lateral shift—astronomers call toward Andromeda, once again giving us
stars called tidal tails, which can be hun it transverse velocity—is large enough, the even odds of an impact.
dreds of thousands of lightyears long. galaxy could miss us. That’s better than inevitability but
Angular momentum causes the tidal tails The problem is measuring that trans perhaps not terribly reassuring. If you
to curve gracefully as the two galaxies verse motion. Andromeda is a long way prefer to breathe easier, note that if this
swing by each other. This process also away, and its apparent motion across the tryst does happen, it won’t occur for
steals orbital energy from the galaxies, sky is incredibly small. It was only very re roughly another eight billion years. by
allowing them to slow, drop back toward cently that astronomers were able to mea then the sun will have evolved past its red
each other and merge. The pandemonium sure this tiny movement at all. The uncer giant stage, cooked Earth and shrunk
involved in the collision can drastically tainties are still large, but the overall into a white dwarf. That’s cold comfort,
change the orbits of stars, hurling some transverse velocity indicates that Androm I know.
toward the galactic center or flinging them eda and the Milky Way will, at the very On the other hand, collisions and merg
far out into the galactic suburbs. least, experience a close pass. How close, ers such as this one are how galaxies grow.
Worse, the myriad gas clouds orbiting we can’t yet say. The Milky Way is a bruiser among galax
in a galaxy are huge—some are hundreds The new research takes that into ac ies, and it got here by what is essentially
of lightyears wide. They very much can count. The scientists created computer galactic cannibalism. And despite the
collide, and when they do, they can col simulations of the motions of the two gal chaos, the future merged object—which
lapse and form lots of stars, creating tre axies and ran them forward in time to see some astronomers call Milkomeda—may
mendous outbursts of energy. Not only whether a collision will occur. The team for a time be rejuvenated, with millions of
that, but enormous amounts of dust and took a different approach than others had new stars born in the aftermath. (To be
gas can be dislodged to plummet toward in the past, running the simulations over honest, I’m not a fan of the name Milko
each galaxy’s central supermassive black and over again, changing the input param meda, but I can’t think of anything better.
hole, piling up just outside to form an eters a little bit each time—for example, Andromeway is way worse.)
infernally hot accretion disk. As all that increasing or decreasing the velocities a There are bleaker fates. And again, this
accumulated material approaches its final tad—to cover the uncertainties in the crash may not happen at all. As time goes
plunge into the black hole’s maw, it can measured numbers. on and astronomers make more observa
blast out more energy than all the stars in This approach builds up statistical tions of Andromeda, we’ll get better data,
both galaxies combined. models, giving a likelihood of collision. and we’ll know for certain what literally
So despite taking eons to unfold, galac When the researchers did this for just the lies ahead.
What Giant Data is simply a cold reality that comes with being
online. If the Internet is the information su-
perhighway, leaks are among the roadside
Breaches Mean for You wreckage. “It’s terrible that we have a road
toll—and objectives toward zero are fantas-
Expert advice for protecting sensitive data tic,” he says. “but while we hurtle around at
BY BEN GUARINO 100 kilometers an hour in metal machines,
this is what’s going to happen.” Hunt talked
with Scientific American about how to
make sense of the potentially alarming
T SOME POINT IN THE PAST YEAR, one or more hackers amount of data involved in massive breach-
T but it’s pretty certain that 2024 is sponse of the fossilfuel industry is to shrug
going to be the hottest year on rec its shoulders and insist that, despite all the
ord. Practically every week this climate damage that fossil fuels cause, we
year, we heard of some new daily just can’t live without them. In a white paper
or monthly record being broken, some ex published earlier this year, KinderMorgan,
treme weather event made more extreme which owns and operates pipelines, put it
than it would have been by humancaused this way: “There is an enduring economic
Sloan, GM’s CEO. GM quickly contracted
with Rockefeller’s Standard Oil to put tetra
ethyl lead into gasoline. by 1923 the product
was on the market.
but there was a catch. It had been known
since classical antiquity that lead is highly
toxic; Midgley himself had suffered a bout
climate change. In July exceptional rainfall and social need for fossil fuels that will con of lead poisoning as a result of his research.
led to flooding that triggered deadly land tinue to play a central role in our lives.” Exx Many workers in industrial settings where
slides in the Kerala region of India, killing onMobil’s 2024 Global Outlook declares lead was used became ill or died. So GM and
hundreds of people. In September, Hurri that “oil and natural gas remain vital” be DuPont—which would manufacture the
cane Helene became one of the biggest cause they are “needed for modern life.” tetraethyl lead—agreed the product would
storms to hit the U.S. Fueled by record Everyone involved in the energy and en be marketed simply as “ethyl.”
high ocean temperatures, the storm brought vironment conversation knows any transi It didn’t take long for scientists to voice
torrential rains and massive storm surges tion away from fossil fuels and toward re concerns. According to Rosner and Mar
to the Southeast. At press time, the death newable energy will take time. Indeed, this kowitz, the U.S. surgeon general wrote to
toll from the hurricane had surpassed 230. is why it’s so consequential that the oil and the chair of DuPont asking whether the
Sadly, reports of these events gas industry has worked for de companies had taken public health impacts
Naomi Oreskes
often provoke not shock, sad is a professor of the cades to delay the transition, into account. Midgley admitted that neither
ness or outrage but rather a history of science at which even it now acknowledg DuPont nor GM had collected any relevant
sense of déjà vu, if not ennui. If Harvard University. es is necessary. data, but he nonetheless insisted that the
2024 does prove to be the hot She is author of Why The argument that we can’t amounts that an ordinary person would be
Trust Science? (Princeton
test year ever measured, it will University Press, 2019) live without a dangerous, even exposed to would be harmless.
be the fifth time in less than a and co-author of The Big deadly product is an old one. In In 1925 the surgeon general organized a
decade that we have faced such Myth (Bloomsbury, 2023). their new book on the history of conference of businesspeople, union lead
*
Sub-Saharan Africa
Northern Africa and Western Asia
Overarching legal Central and Southern Asia
Gender Equality Eastern and Southeastern
SouthEastern Asia
frameworks Latin America and the Caribbean
and public life Oceania
How far we’ve come Europe and Northern America
Australia and New Zealand
and still have to go Sub-Saharan Africa
GRAPHIC SCIENCE
86 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M bER 2 02 4
tionate discrimination, poverty economic benefits Oceania
Europe and Northern America
and violence, as well as a lack Australia and New Zealand
of access to education, health Sub-Saharan Africa
Northern Africa and Western Asia
care and property ownership, among Central and Southern Asia
other disadvantages. Every year the Eastern and Southeastern
South-EasternAsia
Asi
Marriage and family
A
United Nations agencies U.N. Women Oceania
Latin America and the Caribbean
Europe and Northern America
and U.N. Department of Economic and Australia and New Zealand
Social Affairs track progress toward Sub-Saharan Africa
global gender equality—one of the
Women and girls subjected
U.N.’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals, Latin America and the Caribbean
to intimate partner violence Oceania
which all U.N. member countries agreed
to try to reach by 2030. The project gathers Australia and New Zealand
Target 5.2
data from government questionnaires
and household surveys and from other Sexual violence against
agencies such as the World Health women and girls
Organization, the World bank and the
U.N. Children’s Fund (UNICEF).
The report highlights some important Sub-Saharan Africa
gains: child marriage is declining, Central and Southern Asia
Child marriage among Eastern
Eastern and
and Southeastern
South-EasternAsia
Asi
women make up a slightly larger share women and girls Latin America and the Caribbean
of parliaments and local governments, Oceania
by UN-Women and the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (data)
progress in any direction and to be far from a target Target 5.6 Sub-Saharan Africa
but still making quick strides. Northern Africa and Western Asia
Source: Progress on the Sustainable Development Goals: The Gender Snapshot 2024, Published
Laws on equal access to Central and Southern Asia
Eastern and Southeastern
South-EasternAsia
Asi
Trend assessment reproductive health, Latin America and the Caribbean
On track or target met information and education Europe and Northern America
Australia and New Zealand
Moderate progress but
acceleration needed Ownership or secure
Marginal progress and significant rights over MISSING DATA
acceleration needed agricultural land, by sex Some kinds of progress are difficult to measure. Data may be
Target 5.a missing altogether, or different countries may have inconsistent
Stagnation definitions of, say, what constitutes sexual violence, making it
Laws that guarantee equal impossible to compare statistics.
Regression land rights
World average
Sub-Saharan Africa
Northern Africa and Western Asia
Level assessment Central and Southern Asia
Women who own Eastern and Southeastern
South-EasternAsia
Asi
a mobile phone Latin America and the Caribbean
DEC E M BER 2 02 4
Target met or almost met Oceania
Europe and Northern America
Australia and New Zealand
Close to target Target 5.b Sub-Saharan Africa
Northern Africa and Western Asia
Central and Southern Asia
Moderate distance to target Men who own Eastern and Southeastern
South-EasternAsia
Asi
a mobile phone Latin America and the Caribbean
Oceania
Far from target Europe and Northern America
Australia and New Zealand
Very far from target Sub-Saharan Africa
Northern Africa and Western Asia
Central and Southern Asia
Insufficient data Countries with systems Eastern and Southeastern
SouthEastern Asia
Target 5.c
SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N.COM
to track gender equality Latin America and the Caribbean
World average Oceania
Europe and Northern America
87
* All regions are as defined in the U.N. geoscheme.
HISTORY COMPILED BY MARK FISCHETTI
if the ethyl alcohol were merly independent lines of brated painting ‘Roll readily repaired if damaged
condensed, it would come investigation have reinforced Call’ [by Lady Elizabeth Butler] by accident, and unlike paper
to 1028 fifths of a gallon at each other. We now know that is now nightly exhibited in Lon- and paint, would always be
80 proof. Potability, however, living cells are not mere drops don to large audiences, by as good as at first. Glass can
might be a problem; the alcohol of jelly; each contains a com- means of the oxyhydrogen light, be cut or bent to any required
is heavily contaminated with plexity of parts, one of which is or lime light, and all the colors shape. If desired, the plates
substances such as hydrogen the easily dyed speck called the of the picture are brought out may be colored any cheerful
cyanide, formaldehyde and nucleus. The nucleus in turn with marvelous brilliancy, in fact tint. The non-absorbent
ammonia. The discovery brings contains a number of highly with the same perfection as by quality is the most important
the total number of different important microscopic constit- daylight. The idea of illuminat- for hospitals and prisons, and,
kinds of molecules detected uents called chromosomes, of ing art galleries in the evening we should think, is worthy the
in space to 32.” which each species of plant or by the lime light is an excellent consideration of architects.”
88 SC I E N T I F IC A M ER IC A N DECE M BER 2 02 4